211. AOC Is Breaking With The Democratic Socialists — Here’s Why

10 Aug 2026 · 45 min · 17 chapters

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In short

The episode argues that Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) are gaining attention and electoral momentum, but that leading left figures are distancing themselves from “radical” positions ahead of November.

Guests

Ed Elson, co-host of the Prof G Markets podcast.

Key claims

DSA popularity is driven by an affordability crisis and widening inequality (top 19 households controlling 2% of wealth; top 1% exceeding middle class wealth). The host says AOC and Abdul El-Sayed are moderating to avoid electoral backlash from cultural proposals that are “non-starters” (examples: abolishing police/prisons; “abolishing Thanksgiving”).

Notable examples

AOC calling “woke” “crazy”; El-Sayed winning Michigan by 1% and later disavowing Hassan Piker’s 9/11 comments; Zoran Mamdani’s New York record (rent freeze pilot, city grocery stores pilot, but also deregulating small businesses and continuing “tough on crime,” with lowest NYPD murders). The episode also covers jobs and inflation, claiming tariffs and an Iran conflict have fueled inflation and that “K-shaped economy” rhetoric is false.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Democratic Socialists' Rise

0:00 to 0:33

Learn about the recent electoral success of the Democratic Socialists of America.

“Democratic Socialists of America are having a national moment.”

Democratic Socialists' Rise

0:36 to 1:22

Learn about the recent electoral success of the Democratic Socialists of America.

“A tariff, a spending plan, a regulatory change.”

AOC and DSA Dynamics

1:37 to 2:15

Explore AOC's distancing from the DSA and its implications.

“And today I'm joined by my friend, the co-host of the Prof G Markets podcast, Ed Elson.”

Economics and Socialism's Popularity

2:15 to 4:31

Understand the economic factors driving the popularity of democratic socialism.

“And Ed, I want to get your take on their economic position in a second.”

Younger Generations and Economic Inequality

4:31 to 6:45

Discuss how young Americans perceive economic inequality and the DSA's appeal.

“So we've seen this massive widening between the upper classes and the lower and middle classes.”

Controversial DSA Policies

6:45 to 9:27

Analyze the impact of radical DSA policies on political candidates.

“Enter a platform where they say, we are going to change the course of this nation.”

Mamdani's Approach to Governance

9:27 to 12:15

Examine how Zoran Mamdani's leadership differs from traditional DSA ideals.

“And I think what they're realizing is that a lot of the people in the DSA and a lot of the people that run the DSA are not very bright people.”

Challenges of Medicare for All

12:15 to 14:03

Delve into the complexities of implementing Medicare for All within the Senate.

“Which is not something that you would have necessarily expected out of this guy who is, I guess, a socialist.”

The Case for Universal Healthcare

14:03 to 18:06

Exploration of universal healthcare's feasibility and public opinion on its costs.

“I have not fact checked that, but is making 20 million.”

Corporatism and Political Integrity

18:07 to 21:08

Discussion on corporatism's impact on American politics and the need for electoral reform.

“I believe in the free movement of capital.”
Show all 17 chapters

Navigating Sensitive Political Issues

21:09 to 24:36

Analyzing how politicians should address sensitive topics without alienating voters.

“And the question then becomes, okay, what do we want to do about that?”

Current Job Market Analysis

24:51 to 25:10

Review of the US job market performance and analysis of unemployment trends.

“Before we get into the state of the US jobs market, just to remind you that Anthony and I will be traveling around North America and Canada in October ahead of the midterms on doing a live tour.”

Current Job Market Analysis

25:16 to 28:00

Review of the US job market performance and analysis of unemployment trends.

“I have never seen a president quite this out of touch with the very people he calls his base.”

Job Market Insights: The Healthcare Sector

28:00 to 30:58

Explore the current state of job growth in the healthcare sector and its implications.

“Healthcare added 22 ,000 jobs this month, and we keep on seeing the same story every month.”

The K-Shaped Economy Debate

30:58 to 36:20

Discuss the concept of the K-shaped economy and the challenges it poses.

“You can set us to rights on that one, but also then criticized the mainstream media sophistry in their coverage of the economy.”

Potential Actions for Economic Improvement

36:20 to 39:20

Examine what steps could be taken to improve economic conditions ahead of the midterms.

“I reached out to a couple of Republican strategists to ask them about this this morning.”

Closing Thoughts and Future Episodes

39:20 to 40:46

Wrap up the conversation with acknowledgments and teasers for upcoming content.

“But I think they see what's happening here.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Anthony Scaramucci:Democratic Socialists of America are having a national moment. They're racking up electoral wins across the country. Zora Mandani, of course, famously in New York, Katie Wilson in Seattle. They're also setting a policy agenda in Democratic primaries across the country. So it's time we asked, do they really have what it takes to change American politics? I have some pretty strong views on this and we will get to that. Meanwhile, prices are rising. Unemployment is climbing. is Trump's working class base starting to crack? This episode is brought to you by eToro. A tariff, a spending plan, a regulatory change.

0:38Anthony Scaramucci:It can all start just as the first line of a speech, but it sets in motion things that can reach far beyond Washington and unfold for years to come. That's right, Katty. Markets move on expectations, not just events. Investors are constantly weighing what a decision could mean for company sectors and the wider economy. So eToro is an investing platform where you can access a wide range of markets and explore how political and economic developments could affect them. You could also learn from the global community of investors and see how people around the world are interpreting the same news. As with all investing, your capital is at risk.

1:21Anthony Scaramucci:See eToro.com forward slash TripUS for full terms.

1:35Anthony Scaramucci:Welcome to The Rest is Politics US. I'm Katty Kaye. And today I'm joined by my friend, the co-host of the Prof G Markets podcast, Ed Elson. Ed, thank you very much for joining us. Thank you for having me. Very excited to be here. I will not reveal to the audience that the last time you and I spoke, it was about pornography for another podcast. Don't tell them. Don't tell them that sex always sells. Thank you. Anthony is away today. He's on a Disney cruise, which is okay. I'm going to be honest. I could not do a cruise with a whole load of screaming children, but he's having a great time. So good for him.

2:12Incredible.

2:12Anthony Scaramucci:Okay, let's talk about the DSA. And Ed, I want to get your take on their economic position in a second. But let's start by looking at the amount of attention that the Democratic Socialists of America seem to be getting at the moment. Obviously, we've had over the weekend Congresswoman Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez of New York, who has distanced herself from some of the more radical positions of the Democratic Socialists of America, but said she was a member of her local DSA chapter. And she was being asked about other DSA candidates, and she seemed to be distancing herself from them. I also heard Abdul El-Sayed, who won the Michigan primary, of course, last week, distancing himself a little bit from some of the DSA positions.

2:59Anthony Scaramucci:He says he's not DSA, but he has campaigned with them six or seven times. And I'm wondering if you're now getting a kind of pushback from some leading figures on the left, on the progressive left saying, okay, we actually are now heading past the primary season into the November election. We do want to take power. And the way to take power in America is by moving away from some of these, particularly the cultural issues that are more on the left. And are you hearing that too? I just thought AOC's interview was fascinating over the course of Sunday and what she had to say about woke one being crazy, as she described it, which could be the new bumper stipper, by the way, for the Democratic Party.

3:42Anthony Scaramucci:That could be what they run on in November. Woke one was crazy, was how she described it. And I'm just wondering if you're kind of getting that sense, too, that there's a little bit of disquiet about some of the DSA positions. Yeah, I am getting that sense. And I think it's honestly a really smart and savvy move from AOC. I mean, first, we should just kind of recognize how we got here, how we got to this moment of democratic socialism and why this is so popular among people. I mean, it all goes back to the economics. It all goes back to the affordability crisis, which is getting worse and worse.

4:16We're seeing that with the inflation numbers, which we will get into later. But I mean, a big piece of it is also just the rampant inequality that has emerged in America, where the top 19 households today now control 2 % of all of the household wealth in America. It was 0.1 % just 40 years ago. So we've seen this massive widening between the upper classes and the lower and middle classes. The top 1 % now controls more wealth than the entire middle class. You have Elon Musk becoming a trillionaire. He's worth 3 % of US GDP. He's the richest American in the history of this country on a relative basis.

4:54I mean, the inequality is getting out of control and we can get into that further. But that's sort of the basis.

5:03Anthony Scaramucci:And young people are particularly pissed off about it. I mean, they are really. My kids always point to the DSA platform and they say, OK, we might not like some of the individuals and we can get into some of the policies. But there is an appeal there just because they're so fed up with old people hanging on to power and this income inequality, like you say. Exactly. And it's clear from the democratic socialists that that is one of their key issues that they want to target and they want to get serious about. We've had decades of politicians kind of signaling that they're interested in addressing affordability, that they're interested in addressing inequality.

5:37See, Trump, by the way, would be a perfect example, who said that one of his main agendas was to get prices down and also to reduce the cost of housing. And then he doesn't tacitly admit, he openly admits that actually he wants the price of housing to go up because he wants to reward older, wealthier Americans whose net words are tied to the value of their homes. And so he's saying it outright. I don't care about the fact that young people have basically no pathway towards achieving home ownership. I don't care about that because what I really care about is the demographic group that matters most in elections, which is the older demographics in America.

6:16And so that's the group to whom I'm going to throw these bones. So I think young people are correctly very, very upset about this. They're upset about the way that housing prices have risen faster than wages over the past 40 years. Same is true of economic productivity and GDP. same is true of the cost of college, by the way, which has tripled since 1980. Stocks are very expensive right now. That's more expensive than it's ever been in the past 20 years. So they're upset about all this stuff. Enter a platform where they say, we are going to change the course of this nation. We're going to change the trajectory dramatically.

6:58There is a world where there's capitalism, and that's what America has been all about. and we have something different that's called socialism. Now the question is, what does socialism actually mean?

7:11Anthony Scaramucci:So shall I run through? Here's what the DSA's national program calls for. I'm going to just tick off a few of things. Public ownership of the largest corporations, abolishing the US Senate, replacing the president and the Supreme Court with bodies answerable to Congress, actually probably not a bad idea, fully abolishing police and prisons, drafting a new constitution. So those are some of the things that they want. And various members of them have talked also about abolishing ICE in the light of all of the immigration crackdowns. And it's interesting to see how you've got these progressive candidates juggling two things, right?

7:50Anthony Scaramucci:Juggling the anger and the energy that you're talking about, both on economic issues, but I think also on cultural issues and realizing that some of those things like fully abolishing police and prisons is just never going to get you elected in America. I mean, it's like a non-starter, which is why you've got AOC slightly dancing around this and asked to endorse because tomorrow, Tuesday, there's another big primary in Wisconsin, another purple state just like Michigan. And the woman who is running for the Democratic nomination for governor, Francesca Hong, is a DSA candidate who has also called for abolishing Thanksgiving as well as abolishing police and prisons.

8:36Anthony Scaramucci:I don't know why. I mean, I don't like Turkey, fine, abolish Thanksgiving. But I can see another reason probably you're not going to get. And she's having to do this kind of, well, I've said these things and now I'm not saying them. El-Sayed is in the same position of, well, you know, I campaigned with Hassan Paikah, very far left, on some of these issues. Now he's having to distance himself from him in an interview over the weekend saying, no, I mean, that was a dumb thing he said when he blamed America for 9-11. Now he's saying it's a dumb thing. Four months ago, by the way, El-Sayed didn't disavow Hassan Paikah.

9:08Anthony Scaramucci:He stood next to him at a rally in Michigan. So I just think it's I get where the anger comes from. But I think some of the ways that these candidates are talking about it risk doing for the Democratic Party in November what refusing to back away from some of the transgender issues did to the Democratic Party in 2024. And I think there is a concern there. A hundred percent. And I think what they're realizing is that a lot of the people in the DSA and a lot of the people that run the DSA are not very bright people. And in some cases, they're kind of just basket cases. Did you hear that interview, by the way, with the co-chair of the DSA, Megan Romer?

9:53You pointed it out to me. I went and I found it, and I couldn't believe it.

9:57Anthony Scaramucci:Give our nice dear listeners a quick description. Well, she was asked the very important question, which is, what does taxing the hell out of the millionaires actually mean? Because that's what she kept on saying. We need to talk the hell out of the millionaires. And it's like, okay, so she's talking about the inequality problem. She's talking about what we need to do about it. And then the interviewer says, what do you mean by that? And she actually couldn't answer the question. She said, I don't really know. And then she stumbled a little bit and then she redirected. And he said, shouldn't you know your co-chair of the DSA?

10:26Anthony Scaramucci:And she says, oh, yes, I should. I mean, effectively kind of says, yes, I should have an answer. I should have an answer. I felt it was amateur hour. It was amateur hour. And I think what we're seeing is that there are some people who have aligned themselves with the DSA who are not amateurs whatsoever. AOC is an expert. She is a world-class politician. No question about it. There is another individual who I think is also a world-class politician and who I actually think has been a lot less extreme than a lot of people have thought. And that is Zoran Mamdani. I mean, if you look at the way that he was talked about and with fair reason, because he seemed very extreme.

11:02It seemed as though we were going to see a New York City that was going to go fully socialist, that was going to meet some of the definitions of the democratic socialist platform that you described earlier. But actually, that's not really what we've seen here in New York. I live in New York under Mamdani. What we've seen actually is that there are some pretty out there pilot programs like the rent freeze, which I personally don't agree with, like the city-owned grocery stores. Again, pilot program. I don't agree with it, but he isn't saying that this is the way that we're going to be forever. But then there's also been a lot of very reasonable and some would say more right-leaning decisions, such as he decided to continue the tough on crime agenda that we're seeing in New York.

11:45And we have seen the lowest number of murders in NYPD history. He decided to deregulate small businesses. He eliminated all the permits and the paperwork for thousands of small businesses because he wants to jumpstart entrepreneurship. He wants to increase housing supply. He wants to reduce permits to build more housing. He's taking balancing the budget quite seriously. He's appointed a chief savings officer to figure out how to eliminate wasteful spending in every agency of the New York government.

12:13Anthony Scaramucci:He could call up J.D. Vance, who's targeted with addressing fraud, right? Or maybe give Elon a quick call. Yes, exactly. Which is not something that you would have necessarily expected out of this guy who is, I guess, a socialist. But again, you have to ask yourself, what does socialism actually mean? Because what he's doing here, it seems, is he's pursuing a system which is more like capitalism, but with a significantly expanded social safety net, something similar to what we see in the Scandinavian nations. And that's a very, very different vision of America that does not fit the DSA. Some of this is structural, right?

12:51Anthony Scaramucci:Mamdani, to some extent, as all democratic socialists would be, and all mayors are, are limited by state law. So he needs Albany, the capital of New York state, to help him if he's going to do something like free buses or a rent freeze. And he hasn't got Albany sign-off so far, my understanding is, on those things. He has had Albany sign-off and cooperation on expanding childcare, access to childcare for New Yorkers. And so he can do that. So there are checks and balances built into the system for all of these candidates, which makes me also wonder how much could they actually do? I mean, Elside was on TV everywhere at the weekend being pushed on Medicare for All, which is his bumper sticker, right?

13:41Anthony Scaramucci:Free healthcare for all Americans. What we have, you and I have always known as the NHS effectively, the National Health Service in the UK. And he was pushed on this and he said, well, yes, people, even people making less than a million dollars will have to pay a little bit more in taxes in order to get this free health care. But at the moment, I thought he made a very coherent argument, which is that at the moment, the second biggest thing that comes out of your paycheck after your taxes is money to a health insurance company whose CEO is making multiple millions. He said 20 million. I'm going to be honest.

14:19Anthony Scaramucci:I have not fact checked that, but is making 20 million. And most Americans would prefer the guarantee of health care if you move a job, if you get over the age of 26, if you have a pre-existing condition, etc. They'd like the guarantee of health care provided by the government and they'd be prepared to pay a little bit more for that. The polls are a bit fuzzy on this, depending on how you were the question. People like the idea of free health care. They don't love the idea of paying more taxes for it. What did you think of his answer? And do you think that is something that these candidates have a chance of getting through, given that any big change in American politics takes 60 senators?

14:53Anthony Scaramucci:You just have to have 60 senators voting yes on something. So is this pie in the sky when he goes around saying Medicare for all? Or is it kind of progressive economic policy that could actually happen and change the country? Personally, I think that universal healthcare is a good idea. And I am for expanding some of these social safety nets in America. But I think that what you're getting at is an arguably more important question, which is there's being right and then there's being effective. There's actually getting things done. And if you want to get things done, you do need to build a coalition.

15:25You do need to establish a sense of community in Congress. You need to build up a group and a team and you need to get everyone behind you. I think right now he's in election mode. He's trying to win an election. He's trying to come out with very bold and progressive ideas that are going to sort of inspire the populace right now, which I think is the right strategy. Because I think something that we have learned over the past few years, especially with the emergence of some of the hottest names in politics right now, is that if young people especially see you as maintaining the status quo, if you're someone who's trying to sort of be on the back foot and say, you know, we're going to continue things the way they are, that's something that young people hate right now.

16:13What they want, given what we've seen from this administration, is this idea that we are going to re-steer the nation into a different direction. We're going to do something bold, something new, something exciting. I really think that that matters in politics right now because what we've seen from Trump is such a level of corruption and such a level of mismanagement that it would be almost unreasonable to not have an outsized reaction in response. That doesn't mean that you have to come up with ridiculous policies and cancel prisons and defund the police and abolish Thanksgiving, if that's actually what the Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate actually wants to do.

16:54But it does mean having a sense of anger, having a sense of defiance and expressing that in as strong a way as you can do. And I do think that that is what he is doing right now. And I think that eventually he seems to me to be quite a smart and measured person.

17:11Anthony Scaramucci:I think he's very smart. And I think we're going to hear a lot more Obama and a lot less Hassan Piker. Exactly. Between now and November. And this guy, he understands that he only won the Michigan primary by one percentage point. That is not a ringing endorsement. He lost more voters in the primary than he won. If he'd won by 60%, I would have said, this is the new Democratic Party wave. This is the Democrats Tea Party. The fact that he only won by 1 % in a purple state gives me pause on that. And I think it needs to give his campaign pause if they want to win in November, because he's going to have to do a whole load of outreach and unity and moderation.

17:53Anthony Scaramucci:One of the things he said, Ed, over the weekend, and I'm sure you have smart thoughts on this from your world in finance. He was asked, are you a capitalist? And Abdul El-Sayed said, yes, I'm a capitalist. I'm not a socialist. I believe in the free movement of capital. But what's happened in America is not capitalism. It's corporatism, what is happening in this country right now. I thought it was a very interesting phrase. It really struck me in the course of his interview on Meet the Press. It's the idea that big corporations, Anthony talks about this a lot and he's written a book the way he talks about this that's coming out in September, big corporations buying American politicians off by donating to their campaigns in order to get the policies that make those big corporations even more profitable.

18:45Anthony Scaramucci:And what strikes me about what El-Sayed is saying is that I'm hearing this from people on the populist right as well. And I don't know that the Medicare for All gets anywhere. I think they're going to have to moderate the Gaza policies. And we can talk about that just in a second about what this lady from the DSA said about Gaza, which was also pretty shocking. I think that this idea of corporatism ruining America's politics has a lot of traction from people on both sides of the political spectrum at the moment. I think that's exactly right. And my personal opinion is the reason it has so much traction is because it's true.

19:26And I think this is something that Anthony, I think he agrees with. And I know that one of his largest criticisms of our government and our policy over the last several years, and it's one of mine too, was the enactment or the decision on Citizens United, which essentially made it legal for billionaires to basically buy elections. And that is essentially what happened. Billionaire political spending went from$16 million in 2008 to$2.6 billion in 2024. And what we have is a system that has become taken over by the richest in our society. we're seeing it play out every day we're seeing it in the deregulatory campaigns that we're seeing from the white house which in my view does amount to defund the police it's just defunding the police when it comes to uh white collar crime and that's what we've seen with the insider trading and the crypto corruption which i'm sure we'll get to in a moment and so this idea that our politics has been hijacked by a small handful of whatever you want to call them corporatists the richest, the oligarchy.

20:34I don't really mind what your label is, but when I look at what's happening in our country, I'm like, yeah, that's true. And so you're seeing a reaction on the left, you're seeing a reaction on the right. Sometimes you should get wary when the far left and the far right agree with each other. Sometimes it means something bad. In this case, I think both sides have it right. And I think it would be, I think we owe it to ourselves to be upset about this and to want to do something substantial about it. And the fact that it has become so normalized by this administration and by this president, to me, that is a real problem.

21:13And the question then becomes, okay, what do we want to do about that? Do we want to just tax billionaires? Okay, maybe it's kind of seems a little bit crude. Is there anything else that we can do? The biggest mistake that these candidates like El Saeed could do is to go so extreme that they are immediately labeled as communists and people actually believe that label. And that's what we're seeing from Fox News. Basically, the attack is these people are communists. They want to ruin America. they uh support 9-11 i saw that from mike rogers's uh press release that that that outside um believes yeah he had a meeting because of what it was it was like he had a meeting with hassan

21:56Anthony Scaramucci:piker hassan piker is this controversial streamer and he has said that america at one point he said america deserved 9-11 right he has since modified that abu side didn't disavow him and then this weekend did disavow him. I think he's getting the message on that one. Right. And that's the accusation. And so, I mean, there are some simple things that you got to do here. You need to, that's an easy one. And so that's what they have to do at this point. If they want to actually build a coalition and build a substantial base here is they need to communicate to the public that we're not, yes, we're bold.

22:35Yes, we want to change things, but we're not completely off our rockers. And there are people in the DSA who are unquestionably, undeniably off of their rockers. And so the more that they can distance themselves from that label, I think that's honestly the right move. And I think it's going to be important for these candidates that actually want to change things.

22:55Anthony Scaramucci:Listen to it, everybody, to the Megan Romer interview that David Remnick of the New Yorker did. This is the New Yorker. We're not talking, you know, some right-wing publication, But it was a really good interview in which he pushes her. I know there is so much anger in the Democratic Party, understandably, and about what has happened in Gaza and Israel and the government of Netanyahu's response to that and the genocide that is being committed there. But I don't think that her answer is helpful to other candidates who really want to focus on what working class Americans care about, which is, according to a new study from the Center for Working Class Polities, almost uniquely economic issues, except for defeating crime and bringing crime down.

Read the full transcript

23:40Anthony Scaramucci:I think Gaza goes in the cultural bucket, which is what educated liberals care about more. It's not something that is preoccupying the people that need the economy changed in their favor. I think that's right. I mean, these are such difficult, sensitive, hard issues that require really, really skilled and intentional communicators to navigate them in a way that doesn't cause outrage, upset, anger. I mean, you have to be very, very, very careful. You have to be very sensitive about the issues here and the way that you use your words and your language. And I agree. What we saw in that interview is someone who just is clearly not equipped to communicate anything of substance.

24:26Anthony Scaramucci:She should not be allowed near a microphone. Yeah, exactly. I'm glad you pointed it out to me because I, too, was shocked. But AOC with woke one was crazy. Okay, we're going to take a break and come back and talk about the economy.

24:48Anthony Scaramucci:Welcome back, everybody. To the rest is Politics US. Katty Kay here, joined by Ed Elson. Before we get into the state of the US jobs market, just to remind you that Anthony and I will be traveling around North America and Canada in October ahead of the midterms on doing a live tour. We would love to have you join us. We'll be taking your questions while we're with you. Scan the QR code that's on your screen right now or go to therestispoliticsus.com to get tickets to a city near you. We'll see you there. Okay, let's talk about jobs. I have never seen a president quite this out of touch with the very people he calls his base.

25:27Anthony Scaramucci:So I did a quick tick off. I was on Morning Joe this morning, ran through all the things that are going super well in the US economy. Anyway, the jobs market lost 23 ,000 jobs in July. In June, inflation was 3.5%. Gas is over$4 a gallon. In May, consumer sentiment hit a record low. That is not high, sadly. But unemployment is down from 4.2 % to 4.1%, which sounds like good news, but it's actually bad news. And The Economist and You Can Explain That to me. But Ed, I thought those job numbers were very interesting because I heard somebody, Kevin Hassett from the White House, saying, well, what happened was we thought there's going to be a hiring boom because the World Cup and it didn't really pan out.

26:14Anthony Scaramucci:But economists are telling me other reasons for the fact that the US economy shed jobs in July rather than creating jobs which had been expected and that there is just an awful lot of uncertainty around the jobs market at the moment. You're the economist and cover this stuff. Explain to me what happened and why people are so concerned about those jobs numbers. Well, I think the concern is related to the fact that you saw the unemployment rate go down from 4.2 % to 4.1%. Okay, we should be good news, right? Right. But then you also look at the fact that the US economy lost 23 ,000 jobs. So then you're kind of like, okay, what's happening here?

26:54And I think what people are very concerned about is that the labor force participation rate fell to its lowest level in five years. In other words, there are thousands of Americans who are basically just opting out of the workforce entirely. And if you opt out, then you are not included in the unemployment rate because it's not that you're out there looking for work and you're unemployed, it's that you're just not looking for work at all. And so I think this is the concern among economists. And to be fair, jobs numbers are very, very choppy. They're constantly revised upwards and downwards. If If we look at the job numbers in May and June, they were revised down by more than 100 ,000.

27:31There was a question about the World Cup and what it would do in terms of the leisure and hospitality industry, because that sector did see a little bit of a bump before we saw this jobs report. And then we saw that it didn't really materialize. And how permanent was that jobs bump going to be? All of these questions, the labor market is one of these very, very finicky things that no one can really nail down. And whenever you talk to an economist and you try to understand like, okay, what actually is the problem? You get several answers because no one can fully pin down what the problem really is.

28:04I think that one thing that is certainly true and which we have seen reflected in the jobs reports for not just the past couple of months, but literally like going back over a year is that basically the only sector that is carrying this labor market, carrying this job market in which we are seeing consistent job growth, the only sector that is doing well right now is healthcare. Healthcare added 22 ,000 jobs this month, and we keep on seeing the same story every month. We see either sluggish growth from most sectors or flat out a decline in job growth, but then you have this big bump in healthcare.

28:43And actually, if we didn't have healthcare, then we would have lost more jobs than we added last year. We would have been in a labor market recession. And so I think the question you have to ask yourself is like, okay, is that a good thing that we are becoming?

28:58Anthony Scaramucci:Well, we're all getting sick and consuming a whole load of healthcare and people are getting older and so they need more healthcare, right? I mean - We're getting sick and old and that's why we're creating more jobs. We're getting sick and old. That's the good news, everybody. We're getting sick and old. But I mean, it was quite interesting because I was listening to Kevin Hassett over the weekend talking about this and he was obviously pushed on these jobs numbers and they keep saying there's going to be this jobs boom and it's coming very, very soon and it doesn't seem to be materializing. And one of the things they point to, quite rightly, is that actually also the kind of trend of shedding jobs in manufacturing is slowing and they're very proud of that.

29:31Anthony Scaramucci:And manufacturing wages have grown a little bit more than inflation, in fact. But the manufacturing sector is so tiny that it just isn't, I mean, it's not tiny, but it's not nearly big enough to buoy up the whole of the jobs market. If that's their brag, I mean, they need to find a better brag. But that was. Their brag over the weekend was the World Cup didn't employ enough people. That somehow seems to be everybody else's fault. And the second brag is that, well, manufacturing is doing okay. Manufacturing is doing less bad than it was before, which was the worst it's ever been. I mean, that's what we saw in 2025 was, and you could say, yes, this has been a long decline that has been playing out over the course of several years.

30:17But 2025 was one of the worst years for manufacturing in a very, very long time. It is a sector that is in structural decline, and it continues to be in decline. And if their brag is it's less in decline this month than it was over the past 16 months, it's just not a compelling argument to me. I don't think it's a compelling argument to anyone. And they're really scraping the barrel here because, as you say, in all of your numbers, not a lot is going right here in the economy.

30:46Anthony Scaramucci:Can I do you another one? I like this. You can do the kind of truth telling for me because another person that might be scraping the barrel a little bit is the Treasury Secretary Scott Besant, who told in an interview with CNBC, said that the K-shaped economy is over. You can set us to rights on that one, but also then criticized the mainstream media sophistry in their coverage of the economy. That's probably a word that Trump doesn't hear very often. But anyway, he was basically saying it's just the mainstream media's fault and everything is going great. We've just spoken in the first half of the program about all of the frustration there is with the US economy, all of the numbers there, thank you tariffs, thank you war in Iran, that are making the economy worse, not better, the rise in income inequality.

31:35Anthony Scaramucci:We're probably now going to have a market spurt because they're so happy about the fact that there is not going to be another bomb being dropped on Iran for a while. Well, for this morning, anyway. How can the Treasury Secretary say that the K-shaped economy is over? I mean, how can he say that with a straight face? Yeah. I mean, when I saw that clip, I believe he said, I'm sick of hearing about this K-shaped economy. And then he went on to say he believes it's over. The way that he wants to deal with an economy that is structurally unsound and that is getting more and more unequal by the day, is his response is, I don't want to hear about it anymore.

32:11I don't like hearing about that. Well, that's like Trump saying he was bored of Iran. Bored of Iran. And Trump says, by the way, first he started talking about affordability, and then he goes out and he says, people don't care about affordability anymore. All these Democrats keep on going on about affordability. No one cares. Newsflash, yeah, they do, which is why your approval numbers are tanking every single day. And we dispelled whatever myths Scott Besant is trying to put out into the ether about this idea that the K-shaped economy, which describes the rise of the top and the descent of the bottom in America, that that doesn't exist anymore.

32:45It's simply not true. As I've said before, I gave you some of the statistics about how for the first time in American history, the top 1 % controls more wealth than the entire middle class. We can also just see it in consumer spending, where the top 10 % of Americans now make up half of all consumer spending in America, which essentially means that the richest in America are propping up literally the entire consumer economy. This idea that it doesn't exist, it simply isn't true. And it's what he has to say, because they're running out of ideas and they're running out of options. And I think when you go to the inflation part, one of the things that is so remarkable about this administration, because we've had inflation before, we know about inflation, we know that prices can rise, and we know that it's bad.

33:31But in previous administrations, usually the reason inflation rises is because of some exogenous event that leads to that outcome. For example, COVID. That was a situation where supply chains became blocked up because we were dealing with a global pandemic and it meant that it was a lot harder to get products to the consumers, which meant that you had to ramp up prices. And that's why we saw the inflation that we saw. Now, you can blame Biden and the administration for how they responded to that crisis, but the reality is it was a crisis that was put in front of them, and then they were forced to deal with it.

34:05The difference with this inflation is that this is inflation that is entirely of our making. If you go back to inflation before the tariffs, we were around 2%, which is the Fed's target rate. We implemented the tariffs, and then within short order, within a few months, we went from around 2 % to around 3%. So we added a full percentage point. Then on top of that, we decided to launch a war in Iran with no contingency plan, without seeming to have any plan as to how we're going to deal with the Strait of Hormuz. Of course, things spiral out of control, as they often do in foreign interventions.

34:38And we add another percentage point. So now we're hovering around 4 % again. It came down a little bit last month, but that's only because oil prices temporarily came down because we thought the war was over. Don't know why we thought that. We're probably going to go back to around 4%. So we have invented this problem. And so I think that's why we see these ridiculous responses from the policy officials, because they know how ridiculous the situation is. And so they have to say ridiculous things to try to get around it.

35:09Anthony Scaramucci:Scott Besant knows better than this, but he is playing for an audience of one, as all of these administration people are when they go on the Sunday shows. They are literally just, you know, it's like they may as well just call Trump up on the phone, but they have a camera in front of them. And it's why last week there was a Reuters-Ipsos poll out that showed for the first time in nearly a decade, voters now trust Democrats over Republicans when it comes to handling of the economy. Wall Street Journal has a piece out this morning saying that Republicans are losing ground on the economy. And they've got mentioning a Republican pollster who is seeing something fascinating in focus groups, which is that now the focus groups, they can name to the penny the price of their groceries, the price of their gas and the price of their health care.

35:52Anthony Scaramucci:And he said he'd never seen that before. And that is why Republicans are losing ground. Okay, so question for you then. Three months left until the midterms. If he wanted to, if he was to suddenly decide actually he does care about the Republican Party's fortunes in the midterm elections, and he does want to do something to boost wages and bring down prices for American workers ahead of these very critical midterm elections, is there at this stage anything that he could do in practice? I reached out to a couple of Republican strategists to ask them about this this morning. They said all they could point to was him saying, well, it would be helpful if he didn't call it a hoax.

36:36Anthony Scaramucci:Because actually at this stage, is there anything he could do to bring down prices between now and November or make life better for working Americans and American voters ahead of November? Yeah, there are two things that he can do, which would bring down prices in America. He could cancel tariffs. Yeah, they did mention that. And he could get out of Iran. That's it. And the question is, do you think in any, is there any world, is there any reality in which he would do that? And the answer is probably not because he'd look extremely stupid because that's what these policies really, the way he has carried them out, that's what this has been.

37:10Anthony Scaramucci:Well, the trouble is on the former, he could do it. Yes, he could unilaterally do that. And the The Supreme Court gave him a kind of off-ramp, but he didn't seem to want to take it. On the second, even if he did say, okay, we're getting out of Iran, which is sort of what he sounds like he was saying to Axios last night, we're like going slow or something or low-keying. America is now low-keying Iran. I really don't really know what that means. But anyway, they are low-keying Iran. Crucially, without a nuclear deal. Yeah, but even if he was to say, okay, it's all over. We're bringing all the troops home, done, no more even threat of bombing Iran.

37:49Anthony Scaramucci:They still have the small issue, which is that the strait would be controlled by Iran, which would tariff people and cause havoc, which may mean that gas prices don't come down below$4 a gallon for a while, I assume. I mean, I think the second is a pretty hard one to do. I think that Iran could continue to implement fees. but I think the gas prices would, they would come down substantially because ships would be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz and that's the real problem is that Iran just on a dime will just say, no, nothing's allowed to pass and then all of these ships are very concerned about the idea of passing through the Strait of Hormuz but what would happen is, is Iran might or might not implement some sort of fee which would mean that gas prices would be slightly more elevated than they were before all of this thing.

38:39unfolded. The real problem is how he'd look. I mean, he could try to do that to try to win the midterms because he decides that price and affordability is a real problem. But if he would reverse his decisions, cancel the tariffs, cancel the war in Iran, I can't believe I'm saying those words, but that's what it would look like. Then again, he would look stupid and he wouldn't win the midterm. So I think that he has put himself into a profoundly difficult position. I think that he has made some very, very, very bad errors. Personally, I don't think he can come back from them. I think that the American people have seen what the effects and the ramifications of this kind of leadership really is.

39:20I think they've seen the corruption with the Truth API feed, where you pay$100 ,000 a month to get early access to his tweets so that you can insider trade, and the crypto and the Trump coin where hundreds of thousands of Americans lost money. I mean, it could go on. But I think they see what's happening here. And I don't see a world in which he comes back from it.

39:43Anthony Scaramucci:You're right, because so much for the K-shaped economy being over, you've just pointed to another way in which some people are getting very rich at the moment and other people are not getting very rich. Stealing. And I suspect that the worst jobs report of the whole of the president's term may have just spared Trump a rate rise six weeks before the midterm elections, which could, again, juice the economy, make rich Americans richer, make people with assets richer. But we know that the majority, particularly of working class Americans, do not have money in the stock market. So it may not help them.

40:14Anthony Scaramucci:It might help them a little bit if it brings down the price of their mortgages or the price of their car loan. But it'll juice the stock market, which is what he wants. 100%. Ed Olsen, thank you very much for joining me. Thank you so much for having me. So loved having you on the program. Do come back, please. I would love to. And I can't wait for your North America tour. I will be there in New York. and maybe I'll follow you around and maybe I could be the groupie for a few weeks if you and Anthony will let me. Come and be a groupie. Come and be a groupie. Neither of us can sing. We're not a rock band, but do come and be a groupie.

40:45Anthony Scaramucci:That is all for today. Join Anthony and I this Wednesday for the third episode of our series on J.D. Vance. This week, we are getting into how J.D. Vance sold his soul to MAGA. You can sign up, of course, at the rest is politicsus.com and you can take advantage of our summer sale and get a third off our annual membership as well. Here is a clip from the series.

41:32And we're taking back this country.

41:34Anthony Scaramucci:Trump's fiercest critic became his most loyal defender. Have you said thank you once? The president is right. I wasn't always nice. He looked like the future of MAGA, but if history tells us anything, that's exactly when Donald Trump turns on you. If it doesn't work out, I'm blaming J.D. You better be careful, J.D. This is the story of how J.D. Vance became Donald Trump's heir and why he could end up as his next victim. sign up to become a member at the rest is politics us.com to hear the full series hope you enjoyed that thanks everyone for listening

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