In short
Podcast Episode Notes: The Rest Is Politics: US - Episode 50: President Elon Musk
Episode Overview The hosts, Anthony Scaramucci and Katty Kay, discuss significant political dynamics in the United States, focusing on the influence of Elon Musk, the media's relationship with Donald Trump, and the uncertain future of Speaker Mike Johnson. The conversation delves into how these figures shape political discourse and legislative outcomes in a chaotic environment.
Key Topics
- The Power of Elon Musk
- Influence in Politics:
- Musk is viewed as a powerful force in American politics, akin to a politician with his ability to influence legislation.
- He recently disrupted a temporary budget bill, showcasing his reach and impact on Congressional decision-making.
- Media Organization:
- Musk's platform, with over a billion active users, positions him as a leading media influencer.
- His tweets can mobilize significant public support or opposition against political actions.
- Potential Backlash:
- Musk's aggressive stance may alienate political allies and create enemies among established lobbyists and politicians (the "Wolves of K Street").
- Donald Trump's Resurgence
- Media Genuflection:
- There is a growing trend of business and media figures accommodating Trump, suggesting he may be gaining influence over media narratives.
- The hosts discuss the concept of businesses reacting to legal threats from Trump, leading to a chilling effect in editorial independence.
- Coordination with Musk:
- Speculation exists that Trump and Musk coordinated efforts to influence legislative outcomes.
- Trump's call for primary challenges against Republicans who support the budget bill indicates his control over party members.
- The Future of Speaker Mike Johnson
- Struggles with Leadership:
- Johnson's leadership is questioned as he navigates a chaotic political landscape influenced by Trump and Musk.
- The hosts consider whether Johnson can maintain his position amid pressures from within the party.
- Impact of Government Shutdowns:
- Historical context is provided about government shutdowns and their political ramifications, particularly how they affect support from constituents.
- Evolving Media Landscape
- Lawsuits Against News Organizations:
- Trump’s recent lawsuits against media companies represent a strategic shift to suppress critical coverage and intimidate journalists.
- The hosts express concern over the implications of these lawsuits for press freedom and the future of journalism in America.
- Norms vs. Transactions:
- Discussion about the shift from principle-based journalism to a more transactional approach, potentially compromising the integrity of the free press.
- The analogy of Victor Orban is used to caution against authoritarian tendencies emerging in political practices.
- Economic Implications
- Market Reactions:
- The episode discusses market volatility in reaction to political chaos and uncertainty.
- The hosts reference historical perspectives on how markets respond to gridlock in Washington.
- Reflections on Political Leadership
- Republican Party Dynamics:
- The Republican establishment’s struggles and the retreat of traditional leaders (e.g., Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan) indicate a shift in party identity.
- The hosts debate the future leadership of the party and the potential emergence of new figures who may consolidate power.
Key Takeaways
- Elon Musk's Role: Musk's unprecedented influence in politics may redefine the landscape, but it poses risks of creating more opposition and potential backlash from established political entities.
- Trump's Strategic Maneuvering: Trump's ability to command attention and loyalty among party members suggests a recalibration of power dynamics within the Republican Party.
- Press Autonomy at Risk: Ongoing lawsuits against media outlets exemplify the precarious state of press freedom in the face of political pressure.
- Market Stability Amid Chaos: Interestingly, the market may find stability amid political stalemate, contrary to typical expectations.
Closing Remarks
- The hosts conclude by wishing listeners a Merry Christmas and providing a brief overview of upcoming content, emphasizing the importance of understanding these political shifts as they unfold.
Additional Notes
- Listeners are encouraged to engage with the podcast's community for discussions and updates on future episodes.
- For more insights and to support the podcast, visit [The Rest Is Politics US](https://therestispoliticsus.com).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00The spirit of innovation is deeply ingrained in America. And Google is helping Americans innovate in ways both big and small. From improving emergency response times to protecting against cyber attacks, local, state, and federal governments are innovating with Google AI. This is a new era of American innovation. Find out more at g.co slash American Innovation.
0:25Here we have the Lemu Emu in its natural habitat, helping people customize their car insurance and save hundreds with Liberty Mutual. Fascinating. It's accompanied by his natural ally, Doug. Uh, Lemu? Is that guy with the binoculars watching us? Cut the camera. They see us. Only pay for what you need at LibertyMutual.com. Liberty, Liberty, Liberty, Liberty. Savings vary. Underwritten by Liberty Mutual Insurance Company and affiliates. Excludes Massachusetts. At Blinds.com, it's not just about window treatments. It's about you. Your style, your space, your way. Whether you DIY or want the pros to handle it all, you'll have the confidence of knowing it's done right.
1:05From free expert design help to our 100 % satisfaction guarantee, everything we do is made to fit your life and your windows. Because at Blinds.com, the only thing we treat better than windows is you. Visit Blinds.com now for up to 40 % off select styles, plus a professional measure at no cost. Rules and restrictions apply.
1:29Welcome to The Rest is Politics, US. I am Katty Kay. One week before Christmas, we made it to the end of the year, Anthony. Well, Merry Christmas, Katty Kay. And I'm Anthony Scaramucci. And we have some Christmas presents here, though, from Donald Trump, Katty. Okay. Is he the Grinch, Katty? Is he Ebenezer Scrooge? Or is he old Saint Nick? Who is Donald Trump? My son works up on Capitol Hill, and he works in the Senate Broadcast Gallery. And all the members of Congress were getting ready. They were packing their bags, making their travel arrangements, checking their Christmas present lists. And off they were about to go home.
2:07And whoops, Donald Trump and his best friend, Elon Musk, come in and disrupt everything, which we are going to talk about in the first half of this program. What has happened on Capitol Hill, the drama up there and what it tells us about what the next four years are going to be like and how much power Elon Musk does or does not have. We may have little different views on that, Anthony and me. And then in the second half of the program, we are going to talk about the genuflecting towards Donald Trump that is taking place in the American business community, perhaps not that surprising, but also the slightly chilling effect that he is already having on the American press.
2:42So what will he actually do and what won't he do? I think this is what makes this podcast work, because you say genuflecting and I say ass kissing. You see what I mean? I think that's what makes it work at it, right? Okay, the genuflecting. Genuflecting. The genuflecting. Oh my God. So look, who has the most powerful media organization in the United States of America right now, Anthony Scaramucci? Well, I would say by far it's Elon Musk. He's got a billion activated users. He's got everybody in the Congress. I mean, I judge media by a number of things. Ratings is one thing, but influencers that are - More important.
3:21Don't you agree? Of course. So there's not one person in that Congress. It's not wired into tweet notifications and truth social notifications from the two presidents of the United States right now. So he has the most powerful media organization, potentially the most powerful businessman in America at the moment? Yes, but I think that the Wolves of K Street are going to nail him. And you know who the Wolves of K Street are, right? The deep state. No, it's the lobbyists. The lobbyists have decided, wait a minute, we have the power in this town. We control the senators. We control the Congress. We have heavy influence over the president.
4:00And we're ruthless, ruthless people. And you're making some splash in the water here, but you don't know how this game works. And you don't know what we, the wolves of K Street, are about to do to you, Elon Musk. And so that's something that is going to happen, Caddy K. And I predict that here on this little network. We are not the most powerful media organization in the world, you and me, the rest is Politics US? So he has the most powerful media operation. He's probably the most powerful business leader in the United States. And I would argue that as we sit here a week before Christmas, Elon Musk is potentially the most powerful politician in this country as well, because there were the members of Congress ready to pass a temporary budget that would have got the country open and running until the middle of March, not a long-term deal, but a temporary deal.
4:51and the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, the Republican Speaker, brings this bill to the floor and it's some 1 ,400 pages long and they're about to pass it, pack up their bags, head off for their Christmas holidays, business as usual in Washington. And what happens? Elon Musk in the wee hours of the morning at something like 4.30 a.m. decides to kill this bill. And he spends the next few hours, Anthony tweeting over 100 times to his millions of supporters, this bill must not pass. And he takes this as a stand. And actually, he tweets and eventually Donald Trump tweets as well. But he effectively kills the bill.
5:30So the chatter in Washington is that there is Elon Musk, and then there is Vice President Donald Trump. I know that's not what you think. I know you think that Elon Musk is going to be on his way out. But sitting here a few days before Christmas, after the total chaos that was happening up on Capitol Hill yesterday. Elon Musk certainly looks like he has an enormous amount of power in American government. You know, Katty, you know one of those horror movies when the babysitter picks up the phone and says, the call's coming from inside the house. You know what I'm saying? He's creating so many enemies right now.
6:01And he's a neophyte to the political process. And so he doesn't understand the enemies he's creating. But one of the big enemies that he's creating is the Wolfs of K Street. And that's the title of a book written by Brody and Luke Mullins. The subtext is the secret history of how big money took over big government. And those people run that town. They control that Congress. And just quickly to set the scene, there's 535 members of the Congress, 100 in the Senate, 435 in the House. There's one president, they control$6.5 trillion of spending. That's 27 % of our GDP, 6 % of the world's GDP. And so there's billions of dollars spent by the wolves of K Street to lobby those people.
6:46And now Elon Musk has come in deus ex machina, and he's going to disrupt that entire process. I'm going to tell you right now, that's not going to work for those people. And he's creating a group of enemies. And by the way, I'm not saying Elon Musk is wrong. And I'm not saying that there isn't a lot of pork and unnecessary spending in these bills. And I'm not saying that the government doesn't need a tremendous amount of reform. But these are very wily and these are very ruthless people. And what he did over the last couple of days has set the scene for a lot of intrigue and a lot of enemy development in Washington.
7:23Do you agree with me or do you think I'm off base here? I mean, it's interesting that you use the phrase deus ex machina because you're not the only one throwing Latin around today, just before Christmas. because there was Elon Musk also tweeting yesterday, Vox Populae, Vox Dei, the voice of the people is the voice of God. And he would say that his army of MAGA supporters who killed this bill yesterday by threatening to primary, he said, anyone who passes this bill, any Republican who votes in favor of this budget bill, this 1400 page plus opus, deserves to be primaried in two years' time, and the army responded.
8:01The Twitter, Elon Musk, MAGA army responded, and the bill was killed. So they would say they are stronger than all of those corporate lobbyists. Now, let's see how long this lasts, because how many times can they do this without totally griping? I mean, I think it was interesting listening to Mike Johnson basically giving Elon Musk a lesson yesterday in how Congress works. Because if this bill does not pass by tomorrow night, The government shuts down because it can't pay its bills anymore. And you have hundreds of thousands of federal workers all over the country, people who work in national parks, people who work in public school buildings, people who work in the post office, all over the country, many of whom will have voted for Donald Trump, suddenly don't get a paycheck right around Christmas time.
8:47Now, members of the military, they tend to get exempt because they're seen as essential. But I've been through government shutdowns before, and I've been through government shutdowns during the Trump administration, and it really hurts the kind of people who were voting for Donald Trump. So I think Elon Musk has something to learn in the way that government works, but he has certainly managed to, at least in the short term, exercise his will over Washington. The timing of this was so interesting because Elon Musk was the one that kicked this off. Vivek joined in a little bit later on. But Trump, whether this was coordinated, and I haven't been able to find this out.
9:22I don't know if you've got better sources than me on this, but the reporting is that Trump and Elon Musk were coordinating this and that Elon Musk was out in the forefront because he is the one that's all about government efficiency. He didn't like seeing this 1400 page bill. And there's a lot of misinformation in what Elon Musk was tweeting. He was tweeting about how members of Congress are getting a massive pay raise. Well, members of Congress. I mean, God bless them. I don't love them that much. They don't necessarily always get the best things done for the country, but they haven't had a pay raise since 2009.
9:51And we all know that there's been a lot of inflation since 2009. He tweeted that there's going to be a new football stadium in Washington, DC that was added at the last minute into this opus bill, because that's how these bills get passed. You pass the budget and then everyone just chucks in their pet projects. Hence the term that's used in Washington. You've got the Christmas tree and everyone throws ornaments on it. Actually, there wasn't a new football stadium. the football stadium exists already. It was just being transferred from federal land back to city control. So he is peddling in misinformation, perhaps not surprisingly, about some of the details of this budget, but it didn't kind of matter because he has, I think, he has not been sidelined yet.
10:31I mean, maybe he will be, and maybe Donald Trump will get pissed off at people starting to say things like Vice President Donald Trump and President Elon Musk, but he killed this in a way that was very unusual for Washington and pretty spectacular. He's got a friend in Steve Bannon, right? You hear Bannon chanting that this is the greatest thing and so on and so forth. But that's the disruptors. These are the people that have been brought in to destroy stuff. But it's not the greatest thing because what ends up happening is the perpetrators of the government shutdown, they always lose on the margin politically.
11:01And they've gone through, they've ripped through a few speakers. every time they go to a spending bill. Let's blow out Kevin McCarthy. Okay, we get Mike Johnson in. We're going to let Mike Johnson have a pass on a few spending extensions. But now that Trump is back in the game, we're going to blow out Speaker Johnson. Speaker Johnson helped Trump with his reelection. Speaker Johnson did a very good job in my mind. Now they're criticizing Speaker Johnson. They're saying, well, we have this landslide mandate. P.S. Newsflash, they don't have a landslide mandate. And Speaker Johnson failed in getting only one more Republican in the House than the Democrats.
11:40Okay. And so now let's go inside the war room, the real war room. Trump is sitting there. He hates the shutdown. And you know this because he hated the last shutdown that he was part of. He wants to appease Elon Musk because he sees Elon Musk as rich and powerful and influential, but he really doesn't want a shutdown. He really doesn't want a shutdown. But now they put themselves in this corner because what's the outcome, Caddy? They're going to vote a spending bill in in the next five or so days that's not going to be that much different from the spending bill that they were about to pass. And so how do they then claim victory, Caddy?
12:17How do they claim victory? Because you know and I know they're not going to let the government stay shut for too long if it does shut down around Christmas. They're going to look like the big scrooges that they are. So how do they get out of this, Caddy? Be their comms director. We'll give you one 157th of a Scaramucci and you be their comms director and tell us what you're going to do to explain to the American people why they won when a spending bill gets passed as almost identical to the one that they just failed on. Well, first of all, they're going to try and pass a much skinnier spending bill, but these kind of bills, I mean, you can just imagine, right?
12:521 ,500 pages of legislation and funding. I mean, it's disaster relief funding. It's continuing funding for border protection. I mean, it's all sorts of different things that are still needing to be funded. This took them weeks to get together. They have another 48 hours to try and get a new bill together. That's going to be super difficult for them, particularly to get one together that will pass muster with Elon Musk and the MAGA crowd. So maybe they have to find the only comms thing they do is they find a new sacrificial lamb. And they say, right, Mike Johnson was part of how Mike Johnson, who has bent over backwards to curry favor with Donald Trump, all during the election campaign, all during the transition, he kept flying down to Mar-a-Lago, he kept being cozy with Donald Trump, even when Donald Trump killed the immigration bill, just by tweeting about it, he carries on trying to be, you know, friendly with Donald Trump.
13:43And yet the poor speaker of the house, it's Christmas time. So I think we should feel generous and, you know, a little bit of charity towards everybody. And today I'm feeling charitable towards Mike Johnson because I'm thinking, thank God I do not have his job. I suspect that when it comes to January the 3rd, which is the date that the new speaker is elected, it's going to be very difficult for Mike Johnson to make the case. And maybe he is the kind of communication thing and he is the sacrificial lamb and they'll say, right, we're going to get in a more MAGA speaker who is more in line with where the American people are, Vox Populae is.
14:15I mean, the one thing I would say is that this is just the Christmas present Democrats have been waiting for because they have been on the ropes ever since the election. And suddenly, you know, this is the Republicans all it's their own doing. It's chaos. It's an indication of the kind of chaos there's going to be for the next four years. They love the stories about Elon Musk being more powerful than Donald Trump and how much Donald Trump must hate that. And they know that if Donald Trump wants to do anything, he's got to do it in the next two years before the midterm election. He's got an incredibly slim majority in the House, and he's going to need all Republicans to hang together to do anything on, let's say he wants to do something on tax cuts or wants to do something on the border, which we know he does.
14:56He wants to extend his tax cuts. He wants to get something big on immigration. He's going to need all Republicans to hang together, and they can't even hang together to keep the damn government open. So this is great for Democrats. Katie, Speaker Johnson was called a Democrat clutching the Bible with particular emphasis on the Old Testament. That's what Bannon called him. Okay. So how do you respond? Okay. You're Speaker Johnson. Go. How do you respond to that? I mean, first of all, why did Mike Johnson want this job? I mean, that was always the question for me when he came. Why does anyone want to be Republican speaker?
15:31Because your tenure is a little bit longer than a Scaramucci, but let's face it, Not a lot. I can answer that question because of my self-proclaimed stupidity. Why did I want to be Trump's comms director? Okay. Power. And the answer, 100%. Ego. Ego, Caddy. I have to own that for the rest of my life. I put my ego and pride in the front and center of my decision making, and it was an ultimate disaster for me, and I paid the price for it. Right. And Mike Johnson is about to pay that price, but he did sit in the Speaker's office. Bob Dole said that the Speaker's office is the second best view of Washington.
16:06And they said, oh, Bob, what's the first best view? Well, of course, it's looking out the Oval Office into the Rose Garden. But when you go in, you've been in the Speaker's office, Katty? I'm assuming you have, right? I have not been in this Speaker's office. So breathtaking. So as you walk into the Speaker's office, they extended the building 100 plus years ago. And the result of which he's got this gigantic office and it's looking smack down Pennsylvania Avenue. Lovely. Right in the center of everything. You better enjoy it while he can. And then you have a portico, an outside portico you can hang out on.
16:38Just don't get too comfortable if you're a Republican. No, go out there and smoke a cigar today and say, you know, I'm down to one Scaramucci as speaker. I got to go enjoy this. Okay. But he's out. He's out, Caddy. Well, let me ask you your opinion. Will he be able to survive this? I don't think so because he is now being tainted by the MAGA crowd as being part of the swamp. I mean, you could argue the opposite, that the swamp has come to Washington in the form of Elon Musk and bringing his own version of a swamp to town and swamp tactics. But I think once you're tainted with that, and the power that Musk and Trump are having at the moment, and Trump mentioned this again in his press conference this week, the power that they have at the moment is the power of threat.
17:22And we're going to talk a little bit more about the threats on the media in the second half the program. But the threat to Republican members that they will get primaried, in other words, that they'll get a kind of contestant against them for their seat if they don't bend to the president's will or to Elon Musk's will today, seems to be incredibly powerful. I want to show you a photograph. This is the photograph that is going around Washington this morning. This is the Army-Navy football game last weekend. There's Vance, there's Trump. And next to Trump, you've got the speaker at the moment, Mike Johnson, looking a little nervous, but trying desperately to stay in the inner circle.
17:58And look at the shadowy figure between Vance and Trump. Lurking behind them, looking like sort of, I don't know, Gollum or something. Lurking in the background, not dressed in a suit and tie, the only one, but he is the one today in Washington. He's the guy with the power. I am not a friend of Elon Musk. I don't know him personally. Brilliant guy. He would never take my advice. But if he was listening to me, I would say, Mr. Musk, in victory magnanimity, you've won. You've got an extra$200 billion of net worth. You're overly pressing your case. You've got great cards in your hand, but don't play every single hand in the card game.
18:39And I'm just telling you right now, he's going to get hit in a way that he's not anticipating because that is how Washington works. Something will happen now to him. Okay. I don't wish it on him, but something happened. And I would say, Elon, get the spending bill passed. Your guy is not even president right now. Give yourselves three, six months of spending runway. Maybe reform the thing. You know, Trump said to NBC News that he would like to end the debt ceiling. And just for those viewers outside of the United States, we have this thing called the debt ceiling. It's a complicated thing. It's gone on in Washington for 30 years now.
19:16We used to have a budgetary process. The president would come up with a budget. He would present it to the Congress. The Congress would go through it, take some things out, put things in, send it back to the president. They would agree on it, and then they would vote it into play. And there's always been something called the debt ceiling. So this is the amount of money that the United States government is legislatively allowed to borrow. If we want to increase the debt ceiling, so go from$35 trillion to$37 trillion, we can do that, but the Congress has to vote on it. And so what's happened is we've been in a food fight since 1994, 1995, when New Gendrit took power.
19:54He stalled everything. He was the first one to do this to the government. And he seized the government because he said that we're spending too much. He forced Clinton to the table. A lot of people think that the Clinton-Gindridge negotiations were actually reasonable because they did lead to a budget surplus at the end of Clinton's term. But since then, we have very rarely not, and I'll say it again, we have very rarely not operated on a continuing resolution. So what's a continuing resolution, Caddy? That is, okay, we can't get the budget done like we used to. Eisenhower sent the budget to the Congress.
20:28It came back to Eisenhower. They agreed on it and they went and passed it. We can't do that anymore. So if we can't do that anymore, how are you going to do this? Well, what did we give the Pentagon last year? We gave them XYZ. Okay, we're going to give them XYZ plus 2%, XYZ plus 5%. And so we're doing continuing resolutions, which have sort of done away with the exact appropriate procedural process. At the same time, we're doing continuing resolutions every six or so months. We're running up against the debt ceiling. And so every six or so months, the Democrats and the Republicans are forcing each other into this struggle about threatening a governmental shutdown.
21:05So Trump has said, and this does make common sense, so let's call it for what it is, let's end the nonsense about the debt ceiling. Let's abolish the debt ceiling. And what I would say to Elon Musk, Donald Trump, and Speaker Johnson, okay, you want to throw Speaker Johnson into the Peruvian sacrificial volcano? Go ahead, throw him in the volcano. But let's get to a period of time where Trump is president. Mr. Musk can come in with his doge ideas and see if we can revamp and streamline this. But doing this right now before he's president again, I think is a disaster for them. And I think it's going to come back and haunt them.
21:38And actually now Donald Trump is saying that he wants the debt ceiling to be raised while Joe Biden is still president so that he can pin this on Joe Biden. And a lot of this is performative and signaling things. A quick question before we take a break. You're up on Wall Street. I'm not on Wall Street. My very rudimentary understanding of the financial markets is that they don't like chaos and they don't like uncertainty. We've seen a big sell-off on the markets this week. How does what's happened on Capitol Hill yesterday impact financial markets and impact the American economy potentially? So again, we've had the worst 10 days since 1974.
22:16But by the way, it's been a great year in the markets. The Dow and the S &P are up almost 30, but the markets have sold off in the last 10 days. Why are they selling off some profit-taking going to the year end? But also there's a mixed bag of economic data. There's a little bit of a fear that inflation has creeped back up. The chairman cut rates 25 basis points, but in his speech, he said, you know, this could be the last cut for a while. It was a hawkish speech. It wasn't a dovish speech. And so the market sold off as a result of that. But the market does like this. And let me just explain that to people.
22:50The market likes the chaos up on Capitol Hill. Yes. I'm going to explain to you why. Because when the government is grinded to the halt and nothing's getting done at the governmental level, the market does like that. The market likes a mixed government. The market likes a stalemate in Washington. The market's actually fearful of a one party taking control of everything. Trump's talking about a mandate. He doesn't have one. The market actually likes that. The market's looking around saying, yeah, He controls the House and the Senate, but just barely. He is a lame duck president. I mean, Bannon is talking about him running again.
23:23He made that statement at the New York Young Republicans dinner last Saturday. Did they invite you to that, Anthony? They used to. They used to invite you to that. Yeah, I was wondering whether you - I could imagine you being there. Yes, yes. That looked like your kind of crowd. With my Botox and hair tie, I was looking quite youthful when I went in there. Yeah, they used to invite me. They don't invite me anymore, no. No, an invitation didn't come this year. That's a little sad, isn't it? into those things anymore. Weirdly enough, though, they still call me and give me scuttlebutt. And weirdly enough, half of them hate Donald Trump.
23:53But that's the weird thing about it. And then they close the phone and say, oh, I love Donald Trump. I love Donald Trump. Then they pick up the phone and say, I hate Donald Trump. I mean, some people are nuts. But, Caddy, market's going to be okay. Because if they grind to a halt here, the market will actually like that. The market will be like, okay, good. Nothing's going to get done in Washington from 2025 to the congressional midterms. I think that'll be the signal. Okay, we're going to take a quick break and we'll come back to talk about what's happening with these lawsuits against the press and all of the corporate titans who have been hot footing it down to Mar-a-Lago.
Read the full transcript
24:28And if really my Christmas gift to you, if you have nothing better to read, I'm sorry, I don't have a good novel to suggest, but just go through the hundred plus tweets that Elon Musk sent out yesterday around this and managed to kill this important piece of legislation. We'll be back in a second.
24:47This is a paid ad for BetterHelp. In moments of stress, we tend to turn to whoever's in reach, that flatmate in the kitchen, the barista on a slow morning, the stranger who simply asks you how you're doing. It can help, but being heard isn't always enough, and the more confidently people speak, the more we mistake it for wisdom. But if you're dealing with anxiety or loss or something that's been weighing on you, what you need isn't noise, it's actual experience, somebody who really knows their craft. BetterHelp has spent over a decade helping people find that match. A short questionnaire sets your preferences, and they'll connect you with a therapist who fits.
25:23It's completely online. It's fully flexible. And if your first counselor doesn't really feel right for you, you can switch at any time. There's no pressure, no extra cost. As the largest online therapy provider in the world, BetterHelp gives you access to credentialed mental health professionals with a wide range of expertise. Our listeners get 10 % off their first month at BetterHelp.com slash TripUS. That's BetterHelp.com slash T-R-I-P-U-S. Experian is your big financial friend, helping you explore credit card offers with confidence. Some cards are labeled no ding decline, which means if you're not approved, they won't hurt your credit scores.
25:59See Experian.com for details. Applying for cards labeled no ding decline won't hurt your credit scores if you aren't initially approved.
26:10Welcome back to The Rest is Politics US with Katty Kay and Anthony Scaramucci wearing a very fine Christmas t-shirt. I'm so glad. This is an ugly Christmas t-shirt. For those of you who are not watching on YouTube, Anthony has a t-shirt with a big Superman S and then rather randomly a bunch of Christmas trees underneath it. Okay. You know what? You can be derisive about my wardrobe, but I don't care. Okay. I own, I own who I am. Okay. And I see myself as the Griswold character that Chevy Chase played. in National Lampoon Christmas Vacation. And by the way, and you haven't asked me, I'm going to tell you this anyway, you can see my house from outer space.
26:49We're burning more power here for our Christmas lights than the entire Bitcoin network. I just want to make sure you know that. Just doing your bit for global warming. Yes, I am. To make sure it warms a little more. We are lit here at the Scaramucci house. I was offended when in early November, before we had even got to Thanksgiving, we were just out of Halloween. You turned up on the program in a Christmas t-shirt. And for me, that was just, it was a little much. You know, it's a bit too early, really. Yeah, that's because your birthday's in November. You want to celebrate that before you get to Christmas, not me.
27:19Yes, I wanted a t-shirt with a K and a birthday cake on it. And what did you have? You know, that would have been a lot more appropriate. Anyway, I'm rather hoping that you'd be wearing a Christmas t-shirt today. So I'm glad that you are. I am. And that the Scaramucci house is all decorated. We have our tree up. I had eye surgery last week, putting new lenses in my eyes, which is why I'm not wearing glasses. It's amazing. I can actually see things. But at night, the Christmas tree lights, I feel like I'm tripping. They've all got halos around them. So I'm the sort of Grinch in my family that keeps turning the lights off around the Christmas tree.
27:49But we are getting there. Okay, we talked in the first half about what Donald Trump can and can't do in the chaos up on Capitol Hill. And I had a really interesting conversation with somebody in your world, a senior figure in finance this week, who was kind of dividing what Donald Trump can do in terms of what he can do economically, what he can do to change America in terms of the judiciary, in terms of the military. And in those areas, he actually thinks that the impact that Donald Trump can have to fundamentally change things is pretty limited because of lawsuits, because of the markets, he will be constrained.
28:25And I think we're seeing some of that constraint already happening up on Capitol Hill, that you have to be able to bring Congress with you. And you can only really make massive changes if you have a big majority up on Capitol Hill, and clearly he doesn't. One thing this guy did say was that actually you could distinguish those three things, the judiciary, the military, and the economy, from society, and that there is a real impact that Donald Trump can have in terms of potentially degrading the norms of American society. I wanted to talk about some of the lawsuits that we've seen against the press over the course of just the last couple of weeks, because I think that is the kind of way that Donald Trump can have a kind of chilling effect on a branch of American society that Americans have kind of always taken for granted, which is the free press, but which may start to censor itself because of some of these lawsuits.
29:18We saw ABC News last week settle a defamation suit from Donald Trump against one of their lead anchors, George Stephanopoulos, for$15 million. Now, most legal experts that I've spoken to about that case say that ABC would have won the case, that the protections of freedom of speech in the United States are very strong, and it was unlikely that ABC News would have lost it. But ABC News's parent company, which is Disney, just felt they didn't want the kind of aggravation of having a lawsuit in contestant with Donald Trump. And I you could start to see, Anthony, how news organizations and journalists, and news organizations don't have a lot of money at the moment, and they might look at lawsuits like that and say, you know what, let's just be careful of what we say about Donald Trump if he's really going to start suing the free press.
30:08Let's start with the first thing about the lack of getting anything done. I think it's important for people to understand that Trump has always been fire, fire, ready, aim. He's not ready, aim, fire. He's always been fire, ready, aim. And it's very important to understand his entire life is based on intuition. So he's intuitive and he's reflexive. So he will react to what's going on in front of him intuitively. And sometimes he'll be a contrarian on that. And sometimes he'll surprise people with going with the consensus. And so what he is not is strategic planner. That's not him. Because if he was a strategic planner, he would be not meeting and greeting all these tech people and having them kiss his knee because of course he wants that.
30:55But he would be sitting down with Musk and his team. He'd say, okay, how do we execute? What's our big game plan? Is it to shrink the size of the government? Is it to isolate America from the rest of the world? Is it to put up walls literally, metaphorically around the country through tariffs and anti-immigration policies. Whatever it is, he would have to sit down. He would plan it out. You know who did that? Ronald Reagan did that. Ronald Reagan sat with his team. He said, okay, we want to have a really good, brisk, crisp 100 days. We're going to roll in some taxes. We have some budget cuts. We're going to get a tax cut going.
31:31We're going to be more muscular with military defense. And they implemented the plan. And then Reagan was the salesperson for that plan. So that's not Donald Trump. And Donald Trump, because of this fire ready aim, I think people are like, wait a minute, this is probably going to be okay. There will be chaos. But this other point that you're bringing up does worry me. Because Donald Trump hangs out with a guy named Viktor Orban. So who is Viktor Orban, Katty Kay? President of Hungary. Curiously, he's become the European darling of the right in America. People like Tucker Carlson are always invoking Viktor Orban, Donald Trump, one of the first foreign leaders who he mentioned after getting elected was that he'd had a very good conversation with Viktor Orban.
32:14Authoritarian bent has had quite a lot of control over the press and over the courts and over business in Hungary. And what does Viktor Orban like to do? Doesn't he like to sue the media? He likes to sue the media. And who hangs out at Mar-a-Lago with Donald Trump? Elon Musk. Yeah, but also Viktor Orban, right? Yes, Viktor Orban has been down there to visit him. Yeah, several times. And so what's happened here is that he's taking Orban's playbook and he's executing it with the media. Now, ABC News would have likely won that case. I do believe that because I've read enough of this stuff. I did take constitutional law.
32:51There's a very famous case called New York Times versus Sullivan. The standards on a public figure, and clearly the most famous person in the world. It's very different here in the US and the UK. You can make a lot of mistakes with public figures and the free press is protected by the First Amendment and the Supreme Court. But ABC News said, ah, can't be fighting with this guy. He's got a rogue FCC commissioner. Well, ABC News's parent company, Bob Iger at Disney in particular said, we cannot be fighting. I think ABC News may have been happy to fight this one to set the standard that the news media won't be kowtowed, but Bob Iger and Walt Disney decided no.
33:32Yes. And so they set a precedent. Now he's going after the Des Moines Register. And we spoke about that poll, right? That this is the subject of this story. This was a poll that came out just before the election that was very odd because Iowa is a red state, very Trumpy, and out comes this poll from this very respected pollster called Ann Seltzer and her newspaper, for the Des Moines Register. And the poll has Kamala Harris leading. And of course, he goes on to win Iowa. And what Donald Trump has done this week, which is interesting, is he has not accused the Des Moines Register and Ann Seltzer and Des Moines Register's parent company, Gannett, of defamation.
34:14He's accused them of brazen election interference. And he's alleging that she has violated something called the Iowa Consumer Fraud Act, which is an act that prohibits deceptive practices that occur in sales and advertising. So he's being a little bit more strategic here, Anthony. He's using different areas of American law to go after his political enemies. And we're seeing it in the House at the moment with an oversight committee that is kind of laying the groundwork for criminal charges against Liz Cheney. That is one way that he's trying to go after his political enemies. But what he's saying in the Ann Seltzer case is that they deliberately misled the public and that interfered with the election.
34:54It's not the first time he's done this. He's also sued CBS's news program, 60 Minutes in Texas, over the editing of an interview that they did with Kamala Harris that he said was unfairly favorable to Kamala Harris, again, using these accusations that they misled consumers. I think that's partly why people are looking at what Donald Trump is doing. And we've had the ABC case, then just a few days later, the Des Moines Register case, and Donald Trump saying, I have to do it. We have to straighten out the press. And at another point, he's used the phrasing taming the media. And I know people that work in news organizations like the Washington Post that pulled its endorsement, owned by Jeff Bezos, pulled its endorsement of Kamala Harris just before the election.
35:38And both individual journalists and news organizations are going to feel this. And I wouldn't be surprised if you have some news editorial rooms or some news organization owners who say, look, we have to just be particularly careful because we can't afford to be sued. And we know Donald Trump's view, any unfair coverage merges with kind of critical coverage. I mean, he describes coverage that's fair as coverage that doesn't challenge him. Do you think this could have a chilling effect on the way that the news media holds this administration to account? I do, actually. I think that we're transitioning the society from a principle-based society to a transactional society.
36:20And it's unbelievable to me that one man could do that. Okay. So these other presidents, like them or dislike them, they adhere to certain norms and they adhere to certain principles that make the country free. And what makes the country free is the free press. And you know, we've talked about this. Not that they all loved the press. I mean, Nixon famously hated the press. Loads of presidents hated the press. Katty, you are the exception for me with the press. I've been excoriated in the press. You know what got me in trouble with Donald Trump? I wrote an op-ed in April of 2019 in The Hill that said the press is not the enemy of the people.
36:58And I pointed out, it's not just to hold people like Donald Trump accountable, but we teach our children to speak freely. They go on and create great economic innovation. When you curb the thought process of young people like they do in authoritarian regimes, they have to steal our intellectual property. They don't make it themselves. And so the free press is a very important element to the capitalist system. It's a very important element to innovation. And so this chilling effect, moving from principles to transactions, is going to be very dangerous. And Bob Iger, quite transactional. Somebody should have said, hey, man, we're going to shove it to this guy.
37:37And by the way, one thing about Donald Trump that I know, he respects that. When you're fighting back, he looks around and says, wow, that son of a bitch is tough. And he laughs when they cave so quickly. He laughs when they fold like cheap suits. You think he respects Lindsey Graham? No. He's made it clear he released his cell phone number out to some crowd of supporters to kind of go after him. He doesn't respect Lindsey Graham, and Lindsey Graham's a... I mean, come on. Give me a break, man. Come on. At some point, somebody in the press has got to say, hey, whoa, man, I'm going to take this right to the bank.
38:14But then the lawyers are out, and they're saying, oh, no, Donald Trump is the Victor Orbán of the US, and he could hurt us. He could pull a license from us. He could knock our block off. But the point is, oh, let's wait him out. They'll say, let's wait him out. And when they do that, it degrades the system. And so they'll likely do that, but I would recommend that they not do that. I think that, obviously, America is a much bigger, more complex country than Hungary. The press is more diverse, has deeper roots. The democratic roots are deeper and stronger here. So I've had very smart, sensible, Democrats say to me, oh, this is how it started in Hungary.
38:51You take over the press. And I've heard that. But I do think it's worth pointing out that Hungary is not the United States. But one of the reasons, and I want to talk about what we're seeing down in Mar-a-Lago, because it's the same kind of thing of all the business leaders going down there as well, and the tech leaders going down to Mar-a - Lago. Trump, a while ago, sued a writer called Tim O 'Brien for writing that Trump's net worth was less than Trump claimed it was. Trump was furious about this and he sued him for defamation and the case played out over years. Trump lost the libel suit, but he still said afterwards that it was worth it.
39:28And this is why he said it was worth it. I did it to make his life miserable, which I'm happy about. Yes, of course. There you go. Merry Christmas from Donald Trump. You know, somebody, I think Sean Hannity said to me, you know, you said something about him he's not going to like, he's going to sue you. I'm like, oh my God, what could make a person like me happier than if Donald Trump sued me? Okay. Because I would depose the son of a bitch. Okay. He would have to be in the court with me and my lawyers under deposition. And by the way, in the country known as the United States, if you're suing me, you're going to have to show up.
40:04Okay. Even if you're president, you don't get an exemption from that. Maybe they'll do it by Zoom. but the point is he doesn't sue the people that won't cave. Okay. And he doesn't sue the people that would delight in the lawsuit. He sues the people that you just said, oh my God, I'll make them miserable and stressed out. You see what I mean? Yeah. And any individual that gets hit with a very expensive lawsuit. I mean, ABC has paid a million dollars in legal fees as well as that 15 million, but it's not just, of course, Bob Iger and Disney and the media that is watching their backs when it comes to Donald Trump, I've been watching the planes over Heathrow Airport.
40:41You know how when you land at Heathrow and then suddenly you think you're about to land and you're going to land on time and they suddenly say, whoops, we've got to circle around because we put into a holding pattern. At the moment, you've got business executives in a holding pattern over Mar-a-Lago waiting for their few minutes with Donald Trump. You had Jeff Bezos who owns the Washington Post and approved of the Washington Post's headline slogan, masthead slogan, whatever you call it, democracy dies in darkness when he bought the Post back in 2017. Very different tone now. There he is having dinner with Donald Trump and his kind of nemesis, Elon Musk, and they're both in a fight to get these space contracts.
41:20But the one that really took the biscuit for me was Mark Zuckerberg turning up in Mar-a-Lago and putting his hand over his heart as the January the 6th prisoner choir sang the national anthem. And this is the same Mark Zuckerberg who booted Donald Trump off Facebook after January the 6th. For me, that just said it so much about where American business is. It's not everybody, as Donald Trump in sales said in this press conference this week, in the first term, everyone was fighting with me. In this term, everyone wants to be my friend. I don't know. Maybe my personality has changed or something.
41:58Pop quiz, Anthony Scaramucci, has Donald Trump's personality changed? I'm going to say something weird that's going to surprise you a little. It has changed a little. I'm going to tell you how it's changed. Go on. He is way more confident. He is way more confident than he was in 2016, going 2017. When everyone was fighting with him. Yeah, but he's way more confident. He's also, he's way more understanding about how Washington works. One of the most memorable conversations I had with Donald Trump, I think it happened on a Tuesday, Caddy, because I was only there for one Tuesday. So I'm pretty sure it was a Tuesday.
42:34And we were in the study, in the Oval Office, off the Oval Office. And he said to me, this is a rough town, man. He goes, I thought I was a real estate mogul. I was operating with real estate billionaires in New York. I thought, these guys are a bunch of killers. He's like, the assistants down here would make these, these guys were a bunch of babies compared to these assistants. And the point being is that Washington was a place that Trump did not understand. It took him two years to get a grip on Washington. So the personality has changed a little, and these business executives are carrying favor with him because he is more confident and he is more intimidating to them.
43:17Is that because he's just captured the Republican Party so wholesale or is it him? No, it's him. Let me tell you something. I've got to remind people, they had this business executives council. Oh, I remember that. And what happened to that business executives council, Katty Kay? Not very much that I remember. No, he said that the nations around the world are shithole countries. And then he said all kinds of screeds. And then the business executives said, oh, we're copy associated with this. We're withdrawing our names from the business council. Now they're down in Mar-a-Lago. So yes. Where was that accent from?
43:55Something has changed. I don't know. It was just something derisive that was, you know, these fat cats, you know? What was it? After you and I have just done this series that we've taped on January the 6th, and I think it's worth everyone listening. It was a great series, but it was so worth remembering that because America has, and the business community, as we can see at the moment, have just decided to draw a veil over the whole thing, right? I mean, after Donald Trump contested the 2020 election and after January the 6th, you had dozens of major American corporations, American Express, Nike, Walgreens, Microsoft, all cutting ties to Donald Trump and other Republican leaders because of what happened around that election.
44:37And now guess what are they doing? Giving a million dollars. I mean, I know that they're giving a million dollars to his inauguration fund. I get it. Corporations always give money to presidents for their inauguration funds. What's just striking about this is that these were the same business executives who, when he was down and out after January the 6th and he'd lost the 2020 election, they wouldn't touch him with a barge pole. Well, we have to bring up in the context of January 6th of Liz Cheney. They now want to totally revise history. They're going to recolor the facts. And we explained in our series what actually happened, the facts of what happened.
45:12Liz Cheney exposed a lot of those facts, but now they're coming after her and they're saying that she was a witness tamperer and Trump is tweeting - Explain that a little bit. How are they going to try and go after Liz Cheney? What they're saying is that Liz Cheney met with Cassidy Hutchinson - Who was the aide to Mark Meadows, who was the chief of staff of Donald Trump at the time. And she was a kind of inside the White House West Wing witness. Yes. And she's a loyal patriot and she had lots of incriminating evidence about Donald Trump and his co-conspiracy in terms of fomenting that violence at the Capitol.
45:48And so Representative Cheney met with her and brought her in for testimony. And so the claim that they're making is that she witnessed tampered. She coached her to say these evil and nefarious and untrue things about Donald Trump. and they're trying to register a complaint and see if they can bring some sort of prosecution against Liz Cheney. And of course, Trump is screeding on Truth Social, Liz Cheney's in a lot of trouble. Okay. But let me tell you, I'm working on my different impersonations, Gatti. Is that like hints of the Godfather or what? I don't know. Or like the Terminator or - Yeah.
46:21Very, very nasty Trump accent. But the point I'm making is that Liz is in trouble, according to Trump, but according to the norms of our society and according to what actually happened. She's not in trouble. And so the question is - According to the law. According to the law. So the question is, does the judicial process hold, or are we going to have some kind of show trial that works for Donald Trump? And I'm going to predict that the judicial process holds, but I'm just saying to you, this is the stuff that the Republicans and these business executives are looking the other way on, looking the other way.
46:53So just before we go, there's one thing also that caught my eye this week that's kind of in the same bracket. And that was Brett Stevens, who's a conservative commentator, used to be on the Wall Street Journal, joined the New York Times, has been a kind of opponent of Donald Trump's, but is definitely a conservative writer. And this week he wrote a piece titled Done With Never Trump. And he argues that although he had denounced Donald Trump nine years ago as a loud mouth, Bulgarian appealing to quieter Bulgarians. I like his writing. He's now decided that actually it's time to move on from never Trump, partly to kind of understand, you know, the legitimacy of the people who voted for Donald Trump.
47:35And I think you and I have spoken about that, but also to realize that some of the things that they complain about, you know, the fact that the media drew a kind of curtain over some of Bill Clinton's dealings with women, that the press did not investigate Hunter Biden and kind of dismissed allegations about Hunter Biden in the 2020 election. And also just the kind of practicality that being a never Trumper doesn't necessarily get you anywhere. We actually have to try to get things done now, not get on board with Donald Trump. He's not saying that, but understand where the country comes from, understand where the anger is at the Democratic Party and at the kind of cultural left in America.
48:16And, you know, be more constructive than just being opposed to Donald Trump. And there's a whole load of kind of people in that never Trump bracket, who I think are sort of thinking, well, actually, you know what, kind of shouting at the wind didn't get us anywhere. And criticizing Donald Trump in the way that we did didn't get us anywhere. But how does the kind of opposition to Donald Trump, whether it's Democrats, or whether it's Republicans who don't like some of the societal stuff that we've spoken about, how do they sort of mobilize themselves to be a coherent, as you would have in any democracy, right?
48:46You'd have a voice of opposition. And at the moment, it just feels like they're sort of floundering a little bit in America. Well, I mean, they've given up. He won the majority of the vote. The articulate never Trumpers are gone from the stage. Mitt Romney, gone from the stage. He gave a exit interview to Jake Tapper this past week. Paul Ryan said, you know what? I didn't sign up for this. I'm leaving. I'm going to go to the private sector. He gave up the speakership. Okay. He was a popular man in Washington, very, very smart guy. And so I guess what I would say to you is that they're in retreat right now.
49:19They're in retreat. And Winston Churchill, self-described, had 40 years in the wilderness before he made his triumphant return to leadership. And they're in the wilderness right now. I don't know who's going to lead them out of the wilderness yet, but I just want to say to people that the co-conspirators now, which include the members of the media, and now include the CEOs, the people running down to Mar-a-Lago to kiss the ring. Are they going to avoid the plague, Caddy Kay? I don't know if they will. I will remind people that if they have a moment, they should read The Mask of the Red Death, which was written by Edgar Allan Poe in 1842.
50:00Just quickly, all of the elites are trying to avoid the plague. They lock themselves in their beautiful houses and they hang out with each other. And of course, one of them, Prince Prospero, has a masquerade party. And who comes into the masquerade party dressed in costume is someone that has the plague. And of course, he goes around in there, no one knows who he is, and he shakes hands with everybody, drinks from their cups and so on and so forth. And he kills every one of them or most of them. And it's a metaphor for you're trying to avoid something that cannot be avoided. If there's something going wrong in your society and that is right in your midst, if you're not willing to call it out, it could end up impacting you just like it has in every civilization.
50:45All these industrialists who think they're getting close to the politicians. Look at what happened to the oligarchs with Putin. And so I'm just wondering if these people think that they can avoid the plague. But on the never Trumpers, they're in the wilderness caddy. I don't know who's going to lead them out of the wilderness, who's got the vision or the personality or can put the society in a position to go out and get those non-voters. We'll see over the course of the next couple of years. We're going to leave it there and wish you all a very Merry Christmas. We hope you have a holiday, a little bit of a break next week over the Christmas holiday.
51:21We will be back on Saturday with our bonus edition for founding members, our question and answer edition. We're going to look at the US economy and how it's really doing after the big stock market sell-off this week. And then next week, we will also have episodes out, but we won't have a chance to speak to you in person before Christmas. So all of you have a great Christmas. I'm excited because I've got my bionic eyes. That is my present for Christmas is that I can now see again, thanks to my fantastic lens surgery and my fantastic lens surgeon, who is my Santa Claus of this Christmas. So I'm excited about Christmas.
51:54Well, I'm glad that that worked out. Merry Christmas to you and your family and Merry Christmas to all of our listeners. and founding members. Thank you guys. It's been a great year.
From the publisher
How much power does Elon Musk have in America? Are the media already bowing down to Trump? How long will Speaker Mike Johnson survive?
Join Katty Kay and Anthony Scaramucci as they answer all this and more.
Become a Founding Member
Support the podcast, enjoy ad-free listening, gain early access to our mini-series, and get a bonus members-only Q&A episode every week!
Just head to https://therestispoliticsus.com to sign up today.
The Rest Is Politics US is powered by Fuse Energy, a green electricity supplier powering homes across England, Scotland & Wales. Use referral code USPOLITICS after signing up to win a TRIP merch bundle. Learn more at https://getfuse.com/uspolitics ⚡
EXCLUSIVE NordVPN Deal ➼ https://nordvpn.com/tripus Try it risk-free now with a 30-day money-back guarantee!
Instagram:
@RestPoliticsUS
Twitter:
@RestPoliticsUS
Email:
TRIPUS@goalhanger.com
Assistant Producers: India Dunkley
Video Editor: Jake Liascos
Social Producer: Jess Kidson
Producer: Fiona Douglas
Senior Producer: Dom Johnson
Head of Content: Tom Whiter
Head of Digital: Sam Oakley
Exec Producers: Tony Pastor, Jack Davenport
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices




