152. The Power of Prigozhin

18 Jul 2023 · 53 min

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In short

Podcast Summary: The Rest Is Politics - Episode 152: The Power of Prigozhin

Podcast Overview Hosts: Alastair Campbell and Rory Stewart Guest: Richard Engel, Chief Foreign Correspondent for NBC News Episode Focus: The rise of Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the Wagner Group, exploring his background and the implications of his actions in relation to Russian politics.

Key Themes and Discussions

Introduction to Yevgeny Prigozhin

  • Prigozhin has garnered attention, especially after the Wagner Group's mutiny against Vladimir Putin.
  • He has a complex history, transitioning from a penal colony to a powerful figure in Russia.
  • Richard Engel has reported extensively on Prigozhin, particularly in conflict zones like Syria and the Central African Republic.

The Nature of the Russian State

  • Engel describes the Russian state as a "mafia state," with Vladimir Putin as a "Godfather" figure.
  • The power dynamics differ from traditional company hierarchies, with various factions operating independently under a boss structure.
  • Prigozhin’s rise can be attributed to his unique relationship with Putin, as a reliable fixer who provided services beyond catering.

Early Life and Criminal Background

  • Prigozhin's early life involved criminal activities in St. Petersburg, leading to a ten-year sentence in a Siberian penal colony.
  • Upon release, he leveraged connections to become a successful restaurateur, eventually gaining favor with Putin.

Military Operations and Wagner Group

  • The Wagner Group was initially a small security company that evolved into a paramilitary organization.
  • Engel discusses how Prigozhin’s operations expanded from catering for the Kremlin to military involvement in Syria and Africa.
  • He utilized the Wagner Group to support the Assad regime in Syria and later secured lucrative contracts in the Central African Republic.

Tactics and Strategies

  • In Syria, Wagner faced challenges but gained combat experience by engaging in various conflicts.
  • The group’s model involved using local resources and training local forces, allowing them to maintain a presence without deploying formal Russian troops.

Shift in Power Dynamics

  • As the Ukraine war escalated, Wagner’s role shifted dramatically. Prigozhin was tasked with transforming Wagner from a small group into a significant fighting force.
  • This involved recruiting convicts from prisons and making them frontline troops, often under harsh conditions.

The Mutiny Against Putin

  • The episode culminates with Wagner's unexpected march towards Moscow, a significant political challenge to Putin.
  • Engel raises questions about Prigozhin’s motivations and whether he intended to threaten the state or merely send a message to the military leadership.

Speculations About the Future

  • The podcast concludes with uncertainty around the future of Prigozhin and the Wagner Group, discussing the implications for Russian military strategy and internal politics.
  • Engel emphasizes the volatile nature of the situation, suggesting that both Prigozhin and Putin have been weakened by recent events.

Conclusion

  • The episode provides a deep dive into the complexities of Russian politics through the lens of Yevgeny Prigozhin’s rise and the Wagner Group's operations.
  • It highlights the intricate connections between organized crime, military power, and state politics in Russia, leaving listeners with pressing questions about the future landscape of Russian governance.

Additional Information

  • The documentary mentioned by Engel regarding Prigozhin is available on NBC and was produced in conjunction with the podcast discussion.
  • For further exploration of these themes, listeners are encouraged to follow the podcast and engage with the bonus content available through The Rest Is Politics Plus.

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Transcript

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0:00Thanks for listening to The Restless Politics. Sign up to The Restless Politics plus to enjoy ad -free listening and receive a weekly newsletter. Join our members' chat room again early access to live show tickets. Just go to TheRestlessPolitics .com. That's TheRestlessPolitics .com.

0:30She's got to get bread out of her life She tracks her guests for Wallace French, eat at night Boring money moves make kind of lame songs But they sound pretty sweet dear wallet BNC Bang, brilliantly boring since 1865

0:50Welcome to the Rests' Politics with me, Rory Stewart And me, Anastagambo And today we have a very special guest which is Richard Engel. So Richard and I have known each other for some years, but most recently we bumped into each other on another airplane and he had just come back from an extraordinary series of meetings and encounters as we've been following the figure of pregozion. Pregozion just for mindlessness is of course the head of the Wagner group, the man that recently led a musony against Vladimir Putin. And Richard had been bringing this documentary together over a couple of years following the story through, he was in Syria, he was in the Central African Republic, going to Ukraine and expecting to bring it out in the autumn and was beginning to worry that people weren't really going to be that interested in who Progoshin was or who the Valken group was, when suddenly this whole story broke and we're very lucky to have Richard with us today because I didn't know anyone who knows more about Progusion.

1:53So thank you Richard for joining us. It's a real pleasure. Thank you very much. It was extraordinary. I've been covering Progusion following this guy. He was first was in the shadows and then burst into sort of the public domain during the latest war in Ukraine. And we were working on it and we had been in Africa and we had the material and we're starting to go through it and process it and write it. And then suddenly we look around and he's crossed the border from Ukraine into Russia as better on the attack and they're marching toward Moscow. And we all look and they said, okay, well, this is just changed, this is real.

2:35We gotta get this out immediately. So we crashed together, we had the material, a lot of the material already, and suddenly it became immensely timely. So it's just coincidence would have it, you know, we were following this guy because we thought he was an interesting and Important and he had an important network. So Richard you're a long -term foreign correspondent with NBC and this is already gone out on NBC and we're gonna Put this interview out when it goes out online so that our listeners all over the place can can see it You very kindly sent us a link. So I got up very very early to watch it But how on earth has this happened that this guy and this set of mercenaries that he's kind of dragged around from here than everywhere?

3:21There would become so powerful in so many different places. So what's your answer to that? How has this happened? I think you need to understand the nature of the Russian state. And the nature of the Russian state, as it was described to me by many people who have spent their years, but their career is writing about it and thinking about it and going there. And I've spent quite a bit of time in Russia as well over the years as a mafia state, where you have Vladimir Putin at the center of a syndicate, the godfather, some people called him. So most people imagine a state or a company where you have the boss and then all the other people are employees of the boss, but in a mafia family it's slightly different.

4:09So you have the Kapo Dutti Kapi, who's the head of all the other heads is literally what that means, and that's a different kind of power structure than, you know, the you have a CEO of a company and then he has all of his his or her team underneath them who get together and follow their orders and try and act a plan. When you have a boss of bosses, each one of these families, each one of these syndicates has their own network and their own business and Progosian was one of them. He had his own operations and there was a mutually beneficial relationship between Progosian and Putin. Richard, let's take it right back to the start.

4:48So one of the things you talk about is his early life. And tell us about the first time we noticed him, the crime and being sent off to this penal colony in 10 years, he spent in prison. I just had a complete terrifying thing. Then what he did in prison. So, 10 years of hard labor. So, we have to go back to St. Petersburg in the 1980s. So, in the 1980s, everyone remembers this decline of the Soviet Union. It would ultimately implode first from the outside and then within 1991, from the 1989 -91, the whole sort of disruptive period of history, as the Soviet Union was collapsing onto itself because of its corruption and inefficiency and the Cold War pressure.

5:30So in the 80s he's a in St. Petersburg which has been let's say you think of it as Chicago in the 1920s. It's a rough town, lots of gangsters already in the 80s under this declining Soviet Union. And that's where Pregozion is. He lives in the city and he's a crook. He's a criminal and he and some friends get into an armed robbery. They rob a woman on the streets. He nearly strangles her to death. takes her belongings, takes her boots, and gets arrested. Does nearly 10 years of hard labor. But was he known to the police as a crook? You know what? I don't know, but I wouldn't be surprised, but it was this crime that pushed it over.

6:17I don't know how much of a record he had previously, but it 10 years is a lot. But if you nearly kill someone in an unprovoked attack. So just to cover it and that's ten years in Siberia in a sort of I mean this is like this is like the life of Ivan Denisovich Ten tough years which According to people with the biographers or people who had already been looking into him He likes he likes it. He gets into it. He appreciates the the the the work ethic and the discipline and He gets out and okay. He's arrested in in the very early eighties. He gets out 81 what period are we in now? were in exactly the collapse of the Soviet Union.

6:58So he gets out of jail after he's been breaking rocks or presumably whatever they're doing in the jail making radios or whatever hard labor at the time involved, but this penal colony was quite rigorous for its amount of work that they made you do. He gets out and now in St. Petersburg, which already had this, was already kind of a mafia town, the state is gone. So the Mafia is the only thing left. So he goes into business and he grows this one hot dog stand into it mysteriously gets into a chain of restaurants very quickly in prime locations in where in the nicest sort of real estate spots in St.

7:42Petersburg. So he quickly has this empire. So he's a he's certainly a connected guy and knows how to operate in this world of St. Petersburg that is now a real, it was a gangster town before and now very much so. There's a clip in the documentary that I almost jumped out of my seat because I've seen the pictures of pregoesion serving food to George Bush. But then suddenly I see my old boss Tony Blair there as well. And I've tried to think when was that? Was that in St. Peter's book? Because I do remember going to St. Peter's book and having dinners there, the summits that were going on there. Something God did.

8:20I missed this guy. So a lot of people missed this guy. He was very discreet. He was quiet. He was in the background. Sometimes he's described as Putin's chef. He's not a chef. He doesn't, I mean, maybe he knows how to make an omelette or something, but he's not a cook. He doesn't wear the white jacket and make food. He's a restaurant tour. He's a caterer. And it is in St. Petersburg in this time when he and Putin come into contact because he's got the nicest rest and that becomes Putin's hangout as Putin is a rising star. An unfulssed system, people who have a chance to watch this amazing documentary.

8:55What I'm a sister referring to is that you see again and again, people like George W. Bush and Tony Blass sitting down at the table to have these formal state dinners. That's not an APtersburg. So you have to jump ahead. So St. Petersburg they meet. Putin is a advisor to the mayor. He's a mid -level intelligence officer, KGB. KGB later converts to the FSB and had Putin not had this spectacular rise, we'd never heard of pregoation. Right. Maybe own a bunch of restaurants in St. Petersburg. He wasn't an oligarch in the sense that we've understood the oligarchs, the barrios offskis and these guys.

9:33He wasn't like that. He was more like a low level guy who got himself into Putin. I think Putin's system is more, less like when you think of oligarch, it gives the idea of a business tycoon. And you had business tycoons, but then you had an inner circle of fixers. So to go back to the Mafia analogy, which was used to me time and time again, is you have the boss of bosses and then each guy has his own syndicate. So I don't want to cast aspersions, but if this was the deal, I'm the boss of bosses. Okay, Rory, you've got your own businesses, some legitimate and some illegitimate illegal. And you run that and that money goes to you and you, Alistair, have your own separate syndicate.

10:24So your rivals, you're not all employees of me. And then you're, you earn for yourself and I make sure that you all get top cover and that you don't fight among yourselves. But then the something extraordinary happens. 2000 Putin becomes president. So all of these people are now hyper empowered because now I have super connections. All of you can be useful to me if I ever ask you a favor and then he becomes the caterer. So once he becomes president now as I go back to your question where all those extraordinary pictures were, he became the official caterer for the armed forces. He became the caterer for the Kremlin.

11:03He became, he rose up from someone who was restaurants running the hangout where these guys were to now he's the official state caterer, which is a very lucrative job. It's some very reminiscent, I think, of what happens in medieval courts as well. So Henry the eighth has this figure, Thomas Cromwell, who's basically a sort of working -class fixer who is so reliable. He doesn't get things done for him in a whole series of different areas. That eventually he makes him, you know, Lord Chancellor of England. So, progoation, you get the sense, he's trusted to run a good meal. He's trusted to make sure that Tony Blair is sat properly, that the wine's coming, the food's coming.

11:43But Putin is also relying on him to do many other things. So he's beginning to develop a small security company. He's running his chain of restaurants. And the line between public procurement, private business activity is very, very blurred. You know, how exactly did he get this contract? And that means just to jump you forward in the story. When Putin is then looking for a chance for somebody to help him in an incredible context, which is Syria, he turns to this guy who he thinks is a kind of reliable fixer. Yes, so he's now a contractor, if you will, who's got his own business network, and first he relies on them for a variety of things.

12:24So Pregozion has this network of businesses, one of them is catering. He also forms a private security company called Wagner and he wants you know, imagine guys Bodyguard services people you know big guys earpieces khaki shirts and he's gonna use them To provide security services, but they don't really have a purpose yet They start getting used in Ukraine after the takeover of Crimea and Dumbass don't have a very significant role. There are a player among players there, but they start to get some military experience. And then 2015, if you remember what Syria was like in 2015, mess, it was total chaos.

13:10You had ISIS, you had a coalition of rebel groups backed by different countries, the United States, UK, everybody seemed to Arab states were backing them. People didn't know exactly who they were backing. that some of these rebel groups would get back and then collapse and join sides. It was one of the most chaotic periods of conflicts that I've ever covered. And Richard, let's just bring in the personal effort for a second before we jump at progression. You were in and out of that period. What are your memories of what it felt like on the ground? What it was it like for the Syrian people? What were the expectations?

13:45Did people think that Bashar and us as regime was going to collapse? What was your feeling at the time? Very much so. It was very, very chaotic. It was one of the strangest periods that I've covered. I was kidnapped in Syria during this period. There were so many different factions that couldn't necessarily be trusted. And there were lots of interplay. You'd have one faction, then they would change sides, and then they would rename themselves and somewhere backed by the government, and then they'd bring in Islamists, and then they would fight among themselves. And Bashar al -Assad was barely clinging to power.

14:19And is at this stage, he reaches out to Russia for help. And Assad goes to Damascus. It says, please, I need help. And Bashar al -Assad is clinging for power. And Putin says, yes, I back my allies. I don't turn my back on like the Americans, unlike these other people who abandoned their allies, not me. But he doesn't want to get bogged down like other countries have done in Iraq. So he, like the United States and the UK and the whole coalition got stuck in Iraq. So he sends warplanes to bomb Assad's targets. But instead of sending ground troops, pregozion, we've got a mission for you. Take this Wagner force and go there and prop up the Assad regime.

15:05And he's got an incentive. That stage, the soldiers that Pregozion has with it, where are they coming from? And who's paying for them? Who's paying for them? I'll get to in a second because effectively they pay themselves by seaving and raiding land and all that stuff. By oil, and this document we come across, that Pregozion was given a 25 % cut of oil and gas facilities that he was able to take control of. So, nominally to reclaim them for the Syrian government, and hey, if you get to reclaim them from the government, from these rebel groups, or ISIS, or whatever, you get a 25 % cut. Richard, just again, you're being very modest about yourself from this whole story, because you're telling a story of Procasion, but just for this instance, Richard is the chief foreign correspondent for NBC.

15:54He had covered the Iraq war. He was tear gasped during the Arab Spring in Cairo. he speaks good Arabic and you were kidnapped in Syria, you escaped after five days. So you were right in the heart of all this. When did you personally first start hearing rumors about Russian mercenaries at the Wagon Group? Well, hold on, before that Richard, we've just seen there, we've got a little divergence in our pockets. I say Wagner, he says Wagner, what should we be saying? Probably Wagner with a V. Yeah. And where did it come from? It didn't come from the composer, exactly. It was the nickname of one of the sort of co -founders of the group with Pregozion.

16:30It was his call sign. And that I assume came from Wagner, the composer. So it's kind of of the composer, but one degree is separated. It was the call sign of some of the else. Okay. So just to be clear, though, Roy, from now on in, you've introduced Richard as the expert on this guy. So we say Wagner, okay? I don't think Pregozion's going to care right now. He has big fish to fry at the moment. But so they set up this operation in Syriansura really becomes the model. You go in, you prop up the dictator and you take what you want and take what you can get. And how many truths did he have with him at that time?

17:13And you asked earlier where they come from. So I can give you an anecdote because I spoke with one of the guys who was early and early recruit and he was sort of a typical recruit for Vogue during this period. it. And he had, he was an older, older guy, not old, but certainly an adult, not a kid. He was in his 40s at the stage. He had been a soldier, a kind of a non -commissioned officer, he commanded troops, sergeant type level rank. And he had been in the Soviet army, was good at it, liked it, liked his job and commanding men. Then the Soviet army collapses. So he's got nothing to do. And in this chaotic period, he, like many other people, start working for low -level gangsters and he ends up becoming a bodyguard for some local hoodlum and doesn't particularly like it.

18:08He ends up murdering someone because that happens all the time. These gangs are killing each other. He spends time in jail, three years in jail, gets out, goes to work as a bodyguard for some other hoodlum. He doesn't particularly like it. He's drinking himself to death, and pregozion comes and taps on him and said, hey, I need you. I need you for my army. I'm putting together this private militia group and it's going to be the best of the best. And this guy said, yes, yes, of course loves it. Loves pregozion. So it's this group of second chances and hard cases who, if they get killed, nobody's going to say anything.

18:48They're from deep in central Russia. I went deep into central Russia to go to some of their funerals because it was all hush hush. And the reason it was convenient for Putin to do it this way is he doesn't have to commit real Russian troops. He can send these, these nobodies, these has -bins, these hard cases who already get the rules. So they go there, they fight, they get their money, they get paid, great. But if they get killed, they get buried somewhere in Russia. their families and their families don't say anything about it. Now, Richard, we now jump forward to Africa. We saw you in Syria during the documentary, and then you moved on to the Central African Republic, where you interviewed the leader of the Central African Republic.

19:32Tell us what the Wagner group was then doing in the Central African Republic, and then eventually in Marley, Mozambique, Bikina Faso, give us a sense of that, and give us a sense of the politics going on there. So, Syria, even though there was one horrific battle where Progoshin totally overestimated his own strength and he tries to take an oil facility, oil and gas facility in Syria and doesn't realize that there's some very elite or realizes but underestimates some that there's these very elite American special forces on this base and gets totally decimated. So in Syria he's still a learning, getting combat experience with mistakes along the way, including this one incident, about 300 of his men were just an allied local Syrian militia, were totally decimated by the Americans.

20:25And Richard, this was the first time the US troops have been fighting Russians since Vietnam. Yes. So just to finish the Syria story, he tries to attack this base because they had this incentive 25 % of any oil and gas so that you can take his yours, pay yourself. He goes after this one base, whoops, there's a small contingent of very elite, very well -armed, very angry American special troops who don't like to be attacked by some mercenaries and wipes them out. So he's getting better through errors in Syria. After Syria, just to answer your question to Africa, he's kind of now established a model.

21:08So the president of the Central African Republic, Faustienne Tuardera, he is, his country is facing terrible civil war. They imagine a Syria kind of situation, terrible civil war, the rebels are at the gates of the city and he controls, according to him and his advisors, 20 % of the country, the rebels control 80%. And nobody's gonna help, nobody wants to help him. He claims he told me the president told me and others he went around and he's asking for help. Nobody want nobody cares. Putin says, I will help you. That's who we are. We help allies. We help people in need. Same deal. He doesn't want to send ground troops to some central African nation.

21:48He sends Wagner and Wagner does a good job. Good job from his perspective. He kills lots of rebels, secures the capital, flips it. So government now has 80 % the rebels still have 20%. But what does he do? He takes all the gold and mine sites over. We have satellite imagery that showed before and after, what it was like when the Wagner people showed up, how they abused the locals in order to get them to run away from these mine sites. And there's no foreign troops there, so it's relatively more more easy. So now he's got a country, and he affects effective control of the country with the governments inviting him in.

22:25But Richard, to do that, to go in where the government is telling you, we need help here, and we've lost control of 80 % of our own country. To flip that, he must have a military structure, a military numbers that maybe we don't even countenance as being a mercenary army. It's not so much, you know, we're not talking tens of thousands, we're talking a few thousand, hundreds or a few thousand. And they operate there as trainers and advisors. So what they do in the Central African Republic is they go in and then they train and work with the local army. So they have extra, extra manpower from the local militia and the local army.

23:05So he's getting good people, he's getting good military operatives. Well, clearly they weren't that good, they'd lost 80 % of the country, but he has, he has, they have clay, they have people who they can work with. I think what I'm just to mean is that his people are good. I mean, obviously the Central Afconami were not doing that well. They're getting, they're getting better. They're learning. by now they're starting to become real because they fought in Syria and Actually, they start recruiting locally. They take some Syrians with them and they enforce discipline with savage brutality there was a a deserter in Syria man named Hamdi Bhuta and He Deserted from the force because even in Syria they worked with Syrians.

23:47That's why you don't need as many numbers of them because You send advisors 15, 20, 30 and then they work with perhaps a hundred Syrian advisors and command work over them So they become what's called a force multiplier to use military jargon same kind of of model in Africa They go in they they use the resources the very few resources that this very poor army can provide in terms of Vehicles and trucks and things and they bring in more equipment and they fight off the rebels and the rebels are also very poorly armed So they have a technological superiority and they have some combat experience from other conflicts.

24:29Richard, Roy, we'll just take a quick break and we'll be back in a second.

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25:47There were a couple of moments in that Central African Republic and part that really kind of struck with me. First was very moving interview with the widow of a guy who'd been a minor, who'd be fat to be wiped out because they wanted the locals out the way so they could raid all the, I think it was gold at the time. Goldmine, yeah. Right, and the second thing that really struck me was the interview you did with the president who it seemed to me completely changed his body language and his demeanor, wouldn't even bring himself to use the word Wagner. Was almost I felt, well, am I right in thinking he was maybe a little bit scared of the Wagner group at this point?

26:22Well, I think it was, and his name is President Faust, and I was wondering if he had made a deal with the devil. He, he, he Faustian Tvadera is his name. So he brought in Wagner forces to prop up his government and now They are his bodyguard services. So when I went to go see him you have to go through Wagner They're as part of the security. They were all over the palace his national security advisor is a Wagner Russian guy The embassy there according to diplomats. They're all populated with Wagner So you invited them in yes, they they fought back the rebels and now they keep you in power but they have dominance in the country.

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27:06And the widow? What did you think of her? So widow was a person that she had lived in these mines. So we have to think of this as an incredibly poor country. Central Africa, next to the DCR, Democratic Republic of the Congo, and it's heavily forested, and they have many, many golden diamond mines, Artisanal mines dug by hand. And imagine just big pits, honeycombed kind of pits, where very wet you have people digging the mines and then sifting for gold. Wagner wants to take them over under the guise of fighting rebels so they come in, they arrive in their technicals. And this woman was there and describes how the Wagner mercenaries show up.

27:49They have a piece of paper. It says this land is now ours. It was given to us by the government for in order to protect it. This is our area and the locals don't want to leave. And according to her account, they kill her husband and seven other people, bury them in a grave to terrify people. So then they leave and they take over and that that was a pattern. We heard, you know, we reviewed dozens of accounts of similar atrocities where they would move in, be or kill a couple of examples and then in order to get the people to run away and then they take over the site. Richard, I mean, it's a very, very sinister story, isn't it?

28:28Because when it suits Putin, he will claim credit for the Vagna Group, so there will be connections with the embassies. He will be saying to the president, I'm sending my guys. And then when it suits him, he can distance himself from them and say, they're nothing to do with me. They're just a private company. They're a bunch of mess. That's the beauty of the arrangement. Exactly. It allows him to do much more brutal radical things than if he was sending formal Russian soldiers in on the ground. But it must also have been dangerous for you. I mean, three Russian journalists were killed in the Central African Republic, you're in the Central African Republic.

29:04And at this stage, you try to reach out directly to Progoshan for an interview and you're basically saying to him, would you care to comment on the fact that you're men are committing atrocities, that you're a gangster boss and this and the other. I mean, were you not, sorry, this is a little, maybe unfetty, but were you not a little bit scared trying to ask Progation for an interview? It was a very good voice notice. I'm back here. Yes, it was, he's trying to rip out your arms up. I couldn't quite understand it. Yes, I think he was. It was certainly to crush it, if not rip it out. But he, so you, you know, we did a standard right of reply, you know?

29:37So we're there and we had tried to meet the Russian officials locally, openly. You know, we're driving around and we go to the there's a Russia house there and knock on the door We'd interviewed the president we interviewed the president's advisor We're doing our our jobs openly in Center off the Republic hoping hopefully that you know, we're not gonna get killed there Yes, three Russian journalists got killed for basically doing the same thing and We do our stories so far no no direct harassment or threats although we see the Vognom people all around and I'm sure they were following us and we were staying in our hotel and they were walking around and I you just see them and they have dropped around in cars with no license plates, Bala Klavas up to their noses and you know kind of hard stairs and it's no secret that they're there in Central African Republic.

30:27There's a statue to Wagner in the middle of the city with life -size soldiers. They even made a movie about themselves. I went and saw the movie. They released a movie about Wagner and their heroics in the country and they showed it to the local people to sort of prop themselves up. So we sent a right to reply. Okay. Supergosen, we have these questions. Would you like to answer how do you respond to comments and could you tell us more about your operations? And he writes back quite promptly with a voice note saying, you know enough about our operations based on the people you've spoken to. And I'll only answer you and lift your questions or less provocative.

31:10And if you mean to come and paraphrasing here, but it was something like this. But if you mean to just insult me and spit in my face, then I suggest you come a little closer and see if it's your Adam's apple that I'm squeezing or somebody else's. And I was like, wow, that's quite a right to reply. You know, normally you just get no comment or you get nothing. Yeah, and also he gave you a very dramatic piece of graphic for the documentary. This was all before. This was literally a few weeks before his move on Moscow. So that's why he starts moving on Moscow. We're like, oh my gosh, we have all this material.

31:47The guy just threatened to rip my throat out. We got to put this together quickly. But the reason he's in Ukraine is because Putin has seen him be an effective supplier of food and drink to the great and the good, seen him do other stuff now, then done pretty well in Syria, then done well in the CIA, and then he needs him in Ukraine. He also had a butt farm. This is a guy, he's the Swiss Army and I have special operations. Oh, of course we haven't done the two between Syrians at African Republic as the 2016 election. He already had, this guy had all kinds of operations. He also had a small butt farm, a bot -form disinformation thing that it was using to attack Russian dissidents and discredit Russian, you know, Kremlin critics.

32:34And then suddenly, right before the 2016 election, that bot -form expands and shifts and goes after the Hillary Clinton, props up Donald Trumps as all kinds of wonderful things about him, spreads memes around the internet, and that's when he sort of burst out of the shadows because there were so many investigations in the United States. And, you know, who is this guy? Putin's chef, now he's running a disinformation campaign. And then Trump gets elected. It's impossible to know if all those ads and memes and things swayed voters' minds, but in Moscow they were certainly happy with the results. There's a bit in the film where you've got him, I think, is him, and some other people sort of drinking champagne.

33:16That was a viewing party in Moscow, yeah. That so the whole was that them watching the Trump win. Yes. Yes. It was cutting back and forth To people in Moscow celebrating the the Trump win and drinking champagne What you have enlisted it was your own assessment I mean, I think that you know We interviewed Hillary Clinton for the podcast a while back. I was in Russia at the time. They were very happy But what but what's your assessment as to whether actually the extent of the effect that it did have our notice for example when you talked about the back moot I guess you'd call it the Massacre, it looks horrific.

33:49But you were also making the point that militarily it wasn't that significant. It was like a massive marketing thing for Wagner. Now was the bot farm, the troll farm, was there something similar in that that he's just sort of wants the world to think that he's amazing and a genius? Was he actually influencing that election? It's sort of one of these unknowables. He did this campaign that was against Hillary Clinton. It was stirring the pot of pushing buttons in the United States about latent racism and issues that are sensitive to Americans. And he was attacking Hillary Clinton and he was propping up Trump.

34:27Did that sway the vote? I don't know, it's hard to know. You'd have to ask any individual voter why they voted for Trump. and there's no single causality factor for anything in the world, but it probably didn't hurt. And then, but going ahead, so now he's gone from success to success, he's the apple of Putin's eye, the perception of success at least. And now, we're up to 2022. So, if you're a progoation, everything you've done has sort of worked out. You've made money in the process, you've helped out the boss, the other members, other kind of similar people to you are quite jealous because they don't, you know, nobody likes a rising star.

35:10But then everything changes with this decision to invade Ukraine in an open conventional war in 2022. And then it goes badly. That's the shocking part for Putin. Certainly he is armies that told him, ah, you're going to It'll be easy and you'll be in Kiev in days and they'll be celebrating. They brought dress uniforms with them and it goes badly. They get the Ukrainians are fighting back. The Russian vehicles barely have enough gas to get to Kiev. They break down. They don't have food. There's no logistics. The different commands. The forces attacking from the north aren't communicating the ones that are coming from the east and there's another division going to the south.

35:52They're not talking to each other. Just an absolute catastrophe. So guess what happens? Later on in the war and you call for Bergozion, but this is a very different. Now he's asking him to radically transform Wagner, because Wagner until now, as we've been talking about, had hundreds, maybe a couple of thousand guys in it, not a huge army. Putin's now asking him to convert this small paramilitary group into a division of frontline, crack soldiers, shock troops, and you need tens of thousands of people to do that. And that's heavy weapons and uniforms and logistics. You need to make them into an army, and that he'd never done before.

36:36So what does he do? What's the first thing you would need? Men. So Putin authorizes him to go empty the prisons. And whether these famous pictures of him going at the jails, offering all these convicts, He says, I have been authorized to give you a deal. And don't forget, he's himself an ex -con. He knows how to talk to these people and says, I will give you a deal. You're gonna, I'm gonna send you into hard combat. You might not survive. Not all of you are going to survive. We are only looking for frontline troops. But if you survive six months, you're free. And you have five minutes to decide.

37:13Yeah, yeah, yeah. So he leaves. He's like, when I'm leaving, I'm leaving. He gets tens of thousands of people who join up for this. Some of them hope that they could escape. They thought, we'll go to Ukraine and we'll just get in the battlefield, we'll be among the trees and we'll run away. They have very strict discipline. This ledge hammer is used and the deserters are shot in the back. If they try and leave, just were executed or shot from the troops behind them. Really tough. And you can imagine how the military feels now. The military is losing the war and this guy has now been tapped by Putin to raise an army and do what the army has been unable to do, which is brain victory and win as big city or two and win where the army is failing.

38:00Richard, this is the most wonderful thing and we could keep going for hours but I want to accelerate you a little bit towards the end. So, Alice and I found ourselves waking up on a Saturday morning and dealing with the fact that pregotiant suddenly had decided to turn around and instead of advancing towards the Ukrainian troops, was leading the Vagna Group up towards Moscow, and in fact was getting surprisingly close, surprisingly quickly. So just bring us up today on what on Earth was happening there. So he picks Bahmut, the city of Bahmut, which is not a particularly strategic city. You know, why did he do that?

38:33It's because he needed to show victory, and it was a place where he could take the city. Russian troops have been struggling to take other cities around there. So we're going to take this Bahmoud and I'm going to deliver you a victory. It could have been almost any city. It was the idea I'm going to take a target and I'm going to do something. I'm going to deliver a victory that is clear and obvious to the Kremlin. So he picks Bahmoud. I don't want to say arbitrarily, but it's not a particularly, it doesn't control any terrain, it doesn't control any territory. It's just a small city among many cities in eastern Ukraine, not far from the Russian border.

39:11And he pours everything he has at this city and devastating the city in the process. I was in Bahtmouda, it was horrendous. Shells coming down, left right center, horrendous fighting. And the generals who were jealous that he was given this mission in the first place, hate the fact that he's making progress in the city. Every bomb that he drops, every person that he sends running out of the city is a show of his power. And that he's doing a great, horrible collective punishment cost to this civilian city is a symbol of his superiority over the military. So what are the military's start doing? According to him, and this has been verified by numerous intelligence agencies, they start to undercut him.

39:59They stop giving him ammo. Because he's now just turned into an army which he never was. So he's dependent on the military for the supply chain for artillery and heavy weapons and tanks. He doesn't have any of this kind of stuff. So the military is his supply chain. So the military starts cutting off his supply chain. And he still wins. He still takes the city. And then after he takes the city, this is when he loses it with Shoigu and Gerasimov, the defense minister in the army achieve. And he says that he's starting to become vocal in his issuing these threats. You people are the worst in the world.

40:34You're traders, you're cutting off my men. He's screaming at them. And he's getting more and more furious, which was just fascinating to watch this man get more and more outrageously angry. Yes, he's happy to send his men into battle, but he doesn't want them to be betrayed. And do you think Putin is like he was with the oligarch phase? Is he sitting at the top of this, playing him off against Shogu and Gerasimov? It's hard to know, you know, the internal Kremlin politics, but clearly Putin was allowing this to happen. Because now, when they start to undercut his supply chain very frequently, I don't want to say every day, but every few days, Purgozin is issuing these angry statements and getting away with it.

41:17So don't forget how Putin was so angry with his military for having failed in the war thus far. The several army chiefs who've been changed. So Putin has made the, his military very nervous because within months of failure, you're sacked and somebody else. Now he's brought in his special, Mr. Fixit on top of that. So the military is already nervous on edge, jealous, and then to add the final insult to injury after he wins this city at the cost of flattening it. The generals come in and this is according to Pagotian's own account because he starts explaining and he says they say to him, thank you very much.

42:04Job well done. You're done. Dispanding Wagner as the military unit. Your troops can they're going to be absorbed into the ranks of the Russian military. And you as a as a Wagner, no longer have an army and he loses it. That these people have been cutting him off for the end of the knees. Now move in to disband his force and take away his troops. And the next thing we know, he's marching first to Rostov, which is the headquarters of the army that has been screwing him over, and then marches up to Moscow and then stops mysteriously. So Richard, he goes crazy. He marches basically on Moscow and then he comes to a grinding halt.

42:48Yes, we want to V -Great mysteries and because this isn't over yet. He marches halfway to Moscow. He takes Rostov and then he stops. There's a fight along the way, some Russian aircraft are shot down and then he suddenly stops and he says there's a deal. I'm going to go to Belarus and I'm stopping because I never meant to threaten the state and I'm paraphrasing Progojian I was really just trying to show That I wanted these generals removed them that they're totally incompetent But my message has been delivered and now I'm withdrawing and he leaves Rostov and he's cheered presumably rigid. He was talking to Lukashenko in Belarus Because Lukashenko was absolutely doing Putin's bidding It wasn't actually a negotiator was he?

43:35This is all when we're starting now to enter into speculation. I know what happened to him and I watched this sort of evolution of pregoation from violent petty criminal to now army chief of this criminal army that has destroyed a city and then got undercut and lost his mind and then he marches into Russia and then stops and I don't know why he stopped. I don't know where he went. So he then he supposedly went to Belarus, but then the Blue Cashenko, the Belarus, says he was never there. The latest rumors are he's in St. Petersburg. I don't know. It's an evolving story. So what's going to happen to him?

44:16What's going to happen to his army? What's going to happen to his Africa Empire? And I think, frankly, that's what Putin is trying to figure out. Because if you killed a guy, okay, what are you going to do with his tens of thousands of troops who are going to be angry? And by the way, Putin needs troops right now because he's still fighting a war, the Ukrainians are in the midst of an offensive, they're getting more and more weapons. So what is he going to do with these men? So I think he's trying to figure out how to... what's the next step for him, but he's been wounded, certainly he's been wounded.

44:46So as it damaged them both, Putin and pregozion both weakened by this, or is Putin feeling a little bit stronger? This is where we're entering into what's the next phase. And do you want my My guess, my estimate of how this plays out is he still has these 25 ,000 fighters. Putin can't just take these people and shoot them all. They're war heroes to a degree. The Russian people would be outraged by that. Difficult to fold them into the ranks of the Russian military because they don't like the Russian military. They're still loyal to precaution. The Russian military wouldn't use them as troops because they put them in as bottle washes or something like that.

45:28Folding laundry and cooks, I think they would be less useful. You have 25 ,000 crack battle -hardened troops. If you're Putin, you would send them back into combat because if they get killed, well, at least they were fighting on the battlefield and maybe they took some pressure off the army and maybe a progoation has offered this chance to redeem himself through combat. And then what happens to him? I don't know a lot of people stood up to potent, you know, don't last too long. Well Richard, this has been the most amazing thing. I mean, there's so many things that we still have to get into and we may have to return to this with another conversation, another chapter.

46:07But thank you. It is extraordinary. And I think it's difficult to convey to the listeners just how much intimate experience you bring to this. Being on the front line, you back, being in Syria, being in the Central African Republic, being personally certified in this man, and the incredible insight that this gives us into the nature of Putin's regime. I mean, people often talk about it being a gangster state that to literally see a violent criminals through 10 years and penal servitude, setting up a chain of restaurants and ending up taking gold mines, oil fields, forming his own entire division basically as a Russian army and then marching on Moscow.

46:44And the question is, how did Putin not see it coming? Remember Putin? What have we seen him for COVID, the end of long, long tables in isolation. So if you're the boss of bosses, what do you have to do? You got to watch your own families. You got to watch the insiders. And I think it seems like maybe it took us eye off the ball. Well listen, maybe if Roy and I do another emergency podcast on pregoation and future, we'll get you back on, but thanks for giving us so much time and we'll put the film on, I think I learned an awful lot. I thought I knew a lot about preaching the way I appreciate it.

47:24Bye bye.

47:30So, Rory, Richard Engel, I read before we did it. I read the list of awards that he's won in his time. I think he's going to have to those. I think it was extraordinary. What maybe he didn't bring across totally, but I spent a couple of days with him and dubs in the middle of that. It's how difficult he found it to get NBC to commission it in the middle of the day. first place. I mean, the editors were like, who the hell is this guy? Progosen why are you spending all this money going to the Central African Republic and walking around Syria and all the Ukraine and all this stuff? And they were going to put it out in a very, very small way, I think, in September.

48:04And then suddenly the whole thing blew up and he was like, I've been telling you about Progosen for the last year and half and they rushed it all out, got all this stuff together and got off and we were the only people I think who got an and interview with him as it came out. So that was also an exclusive that. And I think he's also, I suspect it is one of those films that we'll get sold by NBC all around the world I would have thought, because this guy has become so central to the, what is probably the most important story in the world at the moment, the war in Ukraine. Anyway, the documentary is now on YouTube and we'll put the link in the show notes and we'll also put it in our newsletter on Friday.

48:39So listeners can have a look. And there's also a lovely thing that we can share in the newsletter, which has been an amazing analysis of Progosian's medals. Somebody's looked at his incredible, did you see that on Twitter? I did, well I saw the photograph of his jacket that was found when they raided his house and yeah he's got a lot of medals. And somebody's actually gone through them one by one, you know, sort of the star of the Central African Republic, the kind of Libyan award, the hero of Russia, that... He's quite a big figure though, isn't he? The other thing that was interesting, the only thing I really liked about it about Richard was that he didn't want to talk about things of which he didn't have direct personal experience.

49:23He kept saying, well, that would take me into the realm of speculation. And it's so refreshing for a journalist who's clearly very, very good at their job and believes that journalism is about going out there on the ground, but he only really wanted to talk about things that he had established for himself. I really, really like that. Yeah, he's also part of this strange group that you've probably seen a lot of, and I've seen a lot of, of these foreign correspondents. I remember in Afghanistan and the early days in Iraq when I was staying in hotels with journalists, I came into Libya the day after Tripoli fell.

49:55Rich had very much part of a group of people who I've seen pop up all over the world, of whom probably the, you know, one of the most famous was a woman called Mary Colvin who I was sadly killed eventually in Syria, but I used to see her with Richard in these different places, sitting around hotels and Baghdad or in Tripoli. And one underestimates the incredible risks these people are taking with their lives. I mean, they're wonderful people to be with. You jump in a car with them. They're right at the front line. They're getting these stories, but it's not funny getting pregozion directly threatening you down the phone saying he's gonna put his hand on your Adam's app.

50:33No, also, we talked before on the podcast about Schemeber and Beggum and that was because the work done by John Lloyd on the Times and look, the fact is I sometimes probably go over the top in my criticisms of the UK media because there are still some very, very, very good journalists. But what was really good about Twig Tim is that to me was a proper journalist who'd spent a long time investigating a story. As you say, struck a bit lucky in terms of timing. me, but actually is somebody who likes to establish facts for himself and then communicate them to the world, which is pretty much what news reporting should be about.

51:11Very good. Well, thank you very much. Great. Well done for getting him, and we'll see you soon.

From the publisher

From a Siberian penal colony to the gold mines of the Central African Republic, who is Yevgeny Prigozhin and how did he become one of the most famous men in Russia today?

Following Wagner's mutiny in Moscow last month, Rory and Alastair speak to chief foreign correspondent for NBC News, Richard Engel, to discover the truth behind the origins of the Wagner Group and its mysterious founder.

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