In short
British right-wing politics’ internal collapse (Conservatives vs Reform vs Restore Britain), Kemi Badenoch’s strategy of chasing populist right voters, and Andy Burnham’s challenge over prison early-release/exemptions; plus US Democratic primary politics (Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan) and climate/economic fallout from record-low Rhine river levels.
Guests/backgrounds
Rory Stewart (former UK Conservative MP; hosts). Alistair Campbell (former Labour adviser/communications figure; co-host). No other guests named in the transcript.
Key claims
The Conservatives are in “terminal decline” because they’re fighting Reform and neglecting “floating” center voters; Badenoch’s culture-war/immigration hardline and online MAGA-influenced rhetoric won’t win back centrists or Reform voters. On prisons, overcrowding is driven by longer sentences and sentence/probation failures; building new prisons is expensive/slow, so exemptions and longer-term sentencing/probation reform are needed. In Michigan, Democrats should back El-Sayed despite concerns tied to Israel/Gaza and possible voter fears. Rhine drought is catastrophic for German freight: barges can’t carry normal loads.
Notable examples
Manchester by-election where Reform/Restore outperformed expectations; Thetford/Norfolk protests involving far-right pressure on asylum seekers; Burnham seeking exemptions for killers of police officers; Rhine freight: 4/5 ships use it; Duisburg down to one-third normal; barges reduced by two-thirds load.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOThe Conservative Party's Decline
0:00 to 1:25
Explore the severe challenges facing the Conservative Party in Britain.
“We spend an enormous amount of time asking what's happening to Labour, but I wonder if the stranger story in British politics isn't what's happening to the right.”
The Crisis of the Right-Wing Politics
5:00 to 8:02
Discussion on the fragmentation within the British right and emerging parties.
“We had a lot of questions about what's happening, not just to the Tory party, but on the right of British politics more generally.”
Leadership and Future of the Conservatives
8:02 to 12:30
Examine Kemi Badenok's leadership strategy and its implications.
“Yeah, well, that's why I guess we might as well start by looking at leadership.”
Farage and the Right-Wing Fracture
12:30 to 14:02
Analyze Nigel Farage's strategies and the dynamics within right-wing factions.
“And by the other point I was going to make, I saw an interesting poll that was testing the reliability of all the party's supporters who say that they're going to vote for party A or party B.”
Farage's Strategic Dilemma
14:02 to 18:12
Exploration of Nigel Farage's electoral strategy and its implications.
“Whereas probably strategically what he should be doing is reaching further into the more moderate conservative vote.”
Culture Wars vs Economic Growth
18:12 to 23:11
Discussion on Kemi Baden-Ock's focus on culture wars over economic issues.
“You also mentioned Gavin Barwell, somebody less well-known, a guy called Joshua Bonehill-Payne, who had been convicted for an anti-Semitic campaign that he'd been running against Luciana Berger.”
The Center Ground of British Politics
23:11 to 27:35
Analysis of the divide in British politics and the potential for centrist candidates.
“So Sam Friedman's written a Substack article on it where he's done research into what he calls the centre ground of British politics.”
Prison Reform and Political Challenges
27:35 to 28:00
Discussion on the challenges of prison reform and government responses.
“Alistair, just before we go to the break, there was a really interesting question.”
The Challenges of Prison Reform
28:00 to 36:10
Discusses the overcrowding of prisons and the complexities of reforming the justice system.
“One of them is actually about reoffending.”
Analyzing Michigan's Democratic Primary
36:10 to 42:00
Examines Abdul El-Sayed's win in the Michigan Democratic primary and the implications for the party's future.
“what's going on in Michigan in the Democratic primary and also Rory, I don't know if you've been following the story about Anthony Albanese and a pair of giant melons.”
Show all 16 chapters
The Importance of Democratic Messaging in Elections
42:00 to 46:02
Explore the dynamics of Democratic strategies in upcoming elections and their potential pitfalls.
“So is what they're mostly worried about that the swing voters are going to think the Democratic Party is too radical, even if their views in European political context seem pretty mainstream?”
The Rhine's Crisis and Its Economic Implications
46:02 to 49:49
Understand the impact of low water levels in the Rhine on trade and the German economy.
“and then you're going to tell us about your melons.”
The Melon Diplomacy: A Cultural Exchange
49:49 to 53:39
Delve into the story of a unique diplomatic gift involving a melon exchanged between leaders.
“absolutely exacerbated by and so the glaciers once the glaciers melt it means they can't do it year after year after year which is what's happened before so the water's gone lower and lower and lower.”
Cultural Significance of Gifts
56:00 to 58:36
Explore the cultural implications of gift-giving, particularly in Japan.
“It goes back, I think, to at least the 1600s.”
Personal Gift Stories
58:36 to 1:02:30
Hosts share personal anecdotes about gifts they've received and their significance.
“But it just shows you be very, very careful about gifts.”
Jam and Mental Health
1:02:30 to 1:04:25
Discuss the importance of jam and its connection to mental health and nostalgia.
“It's squash courts, it's a swimming pool, it's a great library, it's a great school.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Rory Stewart:We spend an enormous amount of time asking what's happening to Labour, but I wonder if the stranger story in British politics isn't what's happening to the right. Two years ago, the Conservative Party suffered their worst defeat in modern history. And then things have just got worse. Reform overtook them, it stayed ahead, and at points the Conservatives have been projected to drop below 100 seats in a 650-seat parliament, with reform getting significantly more seats. What do they do? Well, that's one of the questions in the episode today. Kemi Badenok has decided that the answer is to move closer to reform, to become tougher on immigration, tougher on culture wars, and try to get back those voters.
0:45Rory Stewart:But meanwhile, she's abandoned what I think would be the much more interesting constituency, a very large number of people in the centre, floating voters who are going to be increasingly alienated if Kemmi Baden-Ock starts chasing reform? Or is there perhaps an even more tragic problem, which is the Conservatives may not be able to win back the reform voters and they also may not be able to win back the centrists. In other words, they're in terminal decline, a story that we've seen again and again across Europe.
1:25Rory Stewart:This episode is brought to you by NordVPN. There's a trade-off with modern technology. As it advances, our lives become more convenient, but they also become more exposed. And I don't know about you, Rick. I find it exhausting because you spend so much time worrying about spam calls, data tracking. You don't quite know to trust. That's, I think, why NordVPN app isn't just about hiding your IP address. It's now a broader digital defence with built-in next-gen antivirus, anti-tracking, scam call filtering and anti-malware. And all quietly operating in the background. So we don't all, even if we want to, have to become cybersecurity experts.
2:04It's the ultimate tool for navigating the modern internet agreeably and safely.
2:09Rory Stewart:That's quite a tribute, Alice, from you, who we often see as a bit of a tribute act to the analogue world. To get the best discount off your NordVPN plan, go to nordvpn.com slash RestisPolitics. The link is in the episode description. For adults with Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis symptoms, every choice matters. Tramphia offers self-injection or intravenous infusion from the start. Tramphia is administered as injections under the skin or infusions through a vein every four weeks, followed by injections under the skin every four or eight weeks. If your doctor decides that you can self-inject Tremphaya, proper training is required.
2:50Tremphaya is a prescription medicine used to treat adults with moderately to severely active Crohn's disease and adults with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis. Serious allergic reactions, increased risk of infections or lower ability to fight them, and liver problems may occur. Before treatment, get checked for infections and tuberculosis. Tell your doctor if you have an infection, flu-like symptoms, or need a vaccine. Explore what's possible. Ask your doctor about Trimphia today. Call 1-800-526-7736 to learn more or visit trimphiaradio.com. This episode is powered by Fuse Energy.
3:27Changing your energy supplier should be fairly straightforward, yet many of us still put it off even when we might be paying more than we need to.
3:36Rory Stewart:It becomes one of those jobs we know we should do, but never quite get around to. Switching energy suppliers always manage to somehow get pushed to the bottom of the to-do list. And it's probably because we think the process is going to be really, really complicated. But with Fuse, switching takes you just three minutes, so roughly about as long as it takes you to make a cup of coffee. And with 24-7 support to guide you through the switch, it's easy to break away from your old supplier, leave that expensive tariff, get a first start. Right now, Fuse Energy's tariffs are up to£100 below the off-gem price cap, so stop overpaying out of habit.
4:11Switch to Fuse Energy in just three minutes, get TripPlus for free with the code POLITICS at FuseEnergy.com slash politics.
4:19Rory Stewart:Visit FuseEnergy.com for full terms and conditions.
4:30Rory Stewart:Welcome to the Restless Politics Question Time with me, Rory Stewart. And me, Alistair Campbell. And Rory, today we are going to be talking a lot about your former party, the Tories, but also the threat they're facing from other right-wing parties like Reform and Restore Britain. We're going to talk about Andy Burnham's first real big challenge, which is prisoner release. We're going to talk about US politics after Abdul El-Sayed has become the nominee for the Democratic Party in Michigan. We're going to talk about catastrophe in the River Rhine. And you're going to tell me about a new gift that you found for me.
5:03We had a lot of questions about what's happening, not just to the Tory party, but on the right of British politics more generally. And Sarah asks this, why is the British right seemingly tearing itself apart? At the very moment, Andy Burnham's ascendancy is giving Labour a boost. Will there be an electoral pact between the parties of the right or have these various feuds become intractable?
5:25Rory Stewart:Let's start with the big existential question. So the first question is, what is the British right? And this really matters because normally if you are, for example, James Johnson from JLA Partners, who's been one of the guys that has really been advising the Conservatives to try to be more like reform, he would say that the way that you count right wing voters is you add the reform voters, Nigel Farage, Restore, which is Rupert Lowe's smaller fringe party and the conservative voters, and those are the people to play for. I think they are forgetting a much more important fourth group of potential right-wing voters, which are the people in the old centre, floating voters who could vote conservative if instead of chasing reform, they began getting themselves back to a more sensible pitch.
6:11Rory Stewart:But so long as they're stuck in this cage fight, fighting over those voters, and the figures go up and down, and reform is weaker than it was a few months ago, but it's still in most polls ahead of the Conservatives, you're generally looking at something like 22 % for reform, maybe 20 % for the Conservatives, and Rupert Lowe coming in, who knows, 5%, 6%. That's a pretty substantial, or exciting block in some ways, if you just put maths together, because you're looking at sort of 47 % of the British public that you're fighting for. And the answer to why are they fighting like rats in a sack? Well, it's existential survival.
6:53Rory Stewart:I mean, the conservatives are now, and this was the European analogy, and it's one that you can explain much better to listeners than I can. But what we saw in France, what we saw in Italy, what we saw in the Netherlands, and maybe to some extent what we may be about to see in Germany, is that their equivalents of these huge governing center-right machines, you know, the party tradition that in France produced everything from de Gaulle all the way through to Chirac and Sarkozy, vanished, right? Or the Italian equivalent, which produced people like Andriotti that dominated Italian politics for decades vanished.
7:33Rory Stewart:So the real question for the conservatives is, is this a temporary blip? Is it like what happened to them when you were in office 97, 2001, which is they have very few seats, but they eventually rebuild and come back again in 2010, 2015, 2019, 2017 with victories? Or is this actually something much more like what we're seeing across Europe, which is that the center-right is an impossible position, that the populist right is never coming back, and the centrists are never going to trust them again. Yeah, well, that's why I guess we might as well start by looking at leadership. Because when we talked to Johnny Mercer on leading this week, he was very clear that somebody from a military non-political background never voted in his life until he became an MP, was largely inspired to become a Tory and try to become an MP, because he was really impressed by David Cameron.
8:26And what he was trying to do with the Conservative Party, David Cameron was trying to signal going much closer to the sort of vision of the Tory party that you've just set out. I have felt since she became leader that Kemi Badenok has not been taking that decision. On the contrary, as you say, she's thinking, right, well, the votes on the right are going to Nigel Farage. They're going some of them to Rupert Lowe's Restore Britain party. I've got to worry about getting them back. I don't think her strategy is doing that. I think the parts of her strategy that are working better are that she's tough.
9:02She's tough. She seems to know what she stands for. I think she's recently been much better in Parliament than she has been for a while. I was interested that she went halfway towards meeting Andy Burnham and saying, okay, yeah, let's maybe talk about this, but you mustn't dare put up taxes and you mustn't dare increase borrowing. I wonder whether she's slightly starting to move as well on net zero. There'd be some straws in the wind on that. Two Daily Telegraph columnists now, and there's one paper, as you know, that the Tory party tends to read. It's the Daily Telegraph, maybe the Daily Mail and the Times as well.
9:39And so I think there are straws in the wind that she's maybe tacking.
9:43Rory Stewart:Sorry, explain to me and listeners what's happening on net zero, because the story was that a loyalty test had been put in place that you could only run to be a Tory MP in the future if you committed to leaving the European Convention on Human Rights and you rejected net zero, which seemed to be a very strong loyalty test to driving out people who were more on the centre, more left wing of the party. No, when I talk about straws in the wind, I didn't mean that Kemi Baynot was changing her position, but the politics inside the Tory party was changing. If you've got two pretty high-profile columnists in the Daily Telegraph and an editorial writer essentially saying, this climate crisis is real, we've got to face up to the damage that's being done, I can see that position moving.
10:21But as things stand, you're right, if you analyze just the broad politics of it, she's pretty much staying in a very right wing, tacking reform and restore as she goes. Now, one of the reasons she might be doing that is, I mean, polls, they come and they go, but you've got to spot the trends. Reformers lost about six points in the last 12 months. Okay. It's favorability, that's those in favor, those against, doing a good job, doing a bad job is now the worst of all the major parties. Okay. So, and the Conservatives are on 30 % favourable. That's their best since October 2021. By the way, I wouldn't necessarily look at Restore as fringe in that, yes, they're on about 4 % and that's pretty small.
11:11But if you look at what they had in the Makerfield by-election and the Greater Manchester mayoral by-election, And when it came to real votes, they did better than people expected. And they did it in a way that damaged reform.
11:24Rory Stewart:And also was catastrophic for the Tories. I mean, let's just take that Manchester thing. They beat the Tories. Yeah, well, the Tories, I mean, maybe patting themselves on the back. But one of the strange things is that although Kemi Baden-Lock's net popularity has done well, and people are admiring PMQs, it's having very, very little effect on how the Tories are polling nationally. It's barely moving the dial. I mean, they're barely moving off 20%. These reform-restore voters are actually drifting, if anywhere, back to Labour. They're not drifting to the Conservatives. And this is one of the biggest cities in the United Kingdom.
11:59Rory Stewart:The Tories used to be in play for Manchester. One of the reasons why George Osborne, who was a Manchester MP, put so much money into Manchester is that he saw it as part of his Northern Powerhouse dream. The Tories came fifth, fifth in the election, 7.7 % of the vote. So the latest data is this is a party which whatever, you know, the chattering class seems to have got increasingly excited by the leader of the Conservative Party, but look at the raw numbers. This is a party in existential crisis. Listen, I think that's right. And by the other point I was going to make, I saw an interesting poll that was testing the reliability of all the party's supporters who say that they're going to vote for party A or party B.
12:45And Restore had the highest. So if you say you're voting Restore, your commitment to that is higher than it is even for Farage's voters voting before. Now, what does that say? So the serious question talks about these fractures feuds, and that's kind of what it feels like. and there is a nastiness about right-wing politics you see that when it comes out in violence as often it does on the sort of Tommy Robinson marches but you see in the language all the time I mean Zia Yusuf seems to think he's a kind of modern day Norman Tebbit but Norman Tebbit had real politics and real political skills as well as being able to put the boot in very effectively but I think there's something there's something about the way they relate to each other John John Sweeney's just written this book that I read last weekend.
13:34I mentioned the real, I think it's called The Real Nigel Farage. And a lot of it is about how he finds it really difficult to maintain relationships. So Rupert Lowe, he has become the leader of his own party, Restore Britain, because he fell out with Nigel Farage. He was elected as a Reform UK MP. I think even though Rupert Lowe is kind of pretending to sort of say we must get together, he's doing so on conditions that make it virtually impossible for that to happen.
14:01Rory Stewart:There's an interesting question there strategically for Farage, which is I was talking to someone who's very close to Farage, who was saying that the risk is, electorally, that Farage is getting too obsessed with Rupert Lowe, that Rupert Lowe's really got into his head, and that this has put him on tilt, because it means that Farage is increasingly worrying about shoring up his right wing. Whereas probably strategically what he should be doing is reaching further into the more moderate conservative vote. If he wants to actually have the majority and end up as prime minister, he shouldn't be chasing Rupert Lowe.
14:36Rory Stewart:What he should actually be doing is reassuring some of Kemi Baden-Ock's supporters and getting more of them back on. The problem for both Baden-Ock and Farage is that chasing restore voters, and Kemi Baden-Ock, I'm afraid is doing more of this than people understand. She's spending a lot of time online. And a lot of that time online is following and reading MAGA-influenced stuff, which, you know, people talking about suicidal empathy and a lot of the right-wing chat that Musk loves. There's a speech that's on her website, which she gave in December, which is really interesting because it shows you that the thing that really gets Kimi Bedenog out of bed in the morning isn't the economy.
15:22Rory Stewart:And this is why I think they're making a mistake. I mean, Prosper UK, which is David Gawke, Andy Street, the traditional conservatism, I believe, and is all about the economy, right? They would be saying that the real response to the problem that Britain's in is not culture wars. It would be trying to be pro-business and grow the economy. And that that's actually Labour's weakest point, that Andy Burnham hasn't made it clear that he really gets how to generate economic growth. I mean, we disagree about that, but anyway, that would be the position, not culture wars. She is not really very interested in that.
15:55Rory Stewart:Where she gets passionate is when she starts talking about left-wing ideologues, freedoms under threat, the radical left undermining our culture, undermining our institution, liberalism has been hacked, radical green leftism. I'm quoting all this stuff from her own speech. And here's another question. What is Kemi Baden-Ock doing? We talked about her knocking out Gavin Barwell. That just seems nasty. It doesn't seem to, you know, she might say that it's rebranding the Tory party and making it more acceptable to the voters. I'm very fond of Gavin Barwell, but he's not a household name. It's not going to make a massive difference to the way that the public perceive it.
16:38Rory Stewart:Why is she not letting Grant Shapps run? is she letting Penny Mordent back on the candidates list? Now, the reason I'm asking these questions is these people, she doesn't disagree with their policies. I think she's worried that they're actually threats to her, that she doesn't want big beasts re-entering her orbit. And the final thing I'd say is that chasing the Rupert Lowe populist votes isn't just about parties that are nasty at their centre. It's about a very, very toxic voter group. you really do not want to redesign all your policies around that group firstly you're not going to win them over or if you do as boris johnson did in 2019 you can't keep them because they are so viriently angry anti-establishment outraged with the government that you can't build a stable coalition on the back of those people and the things they're demanding are incredibly unpleasant and incredibly damaging for the british economy right she's already chasing She announced 230 ,000 foreigners were going to have to leave their council homes and they were going to leave them in six months, at which point reform says, oh, no, it'll be three months.
17:47Rory Stewart:That's a classic example of the kind of traps you get yourself into once you start playing these games. And that happened in the middle of these protests going on in Thetford and Norfolk, where far-right thugs, I would call them, were literally going around the homes of people they said were asylum seekers and trying to force them out of their homes. So she's got to be very careful, I think, I'm with you on this, not to get involved in that. You also mentioned Gavin Barwell, somebody less well-known, a guy called Joshua Bonehill-Payne, who had been convicted for an anti-Semitic campaign that he'd been running against Luciana Berger.
18:25And he stood down as a local candidate, but not before she had okayed that going on. And even though she then accepted he should stand down as a candidate, he's now advising her Commission on Culture and Integration. As you say, very odd signs that she's sending out. This point about nastiness, though, I saw a tweet this morning about Zia Yusuf. And somebody said, it must be absolutely exhausting to be so angry and so nasty all the time. This is on the back of Zia Yusuf calling Ben Wallace, your former colleague and a former Tory cabinet minister, calling him a moron because he disagreed with something that reform was saying.
19:06and the other thing that they do a lot is they call anybody who disagrees with them traitors i had the traitor treatment a few months ago from from rupert lowe i can't remember what it
19:16Rory Stewart:was i'd done that was so and i i get it from dominic cummings yeah exactly and elon musk is always calling people traitors he was at it this week with uh i can't remember somebody in france that i saw you saying you're a traitor in mind he's always an italian and zannie minton beddo is the editor of the economist she was a traitor because she gave him a bit of a tough time in in an interview and i had another touch of the the rupert loan astiners this week he did this just jaw-droppingly bad interview with nick robinson of the bbc during which this is how mad this stuff is so rory let me ask you a straightforward question your friend king charles is he a white britain can you answer that question for me is he a white britain Well, I suppose so, yeah.
20:02Yes, he's a white Briton. Rupert Lowe could not bring himself to answer that question. Why could he not answer that question? Because Matt Goodwin, aka Bad Loss, he wrote a report which Rupert Lowe was quoting to justify his prediction the date at which Britain would become a non-white majority country, okay? All part of the sort of great replacement theory that these people spew out all over the place. So Nick Robinson was aware that Badlos' calculation required that you were not a white Briton if one or both of your parents were not born in the United Kingdom. Well, as you know, your friend King Charles' father was born in Greece.
20:45Rory Stewart:And I wasn't born in the United Kingdom. I was born in Hong Kong. So am I not a white Briton? Nor was Boris Johnson, and nor were Nigel Farage's children's mother. So this is why this thing is so mad but Rupert Lowe could not bring himself to say Charles is a white Briton he said well you can split hairs about that no you can't he's a white Briton just admit it okay if Charles fills in a census white Britain tick Christian tick okay yeah now somebody then puts up and of course as I keep saying to you you have pulled me into this disagree agreeably thing I've actually written my column in the new world about this how i lapse i lapse when i go on social media so somebody said how would you describe rupert lowe in a word and i just put i'm sitting there idly and i was watching the cricket or something i just put musk puppet ah clever i like it i said it was okay it wasn't that clever but it was okay sock puppet musk puppet exactly exactly exactly musk puppet And also, it was later proven because his response to me, which I shall tell you in a moment, I hope your children aren't listening.
21:54And because the Elon Musk platform says we've got to get behind Rupert Lowe, he's the future in Britain, had tens of thousands of likes in no time at all. His reply to me was, and I think you're a despicable piece of shit. Now, he's entitled to think that.
22:10Rory Stewart:But that's taken to a different level from Musk puppet, isn't it? It also reveals a thinness of the skin that is kind of off the scale. And then we saw Richard Tice, not the same party. He's one of Nigel Farage's puppets. He said he's getting a few difficult questions over all this money stuff going. And George Cottrell, the author of the money laundering book, Post George and Farage's money and George's mum and all this nonsense. Richard Tice, the coverage of whom I barely noticed, if I'm being absolutely frank, out here in sunny France. He does an interview where he says, I'm being treated by the mainstream media worse than murderers, rapists and paedophiles.
22:52And I thought, oh, what level of projection is this? This is crazy stuff. But what it says to me is this is politics for them. It's just being nasty to each other.
Read the full transcript
23:04Rory Stewart:Let me finish off this segment with a more positive vision. So I talked about Prosper UK and this work is being done to try to rebuild the centre ground of British politics. And there's been some amazing research. So Sam Friedman's written a Substack article on it where he's done research into what he calls the centre ground of British politics. And what he defines by the centre ground is the group of people who would consider floating, consider changing their vote. And what he finds basically is British politics is divided into three thirds. There are people who are always going to vote left, there are people who are always going to vote right, and then, surprisingly, there's almost a third of people who are floating voters.
23:46Rory Stewart:And he also finds that the left and the right are much more similar than you'd think compared to the center. The left and the right tend to be whiter, older, in favor of retaining the triple lock, more exercised about immigration, generally more socially conservative. The center ground turns out to be younger, more professional, more educated, often more prosperous, happy to let the triple lock pension guarantee go. Interestingly, less worried about business, less worried about AI, more positive about business, more positive about AI, less worried about immigration, positive about Europe, but also positive about Britain engaging globally, more international, less white, more ethically mixed.
24:34Rory Stewart:And this is the group which is all to play for. This is the space that some parties should be occupying. Not a space the Lib Dems can possibly occupy. They haven't really worked out the language to speak to them. it's a space that Andy Burnham can reach into and I think that you know one of the things that he's really good at is for the first time seeming normal thoughtful intelligent relatable it's a huge improvement but I think he's going to struggle to actually come across as pro-business entrepreneurial for this group and this is where I think the conservative party has gone completely wrong.
25:10Rory Stewart:They're never getting back those reform voters. Well, at least 15 % of the British public is going to remain out on the populist far right, and they're never coming back to the Tories. There is this whole group there where if you could produce an Andy Burnham-like figure, so somebody who was relatable, intelligent, who people trusted, but who seemed a little bit more pro-business friendly, a little bit more serious about economic growth, there's a huge number of voters to hoover up. And that's the opportunity that's being missed. I did a little bit of scribbling with my kind of, you know, still trying to think like a strategist hat on.
25:47And I was trying to work out of these three parties of the right, how they should view each other. And I came up with this. I think what reform can with some justification say to the Tories is we have already replaced you and it's not even close. You were nowhere in the Welsh elections. You were nowhere in the Scottish elections. we were ahead of you in both and England is our base anyway okay so that's quite a good line of attack well the Conservatives I think Baden-Lock's approach to them should be you guys are unelectable you could not run the country we're becoming electable again that's got to be her long-term strategy and I think Restore if I were Rupert Lowe rather than sort of sit there thinking how best to abuse, you know, random podcasters, I think he should be focusing on Farage becoming like a very standard politician.
26:42He then becomes the kind of, you know, the insurgent. Because if you look at this, this scandal stuff, it's really interesting how they're handling it in exactly the same way as you and I have seen Labour and Tory politicians handle scandals. You know, it's not quite wait for Sue Gray, but it's an establishment stitch up. Everybody's out to get us. Let's wait for this. Let's wait for that. And so I think if Restore Britain were to say to reform, you are now just another, you talk about the uni party, you're part of it. You're part of it. We're the real radical outsider. That's my free advice, Rupert.
27:17I may be a despicable piece of shit, but it doesn't mean that I can't think strategically about your positioning. And I think it would improve markedly if you maybe thought a little bit more deeply about the future of the country, not just your own. There's another free bit of advice.
27:35Rory Stewart:Alistair, just before we go to the break, there was a really interesting question. Elka, given the difficulties around the early release scheme, practically speaking, why haven't governments generally built a few new prisons? And Dominique from London, about questions about women's prisons. But the key here, I guess, as I hand over to you, is that Sir David Gawke did this report in which he argued for early release from prisons. And he made a number of arguments. One of them is actually about reoffending. And one of them, of course, is the fact that our prisons are absolutely chock full. And unless we start releasing people from prison, there's simply not going to be any room to accommodate any prisoners.
28:17Rory Stewart:And Andy Burnham stepped into this. He's tried to push back on it. We're actually speaking today when Today Program was announced that he was going to ask for the killers of a police officer to be exempted from this scheme. And it's becoming a really live issue for reform and conservatives. Many issues, but over to you. So, Rory, you mentioned Dominique's question, which I thought was really interesting. She talks about this early release scheme scandal. She then says, I believe there are about a dozen dedicated women's prisons in the UK. Could the more dangerous women be moved to occupy fewer of them so that the remaining empty prisons could potentially house male prisoners?
28:55Women are far less likely to commit violent or sexual crimes. Children would benefit, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. I think, you know, I hope that kind of thing is being thought of. Look, this is turning up to be, turning out to be Andy Burnham's really first big, he's had a pretty good honeymoon so far, but this is going to be very, very difficult. Difficult politics, difficult reality in terms of security. But the truth is, the question why we haven't built prisons is because it's so bloody expensive and it takes so long. And one of the reasons why prisons are so full is because, again, partly because of politics and populist campaigning, people are in jail for longer.
29:33We've got this very extraordinary thing where crime is falling, but the prison population is rising. It's doubled in the past 30 years. And that's largely down to getting longer sentences at Crown Courts. Now, Keir Starmer, and when we were talking about the Tories earlier, Rory, I think one of the things Kimmy Baden-Ock could do and should do is admit that some of this is absolutely on their watch. The way that Chris Philp is trying to project this, he's the shadow home affairs guy for the Tories, trying to project this as a sort of Andy Burnham created crisis. I think it makes it worse for the Tories.
30:14That's what then opens the space for Farage to come up with this nonsense about we're going to send them all to El Salvador or Albania and all that stuff he came out with at his latest press conference that most of the media covered live in full, which they never do for most party leaders. Brackets. So I just feel this is a real issue, but I think this is a place where Andy Burnham is going to have to hold firm, Yes, look for exemptions. Yes, look to sort of the most obvious cases that people are going to get very offended by. But at the same time, there's a long-term practical solution that has to be put in place, which is about sentencing.
30:50It's about prison population. It's about probation service in crisis. And until those things are addressed over the long term, we're going to keep coming back to this. Keir Starmer used to talk about sticking plaster politics. If we're not careful, this becomes the definition of sticking plaster politics.
31:07Rory Stewart:Yeah, and the problems that we're facing are pretty fundamental. I mean, I was the prisons minister, so I was right in the heart of this question of capacity building new prisons. I mean, the first thing is when people talk about prisons being overcrowded, they're already massively overcrowded. We're already keeping two prisoners in cells which the Victorians built for one. And these prisons, particularly a lot of the locals, are frequently in horrendous conditions. If you read the inspection reports, they are filthy, the windows are broken, which is the key to the drones thing that we were talking about in the last episode.
31:47Rory Stewart:I mean, the truth of the matter is there is absolutely no reason for there to be any problem with drones in prisons. I mean, there's a mad world in which everyone gets excited by drones and, you know, are we going to laser drones? Liz Truss had dogs barking at drones. But the truth of the matter is the prison is a guarded compound. There's only two ways of getting stuff in it, and it goes in through the gate or it goes over the wall. And the way in which most people were getting things off drones is sticking their hands out the window. Well, you shouldn't be able to stick your hands out of a window in a prison.
32:17Rory Stewart:These windows don't open, right? And the only reason you stick your hands out the window is you've broken the window. In other words, you've broken the window, nobody's inspected your window, and nobody's fixed the window, and nobody's punished you for breaking the window. So that goes back to one of the fundamentals when we're talking about prison places and drones and all this kind of thing, there's a real problem with the way in which we've actually built the culture and the systems in the prison service. Being a prison officer is really tough, right? It's like some combination of a police officer, a social worker, a teacher, a security guard, all rolled into one.
32:51Rory Stewart:These should be well-paid, well-trained jobs with the proper training college, proper morale, proper monitoring, so that you actually know your prisoners, you're keeping these things clean, tidy, well inspected, the windows fixed. That's where I'd begin, the culture of the prison officers. Now, the second question is this question about how many people were putting in prison. It's terrible, right? When David Gork was the Secretary of State of Justice, and I was the prisons minister, we had everybody, Labour, conservatives, every MP you can imagine, wandering in trying to get longer sentences, usually called after an individual.
33:28Rory Stewart:Mungo's Law, Hamish's Law, Angus's Law, which usually meant some terrible tragedy had happened. An infant had been killed. They might have been run over by a speeding driver, or they might have been the victims of domestic abuse. And the demand was for longer sentences for that crime. And when David and I were in, we said no to all those requests, because it's the longest sentences which drive the system into crisis. As soon as we left, a more right-wing government under Boris Johnson came in, Dominic Raab, and they started extending these sentences. Then Keir Starmer started playing this game.
34:04Rory Stewart:You remember when he was campaigning against Rishi Sunak, he started putting out social media coverage saying, Rishi Sunak believes that people who are guilty of sexual assault should not be sent to prison. I will change that. So he was signaling a few thousand people who judges have determined had not committed, once you looked at the context of that sexual assault, something that required them to go to prison. And he was committing to another 6 ,000 people going into prisons. That was somebody who was a lawyer coming from the left. So the cumulative change, and this is about populist politics from the left and from the right, Andy Burnham's playing into this too, right?
34:43Rory Stewart:In the end, Starmer decided to bring in David Gore and try to get a relatively technocratic solution to this. And of course, Burnham senses this isn't popular. Well, there's two things you can do. You can either build many, many, many more prisons and where are you going to build them? Well, and also seven billion, seven billion good-a-whack. Absolutely, incredibly expensive, very unpopular with the communities near which they're built. Or you can reduce sentence length. The reason why we have many more people in prison than in the Netherlands, where the Netherlands actually offering us prison places because they're not using, although they were because they weren't using their prisons.
35:17Rory Stewart:But that's because the politicians have been prepared to have a row with the public. It's not that the Dutch voter wants people to have short sentences. It's that Dutch politicians have recognised that the only way of controlling this is shorter sentences. And then the final thing, which is much, much better community sentences and probation and looking after people when they leave prison so that we don't have this mad situation where 70 % of people on short sentences re-offend and return to prison again. 50 % of all prisoners re-offend and return to prison. So a lot of these numbers are just about the fact that we're not remotely looking after people when they leave prison.
35:54Rory Stewart:So there's an endless cycle effect where they're all going back again, whereas places like Sweden have much, much lower re-offending rates. Yeah, we're agreeing agreeably and violently about this one, but we have done for some time. It's a long, long, long battle to win with political and public opinion. Let's take a break and then when we come back, talk about what's going on with the River Rhine, what's going on in Michigan in the Democratic primary and also Rory, I don't know if you've been following the story about Anthony Albanese and a pair of giant melons. That sounds like you've got all Benny Hill on me but I look forward to hearing about that.
36:27Rory Stewart:Okay, back from the break. See you soon. See you, bye bye.
36:40Rory Stewart:Welcome back to the Restless Politics Question Time with me, Rory Stewart. And me, Alistair Campbell. So Alistair, listen, having covered the fight in Maine against Susan Collins, we're now looking at the Michigan Democratic primary. So what are your thoughts, this is Leila's question, on Abdul El-Sayed's win in the Michigan Democratic primary? How should sensible Democrats approach DSA encroachment in the party? So Michigan, this is Detroit, this is the great old industrial Rust Belt. This is somewhere that became a key question because this is where one of the great democrat governors gretchen wittner is located and it was a key battleground for trump and it isn't the candidate that gretchen wittner wanted to win it's not the conventional candidate one but a man called abdul al-sayed over to you well i can't quite work out why there seems to be such angst about this guy um now look i can see that for some people he might come across as very abrasive.
37:41He gives a sense of always having to be the cleverest guy in the room, which is what you always say about my friend Emmanuel Macron. But I think there's something very exciting about him. This is an absolutely 50-50 state, so it's a very, very big choice. And I think the Democratic Party is making a mistake in the debate having happened, the victory having been secured, now having this soul searching about whether it's the right move or not. Get behind the guy, for God's sake. And what's, what's, what's,
38:14Rory Stewart:sorry, just, just to try to understand what the, the issue here is. So on the surface, he seems like a real kind of amazing candidate. He was a high school sports star and wrestling champion. He got a fully funded scholarship to university, then got a Rhodes scholarship to Oriel College, Oxford. He returned, He became the youngest ever public health official at the age of 30, where he seemed to make huge progress on public health in Michigan. He's a charismatic, good-looking, sporty doctor. Is it more than the fact that he's been very critical of Israel? What is it that he's done? I mean, he's obviously of Egyptian ancestry.
38:53Rory Stewart:He's got an Egyptian academic father. What is it that he's supposed to have done that makes everybody so shocked? Why are they all treating him as though Jeremy Corbyn's suddenly been elected? Well, I'm guessing a lot of it is about Israel, because he had tens of millions spent against him. He was outspent. See, I think this is an incredibly exciting thing. Part of his message was money out of politics, money in your pocket, Medicare for all. That's a really good democratic message, if you ask me. and the money that was spent against him a lot of it by AIPAC and I guess that is frightening some people because these Israeli supporting groups are very very important to democratic funding but I think it's incredibly exciting that he won that ticket and he won it and by the way we talk about strategic framing and messaging he was going to big rallies and big events and they were reciting his message back at him that's when you know it's cutting through and it speaks to the three big issues.
39:53What do people keep saying they're concerned about? Affordability, money in your pocket. Corruption under Trump, money out of politics. Future of health, Medicare for all. It's a brilliant message, if you ask me. Now, so I'm afraid, look, I don't know, Rory, I'm not in America as much as you. I don't follow it maybe as closely as you do. I can't help thinking a lot of this is just straightforward racism or fear of racism, fear that electing somebody called Abdul with a wife who wears a headscarf and who is absolutely open about his belief that the American politics is on the wrong side of the argument on Gaza.
40:31I think it's that.
40:32Rory Stewart:It's a really interesting one, isn't it? Because he's not Graham Plattner with his neo-Nazi appearing tattoo and his history of allegations of sexual abuse who had to resign out of the main race. This is a much more clean cut, successful, professional figure. Maybe people are drawing analogies with Mamdani, who's also a highly educated, strong critic of Israel, who's seen as being on the far progressive left. Medicare for all is considered very, very controversial. In the UK context, that's the National Health Service. So we're less likely to think that's the most radical proposal anyone's ever come up with.
41:10Rory Stewart:But it is, I suppose, if we're serious about it for a second, I don't know whether he's a good symbol of it, but the way in which people would conjure it and why they'd be interested in your view or surprised at the view you're taking is that when we interviewed on leading, for example, the Connecticut congressman who made a very powerful argument, indeed, the Massachusetts congressman who made a very powerful argument, both of them, for the importance of the Democratic Party returning to the center. The fight seems to be, does the Democratic Party energize itself by reaching for the Bernie Sanders left and pushing for the turnout and running the risk that moderate voters begin to see the Democratic Party as being, what was it, woke, weak, and I don't know, what was the third thing they were supposed to be?
42:01Rory Stewart:I can't remember. Woke, weak, out of work. I don't know what the thing was anyway. Oh, go woke, go broke. What was it? Yeah, exactly. Woke, weak, and broke. So is what they're mostly worried about that the swing voters are going to think the Democratic Party is too radical, even if their views in European political context seem pretty mainstream? Or is the fear that actually, if you try to trim too much and head too much into the centre, don't speak for your members' real views on Gaza, don't speak for their real views on inequality, medical care, etc. You're just not going to get the turnout and you're going to lose by default.
42:39Yeah, well, I guess that is the fear, but I think it displays a lack of confidence in their own values and their own beliefs. That's the argument that's going to be run against him. Trump is already out. Trump has said he's a communist loser who hates Jews and Israel. OK, so that's how they're going to fight this. That's how the Republicans are going to fight this guy. This thing about communism. Now, you and I know that he's not a communist. OK, he is. You talked about Jeremy Corbyn. I mean, most left-wing American politicians are not as left-wing as most European left-wing politicians. I think what he has to do is authentically show that the nature of that campaign he fought to be the nominee learns the lessons, good and bad, from how he won it.
43:30Now, to be fair, I think he's already doing that. He's already talked a little bit about he thinks he went over the top in some of his attacks on his opponent. He said at one point, she's the worst possible candidate you could imagine. He said he wishes he hadn't said that. But my sense of him, it's a bit like when we talk about Mamdani, and I know New York's different, but when you're trying to win a campaign like this, which is so important to the bigger picture, this is why I don't understand. I saw one guy who's a sort of moderate Democrat. He was talking about the war that we face ahead. We've got a war ahead.
44:00This isn't a war. This is about this guy winning on a platform that most Democrats ought to be able to support in a seat that is unbelievably important. Why is this seat so important? Because Rogers, who is now his opponent, Trump won Michigan by one point from Kamala Harris. Democrats last time around won the seat by 0.5%.
44:28Rory Stewart:It's so close. I'm interrupting. And just to explain to the very basics, what the Democrats are trying to do is defend a Democrat-held seat, not win a Republican, because the Democrat senator is retiring after three terms. Correct. That says to me, regardless of what you actually think, I'm afraid, once this race is run and this guy is the candidate, it's about Democratic candidate against Republican candidate. That's it. I mean, the post-mortem the Democrats should have had was after they lost to Donald Trump. Not because the more moderate candidate, so-called, has lost to this guy, Abdul El-Sayed, who, as you say, I think strikes a very confident posture.
45:15I think if you could just iron out this thing about... I saw an interview, I was reading the transcript of an interview with the New York Times, okay? Now, what he said was fine, but he's got certain little... I can see why he grates on some people. There's a bit where he says, he makes a point, that he said, I'm sorry about this, but I do read books. It was a way of saying Donald Trump and his crowd are stupid, right? But it sounded a bit patronising to everybody, okay? Iron that out, iron that out. Just be a guy who gets up there and he clearly can motivate people like Mamdani did in New York.
45:47He had tens of thousands of people out knocking doors for him. So look, I just think this is such an important seat when it comes to the midterms and they've got to win Michigan. And so get behind the guy.
46:01Rory Stewart:Okay, now final serious question, and then you're going to tell us about your melons. So Judy, how concerned should we be about the Rhine in Germany falling to record low levels in several parts of Germany as the heat wave and wildfires continue across Europe and hit the UK? Let me just sort of try to set up my understanding of this, and then you who are right in the depths of this kind of German debate in German newspapers can explain it to us. It seems from the outside an extraordinary story because it's very medieval, oddly. I mean, we talk a lot about just-in-time supply chains, and we worry a lot about semiconductor manufacturers in Taiwan, or exactly how the Japanese process a particular oil petroleum product.
46:39Rory Stewart:But this literally is the big waterway that connects the low countries into Germany. And it's water levels getting too low that they can't move barges up and down. And And it turns out that barges are far more important to the German economy than everyone really thought about. And while we were worrying about all this kind of resilience and supply chains and the Strait of Hormuz, something that would have been kind of recognisable to a medieval king, which is that the water levels are too low on the Rhine to get your barges up and down, is proving really catastrophic. Over to you. Yeah. Look, the question of how concerned should we be, the answer, I think, is very, very, very, very, very.
47:17And while our listeners and viewers may think that I'm having a lovely holiday in France and you're having a lovely holiday in Scotland, not only are we recording this today, but tomorrow we're going to be recording a special episode with Caroline Lucas about her brilliant miniseries on climate and national security. And I guess this is much more climate and the economy, because you're right about the scale of this. Four out of five ships that are carrying goods and trade around Germany, four out of five use the Rhine. OK, it's a massively important waterway. And what's happened is that the water has got lower and lower and lower.
47:59So I saw an interview in one German newspaper with a Dutch barge owner who has had to reduce the load of the barge by two thirds because the water is not deep enough to take the bigger load. OK, now that is having an impact upon supply chains. And just to give you a sense of how shallow it has to be, this thing is these water. There's some shockingly terrifying pictures all across the German media of where you can see where the watermark normally is. You know, you see it's just sort of black on the wall because that's where the water has normally been. And some of these ships are going up and you can basically put your arm into the water and you're touching the bottom.
48:52So what's happening is that they're losing trade. The Rhine normally carries 285 million tons of freight, 80 % of inland waterway traffic. And one of the big loading places is in Duisburg and they're down to a third of the normal. OK, so then you think, OK, well, the one sort of specific policy response the German government has made is they're suspending the ban on lorries on Sundays and holidays. OK, now the green person in me and the sort of let's have a quiet life at the weekend person, he says that's terrible. But that's the scale of the damage that's been done.
49:35Rory Stewart:Am I right? It's some people calculate the lowest level in 150 years and that there's talk even of the Rhine splitting in two. it's got so low it's the lowest level since records began one of the big drivers of it is the melting glaciers in switzerland so this is climate crisis climate change if not caused absolutely exacerbated by and so the glaciers once the glaciers melt it means they can't do it year after year after year which is what's happened before so the water's gone lower and lower and lower. There's now talk about rebuilding the river so that you make it narrower. But all that does, yes, you have deeper water for a bit, but you don't have any more water.
50:19You're not actually going to cure this unless we start getting more rain.
50:25Rory Stewart:I'm hoping to be in Switzerland more from January. And I'll try to show some images because around our flat, what's happened to the glaciers is staggering. I mean, I'll try to show you some pictures over the last 20, 30 years. It's really bizarre. I mean, people, if you see it and you live it, you're looking hundreds of feet of glacier have disappeared and have left this horrible kind of mess of rocks and rubble where there used to be ice coming all the way down. And we often focus on Greenland or we look at images up in the Arctic, but the Swiss story is terrifying. Yeah, yeah. And the Kiel Institute, which is one of the big German economic institutes, they've calculated that this thing going on now in the Rhine, the Elbe and the Danube in particular, and the Danube, by the way, is so shallow that they've got pictures now of Second World War planes and other debris down at the bottom of the river that we can now see, which used to be covered by water.
51:29And the Kiel Institute has calculated this is going to take up to 0.2 % of German GDP in this quarter, okay, because that's the impact on trade.
51:38Rory Stewart:Which again, is not what we need, because European GDP is already really struggling because of productivity and aging. It's struggling because of competition with China, which has wiped out. We didn't talk about this enough, but you mentioned it. Hundreds of thousands of jobs been lost in Volkswagen. real problems on energy prices add to that the fact that the strait of hormuz is putting a direct squeeze on european economies that the united states pulling out of ukraine is forcing us to spend tens of billions of dollars more in ukraine and ultimately forcing germany to spend up to a hundred billion dollars on defense and increasing defense expenditure this is a real i don't know quintuple whammy hitting Germany.
52:21Yeah, totally, totally. And, you know, we think, I think we just think of rivers sometimes. We just take them for granted as they're beautiful to look at and they've got this extraordinary history. But this is a massive, massive trade waterway. And so the German government, I mean, the Merz didn't, but several ministers broke into their holiday to have a crisis meeting with business organisations and so forth, because they're really worried about it. And the BASF, you know, one of the big chemical, part of the big chemical cluster in the Northwest, they've declared force majeure as a result of this.
52:58In other words, if they're not able to fulfill contracts, they're basically saying it's because of force majeure, which is normally used for, you know, when you get caught up in a war that's unexpected. So we're going to have a lot to talk about when we talk to Caroline, because I think this is, I think it's terrifying. And where I'm in France now, we're seeing it everywhere. The rivers are just dry. There's just not the water that there used to be. And Rory, before we go to the next question, I mentioned the chat we're having tomorrow with Caroline Lucas. She's done this brilliant series. I cannot recommend it strongly enough, where she's been talking to real experts in different parts of the world about what the climate crisis is and the impact it's having in all sorts of different ways.
53:41The conversation we have with her is going out to everybody on Friday. And if people want to catch up in the series, just go to therestispolitics.com. Very good.
53:51Rory Stewart:Well, final question from a very alert listener called Lucy, who's following the Australian debate, which tees into you. What's all this stuff about Albanese presence, Japan and melons? Oh my Lord. So, Rory, you've been a minister. I've worked with prime ministers. You know and I know that diplomacy and gifts, it's a tricky world. I can remember the time that Lionel Jospin presented us with a horse and we thought, what the fuck do we do with this? And what did you do with it? What did you do with your horse? I honestly can't remember. Did you give it to the Queen? No, I think it was taken care of by the embassy and it ended up having children ride it around the place.
54:40I honestly can't remember what we did. Leon Jospin was sadly not around to remind us. But no, I'll try and find out for next week what happened to the Jospin horse. But this story that Lucy is raising relates to Japan and Australia. So Anthony Albanese, who's been on the podcast, Sanae Takaichi, who we'd love to have on the podcast, they meet and she presents Albanese with a melon.
55:09Rory Stewart:Very traditional Japanese gift. Very traditional. And it's a crown melon. Wonderful. This is like the pièce de of all Japanese melons. Yeah, yeah. She then gives him another one. Very auspicious. Very auspicious. Yeah. So he then, a little while later, Albanese is doing a podcast. Podcasts can be so dangerous, Rory. He's doing a podcast with a comedian by the name of Nicky Osborne. Okay. And Nicky Osborne, at one point, asks Albanese whether he's ever had any strange gifts. In fact, no, the question was, what's the most crap gift you've ever received on an overseas job? Can I just pause for a second?
55:55Rory Stewart:Okay, so the gift of the melon, I do know a little bit about this because I've been given melons in Japan. It's a very, very old tradition. It goes back, I think, to at least the 1600s. And they grow these melons often on a single plant. So just one plant with a melon. And like so many other things done in Japan, done with the most exquisite care. So it'll be the most perfect melon. Correct. And it can cost up to$10 ,000 for a really, really good melon. So it's a really profound sense of respect, gratitude. Okay, over to you. We're not talking about the sort of thing that I sometimes buy on the roadside, when it says melon, tomate, miel et fruits.
56:37Right, it's not that.
56:38Rory Stewart:No, not that. So he's doing this interview with his comedian, and she says, what's the most crap gift you've ever received on an overseas jaunt? OK, he then says, I'm quoting accurately here, something I got recently here was pretty strange, but ended up being quite good. The Japanese prime minister brought me a melon. They then banter, banter, banter. And then he says, actually, it was a couple of melons. And the way he described the couple of melons was to hold his hands like that. I will now describe to those who are listening rather than viewing. I am holding my hands like they're holding melons in front of my chest.
57:16Okay?
57:16Rory Stewart:Like you're holding breasts. Correct. So Osborne, the comedian, pipes up, so she just came in looking like Pamela Anderson. Right, okay. Albanese says she brought two and they're beautiful. Okay? Okay. Now, exactly. You're shaking your head. But that's you as a Brit, Rory. Yeah, yeah. You know what the Japanese are like. They're very proper. Yeah. Respect is incredibly important. And what happened was quite a lot of Japanese journalists and then a former ambassador to Australia really, really put the boot in. Yang Yamagami, the former ambassador, he said, although Albanese recalled it as quite strange, there is nothing strange about this gesture.
58:04A crown melon is the most prized fruit in Japan. It is treasured as something special. What dismays some, and this is a very good point, was that Takaichi has recently been subject to derogatory remarks about her body and her gender. So the Japanese really seem to take an offence. Australian opposition has piled in and said Albo should make an apology. He's saying, no, there's no need for that because no offence was intended and none was meant. And he's not aware of any being taken. So end off as far as he's concerned. But it just shows you be very, very careful about gifts.
58:38Rory Stewart:Yeah, and making jokes about gifts and accepting revolvers and things. We did just final thing. Revolvers? Yeah, yeah. Because final thing to finish. We didn't tell people enough about the fact that when we went to interview the president of Serbia together, we went to see Vucic together in Belgrade. Oh, Serbia. Yeah, the guns. Yeah. It has a sort of a massive cabinet after cabinet of gifts that the president of Serbia has received. And a staggering number of these gifts are firearms. They are semi-automatic pistols, guns, a lot of them from Putin, actually. The Russians seem to really specialize in it, but not just the Russians.
59:13Rory Stewart:The Middle Eastern potentates give swords and guns. The Turks, famously, give revolvers with ammunition to Keir Starmer and to Belgian and Dutch leaders when you go to NATO visits. Meanwhile, we tend to give slightly lamer, cheaper gifts, don't we? Although the greatest one ever is that we managed to present President Trump with a bellend called Trump.
59:40that was that was your friendly king i wonder if they've worked that one out here or either that king charles presented a bellend with the word trump written on it rory talking of gifts fiona and i were in a place called montreuil up in the north recently which is where the british headquarters were during the first world war fascinating place we're sitting there having dinner and this guy comes over and says would you mind later my son's about to arrive with his family he's a big fan of your podcast he'd love to sit down and have a chat said yeah yeah no problem the guy came to talk to us and he said at the end of it i really want to give you and rory a gift because you've given me so much with the podcast etc etc i said you really don't need to bother you honestly it's fine anyway this guy is the marketing guy for a french jam company okay so i gave him my i gave him my address at home yeah and a couple of weeks later this box of every single flavor of their jam now you and i have been we've not actually seen each other physically for a while yeah but i've i've given a few away already not least to some of the team but i i've kept some of the best flavors back because they're for you and your family well
1:00:57Rory Stewart:thank you well um little shout out finally then on the gift thing uh to grief so i'm having the most amazing few weeks in grief i mean it's look if you want to see uh a vision of britton working come to grief at the moment i i've i've ranted on about how amazing the park runs are i've talked about the incredible work done in remake of refurbishing stuff and the work done um by the former teacher at morrison's on bicycles but let me add to this peen of praise i could add the incredible macbeth performance in the macrosty park with strathairn arts that we saw on sunday or Rachel our new priest who's turned up who's the most incredible woman she's married to a GP two women have a lovely baby three-year-old baby but amongst all of this excitement was a lady arriving at church saying that there is a gift for you Alistair and it's back I'm going to keep it secret uh it was uh it was a it was one of these great moments where she comes up and says I'm a very very great fan of Alistair Campbell and I was expecting her to maybe add something No, just Alistair Campbell.
1:01:57Rory Stewart:And the gift is coming. And it's a bagpipe themed gift. So I will be coming. Oh, excellent. Another lovely thing coming from Kreef. Excellent. Excellent. Well, look, I think we should also maybe say, Roy, this is possibly why you're giving such love to Kreef. You're looking, may I say, sharper and with a better backdrop than you normally have when you're in Kreef. So where are you, Rory? Well, I'd like to, this is another great thing about Creef. This is the Creef Leisure Centre, which is also the Creef High School. And it's a really cool investment. Initially, I was a bit nimby about it because this and 400 houses has gone just on the edge of where my house is on what used to be part of the agricultural land around the house.
1:02:39Rory Stewart:But I've got to say, it's really great. It's squash courts, it's a swimming pool, it's a great library, it's a great school. And actually, it was built over an archaeological site, which is beautifully presented. And I'm really feeling quite good about Creep. I think we've got about 400 new houses built around my house, which again, you might be tempted to feel nimbly about. But actually, they're young families, they bring a lot of energy. The high street's looking much better. So come to Creep. Rory, if you're going to be plugging creepers, relentless as that, I have to give a proper shout out to the jam man, the Montreux jam man from Essex.
1:03:14His company is called Saint Dalfour and he's got an awful lot of flavours. The thing about jam, Roy, you and I have talked about my mental health. Shout out for Johnny Mercer, brilliantly talking about his mental health on our latest episode of Leading. Key to my mental health is a jam jar, which is why jam is important. It's an empty jam jar that I use as a tool. And that's La Bon Maman. It's the red and white tablecloth on top. Yeah, yeah.
1:03:40Rory Stewart:Yeah, I know this one. Yeah. Well, he sent me 30 odd different flavors. If you like to tell me what your favorite flavor of jam is. That's so boring. They're so boring. Strawberry, raspberry, apricot. Oh, boring, boring, boring. But there's a reason they're the great favourites. It's just like there's a reason why the Labrador is the world's favourite dog. No, Cavalier King Charles, Roy. How can you say you're the friend of King Charles and you don't acknowledge that Cavalier King Charles is the best dog in the world? I've got to say sometimes, sometimes the boring options. There's a reason for it.
1:04:13Rory Stewart:Reason why an all-day breakfast is the greatest meal in the world. A Labrador is the greatest dog and strawberry jam is the way to go. Well, I look forward to my bagpipe cup. Very good. Thank you, Alistair. See you soon. Bye-bye. See you soon. Bye-bye.
1:04:32Hello, everybody. We've got some exciting news to share with you. We do, indeed. As you all know, the Restless Politics Plus members get early access to Question Time. They get ad-free listening, they get exclusive series and a host of other benefits. And probably for me, the most exciting thing is these exclusive mini-series we're doing.
1:04:48Rory Stewart:And right now we're holding a summer sale. So you can get an extra 20 % off on an annual membership from now until the end of August. If that sounds good, head to therestospolitics.com and use the code SUMMER26 when you purchase an annual plan. Make the most of this deal and join us for a busy summer ahead. We've got some brilliant new series coming your way. So new stuff coming, for example, on existential threats. And then there's all the stuff. So what are some of the miniseries that you've enjoyed you think people should be listening to? I've enjoyed them all, to be honest. I really liked the Gen Z series that Vicky Spratt did.
1:05:21I've enjoyed the recent one on the funding of reform.
1:05:25Rory Stewart:I've been very proud of some of the stuff we've been doing on AI. We now have a really good package for listeners going deep into AI around the world. So sign up now and start catching up with our special Summer 26 code purchase on the restispolitics.com. Thank you.
From the publisher
With Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe trading blows, is the British right tearing itself apart, and will Kemi Badenoch destroy the Conservative Party by chasing Reform and Restore voters rather than the centre ground? With prisons at breaking point and reoffending rates soaring, why aren’t governments honest about the real causes of the crisis, or the solutions? As the Rhine falls to record lows and Germany's economy takes the hit, is this the clearest sign yet that the climate crisis is now an economic one?
Join Rory and Alastair as they answer all these questions and more.
__________
Enjoy Rory and Alastair’s interview with Johnny Mercer by searching ‘Leading’ on Spotify, Apple, or YouTube.
Go deeper into the world of The Rest Is Politics by signing up for our free newsletter HERE, featuring exclusive interviews, analysis and weekend reads from Alastair and Rory.
Summer sale is HERE: get an annual membership for an extra 20% off with code SUMMER26. That's ad-free listening, every bonus episode, and full access to our exclusive members' series. Sale ends August 31st, so grab it before summer's over.
The Rest Is Politics is powered by Fuse Energy. Stop overpaying for energy. Switch at fuseenergy.com/politics and get a free TRIP+ subscription.
Get our exclusive NordVPN deal here ➼ nordvpn.com/restispolitics It's risk-free with Nord's 30 day money back guarantee ✅
__________
Instagram: @restispolitics
Twitter: @restispolitics
Email: therestispolitics@goalhanger.com
__________
Social Producer: Celine Charles
Video Editor: Lorcan Moullier, Bruno Di Castri
Assistant Producer: Daisy Alston-Horne
Producer: Evan Green
Exec Producer: Bella Soames
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices




