572. Trump’s Next Middle East Crisis and Reform’s £72m Megadonation

16 Sep 2026 · 58 min · 19 chapters

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In short

The episode argues that Donald Trump’s focus on side issues (e.g., blaming Zelensky for fuel prices, praising United Ireland) has distracted from a rapidly worsening Middle East “chokepoint” crisis: Houthi advances in Yemen that threaten Israel and disrupt Red Sea shipping, with Saudi Arabia seeking help that the US refuses. It then pivots to UK politics, criticizing Reform UK’s large crypto-linked donations (totaling about £72m) and debating whether Britain should cap individual party funding.

Guests

Rory Stewart (former UK minister/ambassador; Yemen experience; discusses Houthi history and Iran links) and Alistair Campbell (host; focuses on political implications, Reform funding, and broader governance failures).

Key claims

Houthi missiles can reach Israel/Dubai; they seized a narrow Red Sea gap, blocking both Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz workarounds; Iran’s role is support/technology rather than direct control; Trump’s “regime change by bombing” logic failed in Yemen and is worsening outcomes. For Reform, Campbell claims taking £36m+ from individuals undermines equal citizenship and creates access/influence risks.

Notable examples

Saudi pipeline disruption forcing tankers to route around Africa (2–4 weeks longer); “Operation Rough Rider” 52-day Trump bombing campaign; AI “pause” letters (Demis Hassabis/Sam Altman/Dario Amode) and Hugging Face sandbox escape; Reform donations by Christopher Harbourn and “Bendelo” (crypto figures).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Trump's Controversial Statements

0:00 to 0:56

Discussion on Trump's recent comments regarding international issues.

“In the past week, Donald Trump has backed to United Ireland whilst also publicly blaming President Zelensky for rising fuel prices.”

The Houthi Situation in Yemen

3:51 to 4:19

Discussion on the Houthis and the implications of their actions.

“So, Hooties in Yemen, AI, Nigel Farage, getting loads and loads and loads of money.”

Regional Implications of Houthi Advances

4:19 to 6:33

Analysis of how Houthi control affects Saudi Arabia and global oil supply.

“So, very quick reminder of what happened.”

Iran's Influence and Houthi Independence

6:33 to 7:58

Exploration of the relationship between the Houthis and Iran.

“And meanwhile, the oil that they wanted to compensate for the Strait of Hormuz by bringing out through the Red Sea into the Gulf of Aden, they're now having to go north, right round Africa.”

The Historical Context of Yemen's Conflict

7:58 to 14:01

Overview of the historical background of the Houthi movement and regional dynamics.

“I spent a lot yesterday talking to people, some of whom I can talk about openly and praise.”

The Geopolitical Crisis in Yemen

14:01 to 20:00

Analyze the collapse of Saudi control in Yemen and the implications for regional stability.

“Actually, these troops that they've been fighting were supposed to be the crack anti-Houthi forces who'd been showing off about how good their drones were and showing you fancy pictures of bombs dropping.”

The Rise of AI and Public Perception

20:01 to 22:34

Discuss the challenges of AI development and the public's negative perception of tech billionaires.

“And this guy, Faria al-Muslimi, said this is as much leverage as a nuclear bomb.”

Risks of Autonomous AI

22:35 to 28:00

Explore the potential dangers of autonomous AI and the need for regulatory measures.

“But we've now had a letter from Demis Hussabes.”

AI Regulation and Human Dangers

28:00 to 29:59

Discussion on the urgency of regulating AI and its potential dangers to humanity.

“These same AI leaders who two and a half years ago were calling me a Luddite for calling for a pause and now themselves calling for a pause.”

Thinking the Unthinkable: Series Introduction

30:00 to 31:50

Introduction to a new mini-series addressing existential threats to civilization.

“But I don't think they're brilliant at thinking through effects on humanity.”
Show all 19 chapters

The One in Six Chance

31:51 to 33:10

Exploration of the startling statistic about the risk of human extinction in the next century.

“but it's basically a series on existential threats.”

Thinking the Unthinkable: Series Introduction

33:11 to 34:40

Introduction to a new mini-series addressing existential threats to civilization.

“And I think we've got a taste of the series now just before we go for the break.”

Thinking the Unthinkable: Series Introduction

35:49 to 36:50

Introduction to a new mini-series addressing existential threats to civilization.

“See our seven-day return policy at Carvana.com.”

Finances and Politics: The £72 Million Donation

36:51 to 42:00

Analysis of the political implications of significant donations to political parties.

“Welcome back to The Rest is Politics with me, Rory Stewart.”

The Impact of Large Donations on Political Influence

42:00 to 43:50

Explore how large financial contributions can diminish citizen influence in politics.

“Let's accept that the reason why we're doing that is we're trying to say that you shouldn't be in position where citizens have an undue influence and where parties are built on this dependency.”

Analyzing Key Donors in British Politics

43:50 to 47:20

A discussion on prominent donors and their potential conflicts of interest in UK politics.

“And let me tell you, having run a few election campaigns.”

The Principle of Capping Political Donations

47:20 to 51:10

Debating the necessity of capping donations to prevent disproportionate influence in politics.

“They could buy virtually every billboard in the country.”

Rethinking Political Funding in the UK

51:10 to 55:50

Examining potential reforms in political funding and the implications for democracy.

“I mean, right now, arguing is very hard to argue for state funding with all the other pressures on the public verse, isn't it?”

Political Shifts and Global Challenges

56:00 to 58:40

Explore the evolving political landscape and the urgent need for reform in response to global issues.

“AI reform funding, is all part of a bigger story that we've been talking about in this podcast for nearly four years, which is the collapse of the old rules, splintering of political parties, populism, global conflict.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00In the past week, Donald Trump has backed to United Ireland whilst also publicly blaming President Zelensky for rising fuel prices. Now, there was a time when an American president doing this would have triggered two separate diplomatic earthquakes. But we're now so used to Donald Trump's verbal diarrhea that both passed almost as soon as they arrived. Meanwhile, the story that actually deserved his attention kept getting worse. The Houthis now have missiles that can reach Israel, and this week they seized a narrow gap at the mouth of the Red Sea. So now, with Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz and their friends, the Houthis, in charge of this one, it is another huge setback to Trump's objectives and to the price of oil.

0:41Saudi Arabia asked Washington for military help. Trump said no. Instead, the leader of the free world spent the weekend watching golf. So does anyone, Trump included, actually understand the significance of what's just happened? This episode is powered by Fuse Energy. One hundred pounds, that is what one message to a friend could earn for you.

1:04Rory Stewart:Fuse Energy has one aim, keeping energy prices down for everyone, not just for those who ring up and threaten to leave. Their tariffs are already among the lowest on the market, and now they're doubling their referral offer. refer one friend and you will get 100 pounds off your bills and that's each of you 100 pounds of your bills so the math does itself you save on the tariff and then you both benefit from the referral on top simplicity rarely seen today in today's political climate and just remember the 100 pound is a limited offer and it drops back to 50 pounds when it ends energy prices as we keep reminding you are not settling down.

1:44Rory Stewart:Switching takes three minutes. Go to fuseenergy.com slash politics. Use code politics to get your free TripPlus membership on top and start referring, earning money for both you and your friends. Visit fuseenergy.com for full terms and conditions.

2:06Rory Stewart:This episode is brought to you by NordVPN. And I must thank NordVPN because on my grand European tour with Fiona, I was away from the Hawthorns for West Bromwich against Burnley, but I managed to watch it. There you go. I actually had a NordVPN thank you. I was in the new Starbucks here in Kreef. And of course, the thing flashed up saying this is an unsecured public network. And I was able to go to my VPN. And it was a little reminder of something we often forget when we're all those cafes and things, which is actually genuinely people can do all kinds of weird cyber attacks and spying if you don't have a virtual private network when you're sitting in that Starbucks.

2:45Well, I think you're not really sort of proud of me that I managed to do this, or should I say Fiona managed to do this?

2:52Rory Stewart:I'm incredibly proud of you. That's a tech transformation. So to get the best discount off your NordVPN plan, go to nordvpn.com slash restispolitics. That's nordvpn.com slash restispolitics. And the link is in the episode description. A BetterHelp ad. Imagine carrying a backpack every day. Every conversation, every mistake, every expectation. You probably wouldn't notice how heavy it was until someone asked if you wanted to put it down. Sometimes feeling better starts exactly like that. Better isn't one size fits all. Better is personal. It's therapy, tailored to you to help lighten what you've been carrying.

3:31Match with a therapist who truly gets you. Visit betterhelp.com slash restpolitics.

3:46Welcome to Dresses of Polities, I'm me, Alistair Campbell. And with me, Rory Stewart. So, Hooties in Yemen, AI, Nigel Farage, getting loads and loads and loads of money. Let's start with the Hooties, because I think you said at the end of Question Time with Ed Miliband, this has been underreported. So everything that's big news these days, it sort of gets talked about for half a day, and then it moves on. I think this is massive. And I also think it's a further indication of the catastrophe of the initial decision

4:18Rory Stewart:to go to war in Iran. It's a completely staggering story. So, very quick reminder of what happened. So, the Houthi started really in the 1990s as an obscure cult in the mountains of Yemen. And if you'd been covering the story back in the 90s, you would have thought these are people in sandals with Kalashnikovs who don't really matter in world events. Fast forward to today, this is a group in Yemen with ballistic missiles which can strike Israel and Dubai, which have been accessing the latest AI models. The US companies are reporting on this and which now have expanded forward and seized the key gap to the entrance to the Red Sea.

5:03Rory Stewart:And this really matters. And the coastline down towards it. The whole coastline down. This is a very narrow gap. If you were going at 20 knots, you could get across it in about half an hour. What does that mean? Well, it suddenly means that Saudi Arabia and others who thought, well, we don't need to worry too much about the Strait of Hormuz because we can still get 4 million barrels out through Yembo and out through the Red Sea, are now blocked at both ends. This is critical, existential for the Gulf states, and really dangerous for the global economy. And all this has been pulled off, not by the US or China, or even a big, relatively wealthy state like Iran, but by a group of people who back even two months ago, many people in the officially recognized Yemeni government said the Houthi were an empty shell that were about to collapse and they were going to be marching on Sana 'a.

5:56If you look at the map, so you've got the Strait of Hormuz, which we took for granted as a place that was always going to have oil flowing through and world trade going through it. And the Americans, every American president saying, let's not do this because they'll shut down the Strait of Hormuz. And of course, Trump says, no, they won't. Well, they do. So the Saudis have this 1 ,200 kilometer pipeline that goes right across the country. And so they think, well, we can get around through that. We'll just put more through the pipeline and then we'll get it out through the Red Sea. Another Iranian proxy inside Iraq is then starting to send drones in and to damage this pipeline.

6:31So the pipeline shuts down. And meanwhile, the oil that they wanted to compensate for the Strait of Hormuz by bringing out through the Red Sea into the Gulf of Aden, they're now having to go north, right round Africa. So right up through, across, past Spain, round the corner and right down, adding about two to four weeks to an average tanker's journey. And what does that do? It puts up the price. so and you know what i find the most of the many revolting things that trump said and did in ireland he blames zelensky for the rising fuel prices he said if if zelensky's one thing zelensky's got to do is stop hitting these diesel plants in in uh russia like that was the thing driving up our fuel prices because they don't want to admit that actually it's the iran war and now with this on top and i'll tell you that one of the most fascinating stories i read this week i don't if it's true, but it was the New York Times, so I'm guessing it was, was J.D.

7:29Vance, who as we know from the regime change book and all the reporting at the time was against this war in the first place, now is actually commissioning his own intelligence reports for what's going on in this war. So there you've got Trump, we've won, we're winning, Iran's desperate for a deal, Iran's desperate for that. And I'd love to know your view on this. When we talk about the Houthis, What is the exact relationship with Iran? I mean, they get the funding, they get the backing, but this isn't necessarily Iran. This is the hutis of, you know, they've got their own modus operandi.

8:01Rory Stewart:I spent a lot yesterday talking to people, some of whom I can talk about openly and praise. Peter Salisbury, who's a great expert on this. Nick Hopton, who was our ambassador in Yemen and who hosted me actually. When you were a minister? Yeah, we were looking at, she was one of the backbench when I first went there. we were looking at the Queen of Sheba's palace with the ambassador, at which point his security team suddenly said the Houthis are coming. And this was one of the first signs that they were getting to come anywhere near Sana 'a. So who are the Houthis? They are a group of people up from the mountains up in the north of Yemen who are predominantly Zaydis.

8:39Rory Stewart:And the Zaydi branch of Islam is basically a Yemeni phenomenon. It's very difficult to find a kind of international comparison for it. They appear to have been maybe closer to Shia Islam, to the type of Islam that you have, which 60 % of Iranians follow, than Sunni Islam. And they were traditionally very opposed to Saudi Sunni Salafism. So they were very useful actually for many Western governments that saw them as a possible balance against Al-Qaeda. Back in what one of my friends calls the glory days when all we worried about in Yemen was Al-Qaeda and democracy, which is what I was seeing when I went there in 2012, for example.

9:22Rory Stewart:We were sitting around a national dialogue with the UN Ben Umar and the Gulf Cooperation Council and the women's groups in civil society. We were learning the lessons from Northern Ireland and all this kind of stuff. So the Houthi erupt south, A lot of this is after the Arab Spring, and they grab hold of Sana 'a. And then listeners will remember what follows on from that, which is that the Saudis and the Emiratis then respond, 2016 onwards, in a massive air campaign. And then there are special forces on the ground, air operators, mercenaries, and a huge humanitarian crisis, end up with a lot of people on the verge of starvation, massive amounts of refugees.

10:02Rory Stewart:DFID is piling in 100 million pounds a year. The Americans are coming in with a billion. And we are horrified by what Saudi and UAE seem to be doing. In 2018, 2019, when I was the minister, all the game was to put pressure on them not to seize the port of Hudaydah and create a more humanitarian crisis. Fast forward, Saudi and UAE eventually back off. A peace deal was put in place when I was in Jordan, 2022. And for about the last four and a half years, the front lines have remained pretty static. And so nobody's really concentrating on Yemen. There are no real foreign correspondents on the ground, except last year, Trump is convinced in the spring of last year that the Houthi are about to fall and he launches a 52-day bombing campaign.

10:47Rory Stewart:Operation Rough Rider. Operation Rough Rider, which we didn't actually report much of the time. We should have done more about it, but it was another one of Trump's wars. And the idea of the war, and this is why he may be getting a little bit of deja vu in Iran, is he was told that if he did the 52 days, the Houthi regime would collapse, the loyalist forces would come romping in, and the whole country would be captured. He's now heard it again with Iran. If I just do my bombing campaign, the regime will collapse and all the democratic forces will come and take over. So one of the problems now was the Houthi who were about to crumble, we were told, now turn out not to be crumbling at all.

11:18Rory Stewart:And finally, sorry, I'm answering too many questions at once. But your final question, which I think is very important, is this question is what are their relationship to Iran? Now, certainly, our assessment back in the day is yes, they got some support from Iran, but it was nothing compared to the amount of support that the other Yemenis were getting from Saudi, UAE, the US, and others. A couple of planes have come in recently with Iranians on them. There will be Iranian advisors on the ground. There's absolutely no doubt the Revolutionary Guard has given them some bits of kit and technology.

11:51Rory Stewart:But it's very, very cheap for the Iranians. It's probably costing the Iranians, I don't know, not the billions that Saudi or UAE put in, a few tens of millions. And what do they buy for it? Well, what they buy is not really an Iranian proxy. What they buy is a very, very indigenous mountain-based nationalist group of Yemenis who have an ideological commitment to being the spear of the fight against the US and Israel and all this kind of stuff. I don't underestimate how ideologically driven they are, and who the Iranians by providing a little bit of support to but not much control over have suddenly found themselves in a far more powerful position than they were in two weeks ago.

12:32Rory Stewart:Because as you've just pointed out, Saudi's been sitting back for the last few months saying, well, this is a disaster for Dubai, it's a disaster for Qatar, but it's not so bad for us. In fact, the oil prices have gone up and actually Saudi revenue was going up. Now they're shut off at the other end. And the other problem they've got, I think one of the biggest underreported issues out of these events is that Mohammed bin Salman, effective leader of Saudi Arabia, asked Trump for fresh military support on the back of this. And Trump said no. So that won't. That'll be going, making the thinking about this very, very different.

13:11And remember a few weeks ago, we talked about this new Mecca defense pact, Saudi, Turkey, Pakistan. I don't know whether in the end they have to sort of go down that. Because what happened here, this does seem to have been militarily extraordinary operation. They've taken a huge chunk of ground, a huge chunk of coastline, an airport. These islands, which as you say, are about 12 kilometers from one side to the other. They've changed the landscape. And because Trump doesn't want to admit that his Iran war is not going very well, it's kind of gone away.

13:44Rory Stewart:Well, so one of the interesting things when I talk to people who I can't quote, but who are still inside the British American UN systems at the moment, they would say, said to me even three, four weeks ago, that the Houthis were on the back foot. Actually, these troops that they've been fighting were supposed to be the crack anti-Houthi forces who'd been showing off about how good their drones were and showing you fancy pictures of bombs dropping. So it's even worse. What the Houthi have done is they have kicked out people who were supposed to be some of the elite fighting forces from south. Now add another problem, which is we covered on the show the fact that it was in Yemen that the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, broke because the UAE found themselves backing a bunch of southern separatists around Aden who advanced up north.

14:40Rory Stewart:The Saudis got really angry, pushed south, hit a UAE boat, and literally blew up a UAE boat. UAE threw up its hand and said, forget this, we're out of here. Saudi took control. The Yemenis who were against the Houthis thought, well, this is wonderful. Now we have a unified control. We're not divided anymore. Now's our chance to go after the Houthis. The whole thing's collapsed. And Saudi, as you say, is now in a very difficult position because it's completely unacceptable in any normal geopolitical terms. If I'd said to Ed Miliband, who we just interviewed 20 years ago, would you accept a position in which an anti-American fanatical Zaydi group has suddenly taken control of the whole Red Sea?

15:20Rory Stewart:You'd say no. You'd say absolutely not. But US doesn't want to come in and help Saudi. Why not? Well, presumably because they feel that they were misled last year and Trump was told that if bomb them, it would be regime change, it didn't work. UAE doesn't want to come in and help, in fact, because they're feeling a bit of schadenfreude and thinking, well, you kicked us out of Yemen, now it's your problem, you can get on with it. And the problem the Saudis are facing is how do they reassemble any kind of coalition? The Pakistanis, I think, are there trying to help them. They've got Pakistani advisors on the ground.

15:47Rory Stewart:But to really make this work, they have to go back to a world which has disappeared. I mean, this is our point about rules-based order. Let's say this had happened when you and Tony Blair were in Downing Street. So let's say this had happened in 1999, 2000. I presume what would happen is everybody would sit around probably at the Security Council and say, we cannot have the major waterway of the world. This is the gateway to the Suez Canal. This is the core, the gateway back into the Mediterranean. The Security Council did make it. And you would imagine presumably that you would all sit together and we would say, unified Russia, China, France, US, UK, Gulf sanctions, military operations, pressure, tension, because this is an extraordinary combination of a terrorist group and a massive strategic waterway.

16:41And instead, you have the leader of the free world watching golf in Ireland and blathering on about United Ireland. To this day, I can't work out whether that was deliberate or just him sort of...

16:53Rory Stewart:Well, he's said it again, hasn't he? He's doubled down. Yeah, but does that... Is he doubled down because he... Sometimes I think he doubles down because he says something and then people say, you shouldn't have said that. And he says, oh, well, I don't want people to know I shouldn't have said that. Therefore, I'll say it again. Let me try this on you. Isn't it though on the United Ireland that he senses that actually, although it's not what you're supposed to say if you're a US president, it's very popular with a certain demographic of his voter who love the idea. This is the guy. He speaks truth to power.

17:17Rory Stewart:We agree with him. There should be a United Ireland. I mean, there'll be a lot of Irish voters in the US who'll be like, hells to the yes. Why has no US president said that before? And then when he was presenting the trophy to the Irish golfer who won the Irish Open, Shane Lowry, he then suddenly announced while presenting the trophy that he was lifting the tariffs on Irish whiskey, which also so clearly he wanted to. I was a bit disappointed with the Irish. I love Ireland, as you know, I love the Irish. But to be in front of a crowd of thousands of golf fans and there was a wonderful photograph of four people who rode the course and they shaped their body into four letters.

17:57They shaped their bodies into four letters. I can't say what the word was. Was it rude? It was rude. It was, if you remember the time when -

18:04Rory Stewart:I don't know, how do you do an N? I can see how you can do a C and a T. Oh, the guy you do use a very, very interesting use of your legs and arms. You could do it because you were very sort of flexible. I couldn't do it. But generally, they gave him quite a quiet time. But there he is. You've got Iran going on. You've got Ukraine going on. You've got all this stuff going on. And honestly, the motorcade that was flown to Dublin for him to go to a tournament on his bloody golf course. Shout out to the Irish president, though. That's been calling it. Five minutes he got. But Alistair, let me push it one stage further.

18:38Rory Stewart:because if the US can't get involved in Yemen, and suddenly countries like Saudi are finding out that middle powers are not quite as powerful as they thought they would be. And I'm sure if I was to challenge European states, they'd say, oh, no, we have made statements about it, and we've had a meeting at this, that, and the other. But you're not really getting the sense that the European powers are going to solve this. In fact, you get the sense that the EU is feeling, well, we're not putting so many ships through the Red Sea at the moment anyway, and we've got other things to worry about. So I think this is the canary in the mine.

19:12Rory Stewart:I think this is what's happening here. A group that was a pretty marginalized, impoverished terrorist group now controlling a major waterway with advanced weaponry is just the beginning. I mean, what's going to be happening across that channel very quickly, because it just takes you half an hour to get across in a boat. I guess pretty soon you're going to have Somali fighters coming across. You're going to have arms and weapons going back and forth. You're going to have that war spilling quite quickly towards the Horn of Africa. And I think we are just at the beginning times of more and more global conflict in unexpected ways.

19:48Rory Stewart:I mean, nobody saw this three weeks ago. And my guess is we could end up with another dozen conflicts that nobody saw three weeks ago. Before we go to AI, a couple of points just to close off on this. The first is that um we talked a few weeks ago about the shipping insurance industry being such a big player in this so you've got the hooties saying that they're only going to target saudi vessels i'm not sure the insurers are going to buy that this thing could go any which way and the second there was reading a report by chatham house um one of their experts on this and he said that with the strait of hormuz and babal mandab you've now got something like 35 of fuel and oil trade being under Iranian control.

20:28And this guy, Faria al-Muslimi, said this is as much leverage as a nuclear bomb. And I'm sorry, this is what Trump has delivered to them by getting them to retaliate in the way they did, not by, well, they are doing the weaponry as well, but the economic retaliation, which is going to hurt him in the midterms. It's going to push up fuel prices here. It's got massive consequences.

20:50Rory Stewart:And it feels as though China has probably negotiated access now through Hormuz and through the Red Sea, Babu Mandab, that Russia's not that bothered. So that actually the consequence is catastrophic for the Gulf states and American allies. But actually weirdly, a lot of America's adversaries are not too troubled about this. Very briefly, Rory, before we go to a break, artificial intelligence. This has been in the news a lot. I am interested. Well, we did a really good event. I thought you were really, really good. It was one of the most interesting events we've done. Alistair and I did an event talking about AI.

21:27Rory Stewart:And I think you made a really strong point. Generally, I go to these business things and we all talk about the technology and what it might mean for a business in terms of productivity. And you were very blunt. You basically said, look, you're forgetting the politics of this. People hate the tech billionaires. Nobody wants Elon Musk. They can't see the benefits of this. They think these data centers are ugly, electricity consuming, water consuming. And people like me are trying to say to people, we are going to be in very, very vulnerable, dangerous position if we don't build these things, because we'll be going to completely dependent on US and Chinese models.

22:04Rory Stewart:But how on earth do you say to voters, I'm going to build a data center in your backyard. It's going to use your electricity. It's going to use your water. It's going to give money to Elon Musk. You might take your job away. Oh, and these people are saying it's a 15 % chance it could wipe out humanity. And you're telling me I have to build it because that's my insurance policy against the US and China. Yeah. And you have Donald Trump saying, we have to do it because we have to win against China, but people can't work out what the win is right now. We've spent a lot of time talking about AI back and forth, but this has been an amazing week for AI because firstly, as I found when I went to California, there's been a very rapid shift where the leaders of these labs who two years ago were mocking the idea of a pause and now themselves calling for a pause because they seem to be genuinely worried about what these agents are doing, particularly this hugging face attack, most dramatic example of breaking out of sandboxes, hacking in.

22:57Rory Stewart:But we've now had a letter from Demis Hussabes. So Demis Hussabes, a great Nobel Prize winning lead at Google, their chief scientific officer. We've had Sam Altman now calling for a pause. And now we've had Dario Amode coming out and producing a letter. And all of them now coming behind Dario talking about pacing the frontier, which is a polite word for saying, we really are going to have to think seriously before we go to the next generation of RSI, recursive self-improvement. And the king this week, very topical, is holding a conference at Dumfries House where he's going to have a lot of these senior figures together to try to sign up to a principal following on from your friend, the Pope.

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23:39Rory Stewart:He loves Dumfries service, doesn't he? He does. But the question is, I mean, it's a very interesting, this world we've entered where, you know, it is oddly the Pope and the King who seem to be better positioned to try to get these guys together and get them signing up for principles and talking about this opening in a way that elected leaders, I think, are struggling. I think part of the issue is that, this is what we said at this event, part of the issue is that the chief best-known spokespeople of this are just truly terrible at explaining anything. Now, Dario, your friend Dario, he's pretty good, but Musk underestimates how low he is in most of the world.

24:22He's got his fans, of course he has, because he's a big figure, he controls Twitter and all that stuff. But he, Zuckerberg, Bezos, Altman, they're despised by most people and they don't see the benefit. So then when, and this is how cynical I'm afraid I'm becoming about the whole thing. When I get this with a sudden wave of people saying, we've got to get regulated because this thing could destroy humanity. And even if there's a 10 % chance, we've got to, we've got to, you know, get on top of this. There's a part of me thinking they, this is deeply cynical that they're basically saying, We know we've got an anti-regulatory American administration and a pro-regulatory European Union that Donald Trump hates.

25:04So therefore, let's us be the ones calling for some sort of regulation so that the government says, well, we don't really understand it. You guys tell us how to regulate this. And they will then regulate it in a way that helps them. So I think they completely, both the politicians who are pushing on this and the businesses involved, they completely underestimate the extent to which the public, especially in democracies, and of course, they get this. This gives China an advantage. In the democracies, they're not having this because they don't understand it and nobody's explaining it properly.

25:38Rory Stewart:Let me make it worse for you. I think you're right. It's unbelievably unpopular. I think you're right that the US doesn't want to regulate and the EU may want to regulate. I think you're right. There's a lot of self-interest in those companies. Unfortunately, it is also true, I think, that we can see that these models are genuinely dangerous. That hugging face attack was about deceptive agents collaborating to hack into external websites that they were not supposed to do. The whole problem is that the business model is about making these things more and more autonomous. That's where the productivity comes from.

26:12Rory Stewart:The idea is you replace humans with the agent. But the more you take humans out of the loop and put agents in charge, the more risk you're running because the more risk you have that these things which are grown not specified is a kind of pompous way of saying they're not a series of bits of symbolic code they're actually something that have evolved that we've sort of set a trellis and it's grown like what's this phrase they keep using about recursive what is it recursive self-improvement so what is that that means an agent training or managing an agent in other words instead of where we were in the past, which is you as the human give the prompt to the coder.

26:49Rory Stewart:Ultimately, the agent trains its next AI. The AI trains the AI which trains the AI which trains the AI. And the benefit of that is supposed to be that you end up with the equivalent of 100 million software engineers working 24-7. The downside of it, obviously, is that what we learned through hugging face is that we find it very, very difficult to align these things to human interests, find it very difficult to make them understand what our real intent is, and they end up lying to us, deceiving us, and could ultimately kill us, right? They could get hold of bioweapons, they could mount these cyberattacks, or they could just, and this is what I was just talking to you about on the miniseries, they could just have a completely different conception of what they're out and they start creating systems we simply don't understand, which are running banks which are making a lot of money, but we don't understand how they're making a lot of money.

27:41Rory Stewart:They're running weapons which are winning wars for us, but we don't really understand how they're making those decisions. So big danger needs to be regulated. And this is what the King's about to try to do this week in Duffer's house with Demis and Sabis. I can't tell you how much it's changed in the last three, four weeks. These same AI leaders who two and a half years ago were calling me a Luddite for calling for a pause and now themselves calling for a pause. But we've got maybe six months, a year, a year and a half before these things are genuine dangers to humanity. And it doesn't feel as though anybody's politics is moving to regulate.

28:20No. And so when we talked about Miliband about, I didn't get into this because I knew we'd just go around in circles, but when he was talking about the use of the word genocide, and he said, well, you've got to leave it to the court. We'll make that decision based upon a court judgment. And the processes now of politics, of technology, they're so fast. So one of the things that struck me from this film, the doctors in Gaza, was they were filming, they often filmed what they were seeing as they went into Gaza. So a few years ago, it looked quite a nice place to live and there were buildings and and there were beaches.

28:59And then step by step, very, very quickly, they're suddenly going in, everything is rubble. Okay? So meanwhile, we're all waiting for a judgment as to whether that word should be applied in our political system. And likewise with this, you say, I heard somebody on the radio yesterday saying, you know, we've got a very short window to decide whether and how to regulate and whether we have the capacity safely to regulate this thing. And yet the political process, as you say, it goes so slowly. And you then have Trump who basically says, well, he's the guy to regulate because he's a high IQ president.

29:39One thing we know about Donald Trump, he may have a weird sort of EQ, but he's not the most intelligent man who's ever been in the White House. And meanwhile, these people who are very brilliant in their own way, you know, you read the book about Demis Hibis, and this guy's brilliant. The guys you talk to if you're serious, they're brilliant at what they do. But I don't think they're brilliant at thinking through effects on humanity. I don't think they're brilliant at working out how a democratic process works alongside these things.

30:12Rory Stewart:And we also don't know how to do the regulation and how to verify. So with the regulation, there's basically a question of whether you try to do a very subtle, exquisite form of let's define what RSI is, or do you say, pause. RSI is this recursive. Yeah, recursive self-improvement, right, sorry. Are you trying to get into a very detailed discussion about policing exactly this jagged frontier? It used to be a repetitive strain injury, didn't it? Is that gone? It's gone, all gone. Nobody talks about that anymore. It's that old men like you who play tennis. I've played tennis. The next thing that we need to talk about might be much more blunt, right?

30:46Rory Stewart:So we might instead be saying, no, you cannot train the next generation of frontier model. We're stopping. ChatGBT7 is not happening. But if you do that, how do you verify they're not doing it? And if you were to get China to sign up to that, how on earth do you verify that China's not doing it? Exactly. I would say at the moment, you could almost do it because it requires so much compute, so many data centers, so much chips, you could almost see from space. Pretty difficult to run a covert program of training a huge billion dollar run of a next generation large language model. But so many of the things we've done over the last year and a half turn out not to have been properly designed.

31:27Rory Stewart:One of them is that we thought that what we were doing in the UK is building a safety institute to train before release. It now turns out most dangerous models aren't released at the moment. They're within these companies and they could end up causing complete chaos for the world without ever getting anywhere near a safety institute because they're not on their way to being released. Right. Happy days. Well, listen, just before we go to the break, I'm now trying to do a mini series to grapple with exactly these issues. I've called it Thinking the Unthinkable, How Civilizations Collapse, but it's basically a series on existential threats.

31:57Rory Stewart:It's the things that we don't normally talk about in domestic politics that are probably not the things that Andy Burnham will be thinking about day to day. They're exactly things like what happens when a terrorist group gets going in Yemen. In fact, we've actually done some detailed interviews which I thought were wonderful with the man who wrote Mosul I, who was sitting in Mosul as the Islamic State took over. We've talked to the amazing Anand Gopal about what was happening up in Manbij up in North East Syria. We've also talked to Carlo Rovelli, the amazing physicist about nuclear weapons. He's reminding us that actually the nuclear proliferation threat is probably greater than it's ever been, and yet we talk about it less.

32:38Rory Stewart:I've talked to Yuval Noah Harari, that's going to be the first episode, about AI and the kind of threats that pose to our civilization. So it's an attempt to try to lift our heads a bit and think, what could be actually the things which in 50 years' time we think, whoa, that was the real issue that defined an age while we're still focused on the stuff that really is retail domestic politics. The first half of my interview with Yuval Noah Harari is free to listen. But if you want to hear the whole series, please sign up, become a member at the rest is politics.com. And I think we've got a taste of the series now just before we go for the break.

33:16Rory Stewart:What if I told you that there is a one in six chance of human beings being wiped out in the next hundred years? One in six. We're facing a crunch point in human history. A handful of threats could end life as we know it. It might be nuclear war. There is high risk in a confrontation between Europe and Russia or between United States and China. There will be no food, ears without sunshine, but the catastrophe will be global. Or artificial intelligence. At the highest level, there are risks of AI takeover. Even Hitler had to sleep because he was an organic entity. AI doesn't sleep. This is the moment that we completely lose control.

33:53Rory Stewart:It could be engineered pandemics. If every five days I infect 10 and then 10 infect 10, it would take about 39 days to get to 70 million people, which is about the population of Britain. The jump from 70 million to 8 billion is just another 10 days. Or is the greatest threat we face actually less tangible? Could it be economic warfare or the collapse of our political systems? You know, the choke point of all choke points in the global economy is the U.S. dollar. All it takes is Donald Trump taking out his Sharpie in the Oval Office and signing a document, and that's it. You could send another country into a recession if you wanted to.

34:28Rory Stewart:Or perhaps are we the real existential threat, the strange ways in which humans convince themselves to do very, very awful things. The question is very simple. How do we continue to live together? To hear my new series on Thinking the Unthinkable, sign up at therestospolitics.com. For adults with Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis symptoms, every choice matters. Tremphaya offers self-injection or intravenous infusion from the start. Tremphaya is administered as injections under the skin or infusions through a vein every four weeks, followed by injections under the skin every four or eight weeks.

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36:55Rory Stewart:Welcome back to The Rest is Politics with me, Rory Stewart. And me, Alistair Campbell. And we're going to talk about finances and politics and reform. So Nigel Farage, damaged in my view, not as much as he should have been, but damaged politically by this£5 million donation from Christopher Harbourn, the Thai-based tech billionaire as was, apparently now back in the UK. And that was£5 million personal, and then I think over£10 million to the party from Christopher Harbourn. And the£5 million, of course, was no strings attached, don't want anything for it, blah, blah, blah, blah. I can spend it on a Ferrari.

37:26You can spend it on whatever you want, some security, keeping me safe for the rest of my life, etc., etc. When I'm not taking security assistance from Posh George. Correct. So there's that one. And then we had this extraordinary undercover film by Verbatim, which Channel 4 showed part of, which you've now watched 3 ,418 times.

37:45Rory Stewart:And you and I had the privilege of speaking to the undercover reporter. You were impressed, weren't you? I thought it was great. I thought it was extreme, but I'm still stuck with this problem, which is I think that it's only when you see the gin and tonics and the showing off - The oysters. I want six, not four. The man of the people, Nigel. And the sense that there's a lot more footage to come. I just feel people need to really absorb themselves and they're there to actually get what the culture of this party is. Well, I said that in relation to the Hooties, you know, this extraordinary development where they take the Red Sea coast and then it's kind of gone in a day in terms of the news.

38:26And likewise, look, this film made a big impact. It obviously sort of, you know, disrupted the reform conference in Birmingham, but it's kind of gone away again. And sufficient for them to be able to come out and literally wipe out the news agenda with these two promises of two donations from two individuals, both crypto people, Bendelo and Christopher Harbourn, 36 million. Now, I've each, 72 million.

38:51Rory Stewart:I mean, you could buy a pretty decent center forward for that. And is the irony of it that one of them's been living in Thailand, the other one's living in Hong Kong? So to some extent, this is money that they have because they didn't have to pay full UK tax. and of course the law. I mean, I do think Labour's been a bit asleep at the wheel on this one. The part of the art of politics and government is seeing what's coming down the track. The Americanisation, the Trumpification of our politics, that is what reform are doing. They're doing it with post-truth, they're doing it with polarisation, and they're doing it with money.

39:26I mean, there was a time, and look, we shouldn't be too pious about this. I can remember when Matthew Harding, who was a Chelsea director, very sadly got killed in a helicopter crash coming back from a match but i think he was our first million pound donor and i remember seeing that as you know this would be amazing because it'd be like you know business will realize that yeah labor's the party of business and that was a million pounds and people thought that is an enormous sum of money on one day yeah they got two people pledging 36 million and the and and labor they have got this legislation going through So there's this debate about whether this kind of thing, because they said it depends on, you know, where you were living at a specific time.

40:06These guys claim that they've moved back to the UK. I don't know. Take them at face value, I guess. But I'll tell you what I find utterly extraordinary is somebody like Farage, who polls say, I think polls, you can take them or leave them, but he is currently viewed as the sleaziest politician in Britain. Okay. If you give people a list of politicians and you count them on a sleaze factor, he's seen as the sleaziest. He's the guy who stands up there and says, these guys are promising this 72 million pounds because they're patriotic British people, patriotic British people who until recently lived in Hong Kong and Thailand and who want nothing from this and who will never be given a peerage.

40:47Yeah. Et cetera, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. And, you know, enough people buy it because enough people will want to think, yeah, that's great. They can really kick the other parties and we don't like them.

40:57Rory Stewart:One of the sad things is that the parties are being, as usual, so short-sighted and self-interested. I talked to someone who'd been interviewing a Labour cabinet minister, asked them whether they would take the money, and their only response was, well, of course, we would do proper checks on whether they're eligible donors. Bullshit to that. Nobody should be taking£36 million from an individual donor. Nobody should be taking£1 million from an individual donor. Nobody should be taking£100 ,000 from an individual donor. It's totally inequitable, unjust, unfair. But the only alternative is state funding.

41:35Rory Stewart:We should have a system. Well, I've actually been doing a little bit of research here. Oh. Bit of research here. Right, here we go. So France, the cap is€7 ,500 per individual. and they have to be French national and fiscally resident in France. Even when they are, 7 ,500. Spain, 50 ,000 euros. Netherlands, 100 ,000 euros. Now, I don't know whether the cap is going to be 50 ,000, 7 ,500. It's not a million. It's 100 ,000. Great. Let's make it 100 ,000. Let's accept that the reason why we're doing that is we're trying to say that you shouldn't be in position where citizens have an undue influence and where parties are built on this dependency.

42:19Rory Stewart:I mean, it's a fundamental principle of equal citizenship without pushing too hard on this, right? Citizens should have roughly equal ability to influence, and the big influence should be from your voters. The problem with this stuff is that you don't really need to listen to your voters if you're getting 72 million in. So the electoral commission has done some modeling, my final figures. On the 319 million pounds, which the party's got over a five-year period, the 100 ,000 pound cap, which is the Alastair Campbell proposal, would have reduced the amount by 57%. The 10 ,000 pound cap, which is the Rory Stewart proposal, would have reduced by 86 % the amount of funding.

42:55Rory Stewart:Now, that tells you a hell of a lot. It tells you that 14 % of people are giving under 10 ,000. Sorry, 14 % of the money is people giving under 10 ,000. 86 % of the money funding all these parties is giving from people who can afford to give over 10 ,000 pounds. Or organisations. Because the argument that the Tories tend to make when Labour has talked about this is that, well, the trade unions are massive donors. Now, it's true the trade unions are. I was talking to Michael Levy the other day, who famously was a Labour Party fundraiser under Tony Blair. And he was saying, he always sort of tried to persuade the unions that there ought to be a way of saying that this is like, you know, 5.3 pence per member.

43:39Or, you know, you could, because that's what the unions are. They represent their members. But this is of a scale. This is what I mean about the Americanization. I mean, 36 million to the Americans is not that much. But do we really want to go down this road? And let me tell you, having run a few election campaigns.

43:55Rory Stewart:As far as I can see still, all this debate in the House of Commons is going on about permissible donors, whether you're living abroad or being taxable. Even in the US, individuals are capped at$3 ,500 per head. Now, there's this horrible Citizens United way around the side. But the reason why the US caps and France caps and Netherlands caps and Spain caps is the same. Why is Britain not capping donations? And what those rules are all about is the principle that however well-intentioned people might be, there is always a risk that people are buying access, influence, etc. And I've got to tell you about this guy Harbourn.

44:34And it's really strange, actually, because one of Fiona and my closest friends is weirdly a really old friend of his. I'm not going to drop them in it. And says, actually, he's quite a nice bloke. So he's given all this money. He gave a million pounds to the office of Boris Johnson Limited, okay, which was one of the biggest donations ever made to an individual politician. Now, January 2023, he got an 80 million pound Ministry of Defence contract, okay, for Kinetic, one of his companies. He went as an advisor to Boris Johnson. I don't know, I mean, I know he's an expert on Thailand. Is he an expert on Ukraine?

45:12Because he went as an advisor to Boris Johnson on his trip to Kiev in September 2023. There may be nothing wrong with this at all. Okay. And I don't know this Bendello guy.

45:23Rory Stewart:I can tell you a little bit about both these people because I know people who know both of them. And the weird thing about it is that they're quite different. Christopher Harbourn seems to be a central casting, Oxbridge-educated, quite fluent guy who, if you read the article he's written in The Sunday Telegraph, is deciding to present himself to the world as David Cameron. Basically, the article is, I care about climate change, I care about funding public services properly, If he cares about climate change, why is he funding a party that thinks that climate change is a hoax? Christopher Harbourn is literally presenting himself in the papers as the last socially liberal, fiscally conservative person in Britain.

46:08Rory Stewart:He literally has written an article that could have been written by David Gawke. Do you think he's confused Nigel Karajal with David Cameron? It's really weird. He's written an whole article that says, I want more pro-business, but I also want well-funded public services. I really care about climate change. He's decided to fund reform. Bendelo is different. Bendelo is somebody who openly would describe himself as being maybe slightly more, I don't know what the correct way to frame it is. Right wing? No, I think it's more that he had struggled at school. He was expelled from schools. He's a math genius.

46:40Rory Stewart:I mean, he's a guy who - Neurodivergent. Neurodivergent. Neurodivergent math genius. But neither of them seems to be particularly obsessed with culture war stuff. Neither of them is particularly personally lavish. The problem though is that I want to move the argument onto not so much who these guys are as a principle that no party should ever be doing this. You make this point about there could be conflicts of interest, there could be policy things. It's more fundamental. They will represent for reform 95 % of all the money that reform has. Reform will put out 300 constituency managers, all their office space, all their rent.

47:27Rory Stewart:They could buy virtually every billboard in the country. But also, if these guys turn around and say to Reform in a year's time, I don't really like what you're doing there, I'll take my support out. The whole thing collapses like a pack of cards. Or if there is a Reform government, I don't think there will be, but let's say there were, and you've got the first budget coming up, Are you seriously telling me, Nigel, Richard, Zia, Robert, et cetera, that when you get a phone call from Christopher Harbourn, who's given you 36 million and got help to put you in there, that you're not going to take that call ahead of CBI, ahead of some guy who's worked in this industry their whole life?

48:05And I think, again, back to our point about people not understanding AI. Crypto. We don't know the half of what crypto. Remember, Trump said that this whole thing basically was a scam for organized crime. Well, I've never seen that much to say that it's not. So, and by the way, I'm not saying Mr. Dello and Mr. Harbourn are involved in organized crime, but Mr. Dello, you know, I think anybody who has a Trump pardon on their record for offences related to money laundering should not be a permissible donor in the United Kingdom. I'm sorry. Yes, you can have a pardon, but we know there's a lobbying, there's a program on 60 Minutes this week, which we should advertise widely, where they've exposed these lawyers who are basically saying for$300 ,000, I can get you a pardon.

48:50So - And let me tell you the other thing about it. Tell me about it. Look, you went to a public school, right? And this is my theory about Dello. Because as you say, he's a maths geek. Yeah. Okay. And apparently he's an amazing...

49:02Rory Stewart:From a relatively modest background. Yeah. And he's an amazing maths geek. And was picked up by an amazing tutor at Worcester College, Oxford, who spotted his talent for automation. And he's now given a massive donation to them as well. So he's obviously made a lot of money. But don't you get the feeling that maybe Nigel Farage and Richard Tice are like the sort of school bullies who've picked on the neurodivergent maths geek? And this is his way of kind of getting in with him a bit. I don't know. I don't know. That's how it feels to me. Who would want to hang out with Farage? And Tice, exactly.

49:35Rory Stewart:But maybe he does. There is a weird... Ben, you can come on the podcast and review all this. A weird little circle around this guy, Dukes, who was part of the scandal. It's one of this coterie of young men who seem to adore Farage and be with him all the time and following around all the time and think he's incredibly funny and charismatic. To come back to beating my big drum, if one had a cap on donations, actually one wouldn't need to get into the micro details so much of whether somebody who's been pardoned in the US or fiscating. If you capped at£10 ,000, none of these people could have disproportionate influence.

50:15Rory Stewart:The great thing, because I did this when I was running to be the leadership, right? What I realized is if you cap at£10 ,000, any politician really can tell someone to F off. Okay, you take your£10 ,000, well, another£10 ,000, right? Even nicer would be though, if we followed Peter Malinowskis, your hero who you introduced us to, I think is extraordinary. He's designed a whole system of public funding in Australia, which has tried to balance the fact. He says it's got to be fair, rational, reflective of community support, and not impossible for new entrants. And it's a lovely set of things. Here's another idea that I have.

50:51Rory Stewart:You can match small donations. So let's say the government - With the state? Yeah. Let's say the government said for every pound you give up to 250 pounds will triple it. For all parties? Any citizen that gives a pound up to 250 pounds, the government will triple it. Above 250 pounds, nothing. Give much more weight to the small donor and much less to the big donor. I mean, right now, arguing is very hard to argue for state funding with all the other pressures on the public verse, isn't it? All right. Well, then let's just stop the value funding. What do they need the money for anyway? What are they doing with the stupid money?

51:23They're doing a lot of things. I mean, my big worry about 72 million, and having been involved, that is a lot of money to buy a lot of advertising. And they won't care about whether they're on the edge of the law during a campaign. I'm sorry, they won't.

51:36Rory Stewart:Well, they're all these parties. So let's follow my figures. £10 ,000 cap, reduced by 86%, come down from 319 million down to whatever, I don't know, 60 million. Fine. Parties can do what they like with 60 million. Give us less advertising. Okay. Get out there, do a bit of old-fashioned leafleting. Yeah, I get rid of that. Knock on a few doors. They'll hire a few doors. There are very well-paid agents in every single constituency. Well, they shouldn't be allowed to, nor should Labor, nor should the Conservatives, nor should Lib Dems. They get free television anyway. It's not like the states we have to pay for television.

52:08Rory Stewart:They get free television during the campaign. What do they need the money for, these buggers? Yeah, okay. So Labor, Labor, Labor shows some principles. That's why I think it worries me a little bit about this government. You want more principle? I want Andy Burnham to come out and say, not, oh, I found a way to shaft reform, but actually this is a wake-up call for all of us. None of us are going to take a donation over Alistair Campbell's£100 ,000 limit. There was a point, you know, maybe this proves your point. There was a point where I was utterly stunned to be named as Labour's biggest doler.

52:41It was actually when Ed was leader, because I can't remember how much it was, but it was about£10 ,000. And because at the time, nobody was funding the parties. And now Labour will be thinking, well, we've got to find ways to compete with this, I'm afraid. because, you know, this stuff does work. It's why the Americans have got this arms race. And it's why you're right about the principle. It's why we've got to stop it. Just on the, on the...

53:05Rory Stewart:Dear public, France capped at 7 ,500. Spain capped at 50 ,000. Netherlands capped at 100 ,000. Why is Britain not capping? I think Rory should write a piece about a party for the newsletter. There you are, I'll show you up. Just to shout, Louis Wilson, though, who was the undercover reporter. And where I agree with Rory, he said last week, you've got to see the whole thing. But the other thing is really, really interesting. And we made a proposition to Louis Wilson because they've got tons more. Tons. So much more. And I don't know about you. I think Richard Tyson, you should wind your neck in for a bit.

53:40That's all I'm saying. They've got tons more of James Orr. He said they had six of those long meetings where he rambled on about himself endlessly. So they've got tons and tons more.

53:51Rory Stewart:I'm talking instantly apparently on being on Ben Dello's yacht when actually quite a lot of the pitch in the Sunday Telegraph is Ben Dello doesn't like yachts. Yeah, there you go. There's a lot in there. So the point is, Channel 4, you had a big hit with this. Do another programme. Do another one. There's lots in there. And what we said to Louis, if all of our broadcasters lack the spine to take this on, then I think we would happily. We could even have a James All Minute every day, every week for a year. Absolutely honoured to. Now, just as we finish, Alistair, I'm looking forward very much to interviewing you on your new book, Percivalience.

54:29Rory Stewart:So you're going to tell us a little bit about it. Well, what I'm going to know, I'll do that in the interview. What I am going to do is to announce the winner. Okay. Can you believe this, how clever our listeners are, Rory? So I said last week, guess the title of the book. Several thousand took part, said it was one word. Yeah. 503 guessed correctly. 503 guests plus villains? Yeah. 104 thought it was Maradona. No, the funniest one, one person thought it was Woot Burger, which was that German word that you were so impressed by. So the winner, the guy who was first to guess it's called Graham Flint, he's going to get a whole bundle of prizes.

55:06He's going to get a sign book obvs. He's going to get a mention in the paperback. We're going to allow him a question on question time. And he's going to get free tickets to the launch event, which will be an act of profound pedultery, Rory. You've had yours. I'm having mine. It's an event for the new world. It's me interviewed by Michelle Hussein. Stop shaking, Adam. It's me interviewed by Michelle Hussein, or as we call in our house, the BBC's loss is Bloomberg's gain at the Cadogan Hall in London, October 22nd. And yeah, I think we'll probably give a few free tickets out to newsletter people as well, because we love the newsletter.

55:40RestlessPolice.com forward slash newsletter. And to those, by the way, who don't like our plugging, well, it's our podcast.

55:47Rory Stewart:Just to finish, let's bring it all together. Let's wrap it all together. What I was thinking about this morning is that these themes, what's happened in Yemen, the closing of the Red Sea, AI reform funding, is all part of a bigger story that we've been talking about in this podcast for nearly four years, which is the collapse of the old rules, splintering of political parties, populism, global conflict. Where we now need to move on to is how we redesign the world to cope with it, or more bluntly, what do we do about it? Because the evidence is now all around us. And the problem is that unless people start carnying their way around and coming up with a structure and a solution or following Malinowskis domestically and carny internationally, right?

56:37Rory Stewart:And I quite like that. Maybe you should do a book on Malinowskis, domestic, Carney International. We're going to find it's just going to get worse and worse and worse. People are really kidding themselves if they think it's okay, as the Foreign Office, I fear, sometimes seems to be saying, let's put our head in the sands, hope America's going to be our friends again in two years' time. This is just the beginning. I mean, literally every time we open the papers and we read, 72 million pounds has gone into reform. For goodness sake, the Red Sea has been closed by the Houthi terrorist group. The US president is calling for a united Ireland.

57:10Rory Stewart:AI potentially has agents that could wipe out humanity and nobody's prepared to regulate this. Stuff which would have defined an entire generation are now happening every day. That's the point you made at the Festival Hall, it's true. It's why it gets so, so annoying when people say, oh, politics, nothing ever changes anyway. I mean, hadn't there ever been a time where things have changed so fast, so much, and politics has got to catch up with it. Processors have got to catch up with it. Morality, solutions, communication. Morality, solutions, communication. MSC, Community Security Conference, MSC, Ministry of Master of Science.

57:45Rory Stewart:What we need is exactly this. We need Andy Burnham to have the solution. In case of reform, it could be cap on funding. We're not going to take more than£10 ,000 from any individual. Communication, the charm out there doing the Burnham stuff, but at the back, the morality. What are the values which are driving this? And that value needs to connect from Manchester to Manchuria.

58:10Thank you, Rory. That's absolutely brilliant. We should also say, I want to just say a little thing about Andy Bernal because he did the Great North Run and his dad died. Oh. That is so sad. I think having these normal public events that we all have to deal with, having them when you're really, really high profile public figure, I think it's very, very hard. so thoughts with Andy and his family

58:33Rory Stewart:thoughts with Andy and his family very good alright see you soon bye bye

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From the publisher

Is the Houthi’s seizure of one of the world's most critical waterways the clearest proof yet that Trump's Iran war has become a catastrophe? With the very people building AI now calling for a pause, is real regulation finally coming, or will tech billionaires keep writing the rules themselves? And with Reform banking £72 million from two crypto billionaires, why is Britain one of the only democracies with no cap on political donations?

Join Rory and Alastair as they answer all these questions and more

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