In short
Peter Chernin discusses how “Backrooms” (a low-budget horror thriller) got made and what it signals about where “smart money” is going in Hollywood—creator talent, global media scale, streaming/podcast strategy, and consolidation/vertical integration risks.
Guest backgrounds
Peter Chernin is founder/CEO of The Chernin Group and founder of North Road; former Fox executive (20+ years under Rupert Murdoch) who greenlit major titles like Family Guy, 24, Titanic, and Avatar. He later led digital/media investments (e.g., Pandora, Fullscreen, Barstool, podcasts like Crime Junkies) and sold North Road to Mediawan (French production powerhouse). Guests also include Craig Horbeck (producer) and Matt Pevick (art editor), plus host Matt Belloni.
Key claims
YouTube/TikTok creators can break into big theatrical audiences; Hollywood needs more risk and less vertical integration; platforms are global, so content companies must globalize; Netflix should balance engagement metrics with high-quality video.
Notable examples
“Backrooms” co-financed 50/50 with A24; greenlit when director Kane Parsons was 18; producers include Atomic Monster (James Wan) and 21 Laps (Sean Levy). Chernin cites investments like Crunchyroll (100k subs to 5M; sold to AT&T), Barstool, and sports-adjacent bets.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOIntroduction to Peter Chernin and Backrooms
0:36 to 1:01
Discussing Peter Chernin's role in the film Backrooms and his background in media.
“Written by Jack Thorne, the award-winning co-creator of Adolescence, the Associated Press calls Lord of the Flies a powerful adaptation, and USA Today raves it is the best show of the year.”
Introduction to Peter Chernin and Backrooms
1:03 to 2:45
Discussing Peter Chernin's role in the film Backrooms and his background in media.
“Backrooms is the big story of the box office this weekend.”
Welcome and Background of Peter Chernin
2:45 to 3:07
Matthew Belloni welcomes Chernin and outlines his extensive career.
“All right, we are here with Peter Chernin, who is the founder and CEO of The Chernin Group, and the founder of North Road, and the co-founder and partner at TCG, the investment group.”
The Making of Backrooms
3:07 to 4:25
Chernin shares how he got involved with the low-budget horror film Backrooms.
“You know, we have a division in the company called North Road Films, run by Corey Adelson.”
The Creator Economy and YouTube Filmmakers
4:25 to 7:54
Discussion on the rise of YouTube filmmakers transitioning to Hollywood.
“And so there's a lot of people that are involved, but from our company, it's particularly Corey Adelson.”
Differences Between YouTube and Theater Experiences
7:54 to 9:21
Exploring why filmmakers gravitate towards traditional cinema despite online platforms.
“You have an obligation to do it both from a business perspective and creatively.”
The Future of IMAX and Filmmaking
9:21 to 10:33
Insights into potential buyers of IMAX and the role of filmmakers in its future.
“We're seeing the economics that are being created out of this.”
Selling North Road and Global Strategy
10:33 to 14:00
Chernin discusses the sale of North Road and the importance of global scale.
“and I do think there may be more interesting talent opportunities than people have talked about.”
Investments in the Podcast Industry
14:00 to 14:35
Learn about Peter Chernin's bullish stance on podcasting and key investments.
“but this was an opportunity to do it on a macro level in the form of merger.”
The State of Podcasting and Media
14:35 to 16:44
Discusses the dynamics of podcasting and media trends emphasizing quality and engagement.
“You know, we certainly built – there was a time – there was a moment in time when Barstool was the biggest podcast company.”
Show all 21 chapters
Netflix’s Podcasting Strategy
16:44 to 18:38
Insights on Netflix's approach to podcasting and competition with YouTube.
“That being said, I also agree with you that their fundamental raison d 'etre is to provide high quality video programming around the world and that they should not take their eye off.”
Netflix’s Podcasting Strategy
19:50 to 20:23
Insights on Netflix's approach to podcasting and competition with YouTube.
“Sterling Harjo, the series stars five-time Academy Award nominee Ethan Hawke as Lee Raybon, A self-described Tulsa trussorian whose fixation on the truth tends to create more problems than it solves.”
Fox's Future Post-Rupert
20:23 to 22:29
Analyzing the future of Fox and its management after Rupert Murdoch.
“You know, I think that that has largely been resolved, which is the family dynamics, which were truly complicated and would have been very complicated, have been resolved.”
The Risks of Studio Decision-Making
22:29 to 24:25
Exploring the challenges and risks in decision-making for modern studio heads.
“You know, that's not a fair characterization.”
Warner Brothers and Paramount Merger Insights
24:25 to 27:27
Discussion on the financial implications and risks of the Warner Brothers-Paramount merger.
“because they should be taking risks like that.”
Concerns Over Media Industry Consolidation
27:27 to 28:00
Discussing the dangers of vertical integration and regulatory scrutiny in the media.
“You know, but I think the industry should be rooting for it in the sense that we need a strong competitor.”
The Impact of Vertical Integration on Hollywood
28:00 to 30:49
Explore how vertical integration affects creativity and the health of Hollywood.
“And the regulators felt like they shouldn't be able to own the stuff that they air.”
Investing in Emerging Media Trends
30:50 to 34:23
Discussion on strategic investments in sports, streaming, and collectibles.
“I probably wouldn't tell you if I had one.”
The Future of Content Creation
34:24 to 39:45
Insights on the revival of Hollywood and the importance of content investment.
“And when it comes back, how is it going to look different?”
Discussion on Backrooms and A24's Strategy
39:46 to 41:01
Analysis of the Backrooms movie and A24's marketing efforts.
“And I think all of us need to be nimble and fast and curious and bold and adventurous and all those things about how to achieve that.”
Exploring 'Backrooms' and Its Cultural Impact
42:01 to 44:21
Learn about the unique journey of the movie 'Backrooms' from a 4chan post to a cinematic phenomenon.
“It feels like A24 knows this movie is really good.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:04Matt Belloni:This episode of The Town is brought to you by Starz's Outlander. Everything has led to this. The final chapter of the time-traveling drama and cultural phenomenon starring Sam Heughan and Catriona Balfe is only on Starz. Vogue declares Outlander one of television's greatest love stories, and the rap raves Balfe and Heughan have perfected this on-screen relationship. Industry voters can access all episodes at starsfyc.com. This episode is brought to you by Netflix, presenting Lord of the Flies. Based on the dystopian classic, this limited series follows a group of English schoolboys stuck on a desert island as tribes form and a violent power struggle emerges.
0:45Matt Belloni:Written by Jack Thorne, the award-winning co-creator of Adolescence, the Associated Press calls Lord of the Flies a powerful adaptation, and USA Today raves it is the best show of the year. Led by an astoundingly talented cast of young actors, it is an absolute must-watch. For your Emmy Awards consideration. It is Friday, May 29th. Backrooms is the big story of the box office this weekend. A low-budget horror thriller directed by a 20-year-old YouTuber is going to open bigger than most studio blockbusters. Kind of amazing. But the backstory on Backrooms includes a major media business figure you probably wouldn't associate with low-budget horror.
1:22Matt Belloni:Peter Chernin is a producer on the film, and his company, Chernin Entertainment, is the studio. It co-financed the movie with A24, which will release it. So I invited Peter on the town to talk about it, as well as a bunch of other topics in the media landscape. If you don't know Chernin, he's been a major figure in entertainment and media for decades now and has great insights. He was a top executive at Fox under Rupert Murdoch for more than 20 years, and he ran both the film side of the business and Fox Broadcasting. He greenlit everything from Family Guy to 24 and Titanic and Avatar. Since 2010, though, he's been the CEO of the Churnin Group, which invests in digital media companies.
1:59Matt Belloni:He was early in Pandora, Fullscreen, Barstool, podcasts like Crime Junkies, and he built an entertainment arm, first in Churnin Entertainment, which has made investments in projects like Planet of the Apes movies. He just did Apex and the show Man on Fire at Netflix. Both were number one at the same time. And then in North Road, which has production companies that make everything from Love is Blind at Netflix to sports documentaries. Earlier this year, he sold North Road to Media One, the French production powerhouse. And now he's got back rooms, plus a first-look film deal at Apple. Churnin's also one of the smartest thinkers about entertainment.
2:33Matt Belloni:So today I've got him on the show talking about the changing landscape, what's scary and what's not, what's next for Netflix, Paramount, all the others, and where the smart money is investing in Hollywood. From The Ringer and Puck, I'm Matt Bellany, and this is The Town.
2:52Matt Belloni:All right, we are here with Peter Chernin, who is the founder and CEO of The Chernin Group, and the founder of North Road, and the co-founder and partner at TCG, the investment group. Am I missing anything? That seems plenty to me. You got a lot of jobs. All right, well, welcome on the show and we're having you on in an interesting context because if you had said to me that back rooms a no budget horror thriller that is about to win the box office directed by a 20 year old youtuber that that was a peter chernan movie i would say no way so first of all how in the world did you get involved with this movie first of all let me clear it was directed by a 19 year old at the time it was now 20 right it was now 20 and i think we greenlit the movie when he was 18.
3:44Oh my God. You know, we have a division in the company called North Road Films, run by Corey Adelson. One of the things we've done there is we have a deal with A24 where we co-finance movies together. This was actually the second movie that we've done. We did one about two or three years ago. And so Corey's always looking for things to do that are interesting there. And she found this project, Backrooms. Was she scrolling the 4chan rooms to be fair there were two young producers who really found it yeah and they brought it to cory and then we brought it to a24 so we are both and generally the rough deal with a24 is we each put up 50 of the money we split the proceeds 50 of the money and then you know we don't get paid to produce they don't get paid to distribute it so it's a pure 50 50 venture and so uh you know but there were two young producers dan cohn and michael clear who found this thing on the internet and found kane and then brought it to cory cory got really excited and then we brought it to a24 and then you know we obviously co-produced the movie with several other people but we were quite actively involved from the studio perspective you know we we arranged for it to go to um vancouver we brought in craig ferguson who was really instrumental as one of the producers but we produced it at his facility in uh in vancouver through craig we brought in oz perkins to be a producer with us and so long legs i wasn't my company was overwhelming about and cory adelson who works for me but look there are a lot of people who are knock on wood hoping this movie is successful tomorrow instrumental a lot of other producers A24 has been a phenomenal partner on this, done an amazing marketing job.
5:35And so there's a lot of people that are involved, but from our company, it's particularly Corey Adelson.
5:40Matt Belloni:And at some point, James Wan and Atomic Monster came on board this film. When did that happen and why? So they were on right at the beginning. Right, okay. And the same thing with Sean Levy and 21 Laps. It's really the three main producing companies at Origination were Cherman and Atomic Monster and 21 Labs. Why does a project like this need so many producers? It doesn't. They all came along. I feel like that's the eternal question in Hollywood. Yeah, look, there were three or four people who were very instrumental every day on this movie. One from each of those companies and then also Craig Ferguson.
6:19There are a bunch of other bosses like myself, Sean, James. You know, I guess you deserve some credit for creating an environment where you find and pay for things. but we were not on the set producing this thing on a day-to-day basis it's interesting that this
6:34Matt Belloni:is a youtuber that is making the leap because you were pretty early investing in the creator space with full screen any i mean what did you learn out of that and did you think that in the year 2026 we would see this run of digital native filmmaking talent making the leap not just to getting Hollywood style movies made, but getting big audiences, you know, obsession just opened big and is keeps growing. And now we've got this other YouTube first movie that is going to be big. I absolutely believe that you did. Yes. We look, you know, we have been huge believers in the creator economy and YouTube going back.
7:20I think we invested in full screen 14 years ago. Um, look, It's also, to be fair, it's no accident. We are the only media company based in Silicon Beach. Our offices are in Playa Vista. We are across the street. YouTube is right over there. Facebook is right over there. You know, as a company, I'm deeply interested in technology. We've always been deeply interested. Going back to, you know, when I founded Hulu, before anybody else invested in streaming, I mean, I think the key is, and by the way, you talked about this on your IMAX podcast this week, which is you have to be relentlessly interested in technology.
8:02You have an obligation to do it. You have an obligation to do it both from a business perspective and creatively. And I think, you know, so we invest in Fullscreen, which was the original creator economy company 14 years ago. You know, we invested four or five years ago in Knight Media, which is the leading, you know, creator management company, managed Mr. Beast at the time that we invested in it. So we've always been a believer in that. And I think in terms of what I have ever imagined that YouTubers would be big Hollywood presence, absolutely. And if you look at, in my opinion, the key to Hollywood has always been finding new talent early.
8:39You know, whether you go back 100 years and they were looking to find people out of Broadway, you know, you go back to the days of Roger Corman, look at the amount of talent that came out of Roger Corman. That was in some ways an analog 50 years ago. You know, look at the number of people 25, 30 years ago who came out of MTV, doing MTV videos. You have to be relentlessly focused on where the next generation is coming from. And the next generation are making YouTube and TikTok shorts.
9:07Matt Belloni:Yeah, I guess I'm just a little surprised that that generation, with all the distribution opportunities that are available online now, they are gravitating towards this traditional in theaters motion picture experience. But you know what? We're seeing the economics that are being created out of this. And hard to match that with YouTube videos. Yeah, but I think it's deeper than that. Look, they obviously, YouTube is an incredibly effective place for them to connect with their audience. And the really good one, certainly Kane Parsons, is deeply connected to that audience. But conversely, you know, there are much bigger budgets available.
9:43And to the degree they have a more ambitious creative vision, it is easier to realize that with Hollywood budgets. And it is a different kind of both global and communal distribution model. There's a big difference between, you know, almost anything that's watched on YouTube is watched either by people on their phone, People on their PC by themselves, etc. There's something deeply satisfying to artists about creating things which people are going to watch in a communal environment.
10:13Matt Belloni:By the way, who do you think is going to buy IMAX? I listen to your podcast. I think I agree with you. I don't get the studio side because there's too many competitive pressures. A few people said we should have talked more about Sony because they're at least a technology company and might be interested. Yeah, I think it's more likely to be private equity. and I do think there may be more interesting talent opportunities than people have talked about. Oh, interesting. Look, there are big, big filmmakers who are obsessed with IMAX. So Chris Nolan takes his Odyssey money and becomes the face of IMAX with a backer behind him?
10:51Yeah, I don't know if they've become the face, but I believe that there are a number of big filmmakers who might very well be interested in making sure it goes to the right place. Interesting.
11:00Matt Belloni:Well, this is one of the reasons why I wanted to have you on, because you are super smart about the media landscape, and you have a sprawling empire that touches a lot of the areas that we talk about a lot on this show. First off, though, you launched North Road as a big, ambitious film company. Television got into reality TV, sports docs, all sorts of areas. Film television launched it in 2022, arguably the peak of peak TV. And then you sold it earlier this year, got French company to buy it. And some people in town looked at that and said, if Chernin is the smartest media investor in town and he's selling, that is a sign that we're in trouble.
11:48Matt Belloni:Why did you sell North Road? Yeah. So first of all, I'd say I'm incredibly proud of what we built. We raised$300 million. We sold this thing. It's been widely reported. So I'm not saying this, but what has been reported was between$800 million and a billion dollars. So I'm really proud of what we built. And I'm really proud. I think we built more EBITDA in a shorter period of time than any other independent company. And so we certainly did not sell it out of desperation. That being said, I think the platforms are so powerful. I think it's hard to be a standalone independent company. And I think we woke up and said, we got to get bigger.
12:28we need more scale. You look at the platforms, you look at their practices, you need more scale. They have such enormous scale. You need more scale to compete against them, etc. And so it wasn't that I felt like we were in trouble because we were actually growing every year. We were profitable every single year we did it. And I'm really proud of what we built. But I also felt like in order to thrive in the world going forward, you need to get bigger. That's number one. The second thing I felt is that the platforms at this point are all truly global. They are global platforms. I think most of them have more subscribers outside of the US than inside the US at this point.
13:06Certainly all the successful ones, and they've really globalized the distribution of content. I think no one has ever globalized the creation of content. I think if you look back historically, the big European companies were never particularly successful in the US. and the big U.S. companies never really cared about making content overseas. We all cared about selling our content overseas, but we never really cared about making it. And I think that it's important that the content companies become as global as the platforms are. I think you need to do that in order to thrive successfully with them.
13:40And so, you know, I've been thinking and talking to my partners here at North Road, Jesse, among others, about how do we get more global? because I think it was the most important thing. You know, we have gone out and bought. We bought a Turkish company. We bought a Mexican company. You know, we've looked at and had conversations with a bunch of other international companies. So we've been focused on getting more global, but this was an opportunity to do it on a macro level in the form of merger.
14:04Matt Belloni:So global is your focus. What are some other focuses? You have investments across the landscape. You're heavily invested in the podcast industry. Are you bullish on podcasts? Are you buying, are you drinking that Kool-Aid now? I think I started drinking that Kool-Aid 10 years ago. So I drank that Kool-Aid a long, long time ago. And just so people know, you have investments in the Crime Junkies podcast, the Rest is History company that does very popular podcasts out of the UK. And you have a couple of other big investments as well. By the way, we had a conversation with Ringer a long time ago. You know, we certainly built – there was a time – there was a moment in time when Barstool was the biggest podcast company.
14:43And we clearly controlled that company. I mean, here's what I'd say about podcasting. I am a huge, I think podcasting has gone the way of most media right now, which is, you don't want to be in the middle. You want to be a big podcasting company, or you want to be a very targeted podcasting company. And you don't want to be a bland sort of middle company, which is, I think, true of everything in the media business. And I'm very bullish on podcasting on those two ends of the barbell.
15:11Matt Belloni:I thought you were going to say it's gone the way of the rest of the media business and is trying to become television. Well, I think that, you know, certainly a huge group of the growth in podcasting has come in video, you know, mostly by YouTube. And now you're certainly seeing Netflix trying to be very aggressive in the podcasting space. Can Netflix hope to compete with YouTube? It's just, it seems a little sad to me that the content decisions Netflix is making right now seems to be hyper-focused on engagement and increasing this time spent, even if it means watching hour after hour after hour of podcasts, they don't care.
15:55Matt Belloni:They just want to try to get closer and closer to that YouTube metric of engagement without thinking more about the quality. And I know they're talking about it more on their earnings calls and such, but it seems to drive Netflix crazy how much engagement YouTube has. And I don't know if they're ever going to be able to win that battle. Well, I think that, first of all, I would never bet against Netflix. They have had an unparalleled 15, 20-year track record. And so we'll see. I think that, I guess I'd say, two slightly contradictory things there. Number one, engagement's an important metric for them and worth paying attention to.
16:35And, you know, they are as smart about analyzing data as anyone I know. So I'm sure that if they're focused on engagement, it's for good reason. That being said, I also agree with you that their fundamental raison d 'etre is to provide high quality video programming around the world and that they should not take their eye off. I'm not I'm not suggesting they are taking their eye off that ball, but they certainly shouldn't. And they should keep doubling down on that.
17:04Matt Belloni:You think they'll go after another studio? First of all, I was shocked when the Warner deal was announced. We were all shocked. I still would say no at this point. You know, in the fun, something, I was both shocked they went after it, and then I was shocked how quickly they dropped out at the moment they dropped out. Oh, you were. Interesting. I thought that once they were in, I always thought the Ellisons would get it because if you know David at all, he is relentlessly focused on proving himself and becoming a media mogul, and he just was not going to let that asset get away. But the reason I say I was shocked is Netflix had it.
17:40Yeah. Netflix had a signed deal and, you know, they had topping rights, everything else. And so that's the sense in which I was shocked.
17:49Matt Belloni:But the shareholders didn't like the deal. No. But you know what? You know, your job as someone running this company is to create shareholder value over time. And if you have real conviction that you're making the right bet, you're willing to make some rough decisions with shareholders. And look, by the way, Ted and Greg certainly seemed to be willing to do that during the period of time when it was their deal. Sure. But I think something rattled them. I don't know whether it was shareholder reaction. I don't know whether it was, you know, the regulatory reaction, and that may have been worse, and something rattled them.
18:21And, you know, I don't think there is anything quite as compelling as Warner Brothers out there.
18:26Matt Belloni:So you don't think they're going to go after Sony or Universal or even Lionsgate? I don't, but by the way, I didn't think they were going to go after Warner. So don't pay any attention to me. No, no, no. You, you know, most deals come across your desk. So I know you, you have insights. This episode is brought to you by Hulu. Chase Infinity stars in The Testaments, Hulu's new coming of age drama series set in the world of The Handmaid's Tale. Variety calls it an exemplary follow-up to the original series and a magnificent coming of age story. Also starring Anne Dowd and Lucy Halliday, The Testaments is for your Emmy consideration in all eligible categories, including Outstanding Drama Series and Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series for Infinity.
19:11Matt Belloni:For more information, visit hulu.com slash fyc. Now on Acorn TV. There's a killer on the loose. Brooke Shields stars in the new original murder mystery, You're Killing Me. You spin some crackpot theory and I find the evidence. I solve mysteries for a living. I think I'm good to go. Murder has met its match. You cannot be here. This is a police investigation. I've written you. What does that mean? He was a big city cop with a small jurisdiction. Boomers are so cute when they flirt. You're killing me. All new episodes now on Acorn TV. This episode is brought to you by FX's The Lowdown. From acclaimed Reservation Dogs creator Sterling Harjo, the series stars five-time Academy Award nominee Ethan Hawke as Lee Raybon, A self-described Tulsa trussorian whose fixation on the truth tends to create more problems than it solves.
20:04Matt Belloni:This gloriously off-kilter noir is an AFI television program of the year and one of 2025's most critically acclaimed shows. The Lowdown is available for your Emmy consideration on Hulu and Disney Plus for bundle subscribers. What's going to happen to Fox post Rupert? You know, I think that that has largely been resolved, which is the family dynamics, which were truly complicated and would have been very complicated, have been resolved. Talk about shocked. Were you shocked that they agreed to, the kids agreed to go away? No. You were not? No. I'm shocked that, you know, I guess I was shocked that the process in court went on as long because it was obvious that kids could go away at whatever point they got fairly compensated.
20:50Right. And so, you know, I was shocked up to them. I wasn't shocked there. But so that part has been resolved. And then, look, I think you've got to say that Fox clearly is pretty well positioned. And B, I think they deserve a lot of credit in the technology and new media side. Arguably as much credit as any media company over the past four or five years.
21:13Matt Belloni:Just for buying Tubi and the podcast company. Red Seat Ventures, which is a podcast company, which, you know, we made a deal with them recently on Crime Junkies. Those are really smart acquisitions and they've been run really well. So I think that Fox is in pretty good shape. And, you know, I think they also on some level deserve credit for not making a lot of big mistakes in the past few years. Yeah, it's just that there are so many things about that company or both of them, Fox and News Corp, that are hallmarks of Rupert. You know, do you think the New York Post stays after Rupert? Do you think, you know, any of these things, the California Post, any of these things that they're doing in the journalism space, it just, it feels like the moment Rupert's not around, that stuff goes away.
22:04Yeah, although I believe, to the best of my knowledge, Lachlan actually cares quite a bit about the New York Post. You think he does? Yeah.
22:11Matt Belloni:Okay. Well, you would know better than me. I was really focused on the Fox at all. And, you know, News Corp clearly has great strength in the Wall Street Journal, great strength in HarperCollins, great strength in the Australian real estate business. I can't speak to the rest of the newspaper business. Speaking of Fox, by the way, Jim Cameron is still upset that you guys tried to not greenlight Avatar more than 15 years ago. You know, that's not a fair characterization. You heard what he said. He said something about how you wouldn't make the movie until he threatened to take it to Disney. Yeah, I think that's his view of it.
22:48We went, you know, it was at the point which Fox greenlit it. It was close to double the most expensive movie ever made. which by the way had been Titanic, which I had made. And you go through the normal hand wringing in making a decision like that.
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23:05Matt Belloni:Yeah. Do you look at the studio heads of today and kind of pity them a little bit? The decisions they have to make and the movies they have to make? Or do you think that is still the most fun you can have at a studio or in an entertainment job? I certainly don't think it's the most fun. I think they are very, very tough jobs right now. But I also think that they could be made more fun with a greater embrace of risk. You'd like to see more risk. I'd like to see more risk. And I think that, you know, I would assume, and what do I know, that Mike and Pam have had more fun than anybody else in those jobs.
23:46Matt Belloni:Mike and Pam at Warner Brothers we're talking about. Well, they did not have fun in that three to four week period when everyone thought they were getting fired. Yes, but I didn't have fun in the year before Titanic came out when everyone thought I was going to be fired. But, you know, you have fun when you take risks and they work. And I think that as their things started coming out and they had a phenomenal, they had more fun and they deserve every bit of success. They took more risks. They took smart risks. And I think that those companies, you know, you can't just live on sequels. You can't just live on existing IP.
24:21It's a terrible thing to do to the audience. I hope that there is a lesson to those big studios in both Obsession and Backrooms, because they should be taking risks like that. And if you go back to the big franchises, which they are making infinite sequels of, are generally 15 to 30, 40 years old at this point. Half the audience wasn't born when they started. and you know historically Hollywood did a really good job of consistently trying to make youth oriented things make youth oriented comedies make youth oriented horror movies at that point and studios shouldn't give that up I'm not saying they all have given it up and there are certain things Universal does a good job in the horror area
25:04Matt Belloni:and there are signs that Gen Z is coming back and we've seen from studies they like movies and we've gone over that a lot on the show and it's your job to do that And the jobs would be much more fun to the degree you did more of that. All right. Let's talk a little bit about the Warner Brothers Paramount merger, because you must be looking at this. I mean, this deal, we thought there was a lot of debt attached to the Warner Brothers Discovery transaction. This company is coming in hotter than hot with debt. They have money from the Middle East that they are recruiting. You've raised money. You had money from Qatar.
25:40Matt Belloni:Correct. What do you make of the financial transaction? Is this all setting up for a potential Titanic-style disaster if this debt causes this company to just have to cut costs into oblivion? A couple of things I would say is the Ellison family alone is the second biggest media company, second only to Netflix. So they can clearly afford to do whatever they want. Sure. But Larry, I mean, the only reason they're looking in the Middle East is because Larry's like, I'm giving you money to a point. Yeah. But look, they can afford to do whatever they want, and they clearly are already putting a lot of money into this.
26:21You know, I think that I'm not opposed to the deal. I think both those companies are subscale. And I would hope no one's rooting for them more than me in the following sense, that what the industry could use more than anything is another strong competitor. and look it's a tough whatever the analogy is triple bank shot they've taken on both financially and creatively but that's what you're supposed to do in life you're supposed to take big risks you know we certainly you know rupert you know i worked with for 20 years oh mr risk took more risks than anybody and clearly it worked for him and most you know netflix took big risk big success comes from big risk whether or not they will succeed i can't tell you but you think it's
27:04Matt Belloni:possible you think it's possible to cut six billion dollars out of this combined company while still investing enough in a technology stack to be competitive with netflix yes but they may and make 30 movies a year they may have to raise more money into it they may have to contribute more money i'm not close enough to the day-to-day but it's certainly possible and they're not stupid people you know they're they're uh they've clearly spent years looking at these numbers i haven't You know, but I think the industry should be rooting for it in the sense that we need a strong competitor. And I'm also not of a mind that consolidation is the really bad thing.
27:41By the way, I am of a mind that vertical integration is the really bad thing in the industry right now. The idea that these platforms are owning and producing everything that they distribute and owning all rights in perpetuity of everything that they distribute. And I think it's a very dangerous thing for the industry. And I think that there's a clear analogy to, you know, there was a regulatory, there were regulatory protections put in place during an analogous time, which was in the early 1970s when the media business was controlled by three broadcast networks. And the regulators felt like they shouldn't be able to own the stuff that they air.
28:21And I believe that everybody, and by the way, to be fair, it's not just Netflix. It's Disney is hugely vertically integrated. They all want to be.
28:31Matt Belloni:I mean, that's the goal. That's why you buy these companies is to vertically integrate. That's the goal. And I think that's the most dangerous thing for the Hollywood creative community right now. And do you think there's any chance of these FinCEN rules coming back? I mean, I hear that all the time, and I know the antitrust people would love it. I'm not convinced that FinCEN per se will come back, but you never know whether there will be more. I do believe there should be more regulatory scrutiny on this kind of concentration. I believe that people should be concerned about the health of Hollywood.
29:01It's one of the great American industries. Look, I'll give you another example. Historically, you know, you go back 15, 20 years, Hollywood IP was the number two U.S. export. I believe it is now, I believe it's a negative. I believe Hollywood imports more international content than it exports right now because people are buying all rights in perpetuity and just sitting on those rights and distributing themselves as opposed to in the open market. So I believe that Hollywood should be concerned about this. I believe the creative community should be making noise about it. And you never know what will happen.
29:34You know, you never know whether regulators should do something to the creative community or get its act together and pressure people. And I believe, personally, I also believe it's in the platform's best interest to be less vertically integrated. It's a more creatively vibrant thing to do. I personally believe if there were more legitimate back ends, I believe it would be good for the business creatively. You know, the lack of failure that exists right now is a terrible thing. failure so valuable you know and the creative community isn't motivated you know isn't scared
30:10Matt Belloni:of failure and motivated by success right you're talking about the elimination of back ends has made everything a single or a double and there's no home runs but if you sell a show you're going to get paid you get paid and you know i always just say people work for me you don't learn shit from success other than how wonderful you are and trust me you're not that wonderful you learn so much from going through failure and learning from those failures. And let me be clear, I've failed more than anybody. I've failed so much. And I'd like to hope that I've learned from those failures. And I believe it's really important to get the best creatively out of people, to give them real upside incentive and to be concerned about failing.
30:49Matt Belloni:What's an asset that you would love to own right now that you don't or invest in? I probably wouldn't tell you if I had one. Oh, yes, you can. Come on. It could be anything. It could be something that's not for sale. No, look, I think that we are – I don't have one else to talk about it. We remain deeply interested in sort of thinking about where the media business is going, and there are a bunch of things we're looking at there. We're very interested in the sports business at large, although we are not an investor in teams. We tend to be an investor in what I call sports adjacent. You're like the only one that isn't at this point.
31:22Yeah, so we're an investor in the largest youth sports business. We're an investor in the professional lacrosse league. You know, we were a big investor in sports gambling before it was legalized by the Supreme Court. You know, so we continue to be very aggressive sports investors. You know, by the way, we're a sports investor in North Rowland, sports investor in Omaha, you know, that kind of thing. Yeah, Peyton Manning's company. Peyton Manning's company.
31:46Matt Belloni:Which of the companies that you have invested in or bought are you most proud of? Something that you saw early, something that you took from A to Z? which one of them you know i'm extremely proud of folks i'm very proud of crunchy roll you know crunchy roll we invested in crunchy roll 13 years ago that's the anime streaming service we invested when they had a hundred thousand subscribers and you know we were arguably the first outside capital to invest in streaming because at that point disney had you know there was just netflix and hulu which hulu you know we started at fox with nbc and um and netflix existed Nobody else was there yet.
32:28And we were big believers in streaming, and we invested there. We invested there at 100 ,000 subs. We grew it to 5 million subs and then sold it to AT &T. AT &T subsequently sold it to Sony. It now has 21 million subscribers, and we feel like we were integral in helping build out. Really proud of that. Really proud of Barstool Sports. We grew that business.
32:48Matt Belloni:I don't think you're allowed to say that on a Ringer podcast. I'm happy to say that. grew that business aggressively and, you know, felt like we identified the right trends early on. You know, there are two companies we're investors in right now. We're a very early investor in the Aura ring business. I'm unfamiliar with that business. You know, those Aura rings that people wear to measure sleep and measure fertility, et cetera. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. They're beating the Apple Watch. Wildly the most successful wearable device right now. And it was just reported they're about to go public but that business has grown insanely we're really proud of a actually weird little business we invested in that's grown insanely called uh collectors and what that we sort of you know we spend a lot of time doing what we call thematic work which is just trying to to identify where things are going and we identified probably six or seven years ago collectibles as being a big thing we bought the leading collectibles auction house and then we merged that business with a company that of all things grades collectibles grades baseball cards oh yeah i know that my kids into baseball cards there's only one company that does it that's our company so we're a big investor well not it's not our company we're a big investor along with several other people yeah but that business has grown like crazy and it's a really important business so we're really proud of that um so look we're proud of meat eater which company we've owned there's a lot of businesses who are private so do you think this content recession in hollywood is going to end soon there are some signs that production is coming back a little bit to los angeles there are some signs that studios are buying a little bit more than they were do Do you think this is an inflection point where we've seen the bottom?
34:42Matt Belloni:And when it comes back, how is it going to look different? So first of all, I think not to beat a dead horse, I think less vertical integration would be the single biggest thing that could revitalize the content industry. Because, you know, if you look at the heyday of Hollywood, which was 70s, 80s, 90s, that was fueled as all those big movie studios, which were hurting in 1970, became television powerhouses. And that was 100 % because of FinCEN. Same thing with, you know, the MTMs, the Lorimars, all those great companies. But if that doesn't happen, do you think the industry will come back? Look, I don't think the industry is going away.
35:19You know, I think the strongest thing you'd say about the industry is that these tech companies clearly believe that content drives tech adoption and a very important marketing tool for that. I think the same thing is true of brands. Clearly, content has driven brand adoption more than anything going on for 50, 75 years. And I think you'll see brands feeling the importance of content. You know, I don't think Hollywood is about to come back overnight. I hope that, you know, what's going on so far in 26 in the movie business is an ongoing trend. A little early to declare victory in my mind, but certainly the signs are positive.
36:00I would certainly hope that more production comes back to LA. But look, the best thing that could happen is more competition, which is why I said earlier, I'm rooting for Paramount. I think another big, strong competitor in the marketplace, you know, I think on a micro basis, I think what really led to things bottoming out was COVID clearly was hurtful. But I think also the shift in Wall Street sentiment away from growth and towards profits. you know you're in a period where you had a lot of people investing in growth and they all start wildly cutting back to investing profits and look i would make an argument that all of the all by the way easy for me to say i don't own one but all of the streaming platforms with the exception of netflix under invest in content you know and i think if you look at one of the reasons netflix is so strong is they invest more than anybody else but i think the rest of them are all underinvested they don't have enough content and you see all of them having churn rates that are too high i say that by the way as a viewer you know as a viewer of apple of hbo of amazon of disney all of them there's not enough new stuff on a regular cadence for them and i think they in order to achieve the kind of success which they are all betting on they're all betting on streaming as being their future They all need to invest more in content.
37:24Matt Belloni:You have a deal at Apple. Do you feel like you know what they are doing in content? I feel like people around town don't quite know what Apple's doing. Well, I'm certainly not going to say about my partners that they don't know what they're doing. No, but you don't have to be as confident that they know what they're doing. No, I think they know what they're doing. And by the way, this is going to seem kiss-assy. I think they deserve a tremendous amount of credit. But, you know, I think for smaller budgets than probably any of the other streaming platforms, I think they have had a higher track record.
37:56They've had a higher success track record than almost anybody.
38:00Matt Belloni:Moffitt Nathanson just put out a quality index, the analyst firm, and Apple was ahead of Netflix. Look, I think they deserve enormous credit for the amount of high quality. They're batting average in high quality. I think one of the reasons you should ask them, I believe they made a movie deal with us. I think they've been more effective at doing that on the series side than on the movie side. And I believe that their desire is to do more of that on the movie side and to really sort of match on the movie side what they successfully done on the television side. So you are bullish on media. You're one of the few guys that has really navigated it exceptionally well in your post-studio life.
38:40Look, super complicated, super challenging. But by the way, life is supposed to be complicated and challenging. What I am certainly bullish on is human beings are desperate for entertainment and information. That ain't going away. I think it behooves all of us not to pigeonhole ourselves as, you know, we make big budget sequel movies or all we make is this. I think we need to be, we have an obligation to be desperately interested in the audience and where the audience is going. That's why I'm so desperately interested in YouTube. It's fascinating. I'm desperately interested in TikTok. You know, I certainly not only don't I look down on any of the things, I think they're all fascinating.
39:21And I think it's I think it's your obligation in this business to be desperately curious about the audience and then to try and connect artists and audiences together. And on a macro basis, I'm really bullish. Audiences are desperately interested in being entertained. How that's going to happen is going to change every single year will change more rapidly than ever. but the fundamental desire for that is not going away. And I think all of us need to be nimble and fast and curious and bold and adventurous and all those things about how to achieve that. And I think if you are that, look, there are a couple of big macro things going on.
40:00You know, driverless cars, huge opportunity.
40:03Matt Belloni:I agree. I've been saying that for years. You know, the people in my career, that huge opportunity. If there are, you know, if people have more leisure time because of AI, huge opportunity. I know what people want to do in leisure time. They want to be entertained. Yeah. Are you a big vertical video guy? You know, I watch a bunch of stuff. I don't, you know, I don't watch full movies on vertical. But you're not, you're not down in the Chinese soap operas at night? No, but look, we actually spent a bunch of time analyzing those businesses four or five years ago, looking at those businesses and looking at the potential of them.
40:36Matt Belloni:Well, I'm looking forward to your next filmmaker being way younger than 19. I think we got to go preteen. pre-teen horror directors are the next hot hot subject i think that's a really good challenge and i think we should take you up on it okay yeah well you got to be washed up and over the hill by 20 yeah all right well thank you peter appreciate the time matt i really appreciate it thank you we're back with the call sheet craig let's get right into it we talked about backrooms with Peter, what is our prediction for Backrooms? The tracking is at 40 million per NRG. Which is huge. That is gigantic.
41:15Matt Belloni:That would be A24's biggest opening ever by a lot. Civil War only got to 25.5 million. Honestly, NRG has been undercounting so far this summer. And I think this is the kind of movie that they are going to undercount on. The pre-sales are gigantic. like on the level of Scream 7, which got into the 60s. Now, the tracking services are saying that this movie is going to be front-loaded because it's all the fans of the YouTube series that are buying tickets in advance. But honestly, I think this is going to surge. I think 190 million views for this YouTube series. This is something young people care about, and this is going to get way over 40 million.
41:55Matt Belloni:So let's set the line at 45, and I will take the over. I'm going to take the over as well. we've learned not to underestimate the youtube audience passion i know um this whole movie it already feels like such a big accomplishment like the tracking being this high the fact that i mean this is a 20 year old director kane parsons this whole thing started from a 2019 4chan post of like an empty hallway and that grew into this large conversation around liminal space and then it turned into this youtube series and now it's this movie and pretty impressive that But this 20-year-old director, I mean, that has Chiwetel Ejiofor and Renata Reinsman in this movie.
42:33Matt Belloni:It feels like A24 knows this movie is really good. And they've put more marketing and effort into pushing this movie out than they ever have. Oh, yeah. They're advertising on the NBA playoffs. Yes. Like A24 doesn't usually do that. That's like a traditional television ad buy for a movie like this. They feel it broadening out, or at least it has the potential to broaden out. and we talk about this all the time about the momentum in that final week and that has really been the distinguishing factor in these movies lately and whether it becomes something that everyone feels they have to see opening weekend and this is getting that feel.
43:09Matt Belloni:Yes, I think this is going to be a conversation starter movie. I think a lot of people are going to be talking about it and it's funny because the whole premise of the movie is like these weird spaces like Severance is kind of like creepy but also makes you feel good and that is kind of what the marketing of the movie is. It's like, oh, I don't know about this. I can't tell if this makes me feel comfortable or scared, but I want to go check it out. Very interesting. It is going to be hilarious to see everyone credit grab on this one. Who discovered Kane Parsons first? And, you know, these 4chan rooms are now the modern equivalent of the waiter at Spago who slips his script to a producer and gets a two-picture deal.
43:47Matt Belloni:Yes. I mean, I read this whole article about how, you know, 4chan and Reddit stories are now a feeding ground for new ideas. Instead of a treatment or a spec or something, it's like these short stories on Reddit that are turning into horror films. Amazing. Well, good for them. I will say, I am suspending my no horror rule, and I will be seeing Backrooms this weekend. Oh, really? Interesting. And why is that? Just because it's a phenomenon? Yeah, it feels like a movie that I would be upset if I didn't see in a theater. Bandwagon, man. Let me guess, you're a Knicks fan now. I'm rooting for the Knicks, but I'm not a Knicks fan, but I am rooting for them.
44:20Matt Belloni:All right, that's the show for today. I want to thank my guest, Peter Chernin, producer Craig Horbeck, art editor Matt Pevick, and I want to thank you. We will see you next week.
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From the publisher
Matt is joined by Peter Chernin, founder of North Road and the Chernin Group, to discuss the production of the new horror film ‘Backrooms,’ the biggest problems in Hollywood, whether the content recession is ending, his thoughts on where digital media is going, and why the life of a studio head isn't as fun as it used to be (00:00). Matt finishes the show with an opening weekend box office prediction for ‘Backrooms’ (39:24).
Host: Matt Belloni
Guest: Peter Chernin
Producers: Craig Horlbeck and Matt Pevic
Theme Song: Devon Renaldo
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