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Podcast Summary: The Twenty Minute VC (20VC) - Episode Featuring Victor Lazarte
Episode Overview
- Title: 20VC: Benchmark's Victor Lazarte on Why Portfolio Construction is BS| Why SaaS Spreadsheet Investing is Dead | Why China is a Stabilising Force for the US | Three Traits All the Best Founders Have & The Lie All Big Tech Companies Have Been Telling
- Guest: Victor Lazarte, General Partner at Benchmark
- Host: Harry Stebbings
- Release Date: [Insert Release Date]
Key Points Discussed
Background of Victor Lazarte
- General Partner at Benchmark.
- Led investments in companies like HeyGen and Mercor.
- Formerly an angel investor for Brex and founder of Wildlife Studios, the largest gaming company in Latin America.
Lessons from Scaling Wildlife Studios (04:10)
- Discussed early challenges in raising capital; the venture capital scene was not as developed in Brazil.
- Emphasized the importance of understanding market timing rather than predicting the future.
Innovation in the AI Landscape (07:11)
- Categorized companies into three types in an AI-driven world: incumbents that adapt, those that don’t, and new startups that capitalize on AI opportunities.
Evaluating Founders (09:25)
- Suggested asking founders about their interests and how they spend their free time to gauge their passion and commitment.
Traits of Successful Founders (17:30)
- Identified two traits shared by effective founders: open-mindedness and a high degree of disagreeability.
Geographic Advantages (23:17)
- Stated that companies started in Silicon Valley have a significantly higher likelihood of succeeding compared to other locations.
The Decline of SaaS Spreadsheet Investing (35:30)
- Claimed that traditional spreadsheet-based SaaS investing is obsolete and highlighted a shift towards AI-driven solutions.
Impact of AI on Employment (36:10)
- Argued that AI will replace knowledge work, leading to a significant transformation in the workforce landscape.
The Role of China in Global Stability (37:30)
- Presented the view that China serves as a stabilizing force for the US, creating a common external challenge that prevents internal conflicts.
Portfolio Construction Critique (44:38)
- Critiqued the conventional wisdom around portfolio construction in venture capital, stating it is often overemphasized.
The Future of Education and AI (42:33)
- Suggested that today's students should focus on computer science to thrive in an AI-dominated landscape.
Insights from the Discussion
- On Predicting the Future: Lazarte highlighted the futility of attempting to predict future trends and instead emphasized understanding current market dynamics.
- AI Companion Concept: He proposed the idea of AI as a companion that can significantly enhance human interaction and productivity, potentially replacing some elements of traditional relationships.
- Investment Philosophy: Lazarte indicated that investing in companies that improve with the advancement of AI models will yield better returns.
Quick Fire Round Highlights
- Beliefs: Lazarte believes that soon, people will awaken and follow the directives of AI applications, which will guide daily actions.
- Investment Preferences: Expressed admiration for Duolingo as a transformative education platform and advocated for computer science as a pivotal area of study.
Conclusion This episode of The Twenty Minute VC offers an insightful perspective on the venture capital landscape, particularly through the lens of AI and its implications for the economy and society. Victor Lazarte's experiences as a founder and investor provide a unique understanding of what makes successful businesses and the future of work and technology.
For listeners seeking to delve deeper into venture capital insights and the evolving tech ecosystem, this episode is a must-listen.
Links and Resources
- [The Twenty Minute VC Website](http://www.20vc.com)
- Follow the podcast on [YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=20VC) for full episodes.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Becoming CEO talking about, oh no, AI is not replacing people. AI is actually augmenting people's abilities. It's like this bullshit. It's fully replacing people. But then the first question that we ask is, if models get a lot better, is their company worse or is your company better? Like is there a bubble? Are people getting paid for the risk they're taking, right? What I'm telling you is in the next three years, someone will start a company that is gonna be worth for $3 ,000. So I think on average buying the winners today will work out. This is 20VC with me Harry Stebings. Now I heard so many wonderful things about this guest for a long time from Pat Grady, Bruce Dunlavi, Peter Fenton, some of the best.
0:40And so I'm thrilled to welcome Victor Lazarte to the hot seat today. Victor is a general partner at Benchmark, one of the most renowned venture firms in the world. Now at Benchmark, Victor has led deals in the likes of Hey Jen and McCore, which recently announced its scale to 100 million in error in just 11 months. As an angel, he was the first investor and board member of Brex, and as a founder, he scaled wildlife studios, bootstrapping it to become the largest gaming company in Latin America with about 4 billion downloads. But before we dive in today, turning your back of a napkin idea into a billion dollar start -up requires countless hours of collaboration and teamwork.
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4:40Can you take me to that business build journey and one or two moments that really shape to you are as a person and what you learned? Yeah, sure. So yeah, I bootstrapped a mobile gaming business and it makes for a good story, but the reality is, we tried really hard to raise money. Like we didn't bootstrap by choice. Well, I don't think you could raise. What did you do wrong in hindsight? So, like, I wasn't very like business sophisticated. I mean, this was like 2011 in Brazil. So like the venture capital scene there wasn't as developed, right? But the idea was like, I loved mobile games and I thought it was going to be a good business.
5:19But there wasn't like a very strong, well -thought -out thesis. And I guess that's why like the best term sheet that we got is someone offered us like $50 ,000 for half the company, right? which obviously we couldn't take. That's a relief. We had Oscar on the show from Glovo in Europe and they sold a third for a hundred thousand euros. Yeah. There's so many horror stories from investors in Brazil at that time. So I wasn't very sophisticated, but there were people that were even less sophisticated. So I had friends that they raised money in Brazil and they agreed to like a 20 times liquidation preference, which seems like, oh, yeah, there's this clause in the contract, but I don't really know what it is and again like people do that and they end up losing their own company, their whole company right?
6:03Absolutely not. Okay so you're like shit, we call on fundraise, no one's giving us money, we need to build this business just naturally. What happens then? So I think that the core, I can college, we love video games and it initially say hey like let's let's do the company's commitment in Tango but that sounded like a really bad business idea. But then like we can't like we looked at our own and it's like hey like what's working in the world, we saw that app downloads, like this was 2010, we're starting the market, and app downloads had grown 42 times. From 2008 to 2009, mobile app downloads had grown like 42 times.
6:40And like, wow, like this is, like this growth is insane. So we should make mobile apps and we love games. So like, let's, let's make mobile games. Right. So like, I think that was that, that was like a great insight. And so we started the company and the first few games, we did everything ourselves that we didn't have any employees. It does not shape your thinking on market timing, because we basically just wrap around 100%. 100%. I think when people want to start companies a lot of times, they're trying to predict the future. But it turns out it's very hard to predict the future. It's much easier to understand the presence.
7:12A gooderistic is like, hey, what's working right now? And there's the famous story that Jeff Bezos, he was a D -Shaw and he saw the internet was growing like 23 times a year and said, hey, like I need to make a business on the internet, right? And that was the initial insight. And then like what's the insight right now? And it's quite clear. LLM usage has grown 100x in the last two years. So if you measure, if you measure like in the number of flops, it went from like one x of flop to 100 x of flops now. And of course, this data is not very precise, but it's directionally correct. I think the first thing is understanding like like, what's happening today?
7:49What's working? And then like, how can you boot on top of that? So like in the year of 2000, building an internet company was an amazing thing. In 2010, building a mobile gaming company, building like any app company was a great thing. And like that's why you have like some mobile gaming companies that were successful and other companies that were even more successful, like Uber, like an Instagram and all that. They were all started on the same time. And now like LLM companies, it's quite clear. It's the best time in over a decade to start a company because we have this insane phenomena of adoption like adoption of LLM inference We started like what's the thing in LLM that is working?
8:26I think a year and a half ago those basically like two things that were working I think those like Chatchy PT and character AI. I'll say I'll say character AI was one of the things that was really working And now I think you can argue that there's like character AI Chatchy PT and cursor Okay, what are the things that are working that people love? there's a lot of usage, like tens of millions of users, right? And what is things that are common? And a lot of times, like, the greater opportunities is they're adjacent to things that are working today. So I think a great place to start is just having a very profound understanding of what's working.
9:02And then build adjacent to it. Yeah, or like, do things that are inspired by it, right? When you look at the history of the best companies, like the most impactful companies. Like Facebook was not the first social network when Zach built Facebook, there was my space in Friendsdor before it, but you could see that there were things in that direction that were working. And so the thing that I'm most excited right now, like I think that frankly, the company that loves most love to work on is an AI companion. In a few years, we're gonna look back and we're gonna say the character AI was Friendsdor.
9:38And what I mean by that is there's gonna be a company there's going to be very important and we'll look back and say, character, I was the precursor of that. And the reason I believe that is, before the internet, the way businesses interacted with people was like through physical branches. And then you have the internet and business interactive websites. And then in 2010, you had mobile apps and then like business interacts with like mobile apps. And now the really cool thing that we have is agents. And this is just starting, but the smartest businesses, is they realize that the way customers will interact with the businesses, it's as if they were able to talk to the business owner.
10:16Like they talked to this thing that feels like a person that knows everything about the business and is able to like solve anything you want and sell you anything you want. So this agents, right? Like I think some of the incumbents will reinvent themselves to have like an agent interface, but whenever you have a shift, like a UI shift of this magnitude, a lot of the businesses like they don't adapt. And so I think there is an opportunity to recreate a lot of the successful business of today in an agent format. So I think there's three categories. Like, does the category of incumbents that will adapt?
10:47Does the category of incumbents that will not adapt? And then startups will just recreate those businesses, but on an agent's first framework. And then there's a third category, which is businesses that weren't possible before, but now are possible because the agent interface is the right one. But on that topic, I think social networking and we now have softer that makes us more efficient at Connecting with our friends, you know like have WhatsApp and you have like Facebook and Instagram What does an agent for that look like? What's an what's an agent for your social life? I mean, it is in not bluntly the removal of other humans It's a 24 -hour day constant companion that understands how you feel response to you in real time and if you'll continue it's on demand friend.
11:32I think it's a really powerful idea. Do you know what it stands me for it honestly and sorry you said before and you wanted something conversational and I agree with you. I'm terrified about the mental health pandemic that we have today. Young men are more likely to dive suicide than they are cancer. That is a terrifying statistic and what I find astounding is that really the largest mental health company is what? Calm? Respectfully it's not a huge business being a one and a half billion. It's not a huge business. Yeah. If our jobs is to solve humanity's biggest problems, what's going, where's the disconnect?
12:05I would even even make like a larger claim. And the claim is what do people want? And like in the end, people just want to be happy. And there's a lot of study on like what makes someone happy, right? And turns out that wealth makes people happier. Like the more much your wealth you have, they have where you are, but it's actually, it's not like a linear relationship, it's like blog linear. So if you get to like $75 ,000 a year for a US household, like a subtrop taper off. And so making people wealthier actually does not affect their happiness that much. And then what does technology do? Technology helps us be more productive, which is like, hey, it makes us wealthier and it makes us achieve the goals that we want better, right?
12:48So it makes us more productive, but research shows that the biggest predictor for happiness is like the quality and depth of your relationships, right? And technology has not attacked that. The really cool thing now is we're able to have a digital friend. And I think that'll be fantastic. I think you look at the studies and like religious people on average are happier than the non -religious people. A lot of the difference is explained because like religions people like they have the stronger ties with the community, but also religious people, they have a relationship with God. So God is this friend that you never see, like you talk to God, but God doesn't talk back.
13:26And so to me, that's like existence, that proves that you can have this entity that you never see, that is an important relationship to you, that makes you that much happier. I say, actually, the death of religion is the thesis for CPG and consumer brand investors today. And you're like, what? We've shifted cult -like worshipping from God, Buddha, and these day -its -figures to Hierarchs and CrossFit and Taylor Swift and Lulu Laman. And they are ironically in the minds of modern consumers, a community which consolidates beliefs and brings unity. Soul cycle, it is this feeling of togetherness, which is extraordinary to say that's replaced God, and maybe is the signifying of society.
14:09But I think about that a lot. question, would you not say that social has brought more high quality in depth to relationships? If you think about your ability to follow your friend's wedding on Instagram. Yeah, I think social is definitely positive. And like, a person started interacted with my wife. I met my wife like three years ago and a person interacted with her like through Instagram. We had like friends in common. So I started following her and like commenting on her stories. Maybe a relationship wouldn't have happened because of Instagram and she's the biggest source of joy in my life.
14:39So incredibly, incredibly grateful that this thing exists. But I think this thing just scratches the surface. Like I think the way Instagram is set up, like it does not help you connect, no more near the way it would be able to, right? When you think about why is it adaptive to have friends? And a lot of it is like, okay, we need to have a story that helps us understand what's happening with us, right? Like we create our own like internal narrative. And when you have a friend like you explain your narratives to your friends and your friends comments on your narrative and helps you shape it and that that makes you Better able to understand yourself and where you're going, right?
15:15So humans they have this intense need to feel seen and understood and this is very Adapted we're at a point where AI is able to do that for you like AI is able to help you shape like okay What is your personal narrative like I have a very strong belief that five years from now for the majority of people person that we understand you the most is going to be an AI. It's not a world you want your kids to grow up. I think that's where I disagree with a lot of people. I think we're always very afraid of technology. Humans are always very afraid of what's coming next. I actually think it's going to be wonderful.
15:51People feel isolated and being isolated is bad for a bunch of reasons. Because you feel like you don't understand yourself. If you have a challenge, you have a hard time thinking about this challenge. Imagine you have this hypercapable friend that helps you understand yourself, knows everything about you. And whatever situation you have, it helps you figure that out. So you feel supported. You feel like you're never alone. Even more than that, I think a lot of people say, oh, this is very dystopic. Because once you have this AI friends, you won't have regular friends. I think this is very untrue.
16:27Because in the end, we still want to see people in person. And your AI friend, not only will help you understand yourself, but will help you connect with great people, will help people like, find out like, hey, I know you really well and turns out that there's 100 million people that I know really well. And I'm gonna connect you guys, but it's gonna function like very much in the way that a person introducing you to someone else's functions, which is like, you get the Zintro, but you have a common friend, so you know you have to behave well. Because if you don't behave well, it's like, hey, I'm gonna tell you, I'm sorry, I friends, that you're an asshole, and you're AI friends, and never want to introduce it to anyone anymore.
17:03Speaking of AI friends and the quality and depth of relationships, when I bluntly spoke to so many people about you, there was one relationship in particular with struck me, which was when I spoke to Pedro at Brice about you, and he mentioned a number of things, which just really highlighted the depth of your friendship. You invested pre -product, pre -revenue. Can you take me to that? What that journey has taught you about investing? company trajectory. Yeah. So the way I met Pedro is, so I was building my company in Brazil, with Bootschup, the business, like we eventually grew it over a billion users, and there were very few people building technology companies in Brazil at the time.
17:43And then Pedro, he had a problem with an investor. When he was 16, he created his first payments company in Brazil, turns out that his signed deal that he shouldn't have, and he lost control of the company, and then investors made impossible for him to capture any value. So I spent a ton of time with him and like with Laura's and say, hey, how do we get out of this? And after, and I had no shares, like I was just like, man, I was just, hey, this kid is so smart. This kid is so good. He deserves to succeed, right? So I really wanted him to succeed. And then after a while, like I was like, hey, man, I'm selling like my mobile gaming company with sell things in the US.
18:19And the US is a much better market. You should just like, let go of the company that you have and should go build something similar in the US. And so eventually he agreed to it. And so he moved to the US and he started Brex. And then when he started Brex, he's like, Hey, like, can you can you invest on my seed ground? And like, can you be my first board member? And I was like, yeah, of course, I love to do that. So I think our relationship came in from this shared distrust of investors. And this idea that, Hey, we're going to we're going to have each other's back. And the other part that I really enjoyed is like to me was so fun spending time with this young kid that just loved business so much.
18:59And frankly, I don't think I would have I would have invested in Mercor if I hadn't invested in Brex because when I met the Mercor guys, you know at first less like the business are so different, but I met the Mercor guys and like the company was doing a million dollars in anywhere revenue, but Brandon reminded me so much of the Brex founders, Because no, there's these two traits that look for an entrepreneur that they both have. And these two traits, they rarely come together. So I like to invest in founders that they're very open -minded, but they're very disagreeable. Normally, if someone is very open -minded, like, okay, you say something and he wants to learn more and it's very curious about what you're saying, like, you make your whole argument.
19:39And then it starts feeling, okay, like, it convinced this person because it's just so interesting in what I have to say. But then by the end of the day, the person says, no, I actually think that they're it opposites through. So this idea that I'm interested in what you have to say, but I have no problem disagreeing with you to the point that is gonna upset you. And both Pedro and Brennan had that to like a very high degree. And the other thing is like, I think a great way to understand founders is like, as to like how do you spend their free time? I think if you understand like how founders spend their free time, like you got a very deep window into who they are.
20:15When you ask that how do the best display themselves? What are the variants of ounces? And to be honest, this is a trick that I stole from a Yuri Milner. So I was having breakfast with Yuri and I was like, hey, what makes you a good investor? And he was telling me like, oh, you know, when I meet a founder, I asked him like, hey, what's your day like? But it's not like, oh, tell me two or three things. I just don't know. What time you wake up? What is the first thing you do? And then walk through the entire day and then like, what time you go to bed? and what are you doing that? The choices that people make on their free time are the ones that really tell you who they are.
20:51And for Pedro, it's like, hey, on my free time, I love sitting in front of my computer, tracking the packages that iOS, that the iPhones send to servers, because I have really wanted to understand how that architecture is done, because if you pay enough attention, I get a chance to like hack it. And like that's how he he found like one of the one of the jail breaks that back in the day He was it was the first person to find one of the jail breaks that for the iPhone right but he did that for like no reason Like you know, like you didn't make money out of it. It's just like okay I like going very deep on this technical thing and then with Brendan You know like our first conversation like the guys okay the guys 21 years old But you're talking with him about business and it feels like you're feels like you're talking to your peer about business He was telling me, you know, like, what is it like to work with Bill Gurley?
21:44Like, I've read all the blog posts. Man, like, why would you read like all of Bill Gurley? Like, Bill Gurley's blog posts from like years and years and years ago. And again, like, hard -earned podcasts and like, there wasn't a specific reason for the person to do that. But it's like, hey, I just love like studying businesses and like, how does business work? when you have very young people that they spend a ton of time on something that are just an intrinsic passion for them. Like, distinct compounds really well over time, right? So, to me it's like, hey, risk market and a very promising space, but it's a kid that is not just smart.
22:21It's like very, very special because of this almost obsessiveness of like understanding businesses, right? And then literally, I know that Merck or Brendan would have something else in common, which is Brex went from like $0 ,300 ,000 in revenue in like an 80 months after launch and McCore went from like a million dollars in revenue and invested to like over 100 million like in 11 months. I wanted to talk about the revenue scan. Do you just want to talk about actually emotional maturity? I look back to myself when I was 21. I work with 21 year olds as brilliant as they are and as insightful as they are.
22:55In my mind, you gain scar tissue nuance just a little bit of wisdom them with age. And you can plant that with great mentors. But do you find you have to change the type of investor that you are, the board member that you are, the coach that you are, with a younger founder? Yes. I think 100%. And I think a lot about what's the role of a board member. I think it's related to what's what's special about Silicon Valley. And I was trying to come up a number, but if you start a company in the West Coast of the United States, like you are a thousand times more likely to build a tech giant in the West Coast of the United States, then you are anywhere else in the world, right?
23:39The raw math is 70 % of like all companies in the world, we're starting the West Coast of the United States, Bayer, Seattle, and I think 0 .1 % of people leave theirs, like you do the math, it's like roughly like a thousand times more more likely, right? So why is that? Because people are just as smart, like in Silicon Valley, that they are in Europe or like in Brazil. But the big difference here is there's so much knowledge about how companies are built. And when someone starts a company, like he's able to access all that knowledge, right? So when Zach did a Facebook, like he hired a bunch of people from Google and like had board members that had been at other places, a lot of the role of a board member is like, how do you catalyze that?
24:19How do you help a founder access all the knowledge of what has worked before? I think the way a board member adds value is like, it's a function of two things. One is like, how exposed have you been to hyper growth in the past? And then how much time do you put into actually understand the context of the company that you're able to draw from the right lessons? Do you like being a board member? I love being a board member. I wish that was the job. How many companies do you meet a week on average? Netany. I probably meet like one or two companies a day. So that's five to ten a week. Yeah. Interested.
24:56How many of those are raw inbound? Like people were emailing me like one. One a week. Yeah. So one inbound, nine outbound. Is that good? Do you do active outbound? Like where you were like, so the majority like the majority what I do is like outbound. Like the majority out there. Yeah. Everyone thinks you join benchmark or you join sequoia and just deals come to you. DL has just come. Does that happen? So there's a lot of things that come to you, but the question is, are the deals that you want to do? Are they coming to you or not? And in my, I think as you build, like, as you build your network, and I'm up from Silicon Valley, and frankly, like, I've been a founder for 13 years, and I've been an investor for like a year and a half.
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25:36So a lot of people don't think of me as an investor. So very little of what I want to do just comes in bound and sounds like, hey, go meet this company. Most of the time you're talking to really high quality people and you ask I'm like, Hey, what has impressed you mostly? Or you get you get super interested in a in a sector and then say, Okay, like what are all the we'll go to someone's a hey, like what are all the companies in the sector and you do a little homework and then it's like, Oh, okay, this is a doesn't interesting company. I think I've done four companies since I started a benchmark three have been this way.
26:08And then the fourth one, the fourth one I actually, I'm a cool founder. I started the company with some of that that I knew for a long time. You started a company? Yeah, we're still we're still in stealth. So like we're not we're not talking too much about it, but maybe I hear from that I'll come back and tell you all about it. When we go back to McCorme Bracks, as you said there, their revenue scaling, I think Bracks was 18 months to 100 million McCorme's 11 months insane. The challenge that I have is have revenue rules broken in terms of scaling expectations. And have we lied to a generation of founders that triple, triple, double, double.
26:41And now that's just not the case. I think SaaS was a moment in time where like a Ruby is investing works really well. I get you $10 million in revenue, like your category winner. I think this is no longer true. Why? I think it's because the nature of the revenue, I think a lot of the AI revenues experimental. And the other is it's now incredibly easy to take JetGPT and say, okay, what are companies using JetGPT for? Let's say their lawyers are using Chatchy PT to write the man letters. So, okay, I'm going to meet this very thin workflow around Chatchy PT. And then I'm going to go after every law firm that writes the man letters.
27:24I say, hey, buy my tool. And you are going to get revenue. You're going to get millions of dollars. But if that's all you're doing, there's just no enterprise value. The reality is, as the models get better, the workflow you're building becomes less valuable. So one task that we always do is when a company comes in and pitches, first, you have revenue growth, like it's still worth something. It's not worth what it was worth before. But it's like, hey, you have revenue growth. Okay, we should pay attention. But then the first question that we ask is if models get a lot better, is their company worse or is your company better?
27:58And if your company is worse, then it's going to be very hard to touch it. But if your company is like, hey, as the models got better, my company gets better, then it's like, oh, like that's a great, That's a great place to be in, right? So for example, Omar Corps, well, got me excited is, so first, one thing that I think is super exciting right now is just replacing people. It sounds really bad when you say this way, but it's the most exciting opportunity in venture right now and it's actually gonna be fantastic for humanity. So it's like, okay, figure out what's a profile of person that does knowledge work that you can replace with a model.
28:31And Omar Corps was replacing a human, like replacing a recruiter. It's like, oh, that's pretty cool. I think models are gonna be better interviewing than people. And the recruiting process now is just so inefficient that if you have a model interviewing, that's gonna make it a lot better. But then there's a few things that make it super interesting, which is interviewing someone is a very hard problem. You talk to the best founders in the world, Elon Musk, Bezos, they always spend a ton of time interviewing. Because figuring out who's the right person, you continue to have gains to quality. So, okay, there's a very, there's a problem where we already have value now, but it continues, like as you get better, it continues to be valuable.
29:12And so investing a lot of money, so that specific problem is valuable. And then if you get specific data, it's like you hire people, you see how they perform, you know, adjust your model. Like having that model is just incredibly valuable. And the other thing is you have this network of facts with like, okay, there's a platform everyone is coming into the platform, so you have this marketplace of people. So to me, it's like, okay, at the time they didn't have a lot of revenue, like they because they had a million dollars, was a go. This is a place where AI's, we're gonna do a much better job than humans.
29:39And you have like a lot of defensibility. We spoke about kind of quality of revenue and applying that to McCool. I had them on the show, loves it guys. People were like, not revenue. It's not like ARR, Harry. And I had like smart people in my DMs, be like, Harry, that's not revenue. Is it revenue? Is it not revenue? Was I wrong? No, it's revenue. It's revenue for sure. is it Aero? You don't have an annual contract that people are signing this annual contract. It's a run rate. So some people criticize and the criticism that I hear is you have this recruiter and your building is platform. And a lot of the growth is coming from labs and the labs, they need, before there were like three stages of language models.
30:27I think the first stage of language models is you just take text from the internet, you train your model and you have like GPT -3, which was very cool, but people didn't like to use it. And then first, again, RLHF, which is models produced, so you take your base model, you produce a bunch of answers, and then you have humans pick what they like best, and then you build a model that give answers that humans like a lot more, and then I have Chatchy PT. That was the big Chatchy PT innovation was like RLHF. And now like we're getting to this third moment in models, which is like pure RL, I think this is the most interesting thing happening right now in AI, which is models, they, if you're not getting a model to be better in something, what you do is like you find a deep experts in that subject and the expert will create a question that the model is not able to answer.
31:18And then instead of like giving the model the answer, it will create a rubric to tell the model is like, hey, for any answer to that question, here's how you're going to rate it. And then once that's done, the model produces like a very large number of answers. And then you have like this very large number of pairs of like question and answers that are graded and use that to train your model, right? So this is the most interesting thing happening in RL. And like this is a big in AI. And like this is a big deal because what this means is we're getting to a point where if you're able to create a benchmark for any task, then through reinforcement learning and like just through throwing a lot of compute at it, you're able to create a model that surpasses that benchmark.
32:01Where does Mercor come in? It turns out that to create questions that the models are not able to answer and to find people that are able to create this rubrics, this evaluation criteria, it's very hard. You've got to be an amazing interviewer to find this people. That's the interviewing that Mercor does. Mercor helps like all the labs get a lot of the really best people. And then so the president's like, Hey, is this recurring? It's not an annual contract, but the reality is for as long as humans are better than computers at any knowledge desk, you're going to need people to create the Z -Vows so that you create this RL environments that will make better models, right?
32:43Completely on the sound and agree. My question to you is, am I getting paid for the risk that I'm taking? And when you have a reduction in revenue quality, like revenue run rate versus enterprise or as AERROR, or I'm just like take a, hey Jen. A lot of it, like other people in the space, it's experimental revenue, it's not super sticky service now revenue. You need to be paid for the risks that you're taking. Do you think we're getting paid for the risks that we're taking, giving the price premiums that AI companies are demanding? It's very much on the case by case. Like hey Jen and Mercor, I think they're like very cheap rounds.
33:18And you know, I feel so lucky that I was able to like, Do you think two billion was cheap? I was talking about the round that I did. All right. Yeah. Oh. And then, but then just a framework to talk about like the rounds in general, right? I think as an asset class, like is there a bubble are people getting paid for the risk they are taking, right? So think about like I don't know, like entropic, at 60, or you think about perplexity at 15, right? I think the reality is, AI is a big shift. I think AI is much bigger than mobile, maybe like all the other amount of the internet. And then if you take a basket of the winners, it's going to work out.
33:58What I'm telling you is, in the next three years, I'm sure someone will start a company that is going to be worth a trillion dollars. How do you make sure you're in this company? It's like, okay, where's the best place to find this company? It's like, what are the interesting spaces that have great teams and it's working? So, okay, there's this Trident Dollar Company is out there and the space, like, okay, the early winners, they're not that many, right? So I think smart investors are saying, hey, if software's spending in the US is like a Trident Dollar, but labor spend is like 10 Trident and now the AI companies are going after the labor spend and so the outcomes are going to be like insanely larger than they were before.
34:39So okay, there's going to be huge winners. So we've got to make sure that we're there. Like we've got to make sure that we're in this company, right? So I think on average buying the winners today will work out. Are there some winners that are overpriced? In retrospect, Dan's will be yes. There's a girl he's spoken before about passing on Google on price and his lessons from that, and I always think of that. The question is, if you see this shift in budget from labor to technology spend, something that I just worry inherently about is like the increasing chasm between rich and poor and the inequality that comes as a result.
35:10even if there are 5 ,000 people in that company, this worth a trillion dollars, it could replace a trillion dollars of spend on labor. Do you share my concern? And is that just in an inevitable progression? 100%. What percentage of knowledge work as we know today will exist in 10 years? Like, if you define knowledge work as work you do behind a computer, I think it's probably like 1%. And you know, the thing that I worry most about is if you're college, If someone coming out of college, what are the things that you can do, if you're coming out of law school? Like what are the things that you can do that in order won't be able to do like in three years?
35:49There's not only that many things. And at the same time, like companies would be more valuable because they're gonna reduce costs so much. So people that own companies, people that own shares will get richer, founders will get way richer, even have this $3 .00 companies being done by very small teams. So that's a very destabilizing force. And that's something that is something to worry about. And I think all the things that controversial, so like you see this big leader stalking like the big company CEO talking about Oh, no AI is not replacing people AI is actually Augmenting people's abilities like this bullshit, you know, like it's fully replacing people my favorite line that we get on the show Which is not hiring you, but we're keeping everything as is you're like really?
36:30Yeah, you know Net net. I think this would be tremendous for society because because companies are humanity's best invention. And if we need less people to create companies, we're gonna have more companies, right? So I grew up in Brazil and Brazil is not a great place to grow up in and then I moved to the US and the Bay Area turns out it's a fantastic place to live. And the principal difference between Brazil and the Bay Area is the quality of the companies. So overall, it's gonna be fantastic for society, but then there's a huge problem of, okay, how do you distribute that wealth? I don't buy UBI by the way.
37:04I think that is fundamentally lacking. No, humanity requires purpose. If you add UBI, you remove purpose and people say, oh, we're going to fish and we're going to paint. I promise you that is not how human psychology works. That's why we have addiction. That's why we have drugs. That's why we have gambling. That's why we have prostitution. Sorry. This is the dark side of humanity. We will not paint and write poetry. Yeah. Well, I think we either have UBI I or it's the end of democracy. Talk to me about that. Like, imagine this society where there's a lot of abundance, a lot of wealth, but the majority of the people are not accessing that wealth.
37:38Like that wealth is very concentrated, but it's a democracy. And it turns out that it's not know what we have today. It's gonna get way more extreme. And the other thing is, it's gonna be much harder for politicians to not do what's best for the entire population. Because the entire population will have a very powerful way as system on their pockets. So they will know like they'll just ask the assistant is like hey this politician like the stuff that he voted on is that good for the general population or not And then someone who come in and we have an agenda that is like hey big British revision of wealth It's like a very popular is like a very popularist agenda and then I think people if people very selfishly ask their AIs like hey Is this politician better for me or not like is this politician gonna get me more material wealth or not?
38:21I think people that want to restrict with the ship in a lot like they'll they'll get full So I think that's very destabilizing for democracy. And then a lot of people there in control, they're saying, hey, right now, you have people there in control. Are they going to like, just see control? Are they going to be less powerful? Are they really going to let go of all the influence that they have? But I think there's one. So I think AI is a destabilizing force because it makes the entire population way more informed and knowing what's best for them. And at the same time, it concentrates wealth, which makes the scenario more propensed to like, hey, the population wanted to get more.
38:59I think China is actually a very stabilizing force because I think the US right now has this external threat. And the US cannot spend a lot of time with internal conflict. We're at a very important moment in time. We're like, someone who got you to a Powerful AI very soon. And it needs to be the US because we wanna leave in the world were like, we're like, parfway ice controlled by the US. And if we spend too much time like an internal conflict, China will do it, right? So, so I think China is actually a very stabilizing force for the US. The best way to unite is to have a common enemy. That said, I don't feel the US is winning the race against China.
39:38I think China are absolutely crushing the US. I mean, Europe's not even in the fucking race. Yeah. When you look at the investments that China have into the education and for shirtless systems and the depths that talent. Respect for the, and the work ethic that they have. Yeah, it just completely destroys anything we have elsewhere on the planet. Yeah, I think China has better work ethic and have more people. So they have more people working harder, but I'm still so bullish in the US because there's so much knowledge here. Like I think our advantage is, it's like the true network effects of the city, right?
40:13So like we have Silicon Valley. And you say, hey, like I think China's winning. I think by all measures like the US is winning. If you look at all the AI products, like Chatchy PT is the most user AI assistant in the world, and sure you can talk about like, oh, how about DeepSeek and this and that? But the guy is like, like Chatchy PT still is the best product out there. Yeah, I mean, no. What's the better than Chatchy PT? I completely agree with what you say. I do not trust or believe anything that China says. And I think they have an armory of weapons, AI related, that they do not show the world, that they have ready to go.
40:52I think TikTok is a weapon of consumer data aggregation acquisition. They are so strategic and smart in how they've leveraged she in and team -oos well. They're infrastructure investments in Africa. I think people don't spend enough time on. It's a shit answer for me, because I'm not really giving you one. I'm just saying I don't underestimate them and I know that they are doing strategic things Which I don't even know about which I think we're not doing No, I agree. It's a very it's like a very serious competitor like I 100 % agree with you I think we're still in the lead But we cannot afford to waste time on anything else You know like we cannot afford to waste time into like internal Disagreements and stuff like that can I ask you you know, I think it's very easy for us to get excited by by transitions, by improvements in human lives, and how we won't be doing mundane tasks that we all kind of fucking hate doing anyway.
41:48But then it's very easy to get caught up in the kind of short term. Do you think we overestimate adoption in the short term and underestimated it in the long? Or do you think this will happen much quicker than we think? I think there's a lot of wisdom in saying like, hey, we overestimate what we can do in a year and understimate what we can do to 10, right? I think there's a lot of truth to that. I still think in AI, you look at three years ago, like we didn't have Chatchee PT, and now there's like close to billion people that use it every month, and they have like a meaningful different experience, right?
42:22So, and the next, not in the next year, but in the next five years, like lives would be menifly changed. So I think AI is gonna happen like way faster than people believe. What crazy thing, or what thing do we do today that we will look back on and go, that's crazy. Like, remember, like, hey, you'll find your loved one on a dating app. You'll bullshit, you won't. Hey, you put your credit card details in the internet. No way. What's that? I think this thing that will happen quite soon is like, we're gonna have an app and like, you're gonna wake up and you're gonna look at your app and you're gonna read what it says and you're just gonna do it.
42:58The app will tell us like, go do this. You're not gonna understand, but you're just gonna do it. And you're gonna do it and turns out that you're going to be happier after you do this thing. And over time, like, you just learn to trust app. It's going to be a complete reversal. Like, you're not going to apps to make it easier to do the things you want to do. For example, like, oh, I go in Instacart to like get my groceries. Like, you know what you want to do? You go there and it just makes it easier for that to be happen. It's like, you go to the app for the app to tell you what to do. And it just blindly trust and this whatever the app says.
43:30How far away What did you think that is? We see glimpses of this, right? So, you know, there's this companion app. Like there's a, it's like cinch or like this, like self -care pets, you know, it's like, oh, I'm gonna be your accountability buddy. I'm gonna help you like exercise every day and like I'm gonna help you like make sure you're drinking water and like taking your meds. So I think it starts with like this simple things, you know, like you open up your app. So for example, I try to work out every morning for like 20 minutes, but a lot of times like, you know, like I wake up and I just don't have the energy.
44:00But imagine you wake up and say, hey, it's your 20 minutes. Like, remember, because if you do that for like X days, you're gonna be better. And then they're just, just getting to this routine. Like it's gonna, like this apps, they're helping you like form routines. So that's like, I think that's the beginning. Like this apps that are helping you form routines, they're telling you what to do. And it gets to a point where like, AI's gonna be smarter than us. Like AI's gonna be smarter than us on most things. And they're just gonna learn how to trust their judgment. They have contacts on you, they know what your long -term goal says.
44:28And so you wake up and say, hey, go spend an hour like reading this book and I could just do it now like go Meet with that person and just do it. It's funny. I got asked the other day. What advice do you have for me? I'm leaving university. Sorry. I'm leaving school about to go into university And I said very simple become a brain surgeon or a dentist Promise you'll be safe for about 20 years Minimum. What advice would you have? I have the opposite feel like I think go study computer science really? Yes And to me, it's like the antithetical to what everyone is saying. That's a fascinating piece of advice.
45:03Yeah. It's like, hey, go on computer science. To me, it's very, I feel very strongly about that. Before I had calculators, machines, we had human calculators. If you saw they're like a Apollo movie and they're typically women and they're like calculating these tables, people that are just doing math. And then calculators were invented. And then when calculators were invented, it's not like, oh, people are like, oh, we shouldn't study math. No, people should study math. And if you study math, the reality is like, you're studying math in high school and like you're studying math in college, like the first few years of college, you're doing stuff that computers can do, but it doesn't matter.
45:41Because like, first, like you're understanding the technology and two, like there's so much transfer learning. When we train models to code, they get better at a lot of other stuff. Why I advise people like, hey, go on computer sciences, the transformation right now, it's technology transformation is an AI transformation. So go study computer science, because even if you're not going to be a developer, and you're probably not going to be a developer, but just having the basis to understand how that's done, it's going to be extremely helpful. And then the transfer learning of like, hey, just being very logical and be able to take a big task and break down your small tasks and be very rigorous, I think that will continue to be very valuable.
46:22When you look at the AI companies of the last 18 months, You're in several absolute bangers, which one are you nodding that you had the chance to, and you just missed? Yeah. So we may like, we're participating in one round of cursor. Well, I think the coding space is very interesting. I think, like, that's an interesting one. You participated in one round. I'm just interested. Like, benchmark a famed for, like, the leading the A. How do you think in the partnership now about plasticity around stage, and whether you have to lead. You know, I obviously know Fountainwell and he did our table, I think the C.
46:58Giolli's had flexibility around, how do you think about the rigidity of no, we have to lead the A? I think rigidity is nonsense. Frankly, what defines benchmark? We wanna be a partner to the most important companies being created, which is similar to most venture firms out there. And I think the difference is, we wanna be the first goal. Like we wanna be the first goal to like every, every entrepreneur that we work with. And in order to do that, like the easiest way to do it, it can be a dick as your friend. Every bc says that. I don't even wanna be a first cool, but your mom should be your first cool.
47:34Yeah. Nothing that's there. I wanna be your worst cool in terms of like, when the shit really hits the fan, cool me. Yeah. It may never happen, but that terrible time on the person who's gonna help me. Yeah. All else being equal, I think everyone wants to be the closest partner. But I think the part that changes like they all else being equal, right? I think it's like hey, we're willing to take a lot of trade -offs in order to be to be a very close park Right, so why does benchmark make very few investments? It's because we spend more time with our companies and you know, you're saying like all investors want to be their first call I don't think it's true because the reality is if you're a financial investor You don't want to be the call you want to okay?
48:15You made your investments. You want to find the next company and like And there's a lot of investors that are really smart investors that say, Hey, you know what? Like I hate the boardwork. You know, I want to write, write a check and there's some investors that say, Hey, like, that's not the product that I have. I get put my check in and that's it. Do you think an investor can move the needle for a founder? And Keith for boys says, you know, the best founders don't need you. Yeah. If you call the people that I work with, you should call them. And it's like, I did. I think you can. Right. And like, so, so one thing that made me very happy is like a few months back, like Peter came to me and said, Hey, man, I'm so grateful that, that you've been a partner on this and you're the closest thing that I have to a co -founder outside of the company, right?
48:53And can you make a difference? I think it's actually very hard to make a significant difference from the outside, but the way you do it is, founders need a thought partner and founders need a way to like access all the knowledge and ecosystem and you can catalyze that. But I think like the good founders, like they have access to a bunch of people, the good founders, like they don't work on isolation, they have access to a bunch of people, But the difference, the thing that you can do as a board member that is very hard for all the people to do is, I've been at the Brexport for, I don't know, like, seven years.
49:25And for every important hire that he did, I discussed that with him. And I've done so many, say, like, close calls or candidates that once he has a problem, like, he calls me just because I have way more context than he does, than other people do it. So I think, like, how do you add value? What's the way to add value? He's like, hey, you have a lot of context, but the thing is, it's just very costly to context. And that's why we, the reason we do very few deals is because gaining context on the companies, like takes a bunch of time. If you're then flaxy on your insertion point, maybe participating in the course around or doing a later round, do you have that ability to add context even because you're probably not on the board?
50:07Not in all, when we're participating, like, we don't have that ability. And that's why we don't do it. So normally, and the reason we do it sometimes, like, hey, maybe this is a way to like start building a relationship with a founder and like over time, like we'll grow our position and like we'll build a relationship. But the reality is like, if you write a small check and like, you're one of many, then like you don't make any difference. It doesn't matter how smart you are. Did you feel the weight of the benchmark GP role when you come into any investing role, it's a lot of responsibility. Respectfully, you're GP a benchmark.
50:39That's your first investment. I know you're like a billion dollar founder, but it's still like a steep position to come into. Yeah, you know, the thing that I love about Benchmark is, so I came in and the partner said, hey, you're coming here to co -found the forum. Like there's a lot of tradition, but adventure from that is like sticking to tradition is soon gonna be very relevant. So we believe a lot in like creative destruction and like you feel like, oh, okay, you almost feel like, really? And then I met with the founding partners or is that a benchmark? And it was like, hey, yeah. Like the only way, like the only way we continue to be a great forum is like, if we have no attachment to just how the way things were done, right?
51:19And I actually think that this is a big advantage for a benchmark, because we don't have any process and we have a small team, it's easier for us to like change things, right? So anything ventures changing, I think ventures changing a lot. How do you think ventures changing? Something a big difference is, when you think about like a couple of decades ago, So the role of a born member was governance. It's like capital is so scarce, they say, hey, once you put capital into a company, a lot of your jobs is managing the downsides. Like, hey, make sure that this guy is not going to lose all your money.
51:52And that's understandable because there had been less big outcomes in tech. So people that invested their kind of a frame, you know, like fast forward to today, everyone knows investing in technology. It's a great thing. People should do that. And it turns out that it's more important to maximize the upside than it is to manage your losses. In the way this changes the role of a board member, you're not that concerned. Some of your investments are going to lose money. Your role is not governments. Your role is not there to say, hey, founder, you can do this or you can do this. Your role is to maximize what the founder wants to do.
52:31So it goes from like oversight to like catalyzing, to amplifying the founders' ambition. Really? If you... I agree with you. But like, officially the job of a board member is to, you know, have a fiduciary duty to shareholders. Fiduciary duty to shareholders is not always the same as maximizing a founders' ambition. How do you think about that? So I think if you're taking a lot of decisions in isolation, it's like, oh, okay, like in this case, I believe that if we do this, it's gonna be better for the shareholders. But if you look at an aggregate that your policy is, I'm gonna choose the best founders.
53:11And I'm gonna trust them. And my fiduciary duty comes in at the moment where I write the check. It's like I'm underwriting that person. It's like, hey, do I think this guy will be a good CEO? And once you're there, it's like, I'm here to enable this guy. And even when I disagree with him, I'm just gonna help him do what he wants to do. If you have a lost faith in a founder. Describe, describe what the lost faith means. When you no longer believe that actually they are the right person to drive the company and actually don't trust the decisions that they make are the best decisions. Yeah, so the reality is, like the reality is, I have another ton of investments, right?
53:45But I've done a couple of, like I've done a couple of engine investments where it didn't go well. Like one of the things that I learned, like after joining benchmark and I work a lot of Peter and Peter sits on two of my boards and I sit on two of his boards. You see this company's go through these ups and downs. I think the thing they learn is we don't give up. It's like, hey, as long as the founder wants to do it, and it's completely un -economical, completely un -economical. So I was talking to Peter and those accompany I wasn't doing well, and it's like, I know what we have to do. A lot of venture capitalists would say, hey, just cut it loose.
54:20Forget about this thing. We should double the frequency of the board meetings. It's like, okay. And it's because we're here, as long as the founder wants to try. So it's like, you made the commitment to the father and from that point on, you tried to be through to this unconditional belief in the founder. You mentioned Peter there. What would you most change about the current process benchmark has for investment decision -making? It's a very lightweight process, which is very good. So the way we work is, you know, if I'm a company, if you like it, you need to like get your partners, your partners opinion, but you don't need to get your partners approval.
55:01Do you bring them into early meetings with team with founders? Do you kind of hunt a solo? How does that work? Do you tag team? It's all optional. It's like all optional. The one thing that is not optional is like you have to present the idea to the other partners. And everything else is optional, but the way typically it works is like you meet a founder, do a second meeting like where you bring another partner in, so you guys can have a discussion. But then like if you know you want to do it and you like it, typically like you bring the company in, everyone talks to the company, and then people vote, but it doesn't matter what the vote is, if you really want to do it, you can do it.
55:36And so why vote? The vote is just a temperature gauge. So the vote is you disambiguate what people actually think. It's like you got a clear clear signal because you're going to bring a company in. It doesn't matter what the company is. There's always a ton of reasons to do it and a ton of reasons not to do it. And then people will do arguable sides. So you force them to put a number to it. That number carries a lot of information. So we go from one to 10 and you can't vote five. I asked Peter, what should I ask him? He said, the one question I'd really want to know from Victor is if you look back in 10 years, in what ways do you want to have meaningfully changed benchmark to prevent its extinction?
56:15I don't know if like prevents the extinction as the function we're trying to maximize. I think the function we're trying to maximize is like there's going to be 10 ,000 dollar companies created in the next decade. How do we make it so that we're in a large number of them and we have a deep relationship with those founders. I think that's a maximizing function. And to me, it's just like, it works backwards from, how are you like, obviously, the right choice for the founders that have a ton of choices? And right now, benchmark, when we wanna do something, we typically do it. We have the chance to partner with the companies that we went apart.
56:53But the problem is, because we're small forum, because a lot of stuff that we don't even see. And then sometimes, like, people are raising around that doesn't look like a benchmark round. And I think, I think that is the thing that is most important for us to change. It's like a lot of times people think, oh, this is a benchmark round. Like this is not a benchmark round. What it means, like, it needs to be clear to everyone's like, hey, what's a benchmark round? And a benchmark round is when there's a founder that is very capable going after a very big market. As long as you have that, like that's a benchmark founder.
57:23It doesn't matter if you're raising like five million or if you're raising like 200 million. It's a fun size. Now a constraint. The constraint always was beautiful to everyone. when it was craft of benchmark. In today's AI landscape, the rounds we just see are so big, that 25, 50 million to start. Shit, if you want 15 % ownership, you're putting 10 % of the fund out on the first check. My first check of benchmark was a $55 million check into Hey, Jay, right? So this was my, this was my, in our room. $55 million? Yeah, I wrote it, yeah. So this was my first check, 55 million dollar check. And yeah, because, you know, And then like, hey, we got to be true to, no, I never did that.
58:05That's 10 and a half percent of the fund. If it's a 500 fund. It's actually a 600 million dollar fund. That's a law. I mean, that's amazing. Yeah. I think a lot of funds, they think about, you know, portfolio construction and this and that. But they're guys like, RLP's, like, they're the same old P's in all funds. So if you want to do like, like, one like, $3 billion funds, or if you want to do like, five, like, $600 million funds, like, for RLP's, like, it's actually the same. And so I think the fun size has never been a constraint. I think the constraint is where we can make a difference is like in the beginning.
58:37So it's like early. And we work best with founders that want to have a relationship. Some founders are like, hey, I do think it's bad which have a sounding partner that is going to have a lot of context on the business. And if you're believing that, then it's like, yeah, benchmark is a good fit. And most early rounds are less than 50 million. But you know, we've done things there later, like we've done larger checks, and like sometimes if we're gonna do a lot and larger check, we do an SPV. But the check size, it's not, it's never been a constraint. Final one for a quick file. Just like Brett Taylor coming and pitch to partnership.
59:13Like he's a special dude, Sierra's a special company. I think Brett's case is like, I think had dinner with the partners, it was more like a conversation than a pitch. I think Brett Taylor's case, you know, I think it's a good example. was like, hey, the guy's so accomplished. Like he could race from anyone, we do whatever he wanted. But I think he valued the relationship with Peter. And it's like, hey, like I think it's gonna be valid, which like have you along this way, right? And because it's a legal partnership, it's like, hey, this people, they're gonna be part of this in this company. So it's like, it's like, get to know you much more and it's like, hey, like I'm pitching you, right?
59:44That is insane one. Like Brett could fund it himself for the rest of eternity in many respects. But he values Peter so much that he brings him in at that stage. That's pretty special. And I think it's a smart choice. And I think the best people, what they're going to maximize for is like, hey, how do I get my conditions, my initial conditions, right? How do I get like the smartest people around the table? Because in the end, the initial conditions, like they affect so much, what do you can actually do? I could talk to you all day. Do you mind if we do a quick fire round? And then I'll let you actually get on with some proper work.
1:00:17What do you believe that most around you disbelieve? I believe that pretty soon we're going to have an app and like, which is gonna wake up and do whatever the app tells us to do. In a way, we're gonna be obedience to machines and we're gonna love it. Single biggest lesson from working with Peter Fenton. I think the thing that Peter does better than anyone I've met is he can understand people and he can get people to open up. So lots of times before we decide to work and a founder, Peter takes people to dinner and a lot of times I want to introduce people to Peter and I think Peter to dinner or someone.
1:00:51So for example, I took the Braxia Wolt, which I have dinner with Peter, and it's someone that I've known for many, many years. At dinner like that, two and a half hour dinner, I felt like I knew the person a lot better than I did before. Peter does this thing where he's able to make people open up in a way, and the effect that it has is like, people leave the dinner and instead of wow, I just had a really special dinner, right? So I think it's a super power, and I think it's kind of known that this thing happened. And so a lot of times, like if you want to spend time with someone and like it's kind of hard, a lot of times I have like, hey, like you want to go have dinner with Peter and I.
1:01:27And most times people say yes. People say yes. They have a fantastic experience. And then they'll tell them more people's like, you forget the life. I would love to find out that it's like, nah, sorry, I'm watching Netflix.
1:01:41I'm sure you'll happen at some point, but that hasn't happened yet. I don't think it's going to happen. Don't worry. That's just too funny. You can buy and hold one public company stock for 10 years. What do you buy and hold? Duolingo. Why help me understand that? It's like AI, like man, AI is going to change people's lives in really important ways. One really important thing is like the way we're going to Lauren's going to be the way AI teachers and and Duolingo I think it's very sneaky. It's nidgin a good way like they're starting like this language app But they're making like they're making your AI friend that teaches languages And then they're going to teach more stuff and Luis, the founder, is a total genius.
1:02:20So I think he's going to make a free AI tutor for everyone that's going to be incredibly important to humanity and it's going to be a very valuable company. You can invest in one seed fund and one growth fund. I'm not choosing A because that's tough for you. Who do you choose? There's an objective answer to that. It's like, I'm an investor in green oaks. I think they're pretty good. Neil Mason just taped me already. I mean, God, this man is brilliant. That is amazing. I really like him. And then I'll go, like, I'm already, I'll go with conviction, because I think Sarah is great. Totally agree.
1:02:55What she's done in like a short time frame for a new firm is incredible. Final one, when you think about the next 10 years for you, if we do this in 2034, why do you want to be then? What do you want to have achieved? What does Victor Lazarte look like then? I want to be an important part to the most important companies created and that can be a Early board member and that can be a co -founder, but I want to look back and say hey AI is gonna solve so many of humanity's biggest problems You know like from like education to security This companies are being created now to companionship and I want to be an important part of their story I am so glad that we had this schedule that I completely ignored and I think you saw that it was a much more free -flowing discussion.
1:03:43I so appreciate you rolling with the free -flowing discussion. You've been fantastic to have on. Thank you so much for joining me, man. Thank you, man. This is a lot of fun. I mean, that was such a special show to do with VickTriff. You want to watch the full episode you can find it on YouTube by searching for 20VC. That's 2 -0VC on YouTube. And before we leave you today, turning your back of a napkin idea into a billion dollar start -up requires countless hours of collaboration and teamwork. It can be really difficult to build a team that's aligned on everything from values to workflow, but that's exactly what Coda was made to do.
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1:06:58As always, I so appreciate all your support and stay tuned for an incredible episode with Jason Lemkin coming on Thursday, where we break down the latest fundraisers, acquisitions, IPO opportunities, it's a fantastic conversation coming this Thursday.
From the publisher
Victor Lazarte is a General Partner @ Benchmark, one of the mot renowned venture firms in the world. At Benchmark, Victor has led deals into the likes of HeyGen and Mercor. As an angel, he was the first investor and board member of Brex, and as a Founder he scaled Wildlife Studios, bootstrapping into the largest gaming company in LatAm, with about 4 billion downloads.
In Today’s Episode We Discuss:
04:10 Lessons Scaling Wildlife Studios to 4BN Downloads
04:49 Why Predicting the Future is Wrong When Starting a Company
07:11 Three Different Categories of Company in an AI World: Who Wins & Loses?
09:25 Why You Should Always Ask What a Founder Does in Their Free Time?
17:30 Two Traits That All the Best Founders Have?
23:17 Why If You Start a Company in SF You are 1,000x More Likely to be Successful?
35:30 Why Spreadsheet SaaS Investing is Dead
36:10 Why Replacing Humans is the Most Exciting Opportunity in AI
37:02 Why Knowledge Work Will Be Destroyed and What Happens Then?
37:30 Why China is a Stabilising Force for the US
38:59 China vs. US: The AI Race
42:33 Why All Students Today Should Study Computer Science
44:38 Why Portfolio Construction is BS
47:04 What Makes Peter Fenton One of the Best Ever
51:31 Why Duolingo Will Be One of the Most Valuable Companies in the World
01:00:17 Quick Fire Round: Insights and Predictions




