20VC: Postmates Founder Basti Lehmann on How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN, Why Great VCs Add No Value and VC Value Add is BS Marketing & Why The Biggest Companies in History Will be Born Today and Replace Incumbents

8 Apr 2024 · 59 min

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Podcast Summary: The Twenty Minute VC (20VC) with Basti Lehmann

Episode Details

  • Title: 20VC: Postmates Founder Basti Lehmann on How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN
  • Guest: Basti Lehmann, Co-founder and former CEO of Postmates
  • Host: Harry Stebbings
  • Air Date: [Insert date]

Episode Overview In this episode, Basti Lehmann shares his remarkable journey from being an immigrant in the US to founding Postmates, which was acquired by Uber for $2.65 billion in 2020. He discusses the intricacies of raising funds, the challenges faced while building Postmates, the strategy that led to the acquisition, and his perspectives on the future of startups, venture capital, and AI.

Key Topics Discussed

  1. From US Immigrant to Billion Dollar Founder
  2. Career Beginnings: Basti recounts his early interest in technology, starting with hacking AT&T.
  3. Work Ethic and Challenges: Early hardships shaped his resilience and determination in building Postmates.
  4. Building Postmates: Basti shares the significant challenges he faced as a founder.
  1. Lessons from Raising $900M
  2. Raising Capital: Basti reveals how he raised $20M from Marc Andreessen and discusses his selection process for VCs.
  3. Critique of VCs: He boldly states that 99% of VCs are "sheep" and questions the value-add that many venture capitalists claim to provide.
  4. Investor Education: He considers the need to educate investors about a business as a red flag.
  1. Selling Postmates for $2.65BN
  2. Acquisition Insights: Basti discusses the reasons behind selling Postmates to Uber and the negotiation process that led to the eventual valuation of nearly $5 billion.
  3. Reflections on the Deal: He shares what he would have done differently during the sale and praises Uber's CEO, Dara Khosrowshahi.
  1. Future of AI: Startups or Incumbents?
  2. AI Challenges: Basti delves into the current limitations of large language models (LLMs) and what he believes will be the future in inference computing.
  3. Opportunities for New Companies: He asserts that the biggest companies born today will likely replace incumbents, emphasizing the dynamic nature of the tech landscape.

Key Takeaways

  • Founders' Tenacity: Most startups fail because founders give up; persistence is crucial.
  • Value of VC Relationships: Be cautious of investors who require extensive education on your business, indicating a lack of conviction.
  • Market Dynamics: Basti believes that the current market landscape is ripe for new companies to emerge and challenge established players, particularly in AI.
  • Personal Reflections: Basti emphasizes the importance of personal values, hard work, and resilience stemming from his childhood experiences.

Basti Lehmann's Future Endeavors Following the acquisition of Postmates, Basti founded TipTop, a platform for fast tech sales, which he is currently developing. He discusses the advantages of being a second-time founder, including easier fundraising and the ability to select talented collaborators.

Conclusion Basti's insights into venture capital, startup dynamics, and the future of AI provide a wealth of knowledge for entrepreneurs and investors alike. His candid approach to discussing both successes and challenges serves as a guide for those navigating the complexities of the tech world.

For more information and resources, visit [20VC](http://www.20vc.com).

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Transcript

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0:00Here's another thing that I think people don't fully understand. We negotiated the deal so well, there was no color on the deal. By the time the deal closed, it was almost $5 billion. We had just under $100 million left in cash, and our negative gross profit margin was, I think, single digits. Two or three quarters later, we were profitable as a company. Most companies failed because the founders give up. And that said, we refused to give up. This is 20VC with me, Harry Stabbing. And what a show we have for you today postmates, what an incredible journey. It was acquired for $2 .65 billion. But no, it actually turned out to be $5 billion with the stock price of Uber rising.

0:39The story of the acquisition, how it went down with all the details. Bastille Aman, postmates found and former CEO in the hot seat today to reveal all. But before we dive into the show's day, we're all trying to grow our businesses here. So let's be real for a second. We all know that your website shouldn't be this static asset. It should be a dynamic part of your strategy that really drives conversions. That's Marketing 101, but here's a number for you. 54 % of leaders say web updates take too long. That's over half of you listening right now, and that's where webflow comes in. Their visual first platform allows you to build, launch and manage web experiences fast.

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3:21Remote opportunity is wherever you are. You have now arrived at your destination. Bastie, I've wanted to do this one for a long time, my friend. So first, thank you so much for joining me today. Same here. I think we had some scheduling bugs, but we figured it out. And we figured it out in the end. And we made it happen. I want to go back to your childhood. I think great entrepreneurs have shaped early. Take me to your parents and your teachers. If they were to describe a young Bastie in Germany, what would they have said about you and how you were? Well, first of all, you know, in 1977, that's when I was born 1980 in Germany.

3:55You have to understand everything was still black and white. But what would they say? It probably very curious child, you know, I like to play a lot, I think it was always onto something. As a matter of fact, I think it was out of the house most of the time. I think as soon as I could get out of the house I would just be somewhere. Play in the forest or run around, you know, we had a group of friends, we did exhibitions and, you know, that sort of stuff. I love that. How do you can I ask you? I always struck with the question of skill versus luck in life. How do you think about the importance of skill versus luck in life?

4:26What are your thoughts on that? I don't really believe in luck much, but I also don't have a definitive answer. I think I believe in determination and grit and hard work. If we'd like isolate a point in your life that was a needle moving moment for your career, when you reflect, what do you think the most needle moving moment was? Was it the move to the US? Was it selling postmates? What was that? That was the big move. Definitely moving to the US was a huge part and I think it's important to understand I wanted to be in the US almost all my entire life. I remember very vividly, this is actually a great story.

4:57So what happened is that I was obsessed with computers pretty much as long as I can remember. And I love the idea that I can just hack things and something comes back. So when we first got internet access, I incurred these builds of like ridiculous amounts of money. And I grew up in a fairly modest house, and my mom had sometimes three jobs, so we didn't have a lot of money. Back then, if you remember, it's a dial -up, so you pay per minute or you pay per hour depending on your plan. After a while, I decided that I could run a BBS, like a little software that allowed other people to connect to my computer.

5:29And obviously that was a very boring affair because only one other person could connect to your computer, right? So you run this bulletin board and you designed it and I don't even know what you had on there yet You had probably photos of Claudia Schiffer to that extent content was available and this person his name was Annie mellow He came online or that was his name and we started talking. He's like, well, what's your setup? And he had I'm like, well, you know, just I think I had a 14 4k modem and and I said like, you know I don't really know much about the internet or anything and I also can't be connected to the internet because it costs a lot of money And he said you don't know how to serve in the internet for free and I'm like no, I don't know and he said well You need to get a US calling card because how it works He said in the US they have like AT &T or they have MCI Worldcom For long distance calls and collect calls or calls abroad in the US they punch in this calling card number in a pin code And then they can use a telephone booth for free or they can they can call when they're abroad and it gets charged to their account.

6:28So a week later he wanted to combine, obviously I never met this person and it turns out he was like 40 something and my mom was very very skeptical of this person. She's like, you leave the door open, but this guy was a complete nerd and he taught me literally what I had to do is I had to get a phone book from the US somehow. And then I had to call people in the US and had to tell them that I would be a you know service agent from MCI or from AT &T and that there was a problem as their account and that you know, I need it to verify their calling card number and their pin code. This is a true story.

7:00So at some point, my parents were divorced and here's the one good thing my dad did for me. He got me a phone book from San Francisco, a Pacific Bell phone book from San Francisco. And me and a friend of mine, we would hit the phone and we would call people in San Francisco and practice our American accent to sound like, where from MCI World Combo or from AT &T, depending on the phone number, we would ask for their calling card number. and at some point, after weeks of effort, someone also gave us the pincode without being too suspicious. So then what we would do, we would have that calling card number and the pincode, we would call our dial up provider.

7:33We would, so you would call a toll -free number from AT &T in Germany. You would punch in the calling card number. You would punch in the pincode. You would then unplug the phone, plug in the modem, dial the number from your internet provider and you would serve. So in a way, my career probably has started and basdling to your MCI in San Francisco. They're going to come after you after this show. This is the retribution that they've been waiting for. Can I ask you a bit of a weird one? I hope it's okay. You mentioned your parents' divorce. How old were you and did that impact you? Oh yeah, I think it impacted me tremendously.

8:07I think I was six and my brother must have been like, almost three. How did it impact you? I had a pretty perfect life up to that point. After that, it got a lot more complicated. We wanted to be with my mom. She has been there for us and she's She's a person I love the most in my life and she was just a remarkably strong woman Never talked bad about my dad even though there were a lot of things that that he did that would have made it easy for her To discuss them with us. She just plowed on and I think he gave literally the next 18 years of her life to make sure that we are Grow up to be to be too capable capable boys, right?

8:43Mother's are the most incredible thing. Can I ask you mentioned the three jobs that she had there? Is that why you think you got your grit and steeliness and ambition from? Where do you think about the source of where you got that? Musta. You've probably got to suffer a little bit to be resilient, so it probably has to do with that. One morning I woke up and I must have been around 14 and my mom wasn't there. It was early in the morning and I waited for her that she came back and she told me that she had to do another job in the morning to help clean the building somewhere because we just didn't have enough money at the time.

9:18And I couldn't believe it because you have to understand that when I say that we grew up modest, I'm not talking about a level that it was apparent to me every day, things were limited, but I wouldn't walk around in feeling poor. But I think I didn't realize how tight things were until we talked about that and until she told me that. I remember that that I said, that you know, I will make so much money that my mom can have whatever she wants. And it was incredibly important to me to make sure that she has whatever she needs as soon as I could do that. We have some things in common, my friend. That makes me very happy to hear.

9:51Before we dive into the Uber acquisition, I spoke to Nabil before the show and I'm looking at my notes now. He said that you led a team that was in wartime mode, the entire history, under huge stress and that you are not a cuddly CEO. What was the most memorable wartime moment in the company history of most stress that you remember? Oh, I think it'd be less right, but I want to say I enjoyed it. I enjoyed it tremendously because I really do believe that you have to measure yourself in life and I think this journey of running that company for 10 years absolutely did that. The wartime was defined by us being so focused and so determined to create a successful company.

10:35You have to understand I truly believe that everybody who worked at Postmates loved that company from the bottom of their heart. It was a group of people you couldn't drive as a part with whatever came at us. Any VC funding a competitor, Uber, threats, rumors, we were so focused on our mission, we were so focused because we loved the company. I woke up 10 years in a row and I and I couldn't believe it. I'm like, I can't believe that I get to do this and that I can be with these people. What was the biggest, oh shit moment? It was rough for a while when competitors raised bigger and bigger funding rounds.

11:10And look, we raised quite a bit of money, I think we raised around 900 million. So by no means small change, but it was really scary at times when you see the pace of which competitors raised money and did so very successfully. For founders listening, when your competitors raise a lot of money, Should they raise it to or is it just a race to the bottom then on cash? What are your lessons on when comps raise that you give founders? Well, I think it entirely depends on the situation in our case I think what happened is that we opened up this market of Undemand delivery and by the time competitors came along and by the time competitors had their first funding round and by the time everybody saw the potential There was an inflection point in the market when the only thing that mattered was more capital to do more advertising.

11:57You have to understand that this was I think the largest consumer battleground for five to six years. Billions of dollars deployed in advertising, in marketing, in grabbing market share. But, and this is something that from the outside was hard to understand, but it is the reason why ultimately almost every VC from invested in one of the players, the fundamentals of the companies. I know this for us, but I have some inside in the other players, they were all pretty sound. And by that I mean there was a clear path to profitability. There was a clear understanding of the unit economics, how they work, where the gross margins need to be, all three companies I think had people that could execute very well against the goals.

12:36So that is a moment in time when you should raise a lot of money. Do you think that's actually the case, dude? Like, you know, I invest in the space, but like I think the awareness that actually they were pretty tough business models to make work. The margins were super low. The density required was super high. The AOVs were too low. the labor costs were too high. I think that was a realization that they were bad business models. No, I think Tony and I knew from the start that this is a tremendous business. If you can scale it and every market that you had at scale was profitable for us and I know that the same thing was also true for Dordash.

13:09It is a misconception of that space in general. Look, it is a tough business. It's a lot tougher than a SaaS company where you just press a button and then you go get a coffee and you made a million dollars in revenues. We're moving about bits and bytes, moving things in the real world, right? Your programmed people. There's a million things that can go wrong. All of the things that you said are right, but it's important to realize the moment in time that I'm talking about. I'm talking about the moment in time when there was enough evidence, maybe around the series B or starting going into series C, that people that had the insides and looked at the numbers, we could clearly articulate how we would get there.

13:45When Postmate started out, this thing sounded so crazy that the only people that wanted to give us money were brine singer, man, and Peter Teal. And I think the only reason they give us money is because nobody else said they would give us money and Peter and Brian probably thought it's a smart thing to do. Dude, you're very vocal on VCs, which I always find an entertaining take. VCs are very vocal on founder, so I think somebody has to, every once in a while, has to give some feedback. This is gonna be a fun show, my friend. But when founders fund invest in your series, they need that as first institutional lead.

14:15How do you weigh the importance of VC brand is my question. Does it really make a difference to companies to jatuary when a tier one needs your round? Back then it meant a lot to us that we had a known company as the lead investor. And I do believe that it sets up a signal, but I think a good signal can save a bad company. And it'll come down at the end of the day to your execution. A lot of times, even the great recies and a lot of hype can't really change the outcome of a company. What was the hardest round to raise? Everyone, every single round. Do it to me as we progress. The business matures against larger.

14:52How did the Uber acquisition play out? We put it on Twitter. I got a lot of DMs being like, I want the story. Can you just take me to the story of how it played out? Dara called me and he said, do you want to discuss merging the companies? And I said, yeah, let's do it. Fits in a tweet. That's how easy it was. You guys then meet. Where do you meet? How does the meeting go? What are the thoughts? It was during COVID. We met at Alta Plaza Park. It's sort of, I think it's a mean point between where we both lived at the time. A year and a half earlier, there were some preliminary discussions with the Uber team, so there was some familiarity, but ultimately I think it wasn't the right time for either party.

15:32We raised more money and I think Uber had to explore more what they want and what they can do with Uber Eats. Ultimately they had a change in leadership ship on the Uber Eats site, Pierre was now in charge and I think Dara was very bullish about Uber Eats especially because of COVID right. Their rights business was basically nonexistent and with DoorDash being clearly the market leader in most of the US but not in California and certain regions that are very attractive where we were the number one. They saw the great opportunity for consolidation and the whole thing was was very pleasant I have to say.

16:05Okay, so we have that meaning we have that discussion again I you said that that smashed this podcast so I'm just gonna go for the questions and you can rip me if I I'm going to call someone said the postmates was running out of cash This was like an emergency deal that landed super freaking well. Is that fat? No, no Look, I actually love sort of defending the legacy here a little bit You know sometimes when you fight giants, you know the war can get nasty and in full war is definitely part of that So first of all, let's just look at the facts. It's very easy. We were obviously had to file an S4 at the time that they purchased Postmates and you can look it up We had just under a hundred million dollars left in cash and our negative gross profit margin was I think single digits two or three Quarters later we were profitable as a company positive cash flow So we were in a position that we didn't have to sell as a matter of fact We were planning to go public and would have probably been one of the last companies to do so before or you know the world ended and we were excited about it.

17:07But when we looked at everything that was on the table, we had done the best job we could for 10 years to grow an amazing company. I think it was the furthest that we could have moved the company. We believed it was best as part of something bigger because the market needed to consolidate at some point. Why? Like why could you not have done more, Basi? You're a steedy found at your ambitious guy, your great CEO, was it tempting to go at alone? Yeah, absolutely. And I had a great belief that we could continue as a standalone company. But ultimately, I think I put the ego a little aside. And it's not easy.

17:46I wanted to be CEO of a publicly traded company. I was looking forward to that. And I think I would do a great job at it and I may get another shot at it. But here's another thing that I think people don't fully understand. We negotiated the deal so well. There was no color on the deal. By the time the deal closed, it was almost $5 billion, which is amazing. It's supposed to be 2 .65. Yeah, obviously that was the price that was announced, but there was no color on the exchange ratio. And obviously we benefited from the Uber Share Prize that was, I think, when we got the shares, the Uber shares were around $31 when the deal finally closed and we got approval.

18:23It was at 53, I believe, or 55. The money returned to shareholders was almost 5 billion and I have sold almost none of my shares So I'm still rooting for Uber Uber share price today is 75 75 Yeah, there's a bit down isn't it? Wow that is insane how did you come to the price when you were sitting with Dara How does one price the asset that is post -made? Is it that stage? Does he throw out a number? Do you throw out a number? What does that look like? Well, I think it's probably a mix of last valuation and then you look at multiple on forward looking revenue and sort of a mixed bag really. And I think he came out with a number that was around 2 .2 or something and we negotiated it out a little bit.

19:06But I didn't want it to push too hard because the two things that we negotiated for are no break up, absolutely no way out and no color on the deal because we sort of knew that the street would probably appreciate the acquisition and it did. So those elements were more important to us than pushing the prize on paper to a 3 billion and maybe living with certain uncertainties. Fuck me! So how much of the companies you own Bastie? Like 20 %? I... that doesn't matter. Wow. What did the board say? I think Brian Singerman was excited to the extent and he said you did it Bastie. I really think he said that exact same sentence and that was sort of the end of the excitement and and that I mean meant a great deal coming from him Listen, that's as good as you're gonna get so just embrace.

19:55Oh no. Yeah, I know What are your biggest lessons and to founders on how to get acquired and how to sell your company the right way? Most companies fail because the founders give up and that said we refused to give up You said before that Dar is one of the best non -founder CEOs alive I'd love to unpack that. Why do you think that is? What makes him so good in your mind? So first of all, I think he has an ability to give the people that work for him a lot of autonomy. When I started working with him and see how he works, at first I thought that that was a weakness. And I had this feeling like, man, he's not really that involved in all of these things.

20:31But boy, I think it's just a great way of how he leads the company. and he is involved but not to the extent that I was involved or that I thought people would be involved. But he rewards a group of people with trust and he picked a lot of good people that ended up working for him that executed very well. He's a very calculated risk taker. I think when he took over the job, I think he had a pretty good understanding that he can turn the company around and what needed to get done more so than the street understood and would give him credit for. I think he has maneuvered legislation, any sort of cultural issues in the company, external expectations very well.

21:14And for a non -founder CEO, he really has, I think he has made this company his. And what is remarkable is if you have people two, three years ago that talk about it, they're like, nah, Tara, you know, at some point maybe, you know, Travis comes back and this is the whole Apple thing. You know, we love these stories in Silicon Valley. We love it. It's the stuff that movies are made of right but you know this guy just showed up at work did his thing you would have CNBC you would have Bloomberg they would just say nothing nice about it at all and every every moment in time that they could mention that Uber has not been has not exceeded their their IPO share price was good enough for it this guy just keeps on executing and now you turn on CNBC you read Bloomberg one of the best CEOs incredible guy unbelievable give him a billion dollar salary.

22:02How can he have done this? You know, the heirs of CEO that knows how to run a business and it's sort of like, yeah, he did that. Can I ask you again a final one and then we're going to move to new company? Someone message me and said, basically, Dora's written off the drizzly in the post -mates acquisition. What does pasty and think? How do you think about that? And was that right? Does that feel good? What are the thoughts? So first of all, I couldn't care less about it because I'm not in charge at Uber and I don't run the company and however, Dora wants to run the company, he probably will do what's best for the company.

22:34But I see no signs of the Postmates acquisition being written off because I think the brand is very strong. It continues to be very strong in LA. And unless I haven't gotten the memo that they're shutting Postmates down, I think it continues to be a great brand. Maybe ultimately it is smart to consolidate to one brand. But when we discuss the merger, we sort of had this idea that you leave these brands, you start uniting the tech underneath and then at some point it's the same product but it sort of has basically a different name and that's literally like the one difference in you. You can use these brands to maybe appeal to slightly different audiences but if they change their mind then that's fine.

23:14Maybe I can buy the domain bag. So then we have the earn out and progressing through that. You then have a good amount of money and you're thinking about what to do next. Talk to me about the decision -making process that I've asked you. You could have done anything, you could stay at U -book, it could be a big -time exact. What was the decision -making process? Well, I tried to do nothing, but if you have a family then it's hard to find time to do nothing. So for a while I was just enjoying that. But if your mind keeps wondering about things that could be done and ideas that you could work on, I love building products and I love running teams and I love being in a room full of engineers and working on ideas and things come to life.

23:55I try to do the investing thing and I do some investments but it does not derive me the same amount of joy than actively building something. Now you start a second company then. What are the single biggest pros if we start on positives? What are the biggest pros of being a second time founder Basti? If you're a second time founder that has returned capital, I think you have a set of pros, it's very easy to raise money. You can select the people that you want to work with. It is fairly easy to assemble a team. And because you have done certain things, you don't know how to be successful again, but you know how to run a lot of the processes and a lot of the red tape and a lot of the things that would really consume you the first time around.

24:39Now you know how to do these things. And so you can be fairly efficient in getting started. Often it's not knowing what to do, right? It's knowing what not to do. The mistakes that one normally makes. You said about selecting the VCs and having the ability to. With the ability to select, how do you select the VCs you work with? If you rent a company for 10 years, you have met people that you maybe always wish you would have worked with. And for me personally, Margon Driesen was one of my heroes. And this is a guy who's software I grew up with, whose browser arguably changed how we access information.

25:12I pitched him four times or five times the entire firm with Postmates. They were smart enough to say no, but it was amazing to be able to just to reach out and I think there was a mutual feeling from his side. He was excited to work with me as well. How did that round come together? You ping him and you're like, hey, I'm starting something new. Can I come meet you? He pink me actually because a friend told him that I was working on something and he called me and I said, I don't I don't even know if that idea is good. And he said, do you want to do it again? And I said, yes, it's like, well, then I'm sure you figure something out.

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25:42That was the extent of the fundraise. So who did the price? Who did the negotiation? Like, how does that work? We didn't negotiate on the terms much. We just discussed what we believe to be reasonable for a cold start series A at a price that is not too high. And that's it really. What did you have in terms of company at that point? Three co -founders, a problem space that we've been looking at. Did you worry that it was too much too soon? One of the challenges is it's too easy to raise money and then you have the luxury of not being thrifty, being able to spend on whatever you want, were you concerned about having too much too soon?

26:15Yeah, I still am, but only to the extent that I'm concerned about any of these things up to the point where I know that the new company is a success, right? So I don't think there's any set of circumstances that will necessarily dictate that outcome. If you have too little, you're worried that maybe you should have raised more. If you raise money, you maybe worry that you have too much and do you detect complacency somewhere? We will see. It's always one way a lot of people say, oh, raise whatever you can and you just put it in a separate bank account and it rainy day and I always find founders spend rainy day finds when it's not raining.

26:53We sort of raised an amount that would allow us to do three or four startups in one. If you think about it. Something that Mark and I often talk about is if you run a company, you want to test a set of hypotheses. That's your job as a CEO, right? And you want to run down that list. And if you find that as some of them work, you sort of want an increased of velocity and really get to the point where you know if this thing works or not. And I think the idea behind TipTub is that we like the space, but we will explore it to the extent that if we believe that we have a tiger by the tail and that we see this thing moving in that direction that we like, we will continue testing hypotheses, or we will move to a different space.

27:31And that would be, there would be no problem. And not for the team, not for myself, and I don't think for anybody who invested. The idea is that that will figure something out. Where is the conviction bar on where you are with tip top? Is it like 50 % proven, 30%, 70%, it's a great question. It's a very good idea. We're very convinced of that. It is a very slick product. We're very convinced of that. We are trying to understand the market size and the impact that we can have with our energy. We're not sure where that is yet. How do you determine when to cut something and move on? Is there a defining metric?

28:07If we don't have X number of users by X day, we kill it. You can do it that way. And I'm sure there are people that are like that. Who do I know who's extremely smart and would run a company and you like this Patrick and John Collison. I think they're like the perfect example. I'm sure they have a metric. I admire them and we're very fortunate to call them friends. The most important thing to realize is that it doesn't matter. It doesn't matter. We tend to take everything way too seriously. Like, oh, if I fail, the world will think nobody cares. It takes a minute for everybody to get over it, right?

28:42So something else will happen. Elon will tweet something and that's what we care about. The minute after somebody just thought about you, so it really doesn't matter. Like, there is no right or wrong way, there is nobody who knows the master plan, and it really does not matter. I find it incredibly reassuring to remember that you are not nearly as important as you think you are. But nobody is, right? That's the thing. Nothing is. Can I ask you, I think one challenging or interesting element is financial position changes with your second company if the first was successful. You know, you no longer need it financially to work.

29:18How does starting a company rich change your mindset, approach, ambition, the second time around? Well, that is a fair question. I had very little when I started Postmates and we put it all on that thing, right? And we felt like we had to push that little carriage up for up the mountain for 10 years, right? And at any moment, there was not a moment in time when we were convinced that that we've made it. But we had the ultimate energy because we felt that this is what had to had to get done. But at least 50 % of that was also a chip that we had on our shoulder, that we wanted to prove that we can do this.

29:53And that is something that all the money in the world can't really compensate for. That's why people strive for greatness. That's why people strive to do certain things because there is a desire to do something. But how does starting a company the second time differ when you're starting a rich. Well, I don't need a salary, so I don't pay myself a salary. That sort of comes in handy. Are you more courageous in the bets that you take because you're not worried about the downside? Are you more fast moving? I think we as a company enough have been very focused to not have any sort of external things influence our decision making.

30:28We try to be very humble, we try to be nimble, we try to move very fast, we try to write a lot of code, assess problems, we try to do that without the assumption that we're better off because of anything that happened before. I'm sorry for jumping around. When the money does land, does it land in one go? Do you get like, what I mean is there? So you just get like an notification like here. It's like, you know, $X million and you're like, wow, that's great. What does it come in drip feeds? How long does it take? Like just how does it work? What's really interesting is that you think it's this moment, but the whole thing almost takes a year.

31:01You sign a deal and then of course, you know, DOJ, in our case, the DOJ had a few questions and they submitted a request and we had to answer that. Then you get the go and then the deal closes and then there's a company called ShareWorks that deals with the transition of shares between two parties and they take custody. You get access to it and then there's a clawback. In our case, there was no clawback, I believe company -wide clawback, but we just had a small amount of shares that did vest after like three months or something. So, but yeah, at some point your bank called to you and says like, yeah, we got your shares.

31:41Do you want to see your bank account? I guess that's what they ask you in. How did you feel in that moment? The bizarre thing is that you prepare for that moment for a year, right? It's not like winning the lottery and you're like, and there it is, right? It's sort of like we knew we had sold the company a year earlier. In your mind, you probably go over that moment then many times, right? But I was so focused at that moment in time was the transition of the company, right? So you have to understand up until the Department of Justice cleared the thing. There was a fair chance that this would have not been possible.

32:12There was no moment in time when we celebrated after we signed the paper because we had to run the company as a standalone company for, believe eight, eight, nine months. So we had to hit our quarterly goals. We did not want it to have a scenario where we lose market share because now we're thinking that we're selling the company So you run these things as very separate businesses. It's very anti -climatic I would say I wish there would have been a moment and on top of that it was COVID So the one thing that I'm extremely sad about is that I did not ever get to celebrate with our 2 ,000 employees at a party in a room and have a blast there was a very strange feeling Everyone walked away sort of in with masks and you know five feet distant a very strange end to like a 10 -year church -like community and being in the office for 18 hours most days including the weekends like it was very strange But I'm sure your wife must have been thrown in the cash landed I do have to ask as we said you're very vocal about venture investors as a venture investor I agree with some and disagree with others You said before that 99 % of VCs are idiots.

33:24Fastie. How do you find the 1 % that are not, and do you really think that? I would probably today say that 99 % are sheep. Why do you think that's sheep? That's probably enough to be somewhat successful. There is a mass sort of thinking, and it's very self -informed, and there's very few people that understand where things should go, and where the opportunities lie and there is the majority of all people are just echo chambers of whatever that is and and there is a great desire in most VCs that I know to not bump in, bump around the edges too much and just do that thing and just you know follow that path.

34:09But whatever is the creed of the moment and whatever you want to discuss in regards to that, like, it's rough to be a little different and try to convince people. As I think it's the same with LPs. I quite often will say to LPs, you know, you get paid for the courageous bets that you take, not the safe decisions that you make. I think it's very much the same in venture, by the way. This is a business of anomalies, and so I completely agree with you. I think one of the interesting elements is venture value ad. A lot of founders say, oh, I'm thinking about this VC or that VC because they bring this and this and this.

34:45How do you think about venture value add? And you've said before the best VC's in the world, a humble enough to realize that they're not going to change the outcome. How do you advise founders on venture value add? Well, first of all, I think that statement is completely correct. It is my fundamental belief. The greatest VC's that I have met are the people that know this. when the company was bought, when the deal got closed, I remember having coffee with Brian Singiman and we both lived in Noi Valley at the time. So, and I was curious, I'm like, hey, how is it being a VC? What's, how do you do it at Founders Fund?

35:19Do you think I could do it? And I think he said something, he said, I don't know if you can do it, but I don't think you can do it. And I don't think he would be good at it. And I'm like, I'm like, why do you think that? He's like, well, you care too much. Like, you're an operator. You wanna, you believe that you can change things and you can do that when you're running your company. When you're an investor, you have to realize that there's nothing you can do, it doesn't matter. So at Founders Fund, they obviously believe in this. Very deeply, we just saw this obviously with keys leaving there and being somewhere else.

35:50The belief is that there is very little you can do to actually move the needle, other than writing the check. And then in the best case, you stay out of the way, and that's why they believe that board seeds are, you know, all the downside and very little upside. All of it is rooted in this belief that why would you be the guy that knows best how to do something and push these founders to do a certain thing? I believe the best VCs in the world believe that. I do not believe that Mark loses a sleepless night over what I'm working on. I believe that he may not even care. And that is totally okay with me because that is a job of the people running the company.

36:30And the investments that I have made When I give someone a check, then I try to stay out of it because I think Brian Shingerman is also one of the most intelligent people I know and I think he he's right. I think value add is a great marketing tool that the CES have discovered that if they use it They can attract talent they can attract LPs and by doing that they also Increase their own value in the chain of how money flows. That's mostly what it is You said another thing, final one on fundraising, but you said when you feel like you have to convince someone to really work hard on your space or to convince someone, walk away.

37:12Why is that? Why is having to educate your investor about thing? I'm a little jaded here, but one is allowed to be jaded or influenced by one own experience, even though I try to separate these things a lot. I do believe that there's unlimited amount of capital out there and I believe that it is easier and it's better worth your time by focusing on the people that initially believe in that, then trying to ride two or three rounds with the same VC firm and spend two hours going into unit economics where the outcome of any of these meetings will evidently be that they write down the unit economics neatly and then invest in your competitor.

37:46So it is very important to understand when a VC is trying to understand your business or when a VC is trying to understand your business to the extent of also another business at the same time. So oftentimes when you spend a lot of time and you feel like every meeting you have to, you have to really dig incredibly deep. Again, if you are a VC that needs that much conviction, regardless of the check size, already a red flag. And I find it will only get worse from that. It will only get worse because Goodluck was the next board meeting and the subsequent board meeting and not hitting a number and losing a percent market share.

38:25We had all types of investors in the company. It's not fun. Did you enjoy board meetings? I was not really good at first at running board meetings. I grew up running this company and I don't mean like in the sense of from a from a young buck to like a teenager, but I think as a business man When when I started the company versus 11 years later, I grew up as a person and I obviously honed my skills So the first couple of board meetings I think were I didn't had the headspace to even think about the board really So I was I was so focused into the daily operations of the company It was hard for me to have even predictions or sort of do even focus on explaining things to someone else And after a while when we got external investors that were not just Scott Bannister who was the first on the board and Brian sort of I had to learn that part of that ultimately is also to align the board and to make sure that the that it's not just in your head but that you communicate it to the board.

39:24But I found to be a very good strategy is to actually have the board meeting and non -board meeting and do a dinner the night before with a presentation sent out a week but at least a few days ahead of time. At the board dinner you discuss any sort of tension that there may be hitting your numbers or beating them or fundraising or updates or whatever it is competition so that you can then have a board meeting that is very short, very focused on just a few things that people commented on in the week leading up to the board meeting with the board deck that you provided and it also gives everybody this feeling that oh we just set together last night right so a lot of anxiety is out of the room you know people got to be used to the quirks again that they may have forgotten about because you know it's sort of people are I love people they're all different right that that worked very well for me towards the end I love that and I really like that separation between the board dinner and the actual board meeting and actually segmenting the content in that way I do have to go for some hot taste Bastie it'd be wrong for me not to and you know as you said VCs is sheep what can I be why why don't we do about AI and you teased me with having some controversial hot takes but you didn't actually go into them.

40:41And so you said inference computers, and that was it. What do you all take on inference computers? I think there were three sort of areas that I've wrote down. I think personal AI is another one. Cost of Al Alams. Yeah, great. I think that obviously AI or machine learning has opened this great new paradigm and way of thinking and honestly has given tech a much needed boost and enthusiasm, which I think is fantastic. I believe that one of the overlooked areas of the current state of AI and the large language models that we're using is that they're still very expensive. They're dramatically more expensive than a Google search.

41:19And as a result of that, we don't really have any great killer apps beyond the chatbot. And anything you build on LLM is very expensive because the compute is very expensive. And obviously there's even on the compute that's available a shortage of that compute. right? So now most of that goes into training these models, which is done in the cloud and which is done on large GPUs and it's a fantastic use case for that. When it comes to AI and personal AI, we may be at a moment in time where there is there is an opportunity for a new computer and new type of computer that we may see in every home.

41:52A computer that runs your own personal AI on a chip that does not have to be as powerful as the most powerful Nvidia chips. As a matter of fact, it could be a chip just designed for inference and just designed for for doing that very specific work And that computer is not a computer was a screen It won't be a computer that you sort of even necessarily interact with but it it will be a piece that other devices could Interact with and that powers a large language model if you want to hopefully an open source one and that will behave like a platform That has your personal weights your personal preferences that is connected to the world and the way that you want to.

42:31Why would you need a computer separate in the home for that? Surely the preference is the data would be stored in a cloud provider very much like having an open AI account that has your personalizations and preferences baked into that. No, actually not. For two reasons. First of all, you want the inference to happen as closest to the source of data as possible. And I like to argue that once a model is trained, then you get all the signals from your house, from your life, And in that moment is actually when inference is the most powerful you if you have data in the cloud and you need to Computeing on that data sure, but not if it's data that is maybe to do around your home, right?

43:08So inference is very powerful the closer it is to the source of data I mean given that if you think about a personal assistant the personal assistant needs a lot of information about you and inputs That's why you would see that at home It also is the only way right now to do it cost effectively If you have personalized weights, if you have personalized numbers, your LLM in the cloud will cost a lot of money and it can't even do things real time right now for you. Because of the cost, you can run it at home and the only cost is your electricity. That's another reason. I talked to a few founders about this over the last couple of weeks.

43:40A lot of folks are convinced that this is sort of when you had these huge timeshare mainframe and you had to go into them and you have to pay per minute and you have to pay per use and the thing came back and then Apple came and the Apple won and you had a board that you can hack against at home and that allowed you to do your own thing. So I may be wrong but I think there is something here. Is Apple not best placed if you think about being closest to the source as being fundamental? Is Apple's monopoly on hardware and phone usage and device, not putting them best place to run these models locally on device?

44:14Yeah, a couple of more hot takes that most people will not agree with and I'm happy to be wrong. I think the phone is dead. That's the first problem that will happen very soon I believe that AI happened too fast and Apple is caught in sort of the inventors dilemma here I'm sure that they could eventually put an additional chip in an iPhone that dusts inference and allows you to run These models more efficiently, but I doubt that it will be interesting enough for the group of people that I have in mind and Want to tinker with with the technology. So why is the phone dead? I think it had a good run man, but I think we have to call it.

44:50We have to call it what it is. Look at us. What replace is there? I mean, ultimately, we will find a way to use implants to communicate or devices that are smaller. But I think we will see a world where people go to an operating system for LLMs, maybe a voice operating system. I think there is many ways. That device may have not been invented yet, and it may take obviously longer. You know, landlines are still around. So when I call it dad, I don't call it dad in the sense of we won't use it anymore But I think it has reached the peak of its importance in people's lives. Are you long or short on the vision?

45:25Prior on the vision as it is the how it is today short because I think it's a product in search of a market It may have a fantastic application in science and in medicine to a less degree in media I think it is just a product that doesn't bring us together. Regardless of all its neat technology and the fake eyes and all of these things. You know what? I think Apple knows this obviously, but they're have incredible people working for them. The hardware that would change would just be in recognizable different from your regular reading glasses. and it would have unlimited battery life, overlay of information, anything that you can imagine in like a very subtle way.

46:09That would, I think it would be a great tool. Why do the benefits occur more to startups or more to incumbents in the next wave of AI? So in almost everything that we've seen, I think it is incumbents. I don't think that's too contrarian because it just makes a lot of sense, right? But there will be companies born today that will be larger in the field of AI than the companies that are the largest companies that we have today and they will start as toys and they will start as something that is probably overlooked and something that is not most applicable and something that is not most obvious.

46:49That's my prediction. Quick debate with you, but we've never had incumbents who have such data advantages that these incumbents have, and we've never had incumbents who throw off 350 million a day in free cashflow like Microsoft does, combined with the data advantage. If these incumbents are not too strong to use up. Blackberry at some point owned the entire smartphone market, GrubHub ran pretty much all food delivery in the United States. Those are weak examples, you can do better than that Bastie. Come on, like they had BBM as a network retention mechanism maybe, but I mean the market itself was pretty small, their market cap never exceeded a huge amount, their free cash flow was never a monstrous amount, GrubHub was not ever global, not even comparable.

47:33What's your point? Is this incumbent set, not more dominant than ever before, and actually we're in a very different world of startup versus incumbent? I still don't buy it. I think in retrospect it always looks like this. Ten years ago Apple didn't produce their own chips. Everything looks like that. At some point There is a market that looks penetrated. A thing that can't happen. At the same time. Look, it this is how it starts, dude It always starts like this. The things start to fall apart from the inside. Google already can't launch an AI Without the original founders coming back and having meetings with people with t -shirts of boobs sitting in a room somewhere in San Francisco.

48:14This is Google that you're talking about. And they shed the bad so hard. They literally just went from like the most respected company in the world to law things stock in a matter of month. So I just don't buy it and look, this is this is a marathon. This is not just a sprint, but the CREX start to show on the inside. The Vision Pro and effort inside the company that was herculean, I was told, where everybody was involved where people had to take meetings they didn't want to know, where two teams of hundreds of people were pitted off against each other to get that thing onto the market. You know it fails.

48:49Dude, this will be the first product for Apple where they have more returns than they have on any other metric. You can plot the graph and since Steve Jobs came back, this is probably the first thing that is a turd. So this stuff starts to happen from the inside. It's not only that there is smart kids coming along and they're doing something, but it's a combination of both. And that I fund them into believing at some point the people that did whatever made that company great and even their direct reports and the people that believed that at some point that either shifts moves away and then it starts to feel a little loose on the edges and when it starts to feel loose is exactly when there is opportunity for someone else.

49:29And sure you can buy yourself out of this and you can M &A your way into whatever you want but it can happen. And then it won't happen overnight. And it will look like a toy at first, whatever it is will be ridiculed, then people try to catch up. If they're lucky they can buy someone, but every once in a while, there is a company that rises and becomes extremely, extremely big, even though the set of circumstances seem very unlikely. Dude, I love it. Question, one company that seems to have risen obviously above any others open AI. Do you think foundational models get commoditized? And would you be a buyer of open AI at 90 billion?

50:06It's a fantastic research company is how I would describe open AI I think it remains to be seen if they can launch Extremely successful products other than chat GPT It will be a dominant player and look what they did by the way coming out of nowhere Yet working on it for seven years, right? You didn't catch up with them every week to get the status on what they were working on for the last six or seven years And suddenly there's there's one product and off you go So of course they're important. I think they're a great player that is now inspiring a lot of founders and entrepreneurs to do great things and have the Audacity to to to sort of dream in a direction that for the longest time mostly because it was a market where if you worked in ML You got a nice salary at Google but the expectations was just that you please don't bother anyone too much, right?

50:54So and now suddenly you're like you're in demand people actually listen to you They believe that these things can work, you know everybody wants to know what a token is, they will be a big player, I think they will be a very large company, but there's other companies that are personally more excited about so. Which ones are they? Well, I don't know, I have my list here, I have certain names, I divide companies into the big stuff, useful and noise, and most of it is noise obviously, right? That's just like someone who comes along and says like, we're developing a brain for robots, but I think what looks really good is figure, I think the latest robots that we've seen from them, they're they're remarkable.

51:30I think they work with OpenAI. That's an OpenAI investment. I think that you see a lot of really remarkable companies coming out working with smaller models, more dedicated models, models that maybe a lot more trained for a specific purpose than sort of that giant call center that can do anything. But other than AI, I'm telling you space, nuclear, count me in. Any startups that have had a huge publicity and you're like, I didn't get it. A lot of them. But that's okay. Technology is the absolute greatest thing. Faster, more enthusiastic into the technological future. That's what I believe in. Final one.

52:06You mentioned time scales actually taking longer. I am just intrigued. You said to me before and you said sorry on Twitter before, not developing AI fast enough is what will kill us, not the other way around. What did you mean by that? We are already facing and we will continue to face dramatic challenges obviously as a country but also as people. And on this planet, moving to a new planet, if we want to be multi -species, I think the challenges ahead of us, we need to develop all the technology we can to solve them, to engineer ourselves out of global warming, to make decisions based on data and guidance that we can get from better software, getting to Mars.

52:46All of that, I think it's essential that we make great strides in AI. The risk is not that there will be an evil AI that will kill us. I think the risk will be that by not becoming more intelligent and using these intelligent tools will become extinct. Bold statements, I'm loving this. Glad we did that as a quickfire on AI round. Bassy, that's fantastic. I want to do a quickfire round more broadly, so I ping you with a statement, you give me your thoughts. Does that sound okay? Yes. What have you changed your mind on in the last 12 months? Again, technology. I imagine it before. I think we were in a little bit of a slump, therefore, while it seemed like everybody shut of the engines and we had to be very apologetic and it was sort of now I think we're so back and I think it's great because I'm saying it again like accelerate into the technological future as fast and as enthusiastic as we can.

53:36What are you most concerned about in the world today? What am I most concerned about? United. Going on a united airplane. Oh wow. I thought you were I'll be very concerned about that. Well, you know, life is good then. You could get a PJ Bastie. That's the only thing. Single biggest way VCs and founders are misaligned. Expectations. Why expectations? VCs are always just one more. No, it's expectations more in the sense when and sort of how and I think there's a lot of friction there in general. What's the most lavish purchase you've made? Having two kits. What's the biggest piece of BS advice that you hear most often?

54:18The first X dollar in revenue is always the hardest. or something like that. There is a version of that coming out of everybody I've ever met. So yeah. Was the kindest thing anyone's ever done for you? You know, I think my co -founder, Sean Place, is one of the greatest humans that I know, and I am so thankful for his friendship, because what he has done for the entire time, while I was to CEO and rent the company and did a lot of the front -off the office work, and we often banked hats, and I reserved the right to have the final decision on a lot of things. That guy has just been the greatest supporter you can imagine every day and he showed up every day And he said be let's do it and he drove us to the fundraisings I think he has given 10 years of his life in something that I made him believe in and so I think just That in itself is is is a remarkable gift other than Dara which CEO do you most respect to me?

55:13Oh, man I can only name one because if you if you know name another one then it's a Ken of warms, right other than Dara I believe that the world would be a better place if we had more founder CEOs And I hope that the founder CEOs that we have that they stay CEOs for the long time Patrick at Stripe Zacate plate max at a firm. These are all just remarkable Remarkable people that run their company so well and that had to fight battles and and and overcome All sorts of challenges. Whatever they are. I mean in ZX place you we were bought the acquisition good and go through, you have to go back and build again.

55:51If these guys are ever, well, Patrick and that case in Zach, if they run their companies publicly, books will be written about their leadership style. I'm certain of that. Final one, 2034. Why do you want to be that? And why is Bastion 2034? Well, realistically, probably at some sort of sport event with my kids, whatever they play is probably where I will be, right? So I have two of them, maybe ballet or whatever they pick up my oldest one like basketball so that's probably what I will do. Bastie, I wanted to do this for a long time. I so appreciate you putting up with the prying. You've been fantastic so thank you for joining me.

56:29Well I had a great time. It's so funny before that show Bastie said let's make this a really special one. I think he absolutely did that. That was such a fantastic discussion. If you want to see the full video you can check it out on YouTube by searching for 20VC but before we leave you today, one thing I hear from my listeners all the time is that marketing leaders are under more pressure than ever to deliver real business impact. You know, more conversions, lowering customer acquisition costs, and bringing in more revenue, but that's impossible when you're stuck with tools that don't move as fast as you do.

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From the publisher

Basti Lehmann is the co-founder and former CEO of Postmates, the on-demand delivery service that raised over $900M from the likes of Tiger Global, Founders Fund, Spark Capital and Andreesen Horowitz. Following Uber’s $2.65BN acquisition in 2020, Basti founded TipTop, a platform for fast tech sales which Marc Andreesen led the $20M seed round for.

In Today’s Episode with Basti Lehmann We Discuss:

  1. From US Immigrant to Billion Dollar Founder

  • How did Basti start his career hacking AT&T?

  • How did early hardships shape Basti’s work ethic?

  • What were Basti’s biggest challenges building Postmates?

  1. Lessons from Raising $900M

  • How did Basti raise $20M from Marc Andreesen?

  • How does Basti select which VCs to work with?

  • Why does Basti think 99% of VCs are sheep?

  • Why does Basti think great VCs add no value?

  • Why does Basti think having to educate investors is a massive red flag?

  1. Selling Postmates for $2.65BN

  • Why did Basti sell Postmates to Uber? How did the acquisition happen?

  • Was there anything Basti would have done differently?

  • What does Basti think makes Dara Khosrowshahi a great CEO?

  • What is Basti’s biggest advice to founders on acquisitions?

  1. Future of AI: Startups or Incumbents?

  • What does Basti think is the biggest challenge of LLMs today?

  • Why does Basti think inference computing will be the future of AI?

  • Why does Basti think incumbents can be replaced?

  • Why does Basti think the biggest companies are being born today?

 

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20VC: Postmates Founder Basti Lehmann on How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN, Why Great VCs Add No Value and VC Value Add is BS Marketing & Why The Biggest Companies in History Will be Born Today and Replace IncumbentsThe Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch · 59 min
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