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Podcast Summary: The Twenty Minute VC (20VC) - Episode with Julia Hoggett
Episode Overview In this episode of The Twenty Minute VC, host Harry Stebbings interviews Dame Julia Hoggett, the CEO of the London Stock Exchange (LSE). The conversation explores the current state of the LSE, the future of UK IPOs, particularly for companies like Revolut and Monzo, and how the London market competes with the US.
Key Discussion Points
Introduction to Julia Hoggett
- Julia's background: Former Director of Market Oversight at the FCA and now CEO of LSE.
- She describes her career path as a series of answering "exam questions," leading to her role at LSE.
State of the UK Economy
- Hoggett discusses the paradox of a booming financial services sector against a struggling domestic economy.
- She highlights the detrimental impact of pension fund reforms on UK investment dynamics.
UK vs. US IPO Landscape
- Will Revolut and Monzo List in London?
- Discussion on whether leading tech companies will prefer to list in London or the US.
- Hoggett argues that many companies are misled by the perception that the US markets offer better valuation prospects.
- UK Companies and Pricing:
- Hoggett presents data indicating that UK companies, when compared to their US counterparts, do not consistently trade at lower valuations.
- The perception of lower prices in the UK is challenged by empirical data.
Regulatory and Structural Changes
- Stamp Duty as a Barrier:
- Hoggett describes stamp duty as a "perversity" that discourages retail investment in UK stocks.
- Pension Fund Reform:
- Discussion on the need to adjust pension fund structures to encourage investment in riskier assets, akin to the Canadian model.
- The aim is to ensure UK pension funds can invest more significantly in private companies.
The Future of the London Stock Exchange
- Hoggett emphasizes the importance of creating an inviting environment for startups and growth companies.
- She asserts that the UK has the resources, including significant institutional capital and high-quality universities, to support domestic growth.
Challenges Faced by UK Startups
- Hoggett identifies regulatory burdens and high living costs as obstacles that deter talent from remaining in London.
- She stresses the need for a cultural shift to celebrate entrepreneurship and reduce skepticism towards founding companies.
Closing Thoughts
- Hoggett envisions a future for LSE where it becomes the default choice for significant UK companies, emphasizing the need for a cohesive effort to drive domestic capital investment.
- She calls for a renewed focus on innovation and adaptability within UK financial markets.
Key Takeaways
- Perceptions vs. Reality: Hoggett argues against the narrative that US markets are inherently better for IPOs compared to the UK, citing data that contradicts this assumption.
- Regulatory Reform: There is a consensus on the need for a balanced regulatory environment that fosters innovation while protecting investors.
- Investment Culture: Encouraging a mindset shift towards valuing long-term investment in domestic companies is crucial for economic growth.
- The Role of Stamp Duty: Reducing or reforming stamp duty could significantly enhance retail participation in the UK stock market.
Conclusion The episode concludes with Hoggett urging for a collective effort to re-establish London’s competitiveness in the global financial landscape, emphasizing the importance of a vibrant capital market for the future of UK entrepreneurship and economic health. The discussion reflects on the myths surrounding UK IPOs and the structural changes needed to attract and retain talent and investment in the London market.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00We've disconnected society from our capital markets. STEM duty is a perversity in the UK. We charge people to invest in UK stocks where we don't charge into investing US stocks or European stocks. We basically created a world where cheap was good for financial services. In the last 10 years, only 20 UK companies have listed in the US that have raised over 100 million. Of those, nine of all need be listed, only four are trading up and the rest are trading down by over 80%. This is 20 VC with me Harry Stabings. Now, there are a couple of core questions when it comes to the London Stock Exchange.
0:32Will the biggest companies in the UK want to go public on the London Stock Exchange? Will Monzo will rave loot? Once they trade, do they trade negatively because of being placed there, your deliverers, your transfer wisers of the world? Do they trade negatively because of being placed on the London Stock Exchange? Well, today we dive into this. the myths, the truths, and much more, with London Stock Exchange's CEO, Julia Hoggert. But before we dive into the show's day, Secureframe empowers businesses to build trust with customers by simplifying information security and compliance through AI and automation.
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4:14Trust Brax to help them grow. If you want to join the smartest startups on the planet, head over to Brax .com forward slash startups and see what they can do for you. You have now arrived at your destination. Dude, I'm very excited for this. Thank you so much for having us in the office today. It's a pleasure. Welcome to a very sunny, very warm, very unusual London day. I hope it isn't. It's a beautiful view. I would love to start with a little bit of context. So how did you come to be CEO of London Stock Exchange and take me to the moment when you accepted and took on the role? Oh my word. By accident is the honest answer to the question.
4:47So I was described my career as a series of answering exam questions. So I'm actually a sociologist who specialized in Sub -Saharan East Africa by training, went into the city to find out how Malawi operated in the global economy and I've answered a series of exam questions ever since. And in the summer of 2020, Apple was worth more than the FTSE 100 for the first time. I was then at the FCA as Director of Market Oversight and that evening I literally wrote down everything I thought that I could try and influence to change it so that that didn't happen again. The next day the phone rang and it was a headhunter and her first question was why haven't you applied for the LSE job?
5:21So I was like well I know the exam question I want to answer. Should I stay at the FCA where I've got a certain amount of influence over how our markets function or should I explore coming to the LSE and the rest of the history? What did you write down as the exam answer? I was jokingly say that the list was too short in hindsight. What you wanted to change when you came in, is that very different to what you see now as the core objectives you still need to change or have they stayed the same? The theme has stayed very similar. My theory was the UK has all of our ingredients. So we have world -leading universities.
5:52We have some remarkable entrepreneurship going on already and start up culture in this country. We create more unicorns at any way outside the US and China. and we're a world leading capital market by any measure. We don't think of ourselves at when we don't talk about ourselves at where's a nation, but actually we have all of those who are ingredient. The city has done a very good job over the last 30 years of driving the UK's places at Global Financial Centre. It's done a less good job of driving the UK domestic economy. And so the key question was those things don't need to be oppositional.
6:21You can walk in shoe government at the same time. You know, you can aim to do both. Why has the city not done that for the domestic economy? Very good question. I think in part because of the strength of our role as the locus of the EU single market. When you're serving everybody everywhere across the EU, you can get a bit disconnected from your own domestic economy. I think some of the regulatory changes serve to do that as well. We used to have the Amotic Pension Funds that invested a huge amount of their assets in driving risk capital into our economy. And when we did, our growth rates were as high as anywhere else in the world, and our capital markets were as ripe into the world.
7:00Those two things alone, we've unpacked over the last 20 or 30 years, and we've disconnected society from our capital markets. How did that happen? What were the core moments that was the disconnection? Well, I think in retail, I think it's been a combination of regulatory reform. We've created a challenging environment for our regulators where if something goes wrong, they wind up in front of parliament. Then natural instinct as a consequence is to make the things that they're responsible for harder and harder to do. They put higher and higher walls up. And so under the guise of protecting retail, we've arguably disenfranchised them a bit.
7:32We've made it harder to access advice. We've made it harder for them to access regulated markets. And yet I use a journey in the cryptocurrency, well, there's incredibly straightforward. And actually, I want people to feel that they've got to stake in their economy in the companies that are going to create the jobs, the innovation, the growth, the productivity that pays for the NHS and pays for other fans. That's what we all, I think, care about as Brits. And yet, we've sort of disconnected people from that. So that's sort of one leg. The other leg is what we did on pension reform many, many years ago.
8:03So after the Mirror of Pension scandal, we basically did two things. We brought a company to find benefit pension schemes on balance sheet. You're probably not old enough to remember when we used to refer to British Airways as a small airline with a large pension funder. We did. And we then put an accounting treatment that meant that the matching adjustment on the pension fund went through the P &L of the company every quarter. No CEO wants to have their earnings and the volatility of their earnings entirely attributable to their pension fund rather than to the underlying business. So what did we do?
8:33We shuttered the defined benefit pension schemes and then we de -risked them so that they weren't too volatile, which meant we reduced our investment in risk assets as a nation. And if you think about defined benefit pension schemes, most countries treat them as a way of mutualizing long -term risk -taking for the stake, both of the returns of pensioners and for investment in the country. And we sort of stopped doing both of those things. And I think you can trace some of the growth reduction that we've had host GFC to that sort of trend over the previous 20 -30 years. The great benefit of having done that to ourselves is we can undo it to ourselves.
9:10And that's one of the things I feel supremely confident about, which is as a nation we have all of these roaring gradients. We have the second largest pool of institutional capital in the world. We have great universities, all of these things. We just need to get back to mixing those ingredients and the right kind of cake. If we think about that then, number one you said about the regulatory enhancements or additions which have made it hard to access different products, do we need to deregulate then? And if so, what do we need to do to deregulate effectively? Do you regulation, I think, is the wrong word, because I think that that sends people running for the hills as a sort of fear.
9:42And this isn't a bumfire of regulation or any of the things that sort of people have accused it of. I think it is about getting back to what do we regulate for. You know, what are the outcomes we want to achieve? I was saying this some on the other day that that very often when you write regulation, you've got a very well intentioned thing that you want to achieve. And then your regulation creates a policy for how you achieve it. But then nobody checks and then everybody fixates on following the policy and forgets to check whether the policy produced the outcome that they wanted in the first place.
10:09If we want financially in the truth, probably in franchise retail investors who have a stake in society, have a good savings rate, and that we reinvest in our own economy, that should be the objective. If when we had done our pension reforms in the, in the, in the 90s, we'd had, okay, 54 % of all the investment in our capital market is UK pension funds and insurance, that's the investment in domestic risk capital that we want as a nation. Let's monitor it and make sure that we don't have a deleterious effect on that. Investment, when we make these changes, we've had a conversation about pension reform 20 years ago, not two years ago when the task force that I chair triggered that conversation.
10:49We now need to get back to what is the outcome we want to achieve and are we really achieving it? What is the outcome we want to achieve? We basically need to be able to use our own resources and our own capacity to invest to back ourselves as a nation. It's very simple. But to do so in a way that means that we actually do it for the way companies are formed today. If you look at quite a lot of the large private companies today, the next ticket they need, their view season period is not necessarily in a position to ride. Because actually they're now so big that they need the public markets as a takeout because that's where the true scale is in the capital.
11:21If you want to start having pension funds invest in you at an earlier stage as a private company, you need to be able to operate in a way that they can operate too as well, within the regulatory constraints that they operate in. Why can we not just have a lot of pension funds invest directly, like CPPIB or Ontario Teachers Funding? Well, that's an awful lot of what the UK regulatory reform is looking at. So a lot of the things that are on the reform agenda for the UK, and should I talk you through it? Yeah, please do. I mean, rather than jumping back and forth. So we talk about the reform agenda in the UK as being five fingers in a glove.
11:52And the logic as well is it's nice to have a thumb, but if you don't have the other four fingers, it's not as useful as a hand. So you need to actually get everything done. What are the quality of your primary and secondary capital raising rules? Do they allow the broadest range of companies come onto your market? And then do they give you them the maximum sort of strategic flexibility you want to get onto the market? We changed our rules last year. We are now on a part with anywhere else in the world in terms of the flexibility and usefulness of our listing rules. They hadn't actually been changed since the 80s in any material fashion.
12:21Meaning it's just as easy to list those in our class. Just as easy to list those in our class. So here is it is anywhere else. The second one is, are we incentivizing the sales side? So the investment banks and the brokers to write high quality research on the next generation of companies that are coming through so that investors can genuinely understand how to value that next proposition. And that is something where in Europe, we had created rules that basically said the banks could not charge in their trading commissions to subsidise their research provision. That reduced the quality of research provision in Europe as a whole.
12:50The UK reversed those rules last year and said that didn't work. Let's go back to basics. To answer your question about pension funds, the UK had done several things. I talked about what we did and our defined benefits schemes. So we took our defined benefits schemes and basically talked about them in the language of de -rescue. So bought an awful lot of fixed income and debt products rather than equity products. but also DC schemes, our defined contribution schemes that replaced them, were not supposed to be the 27 odd thousand that we have that are all very small and advised by lawyers and trustees.
13:22They were supposed to be relatively big, sophisticated, consolidated pots. That didn't happen. We also regulated them on cost, not on net return. So, unlike the CPBIB or the Ontario teachers or what they have in Canada, our current pension scheme is either derisking or a insufficient scale and wrapped with insufficiently sophisticated advice to be able to invest in a portfolio of private companies. So when the Chancellor announced the pension review and actually Labour put it in the manifesto, it's designed to do all of that, to consolidate our pension schemes into bigger individual funds that can then act exactly like the Canadians or the Australians.
14:02I'd love any founder in the UK to be just as proud of having a UK pension fund on their cap tables, they are of having Ontario teachers on their cap table. Do you think we will be able to remove the investor mindset within those pension funds to invest in higher -risk growth assets in the UK? Well, this is partly where Pisces, the crossover market, comes in. Because the logic is that those pension funds at the moment, we have had a mindset of regulating our pension funds on cost. And therefore, the cheap is good. And private companies are not cheap to regenerate. You know, the ability to actually understand them and track, and then you have to start with a small ticket.
14:36or that kind of stuff is not straightforward to do. This is partly about connecting these dots. So if you look at in the third finger of the third finger of the glove, which is the pension and retail reform, then we've also had to think of the Manchin House Compact, which is, so 11 largest default, defined contribution schemes have committed to committing 5 % of their total assets to private companies by 2030. And they are now... Is that private companies in the UK? Private companies in the UK and around the world, but predominantly in the UK, we hope. Now, consequence of that, actually, is that they're having to work through How do they need to reorganize themselves, restructure themselves to be able to participate in this market?
15:11You should start with the objective of the thing you're trying to achieve. Okay? The UK creates great scale companies. It has a huge amount of institutional capital. It has not traditionally been in the valley of death in terms of its financing. But actually, that's where huge amount of value is created for an economy. So we can either go, now we don't have it, and we're not going to bother trying to build it. Or we could take every single step we can to make sure that we're incentivising and building it. And it isn't that we don't have great stockpickers in the UK. We've got VC funds and PE funds that are very good.
15:40There is a reason why the Canadians and the Australians and the US and Amos all come in the second office they have a set up as a London. There's great assets to buy here. It is about bringing our institutionally -cursist together with that VC and PE ecosystem to be able to supercharge the scaling and capability development of that part of the ecosystem. But it is what we used to do in the city. I mean, for many, many years, stopped picking was the classic thing that the city did. We slightly regulated it out by saying you need to regulate on cost, not on net return. And so what the government is now doing is consolidating our pension funds into bigger pools, trying to accelerate consolidation of DC and getting them to look at fiduciary duty as value for money, which is net return not cost.
16:24In other words, being able to buy as LPs, being able to co -invest. You need great assets to invest in. Why are so many companies not choosing to list in the UK? Why interview Nick? I think about the fastest -growing technology companies. And I asked him, you're going to list it. I want them to list it. I love London. I walk past here with my mum. And they go, no, no, America, all day. Yeah. The honest answer is that the perception and the reality are not the same thing. In the last 10 years, only 20 UK companies have listed in the US that have raised over 100 million. Of those, 9 of all need be listed, only for trading up and the rest of trading down by over 80%.
17:00That's the data as of today. Okay, so the idea that the grass is always greener in the US? Not true. The challenge for a company under a certain size in the US is the US market works incredibly well for the MAX7. It doesn't work as well when you're smaller. The investor base is predominantly domestic. They will, if you're not in a major index where six percent of the US market is now tracking a major index, then the risk that you'll get forgotten. You'll get sold on a headline because something happens in the UK or something happens in Europe or another one of your major markets, but you wouldn't have that indexation drag back.
17:33Just half why we've seen the performance that we have in terms of the companies that have gone to the US. And to some extent, that's not the perception. I understand why the media narrative is different. I understand why there's some investment banks who want people to go to the US because they make double the fees. I get it. The simple reality is that the narrative that we've pushed in the media and the actual data as to what the experience of people listening in London versus US is very different. I get there's a sexiness in the US. I get there's a noise there. I've seen what Nick said. He made a point about Sam duty and he made a point about liquidity.
18:06If you actually look at the data on liquidity, the free flow to justed turnover in London is higher than it is in the S &P and the Nasdaq. If you look at the just the absolute volume of shares based on the fact that you've got companies that are worth over a trillion Yes, the absolute volume of shares that's traded in a day is higher The percentage of the company's reflux that is turning over in a given day is higher on the foot to 100 Then it is on the S &P 500 all the Nasda so again that sort of narrative is is the wrong kind of thing I we also know though that the replaces where the data's wrong So if you've got a Yahoo finance and look at the liquidity in London versus liquidity in the US It's actually wrong last time we checked it by a factor of over three and there are things like that where we have to correct To make sure people are actually using the right stats and looking at the right data STEM duty is a perversity in the UK We charge people to invest in UK stocks where we don't charge into investing US stocks or European stocks It is weird.
19:00It brings in about three to four billion of money for the Treasury every year They need that money. So we need to give them alternative as to what to replace it by But I have been very public. It's superverse tax. We tax people to buy Aston Martin this country We don't tax into buy Tesla or Porsche last time I checked Aston Martin Haar gonna employ hundreds of people in this country and they actually built car to so we have done some strange things to ourselves as a nation Everyone says also the scale of the buy book here. Just is so imaginably different compared to the US Is that not true also?
19:3160 % of the investors in the UK are international investors So same people who can buy you and New York can buy you and London. The key issue is do you want index inclusion? You're not going to get index inclusion in the first year in the US and you might not get it at all. You don't get into the S &P 500 unless you've either got substantively or your revenues in the US or your US based company. And even then it's not a direct thing. If you come in in the top 75 % of the FTSE 100 in terms of what valuation you'd be when you IPO, you can go in in five days. So all of that index money would follow you on day one because it have to.
20:06You can also get access to all of the major institutions in the US. Again, the narrative and the actual reality are very, very different. And certainly what I've heard from talking to companies in the last year or so is that increasingly if you are absolutely if you're a 10 to 20 billion company, don't go to the US because you'll get lost. There have actually been, I've talked about the 20 companies that have raised over 100 million going from the UK to the US, there were six of them come the other way, actually from the US to the UK in that time as well. In addition to the most successful IPOs on the A market, so our growth market last year were in North American companies or US companies against London, because they were underserved by the US and they were up 32 % of by the end of the year.
20:49So while we're on the theme of myth -busting, about only 45 % valuation decreased being in the UK. There's actually some very useful analysis that's looked at pairs of companies side by side. So like for like companies are adjusted for their growth rates. The actual underlying performance of the business and you'll find as many companies trade up in the UK as trade up in the US and the rest of trading largely in line. And I've seen some recent very interesting analysis that basically says if you're a company in the UK with exposure for example to the US market and you're growing well there, you get more reward for it in the UK market than you will in the US market or the European market.
21:25So quite a lot of the underlying analysis says it's to do with the fundamental growth rate of the company, not to do with the difference evaluation in the UK. Do you not think if a delivery was in the US it would be valued differently? That feels like a business that is hit hard by a UK mindset around the type of business that it is, the low margin nature of it, and it's just too difficult for us to wrap our heads up. Well, I think that's a company that's also had other challenges and other transactions that have had an impact on the valuation. I'll give you an example. When I'm listed here, traded at a high -volt valuation multiple than any of its peers anywhere in the world.
21:59Again, the right company with the right story is going to get access to exactly the same investors. They're going to do it more cheaply and less costly than they would in the US. They're going to get indexation immediately if they're a UK company. They're going to get the same liquidity they would in the US. They're not going to pay fees anything like the same amount and they can do an ADR in the US and get exposure to the incremental investor base you might not buy in London, but that isn't all the major funds that would buy them in London. If you have the same investor base that is cross -polling to the people accessing the UK markets as well as the US, why not?
22:30Is it not just a dual listing future where we say, hey, can we do New York and London? Well, look, I think in some regards, some of the biggest UK companies already do that. They do a primary listing here and then they do an ADR into the US, the GSKs, etc. the world do all of that. And that is absolutely fine. But I think we also have to think about, I mean, I'm a really good example. When I came back to the market, they, what, they, I appeared about what, 52 billion. Went up in the first year to 150 billion. Now, that was, that was an awful lot of the AI trade, which I'm utterly convinced would have happened in London as much as it happened anywhere else.
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23:03I don't think, can't prove a negative, but I think it's a false idea to say a London market wouldn't have valued that the same way. In the first period of time after they listed, only 1 % of the investor base in arm, which is a great bridge company based in Cambridge coming out of our ecosystem was owned by UK investors. Not one of our major pension funds had them as one of their major investments and retail couldn't buy it because of the structure of the way it was done. Okay, so if we say we're indifferent to where a company lists, we're basically indifferent to the UK investor being exposed to the upside of the value that UK based companies can generate.
23:36That can't be right. We tend to think of these things as an asset on one side and as liability on the other side or something like that. When actually it's a risk capital flywheel. It's how do we have the right form of risk capital going to great companies that produce R &D, produce investment, produce jobs, produce growth, produce revenues, produce dividends that create great asset people can invest in that give them more returns and more safety in their pension and that ultimately pay tax revenue as well. And we've lost sight of thinking of it as a flywheel. I think here of the flywheel, I'm at the beginning of the flywheel and what concerns me most is 10 years or 15 years, whatever it was, but when transfer wires and mom's own, Ravolude all started, it was a great place to start a FinTech business.
24:17The best developers don't want to build in London anymore. And that worries me. They think it's incredibly regulatory. They think there's a high cost of living. Crime is pretty bad. Well, they want to live in San Francisco on that basis. No, but they'll live in other parts of Europe. They'll live in Dubai. They'll live in much more friendly attacks. I guess my question to you is, do you see that that London's faucets competitiveness for the best of other persons or not. I think it was a broader point. The FCA made a very, very overt decision in the teensies or whatever we call it to create a sandboxing environment for Fentex to be able to start out.
24:50The likes of the revolutes, the monsoes, etc. started because the UK created the best possible regulatory environment for them to do so. Now other people have followed it and copied that absolutely, but that is something we should be really proud of and that was a conscious choice on the part of our country to do so. If you then say, okay, the country is now making a really conscious choice to make sure that we've got the best possible funding continuum for people to get access to capital, to be able to start, grow scale and stay here, and make sure that we're incentivising our institutional money to invest in that part of the ecosystem as well.
25:21And the conversation that is going on at the moment about regulation is about outcomes based regulation that is less checkboxy and gets the balance right in terms of the right kind of protections, but the right kind of enabling of innovation and growth. then we've got a pretty good track record of doing it already. And if we want to create UK -based companies, then that's the right ecosystem to shift to. And I think that's the conversation that's happening right now. In terms of like risk on mindset within pension funds, what is the thing that actually really enables us? It's just saying, hey, you have to have 5 % in private companies in the UK and around the world.
25:54That is the rule that will enable that. I think it's going to be a combination of things. I think the fundamental thing is returns. So if you look at say the performance of Canadian and Australian pension funds They tend to pay higher fees than the fees that are being paid by UK pension funds But they make higher real returns, you know, their net return is higher and the compounding value of higher real returns to the individual pensioner It's huge, you know, 1 % in real return increased every year. Just think about it It's only watering that we weren't having much conversation as a country and some of the things that we had done were perverse We basically created a world where cheap was good for financial services.
26:33It's a bad way of thinking about it. But if I was ever challenged with the crime I didn't commit, I wouldn't want cheap lawyer defining me. It sort of, we created this idea that for retail consumers of financial services, you wanted a cheap product. And that's not the right way to think about it. In a value -righted industry, you want to incentivize people to continue to add value that produces best possible products. And that's the model that's used around the world. Canadian pension funds or the Australian pension funds employ very good fund managers. Do so on a big, aggregated basis. Pay fees for originate complex alternative assets and private companies.
27:08And so 5 % plus movement away from cost to incentive -based profit? And consolidation so that you can do it. Because you don't invest in one private company you've seen how it's done. You invest in a portfolio of companies. Some of them will pay off. Some of them won't. It's got a different failure rate to what would happen in the public markets and therefore you need a bigger consolidated way of looking at that. Is scale important? Scale is important. Yeah. That's why the UK is doing what it's doing right now. It's consolidating its funds together, changing the evaluation of cost benefit in terms of net return and looking at how we also think about incentivising investment in the UK.
27:43So we used to have tax boats from invest in the UK. We took them all the way and then wondered why people didn't invest as much in the UK. You said about a movement away from cost and being overly worried to pay bluntly for quality. despite the fact that it does much better. You said before that UK CEO is a paid too little by international standards. I completely agree. I think it's a joke that we chastise CEO as being paid or they paid actually when they run multi -hundred -minute dollar companies. Talk to me about your thinking around that. Do you think the UK gets it yet? It's changing quite radically.
28:12It is. Yeah, it really is. And I think it's... I was talking about these things. You go around the other side of the problem and just look at it from a different angle, you know? Sometimes. So we had for various cultural reasons as much as anything else. A lot of this was market practice. It wasn't actually the rules. It had this perception that we needed to constrain and really zero in on focusing on what, to be honest, usually two people get paid, which is the two executive directors on the board. So you can have 40 pages disclosure about what two people get paid. But essentially, the way we've reframed it as the capital market synergy task forces is let's just have a big time conversation about what we mean here.
28:47If we're trying to constrain what the leaders and senior executives in our largest listed companies get paid, but actually what the UK has been doing for years is creating globally consignential companies from the UK. If in order to break into say that market in Asia or that market in the US for your product, the going rate for that person is more than the asset managers allowing you to pay your CEO, but a definition arguably of the buy side saying, I don't want you to be globally consignential. Now, actually, I don't think that's what they're saying. I don't think that was what they ever intended to say.
29:18It is a little bit of saying, okay, we don't want to go down this sort of Elon Musk pay -pack it kind of route, but we do want to make sure we are creating a competitive environment for the best possible people to be leading our institutions. There's the right balance between incentivising people to deliver that value and recognising that things are very aligned and that actually so many things in life, more things are aligned than oppositional than people realise. But if you're along any investor in the company, you want it's long term value creation the same way that if you're the executive of the company You do if you think about a private company You've got VCs and P's sitting on your board coaching CEOs as to how to succeed Everybody's got the same liquidity risk profile.
29:59Everybody's got the same they're the same way around They want the same thing, you know The idea that you suddenly you get to the public markets and those interests on to line just is a bit of a pervacity Do you think why they've done better being in the UK than they would have done if they're in the US? Look, the risk of a company of that size given the profile of their businesses that have been lost. They've got pretty healthy following here and are well understood and well recognised as a brand. And they're logic of saying, OK, we're incredibly proud of what we've done. We're going to stand on our own, because in terms of being able to market ourselves too, our investors are going to get the market, identify the price.
30:33They've got an incredibly good price. Do you think it's a good marketing message to say this year is, hey, be a big fish in a small pond? I think it's a big fish in a big pond. Look, I mean, we are the second largest equity capital market in the world in a free market economy. And I think that's the thing that gets lost. If you want to essentially be able to only guarantee your indexation and therefore your support from 60 % of the investor base, if you decide to read domicile or relocate to the US and sufficiently all your operations are there, then the US market may be right for you. The UK allows you to have all the indexation or the access to the investors, a higher liquidity actually turnover rate for your shares available.
31:14And you can stay in the UK if that's where you come from. Or if you're an international company, you can get access to those things without having to readomersile. The US market basically has some pretty strict demands on companies and increasingly incentivizes them to move into the US company. If they want to get the true benefit being in the US market. Do you think that should be a unified EU market? Look, whether you came market, So, and it's not for us to judge who'll tell the EU what it should do. I think what we're seeking to be is the largest and we are, and we have been every year for the last decade, the largest equity capital market in Europe and we are.
31:51And there may have been a certain amount of flow back to Europe on Brexit in terms of activity. Increasingly, what we're seeing, particularly now that our rules have changed, is people, even European companies are looking at London, saying actually we're going to use London as our list. didn't Brexit didn't era probably damage London in time? No, it had natural consequences, which I think you can't deny. If London had built to be the hub, it was because it was the largest financial centre in the single market, and we're not in the single market anymore, then stuff's going to happen. Do you think Brexit hurt or helped the UK markets in the long term?
32:23I think making sure that when you have to rely on your own record distances at work, because the city got bigger every year, because the single market got bigger. You know, that's actually going, okay, what is our job? Both to drive our places, a global financial center and to drive the UK economy. And are we properly structured to do that? I think it forced us to have that conversation in a way that we might not have had as thoroughly otherwise. And we have always had a globally significant capital market. This is the thing that is sort of forgotten in, for most of the first few weeks of January, we were the largest equity capital market in the world by capital raised ahead of NASA.
32:58We are the, as of today, if you take the 2024 -25 numbers by total capital raised, the only capital market countries in the world that are bigger than us are the US and India. Everywhere else is behind us. We're the only European market in the top 10 and we raised more equity capital last year than the next three European venues combined. We forget that as a nation. We fixate constantly on the US. Yes, the US is a huge capital market. But if you want great companies to be able to start here, grow here, scale here and stay here, if you want UK investors to have access to the best possible fast growing assets that give them the right returns, I mean that they have good pension returns, but also invest in their economy so that their kids have got good jobs and their kids have got futures, then you need to have a vibrant capital market.
33:45How do we get rid of STEM, GT? I'm working on it. I think you start tapering it. One of the things that we've been looking at is if the UK can encourage and provide incentives, and that's a lot of discussion at the moment, to make sure that our pension funds are incentivised to invest in the UK, which is what we used to do when we had dividend tax credits. We give people tax breaks to keep their money in cash in the UK in from of 100 % cash I says. Now cash I says are very, very important for people who need a safety net and to be encouraged to save. It doesn't need to be 100 % of everybody's total lifetime allowance.
34:18If you did those two things, you'd see a potentially pretty significant increase in the amount of flows already into UK opportunities, which would increase the government's revenue on stamp. That would then mean that you could start tapering it around, for example, retail tickets and under a certain size, to just re -incentrify retail participation in our market and get rid of the friction associated with it, and then start tapering it from there. You're not going to be able to go, please can I just take four billion out of the exchequer. You know, in a world where the chancellor has got the disciplines that she's got around the OBR, you can't do that.
34:52So you can't just say get rid of it. You've got to come up with a mechanism whereby net net it works over time. But I think there's a pretty compelling reason for how to do it. And I think everybody understands the panicious nature of it now. It's not about the city saying just get rid of it, not thinking about the consequences for the politicians who who got to make those choices, is about finding the best possible way for them to be able to do it in a way that operates within the constraints that they're operating to. You said before I can't remember where exactly it was, but we need to be young, scrappy, and hungry.
35:23Yeah, it was a quote from Halton. If you could do anything without fear of repercussion or decision making from teams or anyone else, what would you do to enable progress growth innovation? Well, the only sense of that question is, If I had a magic one, I always describe this as sort of the delurian package without the bankrupt nor the Norwich car company. In other words, it's back to the future. We used to back ourselves as a nation. We used to have structures and tax incentives to invest in the UK. At that point, we had some of the highest investment rates, highest growth rates, largest capital market in the world.
35:57We gradually took those incentives away and then assumed everybody else would invest in us if we weren't investing in ourselves. To me, it's about a proper conversation as a country, about how we take these enormous pools of capital that we actually have and we are re -incentrified to invest in ourselves. Now I think that becomes a virtuous circle very quickly and once you start getting into the habit of it, it will be maintained. So I think that's one thing. It's basically making sure that we incentivise domestic flows of capital. But the other thing is the culture. How we celebrate entrepreneurship, how we recognise people like you and what you've done and what you've built and that actually there is something remarkable about a founder's journey that we should be really proud of how many of them we have in this country.
36:37I was jokingly say, the North -Ellab and the Fandas I meet put their money, their mortgage and often their marriage on the line to create great companies. And we should be celebrating that. The people who are prepared to create work as hard as they do to create that value and be as driven and visionary for a version of the world that doesn't exist yet which is what they're creating is what we should celebrate. I mean great scientific breakthroughs come because people sit in a lab and envisage a world that doesn't exist yet. companies like Revolute exist because next sat there and envisaged a way of providing financial services that at the time didn't exist.
37:08That is the thing that changes society, creates efficiencies, improves people's lives, solves problems, creates value, pays taxes, pays for the NHS, pays for our defence. We just need to get better at celebrating it. We have this habit of talking ourselves down as a nation. This is great life sciences investor who I quoted recently in a speech I gave, who came to do something at the exchange and he was American. and moved over to the UK because of the fundamental science that was being done here that he wanted to back. And he basically said, I've realised, the Americans are perceived to be incredibly naive on the surface, but we're incredibly cynical underneath.
37:43You've got incredibly cynical on the surface, and you can finish it with me, but actually I've realised you're quite naive underneath. And what I was saying in my speech was, I think we can be cynically naive. We forget the damage of talking ourselves down and not celebrating what we're good at as a nation. It wouldn't occur to an American founder not to be singing from balcony that they... We need to find our inner kind of channeling of that growth mindset and that optimism. And it isn't that we don't have it. It's that we have a sort of culture that doesn't allow us to recognise it. If I had a magic wand to say, yeah, we could all as a nation just face the day with optimism and the belief that if we rub the right brain cells together we're going to come to the right answer.
38:27So that's probably the magic wand I want to wave. There's two elements for audio equipment fire. The first is you mentioned that if you can say the neck, like you should list in London because of this sentence or would it be? The honest answer is I think when you look at the side by side of what London offers versus the US, it's at least as compelling as you. Do you not think they're at the scale where they do get into the top ashlands of US markets? There was no guarantee they get indexation that walks straight into the FTSE 100 here. You can still access US investors afterwards. Do you think you'll get them?
38:57Look, every company has to make a sovereign decision. The only thing I can do, and that's where the young scrapping in Hungary comes from, is we will fight for every listing where we think we've got a compelling argument. That's where the young scrapping in Hungary, Stamen came from. Final one, you said about the sexiness of the US. Is there anything we can learn from the US in terms of how they present themselves and the product that they sell to be more sexy? Yeah, it's an interesting question. And it's a really interesting tension. Some of the things that are special about the city are that we have been doing the same thing for hundreds and hundreds of years, actually.
39:30And it's part of our strength. And some of our longevity at doing these great things as a nation, as a city, are things that we should celebrate. You can, that's why I describe what I run as a 300 year off fintech. Both statements are true. We've existed for 300 years. What we do in terms of purpose is the same today it was 300 years ago and I described our job as a convener to bring together those who have capital with those who need capital and service and objective. The way we do it technologically is transformed even from how we did it 10 years ago, let alone how we did it 30 years ago or did it 40 years ago.
40:03And so the technology that we use is some of the most cutting edge technology in the world and I run a tech company. People don't think of me that way. And so some of it is just about how we kind of explain ourselves, talk about ourselves, and then add more celebration to the success of the companies that list on our market. And make sure that they're more visible and make sure that people go, yeah, that's where I want to be. And that's the thing that we're seeking to do. And we've done a lot over the course of last few years to change that, but there's more that we can do. I want to do a quick fire on, otherwise I'll talk to you all day.
40:33Okay. What do you believe the most around you disbelieve? I mean, I always believe that any problem is fixable. The right way to think about it is my basic philosophy is if you don't like the system change the system. And an awful lot of people in this city don't think they can change the system. What do you know now that you wish you'd known when you accepted the role? It isn't possible to operate on for a sleep for very long. I wish I had a magic machine that would give me 48 hours on a day and still enough time to sleep. What do you not do now that you would do if you had more time? It's been more time in my family.
41:08What if you changed your mind on the last 12 months? I always have this phrase, I don't need to be right, I need us to get to the right answer. The question is how do you create that group of people around you where you know the objects of your trying to achieve and then you all co -curate how to get there but you've got people in the room who are going to poke you and project and go, ah, have you thought about that and have you thought about that and actually Julia, no, I know you've been hooked on this but here's a problem with it, how about we think about that way. I'll have my mind changed every day, that's what it should be.
41:37The most important thing is to understand how it's to make the best possible decision you can in the moment with the information that you've got, recognizing that as you get more information you need to evolve what you think. So the things that I thought probably in the reform agenda were the most important things to focus on, actually have either become less important or they've been fixed and other things have become more important. Have you ever sit down with Rachel or you've sent a biser on one thing? What would you say? Pension for the reform. Turn the taps on. Do you think she's listening?
42:03I think the government have very clearly prioritised looking at pensions and looking at domestic loads of capital. And they're right. Is ESG bought sticking? And BNPR? Here's the thing. A focus on the climate impact of companies is not wrong. You think about an existential threat to multiple generations of what is happening to a planet, then actually these are wholly legitimate things to take into account in the consideration of value. However, how you do that so that you actually take it into account for the right reasons and drive investment into the things that you need as an economy, both continue to grow to create the right living sense for people and to finance the transition is a different exercise.
42:45And there have been places where over regulating these things has actually produced perverse outcomes where investors are incentivised to invest in big extractive industries, for example rather than medium -sized scaling green economy companies because one can produce the data from the other can't. And so I don't think the fundamental regard for the impact of a company on climate change and how it is going to mitigate its pathway through the changing climate for the benefit of its long -term stakeholders is wrong at all. Having a prescriptive view as to how that should be done, doesn't allow for innovation, doesn't allow for learning.
43:27And the way I would frame it is, if getting to NetZero was easy, would have done it already. We're going to have to learn and fail and learn again and fail and hopefully do so as fast as we can in order to manage climate change. And therefore we need to create space for that innovation to happen and incentives for that to happen. Sometimes the regulating it can run a foul of the need to create that space to innovate. What concerns you most in the world there? This conversation alone illustrates that things aren't binary, things are complicated, there's lots of shades of grey. We don't create much space to have those truly fundamental conversations about those shades of grey.
44:05We create a lot of space to say, well I'm on this side of the argument and you're on that side of the argument and I'm going to shoot my metaphorical arrows at you. How we find the space to actually have the nuanced understanding about how you balance, for example, the cost of transition to net zero and the consequences of doing so and the demands are going to place on people, recognizing that actually it's not all binary but it's been constructed such and there are trade -offs and societies to agree those. We need to find spaces to have those conversations. Algorithms that... Algorithms drive content today.
44:37They do. They take people to the places they already are and they take places to the people. But also new ones doesn't drive hits. No one cares about it. It depends. Bad headlines drive clicks. Totally. Well, not even bad headlines by opinions drive clicks. And so it depends and it's really nuanced. But it take it out, boring. Yeah, I know. Cut to the first bit. Unfortunately, the world is not as binary as everybody can trust. And the real value is in mapping your way through the nuance. I do worry that we don't cross the space. Was black and white when you were younger, that now with wisdom and the experience, you're like, no, no, no.
45:14Probably most things. It's very easy to, I don't know, I think the older I've got, the more I've realised things on binary. I was jokingly so I see very few things in life as binary, including football matches, which as a fan of Manchester United has been quite convenient recently. I can see the benefits of most things on both sides. I also think that we treat things as oppositional when they're not too much at the time. We decide it so I'm well, there's one side or the other side. And when I'm in meetings where my team will go, well, there's this option and there's and I go, how about one in the middle?
45:46And usually there's one in between the two, because they've been constructed as either one. And in fact, there's actually something that can make most people happy and solve most of the problems. And you might at the margin have a small number of things that you've not resolved. Final one, LSE in 2035. Where's the LSE then? Well, I hope we've proven our point as the leading international exchange that is genuinely the default choice for great UK companies that have built to a really significant scale because they have had domestic capital driving their financing as they've started, as they've grown and as they've scaled.
46:22That's the vision. Juliet, thank you so much for having us in the office. Thank you so much for being so open and I've really enjoyed it. I don't know, me too. Thank you for having me. Now I want to say huge thank you to London Stock Exchange for letting us come to their headquarters to record the show today. If you want to watch the full episode, you can see that on YouTube by searching for 20VC, that's 2 .0VC on YouTube. But before we leave you today, Secure Frame empowers businesses to build trust with customers by simplifying information security and compliance through AI and automation. Thousands of fast -grown businesses including Nasdaq, Angel List, Doodle and Coda trust Secure Frame to expedite their compliance journey for global security and privacy standards such as SOC2 and ISO 27001.
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From the publisher
Dame Julia Hoggett is the CEO of the London Stock Exchange. Julia previously worked at the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority as Director of Market Oversight and Head of Wholesale Banking Supervision.
In Today’s Episode We Discuss:
04:25 How to Become CEO of a National Stock Exchange
05:36 Why The Domestic Economy is F***** Despite the Boom in Financial Services
06:45 How Pension Fund Reform Dmaaged the UK Economy
09:31 Should the UK Copy the Canadian Pension Fund Structure
16:30 Will the Best Companies Like Revolut and Monzo List in London
24:17 Why Are Revolut Wrong to Want to List in the US
27:32 Are Companies Priced Lower in the UK vs US
32:05 Why is Stamp Duty a Perversity We Have to Change
35:46 Why is the Way the UK Thinks About Financial Services So Wrong
40:31 Quick Fire Round: Insights and Reflections




