How startups suddenly became “cool” in Japan (feat. Shin Takamiya of Globis Capital) | E2237

20 Jan 2026 · 58 min · 23 chapters

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In short

Episode Notes: This Week in Startups - E2237 How Startups Suddenly Became “Cool” in Japan (feat. Shin Takamiya of Globis Capital)

Podcast Overview Host: Jason Calacanis Guest: Shin Takamiya, Venture Capitalist at Globis Capital Focus: The evolving startup culture in Japan, venture capital insights, and the impact of AI on startups.

Key Themes

  • Cultural Shift in Japan:
  • Transition from a preference for stable, long-term employment at large corporations (e.g., Sony, Mitsubishi) to a rising trend of entrepreneurship.
  • Startups are perceived as "cool," with aspirations of working at prestigious firms like McKinsey now replaced by dreams of founding or joining startups.
  • Rise of Entrepreneurship:
  • A notable increase in young Japanese graduates choosing to become founders, moving away from traditional salaryman roles.
  • The landscape of venture capital in Japan is transforming, growing from $300 million annually to $10 billion.

Insights from Shin Takamiya

  • History of VC in Japan:
  • Globis Capital, established in 1996, has adapted as the Japanese startup ecosystem evolved.
  • The firm acts as both an early-stage investor and supports companies through to their IPO.
  • Investment Philosophy:
  • Founders' motivations and long-term commitment are essential for investment decisions.
  • Preference for founders who have a passion-driven purpose rather than those driven by money or status.
  • Importance of building relationships over merely transactional interactions.

Key Discussion Points

  • Networking Tips for Founders:
  • Founders should focus on building genuine connections and "playing the long game" in networking.
  • The ability of founders to communicate their vision succinctly is critical to attracting investor interest.
  • AI's Role in Startups:
  • AI is reshaping how companies are structured and built, with emphasis on incorporating AI into business models.
  • The need for a balance between advanced AI applications and market readiness.
  • Market Considerations:
  • The significance of selecting the right market and understanding market demand.
  • Founders must be aware of the nuances of their target audience and iterate on their business models.

Notable Moments

  • Candidness vs. Rudeness: Discussions on the fine line between being candid in feedback and being perceived as rude.
  • Cultural Attitude Towards Failure: A shift in Japan's perspective on failure, which has historically been stigmatized but is now more accepted, especially among younger entrepreneurs.

Practical Tips for Founders

  • Investor Meetings:
  • The goal should be to spark interest, focusing on a single value proposition and leaving room for follow-up discussions.
  • Business Model Strategy:
  • Consider multiple business models at the outset, but be prepared to pivot as necessary based on market feedback.
  • Long-Term Relationships:
  • The importance of trust and understanding with investors, as these relationships can span years and significantly influence a startup's trajectory.

Conclusion The episode offers a rich exploration of the changing entrepreneurial landscape in Japan and provides practical insights for founders navigating investments and market challenges. Both Jason and Shin emphasize the importance of passion, perseverance, and strategic thinking in the startup ecosystem.

Additional Resources

  • Founders’ University: A program aimed at educating and mentoring new founders, now being expanded to Japan.
  • Books and Tools: Recommendations for enhancing understanding of customer acquisition, design, and market strategies.

Episode Timestamps

  • 00:00 - Introduction to the episode and guest
  • 04:15 - Background on Jason and Shin’s history
  • 18:20 - Discussion on why startups became cool in Japan
  • 25:28 - Insights on training young VCs
  • 50:34 - Founders using AI for business growth

Closing Remarks The episode highlights a fascinating moment in Japan’s startup culture, illustrating a shift towards innovation and entrepreneurial risk-taking, while providing actionable insights for aspiring founders and investors alike.

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This structured summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the episode, making it accessible for readers looking to understand the evolving startup landscape in Japan.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

The Changing Landscape of Startups in Japan

0:00 to 1:03

Explore how the perception of startups has shifted among young Japanese entrepreneurs.

“Younger generation is becoming entrepreneurs and startups are becoming cool.”

Introducing Founder University to Japan

1:59 to 3:47

Learn about the Founder University program and its significance in Japan.

“How do we capture that energy and help founders solve the world's biggest problems or solve the problems that are important to them, maybe you as consumers?”

Reflecting on Japan's Technological Past

3:47 to 5:03

A nostalgic look back at the evolution of technology and culture in Japan.

“You can apply to do it in Riyadh, in Saudi Arabia, in the kingdom.”

Understanding Otaku Culture

5:03 to 6:41

Delve into what otaku culture is and how it has transformed over the years.

“And he was just hanging around this otaku anime kind of figure.”

The Evolution of Intellectual Property in Japan

6:41 to 8:34

Examine the rise of IP and its integration with technology and media.

“But now otaku culture is everywhere in the world.”

Insights from Globis Capital Partners

8:34 to 11:49

Shin discusses his role in venture capital and the evolution of the startup ecosystem in Japan.

“And so today we're going to talk about your investing here and then just some observations about the global market.”

The Importance of Founders' Motivation

11:49 to 14:07

Discussing how a founder's motivation impacts their success and investor confidence.

“So currently we typically start from pre-A or A kind of stage.”

The Importance of Founder's Motivation

14:07 to 15:36

Understanding the founder's motivation is crucial for startup success.

“And if that why is solid, you know, you can, you know, you would have the grit to continue the business when you're even in the hard things.”

Cultural Perspectives on Failure

15:36 to 16:39

Exploring the cultural shift in Japan regarding failure and entrepreneurship.

“You know, it's not the result that which matters.”

Japanese Startup Ecosystem Growth

16:39 to 18:08

Examining the rapid growth of Japan's startup ecosystem and its implications.

“I think it changed in the last 10 years.”
Show all 23 chapters

Changing Aspirations of Japanese Youth

18:08 to 19:36

How young people's career aspirations are shifting towards startups.

Navigating Investor Meetings in Japan

20:44 to 23:03

Strategies for founders to engage effectively in investor meetings.

“So, Shin, you're at Globus Capital Partners,$500 million fund, new fund coming.”

Investor-Founder Dynamic

23:03 to 25:33

Understanding the relationship dynamics between investors and founders.

“So you should take off your mind that you're being judged.”

Lessons in Investor Communication

25:33 to 28:00

Importance of effective communication and learning from mistakes in investing.

“and I like to have the orchard, not go to the market and get apples.”

Training Insights and Performance Metrics

28:00 to 29:50

Explore the importance of training performance and candid communication in the investment process.

“So I said, now he's been working for me for two years.”

The Role of Founders and Investors

30:45 to 38:19

Delve into the dynamics between founders and investors, including communication and business models.

“What I tell my team is never underestimate anyone.”

Understanding Business Models in VC

38:20 to 42:00

Examine the characteristics of successful business models and the importance of scalability and margins.

“But sometimes an investor has a fund, it's underwater.”

Building on Existing Customer Bases

42:00 to 43:34

Learn how companies expand their offerings without needing new customers.

“And when they started, they had one business unit making no dollars.”

Understanding Market Dynamics for Startups

43:35 to 46:18

Explore the importance of market size and growth for startup success.

“Some people sell data or subscriptions, you know, it's more niche.”

Value Propositions Beyond Surface Level

46:19 to 47:57

Discover how to identify deeper market needs beyond superficial trends.

“So you know maybe emails and fax, it provides the same kind of value proposition, horse and motor cars.”

The Impact of AI on Business Models

47:58 to 50:29

Understand how AI is reshaping business models and investment strategies.

“I want to talk to you about the greatest technological change of our lifetime.”

Navigating the Challenges of AI Integration

50:30 to 54:08

Learn about the complexities of integrating AI into existing frameworks.

“But again, it's about predicting the time.”

Experiencing Stand-Up Sushi Bars in Japan

56:01 to 57:11

Explore the unique dining experience of stand-up sushi bars and their appeal.

“And so having done this research many years ago on the history of it, there used to be stand-up sushi bars.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Younger generation is becoming entrepreneurs and startups are becoming cool. so the traditional kind of stereotype image of Japanese wearing suits being what we call salary man yes you know lifetime employment that's totally gone right now totally gone for young people for young people they still have it as an option yes but they're now it's number two on the list number three on the list of possibility yeah maybe so another kind of a showcase it's like a joke but I always tell. Number one job sought after McKinsey is now startups. McKinsey used to be number one? You know it's one of the prestige jobs you can get and you know typically people might join a big Japanese blue chip company to become one of the you know top management or something like that.

0:49That was high status. Yes. And now high status has shifted for young people to being a founder or even joining. Or associated with startups. Yes exactly.

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1:59How do we capture that energy and help founders solve the world's biggest problems or solve the problems that are important to them, maybe you as consumers? So we created this 12-week course where we go over all the basics, how to set up a cap table, how to get product market fit, how to do go-to market strategies, how to find a co-founder, how to present your product, how to understand your total addressable market, maybe find your ideal customer profile, just design, UX, all of it. The founders typically understand about half of what we teach them. For different founders, that 50 % is different.

2:32Some of them are awesome at operations, but their design is terrible. But they're really good at go-to market, or they're absolutely extraordinary at recruiting talent, but they don't even know what the term ICP or customer acquisition costs. They're not familiar with those, and that's okay. Because everybody becomes familiar with these techniques and these strategies over time. So we meet the founders where they are and my team spends time with them. It's incredibly rewarding. It's incredibly hard. Most of the startups fail. But they come back a second or third time. And then sometimes even on the first shot, they make it.

3:07And it's one of the great joys in my life to take Founder University from the United States to my favorite country in the world after the United States. And maybe don't tell anybody, but maybe I like it a little more in the United States. And that's Japan. and it's been the thrill of my life to have the Japanese government, Jetro, ask me to bring Founder University here and we're doing our first cohort. We've had so many of my friends over the years of coming here for 30 years say yes to coming and mentoring the founders here. 30 founders joined the first cohort. Very competitive process to get in.

3:44If you want to learn more about it, just go to founder.university. You can apply to do it in the United States. You can apply to do it in Riyadh, in Saudi Arabia, in the kingdom. We do it there with Sonobo. You can apply to do it here in Japan. But please, no more countries. I'm saying this with peace and love. I'm doing a lot of traveling. Okay, maybe one more country, but that's it. After that, I'm going to say no. Maybe we'll do one more. I don't know. So here we are at Founder University. It's the end of the program, of the first week of the program. It's the third day, and we had an intensive couple days.

4:14but I'm really excited because Shin Takamiya, I met you 20 years ago. 2015 years ago, yeah. 25 years ago? I don't know. Maybe not that bad. 20. 20, yes. We're very old now, you know, Shin. You and I are old. Yeah. And we learned some things. So today we'll talk about what we've learned and how things have changed. I was talking earlier in the program. I got invited to come speak. And back then, I would maybe get invited once in a while. Maybe they'd pay for my flight. Big deal for me back then because I was broke. had no money. So to get a free coach flight and fly here, to me, was like the dream.

4:49And you and I met at a conference. I had sold Weblogs, I was doing Engadget, and I would always go to Akihabara, the electronics here, and I had seen VR and really augmented reality for the first time. It was 20 years back. 20 years ago. And already, Japan was coming up with a VR figure. And Jason was so excited about it. And he was just hanging around this otaku anime kind of figure. What What happened was I was walking through Akihabara and I would go there with my writers from Engadget and they would take me to all the different buildings. In the buildings, there would be 10 stories. So we'd go to the 10th floor, maybe robots, like little miniature robots.

5:28Then the next floor would be robot cars. The next floor would be robots that went in water, each of the different floors. And then I saw this big line with a bunch of salarymen in line after work in their suits that looked pretty tired and they were online to buy something. So I went to the front of the line, and they were buying an action figure and a box of software. And you would take the web camera off the computer. Web cameras were pretty new. They didn't work very well. And then they had a paddle, like a stick with a QR code, and a little box. You put the box down. You have your PC, and you take the image, and you put it on the box.

6:02And pop out of the box would be a little character. And then you would interact with the character. And I said, whoa, that could be the future. It was a little too early. A little bit. Yeah. But they were buying it, and this is one of the great things about Japanese culture. You're always 5, 10, 20 years ahead of everybody else. What do you attribute it to? The creativity and everything. Yeah. I mean, the VR figure back then was already quite advanced in Japan. But, you know, if you look back, you could say we were pretty advanced. And even from a Japanese standpoint, it wasn't a mainstream. It was like a kind of otaku culture.

6:43But now otaku culture is everywhere in the world. Like you see anime. What is otaku culture? Otaku culture is like a Japanese pop culture kind of rooted around anime and manga and things like that. Initially, maybe 30, 40 years back, it was regarded as a kind of geeky hobby. It was a geeky hobby. Yeah, and otaku was kind of, sometimes it was like some kind of bad word to say. Like a nerd. or a geek. Dweeb. I'm not calling you that. I'm an otaku, so it's okay. But now you're cool. Otaku became cool. Yeah, yeah. Very cool. Yeah, exactly. Otaku is highly related to IP business, so it's definitely something we can explore out of Japan.

7:31Yeah, IP, intellectual property, became, I think, a very powerful concept here. And I remember in 1992, I was working for Sony, and they became, the Sony Corporation said, hey, if we can do convergence, we can bring together consumer electronics, music. So they bought Columbia Records and movies. We would buy Paramount, and then we would do convergence, even doing radio. And that was when I first got exposed to the concept of, hey, all of these things are going to come together. And here we are. It's come together. Back then, the CEO Idae-san came up with the concept, Digital Media Kids, which is...

8:11Yes, DMK. Yeah, Digital Media Kids. That was so cool. On a floppy disk. And they would say, here is everything you need to understand the topic. A text file, some pictures, short video clips. All of that then became deliverable on the internet, online services. It's fascinating. So, Shin, you work for Globus Capital Partners. This is one of the largest venture firms here. And so today we're going to talk about your investing here and then just some observations about the global market. Maybe tell us a little bit about what you do, how long you've been a venture capitalist. So we, Global Capital Partners, are one of the biggest VC firms here.

8:49And we are actually one of the oldest VC firms here. So we started out in 1996. Back then. 1996. Yeah. Back then there was no IPO market for tech companies. So NASDAQ Japan and the mother's market of Tokyo Stock Exchange only came in in the early 2000s. We kind of grew together with the Japanese startup ecosystem. So we're kind of like brothers to the Japanese startups. We were a startup incidentally doing VC business back then. And as for myself, I spent like six years of my childhood in Europe and went to US to get my MBA. Where'd you go? MBA. Yeah. Harvard. Oh, okay. Yeah. It's okay, right?

9:35I've never heard of it. Where is it from? It's somewhere cold. It's somewhere cold. Boston, I think. Yeah. You can always know if somebody went to Harvard because they never mention it. They say, I got an MBA. And then I say, where? And they say, oh, Massachusetts. And then I say, oh, where in Massachusetts? They say, Boston. I say, oh, where in Boston? They say, Cambridge. It's because if you say you went to Harvard, everybody says, oh, too smart, whatever. But you went to HBS. Yeah. And you did that in the 90s, late 90s? No, no. I was class of 2008. Of 2008? 2008, yeah. Oh, 2008. Okay, you went later.

10:10And when did you start in venture capital, and why did you decide venture capital? So I joined Globus right after my MBA, so that was 2008. That was like right after the subprime bubble burst. Yes. We had the Great Recession in America. Everybody lost their jobs. the nasdaq went from 5 000 to 1500 and everybody thought it was the end of the technology business but it was actually good timing for you exactly enter low and exit high you know it is paradoxically the best time to get in venture capital is at the down market yeah exactly

10:48if you're an independent content creator or you're building any kind of community oriented business like I am, just making great videos or awesome websites, it's not enough. You need to spend real time with your community. And you need to do that with tools that allow you to see what's going on and communicate smoothly and crisply with your community members. That's why I'm so happy to partner with Circle, the complete community platform for creators and brands. With Circle, you're going to get an easy way to build branded websites that help you with email marketing strategies, that's super clutch, and AI agents that can help you design, manage data, and even do the branding.

11:24We use Circle here at Launch to keep up with our founder university community. We've done 14 founder universities around the world, and they've helped us grow that from this tiny little program out of our office in Austin to this bona fide international movement. And they can do the same for your startup. Twist listeners can get$1 ,000 off Circle's professional plan by going to circle.so slash twist. That's C-I-R-C-L-E dot S-O slash twist. What stage do you invest in typically? So currently we typically start from pre-A or A kind of stage. Okay, so seed and series A. Pre-A kind of. Oh, okay. So we would like to see a team and a product.

12:12You don't have to have a massive attraction, but enough traction so that we can get a glimpse of PMF. That's like the initial stages we would invest, but we would follow on anything into the late stage. So we say we are the first and first to last. So we are the first institutional VC to back a founder, and the last we would back it to the last round before IPO. Okay. Yeah. So a full life cycle basically. And that means the company's here a little bit too early. so when he finishes, don't rush the stage. You can meet him, but the likelihood of investing in year zero startup or pre-product market fit is too early for you.

12:54A little bit, but probably I should know you guys now because it's a very kind of relation business. You don't want to invest into somebody you don't know, you don't trust. Typically, when I invest, I like to invest into my friends who I know for over two years or something like that So I can trust the person and I know that person from like everyday life rather than knowing him on the cosmetics when he's fundraising. And this is an important lesson for founders is to play the long game. You're going to meet people. You want them to understand what you're building and why you're building it. And then they can put a little checkmark in their journal, in their database.

13:35Okay, I met this founder. They're doing something interesting. So even in series A, you know, I and maybe we believe that the founder is the single most important factor in investing and especially their motivation. You know, we don't want to invest into people whose interest into money or power. You know, we look for some, you know, truly rooted down motivation, why they want to do this business. They would have like a passion for it or they would have like a almost like a karma to do that business or something like that. So we want to know why the founder is doing that business. And if that why is solid, you know, you can, you know, you would have the grit to continue the business when you're even in the hard things.

14:19And in the end, if the founder doesn't give up, the business is still alive. So, you know, you always need that, you know, strong motivation or driver why the founder is doing the business. This is really important for founders to understand that our number one fear, our nightmare as investors, is not that the company runs out of money or they have to pivot. It's that the founder gives up. Exactly. So we don't want founders just fleeing irresponsibly. And of course, sometimes it's important for the founders to rightly give up because after all, if you look at it from the macro perspective, It's a kind of utility business as I look at it.

15:04So the founder is the most precious resource in the startup community, and you want to maximize the utility of the founders. So if the founder picks an idea, they have the karma, they're passionate for it, and they get two, three years into this adventure, and they realize the market isn't ready, the market doesn't want it, they can't force consumers, they can't force a business to want their vision of the world. so yeah sometimes it's the right thing to shut it down yeah so you know it's okay that your hypothesis is wrong you know you know what is not okay is you you just kind of you know be irresponsible or you know you do some kind of immoral things or things like that but you know if your hypothesis does make sense but it doesn't turn out to be right i think it's a nice try and And even from our investor kind of perspective, we'd like to invest into those kind of founders.

16:03You know, it's not the result that which matters. So if founders had a very logical and hypothesis or investment theme, that made sense. But if he fails, it's okay. We want to invest again into that serial entrepreneur. This is also very important. If failure in the United States, we champion it. Yeah, yeah. We are excited to see. It's not what we want to happen. But when we see a founder fail, it's almost universally if they don't give up the precursor to later success. In Japan, the culture, though, of failure comes with shame. It used to. It used to. Yeah. When did it change and why? I think it changed in the last 10 years.

16:49Just to throw out a showcase number, when I joined Globus as a venture capitalist, there was only like 300 million investment per year in all of Japan. But nowadays we have like 10 billion USD. So, you know, it's grown so fast. And one of my portfolio companies, Mercari, was the very first unicorn, Japanese unicorn to go public, which went public in 2018. And only after seven years we had... Mercari. Mercari, yes. Yes, M-E-R-C-A-R-I. It's a marketplace. Yes, exactly. Like Craigslist or eBay? How would Americans think of that? The equivalent is Poshmark. Oh, Poshmark. So designer clothes or designed products.

17:35Initially started out from kind of design clothes for ladies and for kids because it's the same kind of seller. And there was a synergy between different categories. But as they grew, they are dominant kind of second-hand app in Japan. so they kind of went into multi-categories and they're basically all category right now but the point I wanted to make was only after seven years of the first unicorn going public we had 77 startups that was valued over 1 billion Wow The caveat is that includes not only unicorns but also includes those companies that touched down to the 1 billion dollar market cap line after one year of going public so one point I wanted to make is this is how vibrant Japanese startup community is and how much younger generation is becoming entrepreneurs and you know startups are becoming cool so the traditional kind of stereotype image of Japanese wearing suits being what we call salary man yes you know lifetime employment that's totally gone right now totally gone for young people for young people yeah they still have it as an option yes but they're now it's number two on the list number three on the list of possibility yeah maybe so another kind of a showcase it's like a joke but i always tell number one job sought after mckinsey is now startups mckinsey used to be number one uh you know it's one of the prestige you know yes jobs you can get and you know typically people might join a big japanese blue chip company to become one of the you know top management or something like that that was high status yes and now high status has shifted for young people to being a founder or even joining with startups yes exactly this is very interesting for people to understand coming here in it's less transactional it's more character based yes yes honor karma it's cool to be with startup yeah

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20:28That's why more than 37 ,000 startups and fast moving companies are already using deal to accelerate their hiring and growth. Find out more by visiting gill.com slash twist. That's D-E-E-L dot com slash twist. So, Shin, you're at Globus Capital Partners,$500 million fund, new fund coming. You invest Series A, sometimes a little before and in the last round before they go public. We'll talk about going public. But for the founders here, what should this ideal meeting and what is the protocol here in Japan for getting that meeting and what is expected to occur in that meeting? I don't think there's much difference between having an investor meeting in the US.

21:11So to answer your first question about what the founder should do with the first meeting, to be very tactical or like a hacker mind, I think the whole objective of the first meeting is to get the investors interested. You don't have to tell all of the story. You just want to focus on one single value proposition you have and get that investor interested. And then, once you get that investor interested, you would naturally have a follow-up meeting or follow-up question. So a single important thing is to get his interest. That's the only thing you need. Right. You want them to understand what you're doing, understand why you're doing it, understand why you're the right person to do it.

21:57and then you want to get them to ask questions, yeah? Yes. And so what is the best way, sometimes founders get a little nervous, venture capitalists. Oh, they have the money, they anoint me. But you and I know, especially my time as an entrepreneur, I'm not sure, did you spend time as an entrepreneur as well? Not really, not really. As an entrepreneur, when you're first starting out, it's very intimidating. And then later on, you look at venture capitalists, okay, they support my company, but I still have to run it so I could use their capital I could use their advice on the margins so maybe you're not as enamored with it what's the way to answer the questions when you ask you know a very basic question how should the founder respond to it especially if they're a little nervous probably the very basic is I think you should try you're not the person being judged you You should also judge the investor.

22:54After all, especially for the lead investor, you're going to be stuck with that person for like seven years or ten years or even longer. So you want to select the investor who you can get along with, who you have the right chemistry with. So you should take off your mind that you're being judged. You're also judging your opponent. And the game of getting the lead investor is not like the popularity kind of, you know, voting you have to the game is to find only one lead investor the right investor so you know even 99 lead investor potential lead investor says no that's okay if you get one yes right it is a numbers game yes and that i think is very hard for a founder to handle early on rejection and a no is the default.

23:48Right. And when you get the rejection, you shouldn't feel that you or your baby is... Ugly. Ugly or... I said it, not you. Yeah, I know. But it's very objective. So some person might think it's ugly, but it's a hypothesis that you think it's beautiful. And you have to find a person who agrees with you, is reckoning that is beautiful. Yes. Yes. This is, in a way, investor product or investor problem or investor market fit. The investor has to also be excited about it. And when I was early in my career, I had an investor say to me when I was pitching early on, I'm just not so excited about what you're building.

24:35I'm not the right investor. And I was incredibly hurt. And I talked to my wife, who was then, I think, just my girlfriend. and I said, oh man, it's terrible. She says, oh, that was very kind of them. You don't want that person to be your investor if they're not excited about it. Go find one who is excited about it. Yes, yes. This is critical. Yeah, and you only need one, so it's okay. If you're first time, maybe you're nervous, you may think that investors have the right answers, but we don't. Nobody has. This is very important. It's the humility, and sometimes people project into a successful investor.

25:12Oh, you did this incredible company that went public and the biggest IPO, billion-dollar company. Oh, you invested in Uber, Robinhood. You know what's going to work. The answer is we don't. Yes, exactly. So you have to find somebody who believes in your same hypothesis. Funny story. I was training a new VC. Oh, yeah? and I like to have the orchard, not go to the market and get apples. So I go to the orchard and I find talent out of school to train to be venture capitalists in the United States, right out of school. And I have this very smart young man working for me, very analytical, but also very candid, which I like about him.

25:53So he wrote an email and he wrote back, this founder has ugly baby syndrome. They don't know that their product is terrible, their execution is horrible, and they don't even understand the market they're going after. And they sent this email to the team, but they forgot and they didn't take the founder off the email. The founder said, I'm sorry that you think my baby's ugly. I wasn't involved but then my partner who was my first boss who works for me now, Mike Savino called me and he said I've got an interesting situation and he calls me boss now even though he was my boss, he's my big brother and he taught me a lot of what I know in business I said tell me, I love a good situation and he said well you may not like it and he explained to me what happened and I laughed and he said sounds like a mistake you would make when you were young I said yeah it does so should we fire him promote him what do we do and he said let's talk to him so we got the researcher they start as a researcher then they become an analyst then they become associate very hard training program we make them work 60 hours a week like a Goldman Sachs program very hard try to break them we want them to quit this because we want them to work as hard as I do and the rest of my team members.

27:23So I called the founder and I said, well, obviously I'm very embarrassed. I said to the founder, would you like me to fire them for this terrible mistake? Or would you be willing for me to have them apologize to you and make it a learning lesson for them? And the person said, well, I don't want them fired. They made a mistake. Yeah, I'm sorry that this happened. And I said, no, it's not your fault. So then I went to the person and I said, would you like me to fire you? Would you like to apologize to the founder? And he said, if you have to fire me, I understand. But I already apologized to the founder.

28:01And he had already apologized. He took it to himself in between time. So I said, now he's been working for me for two years. I think if I were to rank all of these trainees, and I think there's 10 of them now, I rank him as in the top two. Top two, Bianca, who's here, and Lucas, who wrote The Ugly Baby. I can only say his name now because he's so good. And I always make the joke with him. And now when he trains, the new people coming in, I think he's an associate now or analyst. I don't know. He's doing so well, and his performance is so good. We always have that as a nice joke, a nice thing. But mistakes can happen.

28:42And do you act honorably? And he did. And probably one lesson to the investor side, I always tell myself and also maybe like the younger VCs is that one, I think it's good to be candid. But being candid and being like judgmental or emotional is a different thing. Being objective is very, so, you know, you don't want to say it's ugly. You want to say why you don't think it looks functional or it doesn't look good. So you have to have like a communication protocol where you can actually debate about it with your opponent, the founder. So if you think it's ugly or dysfunctional, you should say why you think this is dysfunctional.

29:33because it's not delivering the right function to fulfill the value proposition or something like that. It's okay.

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29:45Your AI is only as good as the data it's learning from. Every huge leap we're seeing in AI development is based on refining better data sets. And guess who came up with the ideal solution for your company? That's right, my pals at Uber. Did you all know I was an early investor in Uber? Maybe you heard third or fourth. And I never talk about it, but it's true. And now Uber AI Solutions works with enterprises all over the world, helping them source, label, evaluate, and scale real-world high-quality data for every industry. When you think about it, this makes total sense. No company understands how to maintain quality while scaling exponentially like Uber.

30:24Their own ability to refine and process data sets is why they currently power millions of trips per hour. Now they're bringing that insane level of insight and expertise to your startup or enterprise. It's pretty exciting. Book a demo today by going to uber.com slash twist. That's uber.com slash twist. What I tell my team is never underestimate anyone. You and I have experienced this. Somebody is very awkward. Maybe they show up at a meeting, there's a stain on their shirt, or they're nervous or sweating, or there's some product or they have a misspelling. and then that person eventually becomes Mark Zuckerberg, you know?

31:05Because, by the way, we all start out awkward, unsure. And quite typically, well-rounded person is well-rounded. Thus, you don't have that spike in one certain attribute. Sometimes the great founders have the huge spike and the rest of it, he doesn't have anything. They have a zone of excellence. Yeah, yeah. They have something that makes them very unique in the world. And there's a way to say it. Some venture capitalists maybe don't have a good bedside manner, like a doctor. And so the way to say it would be, or the way I say it in the program, since you're here and I'm an investor, you may hear me say to you, I predict when you go to see venture capitalists, these are the things that they're going to be thinking.

31:56Would you like to hear those? And can I have your permission to speak candidly? And the founder says, yes, tell me candidly, Jason. And I say, I think they're going to look at the design, and they're going to judge a book by its cover. Your design right now, in their mind, will be a 4 of 10. And we have some resources to help you get it from a 4 very quickly to a 7, and then getting from 7 to 8, 8 to 9. It's going to be very hard. But I think with just maybe we introduce you to a couple of designers, and you read this book and you read these websites and you could really improve it. Kim, would you like us to introduce you to something?

32:31Yeah, yeah, yeah, please. The right founder wants to have that candidness. So how you say it is super important. And I'll also say these three things I think are great. You love this problem. You've done great research on the customer. And then maybe some VCs when you say you're going to pursue four different business models that will counter their experience, their lived experience, their signaling will say, I don't know of another startup that had four revenue streams in year one. And they'll look at Amazon and say, Amazon added a second revenue stream in year seven, and Microsoft added a third one in year 20.

33:15And there's a way to communicate in a healthy way. But I think it's how the founders view the world and how you tie the context into the results of the business model. So if you think the external environment is very, very volatile or if you think you're still in a POC phase, you want to try out different business models. And if you can kind of explain why it's volatile, why you think there is like different scenarios of, you know, having potentially having different business model and if you can just logically explain that you are in a testing phase to find the right one, but eventually you might converge into one business model, then it makes sense.

34:00But just kind of like adding different revenue streams just for the sake of making good-looking P &L, it doesn't make sense. So it really depends on how you see your business context. This is why VCs want to talk a lot. They want to understand how you're thinking. Yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So like every other VC, we have a management presentation, which is the most important kind of like investment decision gate. What we look at as a partner, if I'm not in charge of the deal, is the thread of thinking of the entrepreneur. He doesn't have to be right. It's okay if he has kind of like the right process of logical way of thinking.

34:41And, you know, the precondition is in this kind of external environment, the logical business model is this but you know once you start that business model you may find out that the recognition of the external environment was different then you would change your business model but again the founder is able to come up with the same kind of logical business model so if the founder has that kind of you know logical thinking and if he is have set capacity to replicate the same kind of way of thinking, that's a very good sign, and that's probably what the IC looks for. If they, the investment committee...

35:22Yes, yes, IC, yeah. So this investment committee is going to say, hey, what's the business model they're pursuing? And if you are the partner champion, you say, well, they're considering three different business models. They're leaning towards A, they're testing B, and they've pretty much ruled out C, but they're unsure, so they need to do some more thinking on it. I want to talk to you about which business models you think get the best venture capital results. You don't want to be the sole source of funding, no. You want other investors to help too. Yes. So it's the nature of VC business. But you want to get kind of like an additional return compared to your competitor VCs.

36:03But at the same time, you're supporting a very kind of high-risk business. So sometimes, most of the time, the fellow VCs are your kind of collaborators who would support that business together with you. So in a time of hardship, you don't want to, it's quite risky to support, let's say, a startup in a down round. But if you have co-investors and it's the role of the lead investors to syndicate that kind of hard round too. Yeah, this is the value that a great investor can provide. they're going to introduce you and explain to other investors when we have lunch or we're talking, going skiing or whatever we're doing.

36:47VCs do spend time with each other and they say, hey, what are you investing in? What's interesting? And you say, well, this is very interesting and here's where it's at. We talk very candidly about it. And you wouldn't want me to invest in something without knowing the complete story. Because we have a relationship based on trust. You know, relationship based on trust, kind of social equity is on the stake. So we don't, I don't want to sell you, you know, crappy companies. A broken car. Yeah, exactly. A lemon. Exactly, exactly, exactly. Because then I have a problem, and then the next time when you have something great, I just say, oh, maybe there's some hidden problem with this car, the transmission's no good.

37:23And then you would never come back with me. So it's a very long time business. so one cycle is long it takes like you know five ten years for a result to come out from one company and one fund takes 10 to 15 years and that's like how long the cycle is and we're continuing in that cycle so it's it's all about long-term relationship with your founders your startup community your co-investors your lp investors so we live in a very kind of long-term kind of time horizon yeah and we have many bets we place many investments so we have a built-in diversification the founder is all in on one thing so that's also an interesting part of the dynamic yeah yeah the founder could be very high anxiety an investor might be oh in this fund we have uber in this fund you know oh so many great companies you've done you have kayak in this one you that fund you've already returned 3x, 4x, you feel calm.

38:24But sometimes an investor has a fund, it's underwater. Their second fund is underwater. First fund is great. Third fund they're raising. There are things that we have to deal with on a psychological basis. We'll get into that. I promised the audience we'd talk about business models. Take me through what business models really work in 2026 and going forward. Which ones are the most investable from a venture capitalists and why? On the precognition that I think great business and great investment is two different things. And I want to invest in the overlap. So the definition of great business is you have different perspectives, highly scalable, that's kind of like a typical startup kind of great business.

39:11But let's say actually the longest standing company is actually founded in Japan. and it goes on for about 1 ,500 years. It does traditional kind of carpentry for Japanese shrine. And it's not scalable. It's not making huge amount of... Wait, this is a real company. How many years old? 1 ,500. That's the world's oldest company. The oldest company in America is America. It's 250 years old. It's something to think about. Yeah, exactly. So, you know, if I ask if that, you know, carpentry company for, you know, traditional shrine, is that a great company? Yes. Incredible. Yeah, yeah. It's not a venture company.

40:00Yeah, exactly. It doesn't have to have a highly scalable or high speed, but it's a great company. Yeah. So you mentioned two things there. High speed, I think maybe high margin. Yep, yep, yep. And scalable. Yep, yep. Are these the main circles that we need? Yes. And the overlapping ones? is the company that people would take public. It needs to have those components. It can't be low margin. It can't be low scale. It can't grow slow. To put it in a way, VC investable great companies are very niche components of the great companies. And so to break down your perspective on high margin scalability and speed, I think it really comes down to exponential top line growth and how do you say it?

40:48I forgot the English word, but the other way around of exponential. So the cost is coming down as the scale ups. Yeah. Not like linear, but in a curve. Yes. Yeah, that's the best way to say that. The other way around of exponential. Yeah. In a fixed cost business, the margin can keep increasing. So if you were to make a piece of software, the incremental customer, If it costs$1 million to make the software a year, spend$1 million to make it, the first million dollars you break even. But then at a certain point, the fixed cost business, everything is very profitable after that. The point is you have like the unit economics as a snapshot.

41:36As you scale, the unit economics on the top line side and on the cost side both kind of improves significantly. So in the end, your final business model is super, super beautiful. Yeah. If you were to take the example of Robinhood or Uber, on Robinhood, which we were early investors in before they even launched the product, they have 11 business units that make$100 million now. And when they started, they had one business unit making no dollars. We could never have predicted that. But when they get a customer for one or two of those services, now they've added prediction markets. Now they add margin loans.

42:14Now they add options trading. Now they add a retirement savings account. They added a credit card. As they add each one of those, they don't have to acquire the customer because they have the customer already. When Uber launched Uber Eats, on both sides, they have the drivers. So the drivers get more work in a marketplace dynamic. And they already have the customer. So what they've tried to do is create this Uber One where they get people to use both products. and if you do that oh wow yum yum yum is technical term it means lots of money so implication of that to the founders especially when you're in a very early or seed phase is that you know you don't have to have that kind of yum yum unique economics right now you don't have to realize it but you you have to have a hypothesis to have that five years down the road right yeah And you can model that very simply on the back of an envelope.

43:13Exactly. Okay, we're in one city. We have this many drivers and this many customers. But when we get to six cities and we can launch a city for a tenth of the price, and they already know Uber because they used it on their vacation, when Uber finally came to Tokyo, many people had heard of it before. So it was easier. Each city became easier. On the traditional business models, you have e-commerce, you have consumer advertising, consumer subscription, you have marketplaces, you have API charging for consumption type businesses, you have enterprise cost per seat, and obviously enterprise costs for utilization.

43:54Some people sell data or subscriptions, you know, it's more niche. Which of these do you like most right now? I may not be answering your question directly, but other than the founders, the next important thing is having the right market. The big market size, growing market size. If the TAM is growing, only if you grew together with the TAM, even if you don't beat the growth of your market, you're growing. So it's easy. and the next thing you want to do is how you can you know establish kind of like a exponential top line in that market and improving your margins in the other way curve is you know you can think about it after you have that exponential yes top line so you know within that growing market how you can out beat the growth of the huge market and huge market growth that's next after the market And then after that, as you run, you know, you can think about how you can exponentially decrease the cost side.

45:01So I think that's like the priority order. Yeah, it's very interesting when a founder figures this out. And first-time founders, this is one of the great things a venture capitalist, a right partner can do, is they can say, hey, we can tell you some stories. this movie has already happened. Take a look at this company. Here's a marketplace similar to yours. Take a look at this e-commerce company. But your point is very important. If you pick a market, I remember people were building tools for newspapers. They were building tools for local television stations. In America, we have like very regional television stations.

45:43And they would make these incredible tools because those businesses had lots of problems. So those businesses would embrace it. but because the newspaper business was going like this you could not solve their problem. When in the late 90s there was like a joke like a startup saying hey there's a new tech internet it's going to revolutionize the facts. Right. Revolutionize it as in kill it. No, no, no. It was like a fax over the internet. Yeah, fax over internet. Yeah, so they, you know I raised like almost like 100 million but they went bankrupt yes they were literally allowing people to have a phone number that you could fax and it would send you a PDF yes of the facts exactly so you know you're gonna be transitional technology exactly not a lasting technology exactly okay so I think you know what's important is not only looking at the super superficial market but the fundamental needs behind it and some means like fax or internet is only the means or the how of delivering that value.

46:53So you know maybe emails and fax, it provides the same kind of value proposition, horse and motor cars. Yeah. They're both transportation. Both are for sharing documents. But one is just so much faster you would never use it. And sometimes you have to think at a very fundamental basis, well, what are people faxing? And you have to ask a more basic first principle question. What do people fax? A lot of times they fax a contract, and that's DocuSign. Exactly, exactly. And a calendar is Calendly. So there were some little ideas that became very large businesses, very simple ideas like DocuSign or HelloSign.

47:32So I think you have to recognize the market in terms of, like not in terms of like superficial product market. So the failure of the fax internet company was you recognize the market as the fax market, not like the document kind of sending market. So I think you have to understand the market as in the value proposition opportunity, and then you come up with a solution that provides the best fit solution to realize that value proposition. I want to talk to you about the greatest technological change of our lifetime. And I mentioned earlier, you and I are old. But we knew this one was coming. We knew AI was coming for 40 years.

48:14And now it's here. Really great to catch up. And AI, we had machine learning. We were watching Big Blue and IBM with a supercomputer beat chess 20 years ago. It's slowly, slowly been coming. and now all at once it's affecting everything and maybe you could talk a little bit about the pace and the opportunities yes so in terms of pace it's highly unpredictable definitely it's very fast and you know it's much much faster than we anticipated or you know when we when us older people go and look back to the internet it was much slower in diffusing but ai is much much faster but what we know is the direction of the change but we don't put we can't predict the timing so the way i look at it is i think i would like to look down in the future trying to find the path that would definitely come but if you can't predict the time that's okay it would come eventually so all you need is enough money so that you can you know wait for that time to come but you know if you're super certain about that coming you know you can bet on it and wait for it to come sometimes people say like you know when there is like a big wave coming it's too late to go out and paddle you have to you have to have already paddled and be in the waters to ride that wave so but if you know the big wave is coming you don't know whether it will come in one minute five minutes one hour but if you see it coming you should wait in the sea or yes they i think the servers call them sets yeah like wait for the right set yeah yeah and if you're in the game if you're in the ocean right you can take advantage of it but if you're on the shore this is why it's important to start right but you're also speaking to being frugal and controlling your burn rate right right and anticipating hey this could take time if you look at ar and vr you and i were talking 20 years ago starting to happen here on desktop computers now we finally have actual headsets apple is getting closer and closer with apple vision spectacles are getting better and better it's close but ai my lord it's changing not just what products we're building and the value proposition but it's also changing how we build companies what are you seeing how are founders using ai to build companies faster better do you have insights into it yeah definitely you know ai AI has to be integrated into your business model.

50:48But again, it's about predicting the time. So what I always like to think when I'm thinking of my investment thesis or even to advise the founders or my portfolio company is that look at the advanced use cases. So AI is a big word, but there are some advanced use cases, like let's say, for example, autonomous cars. The tech is already ready. You know, initially people was in the main driver's seat. AI was just an assisting kind of tool. Then the role of AI became stronger and, you know, people just sat on the driver's seat to take responsibility because of the readiness of the society and the legal framework wasn't there.

51:32And finally, tech and the society is both ready for there is full autonomous driving. And autonomous driving is one of the advanced use cases. You already have Waymo and all that already put into use. But if you look at other application, even like enterprise solution or something like that, you hardly see any autonomous fully agentic product yet. So the way I see it is in analogy to the autonomous driving is that, yes, the tech is there. It's possible to build a product, but let's say if it's an enterprise product, your client might be very old, especially in Japan. The big Japanese traditional companies may be very conservative, and they don't want to kind of implement fully blown like an autonomous AI agent.

52:25They would say, like, who's going to take the responsibility when it fails and things like that. Risk is very important here. So that means your client, you know, in the analogy of autonomous driving, the society is not ready yet. So what's happening right now is there is like a human account manager and a quality assurance person who is just being there just for the sake of... Human in the loop, monitoring. Yeah, monitoring so that the client can feel safe. And the AI agentic kind of product is implemented within the workflow of the provider, not the client internally. So from the client perspective, it's just a cheaper and more efficient BPO.

53:10But internal process on the supplier side, it's fully AI. And that's like the stage where there is like a human safety copilot is there. maybe down the road there's going to become like fully autonomous product where it would be implemented within the client's workflow but you can't predict the time of readiness of the client side and you know like regulatory issues like security or you know information things like that so in the short time you have to take what is available on the table with a short-term business model but at the same time it's pretty difficult to have a conflicting business model within your company but it would dominate five years down the road and you don't know when the switching timing would come so you have to have both business model embedded.

54:04And this is where the strategy comes in. Yes. Yes. As a founder you have to figure out how to survive so if fully autonomous cars aren't here yet but you can give it to a driver so they're less fatigued, which was the original idea. This will lower fatigue, maybe lower mistakes. Okay, great. Like adaptive cruise control. I'll keep you in the lane. That's some value, not the full value. And it kind of helps you develop elemental technology to feed into the fully autonomous driving in the end. So it kind of leads the way into the end goal. Shin, it's been amazing to spend an hour with you and catch up.

54:44Thank you so much for coming on this week in startups and i'm going to be here twice a year so okay i don't know what your favorite restaurant is or food tell me now actually you know there's tons of japanese great restaurants you know there's no restaurant to lots of them yeah some restaurants you can't reserve ahead like two years right so let me know you're very important yes and you know everybody and you know as we said we we live in a longer time horizon so two years is like two weeks down the road. What's your favorite food right now? Right now, maybe there's a restaurant, well actually, there's a good sushi restaurant in Tokyo, Kiyoichi.

55:24Kiyoichi. Mitani. It's Omokase. Omokase. Yeah. Michelin star or like more underground? It's not underground, but it doesn't have a star, but it's super famous. Some of the best restaurants in Japan, they don't have stars. They don't want them. Exactly. Yeah. Because they want to be for their customers and their community. Yeah? Is my understanding? Loyal customers with higher LTVs. Yeah. They're actually thinking correctly. I found an interesting concept. I had heard that sushi used to be bar food. It was fast food in the Edo period. Yeah. Yeah. And so having done this research many years ago on the history of it, there used to be stand-up sushi bars.

56:07And when I came here, I was talking to one of my founders, and they said, oh, yeah, we were going shopping. And he said, there's a stand-up sushi bar I like a lot in the basement of this department store. You should go to it. And I went, and you stand up, and it's all these incredible cuts, incredible otoro, incredible Hokkaido uni, just all the best pieces. But the price is like half of the normal restaurant in Japan. You get it faster. and you stand there and then there's a little hot spigot and you take a little matcha powder and you make your own green tea. No waitresses, just order from the chef.

56:48Boom, boom, boom. And that is one fourth of the price in the United States. It was so good. So I've been to two stand-up sushi places. You know about these. Yes. Are they common or not common? Pretty common. You actually have one in Haneda Airport too. Haneda Airport has one? Yeah. Oh, really? Yes. Now you know where to find Jason. I will be there. All right. Let's give it up one more time for Shin Takamiya. Thank you. All right, everybody. We'll have one more episode or two on This Week in Startups from Tokyo. And it has been what a thrill and an honor and a privilege to get to spend time with these founders.

57:31We'll see you all next time. Bye-bye. Okay.

From the publisher

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Today’s show:


Not long ago, promising young Japanese graduates wanted to go work for the largest, most established, and even oldest corporations: Sony, Mitsubishi, and the like. But now, just over the last few years, more and more Japanese people are becoming entrepreneurs and founders. 


TWiST Japan continues with a fascinating look inside the country’s growing startup ecosystem with special guest, venture capitalist Shinichi “Shin” Takamiya. 


He’ll walk Jason through how Japan stayed ahead of the rest of the world in technology, but started falling behind when it came to founding companies, and how the Japanese are now starting to level the playing field.


PLUS why his fund, Globis, sees other VC firms as collaborators rather than the competition… How AI is helping Japanese and American founders build their companies more quickly… Why Jason prefers training younger people to become VCs rather than hiring more experienced players… Shin’s guide to eating out in Tokyo… and much more!


Timestamps: 


(00:00) We’re so excited to bring Founder University in Japan!


(04:15) Jason and our guest first met 15-25 years ago…


(06:06) How is Japan always so far ahead of the rest of the world?


(08:29) Globis is one of Japan’s largest and oldest venture capital firms!


(10:48) Circle.so -  the easiest way to build a home for your community, events, and courses — all under your own brand. TWiST listeners get $1,000 off Circle’s Professional Plan by going to http://Circle.so/twist


(12:38) Why founders need to play the long game when it comes to networking


(15:03) “The founder is the most precious resource in the startup community”


(16:50) Shin takes us inside his Mercari (a massive Japanese marketplace site) investment


(18:20) How startups became “cool” in Japan, just recently


(19:43) Deel - Founders ship faster on Deel. Set up payroll for any country in minutes and get back to building. Visit http://deel.com/twist to learn more.


(21:09) You don’t have to tell an investor your whole story… just get them interested


(25:28) Why Jason likes to train young folks to be VCs, rather than hiring for experience


(28:44) The differences between being candid and rude


(29:44) Uber AI Solutions - Your trusted partner to get AI to work in the real world. Book a demo with them TODAY at http://uber.com/twist


(35:40) Why Globis sees other VC firms as collaborators


(39:08) The world’s OLDEST company is 1500 years old… and it’s from Japan…


(39:54) Why a lot of great businesses aren’t right for VC investment


(43:34) Why picking the right market is so crucial


(48:37) When you know the direction of change but can’t predict the timing


(50:34) How founders are using AI to build better companies faster


(54:39) Shin’s guide to eating out in Tokyo


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