Is Project Europe a YC Riff? Nick Denton is Back! And more! | E2096

13 Mar 2025 · 1 h 1 min

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Podcast Summary: This Week in Startups - Episode E2096

Overview In this episode, Jason Calacanis and co-hosts Alex Wilhelm and Lon Harris discuss significant developments in the startup ecosystem including:

  • Project Europe: An initiative to prevent the European startup brain drain.
  • AI Advancements: Anthropic's substantial revenue growth and its implications for the AI landscape.
  • Market Dynamics: The challenges posed by Chinese EV manufacturers to Tesla.
  • Gaming Investments: Saudi Arabia's acquisition of Niantic’s gaming assets and its implications for the industry.

Timestamps

  • 0:00 - Introduction by Jason, Alex, and Lon.
  • 1:29 - Recap of Jason's appearance on Glenn Beck and advice for MBA students.
  • 4:21 - Discussion on the value of an MBA versus starting a company.
  • 15:16 - Challenges faced by Tesla amidst rising Chinese EV competition.
  • 28:07 - Introduction of Project Europe aimed at supporting European entrepreneurs.
  • 41:18 - Anthropic's revenue growth and its impact on the AI industry.
  • 51:12 - Niantic's sale of gaming business and global market shifts.

Key Discussions

  1. Project Europe
  2. Overview:
  3. A new $10M fund launched by prominent European tech leaders to support local startups and retain talent.
  4. The fund aims to mentor and invest in young founders, akin to Y Combinator's model.
  • Jason's Perspective:
  • Skeptical about the initiative’s potential for innovation, arguing it resembles a Y Combinator copycat.
  • Emphasizes that successful entrepreneurs should ideally move to more dynamic environments like Silicon Valley for better opportunities.
  • Alex's Perspective:
  • More optimistic about Project Europe, believing it can help reverse the brain drain and strengthen the European tech ecosystem.
  1. AI Industry Insights
  2. Anthropic's Revenue Surge:
  3. Reported a significant 40% revenue increase in one quarter, indicating strong demand for AI services.
  4. Highlights the competitive landscape where startups can benefit from lower prices and increased accessibility to AI tools.
  • Jason's Predictions:
  • Envisions a future where AI applications become increasingly integrated and affordable for consumers.
  • Discusses the implications of real-time data for AI systems, noting the advantages companies like XAI could have.
  1. Challenges for Tesla
  2. Competition from Chinese EV Manufacturers:
  3. Analyzes the threats posed by companies like BYD and Xiaomi, which are producing high-quality electric vehicles at competitive prices.
  • Brand Challenges:
  • Tesla's branding issues due to Elon Musk's polarizing public presence and political affiliations could impact its market perception and sales.
  1. Saudi Arabia's Gaming Industry Investments
  2. Niantic Acquisition:
  3. Niantic sells its gaming business for $3.5 billion to Scopely, backed by Saudi investments, highlighting the increasing focus on tech industries in the region.
  • Strategic Implications:
  • Emphasizes the significance of diversifying investments away from oil and fostering technology and entertainment sectors.

Key Takeaways

  • Startup Ecosystem Trends:
  • The discussion highlights the dynamic changes within the startup environment, emphasizing the importance of adaptability and foresight for future entrepreneurs.
  • Investment Strategies:
  • Participants suggest that navigating political and economic landscapes is crucial for startups, especially in dealing with funding and consumer trust.
  • AI Growth:
  • The accelerating advancements in AI suggest a transformative impact on various industries, encouraging startups to leverage these technologies for competitive advantage.

Closing Remarks The episode culminates with a reflection on the evolving nature of entrepreneurship and the significant global shifts influenced by technology, regulation, and market demands. The hosts encourage listeners to stay connected to emerging trends while focusing on innovation and customer needs.

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For further insights and discussions, you can subscribe to This Week in Startups on various platforms and follow the hosts on social media for updates.

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Transcript

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0:00How long until X and XAI are the same company? because we know there's like financial ties, there's product integrations, and it really feels a little arbitrary. I think the X shareholders got ownership in XAI. XAI needs to be, I'm not an investor in either, but I know the guy who's running it and a lot of my friends are. XAI is doing something interesting, which is I think they get X's corpus, which is a huge advantage. So the huge advantage is what I was talking about on Glenn Beck today. The huge advantage is if you have a real-time data source giving you information. And so whoever's got real-time data, whether it's Reddit or X or Facebook, they're going to have such a huge, huge LLM advantage.

0:39Yeah, well, they have a couple hundred thousand of my tweets, Elon. Where's my check? Anyways, everyone on the XAI investment team, you're welcome for all my tweets. This Week in Startups is brought to you by Squarespace. Turn your idea into a new website. Go to squarespace.com slash twist for a free trial. When you're ready to launch, use offer code twist to save 10 % off your first purchase of a website or domain. Northwest Registered Agent. Starting your business should be simple. With Northwest Registered Agent, you can form your entire business identity in just 10 clicks in 10 minutes. From LLCs to trademarks, domains to custom websites, they've got you covered.

1:12Get more privacy, more options, and more done. Visit northwestregisteredagent.com slash twist today. And AdQuick, easily plan, deploy, and measure out-of-home campaigns as easily as digital ads. Visit adquick.com slash twist to learn more. And just for twist listeners, they're waving their feet on your first campaign. All right, everybody, welcome back to This Week in Startups, Monday, Wednesday, Fridays. We come to you live on the YouTube, on the X, on the LinkedIn, from my personal LinkedIn. We got a big docket here. I'm sorry I'm running a little bit behind, but I was on Glenn Beck's show, The Glenn Beck.

1:47The Glenn Beck, yeah. Who's still on the radio. I did not know that. So I guess, Jason, how did it go? It was great. He listens to All In, as some people want to do. And he heard me talk about AI and what an impact it's going to have. And you guys helped me with my little essay that I'm writing for my Substack. Jason Calacanis on startups on Substack, you'll find me. but I'm just writing this little piece on the static team size and how having spoke at UT a couple of times in the past month, these students actually think they're going to like get job offers. And I'm like, yeah, I don't think this is like five years ago where like Uber, Airbnb, Coinbase, the sort of upstarts are going to give you an offer.

2:28And then you're going to like work that offer against the classics, McKinsey and Goldman consulting firms. This is for MBAs I'm talking about. They used to, MBAs had a lot, a lot of places to go work. And I don't think they're hiring in these places all that much anymore. So be resilient, start a company is my best advice. Yes. Here's a headline from Forbes from January 15th. When Harvard MBAs can't find jobs, how the job market has changed. This is going to be a permanent state of affairs. We see it inside of our tiny little 21 person outpost here in launch where we're getting more done. Every month, we do a little bit more, we get a little bit more done, but we use the same number of people because if you embrace the tools, you'll get 10 % better.

3:11So I kind of went through the upside in these tools, which is if you use them every day and your boss asks you to do something and you haven't asked three, four, five LLMs, hey, my boss is a jerk. He wants me to get this done. He's totally unreasonable. How do I get this done and make him happy or her happy? And what questions will they ask me? What are the follow-up questions? You can literally give that prompt. And it's going to give you a really great way to address complex research projects or complex projects your boss might give you. And it could even anticipate what their follow-up questions are.

3:47If you don't do that, it would be kind of like, I don't know, being a handyman and you don't type into YouTube, what does code 17 mean on a dishwasher that's not working? Like you got to know what code 17 is. You figure out, oh, that's like this receptacle or this fuse and you flip it. That's not extreme enough. I think instead it's more like a handyman, not using power tools. Like, can you imagine roll it up with like a handsaw, you know, or no tools, just showing up with no tools. And I'm going to use my manual, no internet. Like, yes. Yeah. Oh, it's not working. Yeah. Let me kick it. I mean, I'm interested just to just one, one thing you said.

4:24So you don't need an MBA to start a company. Like a lot of the founders that we have on this show, they didn't go to business school. They just graduated high school or college and started a company. So do you think, is there any use case for an MBA at this point? Like if I was graduating as an undergrad, is there anyone you would be like, well, you should maybe consider business school? I'm biased because I work with entrepreneurs. There are things you're going to learn at an MBA program. I would consider it kind of like going to a yoga retreat or a meditation retreat that's incredibly expensive, like on the White Lotus.

5:01If you can afford it and you can go to the White Lotus and do yoga or meditation and it costs you$10 ,000 a week, great. You could save the$9 ,900 and go on YouTube and learn meditation for a hundred bucks or for zero dollars. And if you're a self-starter, I would take the money your parents were going to give you for an MBA program, let's say it was a quarter million dollars to go to Stanford or Harvard or like a really elite school. You take that quarter million and you do three 75K businesses or so, you know, projects, you would go further. You would go further. So there's that. But, you know, some people have kids who don't have the chutzpah, the resiliency, the self-reliance, the executive function.

5:47So you're kind of sending them there to build that muscle. Right. Yes. It's finishing school for trust fund kids. Here's the thing. UT is wonderful because it's 9K a year. When you talk about the value proposition, there's like two costs, opportunity cost, your time, and then money, actual hard cost. Right. You know, spending 50K on a degree and then graduating to a 50K a year job, that's fine. That's my one X rule. Whatever you spent on the education, let's assume kids have more time than money, so no big deal. They spend four years growing up, getting through the maturation process of developing the frontal lobes.

6:23Yeah, 50K. You come out of school, you make 50K. You got to pay down 10 % of your loans every year. You can do it quite effectively. And in 10 years, you'll be done with your 50K in loans. Or if your parents can afford it, maybe you have zero in loans or maybe halfway, 25. That's a big difference than graduating with five times your starting salary or 10 times your starting salary in debt, which means you'll never own a home and you'll never be able to get married and have kids because you're going to have a thousand, $2 ,000 a month mortgage payment that you're paying to Harvard or Columbia. So anyway, I think that's sort of where I come at it with, I come at it from, but you know, we have Founder University, which you pay 500 bucks to go to with two of your friends, build a prototype.

7:06And if you come to all 12 weeks, you give you the 500 bucks back. So I'm kind of thinking I've got a better model here that we've developed. I might even take it to the point at which I charge$10 ,000 to go. And then if you finish, we invest the$10 ,000 back into your company. Like literally round trip it. Like I was thinking like creative models like that, but I don't want to exclude people who, you know, maybe, you know, like myself, wouldn't be able to afford the 10K. You could have scholarships or something for people who couldn't pay the 10K upfront, maybe. We have people ask that for the$500.

7:40And what I say to them, I say, oh, you can't find$500. And they're like, well, I mean, I could. And I'm like, okay, yeah, we don't have a scholarship program. You don't have any way to find$500 and get it back in 12 weeks. What you typically get is the whiners and the entitled will come up with why they can. And then the other people are like, yeah, no big deal. I'll just, you know, I'll work Uber for 10 hours or I'll work Uber for 20 hours or DoorDash, make 20 bucks an hour and I'll get it back. Your body's going to replace that plasma. Yeah. Okay. We got a lot on the docket. Let's get to work, gentlemen.

8:14I think we should start with Nick Denton. And then, Jason, after that, I want to dig into Project Europe, which is all about founders. But you wanted to talk about, one, Nick's back. And two, he had a bit of a thesis about kind of the Trump-Musk thing. You wanted to dig into this? Yeah, sure. You know, I'm always reticent to get into too much Elon territory because people will assume that I have some inside information. You know, I haven't been talking to Elon all that much since he's been busy. at Doge, I'm kind of, you know, even when my friends are cooking, so I'm kind of letting them do their thing.

8:43So I don't have any information on this, but Nick Denton, for people who don't know, was a journalist. He's like a witty, bitter, interesting, intelligent journalist from the UK. He's old like me now, but, you know, in the heyday, he created Gawker, which was, you know, absolutely disastrous and fabulous at the same time. It did incredible moments of real investigative journalism. It did incredibly loathsome things, as he would tell you, and got shut down spectacularly by Peter Thiel when he sued it because they were trafficking, Gawker that is, in stolen sex tapes. And he wound up, yeah, paying a ginormous settlement to the Hulkster.

9:28But he wants to be a journalist again, apparently. And he wrote a really interesting thread, I think, which touched on a lot of things in the news around BYD and some of the cars we've been talking about here. So we'll pull up his tweet storm here and then just what the major points are and how we think about them. All right, founders, let's talk about your website. Yes, I know it's embarrassing. Yes, I know you're too busy to upgrade it. Well, if you're going to launch something new or you need to give your brand a refresh, which I know you do, you need Squarespace. It's the all-in-one platform that makes building a stunning professional website ridiculously easy.

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11:14We love you, Squarespace. Yeah, so we went through all of Nick's Twitter storm. And frankly, it was like 25 tweets. So we pulled out the four most important ones. I'm going to walk everyone through these really quickly. so the headline from nick i'm going to quote here the merger is complete elon musk and donald trump collaborators in the rationalization of the federal government are now full business partners trust industries i call it with trump as car salesman in chief and musk as the genius founder uh jason this is in reference to i think the the tesla show-off event they held in front of the white house in which the president endorsed musk and his vehicles uh trask industries is from marvel comics.

11:53This is trust industries. What you can take from this is Nick Denton is a fan of what's happening in Doge and apparently a Trump fan because he's saying the rationalization of the federal government, which I think is kind of where I stand on it. Whatever you think of Doge, going too fast, moving fast and breaking things. I think we all agree waste, fraud, spending too much is common ground for everybody, independent of political isles. We might obviously disagree with the process of doing it. So let's just make that note about Nick Denton's position here. It is true that yesterday Trump had Elon's cars at the White House.

12:26This is, in my interpretation, again, I don't have any inside information, a make good in some ways, a make good for Biden not inviting Trump to the White House and Joe Biden driving like a Corvette and basically stomping for the great American car company, GM. And I'm getting a Corvette, I think. I'm going to test drive one. The folks at GM are going to let me borrow an E-Ray. Really? Yeah, well, you know, I'm a Corvette guy my whole life. I had a C6. And now that I'm here in Austin, I'm going to get a barn, like a man cave barn type thing. Wow. I decided I'm going to collect one of each generation, C1 through C8.

13:04I'm going to have one of each. I think when I first met you, you had a Corvette, like before the Roadster. Yeah, yeah. Before that was like pre-Roadster. Yeah. So I just, you know, I just have an affinity for them as a collector. So the C8 is the greatest sports car ever made in America. I'm sure Elon will one-up it with the Roadster too, which I'll also get. But yeah, I think that's my interpretation of it. And he goes on in his thread there, Nick Denton, and he's using X as the way to get the story out there because doing a thread of 30 or 40 tweets like this is going to get him more views than doing it for the financial time.

13:39So smart move for Nick Denton to do that here. And I think Trump said yesterday he had a funny meme. It's all computer. Is that what he said? He said, everything's computer. Everything's computer, which I think kind of sums up the last 30 or 40 years of my life. Everything is computer. Everything's computer. The context there. Wait a second. Is that the new Radiohead album that just came out? Oh, that's OK Computer with the Radiohead. OK Computer. Yes. That's the most Gen X joke I've ever heard in my life. Thank you. Nick goes on on his X thread to say, quote, I'm also a technology investor. unlike most journalists i have skin in the game uh lots and lots about that i'll get to that in a second but quote my portfolio is long xiaomi and byd and he's also betting against tesla quote i put my money where my mouth is and i'm now highly motivated and then he goes on to kind of point out that um as elon works more with the presidency and links his cars to the administration the two are increasingly insufferable and jason i think the gist there is that their fortunes will rise and fall somehow together in a kind of conjoined entity way if that's fair why not okay But I think the more interesting part of this is, if we go down, is his warning about just how amazing the Xiaomi cars are.

14:57So I think maybe jumping to that part is the most interesting part. Innovation in EVs is on a tear. And that was always Elon's big vision. He wanted to make EVs cool. Mission accomplished. Everybody's making them now. And these BYD and the Xiaomi ones are dirt cheap. And man, are they good looking. Yeah. Here's the Xiaomi Su7, which is on the screen if you're watching the video version of this. It's one of the cheaper cars out there, and they've just made a sporty version of it. It's also not that expensive. And I really got to say, China has gone from being a laggard in EVs to being essentially now the global low-cost leader and in some ways a technology innovator.

15:34I didn't think they were going to get up to parity with the Teslas as quickly as they did, Jason. I know there's state support, but it's still an impressive growth, especially from Xiaomi, a company that we think of as a phone OEM. I mean, that's quite the jump to cars. It is a trend that we're going to track here. 20K cars, 20K cars. Let's put it on our theme list along with static team size, but 20K cars that are sexy, that are self-driving. Elon's going to do that with the CyberTaxi, which will go into production next year, I think around this time, he said. And, you know, the Chinese have no respect for IP.

16:12They just steal everything. And if you look at those cars, they've stolen, you know, all the innovations from Tesla and other places. And Xiaomi, you know, made smartphones. What is a car? There it is. Donald Trump's mugshot. Wow. Everything is computer. There's actually kind of a conversation going on right now. I don't know if you saw the Volkswagen CEO the other day was talking about he thinks we're going to move away from the everything is computer version of cars. He was like, they're putting buttons back. like it's too much screens it's not i believe the quote was it's not a phone it's a car so yes indeed here's the full quote from the volkswagen exec yeah basically they're going back to physical buttons which i'm not gonna lie suits me because they're easier to navigate when you're actually driving a car i gotta say i'm sort of i agree like i have a prius seat by the way only i believe msrp is only like 22.5 on that so close to a twenty thousand dollar car i think it's pretty effective But when I rent a car and it's got all the screens, like the Tesla-esque sort of interface, I'm not a huge fan.

17:19I'm old, but I do kind of like the button, the analog kind of driving a little better. The way they save money is by reducing the number of parts. As you reduce parts, you save money. You have the Prius C, is that right? Yes. Got it. It's like their Honda Fit competitor, but I also had a Honda Fit before the Prius C. I like the Prius C a lot better. Well, congratulations, Lon. Your car, according to Car and Driver. Oh, boy. Here we go. You want to guess the rating of your car on a scale of one to ten? My new Corvette will be a ten. My Model Y is a ten. Seven? Six? Four? Keep going. Oh, come on.

18:00Dude, it's a great car. That's because Car and Driver likes cars that are for drivers of cars. The Prius C is a car for people who just want to get somewhere. The city car is like boop, boop, boop, like it fits in any little spot. Like, I'm not drag racing in this thing. Here's the dislikes. I'm not doing vanishing points. Reluctant to accelerate. Harsh ride quality. Not especially nimble. Congratulations, Lon. Wait, what do they say about the Model Y? I'm looking this up. Car and driver, Model Y. Cabin is cramped for tall folks. Few available features. I'm not a tall folk. Backseat lacks cubby storage.

18:34I mean, they hate this car. It is safe. I'll give you that. It's great for a big city because it can fit anywhere and it's very easy to navigate. Two of 10. They did give the Model Y, just for comparison, a 7.5, which is pretty solid grade, actually. No, Jason, 7.5 is not bad from Car and Driver. I trust Car and Driver. That's my brand. And Doug DeMuro, I like too. What is the ranking, I wonder, on Car and Driver? Let's do the 2024, Model 3 is an 8. Okay, yeah. I think it's because the price of these is a little bit high as part of it. Anything else in his thread there? I just want to talk a little bit about the vandalism.

19:11I really don't like the vandalism as a form of protest. If you want to sit in the Capitol building, if you want to do peaceful Black Lives Matters protests, if you want to do peaceful protests on Columbia's campus, all good. When you start burning stuff, you start chasing people around. When you start breaking things or shutting down a bridge when people are trying to get to work that's where i'm kind of like yeah no no bueno so i just don't like the violence in a lot of these uh protests that are going on i think we're kind of conflating two things in in the discourse today around around tesla which is it's always a little bit like troubling when that happens like there are the people in front of a tesla dealership with signs which is very i think legitimate public protest like they don't like elon they don't like the company i you know if you're on the sidewalk in front of a business and you're like, unfair.

20:08That's allowed. Everybody knows that's allowed. Sure. If you're spray painting somebody's car, if you're burning or damaging somebody's car, obviously that crosses a line. Now you're destroying someone's property. Legally, it's a totally different issue. It troubles me to see those two things conflated into any protest against Tesla is wrong. No, no. Standing in front of a dealership with a sign is fine. That's not domestic terrorism. It's damaging somebody's car. Correct. Hey, founders, you want to build the next great billion dollar business, right? Well, you're going to need two things, a killer idea and a properly set up company.

20:44I can't help you pick the idea, but I can help you get your business started the right way with Northwest Registered Agent. With Northwest Registered Agent, you can form your business for just$39 plus state fees, one of the most affordable options out there. No hidden fees, no upsells, Just a simple, straightforward process. And here's how it works. In 10 clicks and 10 minutes, your LLC is officially formed and ready to operate. Northwest handles all the paperwork fast, accurate, and hassle-free. So you can focus on building your business, not navigating all those crazy legal forms. Thousands of entrepreneurs trust Northwest Registered Agent because they make business formation affordable, efficient, and stress-free.

21:25And with their expert team standing by, you'll always have the support you need. So here's your call to action. Don't let paperwork hold you back from your entrepreneurial dreams. Get started today at NorthwestRegisteredAgent.com slash twist. That's NorthwestRegisteredAgent.com slash twist for just$39 plus state fees. Your business could be up and running in no time at all. Get more value, more convenience, and more peace of mind only with Northwest Registered Agent. With this arson, what people have to understand is when you do that, you know, I come from a firefighter family. Arson as a form of protest seems like nonviolent in some ways, like I'm burning something down.

22:04This is what happens with arson. The building next door gets lit on fire and the security guard or, you know, the building next door, some mom and her baby get smoked, you know, in their apartment and they die. It's not a wise idea. No. Just don't burn stuff down. Don't start fires, people. Why do they have to come on our show and tell you not to start fires? But I mean, I think the startup takeaways here are, if you, and this is the one that I think is important for people to get for founders listening to the program, because I always try to bring it back to founders. If you pick a political side, you can lose half of your customer base.

22:41In a media enterprise, MSNBC losing the Republicans and Fox losing the Dems, that's great. There's enough left. The question is when you lose half the people for a consumer product, like Bud Light did, right? Or like Elon's doing right now, you know, Bud Light lost the Republicans, Elon's losing the Libs and the Democrats in some percentage. That's kind of hard for consumer products. So I think this is really challenging, I think, for the Tesla brand. Molly Wood, who was on this program, was a co-host for a long time. she traded in her Tesla for a Polestar because she didn't like Elon in the direction he was taking the brand.

23:21So I think Tesla's really got to think and Elon's got to think long and hard about, you know, after he finishes the Doge thing, you know, building bridges and selling to all customers. And I think CyberTaxi is going to be, you know, a huge hit two years from now. And I think that's the future of the company. And so he's skating to where the puck is going. The Model Y refresh, by the way, is absolutely gorgeous. but it's going to be a tough year for car makers with all these tariffs and everything. Is there anything else in his piece that is notable, the Denton piece that you thought, Lon or Alex?

23:53He's saying, you know, unlike other journalists, I have skin in the game. That sounds like other journalists are being lazy and cautious but in fact, they're following traditional journalistic rules. Now, Nick and the Gawker crew clearly blazed our own trail and here he is doing that again. But just don't take that as there. And to be clear about that, he has investments in, he bought BYD stock, is what he said. And Xiaomi, I believe, yes. And Xiaomi. Okay. Yeah, the Chinese stocks have been undervalued. Get in the game. That's the whole thing. Yeah, he plays the bet. I think he's kind of following the all-in playbook, which is, hey, it's all capital allocators talking about their bets.

24:26In a way, that random act of journalism, as biased as it is, gives you one piece of information. Traditional journalism, where you don't have a financial interest, should give you the other side of the coin, which is calling balls and strikes. Of course, we all know the problem is humans are fallible and sometimes they do journalism based on their voting patterns or which party they're part of. And man, it's so hard to do a journalistic product these days that calls balls and strikes because you lose your audience and you're hated by both. I am hated, hated by MAGA, as you've all seen in the replies.

25:04the only group that hates me equally or more than MAGA are the people on the left who believe that I'm part of MAGA. So MAGA hates me because I'm not part of MAGA and I criticize Trump. And the left hates me because they think that I'm too pro-Doge or pro-Trump. So you basically lose everybody. I've lost 60 % of the audience because I won't pick a side, probably. Well, hi, everyone who's still here. Welcome to - Well, I mean, you're here to listen to startups, but I would say on the all in, you know, craziness, literally people are like, I hate Jake Al because he criticized Trump coin. Yeah. He doesn't get it.

25:45And on the other side, they're like, I hate Jake Al because he's supporting Doge. Whether or not, like whatever you believe, if this is fascism, if this is autocracy, or if people are just, you know, getting beyond themselves or that's embellishment or exaggeration, whichever you believe, once the discourse gets there, where that's being thrown around every day, you guys are fascists. How can you, it becomes very hard. Like what's in the middle of fascism and not fascism? Like those are kind of binary things. So I do think it's just going to get harder and harder to be like, I don't pick a side when those are the sides.

Read the full transcript

26:25I mean, you were you were a I think a double hitter as well on me. You were a double hater, weren't you? Oh, yeah, I definitely get it from from from both sides all the time. You hated both. All right. So other stuff in the news, we got inflation data. Yeah. So running people through the headlines here. So CPI, the consumer price index was up 2.8 % year over year in February, below a 3 % rate in January. That's what you want to see. You want to see that number go down better than expected on the core front, which strips out a couple of things to give you a less volatile number. It was a plus 3.1 % year over year, again, better than January stocks.

27:02Jason, pretty happy with this. The expectation that is if inflation comes down, there's room to cut rates. So tech stocks are up today. Tesla rebounding from its prior declines. Nvidia, rebound defense prior declines. So a couple of stocks we've seen trade pretty hot lately are regaining some territory today. And I'm sure that's popular with investors around the world. I don't look at the stock market day-to-day all that much. Certainly, I'm not day trading. Great companies are going to grow through these. The most important things for founders in the game and startups listening, just focus on your customers.

27:36And all this meta stuff that you see, like inflation, et cetera, It's fine to understand it. It's fine to geek out on it, but probably not going to change your day-to-day. You have a certain amount of runway. Raising money could be affected on the margins by it, but great companies that are growing, let's call it in the early seed stage, 10 % month over month, which is a pretty easy bogey to hit. If you're growing 10 % month over month, you're doubling every seven, eight months, you're going to be just fine. So eyes on the prize, focus on your growth, focus on your team. It's a big news today.

28:08And we're going to bring Harry Stebbins on to talk about this. Couldn't quite get them on for today's show. We tried like hell, but didn't quite work out. The point is Project Europe. Now we've talked a lot on this show about American dynamism, Jason, how American companies have the leading market caps in the world. America's leading the AI race, blah, blah, blah. Big deal. So the thing is in Europe, there's a new effort called Project Europe, and it's about 120 European technology folks, like the leaders over at Shopify, Klarna, Mistral, and they're teaming up to invest and mentor younger European founders.

28:38They're putting together a 10 million euro fund that'll put 200 ,000 euro into individuals who are building stuff. And critically, they're going to assign a founder who's already been successful to that young founder to provide mentorship. So it's kind of like a hybrid venture capital teal fellowship model to build more startups in Europe. And I think this is brilliant. Sounds like founder university a bit. I like the mentorship model. That's always good. when they do this Project Europe thing, are they taking equity in that person's company or is it a grant is the question? Are they giving people 200K like a grant, which is what Teal Fellows does with 100K, I believe?

29:1790 % sure this is equity. This came out literally this morning, so we're still chasing down every single details of the terms. But given that 20VC, 0.9N adjacent are all putting their capital into it, I don't think they're going to be giving away their - And it's just a Y Combinator knockoff with a different spin. So not impressed. If it was 100K or 200K that you just gave as a grant to the person, that would be disruptive. Doing this, not impressed. It's just a Y Combinator knockoff. Founders, let's talk about building your brand here in the real world. We know digital ads are amazing, but if you want to stand out in 2025, maybe you need to think a little bit bigger.

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30:37Plus, they're going to give you real-time insights to measure performance and optimize your spend. So whether you're building brand awareness or looking to drive customer action, right, you want to acquire customers, you can see why AdQuick is trusted by everyone from the fastest growing startups to the S &P 500. Take your brand to the next level with AdQuick, the smarter way to do OOH. And just for Twist listeners, AdQuick is waiving their fee on your first campaign. That's an amazing offer. Get started today. AdQuick.com slash Twist. That's A-D-Q-U-I-C-K.com slash Twist. So Harry, after dropping the news, the Financial Times cover it and stuff to cover it, said that in the first couple hours, he had another four dozen founders paying wanting to join.

31:19His argument is that Europe can build. I'm much more bullish on this than you are, Jason, because I think what they need to do is reverse the brain drain and stop having people leave Europe, go build in Silicon Valley. And with more capital, more mentorship, and frankly, better vibes, like optimistic feeling, I think you could keep a lot of folks in Europe. And I think also the rearmament of Europe, the removal of the German debt break, and I would say rising EU polite nationalism are all going to be things that consolidate and kind of help founders stay in building Europe, which is going to be good, I think, for American tech companies, more competition.

31:54And also, I think it's going to be good to have another poll apart from the China-Russia axis. So I'm surprised you're not excited about this. I thought you were going to be all like, woo! No, I'm just thinking about it pragmatically in terms of innovation. The reason I'm not impressed is it's not innovative. It's a copycat kind of thing. And it's self-serving. So in order for it to be a movement and be disruptive, the reason Peter Thiel's was so disruptive is it was a grant. And what he did that was really interesting about it was those people became loyal to him because it was a grant and he was still able to invest in them, but you still had then wild cards like pirate wires, I think came out of it or other things that weren't necessarily financial.

32:37So it just feels derivative, not particularly innovative. And if you're a founder, first-time founder, and you stay in Europe, that's a bad decision. It's just a terrible decision. Coming to America, coming to California, coming to Texas, coming to New York will be much more creative to your business. Terrible idea to stay there. If you're a serial founder, fine. If you're in the Nordics, perhaps. If you've got an investor there who's a lead investor who committed to you, great. But for every Klarna, for every Spotify, it's de minimis the impact those European companies have had. Even like London?

33:16You don't think like London you could start? The problem is they're all anti-entrepreneurship there. The reason why this is notable in Europe is because they're so anti. The reason this is needed in Europe is because they're so anti-entrepreneur. When you're in London and you say you're running a startup or you're an entrepreneur, people look at you like you're a charlatan, like you're a con man, like you're a grifter. Entrepreneur equals grifter in a lot of these markets. I'll leave the Nordics out of it because they have a special sensibility for design and a special sensibility for building product that I think is very unique to them.

33:50But they just, they don't have big winners coming out of Europe for a reason. It's because they treat entrepreneurs terrible there. Harry and the Spotify people are the opposite, but it's just, it's too many headwinds. And I think when you're an entrepreneur, what you want to do is remove as many of the headwinds and things that can flip the car. And you want to increase the number of things that could be tailwinds. if you're running a company in Europe, you're going against the jet stream. You're going to burn twice as much fuel. It's going to be slow and dogged. Might be to your point, Alex, that there's some great change that's going to occur and Europe's going to get their act together and be more entrepreneurial.

34:29I doubt it. Europe is Epcot center right now, as far as I'm concerned. It's a place for tourists to go and get to see this old world charm and you can bounce from country to country and it's quite charming, but they treat their entrepreneurs terrible. Okay. So I'm not going to try to go through that, but I think the idea here is there's a lot of people who want to change that. And so here's hoping that that works out. But I do want to say, Jason, if we lost 60 % of our audience, because you're not picking a left or right side here in the States, I think the other 40 % were the Europeans who are also now gone.

35:02No, no. So hello to nobody. I think they are exactly agreeing with me. I think anybody who's a European an entrepreneur or a VC is probably nodding because Jesus, they want to regulate every company. They want to make it harder to build platforms. They don't have section 230 like we have here. You can't fire people. It's not as fluid as an environment. The regulations are crazy. You can't do M &A. It's just the worst place to do business. It's a terrible, terrible decision to do business in Europe as an entrepreneur. Just, you got to go where the action is. It's like, if you wanted to be in hip hop in the 90s, you go to New York or LA.

35:42If you want to be in tech, you come to Austin, New York. You know, maybe you go to, I mean, I would say Dubai or Abu Dhabi or Riyadh. If you are a European entrepreneur, you go to those three cities, they're going to throw money at you. They're going to celebrate you. They're going to give you a golden visa and you're still going to be able to fly home and ski wherever you want or go like, you know, spend your summers in Italy. I'm glad you've given me this opening because you've mentioned Riyadh in this context a few times. And I know things are changing in the kingdom. Like, I understand than you could imagine.

36:13I understand there are progressive people now sort of looking to, well, in some ways progressive. But like, how far along would you say that process is what a Western person today going to Riyadh find a traditional kind of city where they can do all the usual things they're used to doing in a normal way? city. So let me work backwards. Dubai will feel just like New York to you. I feel like Dubai, we've sort of established is this kind of very like Western friendly, like you can get a drink at a bar and like people dress however. Is that Riyadh as well now? That's what Riyadh's chasing. And I'd say they've closed 80 % of the gap.

36:51And so when you look at what they've done in Dubai, Riyadh's just right on that track. And they are particularly obsessed with entrepreneurship and creating companies. And we'll have a big announcement about some work we're going to do in the kingdom that I've chosen to do. I'm going to make the announcement next month, but I have been spending a little bit of time over there. And I believe company formation in that region is absolutely critical for democracy in the world. That whole region has its own power base. Plus, they're trying to get pulled towards China, India, and Russia. on the other side, you know, in the BRICS kind of situation.

37:33And on the other side, they're trying to get pulled into the West. And who they align with in the future is going to determine, I think, human rights. It's going to determine democracy. It's going to determine, you know, peace. And it's going to be one of the great forks in the road, I think, you know, in our lifetimes is where do those countries end up affiliating themselves with? Now, they're their own entities. their monarchies, et cetera. But personal freedoms, economic freedoms, those things are all starting to happen in a major way. And I'm particularly excited about it as somebody who worked at Amnesty National and cares about human rights and cares about entrepreneurship.

38:16Yeah. Yeah. But I can't bring edibles to Saudi Arabia, so I'm going to politely pass for now. I mean - Interesting you bring that up. I think that their view on alcohol has changed, and tourism is the big attraction there. So they're doing new cities like Neom and stuff like that. So in those cities, Westerners are going to be able to have alcohol. And I think you can assume that cannabis or other things will come after that. I did this tweet the other day. I got a huge reaction on my Twitter where I said, hey, here is my protocol. You know, like Brian, everybody's got to have a protocol. Since I'm an influencer now and a micro celebrity, I got to have a protocol.

38:56Very simple. Sleep, exercise, diet, meditation. Focus on those four. And then I gave sort of sub things that I'm working on. Everybody knows I'm on a health kick and I'm doing it for myself, for my daughters, my family. I just want to be around and I want to be healthy in my older years here. Man, has it worked for me? I got a 99 sleep score. That's off the charts. I slept with the bulldog last night. It dropped down to the 80s. What am I going to do? Max was in the hospital. He's safe now. He had a pneumonia. Happens. These bulldogs are like fine-tuned machines. like they're like Ferraris or something.

39:27They're always in the shop. So I felt like I needed to sleep with them. But, you know, I kind of did this protocol and I have, and this is kind of a startup. My understanding is Brian Johnson, who's going to come to the all-in thing tomorrow night here in Texas, that he is making$100 million a year on the blueprint. As I said, maybe pull that up one more time so I can read it. I have those top four things I'm focused on. But then I'm telling people, hey, listen, see if you can add two or three of these things without your phone. Play a game. I played Clue with my twins the other night. We had a riot.

39:58Read a book. You'll see some more physical books on the shelf here. I'm just starting to get into just 15 minutes of actual physical reading, as opposed to audio books, which I do when I'm hiking or driving. Listening to music. Shout out to my friends at headphones.com, Andrew over there, who I'm going to do a partnership with, because I've been so taken by, he's very generous and sent me these$5 ,000 headphones. And I listened to them and man, I'm really hearing the music and I'm using CoBuzz. I'm going to become an influencer in this space next. cook some meals together, share a meal with folks you love.

40:27I have institutionalized my Thursday night dinner with my friends here in LA. Lon, you've come to the ATX Supper Club. We have a six-person dinner. We book out the best restaurants over like the next 12 weeks. One of my friends is doing that, William Barnes, who worked at Uber, and we're good friends, and he's here. So we just go every Thursday to a different restaurant, hang out with animals or kids. I do that hiking, walk in nature. I do that every day on the ranch where I try to. These are the things that are going to help you. Sleep is the new drug in the startup community. People are leaving events at 10 p.m.

40:58saying, I got to get a good night's sleep. I got to get a good night's sleep. I'm tracking my score. You measure it, you manage it. Whoop, hate sleep. They all do a great job, as does the Apple watch in doing this. But anyway, I like Harry. I think he's got great intent here. Can't wait to talk to him about it. Maybe he's floating a balloon. We'll see what the terms are. And then so the terms on the 200K also important. Yes, very important. Okay, moving on. I'm going to throw this in because I think it really matters. Anthropic, Jason, the AI foundation model company backed by Google, Amazon, lots of investors, et cetera, has grown its annualized revenue, according to the information from about a billion dollar run rate at the end of 2024 to 1.4 billion.

41:36As I said earlier, 40 % growth from a billion dollar foundation in less than a quarter is insane. And frankly, I think this kind of makes a point. I think their valuation now is somewhat reasonable. The question, of course, is can they keep this pace of growth up? But holy crap. That's a lot of revenue really fast. If it's true, it seems like that would be really great revenue growth. I'm assuming this is not for the consumer product, this is for the API, and that they've seeded the consumer product race to ChatGPT and Gemini and Grok, yeah? Yeah, so OpenAI makes more of its money than, sorry, more of its money from ChatGPT subscriptions than its API, and Throbics the other way around.

42:15But keep in mind, they also dropped Claude 3.7 and then also Claude Code, and they are inside of a lot of the breakout stuff. So everyone's talked about Manus. Well, that's some Claude technology built in there. We had the CEO of Replit on the show. That's Claude, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. So people are really using what they built to make products. And that's why I think it's durable and not churned at risk. The great news for startups is you can get these API credits from Google Cloud, which we've had a partnership with. You can go to getstartupcredits.com. I put all the credits that we're doing at getstartupcredits.com.

42:51You sign up there, you get white gloved, just doing this as a service to our founders. So go to Get Startup Credits. You can get the Google credits there, other credits. People are giving AI credits out to startups, you know, like Candy, which is great. And, you know, people are building their systems so that if, you know, one service gets too expensive, they can move to another or one is better, you know, at images than voice, you can move it around. And so the big winner in this race is going to be startups. They're going to keep lowering the prices. They're going to keep increasing the value.

43:29And I have always believed that the application level is where the value is going to be. I think that these companies are in a race to the bottom. And it's getting so cheap. When we had Raul from Superhuman Online, he said, they're writing their summaries for your emails ahead of time. Most people, like you do a Google search and it does that little real-time snippet from Gemini. So they're not wasting time, you know, building these results ahead of time. I don't believe they're doing that, like in caching them. It's getting so cheap that it's going to run on your M4. You're going to have a local version on your phone ripping through stuff.

44:08And so, you know, let's say you wanted an analysis of every MP3 on your phone, every audio file, it might just do that in the background and have it sitting there for you. Why wouldn't it do it? If it was going to do an analysis of your photos, you know, normally it would wait till you query, hey, show me all the bulldogs. It might take the top 10 queries, top 20 queries and run them every day and then present you with the results in a proactive way, like a great employee might, a great team member might be proactive. So we're going to see some really interesting things happen here as this stuff plummets in cost.

44:40And it's still trading at what, 40 times revenue, 50 times? About 40 right now. But given that their base case is about 2.2 billion in earned revenue this year, their more aggressive case is like 3.7. So to me, that multiple is going to come down precipitously. And I think they're building not just a technological mode, Jason, I think they're building a brand. Like I think Claude's, the Claude family of models, people just trust and like because they're good and they have taste. And so I think that's really worth something. There's more competition to come. I think, you know, what we saw with Manus recently, that's got millions of people on the wait list.

45:17And it's like an, you know, agentic, which just is a fancy way of saying agents, which is a fancy way of saying does stuff. Personas that persistently do stuff. We used to call them cron jobs back in the day, just jobs that run every hour, run every day. And so, you know, Lon, you frequently will look through like, you know, the subreddit for entrepreneurship and startups and this week in startups, and then we have other communities, you're going to be able to write an agent. We could do it right now. Maybe Lucas from our team, who's good at this, could write an agent that goes to you give it all the places you like to look.

45:50It goes to those places in the morning and sends you an email or post it into our production team. Here's the interesting new discussions that I found. And then you click from there. So that first level sort, it might do for you. And that's really powerful stuff that's going to happen or is happening right now. It's an interesting thing. We were talking about this a little bit before the show with these AI models and branding because some of them, just like you guys have been saying, they're kind of more discreet. It's not like everybody's going to Claude.com and using it. A lot of good products that people like are being built on top of Claude, but Claude's kind of this discreet layer.

46:31So it's interesting how some of these AI companies like ChatGPT are already becoming brand names that are very familiar, household names. They're very visible. But others like Anthropic and Claude growing just as fast, if not faster, but kind of under the surface. Like everyday mainstream people might not have heard of Anthropic or Claude yet, even if they're using a tool that was built on top of it. The number of people using ChatGPT every day is extraordinary. I think they were in the top five or 10 websites in the world. It was six or seven on the chart we were looking at the other day. So they have an incredible consumer business there, independent of anything else.

47:12And the chat GPT is kind of like the verb. It's kind of like saying taking an Uber. And they also bought chat.com. So this is the innovator's dilemma that Google has. When you do a Google search now, I think it does a snippet every time, right? If you're logged in. Pretty much. Yeah. Well, no, it's worse. It gives you a snippet, Jason, and then it gives you four ads. So like that's, they really do not want you to use the blue links because that's not the Google offering now. Sigh. Yeah. So, I mean, I think people, you know, ChatGPT's got really good consumer adoption. But by the way, before Google came out, Yahoo had all that user adoption.

47:50So it's quite possible that there'll be a better product than ChatGPT and that whole thing could just collapse. We were saying Grok is nipping at their heels now. Grok, you know, inside of X, where you press that button and it gives you the context. We talked about it on All In last week is a really killer feature that I think most people who use X haven't even realized, but there's a little Grok AI in the top right of every tweet. So take my tweet where I did, you know, hey, here's my protocol. If you pull that tweet up and you hit the Grok button, I'm curious what it says there. Here is the Grok summary and response to, Jason, your formula for a good life.

48:28And yeah, it is a reasonable encapsulation of who I am and it gives you a good starting point. That's not a really great one because what I'm saying is really simple. How healthy do you think that Jason is? That's funny. Yeah, here you get a little bit of a deeper one, but if you were to pick, let's say Zelensky talking about something, and you want the background, that's where it gets really interesting. Or if you were to, you know, click on talking about Columbia losing like its grants or something, that's when you could get into like a really good background because you might not know if you look at, I retweeted somebody from Columbia who lost their grants.

49:12And he's like, oh my God, this is so shocking. And I'm like, Columbia's got a huge endowment. They could easily afford this. Like, and these elite universities, like they i don't know why the taxpayers are paying for elite universities with hundreds of billions of dollars to do their research they should be given the grants from their endowments which just continue to grow to a level of absurdity i'm going to put that aside for a second but if you were to find one of those yeah this is me saying hey fafo and it thinks it's fell fast fell off and that's a very polite that's a really polite edit there grok yeah that was a pretty good that's f around find out but okay if you click on the quote i was retweeting that's the one to click on because here with this person you know uh professor uh edward go or goa this is where it's a money look at this a columbia university bioengineer professor shared an email from the nih announcing the cancellation of his integrated musculoskeletal training program this really explains the background in such a great way this is like if i were to send it to one and say what's going on?

50:18Or you, Alex, and said, hey, what's going on here? You would write me back. Here's what's going on. That's really compelling for me. How long until X and XAI are the same company? Because we know there's like financial ties, there's product integrations, and it really feels a little arbitrary. I think the X shareholders got ownership in XAI. And XAI needs to be, I'm not an investor in either, but I know the guy who's running it and a lot of my friends are. XAI is doing something interesting, which is I think they get X's corpus, which is a huge advantage. So the huge advantage is what I was talking about on Glenn Beck today.

50:53The huge advantage is if you have a real-time data source giving you information. And so whoever's got real-time data, whether it's Reddit or X or Facebook, they're going to have such a huge, huge LLM advantage. Yeah. Well, they have a couple hundred thousand of my tweets, Elon. Where's my check? Everyone on the XAI investment team, you're welcome for all my tweets. Okay, so Pokemon Go, the company behind it, selling the games to another company for$3.5 billion. Yeah. Oh, wow. That's Niantic. Niantic is selling its games business. Yeah, Sian Bannister was an investor in that. So they're selling that.

51:27Pokemon Go, for people who don't know, is the first augmented reality game to hit scale. These things were going on in Japan for a long time. Augmented reality when you put digital assets in the real world through the camera. And you remember, people were like driving around trying to find these Pokemon Go characters and getting in car accidents. It had that huge pop culture moment. I mean, Hillary telling people Pokemon go to the polls. It was like a big deal. I, in my mind, think of it as being like it fell off and it's not a big deal anymore. But that's not actually true. It still has a huge fan base of people that remain obsessed with playing it and are still driving around looking for Pokemon.

52:05It's just like it stopped being a headline, but it remains like a huge mobile. who bought it so scopely okay which what's that well it's owned by savvy games group what's that it's the saudi pip ah the uh the investment fund in saudi this is their sovereign wealth fund which owns a everything from sports teams to doing the investments in neom i think it's sort of the umbrella it's run by a gentleman named yasser who i met when i was there and uh They have a group, Senobal, that does the venture stuff. So they have a dozen activities they are investing in that they believe will be the businesses of the future when maybe pulling oil out of the ground isn't necessary, right?

52:52Or, you know, it runs out, which they think is a 30-year story, 40-year story. And games would be one of those. And so remember I said earlier, this is not dumb money. There's a perception in our industry that the money coming out of the MENA region is like dumb money. They'll just invest in anything. You go there, you secure a bag, you leave. Au contraire, mon frere. These are some of the smartest people I've ever met in business. For decades, they've been sending people from Abu Dhabi, from Saudi, from Qatar, to the West to become educated and to work in places. And then they come back. So they're boomerangs.

53:28And they have this King Abdullah scholarship. There's all these scholarships. And when I meet people over there, Oxford, Harvard, University of Hawaii, everything in between, literally, it's not just Ivy League schools. And then they've worked at Google, at Sequoia, wherever, top venture firm. And then they've gone back. They're not just putting money into venture firms. They're on the boards of companies. They're doing company formation. They're doing roll-ups like this because of the sovereign wealth funds. They can take a 20 or 30-year view of investing. So they're not just giving money to Masayoshi, sound like they did for his giant fund.

54:06They're now making thoughtful decisions and rolling up companies. That's what we're seeing here. That's what we're going to see a lot more of. And for context about the roll-up part of this, so Scopely, the company that's actually buying the Niantic gaming assets, I believe is the company behind Monopoly Go, which if you're a hardcore gamer, you've never played, but that means that you're outside the mainstream. it's I think the second or third highest grossing mobile app in 2024 and to the point that Lon made about Pokemon Go still having staying power I think it was the 13th highest grossing game and keep in mind that's hundreds of millions of dollars like mobile gaming is huge and I really gotta agree with Jason I am a bit more critical of media governments than some folks in this space but hey what I will say here is this is smart this is buying a serious company doing a serious roll up.

54:57I have to say, if you're going to diversify off of digging stuff out of the ground, great place to do it, great use of money, no complaints. It's a brave new world, folks. We are not living in a unipolar or a bipolar world where it was like Russia and the US. It's multipolar now. And that's a lot of, I think, what's informing this administration, whether you like it or not, whether you agree with it or not. We all understand it's multipolar now. There are regions that have their own sovereignty. And the EU now, as you pointed out, Alex, I think very correctly, is like, you know what? The United States is not the piggy bank.

55:35They're not going to fund what we want to do. You know, we have our own world. We'll do what we want to do. Canada's like, oh, you guys want to neg us? Great. We have a lot of hydro. We'll just turn off your electricity. We'll sell it to somebody else. Like, I think the United States sometimes believes we have a little bit more influence than we actually do. And that people, you know, will just do whatever we tell them. They will not. I think it's the people our age that remember a time when that was still kind of true. Like if you grew up in the 80s, the 70s, the 90s, America was kind of the, you know, the pivot point around which the whole world sort of was organized.

56:14And we still think of it that way, but it is not true anymore. It's not true. And the EU can go it alone. If we don't want to back Ukraine, if we don't want to be involved in that. You know what? EU has plenty of money. These are sovereign countries. They have a vested interest in containing Putin. They're going to do it themselves. They're going to make their own weapons. They don't need us. But the tension that I find here is that the US is saying, multipolar world, go off and do your own thing. And then we're turning around and saying, EU, stop finding our companies. Well, do you know how you have influence over those things?

56:49By having soft power. And if we don't have that, then we're going to have to eat some crow along the way. I'm not taking a position in this conversation, but I'm just saying you can't have a win-win when you're not going to win. Yeah, the idea that we're going to be able to be splashy-cashy around the world and buy influence, that's ending. We're broke as a country. That's just the truth. We don't have the ability to spend like we used to. And so whether you agree with the velocity and the chaotic nature of the current administration, which, you know, if you ask anybody who's a Republican, like, they're like, yeah, this is chaotic.

57:28Putting all that aside, we're in a multipolar world right now. South America is going to make their own decisions. Canada is going to make their own decisions. Obviously, MENA, India. India is like, I think, really the most interesting one to look at. They are going to make, everybody believes like, oh, we have influence, whatever. India is like, yeah, we're the largest country in the world. We're the fastest growing economy. We have the most number of people going from poverty into the middle class, going into the upper class. We've got this great education system. We've got a driven... India is the America of the 21st century in many ways, in a way that maybe China isn't because it's more democratic, right?

58:05It's not a perfect democracy. You can look up the democracy ratings. China can never really compete in a sustained long-term fashion in entrepreneurship because they keep rug-pulling the entrepreneurs. If you rug-pull the entrepreneurs and you don't have a vibrant investment system and that's top down, it can't really be vibrant in the way a competitive playing field in the United States is or in Europe to a lesser extent or MENA, the Middle East, North Africa region or India. India really is fascinating to me. I need to spend more time in India and Singapore. I'm going to go to Singapore for the first time and then I need to spend some time in India.

58:39I really think that's the economy I have the least knowledge of firsthand and I need to get up on. Yeah. All right. Just before we jump, I do want to say there's news that TSMC is working with other chip companies to possibly put together a deal to buy a chunk of Intel's foundry business. Great. We'll see about that, but something to keep an eye on. And then Gail Slater was confirmed to run antitrust of the DOJ. Okay. She's a little more hawkish than I think Jason's going to be excited about, but her term will kick off. Something to keep an eye on. And then Jim, three models from Google, apparently very good, very cheap, and very efficient.

59:14It's going to be really interesting in terms of Gail Slater. There's a lot of saber rattling. This administration is going to be very pro M &A. They just like to have their, they like to have influence. I think this is like why the tariff thing is so appealing to them, because having a tariff system means everybody's kind of got to come and bend the knee and negotiate. M &A is the same tool. Now everybody, whether it's Bezos with Amazon, you know, or Zuck with Meta, you know, the weathervane of, you know, the political weathervane known as Mark Zuckerberg, you know, he's going to want to buy TikTok.

59:50He's going to want to put a bid in. He's now going to have to go through Gale. He's going to have to bend the knee. He's going to have to come to Mar-a-Lago. And this, you know, kleptocracy approach is very real. And you're going to have to bend the knee and you're going to have to come. And this will give the president undue influence, I think, over this corporate landscape. Net-net, Trump likes influence. Trump likes money. Trump likes success. I think they're going to let it rip. They're going to let it rip. Anyway, this has been another great episode of This Week in Startups. He's at Lons, L-O-N-S on X.

1:00:27He's at Alex. I'm at Jason. We're all in the four or five letter club. 4.3 letters between us on average. And you can read the docket that Lon and Alex put together at thisweekinstartups.com slash docket. Yes, sir. All right, everybody. We will see you next time on This Week in Startups. Bye-bye.

From the publisher

Today’s show: Europe wants to keep its founders from fleeing, AI is growing at breakneck speed, and Nick Denton is back with a spicy Twitter storm—so we had to talk about it. Jason, Alex, and Lon break down Project Europe, a new $10M fund aimed at stopping the European startup brain drain. Plus, Anthropic’s revenue just jumped 40% in a single quarter, and we debate what that means for AI’s future. Meanwhile, China’s EV makers are coming for Tesla, Saudi Arabia is building a gaming empire with a $3.5B Pokémon GO buyout, and we ask the big question: Should X and XAI just merge? Since XAI gets real-time data from X, it’s got a major advantage—so what’s stopping them from becoming one?

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Timestamps:

(0:00) Alex, Jason and Lon kick off the show!

(1:29) Recap of Jason's appearance on Glenn Beck's show and advice to MBA students

(4:21) The value of an MBA vs. starting a company(8:14) Nick Denton on Musk, Trump, and investment thesis

(9:47 Squarespace. Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://www.Squarespace.com/TWIST

(15:16) The rise of Chinese EV manufacturers and Tesla's challenges

(19:09) Jason's stance on vandalism, protests, and political affiliations

(20:35) Northwest Registered Agent. Form your entire business identity in just 10 clicks and 10 minutes. Get more privacy, more options, and more done—visit http://northwestregisteredagent.com/twist today!

(23:13) Tesla's brand challenges and future prospects

(25:03) Jason's audience and political neutrality(26:35) Inflation data and its implications for startups

(28:07) Project Europe and entrepreneurship in the EU and Middle East

(29:45) AdQuick. Easily plan, deploy and measure out-of-home campaigns as easily as digital ads. Visit www.AdQuick.com/twist to learn more

(38:09) Jason's personal health and productivity protocol

(41:18) Anthropic's revenue growth, API credits, and AI developments(45:09) AI competition and consumer trust

(46:41) Mainstream adoption of ChatGPT and AI challengers

(48:02) Grok AI's integration with X

(51:12) Sale of Niantic's games business and global market shifts(

58:06) India's economic rise and TSMC's potential deal with Intel

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Check out the TWIST500: https://www.twist500.com

Subscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcp

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Follow Alex:

X: https://x.com/alex

LinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelm

Follow Lon:

X: https://x.com/Lons

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lonharris


Follow Jason:

X: https://twitter.com/Jason

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis

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Thank you to our partners:

(9:47 Squarespace. Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://www.Squarespace.com/TWIST

(20:35) Northwest Registered Agent. Form your entire business identity in just 10 clicks and 10 minutes. Get more privacy, more options, and more done—visit http://northwestregisteredagent.com/twist today!

(29:45) AdQuick. Easily plan, deploy and measure out-of-home campaigns as easily as digital ads. Visit www.AdQuick.com/twist to learn more

*

Great TWIST interviews: Will Guidara, Eoghan McCabe, Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Bob Moesta, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland

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Check out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis

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