TWiST News: Subscription Economics, Density's Waffle, and The Cost of AV Fleets | E2027

17 Oct 2024 · 1 h 5 min

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This Week in Startups - Episode E2027 Summary

Episode Details Title: TWiST News: Subscription Economics, Density's Waffle, and The Cost of AV Fleets Host: Jason Calacanis Co-Host: Alex Wilhelm Release Date: [Insert Release Date Here]

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Episode Overview In episode E2027 of "This Week in Startups," Jason Calacanis and Alex Wilhelm discuss a variety of trending topics in technology and business, including new FTC regulations on subscriptions, Density’s new product "Waffle," economic models for autonomous vehicle (AV) fleets, and the rising interest in nuclear energy among major tech corporations.

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  • OpenPhone: Business phone system that integrates with existing smartphones.

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Key Topics Discussed

  1. FTC's New Subscription Rules
  2. Overview of Changes: The FTC has introduced new regulations aimed at subscription services, focusing on transparency and ease of cancellation.
  3. Implications for Businesses: There is a pro-business, pro-consumer tension; companies will need to adapt their subscription models without relying on "dark patterns" that deceive customers.
  4. Discussion on Consumer Feedback: By allowing subscribers to provide feedback upon cancellation, companies can better understand customer needs and adjust services accordingly.
  1. Density's "Waffle" Product Announcement
  2. Introduction of Waffle: CEO Andrew Farah presents Density's new self-installable sensor product aimed at optimizing space utilization in offices.
  3. Cost and Installation: Waffle eliminates the high installation costs associated with previous Density products, allowing for broader adoption.
  4. Real-Time Utilization Tracking: The product collects data on room usage, helping companies make informed decisions regarding office space configurations.
  1. Economic Models for Autonomous Vehicle Fleets
  2. Fleet Modeling Discussion: Jason and Alex explore the financial models for operating AV fleets, considering different cost structures and regulatory factors.
  3. Future Projections: Estimations on how many AVs would be required to replace current transportation options, such as ridesharing and public transit.
  1. Rise of Nuclear Power
  2. Corporate Agreements: Google and Amazon are leading the charge in nuclear energy investments, signing contracts for small modular reactors (SMRs).
  3. Changing Public Perception: The episode highlights a shift in the narrative surrounding nuclear energy, with more acceptance as a viable clean energy source.
  4. Global Energy Needs: The demand for energy from tech giants is driving interest in nuclear solutions as opposed to traditional fossil fuels.

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Takeaways

  • Subscription Models: Companies must prioritize ethical practices in subscription services, balancing consumer needs and business interests.
  • Innovative Solutions in Office Space Management: Density's new product represents a significant advancement in how companies can measure and adapt their physical workspaces.
  • Future of Transportation: AV technology and its economic implications are becoming increasingly important as urban areas rethink transportation strategies.
  • Nuclear Energy's Renaissance: Major tech companies embracing nuclear power indicates a potential shift in energy policy and infrastructure development.

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Conclusion Episode E2027 of "This Week in Startups" presents a rich dialogue on the intersections of technology, consumer rights, and sustainable energy solutions. With advancements in subscription regulation, workplace technology, and energy production, the episode underscores the dynamic nature of the startup landscape.

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Transcript

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0:00This Week in Startups is a show about startups and technology and that journey of trying to find product market fit and solve really challenging problems in the world. This Week in Startups is brought to you by Fundrise. Fundrise provides access to diversified portfolios of private real estate to all investors with their industry-leading, easy-to-use platform. Sign up today at fundrise.com slash twist. Brave. Brave is an internet privacy company on a mission to protect your personal info online. Download Brave today at brave.com slash twist to browse faster, search privately, and so much more, all in a single click.

0:42And OpenPhone. Create business phone numbers for you and your team that work through an app on your smartphone or desktop. Twist listeners can get an extra 20 % off any plan for your first six months at openphone.com slash twist. I have a co-host here. His name is Alex Wilhelm, and he has an incredible 15, 20-year resume of working at places you've heard of, like TechCrunch, Crunchbase. And Cautious Optimism is his newsletter that you can subscribe to for about a hundy a year. How are you doing today, Alex? I'm doing fantastic. If you have young children, you'll know the feeling when you wake up and you're like, wait, I'm not exhausted.

1:23And I must have slept well last night. So I am flying today. And we have a really great show. I'm actually really excited about this. Jason, I'm going to tell people what's coming up. So First of all, new subscription rules. Ladies and gentlemen, for the first time in twist history, we are going to have Jason Calacanis say nice things about Lina Khan. So if you want to say history made, stay tuned. Then we have the CEO of Density On. They have a new thing called a waffle, but no, you can't eat it. Just wait. Lots of cool stuff to come there. We have a first look at our AV fleet financial model, then nuclear power rising and the startups looking to make solar possible jason we are loaded today but first up lena khan the ftc has some new rules out and this caught your eye yeah you know uh we've been very critical about lena khan i did a meme today from one of my uh i have an army of meme uh builders for me now so if you pull up my twitter you'll see this meme so it's the uh vanos meme did lena khan get us click to cancel yes what to cost no exit market for four years so this is somebody clipped this and said it's a lena con thank you lena con for your service we do like the ability to cancel our gym membership but please please lena con if you get another four years before you go to andreason horowitz or y combinator as a partner and secure the bag please lena con let us sell companies for under a hundred million dollars without any approval process please just singles we won't even ask for a double a double would be 500 million.

2:55Okay, I'm going to ask for the double. Anything under a billion, just let us sell it. Under a billy makes no difference. Let us sell. You just went from 100 million to a billion in like two sentences. A billy. A billy. I don't disagree. I actually think a billion would be a perfectly fine threshold. Yeah, have at it. Here's the thing though. We are talking about this new FTC rulemaking in terms of Jason and Alec want to cancel the Wall Street Journal sometimes and their gen. Here's the thing though. What about businesses that sell to consumers that currently make, let's say a good chunk of their revenue, Jason, by folks for getting their pain,$5 a month.

3:26So there's a pro-business, pro-consumer kind of tension here. And I'm curious how you think it's going to net out for businesses. Okay. So I think one of the great things about subscription businesses is that it creates a North Star. When somebody unsubscribes, they get that box. Why are you unsubscribing? And you get information back. I don't live in your city and I moved to, you know new england somewhere i'm in boston i'm in cape cod wherever you are i'm in brooklyn well that's giving you a signal if a hundred people move to brooklyn that's where you should open your next location it's short-term gain as an entrepreneur to not let people unsubscribe and you don't want people locked into a product that doesn't work for them and there is a counter to this which is you can come up with different subscription terms i have no problem paying a year in advance and the person saying you can't cancel you're buying it for the year like my ski pass when i just bought my epic passes and last year i bought an icon pass because i thought i was going to go icon and my schedule changed and i couldn't go on the icon trip and i had bought a 1100 icon pass i skied zero days on it but on my epic pass i had skied 25 or 30 days so i felt fine you know i put the two passes together divided the number of 2 000 by whatever number of days and it was half the price of if i had bought lift tickets per day so if you want that reservation added a nice hotel there's a cancellation period right if you're booking a hotel during the super bowl you can't cancel it it's the super bowl uh or you can't cancel a week out so there's reasonable things to be had here and if you're a sas company and it requires onboarding you could say you can cancel any quarter you know or with 90 days notice in year two just make the just make it up front right is i guess the goal and this creates a weird tension where you have a group of people inside companies, Alex, it's such a great question, trying to do what are called dark patterns.

5:22And dark patterns, no bueno. Because now you've got really smart people trying to figure out how to trick people. That's not how business should work. You don't want people tricked into using your services. It's like you don't want people tricked into being in a relationship with you. This goes for, you know, the ultimate dark pattern in the United States is employment and healthcare. If you are working at a company and you've got kids and you've got healthcare and they've got a good family plan, you stay at that company because of the healthcare. People will stay at IBM or Google or Microsoft because of the healthcare.

5:55And if the healthcare was portable or was provided by the government or independent of employment, or you picked it and your company gave you a contribution to it, which is how I think it should work, man, things would be so much better. So much better. You came here first, everybody. Welcome to This Week in Startups, where we're in favor of Lena Khan and Universal Healthcare is on the table. All right. I'm okay with it. I think we should have a basic healthcare system just for the basics that everybody gets. And then you should pay for on top of that. And you should always be a fee. So if you go in, you should always pay 25 % or 20 % of the cost so that you know the price.

6:31Yeah. That's, I think, would be reasonable. Just for things like basic checkups, that would save us so much money later on. But I do want to give a plug for myself, which is that while we're talking about smaller deals, acquisitions and startup M &A, I do have the CEO and co-founder of Cashflow coming on Twist this Friday. They just sold the HubSpot early stage company. I'm going to figure out how the hell they got that done and if there was any regulatory pressures, Jason. So more coming on this topic. All right. Venture capital is one of the most lucrative asset classes in the world. Don't I know it?

7:04I do it for a living. Why is venture capital so great? Well, just look at today's public tech companies. Almost all of them raised venture capital when they were a private company. And that's great for venture capitalists like myself and for my LPs. Awesome. But what if you don't have enough capital to back a venture fund? Or maybe you don't have an in with the top performers in venture. How can you get the same deals that institutional investors like endowments and sovereign wealth funds get into? Well, unless you know a guy who knows a guy who knows a gal, you aren't going to be able to buy shares in that hot AI startup until they go public when all the value's been created.

7:41But there's another option. The Fundrise Innovation Fund is a$125 million fund that holds shares in some of the most exciting free IPO tech companies. And it's designed specifically for individual investors. Now you can get in early at fundrise.com slash twist. That's fundrise.com slash twist. carefully consider the investment material before investing, including objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information can be found in the Innovation Funds Perspectives at Fundrise.com slash innovation. This is a paid advertisement. Okay, awesome. Well, we have a great guest today, and he's got a new product, and I think it's time to transition to that.

8:22Yeah, Alex? Yeah, let's do it. Okay. So I used to run a conference called Launch Festival, and before that it was called TechCrunch 50. And I might bring Launch Festival back. We stopped it during COVID, but at this event, 50 people launched a new product. One of those new products was a people counter and it was at Phil's Coffee in San Francisco and it had a laser at the door. And when you broke the laser, it counted the number of people coming in or out and it had to kind of figure that out. And then there was also one that used wifi, which was a little creepy because you could identify people and you would know that the same person came in connected to the wifi because even if you don't log into a Wi-Fi, your phone might connect to it.

9:00That founder is Andrew Farah, and I am on the board of his company, Density. And I was, I believe, the first investor in the company. Welcome to the program. Andrew has a big product announcement today. Hey, happy to be here. Andrew, meet Alex. I don't know if you two have met before. No, actually, I think this is the first time. Although, since we've met, we've talked about skiing half the time. So now, later on, we need to talk about snowboarding. Okay, here we go. Same thing. Sounds good. Andrew, we have been on this journey with Density, and the domain name is density.io, I believe still. And you can go see this incredible software.

9:34And tell everybody what the mission of Density is today, and then let's go right into the announcement. We won't prolong this yet. I'd really like to know how the world is used. And I think there are a lot of other people that would too. There's about 3 trillion square feet. of physical space in the world, residential and commercial. And we don't know how any of it's used. Something like 99 % of it is unmeasured. So today we work with predominantly like large workplaces, large corporate offices, and we deploy radar sensors, kind of like wireless access points. So like above, you know, on the ceilings.

10:13And then we get a heat map of use inside buildings. And so we've spent a lot of time, about 10 years, trying to count people in physical space. and uh that's sort of our core customer is um large corporate offices and then we just announced something yesterday um called waffle uh that has been you know sort of like part i described it as part love letter to our customers and part return to our roots um because it's something that we wished we could have bought when we started the company and we just couldn't we like couldn't find in the world. The technology wasn't there. And for people who don't know, the way density works today is you have to put a sensor in each of the conference rooms.

10:58I'm in a conference room here at Capital Factory in Austin, who is nice enough to house us while I look for our permanent office here. Shout out to my friend, Josh. And if you're a startup, Capital Factory is a great place to hang out. I'm in a conference room with a producer. This conference room has seating for 10. and for a work uh co-working space or incubator like capital factory it would be great for them to know the utilization of different rooms what people do is they use conference rooms for 10 typically as phone booths and so you know with density if you were amazon or google or microsoft or linkedin and you have all this office space wouldn't it be nice to know the utilization level and of the conferences maybe you find out hey we've got too many conference rooms and not enough phone booths, let's convert these two offices into eight phone booths, and that would be a better use of space.

11:48So space planning for organizations, space is typically the second or third line item. Is that right, Andrew? Yeah, second effort payroll. In fact, over the last year, something like 53 % of all meeting room use was by a single person, regardless of size. Tracks, yeah. So those have a limitation. When you put the sensor arrays that Density currently uses, it requires power over Ethernet, I believe. And you have to put these door sensors in. And I don't know the approximate cost, but maybe you could give people an idea of what that costs. And maybe you could show that graph. I'll hold$1 ,000 all in.

12:25Installation, hardware, software. And something like between 50 % and 65 % of that cost is installation. Got it. So it is hard and it costs money. But once you have it up and running, now you have perfect visibility into your campus and if you had a lot of space if you could cut 10 of the space or one percent of the space i would assume uh sublet one percent consolidate not add space it would pay for itself yeah oh yeah i mean to give you a sense of scale like you know we work with many of the fortune 500 fortune 100 they'll have 65 million square feet of office space of office space not not warehousing not like other sort of medical or infrastructure we're just talking offices um and when you're in the tens of millions of square feet of space even north of a million square feet you just lose visibility like so you just like can't you can't know you can't put eyes on all the space the pandemic put a very like sharp point on how limited our visibility was in buildings because everybody went home andrew so when i'm thinking about this though, will I put the new product, the waffle into each one of the rooms at my Fortune 500 company office footprint?

13:40Or do you think that the new product is more aimed at companies that have, I don't know, a couple hundred employees? I'm trying to sort it out and kind of put it into a market category, if that makes sense. Yeah. I mean, we were solving a problem that we faced every day doing deployments, which is like, it sucks to spend$700 on installation and$300 on the technology. That sucks. The question was two years ago, can you delete the installation cost? So we deleted the installation cost. You now self-install the unit on a wall. So you went into founder mode. Let's call it what it is. I was there. I saw it.

14:18It's been a rough couple of years. Eating beef and rice and going to the gym and then working on density. That's essentially all that I've been doing. Founder mode. Congratulations. Let's show the product. And I love this chart talking about what you did in terms of what Elon does in founder mode or Brian Chesney from Airbnb. So here's waffle. Gorgeous. It sits on a table. I guess it gets attached to the wall. It looks like a hockey puck or a waffle. And I suppose you could put this into an Airbnb as well to know if they're partying, huh? I mean, sure. I mean, I think the thing that's exciting about self-installation is that it immediately addresses the biggest pain point our primary customers have, which is cost.

15:00But it also opens up the world to lots of creative uses for count inside space. Got it. Um, yeah. So I, I'm excited to, to make this extensible to developers, especially, and also folks that are just interested in like, if this, then that style things, because I think the uses are, are, there's a very long tail. Oh, that's a lot of fun. So if you did, if this, then that, you could say, if there's more than five people in the room, turn the walls purple. And then if there's less than three people, turn them blue. And then you can have the DJ know how many people music. Oh, that's actually really fun.

15:32I was thinking totally boring. I will say it is capped count. So, so wall mounted self-installed units have an occlusion problem because, you know, they can't see the entire space. And so at launch, the product will do what we call capped count, which is zero, one, two, and three plus. And then over time, we'll sort of iterate on the algorithm and kind of update it, but it gets to most of the use case of is a room in use and how yeah and here's um really where this gets super powerful um people don't get to see this all that often but here is an example of a building and here's floor number five office 403 and what you'll see is you can see that basically a heat map at different times and when you're just looking at the floor plan even if it was desks or you know um office space conference rooms you just see the density of the space and this gives a facilities person or somebody who's doing return to office and wants to know if there's asses and seats uh if it's working or not right because now you have amazon saying hey everybody's got to be in the office andrew jesse said uh apple's doing three days a week people are starting to come back to the office and realizing the value of it including myself and so here we go you're getting to see the rooms light up.

16:51So when you work with - Can I mention what this is? Can I mention what this is? This is live wayfinding. This is for occupants. This is for employees. Got it. It's on screen over by the elevators where it says you are here. Mm-hmm. And this is real data. And the way it works is we have a grid that shows the major highways of the floor plan. So this is ways for your office. That's right. It's ways for buildings. Ways for buildings. And so the sort of aquamarine color is in real time available. And the red is currently occupied in real time. And real time is defined as essentially sub 700 milliseconds.

17:32So if you walk into a room, it will instantly turn red. So this is fantastic because one of the big complaints people have with office suiting as a concept or conference rooms is, oh my god i got there somebody was in the room who didn't have the room and not only were they in the room they were in the room with a bunch of chinese food and eight people and then i have the room reserved and i gotta tell them to clean up all the mugul guy pan and the general so's chicken the sauces everywhere it's a disaster i mean we've all had this experience i mean we should have called the product mugul guy pan i think i mean i'm just rattling off dishes here i like but uh yeah it's such an incredible product and so this you had a chart i thought that would be very interesting to show you this took four months to deploy oh what you're looking at right now took four months to deploy all the devices all the planning all the poe all the ethernet cables like all the ladders that you had to climb up on after hours because you can't do work when people are in office this took four months to deploy with waffle um you could do this in an afternoon yeah wow you could do it literally in like two hours do all this is how many sensors How many waffles will we need, Andrew, to make this work today?

18:45One per room. One per room. So there's one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight. I don't know, 15 rooms here. So call it 15, six, 20, 20. Is that a reasonable estimate? Yeah. Okay. So, you know, somewhere around there. Yeah. 150 bucks a piece, eight bucks a month. Seems pretty cheap. I mean, when we think about the cost of office space, eight bucks per month per sensor, which I think is what you're charging for waffle. Doesn't seem like a lot, frankly. I almost wonder if you're undercharging. He's undercharging. That's my advice. as a venture capitalist. Jason wants you to add a zero to that if you don't mind.

19:16No, I mean, one of the great things, Andrew, I'll let you answer the question is when you underprice something, people will use it more and they'll deploy it and get value from it and you can scale. Yeah. You remove an objection because I could see people saying, oh, a thousand dollars a room to install these 40 ,000 per floor, 10 floors,$400 ,000. That could be a blocker for somebody who's got a company that's really penny pinching or consolidating at that time, even though they would save it in the next year with what they would learn, right? I mean, this utilization, the sensing of buildings, like buildings becoming aware of humans, I think is going to follow a similar adoption curve as Wi-Fi.

19:59Wireless, buildings 30 years ago did not have wireless connectivity. They were all hardlined. Yeah. And if you look at the history of AlohaNet and all of these, it's a very rich history to Wi-Fi. It wasn't until 2011 when we hit 450 megs down per second that it was like, this is as good as hardline. I should just have that. This is silly. And I'm now talking to you on a laptop as a result of that infrastructure being deployed. But it took literally 25 years. And so I think sensing is kind of similar. We're not replacing an existing system. It's net new infrastructure for buildings. And so if you get that cost curve, if you're on the bottom end of that cost curve, you can rapidly accelerate the adoption of new infrastructure, which then opens up new possibilities like dynamic HVAC or real-time availability of spaces or notify me when a place is quiet.

20:57or is that cafe currently super busy right now? Or we should like totally change the structure of our buildings because we've got 53 % of meeting rooms being used by a single person. All of those are outflows of making the infrastructure low cost and scalable. There's also an environmental impact here because you guys talk about on your website, knowing what's been used and therefore avoiding cleaning clean spaces. And so I can also see saving water, chemicals, paper, et cetera, in larger offices with lots of rooms and boats. Yeah. So about$6 a square foot. So assume like$30 a square foot is the average cost for a lease in the US.

21:35Premium Class A is about$60,$65 a square foot. Your facilities cost is about$6 of that 65. And so you can optimize that six with cleaning. Where the real returns are on energy or on, I'm sorry, on sort of sustainability is that 39 % of all global carbon emissions cost. come from buildings. Half are from energy, operational carbon. Half are from building materials in the construction of buildings. And we add to the net new buildings every year. I'm sorry, every day, 13 ,000 net new buildings every day. And that is going up. So if we just didn't turn on air conditioning and heat on floors that were unoccupied or areas that were unoccupied we could do a massive amount of not only um saving the environment which is awesome and virtuous we could also take load off the grid which we're having grid problems and then on top of that uh the person who runs the office and the facilities would save money it's like a win-win-win-win all right everybody you know my favorite browser that i use on my mobile phone and my desktop every day, all day, is Brave.

22:52Why do I use it? Well, it's privacy first. And I don't want people knowing what I'm searching for. I don't want to be tracked. I don't like ads. Really, it's for two reasons. One, I think it's creepy. But two, it slows me down. Loading web pages with pop-ups and ads, it's just insufferable. And Brave also has a built-in search engine, and it's awesome. Brave Search is powered by one of just three global-scale web indexes. And unlike other independent search engines, it isn't a skin over big tech technology. right? It's their own search. And they have 7 million daily users, 35 million queries, and it's the fastest growing independent search engine since Bing.

23:30And you don't need the Brave browser to use Brave Search. You can just go to search.brave.com using any browser. I mean, I of course think you should use Brave for so many reasons. It's also got a VPN built in, which is really cool, especially when you're at a cafe. So search all day long, every day at search.brave.com. And if you want to try Brave Search today, go to brave.com slash twist, get better results, protect your privacy, and get the answers you need faster. Go to brave.com slash twist so they know that we sent you and download the browser. It's awesome. What happens if New York City knew how it was used?

24:02That is kind of the core question. If you snapped your fingers and on Monday, New York City knew how it was used, had perfect data on use, would anything change everything would oh yeah like everything would change like you would change the subway pattern you would change how cars move you would change the cost of rent you would change where you would build buildings you would change how many starbucks baristas were at one cafe versus another just i mean and all of this is done with privacy so i think maybe you could speak to privacy here andrew and why that's important because this was something you and i had a bunch of debates about early on and i was like why don't we just use a camera for this So the answer to that question, yeah.

24:42Yeah. So this is, it's really small. This is the board. Ah, wow. And it's about 75 millimeters by about 20 millimeters. It'll be sort of like the final device. And you can see the renders and the final product shots on the website. If you want New York City or any city to know how it's used, you have to solve the distribution problem. How do you get an intelligent device into every relevant room in the world? One of the interesting barriers to that is if you're deploying surveillance tech, people get really uncomfortable using spaces in certain ways when they're observed. And the second that they feel like they're not being observed, and you see this play out in Airbnb, right?

25:26Airbnb has a global policy of no cameras allowed in any of their spaces if you are a host. And the reason they do that isn't because cameras aren't useful or because hosts don't want them. They do want them. It's because guests really don't, It doesn't drive a distribution of use on the guest side. And so if you can achieve the vast majority of what you need to achieve and use with an anonymous at source system, I think that's good for business. Yeah, I was in an Airbnb recently and they had cameras on the outside of it and they had it in the backyard where we were hanging out and there was a hot tub and a dinner place.

26:05And I'm like, that camera's on. And it's obviously could be recording. Every conversation I'm having is recorded at this Airbnb in the backyard. And I was like, how do I unplug it? And they had obviously strung the cable up to make it so you couldn't easily unplug it. And I was like, well, this has got to go in the rating system here. This is not cool. I mean, obviously, convert cameras. But yeah, it is very nice to know for a hotel if a guest is in the room so you can clean it. That's right. And this would be such a game changer. When you stay at an Amman hotel, they have a door monitor sensor system.

26:40So they do know a door opens and closes. If a door opens and closes, they will send the cleaning crew there to go clean it. But they don't know if you're actually in there or not. They just have a guess. Here, you would know. There's two or three people in the room, whatever. And I had an Airbnb for a while. And we had a no party rule. And somebody threw a party. I found out about it because I had a driveway cam. And in the morning I woke up and like from 3 a.m. till 7 a.m. cars and Ubers were dropping off. And I had like 30 notifications when I would normally have none during that time period.

27:13So it was very weird. Do you have the chart of the cost? There was a really cool chart you had with the cost. And I think for entrepreneurs, this is super important. You've been working on this company for a decade. and you know it's just another one of these uh as we call it in the business uh overnight successes 10 years in the making a decade in the making so maybe you could show that um so here we go cost per sensor over time and you had the depth sensor cameras or optical sensors radar the battery that's right yeah so so you can see the uh and you know a more detailed breakdown would include what portion or percentage goes to installation what portion is sort of core hardware software but ultimately the total cost of ownership has a huge impact on adoption.

27:59And what's interesting is like all, and you actually see this similar chart, you know, with SpaceX, they'll show a similar chart on like cost per kilogram to get to orbit or, or, you know, essentially a weight measurement of how much does it cost to get a certain amount of weight to orbit and all of the interesting stuff. I don't know if you can see my cursor, but all of the, all of the interesting stuff happens sort of in the bottom, right? um and so if you look at waffle relative to these costs um it just has like a really big impact on what types of new places you could deploy in the world yeah i mean if you're a cafe and you don't want you know a cafe owner doesn't want to spend this kind of money or a hotel you know doesn't want to spend the money this is a way to actually do that uh wow continued success here this is amazing andrew if you look back on your journey here as an entrepreneur um what have you learned you know, and you're, if you were to mentor folks who are starting a hardware startup specifically, because hardware is hard and your hardware and SAS and SAS is on the easier side of businesses.

29:00That's why a lot of people like to do them because you know exactly who you're going after. You get all that benefit. Um, and you have like a very narrow specific problem you get to solve and it doesn't have the, I don't know, um, randomness or lightning in a bottle of consumer, but man, adding hardware, hardware is hard. So as a hardware founder, what have you learned and what advice can you give other entrepreneurs listen? Well, in a world where, you know, you can ask Cursor to help build a piece of software and replicate, you know, split wise in about an hour and a half, I think physical systems, you know, going after hard problems and building physical systems is a hard problem.

29:40It will be defensible, much more defensible than I think sort of just like pure software layer. That said, but you have to really want to do the thing. We're wandering into a world where the infrastructure is so much better than it was when I started. There's so many new things that you can build with on really good rails. And the companies that are going to win, I think, are the ones that are willing to be playful. And you see this in Tesla. You know, you see this in Anderil. Anderil is a defense contractor and they're still playful. um and and i think the the folks that are willing to sort of like you know not take themselves too seriously but also build you know exceptional stuff are probably going to win also go to go to the office if you're a startup like don't do it distributed um and that's not that's not unpack that for me unpack that well what trust is built in person and it's lost virtually and and i have this theory um i was talking to someone just yesterday about this uh and they brought up a really interesting point and i i it never really occurred to me but you can't read body language as well distributed you can read some but it's actually deeply muted it's like wearing socks on your feet you know or gloves on your hands but as soon as you get in person all of a sudden like the conversation is funnier that you you want to know about their lives like it's sort of rounded out and i'm i'm reasonably convinced that it actually has to do with just like physical body language it's like somatic it's like somewhere deep in our human existence connecting in person uh resonates here's an image uh from the visual capitalist uh who does really nice graphics of um the cost of space flight and as you can see here uh the cost per kilogram of like the space shuttle delta heavy and then uh here comes falcon one falcon nine falcon heavy and then here's the starship estimate and what this chart shows is a slow curve coming down and then it falls off a cliff very beautifully so the slope just you know angles straight down this is the reverse of the hockey stick or it's an upside down hockey hockey stick cost plummeting And when costs plummet, adoption goes up.

31:57If you were to build a six-lane freeway and you previously had a two-lane avenue, what you'd find is people would induce traffic. People would get on that highway and explore new places. And that's what the highway system did in America. It just inspired people to go for rides because you could go 60 miles an hour and go somewhere 120 or 300 miles away from your house quite easily and comfortably. If you're a founder, like nail your unit economics and then do that. Because what happened in the run up, you know, in sort of the Zurp era is this would happen, right? But it was with negative unit economics.

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32:37And so after you grew, like it did drive demand. But the faster you grew, the faster you died. If you nail your unit economics and then you go crush your costs so that you can bring to market essentially a democratized version of a technology, you do all sorts of amazing things. You unlock all sorts of amazing things. We're going to go to Mars because of this. Uber X comes to mind with Uber and that whole race with Lyft. The Lincoln Town Cars were fabulously profitable at the beginning. The unit economics were beautiful. All that Zerp-era money went into building Uber and Lyft into tens of thousands of cities globally.

33:21And then they had to work backwards to change the economics. This is what Brian Chesky had to do. He had to reorganize Airbnb since COVID to now to being a money-losing machine to a money-printing machine. Uber went from a money-losing machine to a money-printing machine. Tesla went from a money-losing machine to a money-printing machine. also known as the j curve where you invest invest invest but unit economics is at the core of it you have to understand you know how much you're charging for these things and how much they cost to deliver because selling hundred dollar bills for 50 bucks is quite popular alex well it's a super popular but i feel like jason you're dancing around the the obvious question for our fine friend here which is what are the gross margins then on the new waffle well that's a good question um i mean they're definitely positive um good start that's uh they're definitely positive um we are not wrapping dollars around hardware or software um software has sort of typical like you know 80 80 plus percent software gross margins um and then hardware um you know first run stuff always costs a bit more but even our first run stuff will be profitable will consumers be able to uh buy these is this like a consumer could just come to the website or buy 10 of them this is also the first time we're publishing price um and allowing people to self-serve like if we're going to allow you to self-install you should be able to self-serve so in january um we will open up uh the ability to just kind of purchase a unit oh wow can you pre-order now is that is that on the website or no uh you have to reach out to us um then you got to talk to me okay um andrew at density.io then you can buy because we have a lot of demand from core customers and so we're trying to make sure to meter where those initial volumes go to the right customers we want to make sure that a customer like is fabulous successful how many units are in the first run so typical like evt dvt pvt which is just like engineering design and then production validation testing yeah um usually going from like 25 to to 100 units in your evt builds to um to call it a couple hundred in your dvt build and then you once you break a thousand units you're that's usually you're in your production validation testing and then you're in sort of continuous manufacturing so you can sort of imagine thousands of units uh becoming sort of initially available.

35:51And then you go into continuous manufacturing, which is supply-demand forecasting. You wander into a different math. So when we're in the start of Q3 of next year, this has been out for six, eight months. How many units do you think you're going to sell of the waffle per month or per quarter? I don't know. You should talk to me then. I mean, I'm just curious to see how fast this can grow because... There's a lot of space in the world. There's just so much space in the world. And I think, you know, I want to hear the end of your question, but I would just say what will be interesting is the mix of core enterprise workplace customers and sort of like expansion within existing customer sets and how this drives net new adoption, even within core ICP, like ideal customer profile.

36:38um and then there's the other category and i'm most excited about well i'm actually thrilled about all three because like we want to serve core customers we want to drive top of funnel pipeline but we're also really excited about the experimentation people will do yeah i also just want to say you ruined coffee badging for all the people out there who like to go and swipe the badge and go home and work so that means that you are now the biggest narc in corporate america andrew i think well okay hold on so i don't know all right no this is actually a fair criticism uh but but probably not of us we we don't know who you are and we also don't know if you've how long you personally have been in the space all we know is how the space was used and how many people uh were maybe assigned like what teams were assigned to that space yeah so you keep coffee badging all you want and you can take up with hr and density will have zero to say about it unless you're a senior executive and have your own office then we could safely assume if you're in the CEO office.

37:38We know the CEO's ass in seat. It was a funny moment. We were in a board meeting years ago and I was like, why don't we put a sensor in the seats? And you would actually literally know asses in seats. And Andrew was like, no, Jacob, that's a little much. What if you had too much coffee? We're trying to figure out how cheap could it be? And I was like, a weight sensor in a seat would be really interesting. But that could be an interesting product for a bus or a subway is to actually know the utilization of the seats, right? Because you could actually then know in a cafe or a park, hey, we need more seating.

38:15It's, you know, we have enough seats. We don't have enough seats. People counting is amazing. The leader in this space is density.io. I am super excited to be a board member and a friend of Andrew's for the past decade. It's one of the great joys of my life to watch an entrepreneur absolutely crush it and hit these, as Ruloff would call them, crucible moments and a crucible moment this was for the organization. Can we get the waffle out? And here we are. We did it. And by we, I mean you and the incredible team. So I just want to say thank you to the Density team. It's just an honor to watch how hard everybody worked, Andrew.

38:51And I know that you had to make a lot of very difficult decisions. There were layoffs, restructuring, get back to office. It's hard. Startups are hard and hardware startups are hard. And just you have my complete respect for the hard work on this journey. There's still so much to do. That's the right answer. Yeah. Excited to touch base with you all again soon. All right. We'll talk soon. All right. Are you still using multiple devices and apps to run your business? Well, you need OpenPhone. OpenPhone has rethought what the modern business phone should be. And what's so magical about OpenPhone is that it works through one single elegant app right on your existing phone and you can use it on your desktop.

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40:06OpenPhone.com slash Twist. And if you have an existing phone number with other services, no problem. Easy peasy, lemon squeezy. Open Phone will port them over at no extra cost. So head over to OpenPhone.com slash Twist to start your free trial and get 20 % off. What do we got next here, Alex? I know we got a lot more on the docket. Yeah, I'm going to give you a taste, Jason, of our upcoming RoboTaxi fleet modeling spreadsheet. Kabir and I are working on this. It is not quite done, but I can show you a couple of things. If you watch the show on Monday, Jason walked us through a chat GPT-40 canvas demonstration.

40:41Make it two sizes bigger, if you don't mind. Maybe one or two sizes bigger. I do not mind. Okay, perfect. Okay. So what we have done is we've taken your work and we have broken it down into individual questions that can be answered. So, for example, Jason, if we wanted to say that the max number of trips per day that a robot taxi could do is 20, and let's say it takes about 90 days off for service, six hours a day, that's about 91 days a year, call it 90, just to be simple. That leaves 275 days, theoretical trips, and then we can calculate pretty easily how many AVs we would need to replace all US trips, just Lyft and Uber, public transit, etc.

41:16Now, we also worked in the cost per unit and then not changing overall demand. We have estimates now for whatever costs to replace all cars, just lifts and Ubers or parts of public transit. And then also, Jason, you asked for an inclusive of 20 % search. So let's say people go out more because there's more options. Those are the numbers there. And we can also tinker with this live. So if we want to change all the numbers, make it look easier, we can just make this 30 and then everything changes. Okay, great. So we'll put the robo-taxi fleet modeling into the show notes, so you'll be able to see it very easily.

41:52And here we go, folks. The total trips annually are in the United States$400 billion, according to. This is the National Highway Travel, National Household Travel Survey 2022, which is the most recent. Yeah, an Uber and Lyft trips in the United States, 4 billion, public transit, 20 billion. I think that number's very low, but we'll see if it is or not. And then trips per day, if you were driving an actual Uber, you could probably do about 20 trips a day in a car because you have to charge the car. You have to clean the car. So if we take six hours out, there's 18 hours left. and if each ride took 45 minutes is my estimate 20 30 minutes per ride and then maybe 10 to 20 minutes to get to the next destination remember you have to get to your next ride now in manhattan that might be much smaller where you know you're only taking you know short rides and your next pickup will be very close if you're in the suburbs you know if you're out in the hill country in wine country uh you know might take half an hour to get to your next ride or 45 minutes to get to your next ride and your ride might be 45 minutes so we we just came up with this 20 trips it obviously would very very dependent on suburb country or city or infill you know different areas and the number of days the av is on the road so that's an interesting way to do it you're taking out six hours a day and you probably take out maybe five days a year i would say to change the brakes the tires inspect the car but anyway 90 days misty 95 days missed per year is based upon the six hours of daily maintenance and what i wanted to point out was when i did the back of the envelope math what i saw was this would take a long time yes and this doesn't take into account two factors that we want to add here which is regulatory consumer adoption and the third piece of course is actually building the car so when we look at this we've estimated that waymo cars on the low end would cost 5.5 trillion that's 80 000 per car or 75 000 per car and then waymo on the higher end i think is 120 000 is what i was told so maybe we put 120 000 in there um if you don't mind in cell b 25 that's about 120 000 is what i was told those cars cost right now so to replace the entire fleet at the tesla uh byd and baidu prices which is 30 000 per vehicle you're talking about 2.2 trillion just for the united states 2.2 trillion is a lot of money alex just to give you an idea probably tesla has 30 billion dollars in the bank uh and uh apple maybe has 200 billion it's a big number um now which means it's a big opportunity obviously and so two to nine trillion dollars is the cost estimate depending on who's doing this uh so this is the tesla advantage is that tesla and baidu and byd those three companies build stuff very cheap then you have waymo prices very high and somewhere in the middle is i guess what the average will be uh and then if we scroll down here uh the so we have regulatory risk or regulatory cost and capture then you're going to have consumer adoption maybe 50 percent of people will want to give up their cars is it 80 percent of people is it 20 of people that's unknown and then there's how quickly can cars be built so did we in this model yet talk about the time it would take to make this many cars no i uh i had to jump into the recording but i will have a much better model by the time you hear this for us who are listening to the podcast the model will be improved the link will be public um very simply you know uh tesla since they have the biggest ambition here made 1.8 million cars i believe last year let's assume they put half their factory space towards this they make a million of these robo taxis a year let's say they can increase production by 20 a year that means every three years they would double production so you know to get to 50 million cars 70 million cars we can actually estimate that that's going to take tesla if they did a million in the let's say they did 500 000 in the first year that would be very aggressive right 10 000 a week yeah i don't know if they could do 10 000 a week um for a new car line but let's say they could 500 000 in the first year let's say they double it to a million and then from that point forward they grow 20 so 2026 2027 they put 500 000 on the road 2027 they put uh no no i think he said they're going to start coming out in 2026 which means like full production year will be 2027 okay let's say let's say 2027 500 000 2028 a million and then we just go 25 percent more a year which would be like a very aggressive production ramp at what year could they replace you know half the cars you know could they take up the entire u.s and then we could do the world right and and you can kind of see that this is going to be and then all car manufacturers do about 70 million cars are sold a year, I think I read.

47:06So you can start to really think about if all car manufacturers had this technology and put it to work, we could actually do all the cars in the United States. If everybody from around the world stopped providing cars to everybody else and just send them to the United States and they had the ability to put self-driving in it and regulatory happened, it's going to take years is I think what everybody will come to. The thing that I learned though, putting this together and we'll clean it up. So if you're watching this live, you've seen me taking notes because we're still working. But the thing is, efficiency is such a saving.

47:36Because every time you increase the trips per day, Jason, the number of cars you need, the costs, the maintenance expenses, it really comes down. And so the biggest lesson for me is, if you can do more trips per car per day in a robo-taxi fleet, your economics are going to be just so much better. That opens up opportunities for cleaning, maintenance, and so forth, being done kind of at the micro scale inside of cities, tune-ups, fixes, that sort of thing. anything to keep the expensive assets that depreciate on the road during their prime is going to be absolutely clutch. But it's a lot of dollars.

48:06I'm very excited about this. And I really do think, like you said, it's going to be a J-curve and we're going to have a very changed world quickly. It didn't take that long to give it a horses once we had cars. Yeah. And the rollout probably, that would actually be a really interesting thing to compare this to is how many years did it take for horses and buggies to transfer to cars? I don't actually have that information chad chpd could probably give it to us in 30 seconds so anyway let's keep moving here we made this model there were some other stories in the news that we can get to we're about 50 minutes into this live show so yeah what do we got left in the docket well let's touch quickly on nuclear because there's quite a lot going on here and then i think we'll end up teasing our solar startups and batteries for the next episode but um jason and i you flagged that google has now put together a deal with kairos for nuclear power this is a deal they're calling the world's first corporate agreement to purchase nuclear energy from multiple small modular reactors or smrs guys that's an acronym you're going to want to know because everyone is talking about small modular reactors jason i love this yeah uh kairos k-a-i-r-o-s kairos is how it's pronounced am i correct yep yeah so google is purchasing these uh and i guess when will they have the first one live but uh you know we also saw microsoft turn on three mile island now you have google i don't know who else in the mag 7 or you know in big tech has committed to nuclear in the u.s uh amazon big news this week they have three deals coming up they have a deal with energy northeast for four advanced smrs in washington state they're also doing a deal with dominion energy to build an SMR in Virginia, where a lot of US data centers are located, and they're putting money into X Energy, which is a nuclear power startup we've talked about here on the show.

50:00So really, Jason, I think if you are a hyperscaler on the cloud, you are going to be involved in nuclear power, either paying for it, investing in it, or purchasing from it just for the rest of time. This is the new reality. Yeah, this is fantastic. And these small modular reactors are different than the giant ones you see that look like the ones from the simpsons you know the giant towers that wolverine and deadpool fought on top of like those are different than smrs these small module reactors are smaller as is in the name they don't take up the vertical space they're not eyesores and they're incredibly safe because they don't melt down and you can look up all that technology i think one of the interesting things here is um we went from after fukushima which was less than 10 years ago uh i believe and that terrible uh tragedy which was completely avoidable because they put an old style nuclear reactor below sea level they were told not to do it Like literally, they were told this is too dangerous to do.

51:08They did it anyway. And then that led to the Germans, you know, and Europe to being anti-nuclear and this like incredible turning off of nuclear power plants in Germany. Now here in the United States, we had Three Mile Island. Obviously, there was a tragedy in Russia as well. And so all of a sudden, we are now in a position where everybody believes we're going to be able to have nuclear power everywhere in the united states what happened alex what explains this because i don't hear anybody saying stop this i don't hear one politician i don't hear elizabeth warren bernie sanders ted cruz you know somebody in the pocket of oil somebody who's a green person i don't hear anybody saying no or we have to stop this i don't hear the press i don't hear any groups of greenies saying this is terrible environmentalists.

52:02Why the vibe switch? What happened, Alex? Well, the environmentalists who are anti-nuclear energy, which in my view aren't environmentalists because they're insane, are still making some noise. But I do think it's been dampened because the reality has changed. For a long time, energy consumption rose with GDP. There was a pretty good correlation between it. However, in the last decade or two, in much of developed world, there was a divergence. Energy and consumption was roughly flat while GDP kept growing. Totally fine. But power growth demands have now very much changed. We're talking about putting nuclear energy in Washington state all the way to Virginia, because that's how many data centers, which I think of as digital brains, we're building.

52:40They're going to get bigger. If you recall from the liquidity summit, Gavin said that in our lifetime, the biggest buildings in the world will be data centers. And that just goes to show how much more power we need. So everyone's looking around going, look, we can't just go build 30, you know, coal fired power plants to solve this, we have to do something else. And we are going to talk about solar and batteries later on. But if you want good baseload power, once you get past the startup costs, nuclear is really, really efficient and hyper clean. So I just think it makes sense. What's incredible here, and I think people should take away from this discussion about nuclear is where there's a will, there's a way.

53:16And then things can change. And a little bit of scary, global chaos can actually motivate people. What's happened is over time, people saw what happened to Germany in relation to their dependence on a dictatorship, Russia. And they're seeing China do their Belt and Road strategy and spread influence through nuclear power. They're building 300, 400 reactors, not just in their country, but in other countries that they want to have dependent on China. And I think all politicians now are aware of this. And when you compare what happened with the moral panic around nuclear and the technology getting safer because entrepreneurs invested in it, including Bill Gates, investing a lot of money in this one.

53:59It was incredibly unpopular and losing a lot of money. He's losing billions of dollars trying to pursue this vision. Entrepreneurs, global events, and then AI comes in and you actually have a customer who is willing to pay like Google, like Microsoft, like Amazon in advance, some large amounts of money. All of that has conspired now. And this is going to change humanity. Putting aside AI and data centers, we have a perfect storm occurring right now. The giant companies are customers to the smaller modular nuclear reactor companies, and that will give them a lifeline. They don't need people to throw money and hope that someday these things happen.

54:47Politicians have flipped their position on this and the United States will become the leader in nuclear again. This could be transformative for humanity because we already have hit two other important points. One is the natural gas and fracking in this country has made us a net exporter. and solar has plummeted. And on Monday show, we're going to do a similar modeling. And this is what I'm trying to do here with Alex and the team is level up the show here. So you, as a listener this week in startups, get a lot of data so you can be the smartest person in the room when talking about these issues, whether it's going into self-driving and how long it's going to take and how much money it's going to take.

55:27I want you to be the smartest person in the room because I try to be the most informed person I can be to make decisions. And that's what this combination of, you know, new, we'll call it twist 2.0, the twist in the second decade. And that's why I brought in Alex, you know, to be really smart about this stuff and work with my analysts. I'm trying to understand the world quicker and deeper. And on Monday, we're going to go into solar because there's a trend happening in solar now that will dovetail with fracking and the United States becoming an exporter, Alex, and these small modular nuclear reactors getting customers and government stepping out of the way.

56:08And when we look at what happened in Australia, what's the term for when you have too much energy being created in a day? There's a technical term for it. Minimum system load event. So explain what happened in Australia. We'll just tease it for Monday because we're going to do another model for Monday around solar and some of the startups. And maybe we'll just make that, let's make that a tab in this Google sheet. So the first tab will be the model of that we did for self-driving the second tab will be for solar and we'll just talk about what would happen if we get to 50 solar or something so um answering your question though so what's happening in australia is that rooftop solar and also solar arrays have become so popular that there's there's times in which there's too much power generation and so they have to actually dampen certain uh sources that are non-baseload that are variable like solar just to keep the grid healthy because you can't overproduced without the ability to store it.

57:02And so this sent me down a complete rabbit hole of looking at different European countries, solar installs, changes in solar power. And then I went through a list of startups. I went through probably 20, 25 this morning, all in the power storage space. And there are companies just literally around the world who are doing awesome stuff, everything from flying wind turbines to using offshore water storage for power. It's awesome. So come Monday, because I'm going to have some really cool stuff to ship. Yeah, we're going to really pull this thread of what's happening in energy and then what impact that could have on society in India.

57:39I've been reading some stories and we'll dovetail with India here. And you, as a listener, can be a producer here as well. He's Alex at launch.co. Are you Alex W or Alex? I'm Alex W at launch.co. And I will read any email anyone sends me as long as it's not there. So yeah, you just educate us as to what you think we should have in these models. And in India, what's happening is these solar cells have become so cheap that people in India now are buying solar cells, batteries, reclaiming batteries, and building their own energy for their homes. And they're doing it themselves. And then I said, I want to put a solar farm on the ranch.

58:22And I got a bunch of inbound. So I'm trying to figure out if you have unlimited space, right? Let's just say you have like an acre you could put towards this. What would I do with an acre on my ranch in solar? Because I probably would never be able to use that much stored in batteries. And then I was talking to Friedberg and there are power walls and, you know, things that people put into their garages when they're space constrained. When you're not space constrained, I think the power walls and other offerings are designed to have a small footprint and a lot of density. But when you don't need that, and you have a shipping container, say, and you can just fill it with batteries, you can have a much cheaper solution is what I'm told.

59:05And so I'm trying to pull the string and just learn about it myself. Redundancy in the world is a theme. People want to live off grid because they don't want to be dependent on the government, on a foreign country. And I think COVID kind of added to people's awareness of resiliency in their homes, in their countries. And that's kind of part of this theme, I think, Alex. Is that an anti-globalization theme? Or is that something that sits next to it and doesn't actually counteract? Because if you're thinking about the guy who's going to put a a shipping container full of batteries on their property, less grid dependent, right?

59:50Off the grid. But then again, that technology is dependent on a global supply chain and da-da-da-da-da-da. So I'm always torn between personal lack of dependence and then alternate way that against how much it takes for the world to get that person there. But at the same time, I want my own battery shipping container. Now that you've mentioned that, that sounds great. I'll take two. I mean, there's going to be all kinds of versions of this. people uh are already like i told people about the router i have from uni i think it's a company anyway the router i have i have spectrum and starlink into it and they have a third option where you can buy an at &t sim card and put it in there and what happened was spectrum went out as it's prone to do it goes out seemingly every couple of weeks and i got an alert alex that spectrum was down and my wife was like oh my god spectrum's down we have no internet but the internet's working.

1:00:42And I looked at the router and Spectrum was indeed down for two hours. It felled over to Starlink. Nobody in the house noticed that we were on Starlink. And I was like, well, here we go. Redundancy and resiliency. To your question, is it about globalization or is it about feeling safe? I think it's a little bit of both. If you were dependent on Russia or China for oil or PPE or medicine, that would be a globalization issue. And if you think about it just in terms of weather events, think about how many people are losing their power and internet and then having food security issues at different times.

1:01:24And then you think about cost and inflation coming into this. If you had solar, you are independent of, you know, grid issues and weather issues. In Texas here, we have a lot of them. In Florida, you have a ton of them. And if you had chickens, I know it sounds silly and stupid as one example, but there's a lot of people who are putting chicken coops in. So this is called homesteading as a trend. And having an unlimited supply of protein through eggs at a very cheap price, it's kind of dovetails with fire you know that yeah financial independence kind of movement take the retirement out of it the fi and fire the financial independence and resiliency of chickens is amazing because eggs are perfect food and everybody likes them and i just had a beautiful omelet this morning and you don't have to be in austin to do chickens my my big sister my oldest sister lives in sunnyvale in the bay area and she has chicken she has an enormous yard or lot there yeah a while back uh And she has chickens.

1:02:25And I thought that was just the most wild thing. I'm like, Emily, you live in Silicon Valley and you've got chickens. All over the peninsula, people are doing this. They had a lot of neighbors. And the neighbors would bring us eggs because they couldn't go through them. They had 10 chickens and they were getting 20 eggs a day. Right. And so they were literally going to their neighbors with 20, 30 eggs in a basket saying, here's some eggs. So you start thinking about this on a cooperative basis. You know, it's really, yeah, Peter's like, Jason is obsessed with fire. I am obsessed with fire, not because I want to retire.

1:02:54but because I think a counterbalance, I really care about humanity's happiness. And I think we should, if I was running government, I would have happiness of the populace as one of our most important goals. And when I do run for president or governor, happiness is going to be my platform. How happy can people be? Well, part of being happy, Alex, is not being scared and not being fearful. And what do people fear? Running out of food, running out of money, healthcare, safety issues. There's a whole cohort of things. And if you can take away those issues and people feel like, hey, I'm independent in some way, I have agency, this is something that's missing from America and a large portion of Americans, for whatever reason, do not feel independent and resilient and they don't feel they have agency.

1:03:46I think part of it's real. And I think part of it is a little bit of learned helplessness and that people can actually figure out how to become independent by learning certain techniques. And so I think it's like an interesting thing for us to talk about here on the program because entrepreneurship is the pinnacle of independence, resiliency, and agency, right? Being an actual, and you are doing this with cautiousoptimism.news, sign up for Alex's newsletter. It's only 100 a year. I have so many things to say off of what you just said, but we have to go away. So everyone stick with us. Twist is going to be around three or four times a week.

1:04:22Wednesday, live show, 12 p.m. My time in Texas, which is 10 a.m. Your time in Pacific time and is 1 p.m. Alex's time on the East Coast. 10, 12, 1. You get us twice a week. We're locking into Monday, Wednesday. Eventually it might be Monday, Wednesday, Friday. That's my goal. Yum, yum. I'm here for it. Live guests. Live guests. Tell us who you want to be a guest and wrap us out here. Take us out, Alex. All right. This has been another episode of Twist. He is Jason over on X. I am Alex over on X. We have several fine newsletters. We have the Twist 500 newsletter, which you should read. And friends, we're back soon.

1:04:57I'll see you on Friday. Bye.

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Timestamps:

(0:00) Jason and Alex kick off the show

(2:06) FTC's new subscription rules and impact

(6:58) Fundrise - Sign up today at https://www.fundrise.com/twist

(8:16) Density's mission and "Waffle" product announcement

(16:02) Real-time wayfinding and utilization tracking

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(23:59) Data's impact on city planning and operations

(27:12) Sensor costs and impact on adoption

(32:24) Unit economics and adoption curves

(39:13) OpenPhone - Get 20% off your first six months at https://www.openphone.com/twist⁠

(40:22) Robotaxi fleet modeling project

(48:33) Google and Kairos nuclear power deal

(50:00) Amazon's nuclear energy agreements

(55:09) Solar and fracking trends

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Mentioned on the show:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1txb73-0MvKq_FAcGWMsUcctwgEVHYkgQ38kgEnOuHMs/edit?gid=1464971737#gid=1464971737

https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/sustainability/google-kairos-power-nuclear-energy-agreement

https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/sustainability/amazon-nuclear-small-modular-reactor-net-carbon-zero

https://ourworldindata.org/energy-gdp-decoupling

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czkkgnp1d2xo

https://archive.is/ZOO42#selection-1051.130-1059.17

https://www.semafor.com/article/10/03/2024/solar-boom-in-china-turns-electricity-prices-negative

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Check out these startups:

https://www.trlyr.com

https://www.terra.one

https://www.tozero.solutions

https://www.altris.se

https://bedrock.inc

https://www.unbound-potential.com

https://www.3dc.co.jp/en

https://www.flowaluminum.com

https://www.hydrostor.ca

https://www.thaleron.com

https://sizableenergy.com

https://www.kitekraft.de

https://www.byterat.io

https://www.ionworks.com

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LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewfarah⁠

Check out: https://density.io

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LinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelm

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