In short
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Episode Title
Scott Bessent | All-In DC Podcast Summary In this engaging episode, the hosts Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg are joined by Scott Bessent, the Treasury Secretary of the United States. They delve into economic strategies, the role of macro investors, and significant historical economic events, while also discussing the current political landscape and its implications on the economy.
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Key Discussions and Insights
- Adventures in D.C.
- Location: Live from the White House, showcasing behind-the-scenes interactions and experiences.
- Hosts' Experience: Chamath and Friedberg share their excitement about touring the White House, highlighting the warm atmosphere and engaging interactions with staff.
- Guest Introduction: Scott Bessent
- Background: Scott discusses his upbringing in real estate and how it influenced his passion for finance.
- Career Path:
- Interned under Jim Rogers at Yale, which sparked his interest in the investment world.
- Worked with George Soros at Soros Fund Management, focusing on macro investing.
- Historical Context: The 1992 Bank of England Trade
- Legendary Trade: The discussion highlights the historic trade that broke the Bank of England, explaining the economic context and the strategic decisions made during that time.
- Main Street vs. Wall Street: Bessent draws parallels between past events and the current economic divide, emphasizing the disconnect between the financial markets and the real economy.
- Trump Administration’s Economic Strategy
- Economic Vision: Bessent outlines the administration's aims to deregulate the economy and manage federal debt without causing a recession.
- Spending vs. Revenue: He argues that the U.S. has a spending problem rather than a revenue problem, highlighting the need to control spending to stabilize the economy.
- Current Economic Landscape
- Inflation and Affordability: The conversation dives into the inflationary pressures faced by the lower and middle classes, discussing how assets versus liabilities impact different economic classes.
- American Dream: Bessent reflects on how the American dream has shifted, with fewer children out-earning their parents and the struggles faced by younger generations.
- Broader Economic Solutions
- Social Security and Sovereign Wealth Fund: Bessent proposes re-engineering Social Security into a sovereign wealth fund to invest in the economy rather than merely serving as a loan to the government.
- Energy Policy: The importance of cheap energy and its role in driving economic growth is emphasized, as well as the need for regulatory reform in energy markets.
- Role of Regulation
- Deregulation Efforts: The administration's goal of reducing regulatory burdens on banks and entrepreneurs to facilitate economic growth and innovation.
- Balancing Act: The need for responsible deregulation that doesn’t compromise economic stability or consumer protection.
- Collaboration with Congress
- Bipartisan Efforts: Bessent discusses the necessity of working with Congress to achieve financial goals and the challenges of political agreement on budget cuts and spending.
- Tax Cuts and Economic Growth: The relationship between tax cuts, economic growth, and government spending is explored, emphasizing the potential for a lower tax regime to drive higher revenues through growth.
- National Security and Treasury
- National Security Role: Bessent emphasizes the Treasury's role in national security, discussing sanctions and financial strategies against foreign adversaries.
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Conclusion The episode wraps up with reflections on the ongoing challenges and opportunities within the U.S. economy, the impact of political decision-making, and the hopes for a more equitable economic landscape moving forward. Bessent leaves listeners with a sense of urgency regarding the need for strategic reforms and collaborative efforts to address economic disparities.
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Episode Links and Resources
- Follow Secretary Bessent: [Twitter](https://x.com/SecScottBessent)
- Follow the Hosts:
- [Chamath Palihapitiya](https://x.com/chamath)
- [Jason Calacanis](https://x.com/Jason)
- [David Sacks](https://x.com/DavidSacks)
- [David Friedberg](https://x.com/friedberg)
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- [Gemini](https://www.gemini.com/allin)
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This detailed markdown file aims to encapsulate the key discussions and insights from the podcast episode featuring Scott Bessent, providing a structured format for easy navigation and understanding.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00Okay, we are here in Washington, D .C. in front of the White House. Having spent the afternoon with our friend David Sacks, our friend Elon Musk and others. We are here to learn about the debt, the deficit, what's going on in D .C. And we have an incredible interview lined up with Scott Becant, Treasury Secretary of the United States. It was amazing. And it's been an amazing afternoon and we're really looking forward to it. It was amazing. Well, this is the pre, the intro to the video. It will be amazing. It's not the pre. That's just the most important. We're going to pretend it's the pre. It will be incredible.
0:35It will be incredible. But how cool is the White House? And here's a bell. I'm pretty sure the bell cannot even describe to you the day we had, running around. It's incredible. Running around room to room in the White House. It was one of the best days of my life. It was incredible. I think this bell is probably pretty important. Can you guys get a shot of this bell? I don't know what it is, but it's really important. Yeah, the White House, the people, to a one, super kind, super open, super curious. I mean, did you felt it? You felt it? I accepted. Yeah, I felt it. But I got free soda. They have a soda machine where you can make any Coca -Cola flavor you want.
1:12In the White House, it was pretty cool. I like it. I do some hummus. I wrapped it on a paper -based, I punched it in the face. It was a cool afternoon. And this is, what is this? The East Wing of the White House. And we took a walk from the West Wing all the way over to the East Wing Do the portico and then we we snuck in or we didn't sneak in we walked in and then we're walking around the East Wing we went to all of the private rooms. I got great photos We'll slice them into this video and then some secret service dude comes up and he's like What do you do it here? This is the residents of the president.
1:43You have to get the He's like you need to go downstairs now, so we got kicked the fuck out, but it was an incredible Incredible tour super great. Yeah, anyway, we're excited for this interview with Scott Besson. Hope you enjoy it I'm doing all in. All right, best days. I think that was another epic discussion. People won the interviews. I can hear them talk for hours. Absolutely. We crushed your questions, amen. We are giving people round truth data to underwrite your own opinion. What do you guys think? That was fun. Power's great. I'm doing all in. Well, today's a really important day. We're joined by the 79th Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Besen.
2:18And this is an opportunity that we wanted to take as part of a longer form way of explaining to people not just how the economy works but in a little bit more detail, where are we in this moment in time? Where are we with deficits, tariffs, the budget, economic, monetary, fiscal policy? How do we make sure that we all understand the plan to make America great again? So Scott, thank you for joining us. Good. Thanks for having me. Thanks for having me. I actually want to start with, let's go back in the way back with you. So, South Carolina, your father was a real estate developer. Tell us where the passion for finance came from.
2:57Well, I don't know where finance in particular came from. As you mentioned, my dad was a real estate developer and he was kind of boom bus kind of guy. So I think that's when my passion for risk management came from. But I was very fortunate. Went to Yale wasn't sure what I wanted to do. 1980 when I got there, probably you all can't imagine this, but there used to be these things called punch cards and we're just going, the Yale computer system just gone from punch cards to screens. I was gonna be saying it'd be in a computer science major, maybe a journalist, because people actually used to read newspapers.
3:39So punch cards and newspapers from the way back machine. And I got an internship just for an individual. And he told me the investment business really well. And I, and who is that? His name is Jim Rogers. He's famous. He was George Soros' first partner. He had just completed and around the world motorcycle trip and written a book called Investment Biker. and a fascinating guy. And I did the investment business and I thought, this is really what I like because it's quantitative. So I had to use my quantitative skills, but you're all also constructing a narrative. And it's also human emotion. And you were trading equities, bonds, everything, currencies?
4:33Well, I started out with equities. Yeah. And I did that for several years. and then I actually ended up at Soros Fund Management, worked for a fellow who's my mentor, Stan Druckemauer, who's incredible, but I think he's on, he's more than 40 years now, never a down year, when you're sitting next to him, and what am I doing all day? And notorious for going all in, several times in his career. All in, all in, and... Only when he's right. Yes, well, but he is the best at changing his mind of anyone I've ever seen. So, Drock has that famous adage, invest and investigate. Well, he has several. And I'm trying to get him right a book because he has so many of these great things.
5:22Maybe you'll look at pressing, but invest and investigate. It takes courage to be a pig. Right. Right. So, and then I was hooked on markets because again, it was quantitative, it was qualitative, and it's real time, you get real time feedback all the time. And you could have a long -term view, but then you're trying to gauge the short -term against that. And I loved it. And for 35 years, I've gotten to, I did it was called macro investing. So eventually I was trading currencies, bonds, commodities, the equities, some credit. And I got to travel around the world meeting leaders and trying to figure out what the next move was in policy.
6:17I think this is important because I've spoken with folks who trade in macro and a big part of the role of being a macro investor macro trader Is really knowing where central bank action is going to be really knowing how Government bonds are going to move and spending time with economists not just central But around the world and learning a little bit about how capital is flowing all over the world It's that kind of the right way to describe that role of being a macro investor just for folks It's a lot of that. There's another great macro -investor called Bruce Cohner. He had the saying that he said, I succeeded because I could imagine a different future and believe it could happen.
7:04The keys to believe it could happen and then manage the risks. Could you imagine what would happen if the Iron Curtain came down? What would happen? I mean, you all do, those venture capitalists, but like, you know, how could the world live in a different state? Okay, well let's hold that idea and double click for us to 92. It's probably one of the most famous moments where the broader world at large met macro trading and this is really where you and Druck and Soros basically broke the back of the bank of England. And it's really an interesting window into assessing all of these things. So can you give us the conditions on the ground at that moment and what new reality you saw for England and then it would be great from there we'll contrast and compare it to America today.
7:59So it's a great historical example and it also kind of brings in three dimensions. So I was the analyst, Stan was the portfolio manager, and then in a way George was the risk manager. So I was running the UK office, I was on the ground in the UK, and I this light bulb go off, and I thought, the Fulcrums thought, or my differentiated view, was that the UK had They just had a big housing boom. And UK mortgages at that time, they didn't have long -term mortgages. They were all floating rates. So if the Bank of England raised rates on a Wednesday, your mortgage went up on a Friday. The UK had hooked into something called the Exchange Rate Mechanism.
8:51They had to balance versus the Deutsch Mark. They had to stay within a band. I noticed that if they raised, or I thought if they raised rates to try to stay in the ban and protect the currency, it would be unsustainable because British homeowners would get bankrupted. Stands rate of feet of analysis was figuring out that these bands set up this incredible asymmetric bet because I can push them up against one side of the band and their mandate is just to push me back to the other side. So we just lose two and a half percent. And Stan tells this great story of like telling George Soros, oh well you know here's what I want to do and he says he told him and George says, well, how much do you want to do?
9:49He said probably 100 % of the fund. And he said, so was giving this really sour look. And he thought that he'd said something wrong. Why wouldn't you do three times that? Anyway, it was, we pushed him against the band, the Bank of England, the British government had to buy the some limited amount of pounds. and they started raising interest rates and this was September of 1992 and Eventually they just weren't able to sustain the pressure from the high rates and came out and then the asymmetric risk Reward was we made about 20 something percent in a day and Back to what was really stands genius is I don't know if I need to be played back again but in Beckham and there's the move after the move.
10:46And so Stan, we'd made all that money and we were kind of your forec, okay now what? Because there's gonna be the trade after the trade. So we made that much in a day, but then it was actually the trade after the trade. This isn't well publicized. I think we made another 20 % during the rest of the year. Wow. So in that moment, And what you're really observing is that the real economy is somewhat dislocated, maybe meaningfully dislocated from the financial economy in your operating. And I think you've said this now many times and you've basically used the terminology of the Main Street Wall Street dichotomy.
11:26How do you observe the moment in 2025, the maybe what rhymes with the early 90s or other periods where you've been trading actively? Well, look, I think it goes back to something that's unsustainable, unsustainable. And one of the reasons I'm sitting here now is about 18 months ago, I went to see President Trump. I know the Trump family for 30 years. I've never known the President that well, but to tell him that I want to get involved in the campaign because I was so alarmed with what the Biden administration was doing with the deficit care. And less spending. Endless spending. Endless spending when we were in solid economic territory or not in the war.
12:23First time ever. And I thought it was very cynical. because I actually thought well we're gonna spend, spend, spend, and then there'll be no choice but to raise taxes. So you'd go into this equilibrium that you could just never get out of and you become kind of a European -style social - social democracy, you know, the malaise. And I also think they were very cynical on immigration because if you take, It was going to the stated number 12 million the president's number 22 million I Don't know what the truth is kind of leaning toward the president But it was oh, we're gonna let all these people across the board.
13:01You can't ever make them Problems too big to make them go home, but I like to stay in my finance lane So the finance lane was we're going to just go to the point of no return and kind of inflict these the progressive financial values on the country. There'll be no way out. You get a very meaningful wage suppression in that period. And you had an equity market that was incredibly well -bid, just because the money's probably was just always there. Well, it was always there. And you had these distributional aspects, because back to your question, Wall Street versus Main Street, that it was driving me crazy when Vice President Harris said, I'm going to fight for the middle class and she'd have associated the middle class or these policies inadvertent intentional had eviscerated the middle class and really the bottom 50%.
13:59So we're in this. Because purchasing power goes down, inflation went up. Well, if you didn't have assets. So that's really important. I think people don't understand this. that if you had stocks, if you had assets, your assets inflated. But if you didn't, the cost of everything inflated, but you didn't have the ability to purchase, because your wages don't go up. Yeah, and they not only did inflation go up, but if you look, Jason Trinnerd has this thing, I think, calls it the Everyman Index. And so CPI went up about 22 during the period. But the Everyman Index, I was up over 30, 35 % because the bottom, 25%, the bottom 50 % of wage earners have a different basket than we do and it inflated much faster.
14:51Do you use car prices or? Car insurance. Car insurance rent. Rents, groceries. And not only is it unfair, but it's just unstable. Great civil issues. Yeah, societal issues. And so, yeah. But sorry, as you guys got into looking at this, I remember Stan talking about this in the summer of 23. I think it was, or 23, yeah. And what was the point of view on what should have been done at that point in time? And then how much farther did it last? How much longer did it last? Well, I think what happened, the Democrats will tell you that the big spending bills were needed for rescue. And I would say in March of 21, the economy didn't need rescue as already in recovery.
15:46So these were rescue -sized packages. Even Larry Summers, I remember there was a great debate between Larry Summers and Paul and the federal reserve was, to the summer of 23, 22, federal reserve was very slow off the mark and we ended up, and again, imagine, top 10 % has assets, stock market is flying, you're in the bottom 50%, you have no assets but you have debt. So, we're going to have a lot of money So credit cards are up mortgages and possible to buy house prices that go on through the roof due to COVID. So it really did, like, in the American dream. And we've been suffering these distributional effects.
16:42Scott, what is the American dream today, do you think? I think the American dreams, what has always been. But after World War II, I think 90 % of American families, the children made more than the parents. Now I think it's 50 -50. But it's to own a home. It's financial security. It's to some level of comfort. It's purpose in your work. It's to be able to support your family, to be able to have choices, to not have to work too many jobs. I made a remark at the economic club of New York last week, two weeks ago, and Mike Pence decided he was gonna troll me. And because I said the American dream is not built on cheap goods.
17:37And he said, well, yes it is. and I just say with vice president Pence, this let them eat flat screens economic policy, is it what people want? They don't want the bubbles from China. It's like the old - They want progression. People want progression. I mean, I remember reading, I think Jonathan Height had some work on this a long time ago where happiness is measured by your change in net worth or income per year doesn't matter what your absolute levels are by all these social, economic kind of surveys that they do that feeling like you're having some progression in life is what folks are looking for.
18:18And I wonder whether solving for that we created a system, and I'd love your point out your read on this, that we said everyone should own a home, that's the American dream. And in order to do that, people put most of their net worth into a home, 60 % I think of middle class net worth is tied up in a single asset. and then in order to get them to feel like they're progressing, we've created a system of loans and a system of kind of economic and fiscal policy that ultimately drives the value of the home up every year. Now we're kind of in an unsustainable housing bubble. Most people can't even afford to buy a home.
18:51What did we get wrong there? And how does that affect what the American dream should look like going forward? Well, I think a lot of it's scarcity, because what you're talking about is, like Adam San Francisco, super tight zoning law. So there's scarcity for home. If you think like Ivy League education, all of a sudden you gave all these people access to Ivy League education. You brought in international students, but the number of degrees awarded Harvard Yale Princeton probably hasn't changed very much since the 1950s. So you created just this demand for scarce things which leads to this anxiety.
19:37But you also created, I think, a sense of hopelessness through... I can't access. I will never be able to pay down my student loan. I will never be able to afford a home. I can never see my income growing to give me access there. Yeah. And is that a dereg solution? Is that the attempt to first part of it is it's a data problem because in order for the government, I mean, the one thing that struck me about, I think, this Trump 2 .0 administration is, I think you have a better beat on the fact that this data is not as reliable as other administrations would say they were, in order to do whatever it is they wanted to do anyway.
20:20So it's sort of like, let me just find the data that justifies nice what my action is. And part of why you can't, I think, tell this story is, do you trust the GDP numbers? Do you trust non -Farm payrolls? Do you think these are reliable enough for you to act on behalf of the United States? No, look, there's subject to big revisions over time. And I thought one of the big mistakes the Biden administration made and think that as they made it, was they refused to vote. They went with the numbers, not what the American people were feeling. They said, no, it's a vibe session, and you really don't understand how good you have it.
20:59You know, this has happened, this has happened. When in reality, I was on Meet the Press yesterday, and there was something that said, well, the American people don't believe Donald Trump's doing enough on the economy. And I told the host, I said, you know, the one thing I'm not going to answer is that they don't know what they're talking about. I have to have respect for how they feel and then we need to go back and look at what is causing this anxiety. So that's what we're going to do. So let's peel the onion back. What do you think is causing this anxiety? Where are the levers that maybe the federal government can control in releasing some of the pressure and what are more market functions that just need to clear up some of these things?
21:47Well, look, I think there we're trying to do three things and I think you may have talked about it last week before The three legs on the stool, three legs on the stool and from the outside that you Intuited that very well. I would do just a little refinement on that. That's what I was going to ask you. Yeah, just tell me where I was right and wrong. But you were adjacent to everything. So on one, we are trying to bring down this massive federal debt cut the spending, but in a controlled way. You can't do it all at once. I don't like to repeat private conversations with the president, but I'll repeat this one because I think it's very...
22:37It really illustrates where his head was at. But first time I went to see it in the same, saw it at Mar -a -largo, and walked in the door, and it said, Scott, how are we gonna get these debt and deficits down without causing a recession? And that's exactly where we are now. How are we gonna get the debt and deficits down, not close the recession? And I said, sir, when you win, you didn't get us here. We're gonna set a goal by 2028. we want to get back to the long -term average. We're going to deflate it slowly. Long -term average being about 3 % deficit to GDP. About 3, 3 .5 % deficit to GDP. I keep saying the US, we don't have a revenue problem.
23:26We have a spending problem. Because we are averaging right about 18 % revenue and I'm talking about federal government only. We're at about 18 % and by administration blew it out, blew the spending out to 25. Normally, it's about 21, 21 and a half. We have the 2 % inflation nominal GDP, a real GDP is 1 .8, so we get nominal GDP, 3 .8, and it all works out. It was very, I had one of the heads of one of the Singapore poor sovereign wealth funds here last week. Guess what Singapore spends in terms of spending to GDP? That's a three percent. They have no deficit, but they spend 18 percent. 18 percent.
24:1718 percent. And he said, you know, he said, we have a lot in common with the Trump administration. We like small government. We don't like immigration, illegal immigration. And we like personal safety, which I thought was very interesting. Sorry. So let me just understand so deflating government spending is key, but the big challenge has been that we have now accumulated 30 some odd trillion dollars nearly of debt. And the interest on that debt has started to grow. We now have to pay 1 .2 trillion dollars in interest payments per year. So that starts to consume more of the spending budget that we have at the federal level, which means we can spend less on the rest of the federal government's programs.
25:03Meaning you have to cut a lot more than you otherwise would have, which is what makes it so difficult and so painful, is it realistic that you can get Congress to act in the way that Congress needs to act to get to the level that we need to get to, given the high interest payments and the high debt level that we have. Yeah, and with this Republican Congress, I'm not sure what a deficit hawk is, but I think I would qualify as one. And a lot of the Republicans, I actually have to coax him. You can't do this all at once. I was with one of the Congressional Budget Committees two weeks ago. And they really want to cut this fast.
25:45And I said, you do realize every 300 billion we cut is about a percentage GDP. So you could, so we are trying to land the plane well and the plan, because that's really what I would like to talk about today. I think there are three plans here. But plan one, we're going to deliver the government via the spending. We are also going to shed excess labor from the government. So on that side, and then on the other side, we're going to deregulate the financial system. The regulated financial system has really been what I call a regulatory corset for a long time. And as we deregulate that, then the private sector can re -leverage.
26:37The government, de -liveraging, private sector, re -liveraging, and the employment, or the folks who lost their government jobs will be picked up by the product. But this is really important, and I think this is the most critical thing. I'm really glad we got the chance to talk today, because I hear so much about the conversation on any one of these topics independent of the others, and there's a relationship between them that I think is critical to understand on how this administration is aiming to drive an economic recovery that is not inflationary and sustainable and also will allow people to have the American dream in a way that they can have access to today.
27:18And so part of fixing the affordability crisis is what can we come back and talk about if you want but where can we get prices down? You know, like eggs are easier, but the other side of getting prices down Is getting real wages up so on getting real wages for working people up It goes back to the Main Street versus Wall Street and the second plan is to The reorder the international trading system and bring manufacturing jobs back to the US and and have reinvigorate the middle class, because again, to use tariffs, they were needed to bring other countries into line. And to create an economic incentive to ensure for some industries and some supply chains?
28:18Well, so there's tariffs. Then I think there are three other things we can do, which are the centerpiece of the administration. We can have the glow and predictable taxes. We can substantially slash regulations because regulations are the equivalent of... A drive investment dollars, private investment dollars. And predictability in regulations. And then cheap energy. Right. And sorry, what is the relationship between the tax cuts and the getting to 3 %, 3 .5 % deficit as a percentage GDP. Especially because the CR unfortunately gave folks a get out of jail free card because we kept the $2 trillion cap for the next it alone.
29:09Yes, but you're gonna have, I've been in this building, I think this is my seventh week, present Trump, been back at the White House for eight weeks. So you actually do need time. So a lot of people who weren't happy about the CR, but shutting down the government would have been active either politically or economically. Sorry, does tax cuts get made up with tariffs or does tax cuts get made up with cutting government spending? Well, tax cuts will, so tax cuts and deregulation will change the growth trajectory. GDP. Well, growth GDP, if trend line has been 1 .8, if you can move the growth to three or above, then you really change their trajectory.
30:00And if you can keep expenses flat or do they unthinkable and cut expenses, then you can really... So this is important. So sorry, government revenue as a percentage GDP can go lower if you have lower expenses and a faster growing economy. I think that's like really important for folks to understand that relationship. And so in isolation, tax cuts might reduce revenue. But when done with reduced government spending and deregulation and a reordered international trade model, you theoretically will accelerate economic growth in this country, increase government revenue overall, even with a lower tax rate.
30:37That's kind of the thing. And I'll tell you, Shane on me, I was in the investment business 35 years. I talked very confidently that CBO scoring says this and it turns out I didn't know you know what about CBO scoring. Like when you're on this side of the wall you realize how crazy it is. Right. So just find a gameable system. It's very gameable and one of the most gameable parts of it is in normal CBO scoring that so we're calling we're saying that we want to renew the tax cuts. Right. We're actually just renewing the current tax regime that somehow, after they expire, then they go back to the old rate.
Read the full transcript
31:23Spending never changes. Spending never has to get renewed. And I think when I look and think about a mental model and how the systems work, how do they break down, one of the things that has caused this spending bulge is this idea that that you never had to restore spending. Oh, it's not. And the incentive model is when you have a constituency that you represent as an elected representative that's earning from that spending, they're telling you if you wanna get reelected, make sure my earnings stay and get me more. And then every year you've got a set of elected representatives who's, you know, primary objective in a democratic system is to go in and get more money for their constituents.
32:05How do we solve that problem? And how do you think about that? Well, when you got to get what you got to do, I do you think that that's true? Do you think that most politicians are here to just get money for the question? Yeah, I mean it's it's OPM. It's other people's money, but they Danny DeVito have that movie. But you would regard that as being a good politician, like you brought home the bacon for for your district. Yeah, that it because the CR, a lot of people didn't like it, but one of the things that a lot of people didn't like, there were no earmarks in it, but how dare they? Totally.
32:41The Christmas tree bill that kind of shows up at the 11th hour. Where everyone gets a little bit. Yeah. Can you talk about, so we talked about this deregulation as this one very important lever, right? So how do we add 50, 100 basis points of growth back in? We're going to do it through deregulation. How do you undo the financial corset, as you said? What are the, what are the sort of three or four big ideas that you'd like to affect? Yep, so we are re -examining all the bank regulations and why are they there? Why do banks have to, I can't remember, it's 5 % or 7 % to hold treasury bills? What are the regulations?
33:22Why do I have a whole group of community bankers or small banks here last week? And why do they have to hold the same amount of capital that JP Morgan and Wells Fargo and City hold when they don't have the complexity that they don't have, why do the regulators, one of these small bankers said, well, you know, Bank America does it this way. Bank America has a trillion dollars in deposits. This was $183 million dollar bank. Yeah, well when you look at the regulatory overhang of some of these things Basil one basil to you have all of these frameworks And then as a result all these Organizations that are running around trying to help you administer this complexity all it does is just lower economic activity in the end Well, and but it's I know you all talk about incentives a lot back to incentives.
34:13What's the regular regulators incentive? Just to keep keep tightening the core said. They don't care about growth They don't care about the common sense. Turn off, turn off every red. Get their job. If you had to create a metric then to say, OK, here's how we're going to measure this undoing of the financial course. Is it sort of the lending velocity by private lenders so that the private re -leveraging can occur? Is that a good way to think about that? Of course, of course, rates the way to think about it? Well, it doesn't have to be rates. If we do all the things I was just talking about, If we deregulate, if we have cheap energy, if we should access labor from the government, if we get government spending down, then inflation should come down, rates should come down.
35:05But on the question of how are we going to measure it, I don't have any problem with private credit. I actually think it's exciting. It's dynamic. It meets the business where it is. Yeah, I can. And the strength of the US financial system is the depth and now the breadth. But you could see that what's happened, that so much lending is being pushed outside the regulated banking system that tells you it's over -regulated. Right, yeah. So now, once we, so one test will be, how has bank lending, especially small regional small banks, community banks that come and and the small banks, the small banks and community banks.
35:54There's 70 % of agolones, there are 40 % of small business loans. And that's one of the reasons main streets been stifled. So can you talk about then how you will work with the Fed in sort of the change of all of this financial machinery? And do you need to work with Congress too to make these changes? And also just generally maybe your thoughts on just the Fed in this process of helper foe like where where do they sit? Well the Fed I 100 % support the Fed's autonomy in monetary policy. Yeah, I don't agree with it all the time, but the How it is it's how it is and And so, and I said, I won't comment on perspective policy.
36:43I can talk about their mistakes in the past, which have been numerous. But I think, like with any system, as it expands beyond sort of the core, I actually think that some of the things they've done in regulation, some of the things they've done in kind of climate and DEI, some of the things, maybe even non -standard monetary policy, threatens their independence. And I want them to stay strong, robust, and independent in monetary policy. On regulation, I think that they have been much too harsh on especially the smaller banks, medium banks. So there's three main bank regulators. There's the Fed, Office of Control, or the currency, OCC, and the FDIC.
37:39And then there are other regulators, the SEC, CFTC, but the banking regulators at the federal level, or those three, here at Treasury, we have something called FSOC, financial stability oversight council. and I chair that and via that the President's working group, which is another convening mechanism, that I plan to just keep pushing for safe sound and smart deregulation. Why are we doing this? Why are we doing that? Again, there's a capital charge to banks for buying treasury. totally. So I actually think there's a chance that if we take it's called the supplementary leverage ratio, if we take that away, it becomes a binding constraint on banks, we might actually pull treasury bill yields down by 30 to 70 basis points.
38:42Every basis point is a billion dollars a year. Can we talk about that for a second? So I think and I've said this for a year probably, but one of the biggest mistakes that I think Janet Yellen affected was this continued issuance of money on the short end of the curve to finance these deficits, which gives you, you inherit an incredibly difficult challenge, I think, over the next nine months. I think there's like nine or ten trillion that has to get refinanced. Do you want to talk about that? Yeah, look, I thought that it that when rates were low, you're supposed to turn out rates. Exactly. And instead, the the Treasury for the past few years has pulled rates in.
39:29And I think part of that was to keep rates lower that they they change the issuance schedule when rates move back up towards 5%, I have maintained that policy, but I'm maintaining it because it's going back to David's question. When are we going to see the results from this, getting the government spending under control? And I don't think the market's recognized it yet. Yeah, like again, if we don't they're not sure what to believe. I mean we hear this commentary a lot like what do you really what we? There's just a lot of uncertainty. There's a big spectrum of opinions there. Yeah Like the central value tendency you're right the central value tendency like what's the center of it?
40:21Because the range of outcomes is so so broad and And we know there's a problem there. We know there's waste fraud and abuse. Quantify it. Quantify it. So I think as we are more able to quantify it, we will get credit for it. So let me go back. So outside of waste fraud and abuse, as it's termed, I want to go back to the question I asked earlier, how much does this administration need Congress to act to get to 3 to 3 .5 % deficit to GDP? And how what's your read on the Congress and how willing and able they are to take the action that's needed here? Yeah, I think there are a lot of headlines, especially after the CR about the Democrats being in disarray.
41:10And media like, media likes to write about disarray. I think the under or untold story here is Republicans have for a change actually been very disciplined. And I think a lot of that President Trump is kind of shepherding the party, shepherding the movement. Imagine he said, oh, that Mike Johnson will never get reconciliation instructions out of, he's got such a slim majority. Well, he did it. He did it. Yeah. That he'll never be able to pass a clean CR. He did it. You did it. So let's see what happens with the budget. So we need Congress to be our partners on the budget. They're very engaged, the House and the Senate.
42:01That everybody recognizes that if we don't give this done, it's going to be the biggest, it's pass fail. It's the biggest tax hike in history. Where does Doge come in? Well Doge, that's the cost -cutting. And it's the first time we've really ever had business people look at it. That this Clinton Gore Commission that we hear a lot of like, or hear a lot about, I think it was a bunch of business school professors. And - But here you've got real CEOs, you got Lutnik, you got Bergham, you got Elon - I mean this cabinet is stock full of experienced operators that can go in and identify where there's an opportunity for saving the taxpayers money and still getting the results.
42:44Well, it's sad. And we had this crypto council meeting the other day, and I was sitting and looking at myself, secretary, and Kelly Lauper. Everybody was a market person. I forget business. But with Doge, that I am completely aligned with what Elon's doing. And everyone said, would you have to do it so fast? You have to do it. Like I said, I've only been in this business for seven weeks. I've only been in DC for eight weeks. The thing I can tell you is if you don't move fast, the vested interest will weigh you down. Like the quicksand will come up or the claws get set. The claws, yeah. Everybody's got lobbyists, everybody's got it.
43:35I mean, think about it within a 10 mile radius of here. 25 % of the GDP of the US pulsates through here. Pulseates. Every day. And everybody wants to just gimmel it all. I said to Elon, we're in a meeting, and I said, you know, people are mad at you because you're moving their cheese. And it's not their cheese. It's American people's cheese. 100%. Every dollar spent goes into someone's pocket, and that person's gonna fight to the nail to get that dollar to keep flowing into their pocket. And it's a very like there is no winning in Elon's role. There's every single time he takes action, there are people that are gonna come after him, that are gonna come after the administration.
44:20There's no situation, and obviously gets recast, reclassified in the media as being something different, but there's nothing but downside as you make these changes to individual organizations that participate. And then it takes a while for the flow of that money to find its way or those individuals to find their way back into the productive private economy, that's where I think there's a big gap and a big challenge in the perception of the actions that are going on with the changes right now, is everyone sees the cuts but they don't see the benefits. And that's nine months, 12 months, 15 months down the road, and that's a really hard thing to reconcile for most.
44:55Yeah, and I'd say there are a couple of things too, is one, everyone's hearing cuts and they think their government services are going to get. That's right, And they're not. I keep saying, it's the Department of Government Efficiency, not government extinction, not government elimination. And can we make it run much better with fewer people, with fewer calls? And I don't want to demonize any of these federal employees as I take in this building. I've been so impressed with the quality of the people. I would have hired them in my private firm. They are a great public servants. I need to stay for the weekend.
45:36I need a 25 page memo in 72 hours. The super high quality. I actually think when all this is done, there will have been two big savings. One will be on these contractors. Which we were just talking about this. We were just talking about this. We were just talking about the one in the West Wing. It's incredible that he said, I'm not going to name the firm, but he said this one organization gets 98 % of their revenue. I was in the newspaper so we can say it. It's Booz Allen. So we were talking about this. And then we were going to do the numbers on the other terms and it's just the whole thing. It's shocking.
46:13What kind of risk management is that, by the way? But it tells you that they didn't manage the risk. That's right. Tells you how entrenched they believe they were. And how good it is for them. And how good it is. You're absolutely right. And the way the grip works, you can only have six month contracts. but they're people who have had 46 -month contracts. They've been in situ for 20 years. Incredible. And it's this whole... I'm so happy there is transparency and visibility into this. If for nothing else, the administration providing this level of insight and data, I think is so important for taxpayers and individuals in this country to see, to recognize and importantly to understand just how much of this grift is going on.
47:00and it's frightening and I'm glad that it's like being addressed. And the American people can see that they want it. Well, this is what I was going to ask you. Let's just say that somehow the board slows this whole thing down. You know, what people say is that the conventionalism, well, then the only place to look will be things like entitlements. Good question, now. Do you think that that's true? Well, I think that now that the cat's out of the bag that the American people are not going to stay with us is that maybe, again, here, maybe in the Northeast quarter, there's some pushback. But when I've seen the polling data and the rest of the country does not want this to stop, And this administration is not going to stop.
47:53The courts, they're trying to throw sand in the gears with the courts and how some judge can say, oh, all these workers have to come back in. But I also think we move really quickly. Now I think when we start putting out some of the anecdotes and the messages and talk about what's happening. Like, I'll talk about it. I'll be talking about it soon, but there's one very large department that everybody deals with on April 15th, that their help desk is fully staffed 24 -7, 365 days a year. They have the same number of people on Christmas Eve as they have on April 14th. This, by the way, is something that I've seen being a lightning rod theoretically every dollar you spend on the IRS, you get $3 back or whatever it is, that's not necessarily true.
48:50Like, I just want to be clear that there's, you can still get all your tax revenue at the federal level, but you don't need to waste. Well, look, I mean, I'd be the ultimate chump if I said, oh, we're going to cut spending. But I also cut revenues with the IRS, which Treasury controls, my three goals are very simple. revenue enhancement, privacy, and customer service. Totally. You know, there's a body of knowledge that says, if we just fed in, and by the way, four or five of these companies can do this now, if we just fed in this entire federal tax code into these AI models, what you can give to Americans is a very guaranteed resolute ability to file taxes with the assurance that there is no waste fraud in the abuse.
49:38And now, all of a sudden, you take this incredible weight off of people's shoulders. Sometimes it is said that you get audited for almost political reasons it seems like. People that... Not almost. We had a big announcement on Tuesday and we brought in the two hundred Biden whistleblowers who have a lot to say about who gets audited, who doesn't. They're going to be sitting in this building, working on IRS matters, and understanding exactly how these audits get triggered, how these political witch hunts happen, and trying to change the ethos of the building. And again, 99 % of the people at the IRS are good people.
50:28It's just like all these other agencies where they're bad folks. But to your point, this is where technology can create very reliable guardrails for the American citizen. You're aware it's like, okay, well if this model says I owe a thousand dollars in tax, this is it, I'm not trying to change anything. I've felt all the effort. Software first, then you just know. Let me go back to entitlement. I talked last week on our podcast about social security. Social security has a $2 .7 trillion balance, which is just basically a treasury bond that they can't trade out of. Should social security have invested in the S &P or invested in equities, and why don't we turn social security into a sovereign wealth fund and invest it for the benefit of all Americans going forward?
51:17Yeah, I think like there's the optimal than there's the possible. George W. Bush tried to privatize social security And I saw your numbers, listen to your numbers going way back. 1971. 1971 and with 15, 16 trillion that we'd have. I don't know what the numbers are since W tried it. Yeah. They'd be substantial. We wouldn't be thinking about a problem in a few years. But I think now you gotta play the hand your dealt. I think we are dealt with Social Security hand. and I think maybe we could re -engineer it if we could create the sovereign wealth fund and have that on the other side. There are a lot of philanthropists who are looking at baby bonds.
52:09So if you can create an investment account for newborns, then that would run on a parallel track to Social Security. So that would be compounding. the other thing would be a safety net. Yeah, but it's still sitting in treasuries on the other side. Yeah. And that's where there's an opportunity, not just to drive up returns, but participate in American economy and give all Americans today the ability to know that they have some participation in American economy rather than having their retirement funds being sitting as a loan to the federal government for spending, which I think could be a big dramatic change.
52:49I don't know if they need to be independent, but I would, I think it's a, it's a real opportunity for us. Are you excited by the idea that sovereign wealth went? I am. I'm excited by the idea. This is President Trump. Everything he does isn't an straight line, but I guarantee you, he has a destination in mind. And the idea that he's going to be the first president in generations who is going to, he wants to create assets for the American people, not just debt. So he wants to take the debt down and then this idea of assets There's a lot of talk about this economic deal. We're gonna do with Ukraine That would have gone in the sovereign wealth button.
53:35Right. Yeah government has big stake and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Yeah When it comes out of conservatorship where does that go? Where does that go? As you meant Doug Doug Bergham did great work when he's governor of North Dakota North Dakota has the equivalent of two states sovereign wealth for The seven eight nine hundred thousand people. I think they had twenty five billion dollars, right? And Alaska permanent the Alaska permanent, but all that's from the natural resource money going in yeah So to the extent we start the other day when the sovereign wealth fund was announced, President Trump surprised me and the Oval and said could you make a few remarks and said well, we're gonna mobilize the assets side of the balance sheet.
54:27And all the gold must have is gonna re -value the gold. I can say today we're not re -valueing the gold. But what we are gonna do, Doug Burrum, and Interior, every other department head is looking for the assets that we can mobilize. So if we have energy leases, federal government owned back to the housing shortage, federal government owns a lot of land in downtown urban areas. Can we or in suburban adjacent things in Nevada and Utah, can we use that land? Do you see a wave of privatizations as a way to sort of both pay down the deficits and debts and also just to? That's important to me like why put it in a sovereign wealth fund versus paid on the dead help help kind of do the finance math for us Oh, could you think you get a higher return right well Anything that beats our current return our current interest rate.
55:21Yeah, I mean Not not that in keeping score not that I watch it closely, but the tenure treasury today is 428 428. Yeah, so Can we responding well? Can we can we do better? Yeah, for can we do better than 428? And I think with this group and this cabinet, and if we can put in right now, we're working on the study group for the sovereign wealth fund and we want to do best practices. We're talking to people around the world. We're talking to investment people. We're talking to a lot of the other big sovereign funds. And we're going to do best practices. And we want this to be a legacy of that. Totally.
56:03Well, well, Dan Loeb made this comment that the Australian superannuation, They've got 30 managers and they have as much on their balance sheet today and their fund Then social security does about three trillion dollars and they have seven percent of our population No, it's incredible. It's incredible I was with one of the Middle Eastern funds and I said something about oil running We haven't had an injection into the fund in 20 years. Why was this such a mis for America? What happened in the United States was that we took every excess dollar we had and we invested it in the future. We built infrastructure.
56:42What happened that kept us out of this model where others were so successful and clearly have now gotten ahead of us and their people have a greater kind of safety net than we do. Yeah, I think it was just this idea of it is supposed to be a safety net, not some kind of prosperity ramp. The old age and survivor's disability insurance fund. That's what it's called right under social security. You've mentioned cheap energy as a critical part of this holistic program. I think three times now. Where do we make mistakes in that path where energy gets out of control? What do we need to do to make sure that energy actually the incremental cost of the electron basically goes to zero?
57:27Well, I think the biggest challenge we're having right now is trying to get private sector to lock in for some things that might not have a payoff for five, ten years. And how do we avoid student body left, student body right, with administrations coming and going? So we're trying, we're working on that. Well, this is an incredibly nuanced and I think an important point because we have this very vibrant as you know tax equity and transferability market that allows a lot of these organizations to make these five and ten year investment cases. And you know for all the issues with the IRA of which there are many.
58:08I think the one narrow aspect that it did was it calmed the markets about the future of those specific ITC credits and transferability. And it's a critical thing because there was a report, you probably saw it, but, you know, FURK said 90 plus percent of our incremental electrons as of December were from sources that were leveraging these ITC credits and that transferability. So to your point, we have this very delicate balancing act of making sure we... There's the tax side, but then the regulatory side with fossil, it's tougher because it It crosses a lot of state lines. There's a lot more permitting, a lot less permitting for solar farms, for wind, for geothermal.
58:52Yeah. Yeah. And nuclear? Nuclear is going to be a big part of it, but it's not going to happen tomorrow. We got to fix the supply chain and the regulatory. Well, we got to fix the supply chain. We got to fix the regulatory.
59:09We've got to decide which model are we going to go with. And I'm told that YouTube probably know more about nuclear than I do, but it's okay. Well, no, I don't hate it. I mean, I like nuclear. I just think it's 10 years old. He's a loser. Go listen to him. Yeah. It's just not an investible thing for the next one. Well, but it's important because the question is when it becomes one, that's when we know we fix the problem. But to the point that it's not investible, that's where the government needs to step forward. That's a hundred percent. That's where we have to bridge to the technology. We have to do the time arbitrage.
59:49And also I'm told especially with the smaller plants that you need to cluster them. And you've got to find somebody who wants to cluster them. Let me ask you one more question as we kind of get to the end. but what's been the most surprising thing for you in this role since you've been in office? The national security aspect. I would say 40, 50 percent of my day, Treasury does a lot of national security work. Whether it's syphias in terms of foreigners who want to buy U .S. assets, whether it's sanctions, whether it's OFAC, anti -money laundering. we've just designated the Mexican cartels as foreign terrorist organizations.
1:00:41We present Trump over the weekend launched a very aggressive strike on missile strike on the HUTI assets. Well, underneath that, we'd already been working for several weeks on their bank accounts. So, or anyone who's adjacent to them, the Iranians supply the Houthis with the their ecosystem previous to my getting here a Treasury had just ruptured the ecosystem so much that The Iranians used to hand them cash now. They're just handing them here take take this oil tanker and try to sell it Right, so like there is the ability to break that down when you go home and you're talking to your kids, you're talking to your husband, and you're like, this was so cool.
1:01:35There must be these moments where you're like, this was so cool. Do you have any anecdotes that you're comfortable sharing where you're like, this is like, I can't believe I'm doing this job? Well, there have been several, but a good example, my family is actually there because after the inauguration, I asked President Trump, I had bring my family and say hello, get a photo, and we're sitting in the oval, so it's myself, my 11 -year -old daughter, my spouse, 15 -year -old son, and the President Trump's having a great conversation with them. And then he said, well, Scott, while you're here, let me call in these other two people, and we need to discuss this.
1:02:19So, they actually got to see government being done live. So, there's that. I have to say, I think the moment with President Trump, vice -president Vance, President Zelensky, was kind of a once in a lifetime thing in the oval outfit. I hope it's once in a lifetime. And I was sitting there in the front row of history, a vice president, Secretary Rubio, myself on the sofa, and watching President Zelensky do what I thought was the biggest diplomatic own goal in history. Yeah, I think you said it very well in TV afterwards. It really, really was based on. And you said, because you were there, you tried to negotiate with him in Kiev.
1:03:14It was a very escalated, I think, use the word escalated or high decibel conversation. High decibel, yes. Yeah. So, but it kind of, my job for 35 years was to be outside the room, trying to put my ear to the door, maybe lift myself over the transome, figure out what the leaders needed to do, were going to do, and then how it would affect the market. And now it's fantastic and amazing and stimulating and a little scary being the person in the room who has to what should we do, what can we do, how is it going to affect the markets, how is it going to affect the real economy, that what's it going to do to working people in America?
1:04:03So how do we fix affordability? We're just going to have to go through and where's the problem? What's the solution in terms of like, or are the insurance markets broken? What can we do? There's been no, and I've been involved in the house building business. There's been no technological change in house building in 50 years, maybe 60. Some of the building codes go all the way back to the Chicago Fire. So what can we do that the way we categorize housing, it's stick built or modular? Is there something in the middle prefab? Is the more that comes out of a factory, the more that it's standardized, that neighborhoods from DC, from DC, to Bethesda, to Potomac, to, like, you could be in contiguous neighborhoods, and if they're different municipalities, they'd all have different building codes, not zoning, building.
1:05:11And why is that? Like, they're adjacent. Why do the houses have to be? So, is there some kind of window guidance that the federal government can give in terms of the more that comes out of the factory, the cheaper it will be, the faster we can make it, things like that? Is there pressure that you can apply or influence you can apply? One of the things you mentioned earlier was just, you know, take San Francisco. There's an artificial constraint that's created by the zoning paradigm, and it's not clear how you unlock that. You know, maybe is it up to private citizens to sort of like have regime change at the local level?
1:05:48But how do we sort of unclog that part of it to marry up with this kind of stuff because it would be great if you could just build up in many places? Yeah, well, I think there are a lot of things where you can look around and find what's interesting That something what's something that's interesting this being done somewhere so I I lived in Greenwich, Connecticut for a while. Maybe the richest suburb in America. There's a ton of multi -family there. Very expensive, very nice multi -family. There's some affordable housing. But Greenwich is not all 10 acres and a horse farm. The state of Connecticut has put in a, I guess it's a law, that every municipality has to allocate 10 % of vacant land to multifamily.
1:06:42And if the zoning board won't give you a hearing, you as a developer, you as a nonprofit for housing can go over the top and go to Hartford. And then Hartford will give you the authority. Well, no town wants the state doing on their behalf. So now the town's negotiating. So, I think that there are a lot of things that can be done. Again, on insurance, is there something that I've been thinking about? Is there something the federal government could do for California? Where we come in, everyone's paying homeowners insurance, then there's re -insurance on top of that. Then I think the California re -insurance company is called Fair on top of that.
1:07:34So it's it will it's a separate plan, but yeah, but it's it's it's it's it's it's It's that's it's that's it's that's it's that's it's it's there's something we could do Where you put another layer of private money in there and then the federal government is the fifth risk Tranche right but it's a federal government comes in Can we mandate down here? proper hygiene changes in the building code. Well, changes in the building code, changes in brush cutting. And material choices. Yeah, right, right, right, yeah, makes sense. Right, so I think there's a lot. And obviously energy, I mean, just getting back to affordability, right?
1:08:13Energy costs come down. That's the thing. That's the way it works. Sorry, yeah. No, no, no, no, no. I mean, energy cost or energy cost, but then there's also the, for food, the transportation cost of getting it to the grocery store. or everything that's made out of petroleum products. So I think we can do that. And I think there's a lot to do. Yeah. And it shouldn't be too hard. So we should probably be announcing in about 10 days, we're going to have an affordability czar. But it's going to be someone with a lot of experience in supply chains figuring out what are a lot of the quick fixes is what you can do.
1:08:58Because back to the question, what really has people anxious, it inflation for now is actually pretty close in. And, but the affordability has gotten so away from everyone that how can we bring that down? Yeah, yeah, good. For all our friends at home who talk a lot about The conversation about climate change and carbon -free, I think one of the things that I always point out to people is the cheapest way of driving energy production in this country is there's a low carbon or carbon -free alternative that's out there that's actually cheaper than standing up new plants and there's an acceleration.
1:09:45I don't know how much this administration thinks about that relationship, but it seems to me like if we can unlock energy production, costs come down and this economy transitions. Well, transitions, and I think it's also not being dogmatic. Totally. I saw what the Biden administration did with EVs. I have an EV. I can't wait for it to come up, please. But also have a hybrid, and I think I fill it up maybe three times a year. But this administration had a G -Hod on hybrids because they didn't pass the purity test. Yeah. Well, they were picking winners and losers in a way that a lot of us were left scratching ahead.
1:10:24Yeah. Yeah. And I think cheap energy solves a lot of problems. I think it'll and cheap energy is energy security too. 100 percent. Because that's why Europe's going to over -barrel it literally. And it's why the Russian war machine hasn't again literally run out of gas. And to the extent that we believe we're in an existential arms race for technical supremacy, It's really on one dimension, which is AI, and that is so needy of energy. So if we don't pull all of these issues together and realize that we need to basically take the incremental cost to zero, whatever we do, we need to create incentives and hack us it all together.
1:11:08I mean, we can't compete manufacturing as an energy. We can't compete with that energy. Yep. Yep. I mean, we're not going to crush labor like China and some other countries have done. So we got a crushing energy price. Exactly right. And when you're in the oval, what are the truths and misconceptions of the president? Meaning of the outside and what people know or don't know? Well, how about this? We had a lot of foreign leaders come in and I used someone in one of their entourage as I won't tell you which one. But afterwards he comes up to me and goes, holy crap, because he's really smart. President Trump has perfect recollection because he was talking about something that had happened in that country 30 years ago, and he's sending you really.
1:11:58So the President from Lissons, he is judicious, he is just taking it all in. He likes to see how people react. It's just incredible executive skills. Yeah, and the other thing too, that he's tough, but I went in and I showed him what we were talking about something the other day and I said, well, this is going to cause us some layoffs. Well, let's try to fix it. Yeah, yeah. Let's try to fix it. So I always say he really regards himself as the mayor of America. Right. Yeah. 330 million people. He wants to be personable to everyone. And he cares deeply about all of them. And he doesn't care whether you're Elon Musk or the guy cutting the rose garden, but you're his constituent.
1:12:54Right, well Scott, thank you so much for taking the time. This has been a wonderful pleasure and we really appreciate the insight. We wish you the best. Yeah, and thanks for the service and thanks for doing the role. Good, thanks for the city. Thanks, Scott.
1:13:11I'm doing all of you.
From the publisher
(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg describe their adventures in DC and welcome Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent!
(2:12) Scott's background, what drew him to equities, the role of macro investors
(7:22) The legendary trade that broke the Bank of England in 1992, and how it relates to Main Street vs Wall Street today
(21:30) Scott explains the Trump Administration's economic strategy
(32:45) How this administration plans to de-regulate the economy, Fed relationship, re-financing debt
(42:06) DOGE, DC grifts, shakeup at the IRS
(50:51) Re-engineering social security through the US SWF, how energy factors in
(1:00:02) Surprises, fixing affordability, thoughts on President Trump
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