Honeywell to Sell Productivity Business in $1.4 Billion Deal

20 Apr 2026 · 23 min · 12 chapters

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In short

The episode covers multiple Bloomberg Intelligence segments. First, Honeywell plans to sell its productivity business in a $1.4B deal; Bloomberg’s Leanna Baker says Honeywell has been reshaping its portfolio via spinoffs (aerospace and chemicals/Solstice) and exploring options since last July. The buyer is Brady Corporation, a Milwaukee-based public company founded in 1914, which will grow significantly (Brady market cap about $3.9B; $1.4B cash paid). Baker argues industrials are slimming down and that spinoffs are investor-friendly; she notes possible further deals, especially around software-like offerings and Honeywell’s quantum push (Quantinuum). Other guests: Scott Howe (LiveRamp CEO; data collaboration platform for secure integrations, permissions, governance) and Uma Moriarty (Center Square investment strategist; discusses real estate in a higher-rate era—favoring essential service retail, senior housing, and data centers; cautious on multifamily due to supply/demand mismatch).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Honeywell's Strategic Moves

0:56 to 2:27

Discussion on Honeywell's recent $1.4 billion deal and portfolio reshaping.

“So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises.”

Industry Trends in Diversification

2:27 to 4:33

Insight into why large industrial companies are divesting assets and reshaping portfolios.

“To break that down for us, Leanna Baker from Bloomberg News joins us here.”

Brady Corporation's Growth Strategy

4:33 to 5:48

Exploration of Brady Corporation's acquisition and its implications for growth.

“We've definitely seen industrial companies get more into software.”

LiveRamp's Role in Data Collaboration

8:13 to 14:05

Interview with Scott Howe on how LiveRamp facilitates data collaboration for businesses.

“See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures.”

The Role of Data in Healthcare Marketing

14:05 to 15:30

Exploring how data-driven marketing initiatives can save lives in healthcare.

“I can understand brands and consumer brands in particular really embracing this.”

Oil Price Trends and Market Influences

18:19 to 19:10

A discussion on the factors influencing current oil prices and market outlook.

“You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast.”

Supply and Demand in the Oil Market

19:10 to 21:32

Understanding how global supply affects oil pricing and demand destruction.

“is the one that's blocking the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is not playing a role.”

Impact of Global Economics on Oil Prices

21:32 to 22:55

Exploring the implications of economic trends on oil price stability.

“prices forever, and that, I think, is what's accelerating.”

Real Estate Market Dynamics

24:34 to 28:01

Insights on how interest rates and economic factors influence real estate trends.

“Small businesses are the pulse of every community.”

Real Estate Sector Insights

28:01 to 29:07

Learn about the attractive sectors in real estate and the current market dynamics.

“Uma, what sectors in the real estate business are attractive to you guys these days?”
Show all 12 chapters

Multifamily Market Dynamics

29:08 to 30:24

Discover the complexities in the multifamily real estate market and the factors affecting demand.

“A lot of the senior housing space, especially with enlisted real estate space, is really compelling today.”

Investment Strategies in Real Estate

30:25 to 32:08

Explore effective strategies for deploying capital in the current real estate environment.

“So I think from a labor market perspective, we've seen this malaise, which also means that demand for new multifamily renters is a little bit low.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00For years, the conversation around Bitcoin was the same. Is it real? And does it belong in a portfolio? While others debated, CoinShares got to work. In 2015, they launched the world's first Bitcoin EDP, regulated, listed, and built for institutional investors. Long before the U.S. market caught up. Today, they manage over$6 billion in assets and have remained profitable through every market cycle, including the 2022 downturn. What sets them apart? They're not a crypto exchange chasing trading fees, not a company betting its balance sheet on Bitcoin, not a mining operation. CoinShares is an asset manager with recurring fees, a fixed cost base, and a business model you can actually model.

0:39Now listed on NASDAQ under ticker CSHR. Learn more at coinsharesipo.com.

0:56So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises. So let's talk about results. At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need. Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions. Not noise. Proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business.

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2:24business in a$1.4 billion deal. To break that down for us, Leanna Baker from Bloomberg News joins us here. And I talked to us about Honeywell here because I'm looking at this stock's off just a couple, you know, about a buck and a half here today, but it's up 19 % year to date. What's Honeywell doing with this transaction? Honeywell has been for years now trying to, you know, reshape its portfolio. They've never met a spinoff they don't like. They're spinning off their aerospace division. They've already spun off their chemicals unit. That's a whole separate company called Solstice. So they love doing deals.

3:01They also do acquire things. But in this one, it's been a long simmering situation. They announced last July that they were exploring options for this unit along with another unit that they haven't sold yet. And we had been tracking this one for months. We thought private equity would come in, but ultimately Brady Corporation, another public company based in Milwaukee is swooping in for this, and it's going to make it a much larger company.

3:27Scarlet Fu:And it's not just Honeywell either. 3M has looked into selling assets too. What is it about these big industrials that at one point like to be big, like to be diversified, are now in love with the idea of slimming down, realigning their portfolios, divesting assets? What happened in the thinking? We're seeing it across industries, not just in the industrial space. For whatever reason, every few years, diversification becomes popular with investors. And we see, you know, GE buying NBC and those types of things to look back at history. And then eventually we get into spinoffs, which are now investor friendly.

4:04And it doesn't take much to, you know, boost your stock. If you say you're going to sell units or spinoff into public companies, some public companies are now have turned into a dozen companies. It's quite amazing to watch. So it looks like I'm just going to have the PGEO function on the Bloomberg Terminal Honeywells down to kind of four lines of business, aerospace, technologies, building automation, industrial automation, and energy and sustainability. Are they comfortable with their portfolio, generally speaking, now? Or do you think we'll get more deals here? I wouldn't rule them out for doing more M &A to actually, you know, as they reshape their portfolio, think what makes sense.

4:40We've definitely seen industrial companies get more into software. I know software has kind of fallen out of favor right now, but there's definitely these sort of big hardware software products that might be hard to disintermediate with AI, so that's one area to look. They've also invested in quantum computing. Quantinium, a company that Honeywell owns, they've been trying to take that one public. That's another one to watch, but we'll see under their CEO, Vimal Kapoor, they've definitely been making a lot of moves to just reimagine what Honeywell is. And what about Brady?

5:16Scarlet Fu:Is Brady looking to get bigger? I mean, it's buying this business from Honeywell, but can we expect more dealmaking from Brady? They'll definitely get bigger. Before this deal, they had about a$3.9 billion market cap, and they're paying$1.4 billion cash. So this is by far the largest deal ever for Brady, a Midwest company founded in 1914. They make some of these products already. So this will help them maybe corner the market in this sort of industrial barcode, logistics scanning type stuff. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this. For years, the conversation around Bitcoin was the same.

5:55Is it real? And does it belong in a portfolio? While others debated, CoinShares got to work. In 2015, they launched the world's first Bitcoin EDP, regulated, listed, and built for institutional investors. Long before the U.S. market caught up, Today, they manage over$6 billion in assets and have remained profitable through every market cycle, including the 2022 downturn. What sets them apart? They're not a crypto exchange chasing trading fees, not a company betting its balance sheet on Bitcoin, not a mining operation. Coinshares is an asset manager with recurring fees, a fixed cost base, and a business model you can actually model.

6:31Now listed on NASDAQ under ticker CSHR. Learn more at coinsharesipo.com.

7:06Scarlet Fu:Thank you. action? Do that with Acrobat. Want to stop searching for files and finally get everyone on the same page? Do that, do that, do that with Acrobat. Learn more at adobe.com slash do that with Acrobat. Support for the show comes from Public. Lately, it feels like there are two types of investing platforms. Some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades, and others feel less like investing and more like a game. Public is positioned differently. It's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth. On Public, you can build a portfolio of stocks, options, bonds, crypto without all the bugs or the confetti.

7:49Retirement accounts? Yep. High yield cash? Yes again. They even have direct indexing. Public has modern design, powerful tools, and customer support that actually helps. Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market. Ad paid for by Public Holdings. Brokered services by Public Investing, member FINRA SIPC. Advisory services by Public Advisors, SEC Registered Advisor. Crypto services by ZeroHash. All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast.

8:28Catch us live weekdays at 10 a.m. Eastern on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube.

8:39Scarlet Fu:Speaking of AI, when every industry is navigating rapid change driven by this technology, one company is focused on helping them unlock better performance through data collaboration. So I want to bring in now Scott Howe. He is CEO of LiveRamp. And Scott, before we get into exactly how your company does what it does, just explain what LiveRamp does. What's the mission behind LiveRamp? What problems are you trying to solve? Sure. You just talked about how fuel stocks are up today. And data is the fuel for the future in a technology world. What LiveRamp does is it makes data safe and easy for companies to use.

9:15We manage their integrations, their security, their permissions, and their acceptable uses through our data collaboration platform. So to what extent are retailers, brands embracing AI? Because it feels like we're super, super early innings here. And I think companies by and large across all industry types are trying to figure out what this thing is. Is it friend or foe? What are you finding? Yeah, well, I'll tell you, retailers are going to follow consumers and consumers are embracing AI. Search is being replaced by AI in terms of discovery. And if you've done any kind of AI-driven commerce where you're looking for products, you know it's just a transformational experience.

10:06So companies have to move. They have to stay current. And so for the next five years, AI is going to be probably the only thing retailers are talking about.

10:19Scarlet Fu:So when you talk to brands right now, how AI-ready are they? How do you assess their level of readiness? Well, I'd say it's early stages. But that said, we don't work with a company that isn't collecting information, creating a value exchange for consumers and doing things with that information to give their customers a better experience. Items that they might like, different value propositions, access to unique content. And so they're getting increasingly sophisticated about how to have the conversation with consumers. And, you know, every company in the world is looking at who the winners have been in the stock market for the last 20, 30 years.

11:08And the winners have been companies that are really sophisticated with data. And so, if you want to be a winner in the stock market, you have to be more sophisticated. So, I think consumers and the market forces, both of those things are driving adoption. What is data collaboration? Yeah, it's a great question because what companies have realized is they can't go it alone. It's really hard to out Amazon, Amazon. Amazon has so much information. But when a company like Nike gets together with its retailers or a company like Disney gets together with its advertisers and they start to collaborate on the data that they have, they can actually out Amazon, Amazon, out Google, Google, and create really interesting insights that drive better value to their customers.

12:06Scarlet Fu:That all sounds great, but how do they, I guess, maintain control, ensure privacy, and really have a handle over governance over their own data because they're collaborating with other partners and they're sharing this information. Yeah. So two words, LiveRamp. That's why we exist. Rather than a big company having to go secure hundreds, if not thousands, eventually of one-off business development agreements governing how data can be utilized. Instead, they can just use LiveRamp. We manage all those things for them. Any participant can set their permissions and their acceptable use so that they know that their partners are respecting their data.

12:53And ultimately, we think there's a big role for consumers to play in this long term as well. AI means that the power of data eventually swings to consumers. And as a consumer, I would want my data to be portable and I'd want it to be very transparent. If I go surf on, say, I watch programming on Netflix, shouldn't I be able to download my viewing history and use it next time I'm on Prime to get similar recommendations of shows that might matter to me? I know we're early in, Scott. How are consumers using AI in just kind of their shopping behavior now? And maybe how do you think that's going to evolve?

13:35Yeah, it is early. But I would say, you know, particularly amongst the younger generation, folks that are, you know, up to age 30, it is absolutely essential because you're using it to help you do the research on what products that you might want to buy, gather testimonials. testimonials. And increasingly, say, like through Google AI shopping, you can actually consummate a purchase within the AI browser that you're using.

14:09Scarlet Fu:I can understand brands and consumer brands in particular really embracing this. How are you seeing this show up among companies and industries that are also consumer facing, but maybe have not had to go out and chase consumers in quite the same way, healthcare companies, for instance? Yeah, you know, it's interesting. Probably the proudest moment I've had in one of our town halls is we had a company called Truth Social, that's the settlement of big tobacco, come in and speak to our folks a few years ago. And they talked about how they're using technology, how they're using data, how they're using LiveRamp.

14:46And the punchline was, it's saving lives. And they shared how many lives they think that they've saved by applying data, helping to market to young people about the dangers of tobacco and drugs. So I think data has such an important role to play in perhaps industries we don't even think about, because wherever we can bring information to bear to make a better decision, whether it be for a business or for a consumer, shouldn't we want to do that? Of course, but always within the control of those that are being affected by that decision. Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

15:46Scarlet Fu:collaborative workspace to streamline every file and comment. So if you need six departments to finally agree on a proposal, do that with Acrobat. Need to turn a mountain of feedback into one plan of action? Do that with Acrobat. Want to stop searching for files and finally get everyone on the same page? Do that, do that, do that with Acrobat. Learn more at adobe.com slash do that with Acrobat. Support for the show comes from Public. Public is an investing platform that offers access to stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. And they've also integrated AI with tools that can assist investors in building customized portfolios.

16:25One of these tools is called Generated Assets. It allows you to turn your ideas into investable indexes. So let's say you're interested in something specific like biotech companies with high R &D spend, small cap stocks with improving operating margins, or the S &P 500 minus high debt companies. Chances are, there isn't an ETF that fits your exact criteria. But on public, you just type in a prompt and their AI screens thousands of stocks and build a one-of-a-kind index. You can even backtest it against the S &P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks. Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio.

17:04That's public.com slash market. Add paid for by Public Holdings. Brokered services by Public Investing, member FINRA SIPC. Advisory services by Public Advisors, SEC Registered Advisor, crypto services by ZeroHash. Sample prompts are for illustrative purposes only, not investment advice. All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures.

17:24Scarlet Fu:Being a small business owner isn't just a career, it's a calling. Chase for Business knows how much heart and effort go into building something of your own. That's why they make business growth their priority. The Chase team takes the time to understand your mission, where you are now, and where you want to go. Their broad range of solutions is designed with you in mind so you can bring your ideas to life. From banking to payment acceptance to credit cards, you can conveniently manage all your business finances all in one place with their digital tools. Looking for tips and advice? Their online resources are always available to give you the solutions you need to help your business thrive.

18:02Scarlet Fu:See how your business can get stronger and go farther with Chase for Business. Learn more at Chase.com slash business. Chase for Business. Make more of what's yours. The Chase mobile app is available for select mobile devices. Message and data rates may apply. JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. Member FDIC. Copyright 2026. JPMorgan Chase and Company. You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at 10 a.m. Eastern on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts or watch us live on YouTube. Oil prices have reversed Friday's declines.

18:42Scarlet Fu:They're marching higher with Brent now up about 5.7 percent. WTI gaining more than 6 percent, just below$89 a barrel here in the U.S. Mike McGlone is our senior commodity strategist joining us from Miami. So, Mike, I'm trying to understand these latest headlines from President Trump saying that he is not going to open up the Strait of Hormuz, even though Iran desperately wants him to do so. That presupposes that the U.S. is the one that's blocking the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is not playing a role. But I want to get from you a sense of what is actually moving oil prices right now these days. Is it an opening of the Strait of Hormuz?

19:24It definitely is, Scarlett. I think the market's getting past that a little bit and realizing it's a bit of a battle of the bulge. It'll figure it out. It'll be opening up to question how you do it. I think the ideal way Mr. Trump wanted was to repress the offensive abilities of Iran to close this strait, which they still have. But from a crude oil standpoint, the rest of the world is breaking and breaking hard. Pretty severe demand destruction. And the U.S. so far is OK. Now, right now, WTI is around $89 a barrel. I think that high at$120 isn't as during as that peak in 2020 at$130 was. And now it's probably stuck between$80 and$100 a barrel.

20:01And there's one key thing I reiterated today, wanted to point out, is if prices don't go down, that surplus of supply versus demand in the U.S. and Canada, which is running around 8 million barrels a day, it's going to go to 10 million barrels a day by 2028. So I look at this as this is a market, it's a bear market that's bounced much more likely to go down. And the key thing that might make it go down to that level by the end of the year is the stock market dropping a bit. So, Mike, when you talk to people, you know, traders that trade this commodity here, the oil and gas, are they factoring in supply coming from other parts of the world coming to the marketplace or maybe even Saudi crude or Mitty's crude finding other ways to get out to the marketplace?

20:47Yeah. So people keep using that narrative 20 percent of world supply from the Gulf. It's really probably dropping closer to 10 percent now as Saudi Arabia has found ways to get its pipelines through the red scene out in other ways. And they're finding other ways we'll get it. The key theme, I think, is people remember what happened in 2022 when crude oil popped to 130. And the thing that led us back down was natural gas. And that's done the same thing again this year. It was up 100%, and now it's down almost 20 % on the year. It's already done what I think crude oil is going to do, and it's seen what's really happening on a global basis.

21:21That price maker status has switched from the Gulf to the Western Hemisphere, led by the U.S. from Canada, Venezuela, all the way down to Argentina, and that's the key theme that's been pressuring prices forever, and that, I think, is what's accelerating. I think people are also realizing If natural gas is a guy and corn guy peaking, corn peaking and soybean peaking, this is, I think, just a dump that's ready to think, just a pump that's ready to dump. Again, it's and it's all these things predicated on that wealth effect continuing in the U.S.

21:54Scarlet Fu:OK, so there's U.S. net gas futures, which you highlighted, and then there's European gas futures, which have not fallen in quite the same way because they do depend on the Strait of Hormuz. How is that looking and how does that compare to what we saw in 2022? Scarlett's not nearly as high, but it's the demand destruction I'm worried about. Typically, these kind of things, as you're seeing, and not only is it psychological, makes people cut off their consumer spending, but it's actual physical now. Prices have pumped up so much, particularly in gas oil and diesel, in this country, diesel, but in the rest of the world, most notably in Asia, maybe not so much China, so much in Europe, that you can't help but not cut your capital budgeting decisions, certainly from a personal consumer standpoint.

22:38And that's the stuff that's not really coming out yet. And it's one key theme that Anna Wong pointed out in our morning meeting, our chief economist, is you're not seeing that top 20 percentile of wage earners yet because the stock market's still doing well. That's why, unfortunately, as a commodity guy, I look at the stock markets, everything now, most notably from things like industrial metals and even crude oil. It could push things lower.

22:56Scarlet Fu:Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this. Everyone has been there. Your team's feedback is scattered across emails, chats, and sticky notes. It's a mess. But PDF Spaces and Adobe Acrobat gives you one collaborative workspace to streamline every file and comment. So, if you need six departments to finally agree on a proposal, do that with Acrobat. Need to turn a mountain of feedback into one plan of action? Do that with Acrobat. Want to stop searching for files and finally get everyone on the same page? Do that, do that, do that with Acrobat. Learn more at adobe.com slash do that with Acrobat.

23:38Support for the show comes from Public. Lately, it feels like there are two types of investing platforms. Some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades, and others feel less like investing and more like a game. Public is positioned differently. It's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth. On Public, you can build a portfolio of stocks, options, bonds, crypto without all the bugs or the confetti. Retirement accounts? Yep. High-yield cash? Yes, again. They even have direct indexing. Public has modern design, powerful tools, and customer support that actually helps.

24:13Go to public.com slash market and earn an uncapped 1 % bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash market. And paid for by Public Holdings. Brokered services by Public Investing. Member FINRA SIPC. Advisory services by Public Advisors, SEC Registered Advisor, crypto services by ZeroHash. All investing involves risk of loss. See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures.

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24:36Scarlet Fu:Small businesses are the pulse of every community. They bring people together, create opportunities, and drive growth. With a widespread presence in communities across the country, Chase for Business supports small business owners at a local level. That makes it possible for you to connect, learn from each other, and grow together. There's a real commitment to seeing small businesses succeed. The Chase for Business team has knowledge and expertise that span a wide range of financial areas. They can help you make more informed decisions as you navigate the complexities of running your business.

25:08Scarlet Fu:They'll help your business grow with individual guidance and convenient digital tools all in one place. With that guidance and your determination, you can take your business farther and help build a brighter future for your community. Learn more at chase.com slash business. Chase for Business. Make more of what's yours. The Chase mobile app is available for select mobile devices. Message and data rates may apply. JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. Member FDIC. Copyright 2026. JPMorgan Chase and Company. You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at 10 a.m. Eastern on Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App.

25:48Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts. Or watch us live on YouTube.

25:53Scarlet Fu:I want to bring in Uma Moriarty. She's a senior investment strategist over at Center Square. And Uma, when you look at something like long-term yields remaining stuck in a range and concerns about inflation, what does that mean for your space for real estate? Great to be here. And that's a great question to start this conversation with. I think we've been talking about the 10-year treasury yield long-term rates being in this 4 % to 4.5 % range for several years now. And that's really because of the underlying components of that. So when I think about the 10-year Treasury yield, I'm really decomposing that into three main categories, one being nominal growth, one being inflation, and then one being the term premium.

26:35And I think from an inflation perspective, obviously, we have a little bit of a shock here. But there have been other things that are structurally driving inflation a little bit higher. Think about what's happening from a deglobalization perspective. For a long time, the U.S. was really importing deflation as a lot of manufacturing was happening elsewhere. But as we start to think about more nearshoring, onshoring, this deglobalization phenomenon, that's going to be driving interest rates a little bit higher. AI should be net deflationary, I think, long term. But in the meantime, we're spending a lot of capital building this out.

27:08We've now got geopolitical conflicts as well, they are expensive. So, we have a lot of things that are driving up the deficit, for example, driving into that term premium as well. And so, all these things really compounding is creating this 10-year treasury yield, which is somewhat range-bound. When we think about this from the real estate perspective, I think it really helps to underscore the fact that we are in a new interest rate era, right? And real estate really has to think about operating in this new regime. For a long time, a lot of real estate owners and operators were really hesitant to accept the fact that we were structurally in a higher interest rate phenomenon this period.

27:46Now that we've had kind of consistent couple years of remaining in this range, I think you're going to get a lot more acceptance from the broader marketplace, which should also mean that transaction activities should start to pick back up again because that bid-ask spread is narrowing as sellers are accepting the fact that interest rates will be higher for longer here. Uma, what sectors in the real estate business are attractive to you guys these days? You know, from the perspective of what we're doing here at Center Square, we're focused on a couple specific areas where we think that demand is really strong and also a place where supply doesn't really exist.

28:22And so that supply demand imbalance is creating really strong fundamentals. One of those areas happens to be what we call essential service retail. These are unanchored neighborhood shopping centers where we just have not seen new construction. And at the same time, retailers have really evolved between the growth of e-commerce, between what happened during COVID. You've now seen retailers really come to embrace an omni-channel retail strategy where that physical real estate footprint for them is really critical to drive brand recognition, to really drive loyalty for their customers, and also deliver goods at the place where the customers want at the right time.

29:02And so from that perspective, we're really seeing retail real estate getting a moment in the sun here. Another great area from a supply, demand, and balance perspective, we see really a senior housing. A lot of the senior housing space, especially with enlisted real estate space, is really compelling today. The healthcare sector has had a bit of a pullback in the last couple days. And so that's an interesting opportunity for investors to maybe add in a little bit there. And then it would be remiss to not mention an area like data centers within the real estate space. that's saying so much demand that is somewhat insatiable as we continue to build out not only AI, but really just the global digitalization that we're seeing across companies across the board.

29:43Scarlet Fu:Yeah, that is a secular growth story on its own that's kind of separate from everything else. Uma, what about residential? And here I'm really focused on multifamily because that's where a lot of the institutional money has been. That's a great question. So multifamily is an area where I think there's a little bit of a mismatch from a valuation perspective between the public markets versus the private markets. If you take a big step back, really what's happening from a multifamily perspective is that over the last couple of years, we've had an enormous amount of supply that has delivered into the marketplace and we're still absorbing that supply.

30:15But one of the things that really shifted last year was that demand became a big question mark. We've really shut off immigration as a demand driver for multifamily. And we've also had a bit of a question mark in terms of what's happening from a labor growth perspective, both in terms of companies really trying to maintain their margins as we see inflation picking back up again, but also in terms of what AI means for the workforce, right? So I think from a labor market perspective, we've seen this malaise, which also means that demand for new multifamily renters is a little bit low. You've heard a lot about college grads having a hard time finding new jobs.

30:52I mean, they are graduating in the spring and coming into the rental marketplace. And so there are a lot of question marks from a demand perspective. Meantime, supply still keeps coming. And so the listed real estate market has really discounted what's happening here from a fundamental perspective. And so you're seeing the listed REITs trading at a pretty material discount to what you're seeing in the private marketplace. And so if I'm thinking about deploying new capital today in multifamily, I'm really doing that in the listed real estate space if I'm deploying equity. But what's really interesting in the private markets is that you are seeing a lot of existing capital stacks for multifamily for really great assets, but that have a hiccup from an operational perspective because of the supply-demand mismatch, that really just needs a little bit of structured capital to get to the other side.

31:38And so when we're thinking about deploying capital and multifamily in the private markets, that's really through kind of a structured equity, pref equity space within the capital stack to provide a little bit more risk protection for us and the capital stack there. And if we're looking at deploying equity, really doing that through the listed real estate marketplace where we do see the REITs are being discounted for the supply and demand mismatch. That's creating a bit of a hiccup from an operational perspective for the sector right now. This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts.

32:15Listen live each weekday, 10 a.m. to noon Eastern on Bloomberg.com, the iHeartRadio app, TuneIn, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg Terminal.

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From the publisher

Watch Paul and Scarlet LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.


Bloomberg Intelligence hosted by Paul Sweeney and Scarlet Fu

- Liana Baker, Bloomberg News Managing Editor for Deals, discusses Honeywell agreeing to divest its productivity solutions and services business to Brady. Brady will pay $1.4 billion in cash for the business, which is expected to be completed in the second half of this year.
- Scott Howe, CEO of LiveRamp discusses the role of data collaboration in AI, the shift toward more agentic marketing, and how organizations can evaluate their readiness.
- Mike McGlone, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Commodity Strategist, joins to discuss the fluxation of oil over the last few days. Oil and natural gas prices jumped after renewed risks to energy flows via the Strait of Hormuz threatened to jeopardize much-anticipated peace talks between the US and Iran.
- Uma Moriarity Senior Investment Strategist and Global Head of Sustainability at CenterSquare joins to discuss the state of commercial real estate. In a world of uncertainty, geopolitical risks, inflationary pressures, issues in the private credit space, real estate may be able to offer hard assets, inflation protection, portfolio components of both income and growth, and lower correlation to equities/other asset classes.

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