In short
Bloomberg Tech covers AI-driven markets and companies, led by Cerebras’ upsized IPO (up to $4.8B) and broader AI infrastructure demand; it also includes Circle’s stablecoin/agent vision, AI productivity vs job displacement, Alphabet security and stock drivers, Resolve AI’s hostile bid for Commerce.com, and Apple’s macOS tweaks plus on-device AI agents.
Guests and backgrounds
- Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist at BMO Wealth Management; focuses on portfolio strategy and AI/infrastructure themes.
- Jeremy Allaire, CEO of Circle; leads USDC stablecoin network and payments/economic OS efforts.
- Stacey Vanek-Smith (Bloomberg/Business Week), economist-focused analysis on productivity and labor impacts.
- Margie Murphy (Bloomberg), reports on Google researchers’ AI-linked zero-day discovery.
- Dan Wagner, CEO of Resolve AI; builds digital shopping/customer engagement tech and bids for Commerce.com.
- Ryan Vlaselica (Bloomberg), covers Alphabet vs Nvidia AI competition.
- Mark Gurman (Bloomberg), reports on macOS 27 “Liquid Glass” design changes.
- Austin Carr (Business Week), reports on Mac mini “agent at home” trend.
Key claims + examples
- Cerebras: IPO price range raised to $150–$160; valued over $34B; partnerships with Amazon and OpenAI cited; demand described as “massive oversubscription.”
- Carol Schleif: AI infrastructure is a supply-side bottleneck (energy capacity); earnings growth supports markets despite geopolitical/oil worries; strategic rebalancing over chasing IPOs.
- Circle/Allaire: USDC used for ~80% of stablecoin transaction volume; Q1 revenue surge; argues lower rates increase “velocity money”; ARK tokens pre-sold $220M with A16Z and others; agent-led future using stablecoins.
- Stacey Vanek-Smith: productivity rose (2.9% YoY in Q1 2026) but job displacement concerns persist; productivity may be boosted by layoffs (hours-worked denominator).
- Google security: first AI-built zero-day attack; patch issued; LLM details withheld; warns defenders vs attackers speed gap.
- Resolve AI/Wagner: hostile bid (1 Resolve share for 2 Commerce.com shares); claims “hallucination”-free agent tech; cites OpenAI/Walmart deal failure due to hallucinations.
- Alphabet: dominance across Gemini, Google Cloud, Search/YouTube, Waymo, and TPU; could benefit even if a single AI leg falters.
- Apple: macOS 27 adjusts shadows/transparency from “Liquid Glass”; Mac mini demand rises for 24/7 local AI agents (clusters, OpenClaw).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOCerebras IPO and Market Updates
2:26 to 2:56
Discussion on Cerebras's upsized IPO and market trends affecting tech stocks.
“upsizing a listing that could be the biggest so far this year.”
Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment
2:56 to 4:00
Analyzing investor attitudes toward Cerebras and the implications for the tech market.
“We are on track for another record on the Nasdaq 100.”
Tech Market Dynamics and Anticipation
4:00 to 5:29
Exploring the impact of upcoming IPOs on market dynamics and investor focus.
“and expected this price range bump coming.”
AI Infrastructure and Future Trends
5:29 to 7:54
Insights into AI's growth and its implications for the tech infrastructure market.
“Let's discuss what this means for broader tech markets with Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist, BMO Wealth Management.”
Geopolitical Influences on Supply Chains
7:54 to 11:43
Discussion on U.S.-China relations and their impact on supply chain management.
“It's why everyone's turning towards nuclear.”
Earnings and Future Strategies
11:43 to 13:42
Analyzing earnings reports and future strategies of key players in the market.
“We touched on energy, we touched on space, there'll be substantial rebuilding or reconstruction, if you think.”
Circle's Earnings and Future Plans
14:00 to 14:15
Learn about Circle's first quarter revenue results and future focus on AI agents.
“when we think about the future of data centers and potentially with some sort of cleaner energy like nuclear.”
Introduction of Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire
14:15 to 14:40
Get to know Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire and his insights on the company's strategy.
“Well, seeing its shares up once again 9 % thereabouts on the day.”
Circle's Vision and Revenue Growth
14:40 to 17:46
Explore Circle's vision for USDC and their approach to revenue generation.
“There's a lot to get to in your numbers.”
Understanding Interest Rates and Utility
17:46 to 19:04
Discover how interest rates affect Circle's business model and the importance of utility.
“So when the yield curve started coming in in December 23, and we saw almost all of the rate cutting cycle get undertaken, we saw rates come down over 40%.”
Show all 20 chapters
Talking Tech: AI Infrastructure Updates
19:08 to 21:11
Stay updated on SoftBank's AI infrastructure investments and market shifts.
“Yeah, it's time now for Talking Tech, Ed.”
The Impact of AI on Productivity
21:11 to 22:25
Evaluate the dual impact of AI on productivity and job displacement with insights from economists.
“They came in quite high, 2.9 % year over year, which was higher than people expected.”
Legal Proceedings Involving OpenAI and Microsoft
22:25 to 23:56
Update on the lawsuit involving Elon Musk, OpenAI, and Microsoft related to AI's non-profit status.
“A lot of the layoffs that we've been seeing have boosted productivity because it's a very simple equation.”
Alphabet's Market Cap and AI Dominance
23:56 to 26:06
Analyze Alphabet's market cap growth and its position in the AI industry.
“Let's take a look at today's big number, and that is Alphabet or Google's current market cap, 4.75 trillion.”
AI Threats: The Zero-Day Exploit
26:06 to 28:00
Discuss the implications of AI in cybersecurity and the recent zero-day attack.
“I think the latest results really just reinforced how strong they are on all these different issues.”
AI Vulnerabilities and National Security Threats
28:00 to 31:31
Learn about the emerging threats posed by AI tools to national security and software exploitation.
“Joining us now with the details is Bloomberg's Margie Murphy.”
Resolve AI's Strategic Growth and M&A Ambitions
31:31 to 36:27
Explore Resolve AI's growth strategy and their hostile bid for commerce.com.
“Now, coming up, we're going to be joined by Dan Wagner from Resolve AI as the company's making a bid for commerce.com.”
The Future of AI and Competition in Commerce
36:27 to 38:44
Understand the competitive landscape of AI technology in commerce and the risks involved.
“Any sensible board should be having a proper conversation with us to try to extract the best value for their shareholders and fully embrace this opportunity.”
Apple's macOS Redesign and AI Computing Trends
38:44 to 42:04
Get insights into Apple's upcoming macOS redesign and the increasing use of Mac minis for AI tasks.
“Breaking news on the Bloomberg Terminal.”
AI Concierge on Apple Devices
42:04 to 44:35
Explore how Mac devices are becoming personal AI agents for users.
“It's pretty wild to see this trend take off and be a rare bright spot for AI when it comes to Apple, which didn't really foresee this trend.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00The right technology can strengthen human judgment. That's why Deloitte brings together AI and data analytics with multidisciplinary teams who can help you connect the dots across your enterprise. From risk to operations to customer needs. So opportunities don't slip by and surprises don't spread. Because the smarter your systems, the sharper your instincts. That's how technology makes people better at what they do best. Deloitte. Together makes progress. Learn more at Deloitte.com slash Together Makes Progress.
0:58Caroline Hyde:deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track. For midsize and large companies, that isn't always easy. Risk can touch multiple parts of an organization at the same time, often in ways that aren't immediately obvious. It might involve property, liability, or cyber. It could stem from regulatory requirements or challenges tied to a specific industry or the scale of an operation. At that level, managing risk becomes an ongoing discipline, not a one-time decision. At the Hartford, the focus is on helping businesses manage risk before it turns into something more disruptive.
1:38That means working with companies to identify where they're exposed, decide what matters most, and put practical standards in place so risk is managed as part of day-to-day operations. And when losses do happen, the Hartford can pair that risk control work with insurance coverage grounded in underwriting, risk engineering, and claims experience developed over time. Learn more at thehartford.com slash risk mitigation. Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts. Radio. News.
2:13Bloomberg Tech is live from coast to coast. with Caroline Hyde in New York and Ed Ludlow in San Francisco.
2:23Caroline Hyde:This is Bloomberg Tech. Coming up, Cerebris is now seeking to raise as much as$4.8 billion in its IPO, upsizing a listing that could be the biggest so far this year. Plus, we speak with The Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire about the company posts in fourth quarter revenue beat and shares its vision of an agent-led future. And Google researchers say they have uncovered the first ever zero-day attack built by artificial intelligence. We'll have the details. We will, but first we check in on these markets that just relentlessly push higher. We're currently seeing the Nasdaq 100 up a tenth of a percent. We are on track for another record on the Nasdaq 100.
3:02We're seeing some tentative moves in the broader benchmarks. Look, we are worried about what's happening in the straight-to-board moves. We're worried about whether conflict continues between Iran and the United States. We worry about peace talks, but more broadly, tech wants to go higher and it is fueled to a potential seven weeks of gains, Ed. That'll be the longest winning streak in the Nasdaq 100 since October 2024, Ed.
3:23Caroline Hyde:OK, the exuberance for AI is also hitting the eight IPO market. AI chipmaker and data center operator Cerebris is boosting the number of shares it plans to sell and their price. Now it's going to raise as much as$4.8 billion, one third more than it previously aimed for. Bloomberg AR reporter Rebecca Torrance joins us. We've got confirmation now of what Bloomberg had already been reporting. So it's a funny thing to say, the biggest IPO potentially so far this year, just like with SpaceX waiting in the wings later in the year. But there's a lot of interest here. Big oversubscription. Massive oversubscription, Ed.
3:57We reported on Friday that the IPO was more than 20 times oversubscribed and expected this price range bump coming. The previous price range was$115 to$125 per share. and now it's up to$150 to$160 per share at the top end that will value Cerebris at over$34 billion. That is making it the biggest IPO so far this year by a long shot and a clear demonstration of the insatiable demand for AI compute and AI infrastructure. And insatiable demand for stocks that are related to them in some way. I mean, it's got to be music to the bankers' ears, the CEOs' ears when we have record high after record high, a lot of it being galvanized by the AI trade more broadly.
4:39Are there any nerves coming through from retail investors, institutional investors as to the issues that Cerebris has to make sure that market share can be a win and that supply chains aren't an issue? I would say less nerves than just pure unfettered excitement. I mean, there has been so much buildup in the IPO market, so much demand for new listings over the past few years. You know, we really haven't seen that many. And so far this year, Cerebris has clinched partnerships with Amazon and OpenAI to sort of prove out that the demand is real and it's going to translate into real capital. And that is being reflected in the demand that we're seeing for its IPO.
5:15Caroline Hyde:Rebecca, just quickly run us through the mechanics of the week. We think this is expected to price May 13th, right? That's correct, on Wednesday afternoon. And we would expect shares to begin trading on Thursday. Bloomberg's Rebecca Torrance, top, top reporting. Thank you very much. Let's discuss what this means for broader tech markets with Carol Schleif, Chief Market Strategist, BMO Wealth Management. So we're in this really interesting moment, right? Caroline said it at the top, six straight weeks of gains on the NASDAQ 100. I feel like the next phase is like this pre-IPO anticipation, you know, Cerebris, yes, SpaceX, June.
5:50Caroline Hyde:How does that impact a market at the index level, that anticipation? Well, I think the anticipation does keep a lot of eyes, obviously focused not just on ai but on on the broader index and it's interesting because on the one hand yes markets have gone up but so too have earnings we've just come through an earnings season we're almost towards the end of it when you've got top and bottom line growing double digits not just among tech but that anticipation is there we'll see if we get several trillion dollar sized deals later this year, what the investment appetite is and how much can be absorbed.
6:29Because unlike your former commentator, we do have some nervous clients because on the one hand, they don't want to get off the bus. On the other hand, they're scratching their heads about how can markets be at all time highs when you've got all these concerning short term headlines, which you just mentioned. Carol, can we not have two things being correct at the same time? Yes, there are short-term issues. Yes, oil is an issue. And in some ways for chips, helium and other things that pass through the Strait of Hormuz are an issue. But longer term, the drive towards AI infrastructure is only a supply side issue rather than demand.
7:03Yep, exactly. And that's exactly what we've been writing to our clients. I wrote a piece last Friday talking about a brave new world and just laying out the case for this next phase that we're in because the orders of magnitude that we're talking about investing in capital infrastructure that tends to tee you up for very good performance from productivity standpoint from GDP and we're seeing it start to creep in the numbers because it's not like the markets are just floating up without earnings and revenue and margin support and you're seeing very well managed tech companies that are paying a lot of attention to their margin management and the way they're managing their people and their costs and their inputs.
7:43And you're exactly right that it's capacity constraint. It's not like we're going to have dark data centers, other than the fact that if you can't get energy to turn them on. Well said. That is the bottleneck that many are focusing in on. It's why everyone's turning towards nuclear. It's why we look at Constellation Energy's earnings, and we'll be diving into them in but a moment. But there's this great report out of Bloomberg Intelligence at the moment. AI is swallowing the world. Everything else is just holding on. Is that the sense you get from clients at the moment, Carol? Because this isn't just a U.S.
8:12trade. And boy, have we seen Qualcomm, Micron, other of the chip sectors up today. And the socks has been extraordinary. But think of the moves from SK Hynix, of Samsung. There's still earnings potential for those companies means that even though we've seen hundreds of percentage points added in terms of their share price, the P ratios are actually coming down because people think earnings are going to rise rise even faster. That's exactly it. And the markets are telling you underneath the surface too that even with all of the issues going on in the Strait of Hormuz and the fact that the bulk of that oil goes to Southeast Asia, those stocks are rallying anyway because they're telling you this is a lot bigger.
8:48And one of the phrases we had used in last week's piece was, how about, yeah, I mean, it's like we're all grabbing the tiger by the tail and just hanging on for the ride. But But it's got fundamental underpinnings to it and it touches so many other places. And you take, you know, I spent the weekend talking to grandkids about how exciting space is and lots of things going there. There's so many things we haven't even started to explore.
9:16Caroline Hyde:I'm changing my mind. I just asked Marguerite in the control room to bring back that research. But you brought up space, so I'm going to pivot. right the point of that research is that the entire market in terms of profit growth is held up by a very small number of companies yes they're around the world um ai infrastructure related spacex is trying to sell that story as well right with its ipo the vision the bankers are putting out on the roadshow is orbital data center how easy is that for you to translate to clients carol like is that believable for the biggest ipo of all time well the ipo aside the whole when you take the artemis mission and what was going on there and the fact that actually when you look at earnings it's not just a handful of companies because revenue we had double digit revenue growth i pulled the numbers from bloomberg this morning and you had double digit revenue and bottom and and earnings growth in eight out of 11 sectors so this is pretty broad spread and there's a lot of companies playing into it.
10:16But space, I mean, clients love to talk about space. The Artemis mission got kind of shoved aside because it coincided with increased hostility in the Middle East. So it got pulled short term. But this is definitely a market that wants to lean into that long term story. And investors are all about it.
10:33Caroline Hyde:Carol, earlier you talked about riding the bus. And if we stick with that analogy, if you are an investor and you know that the biggest IPO of all times happening in a month's time. Do you put yourself into cash or do some kind of rejiggering in order to be able to participate in that IPO? Well, we don't necessarily go chasing down IPOs any more than I did managing money for clients in the 90s, IPOs per se. But strategic rebalancing is something we do all along and trimming some of your losers or some of the winners, if you will, trimming some of the gains that you've made there to make sure that the portfolio stays balanced.
11:18Intermediate and longer term is where you want to be. We've been growth biased all along. Starting before last year, we never bought into the recession fears in 22. We didn't think that tariffs were going to throw things substantially off last year, although our companies are learning to adapt. And this year too, we think it makes sense to trim some of the winners, look at other industries, look at those second and third tier knock-on industries. We touched on energy, we touched on space, there'll be substantial rebuilding or reconstruction, if you think. Once we settle some of these, the conflicts, Russia, Ukraine, Middle East, you're talking about substantial rebuilding.
11:59You're also talking about companies rethinking supply chains and where they get done and solidifying. So you're talking about a massive infrastructure build or teeing up for that that has many years to run. Carol, I want to go to the rethinking of supply chains, because for many years, people have been rethinking their dependence on China. Maybe that starts to get more clarity this week. We understand that President Trump, of course, is going for that meeting with President Xi over in China. And he's taking a whole host of CEOs with him. Tim Cook of Apple, Elon Musk, Of course, we're talking of SpaceX, but a moment ago, Micron, the chip sector, Qualcomm, but also there are some sprinkling of banks and other areas.
12:38Carol, does this meeting mean something to your clients briefly? We definitely think we've been watching this geopolitical pivot and the geoeconomic pivot for the last year and a half or so. And it's been clear from the beginning that you've got two major players in terms of the U.S. and China. China was the only primary country able to push back on the U.S. against the tariffs and engage, even if briefly, in the trade war. But they've got critical supply chain issues with rare earths. The U.S. has critical supply chain issues with energy and materials. And clearly, they want to have a collaborative relationship where there's certain things that we want to manufacture here, There are some things China wants control over.
13:24But business deals are what the administration is all about, and hence bringing a lot of those companies with. But you've got a lot of interesting interplay to watch here in how this thing plays out. Carol Schleif of BMO Wealth Management, thank you very much indeed for joining us today. Look, we did just talk about how earnings are the name of the game. Constellation Energy is actually down by 4.5%. This is the reported first quarter operating revenue that beat, but they're facing pressure from nuclear refueling outages in particular. This is about execution. And boy, has there been a dependence on companies like this, Ed, when we think about the future of data centers and potentially with some sort of cleaner energy like nuclear.
14:06Caroline Hyde:OK, coming up on the program, we're actually going to go back to earnings. We speak with Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire after the Stablecoin platform posted a first quarter revenue beat and announces an agent-led future. This is Bloomberg Tech.
14:23Circle. Well, seeing its shares up once again 9 % thereabouts on the day. That's as it saw a 20 % revenue surge in its first quarter. The net income, that declined. The company is saying that its focus is moving to a future with autonomous AI agents that transact in stablecoins. Joining us now is Circle's CEO, Jeremy Allaire. There's a lot to get to in your numbers. And what's so interesting is the way in which you make an awful lot of your profits is largely based on government and yields, of course, with the money that you sit upon. Jeremy, how are you thinking about that amount that you currently earn back and how you're diversifying the business?
14:59Yeah, I mean, look, when we went public last year, we talked a lot about we're building the world's largest stablecoin network. We want that network to provide the highest utility form of digital dollar money in the world. Since then, USDC has become the leading dollar digital currency in the world. We reported in our earnings call, according to third party data in Q1, we saw almost$30 trillion of transactions on chain with USDC accounting for 80 percent of the stablecoin transaction volume market. And so we're seeing that happen. And at the same time, we've been investing in building out these platform pillars alongside our stablecoin business, our payments network with CPN and ARK, our new economic OS, which is really designed for the future of how transactions, how financial services and broader economic activity is going to be digitally and software mediated.
15:50That's obviously a place where the emerging world of AI operating systems and agendic systems are coming into play as well. You invest today for fruits tomorrow. When are those fruits come, Jeremy? Well, you know, we're seeing this. I mean, we talked a little bit about this in our earnings call. We've been investing for a couple of years to build ARK. We announced this morning that we had pre-sold$220 million of ARK tokens with A16Z Crypto as the leader, but also major financial companies, Apollo, BlackRock, Standard Chartered, Intercontinental Exchange, and many others. And so we're building an infrastructure and we will begin to monetize that infrastructure.
16:35And as we shared in our earnings call, we'll have a lot more to say about that on our next earnings call. But ARK is getting ready for liftoff and we're getting close to the main net launch and between the stake that Circle has in the ARK network, the various types of programs that we're going to be building with partners all around the world on that, and then participating in validation, transaction fees, and other services that we build on top of it. We think that ARK represents a tremendous opportunity. So that's a place there. And then our payments network, CPN, continues to grow. Since we last reported, we saw the annualized volume go up about 75%.
17:16Caroline Hyde:Jeremy, let's go back to reserve return rate. I don't think we've got to an answer there. So essentially, USDC circulation is growing strongly, and that boosts your overall revenue. But your profit is pressured, essentially, when you have declining reserve return rate. Essentially, the interest that you earn on the assets. Let me just finish this one. that back the stablecoin. If that's the business model, you're at risk here when we have a lower rate environment. So what's your plan? Actually, we've seen the opposite. So when the yield curve started coming in in December 23, and we saw almost all of the rate cutting cycle get undertaken, we saw rates come down over 40%.
17:59During that same period, we've seen USDC and circulation grow multiple hundreds of percent. We've seen transaction volumes grow massively. And so lower interest rates actually, at the end of the day, create higher velocity money, create more demand for money in the economy. And we believe actually support that growth. And historically, we've seen that. When we think about that long-term growth, when the Treasury Secretary talks about trillions of dollars of stable coins in circulation, or when new regulation like the Clarity Act defines models for incentivizing stablecoin adoption based on utility, those are emblematic of the fact that utility is what is going to drive this growth.
18:43And so interest rates are a factor, but fundamentally it's utility, it's network effects, it's the number of apps, developers, and others that drive it. And on that front, we're clearly winning. And we're showing that in the incredible traction that we're seeing in terms of the adoption of this as a transactional technology on the internet.
19:02Caroline Hyde:That did get us the answer. Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire, great to have you back on the program. Thank you very much. Carrie? Yeah, it's time now for Talking Tech, Ed. First up, SoftBank is stepping up its push into AI infrastructure, founder of Masayoshi Sun, is in talks to unveil a major data center project in France with President Emmanuel Macron in the coming weeks. Now, according to sources, Sun is considering a multi-billion dollar investment and at one point floated a figure as high as$100 billion. Meanwhile, SoftBank's mobile unit is expanding into AI computing services and large-scale battery production, aiming to meet growing demand for the hardware-powering artificial intelligence.
19:35Plus, Ripple's prime brokerage unit has secured$200 million in new financing from Neuberger Berman to expand the margin it offers clients trading across traditional and digital markets. The funds will boost its capacity to finance client trades, with margin loans backed by collateral. And Alphabet is planning to issue yen-denominated bonds for the first time, a move that could help fund its growing investment in New Guesta AI. Look, the company has already raised its capital spending outlook to as much as$119 billion this year and has tapped other currencies beside the U.S. dollar as it looks to secure low-cost funding.
20:10Caroline Hyde:Open AI will acquire a consulting company tomorrow to contribute to a new private equity-backed joint venture. The goal? Help drive adoption of its AI software across more businesses. The new entity will be staffed with roughly 150 employees focused on deploying AI software. Cara. Now, companies like OpenAI are investing heavily in AI to boost productivity. But a new consensus suggests that the global workforce is staring down some sort of displacement crisis. Joining us now for really how we are going to see AI boost productivity or not is Bloomberg's Stacey Vanek-Smith, who's got a great story out in Business Week.
20:47And it starts with a bet between two key economists as to whether productivity is actually going to go up and to the right. Are we seeing signs that AI is boosting productivity, not at the expense of me and labor? We are seeing signs that AI is boosting productivity, but it does seem to be coming potentially at the expense of jobs. So it is a really good news, bad news situation, I think. We just got productivity numbers out for the first quarter of 2026. They came in quite high, 2.9 % year over year, which was higher than people expected. So that is evidence that robots are boosting our productivity.
21:26At the same time, I think we've all been covering the job market and it's not great. So I think there's just a lot of concern, and rightly so, that the AI is displacing jobs.
21:38Caroline Hyde:It's so difficult to see clearly through the metric of productivity. We've been growing at 2 % since 2020. Do we know for certain that there's a tangible AI contribution in each of those numbers? This is a great question. It is so hard to know where the productivity is coming from. So the bet that you referred to was between two economists here in the U.S., Eric Brynjolfsson at Stanford and Robert Gordon at Northwestern. And they bet on productivity growing by an average of 1.8 % between 2020 and 2030. It seems like it's going to beat that. But there are a lot of questions as to why. When I was talking to Robert Gordon about why productivity had grown so much, he thought it was potentially layoffs.
22:25A lot of the layoffs that we've been seeing have boosted productivity because it's a very simple equation. It's just the amount our economy produces divided by hours worked. So the second you take a bunch of workers out of the workforce, then that number can go up, even if it doesn't, even if it, you know, our productivity isn't necessary, even if the productivity isn't growing as fast as we hope.
22:51Caroline Hyde:Top, top analysis. Thank you very much. In the next 30 minutes or so, we are going to be keeping our eyes on the court in Oakland, where Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella is set to take the stand in Elon Musk's lawsuit over the non-profit status of OpenAI. Remember that Musk is suing OpenAI and its two founders, Sam Altman, Greg Rockman, and Satya Nadella, Caro, it's kind of a wow moment too. It is, whether at least a couple of hours that he'll take to the stand, and understanding the intricacies of which Microsoft first came into OpenAI to back it. Remember, this is really the moment that Elon Musk takes issue with.
23:28When, because OpenAI would argue, compute capacity mentioned that they had to take outside financing. It was that moment that maybe the idea of it being a not-for-profit started to fall away.
Read the full transcript
23:39Caroline Hyde:I would read the California brief from our Bloomberg Law team, where they basically point out, so far, there's no smoking gun email communication. It's just been about egos and personalities. Musk versus the others.
23:55Caroline Hyde:Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. Let's take a look at today's big number, and that is Alphabet or Google's current market cap, 4.75 trillion. Here's the thing. It had become a dominant player in the AI space and was on the brink of overtaking AI chip giant NVIDIA potentially as the world's largest company. I say here's the problem. Actually, in this Monday session, Alphabet's down almost 2 % and NVIDIA is up 3%. But the gap had been closing. So NVIDIA, the world's most valuable company, around$5.4 trillion market cap. Alphabet was heading toward the$5 trillion club. Why? Let's go to Bloomberg's Ryan Vlaselica, who has more.
24:34Caroline Hyde:That was the story. And I'm not blaming you at all, Ryan. Timing's a funny thing. But the point is that Alphabet had had a lot of momentum recently, and that gap had been closing on NVIDIA. Absolutely. I think there is a growing appreciation that when you look at any part of artificial intelligence, Alphabet is extremely dominant in that area, if not the most dominant company. So we can talk about how strong Gemini is, their AI model. We can talk about how growth at Google Cloud is accelerating. We can talk about how AI seems to be improving growth trends at Google search at YouTube. We can talk about physical AI with their Waymo self-driving car company.
25:16Caroline Hyde:We can talk about their TPU business, which is their semiconductors, which they said they might start selling around to other cloud companies. So that's a huge potential revenue boost for them. And that is an area that is really getting into NVIDIA's own territory. We wrote about this about a week ago about how NVIDIA might be seeing increased competition in AI chips. And Alphabet that is a huge part of that. And so when you add all of that together, it just seems like they are really the company of the AI era. The vertical integration has been something that the flywheel effect has come into play in earnings recently.
25:48What's amazing is even with this rocket ship of a share price move, analysts are still really positive on the stock and it's got zero sell ratings, 18 buys. I mean, could we see it start to move towards that price target of 430? What
26:04Caroline Hyde:Well, we've just seen a real grind higher in the share price for a while now. I think the latest results really just reinforced how strong they are on all these different issues. And when I talk to portfolio managers and investors, they will say that even if we saw something like OpenAI come out with their latest model, let's say it's better than Gemini on whatever metrics you want to use, that really just speaks to increased AI adoption overall, which is probably going to end up being a tailwind for Google Cloud, for the chips business. It really seems like even if one leg of the story starts to falter, the other ones are able to kind of pick up the slack here.
26:36Caroline Hyde:So it's a very diverse sources of revenue. It's much less dependent on one major business, like you might say, of NVIDIA. We're just showing on the screen, Ryan, that Alphabet shares over the past 12 months are up 160 percent. Year to date, 25 percent, 26 percent. But beating the major indexes. You make the point through the voice of the investor that it's completely logical for Alphabet to take that title eventually. And lots of people, for that reason, see it as a good stock to own. Yeah, exactly. And I'll say, like, about a year ago, there was a lot of skepticism about what is AI competition going to mean for Alphabet?
27:15Caroline Hyde:Is it going to reduce their search market share? A lot of those fears, not only have they not really come to pass, but they've really shown, you know, acceleration in growth. They've shown strength across all these different markets and really just has set up them just to be an incredibly strong stock. And even the multiple right now, it's a little bit elevated for their own history, but it's not a sort of dot com price for perfection. Everything must go right. Otherwise, this thing is just going to collapse sort of thing. It doesn't feel like that at all. People feel very optimistic that they can keep a lot of these momentum going.
27:45Ron Veselica, it's great to get you on the stock that we're watching at the moment. And look, it's actually Alphabet that we turn to next in a different capacity because the worst case AI scenario the White House has actually warned about seems to already be a reality because Google researchers say they have uncovered the first ever zero day attack built by artificial intelligence. Joining us now with the details is Bloomberg's Margie Murphy. Why is this so concerning? yeah so we i've been on the show to talk about the the kind of mythos effect and we know that the white house has been calling emergency meetings with tech and industry leaders about concerns that ai tools that we have currently may be used to build these really you know explosive attacks against a lot of the software we use and could have serious impacts on national security and now Google is saying actually we think that this is already a reality the threat that we thought we saw coming along is actually here and we have identified a prominent criminal group who was working with an LLM and was able to find an exploit in a popular software tool.
28:56Luckily Google kind of foiled it ahead of time and let the software developer know so they've issued a patch but it just shows that the things we've been talking about and we've been concerned about in terms of AI and security are a reality now.
29:11Caroline Hyde:Zero day, I think just help us out. I'm learning so much through the reporting, but the basics of what that is, a zero day vulnerability, and the fact that this is an artificial intelligence linked or discovered one, please. Yeah, so a zero day means that it's a flaw in a piece of software that the developer didn't know about or nobody else knew about. So once it becomes apparent, once a hacker has identified it, they have exactly zero days to fix that. So it's a big concern because then you're always a step behind anyone trying to get in and exploit it to potentially get into your customer's systems.
29:52And in terms of AI being able to generate that, it's all about the speed and this race between the defenders and the attackers. So if an AI like LLM is able to scan and find these zero days, these previously unknown flaws in a lot of the software we use, it means that we're going to quickly see a lot of exploits. And potentially these could be further down the line, potentially a load of hacks that otherwise would have been more trickier for these kind of criminal actors or espionage actors to have conducted. Now, remind us what the spokespeople you've been talking to have said about who's to blame, which LLM was behind it, and more broadly, sort of whether or not it was Mythos, because there's an argument against that.
30:41Right. So Google's been very clear that it isn't. They don't believe it's Mythos. They don't believe it's Gemini, which is its own LLM. However, they're keeping the name of the LLM they believe was used under wraps they're saying to protect their sources because they have kind of intelligence which suggests who's using what um and frustratingly we're not also going to hear about the the software that was developed or the criminal group that they've been tracking either so um that kind of makes it a little bit more challenging for figuring out but i think the the broader story here is it doesn't matter which LLM it was.
31:22It's the fact that there's LLMs that are available right now for people to use that are being abused in this way.
31:30Caroline Hyde:Bloomberg's Margie Murphy. Thank you very much. Now, coming up, we're going to be joined by Dan Wagner from Resolve AI as the company's making a bid for commerce.com. Details next. This is Bloomberg Tech.
31:49Resolve AI. It designs tools for digital shopping, customer engagement, a lot of AI within it. It's also making a hostile bid for commerce.com. Now, the board rejected an earlier offer and called the new proposal of one Resolve share for every two shares of commerce.com even less favorable. Resolve AI CEO Dan Wagner is here to talk about the authentic AI opportunity, along with, I hope, a discussion about why M &A would make sense for your business at this moment. So let's start with the M &A. Why want to become bigger? What are the opportunities to lean in as a resolve plus commerce.com business?
32:23Well, so I think first of all, you've got to frame it within the context of our growth. So we're seeing fantastic growth in our business, you know, extraordinary momentum. We went from nothing to 232 million of contracted annual revenue in one year. We did$60 million in the first quarter in revenue versus the whole year last year,$46 million. So we're growing at an incredible rate. And in this space, when you have the best product in the vertical that we're operating in, which is commerce and retail, it's very important, having been building tech businesses over many decades, although you couldn't possibly tell by youthful demeanor, that the most important thing is kind of land grab.
33:07We have to move quickly to consolidate our position as a leader. Now, we're doing that anyway organically. But if we were to acquire commerce.com, which is a stock that's really a business that's really kind of stuck and needs us to unlock it, unlock the value, we immediately give ourselves a greater presence. And we will continue to do deals like that when they're available at good value to increase our market position. So what would be unlocked with a commerce.com is like the companies they already work with, the client base that they have. And you unlock it with this future of agentic AI. Let's just talk about the agentic commerce offering, because you're even a little bit in the world of crypto.
33:50And we've just had Jeremy Allaire of Circle on. And he thinks his business and stable coins are the future of agentic commerce. He's right. How are you the rails rather than a circle, for example? So circle is a coin, is a token. but you need that token to be sitting on some sort of infrastructure to allow it to be used in everyday commerce, right? So for example, if you went to Starbucks today, you're not going to use stable coins to buy your coffee. We're going to facilitate that change with ResolvePay so that the retailers and the brands can take stable coins in the same efficient way for a consumer as credit cards and other forms of payment.
34:28Because crypto, as we know it today, is a frustrating and clunky experience. And we're changing that with ResolvePay so that it's as good, if not better, an experience as what you're used to.
34:42Caroline Hyde:Often, sometimes, M &A is strategic, right? And so commerce.com is 60 ,000 merchants. Would you say, Dan, that's the strategic value of it? And if so, you'd boost your offer? You'd be willing to pay more of a premium to realize that strategic asset? So, yes, a 60 ,000 merchant base that's frustrated with them because there's been lack of innovation. I mean, they're forecasting growth of 1.5 % in the next 12 months. You can't even imagine such a sort of embarrassing growth rate for a business in commerce. 1.5 % is just ridiculous. We're growing, conversely, 750 % year on year. 750%. So you've got a company where it is at the moment, which is not really innovating.
35:34It has a large footprint that's historically been gained over, you know, over a decade of providing services. But it's kind of lost and it needs us to come and inject value and enthusiasm and innovation into that customer base to energize them. Now, do we need them? No, we don't. Because as I've just told you, we're growing 750 % year on year and we've got all this momentum and everything else. But if we were to buy them, we could unlock that value and grow that element of the business much faster than it is today. In answer to your question, yes, I think we're open to being more generous with a deal.
36:14But, you know, the board rejected us and then they put in a poison pill. And I really can't be bothered with a board that is so locked in its own protection that they can't see the benefit of a combination with us. Any sensible board should be having a proper conversation with us to try to extract the best value for their shareholders and fully embrace this opportunity.
36:36Caroline Hyde:What about the competition and risk to you? I've enjoyed reading about Resolve and trying to understand the story. And it's whoever controls the agent layer wins in commerce. And a very reasonable question that the Bloomberg Tech audience would pose is, why doesn't an Amazon or an Alphabet or Google or even OpenAI just do what you do and come for you? I mean, they've tried. Some of them have tried. So OpenAI did a deal with Walmart. It was very highly publicized about five, five and a half months ago that was disbanded about two or three weeks ago. And the reason it was disbanded was it started making these terrible mistakes, which is what we call hallucinations.
37:15Generative AI uses probabilistic algorithms, you know, mathematical algorithms that guess words and the next word and the next word in a sentence to create a paragraph and to create, you know, an answer. And when you're guessing things, there is an element of error. And we knew this from the very outset because of my background in search and, you know, for decades and being involved in some of the major innovations in search technology in the 90s and the early noughties. So we knew that this would happen. So we spent the last 10 years preventing hallucinations. That's really our primary position.
37:51And of course, we did it with a very clear vision of providing that technology to represent digital platforms as the best salesman on the planet, you know, interacting with customers. But you can't have the best salesman on the planet who's hallucinating, you know, who's saying the wrong things, making mistakes. Then you end up with returns, you know, the misled customers buying the wrong products and so on. So we believe, and Microsoft and Google have endorsed that belief, that we have the only technology in this vertical that is reliable for merchants. They don't have to worry in deploying our technology that their representative, generative AI representative, is going to be selling the wrong things, making mistakes, misleading customers, and worse, insulting people.
38:33Caroline Hyde:Dan Wagner, CEO of Resolve AI. Thank you very much for your time on Bloomberg Tech. Now, coming up, Apple looks to refine its macOS design and add a few new features. We have more on the reporting next. This is Bloomberg Tech.
38:55Caroline Hyde:Breaking news on the Bloomberg Terminal. President Donald Trump says the U.S.-Iran ceasefire is in a weak state and on life support. It was in response to a question posed by journalists. He's speaking in the Oval Office in the White House. It was an event about maternal health care, but then taking reporter questions. He'd earlier said that he was going to meet with a large group of generals for an update about Iran. But that's the headline. U.S.-Iran ceasefire is in a weak state, says President Trump, on life support. And what we saw is oil nudge higher. Brent, the global benchmark, back above$104 a barrel.
39:27Caroline Hyde:Keep with it. Cara. We will. Now let's turn our attention to Apple. It's planning a slight redesign to its upcoming Mac OS 27. announced, according to sources, it aims to smooth out some of the visual quirks introduced by macOS 26 Tahoe, particularly around shadows and transparency tied to its liquid glass interface. The man behind that story, of course, is Bloomberg's Apple and consumer tech reporter, Mark Gurman, an editor and team leader. I'm interested, Mark, on the liquid glass issue. In many ways, it's what? Because the deployment is meant for slightly more cutting edge technology versus the Mac?
40:01Yeah, so last year they rolled out their new liquid glass interface. I quite like it on the iPhone and iPad.
40:06Caroline Hyde:It looks good with the OLED displays of the newer devices, but it doesn't look so hot on the Mac. Part of the reason is that it uses older LCD technology. Apple's not moving to OLED until the new MacBook Pros hit, probably at the tail end of this year or early next year. So they're making some tweaks to macOS with the 27 release being announced on June 8th at WWDC, cleaning up some of the transparency, some of the icons, some of the shadows that have made Tahoe a bit controversial. Controversial. So I find that interesting. We've spent so much time talking with you about Apple Intelligence, Siri and iOS and the cadence of update and how it's getting better.
40:44Caroline Hyde:Less about macOS. You know, I'm a Mac user. I believe you are, too. Why are you saying it's controversial that the rollout and development of macOS generations? Oh, yeah. MacOS Tahoe has been huge, hugely controversial. on Reddit, among developers, among some consumers, among technophiles and what have you. People just don't like the way the liquid glass interface and the new icons look. I don't think it's a catastrophe. I don't think it's that big of a deal. But certainly, it's a step below the implementation on the iPhone and the iPad. Boom, there's Mark Gurman, who leads our coverage consumer tech and the author of Power On.
41:20Caroline Hyde:Thank you. At the same time, Apple's Mac Mini has emerged as a go-to machine for running standalone AI agents. Its ability to operate around the clock at low electricity costs has fueled a surge in demand. For more, Bloomberg's Austin Carr has the Business Week story. This is in the culture. Like, this is everywhere. People put together clusters of Mac minis, and that is their compute to do all things in AI and inference. Just give us the top line of the Business Week article that you wrote. Yeah, I mean, this is a big trend right now of starting your own AI agents at home. instead of flinging off every request to some far-flung data center or cloud server.
42:00You can have your own personal AI supercomputer essentially in your living room. You're seeing a lot of people buy Mac minis, their higher-end cousin, the Mac Studio, install agents, frameworks like OpenClaw, to sort of have this 24-7 personal AI concierge that you can interact with on any messaging app. It's pretty wild to see this trend take off and be a rare bright spot for AI when it comes to Apple, which didn't really foresee this trend. It just sort of took off that this hardware was really, really good for local AI computing. Open claw life. And it's a global phenomenon. And I think we even sort of heard about the supply chain surprise coming Apple's way.
42:38But I mean, we saw stock of, say, a Raspberry Pi go up and to the right over in the UK as people thought that other types of hardware would be useful for this, Austin. Has Apple really ended up the only game in town? Not. I mean, it remains to be seen. I think a lot of the hardware makers are chasing this future right now where the hardware is being tailored to merge some of the graphics processing and CPUs that were historically doing that processing separate. They're now merged into a unified architecture on Apple devices, which is really good for AI processing. It has a lot of memory bandwidth, and it can do a lot of things that just a few years ago weren't really that efficient to do.
43:18So you're seeing the hardware get remarkably better, tailored to AI. And at the same time, you're seeing a lot of AI models becoming radically more efficient. If you remember last year with DeepSeek, one of the really amazing things about that model was how efficient it was in terms of doing a lot of the processing that it would take a lot more to do for an open AI or Anthropic to do. So you're going to see a lot of these models getting smaller and more efficient to run locally. But what you're seeing the Macs do is just a lot of the stuff on device, like opening a browser, checking your files, interacting with business systems, interacting with your apps in ways that are just autonomous and essentially making what's called a headless Mac, meaning it's just plugged into the wall.
43:58It's your AI agent, your local server, and you can interact with it however you want, just like having sort of a personal chat GPT in your living room.
44:07Caroline Hyde:Awesome. We just have 15 seconds. And in the piece, you're talking about developers, you're talking about everyone, vibe coding, everyday people. It's a mix. I mean, I talk to a lot of people who are using it for their sort of an AI developer to have to interact with. But then consumers who are just building these things very simply, you know, setting them up to sort of be a household chief of staff, their butler to monitor their grocery list and things of that nature. They can give you can give them a lot more access to your local files, customize them in a lot of really fun ways. And you're going to see this trend take off a lot more when Apple sort of makes its own open claw-like system eventually.
44:42I would assume that's where all this is heading. Austin Carr is a great read in Business Week. We appreciate it. That was it from this edition of Bloomberg Tech. Great to have you back, Ed.
44:51Caroline Hyde:Yeah, it's good to be back. Check out the pod. Lots to recap to start the week and find it on all the Bloomberg platforms and online. This is Bloomberg Tech. If you follow markets, you know the value of long-term thinking. You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility. But in life, even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. A fire, a loss, a disruption that demands immediate attention. When that happens, what matters isn't just what you planned, it's who shows up. That's where Cincinnati Insurance comes in. For more than 75 years, they've helped individuals and businesses navigate life's toughest moments with care, expertise, and personal attention.
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From the publisher
Bloomberg’s Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow discuss Cerebras’ increased IPO plans as the AI chipmaker and data center operator boosts its offering plans by one-third to as much as $4.8 billion. Plus, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire explains what drove the company’s first-quarter revenue and his vision of an agent-led future. And Google researchers say they have uncovered the first-ever zero-day attack built by AI.
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