In short
The episode of Bloomberg Tech covers AI investment and infrastructure, markets, geopolitics, and entertainment. Topic: Alibaba plans to ramp AI spending beyond its already disclosed $50B, shares jump; OpenAI’s Stargate expands with five US data center sites and partners (Oracle, SoftBank, plus Oracle’s role as infrastructure “middle person”); Oracle issues $15B in corporate debt including a rare 40-year note; Micron posts an upbeat outlook driven by demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for AI.
Key claims
AI spend is accelerating into data centers and inference demand; energy and physical infrastructure are bottlenecks; some investors worry about a “bubble” if monetization lags.
Notable examples
Alibaba’s new QN Max 3 model; Stargate site locations (Texas, New Mexico, and an unspecified Midwest site); AlphaFold’s protein-structure breakthrough (open-sourced).
Guests
Kaya Kallas (former Estonian PM, EU top diplomat); Brody Ford (Bloomberg); Kim Forrest (CIO, Boca Capital Partners); Hannah Miller (Bloomberg Hollywood); Henry Wren (Bloomberg equities); Fabrizio Bluisi (CEO, Prosus); Ruth Porat (Alphabet president/CIO); Steve Jang (Kindred Ventures founder/partner); Kurt Wagner (Bloomberg).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOAlibaba's AI Spending Plans
0:00 to 0:22
Discussion on Alibaba's plans for increased AI investments.
“With the highest number of young STEM graduates per capita in the EU, Ireland has the people and skills your company needs to succeed here.”
Alibaba's AI Spending Plans
1:00 to 1:26
Discussion on Alibaba's plans for increased AI investments.
“If you've ever waited on a refill or couldn't schedule an appointment, you get it.”
Alibaba's AI Spending Plans
1:54 to 2:20
Discussion on Alibaba's plans for increased AI investments.
“after revealing plans to ramp up AI spending.”
Market Overview and Trends
2:20 to 3:08
Hosts analyze current market trends and stock performances.
“Well, we're currently lower by a tenth of a percent.”
UN General Assembly Insights
3:08 to 3:39
Bloomberg correspondent discusses key moments from the UN General Assembly.
“There are elements of the street that were even more bullish.”
Interview with Kaya Callas
3:39 to 10:56
Former Estonian Prime Minister Kaya Callas discusses EU responses to Ukraine conflict.
“Well, as far as the UN General Assembly goes, this one was of note.”
Wrap-Up of UN Discussion
10:56 to 11:10
Discussion concludes on the impact of US and EU actions on Russia.
“Bloomberg's Anne-Marie Horden at the United Nations.”
Micron's Forecast and Market Reactions
11:10 to 11:22
Analysis of Micron's performance and market outlook.
“So coming up on Bloomberg Tech, the largest U.S.”
Micron's Forecast and Market Reactions
11:26 to 11:47
Analysis of Micron's performance and market outlook.
“IDA Ireland, the National Investment Development Agency, can help you find and nurture the people you need to internationalise and thrive.”
Microsoft's AI Integration Strategy
13:00 to 14:00
Discussion on Microsoft's partnership with Anthropic for AI solutions.
“Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures.”
Show all 19 chapters
Microsoft and OpenAI's Evolving Relationship
14:00 to 17:21
Explore Microsoft's shifting dependency on OpenAI and its new partnerships.
“Bloomberg's Brody Ford joins us for this and so many other stories.”
Oracle's Financial Maneuvers and AI Infrastructure
17:22 to 23:03
Understand Oracle's role in AI infrastructure and its recent financial decisions.
“The company reported a strong outlook for the current quarter, helped by demand for high bandwidth memory in the AI context.”
Jimmy Kimmel's Return and Controversy
23:04 to 27:54
Discuss Jimmy Kimmel's return to late-night TV amidst controversy and public response.
“after Disney lifted its suspension following remarks made by the host about the assassination of Charlie Kirk.”
Alibaba and Tencent: The AI Race
28:00 to 35:07
Explore the competitive landscape of AI investments between Alibaba and Tencent.
“matching the massive investments already underway in the U.S.”
The Speed of AI Advancements
35:07 to 38:20
Learn about the rapid developments in AI technology and its implications.
“specifically in Europe and India and Latin America.”
Private Market Perspective on AI
39:10 to 42:00
Gain insights on the private market dynamics of AI investments from venture capitalists.
“But I do want to get your reaction to that OpenAI NVIDIA deal because it's all of it that's happening in the market right now.”
The Rise of Generative Media
42:00 to 44:14
Explore the emergence and impact of generative video and media in the tech landscape.
“So today, in terms of generative media, generative video is relatively new.”
Crypto's Growing Influence
44:14 to 45:30
Discuss the evolving role of crypto and stable coins in the global payments landscape.
“We're talking about a potential bubble, and I know that you've got a lot of experience in crypto.”
Instagram's Strategic Changes
45:30 to 47:27
Learn about Instagram's shift towards DMs and Reels to adapt to user preferences.
“managing partner and founder of Kindred Ventures, giving us the full picture.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00With the highest number of young STEM graduates per capita in the EU, Ireland has the people and skills your company needs to succeed here. IDA Ireland, the National Investment Development Agency, can help you find and nurture the people you need to internationalise and thrive. Our talent is just one of the extraordinary benefits Ireland has to offer. Learn more at idaireland.com. Invest in extraordinary.
0:30The thing about AI for business, it may not automatically fit the way your business works.
0:35Caroline Hyde:At IBM, we've seen this firsthand. But by embedding AI across HR, IT, and procurement processes, we've reduced costs by millions, slash repetitive tasks, and freed thousands of hours for strategic work. Now we're helping companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business, IBM. Healthcare doesn't always work great. If you've ever waited on a refill or couldn't schedule an appointment, you get it. That's the kind of stuff Optum is changing. They're using data and technology to integrate patient care, pharmacy, and everything else.
1:14So healthcare is connected, not complicated. What's that look like? Cheaper prescriptions that are easier to get and care that looks at the whole person. How you need it. Optum is helping make healthcare work as one for everyone. Learn more at business.optum.com. Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts, radio, news.
1:40Bloomberg Tech is live from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York and Ed Ludlow in San Francisco.
1:51Caroline Hyde:This is Bloomberg Tech. Coming up, Alibaba shares surged to their highest level in nearly four years after revealing plans to ramp up AI spending. Plus, Stargate takes shape five new data center sites in the US planned as OpenAI plows$100 billion into AI infrastructure along with partners Oracle and SoftBank. And Jimmy Kimmel returned to TV Tuesday night saying it was never his intention to make light of the murder of Charlie Kirk. We have the latest. Let's turn our attention, though, to the markets, which are flat on the day and the moment. Ed, I'm looking at the NASDAQ up. Well, we're currently lower by a tenth of a percent.
2:27We have been trading higher. Look, we've got sensitivity, sensitivity to the macro data. Home sales come in strong. Yields on the bond market therefore push higher. Also, though, the bond market, the U.S. Treasury market being affected by a big corporate debt sale coming from a big tech player, Ed.
2:42Caroline Hyde:Yeah, there's a lot of stories to get to in the program. You are right. Oracle shares are down, but it's a debt story. tapping corporate bond markets for$15 billion of debt, including a very rare 40-year note. In the program, we're going to get to that and their role in what's happening with OpenAI and the Stargate build-out. Alibaba having a really strong day, simply pledging to spend even more on AI than the$50 billion they already disclosed. And then Micron, strong forecast for the current period, in line with consensus above consensus. But as you know, it's always the case. There are elements of the street that were even more bullish.
3:17Caroline Hyde:They wanted to see more from the memory maker in the role that it's playing in AI's ace centers, Cara. Certainly when it's added 40 % to its share price in just this month alone, Ed. But first, it is United Nations General Assembly. It's still underway this week here in New York. And we now go to the UN Rose Garden, where Bloomberg Surveillance's Anne-Marie Horden is standing by with a special guest. Thank you so much, Caroline. Well, as far as the UN General Assembly goes, this one was of note. The past 24 hours, we saw really a massive geopolitical shift from the rhetoric of President Donald Trump.
3:50And I'm so glad right now to get the insight of what this means for Europe. She's European's top diplomat and also the former Estonian Prime Minister, Kaya Callas. Thank you so much and welcome to Bloomberg TV. Thank you for having me. So yesterday, President Trump came out with this post on social media saying he thinks Ukraine can actually get back all of the land. A very different tone than what we saw from him even just three weeks ago. He said that the European Union would have to be on board with this. So what is the path forward? Well, it was also a very positive statement. I mean, before I also met with the Ukrainians who had a meeting with President Trump and also said that it was a very good meeting asking how U.S.
4:32can support also Ukraine and saying that Russia's economy is not doing well, all what we also read in the post. So we have been on that line and we really welcome the shift in the tone. The president also talked about even going further into even Russia. Is Europe prepared to buy more weapons to then give them to Ukraine? Well, we are doing a lot. I mean, this year only our military support to Ukraine has been 25 billion, which is more than any other year. It is clear that we have to help Ukraine to defend themselves because, as President Zelensky said in his speech as well, I mean, if we allow, Russia will just go further.
5:18We have to push them back. We have to also say that this is not okay and you cannot let aggression pay off. Do you have a sense of which European countries, though, are willing to put in more funds when it comes to Ukraine, whether or not it's funds directly or to actually buy those weapons? Well, we have different initiatives also to help European countries, to help Ukraine, but also invest more in their own defense. And we are putting a lot of funding on the table. Of course, it is difficult. It requires also member states to make some very difficult decisions, like cutting social spending, but also raising taxes, which are not popular.
5:59That is very clear. But we are in this situation where we are, where we have to invest in defense. And the problem is that you need it when you actually don't feel the need yet. So you need to do the decisions way before you actually need the defense capabilities. And if you do it, it acts as a deterrence so that the aggressor would not look your way. Trump also said yesterday the U.S. is prepared for more powerful sanctions, robust sanctions tariffs on Russia. but only if the European Union is in lockstep. Now, we have seen movements the European Union is talking about when it comes to things like fossil fuels.
6:37They are ready to do these tariffs. But we are three years and seven months into this war. Why did it take for President Trump to convince Brussels to do what Brussels probably knew from the very beginning they had to do? No, excuse me. We have done 19 packages of sanctions, and we would like our partners to be in lockstep with us. because we have put a lot of pressure. The package that we propose now has also crypto financing institutions, also energy. Yes, what President Trump says about energy is true. We have been saying for the... I know you specifically have been talking about this for years.
7:16For quite some time, because we have been dependent on Russia, and now we are phasing out. And it's true that it should be faster. We are trying to push those few member states who are still buying Russian energy to show that actually if you want this war to stop, you need to really cut off the funding of this war, which comes from the fossil fuels. Hungary, Belgium, France. Do you think they're really prepared to do this? I mean, these countries, I mean, the countries who are dependent on, some are making great steps and some are not. So clearly, some are great friends of President Trump, which has been also our appeal to President Trump to talk to them, like Hungary, for example, so that this is necessary.
8:05The neighbors around Hungary, for example, have proposed solutions so that they can get energy from the neighbors and do not have to depend on Russia. But so far, they haven't really wanted to as the energy is much cheaper. Do you view this posture now from the United States, some are calling it a full 180, do you view it as concrete? Is this tangible? How long will it last? Well, we welcome those statements and the change of tone, like I said. So let's build on this. Also, really tangible steps. I mean, on the European side, we have been keeping this line, also putting our money where our mouth is.
8:44I mean, supporting Ukraine, their defense capabilities, investing more in our defense and also pushing back Russia, putting pressure on Russia. What we want to see from all our allies. One country that could really put pressure on Russia is China. Given the fact that you've been working with the United States when it comes to Russia, Could more be done between the European Union and the U.S. to put pressure on China to then put pressure on Putin? The U.S. has tariffs on China. Is it time for the European Union to consider putting the walls up on China? Not just what's going on in Ukraine, but also they're pretty much dismantling the European industrial base.
9:21Well, it is true. We have two big worries with China. One is the economic coercive practices that they are using against European companies, which are really hurting our companies, industry and economy. And the other part is them being the key enabler of Russia's war in Ukraine. So we had the EU-China summit. We are stressing all these points and really raising these points and also acting on them. If you look at the sanctions package, we are sanctioning also Chinese companies who are enabling this war to continue. So we are not, or let's put it this way, that we are believers of free trade. So we are not using tariffs as the measures, but we are putting pressure by other means.
10:04I just want to finish on the incursions when it comes to European airspace. Friday, it happened in Estonia, a country you used to lead. Is Estonia and these countries prepared to do what the president Donald Trump thinks NATO allies should do? Shoot these Russian aircrafts down? Well, NATO is a collective defense alliance, which means that attack on one is attack on all. This is Article 5. So it's clearly if those drones or airplanes are violating the airspace, are creating security risks, then there has to be proper response. Estonia asked Article 4, which is consultations, how to continue. And all the member states in NATO, including the United States, have vowed to keep up their commitments.
10:53Madame Callas, thank you so much for your time on Bloomberg TV today. Caroline, Ed, of course, that was Europe's top diplomat welcoming the really reversal we saw from the president of the United States right here at the UN yesterday when it comes to Putin's invasion of Ukraine.
11:07Caroline Hyde:Bloomberg's Anne-Marie Horden at the United Nations. Thank you very much. So coming up on Bloomberg Tech, the largest U.S. maker of computer memory chips gave an upbeat forecast for the current quarter. We'll talk about what's lifting Micron's outlook next, why the shares aren't doing so well. This is Bloomberg Tech. With the highest number of young STEM graduates per capita in the EU, Ireland has the people and skills your company needs to succeed here. IDA Ireland, the National Investment Development Agency, can help you find and nurture the people you need to internationalise and thrive. Our talent is just one of the extraordinary benefits Ireland has to offer.
11:47Learn more at IDAireland.com. Invest in extraordinary.
11:55Caroline Hyde:Support for the show comes from Public.com. If you're actively involved in your portfolio, you probably catch yourself repeating the same actions. Buying the dip, manually sweeping idle cash, putting on a hedge. On Public, you can now create AI agents that handle all these tasks on your behalf. Just describe what you want to do in plain English. Like, if the VIX hits 25, buy a put option on the S &P 500. or if my cash balance goes above$20 ,000, move the excess into my direct index. You approve of the workflow and your agent handles the rest. Monitoring the market, watching for your conditions and executing your strategies exactly as defined.
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13:40Microsoft will start using AI models from Anthropic to help power its workplace AI assistant, a product that has so far, of course, been mostly driven by OpenAI. Starting today, business users of Microsoft's co-pilot branded AI assistant, will be able to toggle between OpenAI and Anthropic models for certain functions like digital research assistants or building customized AI tools. Bloomberg's Brody Ford joins us for this and so many other stories. Brody, we start with the idea that Microsoft's becoming less and less dependent on OpenAI and vice versa. That's the big question for Microsoft, right?
14:12It's kind of staked its AI bets on the idea that OpenAI will be its golden goose. These two companies have slowly moved apart from one another. And today we see Microsoft making a big partnership with the other kind of leading frontier model maker of Anthropics, showing that, you know, they're testing the waters. They're looking around. They aren't as bad on the Altman show.
14:36Caroline Hyde:Brody, the big story in the market today is Oracle tapping corporate bonds,$15 billion, including a 40-year note, which is a rare thing. But actually, it just speaks to what you wrote about in the Tech in Depth newsletter. There are all these pledges, and Oracle and others are writing all these checks for future infrastructure. And now they're trying to work out how they're going to cover those checks. Oracle is one of the great cash cow businesses of all time, but its cash flows went negative, and it's going to be negative for the next couple of years. They've committed to serving open AI, serving customers like Meta with huge data centers, and that money's got to come from somewhere.
15:15And so folks have wondered where that will be. And so seeing them tap the debt markets in a big way today is not a shocker, but it's maybe a larger sum than we anticipated. And how amazing that people are willing to commit to buying 40-year debt when still we're wondering if we win the AI race in that time. But I think it speaks to what was announced late yesterday as well. OpenAI articulating those five new sites around the United States. The idea that they're going to be planning$400 billion of the$500 billion committed in Stargate. But what was really interesting, and Shireen Ghaffari wrote about this, was that basically Sam Altman is saying, we haven't quite got funding tied up here yet.
15:52We're having to be creative, basically, is what they're saying. And look at how NVIDIA invested in OpenAI off the back of that. You're hearing these fears of a circular spending a lot more, right? That$100 billion is going from OpenAI to NVIDIA to Oracle and back, right? And the Oracle's new co-CEO said that in Texas yesterday as well, that, look, we're clearly doing something here. You can see it. We have ambitious plans. The money is something we're still figuring out.
16:19Caroline Hyde:This is a historic amount of investment, and we're going to have to use interesting new structures, was I think his words. There's three new sites, right, in this expansion of Stargate. Shackleford County, Texas, Dona Ana County, New Mexico, and then somewhere in the Midwest that we don't know about. Explain Oracle's involvement, because they are actually at the heart of this story, and I think it's worth lingering on. Oracle has agreed to effectively be the infrastructure middle person, right? They're going to go out and find data center developers who have figured out the power. They're going to rent big old buildings from them, fill them with servers, and then use power from those servers and give it to OpenAI.
16:57They have committed to a pretty incredible project here, and it's work that's worth noting that Microsoft passed on. They said that for whatever reason, they weren't going to do that. And so Oracle has found its way to be taken seriously in the cloud infrastructure game, did something huge, but now it has to deliver.
17:17Caroline Hyde:And has to find some money to do it. Yeah. That's Brody Ford. Great reporting. Thank you very much. The other big story out there in the market is Micron. Shares a little bit under pressure. The company reported a strong outlook for the current quarter, helped by demand for high bandwidth memory in the AI context. It's a classic scenario, Carol, I was talking about earlier, where it beat consensus on its outlook, but at the very high end of estimates, this was a high bar kind of quarter. Let's get out to Kim Forrest, CIO at Boca Capital Partners. The market's starting to understand that HBM is absolutely critical to the AI infrastructure build-out we've got.
17:54Caroline Hyde:But still such a high bar for Micron. What was your reaction and interpretation of those numbers? I thought they were incredible because I had, you know, consensus estimates kind of in my mind whenever I was looking at this stock. Now, the other thing that is missing from this equation is it's run up tremendously in the recent past. So I think there is a little, but maybe some of the traders that aren't going to stay around in the name are out because of the great gains they've gotten in the recent past. So there's a little bit of profit taking going on. But really, all arrows are green and pointed up.
18:34So I think the stock is pointed up and to the right. And some of the areas that I think are most kind of strange is old tech is coming back for them as well. And, I mean, that's kind of great, too, for a lot of players if you are a tech-oriented investor. So regular servers, you know, just the stuff that Microsoft and Oracle has been building for itself, for enterprise to rent out, AWS, that sort of stuff, is on the upswing. It has been missing for a couple of years, right? And then here's a crazy idea, PCs. Because they're killing Windows 10. there is going to be increased demand for PCs and probably the higher end PCs as people start to play around with AI.
19:21So all arrows look upwards and I don't really care what the stock's doing today. It generally does this and it's not trading off quite as much as it had in the recent past on the day after earning.
19:33Caroline Hyde:Well, Kim, trading up in the recent past is up 94 % year to date, second best performer on the Philadelphia Index this year. I'm going to ask you something generally about AI infrastructure. Are various technology companies writing checks that energy companies, the grid utilities can't cash in the future? Like something has got to give here. Yes, absolutely. We have this crazy thing called the physical world, right? That is running up against the virtual world. And I'm one of the people that really worry about this. I think AI is going to add productivity, but the open AI kind of model of we're going to have one big brain that you're going to tap into, it worries me.
20:20First of all, just tally up the expenses. I'm someone that came out of tech because the companies, the AI companies I was working for were not profitable because they didn't understand the problem. The cost of the problem had to be lower than the cost of this, or sorry, higher than the cost of the solution. And I don't really understand what LLMs are solving. Like you can't do a quick like back of the envelope calculation and go, yeah, people are really going to benefit from these financially. So these are the things that I worry about, not just power, but who's going to pay for all this infrastructure?
20:5740-year notes for Oracle. Lovely that they think they're going to get paid back shorter timeline than that. But I don't understand the use case where businesses are going to pay like enormous sums of money to access these products. To cut to the chase, do you think this is more, you know, the idea of big bubble rather than big bets? I do. I do. And it's a very, very big bubble because they've solved a very big problem, natural language processing. but people are conflating that it's more than that, that this is a thinking machine and it is not. I think that this will be used. I think LLMs are very useful but they are not the end-all be-all of AI.
21:39Let's put it that way. For exposure, at the moment you talk about OpenAI and there's a lot of private money going into OpenAI but OpenAI's demand props up the future revenue streams of NVIDIA, maybe even Micron as well. How much can you keep buying in to these companies like Micron that is posting gross margin in excess of 50 % in the here and now? Well, here's my model. It's the third option that we're not talking about, is that companies, and I'm not recommending them, I'm using them as an example, Palantir solves smaller problems with AI that still need the same sort of chips, the same sort of infrastructure, but not quite as much, right?
Read the full transcript
22:22So they're solving problems, smaller problems at a smaller cost. And that, I think, is going to be the formula. And there will be many of these, but unlike OpenAI that seems to think that, you know, we're going to have servers from New York to San Francisco, you know, throughout the country, like all of the country is going to have those. It's hyperbole. Of course, I don't think that. But, you know, the scale is not the same as with a smaller AI sort of model. Kim Forrest and Boca Capita Partners always love the straight talking. Thanks for joining.
23:03Jimmy Kimmel returned to the airwaves last night after Disney lifted its suspension following remarks made by the host about the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Here is what Kimmel had to say about the controversy. And the truth is, I don't think what I have to say is going to make much of a difference. If you like me, you like me. If you don't, you don't. I have no illusions about changing anyone's mind. But I do want to make something clear because it's important to me as a human. And that is, you understand that it was never my intention to make light of the murder of a young man.
23:39Bloomberg's Hannah Miller, who covers Hollywood and entertainment, joins us now. Emotional at times, but also fighting talks at others, particularly when targeted at Brennan Carr of the FCC and the White House. Yeah, if you listen to the rest of that monologue, Jimmy goes hard after Brendan Carr and really calls him out for stifling free speech. And he makes very clear he's not sorry about what exactly he said. He's sorry if he caused offense over the death of Charlie Kirk.
24:08Caroline Hyde:Hannah, the president reacted in a post on Truth Social. And we also had the reporting from Bloomberg about recent days, Kimmel meeting himself directly with Disney executives. What's the reporting we need to know about on that? Yeah. So even before Jimmy Kimmel went on air, you had President Trump posting on Truth Social, you know, making these vague legal threats, you know, saying that he had previously gotten millions of dollars from ABC referencing a past lawsuit that they had settled and that, you know, he might go after them again. So, again, we're seeing this contentious relationship between the Trump administration and media.
24:47And also the two major TV station owners, Sinclair and Next Star, that put out the content to many, many Americans are still having Jimmy Kimmel Live on hold. So how does that impact Disney's business model here? Yeah, so about 23 percent of the country was not able to see this. They saw other broadcasting, news programming, things like that. you know we've seen a lot of talk about the business impact when it comes to subscription cancellations when you look at disney plus and hulu uh jimmy kimmel actually made a joke about that where he read instructions about how to you know get your subscription back if you did cancel um so you know it's it's been very interesting to see um the impact on disney
25:30Caroline Hyde:bloomberg's hannah miller and the team at screen time round the clock reporting really appreciate it
25:40Caroline Hyde:Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. I want to get right to Alibaba's US-listed shares or ADRs. We've just in the last couple of minutes come off a session high. We're up 9.5%, on track for the biggest jump in about a month, the shares trading at their highest level since the middle of 2021. The story is really simple. Overnight, Alibaba said it was going to commit to spending even more than the$50 billion it had already committed for artificial intelligence. and that is something we see in China, Caro, from Huawei through to Tencent. But Alibaba, a key name, and clearly it's driving markets. And the last thing I'd say is I saw a headline on the terminal this morning that when those ADRs jumped in the pre-market, the rest of the market went with it.
26:20Caroline Hyde:We saw futures gain as well. So we're paying attention. We are to$35 billion added in market cap and to a new large language model update too from Alibaba. Let's get to it. Bloomberg's Henry Wren, who covers equities in tech, joins us now. And it does seem to be the fact that Alibaba is all in, whether it's offering cloud, whether it's expanding its investment, whether it's thinking about its own chips, too. Yes, it's about building an ecosystem. Thanks for having me. So it's Alibaba's annual developers conference and lots of surprise. The biggest surprise, as you mentioned, is about them raising the CapEx guidance for AI CapEx over the next three years.
26:57We already knew from February that in the next three years, they're going to commit over US$50 billion of spending on AI infrastructure. But they said they will be spending more. But although they didn't give specific numbers, the investors are already getting excited about their AI projects. So the shares rallied, of course. And on data center and cloud, the company said it has already been expanding overseas. It will continue to do so. And over the next year, it will be building data centers in countries like the Netherlands, France and Brazil. And that's another plus. And on the model side, the company released this new QN Max 3 model, which, according to the company, is among the top in the charts, the benchmark as well.
27:43So all those are pluses. And for Chinese investors that are enthusiastic about AI developments, the shares have reacted positively.
27:53Caroline Hyde:Bloomberg's Henry Wren out of London. Thank you very much. China's biggest tech firms are pouring unprecedented sums into artificial intelligence, matching the massive investments already underway in the U.S. Global tech investment firm process holds a significant stake in one of those giants, Tencent. Joining us now is CEO Fabrizio Bluisi, who visits us in San Francisco. Henry did a good job breaking down what Alibaba had to say. You, through your lens of Tencent, understand what's happening in China. How do you interpret and react to what Alibaba told us overnight? Hello, Ed and Caroline. Pleasure to be here.
28:30Thanks for receiving me. We are extremely excited about AI in China. I know there is so much geopolitical tension about who is going to win. This is not like a simple win thing. This is going to change the world in the next 10, 20 years substantially. And the giants of China are invested substantially against that. Alibaba is doing a great work, but also Tencent is doing a great work. DeepSeed had a big impact in what everyone is doing here, also in Europe and the U.S. So we are bullish. This is going to keep growing. I want to give you one extra data. China, 10 days ago, released its AI plus policy, where they say in three years, 70 % of the device are going to be AI enabled using open source AI.
29:14In 10 years, the whole society is going to be disrupted by AI. So it's amazing how committed China is to AI. And I think it's our obligation in the U.S. to do that. It's our obligation as one of the biggest European companies to invest in Europe so we can keep the pace or do better.
29:30Caroline Hyde:You know, overall, what these Chinese technology companies share is their commitment to spend. But they are very different. They have different proportions of the business on e-commerce, pure cloud computing. how should we distinguish Tencent's AI strategy from Alibaba? What is the piece of Tencent's AI plan that you are most bullish on? Tencent has WeChat and WeChat Pay and all the communications in China runs through WeChat and the impact of AI in communications and companionship is amazing and now in shopping through messaging. So we are very bullish that there is a lot of things to do through Tencent.
30:10But I want to remind you all, we are trying to replicate that in Europe, India, and Latin America. That's what Prozos is doing today. I think China is playing very well. U.S. is playing very well. But there is a big space for other big tech champions in Europe. Europe is more or less the size of the American economy, but has like ASML, Prozos, Spotify, Mistral, maybe three or four hundred billion dollar companies. We believe there will be a trillion dollar company in Europe. That's why we're investing hard in Europe to build there. The same thing in India. We're investing hard in India. We're investing a lot in Latin America.
30:45And it's good to remind sometimes everyone, including my U.S., France, AI is going to be a global thing, and we have many global tech champions around the world. That's what Prozis is doing. Fabrizio, yeah, you're trying to make Prozis that global tech champion. Can you describe the exact tactic of that at the moment? because it seems like you're all in on this idea of lifestyle e-commerce system more broadly. How do you become bigger than the sum of your parts? Definitely. We are very excited about what we are doing. Our first part of the strategy is to invest in our three ecosystems. Latin America, where we are doing very well through iFood and a whole ecosystem around iFood.
31:24For example, the Despegar acquisition we did for$2 billion a few months ago. In India, we are making many investments that are growing faster through AI. For example, today we announced the investment in the biggest mobility player in India. And in Europe, we are really investing to develop technology and innovation in Europe. We did the Just Eat Takeaway acquisition there just five months ago. It was approved by European Commission in five months, what is like a record time. We are very excited about that. That's what Europe needs to move faster, to take more risk and to create local champions.
31:57We expect to close this offering in one week, next Wednesday, actually. And this is just the first step. We are going to keep investing harder in Europe. We are launching next week the AI House Amsterdam, where we have hundreds of people together with universities and other companies developing local models in Amsterdam and the Netherlands because we need players investing really hard there. I'm quite confident with the level of scale that we have with 30 ,000 people, the level of investment in disruptive AI models. we will help Europe to position itself as a leader in this race. What about other areas of M &A then, Fabricio?
32:34Because you're trying to make your portfolio ever more focused. Where could you make additional add-ons? Where's interesting? As I said, we spent$7 billion the last few months. We are going to keep spending, hoping the next few days announce another big investment in France. Do it now! Do it now, Fabricio. Yeah, just a few days to keep investing a lot in Europe. My commitment was to invest up to$15 billion in Europe, and we are moving fast in this direction. I'm a little frustrated. The European Commission also asked me to divest$2 billion,$1 billion, before I keep investing. I think this is the wrong mindset.
33:09Europe needs to invest 10. I can do it by myself,$50,$100 billion, and that's what Europe needs.
33:15Caroline Hyde:Fabrizio, I want to hold you to account on something, because you said to our US audience, don't forget Europe. When I look at what you have done, there's been some selling down in Delivery Hero. Also, some of the Chinese, Meituan, for example. Yeah. So net-net, you're going to continue adding proportionately to the European investment and taking potentially from other parts? Not proportionately. We are going to invest substantially more in Europe. We have up to$15 billion to invest in Europe. The Delivery Hero discussion about selling down was an agreement with the European Commission. They asked us to divest Alito.
33:52That's why I asked, yes. And I disagree. Thank you, European Commission. We did a deal in five months. We are moving fast. That's what Europe needs. But they also said, please sell Alito. That's the wrong strategy. We had to invest more$15 billion faster. That's what I'm going to keep talking in Brussels. And that's what I think Europe needs. Everyone was talking this week about the Mario Draghi report. Yes. He said Europe needs to be more aggressive, needs to consolidate local champions. One year after the report, just 11 % of the report was implemented. That's not enough. But the good news process is very committed to help collaborate, work together.
34:25We need bigger companies investing more and fast in Europe, specifically in developing AI. So I'm quite excited. I know many times here in TV we say, is it a bubble? It's not. I'm absolutely sure the impact in AI in the next 10 years is going to completely change who are the winners. So if you're not moving fast and the impact in AI today in process is disruptive. We are moving faster. We have better service for our customers. We are more efficient. Obviously, there is lots of people investing a lot, specifically here in the US. Obviously, lots of the companies that people are investing today, they are also going to fail.
34:58That's part of the process. We're not going to have only winners. We have winners and losers. We are working three times harder in process to make sure that we are one of those winners, specifically in Europe and India and Latin America. Well, let us know which is the French winner in the next few days, Fabrizio Bluisi. Great to have you back, process CEO. Now, let's turn to the efforts to harness the power of AI. That's what Ruth Porat, Alphabet's president and CIO, has just been discussing with Bloomberg's Francine Lacroix at the Bloomberg Global Forum in New York. Take a listen. I think where we are with AI is it is both moving really fast and really slow.
35:33And what I mean by that is when you focus on the science, the breakthroughs in science are breathtaking, the pace at which we're seeing advancement. And I think one of the best ways to think about that is actually with my colleague, Demis Asabas, who runs Google DeepMind. And the work he did to develop something called AlphaFold, which is the 3D prediction of protein structures, which is viewed as the single greatest contribution to drug discovery in our lifetime. And he went from working on that, he's been in neuroscience and computer science physics for his whole life, but four years ago started on this journey to take on what had been a 50-year grand challenge to predict protein structure of the protein structures for all known proteins.
36:18And in four years, he went from an idea that people challenged, is it possible, and he said, why not, to a solution, which has now been open sourced. Three million scientists around the world are using it, 190 countries, and the Nobel Prize. That is the speed of change, and we're seeing that across Google DeepMind. What is slow is actually the implementation in both the public and the private sector. We're still very early days. The excitement about AI is across the board. The economic upside,$4 trillion potential contribution to GDP by 2030 with proper application across industry and the public sector, what's called diffusion.
36:57It's the better delivery of health care, better delivery of education. And that is still very early days. AI is clearly a lot more than a chatbot. It's about a fundamental rethink of the processes that we have. And I would say for each one of us as leaders, we need to start on that journey.
37:13Caroline Hyde:That was Alphabet President and CIO Roof Porat from the Bloomberg Philanthropies Global Forum earlier today. OK, coming up, Steve Jang, founder of Kindred Ventures, joins us for a conversation about the opportunities all of these AI announcements create for the private investor, for the venture capitalist. That's coming up next. This is Bloomberg Tech.
37:43Caroline Hyde:putting on a hedge. On public, you can now create AI agents that handle all these tasks on your behalf. Just describe what you want to do in plain English. Like, if the VIX hits 25, buy a put option on the S &P 500. Or, if my cash balance goes above$20 ,000, move the excess into my direct index. You approve of the workflow, and your agent handles the rest. Monitoring the market, watching for your conditions, and executing your strategies exactly as defined. An investing platform driven by your intent, not just your clicks. You can also get full read and write access to your account via the public API.
38:20Caroline Hyde:Go to public.com slash market and fund your account in five minutes or less. That's public.com slash market. Paid for by Public Investing. Brokered services by Open to the Public Investing, Inc., Member FINRA, and SIPC. Advisory services by Public Advisors, LLC, SEC Registered Advisor. Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. The Bloomberg Sustainable Business Summit returns to Singapore on July 22nd. Our fifth annual Asia-Pacific Summit will explore how business and finance leaders are shaping the next phase of globalization by strengthening resilience and driving a multi-speed energy transition across Asia's diverse markets.
39:00Join us for solutions-driven discussions and networking opportunities. Thank you to our summit advisor, Bangkok Bank. Learn more at BloombergLive.com slash SBS dash Singapore.
39:13Caroline Hyde:companies are investing hundreds of billions of dollars in ai data centers we've been talking about that announcements just keep coming from alibaba to open ai and nvidia on monday i want to get the private market perspective on this with steve jang founder of kindred ventures an early ai investor and here with us for vc spotlight and um you're operating at a different level of of the curve, right? I think that's one way of putting it. But I do want to get your reaction to that OpenAI NVIDIA deal because it's all of it that's happening in the market right now. Right. And thank you for having me.
39:49It's great to be back. It's both surprising in scale, but not surprising that it's happening. Number one, I think we're undershooting or underestimating how much compute we need for not only training but for inference. That growth, that growth in demand is scaling out in every direction right now. We're seeing that across early stage startups as well as growth stage startups and public companies. So if you think about what's happening today, globally, first off, every region is now in the AI competition, the model competition race. Number two, there are specialized models in video, in audio, in voices, in speech models.
40:29physics models, medical science models. You look at what DeepMind is doing. You look at what small startups like SoFont are doing in medical sciences. And then you also see what's happening in particular with demand. And so we're just moving from an experimental phase into a commercial application phase. So everything that's happened up until today has just been in that experimental testing phase. And so if you think about TikTok and Instagram and YouTube on the consumer level, there's double-digit adoption right now on creators and users that are using AI tools. And then if you look at enterprises and small businesses, they're already starting to use voice AI for call centers.
41:10They're using it to write reports. They're using it for search and answers. So we're just at the beginning, and I think every single... I looked back yesterday before we came on today, and I saw all the projections from a year ago, and we're already surpassing that by 10x today. inference demand alone. But Steve, the reason we come to you is because the prowess of the bets that you've already met, and we think about perplexity and we think about play AI. How do you ensure, Steve, that you're not part of what some are starting to feel is like a house of cards, of everyone giving money to the same sort of players?
41:42And ultimately, if the productivity doesn't achieve, if the money doesn't achieve, then suddenly we start to see some real holes. I think what's important here is that you do see the demand and you do see the uptake commercially. You see revenues, you see adoption, you see usage. I'll give you an example of this. So today, in terms of generative media, generative video is relatively new. Well, let's say it's about a year and a half old. Google, ByteDance, and many other small startups are providing these models. The compute just for that, which is showing up on YouTube, which is showing up in video ads, which is now showing up through Creatify on Comcast and Universal Channel video ads now is making real money.
42:27It's making real CPMs for real brands. And so as long as there is economic productivity on the demand side, that's why you're seeing all this scaling of cost of investment in GPUs, data centers, and energy. And you see these long-term contracts. $100 billion was an amazing size for a SoftBank Vision Fund five years ago. And today, that's just one company making investment for a round-trip commercial deal.
42:53Caroline Hyde:Steve, you were in the green room, right, when Fabrizio Baurici was sat in that chair, and he talked about a bubble in the context that, like, well, that's a normal part of the game. Some failures, you need to find successes. Do you think about it in those terms, in the context of there's such a capital concentration in these few names? There's always going to be an arbitrage between current demand and economic productivity revenue, right, and the investment capital and the timeline in between. Bubbles are necessary for a collection and hyper-focus of talent, engineering talent, research talent, building talent, as well as capital.
43:29And that's what creates that enormous growth and velocity in any sort of tech cycle. We saw this every tech cycle. This tech cycle is very different because there's real revenue and commercial application happening. So, again, look at GPUs as just one part of this. Energy is the other part. Data center space is the other. then there's a software infrastructure layer there so-called middleware which is a bad word in the last tech cycle but is actually where value capture and differentiation happens now and so this is really important you see companies like together a you see companies like foul and generative media cloud space uh these companies and and core weave a core weave is a company that started out as a bitcoin yes a mining data center steve can i go to that can i go to crypto because We're talking about a potential bubble, and I know that you've got a lot of experience in crypto.
44:18I'm looking at Tether, potentially looking at funding with a valuation of$500 billion. Is that a bubble sign to you or not?
44:30The stable coins right now and crypto, there's an interesting thing happening right now where fintech, as we knew it, global payments infrastructure, companies like Stripe and many other companies fragmented around the world in FX, it's getting slowly transformed by crypto, especially stable coins. We don't, it is again, very easy to underestimate this. I think it's harder to really look at the frontier and just say, how big could this be? But you see the US government and many other foreign governments, this is an area, unlike AI, where there isn't a concept of sovereign crypto. In AI, we have sovereign AI and there's a competition.
45:09In crypto, interestingly, there's much more of a cross-border collaboration. that wants to be on blockchains. This is obviously very recent in terms of government push with this new administration. But underlying that is still compute. Same data centers that are providing AI compute, high-performance compute, are also supplying it for crypto. So fascinating, Steve Zhang, managing partner and founder of Kindred Ventures, giving us the full picture. Social media app Instagram is proving more popular than ever, reaching 3 billion monthly users. This is parent company Meta looks to short form videos and private messaging to really drive the growth.
45:46For more, Blue Mox, Kurt Wagner joins us. You've had a really interesting conversation with Adam Massari. What did he detail about the forward path for Instagram?
45:53Caroline Hyde:Yeah, the big thing for me that I took away is that they're leaning into these products that have not necessarily been historically how you think of Instagram. You think of these glossy life moments, the traditional feed. They're leaning into DMs, leaning into Reels, stories, things like that. So Instagram has changed a lot since 2010, and the 3 billion, they're leaning into that change, I think. Kurt, part of the discussion was about testing and changes to the algorithm. What are they doing? They're going to let people essentially pick the topics they want to see more of, so be more explicit in the things that they're hoping to see.
46:27Caroline Hyde:You know, you can pick your favorite sports team. You can go very granular. And they say they're able to do this because of the advancements in AI. They're able to read videos with AI, determine exactly what's in them, and then feed that to you. Historically, Ed, you know it's been more implicit. Like, they will look at your behavior and try and guess what you like. They're going to run this test where people can be a lot more specific about what they want to see and hopefully change their algorithm to show that. And also interesting where they're testing that and which parts of the globe they really want to penetrate.
46:56Yeah.
46:57Caroline Hyde:So the algorithm test is going to be in several different markets. they are doing a test in India, specifically around Reels, where they're going to open the app into Reels. So instead of opening into that main feed, you're now going to get basically TikTok when you open Instagram. Where it's banned in India. I was going to say, and there's a reason they're doing it in India because TikTok is banned in India, right? So this is a great opportunity for them to kind of take advantage of the fact that a core competitor is not in that market. Bloomberg's Kurt Wagner. It's a kind of must read, based on an interview, and Maseri, who heads up Instagram, really appreciate you joining the show on it.
47:28Caroline Hyde:That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech, Cara. You do not want to forget to check out our podcast. There is so much debate out there around AI. Stick with us for it. You can find it on the terminal. This is online on Apple, Spotify and iHeart. What an incredible time to keep on telling these stories. This is Bloomberg Tech. This week on Leaders with me, Francine Lacqua. I speak to tennis legend Rafa Nadal about how he stayed competitive despite injury. I was able to enjoy the victories probably more than if I will not have this issue. One iconic match. In my mind was, I am almost dead.
48:05And whether he misses playing. I don't miss tennis because there was nothing else to offer. Listen and watch Leaders with me, Francine Lacqua, on Bloomberg Television or wherever you get your podcasts.
From the publisher
Bloomberg’s Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow look at Alibaba’s plans to ramp up AI spending past $50 billion, which sent its shares to a four-year high. Plus, OpenAI expands its Stargate data center plan with five new sites in the US. And late-night host Jimmy Kimmel is back on air with a conciliatory tone about his controversial comments and jokes about President Trump.
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