Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings

28 Jan 2026 · 43 min · 29 chapters

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Bloomberg Tech Podcast Episode Notes

Episode Overview Podcast Title: Bloomberg Tech Episode Title: Amazon Cutting 16,000 Jobs, ASML Reports Record Bookings Hosts: Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow Release Date: [Date not provided in transcript]

Episode Description

In this episode, the hosts discuss

  • Amazon's announcement to cut nearly 16,000 jobs, constituting approximately 5% of its corporate workforce.
  • ASML's record fourth-quarter orders driven by AI demand, along with job cuts to increase efficiency.
  • SoftBank's discussions to invest up to $30 billion more in OpenAI.

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Key Topics Discussed

Amazon Job Cuts

  • Announcement: Amazon is cutting 16,000 corporate jobs as part of a strategy to reduce bureaucracy and enhance ownership among remaining employees.
  • Context: This follows a previous layoff of 14,000 employees in October, bringing the total cuts to approximately 30,000.
  • Impact: Stock market reaction was negative, with shares dipping by 0.7%.

ASML's Record Orders

  • Performance: ASML reported record bookings, exceeding $13 billion in a single quarter, attributed to the growing demand for AI technology.
  • Job Cuts: The company will lay off 1,700 employees, about 4% of its workforce, to streamline operations.
  • Market Reaction: Initial gains in ASML’s shares were followed by a decline, indicating investor caution over future growth projections.

AI and Semiconductor Sector

  • AI Demand: Demand for AI is believed to be sustainable, leading to increased investments in semiconductor production capabilities.
  • Expert Commentary: Analysts discuss the trajectory of growth in the semiconductor industry and the impact of AI on future spending.

SoftBank's Investment in OpenAI

  • Potential Investment: SoftBank is in talks to invest as much as $30 billion more in OpenAI, where it is already a significant stakeholder.
  • Market Implications: This investment reflects ongoing interest in AI technologies and the importance of AI in future business strategies.

Market Insights

  • Current Market Conditions: Discussion on the volatility of the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, influenced by anticipation around Federal Reserve decisions and geopolitical tensions.
  • Capital Expenditure Trends: Analysts emphasize the importance of capital expenditure trends in predicting future growth in various tech sectors.

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Key Takeaways

  • Amazon’s Decision: The significant layoffs at Amazon highlight the company's shift towards a more efficient operational model amidst economic uncertainties.
  • ASML’s Mixed Signals: Despite record orders, ASML faces scrutiny over the sustainability of growth in the semiconductor sector, particularly as companies adjust to new AI-driven market demands.
  • SoftBank's Strategic Move: The potential additional investment in OpenAI underscores the prevailing interest in AI's future promise, especially in light of broader industry trends.
  • Investor Sentiment: There is a cautious optimism among investors regarding AI's transformative potential, yet underlying concerns about a possible AI bubble persist.

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Conclusion This episode of Bloomberg Tech offers a comprehensive look at recent significant developments in the tech industry, particularly focusing on job cuts and record bookings amid evolving demands driven by AI technologies. The discussions reveal a mix of optimism and caution as companies navigate a rapidly changing landscape.

Subscribe You can listen to this episode on [Apple Podcasts](https://www.apple.com/apple-podcasts/), [Spotify](https://www.spotify.com/), and other platforms where you find podcasts.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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Bloomberg Tech Live Introduction

0:45 to 1:22

Introduction to the Bloomberg Tech segment and hosts Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow.

“You can find new episodes of the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast by 7am in Dublin or 8am in Brussels, Berlin and Paris.”

Amazon Job Cuts Announcement

1:22 to 1:44

Discussion of Amazon cutting 16,000 jobs to streamline operations.

“Amazon cut 16 ,000 corporate jobs to remove layers of bureaucracy and, quote, increase ownership.”

Market Overview

1:44 to 2:26

An update on the fluctuating market conditions and the role of AI.

“Let's check in on these markets, though, because there's been some interesting whipsawing ASML among them, but we go more macro right now.”

ASML's Job Cuts and Record Bookings

2:26 to 3:23

Analysis of ASML cutting jobs while reporting record bookings due to AI demand.

“The stock kind of bouncing around in the session, now softer by seven tenths of one percent.”

Interview with ASML CEO

3:23 to 4:26

Insights from ASML CEO on industry clarity and AI demand sustainability.

“But SML CEO Christophe Fouquet did speak with Bloomberg on the phone earlier.”

Analyzing the Semiconductor Equipment Market

4:26 to 6:44

Discussion on the growth expectations for the semiconductor equipment market.

“The guided revenue growth between 4 % and 19%, which in absolute terms is very strong growth.”

Indicators for Tech Growth

6:44 to 8:17

Exploration of leading indicators in the tech sector and capital expenditures.

“So this is this idea that semi-cap players are driven by incremental capacity, not by growth directly.”

Texas Instruments Earnings Overview

8:17 to 10:19

Insights from Texas Instruments’ earnings report and its implications for the economy.

“But if 2027 is as good as 2026, how is the stock going to work on that?”

SK Hynix and AI Memory Market

10:19 to 12:29

Discussion on SK Hynix's performance and the growing demand for AI memory.

“after the company gave a surprisingly robust forecast for the first quarter, signaling that customers have worked through inventory and are returning for chips, analog chips.”

Amazon's Job Cuts Explained

14:12 to 16:51

Discussion on Amazon's decision to cut 16,000 jobs and the reasons behind it.

“Taking a look at shares of Amazon, softer 7 tenths of 1%.”
Show all 29 chapters

U.S.-South Korea Trade Tensions

16:51 to 18:24

Exploration of trade negotiations between the U.S. and South Korea amidst rising tensions.

“Now, the Trump administration is demanding that South Korea implement its six-month-old trade deal with the U.S.”

Intel's Political Alignments

18:24 to 19:57

Discussion on Intel's contribution matching to Trump accounts and its implications.

“Mike, the other news story at the intersection of tech and what's happening in Washington, D.C., is Intel pledging to match Trump account contributions for its employees.”

SoftBank's AI Investments

19:57 to 23:24

Insight into SoftBank's potential $30 billion investment in OpenAI and its ongoing bets in AI.

“First up, Elon Musk has suggested the timing of SpaceX's possible blockbuster IPO could come in mid-June.”

Market Reactions and Earnings Reports

23:24 to 24:29

Analysis of market trends and specific earnings reports from tech companies.

“Well, I think it's probably two different questions that you're looking to unpack there.”

ServiceNow's Market Position

24:29 to 27:36

Discussion on ServiceNow's performance and the challenges it faces in the current market.

“This is where we see the fundamental picture of this tech rally that we're so used to.”

Azure's Growth Prospects

27:36 to 28:00

Evaluation of Microsoft's Azure growth potential and its role in AI development.

“The question is, do they have the capacity to serve the relentless demand from a player such as OpenAI, Alex?”

Microsoft's Azure Growth Potential

28:00 to 29:10

Explore the potential growth of Microsoft's Azure through data center expansions.

“We think Microsoft is very well positioned as a platform to deliver on all parts of that stack and journey.”

The Role of AI in Enterprise

29:10 to 30:25

Discuss the current phase of AI adoption and its potential impact on enterprises.

“To me, and the way we think about it is that we're in phase zero of adoption in the enterprise.”

Understanding CapEx and Market Dynamics

30:25 to 31:40

Analyze the shifts in capital expenditures and its implications for Microsoft.

“Yeah, so look, last quarter was the big shift quarter in terms of CapEx going from something where we thought it was going to be $100 billion to$150 billion this year.”

Autonomous Agents and Security

31:40 to 32:40

Investigate the importance of security in the deployment of autonomous agents.

“They like to talk up their prowess in observability, right, a really important critical factor when an agent is an autonomous.”

Introducing Raquel Erdison from Wabi

32:40 to 32:55

Meet Raquel Erdison, CEO of Wabi, as she discusses the future of self-driving technology.

“Alex Zoukin, Nivor Free Search, great to have you on the show in advance of Microsoft.”

Wabi's Innovations in Physical AI

33:50 to 35:50

Raquel Eridon discusses Wabi's advancements in physical AI and autonomous driving.

“You certainly ask interesting questions.”

Regulatory Landscape for Self-Driving Tech

35:50 to 37:40

Explore the regulatory differences between Canada and the U.S. for self-driving tech.

“is contingent on you hitting some milestones in Robotaxi.”

Talent Acquisition Challenges in AI

37:40 to 40:18

Raquel discusses the challenges and strategies in acquiring talent for AI innovation.

“So we will, you know, for us, our first market has been over the last couple of years for tracking really the U.S.”

Wabi's Investment Landscape

40:18 to 40:45

Raquel shares insights on Wabi's investment interest and the Canadian tech ecosystem.

“plenty from Canada, as well as Europe, and even Middle East now.”

Tesla's Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook

40:45 to 42:01

Steve Mann analyzes investor sentiments regarding Tesla's earnings and future technology.

“taking up to a billion dollars with support from Uber 2.”

Investor Sentiment Around Tesla's Future

42:01 to 43:00

Discussion on investor expectations for Tesla's upcoming developments and the potential impact of Elon Musk's announcements.

“do you want Musk to say on the call that actually will be a driver of confidence in the near term, even if that is this year?”

Meta's Earnings Preview and Spending Plans

43:00 to 44:16

Analysis of Meta's expected spending and potential capital expenditures in relation to AI and investors' concerns.

“and Tesla were also bracing for Meta, which reports after the bell.”

Importance of AI in Advertising for Meta

44:16 to 45:21

Exploration of how Meta needs to showcase AI's effectiveness in their advertising strategies to reassure investors.

“But then in the last earnings, I'm just looking at the chart of how swiftly they fell back in October as maybe we then started to be worried about the commitment of capital expenditure.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Hello, I'm Stephen Carroll. I'm in Brussels where many of Europe's biggest decisions get made. And I'm Caroline Hepker in London with the hosts of the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast. We're up early every weekday keeping an eye on what's happening across Europe and around the world. We do it early so the news is fresh, not recycled and so you know what actually matters as the day gets going. From Brussels, I'm following the politics, policy and the people shaping the European Union right now. And from London, I'm looking at what all that means for markets, money and the wider economy. We've got reporters across Europe and around the globe feeding in as stories break.

0:37So whether it's geopolitics, energy, tech or markets, you're hearing it while it happens. It's smart, calm and to the point. And it fits into your morning. You can find new episodes of the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast by 7am in Dublin or 8am in Brussels, Berlin and Paris. On Apple, Spotify, YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts.

1:02Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts. Radio. News.

1:11Bloomberg Tech is live from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York and Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. Amazon cut 16 ,000 corporate jobs to remove layers of bureaucracy and, quote, increase ownership. Plus, ASML also announcing job cuts to boost efficiency and posting strong fourth quarter orders. And sources tell Bloomberg that SoftBank is in talks to invest as much as$30 billion more into OpenAI. Let's check in on these markets, though, because there's been some interesting whipsawing ASML among them, but we go more macro right now. At one point, we saw the S &P 500 above that$7 ,000 level.

1:55We have never seen that before. And that is as we see the momentum in AI continuing. But we have a crucial Fed meeting. What is going to be put to Jay Powell later today about independence of the Federal Reserve? We're not thinking that there will be any move in terms of rates. But still, there's nervousness. Nervousness around Iran as well, Ed. There's a lot to be focusing in on. But for now, NASDAQ 100 holds on to its gains of 0.4%. What are you looking at? The breaking news story of the morning. Amazon is cutting 16 ,000 more corporate roles, eliminate middle management, streamline. It confirms a lot of what Bloomberg had already reported.

2:28The stock kind of bouncing around in the session, now softer by seven tenths of one percent. We're going to get to that later in the program and go deep on what's happening in Amazon and tech more broadly. Then there's ASML at one point in the session, up more than seven percent and pushing to a fresh record high. Great blockbuster bookings, bookending the 13th consecutive year of growth and also doing its own job cuts. I guess, you know, fix the roof while the sun is shining kind of analogy, Caro. but now the stock is down softer, 2.5%. Something might have been happening on the call. Yeah, we've got to dig into it because, as you mentioned, 1 ,700 jobs are to go, and the Dutch maker of the semiconductor equipment that is sort of world-used says it plans to cut 1 ,700 roles, around 4 % of the workforce.

3:13It's an effort to streamline the organization, the CEO has said. This is as the company reported earnings that you mentioned showing record fourth-quarter bookings, fueled, of course, by AI demand. But SML CEO Christophe Fouquet did speak with Bloomberg on the phone earlier. Take a listen to what he had to say. The last three months have brought a lot of clarity. And I think what you see basically is that the semi-industry, our customers, start to believe that this AI demand is sustainable. And therefore, they have moved into building capacity and they are moving very aggressively. And I think this has been very nicely translated indeed into a record booking number.

3:53So that's, of course, very good news for the midterm. Why are the shares down then? Let's talk about the results. When Pierre Ferregu is head of global tech infrastructure and New Street Research. Why did we sell the rally, the record high in the shares earlier today? Hey, Caroline. Yes, that's a great question. So I think ASML basically confirmed what everybody suspected that 2026 is going to be a great year. Now you have to take a step back and think, what does that mean a great year? The guided revenue growth between 4 % and 19%, which in absolute terms is very strong growth. As you mentioned, the bookings were never seen, we've never seen that level of orders at ASML, like exceeding 13 billion in a single quarter.

4:46Now, when you take a step back, think about what is the downstream of ASML, who are the clients. It's a Micron, it's a Hynix, it's a Samsung, it's a TSMC. And these players are actually growing much, much faster than that. They are growing, like if you take, for instance, TSMC is probably going to grow like between 30 and 35 % this year. So we already see that semi-cap equipment start slagging a bit their clients in terms of growth. And that's a very natural thing because they sell equipment to add capacity. And when you look at the trajectory of growth of AI, we are actually just passing the inflection point.

5:23Going forward, growth is going to continue to be very strong, but it is going to slow. And so it's going to translate into slower growth at semi-cap equipment manufacturers. And I really think this is the way the street is digesting the news today and overnight. Initially, the stock was up. And now the street is realizing, OK, but if 2026 is a peak spending year, maybe it's time to actually take profits on ASML as a stock. So you think this is peak? I mean, that's not what one would hear from Jensen Wang, who thinks we've still got trillions to go. We are still in this mode of trying to question whether we're in an AI bubble or not.

6:04Do you think that we got any clarity on that from ASML after we, of course, got TSMC, after SK Hynix showed such strength in memory? Yeah, so we're definitely not at peak on AI. And you look at the TSMC guide to 2029, growth between 55 % and 60%. So we are still in a very high growth environment in AI. The peak I refer to, Caroline, is a peak in actually capacity increase. Because if in 2027 you still grow very fast, but a bit slower than 2026, you will not need more equipment than you needed in 2026. So this is this idea that semi-cap players are driven by incremental capacity, not by growth directly.

6:51It's a first order derivative of the growth of their clients. And that's the reason why the market is right to be a bit nervous, specifically on some meetings. Now, when it comes to their clients, like the growth outlook for 26 is amazing. It's already very strong for 2027. And it looks really, really good for 2028 and 2029. So we are still in a very, very, very strong growth environment in AI. Yeah, if the stock's down and 2026 is the peak, the market doesn't believe Mr. Fouquet. He thinks it's about sustainability. Listen to this real quick. I think we have all been surprised by the magnitude of AI.

7:29And we all saw it coming a bit. But at the same time, you know, we see those investments coming out. And it's pretty big. And I think that all of us are continuing to watch, basically, for the sustainability of those investments. I think sustainability is a key word. I think the question is always, is this going to last? I think that more and more of our customers are responding positively to that question. Is this going to last? And he's saying that the signals from his customers are that it is going to last. And you're saying the market isn't showing us that. Well, the market is being careful about it.

8:08Because this is going to last for the CEO of ASML might mean we still have very good level of spending in 2027. But if 2027 is as good as 2026, how is the stock going to work on that? It's probably not going to work well. I have a question for you. What is the leading indicator in the world of tech, right? I can give you a chart right now. It shows you expected capital expenditures for the hyperscalers and other associated names like Meta and Oracle, right? Is that the leading indicator? or Bloomberg's Ian King is going to come on next and tell us that Texas Instruments is a leading indicator for the health of the economy or ASML and EUV demand is a leading indicator.

8:51Which data set is most critically important to you right now, Pierre? So what's most critically important, Ed, is to connect these data sets rightfully. I love the chart you just showed. This is like CapEx. And you see that we expect CapEx to grow a lot this year, a growth next year. And as we are not too sure, we don't model much beyond that. This is a leading indicator. Now, what is going to drive the business of ASML is how much incremental capex you add every year. And what you see very clearly is that this incremental capex is now plateauing and coming down. And that's the reason why in semi-cap equipment, you have to be careful and expect a significant slowdown in revenue growth.

9:37For the rest of the industry, capex growth is a very, very good indicator. And then Texas Instruments is actually a very interesting indicator. That is the most important indicator today outside of AI. Because it's quite important to understand what is the global economy doing outside of AI. And we've been into a very, very painful, lengthy down cycle in automatives, in industrials. and what TSMC said, it's confirmed signals that we've had already for a few weeks that we are at the bottom and things are improving. I'm just trying to answer the question, is this going to last? Pierre Ferrague from New Street Research, thank you very much.

10:18I alluded to it just then, shares of Texas Instruments soaring after the company gave a surprisingly robust forecast for the first quarter, signaling that customers have worked through inventory and are returning for chips, analog chips. Multiple analysts are raising price targets, calling the outlook, encouraging. Bloomberg's Ian King is here. Analog chips, simple translation of a touch of a button into a signal. But we always write in our story, in our summary of earnings, this is like the bellwether, the crystal ball for the economy. What do we learn through their earnings? Yeah, I mean, they've got tens of thousands of products, tens of thousands of customers.

10:53So they are literally everywhere. Everything that's got an on and off switch, that's where they are. what they said was, again, you were very careful and they're incrementally better. They had been talking about a recovery being kind of off pace, not as kind of robust as we would normally get. Now they're saying actually orders are improving and are continuing to improve. The signs are now better. How much are they able to harness any of the AI vibes rather than autos, industrials, the bellwether part? Yeah, that's a very good question. The answer is they confirmed the AI Their vibe is good for them.

11:28It's now a significant business. But really, it's not the main business. The main business for them remains industrial and automotive. The things that are a broader... I mean, we know that data centers are big, right? And they confirmed that. What they told us was that industrial is getting better as well, which is what we want to hear. We're really focused right now on how global these companies are, like currency impacts, like China, what's going on with China. Is there anything kind of extra that Texas Instruments can tell us about different geographies, other industries, like industrial good?

12:01Is there anything that's pretty bad? Yeah, I mean, they talked about consumer electronics not being fantastic. And that's because consumer electronics actually recovered earlier than other markets. And now it's kind of slowing down a little bit. Some of the consumer electronics devices, home theater, maybe PCs a little bit, memory dependent. We talked about memory. The price of memory is going up. That's no secret. And that has a knock-on impact. Ian King, as always, breaking it down. And you mentioned memory. We're going to go there. Check out SK Hynix shares. They have really rocketed on the back of their earnings.

12:33And there's this relentless appetite for AI memory, which SK Hynix serves. They're also, in fact, going to be establishing an AI data center solutions firm here in the U.S., Ed. How much is that to do with South Korea-U.S. relationships going forward and the need to invest in the United States? It's going to be backed by$10 billion of capital to pursue partnerships and investments in the sector. So keep an eye on that stock. And that was its trading in South Korea today. OK, coming up, trade tensions rise between the U.S. and South Korea. More on the why next. This is Bloomberg Tech. This is Scarlett Fu.

13:11And I'm Paul Sweeney, inviting you to join us for the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Every day we harness the power of Bloomberg Intelligence to bring you deep dives into the companies that are moving markets, from publicly traded companies like Apple to those that are privately owned but known by everyone on earth like OpenAI. Now, I helped to build Bloomberg Intelligence to what it is today, Scarlett. And now our analysts are the best in the world, covering more than 2 ,000 global companies. That is your legacy, Paul. And we speak to those in-house experts every day. They are Bloomberg's go-to authorities on sectors, companies, and legal processes.

13:42And we do it all live each weekday then bring you the best conversations in our daily podcast. So be sure to search for Bloomberg Intelligence on YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. Listen in the afternoons on your way home from work to catch up on the market news you missed during the business day. That is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. I'm Scarlett Fu. And I'm Paul Sweeney. Subscribe today wherever you get your podcasts.

14:12Taking a look at shares of Amazon, softer 7 tenths of 1%. the company announcing the cut of 16 ,000 corporate jobs worldwide, saying it's an effort to remove layers of bureaucracy and to, quote, increase ownership. It also confirms quite a lot of what Bloomberg's been reporting of late. Bloomberg's Spencer Soper, who covers Amazon, joins us now. 16 ,000 corporate jobs is the latest wave of more than one wave. And the messaging and in line with your reporting, right, is that this is about efficiency and streamlining, not about AI. What are the details of this particular trim that we're seeing? Yeah, definitely a delayering.

14:56They're kind of targeting the middle. And this is something that goes back to last year when Jassy was talking about more people who are doing the direct work and fewer people managing the work in the middle. So there's that in there. It also hit a large, you know, different parts of the organization. So when they had initially laid off 14 ,000 back in October, departments were given a choice. They said they had to hit some numbers. They were given a choice. Do you want to cut people now or wait until after the holiday season? And so a lot of departments, particularly the retail division, waited until after Christmas to do their cuts.

15:37So now we're seeing a total of 30 ,000, which is the biggest in Amazon's history for the corporate side. And that's, you know, compared to, I think, 27 ,000, which was a few years ago back in 2021 and 22. Now, it feels, Spencer, that they've been at length to say this isn't some regular occurrence. I know Beth Galetti, who's really in charge of people, experience, technology, is this isn't going to be some rolling set of cuts that we see every few months. But 30 ,000 in the last three months is a huge amount. Yeah, 30 ,000 is a big amount. But also, if you read her statement very carefully, it's really corporate gobbledygook trying to strike that tone between reassuring employees but also not making any promises.

16:22You know what I mean? So she's saying some might ask if this is going to be a rolling theme, but she's not really saying, hey, we're not going to cut anymore over this period of time. So it's kind of just noncommittal gobbledygook if you really read it carefully. Yeah, saying, is this the beginning of a new rhythm? That's not our plan. But just as we always have, every team will continue to evaluate the ownership speed and capacity to invent for customers. Bloomberg, Spencer, Soper, thanks for breaking it down for us. Now, the Trump administration is demanding that South Korea implement its six-month-old trade deal with the U.S.

16:57to prevent tariffs from rising to 25%. Trade tensions between the two countries have been rising, made worse by the U.S.'s frustration with Korean digital services regulations. New York's senior tech editor, Mike Shepard, joins us now to unpack what is a tech-centric story in many ways because it involves key chip makers over in Korea, for example. Well, it really does. And we saw actually the flashes of this brewing as long as 10 days ago, Karen. And we saw Howard Lutnick threatening those memory makers with tariffs of up to 100 percent if they didn't step up their investments here in the U.S.

17:30And that is one of the issues that we have seen surge more recently with the president's threat of increasing tariffs to 25 percent from the current agreed upon 15 percent level. And a lot of that has to do with what is happening with those investments. Remember, under the deal, South Korea had promised to invest as much as$350 billion in the U.S. over the next several years. But that step has been stalled in the South Korean parliament. They are just beset by a lot of issues, including currency woes and capital outflows. And so lawmakers there have really not been able to codify how this investment would go forward.

18:10But we heard this morning from U.S. Trade Representative Jamison Greer that time is up and South Korea needs to start moving. Otherwise, the U.S. will move to the next step, perhaps, and that is implementing a potential tariff increase. Mike, the other news story at the intersection of tech and what's happening in Washington, D.C., is Intel pledging to match Trump account contributions for its employees. What do we need to know about that? Well, it's an interesting step, and it's one that other companies, including BlackRock, have already taken. And Dell, of course, Michael Dell, the founder of Dell Computing, is one of the pioneers behind this Trump accounts project.

18:54And it's made some big pledges that we've talked about on this program before. But Intel is getting in line with that. And, of course, the stakes for Intel are quite different. And when I say stakes, it's quite literal. The U.S. government owns currently 5.5 percent of the company and is on course to own as much as 10 percent of the chipmaker. And it's also interesting, Ed, that in December the company hired Robin Colwell from the White House to serve as its next government head of government affairs here in Washington. So Intel is, in a way, really aligning with this initiative, the Trump accounts, which are designed to encourage saving and investment by parents for young children over the next several years to try to get people not only invested in the stock market, but saving over the long haul.

19:47And in this way, Intel is trying to get on the right side of the story with the administration in another one of the president's priorities. Bloomberg's Mike Sheppard, thank you very much. Cara? It's time now for Talking Tech, Ed. First up, Elon Musk has suggested the timing of SpaceX's possible blockbuster IPO could come in mid-June. It's according to a report in the Financial Times. The owner of the rocket maker, of course, is reported to be targeting the IPO for when Jupiter and Venus will appear very close together in the sky. Musk's 55th birthday is also in June. Plus, Snap has created a subsidiary dedicated to augmented reality glasses.

20:24specs. Now the unit is intended to give the smart eyewear team more independence but allow it to raise some money. The spokesperson confirmed Snap will launch the AR glasses regardless of external investment. And Apple CEO Tim Cook has joined other tech leaders weighing in on the killing of Alex Preti by federal agents in Minnesota. In an internal memo, Cook called for de-escalation and he said he had spoken to President Trump about the situation.

20:57SoftBank is in talks to invest as much as$30 billion more into OpenAI. Now, that's according to sources. The Japanese firm is already one of OpenAI's biggest backers with a 11 % stake in the chat CPT maker. He with more is Bloomberg's AI and data center czar, Lin Dwan. And so,$30 billion really makes Masa all in. I mean, we know he takes big bets. Yeah, and I think we had one of the analysts out in Asia saying he is literally betting the house on OpenAI and other AI stakes. Now, that being said, it's probably worth pointing out that it's as much as$30 billion as opposed to$30 billion itself. So we'll see exactly where he lands there.

21:33But, I mean, let's face it, like, SoftBank has already invested tens of billions of dollars in OpenAI. So what's another$30 billion at this point, right? Lynn, there are lots of people in my world asking equally if OpenAI is good for it and all their capital commitments for infrastructure and whether SoftBank has up to$30 billion. But the main thrust of it is that this is part of a round that we know is happening, right? OpenAI wants to raise money. What do we know about its target raise overall and the valuation it wants to hit, irrespective of how much SoftBank contributes to that? That's exactly right.

22:09And we've been reporting on this funding round that OpenAI has been orchestrating over the past several months for a while now. Obviously, SoftBank isn't the only name that is intended to invest in this round. We very recently broke the news that OpenAI has been in conversations with very big name investors in the Middle East. And so it's possible that we see some sovereign wealth money wind up in this round. Now, in terms of like what they're targeting valuation wise, very difficult to say. It's even difficult to say exactly how much they may end up raising in the end. The ranges that you've seen out there from us, from others in the media, are kind of all over the place.

22:53It's like anywhere from$750 billion to$850 billion, depending on where investors in OpenAI decide to land in the end. So it's very much an active round, and we continue to try to keep tabs of exactly where it lands. What's interesting is how SoftBank has been very focused on the AI play, but also selling down in NVIDIA to be able to loosen up some cash. They made a purchase of Ampere, for example, in the chips area. Are they deemed a winner in the AI space right now? Well, I think it's probably two different questions that you're looking to unpack there. One is, what does SoftBank selling down at stake in NVIDIA really mean?

23:33And I think that for a moment, people were making the mistake of interpreting that as, ooh, SopBank sees that it's getting like way over its skis and it's not really, you know, all in on AI when in fact what it was really doing is trying to raise enough money to make even more bets on AI. Your other question though was like, is SopBank a winner in AI? I mean, is anybody a winner in AI? I think that the concerns over an AI bubble are still relevant. We saw ASML though report some strong bookings.

24:08Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. Let's check in on these markets, which have been flip-flopping as we build anticipation of the Fed decision. And indeed, many feeling we're not going to get a rate change, but what will Jay Powell say at the press conference? We've also got building geopolitical anxiety, whether it's about Iran, whether we've got still tensions with South Korea in terms of trade. Nevertheless, one point the S &P 500 goes above 7 ,000 and the Nasdaq 100 holds on to its gains. Earnings are coming thick and fast. This is where we see the fundamental picture of this tech rally that we're so used to.

24:36Seagate, best performer in terms of actual percentage move when you're looking at the Nasdaq 100, 20%. This is again winning formula on memory. Alice calling the numbers that Kate put out last night terrific. Texas Instruments also came out with numbers. This is like the bellwether when you're thinking about industrials and thinking about autos. And we've hit a bottom and we're coming back out of it. We're up almost 8 % on that name. ASML actually turns red. It had blowout orders. But too many people questioning perhaps where they can keep on building momentum, selling chip equipment to those chip makers such as TSMC Intel here in the United States.

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25:09Intel, as I say, up 10%. Keep an eye on how the moon music has changed around AI or whether there's a bubble or not. Ed, it's all about these earnings right now. It is, and big tech earnings are well and truly upon us, and that includes ServiceNow. Bloomberg Intelligence says investors will want to hear about the pending acquisition of cybersecurity startup Armist, along with new AI sales and a lot more. Bloomberg's Brody Ford, who covers the software space, is here with us. Generally, right now, the IT spending environment isn't great. What is the kind of read-through and expectation from the street on how ServiceNow will talk about that, right, and how it will show up in their own numbers?

25:49Application software has just had a really tough stretch the last year or so, right? I mean, we've seen all of these big vendors, whether it be Salesforce or ServiceNow, talk up their new AI tools. But it just seems that we can't quite see it in the numbers that there's a real revenue uplift. And with ServiceNow add on top that they've made two big deals in the last year or so. I just see a lot more investor anxiety about them than I had at any point in recent years. I mean, you just have to look back to how their shares have deeply underperformed. Last year, they were off by basically almost 30%.

26:23When you flip into what we might hear from IBM, it has actually outperformed software names. But their consultancy side of the business is maybe the one that you get the AI part of the equation coming in. Exactly. IBM is facing this moment where the discretionary spending is being taken out of those traditional consulting projects. But it doesn't seem to matter too much for them because a lot of their infrastructure software is doing quite well and people are still buying a ton of mainframes. Who knew? So IBM has actually faced a pretty positive environment for a name that in the past was associated with a kind of stodgy, boring, slow growth company.

27:06Don't even get them started on quantum, Brody. We've got a lot to digest after the bell. Thanks to you. We appreciate it, Brody Ford. Another stock we're watching is Microsoft. Investors are paying close attention to its cloud computing service, Azure, and the impact of AI, generative AI. Alex Zoukhan, his Wolf Research Analyst, expects the platform's growth to exceed guidance at 39%, writing, we believe that OpenAI training revenue will begin contributing more materially to Azure in the second fiscal quarter and beyond, which could provide incremental upside to our preview. Alex joins us now.

27:37The question is, do they have the capacity to serve the relentless demand from a player such as OpenAI, Alex? Yeah, Carol, I mean, that's the, I think, the big question. And look, we're excited. We think this is the bellwether that's going to help usher AI into the enterprise era. The move from co-pilot to co-worker that never sleeps, never eats, never complains, just works on complicated problems all the time with the same tool chain that you're used to as a human. We think Microsoft is very well positioned as a platform to deliver on all parts of that stack and journey. The most important metric being Azure.

28:15The capacity constraint issues we think do start to get resolved as they bring the Fairwater data centers online. We see both the Wisconsin and Atlanta data center starting to ramp and contribute. We think that unlocks about a gigawatt of capacity over the course of the next year, which we estimate is about$20 billion of incremental Azure unlock. We think that they also are contracting and expanding their capacity with third parties like the NeoClouds, N-Scale, Nebius and a few others. That could be up to another gigawatt of capacity or another potential 20 billion. So we think that you start to see those resolutions come through over the course of the next few quarters.

28:57I want to go back to where you started, co-pilot and then you went co-worker. What's so interesting really on the show the last few days and really thinking about Anthropics offering? co-work. How much is that potentially a real competitor to Microsoft? Could it up and it's in the space? To me, and the way we think about it is that we're in phase zero of adoption in the enterprise. A lot of the tools, the way they're being used right now, we're in the discovery phase of what's possible. We think that Anthropic, OpenAI, really all the model companies have an opportunity to massively expand the value creation that they're delivering in their offerings in the enterprise specifically.

29:42And so this is a demonstration, we believe, where different vendors at different times will be able to exhibit share gains with functionality that they launch in their ecosystems to enable value creation. So we view it less as a zero sum and more of as an infinite game that we're just starting to play. Alex, I find this so interesting that we've started this conversation about top-line growth in Azure, right? Almost the reverse of a conversation we might have had one or two quarters ago, which would have started with capital expenditures. How much do you need to just get a projection of confidence from Microsoft on their capital expenditure figures to keep this big story alive?

30:25Yeah, so look, last quarter was the big shift quarter in terms of CapEx going from something where we thought it was going to be $100 billion to$150 billion this year. We think that the CapEx shift has been made. We think now it's a question of stability and to some extent, maybe aligning the increase from here with some of your core revenue growth assumptions. But look, that could change too. Over the last month, We think inference has, quite frankly, exploded with the amount of tokens being generated for autonomous coding tasks that are now running writ large when people sleep, as well as some of the possible functionalities exhibited by things like Clogbot and these other kind of orchestration engines.

31:14So it's anyone's guess. We don't think CapEx is going down anytime soon. We think kind of stable to up is how we are thinking about it. when it comes to genuinely autonomous agents, you know, Microsoft's very good. I always say this in the program. It's what I grew up with, selling software that you can otherwise get for free elsewhere. They're not the only game, right, when it comes to the coworker. AWS has a very similar story they like to tell. They like to talk up their prowess in observability, right, a really important critical factor when an agent is an autonomous. And they talk up at AWS how well they're doing to help engineers get through backlog, How are you going to discern, Alex, which company is better at that, you know, and therefore which will be adopted in the enterprise?

32:01Well, look, I think all three hyperscalers have a role to play. I think the one element about autonomous agents, particularly ones that have to handle sensitive, oftentimes customer privileged information is security. And we think one of the key differentiators for Microsoft is their security portfolio, their security stack, their security graph, as well as all of the investments that they've made in other parts of the data platform estate over time. So we think that is a critical piece of the puzzle that will help them gain share of this developing market that we're just kind of starting to discover the use cases around.

32:41Alex Zoukin, Nivor Free Search, great to have you on the show in advance of Microsoft. Now, coming up, Wabi CEO Raquel Erdison joins us to talk about the self-driving startups, latest funding and a push into robo-taxis. That's next. This is Bloomberg Tech. Hello, I'm Michelle Hussain. And for more than 20 years, I was at the BBC. military withdrawal from Afghanistan. But all the time I was delivering the headlines, I wanted to go further than the news of the day, to spend more time with the people shaping our world. And that's what I'm doing here on this podcast. Speaking to people from Nigel Farage, Russia needs to be taught a lesson, to tech journalist Kara Swisher.

33:26And the tech industry is running wild. You know, they've gotten what they wanted, and they've seen a huge run-up in their stock prices. This will be a place where every weekend you can count on one essential conversation to help make sense of the world. So please join me, listen and subscribe to The Michelle Hussain Show from Bloomberg Weekend, wherever you get your podcasts. You certainly ask interesting questions.

34:01Self-driving startup Wabi secured$1 billion in new funding. It includes a$750 million Series C that was led by Coastal Ventures, by G2 Venture Partners, plus$250 million in a milestone-based investment from Uber. To launch, Wabi-enabled robo-taxis. Joining us now, Raquel Rottersen. She is CEO, founder of Wabi. How important is this focus on physical AI in the trucking space? Now moving to the robo-taxi, how significant is that for you? Yes, it's a really exciting moment, I will say, where the physical AI revolution is here and cell driving is where it's going to scale first. And we have a very advanced system in tracking and now we are entering Robotaxi with a massive partnership with Uber.

34:44And it's really the next stage for the company. It's really exciting to be leading the way in physical AI. What's interesting is we had Gatic on yesterday also raising funds or, well, they're securing new deals. They're already commercializing. How is your go-to-market looking? It's all about the platform that you offer when it comes to trucking and now robotaxis. What is it that makes you so distinct? So what makes us very, very unique is the fact that we have next generation technology, a physical AI platform that for the first time in the industry is going to be able to drive both form factors, robotaxis as well as driving trucks.

35:21We are very advanced in terms of both the technology as well as commercialization in trucking. and now entering Robotaxi and we're going to enter Robotaxi really, really quickly. So it's great to see that this next generation technology enables you to go so much faster, so much more capital efficient and with a product that really meets the customer demands. Raquel, congratulations on the round. Really notable. It reads like the money that's coming in from Uber is contingent on you hitting some milestones in Robotaxi. right? Your focus has been autonomous trucking. What are those milestones in robo-taxi that Uber requires you to hit so you can unlock access to that cache?

36:07So not sharing a lot of details yet on the amazing partnership with Uber, but those are simple milestones that we can achieve quickly. And thanks to the technology that we have, already today we have the capabilities to, the core capabilities required for robo-taxis with our self-driving trucks. Unlike the rest of the industry, we can drive not only on highways, but in generalized surface streets. So that's why we feel very confident that we can enter Robotaxi in this raptor market really, really swiftly. You're a Canadian company, essentially. And one of the conversations that we were having yesterday with GATIC is in America, in the US, a need for a federal regulatory framework.

36:54Are you able to give me a kind of assessment of going to market in Canada versus the United States? Which jurisdiction you think is ahead, right, in accommodating this nascent technology? Yeah, the U.S. is definitely ahead of the Canadian market in terms of, you know, regulatory piece as well as adoption. And Canada has to do, you know, quite a bit to catch up. but there is a lot of excitement on the Canadian ecosystem to make this possible. They really understand that this technology has so many benefits from safety to, you know, all the efficiency that is sustainability, extra sustainability that is going to come with the technology.

37:36So definitely there is a desire, but the U.S. is way ahead of Canada. So we will, you know, for us, our first market has been over the last couple of years for tracking really the U.S. or so much larger, you know, markets. And then we will see about, you know, more expansion in the years to come. What's interesting is that you've been in AI, deeply entrenched in the academic side of it. You're still a full professor over in the University of Toronto for 25 years. Is talent ever an issue for you? People so know who you are, they must gravitate towards the expertise you brought in physical AI, but it's getting very expensive.

38:15Is that almost what some of this funding round is for? it's a great point Caroline there is definitely a lot of talent war for AI these days with obviously the revolution that is happening but Wabi can attract the best in class without paying premiums and the reason why is that if you're interested in physical AI if you're interested in bringing a product that is a once in a lifetime or in a generation sort of opportunity to really change the world as we know it today and you want to do it with innovative technology that and really pushing the industry to the next level then what is the place to be and that's what you know we have hired the best in class you know talent team and we continue to attract the best in class and you know also our retention numbers are off the chart so definitely you know amazing team and we continue to double down in terms of hiring.

39:13Raquel, I have another question about Canada and forgive me, it's just been so much in the news recently the ecosystem in Canada you probably saw that Y Combinator cut Canada from its list of countries that it would invest in startups in what do you make of that? what is the ecosystem in Canada right now? on the software and hardware side do you see the talent pool that you need available in your home country? Yeah, so I'm not going to comment on, you know, Y Combinator specifically, but I will say that, you know, there is a vibrant, you know, tech ecosystem in Canada. You know, as you know, you know, Canada has been at the forefront of really all the innovation or the majority of the innovation that underpin the AI revolution that we are seeing today with folks like, you know, Jeff Hinton, Nobel Prize, etc.

40:04So the talent is there, the ecosystem is there. And, you know, from my perspective, you know, Wab is a proud Canadian company. And there is, you know, a few others that are really leading the way. And it's a mass, you know, it's an amazing market. And if you look at our list of investors, you know, we have plenty from the Valley, plenty from Canada, as well as Europe, and even Middle East now. So, you know, I will say that we, you know, Canada can really attract capital from, you know, across the globe. And, you know, it's a miss if you don't invest in Canada. Thank you. Raquel Erdison, CEO and founder of Wabi, closing a$750 million Series C, taking up to a billion dollars with support from Uber 2.

40:50Wall Street, perhaps feeling some mixed signals on Tesla ahead of its earnings. Price targets for the EV maker are rising despite investor concerns over its earnings potential this year. Here with more is Steve Mann of Blue Meg Intelligence. And for Tesla, it's always a question of whether you care about the fundamentals and the quarter just gone, or whether you're betting on AI, Optimus, and the future of robotics? Yeah, I think if you look at the stock price over the last quarter, there's definitely some push and pull on the stock price. It's been pretty steady where it's at at the moment. So there are two camps.

41:24One is looking at the business fundamentals. Sales in the fourth quarter was down 15%, 16%. There's been a lot of pull ahead before the$7 ,500 U.S. tax credit went away. so earnings are probably not going to be pretty. But on the other camp, investors are really stoked with their cyber cab, robo taxi rollout. Steve, in your January 12th preview, you wrote that 2026 is the pivot year for AI and robotics, right? And that you expect management to talk up those things. But what do you actually need to hear? What things of substance do you want Musk to say on the call that actually will be a driver of confidence in the near term, even if that is this year?

42:10Yeah, I think investors are very anxious about that. You know, Elon Musk has talked about, you know, the vision system, self-driving vision system that they're rolling out. There's a lot of anticipation because, you know, I think the next leg for the company is really scaling that business. So it's about RoboTaxi. It's about rolling out the CyberCab, the new steering, wheel-less, brake, pedal-less vehicle, and the FSD subscription. So, I mean, investors are very stoked about this, and they're really looking for Elon Musk to tell them that, hey, in the next three to six months, we are really going to scale it up beyond Austin.

42:59Steve Mann of Bloomberg Intelligence, we're all bracing for aftermarket today and Tesla were also bracing for Meta, which reports after the bell. Investors are focused on AI capital expenditure plans for 2026, which analysts say could overshadow the company's advertising revenue growth. Bloomberg's Kurt Wagner joins us with the details. It's a pretty familiar formula at this point. I'll hand it over to you. Give us the Meta earnings preview as best you can. I feel like we've been talking about a lot of the same stuff for the past year, which is what is spending going to look like? And can the company paint this picture for investors that all the spending will ultimately pay off down the line?

43:37Ed, you remember it was just a year ago that Mark Zuckerberg was saying, hey, record spending up to$65 billion in capital expenditures and everyone's head spun around. Crazy to think of that. I saw the estimates on the Bloomberg today that they think capital expenditures could be$111 billion for Meta in 2026. And so it's just hard to quantify, you know, easy to quantify, but hard to wrap your head around the jump we've seen in spending from this company in particular as they rush toward AI. And there's going to be a lot of questions about what the ROI on that is going forward. And that is why the stock has taken some hits.

44:13I mean, initially it was talk up your capex and you're rewarded for it. But then in the last earnings, I'm just looking at the chart of how swiftly they fell back in October as maybe we then started to be worried about the commitment of capital expenditure. How can they steady nerves in other parts of the business? What do we need to hear on the bread and butter of ad sales and the like? Well, I imagine we'll hear them talk about how AI is improving ads today, right? And that's going to be in automated campaigns. That's going to be in better targeting. pretty much anything they can do to show, hey, look, this$50 billion data center we're building in Louisiana is actually helping our revenue or will help our revenue immediately.

44:49I think that's going to be very important because a lot of their futuristic bets, we've talked about the metaverse on here, virtual reality, even the AI glasses, which seem to be going well. I mean, these are not driving meaningful revenue to the company, and yet they are sucking tons of cash to operate. And so that is the trade-off. A lot of the big bets still haven't materialized on the revenue side just yet. So they need to show that AI is continuing to help on that ads business. Bloomberg's Kurt Wagner. He's going to be all over them post the bell today. Thank you. That does it for this meaty edition of Bloomberg Tech.

45:24So much more to come, Ed. Yeah, the MAG7 starts in earnest. Today is the day. And it's the market run-up going into it. Kind of got me on edge, you know. Recap on the podcast. Cara's right, it was meaty. You know where to find it. On the Bloomberg platforms, online, Apple, Spotify, and iHeart. I know I'll be at my desk after the market bell. I know what I'm bracing for. Question is, will you be back with us? This is Bloomberg Tech.

45:53This is Caroline Hyde. And I'm Ed Ludlow, inviting you to join us for Bloomberg Tech, a daily podcast focusing exclusively on technology, innovation, and the future of business. Every weekday, we bring you the top headlines from the world's biggest tech companies. From finance to defence, AI to entertainment, and from startups to the magnificent seven. We highlight the latest stories of the people and companies pushing the tech sector to new frontiers and the politics that shape global tech markets. We do this all every weekday, then bring you the most important conversations and analysis in our podcast.

46:26Search for Bloomberg Tech on YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. Join us every afternoon on your commute home and stay ahead of the tech news cycle. That's the Bloomberg Tech Podcast. I'm Caroline Hyde in New York. And I'm Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. Subscribe today, wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher

Bloomberg’s Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow discuss Amazon’s plans to cut nearly 5% of its corporate workforce. Plus, ASML posts record fourth-quarter orders as AI drives demand for its most sophisticated chipmaking equipment. And sources tell Bloomberg that SoftBank is in talks to invest as much as $30 billion more in OpenAI.

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