GameStop’s $56 Billion Bid for eBay

4 May 2026 · 44 min · 21 chapters

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In short

Bloomberg Tech episode covers several fast-moving tech/markets stories. Main segment: GameStop’s proposed $56B bid for eBay. Guest Cecilia D’Anastasio (Runeberg reporter) explains Ryan Cohen’s offer: GameStop would buy eBay, despite eBay being about four times larger. Cohen claims he has a highly confident TD Bank letter for financing (alongside $20B) and argues synergies could help GameStop compete with Amazon via eBay’s e-commerce scale. Key claim: analysts doubt the deal’s feasibility because of financing/debt-market constraints and lack of detailed synergy plans.

Notable examples

GameStop’s prior attempts (e-sports, e-commerce from Chewy background) and eBay’s turnaround under Jamie Iannone using AI and Meta partnerships; eBay also considering Depop M&A. Other guests: Nancy Tengler (Laffer Tengler Investments) argues AI-driven productivity is lifting margins; Mike Seth Fiegerman (OpenAI/Anthropic ventures) says the focus is business adoption, not just model building; Bailey Lipschitz (Cerebras IPO) frames Cerebras as an NVIDIA inference competitor; Nikola Borisov (DeepInfra) discusses inference cloud efficiency (token caching, lower cost per token); Isabel Lee and Katie Horne (crypto) discuss Bitcoin optimism, stablecoins, and “agentic finance.”

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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GameStop's Bold Offer for eBay

2:17 to 3:01

Explore GameStop's audacious bid for eBay and the market implications.

“Plus, AI chipmaker Cerebrus has been looking to raise as much as$3.5 billion for a potential IPO later this month.”

Analysts React to GameStop's Bid

3:02 to 4:55

Analyzing the skepticism and potential synergies behind GameStop's bid.

“So Ryan Cohen is offering a deal to purchase eBay, which is, like you said, many times the size of GameStop.”

GameStop's Strategies Explained

4:56 to 5:48

Delve into Ryan Cohen's strategies and their potential in the e-commerce landscape.

“letters from TD banks saying they're good for it ultimately are going to be dependent on the debt markets here.”

Market Trends and Analyst Insights

5:49 to 6:06

Discussing market performance and analyst perspectives on tech stocks.

“and that's allowed it to sustain a little bit longer.”

The Future of Tech Stocks and AI

6:07 to 11:35

Examining the impact of AI on technology stocks and market productivity.

“It was a busy weekend for Cecilia D 'Anastasia.”

OpenAI and Anthropic Partnerships

11:36 to 14:04

Updates on OpenAI's and Anthropic's new joint ventures to boost AI adoption.

“Nancy Tengler, it's always great to have you on CEO and CIO of Lafa Tengler Investments on all things AI and tech trade.”

Cerebrus and the Upcoming IPO Landscape

14:04 to 18:09

Explore the implications of Cerebrus's IPO and its competition with NVIDIA.

“traction heading into the potential IPOs.”

DeepInfra's Strategy for AI Inference

20:26 to 26:05

Understand DeepInfra's approach to addressing AI inference challenges.

“You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility.”

Market Dynamics and Crypto Sentiment

26:06 to 28:00

Analyze the current state of the cryptocurrency market amidst geopolitical tensions.

“Thank you very much indeed DeepInfra CEO Nikola Borisov on the latest funding round.”

Market Overview: Bitcoin's Resurgence

28:00 to 28:34

An analysis of current market trends with a focus on Bitcoin's recent performance.

“You're seeing 10-year ramp higher, six basis points, two-year also up seven basis points, let's call it.”
Show all 21 chapters

Insights from the Bitcoin Conference

28:35 to 29:44

Isabel Lee shares her experience from the Bitcoin conference and community sentiments.

“Honestly, very optimistic and enthusiastic.”

Future of Bitcoin: Predictions and Perspectives

29:45 to 30:55

Discussion on Bitcoin's future and its distinction from other cryptocurrencies.

“And I've talked to a couple of people who really still insisted that Bitcoin is different from other crypto assets because Bitcoin is Bitcoin.”

Exploring the Intersection of AI and Crypto

30:56 to 34:18

Katie Horn discusses the new economy at the intersection of AI and digital assets.

“If you're a skeptic, I think you'd doubt it, at least if you're there.”

Innovations in Stablecoins and the Finance Landscape

34:19 to 36:48

Katie outlines the growth of stablecoins and their significance in finance.

“I mean, Brian Armstrong himself, someone that you've helped oversee the company of, of Coinbase, you perform A16Z.”

Regulatory Environment and Its Impact on Crypto

36:49 to 37:50

Discussion on the evolving regulatory landscape for cryptocurrency and its implications.

“And if you think about it, it opened on a Sunday, Caroline.”

Investment Strategies in Transformational Technology

37:51 to 38:30

Katie shares insights on long-term investment strategies amid market transformations.

“And our job is long term venture investors who are investing, by the way, Caroline, over a 10 year decade.”

Palantir's Expected Growth and Market Analysis

41:40 to 42:04

Discussion on Palantir's anticipated financial performance and market expectations.

Palantir's Growth Expectations and Strategic Focus

42:04 to 46:21

Learn about Palantir's anticipated growth and its positioning in the market.

“Carlton is that, but what are we expecting in terms of growth of the business?”

Insights from Lizette Chapman on Palantir's Earnings

46:21 to 46:51

Hear key insights from Lizette Chapman regarding Palantir's potential earnings announcements.

“Well, we're lucky to have you watching them for us tonight, for the most of Lizette Chapman.”

Scott Turner Discusses Housing Affordability Challenges

47:02 to 49:59

Scott Turner shares insights on housing market challenges and affordability issues.

“Balance of Power co-host Joe Matthew standing by with a special guest.”

Scott Turner's Vision for Affordable Housing

49:59 to 50:19

Scott discusses the number of affordable units to be added under his leadership.

“If you stay with President Trump for the remainder of this term, how many affordable units can you add in this country?”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00The right technology can strengthen human judgment. That's why Deloitte brings together AI and data analytics with multidisciplinary teams who can help you connect the dots across your enterprise. From risk to operations to customer needs. So opportunities don't slip by and surprises don't spread. Because the smarter your systems, the sharper your instincts. That's how technology makes people better at what they do best. Deloitte. Together makes progress. Learn more at Deloitte.com slash Together Makes Progress.

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1:57Bloomberg Tech is live from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York and Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Tech. Coming up, GameStop eyes eBay for$56 billion in cash and stock, an audacious bid for a company four times its size. eBay says they'll review that offer. Plus, AI chipmaker Cerebrus has been looking to raise as much as$3.5 billion for a potential IPO later this month. part of a growing cohort looking to challenge NVIDIA. And OpenAI raises more than$4 billion for a new joint venture that aims to help businesses adopt its AI software. And first, we check in on that extraordinary M &A news.

2:39The first dropped on Friday and continues to move shares now. GameStop looking to buy a company four times its size. GameStop currently off by 7%, eBay up by more than 6%. But we have to get the inside track with Runeberg reporter Cecilia D 'Anastasio with an extraordinary story and one that the market tries to understand whether it's for real or not. Can you just talk us about the technicalities of what Ryan Cohen here is offering for eBay? Sure. So Ryan Cohen is offering a deal to purchase eBay, which is, like you said, many times the size of GameStop. Along with$20 billion, he says he has received a highly confident letter from TD Bank to acquire.

3:21Analysts are unsure this deal will ever go through. But Ryan Cohen says that if he manages to purchase eBay, it would make a lot more money. Make a lot more money. Okay, let's take this for real, that he's good for the money, he's able to afford. What synergies are analysts kind of trying to pass through at the moment? GameStop has really struggled over the last several years because gamers are increasingly purchasing their wares in online stores like Valve, Steam. And so GameStop has shrunk its footprint in their retail marketplace. But Ryan Cohen has tried a lot of different strategies to make it work.

3:54He's tried e-sports. He's tried e-commerce, which is from his background as the co-founder of Chewy. And while he's managed to help the business sustain a little bit more than people had hoped, nothing's really stuck. eBay gives him the opportunity, he says, to compete with Amazon potentially, which of course is very, very ambitious in e-commerce. Well, Jamie Iannone over at eBay has been impressing investors with his turnaround. He's been leaning into AI. He's been leaning into partnerships with Meta. He's been thinking about M &A himself with Depop. Just how do we understand eBay is digesting this and thinking about it from its own business and shareholder perspective?

4:30eBay is evaluating the bid. I think, you know, analysts, again, are not sure whether the math is mathing when it comes to GameStop's ability to purchase the significantly larger company. and we'll see what happens. Ryan Cohen has not given specific details on what he imagines the synergies to be or what he imagines the combined company to look like. I think Truist said this is stunning and they're skeptical. I mean, just in terms of how M &A gets done, letters from TD banks saying they're good for it ultimately are going to be dependent on the debt markets here. But GameStop has always shocked the markets with its meme stock potential, with Roaring Kitty's love, And even with Sky on Capital, well, now pivoted more into a sub-stack newsletter.

5:17But the guy who was known for trades on the mortgage market back in 2008, Michael Barry, is coming out saying this could be a really good story. It could be a really good story. Also, people have pointed out that GameStop loves attention. They make a lot of flashy moves. Chief Executive Officer Ryan Cohen posts very controversial things on social media about the American business market. He has a lot of like moving, breaking strategies that he's excited to express. And, you know, that's worked for GameStop. GameStop managed to raise some significant money from the meme stock frenzy, and that's allowed it to sustain a little bit longer.

5:55So who knows? This could be a really exciting, fresh, strange way to keep GameStop going, or it could be, like some of the analysts are saying, a little bit improbable. Well, you're going to be across it. It was a busy weekend for Cecilia D 'Anastasia. We're pleased that she joins us to break it all down today. Meanwhile, well, let's just take a look at the broader markets because tech stocks are again outperforming. We're building on records that we set back on Friday. We're up about a quarter percent, but still the NASDAQ 100, as I say, at a record. And it's not just what's happening over in America.

6:26Look, the AI trade is back on track, and we're seeing that play out in Asia trading as well. SK Hynix, extraordinary moves for the high bandwidth memory maker, up 11 percent. Samsung as well, up 3.4%, even as the company may be having to navigate some sort of strike potential going on with the business. But records being set in Asia following through from what we saw in America. Can this last? We're going to see more audacious M &A. What are we going to see in terms of IPOs? Perfect person to talk it through is that Nancy Tenglish, the CEO, CIO of Laffer Tengler Investments. Look, your TGLR ETF is already outperforming.

6:59Even the S &P 500, which we note is basically at or near record highs, you're outperforming by 6%, Nancy. Is tech going to remain the dominant force here? I think so, Caroline. Thanks so much for having me. I do think so. If you just think about what is driving margins on the S &P companies, it is either the technology companies themselves or the use of technology by old economy companies. One of the noteworthy earnings comments came from L3 Harris, where they said revenue per employee has increased. this is CEO by almost 25 percent over the last couple of years. So if you can produce more with less, then that is what we call productivity.

7:41And that will continue to drive stock prices higher, as we've seen in increasing earnings estimate revisions up. Are you buying that that's AI-fueled productivity gains? There's such mixed messages. BIS, Europe, the Bank of International Settlements, has said they'd seen about 4 percent productivity gains more generally. And that seems to be being what's sustained. But if L3 Harris is seeing 25 percent, what more are these CEOs doing? Well, so I think you have to listen to the companies. My team sits on all the earnings calls and we develop themes out of those earnings calls and then we discuss them.

8:18And we're hearing it from a broad base across economic sector group of companies. Not every company, but most companies. I mean, you even heard it from GE Vernova that said, yeah, we're benefiting from AI in the buildout, but we want you also to know that we're utilizing AI to produce our productivity, our margins, our output for employee as well, and managing the supply chain. So, I mean, just use Ask B on Bloomberg, and it can save you a colossal amount of time as an analyst if, in fact, you utilize it. So, I mean, We've been pounding the tech trade for about four years now on the theme of old economy companies pivoting to the new technologies.

9:05And then, in fact, the companies that are the suppliers. I think it continues, not forever, but for now. What's been interesting is the sort of the haves and the have nots. Now, I'm in no way going to say Meta's not a have not yet. We can't write them off. But what they don't have is cloud compute that they sell to others. They're busy investing in their own AI infrastructure. Meanwhile, Alphabet was applauded for the fact that it's investing, raising capital expenditure, but also able to benefit with the growth of Google Cloud. How are you seeing earnings play out? Because both we've seen from Meta, they are having to cut people.

9:39They're having to talk about laying off a sizable amount of the workforce to be able to redeploy capital back into the AI infrastructure. Is that something we're going to hear time and time again? And who do we congratulate for it or not? well so i've talked about it quite a bit on your show that we got out of meta i just didn't like the business model i didn't see the opportunity we went into spotify which at the time was a good transaction um we were wrong about meta to some extent but we were right about spotify and we now think that we are somewhat vindicated on the meta model because they aren't able to monetize ai in a way that Google and Amazon and even Microsoft are able to do.

10:18They are able to improve their advertising business. But Mark Zuckerberg has made these colossal pivots and been wrong in the past. So we own all of the Mag7 X meta. It will have its day again, just like Intel did. The question is, how long will one have to wait and what is the opportunity cost? And the global opportunity cost or global opportunity? Look, we were just talking about how Asia trade has just seen colossal gains still for the AI infrastructure bets. Nancy, is that still going to be the winning formula, the chip makers, the designers right now? I think in the near term, Caroline, but I think what we're going to start pivoting to, and we launched a thematic portfolio with a focus on space and robotics, quantum, and then nuclear.

11:02And then, of course, the metals and minerals that are needed to drive those technologies. So I think for the near term, I mean, we're hearing that the backlogs are enormous, again, in the infrastructure names, in the chip names. And I think at some point we will begin to see software as a major beneficiary. Not every software company. We exited Adobe and CRM quite some time ago. And we've been wrong about ServiceNow so far. But I think you'll start to see the winners there. And then you'll see the market pivot at least back to software. So I think there's still a lot of opportunities in this new industrial revolution we're living through.

11:42Nancy Tengler, it's always great to have you on CEO and CIO of Lafa Tengler Investments on all things AI and tech trade. Meanwhile, coming up, more AI, OpenAI, Anthropic are each forming joint ventures aimed at boosting AI adoption. We'll have the details next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

12:07OpenAI and Anthropic are each forming partnerships aimed at boosting the use of AI tools by businesses. A sourcing saying that OpenAI has raised more than$4 billion for a new joint venture that includes backing from TPG, Brookfield Asset Management, and Bain Capital. Meanwhile, rival Anthropic is partnering with Blackstone, Helman Friedman, Goldman Sachs, according to a statement. Let's get the latest. It'll be Mike's Seth Fiegerman. This is all about getting private equity companies, portfolio companies, to use the technology, right? Yeah, and their list of portfolio companies that work with them.

12:39And I think it's a real element in AI. You know, for most of the AI boom, a lot of the focus has been on the competitive landscape of who can build better and more sophisticated models. Now we're seeing a really important vector is who can do better at getting businesses to understand and adopt that technology in their day-to-day work. There's just different tactics in which it's being deployed. So OpenAI is raising money themselves alongside outside investment for a company that's going to be worth, all told,$10 billion, not including that funding. And then how does it roll out? Because they've also had this interesting deal where they helped invest in Thrive Holdings, which is Thrive Capital's ability to sort of deploy AI into other parts of the ecosystem.

13:22Yeah. I mean, on some level, this is being pitched as a separate venture, but OpenAI will be the majority owner and in control of it, according to the sourcing that we have here, which suggests that they will have a key role in dictating how this proceeds. And I think, again, the idea is rather than opening an eye on its own balance sheet within its own ranks, figuring out how to get their technology into the hands of more business leaders, they will now work with this consortium of partners and investors across thousands of potential portfolio companies to do that work. Meanwhile, the timing, just sensational, that Anthropic is announcing the same thing on the same day.

13:57Again, it speaks to the moment that we're in right now. these two companies are following somewhat similar playbooks to bolster revenue and business traction heading into the potential IPOs. Seth Figgerman, across an astounding amount of stories as ever, we thank you very much indeed. Sticking with OpenAI, look, the startups president, Greg Brotman, is set to take the stand today in a company's legal battle against Elon Musk. Brotman is expected to face probing questions about a personal journal he kept, which Musk's legal team says is evidence he and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman intended to abandon the company's non-profit mission.

14:32Now, for all this AI, guess what you need? Compute. And chip maker and data center operator Cerebrus is looking to capitalize on that very demand. The NVIDIA rival, as it likes to see itself, is seeking to raise as much as$3.5 billion from a public offering later this month. The price range in its securities filing really confirms Bloomberg's earlier reporting. Let's get to one of the reporters who's always across IPOs, Bailey Lipsholtz. Look, this is a company that wants to offer more inferencing capacity. Is it really a competitor to NVIDIA? In their mind, yes. And even when I talk to investors, there's a world that they will kind of be another option, if you will.

15:07It goes back to kind of the debate around Starlink and saying, okay, well, yes, they dominate that potential market. But there have to be other players. So while there is, at least for now, a monopoly of sorts for NVIDIA, when you look at the partnerships that Cerebros has inked, Obviously, G42 was a big risk, but now leaning into OpenAI and kind of diversifying the customer flow, it does seem like that's a bit of a bull case. And keep in mind, even with this potential IPO, we're talking about a company potentially valued at$33 billion, not$4 trillion. Good context. Look, this could all come to bear as soon as May 13th, right?

15:39We're thinking that's when the pricing is happening, the trading begins. Is this going to be a retail-focused name? Who's going to be understanding the Cerebra story? because G42, as you were just illuminating to us, this is a geopolitical story as well. It is a geopolitical story, but you have to keep in mind that this is a company that fits into the themes that are dominating capital markets right now, AI and AI infrastructure. So we've seen investors lean into the ex-energies of the world that want to promise a nuclear future. We're talking about this name with a number of hedge funds and long-only investors, and they're saying you kind of have to own this company if you play the IPO calendar.

16:14So it will broaden across, reach across kind of the broader investor group, if you will. And the one thing to keep in mind with this launch, we're expecting potentially$8 billion of IPOs, proceeds being raised in the next two weeks. This will be a big part of that and how this performs will help set the stage for SpaceX likely next month. And then maybe OpenAI Anthropic. Look, this is a great time considering where the market's trading at, right? I mean, that's been the interesting thing, right? As you look at the SOX, we were up more than 35 % in the last month. So when you look at expectations for this company in particular, a month ago, you would have said, okay, 25, 30, sure, you can sell me on that.

16:50Now it's like$35 to$40 billion. Just because your comps are up so sharply just starts to make sense when you're looking at how you have to value a company when it's going public is what do your comparables look like? Take a little bit of a discount. And that math is kind of working in the company's favor, again, just given the move higher that we've seen for some of those peers. It's a different company, but it's almost tangential to the likes of a CoreWeave, which is all about trying to solve the compute issues. For CoreWeave, the headache has always been, I've got more customers than you realize.

17:19Is this where, really, Cerebris is going to have to convince the market to? Well, I think that was the big pitch and the big reason that diversifying away from G42 at least eased some indigestion for investors. Yes, when they tried to go public the first time over a year ago, it was concentration risk. It was CFIUS uncertainty. It was obviously kind of every number of potential bear cases, whereas now the tide really has shifted. So you do have the kind of hyper focus of one customer, similar to a core weave where there was such a bear case of, OK, well, how reliant are you on one company? Now we're seeing that spread out just a little bit.

17:53The interesting thing will be how do they structure this lockup and what does the performance really look like six months from now as opposed to day one trading, which we've seen kind of can be all over the map. Well said. It's going to be a busy old week, old month for you. I think Bailey Lipschulz, we so appreciate it on all things IPOs. Now coming up, we've got plenty more to come on the world of AI and AI inference. We're going to be hearing from a company that's leading that charge and the private space CEO of DeepInfra is going to be joining us, Nicola Orosov. This is Bloomberg Tech.

18:26The right technology can strengthen human judgment. That's why Deloitte brings together AI and data analytics with multidisciplinary teams. People with deep industry experience who can challenge assumptions and help you connect the dots across your enterprise. From risk signals to operational pressure points to shifting customer needs, Deloitte helps you see what's coming sooner. So opportunities don't slip by and surprises don't spread. It's not just dashboards. It's real clarity in the moments your decisions are made. When models reveal patterns, people can ask better questions. When data and people are connected, leaders can move faster with confidence.

19:06And when your teams are aligned, smart choices can scale from the front line to the C-suite. Because the smarter your systems, the sharper your instincts. That's how technology makes people better at what they do best. Deloitte. Together makes progress. Learn more at Deloitte.com slash together makes progress. Support for the show comes from Public. Lately, it feels like there are two types of investing platforms. Some are traditional brokerages that haven't changed much in decades, and others feel less like investing and more like a game. Public is positioned differently. It's an investing platform for people who are serious about building their wealth.

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20:21See complete disclosures at public.com slash disclosures. If you follow markets, you know the value of long-term thinking. You plan, you diversify, you prepare for volatility. But even the best strategies can't prevent every bad day. For more than 75 years, Cincinnati Insurance has helped individuals and businesses navigate tough moments with expertise, personal attention, and independent agents who focus on relationships, not transactions. The Cincinnati Insurance Companies. Let them make your bad day better. Find an agent at c-i-n-f-i-n dot com.

21:05In the race to build the next great AI models, the industry is tackling various bottlenecks. One, of course, being access to compute. Deep Infra is trying to alleviate access to AI inference with a purpose-built cloud platform. It's just secured$107 million in a Series B funding, backed by the likes of NVIDIA, Samsung. Joining us now from San Francisco is DeepInfo CEO, Nikola Borisov. Nikola, it is great to have you on the show. Why would NVIDIA want to put money into you? How are you helping the GPU story? Yeah, thanks for having me. Well, we're helping companies get access to these great open source models, and we're building this purpose-built inference cloud.

21:51So it's really, you need to build a specialized infrastructure to do inference efficiently. And it really helps everyone access these great open-source AI models really well. And I mean, that's why NVIDIA was excited to participate in our round. We were just hearing that Cerebrus, which also wants to speed up AI inference offerings, is going to be tapping the public markets. It sees itself as an NVIDIA competitor. How, Nicola, are you more of an adjacent to the NVIDIA story? How are you looking to help deploy GPUs? Why is your compute different? You know, we've tried a number of different inference accelerators, but we believe NVIDIA's hardware is still the most efficient, the best to do inference at.

22:42and we're just doubling down on that kind of hardware platform and we like working closely with teams at NVIDIA and just making inference more efficient. Lowering the price per token is what we really like to focus on. And so that's kind of our path. There would be a lot of demand for inference down the line. We think that 80 % of the compute is going to go towards inference, but at the moment, we've invested heavily into the NVIDIA hardware stack. What's interesting is you're already processing, what, 5 trillion tokens per week. How do you get the efficiencies? How do you drive down the COSPA token?

23:31it's a lot of hard work and we look at it through the whole stack of where we build this inference clusters which data centers we go in how we structure them and then a lot on the software on top of it we believe one of the key things is to have very good caching of tokens as these agents interact with the AI models they basically make many requests in a loop with roughly the same context. So I think KB caches are really key to efficiency of inference.

24:10And we've been doing this for about four years. We saw the demand for inference coming and we really focused on how do we build a purpose-built inference cloud. And I think, therefore, you are scaling out. You're operating out of eight data centers. I think it is already. With this new money, 100 million more than, where do you deploy that? We will use the capital from this fundraise to scale our platform. We will deploy more of the latest NVIDIA chips and then scale our inference platform across the US. But also we're looking to expand in Europe and Asia later this year. Samsung, also part of the strategic investors.

24:57it's not just GPUs from NVIDIA one needs. You need an awful lot of the high bandwidth memory. We know about memory costs soaring because of the AI demand. Is that why Samsung comes forward? How are you thinking about the supply chain headaches or not that you might face? Yeah, you know, in the last couple, since the beginning of the year, it's been like struggle to find some of the chips that we need for our inference clusters. Memory and disks have been an issue. And so it's important for us to have, you know, in our corner, good investors that they're helping us, including Supermicro and Samsung and NVIDIA to make sure we have the right supply and we don't struggle as much.

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25:42But the chip shortages are pretty real. And I feel like, you know, inference needs like a million times more compute than like traditional computing. and so we would see more and more demand for chips including CPUs, GPUs, memory. Nikola, it's been great speaking to you. Thank you very much indeed DeepInfra CEO Nikola Borisov on the latest funding round. Coming up we've got more on funds being deployed in AI adjacent areas, particularly crypto. We're going to be speaking to Katie Horne in a bit to talk about her new$1 billion fund and the state of the crypto market. But let's also focus in on these markets more broadly right now.

26:26Crypto had been outperforming. Tech had been outperforming. Actually, we're starting to see a pullback. There is tension once again, particularly with the UAE. The UAE is saying its air defense systems are currently responding to a missile threat. They're posting on X about a third missile threat that they've currently been facing. In particular, this is in response to Iran. Geopolitics once again front and center as oil prices extend their gains. Brent crude is to see$114. That means risk sentiment just turned sour. NASDAQ 100 now down 0.3%. We were higher at the start of this particular show.

26:58The semiconductor index also off by 0.8 % off of its record high. We're going to keep you up to speed with what's happening in the markets and in geopolitics more broadly. This is Bloomberg Tech.

27:15Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. We look at broader markets for a moment now because, well, we're back in risk-off sentiment amid rising geopolitical concerns regarding the conflict with Iran. We're currently off by two-tenths of a percent on the Nasdaq 100, flicking into negative territory. We had been higher. You're seeing the semiconductor index coming off of its record high. Brent crude up to$113,$114, let's call it. This is UAE is issuing missile warnings, rising tensions and risking the U.S.-Iran truce. and yet it's just coming hours after an oil tank run by the UAE state oil company was also struck by Iranian drones.

27:49So keep an eye on what's happening with the bond market. As the anxiety builds and we see maybe inflation pressures coming from oil, we see the 30-year eclipse 5%. Look, we haven't seen this sort of level on the 30-year bonds in terms of yields since July. You're seeing 10-year ramp higher, six basis points, two-year also up seven basis points, let's call it. So we keep an eye on the broader market. We also keep an eye on risk sentiment just across this entire asset classes. And we want to focus in on our big number today. It's$80 ,000. Guess what managed to touch it again? Bitcoin. For the first time since January, it has seen some love as the tech trade has powered on higher in the previous week and we hit a record high on Friday.

28:29And of course, this asset trades over the weekend. I want to talk more about the crypto sector with Bloomberg Cross Asset Reporter Isabel Lee, fresh back from an event in Vegas. What are the vibes right now on crypto? Honestly, very optimistic and enthusiastic. Like when I was there, it was in Vegas, the Bitcoin conference from Monday to Wednesday. Everyone was just so happy to be there. There were orange suits, orange cowboy hats. CFTC, Mike Selig is there. Paul Atkins of SEC was there. They were wearing orange neckties. Why? Why the orange vibes? It's just the color of not the Bloomberg terminal.

29:02Unfortunately not. Could be. No, orange is like the unofficial color of Bitcoin. and every booth had a big B plastered on it, which is the symbol of Bitcoin. You could just feel the vibes in the air. Mike Saylor again predicting 10 million for Bitcoin. Eric Trump dropped by on Wednesday saying 1 million for Bitcoin. So even if the daily price fluctuations weren't any more of focus there, the big 1 million goal is still in the horizon or 10 million, if you ask Saylor. But was any of this Bitcoin and then some? Look, what we keep seeing is that there are other areas of excitement, more infrastructure being built, more thought around where the world of cryptocurrencies go rather than the OG in the space?

29:40Definitely. So they were thinking about Bitcoin and the future of it. Of course, there were a lot of talks about AI and how that will affect Bitcoin, especially when it comes to mining. And I've talked to a couple of people who really still insisted that Bitcoin is different from other crypto assets because Bitcoin is Bitcoin. It's the original. It's the largest, it's the oldest, and others are pump and dump. Others have smart contracts that may vanish in a few minutes. But then for them, Bitcoin is the OG. And I'm sure now they were looking at 80 ,000 too, because for a while, the Bitcoin price has been hovering between that and not really hitting 80 ,000.

30:11So I'm sure if the Bitcoin conference was this week, they would be happy. So they're enthusiasts around the store of value mentality or that more can be done with cryptography more generally? It's still the store of value mentality, although I did talk to some people roaming around. A first time attendee said that what's next after this one? Because what else could bring this price higher. I mean, it's already so institutionalized. I also talked to Adam Back, who is not Satoshi, according to him. He did say again, he's not Satoshi. And I asked him, how do you feel? Because the institutionalization of Bitcoin kind of goes against the ethos of Bitcoin.

30:42But he was like, no, actually, it's more access for everyone. And he said, when people say that BlackRock, our strategy are the biggest holders of Bitcoin, he said they're really just the custodians in his eyes, but it's still the people who owns it. So really lots of interesting characters. It was an electric kind of conference. It was really good vibes all around. If you're a skeptic, I think you'd doubt it, at least if you're there. You're not wearing orange, I know. Isabel Lee, it's great to have her on the show on All Things Crypto. Look, I'm very pleased to say we can bring in someone who knows a thing or two about the world of crypto.

31:11Katie Horn's with us, who's made her name investing in digital assets and crypto startups. Her firm, Horn Ventures, has just closed a$1 billion fund. You've had notable exits. I think a BVNK, you're acquired by MasterCard, another startup that you backed early on, Bridge, has been bought by Stripe. Katie, is this what it's about? Is it about finding the startups that are likely to just drive this ecosystem forward? Good morning, Caroline. Thanks for having me. Yeah, the world's a very different place than it was four years ago when we raised our first pair of funds. And we're really excited now to have a billion dollars in fresh capital across a pair of funds to back founders in what we say are building the new economy.

31:51And the new economy is, we think, there's an intersection really between AI and between digital assets. We're calling it an agentic future. That's one structural shift we've seen. Another structural shift we've seen is the creation of new assets, things like stablecoin. That has been an area that clearly you saw coming, you lent into, and the stablecoin ability. I think we just had a few tech issues with you, Katie. We'll get back to you in a minute. There we are. I think the stablecoin area has been something that clearly you've seen work with M &A and portfolio companies being bought by really institutional adopters who are now trying to embrace, I think, of the likes of Mastercard, for example.

32:32But what's happening in terms of the AI adjacency? For those who've been hidden away from how crypto is now thinking of itself as the future of AI agents, how does that work? Well, if you think about a world where financial products and services are really being built for an end user, that's not necessarily a human, but might also soon be an agent or a computer. That's a really different world. I mean, if you think about agents, what are one thing we humans do? We stop. We have a finite period of time that we work during the day. So we might be okay with a bank that's closed on a weekend or that has a wire cutoff or deadline or banker's hours.

33:08But, of course, AI agents are powered 24-7. They are globally, they work globally from day one and they're always on. And so I think that there's a lot of opportunity there in what we're calling the agentic finance sector. But you also mentioned Caroline's stable coins. And I think that's another area where we've seen the digital asset space grow and we're seeing it grow ever more. Of course, now we're at a point where stable coins and you mentioned BVNK, which just exited to MasterCard for one point eight billion dollars. By the way, that was MasterCard's third largest ever acquisition. And I think it's reflective of that you now have double-digit trillion dollars in stablecoins.

33:47And this is an innovation that didn't even exist a decade ago. And if you can tokenize a dollar, it turns out you can tokenize other things. So we see institutional players like BlackRock and fintech giants like Robinhood and Coinbase start to tokenize stocks. And it turns out you can tokenize all kinds of other products and services. For that to really be adopted is, of course, a future where the regulatory environment has been far more warm, shall we say, towards crypto and these innovations. And that's where you sit at this intersection, Katie, that's so interesting. I mean, Brian Armstrong himself, someone that you've helped oversee the company of, of Coinbase, you perform A16Z.

34:26What was so interesting about you is also you sat on the DOJ side of things. You understand government. You can talk to both sides of the community. What is the regulatory environment like right now? Yeah, look, I've been following the flow of assets my entire career. I started my career actually at the Supreme Court as a law clerk to Justice Kennedy and then spent over a decade at the Justice Department. And what I can tell you is this is one of the most transformational periods in technology and finance that I've really ever witnessed. You mentioned regulatory, Caroline, and I think that's a part of it, but also the infrastructure is a part of it.

34:59And let's also be honest, the institutional story is a part of it. As far as regulatory environment, I think people often also overlook what the courts have been involved in the regulatory and shaping the regulatory environment. And this has been happening kind of in the background over the last several years. Now we have something coming up, which is the crypto market structure bill. And so everyone's eyes are on that. And of course, we had the Genius Act passed last year. There are still lawmakers that need convincing. Katie, I think of Elizabeth Warren, who's worried about perhaps one of your new and really, well, many would say the exciting startup that has been co-founded by Palmer Luckey.

35:38Now, you're in a company that is Erebor, which is all about, I think I'm pronouncing it correctly, right? Erebor. Erebor is this new sort of bank. It's just had OCC sign-off that it's able to go out there and got an application and granted a preliminary application, at least, for approval to become a bank. But Elizabeth Warren is like, that's happened all too fast. And it seems to be that they're close to the administration. How do you get comfortable that these companies are being vetted in the way that you want to see them being vetted? Sure. Well, we always look at the founding team whenever we're looking for an opportunity to make an investment.

36:11We look at the founding team and you've alluded to part of the founding team here. So we think this founding team of Erebor is incredibly strong. And actually, Palmer Luckey's co-founder is a founder that we had backed in our first fund. So we have a long history going back with him and have seen him over the years. And we are actually the second largest investor, I believe, at this point in Erebor. And I think the exciting thing about Erebor, so it's also the product market fit, and they've just crossed a billion dollars in deposits. And it's also the size of the opportunity. And that's where I think Erebor and companies like it really shine.

36:46I mean, it's really built for the future. And if you think about it, it opened on a Sunday, Caroline. And I think who's ever heard of a bank opening on a Sunday? Now, I think that for the digitally native generations and certainly for the AI native generations, wire cutoffs are going to be a thing of the past. It will be kind of like when you see a payphone booth on the corner and you're like, what is that for in a world where everyone's now on their cell phones? Very briefly, Katie, you've already had success with exits on the M &A side of things. You personally have invested in some of the most exciting companies we're anticipating IPOs from, SpaceX.

37:23I know they were in Andreal, another Parmalaki business. You're in OpenAI. Is the market feeling solid right now? You know, I think right now what we're seeing is we're seeing a period of transformation and tremendous opportunity. And I think this is something I've been alongside the unfolding of transformational technology my entire career. And there will be ups and there will be downs. And one thing I've noticed is that there are periods of irrationality on the way up and there are periods of irrationality on the way down. And our job is long term venture investors who are investing, by the way, Caroline, over a 10 year decade.

37:57Although your colleague Natasha reported that we had already returned capital four years in to some of our LPs around the world from our first pair of funds. We're looking at what the world looks like in 10 years, not what it looks like right now. And we think at bottom, it's a period of tremendous opportunity, generational opportunity. Natasha Mascarena did that great story, all talking about how you were able to lean into dislocations in the market and beating up areas of crypto more broadly to return those funds to LPs. Katie Hahn, it's great to hear about the new raise, the CEO and founder of Hahn Ventures.

38:31Congratulations on the latest$1 billion that has been putting to work in two funds. Meanwhile, coming up, we're going to be live from Milken Institute Global Conference. We speak with Scott Turner. He's the U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development. This is Bluebird Tech.

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41:37volunteer earnings they're out after the market closed later today so far today shares in the ai firm is up one and a half percent outperforming the rest of the market but they haven't outperformed the rest of the market since they peaked back at the end of october losing a significant amount of market capitalization as they got caught up in perhaps the software anxiety and sell-off is that right that it is let's talk about what to expect the bloomberg's lizette chapman fundamentals first we always know there's fireworks when it comes to Dr. Carlton is that, but what are we expecting in terms of growth of the business?

42:08Right. Well, analysts are expecting another massive quarter of a lot of growth. 74 % revenue spike, a doubling of profits from the same period last year. They've been, this is pretty consistent with past quarterly growth that they've been, that they've, you know, continually set the bar high and ask Palantir to deliver. There's a history of Palantir meeting or beating those expectations. So that's what a lot of people are looking for. That's what some of the betting markets are looking at as well this morning. Oh, I like that you're folding in some of the betting or at least different ways of predicting which way the market's going to go.

42:50Lizette, the market, if you're looking at analysts, think that the price target is much higher than where we currently trade. So is there sort of a vibe shift that we can get from Dr. Karp, as well as clearly the growth that they continue to deliver from the bottom line and top? Right. He will definitely be speaking with analysts today, typically issues some type of shareholder letter as well, where he outlines everything that you just kind of alluded to with the vibe shift, trying to distance Palantir from the other AI software stocks and also to position it as a type of company that is going to support U.S.

43:31policy no matter how controversial or difficult. There's also a lot of focus right now on what they've done to support efforts in Iran, also in Israel, and with U.S. Department of war as well as many of our allies. So there's going to be a big focus on, he usually speaks to that topic as well. And that's what many will be looking for, for him to continue with that vibe. Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst, Mandib Singh, is talking about the government segment, how it continues to benefit from the company's exposure to these increased US defense spending on products such as Maven amid the war in Iran.

44:11But the commercial side, that really has been an area of growth. Are we expecting, what's expecting to see that pick up? And particularly if it's just U.S. bound or whether we see more international adoption? That's a great question. And I think that's something that a lot of people are going to be looking at if they've been able to drive it internationally. U.S. commercial growth has been on a blockbuster tear for, you know, at least the last year plus since they introduced AIP. And so they're looking at growth rates, you know, about, you know, in the 90 percent or so for commercial growth. And for the government growth, They're looking around 59%.

44:48Again, government is about half of the revenue. It's about half and half. And slowly commercial is starting to build up. They haven't been in commercial as long or as strong as government. So that's an area that a lot will be looking at, specifically here in the U.S., whether they can gain traction abroad as well. And then there's the man, the myth, some would say the legend himself, Dr. Karp, the way he speaks to his own loyalists when it comes to shareholders. He's often quite rude to the analyst community and in Wall Street more broadly. But he's had some thoughtful insight as to the future of the workforce and where humanities takes us in terms of an area of study.

45:31Are we expecting any sort of philosophical perspective coming today? I think that that would be a pretty good guess that would land well. He and CTO Shamsankar have been on this quest, as you say, to kind of, you know, mobilize the, you know, not just the software and the bits, but not just the bytes, but also the bits. And so they are both looking to establish that and continue that narrative that not only Alex Karp wrote about in Technological Republic, but Sean wrote about in his new book about mobilizing the techno-industrial workforce and reshoring a lot of the industrial and manufacturing capacities that have traditionally been abroad that they're looking to bring back onshore here in the United States.

46:20They had a commercial software win recently with Cleveland Cliffs to use their AI software to assist with the steelmaking capacity. So it's a pretty good bet, like you said, Caroline, you've been watching these earnings for a long time as well, that he will continue with that and talk really more about the big changes to American society writ large that Palantir and its software is looking to enforce. Well, we're lucky to have you watching them for us tonight, for the most of Lizette Chapman. Thank you very much indeed. Coming up, we're live from the Milken Institute Global Conference. We're going to be speaking with Scott Turner.

46:54He's the U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development. This is Bloomberg Tech.

47:02Let's head out to the Milken Institute. Balance of Power co-host Joe Matthew standing by with a special guest. Joe. Caroline, thank you. The Secretary of Housing and Urban Development is with me right now, live in Los Angeles at the Milken Global Conference. Secretary Turner, it's great to see you. Welcome to Bloomberg. Thank you. Questions about the housing market on this day that the 30-year Treasury tops 5 percent. This is a big deal for our audience. It's a big deal for a homeowner or anyone looking to buy a home. How much will interest rates be a challenge to what you're trying to do in increasing access to affordable housing?

47:37Well, thank you so much. You know, I think you see, you know, the President Trump is laser focused on housing affordability. He's focused on keeping our country safe, you know, from a regime having a nuclear weapon, but also laser focus here domestically to make sure that the Americans can achieve the American dream. And so as we see the fluctuation in interest rates, we're also looking at the regulatory environment to bring down burdensome regulations to make it easier for builders to build and for buyers to buy. So I'm grateful for the president's leadership and that HUD, we're following that and encouraging localities to do the same.

48:07You were pointing specifically to your rescission of the IECC, an energy efficiency requirement that the Biden administration put in place that you say added over$30 ,000 to building a home? Yes, sir. So this is the final determination for 2024 during the Biden administration. Really, it's the International Energy Conservation Code. And it added up to$30 ,000 per project when builders are already building to these energy codes. So we rescinded that to make it easier for builders to build, which will make it better for buyers to buy. On top of that, you know,$100 ,000 in regulation and regulatory fees is added to the final price of a single family home.

48:48That's not sustainable in our country. So we've been very focused on bringing down the regulatory environment, making it easier for builders to build, better for buyers to buy and raising the supply in our country. We're having a big conversation in America right now about affordability. We talk about it on the air all day, whether it's four dollar a gallon gas, although where we are, you've probably seen, Mr. Secretary, it's above six dollars in California, which is pretty wild. But the cost of everything from food to gas is an issue for Americans making your mission that much more urgent, but also more difficult.

49:20No. Well, you know, like I said before, the president is laser focus on domestic policy from the time he was campaigning to the time he came into office. He said, we're going to make it more affordable in America. And I know personally, being in the cabinet and knowing the president, working with him, that to be able to help Americans to afford to buy a home, to buy groceries, to buy medications, it's top of mind for the president. And so you see the actions that have been taken, the rescission of these regulatory environments, the taking down burdensome regulations to help American people is a great priority for the president and myself.

49:54And so while it may seem to be difficult, we've made great strides, But there's still a lot of work to do. We're out of time, Mr. Secretary. But how many houses can you build? If you stay with President Trump for the remainder of this term, how many affordable units can you add in this country? Well, we're going to add many, many, and in particular, opportunity zones. There's already been 400 ,000, so we want to duplicate that and do even more. It's great to see you. Good luck at Milken, and thanks for being with us. Thank you. Secretary Scott Turner with us live from Los Angeles. Caroline, back to you.

50:20Joe Matthew, so good to hear from you on the other coast right now, West Coast, all things Milken will be throughout the day and the week here on Bloomberg TV. But now that does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech. Don't forget to check out our podcast. You can find it on the terminal as well as online on Apple, Spotify and iHeart. We return to the markets, which have seen some geopolitical anxiety around them today. We currently see we're off by three tenths percent on the Nasdaq. Nasdaq 100 are under pressure as we see once again missile threats for the UAE. The semi-index is up by 0.06 % down from a record high rent crude up to$114 a barrel.

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From the publisher

Bloomberg’s Caroline Hyde discusses GameStop's $56 billion offer to buy eBay, a company four-times its size. Plus, AI chipmaker Cerebras is looking to raise as much as $3.5 billion in its upcoming IPO. And OpenAI raises more than $4 billion for a new joint venture that aims to help businesses adopt its AI software.

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