In short
Episode topic: Bloomberg Tech covers multiple tech/business market stories: Tesla’s new $30B interim stock award for Elon Musk; BMW’s EV “Neuer Klasse” rollout to challenge Tesla; DoorDash drone delivery approvals; the “return of tech IPOs” after Figma’s surge; cybersecurity IPO talk for Armis; Apple forming an AI search team; Palantir earnings expectations; AMD earnings pressure; Menlo Ventures’ LLM market data; reverse acquihires in AI; and Joby Aviation’s acquisition of Blade’s helicopter ride-share business.
Guests and backgrounds
Max Chafkin (author/journalist covering Elon Musk and Tesla, “Elon, Inc.”); Tom McKenzie (Bloomberg interviewer); Oliver Zipse quoted as BMW CEO; Stefan Nicola (Bloomberg Germany EV analyst); Brianne Lynch (EquityZen head of market insight, pre-IPO platform); Yevgeny Debrov (Armis CEO); Mark Gurman (Bloomberg Apple reporter); Lizette Chapman (Bloomberg covering Palantir/markets); Ian King (Bloomberg chips reporter); Kate Clark (Bloomberg reverse acquihires reporter); Tim Tully (Menlo Ventures partner, LLM market update); Joe Ben Bevirt (Joby CEO).
Key claims and notable examples
Tesla award mechanics require Musk to stay CEO two years and hold shares five; board cites talent retention; BMW touts “gigabrain” computing and iX3 range/charging; Figma IPO demand included retail; Menlo Ventures says Anthropic leads enterprise spend (~32%) and closed models dominate; reverse acquihires can leave founders/companies unclear (examples: Windsurf/Cognition, Inflection/Microsoft, Adept/Amazon); Palantir investors will focus on commercial vs government and US vs international growth; Joby says Blade’s network of takeoff/landing locations and lounges accelerates eVTOL commercialization; Joby plans FAA TIA flight testing early next year.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOIntroduction to AI Efficiency
0:00 to 0:29
Learn how Superhuman Go enhances productivity with AI.
“The most effective people at work aren't working harder than everyone else.”
Market Overview and Tech Earnings
0:35 to 1:41
Get insights on the current market trends and earnings reports.
“At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need.”
Tesla's Stock Award for Elon Musk
1:41 to 3:10
Explore the implications of Tesla's stock award for Elon Musk.
“Tesla approves a 30 billion dollar stock award for Elon Musk, with the board saying, quote, a deal is a deal.”
Concerns Among Tesla Shareholders
3:10 to 4:32
Understand the mixed feelings of Tesla shareholders regarding Musk.
“The fact that they need Elon Musk to remain focused on the business and money's going to talk.”
BMW's Strategy Against Tesla
4:32 to 5:48
Learn about BMW's plans to compete with Tesla in the EV market.
“Yeah, I mean, it's a tough situation, I think, for these shareholders because on one hand, Elon Musk did a very, very good job during most of the time that that original stock award.”
Innovations in BMW's New Models
5:48 to 7:50
Discover the technology behind BMW's new electric vehicles.
“The automaker is staging a swift rollout of 40 new or updated models sharing slick software and high-performance computers.”
Upcoming IPOs and Market Demand
7:50 to 10:17
Analyze the renewed interest in tech IPOs following Figma's success.
“And that speeds up the way that machine calculates the turns, calculates the brakes, calculates the driving suspension.”
Analyzing Figma's IPO Success
11:21 to 14:00
Examine the factors contributing to Figma's successful IPO.
“Everyone's talking about how AI is transforming work, especially in sales.”
Analyzing the Current IPO Landscape
14:00 to 16:44
Discussion on the increased importance of the retail market and the current state of tech IPOs.
“So, yes, you're getting indications of interest from institutions.”
The Role of Crypto in IPOs
16:44 to 18:24
Exploration of how crypto is influencing investor sentiment and IPO activities.
“A lot of them, like Figma, plan to exit in the 2021, 2022 timeframe.”
Show all 21 chapters
Insights from Armis on Cybersecurity Growth
18:24 to 22:54
Interview with Armis CEO discussing cybersecurity demand and company growth metrics.
“Another potential IPO in the pipeline, cybersecurity startup Armis.”
Apple's Strategic Shift Towards AI Search
22:54 to 27:20
Discussion on Apple's new team focused on AI-based search and their evolving strategy.
“Meanwhile, coming up, Apple's next AI move, how the company hopes to catch up to rivals like Google's Gemini.”
Spotify Price Changes and Joby M&A News
27:20 to 28:00
Highlights on Spotify's price increase strategies and Joby's acquisition of Blade.
“Spotify is raising prices in some markets by as much as 9 % and the stock's actually on track for its biggest jump since early May.”
Palantir's Earnings Expectations
28:00 to 32:00
Learn about the expectations surrounding Palantir's upcoming earnings report and its market performance.
“Usually in M &A, you've got one going down, one going up.”
AMD's Investor Scrutiny
32:00 to 34:40
Explore the current challenges AMD faces from investors and the competitive landscape in the chip sector.
“Bloomberg's Lizette Chapman with Palantir coming after the bell.”
Impact of Reverse Acqui-hires in AI
34:40 to 37:00
Discover the emotional impact on employees and businesses after reverse acqui-hires in the AI industry.
“joining us to talk about where enterprises are putting their AI spend.”
Anthropic's Market Position in AI
37:00 to 41:20
Understand Anthropic's leading position in enterprise LLM market share and its implications.
“It's really become a trend in Silicon Valley.”
DoorDash's Drone Delivery Initiative
43:39 to 44:12
DoorDash is implementing delivery drones to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
“Everyone's talking about how AI is transforming work, especially in sales.”
Joby Aviation Acquires Blade
44:12 to 50:21
Joby Aviation discusses the acquisition of Blade's helicopter rideshare business and its implications for the future of eVTOL.
“Well, they're searching today after announcing that Joby will purchase Blade's helicopter ride share business for as much as$125 million in stock or cash.”
Joby Aviation Acquires Blade
50:40 to 51:19
Joby Aviation discusses the acquisition of Blade's helicopter rideshare business and its implications for the future of eVTOL.
“When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track.”
Joby Aviation Acquires Blade
51:23 to 52:29
Joby Aviation discusses the acquisition of Blade's helicopter rideshare business and its implications for the future of eVTOL.
“Policies provided by Hartford Fire Insurance Company and its property and casualty affiliates, Hartford, Connecticut.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00The most effective people at work aren't working harder than everyone else. They're working smarter, inside better systems. Superhuman Go, from the makers of Grammarly, is the AI assistant that works inside every tool you already use, always ready, already aware of what you're working on. It's a teammate whose only job is to help you be better at yours. With Go working with you, you can show off what you do best. See what Superhuman Go can do at superhuman.com. So there's a lot of noise about AI, but time's too tight for more promises. So let's talk about results. At IBM, we work with our employees to integrate technology right into the systems they need.
0:40Now, a global workforce of 300 ,000 can use AI to fill their HR questions, resolving 94 % of common questions. Not noise. Proof of how we can help companies get smarter by putting AI where it actually pays off, deep in the work that moves the business. Let's create smarter business.
1:26IBM. dot com. Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio, news.
1:40Bloomberg Tech is live from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York and Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. Tesla approves a 30 billion dollar stock award for Elon Musk, with the board saying, quote, a deal is a deal. Plus, Joby Aviation will purchase Blade helicopter ride share business as it expands its battery-powered air taxis into ready-made markets. Shares fly. And all eyes on Palantir reporting earnings after market close today. The stock surged more than 500%. Meanwhile, let's check on the broader market, Ed. Not quite 500 % flying high on the Nasdaq 100, but we are having a good day.
2:23We're up almost 1.5%, almost a raising last week's more than 2 % sell-off over the course of the week. Last week, it was all about eco data. This week, it's much more about the earnings situation, which have been beating. Tech is leading us higher on the day, but you're getting into the specifics. Yeah, let's take a look at Tesla. Actually, the stock have been surging high on the news of a fresh stock award package for Elon Musk. You can see we've actually given up most of that game. Here's the specifics. 96 million shares. It's an interim award. Musk has to stay CEO for two years, then hold the stock for five.
2:56That's the mechanics. The exercise price,$23.34. The same exercise price is that 2018 package that the Delaware court voided. Those are some of the details, but actually there's a lot more bigger picture to this, Cara. There is. Let's get it all with Max Chafkin, who give us the context, because the context is that 2018 pay package. The fact that they need Elon Musk to remain focused on the business and money's going to talk. Well, right. Right. And Elon Musk has given Tesla shareholders all sorts of reasons to worry that he's not focused on the business. Right. Of course, probably most famously, his adventure in Washington, D.C., his threats to start the America Party.
3:33All of that is potentially, of course, a distraction for Tesla. But also there's been this like long running drama around XAI, his other AI company. I remember he's been talking a lot about how Tesla is an AI company. He also has this other AI thing. Tesla shareholders do not hold stock in. And there's been this sense among some Tesla shareholders that there's a risk he's going to sort of, you know, take his ball and move it to XAI if he's frustrated with shareholders. So this is a way, I think, for the people who are supporting this package to keep him interested, essentially to keep him focused.
4:08And especially at a time when that pay package from 2018 is at least in jeopardy in the courts. Max, I've read through the letter that the board posted to shareholders. They acknowledge that Musk's intentions are split across all of those companies. One of the key things they argue is that he is key to not just attracting new talent, but retaining talent. What's it like to work for Elon Musk is the big question. Yeah, I mean, it's a tough situation, I think, for these shareholders because on one hand, Elon Musk did a very, very good job during most of the time that that original stock award. Tesla stock went way up in 2020.
4:49It's been an amazing time or was an amazing time to be a Tesla shareholder. The last year or two, though, has not been good. Even in the last couple of days, we've seen a bunch of headlines that could be perceived as negative. This jury award in Florida on Friday, some new delivery numbers out of China that don't look great. And so you're seeing lots of reasons to be concerned. And the question is, if you're skeptical of this deal is, why are we essentially writing a$30 billion check to a guy who has been underperforming? And he doesn't really have to do all that much to get this check. The strike price is very low.
5:23It's around$23 a share. The price now is over$300. So he just has to stay for two years. So So that, I think, is going to be the debate to the extent that there's any opposition to this among shareholders. And I'd just point out very quickly that it's an interim award because the board is saying in November at the annual shareholders meeting there will be a vote on a fuller, longer-term comp package. Bloomberg's Max Chafkin of Elon, Inc. Thank you very much. So stay with EVs. BMW is coming for Tesla. The automaker is staging a swift rollout of 40 new or updated models sharing slick software and high-performance computers.
5:59striking back at Tesla at a vulnerable time. Here's what the CEO of BMW, Oliver Ziffser, had to say about that in an interview with Bloomberg's Tom McKenzie. When you bring the newest technology into the market, you have the first mover advantage because you cannot bring every year a new car. We will use that first mover advantage at that point in time to say, well, there is a car brand, namely BMW, who can't build superior electric cars? And the rest of the market has to answer. Bloomberg's Stefan Nicola joins us from Germany for more. The first variant or model of this Neuer Klasse is the iX3.
6:46So many people get frustrated on this program when we talk about a company going after Tesla, Tesla killers. But in the iX3, BMW does see potential to claw back a bit of market share, Stefan. Yeah, absolutely. And back in the day when Tesla came out with the Model 3, BMW actually lost a lot of drivers to Tesla. So BMW CEO Oliver Zipse is now confident that BMW can win those people back. And the new SUV will be unveiled in September at the Munich Auto Show. It has a range that tops that of the longest range Model Y. It charges faster. It has more power. So, yeah, Zipz is very confident that he can convince drivers with this new offering.
7:41Stefan, talk to us about so-called super brains and really the software, the technology behind it that they've been looking to worldwide talent for and how that then gets rolled out, not just in the latest EV model. Yeah, it's quite interesting because of course BMWs are sort of known for having this good driving performance that you sort of sit tightly on the road and you feel every curve and it's a sort of very immediate driving experience. And BMWs engineers were actually worried that in an EV that would sort of disappear and that's why they developed this kind of computing power, a supercomputer, a gigabrain they call it, that has much more computing power than its current computers that are in the cars.
8:28And that speeds up the way that machine calculates the turns, calculates the brakes, calculates the driving suspension. So all of that combined is meant to make this EV feel like no car the company has built before. Well, those that got behind the wheel in June seem to have loved it. Stefan Nicola, thank you very much for the analysis. Now coming up, the return of the tech IPO. We discuss the explosive demand after Figma's debut saw stocks surge more than 200%, even though it does fall in the day. That's next. This is Bloomberg Tech.
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10:04Go keeps up so you can move forward. With Go working with you, you can show off what you do best. Superhuman Go. Find out more at superhuman.com. That's superhuman.com. This is the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT. Now with ChatGPT work. I'm Carol Masser. DoorDash, the largest food delivery company in the U.S., is building its own delivery drones and has gained the necessary FAA approvals to operate them commercially. The latest in its effort to delegate more orders to robots as a way of cutting delivery times. Bloomberg's Natalie Lung reports the company says it has been conducting pilot programs with various restaurants, some of which have seen their order volume grow during the test period.
10:50The effort marks an expansion of DoorDash's in-house robotics efforts to reduce reliance on human couriers for some orders, as their wages constitute a key expense to the business. Drones are also a way for DoorDash to cut delivery times on orders from more remote locations that some dashers may not want. That's the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects. Get started at chatGPT.com today by selecting work mode, available on plus and pro plans. Everyone's talking about how AI is transforming work, especially in sales. While the landscape shifts, one thing remains the same, the thrill of closing a deal.
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12:03Now that there is more certainty, more certainty around the geopolitical landscape, more certainty around the market and the trajectory of the market, that's why you're seeing these companies finally come to market. NYSE President Lynn Martin there this morning after Figma debuted, of course, on the New York Stock Exchange last week. On the day, of course, it saw over 270 % really signaled renewed public demand. Today, it pulls back a little bit. But we've also got news on the day that Bullish, a digital asset exchange operator and owner of media outlet Coindesk, has also detailed its plans to raise over$600 million on the New York Stock Exchange next week.
12:42Brianne Lynch is therefore who we turn to, head of market insight at EquityZen, leading pre-IPO platform. You include Figma among the companies that you've been serving. You saw the demand running into the IPO. Can that be replicated, Brianne? Sure. Thanks for having me. Figma was really an encapsulation of a lot of things that the public market has been waiting for. You have a really strong growth story, 50 % plus growth year over year, profitability. There's AI in the tech stack. I think any company going public in the next year or so is going to have to have some AI component. And they have a strong brand.
13:17And actually, since the failed Adobe acquisition a few years ago, that only really helped to build their brand. So they really were a great case example for what types of companies, what types of quality companies do well in the market. And I think that the market is really open for other companies like that who can exhibit strong fundamentals. There's doing well and then there's gaining 250 % on the first day of trade. How much is that an issue with the pricing of these IPOs and a pent up demand not just from institutional buyers but from retail buyers too? You're exactly right there. And I think that spike of demand that wasn't seen in the roadshow really speaks to the fact that the typical roadshow process really doesn't factor in retail demand.
14:07So, yes, you're getting indications of interest from institutions. You're locking in those long-term investors. But as we've seen over the past few years, the retail market is becoming more and more important, especially as we haven't had many IPOs. So there's been a drought of IPOs and there's just so much demand for access to these innovating tech companies. We see it on Equity Sense platform where more individual accredited investors are coming to invest in these companies pre-IPO. So for the broader market who maybe is an accredited investor and doesn't have access, there is just huge demand.
14:42So I think it really begs the question of how can we start to quantify that demand going into these IPOs? because yes, you want a successful first day, but 250%, that's kind of out of the ballpark. Brianne, I'm one of those people, one of those people that reads the regulatory filings, right? And so you have a company with an adjusted gross margin of 92 % software, amazing. But it just felt like on Thursday, you were there with Caroline, right? At the NYSE. Was anyone doing any of that because of fundamentals and how much money they make? So did they just think, great, tech IPO? Let's get in. Yeah, there is certainly a lot of exuberance in the market that in some ways is irrational, is outside of the realm of any valuation you might get to by looking purely at the S1.
15:35So I do think it talks to this broader market demand that isn't necessarily always looking into the fundamentals. But we were outside the exchange. We were talking to investors who are excited to participate in the IPO. These are individual investors who had their orders in and whatnot. And I think it just speaks to the fact that there is a lot of demand. But the risk of that is if you're an individual investor buying in on that IPO day, you could lose out when the stock normalizes over time. So there's certainly risk there that isn't always factored in. Let's ask the age-old question. Is the tech IPO window open, slightly ajar, closed, and due to open?
16:19Where do you think we stand in the environment? I would say that the tech IPO window is open for quality companies. So we've seen that with Figma, with Circle, with CoreWeave, and some of these IPOs. So I don't think just any company can go public in this market and do well. But these companies that have been preparing for a long time and already have those fundamental pieces in place, you have to remember a lot of these unicorn companies are 10, 15 years old. A lot of them, like Figma, plan to exit in the 2021, 2022 timeframe. And maybe those plans were put on ice as the market cooled down a bit.
16:59So the companies that we expect to see in the coming months are these quality companies that are prepared and have been preparing for a long time. What's really interesting, actually, Dylan Field said to me, I really hope everyone reads the risks in RS1 and they go through them in a detailed fashion. He's very transparent that he's investing in this business. He's taking on AI. But what I really wanted to talk to him about and didn't have the time was the Bitcoin that they have on the balance sheet. And this is a company that's actually exposed to another narrative that retail investors love. How much are you starting to see that in these IPO companies?
17:32Yeah. Crypto is becoming one of the most popular sectors amongst investors on EquityZen's platform. So it's the number six most popular sector that we saw in Q2. And, you know, there's a lot of tailwinds that are supporting the crypto industry. Obviously, you saw Circles, really successful IPO. You have a very crypto friendly administration. And then you've got some of the biggest financial institutions and retailers launching their own stable coins, really adding validation to the market. This has led to more potential IPO activity. You've got Gemini, Grayscale and others in the crypto space looking to go public.
18:10So that's certainly, I would say, the number two narrative that we're seeing after AI for companies, both in the pre-IPO market, but those preparing to IPO as well. Brianne Lynch of Equity Zen with a tech IPO read. We really appreciate it. Thank you very much. Another potential IPO in the pipeline, cybersecurity startup Armis. The company is eyeing a 2026 offering after it says it reached$300 million in annual recurring revenue. CEO Yevgeny Debrov joins us now for more. It's interesting. I was reading the Bloomberg story to track the growth. Clearly, you're seeing a jump in ARR. Is that the metric that you want the market to say, look at this company?
18:49If they're going to go public, they're doing some real things here. So first, good morning and great to be here. Definitely, when we look at the numbers and the ARR, it shows the massive growth and the massive demand we've been experiencing at Armis. We've added more than 100 million in less than 12 months, basically since the 200 million milestone, and continue to grow. We are protecting today 40 % of the Fortune 100, 6 out of 10 Fortune 10 companies. And this is all due to massive demand, continued geopolitical tensions and attacks on critical infrastructure. Yevgeny, I'm just reflecting on the last week on the program.
19:29We had Palo Alto Networks acquiring CyberArk. We had Cato Networks raising money at a$4.5 billion valuation. You've just done a tender valuing you at a much higher valuation. What is that reflective of here? Is it just an absolute necessity for the tech or investors starting to just warm up to the cyberspace? So we are seeing continued demand. And we talked about geopolitical tensions, AI as well as contributing to more demand in cyber. Those continued attacks on critical infrastructure where armies can really help organizations to control and protect every water system, port, airport, their most critical environments.
20:15This is something that continued to grow again and again. And as you have seen with the CyberArk and Palo Alto deal, the industry is going to platformization. Customers want more platforms. They don't want 70-plus point solutions. They want those 5 to 10 platforms to protect all their critical environments. And Armist is a platform. We've been building in the last few years, especially with M &As. We've acquired three companies in the last year and continue to build more and more, innovate and listen closely to our customers to build the best platform to protect their most critical environments.
20:54Okay, Yevgeny, so if you need to keep on on this platformization, as Palo Alto Networks have called it, where do you need to buy next? Where do you need to look for scale? So right now we are focusing on integrating the companies that we have acquired, but we always look from a strategy perspective, build, buy, partner, definitely more opportunities on the horizon. Armis is adding another two products this year to complete a seven-product superpower platform to protect the largest organizations in the world, the largest federal agencies, and the largest states in the United States. We are going to continue and work super hard to protect our customers, focus on innovation, and continue to grow.
21:37So definitely, from our perspective, I look at the next three years, a billion dollar in ARR is a milestone, an important milestone for Armis on the journey in building a generational business here. One that you want to take public as soon as next year, Evgeny. I'm just interested in, therefore, where you're taking market share from. It feels like the pie of cybersecurity is getting bigger, but you must be taking from others. And I think of perhaps a company you worked with, Adalom, which was acquired by Microsoft. Well, Microsoft's wrap around cybersecurity right now isn't always positive. We are definitely seeing competition from different angles, and we are getting into more and more areas.
22:16Armist is acquiring aggressively and also building aggressively. So definitely areas that with Palo Alto Networks, Microsoft, Tenable, and others, we're taking more and more of that share, but continue to align with what our customers needs. IPO is definitely on the horizon. 2026 can be potentially a great year, but we are definitely focusing on maximizing our shareholders and employees' value and continue to build. When we look at what's the next milestone, that's the billion in ARR, and IPO will be a great part as part of this journey. Yavgeny Dibarov, we thank you so much for Amis joining us today.
22:57Meanwhile, coming up, Apple's next AI move, how the company hopes to catch up to rivals like Google's Gemini. That's next. This is Bloomberg Tech.
23:17Apple's getting ready for AI-based search. The tech giant has quietly formed a new team. It calls Answers Knowledge and Information, or AKI for short. Its main goal is to create a new chat GPT-like search experience. This is the company lags behind in rivals over AI features. Mark Gurman is here. It was the latest power on. And I find this so interesting because that was not the strategy originally for Apple. I kept hearing about and through your reporting that they didn't think the market was there for a ChatGPT-like tool. So they integrated the tech into Siri. Now they've kind of changed tack a little bit.
23:53It's become very obvious that one of the biggest use cases for ChatGPT is search. On my iPhone, for instance, I have one of the newer models with the action button on the side. And so whenever I need to search for something, I don't go to Safari and go to Google or the Google search app. I click my action button and I go to chat GPT, even for things that you basically would go to Google for, not for spreadsheets, not for ideation, not for math. I'm just asking a normal question about things like movie synopsis or calories in a piece of particular food or how something happened in history. Right.
24:31And so ChatGPT has become my go to search engine. It's certainly a better search engine than what you're getting from Google. It's a better search engine than really where you're getting elsewhere. Maybe Gemini is pretty good. Perplexity is pretty good. But the sea is shifting. Right. And Apple needs to shift too, and they understand that. Even though they've been pushing people towards ChatGPT within Siri for world knowledge queries, they know they have to go in-house on this. And so they have a team now, like you said, AKI, answers knowledge and information. It's run by a senior director named Robbie Walker, who actually used to run Siri before it was removed from his command because of all the engineering issues and delays.
25:10And now they're looking into ways to build search across Apple that can tap into the open web. Caroline, I'm just going to come to you here. I've got Apple's ticker up on my screen. And actually, I see the gains in the session pairing a little bit over the last 30 minutes. We have some tariffs news. We do. And President Trump was taking Two Truth Social to really labor the point that he's got all eyes on India, saying, I will be substantially raising the tariff paid by India. And it feels at that moment that we pulled back from our intraday highs, Mark. And I want to get your take here, because yes, We know that Tim Cook's been doing all-hands meetings, really talking up the AI pipeline.
25:46But his real expertise has, in many ways, been supply chain. How will they navigate these tariffs on India, do you think? So it's interesting. The India situation, it's going to be sort of a game of yo-yo. Moving between India, moving between China, potentially moving through other places like Vietnam, Malaysia, Thailand, all the other places where Apple is doing mass manufacturing of Apple products. I understand the stock fall today because eventually, if Apple continues to export from India to the U.S., they will need to pay that tariff. But my understanding is that as of now, the tariff is not yet into effect for many of Apple's products.
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26:25So it will be interesting to see when exactly that is supposed to happen. Obviously, Trump is going to decide on a dime when that's going to happen. But as of this very moment, there is still that exemption in place for smartphones and a series of other products. Apple's belief is that they're going to take a$1.1 billion hit during this quarter, right? But I would imagine this tariff situation is going to change in the next couple of months, and these companies will need to start paying that, and that is going to be very difficult for Apple to deal with. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, all across Apple.
26:54We so appreciate it. Meanwhile, coming up, how will commercial and government contracts feature in Palantir's quarterly earnings? We'll discuss what's expected next. This is Bloomberg Tech.
27:17Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. I just wanted to get this story in quickly. Spotify is raising prices in some markets by as much as 9 % and the stock's actually on track for its biggest jump since early May. I was reading the kind of sell side reaction and a lot of analysts saying, well, it's got all these different tiers now of plans so they can pick and choose where they raise prices obviously being seen as a good thing. We have some Monday M &A as well. Joby, the EV toll or flying air taxi company, is acquiring the helicopter rideshare business of Blade Air Mobility. This is a story that we broke over the weekend and the companies confirmed this morning later in the hour, we hope to speak to Joby's CEO, Joe Ben Beavitt.
27:57But clearly, both companies getting a look. It's an incredible gain. Usually in M &A, you've got one going down, one going up. Both of them going up, Caro. Looking forward to that conversation. Yeah, let's talk about incredible gains when it comes to certain stocks. Hal and Tired. It reports its quarterly earnings after the market closed today. Its ultra-high valuation has in many ways been spurred in part by that devoted retail investor. Is also on Wall Street a little worried. Bloomberg's Lizette Chapman is here to tell us what investors are going to look to to really vindicate a 229 price-to-earnings ratio, Lizette.
28:30Talk about the commercial side. What wins do we need to see? Right. Like you said, it's been on this earnings tear. It's been on this, you know, price tear for the past year. What people are going to be looking at, what investors are going to be looking at is whether that growth is sustainable, whether it's continued to accelerate, and really specifically what the breakdown is between the United States versus the rest of the world. We've seen a huge split in demand that's been insatiable in the U.S., but it's really lagged in Europe and in other parts of the world. So that's one thing that we're going to be looking at.
29:04The other thing that we're going to be looking at is the commercial versus government clients. So those are the areas that Palantir is going to be breaking down. We'll see which one they've been doing better at or perhaps not meeting those expectations. Lizette, generally, we've come to know Palantir as being a software provider to the U.S. government or U.S. defense apparatus, right? What kind of technology does it provide and how big a share is each of those businesses, the government bit and the commercial bit? Right. So what Palantir provides is AI-powered data analysis software. So it uses the large language models, whether it's OpenAI or Anthropic, and it leverages that against all of the data that's mapped inside of a company or an agency, whether it's the DOD or whether it's IRS or the Veterans Affairs or whether it's Tyson Foods or Ferrari.
30:03And so what we're going to be looking at now is, like you said, Ed, there's been a big growth in demand for its intelligence software as used for the U.S. government, including the defense forces, the DOD. They just announced a big deal last week showing that they can consolidate what has been 57 contracts into one large one for the army, which shows that it has the ability to perhaps spread this across other divisions in addition to the army and lock in that money for a long-term annual recurring revenue. We know that Dr. Karp is a flamboyant fellow across technology, Lizette. What do you expect him to talk about when it comes to vindicating the valuation, the growth opportunity?
30:58And I'm sure many are going to be asking about the talent wars that are on our hands, too. Yeah, great question, Caroline. As you said, he's very flamboyant, very, you know, directed with his words. And I'm expecting and most people are expecting another victory lap from him. You know, the stock has, you know, increased 1 ,400 percent over the past three years, over 540 percent this year alone. Its market cap is larger than Lockheed Martin and many other standard defense contractors. And, you know, Alex has, you know, written a book about it. He takes every opportunity he can to talk about the importance of Palantir and others backing defense efforts in the U.S.
31:45and the fact that he believes that Palantir is vindicated now after years of not turning a profit and not hitting the marks that many had hoped. Bloomberg's Lizette Chapman with Palantir coming after the bell. Thank you very much. AMD reports earnings tomorrow with CEO Lisa Su facing mounting investor scrutiny as pressure intensifies across the chip sector. Here with more is Bloomberg's Ian King, who leads our coverage of chips. And this was in your tech in depth. And there was a line in it that I find a really interesting point of analysis. This is the best performing chip stock so far this year.
32:26But it's not really a pat on the back. It's more of a like a target on the back at this stage. Why are things so tight and pressured for AMD? Yeah, it's not just AMD. It's basically the latest in line here. I mean, you had Cristiano Amon of Qualcomm on this show going, what is there not to like about our earnings? And that's really the pattern that we've seen this time, which is investors have put quite a lot of money to work in chip stocks. And now they're like, live up to our expectations, very high expectations and good isn't good enough. You have to be exceptional. So that's the kind of situation that AMD is in tomorrow.
33:02Look at that stock rally year-to-date, 46%. We're expecting in excess, though, of 27%, I think, growth in revenue. Where do they want to see market being taken from? Because we know they've been winning out against Intel, but really everyone always compares them against NVIDIA. Yeah, I mean, this should be, or at least the forecast quarter, should be sort of good news for AMD for a couple of reasons. They've got more competitive AI accelerator chips, which go head-to-head with NVIDIA coming to the market. And also great news for them and for NVIDIA, which is, hey, we can go back to China. Some of these restrictions on shipments of older products to China have been lifted, or so we've been told.
33:42So that should also mean good news for this quarter and for the future for that particular market as well. You and I reflected together a couple of weeks ago about how prominent Lisa Su was in Washington, D.C. when the president gave his winning the AI race speech. He asked Lisa Su to stand up. But the reality is Jensen Huang and NVIDIA still have a technical monopoly, I guess, more than 70 % market share, call it what you will. Is there evidence that Lisa Su is catching up, that she's orchestrating the company in a way where they can make gains in the AI accelerator market? I mean, looking at the numbers, this is the best way to look at this.
34:18This is a great business for AMD. You know,$5 billion a quarter on a sort of$30 billion run rate for annual revenues is fantastic, right? But it's not$120 billion. So that's the way to look at it, I think. Always comparing the two, Ian King. It's great to have you. We thank you ahead of AMD. Meanwhile, coming up, Tim Tully is going to be joining us from Menlo Ventures, joining us to talk about where enterprises are putting their AI spend. Which LLM? This is Bloomberg Tech.
34:56The AI boom. Well, it spurred a series of so-called reverse aqua hives. Tech giants like Google, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, they get top talent and AI licensing without the so-called burden of government regulatory approval for these deals. For those hired, though, it often means a big payday and access to more resources. But what about the fledgling AI businesses and workers who are left behind? Kate Clark has just been writing about this very thing. And Kate, if you go back to some really tangible examples of a lot of people being left behind almost, how does it make them feel? There was many, many emotions from the employees that we've spoken to, but some of them were in tears after this was announced because these are companies that they joined hoping that one day they would see a nice windfall.
35:40And that's not always the case when these so-called reverse accu-hires happen. Kate, maybe like the most recent example that Caroline and I have experienced is what was left of Windsurf with cognition. But I think back to Inflection and Microsoft and what happened there. In your reporting, did you get any sense of like what often happens with the leftover part after an acquihire, the company that remains? There's such a wide range. But in the case of Inflection, for example, they're still trucking. They've worked really hard over the past year to keep that business going. We spoke to executives at that company.
36:14They said they plan to raise more money for the business. Same goes for Character AI, another company that did a reverse AccuHire. But it really just depends. In other cases, Covariant, which was reverse AccuHired by Amazon, not a lot is still happening at that company. And actually, the kicker of your story is about Adept, also a reverse AccuHired target of Amazon's. And I think your line is, it's now unclear who, if anyone, is running the company. So are things changing, particularly when people are taking on new talent? They're joining a startup. And the unwritten contract was, you do well with me.
36:47Me as a CEO of this business, I'm putting everything on the line so that you can benefit too. Are people starting to change the way in which they're hired by these businesses? I think people are starting to question this because there's been at least six of these now in the past year or so. And that's a trend. It's really become a trend in Silicon Valley. And I think investors, venture capitalists, and prospective employees are wondering, if I join this AI company, is this founder going to stick along with me or is he going to leave me behind? Blueverse Kate Clark with the reporting out of New York.
37:14Thank you very much. Let's stick with AI. Tim Tully is a partner at Menlo Ventures, which recently published its mid-year update on the LLM market. Tim, we have a lot of data to get through, but in the enterprise domain in particular, you guys are saying that anthropic leads in terms of market share, then open AI is just behind, just for transparency with our audience. Of course, Menlo is on the cap table of Anthropic, and you have a sort of partnership with them for compute access. But break down the data and how Anthropic's pulled ahead in that space. Yeah, I mean, there's really three things that stood out in the report.
37:47First is, you know, Anthropic really pulled ahead in terms of enterprise spend. It's something on the order of 32 % of spend in the enterprise right now. I think the other thing that really stood out and maybe didn't mention yet is that But closed source models are really dominating how people use these things these days. The open source models are really starting to fall behind in terms of usage. And we see it when we talk to developers. I mean, the way that we invest in companies is we basically disarticulate their architectures and understand how they're building their products. And you can see it anecdotally when we talk to developers in those companies.
38:16An executive from OpenAI was posting this morning on X that chat GPT is up to 700 million weekly active users. But therein lies the distinction, right? There's the consumer use. You have a subscription basis revenue that comes in. And then enterprise, that seems where the volume of dollars are going right now. What do you make of that ChatGPT stat? Yeah, it's really not that surprising. And we hear it when we talk to folks again in the same way that we talk to developers. We talk to users of these products. I mean, it's pretty well known in Silicon Valley, at least in the circles, that OpenAI sort of really wins in the consumer space, at least for now.
38:53And Anthropics will be winning in the enterprise span with developers who use it programmatically. Tim, I'm really interested to go more on this closed source versus open source, considering that the AI action plan really is leaning into this open moment. At the same time, people reading in between the lines from Meta's earnings, for example, and Mark Zuckerberg's pitch that maybe because of safety, they'll have to build more closed rather than fully open as they had previously seemed committed to. What does an enterprise need right now? Yeah, what really an enterprise needs is what's, at least in technical circles, called the so-called illities of a product, the manageability of the product, the security, the observability, everything that sort of comes with being able to run that product.
39:33It's really hard to just take the weights of a model and just go run it. I couldn't put weights of a model and put it on a hard drive and just hand it to you and say, hey, go run it. There's a lot of services and sort of software that has to stand up around it to be able to make it usable. And so that's really what you're seeing is folks reaching for enterprise, close-to-door solutions that have programmatic access to these capabilities. And going back to your anthropic numbers, leading enterprise LLM provider, 32 % of the market. How early are we, though, in this rush and this commitment to money by companies into large language models?
40:05How much more is there to take? How quickly could we see the landscape shift? I think you're still seeing early days. The amount of spend that you're going to see from model spend over the next few years is going to continually increase. In the report you saw, just in the last six months, spend went from$3.5 billion to$8.4 billion, which is more than double, again, just in the last six months. So it's early days, and I think the spend is going to continue to increase dramatically. So I've read through the report, and I always look for data that kind of gives us the other side of the story. So you have all this enterprise revenue coming in at Anthropic, but what is their cost, OPEX cost, compute cost, on a per-token basis?
40:45Like, is that data that you track that tells us if these companies will ever be profitable. Yeah, it's not data that we put into the report, but Dario has been pretty open that he feels like the gross margins in the company are going to be respectable and increase over time. And I think what you're going to see is efficiency gains from the models and how they're used. You're going to see things like token caching really start to dominate how people use the models. And so they'll become more efficient over time and the cost of running them will sort of go down over time, I fully expect. It's a really great report.
41:13Urge people to go and read it tim tally thanks for talking us through at parno at menlo ventures now coming up joe be set to acquire helicopter ride share company blade we're going to speak with a ceo that's next this is blueberg tech the people who seem to get more done than everyone else they're not working longer hours or running on more caffeine they've just stopped wasting time on the stuff that doesn't move work forward switching apps re-explaining context hunting for files those aren't small inefficiencies. They're hours wasted every week. Superhuman Go gives you those hours back. From the makers of Grammarly, Go is an AI assistant that sits inside every tab and tool you already use, always available and already aware of what you're working on.
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42:59Bloomberg's Natalie Lung reports the company says it has been conducting pilot programs with various restaurants. some of which have seen their order volume grow during the test period. The effort marks an expansion of DoorDash's in-house robotics efforts to reduce reliance on human couriers for some orders, as their wages constitute a key expense to the business. Drones are also a way for DoorDash to cut delivery times on orders from more remote locations that some dashers may not want. That's the Bloomberg Tech Minute, brought to you by ChatGPT. Put ChatGPT to work on your most ambitious ideas and projects.
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44:20Shares of Joby Aviation and Blade. Well, they're searching today after announcing that Joby will purchase Blade's helicopter ride share business for as much as$125 million in stock or cash. Now, the acquisition really encompasses all of Blade's passenger business, including the U.S. and Europe operations. And here to talk through it, Joby CEO, Jobin Bivert. Investors like it on both sides of the equation. We don't often see that. Tell us the rationale here. Why buy that part of the business? Yeah, thank you so much. Great to be here. First, I'd like to lay the foundation for where we are. Please.
44:54And so the first piece is that we're seeing unprecedented levels of regulatory support from the White House, from the DOT, from the FAA really leaning in. You also have regulators around the world so excited about this new age of aviation. Second is where the Joby team is. We've been knocking out of the park on certification and really delivering on manufacturing where we're doubling our manufacturing rate. And all of this sets the stage for commercialization. Of eVTOL. Exactly. And the key piece is the work that Blade has done, where they've built out an incredible network of takeoff and landing locations, exclusive lounges, and an attention to detail and attention to customer service that are really unparalleled in vertical aviation.
45:52And so this is the right moment for us to partner, both by acquiring the passenger business, but also partnering on the medical business. Joe Ben, when we broke this story over the weekend, and thank you for your time and coming on the show, the question I kept asking myself was, does this accelerate the EV toll bit to market in the United States? Absolutely. And one of the things that's so exciting, as I mentioned, on the regulatory support that we're seeing from the administration with the recent executive order, we really see the potential where that pulls forward the timeline. And that's one of the big catalysts for why we decided to pull the trigger here on the Blade acquisition.
46:33In the interim, will you continue operating the helicopter rideshare bit? Does that business continue or you just buy the assets and start planning from there? Absolutely. we're looking to not only operate it, but to grow it and turn it into a much bigger business. And then we think that with the quiet aircraft that we're building, that we're going to see an explosion in the number of takeoff and landing locations that we can operate from. We're seeing real estate developers both here in the U.S. and around the world who are so excited about our technology and are clamoring for takeoff and landing locations at their developments.
47:14And so we just see unprecedented momentum in the market today. Unprecedented amount of money that you're going to be committing to it, therefore, with$125 million in stock or cash. But where are the details on that, Jobin? How are you architecting the actual deal so it wins out for both? Yeah. So I think that's one of the beautiful things. Whenever I'm working on doing a deal with somebody, I'm looking for something that's going to be accretive for both sides. And this is accretive for Joby in that we get this incredible business that Blade has built on the passenger side. It's accretive for the Blade medical business because we're going to be able to put our Evitol aircraft and our next generation hydrogen electric aircraft onto their platform, onto their medical platform over time.
48:04And so this is, and it allows the medical business to be really laser focused on growing medical to have the resources they need and the focus they need to really grow that business. So this is an incredible win-win. Let's be really focused on the regulatory process right now. What is the next step that you need to meet to be able to make sure that when I go to a Blade, it's not gonna be a helicopter, it's gonna be your eVTOL? So we are taking our aircraft, We have multiple aircraft that are going down the manufacturing line right now, which are our type intent TIA aircraft for TIA flight testing.
48:41And so we have FADARs who are in the factory with us on a daily basis, inspecting the parts and systems as they're going together. And then we're going to begin TIA flight testing with FAA pilots on board early next year. So this has been a long journey, and it's so exciting to be right close to the finish line and ready to begin the commercialization journey. Joe Bent, how much more room is there for you to do more M &A, particularly in other geographies of this type? We see incredible opportunities, and I should be really clear. Blade has built an absolutely spectacular business, not just here in the U.S., but also in Europe.
49:24and we see opportunities around the world. So there is so much demand and so much congestion in cities around the world and we can't wait to really lean in. Joe Bem, just real quick, often when you get a deal, the acquiring company doesn't see their stock jump by the same level that the acquisition target is. Just what do you make of that? What do you think investors are signaling to you? That we built a really fantastic deal that's a win-win for both Blade shareholders and for Joby shareholders. This is going to be a massive accelerant for Joby and for our rollout both here in the U.S. and around the world.
50:05The operational expertise that we're acquiring, the infrastructure we're acquiring, and the attention to detail and customer service. We can't wait to scale this service and really bring the magic of flight to people's daily lives. Joe Benbevit of Joby. Thank you very much for your time here on Bloomberg Tech. That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech. Karen, what an edition it was. I mean, M &A sprinkled in. We continue on the IPO path. Don't forget, check out our podcast. You can find it on the terminal as well as online on Apple, on Spotify, whose own shares are popping today, and on iHeart.
50:40This is Bloomberg Tech.
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From the publisher
Bloomberg’s Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow discuss Tesla’s approval of a $30 billion interim stock award for Elon Musk. Plus, Joby CEO JoeBen Bevirt discusses the eVOTL company’s plan to buy the helicopter ride-share business of Blade Air Mobility for $125 million. And Palantir and AMD face mounting pressure as the companies prepare to release their earnings.
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