Nvidia’s Big Test as AI Chip Race Heats Up

25 Aug 2026 · 44 min · 24 chapters

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In short

Episode topic: A Bloomberg Tech market-and-tech roundup focused on the AI chip race and its ripple effects across public markets, consumer hardware, and AI safety. It centers on NVIDIA’s earnings preview and what investors need to hear about AI infrastructure spending, margins, and cash use; OpenAI’s custom inference chip “Jalapeno” performance claims; plus Apple’s new AI-capable Mac desktops and other AI infrastructure/IPO news.

Guest backgrounds

Sara Rahi is a Franklin Templeton portfolio manager and partner with Franklin Venture (public and private markets). Richard Ho is OpenAI’s hardware VP. Noam Schwartz is CEO/co-founder of Israeli AI security startup Alice.

Key claims

NVIDIA must explain how it funds AI investments amid “circular financing” concerns, show monetization/free cash flow, and maintain high gross margins (discussed around ~75%). OpenAI claims Jalapeno delivers 1.8–4x better performance-per-watt (token cost proxy) and achieves high throughput plus low latency using an HBM4-based, low data-movement architecture; it benchmarks on open-source InferenceX and compares against NVIDIA GB300. Alice says sandbox escapes were driven by human error and that it stress-tests models to prevent misuse.

Notable examples

NVIDIA stock snapping a seven-day losing streak ahead of earnings; Apple M6/M5 Pro/M5 Max/M5 Ultra Mac Mini/Mac Studio upgrades for on-device AI; Gatic autonomous trucking funding; Waymo expanding robo-taxis to Germany; Alice raising $140M; OpenAI Jalapeno vs NVIDIA GB300.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

NVIDIA Stock Market Trends

2:35 to 3:16

Discussion on NVIDIA's stock performance and market trends ahead of earnings.

“We'll discuss with the company's hardware VP, Richard Ho.”

Investor Sentiments on NVIDIA Earnings

3:20 to 4:38

Insight into investor expectations and concerns regarding NVIDIA's earnings report.

“So that's before the whole AI boom took off.”

Valuation Insights for NVIDIA

4:40 to 5:21

Analysis of NVIDIA's current valuation and market positioning in the AI sector.

“It's about 18, 19 times forward earnings.”

NVIDIA's Investment Strategy Discussion

5:23 to 6:10

Exploring NVIDIA's investment strategies and market implications with Sara Rahi.

“Breaking news, crossing the Bloomberg terminal.”

Earnings Growth and Market Perception

6:12 to 9:08

Examining NVIDIA's earnings growth and how it impacts market perception.

“Whatever NVIDIA does numbers wise, beat, raise, what is it that they need to say or do to change sentiment right now?”

Private Market Dynamics and IPOs

9:09 to 13:21

Insights into current trends in private market IPOs and emerging market opportunities.

“And I think Jensen is doing all of those things.”

Apple's Mac Mini and Mac Studio Upgrades

13:26 to 14:00

Overview of Apple's latest Mac Mini and Mac Studio announcements.

“Apple announces a new version of its Mac mini desktop computer for the first time in almost two years.”

Market Movements and Canadian Tariffs

14:00 to 14:35

Learn about the recent Canadian tariffs and their market impact.

“imposing 15%, 25%, and 50 % counter tariffs on more than 700 products similar to those that were targeted by existing US tariffs on Canadian goods.”

Apple's New Mac Upgrades

14:35 to 15:54

Discover the key upgrades in Apple's latest Mac Mini and Mac Studio.

“The upgrade follows a surge in demand for the current Mac Mini, which has become a popular tool for running AI applications locally.”

Aura's IPO and Smart Ring Popularity

15:54 to 17:32

Understand Aura's upcoming IPO and the rise of smart rings in health tech.

“The Mac Studio, the Ultra version, that starts at around$5 ,500.”
Show all 24 chapters

AI Infrastructure and Investment Insights

17:32 to 18:27

Explore investment trends in AI infrastructure and potential risks.

“Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, thank you very much.”

AI Infrastructure and Investment Insights

18:35 to 18:58

Explore investment trends in AI infrastructure and potential risks.

“And AI's infrastructure boom may be real, but the financing behind it could prove vulnerable.”

Talking Tech: Waymo and SpaceX Updates

18:58 to 19:58

Catch up on Waymo's expansion and Elon Musk's AI satellite plans.

“Everybody's using AI in their business models.”

Talking Tech: Waymo and SpaceX Updates

22:18 to 23:15

Catch up on Waymo's expansion and Elon Musk's AI satellite plans.

“It's time to plan ahead and make sure your brand is showing up in ways that can have an impact.”

Gatic's Funding and Expansion Plans

23:15 to 27:35

Learn about Gatic's recent funding and their plans for autonomous trucks.

“Autonomous trucking startup Gatic raised$200 million in its latest funding round.”

OpenAI's Jalapeno Chip and Tariffs Discussion

27:35 to 28:00

Get insights on OpenAI's new chip and recent Canadian tariffs on U.S. goods.

“But so I do want to highlight the asset light aspect of the business model.”

Canada's New Tariffs on US Goods

28:13 to 29:50

Discussion on Canada implementing new tariffs against the US and their implications.

“Let's get back to that news that crossed earlier this hour.”

OpenAI's Jalapeno Chip Performance

29:50 to 31:26

OpenAI's performance results for its custom inference chip, Jalapeno, and its advantages.

“The The ChatGPT maker says in TES, its chip was faster and more efficient than NVIDIA's GB300 system.”

Architecture and Scalability of Jalapeno

31:26 to 36:21

Insights into the design and scalability challenges of the Jalapeno chip.

“And actually, in the ultra-low latency piece, you'd associate that with SRAM-based systems.”

Future of Custom Silicon at OpenAI

36:21 to 37:50

Discussion on OpenAI's future plans for custom silicon and its roadmap.

“You know, there are still bottlenecks in high bandwidth memory.”

Paramount's Takeover Talks and Legal Challenges

42:10 to 43:34

Discussion on Paramount's negotiations with California's Attorney General regarding its acquisition of Warner Brothers.

“Talks between Paramount and California over the company's planned takeover of Warner Brothers are on hold.”

AI Risks and Autonomous Agent Breaches

43:34 to 44:31

Explore incidents of AI systems breaching test environments and the implications for technology safety.

“And we do have Mark Zuckerberg on our witness list, and we're prepared to call him.”

Interview with Noam Schwartz of Alice

44:31 to 49:11

Noam Schwartz discusses Alice's mission to mitigate AI risks and the need for robust safety measures.

“Noam Schwartz, CEO and co-founder of Alice, joins us now.”

Market Sentiment and Software Earnings Outlook

49:11 to 53:15

Analysis of upcoming earnings reports from key software firms and their impact on market sentiment.

“It's great to have you on Bloomberg Tech.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

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2:05Bloomberg Tech is live from the heart of Silicon Valley with Ed Ludlow in San Francisco.

2:14Ed Ludlow:This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. NVIDIA leading the Magnificent 7 higher and rebounding ahead of its earnings report tomorrow. The chipmaker set to snap its 7-session losing streak. Plus, Apple announces new Mac Mini and Mac Studio desktop computers with major processor upgrades. And OpenAI says its new jalapeno chips perform better than NVIDIA's current lineup. We'll discuss with the company's hardware VP, Richard Ho. We have one and a half sessions to go until NVIDIA's quarterly earnings report. And the stock is rebounding. It's off session highs. But after seven straight days of losses, its longest losing streak since September 2022.

2:52Ed Ludlow:The situation is the stock year to date is matching the performance of the S &P 500. From a forward price to earnings perspective, much more in line with the S &P 500. And it's likely to double both revenue and adjusted earnings. Let's get out to Bloomberg Tech Equities reporter Carmen Reinecke to set us up. We've been tracking NVIDIA on a daily cadence for lots of reasons. What are you seeing in the markets this morning? So we're seeing a rebound here. As you just said, this snapped a seven-day losing streak for the stock. It's worst since September 2022. So that's before the whole AI boom took off.

3:25And that route wiped more than$400 billion in market value from the stock. So seeing a nice rebound today, it's leading the S &P 500 higher in terms of points. It's leading the Mag 7, leading other chip stocks higher. So going into earnings tomorrow, it's really interesting to see this kind of setup. Earnings hasn't been a positive catalyst for NVIDIA shares for a few quarters now. The last four out of five quarterly earnings report, the stock has actually fallen after results, even though the company continues to beat on revenue and give really solid forward guidances. So there are a few key things investors are really looking at in this report.

4:03They want to know more about sort of the circular financing woes that NVIDIA has given even more money sort of to this ecosystem. They want to hear about gross margins, if those can continue to stay high, especially given higher input costs. And then they want to hear what Jensen has to say. I mean, he is still considered sort of the king, the pope of AI. And what he says about future forward demand is really important.

4:28Ed Ludlow:Carmen, just very quickly, I mentioned that the stock is much more in line now with the S &P 500 on a relative year to date performance basis, but also on a valuations perspective. Very quickly, talk about that. Yeah, the valuation is really interesting. It's come in a lot. It's about 18, 19 times forward earnings. And that's incredible because the growth is so large here. What we're seeing or what I'm hearing from investors is some of that is because, you know, this type of growth is expected to start slowing. Right. So, even though growth is going to continue, it's not going to be 100 % year over year over year going forward into the future.

5:04So, investors are starting to sort of bake in some of the slowing revenue growth here and look to other places of the AI infrastructure trade that are just more exciting at the moment, like memory stocks, which we've seen be very, very volatile lately.

5:20Ed Ludlow:Bloomberg's Carmen Reineke with the NVIDIA preview. Thank you very much. Breaking news, crossing the Bloomberg terminal. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney matched dollar for dollar the new tariffs imposed by President Trump and announced support programs for Canadian businesses hurt by the escalating trade war. Canada will double its existing counter tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum products to 50 percent and then apply new tariffs to other U.S. goods such as furniture, clothing and electronics. We're seeing those headlines across the Bloomberg right now. Looking for more market reaction. If any comes, we'll bring it to you.

5:54Ed Ludlow:Let's stay with NVIDIA. Our next guest believes that with its earnings, NVIDIA needs to show the markets how it's going to afford the investments it's made in the AI sector. Sara Rahi, Franklin Templeton, portfolio manager, but also partner with Franklin Venture, both public and private market perspective, joins us now. Whatever NVIDIA does numbers wise, beat, raise, what is it that they need to say or do to change sentiment right now? Yeah. Thank you again for having me here, Ed. You know, as Carmen just said, they're doubling earnings here every quarter, right? You've got a really acceleration again this quarter, especially versus last year.

6:32And still the stock is trading in 18, 19 times, 16 times, 28 earnings. They're going to have to talk about these investments. That circular financing narrative is out there every week. Every day you wake up and there's a new every day. That comm team at NVIDIA is the hardest working team you've seen in the market today. And so every day they come out with another investment. You hear that.

6:54Ed Ludlow:Some of them watch this program. It'll be interesting to see how they respond to that. Sorry to interrupt you. They're quite hard working there. So I would say, look, I actually think I read something the other day on the information, which was about how this is a little bit reminiscent to what John Malone did in the 1980s. So if you recall, he was building TCI. And at the time, that relied on cable networks. And he was trying to build a cable TV of what you know today. Of course, that's being cord-cutted at this point. But at the time, he was seeding it with investing in Discovery, investing in BET, investing in a number of other channels.

7:31Turner, we're talking about all these companies now, the new Paramount, David Zaslav's Discovery, Warner. He seeded all of those and then spun them out into another entity, which is what we know of Liberty Media today. Interesting.

7:44Ed Ludlow:So there's two different parts there. You know, what NVIDIA and Jets1 would argue is that the actions they're taking in terms of investments or financing grease the wheels. Exactly. They make deals happen that would otherwise not happen. The part two of what you've just set out is creating out of NVIDIA some kind of vehicle. They could ultimately do that. Now, I have no insight into whether they're going to be doing something like that. But that could be a really interesting method for them to for us to also be able to invest in the overall ecosystem. You saw a similar move in how they, you know, they created the consortium a couple of weeks ago and with that consortium seeding this ecosystem as well.

8:24So I think getting more color just today, I mean, tomorrow, as they report more color on these investments, the value of those investments. I think the market needs to see that. And, of course, earnings growth showing that they have the free cash flow that they're generating, that they need to invest. And maybe they have to buy back stock with it, but also investing in the ecosystem.

8:45Ed Ludlow:So I was going to say, put another way, it's what do they do with the cash? They ended fiscal 26 with almost$100 billion of free cash flow. I think the quarterly estimates are near to$50 billion, right, for this in the coming quarter. You know, what can they do beyond the buyback? I mean, look, they can increase their dividend, right? Okay. I mean, what can they do other than a shareholder-friendly return policy? Of course. So capital returns, right? They continue to invest in their own business, invest in the ecosystem, and then capital returns. And I think Jensen is doing all of those things.

9:15So we just need to get more color on that. And more data points in terms of monetization of AI will continue to help them. We saw that with the other Mag7 companies reporting a few weeks ago. Seeing more of that I think will be important for NVIDIA.

9:30Ed Ludlow:We're having a very stock-focused conversation, not a technology one. I'm looking for something technology-related. I guess they are ramping Verirub and it's in full production. But whenever a new technology comes online in that ramp, there is an impact on margins. NVIDIA has 75 % margins. How much do you pay attention to that side? Yeah, look, we do. I mean, they talked over the weekend, we heard that they're taking price increases to offset some of these memory prices, right? So a seven-handle gross margin is a pretty high number. That's not a common number that you hear in the hardware space.

10:05So any color on that I think will be important to see as well. And we're going to be increasingly focused on gross margin going forward.

10:12Ed Ludlow:Carmen mentioned that that seven-day run of declines goes back September of 2022. We weren't even at the ChatGPT moment then. But here and now, NVIDIA will double revenue to almost$100 billion. They will double adjusted earnings. That is extraordinary, is it not? Why is everyone so tepid about it? It's extraordinary. But Carmen also mentioned there's a deceleration coming. And unfortunately, the market is looking forward to next year, the year after. And so that deceleration is being accounted for. Is the multiple that it's trading at correct? Because even that deceleration is still 45, 50 percent growth.

10:54I think we should, the market is being discerning because of that circularity.

11:00Ed Ludlow:Okay, NVIDIA earnings after the market close on Wednesday, that will be the catalyst. I really enjoy having you on the program because you're also a partner at Franklin Venture. So let's talk a little bit about private markets or I guess IPO markets. You know, there's so much reporting about what's to come. Where are we in a window, do you think? What are you preparing for? Yeah, look, we had the SpaceX IPO successful, in my opinion. Of course, there were a number of dynamics going on with a little bit of a, you know, the momentum unwind happening in July, as well as just a slowdown, summer slowdown going on.

11:36And so the market right now, I think, is gearing up for another IPO window to hit. And I think it's going to be a truncated window post Labor Day, because you've got six to seven weeks before the midterms.

11:47Ed Ludlow:And so how much pressure is there for these big I mean, we're talking in part about Anthropic. You have some exposure to Anthropic to get it done before November 5th. I mean, there's that's one window. And then you have midterms, Thanksgiving, and then maybe a couple of weeks in December that you can do this. So I think there's the pressure is on. I think we're going to see a number of deals coming through. You just saw a couple flip their S1s this morning or an Agreco. So I think you're going to see a number of companies come through in the 10 to 20 billion market cap range on top of, of course, you know, there's rumors about Anthropic.

12:23We'll see when they actually flip their S1 and we'll go from there.

12:26Ed Ludlow:How easy is it to assign a proxy valuation to those? You know, does Anthropic just say, well, that's what SpaceX did, so that's what we'll do too? No, I don't think they can do that. But I think there's a lot more that we'll learn in the filing. And through that, I think we'll get a better sense of how to value the company. Just very quickly, you mentioned basically mid-cap IPOs. You're not the first person to come on the show and say, this will be the era of the mid-cap in technology in particular. Which points to a broadening of the markets, which we've been waiting for, right? Last year, we talked about there was so much concentration in the market.

13:02You need to see this broadening. You need to see some of this new issuance come. The last few weeks, the issuance, again, has been follow-ons in some of the mega-cap and large-cap companies. I think you need to see some of that to just create more of a dynamic, broader market.

13:19Ed Ludlow:Sarah Rahe of Franklin Templeton. Public markets, private markets, and we threw in a bit of technology, too. Thank you very much indeed. Thank you for having me. Apple announces a new version of its Mac mini desktop computer for the first time in almost two years. There it is. We've got the details next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

13:47Ed Ludlow:okay going back to the breaking news of a moment ago on canada increasing both uh in response to u.s tariffs but also existing tariffs the canadian dollars really halted some progress on these headlines canada putting in place retaliatory tariffs on a number of u.s goods imposing 15%, 25%, and 50 % counter tariffs on more than 700 products similar to those that were targeted by existing US tariffs on Canadian goods. And again, the main move in markets is the Canadian dollar or loony, which has holded some progress. We'll bring you more as and when we get it. There it is. Okay, top tech story. Apple has announced upgraded Mac Mini and Mac Studio desktop computers.

14:33Ed Ludlow:with the new machines available to pre-order and in stores on September 22nd. The upgrade follows a surge in demand for the current Mac Mini, which has become a popular tool for running AI applications locally. Bloomberg is Mark Gurman here with the details. You'd reported this was coming, and now we have it. It's an important upgrade, probably the most significant upgrade in this line for two years. What are the main specs that we need to know? Yeah, people have been waiting for these new Mac Minis and Mac Studios for quite some time. The inventory situation for both of these machines has been inexplicable because of the memory shortage, because of the silicon shortage, combined with the demand for these machines that people are buying really in hot numbers to do on-device AI processing on their desks.

15:18The big news here is the M6 chip is being introduced for the first time. This is coming to the Mac Mini. The Mac Mini will also be able to get the M5 Pro chip from the MacBook Pros rolled out in March. The Mac Studio has the M5 Max chip from the MacBook Pros in March, but also for the first time, Apple's introducing a new M5 Ultra chip with up to 80 CPU cores, as well as half a terabyte of memory capacity. So these are pretty big upgrades, but they're also expensive. The Mac Studio, the Ultra version, that starts at around$5 ,500. And the Mac Mini, the price has gone up from it used to be$600.

16:04The starting price now is$900. So some big hikes there, but obviously necessary to some degree to offset the memory situation.

16:14Ed Ludlow:Mark, let's move to wearables and health tech. Another story you broke is that the smart ring maker, Aura, is going to seek up to$3 billion in an IPO. Update us. Yeah, so they're looking to raise$3 billion for the IPO. As you said, IPO is early as next month, so in September. And then the big news is the valuation that they're tracking right now is on track to top$16 billion, which means that their valuation would be 4X, some of the other smaller hardware companies, companies like Sonos, companies like Peloton. So this is quite a big deal for Aura. The smart ring, I'm wearing one, has become extraordinarily popular over the last year, both as an alternative and a complement to smartwatches.

17:05And this is a market that I think is going to continue to grow and be very hot. The underlying Aura business is unique in that they sell you a hardware product and it's a premium price product, but they also sell you a subscription and their margins are absolutely extraordinary on both the hardware and the services. So it's pretty good as an underlying business as well, based on everything I've heard.

17:27Ed Ludlow:Full disclosure, I am an Aura ring wearer too and sleep better for it as of January of this year. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, thank you very much. Another piece of news sticking with IPOs as well. Lambda is in talks to raise as much as$3 billion in a round that could tear it up to go public next year. That's according to sources. The company is part of a group of neoclouts that rent access to chips and other AI infrastructure and has discussed raising the money in a valuation of as much as$12 billion or more, according to the same Bloomberg sources. Lots of other news out there. Let's get over to New York where Bloomberg's Yahaira Anand is standing by.

18:00Ed Ludlow:Hi, Yahaira. Hi, Ed. It's time now for Talking First up, Waymo is planning to expand its robo-taxis to Germany by the end of 2027. This marks its third international market. The company said it will start manually driving its vehicles in Munich to collect high-definition maps and so that the self-driving software can adapt to local conditions. Plus, Elon Musk gave an updated timeline for putting data centers in space, saying SpaceX's first AI satellite powered by NVIDIA chips will launch at the end of 2027. The SpaceX founder also said in an ex-post that the satellite will hit, quote, significant scale by 2028.

18:42And AI's infrastructure boom may be real, but the financing behind it could prove vulnerable. Sycamore Tree Capital Partner CIO Trey Parker tells Bloomberg that today's data center build-out has echoes of the telecom boom when demand eventually arrived, but debt matured before the economics caught up. Take a listen. Everybody likes AI. Everybody's using AI in their business models. It creates efficiency. It creates opportunity. But all of this is requiring a certain level of data center construction, GPU construction. Just like the fiber was built in the telecom crisis or telecom boom back in the late 90s and early 2000s, the demand ultimately materialized.

19:22ultimately internet traffic and demand came through. The challenge was the financing markets that were financing a lot of that build out matured before the demand and the pricing of

Read the full transcript

19:33Ed Ludlow:that demand ultimately came to bear. And that created a lot of disruption, a lot of default and issues in the credit markets. Okay. Thank you, Hyra, for talking tech. Coming up on the show, Gatic, the startup building autonomous freight raises$200 million in its latest funding round. Gaddick's CEO and co-founder Gautam Narang joins us to discuss. This is Bloomberg Tech.

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21:30The recipient is Boston-based Lydian, which is developing lower carbon jet fuel made from hydrogen and carbon dioxide and is one of a growing number of companies developing next-generation clean jet fuel technology. Lydian says it can reduce capital expenses by more than 50 % compared with competing technologies. Lowering those costs is seen as crucial to making sustainable aviation fuel, or SAF, commercially viable, as it remains far more expensive than conventional jet fuel. Today, clean fuels represent a tiny fraction of the overall market. That's the Bloomberg Tech Minute brought to you by ChatGPT.

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23:19Ed Ludlow:Autonomous trucking startup Gatic raised$200 million in its latest funding round. It's largest ever, led by deep-pocketed investors, including the Qatar Investment Authority and Coke Disruptive Technologies. Gaddix CEO and co-founder Gautam Larang joins us now. Really interesting list of participants, the most money you've ever raised. What's the biggest story, the capital needs, or those that decided to back you? Yeah, great to be back. The capital is mainly for expansion, right? So most recently, we announced our partnership with PepsiCo. Right. That partnership is multi-years. We started working with Pepsi back in 2022.

23:54Since then, we have scaled our operations to more than dozens of driverless trucks across multiple markets in Texas, Arkansas, and Arizona. And in addition to PepsiCo, we have long-term commitments from some of the largest retailers, grocers, and CPG companies. So this capital, our$200 million raise, is towards that growth.

24:15Ed Ludlow:What's the main focus? What's the priority? You just need more trucks? Well, scaling our operations, right? So when I was here earlier this year, I mentioned that we have over$600 million in contracted revenue. Right. That number is... It's basically a backlog. Backlog. That backlog has increased significantly since then. We're actively adding new customers as well. And yes, the capital is towards scaling our footprint. We expect to have hundreds of driverless trucks towards the end of this year. And the plan is to continue scaling that to thousands and beyond. The basics of it are trucks with a suite of sensors, local compute in part provided by NVIDIA, and then software that you guys write yourselves.

24:58Ed Ludlow:Operationally, it sounds like the challenge is just more getting out there. How much do you feel like you've solved the technology? That's fair. So it's an execution story from here. The core technology for highway driving and surface streets is already in place. Obviously, with the contracted revenue, we have the customer engagements in place as well. In addition to that, we have a very strong ecosystem of strategic partners. This is Isuzu, NVIDIA and others that are enabling that scale up. With this financing, you're right. Our focus is to keep our heads down and get more trucks on the road.

25:29Ed Ludlow:Qatar Investment Authority. You know, right now you're focused in U.S. cities, particularly U.S. states where regulation is supportive of this, right? Is that a signal that you guys will look to other markets like the Gulf overseas to expand? So, you know, QIA has been a great partner alongside K2T. And then we also have Kathy from ARK in the round. In my discussions with her and the team, they're super bullish on this. Our focus is currently on North America. The opportunity here is huge, right? We are talking about over$300 billion in the time that we are going after. Obviously, there is pull from international markets as well.

26:06But the current needs of the customers that we have locally, that's what we remain focused on.

26:10Ed Ludlow:Really interesting economic discussion to be had, right? On a dollar per mile basis, how does Gattic stack up against a human-driven? Fair. So when it comes to the business model, transportation is a service. One of the things that is the highlight of the business is each of the customers make multi-year take-or-pay commitments. The other aspect of the business is we are completely asset-light. So the base vehicle and the AV equipment is not on our balance sheet. But from the customer's perspective, they're faced with how much does it cost me to move this good? Exactly. Because for them, it's more about meeting that increased capacity.

26:45All the customers, they are looking to increase the capacity. The freight volume is expected to increase to over 50 % by 2050. So that's where we come in. That's the capacity needs that we are fulfilling for customers like PepsiCo and others.

26:58Ed Ludlow:I know that we're having a very finance focused conversation, but what are the margins like for you? You know, once you've done the capital expenditures of getting the truck ready and it runs, how does that go? So one thing to highlight is every delivery that we have done is a paid delivery. You know, these are some very exciting numbers, right? So the fact that we have hundreds of millions of dollars in take or pay commitments, and that number keeps on increasing, the base fundamentals of the business are super strong, right? So with the scale that we have in mind, especially with the milestones of driverless operations at scale.

27:32Profitable strong? Very strong fundamentals, right? But so I do want to highlight the asset light aspect of the business model. So that's where the long-term sustainability comes in.

27:44Ed Ludlow:Gaddix CEO and co-founder Gautam Arang back on the program. Really great to have you. Thank you very much. Coming up, OpenAI is making some pretty spicy claims about the performance of its jalapeno AI chip. We're going to speak with the company's hardware VP, Richard Ho, about that next. It's half time. This is Bloomberg Tech.

28:12Ed Ludlow:Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. Let's get back to that news that crossed earlier this hour. Canada announcing new tariffs ranging from 15 to 50 percent on$20 billion of U.S. goods. Bloomberg's Washington correspondent, Tyler Kendall, has the details. Hi, Tyler. Hi, Ed. Well, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney making good on his threat to go dollar for dollar in terms of tariffs and retaliation for the U.S. Moving ahead with those tariffs earlier this week against$20 billion worth of Canadian goods amid the stalled talks for a trade deal. Canada will now double its existing counter-tariff on steel and aluminum to 50%.

28:50We'll also see a new 50 % tariff levied against American-made furniture, clothing, and electronics. There's then these lower tiers of tariffs, including 25 % on a range of U.S. goods, including appliances, cheese, certain dairy and fish products, as well as importantly, derivatives of U.S. and steel and aluminum. That was something that we were watching really closely. These are going to take effect on September 8th. Perhaps that leaves a little bit of leeway here for negotiations, keeping in mind that this White House's next threat of 50 percent tariffs on autos is set to take effect on January 1st.

29:25We'll have to see where it happens, because today we've already heard from President Trump multiple times really criticizing Canada when it comes to these negotiations. Ed, I will also add that we've seen Canada now roll out an aid package to help those businesses expected to be impacted by these tariffs that does signal that the country could be in this for the long haul.

29:45Ed Ludlow:That's Tyler Kendall from the White House. Thank you very much indeed. OpenAI is out with performance results for its first custom inference chip called Jalapeno. The The ChatGPT maker says in TES, its chip was faster and more efficient than NVIDIA's GB300 system. Richard Ho, OpenAI's vice president of hardware, is with us here in San Francisco. Let's start with the basics of the testing and the performance benchmarks that you've published. What does it tell us about Jalapeno so far? First of all, thanks, Ed, for having me here. The benchmarks that we did were with an open source kind of benchmark called InferenceX.

30:20And we did that because it was a fair, kind of neutral benchmarking method. What we're seeing with Jalapeno is that we're able to get both high throughput and low latency with the same device, which is kind of a first in the industry. And why does this matter is because high throughput means that you can serve a lot of customers with a lot of tokens much cheaper than you could if you otherwise. Low latency gives you very fast response times. And so, you know, the agents will come back faster. you can do more coding for her. And that really, I think, is a real benefit for our products.

30:53Ed Ludlow:One of the questions that we got immediately was, why didn't you benchmark against Vera Rubin, NVIDIA's latest system that's currently in full production? I guess the answer is quite simple, that it's just come out. It's just come out. We wanted to use numbers that have been published, that have been optimized. Those were available, the GB numbers. The other chip makers also have the numbers in there. It just happens that GB is the best, indeed, product in the current benchmarks that are there. This is it. This is Jalapeno. You very graciously allowed me to get my hands on it. And again, the whole emphasis is on throughput and ultra-low latency.

31:30Ed Ludlow:And actually, in the ultra-low latency piece, you'd associate that with SRAM-based systems. This is both HBM and SRAM. Talk a little bit about its design and architecture, but why that ultra-low latency matters. Yeah. So it is an HBM-based design. It's HBM4. It's one of the first products that's going to go to volume with HBM4 right behind NVIDIA's products. And it is very low latency. The reason how we got it was really taking a blank slate approach to this design. So my team arrived at OpenAI, and we basically were able to work with the research team to understand where the bottlenecks were in large language models.

32:10And with a blank slate design, we figured out that you had to reduce your data movement a lot, and we figured out a way to do it. And so this architecture is different from GPUs, is different from TPUs and other chips in that nature. It really reduces the data movement. It optimizes the algorithm. And then it basically is able to get this very low latency, which matters for the agentic workloads, for example.

32:33Ed Ludlow:We're getting to why a frontier lab would look to a custom silicon program, the why. What is it that you can optimize for with Jalapeno or any custom ASIC or accelerator that you just can't with an NVIDIA-based system, for example? It's the full stack control that we're really looking for, all the way from the models, through the software, all the way down to the silicon. By having that control, we can make trade-offs. We can make trade-offs and optimize it really well. And that's something that's unique from being inside an AI frontier lab, that this trade-off can actually be made all the way down into the silicon.

33:08And with that, right, so I think that the key thing here is that this is quite a novel architecture. I don't think other people have done it this way before, where there's affinity between the memory and the cores in a very integrated way. One of the worries has always been, is this programmable? and new architecture is sometimes it's hard to get the software up but we're able to show because of how fast we were able to bring these three very different models that were in the benchmark up and running on this new hardware which we only got a couple of months ago is indication of one how good the programming model is and two how good our models our AI models have gotten in optimizing the firmware, the kernels in order to make this performance possible here

33:54Ed Ludlow:This is an inference chip. It is. So very simply, why focus on inference, not on the training side with your custom silicon program? Well, I think that if you look at it, right, OpenAI has this enormous need of compute. And where that growth of compute is, is really on the inference side. We need a lot of training and we have a really strong partner in NVIDIA who has really got a great training chip. So we focused on where we thought we needed to increase the amount of compute that OpenAI has available. With the growth in our users, with our weekly active users growing very, very fast, we saw the need to continue to have a wide range of inference products.

34:29And this is going to be part of our fleet, along with our existing partners who are providing us other chips.

34:36Ed Ludlow:How do you decide which workload goes to Jalapeno versus NVIDIA or Cerebris, for example? You have options, but how do you make that decision? It's a great question, right? I think with this optionality that we're now creating for the company, I think that we will be able to provide users with a range of models that have different cost benefits and different latency capabilities. We will map that ourselves. We will map out which SKU, which chip is best for which one of these models. But the whole goal of this is to deliver more intelligence to our users at a lower inference cost, at a lower infrastructure cost.

35:15And that's what this is part of, that entire strategy that, you know, we've been working on for a while now.

35:20Ed Ludlow:You know, lots of people struggle with the benchmarks. You know, to the layperson, it's difficult to decipher. So in very simple terms, on a dollar per token basis, how does jalapeno stack up against the other options that are out there? How has this changed the economics for you? It should drop. It's a really good chip. It should drop it by a lot. The performance per watt that we're seeing, which is a good proxy for how much token will cost, is somewhere in the region between 1.8 to 4x better than other existing chips right now. And so we should see that ultimately when this rolls out into production, customer token prices should come down.

36:01That's a big drive that we've had at OpenAI for a little while now. And this really is part of that strategy. And again, it goes back to attacking not only the software, but attacking all the way down into the hardware and even into the data centers as well.

36:14Ed Ludlow:You are the VP of hardware, not just a single chip. Talk about the challenge of scaling Jalapeno. You do this in partnership with Broadcom, right? You know, there are still bottlenecks in high bandwidth memory. Ramping output takes time on the fab side. You know, what's that like? Yeah, totally. I mean, yes, Broadcom was our big partner in the chip design. Seleska is our system partner who basically are doing the racks with us. This is the big challenge today, right? Memory is highly constrained. Wafers are highly constrained. We rely very heavily on our partners. We also take control of that and have direct relationships with many of the vendors that we operate with.

36:53And I think it's one of those things where I think we have to work together to basically be able to ramp up the volume and get us into high volume production. Richard, two rapid fire questions.

37:01Ed Ludlow:versus percentage, how much content does OpenAI own of the server design? We did the entire design. Broadcom has done the physical design, which is like after you take the logic design, you turn it into the masks that TSMC would manufacture, for example. So that's where the separation is. On the system side, we did the design, and Celeste co-designed it with us. I ask because these days, NVIDIA is pushing 55 % of the ownership of the content of the server design. In the future, how much proportionally of your inference workloads do you see being run on custom silicon versus third parties? I think if we can ramp it and if the cost profile looks good, if it's good as I say, I think we'll see a lot more of it coming up.

37:46And I think the other thing I want to highlight is it's a multi-generational roadmap. So we're already deep into development of our second generation of this device, and we're already starting concept work on our third. So we see this as a long-term bet to lower the overall infrastructure cost for OpenAI.

38:01Ed Ludlow:Richard Ho, Vice President of Hardware OpenAI. First time on Bloomberg Tech. I believe your first time on television. Thank you so much for being here. Thank you so much, Ed. Bringing Jalapeno with you. Again, you know, NVIDIA reports quarterly earnings after the market close on Wednesday. The stock is rebounding. It's off-session highs right now, but it's had seven straight days of declines, matching its longest losing streak since September 2022. Pre-Chat GBT moment. The expectation,$92 billion of sales double a year ago, double adjusted earnings from a year ago as well. Bigger picture is what's happening in the ecosystem.

38:35Ed Ludlow:Coming up, we're going to speak with Noam Schwartz, the CEO of security startup Alice, about the company's latest fundraise and how it's helping Frontier AI Labs safeguard against rogue models. This is Bloomberg Tech.

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42:17Ed Ludlow:Talks between Paramount and California over the company's planned takeover of Warner Brothers are on hold. State Attorney General Rob Bonta has accused Paramount of leaking information about the negotiations to the press, something CEO David Ellison denies. But speaking on Bloomberg's balance of power, A.G. Bonta said talks could resume and laid out the types of changes he wants the company to make. Well, we've always said that we want structural remedies, robust structural remedies. I've said that publicly and Paramount knows exactly what that is. Whether they will propose them or agree to them is up to them.

42:50But they've continuously proposed behavioral remedies, like promising to behave in a way in which they make 30 movies a year, I think for three years. That's a behavioral remedy. It's not structural. So we've identified three markets in our complaint with respect to widespread theatrical release distribution, blockbuster release distribution, and cable channel licensing. And if they want to propose a structural remedy for each of those markets, we'll listen. Last time we had a chance to speak, Attorney General, it was on the eve of the trial against Meta, starting something that you have helped to spearhead as one of four attorneys general.

43:27How is the trial proceeding? And we'll be here from Mark Zuckerberg. We think it's going very well. The evidence has been coming in, as we hoped, very compelling, providing all sorts of evidentiary support for our allegations, which I think are very strong, that Meta designed and deployed a dangerous product that hurt the mental health of kids, and they lied about it. And we do have Mark Zuckerberg on our witness list, and we're prepared to call him.

44:00Ed Ludlow:That was California Attorney General Rob Bonta speaking on Bloomberg's Balance of Power yesterday. As AI systems grow more sophisticated, we're seeing high-profile instances like those from OpenAI and Anthropic where autonomous agents break out of their testing environments and then breach outside organizations. The incidents have driven growing interest in technology that can rein in the misuse of AI tools. Israeli startup Alice is focused on that issue, and it's just closed a$140 million round to expand its efforts. Noam Schwartz, CEO and co-founder of Alice, joins us now. So interesting, the timing, the focus on this area.

44:37Ed Ludlow:Let's start with the round, what you need this capital to do. So, hello. It's incredible to be here. So, we raised$140 million, led by Apex Digital, to make sure that we can keep AI at bay, and we can make sure that models are doing only what we want them to do and not things that we don't want them to do. And we're going to use this capital to continue our research activities to make sure that we can always be at the forefront of everything that can go wrong and make sure that our customers, who are the frontier models and Fortune 500, can use AI and advance unafraid. Noam, recent events have been labeled as sort of watershed moments for AI.

45:22Ed Ludlow:But I assume that your company has some history that you thought about this idea before some of the incidents in the last couple of months. What was the sort of catalyzing concern that you had? So we started a company about eight years ago. And that was before AI was a thing. We were protecting, we're still protecting social media, big tech, against everything that can go wrong on the Internet. anywhere from fraud to abuse to manipulation to cyber attacks on individuals and companies. And during that time, protecting these companies, and if you use the Internet today, you probably were protected by something that we created.

46:01We gathered a massive, it's called like a database of harmful activities or things that can go wrong. and now we're seeing how those things that were used by individuals are now being amplified with AI. So we renewed and got bigger and now we're actually taking that knowledge and understanding how that can be leveraged with AI to cause harm to even more people, to even more enterprises and now we're protecting those kind of companies.

46:33Ed Ludlow:Noam, I won't go over every single detail that's happened in the last three months but basically two OpenAI frontier models escaped a sandboxed environment and breached a third-party platform in Hugging Face. Since that happened, how much has interest in your technology accelerated, literally in response? So the interest was always high, and that incident obviously created even more interest. And to understand what happened, the models effectively escaped a sandbox, which was a human error. It wasn't a model really escaping, and there's no reason to panic. But models are becoming more and more capable.

47:12They're becoming more capable in coding, in cybersecurity, in other topics, and they would be even more capable in creating harms around different topics. And our mission is to make sure that the research is at the frontier, that we're discovering everything that could go wrong, because you can't really protect against things you don't know that can happen. So our mission is to make sure that we're always one step ahead of bad actors and we can help our customers make sure that their models are doing exactly what they're supposed to do and not things they're not supposed to do.

47:47Ed Ludlow:We discussed the human failings with the CEO of Irregular and also with Clem DeLong of Hugging Face. You can find those interviews online. You work with Anthropic. So just as a case study, could you tell us about the work you do with them? So I can't refer specifically to the work we're doing with a specific company and everything that is out in the open. And there's a lot of writing about that and publications from their behalf. But what I can say that our work is to stress test models to figure out what could happen and break them and see that they're actually getting broken and provide the solutions for it.

48:22So without getting too much into the details and being a bit of oversimplification, we're helping them train the models in order for them to be safer. We're figuring out what could happen, and then we're providing the solutions to make sure that it will never happen. And we're working with the frontier labs and also with enterprises that are either using their products or open weights models in order for them to be as safe as the best models in the industry. because effectively we're seeing the market demands democratization of usage of AI. And right now there's democratization of harm as well when we want to make sure there's also democratization of protection and safety and security.

49:05And that's all what we're about.

49:09Ed Ludlow:Noam Schwartz, founder, CEO of Alice. It's great to have you on Bloomberg Tech. Thank you very much. Thank you very much indeed. Coming up, key software firms are reporting earnings this week and investors will be looking at whether the latest rally has any staying power. Those are the names that we're watching. That conversation next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

49:38Ed Ludlow:Software investors are betting that the struggling stocks have found their footing again after a strong performance over the past month. Those gains will be tested this week as the Market Digest earnings reports from key software firms, including Intuit, Salesforce and Autodesk. The tech equities reporter Ryan Veselic has been writing about it this morning. There are other earnings this week, but it's so interesting because the performance of software stocks, particularly since the middle of July, have been the opposite of the chip stocks. So now we're waiting to see what happens in earnings. Yeah, this has been a trend that we've been seeing all year, where people seem like they're very bullish on chips and then bearish on software, and then it flips, and it's flipped back and forth a few times.

50:17But at least right now, it does seem like there's growing optimism and improving sentiment towards the software side of things. We've seen some pretty resilient earnings, including from Microsoft and Palantir this quarter, and that's really helping this group recover in a pretty broad-based fashion, following a period where people were really concerned about what kind of impact is AI going to have on the group's growth outlook going forward.

50:43Ed Ludlow:The trade was long semis, short software, and then that changed. What was it that drove the at least psychological change of the market? Well, you had a lot of people who said these things have really just gotten decimated across the board. People are selling indiscriminately and finding a lot of value in the groups. And like I said, we did get some pretty encouraging results out of some high-profile software companies like Microsoft, like Palantir. Or if you go back to last quarter, you had names like Snowflake, Datadog, these kinds of infrastructure and consumption-based names that were really showing some pretty positive results and an indication that they were even benefiting from AI themselves.

51:24So that really had people looking at this group saying they've come down so much. Their valuations have really come off their historical levels. Maybe there's an opportunity here, especially since so far it seems like the earnings are still pretty resilient. We're not really seeing signs that AI is coming in here and eating their lunch.

51:44Ed Ludlow:The big catalyst this week is a chip company, NVIDIA. Recap what to expect. Well, this is going to be a very important sort of a temperature check for just the state of AI overall. People are expecting a pretty strong quarter here, if only because all the hyperscaler results that we got a couple of weeks ago, they really underlined how these companies remain pretty committed to pretty aggressive spending on AI. However, anything the company says about its outlook, what kind of adoption it's seeing, its pricing following the big price hike that was reported over the weekend, And that's all going to be very much in focus and sort of really help determine at least near-term sentiment for AI.

52:22And it wouldn't be surprising if we start to see AI sentiment improving if some of the software starts pulling back.

52:28Ed Ludlow:Bloomberg's Ryan Flostellica with the preview. Thank you very much. That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech. Check out the podcast. Find it on the terminal as well as online on Apple, Spotify, and iHeart. NVIDIA after the market Wednesday. This is Bloomberg. When you're running a business, the best days are the ones where priorities stay on track. For midsize and large companies, risk can affect multiple parts of the organization at once, from property and liability to cyber and regulatory challenges. At that level, managing risk becomes an ongoing discipline. At the Hartford, the focus is on helping businesses manage risk before it turns into something more disruptive.

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From the publisher

Bloomberg’s Ed Ludlow breaks down what to expect from Nvidia's earnings report on Wednesday, as the stock is on track to snap its seven-session losing streak. Plus, Apple announces new Mac mini and Mac Studio desktop computers with major processor upgrades, and OpenAI says its new Jalapeno chips performed better than Nvidia's current lineup.

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