Costco's Wholesale Revolution | 6

21 Mar 2024 · 44 min

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Business Wars Podcast Notes: Costco's Wholesale Revolution

Episode Overview

  • Podcast Title: Business Wars
  • Episode Title: Costco's Wholesale Revolution | 6
  • Host: David Brown
  • Description: This episode explores Costco's rise from a humble membership-based warehouse store to a major player in the retail industry, focusing on its unique business strategies, cultural significance, and economic impact.

Key Themes and Concepts

Introduction to Costco

  • Founding: Founded in 1983 in Seattle, Washington.
  • Business Model: Membership-based warehouse store with a focus on bulk goods for small businesses and families.
  • Cultural Impact: Considered a beloved institution across various demographics, with a membership count of nearly 128 million.

Historical Context

  • Saul Price and Price Club:
  • Originated the concept of membership-based wholesale retail in the late 1950s.
  • Founded FedMart, a precursor to Price Club, which focused on low prices for quality goods.
  • Innovative Strategies:
  • Retained customer satisfaction by accepting losses to build trust and loyalty.
  • Introduced the idea of a food court, maintaining the customer experience.

Costco's Growth Strategy

  • Merger with Price Club: In 1993, Costco merged with Price Club, which helped solidify its market position.
  • Expansion: Rapid growth with 800 locations worldwide, with a focus on opening stores in international markets including China and South Korea.

Economic Model

  • Membership Fees:
  • Annual membership fee serves as a primary revenue stream, allowing Costco to maintain low prices on goods.
  • Members pay $60 for a standard membership; fees are raised every 5-6 years.
  • Low Prices and Slim Margins:
  • Maintains a unique pricing strategy with only a 10% markup on products, contrasting with typical 30-40% markups in retail.
  • Limited SKU Selection:
  • Offers about 4,000 different items compared to 30,000-40,000 in typical superstores, focusing on quality over variety.

Customer Experience

  • Impulse Buying:
  • The shopping experience is designed to encourage impulse purchases, adding significantly to basket sizes.
  • Generous Return Policy:
  • One-year, no-questions-asked return policy enhances customer satisfaction and loyalty.
  • Food Court Staples:
  • Famous for the $1.50 hot dog combo, a price the company vows to never change, enhancing brand loyalty.

Marketing and Brand Loyalty

  • Word-of-Mouth Strategy:
  • Minimal paid advertising; relies heavily on customer recommendations and social media.
  • Cultural Phenomenon:
  • Examples of customers using Costco for unique events, such as engagements and weddings, highlight its cultural significance and loyalty.

Future Challenges and Opportunities

  • Membership Sharing Crackdown:
  • Recent efforts to ensure only paying members use the service to maintain revenue integrity.
  • International Expansion:
  • Significant opportunities for growth in international markets, particularly in Asia, where Costco's model has been well received.

Leadership and Corporate Culture

  • Long-Term Leadership:
  • Unusual corporate stability with only three CEOs in 40 years, all from within the company.
  • Employee Treatment:
  • Focus on employee satisfaction and mobility within the company, contributing to a strong corporate culture.

Conclusion

  • Sustained Success: Costco's longstanding principles and business model have allowed it to thrive despite economic challenges.
  • Future Prospects: The company aims to maintain its innovative edge while navigating competition from other retailers and evolving consumer behaviors.

Key Takeaways

  • Costco's innovative membership model and commitment to low prices have established a unique retail experience that garners high customer loyalty.
  • The company's strategic choices—from product selection to marketing—highlight its focus on value and customer satisfaction.
  • Continued expansion, particularly internationally, presents both opportunities and challenges for Costco's growth.

Additional Resources

  • Books: "The Joy of Costco: A Treasure Hunt from A to Z" by Susan and David Schwartz.
  • Podcast Availability: Listen to Business Wars on the Wondery app or your preferred podcast platform.

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0:0740 years ago, the founders of Costco hoped their membership-based warehouse store would catch on. But it's hard to say if anyone could have predicted just how popular the brand would become. Today, Costco is way more than a place for small businesses and growing families to stock up on bulk goods. It's a beloved cultural institution with customers across every demographic. And with virtually no paid advertising, Costco has commanded strong profits and growth year after year. But when Costco first opened its doors in Seattle, Washington in 1983, the now common pay-to-play shopping model was only just catching on.

0:45The company had to earn customers' trust by making some unconventional business choices, while also keeping quality high and prices low. The founders weren't afraid to take on losses in order to build and maintain shopper satisfaction. It's a strategy that has paid off. with more than 800 Costco locations throughout North America and the world. Today, we're uncovering how this wholesale giant went from a humble experiment to a brand worth$345 billion. Stick around for this special episode of Business Wars.

1:26Hey, basketball fans. Steve Nash here. Ready to elevate your basketball IQ? I'm teaming up with LeBron James to bring you the latest season of Mind the Game. And we're about to take you deeper into basketball than you've ever gone before. Watch Mind the Game now on YouTube, Prime Video, or listen wherever you get your podcasts. Mom and dad. Mom and mom. Dad and dad. Whatever. Parents. Are you about to spend five hours in the car with your beloved kids this holiday season? Driving old granny's house? I'm setting the scene. I'm picturing screaming, fighting. Back to back hours of the K-pop Demon Hunter soundtrack on repeat.

2:03Well, when your ears start to bleed, I have the perfect thing to keep you from rolling out of that moving vehicle. Something for the whole family. He's filled with laughs. He's filled with rage. The OG Green Grump. Give it up for me, James Austin Johnson, as The Grinch. And like any insufferable influencer these days, I'm bringing my crew of lesser talented friends along for the ride. with A-list guests like Gronk, Mark Hamill, and the Jonas Brothers, whoever they are. There's a little bit of something for everyone. Listen to Tis the Grinch Holiday Podcast wherever you get your podcasts. From Wondery, I'm David Brown, and this is Costco's Wholesale Revolution.

3:11With a membership count of nearly 128 million people, Costco has become a staple for so many households. It's a no-frills warehouse, but by the time a customer leaves, They filled a gigantic shopping cart with items they didn't know they needed. Many people describe Costco as their favorite place to shop. But where did it all begin? The story of Costco begins with a guy named Saul Price, who was a lawyer in San Diego. That's David Schwartz. He and his wife Susan are Costco's superfans and co-authors of The Joy of Costco, A Treasure Hunt from A to Z, which chronicles the company's history. The foundation for Costco was actually late in the 1950s, when soon to become titan of retail, Saul Price was working as an attorney.

4:00He'd acquired a warehouse and was wondering what to do with it. He had a number of clients, small business clients, and they came to him and said, listen, you know, we'd love to use your warehouse to sell our goods. They were small retailers. I think they were jewelers. And Saul Price said, okay, well, why don't you do that? And that was really the first of the big box stores. Price named his store FedMart, inspired by a Los Angeles-based shop called FedCo. FedCo was a discount store, and you had to be a government employee to shop there. San Diego was home to nearly 5 ,000 government employees at the time, many of whom would drive up to Los Angeles for the FedCo discounts.

4:48Price tried to join forces with FedCo, but was ultimately turned down. So he decided to go out on his own and launch FedMart. He decided he would also make it membership-based and only available to federal employees. You see, FedMart believes if you give folks quality at a low price, you've got a customer for life. Discover FedMart, America's greatest general store. In 1959, FedMart was thriving. and price took the company public. In 1963, FedMart raked in more than$1 million, an all-time high for the chain. This was the same year they dropped the federal employee requirement, opening the store up to all shoppers and ditching the membership fee.

5:34They opened stores in California, Arizona, and Texas, totaling around 45 locations by 1974, making nearly$320 million in annual sales. Business was booming, but Price was getting frustrated with some of the headaches of running a public company. And he toyed with the idea of going private again. So when some foreign investors came knocking, Price took the meeting. A German supermarket chain called The Mann Group decided that they wanted to buy FedMart and get involved in the U.S. market. And they negotiated with Saul and his son Robert, and they bought them out. and the plan was for Saul and Robert to stay and work with the Mann Group.

6:20But unfortunately, they didn't get along at all with Hugo Mann or with any of the other senior executives from Germany. Mann was a former Soviet prisoner of war who made a fortune when he brought the concept of large American supermarkets to Europe. FedMart would eventually go out of business in 1982, with most storefronts turning into Targets. But by this time, Price had developed a new store, One that would revolutionize the way people shopped for years to come. The Price Club is not an athletic club. It's a club for retailers. It's a wholesale operation that tries to prove once again that everything is cheaper by the dozen.

7:03In this 1976 news clip from San Diego's CBS 8, a reporter takes viewers inside the first ever Price Club. After leaving FedMart, Saul Price and his son Robert brought back the membership model of FedMart's early days. Only this time, anyone could join. Opening up membership to everybody in 1976 was a radical, radical idea. And I think it was Robert who came up with the idea of a members-only club. Saul always gave Robert the credit. In those early days, Price Club's target demographic was small business owners. Prior to that, restaurant and shop owners had to purchase products from a few regional wholesalers who sold with high markups.

7:51At Price Club, they could pick up snacks for their vending machines or grab office supplies in bulk at a discount. Here's Robert Price from a CBS 8 News clip. We think that it's time that the independent businessmen be given an opportunity to compete with the chain stores because we think it's good for the community to have independent businesses, and it's good for the nation, and it's also good for the business people. The first price club was set up in a converted airplane hangar in San Diego. Its industrial shelving, pallets of merchandise, and bare concrete floors would become standard issue for all future wholesale clubs.

8:29They were cash-only, with a product selection that was limited, yet high in quality. And they also had another groundbreaking feature that's still around in stores today. The initial idea for a food court was Saul Price. In Price Club, what happened was he noticed that people were walking around, and then they were leaving for lunch. And what he wanted to do was keep them there for lunch. And so he said, well, let's serve pizza. So Price Club started their food court with pizza. Price Club was also renowned for treating its employees extremely well, offering competitive pay and exceptional benefits, something you rarely saw at the big grocery store chains.

9:09Author Susan Schwartz explains. Saul used to say you don't train employees, you train a SEAL, you teach employees. And there's a real priority placed on promoting from within and making sure that you're furthering people's careers. In 1980, Price Club went public. And with that move, investors really started to notice just how lucrative a members-only wholesale club could be. People who were analysts of the retail industry at places like Salomon Brothers or Goldman Sachs began to look at what was going on at Price Club and thought, wow, this is an interesting business model and this may be the future of retail.

9:45Soon, other entrepreneurs were sniffing around to see if they could start their own kind of price club operation. There was the Massachusetts-based BJ's Wholesale Club that launched in the Northeast. And in the Midwest, Sam Walton was inspired to start his own warehouse called Sam's Club. Saul was gracious enough to give Sam Walton a tour of the operation and show him everything. Until the day he died, he kept saying he should have gotten royalties from Sam Walton because Walmart resulted. So that was a direct result of Saul's generosity. And up in the Pacific Northwest, David Schwartz explains that a businessman named Jeff Brotman was flirting with the idea of a wholesale club in his own neighborhood.

10:26Jeff came from a retailing background. His father was a retailer. He was a retailer. And they had taken a look at what was going on in San Diego and Southern California and thought, gee, you know, the price club model would work really well in Seattle. and Jeff was looking around for someone who could help him set up a competitor to Price Club in the Seattle area. And he called Jim Senegal. This was the call that would change everything. Jim Senegal had been working in retail for decades. He got his start at FedMart, working under Mr. Price Club himself, Saul Price. In the FedMart days, Jim Senegal actually became Saul Price's right-hand guy.

11:12and was his real golden boy. And Jim Senegal is a retailing genius. There's no question about it. And, you know, really on top of operations and marketing, all aspects of retail. And he learned everything he knew from Saul. And he'll say that to this day. Senegal remained at FedMart for a couple of years after it was sold to the German man crew. After that, he went back to work for Price at Price Club for a few years before branching out on his own as a broker, selling goods to shops like Price Club. And this is when Senegal got the call from Brotman. Jim had gotten a lot of calls like this over the several years that he was on his own and had rebuffed most of them.

11:54I mean, he spoke with those guys because he thought that those connections would be interesting over time. But there was something about the conversation with Brotman that made him decide he wanted a meet. So Senegal and Brotman met up and hammered out a business plan that was very similar to that of Price Club. effectively laying the groundwork for their own wholesale chain that they would keep regional. Here's Jim Senegal speaking about the plan in a talk he gave at San Diego State University back in 2017. The idea was to clone the Price Club. We didn't want to do anything fancy in the first instance.

12:27Let's just do what they're doing and do it well. And if we can do that, we'll have time to innovate later. In 1983, Costco opened its first warehouse in Seattle, Washington. At the time, the membership was$25, and anyone could join. Like Price Club, the space itself was pretty bare bones, which helped to keep costs low and wages high for employees. They also implemented a food court. Only instead of peddling pizza, they hawked the now-famous$1.50 hot dogs. What became an iconic Costco staple was actually started by an employee who wanted to set up a stand at the warehouse in Portland, Oregon. It started out because somebody had an idea to just bring up a hot dog cart and set up out in front of the warehouse and sell hot dogs.

13:15And they thought, oh, sure, we'll sell a hot dog and a beverage for$1.50. Just pulled that number out of the sky. He was called Warm Wonderful Gene. He had this hot dog cart. I'm not sure why he had a hot dog cart, but he did. And when management came through and saw they were doing this, they said, what are you doing? And they said, we're selling a lot of hot dogs. And they said, carry on. And management loved the hot dogs. They were wonderful. And as they say, the rest is history, with a hot dog stand quickly evolving into a full-fledged food court. By the time Costco went public in 1985, they had 17 warehouses and nearly 2 ,000 employees across the Northwest, California, and even Canada.

13:54Although they had planned to keep Costco regional, Jim Senegal explained in that 2017 lecture that the market had other plans. You might say, well, I thought you were going to be a Northwest company. We concluded at that point, it became obvious to us, that there was a significantly bigger market that was available to us and significantly more investors who were interested in coming along with us at that point. So this was our entry not only into a new state, but also an entry into Canada and a new country. There was no denying it. Costco was a hit. The 1980s saw a boom for wholesale clubs in general.

14:35Sam's Club, BJ's, and Costco all launched around the same time. They found massive success in their respective regions, with Costco leading the pack. That got Sam Walton to come knocking on Costco's door, this time with an offer that he hoped they wouldn't refuse. But David Schwartz says Senegal wasn't biting. He was, you know, sitting in his office one day, and he gets a call out of the blue from Sam Walton. I'm going to be in town tomorrow. I want to talk to you and Jeff about Costco. And they had breakfast the next morning, and Sam laid it out that he wanted to buy Costco and, you know, merge it with Sam's Club.

15:15And Jeff and Jim considered it and got back to Sam very politely and said, listen, you know, we just love running our company. We're not going to sell it to anybody. Jim says that Sam took that, you know, like a gentleman and never approached the subject again with them. While Costco wasn't looking to sell, Saul Price of Price Club was starting to consider a step back from the family business. He saw Costco as a real serious competitor, and he was getting old, and Robert was really in charge, and the two of them were thinking that this is going to be a long-term struggle, and they weren't all that eager to do that.

15:53And they were looking for a way to productively end that competition. So they saw an opportunity to partner up with people who thought about retail the same way they did and to try to share the load of running a major, major company. So in 1993, Price Club merged with Costco, and Price Costco was born. This particular era was short-lived, with the name changing back to just Costco not long after. Susan Schwartz says there was a little friendly rivalry among shoppers in the beginning, despite the similarities between the two brands. They had a saying when they merged, are you red or are you blue?

16:35The Price Club people were blue and Costco were red. And initially, there was some tension, but it was really, they're all from the same base culture. A few years later, Robert and Saul Price stepped down from Costco, and by 1997, all remaining price clubs were turned into Costco warehouses. Under the merger, Saul and Robert Price spun off Price Enterprises, which owned and operated stores called PriceSmart overseas. When Robert and Saul Price left Costco, those international PriceSmart shops stuck around. In fact, the chain still exists to this very day as the last remaining piece of the price retail empire.

17:15Overall, the merger was quite seamless, David Schwartz says, with Price Club and Costco truly becoming one. It's a perfect merger now. I mean, it really is one company. And there's no legacy logistic systems or legacy operational differences or anything like that. It is one company, and it operates seamlessly. Even with the Price family out of the picture, Jim Senegal kept the spirit of Saul Price's business philosophy alive within his stores, which, according to Susan Schwartz, has largely contributed to the company's success over the years. Costco didn't just rise up out of the ocean like Venus on a half shell.

17:55Costco is the product of a lot of years of retailing genius. Somebody once said to Jim Senegal, you must have learned a lot from Saul Price, and Jim very carefully said, no, that's not correct. I learned everything from Saul Price. Throughout the 80s and 90s, Costco continued to grow, implementing the gas station, pharmacy, optical department, and other amenities. They expanded worldwide, opening locations in Mexico, the UK, South Korea, China, and more. And not once have they threatened to raise their markups. So, how have they managed to sell all of this good stuff so darn cheap? They sell you stuff.

18:33They're not selling it at a loss. They're making their money back on what they buy, but they're not relying on those sales to really make or break their business. Next, more on how Costco's economic model works and why it's been so successful. Stay with us.

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21:07Hi, welcome back to Business Wars. When you're inside Costco, moving through the aisles can feel like moving from a Best Buy to a regular grocery store to a TJ Maxx. Business Insider reporter Dominic Reuter covers big box stores, and he puts it like this. It's just not like a normal store. The idea going into it is that everything is bigger. The carts are bigger. The aisles are bigger. The products are bigger. It's the event for the week for some folks. And they will, you know, get in there and browse and get samples and fill their carts with a bunch of stuff that they weren't thinking about getting.

21:45And I think that's all part of the whole experience. But unlike rival big box stores, the wholesaler maintains very slim margins compared to its competitors. Because they charge a membership fee, they're able to sell products wholesale for an extremely low cost. In a lot of ways, Costco is selling you access to consume these other sort of products and merchandise and services, more or less, at a very low, low markup for them. So they're basically giving it to you for what it costs them for not much more, about 10 % more than what they're getting. And that is almost nothing compared to a normal retail shop where you're looking at 30 or 40 percent markups versus 10.

22:29The annual membership fee pioneered by Saul and Robert Price back in the Price Club days has become Costco's primary revenue stream. And investors can't get enough. Costco does really well in terms of profit thanks to this warehouse club model. in large part because it's something that they have a lot of control over. And these membership fees are effectively pure profit. It's just money coming in. They don't have to buy anything. They don't have to maintain anything. They just get you to pay. And that solves the story. If they can get more people to pay, then that's good. And that's a model that investors really, really, really have loved over the years.

23:09So they sell you stuff. They're not selling it at a loss. They're making their money back on what they buy, but they're not relying on those sales to really make or break their business. When it comes to keeping low overhead costs, Costco is king. There's evidence of this strategy in the overall feel of the store. The retail environment inside Costco is no frills. Goods are piled high on tables or stacked up, and finding what you want requires significant legwork. This, combined with the membership fee, helps them maintain some unbelievable practices that other retailers wouldn't dare attempt.

23:49For example, Dominic says they maintain a very limited selection of products compared to the average big-box store. They only carry roughly 4 ,000 SKU stock-keeping units. That's 4 ,000 different items, whereas you go into a typical superstore and you're going to see 30 ,000 or 40 ,000. And that's just a wild amount of variety and choice. But I don't need a thousand flavors of potato chips. I just want a really good potato chip. And they sell you one. And then there's the one-year, no-questions-asked return policy, where people can take back a used mattress, an open container of hummus, or even a gifted item they don't really want.

24:28Costco's generous return policy is certainly something where, on that transaction, it probably will lose money. Because there's a lot of stuff that they'll take in, and that's just going to get salvaged out. The important thing to Costco is that you're happy, that you'll renew, that you'll tell people, go ahead and buy that thing because you can just return it. And they're betting that you might not because a lot of times you're just not going to do that. Of course, they've also got the food court featuring those$5 rotisserie chickens and the$1.50 hot dog combo, a price that Costco has somewhat infamously vowed to never change, despite rising inflation.

25:08Jim Senegal very famously told his sort of successor, Craig Jelanik, that I will effing kill you if you raise the price of the hot dog because that one is just a thing that people have come to expect. They come to expect it so much that if you go to Canada, it's$1.50 in Canada, even though with the exchange rate, it should be$2. So they're getting even more of a loss lead on the Canadian thing just in order to keep that sort of visual cue of it being$1.50 for a hot dog and a soda combo. Eyeglasses, pharmaceuticals, travel deals, you name it, and Costco is selling it way cheaper than everybody else.

25:45Even the gasoline comes at a significant discount, a huge perk in a market where gas prices have reached all-time highs. Although the way they price the gas is different from pricing items in the warehouse. Their goal in that case is to simply give you a discount relative to the market around you. even if that's giving them a little bit of extra money or a little bit extra margin on that particular gallon of gas at that time. But gas is a highly, highly volatile, pardon the pun, market, and they have a very, very, very careful and strategic operation there that makes a point to save the customers money that they would have otherwise paid without that membership in their local area.

26:27An even more important draw and piece of the Costco puzzle is the Kirkland brand. That's Costco's private label brand named after Kirkland, Washington, the city in which they're headquartered. There are Kirkland dress shirts, Kirkland tuna, the super popular Kirkland French style vodka, which, despite the rumors, is not the same as Grey Goose. Although Costco has been known to source from some high-end distilleries. You know, they'll put a batch label or they'll put a distillery label on some of their other products. You could create a nice bar where they just sell Kirkland beverages, wines and beers and spirits, and I think it would do pretty well.

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27:12Customers appear to love the Kirkland brand. Sales of the products made up about 25 % of the company's total revenue in 2022, about$58 billion in sales in that fiscal year. And Costco makes sure that the quality is very, very high. Oftentimes when consumers trade from a sort of national brand or a name brand to a store's private label, people or analysts and experts usually call that trading down. Costco will very quickly correct you that when you say, are you trading down to Kirkland? No, they're trading up to Kirkland because Kirkland is just Costco's way of finding the absolute very best products that they can find for even less.

27:58But how does this benefit Costco's bottom line? Well, Dominic Reuter explains that it's all about keeping customers coming back for more. Costco enjoys a really high, high degree of customer loyalty. Something like nine out of ten people, you know, renew each year. And I think they keep that number even higher than that. Several big reasons for that are, you know, they just work very hard to keep people happy and offer a good value, You offer a competitive proposition for when you're there, for what you're buying every day or every week, every month. Unlike its competitors, think Walmart, Target, and Amazon, you won't see any commercials or pop-up ads online.

28:38The company largely deploys a word-of-mouth strategy. And lately, there's been a whole lot of chatter on social media. It's Costco time! I hit y 'all with the remix today, baby! And then there are the people who take things even further. One couple even took their engagement photos there. Kareen Tarshish and Dan Clement picked a unique location for their photo shoot, choosing their local Costco to capture the moment. While another couple used the store to host their wedding, literally walking down the aisle of their local Costco. They love Costco so much, it's where they decided to declare their love for one another forever.

29:23the North Carolina couple got hitched right in between all those yummy samples and great clothing deals. Just search hashtag Costco Hall on YouTube, TikTok, or Instagram and you'll be along for the ride. Or you can find yourself down a rabbit hole exploring Costco products recommended by parents, dieticians, foodies, people looking for a deal, you name it. Everyone from influencers to regular shoppers have posted about their favorite finds, creating a frenzy of products that suddenly go viral. Everything from a gilded mirror to giant teddy bears to Starbucks sous vide egg bites. Costco keeps very quiet online and that's part of why things are so cheap there.

30:05They don't pay for advertising. They do have a marketing department, but it's not nearly the kind of ad buys and big expenditures that other big box brands will use and spend on. So the benefit that Costco gets is that TikTok influencers and news companies and blogs and, you know, everybody else loves to talk about this place for a variety of reasons. And that ends up giving them what is in the business called earned media, a free kind of promotion that, you know, a lot of companies would absolutely die to get. Given its high level of earned media and strong revenue, the company could be pushing harder to expand and edge out competitors.

30:47Now that's never been the Costco way, but will that need to change for Costco to keep up in the future? Coming up, we talk about what's next for this legacy brand and their plan to keep the growth going. That's when Business Wars returns.

31:09I'm Indra Varma, and in the latest season of The Spy Who, we open the file on Oleg Gordievsky, the spy who outran the KGB. A rising star in the heart of Soviet power, Gordievsky is secretly feeding MI6 the Kremlin's deadliest secrets. For 11 years, he walked a razor's edge, exposing KGB threats that hastened the Cold War's end and helped prevent nuclear annihilation. But the KGB have a mole of their own. When they discover the truth, Gordievsky's world collapses. MI6 hatch a desperate, high-stakes plan to smuggle him out of Moscow. An escape that could rewrite history. Follow The Spy Who on the Wondery app or wherever you listen to podcasts.

31:59Or you can binge the full season of The Spy Who Outran the KGB early and ad-free with Wondery+.

32:23scrambles to produce more. Its rival Eli Lilly is racing to take the crown. Meanwhile, a darker market is emerging. Shady online sellers are offering cheap unregulated knockoffs. Now millions are injecting mystery vials with no FDA oversight. I'm David Brown, host of Business Wars. In our latest season, we're diving into the race to Ozempic and the billion-dollar showdown between Big Pharma's biggest players. Can they close the supply gap before one bad vial destroys everything? Make sure to follow Business Wars on the Wondery app or wherever you get your podcasts. You can binge all episodes of Business Wars early and ad-free right now on Wondery+.

33:18Welcome back to Business Wars. Costco's membership model has been holding up the company's operation since the start. That annual fee is their golden goose, serving as the most consistent revenue stream. But they only raise it every five or six years. Right now, it's$60 annually for the base membership and$120 for the executive membership. Dominic Reuter, a business insider reporter covering big box stores, describes why Costco is judicious in raising its fees. Analysts keep asking them, investors keep asking, when are you going to raise the fee? Because it is basically pure profit for them. But what Costco has been particularly acutely interested in is improving renewal rates, keeping that number up, getting people to sign up again, getting new people to sign up.

34:09In terms of looking forward, while they probably could or should or might raise their membership fee from the$60, it's really hard to see a way where they do that because the competitors are nipping at their heels, like Sam's Club, like BJ's, both of whom have somewhat lower prices already. And so if they raise their fee, that puts them a little bit that much farther out in front of their competitors and then starts to risk sort of losing some of their members over to one of their competitors. And recently, Costco has made moves to retain their edge over competitors by making sure every person who walks in their doors has actually paid to be there.

34:52So earlier in the summer of 2023, there was a bit of a membership sharing crackdown. And it looked a lot like the Netflix crackdown that happened in the months before where Netflix was saying, oh, is this TV part of your household? Well, what shoppers were finding at Costco, especially in the self-checkout areas, people were borrowing someone else's card to, you know, make their transaction. Now, Costco really doesn't like that. And so they started having folks at the registers check the photo, make sure that you were the person who was paying for the stuff and that your membership was current and that you were an authorized card user.

35:31This all, again, goes back to the question of trying to avoid people using their sort of service, using their access for free or without paying for it. Because if they aren't getting that fee, they do start to lose money. Another key part of Costco's retention strategy is making sure its customers not only feel like they're getting good deals on premium products, but get a sense of delight and surprise that they're experiencing a treasure hunt every time they shop. David and Susan Schwartz, authors of The Joy of Costco from A to Z, got to see this play out in real time while visiting a warehouse in Sterling, Virginia, a few hours before the doors open.

36:12You'd have no idea the chaos that was taking place right before that with forklifts, you know, safely going every different direction, restocking the shelves. They intentionally moved things around in the warehouse not to trick you into buying new things, but just to keep the shopping experience fun. It's part of what makes it a treasure hunt. There's also a financial incentive behind this curation. Dominic Reuter, a business insider, says folks are more likely to impulse buy this way. And at Costco, that adds up quickly. The Costco concept of an impulse buy, as they say on the earnings call is like$15 to$20, which is ridiculous.

36:46Well, you get three or four or five of those, you're now 50 bucks of a hundred bucks more on your register bill than you would have been if you just didn't pick those things up. Your carts add up really fast when you walk around the Costco. And that's just different. Whereas like, you know, you go to a store, a normal grocery store, grab some impulsive things, you might be up 10 or 20 bucks. That's just one item when it comes to the impulses at Costco, and you're not going to just get one. The importance of the impulse buy also helps explain why Costco has been slow to develop its e-commerce site.

37:22They've developed a strategy where they have a website. They fulfill orders from devoted, dedicated warehouses that are set in the sort of market zone of where they are. They have a partnership, I believe, with Instacart for some groceries. You can buy certain things on there. But the prices aren't the same. The sort of sense of discovery is not the same. There's a lot of things about Costco that really depend on that warehouse experience, on that, you know, in-person shopping dynamic that goes on. Costco has also tapped into some product stunts that have been highly effective at getting shoppers through their virtual doors.

37:59They occasionally carry items like gold bars, collectibles, and other random items on their website that help them sell through their stock. Every so often, they will take a release of gold bars, post them on their website. They sell out in minutes. That's pretty wild, but they can reach a much wider audience and sell through their stock pretty quickly online. And so then that sort of helps drive some interest and awareness in their web store. But it's still just not the same. And the prices aren't as low. And the shipping isn't quite there. Costco knows what they're doing in the warehouse. They're very, very good at that.

38:39It's not clear yet that that has translated equally well to the Internet. The warehouse experience is what Costco does best. For several decades now, the company's been exporting that experience to other countries, where it's quickly caught on. The company now has 272 warehouses outside the U.S. and counting. David and Susan Schwartz have visited several of them themselves, and they were stunned by just how popular Costco was, in Asia in particular. We were in Korea for about two or three weeks. It was impossible to meet anybody who didn't know and love Costco. I think you can do that in the United States, but not in Korea, not in China.

39:22I think it's no secret that I think it's even mentioned in the annual reports and certainly in the CFO's talks with Wall Street analysts that they believe that the international growth is where it's going to be over the next decade. Its latest expansion has been into China, a lucrative market it hadn't touched until opening its first store in Shanghai in the summer of 2019. The opening day frenzy was substantial. Signs warned shoppers in the parking lot that the wait to get in could be three hours long. Midway through the opening day, the store was forced to shut down because the crowds just got too large.

39:59In January of 2024, there were also three hour long lines on opening day in Shenzhen to accommodate the tens of thousands of people wanting to get inside and shop. And look at the lines. This is very much like a rock concert or a sporting event. In addition to locals, the Shenzhen location saw an influx of members from Hong Kong, according to the magazine Fast Company. Travel companies offered hotel and bus fare deals to visit the store for a weekend. And even though Hong Kong is known for its micro-homes, customers were still drawn to that bulk shopping. Why the seeming contradiction? Susan Schwartz explains.

40:38The thrill factor about Costco in Asia is really quite stunning. And people don't understand. and they think, oh, the apartments are so small, the houses are small. What happens is people share. So two friends will go to the warehouse and they'll buy something and they'll split the pack. They really figure out how to make it work. The quality and the value is not lost in them. There are now six Costco's in China, and expansion there is a key part of the company's strategy. Now, whether it can win the market remains to be seen, as competitors like Sam's Club and Walmart also vie for customers. But David and Susan say that Costco is a well-oiled machine, especially when it comes to their product network at home and overseas.

41:19The international market is fascinating to me because Costco sends products over there that are American. But nowadays, in the United States, you can also find the international products coming here, and that's really fun. Their logistic system is unbelievable. We joked about having a fake blurb from Napoleon on the back of our book that said, If I had only had Costco's logistics system, I wouldn't have lost the Battle of Waterloo. But we didn't do that. Since its inception 40 years ago, Costco has weathered plenty of storms. The savings and loan crash, the dot-com bubble, the Great Recession, the COVID pandemic, and of course, recent inflation, among other crises that have rocked other companies.

42:01Costco's survival and its ability to thrive comes down to its solid model, one that they have no plans of straying from, says Dominic. This company's been around for 40 years, and it's basically the same as it was on day one with that first warehouse in so many fundamental ways. They offer more stuff, but the principles have not really moved, and the business model and their retailing strategy hasn't departed much from what they did in that one warehouse in Seattle in 1983. Even the leadership has held steady. with only three CEOs in 40 years, all coming from within the Price Club and Costco family.

42:43Susan Schwartz explains that current CEO Ron Vackris, a former Price Club employee, has technically been with a company longer than his predecessor, Craig Jelinek. Ron Vackris has got a gold badge, which means he's been with the company 40 years, whereas Craig Jelinek has a silver badge. He doesn't yet have a gold badge because he didn't make it to 40 years. Maybe he's got one now, but it's sort of amusing. This is the kind of corporate longevity you just don't see anymore, says Dominic. Their CEO actually has been working for the company since before Costco was Costco. He worked for Price Club as a forklift driver.

43:18So he's been there and been working here in this business for longer than this business has been a business. Dominic was actually surprised when earlier this year, Costco tapped a former Kroger executive to join as their CFO. The former CFO had been with the company for nearly 40 years. In the warehouses, people start as cart pushers and they end up as managers. There's a lot of that mobility within the company, but it sounds to me that there's a little bit less of that because people live a long time, they have long careers, and the company only grows so fast. The company has grown at this very slow and measured pace that is not nearly as fast as everything else.

43:59It's worked out for the company quite well, but it's leaving a lot on the table that other players are very keen to pick up, whether they be Amazon, whether they be Sam's Club, you know, BJ's or Walmart or Target. There's a lot out there that is left sort of uncovered by Costco. The National Retail Federation puts Costco in third place on its list of the top 50 retailers of 2023, just behind Walmart and Amazon. But Costco's sales growth leapt almost 17 % from 2021 to 2022. That's a big jump compared to its competitors. Walmart and Amazon's growth in the same time period was less than half that.

44:44For investors, that growth and the predictability of strong sales numbers makes Costco especially attractive, says Dominic. They are still the number three retailer in the country in terms of revenue. They are making a lot of money, and their share price is doing really, really well. Investors have no qualms whatsoever about this company or its outlook. At the end of the day, what stands out the most to David and Susan is a kind of corporate humility at Costco. When the couple met founder Jim Senegal for hot dogs at the food court across from HQ in 2016, they left in shock. He validated our parking and then he said, there's no book here.

45:29So we didn't believe him, but two weeks later he called us. He said, I've thought about it. I don't want a book written. David and Susan were crushed, but they kept up with their research. And three years later, they got an email. It was Easter weekend 2021 when we got an email out of the blue from Jim saying, Craig and I have talked about it. We think we should make sure the book is accurate. Would you like to come for a meeting? And we said, when? And we were there. You know, as fun and fascinating as the history of Costco is, it wasn't the first major retailer to run with the discount membership only model.

46:05And every time I get a whiff of that fresh, earthy smell that comes before a big thunderstorm, it takes me to the backseat of the family Volkswagen Beetle back in the day, and Mom digging through her purse for her GEX card. GEX and its siblings GES and GEM first opened in Denver in 1956. If you worked for the government, a church, a school, or the military, you could get a card too, for a small fee. With the discounts available, this was quite the bonus for my school teacher parents. And it was a real event, too, with islands of gas pumps outside and a cantilevered awning out front. The place was much bigger than a supermarket or a department store at the mall.

46:46I remember Mom proudly handing her card to the lady at the front desk, and with Christmas just around the corner, hinting that Santa might be doing some shopping that day. My search for Santa in that great big warehouse of a store kept me occupied for what seemed like an eternity, as no doubt Santa shopped away. When I was a teenager, GEX quietly disappeared, out-retailed by a new wave of competitors. When I'd pass the empty parking lot, I'd feel a certain pinch of nostalgia. So these days, when I hear people express their affection for a big-box store like Costco, I gotta wonder if it's not just the discounts.

47:27Because over the years, those memories can begin to add up too. Coming up on Business Wars, turmoil at OpenAI over the vision for the company creates an opening for competitors eager to unseat the industry leader in artificial intelligence.

47:57From Wondery, this is Business Wars, and I'm your host, David Brown. A big thank you to authors Susan and David Schwartz and Dominic Reuter of Business Insider. Karen Lowe is our senior producer and editor, written and produced by Emily Frost and Kelly Kyle. Sound design by Josh Morales. Our senior managing producer is Ryan Lohr. Our managing producer is Matt Gantt. Our senior producer is Dave Schilling. Our executive producers are Jenny Lauer Beckman and Marshall Louis for Wondery.

48:50In every episode, we'll share elite-level strategy, dive into career-defining moments, and explain the why behind plays that changed a game, a team, or a championship. LeBron and I have lived this game at the highest level for decades. We've been in those pressure moments and made those game-changing decisions and learned from the greatest basketball minds in history. Now we're pulling back the curtain and sharing that knowledge with you. Time to go beyond the highlights and get into the real heart of basketball. Watch Mind the Game now on YouTube, Prime Video, or listen wherever you get your podcasts.

From the publisher

Costco's membership retention rate is the stuff of other retailers' dreams, nevermind the love they get on social media. With very little paid advertising, the company has managed to keep its spot as the third largest retailer in the U.S. We’re finding out how they do it with Susan and David Schwartz, authors of “The Joy of Costco: a Treasure Hunt from A to Z,” and Business Insider reporter Dominick Reuter.

Listen to Business Wars on the Wondery App or wherever you get your podcasts. Experience all episodes ad-free and be the first to binge the newest season. Unlock exclusive early access by joining Wondery+ in the Wondery App or on Apple Podcasts. Start your free trial today by visiting wondery.com/links/business-wars/ now.

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