Disney Under Siege | The ‘Bob’ of It All | 3

25 Dec 2024 · 37 min

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Business Wars: Disney Under Siege | The ‘Bob’ of It All | Episode 3

Podcast Overview Host: David Brown Guest: Sean McNulty Description: This episode delves into the tumultuous leadership landscape at Disney, examining Bob Iger's long-standing role as CEO, the challenges posed by Nelson Peltz, and the implications for Disney's future leadership.

Key Topics Discussed

  1. Disney's Leadership Struggles
  2. Bob Iger's Legacy:
  3. Iger has been at the helm since 2005, known for transformative acquisitions (e.g., Marvel, Pixar).
  4. His decision to step down in 2020 led to the appointment of Bob Chapek, but this transition was fraught with challenges.
  5. Bob Chapek's Ouster:
  6. Chapek was dismissed after two years, highlighting ongoing succession challenges at Disney.
  7. The board's struggles to find a suitable successor continue as Iger plans to retire in 2026.
  1. Nelson Peltz's Proxy Battle
  2. Background on Peltz:
  3. Known as a "constructivist" investor, Peltz targeted Disney to increase its stock value amid declining performance.
  4. Boardroom Conflict:
  5. In 2023, Peltz attempted to gain a seat on Disney's board, which was met with fierce resistance from Iger and the board.
  6. Disney's board cited Peltz's lack of relevant entertainment experience as a primary reason for rejection.
  7. Public Relations Warfare:
  8. Over $65 million was reportedly spent during the proxy battle, indicating the seriousness of the conflict.
  1. Impact of Layoffs and Cost-Cutting
  2. Job Cuts:
  3. Disney pledged to cut 8,000 jobs, part of a larger $7.5 billion cost-reduction plan, significantly affecting morale and company culture.
  4. Financial Recovery:
  5. Despite layoffs, Disney's streaming unit reported profits in 2024, suggesting that cost-cutting measures are having financial benefits.
  1. Speculation on Future Leadership
  2. Succession Plans:
  3. The search for Iger's successor remains a critical concern, with various names discussed but no clear direction.
  4. Impact of Iger's Leadership:
  5. Iger's ability to secure Disney's place in the modern media landscape is critical, especially as tech giants like Apple consider acquisitions.
  1. Media Landscape and Industry Challenges
  2. Streaming Wars:
  3. The ongoing competition in the streaming space, alongside traditional cable declines, presents significant challenges for Disney and other media companies.
  4. Consolidation in Hollywood:
  5. The consolidation trend raises questions about the long-term viability of many legacy studios as they grapple with profitability.

Important Quotes

  • Iger on Peltz: “We saw no value in this and I have to agree with him.”
  • Sean McNulty's Reflection: “The math is starting to work on streaming... but it’s never going to be that model where you had over 100 million people in America paying you a monthly fee for things they did not watch.”

Conclusion The episode highlights the intricate dynamics at play within Disney, from leadership succession to shareholder activism, and the broader implications for the entertainment industry. As Bob Iger prepares to leave, the search for a successor amidst a backdrop of intense scrutiny and competitive pressure will be crucial for Disney's future trajectory.

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*The episode encapsulates the ongoing struggles and strategic maneuvers within one of the most influential companies in the media landscape, providing insights into the complexities of corporate governance in a rapidly evolving industry.*

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:06I'm David Brown and this is Business Wars.

0:29The recent boardroom battles at Disney were intense, to say the least. Plenty of large and powerful personalities competing for their seat at one of the most influential tables in the whole media industry. And although Disney CEO Bob Iger prevailed once again, the house of Mouse is still on shaky ground. For years now, the company's stock has had more ups and downs than a roller coaster at one of their flagship theme parks. In 2023, the company pledged to cut 8 ,000 jobs as part of a$7.5 billion cost-cutting effort, which was supercharged by billionaire investor Nelson Peltz and his investment company Tryon when Peltz tried to take control of the Disney board.

1:09Now, as Bob Iger plans his final retreat from the Magic Kingdom in 2026, the board is tasked with finding his replacement while trying to avoid another Bob Chapek situation. He was the person ousted from the position of CEO after just two years when the board begged Bob Iger to step back in. Here to unpack the recent news from Disney and beyond, Sean McNulty. He's a reporter at The Ankler, where he covers the business of Hollywood. His newsletter, The Wake Up, shares commentary and analysis on the latest topics and trends in the entertainment world. Sean also co-hosts The Ankler podcast, where he's covered Disney and its CEO shakeups at length.

1:48And today, Sean's taking us deeper into the fallout of these proxy battles and exploring what a Disney without Bob Iger might look like. All that's coming up.

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4:10Sean McNulty, welcome to Business Wars. Thank you for having me. Tell us a little bit more about Nelson Peltz. Before the Disney battle, he seemed to have a reputation for, I think his critic would say, weaseling himself onto the boards of companies like Cisco, Procter & Gamble, Wendy's, that sort of thing. What were his goals at those previous companies? Sure. He calls himself a, quote, constructivist, not an activist. You can interpret that as you like personally, but as you said, it's a lot of CPG. So it's a lot of Pepsi, Wendy's, so kind of consumer-facing products. And then Procter & Gamble is a big one.

4:44Snapple was a huge one in his evolution there in Heinz. So no background in entertainment per se here. But he would say that I think he comes in to help these companies probably become more efficient. It's not for necessarily the good of the people, good of the company, but for the good of the stock. So he comes out on the other side of it with a much more valuable stake in the company and increases his wealth. Why did he set his sights on Disney? This is a good question. And I don't know that I actually really have an answer here other than he's part of a Palm Beach set in Florida there where certainly, you know, but there's a lot of media people down there.

5:20Perhaps that was where this originated from. Again, he doesn't have a history of doing this in the entertainment business. So presumably he saw an opportunity. He's looking at stock prices and companies that have a beleaguered stock price. And in 2022, Disney was falling into this category due to the cost increases from the streaming wars really taking their effect. 2022 was about their peak spending year for streaming there at Disney. So the stock wasn't doing great. They had a CEO battle or a contentious part of it, whatever you want to call it, between Bob Chapek and Bob Iger, which was not going well in 2022.

5:56So I think you saw an opportunity to come in at a company where he could get a stock price that was on the lower side of the historical low side of the stock price, get on the board and make a difference and get that stock price up and do what he usually has done at other companies. Why he wanted Disney per se, I don't know that was ever really expressed. Again, that wasn't really his background in corporate America. Well, it seemed like he really wanted to be hands-on here. I mean, he was offered an observer seat on the Disney board in 2023, kind of compromise, but he refused to take it. Why?

6:30He just wouldn't have enough sort of personal hands on. What do you think was going on there? I think, look, he's been on many boards throughout the years. All those companies we named, you know, it's part of his probably ego and image. Like, you know, he does not want to be consulted. He wants to have a seat at the table. You get people of that ilk in, you know, the hedge fund world. They're not looking to come in and get a phone call with Bob Iger every month. They're looking to really have a, I was voted on. They want to say I'm on the Disney board when they're at, you know, the fancy dinners in West Palm Beach.

7:00So that was part of it. And secondly, you know, without a seat on the board, you don't have an official say. So otherwise, you're just a large, you know, stockholder or semi-large stockholder externally, but you have no, you know, official say. And you don't really know what's actually going on in the room. A board is a very official role. You're seeing official numbers where if it's just a phone call, it can be a very broad slate of information that you're getting there. So that's where I see that that was not what he was after. And once you get the eye on the prize, you don't want anything less at that range.

7:28Enter Ike Perlmutter. In March 2023, Ike Perlmutter, head of Marvel Entertainment and friend and neighbor of Peltz, was fired. Bob Iger, who had recently been reinstated as CEO, made it seem like Perlmutter was getting let go regardless of his involvement with Peltz in the proxy battle, but Perlmutter had his doubts. How much of a factor was Peltz in this decision, do you think? The friction between Bob Iger and Ike Perlmutter goes back years. So this is really a culmination of many things throughout the history of Marvel and Disney. Obviously, Iger, you know, was the architect of bringing the Marvel brand into Disney.

8:02And that was Ike's brand. It is Ike's brand. So they've not seen eye to eye on some matters throughout the 2010s. And I think this was just another log on the fire that probably burned brighter than even Bob Iger probably thought it would get in terms of Nelson becoming a real problem for Disney, in a sense, with his request. This was churning for a while, probably. Iger saw a window and probably took it to make his move and get rid of Ike from the company. I wonder how smart that was, though, because then you have Perlmutter, who'd been with Marvel for decades, joining forces with Pelts. And I wonder whether Iger saw that one coming, I guess.

8:39I think Ike and Nelson are well-known associates of each other. I don't think Iger would be caught flat-footed in that regard. Ike was already kind of a thorn in the side of Iger for quite a few years there. Whether he's on the inside or the outside, Ike still held his shares in the company, which is, you know, again, the seat at the table that he had. Again, not a great percentage of the company, but significant. But Ike's role at the company, he was, you know, he's the Marvel person, but he was really relegated by the time of his departure to running the comic book side of the business. It was pretty small.

9:09It wasn't, you know, he wasn't running Marvel films. He wasn't involved in any of that stuff. So his role there, and he probably had a pretty nice paycheck at Disney as well. And this was a time of austerity at Disney where they're looking for, you know, to cut costs and things like that. So I think that was Iger's opportunity to, I think, you know, excise Ike from the company. And Ike was going to team up with Nelson, I think, no matter what, in a sense. So this was not really a matter of like, oh, this will get rid of that situation with Nelson. Yeah. Okay. So at the end of 2023, Peltz tries to buy Disney again.

9:38It looks like an act of revenge. What was different in round two? So in February of 2023, Peltz never actually took the seat to a vote to be on the board. He kind of recanted his campaign at a certain point once Iger made larger changes at the company, namely large cost cutting and layoffs and things along those lines. So he comes back around again, yeah, in the end of 2023. And, you know, he's amassed a larger stake in the company. Clearly, this is something he wants. I mean, this is where, you know, again, back to why does he want to do this? You know, who knows? That's the big mystery here that I don't know that's ever really been answered as to what, why was he harping on this seemingly?

10:18He came back with about, I think, $2.5 billion stake in the company of owning Disney stock at that point, which is much larger than anything he had previously amassed. This is also where Iger had just come back in to run the company. So when Peltz came back into the picture, Iger had been running the company for about a year and the stock was still, you know, not doing great. Again, 2023 was a very painful year at Disney. You know, there were over 7 ,000 layoffs. There were$7.5 billion in cutbacks. So Wall Street was still not seeing the love on Disney. So we probably looked at the stock and was like, well, you know, it still hadn't really moved much.

10:54And that sense, the streaming business was still in disarray. Quite frankly, Hollywood was not doing great. The strikes were also in process at the time. So there are a lot of clouds around the Hollywood business at that time. So Nelson probably saw another opportunity again with a depressed stock price, the thing he saw a year ago, and an opportunity to come again, have a seat at the table. And it's also good for the Nelson Peltz business. He was on CNBC a lot. It gets his name back out there. Try on Partners. It was having some trouble with Unilever and had a really not great experience with its efforts at GE.

11:27It could use a win. And he probably saw this as an opportunity to do so. So never never neglect the PR factor for anybody in these players and private equity takeovers or in board seat proxy battles. Yeah. Yeah. OK, so, of course, Peltz is making this second run for Disney and he's getting a lot of pushback from Disney's board for not understanding the business. But of course, you know, he's saying, well, look, I have billions of dollars worth of holdings across multiple industries. I understand business. Right. I'm curious, what do you see as the real reason Disney didn't want Peltz on their board?

12:01From an outside point of view, I don't see the added value. I mean, if you have a board member at that point, they had a wide variety of people, you know, from the different industries. They didn't need anybody from a business that was not involved in entertainment at that point. And Peltz, you know, had this famous manifesto, Restore the Magic, 133 pages of ideas. And a lot of them were, when he came back around the second time, Iger had already done them. And that was the thing. It was, you know, cut spending on streaming, cut down on sequels, you know, fix animation. This is all Iger year one things he was already instituting.

12:35So it wasn't like there was fresh ideas here. But Disney has structural issues that I don't know that Nelson Peltz adds any value other than just to maybe be a detriment and quite frankly, divert focus from getting the job done. So I think that's the main thing as to what the thinking was there. Yeah. Well, you mentioned the Restore the Magic campaign from Peltz and his camp. But both sides of this battle were staging campaigns with social media ads, websites, all sorts of industry media blitzes. It makes you wonder how much of a threat did Disney see from Peltz? I mean, this was, at least in the public space, a rather ugly, nasty looking battle.

13:18It really escalated there in the first quarter of 2024. Over$65 million was spent cumulatively on both sides, between the two sides being Nelson and Disney on this, which is a lot of money for a board seat proxy fight. I mean, it's a little ridiculous. and the headlines just kept going. It had a little bit of a snowball effect, I think, where maybe they were hoping this would just go away for a little while and then it was clear that it wasn't and the media was really picking up on it. And then you had people like Michael Eisner and Lorraine Powell Jobs and Al Bigale Disney coming out. And then you had shareholder advisory firms like Egan Jones and ISS supporting Nelson.

13:56The narrative kept building and this wasn't gonna be something that had to go away as to why the big spending in the ads. I mean, it just got a bit of a life of its own at some point, and it was going to build to a crescendo with the vote there for the board, which was going to be in April. So you had to take it more serious than they probably wanted to there at Disney. But the other side of it is, you know, if you don't spend the money, the negative consequence outlies whatever the negative of spending the money to fight it would be. But if for some reason they didn't spend and Nelson's campaign worked, I think the downside they figured was much larger there.

14:34So they figured it was worth, you know, investing the time and money into it. Yeah. Well, ultimately, Peltz lost out again, second time. And Disney's board voted in favor of Bob Iger and the old guard remaining in charge. When he was asked about the result on CNBC, here's what Iger had to say. I remain confident and very optimistic about what we're doing. And I just didn't think it was necessary to essentially bring Nelson Peltz onto the board, nor did the board feel that, given the fact that he didn't bring any new ideas and he wasn't going to have an impact on the company that we've deemed was going to be positive.

15:08Anything, there was a belief that it could be a distraction. All right. You think that's a full story? It's hard for me to think of anything here that a logical answer is to say what value added Nelson Peltz will bring to the table. There's zero industry expertise. And if anything, you have a big personality, which, you know, Disney is a very conservative and quiet company. They do not like people, you know, going out in the press every day and talking about what's going on. I mean, who knows if he was in board meetings, what he would be saying in the public, you know, that's a loose cannon. And I think if anything in that campaign certainly only reinforced that sentiment.

15:45So I have a really difficult time seeing, thinking about what would be different if he was on the board, you know, at this point. I've yet to think of anything in this whole process other than Nelson really wanted it. And yet that's that's really the mystery here. I mean, at least to me, it's that if it wouldn't have made much of a difference if he were allowed on, why risk the ugly battle? Why risk the brand equity, you know, using your own Disney characters in this battle? Good night. I mean, the stakes seemed inordinately high. If all it was was he wouldn't bring much to the table. It's not bringing ideas to the table.

16:21And then it's a detriment to distraction from the company at a time when they were coming out of crisis mode there. And if you're running a board, you don't want disharmony on the board. Succession was a main thing. So is this person, do you want him really having a say in who the next leader of this company is? It could lead to him asking for more seats on the board. You know, once you start something, that opens a bigger door. You don't want to open that door on the board. And that, I think, is a wise tactic for Disney to have taken in that sense. So just let them in, you know, that also means somebody has to go.

16:54So someone you presumably like already. So again, you're maybe even detracting value from your board. So I think there are negative consequences to that other than, well, if he's one seat or two seats, you know, which is what they were asking for. Jay Rusulo, the former CFO of Disney was also running. Team Nelson was the two of them. So that's two seats they were kind of looking for there. That's, you know, could be a real detriment. And you're looking to, again, you don't want to have a lot of noise at a company that way. That's another headache that adds no value. You might want to spend the time and the money to really make sure that doesn't happen.

17:28Anyone else sense that maybe some egos may be at play? I'll tell you what, let's take a moment for a short break. Coming up, we're going to take a closer look at the Bob of it all and whether longtime Disney CEO Bob Iger is going to stick it out for another term. Stay with us.

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20:13Hey, welcome back to Business Wars. Our guest is Sean McNulty. He's author of The Wake Up, a newsletter from The Ankler covering Hollywood and the media industry. Sean, we have to talk about Bob versus Bob because this really catalyzed the first proxy battle. Bob Iger decided to step down as CEO of Disney in 2020. Somewhat good timing on his part, whether he knew it or not. What was the industry buzz surrounding that move at the time? Did folks really believe Iger would actually hand over the reins? There are still a lot of questions we hear over four years later to this activity that happened here in February 2020.

20:49Of course, pre-COVID, Bob Iger had been at the company, I guess we're talking 16 years, for 15 years at that point. And it happened really fast. And Bob Iger famously, succession's been even before the Chapek era of this, had been a problem. He extended his contract numerous times. So all of a sudden to be doing that and then be like, yep, I'm leaving. I'm going to give the keys to Bob Chapek. And, you know, that's thank you very much. You know, it was very abrupt. And everybody's like, what did he just do? But the thing is, he wasn't leaving. He was becoming executive chairman and he wanted to stay in charge of creative.

21:27So it was this kind of faux thing that was going on in that. Yes, he wouldn't be CEO, but he was never he was never leaving the picture at Disney. So that was even more baffling in the sense that, you know, how's this all going to work was really the question as well. So on top of that, again, this all happened to the backdrop of COVID and the parks shutting down and movie theaters going dark. You know, so it was just a tremendous amount of chaos going on. And you'd think you'd want a steady hand at that time. Not the best time to be transitioning leadership at a global pandemic on the doorstep there.

22:00So that even added more to it. And I don't know that anybody has ever gotten a real answer as to what the thinking was there exactly. Let's talk about the decision to name Bob Chapek as Iger's successor. I mean, you know, on paper and in some interviews, I mean, Chapek was like the foil to Iger. The two couldn't be more different. And I wonder, I mean, if you're Bob Chapek, I mean, looking back, you got to be thinking, wow, how fair was that? And how do you see it? I think it's a relationship that turned. I mean, Bob Chapek was there for over 20 years. This wasn't like some guy they brought in off the street or just had come in three or four years ago.

22:34So they worked side by side for, you know, for many, many years. And by all accounts, had a good relationship. Bob was promoted throughout his tenure. He was in home entertainment for his first spell there, moved over, you know, to consumer products and then moved up to run the theme parks ever since 2015. So until this era, he'd been running theme parks for five years, a rather large business at Disney. So, yes, Iger and Chapek knew each other quite well. And then, you know, the good news, you know, Bob Chapek, we're giving you the CEO role. But I'm not leaving. So that's not really instilling confidence.

Read the full transcript

23:07And typically the CEO role at many companies, including Disney, reports into the board. Iger wanted Chapek to report into him still. So then it's like, well, what's changing here? The compromise they reached was that Chapek would report into the board and into Bob Iger and reporting into two people is always tenuous at best and often a disaster, which is what it turned out to be. So let's stop down for just a moment because here's what I'm just throw out the unspoken. This is the elephant in the room, it seems to me. No one really knows why Bob Iger decided that he wanted to walk away when he did.

23:41It's still the stuff of speculation, as you were saying earlier. And then Chapek comes in and Disney is flailing. Do you think Iger saw something coming and in a way threw Chapek under the bus? That's the probably popular narrative, I think that exists out there. And that's just, you know, it's very external. But if you're looking on paper and looking at what happened in the end of, you know, Iger then returning. So he can be the hero in a way. Exactly. That's the way it worked out. So one could really make that argument. And there's very little evidence you'd have against that. Now, did Chapek screw up a lot of things when he was there?

24:17Yeah. So to be fair, he had his own problems as a CEO. I will caveat that, but you could definitely paint that narrative. And again, as we said, Iger left, it's February, 2020. He saw what was there, but park in Shanghai, he saw exactly what was happening overseas. You know, again, this is all speculation. So to be fair about that, but you could say that fast forwarded whatever thing he was thinking into that mode and he gets to stay around and do what he likes to do is to run the creative work on the movies or read scripts and famously gives notes on every project and all this kind of thing. And then Bob Chapek did not help himself out during his tenure, but he was also set up to fail.

24:56But I think we're getting at the heart of something that perhaps is lost a lot of times when we hear about these proxy wars. So much of it comes down to these human dimensions. And I want to ask you about something you said on the Ankler podcast. You and your co-hosts were talking about the mythologization of CEOs, especially in the media. Can you break down what you meant by that and share how that shows up in this Bob Iger succession narrative as you see it? 100%. I mean, you know, Bob Iger is seen as and arguably is one of the best CEOs Hollywood has had in its tenure. You remember when he came in in 2005, what that company was?

25:30It had just come off of a very, very tumultuous period with Michael Eisner, you know, in the battle with the board for three years where Iger was COO. He was front row seat to all of that. And he made massive big bets. I mean, look, Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar, these were not things at the time where like, oh, that, you know, these are major, major multibillion dollar bets that he made that paid off. And the strategy paid off for his first, you know, 10 years of his tenure there. The transition to streaming was much bumpier. And that was the kind of the second half of this tenure here. So there is that cult of Iger when you have your first 10 years is that's not a bad track record.

26:07You know, Marvel, the Star Wars, the Pixar. I mean, this was a combination of a lot of factors that worked. So he seemed like he had the magic sauce, you know, at that point. And once you have, and once you're perceived that way, you want to keep that. The one thing I could never do was land the plane on who's ever going to succeed him. And this is the narrative we're still talking about here as we begin 2025. But, you know, Hollywood has a grand history of this. I mean, go back to Jack Warner, the top of the business at the start of Hollywood here. Moguls and CEOs have defined the mythology behind the scenes.

26:41You can go back to the wars for Paramount with Summer Redstone and Barry Diller, which was well-documented on this podcast that, you know, there's been these are larger than left characters. Bob is much more reserved than those kinds of things, but he's really the only executive left of that ilk. What is the latest on Bob Iger's succession? I mean, you think he's going to stick around for another term as CEO or maybe as creative director once his contract ends in 2026? If Bob Iger sticks around to 2027, 2028, I really can't even imagine the response. I think he's learned the lesson. He can't do what he did last time and stick around in that creative role that you just mentioned.

27:19Back to the image part of it. This is important for him to end his narrative. And if he can't do that, that will forever stick with him and his story. It'll be the guy who built Disney, you know, into its modern self and, you know, acquired Fox, but he couldn't leave the company. He couldn't leave the party. You don't want to be that guy. You know, he's more painfully aware of that. Look, I'm not saying anything new. This was valid in 2020. What happened there, that was bundled about as badly as you could do of a power transfer, whether that was a, I mean, picking the wrong person or, you know, that's debatable, but clearly, you know, it didn't work out.

27:58be sticking around in that role, which was a disaster. You can't be the boss and leave. He kept his office. He didn't even leave the CEO office that he had. What kind of message did that send? Not even just send to Bob Chapek, sends to the staff, sends to everybody else. It's like, is this guy still working here? I mean, think about it. If your boss said they were leaving and then you saw them every day on the lot, it's like, well, I thought you left the company. And it's so he's, you know, learned that lesson of it. So I don't see him staying around to any other when he's leaving. He has to be out.

28:33But then if not, if not, Iger, then who? I mean, Wall Street Journal was that they were talking about Wall Street Journal article had something on the possibility of the CEO of E.A., Andrew Wilson, former Morgan Stanley CEO, James Gorman, although that's, you know, entertainment, former Morgan Stanley CEO. But I think Gorman's also joining Disney's board. So I guess the bigger question is, what does Disney without Bob Iger look like when you squint real hard? If you ask my colleague Richard Rushfield at the Anchor, he will tell you that the big plan for Iger is to make a deal with Apple. But that is, out there, the ether.

29:13I have my own questions about that, but Iger's been, back to the mythology of Bob Iger, he's a dealmaker. That was what really the definition of his tenure were four major deals, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, and Fox. If he can pull off this one last deal to seal Disney's future under a larger tech company, when the tech companies are taking over Hollywood and what's the match. That is one theory that's out there. They recently just announced that the decision won't even be made until essentially he has one year left of the company. Now that is raising a lot of eyebrows because that leaves a good 14-month window there.

29:55Maybe there's a deal that's going to go on to China. Why aren't they naming a CEO in that time? Well, that leaves a large window to get another kind of deal done for Disney. Maybe they won't have a CEO at that time is certainly a thought that's out there in the town. We're going to talk about Disney's next act as this episode of Business Wars continues. But first, another break. When we come back, we'll dive deeper into the future of Disney and some other legacy media studios. Stick around.

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32:33Welcome back. Sean McNulty hosts the Ankler podcast where he and his co-hosts break down the latest media industry trends and topics to make sense of the news. Let's talk numbers here, Sean. We know that Disney had their quarterly earnings call recently. What stood out to you the most about how things are going? This was a good quarter. This is the end of their fiscal year 2024. A lot of things have turned around. They're at a streaming business profit of$253 million, which is up from a loss of$150 million a year ago at this time. It's even from a loss of about$20 million back in the second quarter.

33:06So Iger had made a promise that streaming would be profitable by this quarter, and it was, and it will be going forward. Price hikes are a big narrative here at Disney, and as to what's turned this around is they've been charging more. that has gotten to them this place where, you know, this business is no longer a sinkhole. This has a future, you know, that is a big accomplishment to be lauded. It is offsetting the decline in the linear business, which is stark. I mean, you look at the annual rate of decline due to cord cutting for the cable business, it's losing about 7 % of their subscribers a year.

33:36Other than that, the movie business did very, very well. Again, movies, as my colleague at The Anker says, it's a business of hits and they had, you know, the two biggest this year and Inside Out 2 and Deadpool and Wolverine. Alien was another big hit for them. So last year was a disaster with the Haunted Mansion and Indiana Jones. Theme parks are doing, you know, okay, the kind of flat-ish at this point. And ESPN is a real big question in terms of, you know, transitioning that business off of the cable TV bundle into a direct-to-consumer world, which will be happening in, you know, about a year from now, August, September of 2025.

34:13five. Not a lot of details yet, but that is a big endeavor for Iger to have to pull off here. So there's a lot of good signs that there's stability. The stock price is back to almost where it was, where Nelson Peltz sold at after his campaign failed for a board seat. So there's some stock growth going on, not to the heights that it once had, but it's no longer in the basement in the 80s. It's probably more up toward about 110, 115. Well, but despite all the profitability that Disney's happy to talk about. There've been lots of layoffs in the entertainment industry. A few months back, we had your Ankler colleague Elaine Lowe on the show to talk about the ones impacting TV, and Disney wasn't spared here.

34:54And in 2023, they pledged to cut nearly 8 ,000 jobs, and they seem to be following through with it. Is that part of what's contributing to the bottom line profits here, that they're just basically cutting down on expense, and that's that's making them look better to Wall Street. It's definitely been part of the success. Again, a lot of the growth here, you're talking year over year, right? So even the cuts were last year, you know, you're seeing the effects of it this year. So your comps are a lot better this year on an appearance level. So they just, again, consolidated their TV studio business further this summer.

35:28So this is, again, summer of 2024 here, still figuring out the TV studio business. When they bought Fox, they inherited massive, massive TV assets, and they really kept a lot of them organizationally intact, where you had a lot of divisions doing kind of the same thing of developing and producing and pitching TV shows around town. And they never really integrated that. So they finally did that this summer, which, again, resulted in some more layoffs. They had layoffs at Pixar back at the top of the summer. So, yeah, this is still ongoing here. This isn't over, even though the massive part of those numbers you mentioned of 7 ,500, 8 ,000 people were, you know, during last year, 2023, this is still in effect this year.

36:10And that's, it's not great for morale, really. So this will be ongoing narrative going on at the company for sure. So let's step back then from Disney for just a moment. If you look at the pyramid right now in Hollywood, how does Disney compare with its rival studios? Who's at the top of the pyramid? That sort of thing. If we're including the streaming-only companies, Netflix is certainly arguably at the top in that sense of the entertainment business. Disney is a much more sprawling company in terms of its assets and its brands, but Netflix is making great strides, throwing up an immense amount of profit at this point.

36:47From a market cap point of view, their stock is a year through the roof at this point. So that probably gives them an advantage in that sense. But Disney has succeeded in becoming a global player in streaming. And that's really the question of Hollywood right now is who's going to kind of make the leap is a big term of all these companies. You got Paramount, you got Warner Brothers Discovery, you have, of course, Amazon, Apple, Disney, Netflix. The thinking is there's about three or four of these brands and businesses that make it at this point. Disney is amongst those brands that are in 150 countries with Disney Plus.

37:18So it's very large scale there. Netflix, of course, is the bigger one. Amazon has also succeeded in becoming a global company in that route. So those are probably your top three right there. And I'd say Disney is probably one or two in that list. Yeah, and below those two or three at the top, we've seen the merger of Paramount Global and Skydance this year. A few years back, we had the Warner Discovery merger. And still, we have some legacy studios that are continuing to struggle. I guess it makes you wonder how media consolidation affects the health of these companies. And I wonder what the consolidation of studios that we've seen already, how that's going to affect the industry long term.

37:57What do you think? The general consensus among most people, including myself, is, you know, the next 18 to 24 months will have a pretty large scale rate of change still ahead. And this is coming off of a very busy time, as you said. Warbo's Discovery was only about two and a half years ago that that happened. And as you mentioned, Paramount had a very large and public auction this year, essentially, and that's going to close probably somewhere in the spring of next year. And they've already pledged to cut or to find cost savings of$1.5 billion from Paramount. So there's going to be some major changes there.

38:30The main questions at this point, I mean, World Brothers Discovery is probably your biggest X factor at this point that everybody's looking at. When you say the biggest X factor, what do you mean? Biggest X factor for dealmaking, something's going to happen with this company. in that sense. That is the general consensus. They have a business that is shrinking. They don't have a broadcast TV network, which hurts them significantly. Their profits from the cable business continually shrink it to a large degree, quarter over quarter and year over year. And there's no real solve here for that. They essentially combined one company which had a core cable business with another company that was a core cable business.

39:07And that business is in secular decline. So they need to find an answer. They have not grown revenue since this deal happened in 2022. So it's becoming a smaller company. The revenues are going down. Something has to give here. They've been trying to get back to that global stage. They are the slowest to get there. They still have a ways to go. They have another two years before they're really going to be anywhere near considered a global streaming service. So there's just a lot of things at play there that a lot of people just think that something has to happen here. And we're waiting to see what that may be.

39:41You know, it seems like streaming has been the focus for a lot of these media companies. I mean, so much of the focus right now, so much of the talk. And I'm curious how much longer that's going to be the thing or whether we're going to see another shift, another investment focus for some of these media companies. What do you think? Again, you got to follow the consumer and the technology. And this is, you know, yes, It is moving to streaming. It's increasingly moving to streaming. The cord cutting has gotten this bad. Everybody knows this, but nobody has any answers. So streaming, they have to make work.

40:11The cable TV bundle was the greatest business model ever created in entertainment, and it's not going to be repeated. I mean, as good as streaming is going to get, it's never going to be that model where you had over 100 million people in America paying you a monthly fee for things they did not watch. So that streaming is a la carte. They're trying to rebundle this, and that's kind of what you're with to answer your question, What the plan is here is to rebundle, but you're never going to have that. The reason the cable bundle worked, because that was the only way to get it. Now it's streaming.

40:39It's like, you're not going to put that back in the bottle. So that is a bit of a problem. But the math is starting to work on streaming. And that's what we're seeing right now here is 2024 is ending out, is that you are finally seeing again the profit at Disney. WBD had a profit in Q3 as well. Even Paramount turned a little bit of a profit. I mean, the profits that the cable business throws off for these companies, you're talking, you know,$2 billion,$3 billion a quarter. So streaming is not doing anywhere near that. And that's what it has to get to. Will it get there? That's a, you know, the million, the billion dollar question in Hollywood at this point.

41:11You know, we've come a long way from where we started here. You know, we were talking about a proxy war. It seems old fashion, right? Yeah, it does, doesn't it? But I don't know. But this is the point though. What does Nelson Peltz know about anything we just talked about? He has zero experience in any of I'm talking about. So again, value added. Why would you want this person on the board? There's nothing going to happen here that he's going to affect, be able to give you any leg up in any of this kind of thing. So again, I am with Bob Iger when he's like, we saw no value in this and I have to agree with him.

41:42Well, then again, Nelson Peltz might've given a few other billionaires some ideas. I wonder if we're not going to see, if we've seen the end of the proxy Wars when it comes to Disney? What do you think? It's a good question. I think no one looked at Nelson Peltz of that set and said, yeah, I want my image to be like that. I don't think anybody really sat there. Nelson loves that spotlight. Some people in this world do not want to have anything to do with it. You know, he's talked about Paramount and Larry Ellison. You still haven't seen him talking about this Paramount deal, even though he bought the company.

42:09Like he is, you know, it's David Ellison. He's the face of this, his son, you know, so they're varying points of view on that. So I don't think at this point, and Disney stock price has also rebounded. So if Disney comes back down, there's a quote from Nelson Peltz just this month here in November. He said, if the stock goes back to the 80s, you guys, I'll be back, I promise. So maybe we have not heard the last of Nelson Peltz at Disney. Sean McNulty is the host of the Ankler podcast and author of The Wake Up, an online newsletter covering the business of Hollywood. You can subscribe and check out the podcast at the ankler.com.

42:41Sean, thanks so much for joining us on Business Wars. It's been great to talk with you. Really enjoyed it. Coming up on Business Wars, the holidays are in full swing, so we're finding out how consumers are shopping this season and the impact social media sites like TikTok have had on holiday gifting habits. Don't miss it.

43:04I'm your host, David Brown. Kelly Kyle produced this episode. Peter Arcuni is our senior interview producer. Our producers are Emily Frost and Grant Rutter. Our audio engineer is Sergio Enriquez. Our managing producer is Desi Blaylock. Our senior managing producer is Callum Plews. Our senior producers are Karen Lowe and Dave Schilling. Our executive producers are Jenny Lauer-Beckman and Marshall Louis for Wondery.

43:37How hard is it to kill a planet? Maybe all it takes is a little drilling, some mining, and a whole lot of carbon pumped into the atmosphere. When you see what's left, it starts to look like a crime scene. Are we really safe? Is our water safe? You destroyed our town. And crimes like that, they don't just happen. We call things accidents. There is no accident. This was 100 % preventable. They're the result of choices by people. ruthless oil tycoons, corrupt politicians, even organized crime. These are the stories we need to be telling about our changing planet. Stories of scams, murders, and cover-ups that are about us and the things we're doing to either protect the Earth or destroy it.

44:22Follow Lawless Planet on the Wondery app or wherever you get your podcasts. You can listen to new episodes of Lawless Planet early and ad-free right now by joining Wondery Plus in the Wondery app, Apple Podcasts, or Spotify.

From the publisher

Bob Iger has held the keys to the Disney castle since 2005. The last time this larger-than-life CEO tried to leave, an entire proxy battle broke out under the nose of his successor. Now, with Iger’s contract up in 2026, the entertainment industry (and Wall Street) are wondering who — and what — will come next. Sean McNulty, co-host of The Ankler Podcast, joins David to break down Disney’s next steps, and whether Iger can finally land the plane on his successor. 

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