1. Podcasts
  2. CNN NewsNight with Abby Phillip
  3. Trump Defends Promise to Give Away $5K if GOP Wins
CNN NewsNight with Abby Phillip

11 Sep 2026 · 47m · 17 chapters

Episode artwork

Trump Defends Promise to Give Away $5K if GOP Wins

In short

The episode discusses Donald Trump’s midterm pitch promising $5,000 checks to Americans if Republicans keep control, critics’ claims it’s a “bribe” and fiscally impossible, and how that fits broader campaign messaging. It also covers J.D. Vance’s reported doubts about Iran war strategy and Republicans’ 9/11-era rhetoric linking Democrats to terrorism/Islamism.

Guest backgrounds

Noah Rothman (commentator), Tara Setmeyer (commentator), Elizabeth Pipko (commentator), Joe Cunningham (political commentator), Geraldo Rivera (journalist/TV host).

Key claims

Trump’s $5,000 plan lacks funding details, would be inflationary, and resembles past unfulfilled “dividend” promises. Panelists argue it’s redistribution-for-votes and undermines “anti-socialism” messaging. Vance is portrayed as privately questioning war strategy while publicly supporting it. Ted Cruz’s remarks are framed as targeting “Islamism”/Muslims around 9/11.

Notable examples

Trump’s prior “dividend” to military members (about $1,776); COVID-era $2,000 stimulus; DOGE/tariff “checks” that didn’t materialize; gas-price comparisons and Iran war approval figures; Hassan Piker/9/11 anniversary controversy.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes.

Chapters

2:29

Trump's $5K Check Proposal

Discussion on Trump's proposal to give $5,000 checks if Republicans win.

“Tonight, it's being called a$1 trillion bribe.”
3:00

Skepticism Over Feasibility

Exploring skepticism from aides and media about the proposal's details.

“that many of Trump's top aides were blindsided by his gambit, and they were forced to scramble today to backfill the proposal with specifics.”
3:17

Debating Economic Reality

Discussion on the economic implications of Trump's promise and the potential sources of funding.

“If you have the money, why not give it now?”
6:12

Historical Comparisons and Critique

Comparisons to past policies and critique of Trump's approach to economic promises.

“If they believed it, they thought it would create inflation, which they don't want.”
8:06

Reactions to Trump's Political Strategy

Analyzing reactions to Trump's methods and their implications for voters.

“You're giving phones away to poor folks.”
8:47

Fiscal Responsibility Debate

Debate over fiscal responsibility and the implications of redistribution in Trump's proposal.

“And he knows that if he's like, OK, I'm going to try and sell it because he's a professional con artist.”
14:01

Debate Over Trump's $5000 Promise

Analyzing the implications of Trump's proposal to give $5,000 to Americans.

“You can raise taxes, which he's not going to do, unlike Democrats.”
18:53

Trump's Campaign Strategy and Midterm Elections

Discussion on Trump’s midterm strategy and his focus on blocking Democrats.

“Here's how the president responded when he was pressed on his campaign strategy this fall with his legacy on the line.”
24:42

Voter Sentiment and Political Strategy

Exploring voter sentiment regarding Trump’s policies and campaigning.

“Everyone here is not everyone, but most of the conversation here is assuming that Donald Trump is a strategic, rational actor.”
28:00

Frustrations of the American People

Discussion of various frustrations faced by American citizens today.

“We were tired of seeing our factories close.”
Show all 17 chapters
28:45

Political Landscape for 2028

Analysis of upcoming political figures and the shifting political landscape.

“Look, I think a lot of what we're hearing is really just talk because people are very curious about what's happening in 28.”
29:39

J.D. Vance's Political Strategy

Exploration of J.D. Vance's evolving positions and their implications.

“And he's been hearing from them about munitions shortfalls, about how difficult the exit strategy is going to be in Iran, about how it positions the United States to face our other threats.”
31:08

The Chameleon: J.D. Vance

Examination of J.D. Vance's changing political identity and alliances.

“And he's also, he can put a speech together in a way that a lot of people can't.”
35:13

Republicans and Islam in Politics

Discussion on the portrayal of Islam and Muslim Americans in political rhetoric.

“Starting a business can seem like a daunting task, unless you have a partner like Shopify.”
35:41

Republicans and Islam in Politics

Discussion on the portrayal of Islam and Muslim Americans in political rhetoric.

“Tonight, on the eve of the 25th anniversary of 9-11, Republicans use their midterm convention platform, to try to tie some Democrats to terrorist groups.”
42:00

Discussion on Voter Perspectives and GOP Strategies

The panel discusses how GOP strategies may not align with voter concerns, focusing on economic issues versus culture wars.

“So the voters in New York saw through it.”
44:24

Viewer Feedback and Political Commentary

Panelists react to viewer feedback highlighting GOP tactics and their impact on elections, emphasizing missed opportunities for addressing real issues.

“Here's one that says, the GOP creates wedge issues and culture wars to distract from helping the poor and middle class.”
A man walking through an airport, asking his phone a question

Ask about this episode

Get the gist, explore an idea or ask about something said.

Claude

On CNN NewsNight with Abby Phillip, what are the key points of this episode?

Searching your listening

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Shaq here. What's it like to buy a car from Carvana 100 % online and get it delivered to your door? Let me tell you. Your car is here, Mr. Shaq. Thank you, Mr. Carvana guy. Can't wait to take it for a spin. Only the best for you, Mr. Shaq. Hey, have you always been so big, tall, and handsome? Not always. I was 6 '10 once. Seven days to love it or return it, Mr. Shaq. Not that I would. You never do. No, I never do. So buy your car today on Carvana. Delivery fees may apply. See our seven-day return policy at caravana.com. Starting a business can seem like a daunting task, unless you have a partner like Shopify.

0:35They have the tools you need to start and grow your business. From designing a website, to marketing, to selling and beyond, Shopify can help with everything you need. There's a reason millions of companies like Mattel, Heinz, and Allbirds continue to trust and use them. With Shopify on your side, turn your big business idea into... Sign up for your$1 per month trial at shopify.com slash special offer. Tonight, Donald Trump turns the midterms into a game show. If the Republicans win, I will issue a dividend for$5 ,000. The president plays let's make a deal with cash he doesn't have. And his allies are left holding the bag.

1:17Trump isn't saying that if we win, we'll do this. He's saying we'll be in a position to do this. Plus, as the Republican speaker plays up November. We are facing the most important midterm election that has ever been. The Republican president plays it down. Your whole legacy is on the line. It's never as important. Look, I'm campaigning for other people. Also, will Republicans keep the Veep? It's pretty cool to hear a crowd that is this fired up. Chant your name. J.D. Vance looks to take the baton, as new reporting suggests he's questioning the war strategy. And on the eve of 9-11's 25th anniversary, the right likens the left to terrorists.

1:56Communists and Islamists coming together and sweeping over the Democrat Party. Live at the table, Noah Rothman, Tara Setmeyer, Elizabeth Pipko, Joe Cunningham, and Geraldo Rivera. Americans with different perspectives aren't talking to each other, but here they do.

2:28Good evening. I'm Abby Phillip in New York. Tonight, it's being called a$1 trillion bribe. In his latest pitch to voters, Donald Trump says, vote Republican in the midterms, and if the GOP maintains its majority, each of the roughly 270 million adults in the United States will receive a$5 ,000 check. Now, as always with these gimmicks, the details were few, and Trump didn't spell out where the money would come from or how the program would even be administered. On top of that, CNN reports that many of Trump's top aides were blindsided by his gambit, and they were forced to scramble today to backfill the proposal with specifics.

3:08Given that Republicans control both chambers of Congress, the White House, even Fox News and Laura Ingraham offered her skepticism. Why not just give the money now? If you have the money, why not give it now? Because they can't, I'll tell you what, because the Democrats can't do it. Because with them, it's negative growth. With us, it's so positive. So we're taking in$21 trillion. No country's ever taken in anywhere near that. It's four or five times higher than the next. All because of that beautiful word that you and I love more than most others, tariffs. Now, if this whole stunt sounds familiar to you, that's because it is.

3:47Since taking office, Trump has repeatedly promised Americans cash in the form of rebates and dividends that never materialized. There's even under consideration a new concept where we give 20 percent of the Doge savings to American citizens and 20 % goes to paying down debt. I love it. A 20 % dividend, so to speak. There could be a distribution or a dividend to the people of our country. We're thinking maybe$1 ,000 to$2 ,000. I'll be giving back$2 ,000 or so to middle-income people, low-income people, everybody but the rich. It'll be next year sometime. Probably in the middle of next year, a little bit later than that.

4:29We will be able to make a very substantial dividend to the people of our country. I believe we can do that without Congress. You can promise some Americans we'll get those checks? Oh, yeah, sure. I can do that. I haven't made the commitment yet, but I may make the commitment. Spoiler alert, it didn't happen. Before we open it up to the table here, we invite you at home to join our debate. Go to CNN.com slash Abby Way in there. We'll get to some of your comments as we go throughout the show. So this$1.3 trillion promise from the president, Noah, is just one of many of these things that he does.

5:05But it's also particularly amusing, frankly, when they're arguing against socialism. But then he also is in the very same breath arguing to redistribute money that he illegally took from the American people in the form of what he's calling a dividend. Kind of muddies the message, doesn't it? Kind of a little bit. Yeah, this is horrific policy if it were to happen, and it's not going to happen. But I don't even think it's especially savvy politics. So obviously, it's not a dividend. There has been no windfall. We're$40 trillion in debt. This fiscal year's federal budget deficit may even exceed$2 trillion.

5:41It'll at least get really close. We're almost paying$1 trillion on the interest on the debt. That's non-discretionary spending. We have to spend it every year. And that's the sort of thing that's eating up our budget. So if you're going to say, listen, we're going to spend all this money, it's$21 trillion. I don't know where you got that number. It took it about$300 billion from tariffs. Ten times that would cover this benefit. If it happened, it would be extraordinary inflationary. People know that. We lived through 10 years of stimulating this economy and experiencing the inflationary effect as a result.

6:09So the bad politics of it are people don't really believe it. If they believed it, they thought it would create inflation, which they don't want. And now the administration is going to have to spend the next several weeks trying to make sense of this thing that people don't really believe, don't really want. And it basically means we give up. we don't really know how to deal with affordability. We're just going to give you taxpayer money. It kind of seems, it really suggests that they're kind of unserious about this whole thing. And I do have to wonder whether now that they have to explain how this is all going to work, the American people are like, are these people even governing?

6:42Do they understand how any of this works? Well, clearly I'm on my own here tonight and I'm looking forward to it. Look, I don't think it's fair to say that this was announced yesterday yesterday and that all of a sudden we know that it's not going to work, it's not going to happen, or the American people feel any kind of way about it, unless there's polling that I'm not aware of that was revealed last night. I don't think we know how the public feels about it. I don't think we know if it's possible. I think the statements have been greatly exaggerated. I think we know what the president was talking about.

7:09The White House has a page dedicated to investments in our country. It shows several trillions of dollars and what he thinks he's going to be able to bring in and what he wants to give back to the American people. And I think it's almost comical to argue that he both sprung this on people without anyone knowing it and then to play clips about the fact that he's actually said for two years now that he wants to be able to get this money and give it to the American public. But how does this, I mean, how does it work? I'm not the president. I'm not going to be the one doing it. How does it work? I mean, even if you took his investment number seriously, when companies invest in the United States, they're not pouring money into the Treasury.

7:45They're building factories. They're creating jobs. They're spending, they're doing capital expenditures. It's not just cash. No, I mean, you and I understand how this works. And the average American understands that the president just can't cut dividend checks to people. I'm old enough to remember when Republicans, when I used to be a Republican, the Republicans went after Obama for Obama phones. Remember that whole thing? It's a socialist program. You're giving phones away to poor folks. It was a whole thing. Republicans who were allegedly fiscal conservatives, their heads exploded when this happened.

8:16And if you the reporting today, if that's true, a lot of people were thrown off guard. They're like, I'm sorry, what? Where did this come from? It's another one of these fantasies that Donald Trump's make that Donald Trump makes up in his head. Just like he said, I feel like I'm a billionaire. I feel like I'm worth this much. I feel like I mean, yes, he is. He's a billionaire. He's also made four billion dollars since he's been president. I'm talking about back in the day when he was a billionaire, when he would say what his net worth was. It was like what I feel. So, you know, it's ridiculous.

8:47He is. It's desperate. And he knows that if he's like, OK, I'm going to try and sell it because he's a professional con artist. That's how he got himself elected twice. So here's the next thing. He's going back to the old playbook. How can I con people this time? Oh, I'm going to give you guys five thousand dollars. Please vote for us. You can't. But we can't we can't do it now. I feel like Democrats are going to a bulk at this. Last time he did this was in covid. He was saying we need two thousand dollars. The Republicans said no. And who got it done for him? He said he doesn't need Congress.

9:13Joe Biden got that stimulus through in 2021. But, Noah, he said he doesn't need Congress. In the interviews tonight when he was asked for more detail about this, he's like, I don't think I know. People say I don't even need Congress. I don't need to do this. I don't think that's true because he also said he can't get it done without having both houses of Congress. He didn't have Congress for the warrior dividend, where a couple of years ago, you may recall, He gave$1 ,776 to every member of the United States military from the rank of colonel and naval captain down. So it was criticized as being, you know, little, too little, you know, insultingly small.

9:51I think the real problem with that was that he took the money from another Toronto company. Right. It has to be appropriated and authorized. For relocation for military families. And then he used it to do this 1776. I agree. So that was the real issue with that. It's a distinction, but it's not a difference. He gave a dividend that was not particularly rich or lucrative, but he gave every ranking. And it was criticized then, kind of sounded the same language, and the total bill was$2.6 billion. So by orders of magnitude, this was a tiny little thing. This huge, what he's planning now, reminds me of Tammany Hall in New York when corrupt people used to walk around, walk around cash, used to buy boats.

10:40I mean, it really has that kind of... Let me just play one thing for you, Joe, before you jump in, because Trump was asked tonight on Fox News about this, and he described it as entrepreneurship. Listen. We're making, we're taking in money, even like TikTok. We got a fee, me, I got a fee for our country,$10 billion. In Intel, I made, I didn't buy. I said, if I'm going to help you, meaning if the country is going to help you, I want 10 % of the company. They're calling that MAGA socialism in the New York Times. You know what it is? It's real entrepreneurship. That's really what it is. You know, I see that.

11:24Oh, some people say, and that's communism. It's not communism. It's actually good entrepreneurship. Yeah, right. I mean, Bernie Sanders is happy because he had the 10 % idea. Bernie Sanders wants to take it from other Americans. Well, no, no, no. Bernie, the whole idea of him taking a stake in companies like Intel, that was Bernie's idea first. And Bernie wants to take some wealthy Americans. Republicans tore that apart as socialism. The actual very same thing that Trump is doing is the thing that Bernie proposed, which is why when Trump did it, Bernie put out a statement saying, hey, we've been asking for you to do this, and thank you for doing it.

11:59So again, money's the message, just a little bit going into the midterms. I think it completely undermines the credibility, and I think we can probably mostly agree that no one should be expecting a$5 ,000 check anytime soon. Between the Doge check that never came, the tariff check that never came, the$5 ,000 check, I'm starting to feel like George Costanza off Seinfeld, I can buy my fake house in the Hamptons with all this fake money, you know? Well, Donald Trump doesn't have a problem spending everybody else's money, And so that's something that, again, as someone who spent almost 30 years in the Republican Party on those battles about fiscal responsibility and on the side of when people were saying that, oh, my gosh, if you, you know, we can't have school lunch programs.

12:39We've got to cut those. We have to cut this and cut that. And then you've got a Republican Party now that is sitting back and letting Trump bankrupt this country while he enriches himself. Yeah, he's a billionaire off the backs of the American people. And so are his family and his children. and they're all his coronies. So he can't have it both ways. You can't lose sight of the inherent dishonesty. Oh, of course. This is clearly a bribe. No kidding. This is a quid pro quo. Like everything Trump does. I'm going to give you this if you vote for me. Except that it's not going to happen, which actually makes it worse, right?

13:12What? It would be a bribe, and you might be mad about that, but it's sort of an enticement that he knows is never coming. I'm sorry I don't believe that. I know we can argue this because everyone here hates Donald Trump, but I can't say it's... Where's the money going to come from, Elizabeth? He very clearly explained that people were going to bring in trillions of dollars into our country through investments. Tariff revenue. No, no, no. Okay, tariff revenue was$240 billion before it was struck down by the Supreme Court. A majority of that is supposed to be refunded. So how are we going to get to$1.3 trillion?

13:45Where's the math? First of all, many times in our country we give out money that we do not have. So I don't think it's... Oh, so we're going to deficit spend already. I didn't get to finish my thought. I'm saying if he believes, for example, we're in a$40 trillion deficit, correct? Everyone agrees that that's a really bad thing. Both Republicans and Democrats agree. There's only so much you can do. You can raise taxes, which he's not going to do, unlike Democrats. You can cut social programs, or you can try to grow yourself out of it. And that means possibly giving the American people$5 ,000 each to reinvest it into the country and try to outpace the debt.

14:19Are you worried about inflation at all? I'm worried about a lot of things. There's a lot of pros and there's a lot of cons. There's always pros and cons, but what's been going on before him hasn't worked either. So what's the difference between this and reparations? I'm just curious. Since you want to start redistributing money, since this is apparently a Republican thing now. Redistributing money. So let's redistribute money to people who didn't have the chance to invest. They don't have capital investments, redlining, all of the wrongs that were done. It is redistributionism. It's redistributionism.

14:45We don't pay a flat tax rate. If we did, then everybody would get$5 ,000. It would be a proportion of your tax rate. But because we have a progressive tax rate, it's redistributionism. I do love the outbreak of fiscal conservative prudence here. I do hope that we retain it when it's not politically convenient to do so. Yeah, I want to know what the fiscal or the philosophical objection that Democrats have to voting the Treasury for the base. I think it's actually a really important point. I think Democrats would actually make the argument that there is there are public goods, right, that the government should redistribute money in order to fund.

15:21And that is one argument to make, which is to say, look, you don't know when you're going to fall on hard times. You still deserve health care, whether you're rich or you're poor. But what Trump is saying here is basically, I'm just going to invent money because he's not even telling you where the money is coming from. It's not tariffs. And then I'm just going to hand it out in a blanket form to everyone in exchange for votes. Those are different things. We do have a bit of symmetry here, though. When we have the DSA saying that, yeah, we're going to deficit finance trillions and trillions of dollars of spending way more than what Donald Trump is promising.

15:54For what? For illusory promises of social services that never perform right. And we're just going to throw money at services that already fail. And, yeah, so what are they doing? They're trying to entice you to vote for them. They're giving you an incentive to vote for them with the public treasury. What's that difference? I think you're right. You are right. So when Republicans say socialism is going to ruin this country and then the president says, well, we're just going to hand you some checks. We're going to redistribute wealth. Let's be honest about it. The whole redistribution of wealth thing was a was anathema to everything that Adam Smith free market Republicans were believed in.

16:29And now the leader of the party who a cup to what are we two months from the election is literally saying, I'm going to I'm going to redistribute wealth to everyone if only if you vote for me or vote for us. Oh, me, because I should be on the ballot to remember. I'm on the ballot also. This is terrible messaging. It's desperate and people see right through it. And he's full of it. And so this is the Democrats should be able to run with this because it's the absurdity of it. The seediness of it's a Harald's point. It's so corrupt, and it lends to the theme of what's going on here, which is a lot of corruption.

17:04Donald Trump thinks that affordability is a hoax and cost doesn't matter, then why, and we're so prosperous, then why the hell do you need to give every American$5 ,000 to reinvest, which is not going to go far, and when inflation is as high as it is? None of this makes sense. Why wait? Why not give it to him now? Well, that's what Laurie Durham was asking him, the president, tonight. Next for us, the president is also downplaying the importance of the midterms at all. He's saying he'll just block Democrats on everything for two years. Plus, there's new reporting tonight that J.D. Vance sought blunt war assessments from top commanders, and the answers he got left him alarmed.

17:38We'll discuss that.

17:57and dining, bedroom furniture and mattresses, holiday decor, and way more. Now is the time to score big from seasonal finds to favorites you'll use all year long. Plus with Wayfair, enjoy fast and easy shipping with delivery and time for the holidays. Save up to 70 % off early Black Friday deals. Shop now at Wayfair.com. Wayfair, every style, every home. Still waiting in line? Again? That's time you'll never get back. Save time and money with Stamps.com. Over 4 million businesses have skipped the line with Stamps.com. Join them to save up to 90 % off carrier rates from your computer or phone right now.

18:36Print postage for certified mail, registered mail, and packages in seconds. Then schedule a pickup right from your home or office. For a limited time, go to Stamps.com and use code PODCAST for a free welcome gift. Taxes and fees apply.

18:52After throwing Republicans an extravagant midterm pep rally, President Trump is now downplaying the importance of November's elections. Here's how the president responded when he was pressed on his campaign strategy this fall with his legacy on the line. Are you going to campaign harder than you've ever campaigned in this month? The hardest I ever campaigned because I had to win was the last I took four months. No empty days, no empty hours. I made speeches all day. I didn't want to have fundraisers. I had the money. But isn't this just as important, Mr. President? I mean, your whole legacy is on the line.

19:29It's never as important. Look, I'm campaigning for other people. When you say my legacy, I'll be a block. I'll end up being a blocker. I'll block all their bad stuff for two years. It won't be the same, but I'll be a blocker. What can I tell you? And probably be able to make deals with them. You know, they're going to want some stuff, and we'll get... You'll make deals. I mean, it's one of those things. So it's not as dire. Maybe it is.

19:54Geraldo, not the answer that Laura was looking for there from the president, but it does kind of track with how he operates. He does prefer being in a kind of defensive posture. Is it hard for him to understand the stakes of this election? I don't like to speak for him, but all what I saw over the 40 odd years that we hung out was that he really does care about how people feel about him. And he's very charismatic and he's very effective as a campaigner and he's very effective that he campaigns his life as a campaign. So I think the only thing different in the political context is he has to go to wherever the politics leads him.

20:41But he lives that way. He lives in a campaign, a perpetual campaign, to get people to like him, to get people to think his brand is spectacular, that gold is great. But what about the rest of the Republican Party is the question. They wish he'd stay home. I think that they think that he's the only thing that matters. I mean, he told them a couple days ago, I'm going to campaign like hell for you. And then now he's saying, maybe not. I'll just, you know, Democrats, they're going to take over and I'll just block them. Those comments are very weird because they come at a time when his pack is unloading $50 million, reserving tons of ad time in these states.

21:21And it also comes at a time when Republicans are starting to feel just a little bit better about the environment. Not much, but some. Enthusiasm numbers are ticking back up. What's the point of this convention? But not to boost Republican enthusiasm, right? And all these states, especially at the Senate level, a lot of this landscape is Trump territory, states he won. So boosting Republican enthusiasm in those states, there's at least a theory of the case there. And then he comes out and he says, yeah, I guess I'm resigned to losing both chambers of Congress. It's not going to give anybody a lot of thrills.

21:49But it's just strange. It runs counter to what his actual strategy is. Maybe he was just talking. I mean, he's been here before, right? Right? I mean, in 2018, obviously, when Iran flipped the Trump district, Democrats retook the House. So he's no stranger to this. And obviously, Republicans still had the Senate at that time. It may be a bit different now if Democrats take the Senate. I don't know if it's going to happen or not. But, I mean, this isn't anything new for him. And every president in a midterm election suffers a lot of blowback in the House. I think this war has taken a lot of his zest.

22:22I think he's stepped into the Middle East. He didn't truly understand it. He didn't get advice from people who learned it, people who experienced combat. He fired them all. He didn't know that the rule of the Middle East is that the news always gets worse. And he doesn't know how the hell to get out of it. He's stuck. He was asked about what the actual midterm message is for Republicans. And here is what he said.

22:55I'm not sure if you could boil down why Republicans need to show up in the midterms. One sentence. Communism. They are trying to turn this country around and destroy our country. And you know, I used to say a lot, this will never be a socialist country. We will never be a country of socialism. And I was right. There could be a I mean, they're going for the big one. They skip socialism. These people are sick. so just because joe brought up the 2018 midterms it reminds me in the lead-up to that election it was all about the caravans coming across the border and it was all this like fear-based strategy but it wasn't enough to overcome the sort of the the natural urge of americans to throw the bums out abortion being a major issue and this is not exactly an affirmative message to voters here's what we can do for you.

23:49No, because Donald Trump, the state of the country is terrible. And the age old axiom of are you better off today than you were two years ago, four years ago? The answer is unequivocally no. And a lot of Donald Trump's own people feel that betrayal. Everything that he promised them has not come to fruition. In fact, it's gone the complete opposite. You have You have 77 farmers filing for bankruptcy a day. You have tariffs that are bankrupting small businesses. You've got Trump supporters that are going, wait a minute, what happened? We were supposed to get out of wars. Why are we still in this war?

24:26I need you to explain to me what the hell we're still doing here. You promised us we wouldn't do this. And Trump has changed his tune how many times. We still don't know about what's happening in Iran. What's the point? When are we getting out? He's saying, oh, it won't be until after the midterms. Some people are saying it could be after his presidency. That's not what they signed up for. So he continues. Everyone here is not everyone, but most of the conversation here is assuming that Donald Trump is a strategic, rational actor. He is an actor. He's a con artist. And he is, yes, campaigning all the time in a reality series.

24:57Every day is a production. Meanwhile, the American people and real families are suffering under the failures of this presidency every day, particularly with the economy. And he can lie and do whatever he wants to try to bribe people, but that doesn't change the reality every day for families in this country. I just think that you have a situation where Elon Musk has$100 million. So$100 million he's investing in this campaign. So you hear these big issues. What are the big issues? Instead of talking about the suffering and all the rest of it, they talk about trans athletes. Republicans talk about trans athletes in girls' sports.

25:31They talk about immigration even though the border's been closed, according to the president. And he's underwater now on immigration. Those are the Democratic Party's biggest weaknesses. Of course Republicans are going to talk about it. They really still are. The Harper Harris poll demonstrated that that was the strongest line that Republicans employ against. No, he's not making up the threat of socialism. But that's not exactly anything to pro about. He's not making up the threat of socialism. These people self-identify as democratic socialists, which is not social democracy in Europe. Then you have to defend that.

25:58This is politics 101. I don't want to defend anything. But the idea that the most potent message... You're the one who's offering this line and saying it's not going to work. Then you have to grapple with the substance of it. The idea that the most potent message is just about trans children. That's one of many, but it was the most potent message in the Harvard Harris call. That is not something to celebrate if you're a Republican and you... Why? And the most important issue to Americans is the economy. It's just not. It might not be, but I think it's representative of a bigger issue, I think, or at least I know.

26:27I've met enough people that have told me it's not maybe the main concern in my life, but I can tell you I'll never trust someone who thinks that men can get pregnant, for example, to be in charge of the economy. So I do think it's symbolic of a major issue in our country. Wait till they worry about AI, they'll change their... I don't know about you. I have a young daughter. I'm very worried about this, and so are a lot of Americans. We've got to leave it there. Next for us, J.D. Vance is taking center stage in Dallas tonight, while a report reveals his concerns about the strategy for the war in Iran.

26:55We'll be right back.

27:26We'll see you next time. I never do. So buy your car today on Carvana. Delivery fees may apply. See our seven-day return policy at Carvana.com.

27:37Tonight, Republicans set the stage for the midterms and perhaps the next election, too. J.D. Vance, along with President Trump, closed out the RNC midterm convention, just as speculation over Vance's 2028 presidential ambitions have shifted into overdrive. Here's part of the speech that he made tonight. Two years ago, we have to remember, our nation, ladies and gentlemen, was tired. We were tired of seeing our factories close. We were tired of our neighbors dying of drug overdoses. We were tired of not being able to afford anything. We were tired of seeing the cartels and the criminals given free reign over our great country.

28:18And we were tired of being called racists for noticing that our country was becoming dirtier and poorer and less safe and less prosperous. The radicals in Washington, they could take much from us, but they couldn't take our will to fight back.

28:41So some people are saying, Elizabeth, the advance at this convention has really been trying to consolidate support because there's been a lot of talk about will Rubio run? Ted Cruz has said he might run. Do you think he was able to do that? I do. Look, I think a lot of what we're hearing is really just talk because people are very curious about what's happening in 28. Obviously, President Trump is not running again. And so it does. You know, all eyes after midterms are going to shift to 28. I think he's the obvious heir apparent. I think people at this point at least expect President Trump to endorse him.

29:12Things could always change. We know in Trump's America and American politics in general, two years is a very long time. But I think at this point, unlike the Democrats, by the way, we have a very clear leader and a very clear leader waiting in line to come next as well. And that's not going to change anytime soon. So while all this is happening, The New York Times is reporting that Vance, first of all, at the beginning of the Iran war, was one of the voices privately opposed to it. But then since then, he's been spending time talking to generals to find out what exactly is going on on the ground.

29:43And he's been hearing from them about munitions shortfalls, about how difficult the exit strategy is going to be in Iran, about how it positions the United States to face our other threats. He seems to be trying to toe the line on this. He's cheerleading the war sometimes, but then also behind the scenes arguing against it. I think it's going to be a huge liability to any presidential aspirations he has. I mean, just based upon how Americans feel about this. The war generally. Yeah, the war generally. I mean, it's only got 30 percent approval right now. You compare gas,$2.40 before the war, to average a little over$4 now.

30:22$4.15. Even Vice President Vance was very critical about foreign entanglements and engagements. Lost 18 of our armed service members since it started. And so I think this each day that goes on is continuing to undermine his credibility going forward to 2028. I am not sure that I don't think it undermines his credibility. I think that he's getting his message together. I was not a fan. I'm a Marco Rubio fan. But watching Vance, you know, he's sober, you know, the attentive race baiting in that speech he made. But his politics seem MAGA friendly. If that's your thing, he's your guy. And he's also, he can put a speech together in a way that a lot of people can't.

31:17Ted Cruz is so off the charts. I mean, he's so mean-spirited, so nasty. He's every, you know, just I just look at him and I say, this guy's going to insult somebody. Lucky for you, we're going to talk a little segment. But I mean, he says it's not going to undermine his credibility. But Vance actually seems to think that maybe it will, because he wants to get to the endgame of this war as soon as possible. I can't help but read that report like a little bit of Kremlinology here. This obviously informed by Vance World. It was not about Iran. It was about J.D. Vance. And it was a very flattering portrayal of J.D.

31:53Vance in the New York Times. Interesting that the Times decided not to cut the legs out from him in this one. Interesting. Also, as we know, he's been cultivating this brand as somebody who's against the war. It's been very public. His people have been out there telling anybody willing to listen he's against the war. And this one says, you know, he's a very loyal soldier. He's dedicated to the war. So, A, he's trying to appeal, I think, probably to some people in the White House who don't like him staking out that position. And B, establishing a little bit of distance from the people he's been cultivating.

32:17ties with in the world of alt-podcaster types who are very against the war and very conspiratorial about the war. This is a brand makeover. Yeah, I think that's probably a fair assessment in terms of what he's trying to navigate. But it would require you to forget the fact that for a time, he was supposed to be responsible for negotiating a deal to end the war. That's right. And he championed this deal as like the beginning of the new era of positive relations with Iran for a generation, only for it to fall apart in a couple of weeks. That's right. I mean, that feels like it was five years ago.

32:54It was five months ago when J.D. Vance was supposed to be scrambling to go over to Iran to finish these Iran deals. Because I don't know, maybe it was like the 10th, 11th, 12th time that Trump said that there was a deal that was imminent. And then he got pulled back and then all of a sudden he went away. Marco Rubio, where is he? Does anybody know where Marco Rubio is? I think he's down in Latin America somewhere. Like, what is happening? Don't diminish that. Yeah, but we've got a war in Iran, a war in Ukraine, and the Secretary of State should be there. That's probably exactly where Mike Erickson wants to be.

33:22Oh, of course, because he doesn't want to be anywhere near this war in Iran. Exactly, because he knows that what's happening in Iran is a quagmire. Well, instead of Donald Trump sending his real estate buddies and his son-in-law over to, you know, Russia or to Iran to negotiate things that they are clearly not qualified to do, that should be the Secretary of State's job. But anyway, listen, J.D. Vance is a chameleon. He has reinvented himself multiple times and we've all watched it. This is not the same J.D. Vance that we knew who wrote Hillbilly Elegy. He's not the same J.D. Vance that called Trump America's Hitler.

33:53He's not the same J.D. Vance who changed his name three times and didn't used to be J.D. Vance. He has reinvented himself. He's a chameleon to fit whatever lane he thinks is politically expedient for him. So once he's now that he's bought and paid for by Peter Thiel and the tech bros and all those guys, he's got to figure out a way to navigate being the heir apparent. I don't think he's going to be because MAGA world is not exactly keen on him. They're suspicious of him in some ways. And he's trying to figure out his lane now because he's a savvy operative, at least in that respect. All right.

34:24Up next for us, Islamists who hate America. That is what Ted Cruz is calling Muslim Democrats the night before the 25th anniversary of the September 11th attacks. We'll be right back.

34:45Still wearing those old cargo shorts? If your wardrobe's due for an upgrade, but you don't know where to start, you need Stitch Fix. Your stylist learns your size, your style, and your budget, then sends a box pick just for you. They always nail the fit. No store, no hassle, no subscription required. Get started today at stitchfix.com. That's stitchfix.com. Starting a business can seem like a daunting task, unless you have a partner like Shopify. They have the tools you need to start and grow your business. From designing a website, to marketing, to selling, and beyond, Shopify can help with everything you need.

35:27There's a reason millions of companies like Mattel, Heinz, and Allbirds continue to trust and use them. With Shopify on your side, turn your big business idea into... Sign up for your$1 per month trial at shopify.com slash special offer.

35:45Tonight, on the eve of the 25th anniversary of 9-11, Republicans use their midterm convention platform, to try to tie some Democrats to terrorist groups. And on 9-11, could anyone have imagined that Comrade Mondami would be the mayor of New York?

36:10The hate that killed Charlie Kirk, that knocked down the Twin Towers, that led to two assassination attempts on President Trump. It just keeps getting worse and worse. And we are witnessing a new and dangerous red-green alliance, communists and Islamists coming together and sweeping over the Democrat Party.

36:42They are united because they share the same enemies. They hate Christians. They hate Jews. They hate capitalism. They hate the Constitution and they hate America.

37:01So there's commentary obviously about socialism, communism. We've been talking about that. But the real theme there was Islam as the enemy. Why? Why? Why is an entire religion an enemy? Because his eyes are open. He's been paying attention. This is sharp-elbowed politics. It's tough rhetoric. I get it why anybody's offended by it, but he's giving as good as he got. He's talking about Mamdani, as well as El-Sayed, but mostly Mamdani. And he's talking about Mamdani because Mamdani does things like campaign with Hassan Piker, like campaign with an unindicted co-conspirator of the 1993 World Trade Center bombing.

37:35like an al-Qaeda lawyer. When he said on the 20th anniversary of 9-11, that's, we thought, I'm answering it. Which is, why is the religion, why is the religion in and of itself being described as the enemy of the United States? You're putting words in his mouth there. What he's describing is, yes, you are. What he's describing is the Islamism that Amdani and El Saeed are both very comfortable with. And then when these deliberate provocations are provocative and people notice them, their fans turn around and say, well, how dare you? How have you the gall to notice this thing that we all noticed as well?

38:08How do you figure the overwhelming success that Mondami had, defying all of the pundits, all of the inside crowd, and here's this guy, a Muslim guy, 40 years old or whatever, not even 40, and he stomped Andrew Cuomo. He stomped him. He barely won 50 % in the first round. He's not a stomping. New York City really did revolt against this guy. He did underperform. No, it's not true. He underperformed in a Democratic primary. I answered your question. Here's your question for you. Do we think that he's the most popular politician in New York right now? That is true. He's very popular among Democrats.

38:47Do we think that NYPD Commissioner Tish was a delusional bigot when she said, we all have to stop muddling the waters here. We all have to be clear about who the terrorists were. And shame on those who are saying that the terrorists and the heroes are one in the same. which Mamdani said in 2020 when he said, we mourn the 3 ,000 dead and the killing hasn't stopped. I think you're the one muddying the waters, Noah. You're the one muddying the waters. Terrorists are terrorists. I'm asking why Ted Cruz and you seem to want to make an entire religion anti-American. You're putting words in my mouth, and I can't say it enough.

39:20The people who support radical Islamist violence are the people he's talking about. He didn't say radical Islamist violence. He said Islamism. That's what he said. So he didn't say Islam. What does that mean? He didn't say Islam, exactly. You know the definitions. Well, excuse me, what's... So you're saying radical Islamic terrorism and Islamism are the same thing? Islam is not the same, just like Palestinianism and being pro-Palestine are not the same thing. That is a ridiculous argument now. I'm surprised you've never encountered it. That is a ridiculous argument. It is so common. It's like a social studies argument.

39:52Because I study the subject. What's what we do here? By the way, as somebody who I'm sure would object, to the idea of people considering Zionism and Judaism the same thing. I'm surprised that you would make that connection about an entire religion that millions and millions of people in this world are a part of, and the vast majority of them are not terrorists. Because they're distinct things, and they have distinctions between them, which is that there's distinctions between Islamism and Islam and being a Muslim. There are distinct concepts. Of course I would object to the distinctions being blurred because they shouldn't be blurred.

40:27But it's also, isn't that the exact point that there are wonderful Muslim Americans who would never want to stand next to Hassan Fiker. That's not the point that Ted Cruz was making. That is exactly the point that he was making. That is not the point that he was making at all. The end of the 25th anniversary of 9-11 is tomorrow, and we have over 100 ,000 names on a petition begging Mamdani not to show up, including the families of those impacted. Are they all racist, or are they insulted by him for a reason? Listen, I'm not arguing that you can't have objections to Mamdani specifically, or even El-Sayed specifically.

40:54I'm just asking whether the argument that the Republicans are making is against an entire religion. It's certainly not. I'm telling you it's not. That's what I'm asking. I'm telling you there are wonderful Muslim Americans who don't agree with Mamdani. So then why isn't he more specific? Why does he keep using the term Islam as a slur? First of all, as Noah just pointed out, he didn't say Islam. He didn't say it as a slur. Everyone knows exactly who he was talking about. We are campaigning at the RNC against El-Sayed. We are indirectly, obviously, but campaigning against people like Mamdani, the ideology of both communism and Islamism that he brings to the table that countless people support.

41:28I saw polling from Pew Research recently that said young Democrats believe Hamas is better than the Israeli government. There is a problem here, and it's nothing to do with being against Muslims. And that's Islamism. That's not Muslims. Nothing to do with being against Muslims. What about the young Republicans who are opposed to the war in Gaza? Do they support a U.S.-designated terrorist organization? I mean, I don't know, but I'm just asking you because there are a lot of young Republicans who oppose... And they have every right to be against the war. That's not the same as saying a designated terrorist organization is better than the government, the democratically elected government of one of our closest allies.

42:00So the voters in New York saw through it. They did. And, you know, in the in the final tally, he won so monstrously. I mean, the guy cleaned up and the people who voted for him were not people that go around, you know, talking about Piker and these other radical stuff. They're the grocer and the, you know, the student and the... The grocers are suing him now, so I don't know if that's true. Well, Al-Sayed was actually on with our colleague Caitlin Collins, and here's how he responded specifically to what Ted Cruz was saying about him tonight. Listen. I mean, it's sad. He doesn't really want to talk about any of the issues people are really facing.

42:42I mean, because what I hear about is the fact that people can't afford their gas. They can't afford their groceries. They're worried about having to see a doctor. and it all goes back to policies from the guy who summoned him. And I guess if daddy asks for a hug, you got to go give him a hug, even if it's in Dallas. But I don't know what he's doing in Dallas, because he's certainly not talking about the issues that Michiganders face. And he seems not to want to do that either. This seems to Geraldo's point that, I mean, they're personalizing this race about Hassan Piker, who's, you know, I guess maybe they're trying to make him a household name.

43:18and are they missing an opportunity to talk about what actually voters care about? Well, it depends on what side you're on here, because for the Republicans and for MAGA, the culture wars and trying to scare people and painting broad brushes about certain ethnicities and things like that, religions, they've been doing this for years, and it worked, helped get Trump elected again. This is the culture war stuff, and it's very ugly. I think that the American people are seeing through it to Geraldo's point because all of that, it doesn't change the economic situation and what people are facing every single day.

43:57So, of course, they don't have anything else. They have to do this because Trump is failing so badly. So they have to resort to this kind of nonsense. Next for us, the panelists are going to react to your feedback from CNN.com slash Abby. Stay with us. We'll be right back.

44:19And now some viewer feedback from CNN.com slash Abby. Here's one that says, the GOP creates wedge issues and culture wars to distract from helping the poor and middle class. I'll give this one to you now because you seemed eager. The GOP didn't create the transgender sports issue. It fell in their lap and they exploited it expertly. No, they didn't just make that up. But if you think that they won that round, lessons to be learned. And then we had some of the other stuff that we were talking about in the last segment, the Hassan Piker and whatever it is. Again, that's so frustrating. El-Sayed got the polling bump he did in the primary when he started campaigning with Hassan Piker.

44:57He apologized for the statement he made where he equivocated about the terrorist attack after the fact. This helped him win the primary. It's helping him lose the general. But all of us are just noticing. Of course, again, proves your point. Every minute they're talking about Hassan Piker is time that they're not talking about how they're going to improve people's lives and not talking about what Donald Trump was supposed to do and has not done. He's betrayed the American people and he's corrupt. And that is why they want to talk about everything but that. We'll leave it there. Thank you very much for watching Newsnight.

45:26Laura Coates Live starts right now. Starting a business can seem like a daunting task unless you have a partner like Shopify. They have the tools you need to start and grow your business. From designing a website, to marketing, to selling, and beyond, Shopify can help with everything you need. There's a reason millions of companies like Mattel, Heinz, and Allbirds continue to trust and use them. With Shopify on your side, turn your big business idea into... Sign up for your$1 per month trial at shopify.com slash special offer. The real cost of a break-in isn't your valuables. It's the feeling that your home stopped being safe.

46:02SimpliSafe keeps danger away from your family with three layers of protection. One, smart AI cameras and live U.S.-based agents help stop intruders before they break in. Two, we sound the alarm at points of entry. Three, our agents request emergency response. Plans starting around a dollar a day. Right now, get 70 % off your new system with professional monitoring at simplisafe.com slash Spotify. Outdoor deterrence plans start at$49.99 a month. Visit simplisafe.com slash licenses for alarm license information.

From the publisher

Donald Trump turns the midterms into a gameshow. Plus, as the Republican speaker plays up November, the Republican president plays it down. 
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

More from CNN NewsNight with Abby Phillip

All episodes