Can The Opposition Beat PM Modi? Freebie Culture, Putin & Trump | Ruchir | FO408 Raj Shamani

13 Sep 2025 · 1 h 21 min

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In short

Podcast Summary: Figuring Out with Raj Shamani

Episode Title

Can The Opposition Beat PM Modi? Freebie Culture, Putin & Trump | Ruchir | FO408

Host

  • Raj Shamani: Entrepreneur, speaker, and angel investor focused on business content creation.

Guest

  • Ruchir Sharma: Bestselling author, Chairman of Rockefeller International, and respected global investor, known for his insights on politics, economics, and leadership.

Key Themes

  • Political Landscape in India
  • Economic Opportunities and Challenges
  • Global Leaders' Influence
  • Cultural Perspectives on Wealth and Governance

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Episode Breakdown

Introduction (00:00)

  • Raj introduces the theme of the episode and the guest, Ruchir Sharma.

The Next Prime Minister? (01:56)

  • Discusses potential candidates to succeed PM Modi.
  • Ruchir suggests Amit Shah and Yogi Adityanath as strong contenders, emphasizing their national appeal.

Views on PM Modi (04:45)

  • Ruchir shares his perspective on Modi's governance and how it has transformed India.

Opposition Dynamics (10:36)

  • Analysis of state-level opposition and potential leaders who could challenge BJP.

Election Campaigns and Strategy (13:00)

  • Insights into effective state election campaigns and the necessity for the opposition to present a unified front.

Competitive Federalism (27:42)

  • Discussion on how states compete to attract investments and drive growth.
  • Importance of infrastructure spending and reducing subsidies highlighted.

Talent vs. Unemployment (29:53)

  • Exploration of India's talent pool and the existing unemployment crisis, emphasizing an education system mismatch.

Improvements Across States (32:03)

  • Progress observed in Karnataka contrasted with challenges faced in Maharashtra.

Economic Theories

Capitalism vs. Socialism (34:37)

  • Ruchir explains the fundamental differences and implications of capitalism and socialism for India.

Cryptocurrency Predictions (35:04)

  • Ruchir is bullish on cryptocurrency as a long-term investment, predicting growth over the next 500 years.

Insights from Global Leaders (39:12)

  • Ruchir shares personal experiences meeting Vladimir Putin and discusses the traits that define successful leaders.

Reflections on Donald Trump (49:21)

  • Discussion on Trump's rise, anti-establishment sentiments, and the political landscape in the U.S.

The Culture of Freebies (1:08:06)

  • Debate on the implications of a freebie culture in governance and its impact on economic growth.

Conclusion

Rules for Building a Successful Nation (1:15:04)

  • Ruchir shares his thoughts on the key elements necessary for a nation to thrive, such as strong leadership and demographic advantages.

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Key Takeaways

  • Political Dynamics: The opposition in India faces challenges but has potential leaders who can emerge if they capitalize on state-level successes.
  • Economic Growth: India's growth could be accelerated through reforms, focusing on competitive federalism and infrastructure development.
  • Global Comparisons: Insights into how leaders like Putin and Trump navigate their political landscapes provide valuable lessons for emerging leaders in India.
  • Cultural Perspectives: The perception of billionaires and economic success in India reflects broader societal attitudes towards wealth and governance.

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Final Thoughts The episode emphasizes the importance of understanding the political landscape in India, the challenges and opportunities for economic growth, and the lessons that can be learned from global leaders. Raj Shamani's conversation with Ruchir Sharma provides a nuanced perspective on these issues, encouraging listeners to engage actively in discussions about their future and the potential for growth in the coming years.

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Transcript

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0:00In BJP, who do you think can be options for successes? Obviously Mr. Amit Shah is the most important thing to be in the U.P. election. If Yogi Adityanath gets the majority, there is a chance to get the majority. Opposition, who do you think has the potential to become a leader who can compete with BJP? Revan Reddy. He is a very impressive Chief Minister in terms of governance skills etc. How can India grow rapidly? What challenges do you see? The government has a lot of deepness. It's all about the time. If you have something to do, take permission, take regulation, tax authorities, it's quite a bit more.

0:32If you have a business on the local level, then you'll know where to come from. This is why someone who is a foreign investor, it keeps a lot of difficult to do in India. Today's guest is Ruchir Sharma, the author of 5 Best Selling Books, Rockefeller International Chairman. We have known today that who can be the next Prime Minister of India, who can be the leader of the opposition, and who can grow from India. capitalism and socialism in simple language. In capitalism, the government is minimal and the individual is more than the role of the government. The socialism is over. The government will plan for you and the individual will follow the government.

1:07Do you think crypto will replace US dollars? The dollar, which is now the dependence on the world, has been very much. And this is not a good thing. So, there is no substitute for people. People should put their own money only in one country and one currency. They should diversify a little bit. In my opinion, the crypto will be more than the next 500 years. I heard that you can also do a prediction and spot on prediction. What do you think? Who's gonna be the next PM?

1:36Before we continue, subscribe to this channel so that we can make a better podcast for you. And this whole show is available on Spotify, where you can follow us. Enjoy the show.

1:54I heard that you are doing a prediction and spot on prediction. Is that a thing? Isn't that true? I don't know, spot on, but it happens. Tell me, give me a little prediction based on what you think. Who's going to be the next PM? No, it's very early. I think it's very important that Modi, for the government of Modi, for the government of Modi, I don't think that in five years, in terms of any major change, etc. But it's very soon, because in India, as I said, the most important thing is state-by-state elections. Like BJP, I think the big surprise that comes in 2024, there are two surprises. The biggest surprise was that BJP was 240 seat time.

2:43because the consensus was the time that 400 people was the slogan of 300 seats BJP just I'm talking about allies everyone felt that 300 seats BJP came back so one was the big surprise the second biggest surprise is that after the setback the state elections the BJP performance remained good and that was without Modi as the star campaigner like in Maharashtra and before Haryana so Modi's role was very little in that elections before that, one year before people said that if Modi is not then BJP's victory is difficult but in Haryana and then in Maharashtra Modi's campaign was very limited then BJP did quite well so that tells you that the party's strength is, it is enough and the RSS involvement is enough.

3:46At least the insiders of all the insiders have said that in the 2024 national election, the RSS was a little bit afraid that all the people are saying, the BJP president and Modi and all these things, that is not the RSS's need. Modi's image and the other thing is enough to carry everything. Then Then in 2024, it felt that RSS has not done so hard campaign and not done so much to help Modi win. Now, after that, it felt like Modi's influence has reduced, now has been reduced and RSS's influence has increased. This is the people who say it. I am interested in Indian politics, I talk to people about it.

4:43I really love our PM right now. I genuinely like it and I think if I vote on who I vote or what I do, I just as a normal citizen who loves to travel around the world and I travel for us and for the pleasure. I think our image globally became very powerful because of this PM. Right. And that to me is something to look forward. So I'm from Indore. Indore, when I came to BGP, in the national side. Swachh, Bharat, Abiyan and all of that. Like I started cleaning, Indore became number one cleanest city in the country. And I saw a movement in Indore. I was like, thinking channel I was like wow the country is growing just to be growing or what is happening what is happening I don't know that I am talking about as a basic business I am not talking about as a podcast of studies and reads that's right so I am saying my house is growing very big second is that my house investments where I am growing or not growing I am looking to see my house my brothers came to their house and they have they have been doing great work and they have out of their house and they have gone out of their life change and they have a small land I meanly, it's 5 % of the prices.

5:58So, every person's money is increasing. Investments' prices are increasing. So, the money is increasing. The opportunities are increasing. The growth is increasing. Then, when I look at my leader, do they reflect power? Is it something that I want to look forward to? Yes, that's it. Then, when I talk to people, what are popular choices? Is it popular to save him? Praise him in public? Yes, that's it. So, when you go to India, that you go out there and there are people who are mad at you that people who are like old India was corrupt and crime are you see that and that changed. So this is 4 % of the things that change and it's years and years and years and years are going to grow.

6:36So it felt from a very layman perspective that this is a big job. Right. Till the time you go and you understand and you go deeper, then you have more, you have more logic and biases that on which basis we have judged or not judged. But the base level I feel popular when you talk about critical mass I think every critical mass you'll ask nobody will say that he's a bad PM right it's just like local if there are some areas so I don't know so that's what I felt so that's why I like and I keep asking too many very well read researchers and people like you who think about politics that's not that who is that no so and I think I respect something else is I respect everything that you say and I have a lot of sehmit.

7:27I just think that in any democracy it is that anyone doesn't need so much power that they should misuse the power to target people, opposition, cases or in terms of the fact that in terms of retribution which is like revenge that I like. this person. So in terms of a performance of a thing. And I also think India's performance is very proud. And as you say, I also think that I also think that one thing I always say that I always think that in any other person, there should be opposition to be happening. Like that, there is a part of it. Part of it is checking. So that the institution is not used.

8:15Exactly. And the institution and misuse is, that's the thing I think that this is wrong. Like I have some friends and etc. which have been many cases in the media and all that. I always think that this is a target because they have said something that they didn't like. Like you said something good, you should have said something. But if someone has said something that they are so happy or someone who has been happy or not they have allowed out hoon a cheehy hai bolna in terms of that to mujhe wo spirit chaatah ho mein to as long as wo spirit rahe then I'm okay with koji bhi leader in terms of that or us pher performance pher focus ho but mujhe ye to wo check rana bhoot important baat hai agree agree tabhi my bula ta ki layman perspective se apka achha luna layman ke liye dholo cheezze important honi chaghi ab wo just is at least in last three four years jo ye zahatah dikhnye lagaya hapko all of a sudden kiki social media are ta ki now people are talking about it Well, it will happen in the past 10 years, we don't know.

9:19But now, as a normal citizen layman, we know that the good institutions are going to miss use. Maybe something extra is going to happen. But now it's much louder. No, louder and it's going to extend even more. If you look at all the research, then 95 % of the cases, CBIK and all the cases, they are in opposition. How can this happen, that 95 % is so much on the one side, or other side nothing or these all instances that if someone join this party after joining all cases drop and all of a sudden everything is clean etc. So I have an issue otherwise India's economy and performance of course we can do a lot more like our growth rate is only 6-7 % it's a good growth rate but when China growing up and the whole world showed how good it was.

10:20The growth rate was 10-11 % so if our growth rate is 10-11 % then tell us how much change will come. It will come. It will come. But tell me, do you think that opposition will ever become? No, in terms of opposition states there are a lot of people. And nationally it will be a little big. like in terms of that problem national pay politics Rahul Gandhi because you know it's like it is seen to be very left it is seen to be sort of you know in terms of economics which they talk about that thing people think that they will back back back so I think that in terms of ideology problem I think people are in terms of state level, if you look at the opposition, there is a lot of opposition.

11:17So I always say that in India our focus is a little bit on national level, but national level has also been a correction. But on states level, there is opposition. If you look at states level, there will be elections in Bengal. And in BJP, you will see what will happen. Because the next big election will be UP in two years. That's the test. No, but test, I don't know who the test is. Because in terms of yogi, Adityanath, you know, like, there's so much regional leader in our own shape. Now, how much center he wants to be, I don't know what the equation is. So, test, like we say, there are wheels within wheels.

11:58One is straight BJP versus opposition. In terms of there, it's pretty clear that BJP versus the government party important to check Billboard the mall will be the in fact

12:29pop和 和 shukar dhe nghe ki agla successor Modi ka yhe ho gaya, ab woh BJP me aur log kitna pasand karenghe, nai pasand karenghe, uspe kafi charcha rheeghi RSS ka ispe kya view reha in terms of that, because unka bhi kafi influence party mein hai, aur bada hai, jisse mei nai bataaya, Maharashtra aur Haryana ke election mein, tabhi khail kafi baqi hai, aur bhot interesting hai, but abhi state elections hai, uske pehle, jho mera agla state election ka trip rehaegha, He will be able to get out of the way. Oh nice. Because as we talked about this, I have a lot of passion. I formed a group in 1998. When we are in India, we will go and see what is happening.

13:19We are 20 people. We have 31 election trips. The last time we did it. We did 8 days election trips. We did it in May in 2024. form and we went to the east to west coast. We started the journey from Vijaywada and we ended in Mumbai. We covered four states in eight days. The next time will be for Bihar. So Bihar will be an interesting election there. Because the last thing was that Jiswui had a lot of fights for BJP and Nitish Kumar. And Now I'm hearing that the first time of NITISH KUMAR was not so much. So that election is interesting. I love seeing Indian elections for the Indian election. But I mean predicts is a very difficult thing.

14:16Because it can turn. Like in Maharashtra, when they had so much performance in their people, so I thought that all the people who are coming back to the party but there was another election result. So, this is difficult to say. Your first question was that PM who is going to be? And if you look at India, many PMs are going to be accidental prime ministers. That no one could do anything. with Indianrですね happens. In the Indian election I ohmed it marked Hundley to accept.

14:58Fhad four times later it did not come on the 따�at during his time the term died of nó bakena, where both eat andáfic데 opportunities when he is constantly Tower breaker time. So now I'm very fast talking about the state elections, I think it's interesting. When I go to election trips, I think it's a good thing that you have to keep in India about it. Like in Bihar, I've been five election trips to now. And I can say proudly, I can tell my friends about it, that you will never go to the country, you will never go to the country, but I will go there. but if you have to take names because there are so many elections you will have a certain level of sense and pattern you will have seen and I am sure that India is surprised to be surprised and so big democracy you can't predict accidental PMs but there must be some pattern based on which you will have a gut intuition so let me ask you a very specific question that in opposites which is opposition in opposition who do you think can emerge as a leader or who has the potential to become a leader who can compete with BJP.

16:22If I was in terms of Rewind Reddy, when we were, it was very impressive. If you get him, he is a very impressive chief minister in terms of that, in terms of governance skills etc. But I think that what the, if Congress has a strategy right, They should push one state's chief minister to a state. In turn, one state's chief minister should make that state a model. Like if you look at Modi's model, what did they do? Gujarat model. They made a sense of Gujarat's idea that we did what did in Gujarat. When we were also in 2014, in the U.P. we were talking about that in Gujarat Modi had so much people and we were asking if you have not gone to Gujarat but we have come to hear it so in terms of they have made Gujarat and made a development and that was the very important thing to launch him so if Congress has to do something like that So you should make a state like this.

17:38Which state could it do? You have told me, like if someone has a talent, like in Hyderabad, if you go to Hyderabad, you will see how it has developed. Karnataka. But in Karnataka the problem is that there is a little leadership in terms of a problem. And it's like aging a bit also. So there will be a little issue in transition. But if a state of a chief minister, National Party, Congress, like the President, the chances will increase. Until these people will have hope for Rahul Gandhi in terms of that for the Congress people. Unfortunately, that's the pace. Otherwise, it's back to old Indian politics.

18:19If the opposition is okay at the last minute, then they will compromise and make someone the accidental Prime Minister who is historically. Okay. And in BJP, who do you think can be three options for successes? No, option is my opinion. Now there are only two options. One is obviously Mr. Amit Shah who is naturally, but the most important thing, I have talked about now, UP election will be. If Yogi Adityanath comes in a lot of majority, if he gets a lot of majority, naturally he is my opinion. Because both are national appeal. Yes, it is national appeal. So in terms of, and if you are in UP as a state, में अगर होकर आएं तो in terms of अगर chance पूछेंगे तो अभी इन दोना का है in terms of लोग तो काफी Mr.

19:09गटकरी के बारे में बात करते हैं पर problem अधर यह है कि उनका mass base अभी इतना नहीं है जैसे मतलब in terms of कोई state नहीं है कोई इतना mass base नहीं है उनका तो उनको पास वो national appeal नहीं है जो इन दोनों leaders के पास अभी है, जैसे in terms of अगर कोई गट करीजी, अगर कोई rally करें, जैसे अगर किसी और state में, तो मुझे मालूम नहीं कि कितने लोग वहाँ पर पहुँचेंगे, पर जैसे अगर योगी अधितेनाथ rally करते हैं, so many people come to their rallies. So you mean cult following that's right. What are your views on Fadnavis sir or Shivrat Singh Johan sir? In terms of my opinion Shivrat Singh Johan's career is now in the center.

20:02Now it's very difficult to get back to the state. But in terms of Fadnavis the journey has already started. So they can also come. But in terms of mass appeal it's a little time to build something outside Maharashtra but if that means if you have a job then something can happen but you have asked me in terms of today's history in terms of who is? Two people on the earth Exactly Interesting and India how can you grow up what challenges do you see India in India and tell me three top challenges which is Indian economy and top three opportunities which is Indian economy which is a common in the sense of use.

20:46No, see, the most constraints have our own. One is that our government is quite a lot. If you have to do something, get permission, regulation, tax authorities, it's quite a lot. So, I think the government role in this country is the most problematic role. One is that the government is quite a lot. The other is control in various sectors. give me examples that is what area you can see banking sector in other countries there are so many public sector banks that are just as we have and if you look at local level if you go to a business then you can't even know you can't know where the notice comes from and where the department comes from so So, this is why someone who is a foreign investor, he will directly in India business to make a very difficult thing.

21:46He wants to be a local partner, local partner to make this all-in-law, and we directly do this all-in-law. So, if you look at our country, how many our FDI is, it's 1 % as a share of GDP. When China and Korea and Taiwan were 10-11 % growing, it was 4-4 % as a share of GDP. foreign investment coming to our biggest challenge that is one second is which sectors you feel you need to to private private to all sectors I talked about banking in terms of that in terms of if you see if our oil refineries etc that it was 20 years that was closed but more than privatization is that if you have a small or medium-sized business you will start a business in order to get a problem or not or to stop or to get a problem or to get the important thing that is that which are departments ED, CBI, tax departments which are the power to check the average person will not feel that I don't know when I will ask them to ask them that that is always fair but just to America will be all Right.

23:06There is an FBI. There is SEC. There is other on low key institutions. Right. So, those people's power check. How do they stay? There is institutional power. Yes. And that means that there is a problem. That I have to say something about the government. So, tomorrow, I have to say something. I have to say something. I have to say something. I have to say something. there is a strength in terms of that compared to here. You have to say institutions. institutions like ED, CBI, there are many institutions. How do you keep checking in? They should be apolitical. Today, extreme fear is. People are afraid to take word names.

23:49If CBI means that it means that ED means that it means that it is not a right-wrong. If it comes to this, you say it. That's your sentiment. and this time I also like that this time the role of Supreme Court and courts is not the right role because they have so much that they have given us. Courts say that in terms of when you have a very consistent case, you can't but they have to say that if you have to do it, you can do it So check and balance can be two things. One is that the appointments are in institutions that are political. Like you know, you can't remove it. If the government changes are so easy, you can't ask if it will happen.

24:48If you ask if it will happen, no. If you ask what should happen. And the other thing in the courts, like India, I think it's and this is the most important thing that I think that the two-thirds of people who are in jail that means that they have not conviction. Yes, pending cases. They have bailed. If it is true democracy and true country, if it is culture, how is it culture? is that you have to be right. Fair. But here we have people who have our weaknesses. The system is very slow because we are not equipped to manage it. If you have a government if you have something to do, you have to look at the courts or things like that, how can reform or how can other people do cases for doing.

25:59to be better for this country. But do you think that's the right model? Yes, I think that's the right model. Yeah. this videos転 which сч eleges that's going through names a чain

26:26if you want to I wanted to be now to see certain things involved you know like this path is a little bit to do that and this is my response to this is the that that small and mid-sized business confidence that should be the focus because the big people know how to negotiate but you know that small and mid-sized business does I agree with you I agree with you I agree I agree with you चलाता था और मैं भी भी एक small mid-size business चलाता हूँ and I know the problems that you face. आप आदे -जादा time तो डर में रहते हो पता नहीं कौन कहां से क्या आपको भोल देगा. Exactly. आपको किस से बात करनी पड़ेगी, कौन से level के employee से बात करनी इपार्टमेंट, कौन सा department If there is a foreign investor, what should we say?

27:38Talking about India. And we were talking about India's problems. Opportunities, what do you think? What kind of things are you thinking? No, it's very interesting. In terms of that, one thing is good. In India, there is a lot of competition in the states. So states want to be competition. Maharashtra, Gujarat, Telangana versus Karnataka. etc. So states that's a very good thing. In fact, Modi ji before talked about this before, but when we were in Gujarat they thought that India should be a model of competitive federalism. That means how competition is in the states and how competition is in the competition and the growth is in the investment and the growth is in the So I think that India has been in competitive federalism but how it is in the I think is a very important point but that can be one of India's strengths.

28:29Do you think chief ministers should get awards every year on like economy basis. Magazine to take away surveys. But nationally, PMO, national government and PMO is trying to do this. These three states have topped this stage. Economy wise. But this also becomes a political problem. But I'm saying that generally, you will see results yourself. Which states are doing good or not. If you travel in India, if you travel, then you will see that there are differences in different states. So I think that is one. But the second thing I think also is the fact that in terms of that, our central government has done one good thing in the last 10 years, that the spending has done on infrastructure and reduced subsidies.

29:18So I think that is a good thing. Because infrastructure is, you will get long-term growth. And the third thing I have said, that the talent in India, that means you know unbeatable in terms of you know like I come and talk to people and meet with companies and all that the talent creation in India and entrepreneurial talent that is a lot of in India like I go to other countries I don't see I don't see the depth in entrepreneurial talent which we have all talk about talent but our unemployment is very big so why do you think that's a big gap if you talk to employers they say that there is no good talent and employees say that there is no good companies who are not getting good jobs who are not getting good jobs who are not getting good jobs who are not getting good jobs like it's a chicken and egg problem that's right why do you think and talk about economists so they all talk about one side economists talk about that India is the biggest opportunity that there is a insane talent we have a lot of talent we have a young nation democracy is very strong is wrong, young people will be a big job.

30:27And then second side of economists is saying that unemployment is growing, people are not getting jobs. Why do you think there's a mismatch? Education system is very shortfalls. Our public schools are going to go and travel now. Public schools are quite bad. In terms of the skills, education is going to be a lot of time. And another thing I have told you, in terms of the and this is how all economists will tell you that the manufacturing sector is now is not growing so much. The most important things are getting in manufacturing. Service sector in the service sector is also getting in the market but there is a lot of skill but manufacturing in the manufacturing you need to get in the market, that is not happening.

31:17And how will it happen? How will it happen? Back to the basics Education, ease of business FDI How to improve the entire ecosystem In China there was a whole ecosystem For improving the entire ecosystem If you were in the 1990s What were the rocks In terms of Infrastructure Bridges That was all made Today If you see the best train network so China will get you bullet trains etc. So they have done a lot of it. They have done a lot of it. Then in the past five -十 years, they have done a little bit. Exactly. It was wrong. And now states were talking about it. States competition has increased. India has been a good thing.

32:04Which state has surprisingly has been a good thing? Or you have been a good thing? Or this state has been a big job? So southern states have done a lot. Karnataka, Telangana, the most maximum improvements are still there. ironically one of the biggest declines which we saw in 10 years was Maharashtra. Maharashtra is a lot of if you go to Bombay and you go to a lot of Maharashtra in this state it's a big state important state and we have a golden triangle Mumbai Pune Nashik all this and if you go to Maharashtra in this we have seen a lot of lag that Maharashtra economy is not good but but the improvement in the last 10-15 years, the number one is Karnataka.

32:51And tell me, Karnataka people should learn what to learn from each state, and what to learn from Maharashtra, what to learn from people who don't learn from them, what to do? I think that Karnataka, they should learn from focus, of course IT sector is a big role, but in the agricultural sector, there is a lot of progress. In terms of how well the agricultural sector is done, in Karnataka. in Bangalore is good in Bangalore. I think the problem has been that our focus is more on this triangle in terms of that and in terms of in terms of in the region have remained backward for a long period of time.

33:33vidharba raha ya yaa pere agriculture ka matlab contribution ita acha nai raha toh say farmers etc yaa pere maharashtra mein kaafi complain kertte hai ki ki kya kyo nhi matlab hame jada benefit mil raha kya ho raha etc when we talk about india india bhot saare areas poor areas bhot saare cities states towns villages bhot poor areas as an economist poor areas ko rich kise bana sakte in terms of in terms of people give the freedom and the opportunity that is the best. And the way you try to control and do micro governance that is the problem. This is my fundamental. So, my whole capitalism is this.

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34:17What is capitalism? What is essential? For me, capitalism is that you give the people as much economic freedom, the better is. For me, capitalism means economic freedom. Capitalism and socialism in simple language. Capitalism is that people if it is pure capitalism today in capitalism there are distortions that are another thing pure capitalism is that you have the government's role is minimal and the individual's role is more than the socialism is over that the government will plan for you to do what you need and the individual will follow the government so this is a basic concept that is in the socialism and capitalism and so we talk about economic freedom and economic freedom now the new revolution which you are seeing around the world is crypto do you think crypto will ever replace the US dollar?

35:11I am quite bullish and I also wrote that the dollar which is dependence on the world has been very much and this is not a good thing so if there is a substitute coming, now no currency is not coming, like the last time if there was a currency very dominant like dollar before pound was born. Pound before French franc was born. Spanish currency, Portugal before, Dutch. So, a kind of currency always is very dominant. But if it is very dominant and more than 100 % of its life, it comes to the end. It is strange that after the dollar currency, there is no currency. Like China's currency, it doesn't trust.

35:53Because you don't know that the communist government is what you do with your money. with crypto or gold is a big deal. And I think this will continue. Generally. Even today you feel crypto will go up and gold will go up? In my opinion, in the next 500 years crypto use will be more than that. In terms of that. So a general trend is that. This means that the gold has been$100 ,000 dollar हो गया है यह मतलब मैं जब मैंने पहले crypto के बारे में लिखा था उस time वो 10 ,000 की ऊपर गया था अब 10 ,000 होना चाहिए 100 ,000 होना चाहिए crypto को value करना मुझे आता नहीं है पर यह बात की dollar का जो दुनिया है वो एक dollar पे तना dependent not be able to be this one this one this one my conviction that change will gradually change will change it can be either gold or crypto that's your main focus and two reasons is one is it is so that the how to make the dollar sanctions.

37:09And the other thing is that America's problems are people who don't talk about it today. But America today, their debt has so much increased, their deficit is so high. So there are also fundamentals that people should not put their money in one country. And they should not put one currency. They should not diversify. The dollar will always be important. But it should not diversify. I think it's fair. which makes a lot of sense and this is why all gold believers and crypto believers believe that there will be a lot of dependency this will be a time when the sentiment will grow and then it will change that's right because no one is so bullish that is globally accepted apart from dollar that's why there is hope that maybe currency will not be a different medium that's right crypto bitcoin is also a front runner in this particular thing but will this all the governments will will they go against it or in for that's a different question.

38:09Yeah but governments these are just out of the governments. Okay. I mean Trump accept it. I mean crypto capital I mean crypto capital. Yeah. I mean crypto crypto I mean it's just dams very big. And I don't know what the fair value is. Because 5 years ago when I when I was writing dams 10 ,000 today dams 100 ,000 is not the fair dham. So, dham can be done. But crypto as a concept is here to stay. Do you have bitcoins? I personally, that's the biggest mistake I am saying, but I don't put my money where my mouth is. You've never bought? I've not bought bitcoins yet. Not, never, no crypto. Yeah, because Bitcoin, nothing.

38:55My biggest problem, as we as investors are, is that we manage the other money. manage करने में, अपना खुद का पैसा अच्छा manage करने में कम रह जाते हैं Help me out, you met Putin, आप Vlaad Amir Putin से मिले हो and आपने बोलाए कि उन्होंना आपको impress भी किया, तो कैसे उनसे मिले, क्यों मिले ना impress की बात नहीं, यह क्या हुआ था कि 2010 2010, I worked for the time for the Morgans. So, it was something in 2010 that I had a conference in Moscow. And I was going to go to that conference. So, it was something October. I think that the conference was 10 days before I got a phone that you are coming to the conference and you write and you do all this.

39:46And Putin will also be in that conference. And we want to We want to come and do a presentation in the conference. We want to tell Russia how the economy is doing. I said okay I'm coming, I'll do this presentation. And I told you to open the door, frankly. What you want to tell Russia about it, how the economy is doing. I took advice seriously. I want to tell Russia about it. I said, I have a full presentation prepared. I have reached here. I went to stage. When I went to stage, Putin was sitting there. I started my presentation. I didn't know that it was live on national TV. Because it was in Russia.

40:42I started it and addressed it. Putin and I said that when you came in the first year, you did a lot of things that you did. Because that time Russia was full chaos in 2000. And that time, what you did, Russia was stabilized. But in the past 5-7 years, Russia was again who corrupt in the country and these are the factors that corruption is you have no brand as well as we think if vodka is Russia is but if the world the top five brands in vodka there is Russia no name and I have all the problems I have to talk now when I was when I was talking live in the hall I felt like I felt like I felt like Sonata that's fail right that people feel like what are you saying?

41:42I went to go to the presentation and Putin sat down and they had notes. So I had my presentation done. I thought that some of the signs were gone but I had to finish it. Then I went to go and I went to sit and sat down. Then Putin said that my presentation was always Russian. They were always Russian. They were never English. I listened to translation. in my presentation. You said, you said, I have referred to it and referred to it but you said, these are things we will see etc. I said, okay, I acknowledge it. In the morning morning, the new head of Morgan Stanley came to me, that you have what did.

42:31I said, why don't Russian paper read the page that made Russian papersode

42:46don't read Russian paper? Russians you said that Russia has all these problems. And the press that I know in Russia, I know that the Kremlin, which is the government that controls the whole press. So the message came clearly to the government and to the people who came to this, that you can discredit it. So, for me, a lot of attack launched in Russia. The press came all this. The Morgan Stanley office was in Moscow.

43:50me. That that I was in Russia. In terms of that, because I have a advice given that I have no official trip. So this is my Putin encounter with me. So when I was writing Breakout Nations, I wrote a thing that if any leader if he has a power in power and has a success to achieve, there is a lot of probability that the success in his mind and they go to the other's opinion and listen to the other people. It doesn't have interest in it. It feels like everyone knows everything. If someone is talking about something, then they are all anti-national people. They mean, let's take this out. I thought that Putin's attitude changed after 10 years.

44:38People talk about Putin, they don't understand how Putin changed. They are now 20 years old. But when he came in the past, parr me aay thay woh joh putin thah or joh putin 10 sal baad or 20 sal baad hai woh bhoat different hai. To ye mele niye learning experience rahi. Or dousra yeh raha ki Morgan Stanley may bhi yeh mujhe baad me malum ha ki wahan pe pora mtlab politics chalhi thi ki isko nikalou firm se. Isne ake mtlab pura dhanda kharap ke. To jab aap kishi large firm me kam karate hai to aap kitna freely bol saktay ho. Isper bhi kafi paabindhi rheti hai. You know in terms of how much you can say.

45:19But this I always, I always, I always I always emphasize that that my freedom of speech and I always write what I want that I always write and what I always say that I always say. If I always Morgan Stanley leave this for me, then leave it. But I always compromise that I always compromise. What do you think Russia, Russia's president, Prime Minister, Leaders, whatever they are. There are many times that they are very long and iconic. Vladimir Putin being one of them. Putin's traits that the other leaders should follow. Because he must have done something right. Nation, top five economies doesn't come in top five.

46:04Top ten doesn't come in top ten. He doesn't come in top ten. He doesn't come in top ten. But when he talks about leader power, he always comes in top five. What is his way to do? If you have such power and you have such power and you have such I think he did it that he would produce many benefit delivery as a if you see China government if you look ahead if you look ahead in the last 100 years which people should have described against him then if I would call a Jennifer saying that which I might talk didn't come there I changed and

46:41didn't change or doesn't he did what he did. If you have to live in the power, how do you do the opposition to do the other thing? And the other thing, you project a strong man's image. And one thing I see, like my incident, which I have said, is poker faced. You don't know what they are thinking about it. Is it good or bad? I guess, playing games is a good thing. that you can't know what you did, you don't know what you did. Now, I think I've met many leaders. Today, the most impressive thing was Indonesia leader. Jokowi. Now, they're the opposite of their own. If you'll meet Jokowi, he was 10 years old.

47:30But 10 years later, he lost his term. So, he lost his term. He was very popular. He was so many years old. In terms of that. and Indonesia's economy was under quite a good time there was no big boom but quite a good time if you get them they are so friendly down to earth they are so rooted that they have a different impression their legacy for Indonesia is better in terms of that compared to Putin's legacy because legacy is what will happen okay that Russia was done in the beginning of the year, for 4-5 years, it was very good that Russia was stabilized. Because that time, Russia was breaking after Soviet Union, and it was completely chaos in Yellowstone.

48:22So, that was stabilized. And that's why they gave credit for it. And I've said that in speech. But after that, what they did in Russia, and the fact that they have made an economy, is. If we have top 10 economies in India, we don't have to do it. We don't have to do it. We don't have to do it. We don't have to do it. We don't have to do it. Because India's rankings have been in the past 10-20 years in the past 10-20 years. The impact has been on the top 10-20 years. In terms of that. But if Russia's talking about it, then the rankings are going to do it. So Putin has what did it? Which means that.

48:56Which means that. Which means that. If you just have success that you have to live in power, in the world. And you have to see that it is a strong country. When your economy is not strong enough, it's okay. That's success. True. You know, my friend is a friend who works with a lot of global leaders. And he said something very nice. You met Dubai as a leader? Yes, I mean, the crown prince I mean, I met. UAE. Yes, UAE. But MBAs, not but MBZ who they have not but their children who they have met. Who? Who they have crown prince who have known. Faza? I don't remember the name but crown prince number 2 who they have known.

49:45Okay. So he met Dubai's leader, right? The main leader Muhammad bin MBZ who he has Sheikh Zayed, right? exactly and he was you meet their leader and you meet one of the world's other leaders who technically dictator is autocratic after that you never feel like you have a minute feeling that he is a dictator you feel like you have met somebody who is a people's person who is very friendly he is not as a poker face who is just as an ideology U.A.E. or Dubai I will make the best and I will take the top level that's it and you are so small I didn't have anything in front of him after that he doesn't make me feel that hey I am the dictator and I rule this particular place he doesn't make people feel he was talking about how world's democratic leaders they feel like they can't go without them and they can't go away and to me that was very fascinating and I think maybe that is also one of the reasons that Dubai is doing so well that they know that they can't move on.

50:59There is no rule that you can vote or not. Then they deal with that in the world that if we can move on, we can move on and keep our friends. We don't have the world because of our way. We are here only to serve. And Singapore also, their leaders are always like this. Lequan News also, if you write a book I will write about which many impressive leaders in the world. Singapore's leaders. Singapore's Lequan UB is also a part of that. And today, when I meet Singapore's president, he is in terms of Indian origin, he is also a kind of a bright person in any profession. So, he is a leader. I have a leader in the world.

51:51I have never met with MBZ. But I have met with Singapore as a leader. Or I have never met with South East Asia. I have met with leaders. I have never met with a thing. I have seen traits. I have met with all politicians. Like Thailand, KB etc. The leaders and politicians are one of the important qualities. That is their personal charisma. that you are uplifted. You know, like you think that you think that you leave the camera with a bright smile on your face. Agreed. And this means I always say that in India when the leader doesn't do so good, the most important thing is that if he doesn't feel so that's a big drawback with the public.

52:48Lasting impression. Lasting impression, I'm saying that in terms of the number one trait of a successful politician, I think that when you get him, you feel that in terms of that you feel good about yourself. Yeah. That is the number one trait of a successful politician. That I think that art our PM Modi has mastered. Like you meet him and you feel like there's a lasting impression. In fact, Dr. Jay Shankar, if you meet him, you'll feel the same thing. Nezhan Gatkari sir you meet him you feel the same thing these are like in my personal experience I can tell like every time I have been in the same room or have met these people it's that feeling in Indian politicians in many politicians you will take a state chief minister you know for example even people like Akhilash etc you can disagree with them in terms of that or just state govern but when you get you like in terms of one on one unka sense of humor or etc you know like you'll be quite impressed by it.

53:50Other things you can be quite so politics go separate but personal charisma Indian politicians are very strong. I've met many Indian politicians when you meet them you leave the camera and say this is it. That's the reason why he's in terms of etc. Lalu was so angry when we met him. they know, they all know in terms of that. So I'm saying Indian politicians across the board, this is a lot of them. True. This is quality, but generally across the world, most successful politicians, like America, maybe. If you look at the most successful leaders, if you look at it in terms of the track record, it was Bill Clinton.

54:31And I also got to get a lot of them, but it was always the quality of them, that they will see in the camera that who is not impressed with them and target them that they will how they will impress them. So nice. Like George Bush, I mean I have interviewed for our two years. I have interviewed extensively for two years. George Bush was president from 2001 to 2009. and personal level, there was a lot of controversy in the US. That Iraq war did, what did he do. But when I met him with personal level, when I was interviewing him, he was so angry at you. His sense of humor was the best sense of humor of any person I've met.

55:29His sense of humor was the best. interesting like episode I remember that I had interviewed him in 2011. Bush or Clinton? Bush. George Bush said that I was talking about in 2011. I had interviewed him and it was a very free-wheeling interview. I asked many questions to my clients. Then in 2016 I met him in 2016. I look at him and he says that he said that he didn't change 500 people and he didn't change suit change he didn't do it he was wearing so you know sense of humor and after the interview after the interview see how good the thing is at my home a personal handwritten note was reached to thank me for the interview and what I like to thank you and what I like personal handwritten note was reached two days after the interview was reached so these little and how they are happy and present.

56:36These are successful politicians. What are your views on Trump? Why do you win elections? What do you think? Trump's two things are. One is that if you look at the whole world, in the developed world particularly, what is happening? There's a lot of anti-establishment feeling. That whatever establishment is, we'll go to the same thing. Because people... And I have written this. in terms of what went wrong of capitalism which we have written in the book that we have written that we have written that the average person in western societies in America or Europe that we think that the economic system is not working on our work like the housing prices that are so expensive education costs that are so expensive and the opportunity is set that is so limited for us for us in that place we are stuck, geography or income mobility.

57:37These are very deep structure issues. Trump's figures are known as how to tap. These are grievances for people. When you don't have so much wealth, so you feel like people are out of the country, immigrants are out of the country. These people are out of the country, our culture spoils so Trump all these factors tap this is quite in terms of that so I think that's the reason why figures like Trump have been doing well I feel there are two reasons you talk more about it first I think because his business brain has very data driven populism understanding that he can from the data from the data we can strongly understand where they will be popular and how they use the media to influence the particular state.

58:34And that he did very well. He used the podcast, his rallies, other leaders and conversations, influential entrepreneurs and other people who were leading the particular Indian origin or other origins,

58:51that was very smart and data driven at least look back that one thing was very standing second it's more of an experience opinion which I'm trying to share with you I think that when chaos happens in any country and people are lost, authoritarian leaders because when the chaos of this situation comes to power project that I am powerful, I am a stance and I will do this I am not scared of anyone, I will not be scared of anyone at that time people are pleased usually they don't perform that well as authoritarian leaders and probably Trump has project and that's why they have a lot of benefit do you think so?

59:38Yes, it can happen but I will tell you about two factors in terms of to put this in a society global perspective if you see that in fact India in my opinion a coin was made it's anti-incumbency that means whatever power is that it will go if you see India then state or national elections and the most people in India when our true democracy 1977's because it was one party rule more than leaders here election had same time if you see US and developed world in the same time most of the period leaders election won the election which was in power in the election won the election in the last year what happened in America and Europe and in the developed world in the most of the leader power in power, that election goes out.

1:00:44And first of all, America's case in the US, we saw that the party in the White House, that's the three elections, one-two-three. So, first of all, in 2016, the Democratic Party, Obama's party, that's the Trump's first. In 2020, Trump's first. And in 2024, Biden's party, the Democratic Party's first. you're Trump surprise So this rocking has beenlarını

1:01:15you're רוצes Germany countries which touched

1:01:37which I've touched So people think that they are so dissatisfied with the leaders. Because in every place, in the developed world, Japan, Germany, France, the US, those who are leaders in power, they are very much resentment. And that's why they are coming. When you were 10-20 years before, you had the chance to win. If you were a good chance, you had the chance to win. You had the chance to win 50 % higher. Because you have the whole world, television, media, all are behind you and you have the visibility. You have the job to win. George Bush, Bill Clinton, Bill Clinton, so many leaders elections were winning in terms of that.

1:02:18Interesting. That can be probably true. Yeah. Dissatisfaction level is increasing. Yeah. Or maybe the patience level is lower. Yeah, patience is lower. You should say that… One year in one year, there was a change that was promised in five or ten years. Yeah. That it was social media or what it was. That means it was more than that. But this is also interesting. interesting is that I have seen the trend. I have written it in fact. So, this is the developed country. But the emerging markets are developing countries, which we play in India, such as India, here we see the trend. India, in fact, the anti-incumbency has changed a little.

1:02:59If you look at India, then the more data, the past 15 years the more government elections are winning. So, it's not a state level. If you look at state level, which was already back. Yes, back. Why is this happening? So, it's a very interesting difference. What is happening in developed countries? What is happening in developed countries? That there are leaders who are going to be released? And the developing countries like India, Indonesia, Mexico, the party in power was going to be back. So, it's a very interesting difference. and I think I'm thinking a lot about this. One is that we talk about India.

1:03:43What is happening in India? The most important trend that I have in India is the digitalization trend. What is happening? It's happening in 1980s. When Rajiv Gandhi had a very memorable statement. He said that if we spend 1 euro for 1 euro, then only 15 people have reached. which is the balance of corruption, power brokers, intermediaries, all of them eat. So, people were very sad to say, that you are promised us that we are only 1 rupee, and we are only coming to 15 bucks. That was their analysis. What happened in the past 10-15 years, I think that because of the adhaar and the digitalization, which is the country, bank accounts, etc., That's why now when politicians have promised to them, that money is in their bank account.

1:04:43Which also promised to them. This has been a big change in India. And this has been a lot in emerging markets. That money was being paid for, now that money is getting paid for people. It's still getting paid for people, but it's getting paid for them. So that's why in Russia, when the government promised to them, that you see in your bank account like for women special schemes launched that you have so much money came before it didn't happen so what happened in India incumbencies because of anti-incumbencies which was in India it was reduced and talking about developed countries versus emerging countries right in maybe ab dekho do-teen jage trends similar right and first let's talk about little developed nation Canada that Canada may be Justin resigned right and he's saying ki we resign kareenge agar koya unka successor miliya why do you think he's doing that now I have in the last year that if you look at Canada worst performing economy in the entire developed world if we talk about the last 5-6 years, then we are in Canada.

1:06:04Why? Look at the per capita income. So, Canada has so bad per capita income because the per capita income has been in the last 10 years where we are not. So, I think that it's a big factor that in Canada, not to have any such technology as in the US, which has so good technology firms, Canada has not so good and there is a government that has a very very much in their economy. So, people are very worried about it. Because there is no business growth. So, Canada's economy is one factor. My focus is on economics. So, my bias is the idea that I see every thing. But in Canada, there is a big factor that the economy has been in the past five years.

1:06:54It has been quite bad performance. Donald Trump said that he was a 51 state. they have. No, that's what people say about Mexico and they joke about Mexico is the 51st state of America. So, if Canada is the state of America do you think it will perform better? No, I have said that there are two things. If you look Canada, then long term perspectives are Canada quite good for us. In the last 10 years in terms of I don't know in terms of America people are not happy. If people are so happy in America So, they bring the party back to the last 10 years. You just told me that Trump's victory is such a thing.

1:07:39Because in the last 4 years, the people who did not do it in the last 4 years, they were so happy. The inflation was so high. Now, the last 4 years, the US average inflation rate was higher in India. In terms of that, 2-3 years for it is less. True. and culture how is US and India do you think US and India freebies culture good economies US would be like freebies in fact US in fact if I see my biggest concern US economy and I have written that the role of the government is very big and the welfare payments are very big and partly Particularly, it really feels like it's welfare payments, when people had inaugurated örnews in America, if we see here today, the fatal problem of the single goal is what is that the people in America have been a big role with amazing hairs on the globe.

1:08:44The American fiscal deficit, which we want to find out, is very large. So, if there's a problem in the next summer is Arnold, in the next two years, so this is the most important thing that the government has its role is very big and the government is spending so much on the welfare and other things, it has not been so much on its own. So the biggest problem in America is this. Do you think that freebies culture is good? No, freebies culture is good. How can it be? It can not be. In India, it has to balance. because there are many poor people who need this, so we need to give a little bit. But if you look at China, if you look at China, we understand that China is a communist country.

1:09:37But when China was 10-11 % growth, it was no free money. It was full capitalism. You go, go and get a job. If you get a job, you will see what you want to do. they didn't get any freebie or anything if you have 1000 miles to go to work then go to work so we have seen migration that coastal cities were quite growth in the east so many people have gone to work but if you need 10-11 % growth China I know, growth needs to be a freebies culture. You can't do this. You can't do this. There are two rules. But if a party changes, if someone has a freebies, you can see it. Yes. So, you can see it. Which one has a freebie, the large pool of votes, large pool of votes, which one has a freebies.

1:10:36Yes. Yes. So, you can say, that freebies, you can ask me if freebies are good or not. There are two things. If politics and votes are good, they are good. are if you have 10-11 % growth for 10-11 % growth, then you will lose 10-11 % growth. See, you will learn the whole world and emerging economies, right? Then, there is a problem of US that you have said that polarization is a lot. Every state to state depends on something. Satisfaction level or dissatisfaction. So, the country is divided into a small faction and mentality. So, the problem is that it is internal problem. China Silver tsunami Which is That Their aging population Is Many people age But Young people Are not Birth rates Are not In fact There is a prediction A study That 2030 To China One fourth Of the population 60 and above Which is A very big population So Silver tsunami Is That So China Is Aging Population US Problem Is Your internal conflict.

1:11:42Russia game may not be economic point of view say Germany, Japan France in some predicted India is more than growing. But what do you think? India has what will be if India will grow up to 10-11 % in India? India will be 10-11 % growth. Why? Because we have no idea that we have China reformed. That we don't give freebies or people to go and go and work.

1:12:30do you feel that India or China's growth growth will not be able to get. No, we are outgrow because China's growth rate is gone. But in the level we are reaching to the level of time. If China's per capita income $3000, China's $10 ,000 to the top of it. If China's in the next 10 years it's growth rate 2-3 % and our 6-7 % then we will come to 20 years to the top of it. China's So you tell me, top three rules in terms of successful nation. Top three, I can't tell you, because I think all 10 are good. But in terms of, I have a lot of about this. I can give some illustrations. One thing I have said, political leader.

1:13:19That maximum reform, I can tell you, which country is going to be, when a new political leader comes, and that country is going to face any problem. Because I feel like that, time, that leader will come and change the maximum. Because people also want to change the change. Because often we say that leader has changed. But if the country is doing well, people say that what is need for change. So, the most important change in the country is that there is a new leader and that will change the change in terms of that. So, political rule, I say that. So, sentiment changes the whole. Yes, in terms of that.

1:13:54So, it's the political rule. Okay. The second one is my favorite. My second one is that in terms of that demographics I am very careful that no country is not where the population is growing will grow fast. So in terms of demographics is a necessary but not sufficient condition for high economic growth. So that is a very important rule that I will say. And the third rule I mean if I tell you this is always that if developing countries remain that that currency is like we think if currency is correct, then okay. But currency is as easy as it is, it will be better because it will increase your exports.

1:14:39And other people will come in. So stable and cheap currency is a very important rule for a country to do well. So currency is powerful to be no sense. Yes, absolutely. It will be a good deal. Interesting take. So do you feel that the bigger people become, not just in government, in normal people, if they become a billionaire, they become rich, they hate people. They bash billionaires. People have a little bit of a hate chart. They have a little bit of a big man. It's a little bit of a big man. I think people have aspirations. And when you talk about rule, there was a very important rule that I wrote in the book.

1:15:21That was based on the on the billionaire index that if the billionaire is in the country if the billionaire is very much then the problem is left and which industry is in the billionaire? I think that if the money is in the billionaire if people think that if people think that they have the government to favor or dostie then they think that people like to do that and the other one that if people who make money, or make money, or make money, or manufacture, then I feel like people are much more than love and respect. So it's very important that you have to create a wealth creation. And the second thing I believe is that if you have a wealth, if you have made a whole of respect, then you have a lot of respect.

1:16:14If you have a wealth of wealth, inherited, that you have not, but if you have a family khandani ho to to thowdy kam respect miltie hai so it's very important to distinguish this but jjadat agar ameerika mein dekho ya india mein dekho india mein bhi agar aap jjadat dekho to me lagtata ki jjoh billionaire loog hai jjadat loog unko oopar dekhtae ki you know unho kafi achieve kara jiasse abhi ratan tata guzre to kitnye sare unke mt logon ne a a a

1:16:50way out of which way. But if you see the Ammanis at this point, they are loved. They are not very hated. They are not very hated. So, they love them. But in those two sectors, two things you have said, they inherited. That is first. And then second is government involvement. But they are still loved. I am talking about general balance country. So, if you have all these roles in India, there are a lot of problems. But if you look at India for 10 years, many billionaires who have come here, manufacturing, technology, some quick commerce, in terms of chemical industries, they have spread a lot of wealth from different billionaires.

1:17:39So, I don't think that I have a lot of problems I don't think people are in terms of that. So, it's like a balance. I think the balance is more important. Do you think India, without the government involvement, you can become multi-billionaire? I think technology companies have shown it. The entire Infosys, Wipro, like stories before the decade and in the past 10 years, if you look at the technology sector that has been built in the technology sector, they have been built in the government. Yes, it's made of it. So, like I say about India, this is the country, this is my favorite quote, which I always say about India, this is the country that consistently disappoints the optimist and the pessimist.

1:18:27So, whatever you say about optimist, you will get disappointed. If you say something about pessimist, then you will be disappointed over time. So, this is my line about India. That, I love it. That's so true. That's so true. I am a very irrationally optimist and I see everything positive side of everything and I enjoy it. But it happens that then you get disappointed. And my friends are pessimists and they are disappointed. It's so true. It's so true. Would you say you are an optimist or a pessimist? No, I am fundamentally an optimist. But But your views are very analytical. People don't say that you are pessimistic.

1:19:08What do you want to say? My My thing is how to think, like how to think which is different from the herd. So my whole thing is always. I started writing for the economic times, which I was 17 years old. So after that, I started writing. And my entire thing was how to write and how to think in a way which is provocative. That you have to think something and that whole herd is not thinking. So that's always my main objective. Perfect. Thank you so much. It was a pleasure having you. Thank you, Raj. Thank you. Very interesting. 12th year, you have more interest. So, I'm saying that many people say, what do you mean?

1:19:50Look, in school, there were a lot of intelligent people. They were good at school. Some of them were top. But my only advantage was that I knew exactly what to do. Because there were many people who knew what to do. So, they were top subjects. but if you have any passion or interest then you can be jack of all trades but master of none so I think this is probably an advantage thank you so much for watching this episode end to the end now I have to do three things first of all, subscribe to this channel because as much as you subscribe we will get better and valuable guests for you number two, tell me in the comments what did you feel good and bad so that we can repeat the mistakes and which guests you want to see in our podcast so that we can take them and give you more value.

1:20:47And number three, you have to share this episode with someone else because one conversation can change someone's life. I'll see you next time. Until then, keep figuring out.

1:21:07Thank you.

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(00:00) – Introduction
(01:56) – The next Prime Minister?
(04:45) – Views on PM Modi
(07:19) – Ruchir's perspective
(10:36) – The opposition at the state level
(13:00) – State election campaigns
(15:47) – A leader who can challenge BJP
(18:30) – Potential successors within BJP
(20:33) – How India can achieve rapid growth
(27:42) – Competitive federalism
(29:53) – Talent and unemployment
(32:03) – Improvements and setbacks across states
(32:56) – Progress in Karnataka
(33:23) – Challenges in Maharashtra
(33:54) – How to uplift poor regions
(34:37) – Capitalism vs. Socialism
(35:04) – Why he is bullish on crypto
(39:12) – Meeting with Vladimir Putin
(45:50) – Traits of Putin
(49:21) – Leaders of Dubai and Singapore
(53:01) – No. 1 trait of a successful politician
(56:48) – Thoughts on Donald Trump
(1:02:28) – The digitalisation trend
(1:05:36) – Why Justin Trudeau resigned
(1:08:06) – The culture of freebies
(1:11:01) – Why India can't grow like China
(1:13:13) – Rules for building a successful nation
(1:15:04) – The billionaire index
(1:18:03) – Growth of the technology sector
(1:18:58) – Optimism and pessimism
(1:19:43) – BTS
(1:20:21) – Outro



In today’s episode, we have Ruchir Sharma, bestselling author of 5 books, Chairman of Rockefeller International, and one of the world’s most respected investors and thinkers. He began writing for The Economic Times at just 17 and has since built a reputation for his sharp insights on politics, economics, and leadership. In this conversation, he opens up about his journey, his writing career, and the lessons from meeting global leaders including the time he met Vladimir Putin and was later asked to leave Russia.

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About Ruchir Sharma: https://ruchirsharma.com/

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About Raj Shamani



Raj Shamani is an Entrepreneur at heart that explains his expertise in Business Content Creation & Public Speaking. He has delivered 200+ speeches in 26+ countries. Besides that, Raj is also an Angel Investor interested in crazy minds who are creating a sensation in the Fintech, FMCG, & passion economy space.



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