In short
Professor Sreeram Chaulia argues that China’s rise and expansion are Asia’s biggest threat, and that India should respond through “living-in” style strategic partnerships—multi-alignment and strategic autonomy—rather than “marriage” alliances that force India to follow one bloc.
Guest backgrounds
The episode features foreign affairs expert Professor Sreeram Chaulia, who has spent decades studying global geopolitics and India’s strategic interests. The host is Raj Shamani (FO542).
Key claims
India’s “living-in” model means alliances like the Quad (India, Japan, Australia, US) and other partnerships, while keeping freedom of action. Chaulia claims India avoids sanctions on Russia based on national interest, and frames India’s approach as balancing competing powers (“hunt with the hounds, run with the hares”). He argues democracies can counter China’s “debt-trap” and “economic colonization” via quality infrastructure and coordinated aid.
Notable examples
Japan–India cooperation in Northeast India infrastructure; Japan’s projects in Sri Lanka, Myanmar, Bangladesh; China’s Belt and Road loans leading to long-term control (e.g., ports/airports/bases); India’s non-sanction stance during the Russia-Ukraine war; India–France defense/security and AI summits; Australia’s shift toward India after realizing China’s leverage over trade and Pacific influence.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOIndia's Strategic Partnerships
0:45 to 2:24
Explore India's strategic partnerships with nations like Japan, Russia, and France.
“So, we get a lot of advantage in these two.”
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2:24 to 3:15
Learn how TapTapSend simplifies international money transfers.
“And to listen to the audio experience of this episode, please follow us on Spotify.”
Understanding Live-in Relationships in Foreign Policy
3:15 to 6:04
Delve into the metaphor of living relationships in the context of India's foreign policy and autonomy.
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India's Position Between Global Powers
6:04 to 8:10
Analyze India's balanced approach in dealing with global powers like the US, China, and Russia.
“These three are the same with us as we meet with our and our own quad, four countries.”
Japan's Limitations as an Ally
8:10 to 14:00
Discuss the constraints Japan faces as a US ally and its implications for India.
“be a strong country counterbalance to China counterweight that can be one of the best So this is why France with us, we have a deep cooperation, interoperability, military, security, even defense, even AI.”
Japan's Military Position
14:00 to 15:00
Discussion on Japan's military status and its relationship with the U.S.
“the constitution but their which is the same thing.”
Shifting Alliances and Nationalism
15:00 to 16:00
Exploring Japan's shift towards nationalism and its impact on alliances.
“We need a lot of things from many parts of the world.”
India's Global Positioning
16:00 to 17:00
Understanding India's role and need for military and technological allies.
“The problem is they themselves have a lot of alliances and partnerships with many undemocratic countries.”
The Complexity of Democracy and Alliances
17:00 to 18:00
Analyzing the complexities of democracies in global alliances, particularly with the U.S.
Historical Context of Global Politics
18:00 to 19:00
Discussion on historical aspects of global politics and the moral dilemmas faced.
“We are not going to be boxed in and we are not going to take dictates.”
Show all 37 chapters
India and Japan: Collaborative Potential
19:00 to 23:00
Exploring the collaborative potential between India and Japan in various sectors.
“So that we can become either better or worse.”
China's Influence and Infrastructure Projects
23:00 to 27:00
Discussing China's expanding influence through infrastructure projects and debt diplomacy.
“There is no oil or smoke or any percentage.”
Countering China's Dominance
27:00 to 28:00
Strategies for India and Japan to counter China's influence in the region.
“Because otherwise what will happen in our backyard, a country like Sri Lanka, a country like Bangladesh, Nepal, everywhere is sitting and through aid and through this economic colonization which you mentioned.”
Japan's Strategic Importance for India
28:00 to 28:38
Discussing Japan's role and collaboration in India's regional strategy.
“That's why Japanese assistance and collaboration is very important.”
India's Vision of a Multipolar World
28:38 to 29:49
Exploring India's belief in a multipolar world and its historical context.
“We need a multi-polar world in which we have seven, eight, multiple centers, we are one.”
Comparative Power Dynamics: US and China
29:49 to 31:18
Analyzing the different approaches of the US and China in global dominance.
India's Non-Aggressive Stance
31:18 to 32:31
Discussing India's unique position and philosophy regarding international relations.
“But now, the president has been set by America.”
The Path to Becoming a Great Power
32:31 to 34:48
Examining how India can grow into a significant global player without aggression.
India's Diplomatic Balance
34:48 to 36:34
Understanding India's cautious approach to international relations and trade.
“I'm just asking because you have so much history, so much foreign policy, so much economy, so much global politics, do you think whatever country is trying to become friends, does it become a superpower or not?”
Great Power Mentality and Regional Focus
36:34 to 37:53
Discussing India’s regional focus and the implications of great power mentality.
“Like we are different from others, you know.”
India's Relationship with Australia
37:53 to 39:40
Exploring the evolving strategic partnership between India and Australia.
“people ask questions, what are they doing in this country?”
Australia's Shift in Geopolitical Landscape
39:40 to 42:00
Analyzing how Australia perceives its position in relation to China and India.
“little bit of a lack of a but on certain things we have not given ground.”
China's Influence in Australia and Regional Dynamics
42:00 to 45:30
Explore how China's expanding influence impacts Australia and India’s relationship.
“And they demanded a lot of concessions from Australia in return for taking back their comments on China, the Wuhan virus and all those things.”
Growing Economic Ties Between India and Australia
45:30 to 48:50
Discuss the increasing trade relations and economic cooperation between India and Australia.
“UAE, in both of them, when we signed a free trade agreement signed, it's just opening up vast markets and suddenly you see the results.”
The Indian Diaspora as a Bridge
48:50 to 52:00
Learn about the role of the Indian diaspora in strengthening ties and facilitating investment.
“Most of my peers were saying that you have to find an academic job in the US.”
India's Strategy in a Global Context
52:00 to 55:50
Understand India's strategic positioning in relation to the US and its geopolitical aspirations.
“So, because we talk about US as a strategic partner.”
Opportunities in the Indian Market
55:50 to 56:00
Examine the potential for investment and growth in India's expanding market.
“more than$200 billion, you can go to$500 billion,$1 trillion.”
India's Growing Market and US Relations
56:00 to 58:00
Explore how India is positioned as a key market for US companies and the implications for geopolitics.
“And, you know, big American companies are investing huge amounts.”
Challenges in US-India Coordination
58:00 to 1:00:40
Discuss the challenges faced by India in cooperating with the US in its neighborhood and other strategic areas.
“Already China is trying to stymie our rise.”
Balancing Relations with Russia
1:00:40 to 1:05:00
Understand India's approach to maintaining a relationship with Russia amidst external pressures and regional dynamics.
“No, no, America has a big strength of keeping America.”
France as a Strategic Partner for India
1:05:00 to 1:10:02
Examine why France is viewed as a reliable partner for India and the historical context of their relationship.
“that if you have to step back in order to gain the friendship of somebody else who is more powerful, we should be willing to do it without any, you know, being sentimental.”
France and India's Strategic Relationship
1:10:02 to 1:14:11
Explore the historical context of France's support for India's nuclear ambitions and counter-terrorism efforts.
“The main one is counter-terrorism and national security.”
Israel and India's Counter-Terrorism Cooperation
1:14:11 to 1:18:19
Discuss the collaborative counter-terrorism strategies between India and Israel and the nuances of their relationship.
UAE's Evolving Relationship with India
1:18:20 to 1:22:19
Understand how the UAE's geopolitical strategies are aligning with India amidst changing dynamics in the region.
“On the other hand Saudi Arabia is our strategic partnership but it's more of a religious approach to foreign policy.”
India's Growing Global Importance
1:22:20 to 1:24:01
Learn how India's military and economic growth enhances its role as a dependable global partner.
India's Growing Importance in Global Politics
1:24:01 to 1:25:17
Learn how India's strategic partnerships are evolving in the face of China's rise.
Shaping the Future: Educating the Masses
1:25:18 to 1:26:27
Discover the significance of educating the public for India's future and global narrative.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00You said India is in living relationships. What do you mean by that? A country that wants to reach a small village, it needs flexibility. And that flexibility is in living, it doesn't have to be in marriage. So what does it mean to live-in? Strategic partnerships. We meet with our quads, Japan, Australia, India, US. All of them along with India have concerns about China's rise and China's expansion. And how it is balanced. It's called quads. Professor Sriram Chaulia, foreign affairs expert. He has spent decades studying global geopolitics and India's strategic interests. Today, we will decode the most important international partnerships and their strategy.
0:38Let's start with India and Japan. I tell you, this is a relationship with brothers. Japan is quite unbanned with China because it's a territory of Lisbeth Senka. So, we get a lot of advantage in these two. We get a lot of advantage of this. What about the next one, Russia? Europeans were also expecting that we will be against Russia because they have been accursed to Ukraine. But based on our national interests, we never joined any sanctions against Russia. In fact, we increased oil and weapons purchases during the Ukraine war. And that sent a message that we value our friends and we are also loyal.
1:12Our next friend was France. Critical moments in our history. 1998 when we did the nucleators. Americans all have put sanctions against Western countries. France was only a Western country who said, we will not join any sanctions against India. How is Israel's India? The main one is counter-terrorism and national security. You've seen Pakistan, these Lashkar-e-Taiba, Jaishe Muhammad, these hardcore internationally banned terrorist groups, Hamas, Hezbollah and other groups, it's a lot of standing up. Both of us feel like we are facing the same threat. But as I said earlier, the method and tactic is different.
1:48We don't do counter-terrorism as overwhelming disproportionate force. We have a calibrated and proportionate type of attack. It's a bomb. Do you think whatever country tries to become friends, does it become a superpower or does it become a superpower? You've also said that Japan and India together can take Asia and China. What do you mean by that?
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3:23So I want to start from that point. You said India is in a living relationship. Right? What do you mean by that? So tell me, India is in a living relationship. What does that mean? India is in a living relationship with someone who dates you and has married you. Tell us about this. We are not married with someone. Meaning alliance. You have to find a relationship between international relations. We have not done any of this. And this is a very clear reason. Because we call strategic autonomy. In Hindi, we call it swaithata. Samarik swaithata. that we have to keep in mind because our ambition is that we can become great power and super power for that it is necessary to become a back of the way you know what I mean if you have got your car or got your Chinese or got your Russian or someone else you don't have a big power so that's why our marriage doesn't have to be with anyone so that's why I have an analogy
4:48you have that kind of youngsters you have better these things we are on the 5th so today you know this is not the social structure but what I am trying to say is a country that is up up to go up to reach up to reach up to reach up that is necessary to be flexibility and that flexibility is in living and not in marriage so what does living mean? partnerships we call it in English strategic partnerships strategic partnerships which are very important my friends recently Dr. Jay Shankar launched in Delhi so your audience Dr. Jay Shankar's speech which is on the MEA Ministry of External Affairs website which was on my book launch which was officially on record so they had a great friendship and what they had on it they had a great speech so anyway so who are our most close friends or friends I think these are the ones I have written in the book Japan is in Asia in Russia, our close partner is very big.
6:02Then you have Australia, then you have US. These three are the same with us as we meet with our and our own quad, four countries. Japan, Australia, India, US. These Indo-Pacific, the Hindu, our Kshetra. India is the Quad UAD. No, it's not an acronym. Quad UAD is not a word. Quad means four people's number. as well as the ticadi and then the chokadi is that kind of thing quad quadrilateral four countries so these three Japan, Australia, US what is common in these three all of them along with India have concerns about China's rise and China's expansion and Chinese power, China's influence and what can it be bad in Purik Chetra and how it can balance it and bring it to Purik Chetra so these three are our you can see the future, so I said, UAE, United Arab Emirates and Israel, these two are very close and we also do some things that are a big part of this country which is a huge part of our future.
7:13Islamist extremism, jihadist terrorism, these are all things. These two are our two to counter this. And with that, we have technology, advanced investment trade this is our partner after that Europe I have talked about ARK I have talked about ARK I have talked about Japan I have talked about I have talked about Middle East Europe France France France we are very important because Indian Ocean region we have a lot of things like joint military exercises cooperation and France is also that China is the traditional sphere of influence in Indian Ocean now there are also bases military presence there are the best of China so France wants to be a strong country counterbalance to China counterweight that can be one of the best So this is why France with us, we have a deep cooperation, interoperability, military, security, even defense, even AI.
8:26Now, the AI, which we organized, we have organized the summit last time with France, this time with France. AI summit has a very big meeting, bringing all the technology leaders, advanced fields, space, these things also in France. Now, EU as a whole has become, because we have made a free trade agreement with European Union. France has been a 26 other country in EU. in all of our good and then further west you go to US Russia Russia Russia last you go to the arc if you go to the left then you go to US US with there is a very partnership living relationship but US with a problem is a big and a big and a big and the rest which are they are middle powers They are also not trying to dominate.
9:22But the US's virtues are always hegemony. How to maintain their number one status and lead. So that's why their conditionality, their pressure, their expectations. From the country of India or any other partner. There are a lot of alliance type or marriage type. That exclusively we are our own. And wherever we go, wherever we go. and my enemies, my enemies, my enemies, my enemies, they have an alliance mindset. And this is a problem sometimes with us. Trump's time, even during Biden's time, there were problems. Because Russia-Ukraine war was in Ukraine, Biden wanted that Russia was in their position against Russia.
10:04Our way is this, this is the one who is living. So we can't judge each other, because this is our own context. This is our aim. We have tried to do this tight rope. The last but not least is Russia. Russia has slightly different countries, because they have less than their base. I have talked about it. Japan, Australia, France. These are Western partners and Western partners. But Russia has a power centre. It has declined. Now it is not the issue of Soviet Union. We are talking about the power of the power of the Soviet Union. We are talking about two power of the power of the Soviet Union. China and America Russia is not a great deal military is the biggest but in the middle of the country you can see Ukraine 4 years of war hardly 15-20 % of territory is at a heavy price Russia is not a problem economy is very small Russia's economy is very small hardly 2-3 trillion dollars so it's a decline but there is a legacy relationship and very early Eurasia which we call it in Europe and Asia which are mixed Central Asia, Eastern Europe are now also of Russia historical influence so we are also buying many years and in all areas if we are being able to live Russia is not a problem in some of these areas even Afghanistan, beyond so Russia is a problem we are buying a lot of them now it's less in a period of 70 % plus the entire of the most important we were selling from Russia.
11:48Now it has come down to just 30-35%. France, but almost equal or overtake can also be done in Russia as a major military partner for India. But then Russia is one-to-five company. 30 % is important. So Russia is also important. Americans say that don't buy them from their weapons or not buy them from their weapons. How do we think we'll find it? So this is why we have tight rope balance maintain करने की कोशिश कि है अंग्रेजी में कहवत है hunt with the hounds and run with the hairs ये कुछ लोग कहते है भारत की नियत है कि हम Russians की तरफ भी है और Americans and US allies की तरफ भी है
12:36लेकिन इसका Along with the two ill недель, There as well each other The one It part of the three We use such value
12:48The can become A part of the other Can create a bridge Uh PM We are connecting different competing sides And extracting benefits from all sides If you marry do not get any benefit from the other side. To go back to the analogy. That's why I said that this live-in model is for the future. Forcible future is our right. Now look at Japan. We all love Japan. Japan is a close partner of ours. But Japan is a US ally. It has many limitations. It can never become a power. Because US has a limitation. You can test nuclear weapons. not test can do Japan is so much of China feels it is being overwhelmed by China balance of power is suppressed but Japan cannot develop its own nuclear because it not have autonomy it doesn't the Japanese constitution they have written the new prime minister may be going to amend the constitution but their which is the same thing.
14:03The Americans have written it. So, they have kept it. You have to keep in control. We will stay on our ally. We will stay on US bases. We will keep 40-50 ,000 troops in Japan. And we will protect you. We are my father. You stay under us. They are not military. No. It is a self-defense force. It is not a full-fledged military also. So, Japan has been very close to Japan. By virtue of being an ally. If you have been a youth in Ukraine, or any crisis in the world, it is forced not to take an independent line, but it has to follow US line automatically. Where the US is the decision. If you are married, you follow your husband.
14:43It's a patriarchal type of relationship. But now they're trying to break out of it. With nationalism and new leadership. Shinzo Abe and now Sana Itakai. But anyway, so coming back to the point, if Bharat also understands what to do with this, and stay together, So we will lose options. We will lose a lot of stakes. We need military help. We need technological assistance. Knowledge transfer. Investment. Trade relationships. We need a lot of things from many parts of the world. It's a diverse world. So you can't be boxed in. Into one corner. If you've done it, you've done it yourself. And you won't be able to grow.
15:24I will see this analogy so that people can understand that and by the way this multi alignment, we call it multi alignment we are with Russia but with Western countries and we are with BRICS exactly, so these formations are the same and these are the same importance of the other one is more important than the others, lot of Americans they expect that why are BRICS and why are BRICS and why are BRICS and why are all in India China is a democracy. And you should take the side of Western countries and be with freedom, they say. They say. The problem is they themselves have a lot of alliances and partnerships with many undemocratic countries.
16:07But we have that part, the moral lesson, that you are the world's largest democracy, so you should side with democracies only. So I think, look. America is which non-democratic countries? Very. Saudi Arabia is the biggest ally. I have bases I have bases I have bases I have bases all the Gulf countries I have bases I have bases all the Gulf countries in all the US has very strong relationship so the world war 2 in all the world war 2 in all the world war 2 in all the world war 2 Saudi Arabia they are always together mostly lately Saudi Arabia is trying to break out of excessive dependence on US like Japan but these are all allies so in fact Franklin Roosevelt the former 4 times president of America in the 1930s 4 times can it be?
16:59in that time the limitation was brought in so FDR won 4 times and he was going to go during his 4th term during World War 2 so FDR was famous in the context of a Latin American dictator who said you have to do your friends with them you have to do so much your friends this is not a good thing he is a human rights abuser and dictator so he is famous he may be a bastard but he is our bastard and that's okay so what I am trying to say is Antararashiti Rajniti is not a beauty contest who will see good and who is more moral so core interest on the whole thing so just like these people they are not morally superior even European Union Europeans بار بار کہتے ہیں ہم values based ہم foreign policy is based on core values and we support certain freedom and liberty and democracy and human rights and all this but ان کے بھی آپ دیکھیں Libya Gaddafi جیسے dictator کے ساتھ European Union نے بہت کچھ سانٹ گانٹ اور سعودے بازی کی تھی when he was alive and ایک تو ان کے جو former prime minister ہے France کے Sarkozy
18:21So, look, after the fact that ultimately there is no such blood is not what I am trying to say. So why are we doing this? We are not going to be boxed in and we are not going to take dictates. I think that the fact of the fact that we always have to take even with the catalyer and the catalyer and the catalyer and the catalyer and the catalyer and the catalyer and the catalyer and the catalyer it should not limit its options and constraints and choices. So, this is why we do what we do this live-in relationship type model. So now you have said seven friends. Yes. We talk together with seven friends, that why are our friends?
18:55What is our situation with them? How do we see them? How do we see them? And are we doing the right things? What are we doing together? So that we can become either better or worse. So let's start with Japan. India or Japan. I tell you, I have said that this is a relationship between brothers. foreign
19:20foreign foreign foreign foreign foreign foreign situation which I said before, that the China is very unborn and the China pressure is very much. Because the territory of Lisbon is where the island is, which China is trying to do it and Japan is trying to do it. Japan, because it is a US ally, China understands that Americans Japan are using against China. So, these two are very useful. We find a lot of benefit. How? Look at the map, Google. Japan East Asia China Eastern Seaboard which is on the way what is our benefit? If Japan and China are not built in Japan then why are we the benefit of the because China the whole military and economic and strategic focus will be built so we can't we can't just imagine even 2020 after the Galwan clash after the 50-60 thousand troops we resolved it, we pushed them back we were successful but because they have simultaneously at that time there are also bad relations with Japan and competition what is that the resources of China 20 trillion dollar economy with full might and force that doesn't put pressure on China because it has to handle that it has a two front situation two fronts even with Taiwan China wants to occupy Taiwan but the Japanese cannot accept it because if they do that then their security is going to be seriously imperiled so what I'm trying to say is at that level of counterbalancing China Japan has no clarity with anyone some people are always sometimes with China but Japan also trade with China it is an economic partner but on security issues on military and geopolitics they will never surrender or give up to China they are historically rivalry so Japan is very important and Japan is not only important for that reason in my book I have given Dr.
21:42Jay Shankar's famous quote that Japan has 4 cranties 4 revolutions in terms of technology in terms of manufacturing in terms of advanced know-how now the northeast which is our Uttarpur which is a less developed area Japan is doing most of the infrastructure projects for us and that is right across the border where the Chinese occupied Tibet and all are there we don't trust as much as Japan today let's say India's economic modernization or geopolitical counterbalancing of China even stabilizing Indo-Pacific Southeast Asian countries in ASEAN in Japan Japan is doing a lot of great work. Japan can compete with China at some levels in giving aid and development assistance to weaker countries and poorer countries.
22:29So, Bharat and Japan are doing projects like Sri Lanka, Myanmar, Bangladesh. In many of these countries, Japan and India are like a tag team. Nice. We coordinate. We don't have enough money for Japan. Japan is a rich country. But we have manpower. We have technicians. and we got you know other trust of these smaller weaker countries developing countries so jointly we are in third country Japan India team and we do projects infrastructure projects and skilling and all these things so this is all possible with Japan because it doesn't compete with us in any sense there is no competition with us so the idea is that if you have a power of India and then we also the japanese investments in india are incomparable it runs into like tens of billions of dollars kisi or continue itna investment nikya bharat mein foreign investment as japan has done it's more than us or you know europeans or any other country so uh As you can see, they think that a strong India benefits Japan.
23:45We need this type of friends. There is no oil or smoke or any percentage. We are also geographically far away. So we don't compete for influence in the same areas and all that. So it's ideal. But you've also said that Japan and India together can take place in Asia or China. What do you mean by that? An alternative. Look, there are development projects, infrastructure. The Chinese are all over there. Because it has been a big project for Belt and Road. More than$1 trillion they have already committed. And what do they do? Think you go to a country like Myanmar, Cambodia, East Timor. Or a Pacific Island nation, small one.
24:31Like Tonga or Nauru or some such place. What do they say? The Chinese gives loans. and in the midst of the work, it will be projects like railway, road, bridges, telecom, airports, all these things will be made and in the midst of the work, China's long term plan is that we have given the work, but you cannot give it back to the place so we will give it to us a place where we will permanently make a base our military, our engineers, our civilians, our intelligence, everything comes there so in this way the entire area in Asia especially Asia also in Africa and Latin America where there are also a lot of problems the China will reach the checkbook in Africa is a lot of economic colonization that's the right word so what can we do with Japan what can we do with Japan it's a little bit of a relationship Japan is a partnership for quality infrastructure which is and there is also a rakam but the only thing is unlike China democracy is not Japan so it takes more time more wetting of the eligibility of an aid project.
25:37You didn't write it in the checkbook. I said, low by 10 billion. And they don't do bribery. What do the Chinese do? They go to the poor countries and they took the president, the prime minister. These are small, weak countries. So they'll just directly bribe the president, first lady, important ministers and all. And they keep them in their pocket. And they never can go against them. So Japan, is a little slower in the face of China, it's not so fast but once Japan commits the kind of work they do on the ground marvelous, quality of the infrastructure is superior more environmentally conscious they don't damage the local people they don't commit human rights abuses like the Chinese so that's why we and them are meeting Japan it's an alternative that democracies can also do big work it doesn't have to be a big only a dictatorship can shape the regional order.
26:33Even democracies can do it if they come together. Because we don't talk about anyone's name because China is like an 800 pound dragon, literally. And they've been controlling a lot of countries. Like especially in Africa, I know this. I think recently they took over airport of Uganda, some port or some country, trains or some, pure infrastructure you can take under their control. And it's a kind of capture also. What they do is, it's called dead trap. and through debt if you are a worker then you have some rights that have taken over so that's how they try to take over those countries effectively and their long term game if in the whole developing world all the global south countries China number one US all other regional powers then China number one in the world that is their long term game through this Belt and Road initiative So I believe Japan and India and to an extent US India also, we have to collaborate more to push back.
27:34Because otherwise what will happen in our backyard, a country like Sri Lanka, a country like Bangladesh, Nepal, everywhere is sitting and through aid and through this economic colonization which you mentioned. So what can we push back? We don't have the same checkbook diplomacy. You take it and give it to you. And in return, you become the boss. So, checkbook diplomacy we don't do alone. That's why Japanese assistance and collaboration is very important. So, Japanese will give our bank account and we will be street smart. Manpower, and also goodwill. And also regional. Your readers should read Dr.
28:12Jayashankar's first book India Way. In that they say that they give a metaphor. As a democracy we will always play black pieces. Meaning, the aggression that is the first step will always chain will which has got white. first move because there are no constraints domestically. So he thinks that I am totally quiet at home. I want to be able to manage the world. We don't have to manage. We need a multi-polar world in which we have seven, eight, multiple centers, we are one. But we have other centers. Do you believe in that? Yeah. You know, it's part of our DNA. To not become super power. The absolute one superpower.
28:56One, one, one. we will become super power but we will want 4-5 of them so we believe in multipolar world and this is why even our heritage go back in time Shamsaran which our former foreign secretary book how India sees the world in that he has a very interesting analogy that even in the Vedic and the Upanishad cosmology at the time geography we didn't know that there were parts of the world they were not discovered but where we were aware of our purwaj they wrote that Jambudvip Aryavarta and Bharat it is one out of seven super continents or sub continents one out of seven and like Kamal's petals we are one of the seven and there is a natural zone of influence for us by virtue of our culture our civilization but beyond there are many civilizations and many empires and we are comfortable with that but what is it democracy and our democracy democracy America they go for the kill they go for hegemonity that's right I mean maybe over time you know you can see the 18th century before the Monroe doctrine and all they were not intent on domination you are right over time that's also like that post second world war it's clear their domination they became global in projecting power and all that they believe in this they believe in dollar domination correct they love this petrodollar thing correct they hate the dollarization yeah but Firbi military for them dollar for them you're right but Firbi you know they do it more subtly how subtle like soft power is there trade power is there all these organizations of UNESCO and then control they are all there formed by them chaired by them funded by them then military power is there but they don't invade and take over countries like Russia has rolled that started now Trump is going in different direction and expected military interventions and all but generally they have a historian John Louis Gaddis he said that America is an empire by invitation meaning a lot of countries believe that US is a liberal hegemon and if he comes then he will come and will protect us against other rivals like Japan I have here on US bases Saudi Arabia US bases so they don't outright occupy a country or take over it like Russia and Ukraine and all that no successful like really large empire by a country was purely by brute force British British has done this, America has done this, China is doing this, China is saying that I will kill you.
32:00Who knows, they may invade Taiwan. But now, the president has been set by America. Yes, I know. The president can take any of this world and it's okay. The mighty right and jungle right. Exactly, brute force, only Russia has done that. Apart from that, no one has done it, everyone is so good. we want to build trade with you then we take the country we want to build infrastructure with you then you have to build airport ports who knows I mean yeah to extend this logic who knows one day Bharat is a a new colonial power who knows but I don't see it in my lifetime we don't believe it and for the factors I mentioned I don't think we will be a country like this because end of the day I think as of now we don't believe in it Hindu civilization basically is on the idea that you know Vasudev Kutumbakam to hai hai humara you know we have a ability to include and to work with others no that is our strength weakness you can say and so I think ultimately Bharat will not become that in that way some of our friends who are into these kind of games great power games but if you look at history which is a great power I don't know what the natural occurrence or natural order after wars politics, games world, when these games started, when the super power is made across history they all by doing these dirty cheap tricks, tactics that was what the critics have been saying but I think that in the 21st century the method of becoming great power also is different because what happened before unless you win a major decisive victory in war in battlefield you are not considered a great power that was a status affirming defining moment that was a status it is not like you see China primarily through this economic colonialism only it has become great power he has not occupied on anyone else and has not occupied on anyone else he will do it in Taiwan but so far the last 20 years the Chinese made a great power it is mainly through this kind of non-militaristic approach although there is a colonialistic element in it imperialistic element so I think that the great power will be made in 21st century because the war avoidance is there because great power great power war will lead to total destruction and nuclear weapons bhi hai all out of war shayad na ho so I think the pathway to become great power joh hai due to technological change due to changes in the economic interdependence of the world and all that so I think that at least in our lifetimes Bharat ko us tari ka villain jaysa to bante hoon I nahi dhek raha ho but shakti shali banna hai shakti shali banne mein koji harj nahi and for the shakti shali we will do whatever we will do I think that is the message that India is giving right now just a curiosity question yes we look strategically and geopolitically in a good situation because we are all friends and we maintain which is a great thing we have not made trade we have not made oil we have now signed trade deals we have not made import export so we are doing a lot of good work but is that that is the right thing to do today is what we all can see and what is what all the experts are saying western and eastern, it's a good thing that we are doing.
35:52I'm just asking because you have so much history, so much foreign policy, so much economy, so much global politics, do you think whatever country is trying to become friends, does it become a superpower or not? Because then you are not polarizing half of the world and taking them your side and then establishing a dominance which China and US do. Like many African countries, they don't support US. Yeah. Not at all. Yeah. And you can see that in the UN votes of Taiwan. You can see that before when China's influence was not about 30-33 African countries. So, you don't have to be able to recognize Taiwan.
36:29So, everyone was on the US side and everyone recognized Taiwan. When China's dominance in those countries in the 30-33 countries voted that we don't recognize including India we don't recognize Taiwan as a country right so it's a tricky space which China is now playing which US has also played but India is not playing that game no see the resources it's about we don't have as many surpluses no to do that checkbook diplomacy and all and secondly like I said we don't yet have a great power mentality what is great power mentality the whole world is my canvas and if I make a compromise in one part of the world it will help me in another part of the world this thinking is great power logic now our regional consolidation is the main objective still South Asia, Asia and Indo-Pacific this is our core concentration Chana Kyo Kata Kautilya's concentric circle first concentric circle So, you know, you may see some of these behavioral patterns and some of these things maybe later in time, you know, but we still have a sense of exceptionalism.
37:46Like we are different from others, you know. Absolutely. So, I think that will remain. And because it's a robust democracy, people ask questions, what are they doing in this country? Why are they not doing it? So, I think the debate in the discourse naturally limits excessively reckless or excessively aggressive behavior. so just like counter terrorism now Israel is our friend many people say Israel is running on the enemies why do we take so small steps we should be like Israel we should like blow the smithereens out of our adversaries now I have explained this book that you have to take along many many many countries together and you need a lot of them support in the UN General Assembly in the United Nations Security Council in different regions of the world now we adopt the tactics of Israel overwhelming force disproportionate force which lead to a lot of casualties so we will lose with many quarters like UAE Emirates is also a close friend Saudi also has some extent so we will forfeit all those things which are also beneficial to India so we will I think therefore not adopt certain tactics or methods which may which may I mean power differential toh humara hai over but as of today we won't because we won't resort to such things we are at a so we are probably tier 2 mein hai toh bhi tier 1 peh pauchne do yeh saari tactics karke maybe then tier 1 se probably we'll change a new generation that will come up may think differently for now we are little cautious yes even with the US jo humara sabse bada trading partner hai now the deal we have done the trade deal we have done with them is in such a way where I said it's a combination of firmness and flexibility in my Hindustan Times column.
39:38So we have seen a little bit of a little bit of a lack of a but on certain things we have not given ground. The way they are asking Trump. We have not given full. So this is how it goes. India seems like a very cautious and shrewd operator. Some people think that India is waiting for its time. Now it's not coming. And until that time we'll have to be a little bit conservative only. not very aggressive or radical on certain aspects. Second is the economic potential you know I mean a lot of people stop talking about human rights when they realize there is you know massive economic and investment potential you know they stop giving us lectures on morality when they realize right so I think many of the countries that in the past were critical of us are less critical of us today on these issues on our internal issues because they realize it's very harmful to their own interests to upset this Pahad like India.
40:32So, it's good. But, yeah, I mean, maybe the pace of growth can be higher and all those things are domestic matters on which I'm not an expert. But 8 to 10 percent, if we keep on clocking for two decades, we'll make it. And for that to happen, we need a conducive external environment. There's no domestic reform. Labor code and, you know, industrial policies and all these are fine. They are important. But externally, the way you see the way you see the way is a conducive foreign environment for us to grow and for that we have to take along all these friends I'm talking about we get different things from each other and so we need that, we need the resources and therefore we are not closing our doors to anyone first we have to talk about Japan second our friend Australia Australia you know is one of our fastest growing strategic partnerships Thank you.
41:27Before we were on opposite sides. Because historically they were US allies and we were with the Soviet Union. I'm talking of Cold War type period. At that time, even though we shared the common Indo-Pacific space, we didn't have much of that. At one time, Australians used to fear that Indian Navy was big. They challenged their sphere of influence in the Pacific Islands and these Malacca Straits and all. Now what's happening? Australians have realized they have become very over-dependent on China for trade and for economy. And after COVID-19 pandemic, they suddenly realized China can blackmail them, hold them to ransom.
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42:01And they demanded a lot of concessions from Australia in return for taking back their comments on China, the Wuhan virus and all those things. So what they realized over time is Chinese Navy also is expanding heavily in the whole region. So Australia's backyard, the traditional sphere of influence, the Pacific Island nation, Southeast Asia, In all, China is more than the power of China. And Australia is being slowly ejected from many places. You are a small deep in the Pacific. Australia used to be traditionally a kind of influential power or the dominant power. China went there and got loans there.
42:45And they said we will maintain law and order, security. Suddenly, Australians are jittery saying what happens to our sphere of influence. We don't have enough money to compete with the Chinese. So Australians have to form coalitions. So after this realization in the past 10 years we have been very close to our relationship. We have signed also an interim trade agreement. Our trade has doubled and is going to triple very soon and the financial integration is much higher. Australia and India jointly naval exercises we have done. We have a quarter of quad. So there are a lot of commonalities now and our diaspora is growing.
43:24Japan is not in Japan, but in Australia, it's getting close to 1 million. But Chinese diaspora is a lot. Like Chinese people dominance in Australia is insane. That's true. And so, but to counterbalance that dominance, they need Indians. What is happening is Chinese interference in Australia's internal affairs also grew. Clive Hamilton, Silent Invasion. He's written a book. It's about how China surreptitiously entered Australia through the diaspora, through investment, through loans and all these things through trade and began to start dictating terms to Australians themselves on what to cover in their media, what to say in their politicians they bribed everybody in the system they were trying to silently take over the country so there is backlash, fear of Chinese takeover so I think India is a good counterbalance our diaspora in Australia professionals, non-political they don't work as AJ, secret agents of India are there to try and interrupt the democracy in Australia so they love us and before we said three C's cricket, curry commonwealth these are the things that Australia and Bharat are close to now negatively China has also the fourth C in a negative sense has also brought us together and now the level of economic integration is high and level of trust among the leaders is high so this is also a problem free relationship but this is new unlike Japan which we have cultivated in the last 10 years has come around one of the fastest growing strategic partnerships now we are doing joint exercises and all these things this is a crucial choke point geopolitical choke point Chinese, the oil everything from Middle East passes through the states of Malacca here Australians and Indians are also territories in the Indian Ocean and in the Indo-Pacific there are our navy that is how we are going to be able to counterbalance the Chinese and economic wise toh, just as I said, the sky is the limit.
45:26The trade is growing. And by the way, Australia, UAE, in both of them, when we signed a free trade agreement signed, it's just opening up vast markets and suddenly you see the results. Within one or two years, our trade in with double and triple. UAE is almost 100 billion to reach now. One day, a small country, United Arab Emirates, will overtake China or the US and become our largest trading partner. That's also a possibility in the way things are going. So what I'm saying is Australia we have done and they appreciate it and they want India to project power in their backyard and to cooperate with them jointly.
46:05We consult with Australia. When we go to Pacific Island nations, we don't go unilateral and we don't try to push out Australian influence. We work along with the Australians jointly let us implement a project there. Interesting. So I think a middle power coalition we say and we are a little defensive about our own backyard that the China is going to fall and it will be thrown out here and Australia is also defensive and birds of a feather flock together we are both common enemies so that's why we are both a threat exactly how do we do over dependence on China India is the biggest growing market if they can sell more minerals to India they don't have to worry about Chinese boycott and Chinese you know blackmail yeah many Indian companies after COVID started like investing a lot there like the large giants in the mineral space and I can tell you our diaspora is like a living bridge and they are so dynamic and entrepreneurial in Australia they are really they know the Indian market and they can help Australian investors better navigate the Indian market and regulatory system here so a lot of these transnational linkages are being formed at the level of FDI flows and all that.
47:23It's going to technology transfer and all these things we are working on joint in many fields. Australia is an advanced industrialized country but increasingly orientation is towards Asia. It's a little bit it's a little bit It used to be originally considered itself as part of Europe only because it's a white settlers but now they see the geography the power of geography is there in this area they need to keep China in check and they need to also find new opportunities so as long as India grows they have a bonanza because they can sell more to us so on all those counts I think the congruence is very high and leadership level also Scott Morrison sometimes people get confused but Anthony Albanese the current one has been in power for some years and he's got a very strong relationship now it's bipartisan support for India if you have a liberal power conservative, right wing, left wing whoever the election comes the prime minister comes the consensus view is India is necessary for Australia's security and prosperity so it's going well and our students are going you know when all the US and Canada and European countries Australia has become a big destination for our higher education also they want to attract more of our fee paying students they have some top universities some of the skills they acquire there can be useful for startups in India so convergence is very much and very less conflict so this is another you know and ultimately Raj you know as India grows going for work or economic opportunities abroad and settling down that trend will be less there is a lot of people coming back they are so I think eventually it will be balanced I don't think our Indian diaspora now is officially Ministry of External Affairs that the government is talking about 35 million is the number right I think it will stabilize it will not keep on happening where more and more people will leave the country because India is growing rather foreigners will come here we may have to handle some economic migrants we already have a lot of illegal immigrants from Bangladesh it's running into become a big demographic problem in eastern India but we may see more from other countries where we will have to actually accommodate more rather than we sending so south to north global south because
49:55this flow but let us look for that kind of era where we retain the talent at home and in fact we attract talent from outside we are getting a lot of talent like people are making good money outside for 15-20 years and then they settle coming back again there are a lot of now After doing my PhD in 2009, I need not have come back to this country. Most of my peers were saying that you have to find an academic job in the US. You know, colonial mindset is so much over history. Some say,
50:29you should try to get a green card and get a US citizenship. We have to say, this is my land and I have to come back and build this nation and make it a superpower. This is our small-sized job. done right. So I think that mindset will ultimately solve this immigration problem. And it is happening. This morning I met a Cummins like ex. He was a global leader at Cummins. He was chairman and MD and he left that. Cummins. Chairman and MD left that and be like I want to back I want to leave US come back to India. This is my motherland I want to contribute here. And now he's a professor. So 8 to 10 % growth.
51:05Global leader coming back and there are so many cases like you that this guy too many people it's a good thing even the IITs what they say they are brain drain everyone has a degree on tax payer funded education and then they all immigrate to the US now I saw one of the IIT directors saying that very few of them actually are immigrating you know after finishing because there is a flourishing so I think India will be the magnet it will keep our folks at home it will bring others to India and I like this strategy also So, you go out for a little time. 5-10 years ago, they learn and work. Then they go back.
51:42Skill transfer. And they bring a lot of funds. And then they do your good job. Like all startups, if you see most of them, successful ones are US returns. Correct. Because you've seen better things and you'll want to bring those best practices back. Like a lot of unicorns are US returns in India. That should be encouraged. Okay. So, because we talk about US as a strategic partner. You know, like I said,
52:09they expect that even partners allies not to be allies behave not to deviate so US sometimes our friction is but what happened because China factor like Australia Japan paana, we say US to or bhi jyada competition mein China ke saath to Asia mein inhe lagta hai ki counterweight, counterbalance joe India hai so we have to show some what they call pehle kahte teh teh strategic generosity we should show to India on many things nuclear deal jab huwa ta 20 saal pehle and all that those are all the main ideas behind that but abhi over time kya hua hai ki they expect that achha bhai India, US ke saath jyada integrate ho raha hai toh it should also So, toe our line on certain things.
53:07And we are independent. We are not an ally. So, that's why it's unburned. Like the trade war that Trump has started. That is partly out of expectation that we believe that we submit or succumb. That's what we have not done. Like I said, we have a balanced trade deal with them. and on certain issues we are seen as adamant or stubborn so okay rising power should be like that our soul is our compared to Pakistan which is saying that we have a horse you can mine all the rare earths and take whatever you want so we are not going to sell our core resources to anybody like that on a platter so India because self-respecting country rising power and ultimately great power will become some friction is still with the US but it's manageable end of the day what is it?
54:13you can see the overall relationship is so big America is only like a country which is our partner with our 50 % dialogue mechanisms bilateral dialogue mechanisms on so many issue areas from trade and technology to defense and security energy, climate you will even scratch your heads that even in this issue that even in America can be a leader there are many issues areas, topics, sectors so we have a thick relationship we have to say and this can be a Trump government or a trade war not so biggad at some point the trust has reduced because we have not thought that we will put 25 % extra tariffs in Russia but then we have been savvy in dealing with them we understand the great power mentality and we have played around that great power mentality of the US and made sure we have done a little bit but on the other hand we also have to get benefits that's why we said it has to be fair balanced and reasonable whatever outcome is there and I think they realized that India is too big an opportunity for them to let go lose altogether.
55:30There are a lot of people who have said Trump. In fact, Trump said that they don't love me as much as they used to before, but they will start loving me again, meaning India. And it's very clear because people are saying that the feedback is so negative. Our diaspora is there. We have 4.5 million people. The bilateral trade overall, if you take goods and services more than$200 billion, you can go to$500 billion,$1 trillion. A lot of market opportunities will be wasted if the trust is broken. so from now on, we have understood that we have better understand from India this is a problem of the problem and we can't make a decision on them so that we have managed and it's a very deep relationship China is counterbalancing in China geopolitical and security the integration of the technology sector services trade is very high we are in the same place.
56:26And, you know, big American companies are investing huge amounts. You know, Amazon, Microsoft, or Google, they are close to$70 billion, something they are committing new investments in India. So clearly, it seems that it is a democracy. And at the same time, there is a very big market. The middle class is growing. So how can we let go of this opportunity? And we have played that card well. that market access if you need our then you should give us more access so it's a win-win kind of a thing we have done with them and at the broader level there's a lot of I think a common English language tradition a lot of our immigrant community is there diaspora is big so all these factors make it net positive some negative sides we have to manage that like I said US expectations are different from ours on some areas I will highlight one thing in the neighborhood US-India cooperation I showed that in my book also in France, Bangladesh Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka Sri Lanka to an extent actually we have cooperated with the US but in many other countries we are not able to converge let us have a joint approach like Japan and Bharat tag team but US is not being able to do it and some of the times people say Americans think that that China is not able to push back to our own so we have to go in and do it in a different way so that's why our clash especially on important countries like Bangladesh we have not we have been very unhappy with US policy and approach to overthrowing to the overthrow of Sheikh Hasina and the new order and all that so US did US there are conspiracy theories there was a domestic you know dissent in Bangladesh against Sheikh Hasina but Americans did encourage the opposition to try and you know bring about change and they welcomed the change we were horrified by the change so if we call comprehensive global strategic partners US-India why we are not able to coordinate in our own neighborhood this is a big question and my thinking is one country can do a isolation but if you think about the big picture if you think about the big picture then I think that because India is a rising power and because we don't want to be play second fiddle to anybody we are not a junior partner we are not a junior partner this is why we are unburned with the US but we have to improve coordination ultimately if we both share the same perception that China is a shared adversary or a shared threat or a challenge we have to close ranks we can't keep on being at loggerheads no economic relationship quad have Indo-Pacific technology all are running investments all good but on South Asia and extended neighborhood we need to work closer and unfortunately US because of this asymmetry which they say in English asymmetry is not made but then even if you keep the negative aside the positives like I said are net positive and this relationship is very crucial you can see any power of Bharat is not with both powers It's not possible to stop our rise.
59:48Already China is trying to stymie our rise. At least the US is not trying to stop our rise. They will be happy if India becomes a counterweight. We call it offshore balancing. Offshore balancing means the US will not commit all assets to stop China. Instead, for the reason, the local, regional, the powers of the power of the regional, will give them a big deal. So India is the number one candidate for that purpose. So I think we overall convergence and there may be some Dr. Jay Shankar at my book launch of friends, he said that some friends are more problematic than others. And the problematic friends at the end of the day, they are still friends only.
1:00:37So sometimes people are running in India. Trump has put a 50 % tariff and America is our biggest enemy. you hear these things, right? No, no, America has a big strength of keeping America. I think these are all unfounded. What do you want to say? You will also compare the China and the America. So, how can the world become? Let us be strategic and let us think long term. With the US, alignment. Not alliance. Alignment. Don't say it's a divorce. Don't say it's a divorce. Live in. relation which is going to be it will be there are a lot of factors interesting and then what about the next one Russia so how we balanced this which is not the play of the which is juggling that this ball we are running in the air this also running and both are falling and many people believe that Russia there are two views one is that Russia is always keeping us and and you know, we can't leave it with peace.
1:01:46Let's just stick to Russia, come what may. On the other hand, US pressure on the Ukraine war and also on buying oil and weapons from Russia and all these things. So what we have tried to do is balance these two, you know, competing interests. And with Russia, we are not going to abandon them. First of all, we have told Americans, Europeans were also expecting that we will be opposed to Russia because they have accremented to Ukraine. But based on our national interests and based on our own reading of international situation, we thought that Russia cannot be antagonized and sidelined fully. It's its own importance, especially in this Eurasia region and all that.
1:02:29So we have to find a solution. When we say that we want a diplomatic solution to all these conflicts, there is no work from sanctions. We never joined any sanctions against Russia. in fact we increased oil and weapons you know not so much weapons but oil purchases during the Ukraine war and that sent a message that they you know we value our friends and we are loyal live in but loyal as you can see in the long run one third of our defense supplies come from Russia and they have also been willing to do more technology transfer and such things especially in defense field. So, you saw Operation Sindur as 400 anti-missile system, very successful in intercepting the Pakistani Chinese-backed Pakistani missiles and aircraft.
1:03:24So, Brahmos missile, you saw, we struck some of the major terrorist camps. Brahmos is also joined by Russian and Indian technology. So, in some areas, Russia is also a strength and it is declining power. so Russia was so important before us now we are not now we have come like France is a big defense player US Israel but as far as we have Russia's we will keep good relationship we can't just abandon and that gives a bad signal if we just come under pressure of US and say overnight let's go Russia bye bye then people will be unreliable partners So, our identity and our dependability is a question.
1:04:11So, I think we will sustain the relationship with Russia. But returns are not coming. Some people are psychologically in India today, and they are getting stuck in a time warp. They are still in the world of Russia. Russia is not the greatest power. So, we should have reduced expectations. need to be able to get the power from Russia. Where we are getting the power, we need to be able to get the power from Russia. But it doesn't mean that Russia is going to solve all our problems. Some people are old timers. Because of the nostalgia. Soviet Union, it was a great power, it was a big world power.
1:04:48They still have a very pro-Russian line. Without understanding the ground realities have shifted, the power has also shifted away from them. So I think we should take a realistic position on this. Sometimes it doesn't mean that that if you have to step back in order to gain the friendship of somebody else who is more powerful, we should be willing to do it without any, you know, being sentimental. In this case, some people become emotional about Russia. But I think we should be realistic. We should continue the friendship, but it has limitations. and then our next friend who is France
1:05:57His reaction is naturally true. It seems that the gemeins in NATO I This pact is peculiar. It'sушy and United Phraskets. or in the US we can create a single-party legislator. We are both German and German.
1:06:19He's taking off ! Youth and Europe and such multi-polar order may stand in a pole so there are many benefits and I think France also wants that their values based approach is a little they think that China was a lot they used to look up to China for trade and for selling their products and all that but even the Germans now the realization came to this that China is a friend and then they will eat your lunch
1:07:22conquer and China also running dairy products electric vehicles we come to listen to our listeners so Europeans France all have understood that China is not a country but we should be wary of China so all in all in calculus that is the best bet because they need India because it is seen as more benign less threatening and you know democratic so these factors you can see France is an autonomy European autonomy and to become a separate power center Trump has also played trade wars so Europeans think if we diversify Latin America is Brazil is a big country in Asia India is a big country in Indonesia if we all do that is how we can maintain our independence even from the US so these factors are which is why France is very close to us and we can trust this country out and out why can we trust this country so this is the thing because they don't another thing I'll tell you an interesting thing British, Americans, Canadians these countries these countries these countries these countries these countries all these the advantage the tippani unwanted comments they are very active.
1:08:52The liberal media, some of their government, machinery and all that. Human rights, minorities are facing France is a different culture. It is a presidential system. There is power concentrated more in the president. And France historically is not the same. People are also more comfortable with France at that level. This is a country of a country. But the typical western country type doesn't come and give you a morality lesson or try to act superior to you. So France's approach is to respect our partner. And their internal job is a democracy, India. They respect that rather than trying to find fault.
1:09:36Okay, we have reduced freedoms here. So I think we are more comfortable in France because we don't give lectures. You know? And it doesn't sit like I'm a teacher and Bharat line they are not like that nice but can you trust them historically have they been a trustable partner for others yeah you know critical moments in our history 1998 when we did the nucleators Americans all have sanctions in western countries even Japan forced to do it because it was a US ally at the time France only we will not join any sanctions against India because nuclear power was necessary for their national security we understand we understand the logic so France more than 25 years ago we saw at critical time when everyone said boycott India do it you know it's non-proliferation all the norms France I don't care I need India and I respect India and we'll go with so there are many episodes critical moments in world history in Pakistan in the time France didn't do anything yeah and there have been strong partners with us on counter terrorism they are facing a lot of terror threats uh you know on french soil you have seen your isis attacks etc there's a lot of intelligence sharing also with india on these friends so i think it's a good partner it's a yeah it's a problem free compared to u.s which is a little problematic then next friend you have israel india how is Israel friend we do a lot of work together but what is the strategic benefit.
1:11:15The main one is counter-terrorism and national security. You know Middle East or West Asia, there and here South Asia terrorist groups have a lot of sand-gant. You can see Pakistan and Jashir Muhammad are so hardcore internationally banned terrorist groups. They have a lot of Hezbollah and other groups. They have a lot of
1:11:42cooperation. transnational terrorist cooperation so both of us feel like we are facing the same threat but just as I said Israel's method and tactic which are different we don't do counter-terrorism so overwhelming disproportionate forces we don't do calibrated and proportionate type of attacks our surgical strike is away their overall total so but we cooperate lot of intelligence sharing and by the way this I show in my book that even during the time when we did not officially recognize Israel in the name of Palestine who have been and we have sympathy for Palestinians I'm talking 1960-70 when RAW our foreign intelligence agency and the Mossad of Israel had a so-called secret collaboration on these shared threats since we have a joint missile and all these very successful with Israeli companies.
1:12:44Israeli startups and Indian startups take inspiration from each other. There's more effort to integrate the young people who are innovating on both sides. Startup nation is a part of Israel, despite the wars. There are a lot of amazing talent, young talent, doing tech and digital stuff. Agriculture. We have so many farming centers where they teach advanced irrigation methods and all these to Indian farmers. thousands of Indian farmers are benefiting from Israeli know-how and technology they got the drip irrigation to our country exactly and last but not least Pakistan's is very bad in Israel and people think that a lot of Pakistan allied terrorist groups are also direct threats to them so you know the enemies enemies is the friend type of thing they have a convergence in the Gaza war there was a little problem we could not openly take Israel's side because Arab countries and Gulf countries are also the Caribbean like Emirates and Saudi Arabia and Kuwait and all that so we have tried to and even with Iran and Israel there is always fighting and confrontation and they both have a big competition in Middle East for dominance we don't take sides in this but then Israelis understand Israelis don't insist that you don't go with Iran that is American language that's why I'm saying that one of the problematic friends they understand our compulsions and say that we are fine with your choices you saw the Mumbai incident in 2008 Israelis were targeted here right after that the cooperation is bigger especially after 2008 I mean much of it is classified and not known in the public but you know our audience should know that this is closer the security cooperation probably with some other country के साथ हमारा है and technology transfer भी करते हैं यह सब sharing भी है तो I think उन्हें भी आप Israelis को देख लीजे भारत आते भी हैं बहुत as tourists and उन्हें लगता है कि they need a counterbalance to the being in a hostile neighborhood तो उन्हें लगता है the first big Gaiashian country which is not hostile is India तो उन्हें आना ही है और दोस्ती बढ़ा नही है तो controversial is that they have to do this in the US we don't support some of their actions sometimes we also abstain or we vote against them in the UN and all that but generally speaking we are brothers in arms interesting now here is the most interesting country with which trade has increased people have been able to go there there are many migration people have been able to go there and it's becoming friend of India in a way which nobody thought recently their top leader was also in India UAE UAE what a strategic plan I love UAE by the way amazing open country I love UAE for one reason I'll tell you I've been to so many countries and apart from India I think UAE is one of the rare countries who accept like that country accepts you for who you are they don't want you to change your your country your nationality, your way of behaving nothing, they just want to accept you the way you are and they want to show you their culture and they want to make sure you teach me yours, I'll teach you yours and then let's just build everything together and that is across nationalities not just for Indians they do the same thing for British people they do the same thing for Europeans they do this thing for Africans for Americans, for everybody which I really find fascinating how can you be so so accepting of the world and internationally compliant with everything and you take every citizen which is UAE nationalized and every tourist problem as your own that's like remarkable know the country has been able to do it and show it again again consistently in their A policies B their behavior C their demeanor like I I just love this fact about UAE like it's incredible to see that one country is doing it it is remarkable truly a global country yeah absolutely and behind that this is the cause there is a small country which is surrounded by much larger powers.
1:17:27So to have an open society and an open economy and an open approach to people of different backgrounds is very critical because their strategy is to be a hub for capital. Dubai is one of the big global centers of global capital, right? And to attract talent and know-how and money from everywhere, right? So for that, there is a need for that. So this has been adopted very successfully. And they are also very... so our side is Muhammad bin Zayed the current UA leader he realized that in the long run his own monarchies kind of benign monarchies you can say the system he has to be afraid from radical Islamists and terrorists so first of all he thought that the ideology of Pakistan and the mindset of jihadist to threat and all these which are radical currents they are very dangerous for them so that brought them closer to India number one they used to side with Pakistan on most things because they used to think fellow Islamic country and all that on Kashmir and all these issues but they changed the threat of terrorism and extremism is very high and after the Arab Spring 2011 when the government was down there they became even more fearful of this radical current just Egypt and all that so India moderate country hain Indian Muslims also moderate not extremists they welcome us our migrant workers there baut badi taad hain hain hain almost I think 3 million plus hain abhi so for all those reasons they moved closer to India and intelligence sharing hain baut saare Nami joh Atankwadi wagra hain joh dubai mein apna adda banah kar wahaan se chala raha teh terrorist attacks on India ye sab inho nha bant karwa hain kai ho giriftar extradition and all so security cooperation is one reason second you know uae ke paas bhoot sari surplus funds are unka sovereign wealth funds bagara hai and they are looking for diversifying away from dependence only on the u.s historically u.s alliance thang ka kind of partnership or alliance and they used to look mainly to the u.s but abjo unhain lagta hai ki it's more diversified multipolar world ban raha hai toh they are looking for new centers of growth and where we can invest we can get high return on investment Abu Dhabi investment authority Mubadala all these for them India is the biggest opportunity and we have made a trade agreement and with the help of the expatriate Indian diaspora which already has our they are facilitating this two way exchange so I think UAE with triple or quadruple trade hardly in 3-4 years after the trade agreement was signed.
1:20:22So UAE sees huge opportunities here. On the other hand Saudi Arabia is our strategic partnership but it's more of a religious approach to foreign policy. That's why we are seeing their so-called signed a defense agreement with Pakistan and all that Saudi Arabia. But UAE is not doing that and in a way UAE also has a rivalry with Saudi Arabia that I will not be in the shadow of it. Saudi is a much bigger country in size and resources and influence. So, UAE says that it is an ambition. That I have to break out of the shadow of Saudi Arabia. And that's why they think that India is more beneficial.
1:20:59So, I would say these factors are crucial. Diaspora and the counter-terrorism and extremism and the economic convergence. So, I'll tell you something. I'll be happy to tell you. India UAE strategic dialogue I went to Abu Dhabi the local Arab investors are studying from Bari which is
1:21:28which opportunity for investment so someone asked Rajasthan has such a structure but Gujarat has such a structure but Karnatak has such a structure I was so shocked these are young Arab entrepreneurs of the Emirates who are granularly studying India for more market access and opportunity and for investments, you know. And they're very pragmatic. Like we said, they're very liberal. And they, you know, believe in this India because India is also giving them a skilled workforce which is not a troublemaker unlike some other, like I said, they prefer Indians over Pakistanis or Bangladeshis, you know, despite being an Islamic country.
1:22:07Trust at the top level we have cultivated. and I think UAE is a part of the look west policy which we call act east policy Japan Australia all are this but look west or act west also say link west many phrases in that policy and that strategy for India to be influential UAE is the main bridge you know interesting how we have talked about which friends are my last question to you would be how do the world see us yeah, many people have asked me you are the you know, number one these are friends, can you get in their top three or top five or not, I think for all these countries, which we have talked about, all of them are the top three in the top three in the top three, maybe not number one for all and just like भारत बड़ी अर्थिवास्ता बन रही है जैसे जैसे भारत की military power projection बढ़ेगी अनेक अभी फिलाल तो अभी भी हमें इंडिया नोशन power है primarily लेकिन हमारी navy और air force अगर और ज़्यादा सक्षम बने with higher defense spending and capabilities over time, तो हम even further away from our close shores, we can be a security provider to many countries, net security provider so when they come they will increase the importance of the importance of so you can safely be friends with India because India is not going to betray you India is a loyal friend it has many friends but it is loyal to all of them you know so in that sense it will not run and it will not change it will not it's not a whimsical or fly by night operator it is going to be staying there so I think we are more dependable more reliable and also more visible now for all these reasons I think in sub ke liye na India will continue to grow in importance and I don't see any one of these countries suddenly backtracking saying ki abh ye liabilty ha ha mar liye india will continue to be an asset ye it's like a you know see ek strategy foreign policy strategy me ap dekhte hai ki uberta sitara kone sa hai the rising giant to uberta sitare ke saath hi aapki you know the most opportunities the most possibilities are at one time all countries were sitting on China that China will grow and we will do economic integration and it will be win-win their benefit our benefit but now many of them have regrets for that saying that China has been very big and aggressive and in a way it is like I said eating our lunch so now they feel we are in that sweet spot in the next 15-20 years India is the safest bet and it will not boomerang on you so I think as a result of it we will be in the good books of all these countries we have to maintain it will not be always smooth but the baseline is strong so I think we will sustain these friendships and that's the path I have argued that in Mitrata is one of the best without friendships some people understand great power you have high economic growth and a lot of great power you will become great power these are both factors but with diplomacy diplomacy is the third the softer element in which the core of it partnerships we will build and then we will be unstoppable interesting well thank you so much for a lot of things I am genuinely honored that you came here and itni sari baate bata hai friends puri samjadi end to end thank you for doing this you are the future of India you are the future of India you are the future of India to educate the masses and bringing serious content in a way they can understand I think you are path breaking and I wish you all the success as you keep building the opinion and shaping the national narrative and also informing the international community about India's rise thank you so much Hello So nice to see you Pleasure seeing you sir Pleasure Legend of young India No no no Trying We are trying to do something No I am so proud of the fact Because this is the future of the country no Yes You will take us to Viksit Bharat I would love to play a small role in it That's how I would put it Thank you so much for watching this episode Now you have to do three things First of all, subscribe to this channel because as much as you subscribe, we will get better and valuable guests for you.
1:27:02Number 2, tell me in the comments what you liked in this episode and what you liked to do with mistakes. And which guests you want to see on our podcast so that we can take them and give you value. And number 3, you should have to share this episode with someone else. Because one conversation can change someone's life. I'll see you next time. Until then, keep figuring out. Thank you.
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(00:00) - Intro
(03:24) - India's "Live-In Relationship" Foreign Policy Explained
(05:46) - India's Seven Key Strategic Partners
(18:50) - Japan: A "Brotherly" Relationship & Countering China
(23:58) - How Japan & India Can Offer an Alternative to China's Belt and Road
(26:42) - China's "Debt Trap" Diplomacy vs. Japan's Approach
(28:47) - India's Non-Dominating Foreign Policy & Civilizational Roots
(52:02) - The United States: A Deep but Complicated Partnership
(57:17) - Why the US-India Relationship Struggles in India's Neighborhood
(1:05:29) - France: Why It's India's Most Trusted Western Partner
(1:15:23) - UAE: India's Fastest-Growing & Most Open Partnership
(1:22:33) - How the World Really Ranks India Among Its Priorities
(1:26:29) - BTS
(1:26:51) - Outro
In today's episode, we sit down with Sreeram Chaulia, Professor & Dean at the Jindal School of International Affairs, a foreign affairs expert, author, and TV show host who has spent years decoding how nations actually think and behave on the world stage.
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Figuring Out Podcast is a Candid Conversations University where Raj Shamani brings raw conversations with the Top 1% in India.




