The Invisible Nuclear Bomb - Strait of Hormuz & Global Economy | Lt Col Narender | FO484 Raj Shamani

1:06:20And the narrative at the end, when it pulled to rest, they will get their weapons more. Because they will say, as much as you are saved, that is our reason to save. If there is any news on any weapon platform, that if there is any news that comes from, it is to protect the company, it is to protect the economics, the defense industry, protect the defense industry. They were sold for this name, that we would save you. Then they would have billions of dollars of dollars. So, that was the narrative on this narrative. This narrative on Pakistan, the world said so much, that the raphael was in the operations.

1:06:55They made it a point, they wanted to prove it, that the raphael was in the operations. gira. This didn't happen because it was Okay. So now coming back to this. You said Iran has attacked in the Middle East. Why is the answer for the Middle East is trying to do it. But it's that they don't want to get engulfed into a regional war. So everyone understands this whole thing. If this converted regional war, it's more Now the minor punishment is the same thing. To absorb it and to use dialogue. It's better. But it's better. It's better. There's nothing to do with numbers. But if the conflict becomes regional, it's a big number.

1:07:51But it's not because there are probably democracies. not so people can answer questions because what happened in uh correct like if you see our operations in dour before so many media has made so many people have made so many people made so many people to answer very loud is a mandate of a very loud way because it would have costed us something else right internal people's sentiment up and down if we were to give the people's answers. It was also... It was some pressure. This was a very big pressure. Yes, it was not pressure. We can easily contest that that they did or did not did that pressure.

1:08:35I know that I didn't do pressure. But how much pressure was that? That pressure was very immense. I'm not saying that pressure did not did or did not did. Pressure is very different. If you don't give a lot of answers, pressure is developed. country in the country citizens and civilians on their leadership has become a little up and down though right now this leadership has been so proven that we are still so calm so we make sure that we strategically take our revenge and we avenge everything but at that time it happens because it was blown out of the proportion democracy people are saying so the pressure will come there will not be there will not be there will not be there will not be there will not be there will not be there will not be fight for them.

1:09:19The general public also understands that if fighting for regional conflict will be a very more burden. The amount of losses that they will have to bear will be a lot more. Little buildings will be hit. The loss of platform or loss of life is acceptable. Getting indulged into regional warfare. Got it. Now, coming back, you said Iran has a nuclear bomb which is publicly that is the Strait of Hormuz yes absolutely why do you say so obviously it's a it's a more strategic bomb that they have it is it is any day better than having an actual physical nuclear bomb than having something like a Strait of Hormuz where you are actually not dropping a bomb on anyone and killing people but you are killing the global economy it's the way they are utilizing it Strait of Hormuz to stop Iran Iran has no requirement for that bomb.

1:10:19They only say that the state of horrors is closed. And they will hit the same thing. Just say that the shipping cost, insurance cost, they all increase the market. The market fluctuates so much. The amount of global pressure that develops on their adversary. That's how it works. After that, when they actually start hitting, so how much is it? 20 % of the entire global crude oil flows through state of hormones so how much is it? if it's a year-old, it causes trillions of dollars in losses it's going to be billions of dollars in crude oil where do you go to insurance costs? the thousands of insurance costs are going to be in crore so this is the difference 20 ,000 dollars insurance costs are now 500 ,000 dollars right now so this is increasing so many small economies are very very big implications and cost because this is what happens this is why the energy crisis oil crisis and the small economies are mostly China allies in this era because China major oil import is from Iran so Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, China China is capable enough to economically China is capable enough to economically Plus, it can sustain you and can save you But the other country, Bangladesh These are all places where China wants to create its influence There are all these problems Because those people will not afford to make a mango oil Because they are already in the country they are selling loans either from China or from international banks.

1:12:15So what are they going to do? What are they doing to save them? They are not doing anything. Isn't it a clear sign? China has always given clear signs. That with a friend, there is no protection from China. China is the one who gave money to people in big business. It behaves like that. But it gives a little bit of a shame. It's an adversary, okay? It's not a friendly country in that context. But it's not that the dead trap is not hidden. And if it's hidden for you, that means economically, if you don't have a mind, you'll be liable for that. So it's very simple. Because no normal people are talking about there.

1:12:58You're talking about government, you're talking about ministries. If you're getting into dead traps, you're not understanding. So you wanted it. But have you seen at the time of crisis all around the world, best friend is India for everyone. Whenever there's crisis, whether it's Russia crisis with the rest of the world, India supported them. It's crisis of smaller African countries at the time of medicine supplies. We support them. It's crisis in our neighborhood countries for the earthquake and natural disasters. We support them. It's crisis for defense and whatever things are. We are always there to support them.

1:13:35now we're doing it with lot of our defense exports it's crisis around Israel and the world we still so wherever India has shown friendship we've always stood again and again and again we've been the most reliable friends for rest like for the entire world whether it's a small country in Africa which probably won't be any benefit for them also we stand and someone who's like really a big superpower we stand for them as well I must name United States. How we are helping United States right now. We are helping United. United States said that we are permitting India to take Russian oil for 30 days.

1:14:17I just wanted to clarify the words. United States begged India. The word was not permitted. It was begged. It says that you have to come to the streets. They begged India to buy Russian oil. And the market will completely collapse. India was doing this before when they were taking oil from Russia we were still stable in global markets we were still doing it we will take whatever we want to take from wherever we want to take we will keep doing it we are strategically autonomous we have clearly stated every time we do our calculations people can say something on social media we do our calculations we do what we want they begged and the magnanimity that we have we accepted now let's see now Russians now are saying that we are going to go into markets with our oil who are forthcoming and who we see as our long-term partners in some some some date they said somewhere in middle of April we may stop giving our oil and natural gas to European countries is what they said the world order again collapses these are the kind of foreign policy and strategic decisions that big countries and who has said that we will bring the European Union to the US to the US if you convert it then he says that Europe will close our mouth and close our mouth and we will close our mouth and we will give it to people now there is no oil now this oil that oil goes to the US that oil goes to the US that oil goes to the US it will also close our plants Iran is not going to go straight and I will not go straight and I will not go straight the oil the oil source of the big supply is in Russia that oil is in the US U.S.

1:15:55India said, you take oil from Russia so that the market is stable. Russia said, I will not give oil to the EU. I will not give it to European nations. Come 15th of April or some date, that they mentioned that I will stop them. And it was Putin who was talking in a conference. He said, please find out the feasibility of stopping the flow of LNG and oil towards European nations. Before they shut the door on our face, we will stop the door. And we will see partners who are long term. India, the south eastern countries let's sell there, China let's sell to them you know the sanctions US sanctions that were there on Russia they have to be lifted because of the Iran war so it was so short that India is funding the Ukraine war while the Europeans were taking all the natural gas from Russia and actually funding the Ukraine war now they are ready to raise sanctions they are ready to raise the oil sanctions they have to raise the EU you still have to buy all of them.

1:16:54The requirements of natural gas are coming from Russia. We are not buying from Russia. We are very simple saying that we are giving the money. You are giving the money to Venezuela. You have to give the money to Venezuela. You have to give it to Iran. You have to give it to Iran. You have to give it to Russia. You are giving it to Russia. The back channel is very calculated. that if you take oil and take oil, you'll get some oil. So, I'll take oil and offset your losses. Finally, we'll do what we need to do for our people. We need to do something to do. So many things happened. When the Iran incident was attacked in the Indian Ocean, how much did it get shot?

1:17:39It had come to India as a... For some event, it had come to India. India comes, everything happens in India. It leaves from India. They never requested India to port us. Never port requested for this permission. It leaves from India in the territorial waters. It leaves from India in the exclusive economic zone. It gets struck by a torpedo in the US. And it sinks. And with that sinks about 80-90 people. Sailors of theirs, they also die. It's cost of war. Human life is cost of war. people are making sure that they have nothing to do why do they do it? it's a war it's not my economic zone it's Indian Ocean Indian Ocean is 70 square million square kilometer 70 million square kilometer is Indian Ocean my India Ocean is not the same war is, war is, war is, frigates are used as war machinery you can't say that my frigates were not but it was not that armed soldiers were not so India had nothing to do So it seems harsh at times, but it seems harsh at times.

1:18:47But for such a big country, we have to take a harsh decision. So we have to do it like that. So in the larger picture, all the things that are happening in the larger picture, we have to understand the country that we can look harsh. But we have to take a harsh decision for the country. True. There's one thing I want to ask. Because we were talking about Russia. about Russia, do you think Russia will become the biggest winner in this war? Yes. I feel so. It's happening now. It's happening, right? I was reading a stat that every 10 dollar is increasing the price of oil, if it's 10 dollars, then the Russian economy will gain profit of 15 billion dollars on an everyday basis.

1:19:35numbers obviously I have not read the numbers but it is very clear. I'll quote it exact thing so that I also get it right so I'll do this section again there's a paper I was reading that Russia will become the biggest winner and already because every$10 increase in oil prices adds up approximately$15 billion annually to Russia's revenue at current prices so it's imagine so oil as much as it is and it is growing up Russia is technically winning the war so Russia is not stopping or escalating more because as much as losing sanctions sanctions they are budget deficit they are going to fund their what they are doing this was the problem this war to start the war.

1:20:34And this is the problem. You have two wars. Last time round, we said that nobody wants to get indulged on two fronts. Whether they are war fronts, economic fronts, or any other way, but two fights are no way to fight. Now two fights will be ready for the US for the automatically. So somebody had to win. And these sanctions are needed to lift them. They have to request countries to buy Russian oil. They are trying to speak themselves. And the war is ongoing. Nobody should forget that Russian-Ukraine war is ongoing. Okay? Today we are lost. Today we are lost. Everything is happening there. The media may not cover it.

1:21:16The media only wants to cover the most sensational news. Is what the media wants to cover. So, what's happening there is happening. And now, In a month or two months, The amount of money that these people are going to make. and the sanctions reverse the Russia. It will take a time for them to make the money that they will have to stable themselves. And ethically also, Russians are not ethically wrong in that war as well. If we go into a deeper explanation, if I give it a geographical explanation, I will give it two lines of explanation for Russia. Russia needs to have a buffer state. This is a Russian geographical problem.

1:21:56is. Europe is not Russia until you reach there. Nothing is in the region. Only planes are. A rolling stone also reaches Russia if it is thrown from Europe. is asking anyone to make simple things. Don't be part of NATO. Give me the buffer state I want. That is. People can take our sovereignty or freedom. Take anything. As a friendly a friendly country which my Russian support I'm clear and geographically this is a very big problem but he's saying that the other side Ukraine is like why is Russia going into it slowly and slowly they will have a buffer state as much as they want they have a buffer state they don't have to say they don't have to say they don't have to say now the fight has been taken so they have to take the Donetsk and they have to take the annexation so they have to Russia is paying back in kind to US what US did to Russia Russia is doing the same to US right now they have Ukraine for this long time if American support doesn't happen American support has almost closed EU support EU American support which is a whole lobby NATO Western country support NATO NATO if it doesn't happen this is not long probably this area is not annexed any other way probably it will come out from dialogue but it doesn't dialogue because such great induction of weapon, weaponry, everything.

1:23:28So, that's all. They are paying back in kind. They have only not given their platforms to them. But please understand that the drone that is being destroyed now is against the US or Israel. It's mass manufactured in Moscow, not in Iran. So, this is also a point. So, all the drones mass manufacturing in Russia are in Iran? They are in the same time. They are in the same time. But the inventory that has been made from Moscow, all of them. Moscow has helped in that time. At the time of war, we are not doing it. We are not doing it. We are not sending our big wars. But Russia has said that they will support Iran.

1:24:06They are supporting Iran. Iran is a friendly country. We will support them. They are also saying the same thing. NATO is not putting boots on ground in Ukraine. They are also not putting boots on ground. And they are denying the thing that we are not giving a platform. But the platform is giving tactics.

1:24:24they are paying back in kind they were preparing to drop GBU, G57 they are preparing to drop all those bombs in Iran unless it is non-nuclear it is not going to go nuclear but then don't you see other parties who are started to offer help nuclear help also north korea said we fully support the new regime that is there we support his rise as the supreme leader of iran in statement of the end of the year north korea what role is it? north korea's role is simple, it's just geopolitics it's just that north korea's role is not anything north korea's said that i support him I support the regime. Because they are the U.S.

1:25:21So they are ready to... How much is it for North Korea? This is so much that Iran has to keep non-nuclear. How difficult it is for Iran to buy a nuclear from one of these nuclear countries? Russia. Russia or North Korea or anyone. North Korea has offered one of the missiles, which is ICBM, has offered it to them. How difficult is that? It's not very difficult. So these things can be improved. But it is that Until it is non-nuclear, people will not want to get into it. To just to make a big picture of the world war, it will not become. So, we are generally referring to all the refrains. Because it is going to destroy the entire world.

1:25:59Do you think? World war 3? No, not right now. It is kind of there. But, not right now. I don't feel right now it will happen. But it is, if you look at right now, those superpowers are fighting some sort. Russia versus USA. In small bits. To my mind, I feel that now it's going to be the amount of economic pressure the world will face. People are going to come in and they are going to calm these people down. And both the parties are going to claim victory. And it's going to be a lot of time to make Iran. And Israel and US will also be a time to set up their own own. the world will face some sort of economic pressure anyway now if it stops, then it will stop they should stop they should stop now the powers the world powers must tell them to stop because the effect is coming markets are going down everything is going down pressure is getting down you mentioned about the countries like Pakistan and all fuel is something fuel is not a cost of fuel everything is going down everything gets costly energy inflation rate is about to increase by 1-2 % globally do you think US miscalculated Iran's power absolutely more than the power the will to fight that underestimated why did it happen you said something outside that nothing from the beginning what was it I would the miscalculation comes from a comes from a single man's ego is what I feel it's more like that they thought they'll be able to do it after Venezuela they kind of become too arrogant they felt it'll be easy, Iran would be easy but it didn't happen because they didn't understand they didn't understand I'm saying that yes weapon wise obviously Iran cannot beat US is the bottom line they cannot beat it, if they want to decimate it they will keep pounding it they can do it but under that bottom line they don't surrender so they will have to have a little objective clear on your own war objectives like what happened in operation sindoor operation sindoor got over in 4 days 4 days after a very big pressure we had the chance to take POK and we could do that.

1:28:39This is the best thing that we could have done. Because termination of war is the most difficult aspect. We feel right now everybody wants to finish it. But now I'm not understanding. Because what is the problem in termination of war? If you are winning, I think I'll win a little more. If you are losing, it comes to ego. Any which way it becomes very difficult and there is a lot of pressure to terminate a war. India was decimating Pakistan. Nine bases gone, on air bases hit wherever they wanted they were hitting inside outside the naval poora fleet was waiting to hit everything was in place they could have hit but terminating because the objectives of war can't shift we had decided certain things we achieved those things we were good enough to achieve them in 4 days so we only fought for 4 days and we terminated so for that thing for military leadership, it needs to be a lot of a lot of violence.

1:29:36You have not to get into it. In four days of war, the people who were in the border areas were in the same way. So, to achieve it and to terminate it, it is an art which we did. And now it is not up to it. Termination is not up to it. Going back to country China, what is happening in China? China is trying to do this time that it doesn't have a effect. This global kind of recession creates this pressure. So he is still maintaining his relationship with Iran. Iran always knew that there will not be a military help from China. We don't have a military help requirement. We want a lot of diplomatic support from open diplomatic support from China which the Chinese are giving them.

1:30:29And besides that, China always does something, so it takes a change.

1:30:53the way to becoming a superpower he didn't get rid of himself so he never had an effect of his economy and he's getting it the economy is slowing down, the demography is getting older so he has many problems his Taiwan is pending he has to fight a war in Taiwan his doctrine says that in 2027 they have to take Taiwan so they understand how difficult it is going to be to take Taiwan but Trump showed a blueprint that you will do Venezuela just like you will do it in Taiwan everybody has a blueprint ready but Taiwan is also not going to be a Venezuela the comparison between Venezuela-Iran or Venezuela-Taiwan fundamentally wrong why?

1:31:39fundamentally wrong that Venezuela and Taiwan Taiwan is preparing for war Venezuela never was never preparing for war they were selling gold and I told them 2-3 things they were limited Taiwan is building up to fight a war and it has got allies who's going to support them this is japan is going to come in us is going to come in probably a window will open up for india to do something take something when chinese are english we may take something which is long pending we have our own objectives we are also preparing we also will find a window where the world is so disturbed and everybody is attacking somebody so we are fighting some legitimate war we are fighting our legitimacy our two areas are these are going to be the times when we have to also take something back so it is not everybody is realizing this thing with these wars that in conventional warfare in the current date in the current date it is very impossible strategic warfare the way we are building up our arsenal Indian ballistic missile program Agni which is at Agni 5 has been launched and called an IRBM Agni 6 is almost ready Agni 6's range is going to be somewhere in excess of 10 ,000 kilometers so we have nuclear strategic nuclear deterrence we are going to grow we've got the triad is there ASAT is there Compare India versus China to me Defense Because First let's talk about Chinese weapons Right now Why are Chinese weapons at all?

1:33:26Why are they failing at all? Chinese weapons Defense system Here in Iran Super failure Pakistan Super failure It has always been this Chinese technology Is good But It has always been there A certain amount of doubt Whether it's a small Garelu equipment Or military equipment Has always been there but that cannot be factored in when we go militarily against them that's what it will happen how much they sell to whom and what quality they sell to them and they use themselves it's a debatable point that the same quality the J-10s that they give to Pakistan are not the same J-10s that they use when they are themselves using it they sell to Pakistan when they sell to Pakistan and they sell to them How much difference is there?

1:34:19Do you think there's a difference? 100 % There has to be a difference Because the Chinese philosophy is that You can give them whatever you want They can be available They can give you something So you give them the money And you give them the money And you can give them the money Probably they may not do the same thing for them But do you think that's a deliberate strategy That you can give other countries a little inferior This is a deliberate strategy Why do you have all countries? Nobody gives their the best of the technology is never given. The holy grail of technology is the jet engine. We call it technology technology.

1:34:54We can build a jet engine. We can build something in the dunia. Obviously, jet engines when we build the same thing not come from that country. Be it an F-35 US giving to Israel or anyone who has so close and so support. The F-35 which has the US Army used the F-35, Israel will not get the same. India will not get 100%. you will always get one step down two step down Russians and Indians they want to joint manufacture it but joint manufacturing the Russians will not be the same in India it cannot happen it's a suicide you gave this technology who gave you a jet engine so that you gave everything after that there is nothing that you can't make it so it's a deliberate you are less than you are.

1:35:45But isn't it China for a opportunity to show the world that Pakistan gave so much superior or at least who could fight with India or Iran gave so much superior who could fight with them. It's a sign in the world that you can't rely on their weapons and their defense system. This is a hit and the adversaries take advantage of it. because the news is also amplified and amplified we are also discussing and we are also on the same lines that we are inferior from that way and it has benefited us it has benefited us yes obviously if your system is not right and your system is not going then you have economic pressure because this is also an industry that brings in those dollars to the country so the difference is about that see we use BrahMos first of all about BrahMos and about missile and why the whole world is ready to buy from India and there are so many orders that we probably don't have capacity to make Brahmos after its performance in Opsindor Brahmos is a supersonic cruise missile very briefly we'll just cover the sonic which is the funder subsonic which is less than mark 1 I had before mark 1 is the speed of sound so subsonic which will be below mark 1 then After that, transonic comes to a factor of a 1.8 to 1.2 mark.

1:37:15Mark 1.2 to the super sonic, which generally are marked 1.2 mark. Then hypersonic, which are marked 5. So 1 to 5, you have super sonic. It's a super sonic speed of approximately 3 marks.

1:37:33It's a super sonic cruise. So second word is cruise. What do you mean cruise? cruise missiles generally like aircraft it's a pilotless aircraft that's what happens it's like jet engine it's like it's low altitude it's like it's like it's like it's like it has got a terrain hugging feature it's like it's like it's like this way it's like it's like plus generally what happens in Brahmos other than the GPS and GLONASS which are our GPS systems and navigation systems that's why it's like INS Inertial navigation system is called. What is the inertial navigation system? It is a brain in the device itself.

1:38:13It calculates 2-3 components. It calculates acceleration. After that, it calculates gyroscope. It calculates orientation. And what happens is that there is always data that I have that I have in my launching space. Okay. In case of GPS denied environments, when GPS is denied and your navigation is broken, So you have an internal navigation, that calculation is. X, Y, Z axis, the accelerometer is your speed. And your orientation direction is given. So you can hit the target. And then you can hit it without GPS as well. When you are in route, you are jammed. You are not in GPS denied environment.

1:38:51You don't have GPS. It is not in the navigation system. But INS is always functional. So INS will take all the targets. So the target hitting of this thing, was in centimeters in the accuracy. Generally, meter is also a very big thing because it's a 400-500 kilometer range. So you're hitting a target, meaning in centimeters, it's so much accuracy. So that was proven. In one of the facilities that was hit in Pakistan, forgetting the name of one of the hangers that was hit, the vent from there, it was a small vent. was a small event. When the missile was in that event, the missile was in that event and it was hit by that anger, the facility.

1:39:39So that is the kind of accuracy it has. And it's not only one time, it's not only one time. So that is the reason. And it's low cost. Russian and Satmil and then it can be launched from multiple places. Brahmos, it's land, air, it's capability, land, air, sea. So you can do it from there. Do you think that in Ukraine war from the war there is a new example set in the whole world that your 500 dollar small drone can destroy a tank of 5 million dollar and now Iran is also doing this, that your small drone which has made some lakh rupees, they can destroy a crore of rupees and crore of rupees. So now the wars of future all the traditional large scale weapons and defense systems and tanks these all the things which was the conventional way of war which you show the whole military might it was obsolete it didn't have much power since it was so much before because you can just finish everything so the costly platform advanced platforms will have a advantage It is more shifting towards deterrence.

1:41:01That I will keep this on my own. So I will have an ICBM made. I will have a nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile made. So that people realize that if we go against them tomorrow, this is also they have. And they can fire too. So it's very important for deterrence. But in warfighting machinery, there is a lot of asymmetric warfare. the cyber the ai the drones the low cost what is it all the impact of these things it saves you a lot of stuff it saves you people it saves you life before that you don't go to the people and what I had to do was that not millions of drones but thousands of drones to an extent that talking in rs 20-30-1000 talking in Indian rupees so many drones are capable of carrying weight and carrying munition and which can hit and cause a limited damage that limited damage is also in war where time is at premium is a major achievement so all these things are happening asymmetric warfare we are moving towards AI war in the military AI has so much role platforms are using AI to capture almost every kind of data from that mapping terrain or human resource and it is affecting cyber warfare like talk about perception and narrative warfare on social media it is such a big deal the entire nation all these color revolutions color revolution it did a color revolution in Nepal it did it in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka these are all color revolutions which is brought in all the CIA's color revolution they tried a color revolution in Iran but they failed what is a color revolution?

1:42:50it's a generic term used when you want to change a regime by creating a political unrest. So a very big tool of political unrest is social media. You can do it in the name of Zenzi protest. Or anyone who is in the air. You can name it whatever you want to name it. A lot of money got pumped into Venezuela. Half of Venezuela says it's bought by CAIA before they did the operation that they did. So these are all color revolutions which are doing a regime change. Do you feel Bangladesh, Nepal, Venezuela, all CIA are doing? Yes, obviously. I feel so. Personally. What's their incentive in Bangladesh and CIA?

1:43:31Bangladesh and Nepal. When you, look, what does the color revolution mean? It doesn't mean that the regime change. It's not the objective. Regime change and bring the government to the government. That's what it is. finally so that the political economic or any other way decisions will align your thoughts process to your country so anyone can say when this revolution happens for instance if we think that the US dominated US-aligned government will go there then you can see the state of Hormuzinder how many oil control Middle East Central Asia which you think, is in control. As such, geographically, the US is so far from us, that it is safe.

1:44:24That is why they have prospered. That is from geography. American people are all. There is no way to reach. There is a pacific. There is so much gap. There is no struggle. So, it is safe. The internal is all that has been connected with rivers. There is no problem with transport. So, they have prospered because of the geography. and from that geography, there is a maritime superpower. It feels like it's a different level. There are so many roots. That is why he is poking his finger everywhere. The rest of it are all stuck. China doesn't have a maritime. There is nothing about maritime. Simple simple things.

1:45:01China doesn't have a route to go out. As China is out of the way, China's population density is towards the eastern part of it. The western part of China is very inhabitable. It's a very difficult terrain. wean ki. Pahar, desert, sab kuch west mein. East mein sara uska ho hai. East mein Taiwan pardta hai. Jaisi China saamandar mein nikalta saamne Taiwan khaida ho jata hai. Saamne Japan khaida ho jata hai. Uske island khaida ho jata hai saamne. Usha rastah ni hai. He is not a aggressor in conventional terms ki usko waisi lada hai nii hai. Woh kaita, woh Taiwan islai jitna chata hai ki jis din Taiwan jit lia.

1:45:32When Taiwan becomes part of mainland China to us din woh saamandar ka rastah uske lia khul gaya. Ab koji beach mein uske obstacle nii hai. today there is an obstacle that is called Taiwan the day they win it that was not the same obstacle in the US so what do you do with the US? I don't have anything, I'm going to prosper I'm not going to be able to do this people will not reach me ICBMs are not going to reach me nuclear weapons are not reaching me so I will have bases everywhere and I will try and control whatever maximum I can control and as you have to in the area of the West and Hemisphere when we say Mexico, Mexico, Brazil, Brazil the part comes up you try to have your influence there in any way so see how badly they react you saw the Chinese influence in Venezuela and they captured the president Monroe's doctrine it gets activated immediately that if in the western hemisphere anybody tries to middle in the western hemisphere which is the area of influence if anyone will power will be able to respond militarily.

1:46:39They never respond diplomatically. Straight up. They follow the doctrine of the doctrine that they will not be able to do military action. The rest of the place will have small small small small bases. Why did they have a problem? Another superpower is the same kind of action. There is no superpower in their conventional sense. Apart from America. And they will not let anybody be a superpower. So they realized that we were slightly soft and that is why China could gain a certain amount of ground but just a few days ago statement said that we will not give India better so it is there that they thought that it is that they are in India what kind of energy is created there was no ambiguity before that how much of energy is created but today what is that ambiguity will be created in China there is that confusion what is the second superpower can they challenge American dominance so because they do it.

1:47:35Do you think they can? China right now cannot. Not right now. If you say that if Iran is not hurting, so if China is hurting, then it will be stalemate. Every time there will be stalemate in such cases. But it's a China and US is chicken and egg problem. That it needs to be who will come before will come, who will come, who will come, who will come. It will be a long time. Until and unless they are coming. A little world order will change. And the powers will start to come. And then people will restrict their areas. But it's not at this time. Interesting. We were talking about China versus India.

1:48:24From the three fronts, what are the defense systems? What are the strength of China and India? in the air assets and weapons. Can India survive China? Oh yes, yes. India survive. Iran is surviving US to India. India will decimate half of China if it comes to that. Agni 6 covers every... Agni 5 also covers almost all of China. We can hit nuclear anywhere in China where we will die. China cannot do anything. He will do it. But it's not that they can... one sided war not to do one sided war the situation that Israel and US has done Iran that China cannot do our own India no one can do but that is not to do India because our defense is strong our defense is strong it is not that it is going to increase the air assets will be add power we will be we will be these procurments are coming in this time obviously the fact is that we will 15 years this time but there is a lot of are happening.

1:49:28Many things are very different to high stakes. So who are their enemies? Who are China border enemies? China's allies are not enemies. It means who are military or not. But who will support them? Open up. Japan and China are inversories. That's what I'm saying. Who will support them? Let's say who are allies are not. See, Taiwan is their issue. Japan is their issue. What else? so there are two very big issues that they have they don't have anybody who can support them militarily so this is a big issue for them so they can't do the front no one can do the front nobody is going to attack them but they cannot still they can't do the induction in war there can't do the front that will remain in deployment and where do they do it they can do it 18-20-20-20 if there is a force how do you do it how do you do it?

1:50:26Where do you have the space? You live in the maneuvering space. The force. And our two, one is larger enemy, the other is a smaller enemy. That's it. There are two enemies. There are two enemies. We've got the 0.5 front which is sitting inside. We call it. We call it 2.5 or 3.5 front. One front is China. One front is Pakistan. Third front opened up with Bangladesh. Which we don't have much. but the 0.5 front which is sitting inside the country which is sitting inside the country that is a difficult front the rest of the front who is a 0.5 front? we are people the normal people who will spread misinformation who will spread the government who will spread the government why will they stop the operation who will ask the wrong questions the media, the shore who will not unite who will not unite who will not unite it's a doctrine proper 2.5 front was a doctrine given by General Weapon Rawat.

1:51:28They talked about it, which is the job of working properly. We are talking about 3.5 front today, but 2.5 front is a doctrine proper from General Rawat's CDS. They have clearly told it's a thing which happens every time. Like you are going to fight, you will be so sure that why did this or why did this or why did this or why did this. Why did they do that? Funded? they are funded majority of people who speaks against a country which is about the country without money without money there is no such thing that you can call the country against you are funded either you want power or you want money so one of the two things so generally what should you do you should do money and if you already have money you should do fame you should do power so you can do two things do you think trump will win what's next for trump he has to find a way to declare victory in this war and use the entire media that is at his disposal so he will tell him to give him the whole force to make the media finally prove that they won the war so that's why there's a little destruction and they will have to limit the economic damage to other countries so that's what he will do but overall sentiment and narrative all around the world people don't like him so people will always believe that if he will win the truth then he will die yes like now people are thinking that he will die unless he changes the regime which was the objective that he will not do it if he will not do it then he will die regime will not change even if he kills the Mustafa who is not the son even if he kills him somebody else will come but it's not the way it will be.

1:53:21So, it will be the public perception of it. But public is again united? Civilizations are always here. When nations are talking about the news, they are always here. This is a civilization that is always here. When it was the regime against the people of the people, then it was the regime against the people. now this country has been in Iran surrender now people are talking about Iran surrendering not the regime surrendering so as the civilizational people think that national pride comes in their ego hurts so in national pride there is no option for surrender so all the people who are coming on streets are in support of the regime now they support the regime so it's not that the regime change to change the regime boots on ground so it's not that the purpose of the regime is the most important part This is the biggest purpose of defeat.

1:54:16But he changed the regime. He had to stop nuclear. He gave other reasons for making nuclear. He had to against his people and divide his people. He had to unite. The other countries that had to completely cut off, they had to give other reasons for making America. All the other countries were against. solace in the this thing that this whole plan is at least a delay for a long time. They will think about this. And maybe we will achieve this. Because the nuclear plan will delay them.

1:55:00You really feel that nuclear delay will be delayed? If the facility will be so much so much, then it will be delayed. Because the facilities will have time to make. And will they be faster now? They will want to be faster, but physical restrictions will remain now you can make it quickly I will not I have centrifuges and my facilities are struck by bigger bombs and I have not but I have got devices to assemble to that kind of delay is there and then you have to build up their buildings and get the civilian infrastructure built up they will make missiles that will be depleted completely destroyed Israel and US completely completely completely a lot of destruction but still the problem remains is that we don't know where is Iran is not a smallish small place you know we have discussed terrain if you are underground and if you are wrong in the country, they have been stored in a little bit.

1:56:10They say they have about 10 ,000 kgs, 9 ,800 some kgs of enriched uranium, out of which around 500, 450, 500 kgs is enriched to about 60%, which can be used to make a dirty bomb very quickly. Not a nuclear bomb, but a dirty bomb. So, if it is there, and it is stored and where it is stored, I don't know, or not, or not, there are many permutation combinations which is speculative at this time. So, you can't say it. But the point which is from the US and Israel has so much intelligence so they must be knowing that we have got and obviously how many tons of how many tons of bombs hit on them, obviously damage is there.

1:56:55And they are not randomly hitting. Nobody does not hit any of these things. They are bombs on the bombs. So, obviously they are intelligence and satellite. How is Iran funding it? the war how much they have what I read Iran

1:57:17One of the army officers, his son runs one of the largest oil companies and fleeting companies in the world through a different island. And then they go there and take all the untrackable ships from Iran and Iraq. And then they all around the world, they send their subsidiaries in their own subsidiaries. They have subsidiaries in many different countries. So it's a loophole that they've figured out. and he funds a lot to this. I am forgetting the island's name because it was in news because the US wants to hit specifically that island to stop this. But it's happening, right? Obviously, the smuggling part, you call it smuggling only.

1:58:02They smuggle it from their country because Iran has sanctions that it can't be sold on its own oil. So they mix Iran's oil with other oil. Yes, they do it. They want to hit it as well. So there are ways and means to it. And then there is always the crypto is another part which is utilized in such transactions. So they are very active with the crypto transactions. Then they are engaged with two major nations, Russia. And I cannot specifically pinpoint how they will do it. But when you are engaged with such people who are already, Russians are also facing a lot of sanctions. So obviously you find ways and means without flakings which are ships and many black marketing types that thing happened and you are controlling the pathways obviously it becomes slightly easier for you to control such kind of transactions obviously it is the only way that they can do oil is the only way actually Iran can earn money true so tell me one last thing these are some pictures that you have through what are these explain me which tools are and which weapons are.

1:59:15So we will start with the formation first. It's a strike group formation. What is the case of aircraft carrier? The strike group formation is the biggest part. As the name specifies, aircraft carrier's work is to carry aircraft. Basically, it's a base that you can use water. a base which can 50-60-70 aircraft can be on the picture of Gerald Ford is the world's biggest aircraft carrier. Approximately 300 meters long in water which can have about 60-70 fighter jets can be on this platform. So this is aircraft carrier. His work is that you carry aircraft carrier. Why do you carry aircraft carrier?

2:00:10Every aircraft has got a certain range. Okay, that range to protect it and to warfight If a range is say about 1000 km and if I am starting from a place which is already 2000 km away then I have to refueling or work on this way What operation is better? You reach closer to that place say about 500 km you can move inside 500 km and come back safely Got it. So aircraft carrier are running. This is destroyers. But what is this? This is strike group formation. This aircraft carrier is running. This is destroyers. These are destroyers. Not all. This is the side of the side. This is the side of the destroyers.

2:00:51What do you call this? This is a guided missile destroyer. Let's go destroyer. Okay, like Gerard's fold is running. Aircraft carrier is running. Harley Burke is running. Harley Burke class. the last destroyer is running with them. Okay. This length is approximately. This is the Arley Berg. Okay. Destroyer is working. It is the name of everyone. Arley Berg is approximately the span of 150-200 meters. It is a general span of all countries. The formations will be here. There will be one aircraft carrier. The side will be destroyer. The front will be frigate. We will go down submarines and refueling vehicles.

2:01:33Okay, this is fixed. Why is this the asset? Aircraft carrier, American, there are 5000 soldiers on this ship. 5000 people are there on this platform. Destroyers, they use air defense systems, which are all in the main destroyers. It's all the work that we provide air defense, anti-submarine option, aircraft, and we will be able to save aerial threats, aircraft carrier, naval threats, submarine, ships, attack submarines, nuclear submarines, this is the main thing. This is the destroyer. This is the destroyer. These are the destroyer. This is the destroyer. This is the destroyer. This is the destroyer.

2:02:25So we should destroy it. We should save it. This would cost billions of dollars. Everything costs billions of dollars. But this is the actual asset. It's on the same thing. So it's on the same thing. So it's on the same thing. Got it. 60 to 70. Probably F-15s or F-18s or F-16s are docked on this. So this can be put in any other thing? This is on the South China Sea. The way from Gerald Ford is on that. This is generally on the way. It's on the Indian Ocean. But in international waters, nobody has right to international waters have all of them. So, no one can do anything. There's no problem. What happens?

2:03:0212 km to territorial sea. That sea is where you have the whole 17th rule of law. You can't do anything. So, from 12 km to India? 12 km to nautical miles. Nautical miles is 1.8 km. So, if you double it, 24, you can say it. The range of so many kilometers is our territorial waters. There's nothing in that country. It's pure that country's own. Then we have our exclusive economic zone. We have all economic activities. The other military can be in the middle, but we can't do it. Those are 200 nautical miles. 200 nautical miles after international water starts. So, in every country... So, in India, it's about 450-500 kilometers.

2:03:42International water. Or some other country, it's our own territory. International water is no one. Whatever you do, do it. In peace time, no one does anything. But the two countries are fighting, like Iran and the US was fighting. So, the US was in the submarine in the US, and it hit their frigates and hit and hit. Is this Iran's head of course? This is the Persian Gulf. It was in the Persian Gulf and when it was increased, it was removed from the Persian Gulf. Got it. Okay. Now, what it was going on in the front of it, this is a frigate. It is same way the same way the same way is to escort aircraft carrier to the way and to protect submarines and attack submarines to the way it has lesser deployment than the destroyers of the assets but it has to escort and protect the back are refueling vehicles now Gerald Ford who is aircraft carrier has not refueling requirement this is nuclear-powered this is not refueling this is not this is destroyers or frigate refueling this is nuclear-powered It doesn't have any fuel.

2:04:53It's the reactor that will run. Okay. This is the fuel that will keep it in the air. It's not a fuel. It's a nuclear reactor. It's going from nuclear reaction. Got it. Similarly, we have two aircraft carriers in India. We have given it in Vikrant and Vikrant.

2:05:12Almost 280 odd meters long. That's so long. But it's a lot of water displacement. Again, the same formation. how big is ours it's approximately 300 it's 270-80 meters both and they can take it from the carrier 32-40 okay and both of them are deployed strategically strategically it's going to be in our Caribbean or in the way of Bengal or in the peace time probably we'll have to send to Stato or Moose's vehicle to remove it but obviously carrier will not go but we'll have to deploy our ships got it generally in and around this area and this is destroyer unless they have this destroyer is on the top early warning radars to protect AD systems

2:06:07it's more clear in this this is an early warning radar on the top big antenna so this is for air defense so the dome that we say it creates that dome site of kind of an effect which is from this and this is just this is a aircraft carrier with a jet over it okay then these are these are attack submarines these are attack submarines this is Virginia class attack submarines which is with Gerard Ford around 300 meters in length just the material is such now what are two types one is our nuclear which has got nuclear weapons like our INS Arihant we have got INS Arihant which can launch a K4 missile, it's a ballistic missile, it gives us that triad that we can launch nuclear launch in waters in the water.

2:07:00Virginia glass is US, it is with Abraham Lincoln and it works with Gerald Ford the material is can stay underwater for months it works with nuclear reactor, it doesn't have a fuel requirement. When you have a generator it works with a certain duration after 15 days or a month it's going to go out of the way and it's going to go to the surface which are nuclear, they don't require any fuel so it's been 6 months under water interesting now what are the attack submarines? attack submarines are used to attack, destroy ships again, like INS Dana Iran was attacked submarine in the US who hit it with their torpedoes so this is also with the fleet when the entire strike group is going to protection for protection for the other attack submarines.

2:07:49So it is also there to clear the roots. This is a launch of the Tom Hawk. Tom Hawk is a subsonic cruise missile. Subsonic, I mean what we have done, it is a speed of Mach 1.8. So it is a fantastic weapon that you use every time. It is a ship launched. Okay. What is this?

2:08:15This is a cruiser. This is also a destroyer. It's a free gate and destroyer category. There are ships with weapons and weapons. What are all these planes? This is a carrier. This is a carrier photo. This is Gerald Ford or Abraham Lincoln. This is a cruiser which we have seen in this photo. Look at this. In this case, we have carriers, frigates, destroyers, fueling vehicles, cruisers and submarines. And what is this doing? This is launching a missile. This is a cruise missile launching. It's an attack or a destroyer interceptor? That cannot be said. Okay. It's the same thing but then... The missile is the same.

2:09:03It can be used to intercept or hit also. What are these? CV and 70 do they? It's his jets. What kind of jets are they? F15. It's a US jet. And what's this?

2:09:28F15 Eagle. So, this one. This one. This one is not a stealth. So, this one is a weapon. So, this one is nice. There is also a replica. There is no. There is a replica of F-35. There is a replica of F-22. So, because there are weapons are not showing. So, that's the difference between the wings. There are weapons and there are not. There is no. What's this? This is a destroyer. The same thing? These are all same pictures. And these are US. These are all Gerard Fold. all the backstingers. This strike group, Gerard Ford, which strike group, all the backstingers. How many carriers did US have? I don't know.

2:10:1313. There are many. If two, they have many. How can US launch a war from any part of the world? By having bases everywhere. This is what they do. Why do they have bases everywhere? How do they have permissions to do it? Because they have the money. To buy off. To buy off. And they can actually tell people to wheel protect you concept because they can pump money it is extremely costly to maintain a base we call it a aircraft carrier base because millions of dollars are spent on just the fueling part of it which is a reactor so daily there are millions of dollars that are being used daily to run those and to maintain those when they dock and when they maintain it so millions and millions of dollars are used They can afford it.

2:11:08How much is it? How much is it? It's almost$1 trillion. $8 billion. It's$880 billion. They want to take it to$1.5 trillion next year. You don't want to double it? You don't want to double it. $1.5 trillion. So it is all about money. You have the money to sustain it. That's why you can sustain it. It's not our problem. It's not to make it. China also has a lot of naval assets. China is going to beat the US in naval assets. Quality wise, we can debate. but quantity wise they are pretty close to beating them they can launch anywhere from war front no they can't launch this is the problem there are many assets but all of them are stuck in one place they can't roam freely so they try to do what they do the string of pearls theory that they go to every place they make it we made it in Shilanka Middle East and Jibouti now when you see the circle the string of pearls the string of pearls is that we have to take ports that all the whole world especially India is against it I don't remember India also has a policy against it and we have also acquired a lot of ports which break it a very sweet name they have got string of pulse was Chabar one of the strategic locations it is absolutely one of the most important that's why Chabar is important because it breaks it we have ports and we are making the real loss agreement that we have made Russia and have all the way to block it the most important part is that the state of Malakka which is in Andamani Kovar and then there is so much more military deployment that the state of Malakka is such a close so there is no option in China the state of Malakka is not option in China So, the one who is doing in the state of Hormuz, which is in the Swiss Canal, which is in the same country in the Malaqa, we can do it in the same country.

2:13:07Because China's good route is expensive. Again, a juggler way in all. Because if you don't leave there, you say that you have to go down from India. And then you don't have the route. There are no seas where ships can go. not every sea is for ship routes and okay one or two last things one was in this whole thing okay Trump probably you think is also a winner in some sort because now US weapons are on every side became because there's also like there's also this thing makes sense maybe this is a way why i'll do it again so it's like trump can still win all these i mean u.s can win because you create chaos in the whole world and your defense and weapon industry is very big so maybe this weapon manufacturing lobby they fund it way more because they want rest of the world to buy more defense systems from them.

2:14:24But this is the way it will be. Because when you are poofing up your weapons, obviously somebody will have to manufacture and restock the inventory. That's one. Second is, people will buy in the whole world because now almost every country, this is not only a signal that some Middle Eastern countries, all countries have a signal that anyone can do anything from anywhere. so we need to gear up and build our defense system but in this part the missing link is that everyone has to spend weapons spending but the new part is missing link why? because I need many aircrafts as India I want a lot of aircrafts but I am not taking it from US I am taking it from France I will take it probably I would have taken it from Russia which is not an ally of US, so it's a mistake.

2:15:17So this is a missing link. One link is very clear. Obviously, because so many weapons used, so all the people who are US dependent on the Middle East, Israel and US itself, and there are many people who go to them, because in NATO there are also many equipment used. So all the manufacturing profits can be seen in US. A lot of people are self-sufficient, who are self-sufficient. So the Russians and the French generally use it. People like India use it. People like India and other countries who buy it, they are not buying US equipment. Because US equipment comes with a lot of restrictions. They don't buy it.

2:16:01They don't give it their source code. They don't give it their weaponry. They can remotely access their equipment. So, they can't get a lot of time. We have bought a F-35 and when we have to launch it against Pakistan, they probably not let us unlock it only so they can do it these things happen source code if it's where it's going but it's not working so what do I do I will do it plus parts missing parts supply chain will block all the parts technology will not be obsolete training will not be properly trained so these all lacunas will be in that part so this but one other part which is Trump's favor is the part that he has just shown the will to bully people again is a very big thing to have the kind of guts to actually go and launch military operations against public will in America there was no fight in a pre-pull conducted in America only 20 % of people supported this military action in a pre-pull conducted in Iran 100 % of people would have supported this thing that they will die but they will fight so that will against fight it shows that that was the US's previous habit It shows that they had gone dormant and they were not doing anything but now they are militarily engaging.

2:17:17So that goes into its favour. What is the favour? The favour is that they are showing their power and their projects. The American thing was removed from a long time ago. It took them back. So that can be the hard lines. So those who are allies or interests against America, they will step back. They will step back a little. It's so much that when we talk about superpower, these people are the ones who live, whatever they have, they could engage. Others dare to engage also. So this is a difference. Taiwan is the only piece here, no? Taiwan will see how China reacts towards Taiwan. And it's a signal to maybe China that this is what they will have to face if they do anything.

2:18:03Obviously. And what does this mean for India? Where is India? This is the last question that I have for you. this whole story is happening. There is a narrative war. There is a financial war. There is a weapon war. There is a geopolitical war. People are taking favors and sights. Countries are fighting left, right, center. Where are India? We are all friends. Where are we? Strategic autonomous. Never neutral. Always understanding. Always know what is the benefit. And sitting at the that spot from Kingmaker's is from his own. It is, it cannot be lifted by any of these powers that are carrying out.

2:18:46And we'll find a way out of it to be a superpower. It's where India is. We have a say in everything that happens. And Iran will be a loss of the USA. The war will be a loss of the USA. Long term will be able to offset everything. And short term? Short term we are seeing the LNG prices high. a little bit of pain is there but uh i i abhi toh abhi us level pe nahin pehuncha hai ki government is not able to absorb it they'll absorb quite a bit of it long term we'll we'll come back easily out of it itna we we have our foreign policy strongly in place to counter a lot of stuff economically humara setup is right in that way we've got uh people we have we have our friends who will take care of us and we'll take care of them strategic autonomy is now now the silence of our leadership makes sense now like friendships make sense now everybody whoever questioned at any point everybody stunned by the way our leadership has actually taken care of India's interest by just being strategically autonomous and maintaining very deep relationship with everybody.

2:20:06Because strategic autonomy is not equal to neutrality. Simple as that. Strategic autonomy is having a mind of your own. And India is strategically autonomous. Absolutely. Perfect. Thank you so much for explaining us what implications are and what can we do. It was pleasure having you once again. Pleasure is all mine brother. Thank you so much for watching this episode to the end. Now you have to do three things. Number one, subscribe to this channel. Because as much as you subscribe, we will have more valuable and better guests for you. Number two, tell me in the comments what did you get to learn from this episode?

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