Pubkey’s Place in Bitcoin Culture with Thomas Pacchia

4 Dec 2025 · 1 h 7 min · 26 chapters

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In short

Galaxy Brains episode mixes market commentary with a deep dive on Bitcoin culture and PubKey’s expansion plans—especially PubKey DC’s opening and programming.

Guests and backgrounds

  1. Bimnet Abibi (Galaxy Trading): runs/advocates a disciplined bearish-to-neutral trading thesis using long-term technical levels; focuses on market structure and catalysts.
  2. Thomas Pacchia (PubKey NYC founder; opening PubKey DC): proprietor of PubKey venues; runs a media/event “Bitcoin establishment” blending culture, community, and policy engagement.

Key claims (markets)

  • Bitcoin is still in a downtrend; “bear market range” is between the 200-week moving average (~55K rising) and the 50-week moving average (~100K+).
  • Bull/bear hinges on weekly closes above/below the 50-week; rallies are treated as sell-to-buy until trend flips.
  • No fundamental Bitcoin change; reasons to own Bitcoin remain, but near/medium-term price discovery is bearish.
  • Catalysts are limited; structural selling pressures include liquidations and tax-loss harvesting; AI/equity optimism may be “baked in.”

Notable examples (culture/venues)

  • PubKey DC: ~12,000 sq ft, two bars, full restaurant, Bitcoin Policy Institute HQ, podcast studio, karaoke room, bouncy castle; opening delayed by permits/COO/health license; private events first.
  • DC launch attendance included Treasury and regulatory officials (including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent) and Congressman Richie Torres.
  • PubKey events: Human Rights Foundation partnerships; “Hot Style Takeover” (Vegas/Nashville); themed show interludes; recurring community rituals like Danish Christmas lunch and the Mug Club.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Bitcoin Market Overview with Bimnet Abibi

0:45 to 2:52

Discussion on market trends, Bitcoin price predictions, and Bimnet's insights.

“We tend to have Thomas on towards the end of the year.”

Technical Analysis and Moving Averages

2:52 to 4:01

Exploration of moving averages and their implications for Bitcoin's price.

“And that's a marker, I think he's saying, you know?”

Market Sentiment and Future Trends

4:01 to 5:30

Analysis of market sentiment, potential catalysts, and overall market outlook.

“But first, everyone, let's check in with Bimnet Abibi.”

Long-term vs. Short-term Bitcoin Perspectives

5:30 to 8:32

Discussion on the long-term viability of Bitcoin amidst short-term challenges.

“And I think it's perfectly normal and healthy to see, you know, corrections off of, like, support levels.”

The Role of AI and Market Competition

8:32 to 10:49

Insights into the role of AI in the market and emerging competition.

“And the way I'd like to think about it is it's a sell-to-buy market, not a buy-to-sell market.”

Economic Indicators and Investment Strategies

10:49 to 14:01

Final thoughts on economic indicators and strategies for navigating the market.

“Like, you know, inflation looked, what do we call it, a miss to the downside?”

Market Analysis and Predictions for Bitcoin

14:01 to 24:24

Listeners will understand the factors influencing Bitcoin's market trends and potential investor behaviors.

“And every other market, that's what that leads to.”

Event Highlights and PubKey's Role

24:31 to 28:03

Discover the latest events hosted by PubKey and the unique experiences they offer.

“It's got to be your fourth appearance, maybe?”

The Entertainment at PubKey Events

28:03 to 29:00

Learn about the unique entertainment experiences at PubKey events, including themed performances.

“There was some panels and stuff, but and some roasting that was done.”

PubKey DC Launch Party Insights

29:00 to 30:27

Discover details about the launch party for PubKey DC and the cultural significance of the venue.

“So, you know, the media house with the bar, the event space that we have in D.C., there's just so much we can do with it.”
Show all 26 chapters

Cultural Impact of PubKey in Washington

30:27 to 34:17

Explore the cultural and political implications of PubKey in Washington D.C. and its role in the Bitcoin community.

“A smattering of government, Treasury, and regulatory officials.”

Advocating for Bitcoin Users

34:17 to 36:34

Learn about PubKey's mission to advocate for everyday Bitcoin users in the political landscape.

“i think it's a great place to do it there's so much happening in dc in bitcoin and bitcoin policy and D.C.”

Historical Significance of Taverns

36:34 to 37:47

Understand the historical role of taverns in political discourse and community building.

“you know, the big firms have lobbyists that they can pay, right?”

Future Plans for PubKey

37:47 to 39:28

Get insights into the future plans for PubKey, including expansion and new concepts.

“Yeah, it's pretty common in old technology.”

The Community Role of PubKey

39:28 to 42:07

Learn how PubKey serves as a community space for support and political discussions.

“I go sometimes at obscure times, and it's a normal functioning good bar.”

Bitcoin's Political Landscape

42:07 to 44:43

Explore how Bitcoin is influencing political discourse and the challenges it faces.

“So creating that environment and seeing that vision, you know, come to life has been really special.”

The Dynamics of Bitcoin Culture

44:44 to 45:58

Discuss the changing landscape of Bitcoin culture between plebs, cypherpunks, and suit coiners.

“which has been yet another interesting year in the Bitcoin land.”

Regulation and Centralization Risks

45:59 to 47:22

Analyze the impact of regulations and centralization on Bitcoin's growth and innovation.

“I mean, is it threatened by the rise of the suit corners?”

Merchant Adoption of Bitcoin Payments

47:23 to 49:35

Learn about the implications of merchants accepting Bitcoin and advancements in payment technologies.

“Using the protocol is tremendously important, right?”

Debates in the Bitcoin Community

49:36 to 53:24

Delve into the heated debates surrounding Bitcoin Core and the handling of spam in transactions.

“Whether that's the Lightning Network or Liquid or, you know, the base layer, more is good.”

The Importance of Client Diversity

53:25 to 56:01

Understand the significance of client diversity in Bitcoin's technology landscape and its historical context.

“Do you have a take on this just broadly?”

Amir's Background and Bitcoin's Community Issues

56:01 to 58:17

Learn about Amir's journey and the community's concerns regarding Bitcoin's future and consensus issues.

“Also, by the way, I think fought in Syria against...”

New York's Political Landscape and Business Impact

58:18 to 1:01:08

Explore the implications of New York's new mayor on small businesses and the Bitcoin community.

“They all basically formalized a we're going to wait and see if it happens.”

Remittances and Bitcoin's Potential for the Left

1:01:09 to 1:02:26

Discuss the potential for Bitcoin to aid in remittances and its adoption among progressive groups.

“You know, we've been waiting for, we've been talking about the remittance potential of Bitcoin for a long time.”

The Evolution of Bitcoin Mining

1:02:27 to 1:06:09

Gain insights into the future of Bitcoin mining and its intersection with AI technology.

“Thomas, before we wrap here, you know, two more questions.”

Thomas's Journey and Vision for Bitcoin Culture

1:06:10 to 1:06:32

Hear Thomas's reflections on his journey with Bitcoin and his hopes for its cultural impact.

“My wife says she's going to divorce me if I run for office, but we'll see.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Alex Thorn:Welcome to Galaxy Brains.

0:25Alex Thorn:Welcome back to Galaxy Brains. As always, I'm your host, Alex Thorne, head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy. Bitcoin, not zero. We have a great episode for you this week. Thomas Packie, a founder and proprietor of PubKey NYC, but now PubKey DC as well, which just is opening. Thomas is back on the show, I think, for his third or fourth appearance at this point. We tend to have Thomas on towards the end of the year. We had him on last December as well. will be a really exciting conversation to hear about what PubKey's plans are to extend the Bitcoin ecosystem to Washington, D.C. We'll also check with our good friend Bimnet Abibi from Galaxy Trading, as always, to talk markets and his updated thesis for where Bitcoin's going in the near and medium term.

1:08Alex Thorn:Before we get to that, I need to remind you, please refer to the link to the disclaimer in the podcast notes and note that none of the information in this podcast constitutes investment advice or an offer, recommendation or solicitation by galaxy or any of its affiliates to buy or sell any securities hey phineas we we pin we just interviewed with bimnet a moment ago uh we pinned him down on some good numbers for his uh his thesis here he's really holding firm to this 200 week moving average it's our job to press him and and and his job to stand firm on his he's been remarkably he's been very consistent he's a disciplined guy and we were like look what do you think now yeah we're up to 92 yeah he's bearish below the 50-week moving average, and he's bullish above the 200-week moving average, or said another way, we're in a range between, in his mind, this bear market range between 200-week moving average and 50-week moving average.

1:58Alex Thorn:Those are his sort of back of the napkin. Yeah. Is it important to you to remind people that it's a 200-week moving average? Yeah, it's a very long moving average. Which means they can get down to around 55K, and we're still in that cycle. Yeah. I mean, I think part of his thesis, It's not purely technical, by the way. Right. I was explaining this to some people on Twitter, and they became critical, saying that moving averages and technical analysis is not very reliable. That's not solely what he's relying on, but it's sort of a back-of-the-napkin way to look at the chart. Yeah, the 50-week moving average historically, which is a 50-week-long average of the price, very long, almost a whole year, has marked support for bull markets, right?

2:44Alex Thorn:I mean, you see it in 17, 21, 25, right? When the price comes down, it finds support at the 50 week, and that continues the trend higher. And we've lost that now, right? Which is about at 100K at the moment. And that's a marker, I think he's saying, you know? And again, important, and he makes very well clear in this upcoming interview. But, you know, this is a tactical and short, medium term question. He's not questioning viability of Bitcoin as a long term investment. In fact, as I think prepared to stack, the real question is, can the bulls, you know, keep Bitcoin higher so Bitcoin, BIMNet doesn't get to stack?

3:22Yeah.

3:22Alex Thorn:He's looking to stack lower. And I mean, at 92, you know, it looks OK. Yeah, exactly. And then I'm excited to have Thomas, who's sort of our resident Bitcoin, well, you're our resident Bitcoin culture guy, but he's our resident Bitcoin culture guy. He is. And I feel like towards the end of the year, we always have him on and he talks about, yeah, we do some technical stuff, but it's usually about what's happening in the wider cultural landscape of Bitcoin. And he is, I don't know, it's his personality, but he's a very holiday vibe. He does. He's a very gregarious man. I mean, it makes sense. He's the proprietor of the world's best Bitcoin establishment.

3:58Alex Thorn:That's right. Well, it's going to be a good interview with Thomas. But first, everyone, let's check in with Bimnet Abibi. Let's go now to our friend Bimnet Abibi from Galaxy Trading. As always, Bimnet, welcome to Galaxy Brains. Thanks for having me. I love having you on the show. You took a little bit of a week off last week. It was Thanksgiving. And I think we kind of hit him with a bit of a sledgehammer the week before. We did a whole episode with you sort of diving into your bear thesis. Obviously, you've been proven right for, I don't know, since mid-October. I mean, to be clear, I think you were calling for it to be lower before the, or right after the 10-10 crash and possibly even before.

4:36Alex Thorn:Before, yeah. We've had a little bit of a bounce. I was asked by a reporter yesterday if a 20 % bounce off the recent low meant that we weren't going into a bear market. I guess conveniently for the story, inconveniently for bulls, pulled many examples of huge rallies while Bitcoin was dropping from the 50-week to the 200-week. I mean, 60 % rally, 40 % rally, but then still eventually reverted. What's your sense, before we get to the broader market, what's your sense of the Bitcoin price now? Does it alter your near or medium? No, I mean, medium-term thesis is you're still in a downtrend. and there have been no signs to confirm that you were no longer in that downtrend.

5:23And so until you have confirmation that you're out of the downtrend, you know, trend is your friend. It's kind of my philosophy. And I think it's perfectly normal and healthy to see, you know, corrections off of, like, support levels. And it also kind of did seem a little overdone, like the sell-off we had early this week. Like I – We went to 84 like two days ago.

5:49Alex Thorn:Yeah, yeah. Right? Yeah. And so on the back of like an illiquid weekend move that precipitated into the U.S. session. And so like these types of things don't tend to happen in bull markets at least as frequently. Yeah, random like 92 to 84. Correct. Right? Right, and so I think it's symptomatic of the fact that we are in a bear market, and it's just another kind of piece of evidence that supports that view. I still think the bloodbath that you saw on Octenth, it's going to take more than a month and a half to kind of get through that. You had 1.6 million traders liquidated, right? And so, yeah, they might be buying the dip, but they're buying the dip with less funds.

6:37Yeah. Right. And, you know, I just kind of feels like you don't have that much in the way of catalysts and markets need catalysts and they need structural flow as well. And markets move at the margin. And so if these that's are essentially done buying a lot of stuff. Right. You don't have that marginal buy pressure coming from these stats as aggressively. And then, you know, you also have the fact that, you know, the wealth effect from all these alts like coming down tremendously. And then on top of that, you got tax loss harvest selling potentially in crypto oriented securities.

7:11Alex Thorn:Yeah, you made this point really well. I think two weeks ago we were saying that if you look at your portfolio, let's say you had some Bitcoin or some ETFs or altcoins or anything in a broader diversified portfolio. And you're looking at what you can sell to harvest some tax losses is basically just Bitcoin. Stocks have been up. If you own gold, it was up. Right? I mean, it's one of the only things that really is down year to date. I mean, obviously, single name equities here and there for sure. Yeah. But like, yeah, for an asset class, crypto is pretty much the only one year to date that is down.

7:43Alex Thorn:Absolutely. Yeah. So if you want to harvest losses, like, there they are. There they are. Yeah. And so it just leads to like a very weird recipe where that lines up really well with the four-year cyclicality of BTC. and in my head, you know, it's the 50-week moving average that I'm closely following. We're still below that. And, you know, historically when we've broken that level, we have retested it before. And so, like, my view is until you see a weekly close above that level, bear market is still on. Yeah, that's your sort of your simplest. My Rubicon. Yeah. And, you know, I think you should trade accordingly, right?

8:21Like, as long as you're in trend, what are you meant to do, right? In trend, if it were an uptrend, you'd buy dips and sell rallies. In this instance, you sell rallies. Well, it's the same concept, really. Yeah, but it's in the other direction. In the other direction. With a short bias, basically. With a short bias. And the way I'd like to think about it is it's a sell-to-buy market, not a buy-to-sell market. In an uptrend, knowing that it's going to be higher, you can buy the dips a lot more comfortably. Yeah. Right? In this instance, you can sell the rallies a lot more comfortably. I see. Right?

8:56And what I'd like to highlight, though, is that the main thing that people should be thinking about is, like, there's no, like, fundamental change in Bitcoin. Right? Like, there's been no fundamental change really ever in its history. Not a long time. Right? And then in terms of like the reasons people buy Bitcoin, you know, self-sovereignty, preservation of wealth, purchasing power, etc. Like those reasons have not changed. In fact, they probably argue for greater price appreciation in Bitcoin. And so like I feel like people just need to differentiate like the fundamental case from like what is happening structurally in the marketplace.

9:36and so I think you're just at a point of like price discovery like right here right now rather than like where is this asset going to be five years from now ten years from now right and so like while we might be you know bearish from a tactical and medium-term perspective like the long run like if you're not if you're thinking in multiple year increments or six-month blocks like you're still in a reasonable place yeah and you know for all the bitcoiners out there like yeah you know it's a great time to stack sats yeah still probably i think right uh but if if you're trying to like extract the most value out of you know the marketplace like it's probably and like or considering like what path is it going to take you know my belief is that it's it's down before

10:23Alex Thorn:higher yeah right um that would almost argue for uh uh especially given the other conditions in the market at least you know if we assume you know knock on wood that the ai demand continues and i i I've explained many times why I think it will. Yeah. Then you're looking at, you know, S &P near all-time highs. I mean, we keep saying that. It keeps being true. Rallied really hard in November. At the end of November, equities did, to basically get just right to all-time highs. You know, metals look pretty good. Like, you know, inflation looked, what do we call it, a miss to the downside? Yeah. Right?

10:59Alex Thorn:So, like, doesn't look too bad. and employment, it looks like Fed easing is going to come. I want to ask you about that. That would tend to be a great setup for Bitcoin and risk assets. So I was going to ask, though, does that make your medium-term view the bearish trend? Is it possible that it's shorter, right? I mean, it doesn't feel like we're headed into a multi-year crypto winter. Not a multi-year crypto winter. Definitely not. But, you know, what I think folks need to realize is that a lot of that optimism is baked in to the marketplace. Like retail has been buying for like a gazillion percentage of the last like 30 weeks.

11:38Right. The rate curve is already implying like a pretty, you know, aggressive rate cut path. And we've already cut.

11:45Alex Thorn:Yeah. Right. And there's a floor to how much we can cut given like the underlying inflation trends in the economy. And so – and then in terms of like AI optimism, which is really what's driven broader equity markets higher, like there's a lot that's baked in. And what I'm seeing is signs for concern like every day in terms of how much optimism is really baked in, right? Take the headlines today that came out that Microsoft might be lowering its like AI-related software targets. Maybe it's true. It was something like what, that they wanted people like the older software better or something like that?

12:22Or the demand for the newer software is less than expected.

12:25Alex Thorn:The older software was fine. Yeah. It's working great or something. But, you know, there's just other signs, right, like that one, the competition is heating up in like a number of different fronts, right? Like ChatGPT, OpenAI went into CodeRed because over the last two weeks they saw their daily active users decline by like 7%. What does CodeRed mean? I saw this. Code red means that other models are winning market share. Yeah, I see. But it's an internal term or is that a generic term we should all be learning? I was wondering. I saw them declare this. Yes. But all it means is that like OpenAI, you know, which has privately raised money at insane valuations and people already have doubts, you know, in terms of like their ability to fulfill their commitments, right?

13:12There's a really high growth rate implied with that, right? Like it is – like AI is a growth phase, right? So when you start to see that derivative of growth slowed – Deceleration. Correct. Of the growth trajectory, right? Like that's going to impact how people – like the valuation people put on things essentially, right? And then if you think about like a company like NVIDIA who has like insanely high margins and all of a sudden Google is now a competitor, Amazon is now a competitor and there are other chip manufacturers that are coming in to kind of fill that place. Like, what was the Jeff Bezos theories?

13:48Like, anytime he sees a profit margin, like, that's his to, like, compete for. Right? And so, like, you're seeing, like, intensifying competition, and that should probably lead to margin compression. Right? And every other market, that's what that leads to. Right? And so the question is, like, are enough cracks emerging where people, like, kind of reconsider the thesis? Like, potentially. like December is still a pretty strong month for equities like historically from a seasonality perspective you still have corporate buybacks that are like above like historical averages um and you know apparently retail still does have a little bit of dry powder yeah um and you do have like the fiscal impulse from the big beautiful bill coming but the question is like how much of that's baked in yeah um and like is it really worth like you know piling into equities here or brought a risk like when like the upside is like not quite as much as as it was i mean six months

14:46Alex Thorn:ago a year dalio had suggested that um like about a month ago that we were in you know uh fall 20 fall 1999 when the blow off top for the dot-com bubble was in march 2020 so you know i don't know if that transposed even if he's right i don't know if it would transpose exactly but that's the question. But I think the way he put it was, even if that is the case, you're meant to have light feet because most of the gains were made between January and March. The blow off top was the top you wanted to sell. Correct. If you missed that, you missed a lot of the gains. But I want to ask you this too. Obviously, after complete carnage in 22, then Jan 23, when everybody restarts their books and their year to date all resets, was a phenomenal time to buy Bitcoin at 15.5 or 16.5.

15:37Alex Thorn:Do you think we'll get a similar effect to start this year? I mean, it's down a lot. It's not out. It's, to your point, it's not fundamentally, it's in the market structure. It's not destroyed like it was in 22. Might you find portfolio managers or investors who say, it's a new year, let's get in at this lower cost basis and see what 26 has to bring? I mean, if you're like, you know, like there's the whole dogs of the Dow theory, right? Where every year you're meant to buy like the worst performing like Dow names and those tend to do well over time. And so there is that element where if you look at macro asset classes, like precious metals have done well, commodities have recently started to do well, equities have done well, at least front-end fixed income has done well.

16:21And so if you're thinking about blocks of assets and where there's value, yeah, I could definitely see a macro type being like, oh, this seems like the one. Yeah, like Bitcoin's down but not out. And it is down. Other stuff's not down. Down but not out. But it's just like, you know, at this point, like what is truly the catalyst though, right? It's not market access. Everybody's got the ability to buy Bitcoin.

16:45Alex Thorn:We just saw you got Vanguard finally turn it on for their brokerage clients. As if the big Vanguard clients that matter, like didn't figure out a way to buy Bitcoin. Yeah, and people are saying like 11 trillion asset manager, Vanguard turns it on. It's like folks, they're talking about their brokerage platform, not their mutual fund and their fund complex. But, yeah, I think that's a fair – why buy it? Momentum is maybe the reason to buy it in that situation. Yeah, and it's always been a momentum asset. And, like, you know, you just have to think about, like, there is this idea of reflexivity in, like, both directions in markets.

17:18And so, like, you know, like, right now, like, the reflexivity is to the downside. It's like part of human condition, right?

17:24Alex Thorn:Yes. Everyone's – they turn sour. Yes. Not devastatingly so, but noticeably so. Yeah. Yeah. And you're like and maybe that's the to your point about what if you have a long term view, that's the contrarian indicator. I think the question is how how the obvious question is how deep does this if it is a bear market, as you say, how deep does it go? And how soon do we see that? Yeah. I mean, my view is pretty consistent. Like, you know, where I'm really going to buy the dip is at like structural support, which is 200 week moving average. If you want to take a stab at the 100, maybe it's worth averaging in at that level.

18:06But really, when you're in a downtrend, it's tough to trade countertrend. And most – like 85 % of money or some crazy percentage of returns are made in trend. And so to think that you can make money countertrend is statistically unlikely.

18:26Alex Thorn:Yeah. And what I do know for sure is that you are in a bear market. and in a downtrend. We were at 125 like two months ago. Yeah. Right? We have fallen dramatically. So the 50 would be, to flip it back to support, would alter your view. Correct. That's like at 100 or higher. So basically around 100K. And then the 200 today is at around 55K. Yeah. But it'll trend higher over time. Yeah, your point was that like it's a rising line. Correct. So it's not like it nukes to, I mean, if it did, that'd be probably a great buying opportunity. But you're thinking more of the trend down and maybe the price meets the 200 week in a bear scenario like, you know, this summer or next summer, I should say.

19:04Alex Thorn:Yeah. Right over a few months from now as it rises. So it ends up making this up with no math to support it, but in the 60 to 70K range probably in a few months would be where it would hit that 200 week moving average, theoretically. Yeah. You know, it could be six months, it could be nine months. So that's kind of your range of indecision, of bearishness. 55 to 100 right now. Yeah. Maybe 70 to 90. I mean, it compresses, right? Yeah. 50 will come down. So it'll be 70, 60, 70 to 95, 94. Yeah. Starts to be the range. By the way, it's a pretty tight range. Yeah, it is. Bitcoin historically. That's a nice – to think, too, that even in your bear scenario, 55 is the floor.

19:46Alex Thorn:I mean, that's – I mean, look how far we've come. Correct. My gosh. I mean, that's the other thing that I noticed during Thanksgiving. I don't know if I would like to add before we wrap. What was the reaction? Was there any from your friends and family over Thanksgiving? I know you were with them. You know, how's the Bitcoin doing? Or anybody, any questions about this? It's a very historic time. No, I mean, a lot of people are asking, like, is now a good time to buy, right? See, that's what we talked about last week, Phineas. That was my anticipation of what I would face. Not, oh, my God. Because there have been years where they're like, oh, you are a terrible investor.

20:18Alex Thorn:Yeah. Or maybe you're even a criminal. Yeah. Other times we're like, oh, my God, he's a genius. Yeah. And I was like, it was much more measured. Yeah. No, and I think people have just seen the market cycles of crypto and like the volatility doesn't like phase them as much. But that's like if you didn't have people asking that, then I would be giga bearish. Right. Right. That's like a precondition to a marketplace like even existing that there's willing buyers. Yeah. Right. It would be like that Don Draper meme, right? I don't think about you at all. That would be very bearish. That would be very bearish.

20:50People were thinking about it. People were thinking about it. They're wondering. Now, the question is, is there really enough to take people? I mean, just think about all the competition you have for attention right now, right? You got meme stocks, rare earth metals, AI names. You now have the advent of prediction markets. And you've got sports gambling that is all over the industry now.

21:13Alex Thorn:And Bitcoin isn't even quite volatile enough to capture that old volatile day trader mindshare that it used to. Right? Because it's like, okay, I put a bet on it plus 200. It's kind of like stuck in the rock and the hard place between the long-term value investors who believe in it. And there are many and it's a growing cohort and some of them use ETFs. And the old school Bitcoin traders who were enticed by the volatility, right? They have – the long-term ones, you know, maybe I'm sure many may own it. Certainly we do and I do and many people own it in ETFs. but they're not they're also competing with you know mag 7 and other good long-term investment ideas and then the volatility traders there's more volatile things to trade that are more interesting it's even not just in crypto to your point outside of crypto as well so like the robin hood traders aren't going on and buying bitcoin typically yeah yeah it's not that like the game stop crowd was buying it in 2020 they were gambling on lower base levels right yeah so So it's kind of like in this interesting – it's like in the middle of the phase shift between low-cap volatile and high-cap long-term.

22:20Yeah. And my question to you to flip it on you a little bit, I don't know if I've ever asked you a question on this show. But what do you see whales doing when you kind of look at some of those on-chain metrics that you guys track? Like what's their behavior? I mean there's been a lot of whale distribution.

22:36Alex Thorn:And I know some people don't like those metrics. They think that they're all altered by the ETFs and stuff. But in mass, I think you can. I think a good way to think of it is, you know, think about not just well, long term investor. And statistically, most of the Bitcoin analysts use this 155 day line because you become statistically much less probable to sell after 155 days over the history of Bitcoin. Coins much less likely to move over that period. And some people say, well, that's not nearly 100. That's not even half a year. It's not long enough. Well, just think about the average six month investor.

Read the full transcript

23:10Alex Thorn:They bought Bitcoin six months ago. Maybe they bought the dip in April, right? It went down to 74.5. Well, since then, you know, if you just huddled and opened it up, you're only up slightly. I mean, the block clock is, I guess, offline at the moment, but you're only up slightly. Meanwhile, if you bought the equity dip, if you bought these other dips, like there's an opportunity cost to capital, of course. And so, yeah, I think whales have been – they were distributing throughout the year. We've seen that come down a little bit now, I think, because people that own a lot of Bitcoin tend to be smart and they want to sell into an uptrend, not into a downtrend that's selling into weakness.

23:47Alex Thorn:But I think there's real questions about like on a shorter term horizon, will or not, where are you meant to allocate your capital? And if you bought Bitcoin six months ago, you're just up slightly. If you bought it a year ago, you're down and you're looking like, what do I have to show for this one year of capital allocation, right? I mean, a loss when S &P is basically at all time highs? It seems like why are you trying so hard? I think that's a reasonable question for people to ask. It'll flip at some point. and those are levels you're thinking about as well. Yeah, absolutely. All right, well, Bimnet Abibi, my friend from Galaxy Trading, as always, thank you so much.

24:24Thanks for having me.

24:26Alex Thorn:Let's go now to our guest, Thomas Pacquia, founder of PubKey. Thomas, welcome back to Galaxy Brands. Thank you. It's always good to be back. I always love having you on. It's got to be your fourth appearance, maybe? Yeah, three or four. I think it might be on four. Yeah, well, if we count the bus in Miami. Then it's definitely four. I forgot we did that episode. That was a great episode. It was you and Drew Armstrong. It was so hot in that bus. And we're all just like sort of like a little moist. I was very exuberant coming back from that Miami. I remember because I asked Phineas. I had some B-roll footage.

24:57Alex Thorn:We put it up. I did a rap song about it. I said, Colin Zav loves me. I forget what the line was. It's like the main road in South Beach. Yeah. I think it was me, you, and Drew Armstrong. That was a fun one. It was fun. But it's always good. This is my favorite podcast. Well, that's very nice of you. And that was the last year in Miami. That was a great conference. That would have been like May 23 or so. You guys had the PubKey pop-up at Mac's Club Deuce. Yes. That's a crazy bar. So I actually just went back. So I was in Miami for the Cantor Conference a couple weeks ago. And Mac's Club Deuce is my favorite bar in the world, even more so than PubKey.

25:36So we hosted our very first event at Mac's Club Deuce for that conference. That was the first thing that we hosted. And then when we hosted President Trump at PubKey September of last year, I asked, I was like, do you want me to suit up for the president or should I be like dive bar authentic? And they were like, authentic.

25:53Alex Thorn:Like you asked your team? Yeah, like the advance. And I was just like, how should we make this look? And they said, definitely go authentic. Like, you don't need to wear a suit. I was like, okay. So I wore a Mac Club Deuce members only jacket that says cash only on the front. Yes. So when I went back for the Cantor Conference, the guy saw I was wearing the orange pub key hoodie, and he was like, oh, you're the guy. Just like rounds on the house. Oh, let's go. Yeah, it was good. I love that bar. One of the things that is great about it is, well, one, you can smoke cigarettes inside there. Very rare in the United States.

26:27Alex Thorn:Yeah. But also great drinks. Very central location in South Beach. It's great. It's the oldest bar in Miami. Yeah. And it's just an institution. It has this giant, awkward bar layout, though. Wouldn't you knock out the bar and redo the bar? No, the W is amazing. It's so annoying. It wastes a lot of space, but the dynamic, it's really conducive. It's a great conversation bar because you're not at the same table. You're at this big, winding bar, and that's what makes it so special because it really facilitates conversation. There are a lot of bar seats because of how it winds, so it's like a lot, whereas if it was straight across, they only have the one TV or maybe two.

27:01like you know it's it's it's a classic dive bar yeah it's really good talk to people and put your

27:07Alex Thorn:put your phone away so that was your the first obviously non at pub key nyc event i mean uh but you've done many since um one recently that i think was really notable was the show you guys put on in las vegas the hot style takeover hot style takeover vegas one vegas and nashville we started that in nashville right it ends up being because it sounds like a hostile takeover but i love Bitcoin magazine. It's not hostile. It's just funny. Yeah. But, yeah, we started that in Nashville. That was successful. Unfortunately, I couldn't be in Vegas last year. You were at the Human Rights Foundation in Oslo.

27:41Yeah, there was the overlap with the two. And we do a pop-up there as well for the activists. They're heavy days in Oslo, so you need to blow off a little steam.

27:50Alex Thorn:I can imagine. I haven't been able to go yet, partly because I was in Vegas last year. I wanted to go. They won't overlap again this year, I'm told. No, no, no. Yeah. Yeah. But but so you weren't there. But I know Mike Germano hosted and it was a little different, though, than the Nashville style. It had some overlap. There was some panels and stuff, but and some roasting that was done. That was quite funny. Just like in Nashville. But also there was there was some like genuine sort of show aspects. The one that's really coming to mind and you can see this. You guys published the video of the show is really great.

28:18Alex Thorn:was walker and carla's a bit where they're um like a deranged couple that starts off like flirting and walker plays fiat currency and carla plays bitcoin and yeah they sort of took you through like every part of a relationship like at first like he's hitting on her and like because they're gonna get married and then later they're married later they're getting a divorce right like it's very i dude i was dying they were great yeah we had that like it was almost like the elder the old guys in the muppets i forget their names yes yes the critics though that are up there yeah yeah Yeah, a little like interlude.

28:49There's a lot of show business at PubKey. I mean, even the launch party in D.C., like it was a barrage. And thank you so much to Galaxy for stepping in and sponsoring all the entertainment. We had a lot of entertainment. Yeah. So, you know, the media house with the bar, the event space that we have in D.C., there's just so much we can do with it. And we're going to use it. You know, we have a lot of, you know, crazy ideas. You got big plans? We'll talk about those in a sec, too.

29:13Alex Thorn:But let's talk about the D.C. launch party. So you have, there is Pub Key DC, a new restaurant in DC. It's not quite open yet. Not yet. You did that event, I guess now we're recording on Wednesday, December 2nd. That was what, two weeks ago? Yeah, just before Thanksgiving. Yep. The 18th. And it was packed and the place looked great. It didn't look like it was far from opening. No, we're close. We're in the frustrating phase. We're waiting on permits, right? We're ready to open. But it's, you know, the certificate of occupancy, health inspection, business license. So it can operate as like a private club for now or something like that?

29:49Yeah, private events. And we have to get caterers. We're not serving our food. We're not serving our drinks. But I really wanted to get something in before Thanksgiving. And we're ready, right? So hopefully December 8th, if not that, maybe the next Monday, the 15th. I'm assuming that's the city of Washington, D.C.

30:03Alex Thorn:that does those approvals? Yeah. Yeah. All right. Let's go, Washington. You know, this important cultural. But that was a great event. We're trying to employ Washingtonians and get open for Washingtonians. Exactly. Let's go. That was a great event. It's a really cool space. Yeah. And you guys made it look great, and it was well-hosted. But it was also very well-attended. Yeah. I saw you were speaking with Treasury Secretary Scott Besson was there. Yep. Congressman Richie Torres I saw there. Yep. A smattering of government, Treasury, and regulatory officials. I think we had like 30 people from Treasury, which is hysterical.

30:37Alex Thorn:I mean, those Treasury guys, they're busy, man. They got to blow off some steam. I get it. I get it. But just like at the high level, having, you know, Treasury really show up and force to the Bitcoin bar is we've come a long way. We really have. I couldn't imagine Janet Yellen and, oh gosh, I'm trying to remember who's the FinCEN guy. Whatever. The prior Treasury would not have been so inclined, I don't think. No, I don't think so. Look, this administration is unique. It's definitely the first one that has a level of competency and understanding around the power and potential of Bitcoin from a lot of different levels.

31:10right national security protecting of the dollar yeah um so it is cool to see and that's the focus in dc um and dc is a little bit more event-driven so in new york it's a dive bar it's 2200 square feet um dc has dive bars but you know dc is more about summits round tables you know fundraisers things like that meetings yeah yeah so we're tish's meetings yeah journalists meeting with

31:35Alex Thorn:Yeah. Leakers. Palantir's probably already in PubKey DC at this point. So we found an amazing location. It's 12 ,000 square feet, so it's six times the size. And we have two bars, a full restaurant. There's going to be a classic American shop house on site. The headquarters for the Bitcoin Policy Institute, a podcast studio, a karaoke room, a bouncy castle. Podcast studio, nice, by the way. Was that where the DJ booth was set up back there behind glass? Yeah, exactly. It's very cool. So you have the fish tank and then Video Village is there. Yeah, the fish tank. And James O 'Bearn DJed for us towards the end of the night.

32:11It's sick. We can throw a lot of different looks because of the space.

32:15Alex Thorn:Yeah, the space is quite large. It's a double-sided bar. So there's plenty of bar space, classic bar space. But they have a big open room that you can put tables in. Yep. You know, normal nights, a restaurant, you can put tables down. It's got a big stage. Yep. um what was the band the cover band that played there was wild bill no that one and then parrot fish both from nashville yeah yeah they were fantastic they were both but i just cannot i cannot get out of my mind as a dyed in the wool millennial parrotfish was just pumping out the millennial bangers dude yeah hot chili peppers sublime like hitting everything yeah it was so good they're really good they are very good i was like they even do the voices of the bands really well they're they're unbelievable and it was perfect we wanted something that was going to be fun they're just a classic like frat house like cover band um and just amazing energy we had the lion dancers because we're in chinatown you did in dc so you know a nod to the neighborhood we also had lion dancers bless pub key new york city that's one of our things every party we throw has mariachi in some capacity you did have mariachi here this is the first time we had mariachi since the hakeem jeffries chuck schumer mariachi meme that the administration threw so we were a little nervous about that but there's continuity we i didn't i was there i didn't feel that there was any like sense that that was the reference no no definitely not um vibes were high um and we're excited to get open like it's going to be really interesting and then on the media side we're going to do the same thing in dc that we do in new york so every thursday in new york it's free and open to the public bitcoin programming covering all aspects of the bitcoin ecosystem bitcoin adjacent topics you know free speech like we were just talking about when we had preston and yes and burn um so uh wednesday night in in dc is going to do the same thing and we're already starting to fill up that calendar the bitcoin policy institute's going to take one one night a week i'm sorry uh one wednesday a month uh for something more policy oriented um you know the gemini series is going to be there as well uh it's going to be exciting it's really an interesting i think it's a great place to do it there's so much happening in dc in bitcoin and bitcoin policy and D.C.

34:25Alex Thorn:is a big city, so it's also ripe for it. Are we meant to expect now a pub key in every big city? Every city except for Boston. Yeah, why no Boston? This pains me as a long time. No, I like Boston. I was up late one night and I was trying. I thought you said that. Yeah, I was trying to come up. It was a good tweet. It is a good tweet. I was trying to figure out what city would be the most. Angry if you said that. The highest potential to rage bait. And I was just like, it's Boston. It's definitely Boston. Especially for a New Yorker. And for a New York headquartered, do you have a head? Is the New York still the headquarters?

34:59D.C.'s so huge. We bookended, right? So I don't imagine we're going to get bigger. Bigger than D.C. is going to be like a hotel or something. Yeah, it's a big space. It's a really, really cool space. So we're bookended there. If we go to, you know, I think Austin is a high-value target for us because that's the podcast and comedy capital of America. That's good synergy with the media house side of things. San Francisco would be fantastic. Bitcoiners are everywhere. And there was a really interesting dynamic already in D.C. where in New York, at least, you have lots of companies, right? Galaxy is here.

35:35I dig, like, you know, Coinbase. Everybody has offices here. Chaincode Labs has been doing BitDes for a long time. There's enough of a Bitcoin community in New York where PubKey was additive. But in D.C., there's really nothing yet. So we have people from all over the DMV area. coming out of the woodwork um so in a in a way maybe it's because pubkey nyc has been around for three years at this point but the groundswell of support from the dmv bitcoiners is you know has been really um just a a pleasant and shocking surprise yeah i know a lot of people and i see

36:09Alex Thorn:this on the internet as well that they say like oh my gosh i've never made it to pubkey yet yeah and you've you've now obviously created another touch point for them to be their first yeah and it's a big region. There's a lot of people there. For sure. And people roll through. There's lots of conferences. There's a lot of reasons for Bitcoiners to be there on the policy side. You know, the miners are in and out all the time. Galaxy's in and out all the time. Coinbase. So one of the things that we want to try to do, you know, the big firms have lobbyists that they can pay, right? And they're in decent, decent shape.

36:41They can host fundraisers. PubKey wants to look out for the end user, like the little guy, and make sure that, you know, some of these protections, If we're going to be writing, you know, laws, you know, regulations on Bitcoin, we got to make sure that somebody is a champion for the end user. And I think I think PubKey slots into that nicely. PubKey lobbying firm. Soft power. I was going to say, soft power. Yeah. With a beer and a shot. Taverns have been hugely important with this for a very long time. That's where Thomas Paine dropped off common sense. that was the you know distributed the uh dissemination of information mode at the time

37:17Alex Thorn:before you know newspapers yeah the bell in hand in boston was where the the uh um the sons of liberty met which is green dragon those are the in the green dragon those are the folks that dumped the tea in the harbor um the stonewall in for lgbtq rights in new york was like revolutionary meeting place yeah that's probably goes back a lot further i mean russ's tavern in new york There's probably like some communist Bolsheviks that met and smoked cigarettes and decided to do their revolution, I'm assuming. This is old technology. We're talking about a couple of beers. A couple of beers. A couple of beers.

37:48Alex Thorn:Let's go overthrow the government. Yeah, it's pretty common in old technology. I love that. So what can we expect in the next year that you might be willing to share? You said some big things coming, some wild ideas. Yeah, it's going to take a little bit of time. We've got to get D.C. on solid footing. We're close to opening. And then when you open up a place like this, you don't know how people are going to flow through the space. Training up staff, you know, getting the restaurant out is going to be a big one for us. We're going for the lowest tier of fine dining. This is going to be a classic American shop house.

38:20Yeah. And we want to we're doing that intentionally. Like a dive bar is really accessible and approachable. But, you know, irrespective of socioeconomic status, we're shooting for something that's going to, you know, invite the broadest breadth of individuals to come and enjoy that shop house. So that's going to take some time. We're going to shift focus a little bit in Q1 back to the media house side of things. It's going to be a lot, right? You know, two weekly events in two different cities plus podcasts. And that media house is the connective tissue across, you know, all pub key locations, just the two now.

38:54So we're going to tool that out a little bit. but we have a couple of cities that we're looking at for either like longer term pop-ups like residencies um some international yeah we'll start to attack sort of like the next location as soon as we feel like you know we're on solid ground in dc and the media house is um operating in both locations well new york's kind of on autopilot at this point yeah i mean i kind of

39:19Alex Thorn:great yeah i i um i used to try really hard to go a lot now it's just kind of like in my normal flow Like, I don't always go, but anytime I do, it's great. I go sometimes at obscure times, and it's a normal functioning good bar. It's just a good bar. Yeah, like I used to go like every Thursday. I got to do the Bitcoin programming, and I still try to go, of course, and it continues to be great. But, you know, on like a Monday afternoon, it's pretty good still too, you know? And the food continues to be excellent. I have to continue to praise the food. You do have a great, I know you have to sign up and buy a ticket, but the Danish Christmas.

39:52yeah so a waist slice the the guy that does a beefsteak that i've been rocking for the last three years as my uniform yeah i'll molt eventually um but uh yeah so a waist slice does a really special uh you know tradition at pub key it's the danish christmas lunch um you got to take off work it's a lot i was gonna say you said you guys posted something about this it was like yeah

40:12Alex Thorn:no he posted actually yeah he was like you know it's it's great the food's amazing the people are great it's an awkward time and that's on purpose because you're meant to come to this great danish lunch and step out for smoke breaks while you're supposed to be at work. And he's like, and that attracts the exact type of person we're looking for for this lunch. It's a fantastic community event. We launched the Mug Club. The Muggers are kind of like the social club within PubKey. Disclaimer, I'm a member. Disclaimer. And, you know, bringing them together with these special things, I mean, tickets are still available.

40:47I think that it's an intimate event. I think only like 10 tickets are left. but it's special and you know doing this three years in a row a waste ice is a beast and you know it's a cool I think I managed to go last

40:58Alex Thorn:year I went I've been once and I think I missed the first one so I made sure to stay you gotta come come this year I don't think I can I'm not sure I don't have a ticket I know I'm gonna think about it if you look back Thomas at this year because it's been quite an I guess you know I don't want to go we already talked to you after you hosted the president for the for his Bitcoin burgers. Yeah. But if we look just at 25 and everything that you guys have done at PubKey, what stands out maybe for events at the New York space? What stands out to you the most, either specific events or trends that you've seen?

41:31The most special aspect of PubKey, it's become kind of like a bad day place for people. Like a lot of folks that are regulars will go to PubKey when they're having a bad day because it turns it around. So that ends up being extremely special. Death in the family, like we've had those things and that's always been very, very touching. The events continue to be incredible. Like the partnership that we have with the Human Rights Foundation pulls, you know, activists from all over the world to come in and share stories that don't get nearly as much attention as they deserve. so continuing that drumbeat has been has been really you know unbelievably special now that now that bitcoin is on the political scene in a big way after the election and you know the current administration we're getting a lot of inbound from politicians where this is really their first touch pubkey is light-hearted accessible it's a perfect place to have hard conversations to come in and ask you know the questions that you would probably get bashed asking if you're on Twitter or something like that.

42:35So creating that environment and seeing that vision, you know, come to life has been really special. And I'm hoping that we can make a lot of progress on the Democrats right now, because we are in an environment where, you know, our favorite internet communication protocol is becoming a bit of a partisan issue, which is quite silly. So that's our top goal in D.C. and New York to help sort of bring a little bit of like, you know, rational thought to the conversation.

43:08Alex Thorn:You're talking about the bifurcation between like X.com and Blue Sky, like and on the Internet, like and so there's not a good meeting place now for the sort of the split American politic? 100 percent that. I mean, you know, there's no real nuance or discourse happening across, you know political spectrum you know on X or blue sky blue skies wild but no it's also a bit partisan because you know it's gonna take a hundred two hundred hours of research for a policymaker to come up the curve and understand Bitcoin power and potential and promise and all that so when you have party leaders saying Trump likes this thing therefore this thing bad that effectively buys a policymaker 100 hours in resources for the team for the staffers the interns and everybody else to dive into the issue yeah so it's really effective we want to be able to pull that apart because you know i've said this a bunch of times you know saying that you know bitcoin is republican is like calling a hammer democrat or like a table saw you know libertarian it's it's very silly don't yeah don't talk about a pitchfork or a yeah or a shovel i don't know which ones those would be.

44:17Alex Thorn:No, you're right. It's a tool, right, in your mind. It's a utility. It's a nonpartisan, decentralized network. It's not inherently political. It's a psychological mirror for a lot of people. You kind of see what you want to see in Bitcoin, right? There are progressive values embedded therein. There are libertarian values embedded therein. It depends on, you know, your perspective and how you approach the tool, the protocol. And you can kind of see whatever you want in it. It's something for everybody. Let's talk about Bitcoin culture a little bit, which has been yet another interesting year in the Bitcoin land.

44:48Alex Thorn:I think, you know, to what extent, I've got a couple of interesting questions here, but to what extent do you think Bitcoin culture is now dominated by the plebs and the cypherpunks versus the suit coiners? Oh, that's a great question. I mean, with the ETFs and the treasury companies, you know, miners, you know, doing less mining, the more interested in HPC, there is a lot of bandwidth, I guess, for mainstream media talking just about these treasury companies and the ETFs, BlackRock and everything. The protocol falls apart without the individuals, without the nodes. That's where the strength comes from.

45:24So, you know, that's our primary focus. We cover the entire space with the media house side of things. But it's about the individual and what Bitcoin can do for a person, a family, a small business. It's nice that these things are happening. I mean, And, you know, in a way, when governments and sovereign wealth funds and ETFs and treasury companies see the value in the thing, that's good. But I didn't get into Bitcoin for, you know, an ETF in my Fidelity account. Nothing against Fidelity. But, yeah, cultivating the culture and, you know, really focusing on the individual, you know, self-sovereign aspects of Bitcoin, I think, is tremendously important.

46:09Alex Thorn:Yeah, I think, and is it still alive? I mean, is it threatened by the rise of the suit corners? Well, we'll see. I mean, you know, with centralization, you know, most of the ETFs use Coinbase. It's not great, right? We would like to see a lot of different custodians in the mix here so that you're sort of decentralizing risk and not having these, you know, centralized attack vectors. We're talking about order 6102, a lot more than we were between, you know, micro strategy and the ETFs. And, you know, Washington's now paying attention, which is good and bad, right, for a new technology like Bitcoin.

46:49It'd be a shame to see too much regulation stifle innovation because it still is very much an experiment. It's quite young.

46:54Alex Thorn:Yeah, we'd like to see a government, Washington in particular, but a government act more like a Gandalf, shepherding the hobbits along and setting them off on their path. You don't want it to be the eye of Sauron pointing its eye on you as an industry or protocol. And we're in the Gandalf phase. Yeah, exactly. The Palantir. But yeah, there is that risk, right? I mean, you know, I used to get this question about the ETFs all the time. People would ask me, like, is it bad for Bitcoin, right? And it seems like, you know, and I don't believe that they are, but the fears that engender that question, frankly, I think are bigger than ever now with the DATs and the strategies and the governments.

47:36Using the protocol is tremendously important, right? Like the way the protocol was designed, transaction fees have to take over for the, you know, block reward subsidy. Right. And, you know, using the protocol is strengthening the protocol, right? more products and services to interact directly and not just offload it to you know fidelity jp morgan coinbase whatever um you know it's something that we need to keep pushing on because otherwise it's just another financial asset and it could be so much more than that so when i was last at pub

48:05Alex Thorn:key i did buy uh my beers with bitcoin oh yeah um when i was actually hanging out with one of my probably my oldest best friend ever um from when we were you know two or three years old was in new and i brought him to pub key and so you know i don't always spend bitcoin but uh uh you know i but i do i used to but i still do too um and and so that the payment flow that you have set up there you guys built with zeus right which is yeah zeus i've included stepped in and really got it done for us it was tremendously grateful for great by the way um but i wanted to ask you now that blocks uh i guess that's what they're called blocks square the square terminal yeah has turned on the ability for, I guess, all of its U.S.

48:46Alex Thorn:merchants to accept fiat and receive Bitcoin, accept Bitcoin and receive Bitcoin, accept Bitcoin, a whole bunch of ways. Not that whether or not you guys would do it because your flow works great. But what as a merchant yourself that accepts Bitcoin, PubKey, what will be the impact of merely the option? Like, do you think, and then how does it step up? Is that really consequential? They are the largest payment terminal provider in the U.S. The functionality is huge. It's not just for the payments. I believe merchants are able to toggle like, okay, we receive credit card payments or cash payments.

49:19Right. I want this to automatically go into Bitcoin. I think it's like all the ways you can think of it. They can receive it. They can take fiat and convert it. Yep. Yeah. It's incredible. Like more of that is kind of what we need to help, you know, bolster what we were just talking about. Individuals using Bitcoin is tremendously important. Whether that's the Lightning Network or Liquid or, you know, the base layer, more is good. Yeah. Yeah. I think it's quite something I've been waiting for for years, to be honest. Yeah, and, you know, there's frustration there, too. I don't believe Block is able to activate in New York because of the BitLicense.

49:54Other locations they would be able to, you know, to activate for us.

49:57Alex Thorn:You guys are accepting in a non-custodial way with Zeus, basically. Yeah, so we have Zeus. We use ZapRite as the front end, Zeus for all the channel management and voltage for our nodes. Yeah, and that's to your point, though, because custodial, Bitcoin services in New York need a license from the New York Department of Financial Services. Yes. Yeah. So that's how, so there could be a, I wonder, actually, it's quite interesting if the DFS doesn't, and by the way, Square Blocks has a BitLicense, but when you have one, they do. They do. They know they do. But they have to get every product approved.

50:34Alex Thorn:Yeah, you can buy Bitcoin on Cash App in New York, and they have it. But I believe DFS requires every single new product or new crypto if you're like an exchange. to be approved so if you log in on Coinbase today from New York you only see a few assets whereas like you know they have every asset in the world yeah outside New York so here if New York uh if if Blox has huge success and merchants all over the country ex-New York are stacking Bitcoin and there's all these great stories about how well they're doing and how much how they love Bitcoin do you think like a non-custodial like a like will Evan Kalutis have like tons of business in New York do you think it's possible that like New York could become the hub for non-custodial merchant payments that's like a revolution against yeah look i love that framing in a way you know the regulations really spur uh innovation you know that try to deal with some of the wonky uh dynamics that they've created here with the bit license and there's also an issue with with lightning i think that one of the problems is that's the thing with cash app i can't use lightning on on cash even though you can't everywhere else i i don't know why but it's I believe it's because the NYDFS has not approved that offering or something, which is obviously silly.

51:43The routing of payments, I guess, triggers some money service business, you know. Well, they think so, but we hope it doesn't. PubKey's a cul-de-sac. Like, we have a lightning node, but our outbound would have to be, like, I don't know, 100 Bitcoin or something like that. So we only have the inbound and there's the carve-out. We haven't heard anything from the NYDFS.

52:01Alex Thorn:I think you'd be fine, again, if it's, you know, because you're not offering it to clients, right? Yeah, exactly. We don't tend to hold all the Bitcoin that's spent at PubKey. Yeah, and you've in the past, by the way, offered a discount if you pay in Bitcoin. No, both locations. Well, I mean, D.C. is not open yet, but both locations, if you pay in Bitcoin, you get 21 % off. So you guys are bullish. Yeah, fair to take it. It's only about 7 % of our transactions. If it ends up being 50%, we would probably have to recess. Maybe we'll think about it. But so far, it's so good. Well, it raises another interesting point because you were talking about accepting fiat as a merchant and converting a portion.

52:35Alex Thorn:but you're incentivizing people to pay in Bitcoin. One, because you want it. But it also, say over Lightning, it's going to be cheaper for the merchant almost certainly than accepting a card swipe, which is what, 2%, 3 % they pay. Absolutely. It's crazy. You have to get to tremendous scale to knock that, like Walmart, for example. They have a specific deal with Visa or whatever. Yeah, but small businesses, you're talking about 3 % for a lot of these terminals, a lot of these point of sales. um so you know lightning is a no-brainer um and it's also you know it's a good currency to hold in your reserve yep um let's talk a little bit more about bitcoin culture this year i would say i mean i hate to bring it up because i think it's very stupid but probably the most um potent and heated debate happening in sort of the bitcoin the bitcoin ecosystem bitcoin community like really you know not the now i'm not talking about the etfs i don't think if holders broadly know anything about this but it's the debate over spam and how to handle it and yeah bitcoin core v30 was released by the bitcoin core developers and it relaxed the opera turn field limit uh i think rightly in my view on uh under the theory that spam can't really be prevented so best to siphon it into the least objectionable part of a bitcoin transaction possible yeah which is the opera turn that's given rise to the Bitcoin knots movement.

54:00Alex Thorn:Very vocal on social media. Do you have a take on this just broadly? And maybe also as someone like yourself who's been in Bitcoin for so long, can you give us some perspective on these types of debates that have happened in the past? Yeah. So Core is the dominant implementation. It started with the Satoshi Reference client and it's evolved over time. We've had a lot of fights over the years around the block size wars and other things. This is a new iteration of that. You know, I think that there are valid concerns on both sides. Knotts is a fork of core that's managed by a much smaller team. And, you know, they're trying to address an issue that they, you know, care deeply about.

54:43The core team is the most robust, has the most resources. For a long time, I was working with Eric Bosco in the Libitcoin project because i would like to see um more alternative implementations more client diversity yeah absolutely um i think that would be a good thing and knots again is a fork of core originally so not even a full diverse client offering yeah the only one that would be a full tear down of the satoshi reference client or the one that's the closest would be la bitcoin um but we're talking about very deep in the technical weeds you have to get funding for that stuff yeah um because this

55:17Alex Thorn:open source software development yeah this has been an important debate though in other like crypto l1 communities like for example in eth you had geth and parity yeah and and people have argued for a long time that client diversity is really important for decentralization overall it is um and it seems a bit like what the knots people one of the things that the not supporters or users are also arguing i'm very sympathetic to that but i've been i've been on that with eric for since like 2017. You know, I thought that that was important. Mostly because now we're in a world where it would be trivial for BlackRock or somebody to spool up an alternative implementation.

55:52I think it's better if it comes from the community. Bitcoin was started by Amir Taki back in 2011. It's an original core maintainer, right? Yeah, absolutely. Amir was one of the very first people, you know, working on Bitcoin. Also, by the way, I think fought in Syria against...

56:05Alex Thorn:He's an interesting dude, yes. Against the, like, Islamist... Against ISIS. Against ISIS. He fought with the Kurds. I think he showed up trying to help them with their tech stack and they were just like, that's really cool. They're like, take this gun. We need you over there. He's a very prominent and longtime libertarian activist, generally speaking. Yeah, absolutely. So it is important to keep pushing these things forward because, you know, we're going to have alternative implementations coming out of it could be Facebook. It could be, you know, BlackRock. It could be anywhere. um and it would be really good if it was coming from the community first and figuring out all the consensus issues that people are concerned about and the reason why i think core wants to you know sort of maintain their prominence as like keepers of the flame um but you know uh bitcoin i don't know we were like the original no kings at least in technology do you think that there will be a it is american thing and do you think there will be a consensus uh like a fork or for nots yeah uh i would even just say like for spam mitigation that whole side of the argument i think it's good we're having the debate i think that we're having the debate in a slightly too heated way i'd like to see you know things calm down it's a bit of a flame war right now i don't think this is going to be similar to the block size wars where we had the fork with bitcoin cash um you know back then there was a lot of institutional support for that you had you had relatively big companies that were weighing in now they're sort of hands off with this one at least at least at the moment so i don't see it reaching that point um and forking off is hard right making the wrong decision there it's nice to get the dividends but you know making the wrong decision there can be you know uh ugly yeah if you sell the fork and hold the correct uh version that ends up yeah becoming bitcoin or staying bitcoin yeah you do well if you do what roger veer did which i think what jihan woo did yeah jihan jihan in particular i think yeah notably sold all his bitcoin and for bitcoin cash i don't know if jihon i don't know if it's all but well um but yeah yeah if you do that it could end up quite bad yeah and most of the um etf providers maybe all i don't want to say all because i haven't done a fine to fine tooth comb through all of their filings but most of them uh put clauses in their they reserve the railings yeah yeah really just to decide at the later moment none of them i think intentionally because of lessons from the bitcoin cash fork None of them prescribe exactly like what the thresholds or criteria might be for them to decide which is the real Bitcoin.

58:38Alex Thorn:They all basically formalized a we're going to wait and see if it happens. Yeah, that's the concern. Yeah. Right. So if in the documents they are deciding on behalf of their clients what the true Bitcoin is and they have an alternative implementation for whatever reason, it could be, you know, legal risk, you know, compliance reasons. It could be national security. It could be anything. So I'd like to see us figure out these issues internally before we test it. But, you know, no one's ever really prepared for war when it arrives. You're a longtime New Yorker. Your business is in New York. There was a big election in New York for a new mayor, Zoran Mamdani, a self-described democratic socialist.

59:22Alex Thorn:How is a New York citizen, I don't know, raising your family here, but also even perhaps more relevant to this show, as a business owner, small business owner, you expect Soron Mamdani's mayorship to affect you? I guess there's a concern, right? De Blasio was pretty similar, I would say. He wasn't as vocal about being a democratic socialist, but that was definitely in the background. New York is really resilient. I think everything's going to be fine in the long run. Raising taxes on small businesses like PubKey is going to have a meaningful effect. It's not like small businesses, mom and pop organizations are thriving in the current economic.

1:00:04PubKey is unique because of the Bitcoin community and everything. But you'll see a lot of businesses close if there's more pressure levied on them. He is doing some things that I like. He wants to streamline the permits and the licensing and make that easier. You shouldn't have to go and talk to seven to almost a dozen different, you know, regulatory bodies if you want to open up a barbershop. We are experiencing that right now in D.C. We experience that here in New York. It is painful. And, you know, you need to hire lawyers to navigate the process. And, you know, the fines can add up if you're getting levied with these fines and these taxes.

1:00:41So that is a positive that, you know, I hope to see him make progress on. Some of the other stuff, you know, I hope he comes in. Everybody's welcome at PubKey. It would be nice to talk to him about Bitcoin and what it can do for New Yorkers and the broader community. There are some touch points. Like I said, I think it is a psychological mirror. And there are some things that I think we can spark his interest with if he were to come in. One of the things somebody was pointing out to me is that FinCEN has just allowed or banned, I think, payment firms from facilitating firms from illegal immigrants.

1:01:18Alex Thorn:and as part of the crackdown this administration is doing on illegal immigration, do you think that there's a possibility that Bitcoin will become sort of widely adopted on the left as sort of the way the Canadian truckers did on the right as a reaction to that? You know, we've been waiting for, we've been talking about the remittance potential of Bitcoin for a long time. I think it's there. It's not as widely used as I think we thought it would be back in like 13, 14. When you look at Western Union or MoneyGram and the amount of money that they charge somebody sending money back home, these remittances, the remittance fees are astronomical on people that can't really afford to just take a 20 percent haircut.

1:02:01With stable coins and Bitcoin, I think that there is a really compelling argument to make there as an alternative. And, yeah, I think the surveillance state is a separate dynamic that there's a concern, you know, in how that's going to be applied to Bitcoin and broader crypto. But that use case is still very much alive. And, you know, Bitcoin is kind of there for anybody that needs it. Sometimes you like the First Amendment. Sometimes you don't.

1:02:27Alex Thorn:Yeah. Thomas, before we wrap here, you know, two more questions. One, I wanted to ask about Bitcoin mining. You've been long involved in Bitcoin mining. Yeah. You were on the board of a public Bitcoin miner. Hash rate has exploded this year. We're over a Zeta hash. Yeah, it's wild. It really is wild, especially given how many Bitcoin miners are either incorporating or fully transitioning to an AI or HPC use case, which we kind of alluded to earlier. Where do you see the future of Bitcoin mining going? We've got this industrial-scale publicly traded Bitcoin miner phenomenon in the U.S. There's plenty of private mining happening both at scale and at small scale.

1:03:06Alex Thorn:um do we hit twos at a hash i mean next year i mean next year no uh maybe i don't think i don't think that quickly um it's certainly possible um it's exponential these last few years a few years it's been you know pretty wild to watch um i think the focus is still on new power right i think you know i think sam altman was saying we need more electrons um and the bitcoin miners were on this aren't there a finite number of electrons in the universe and then how energy works i'm not sure actually. A Dyson sphere around the sun. Something like that. Exactly. Okay. So, you know, Bitcoin miners have been helping with that all through COVID, run the China ban.

1:03:43Like people, you know, there was a shortage of the substations, for example, finding new electricity, new power sources to power the mines. So the miners were in a fantastic position to understand this, you know, rush in demand for HPC. Thomas, you've been an M &A attorney.

1:04:03Alex Thorn:You were a compliance official for Fidelity in Bitcoin. You served on the board of a public Bitcoin miner. You've long been an investor, and I think you had a fund at one point as well. An activist crypto fund, if I recall, which was interesting, very early ahead of its time. It didn't work. It worked out. That strategy, we pivoted to mining. That strategy is hard to execute. Yeah, and obviously you and your wife Megan and other partners and investors have created and launched PubKey now both in New York and Washington, D.C. Would you be surprised, you're 21-year-old south out of college or out of law school where you've ended up?

1:04:42Alex Thorn:And what does a day in Thomas's life look like? Oh, God. I'm quite tired. Yeah. So we had Eric Kaysen at PubKey a few weeks ago. and he and I got into Bitcoin around the same time. And I think that that class of Bitcoiners, I call them the rescue dogs. It was kind of, you know, the 20s were a little bit aimless, I would say for me. I went down the legal path. I was at Cat Wallet or as a swap and derivative lawyer. Sorry, yes. And it just wasn't. Swaps and derivatives, not M &A. Yeah, yeah, yeah. That's okay. It's all legal slop. But yeah, it's surreal. Like Bitcoin found me at a time in my life where I wasn't really sure.

1:05:26I was pretty confident that I didn't want to just, you know, I wasn't the best fit for a legal career. So very grateful to find this thing. And, you know, I think that that rescue dog class, we have a big responsibility. And millennials in general, millennials are the only ones that remember before the digital era and actually know how computers work. I think Gen Z is a little bit more. The app doesn't work. I need to buy a new phone. like we tinker a little bit. So I think there's a lot of responsibility. I think that we're sort of, you know, carrying the torch right now before we pass it off to the next generation.

1:06:01You know, my goal is to foster culture and community for Bitcoiners and for pre-coiners to come in and have an environment where they can learn about this thing and how it can help their lives and their families. And then after that, I don't know. My wife says she's going to divorce me if I run for office, but we'll see. Well, there you have it. Thomas Pacquiao, lawyer, compliance official.

1:06:22Alex Thorn:Yeah. What's the pod conf thing? Compliance is defiance. Bar guy. Bar guy, owner, proprietor of PubKey. Thank you so much for coming on Galaxy Brains. Thank you. Appreciate you. That's it for this week's episode of Galaxy Brains. Thank you to our guest, Thomas Pacquiao from PubKey NYC and PubKey DC. I guess you should say PubKey Media House. And our friend, Bimita BB from Galaxy Trading. As always, everyone have a safe and happy weekend. and we will see you next week.

1:06:54Alex Thorn:Thanks for listening to Galaxy Brains, the weekly podcast from Galaxy Research. If you enjoy the show, please like, rate, review, and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. To follow Galaxy Research, sign up for our weekly newsletter at gdr.email, read our content at galaxy.com slash research, and follow us on Twitter at glxyresearch. See you next week. Thank you.

From the publisher

Alex Thorn talks with Pubkey founder Thomas Pacchia about the opening of Pubkey DC, bitcoin culture, and the future of bitcoin. Alex also talks with Beimnet Abebe (Galaxy Trading) about markets and bitcoin price targets.

This episode was recorded on Wednesday, December 5, 2025. 

Participants, along with Galaxy, hold a financial interest in Bitcoin (BTC). Galaxy regularly engages in buying and selling Bitcoin (BTC), including hedging transactions, for its own proprietary accounts and on behalf of its counterparties. Galaxy also provides services to vehicles that invest in Bitcoin (BTC).  If the value of such assets increases, those vehicles may benefit, and Galaxy’s service fees may increase accordingly. The valuation in this communication is based on technical, fundamental, and market analysis and not on any formal valuation method. For more information, please refer to Galaxy’s public filings and statements. Cryptocurrencies, including BTC, are inherently volatile and risky and ultimate market movements may not align with this statement.

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