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Podcast Episode Summary: HUNGRY - The £100m Brand Man with Giles Brook
Episode Overview In this episode of the HUNGRY podcast, host Dan Pope interviews industry legend Giles Brook, exploring the evolving landscape of Challenger Food and Drink brands and the changing dynamics of securing exits. The conversation dives deep into various strategies, metrics, and the highs and lows of building and exiting successful brands, especially in the context of the current market.
Key Themes and Insights
- Changing Exit Strategies
- Multiples of Revenue are Dead
- Giles highlights a significant shift in how businesses are valued. Previously, businesses could expect to exit based on revenue multiples; however, current metrics indicate that EBITDA multiples are now the primary valuation method.
- EBITDA Multiple: 12x
- Revenue Multiple: 1.9x
- Understanding Gross Margin
- Importance of clearly defining true gross margin and ensuring transparency in financials.
- Gold, Silver, Bronze Framework for evaluating gross margin:
- Bronze: <30%
- Silver: 40%
- Gold: 50%+
- Brand Building
- The necessity of creating a robust brand identity that resonates with consumers.
- "Brand, Brand, Brand": Giles emphasizes that even mediocre businesses can achieve great exits if they possess a strong brand.
- Innovation and Product Strategy
- Innovation Close to the Core: Brands should innovate in ways that align closely with their core offerings, as demonstrated by successful cases like Vita Coco.
- Format Innovation: Larger package sizes and variations can enhance consumer consumption and overall sales.
- Marketing and Growth Strategies
- Consumer-Centric Approach: Focus on retaining existing consumers and understanding their needs is paramount.
- Avoid overspending on marketing before establishing a solid distribution network.
- Challenges of Exiting
- Approximately 90% of exit deals fall through due to various factors, including market conditions, company performance, and investor expectations.
- Founders often face immense pressure and must be prepared for the potential of deals falling apart.
- The Role of Founders vs. Operators
- The distinction between founders and operators, and the tension that can arise as companies scale.
- Importance of surrounding oneself with a capable team to ensure balanced leadership.
- Future Trends in Food and Drink
- Anticipated macro trends include personalization, gut health, and sustainability.
- Brands must communicate a clear and compelling "why" to stand out and succeed in competitive markets.
- Personal Reflections on Success and Addiction
- Giles shares his personal journey with addiction and how it manifested in obsessive work patterns.
- Highlights the importance of finding balance and ensuring that family and personal well-being come first.
Conclusion Giles Brook’s insights provide a wealth of knowledge for those in the Challenger Food and Drink space. The episode emphasizes the necessity of adapting to market changes, the importance of strong branding, and the emotional and psychological journeys of founders in pursuit of success.
Call to Action Listeners are encouraged to reflect on their own strategies for brand building and exit planning, prioritizing a strong understanding of their consumer base and maintaining a balance in their professional and personal lives.
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Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:28Hello hello, hope you're wonderful. it i'd come back to it in six months if you want that coin boy if you want that bread that dough that wonga that moolah then you need to listen to this and listen to it uh intently um amazing episode couple of things first is um there's a moment in this where giles talks about um when he had anxiety that is actually in relation to um coca-cola not innocent just a heads up Second thing, if you like this podcast, Giles and I are hosting an event, a live podcast and supper club at the Draper's Arms on Tuesday the 25th of Feb. So we've got 20 people or 20 tickets, banging grub, three-course meal, 60 quid ticket.
1:13You'll watch a live podcast with Giles and I. You'll meet a load of other food and drink founders. You can ask Giles your questions. It's going to be a sick evening. And yeah, if you want to come, pre-register, link in the show notes. On the menu, the challenge of brands understand why your exit game has completely changed. Charles has a really simple way of a gold, silver, bronze of true gross margin EBITDA. Like laser these into your brain. Why brands and founders must stop manipulating true gross margin. I.e. that you can basically hide stuff in the P &L. When it comes to exiting your business, they're going to have someone with a laptop who's going to be paid 200 grand.
1:52He's going to be able to go through, know your business better than you. so it's just about preparing yourself now for what they want when you actually exit the difference between a multiple revenue exit versus an ebitda multiple that's changed basically if you if you if you exit on ebitda you're going to get 12 times you get a revenue multiple today it's 1.9 so basically start being a proper business start actually making profit and stop going for growth at all costs um biome's innovation to exit strategy i absolutely love this uh brands must innovate close to the core this has literally changed the way i walked down supermarkets um red bull zero nor again innovation doesn't need to be who who are happy clappy like it can be super simple format innovation is the best kind of innovation vitacoco's consumptive expansion nor this will change the way you actually build your brand it's like blowing my fucking mind this um just so much gold gold in this i'm so grateful to giles for being so generous and just straight talking um I love this episode.
2:54Please do share it. And yeah, if you want to come to the old Supper Club on the 25th, then in the show notes or drop me a DM, I'm going to go and get a load of limb sip down my gob and do fuck all today. Thank you so much.
3:11I went to that Hoolahan Loki event in the Park Lane. I got invited through Perry and I'd, if I'm being fucking honest, I thought it was like a tiki bar and clap and like the Hoolahan Loki. and I've said that and everyone's like, no, you can't say that, you have to be that bit closer. And I was like this, it was like this sort of, this whole new world. It was like the exit El Dorado, if that makes sense. It's like where everyone listening to this podcast is working so hard to get to this exit. Or at some point, some may not say they're not, but at some point there is this hope to get to an exit.
3:44And yeah, I was walking around this swanky hotel and it just felt like there's this whole new world. and I've spoken to people who, you know, like people like Amelia, and they're like, how do we actually get there, you know? Yeah. And one of the things I've kind of learnt from being there and speaking to people there is that getting these deals done is incredibly hard. Yeah. And I'd love to sort of, for you to parachute us in to one of the exit deals you eventually got over the line, but where it was all kind of hanging by a thread and it was up and down and you were kind of yeah what were the thoughts what was going wrong and what were the thoughts in your head at night when you were trying to go to sleep yeah yeah got you um probably best examples bear right that's probably the best one actually we use hula and hokey advised us on that transaction um it's kind of where we start on this one so i think i think there's a number of things i'd say which is I mean look getting to an exit is very very difficult if I just take a step back actually I think my genuine advice to most startup stroke founders is particularly in the early days people seem to start thinking and worrying and get distracted by exit far too early and that's just one of those things if you concentrate on building the brand the business and the financials associated with the business wrong to say an exit take care of itself but the probability you're getting successful exit will be strong if you focus on building the business now of course as part of building the business you need to also understand what constitutes and what represents giving you the best chance to get a successful exit so that's definitely that's the first thing i'd say but just quickly that those principles are sort of brand yeah financials yeah so we could have a long one on this today but let's let's go through it all because i think it's really important to understand right so the world has changed as well so the first thing i'll say every time is everybody just obsesses about their p and l which is correct right so everybody wants to look for strong revenue growth and you talk about compounded annual growth rates are k gars and typically as a startup brand you're going to want k gar growth over a three year or five sorry i'm gonna ask i'm gonna be a three-year-old yeah that's really dumb questions what say that right Actually, this thing called CAGAR, which is compounded annual growth rate.
6:06All that does is that takes your growth rate, your average growth rate over whatever period of time you want to select. So it could be a two year, three year, five year. Three years, probably atypical. So it will say that, look, you know, typically, you know, if you're growing at single digit over a three year compounded annual growth rate, it's probably not attractive. But as a startup, anything between kind of late teens up to a 60 % growth rate on a compounded basis excites prospective buyers. So I think the first thing to say on the P &L is obviously the revenue growth. But if you're looking at me, particularly when I invest in businesses today, the number one metric I will look at on every single prospective investment document, which they call, again, terminology, information memorandum, which is called an IM.
6:53Yeah, I learned that the other day. So we'll do a glossary for everybody after this. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Businesses need to be simple. We can get onto that as well, but that's another thing. But the first thing I look at is gross margin rate, okay? Because effectively, you need to set up your value chain on your business that you're making a good gross margin. And the reason why that's so important, and just to explain what gross margin is, and again, I'll keep it simple, it's typically, and again, the big problem we have as well is that people are manipulating their definitions of gross margin rate because they're trying to hide some costs, which should be in gross margin, but they'll drop it elsewhere in the P &L.
7:28Investors have wised up to that, right? There is only one definition of gross margin on a traditional food and drink business. I'll talk a little bit on D2C in a second. But effectively, gross margin is if you take your invoice price that you sell to your customer at, if you take away promotional discounts, which that gives you net revenue, which then is that after you take away your promotional costs, that is what you call your turnover and that is what you report to hmrc you take away from there your cost of goods what it costs you to make it plus also your logistics what it costs you to ship it to the customer yeah that then gives you your gross margin there's also something called trade investments so for example if you got a gondola end and paid sayingsbury's 10 000 pounds that gondola end that needs to come into it but that's what you typically call gross margin the only slight difference is there's something that's there's another thing whether you call it gross margin 1, 2, 3, all various across customers, is that when you've got an e-commerce or a D2C business or a business that is a hybrid channel, you also need to look at acquisition costs for consumers there because people can be spending between 10 % to 30 % of revenue getting consumers in.
8:35And that acquisition cost has to come in as well. So people need to look at that. So a lot of people, they can sort of shove it under the carpet. It'll be dropped. It'll be hidden under gross margin in something like marketing or something like that, right? And I think it's really important that it's a clean definition. But just to give you an idea, and so the number one thing I look at is gross margin, right? Yep. And I kind of have a gold, silver, and bronze view that anything that starts with 30%, I say is bronze. Anything that starts with a 40 % is silver. Anything gets towards 50%, I call gold, okay?
9:07And that's where you get excited because the problem is, is that, And again, I do feel for a lot of startups because I had a huge amount of inflation in the last few years. The majority of challenger brands have not been able to pass on the same level of inflation through to the retailers as the corporate guys. Because either their brand isn't strong enough to put that inflation through to maintain the consumer demand. Or else they've just not had the strength of business to be able to push it through as much as some of the corporates have with the retailers. so the reason why the gross margin is so important is that if you don't make enough money at gross margin level you don't have enough to invest in marketing in people and in your overheads and within overheads you've got things like your processes and systems and all that and the problem is you just continue running out of cash because you know if you're turning over 10 million pounds as a business but you're making a 40 gross margin yeah you've got 4 million then to deploy on the rest of the P &L.
10:04But if you're turning over 10 million, but you're only a 20 % gross margin business, you've only got 2 million then to deploy on the rest of the P &L. So you need to be making a strong gross margin business to generate cash for the business as part of the working capital cycle, but also to be able to deploy it and invest in the brand and in the business. And then the final thing, just before I kind of come off the P &L thing, is that the world has also changed when you're looking at exits okay so i would say when we sold bear 70 or 80 of prospective buyers we were talking about a revenue multiple as alongside an ebit multiple if you go out just define those just quick yeah sorry i should have done that no no i'll be the baby here no no sorry sorry so obviously the revenue multiple hopefully is quite explanatory so if you're turning over 20 million and somebody wants to is willing to pay you two and a half times revenue and by when i'm saying two and a half times typically people will take the last 12 months the last 12 months prevailing revenue is what the run rate is okay so if i if you're doing a 20 million 12 month run rate and you were somebody offered you two and a half times that that mean effectively you'd be selling the business for 50 million yeah what's happened though now is that and for various reasons it's about you know people wanted to see a proper a business it's also the cost of borrowing all stuff like that 90 percent of prospective buyers will only now value a business on an EBITDA multiple because they're not prepared to buy or pay a high multiple against revenue for business that is just hemorrhaging cash and losing money they need to bring a business in that they feel can immediately start contributing to the wider group of what they're doing and it's not surprising because a lot of the businesses that obviously you're looking to acquire are listed they have shareholders they have courtly earnings that they've got to update with and they have if they're bringing something in it's got to very quickly step up and be able to contribute to you know to the central group so the big change is now and one thing i'm talking to because you know i've got just under 20 businesses now that i'm you know i invest in myself right that's my portfolio one of the biggest messages i can give everybody is that you really need to start becoming what i call a proper business earlier than you would done three five years ago if you want to get a successful exit you need to think about how you can become ebitda positive and just to explain ebitda right so ebitda is earnings before interest tax amortization okay and that's effectively your net profit at the bottom so once you've taken your gross margin which we defined earlier you take your marketing costs off you take your people costs off you take your overheads off okay that's then the ebitda right and typically you know again to give people just a benchmark is that if I do bronze, silver, gold, I'd say bronze is 5 % EBITDA and above, silver is 10 % EBITDA and above, gold is 15 % EBITDA and above.
12:57But the other thing that's really important, what a lot of people don't realize is that, you know, I can tell you now, right now in the market today, the, if I just talk package goods, the average exit multiple for a challenger brand is between 1.9 to 2.1 times revenue. And the EBITDA multiple is about 12 times. Okay. It feels like we're going into like an economics lesson here, doesn't it? Yeah, yeah, yeah. But let me just explain why it's important. So let's just take that 20 million, yeah? Which I mentioned earlier. And let's just say we're going to get this time, we're going to say we're going to get two times revenue, which is about average, which would mean the business is worth 40 million.
13:32But let's say that 20 million business, yeah, is only making 5%. Okay. So that effectively means that they're making 1 million. If you wanted to get the 40 million, but you're only making 1 million, that means you've got to get 40 times multiple on the EBITDA. It's not going to happen. People are going to look at it and go, okay, in very exception, it might do for various reasons. But that's why I'm saying that you've got to almost look at the two, because let's just take that example. On that 20 million, and let's say it's two times revenue, which is the 40 million. at EBITDA level if you're making you know 10 % EBITDA that means you need a 20 times multiple that becomes more realistic if you've got a really strong and hot brand you said you said out of your portfolio of 20 you're still awake now by the way yeah yeah yeah apologies I know it's worth people listening back to this thank god we're doing this first thing in the morning mate because if this was the afternoon double maths is when I always used to fall asleep you need that Cortado yeah yeah yeah in three of these no but it's super super valuable because as i said as even out there's hula hand loki is all these as i say it's like exit el dorado in this kind of opulent um park lane hotel but and it you can see that's where the end goal is but it's and i suppose what i want to chat today about is how we reverse engineer what they need to focus on now yeah and you said you know there's 20 20 of my brands in my portfolio they need to get to ebitda ebitda positive business earlier than they initially thought we want to sort of fast track that process what are the three one to three things that they like people listening to this can say right that the world's changed now it's not based off revenue multiples yeah we're gonna we're gonna be in a much more advantageous position if we go off EBITDA how do you kind of do that or are some brands so far down the revenue land that they're kind of fucked yeah I mean I think for people starting up or in early stages make sure you set your value chain right in the first thing.
15:30So what I mean by that is that, you know, I see too many brands set up and go, okay, I'm only making 20 % today, but I think I can get to 40%. Typically, margin only goes one way because particularly if you're dealing with the supermarkets, they want more. And as you grow, you have to kind of invest more and more, right? So I think if you're starting up today, try and set up the value chain of a business where you know straight away you can make 30, 40 % margin back from whatever the consumer price, what margin you need to give the retailer down to then obviously what your cost of goods are. try and set up a model where you know you can make 30 40 today is the first is the first thing i say yeah for those who are slightly further down the journey people just think it's growth growth growth right it's not be careful it's not growth at any cost and my advice is today is and you know i've had this conversation with numerous of my involvements the last few days so in the last few weeks is if you came to me today and said look we can have a compounded growth rate of 45 percent but make five percent EBITDA over the next three years or I could have 30 or 35 percent growth rate over the next three years but make 10 percent I'd want the latter I'd rather because 30 35 percent growth is with a 10 percent EBITDA in my mind today is much stronger than a 40 45 percent growth to the five percent EBITDA because people you need to rebalance the P &L and it's really important that people you know that you know that people have a balanced P &L and the bit that people forget as well is that if you don't have a good gross margin in the starting place you're going to continually be fundraising and fundraising and fundraising you just run out of cash the whole time that's that's that's a war of attrition yeah the mind and the soul yeah you've gone through that is it's just it's that's where the fun sort of gets squeezed out of you absolutely but but going back to advice you said to me look the top three of things right the number one thing that i want to explain to everybody is there's something that's more important so when i talk about revenue um gross margin ebit dial that's let's just call that p &l stuff right it's that as we said at the beginning now that's financials finance yeah let's go into the number one thing is brand okay yeah and that's what people don't understand right is that i've known businesses that on paper look absolutely exceptional because the p &ls are unbelievable but if anybody's going to acquire you they will spend sometimes six figures i.e.
17:42more than 100 ,000 on conducting audits of your business, but more importantly of your brands. So they will do brand health surveys. They will use very strong consumer marketing agencies and stuff to look at the categories you operate in and to understand how strong your brand is in those categories. What are some of the metrics on those health? So it will be advocacy will be in there, loyalty will be in there. I mean, again, when you get more DTC, it's about retention. it's an acquisition cost there's loads of different metrics but it's basically it's your it's kind of something called the net promoter score right in the consumer world is would you recommend that brand to one of your friends to buy people will look at that brand and you know I'll give you an example if you look at something like in coffee for example there's been some really good startups that have done a really good job and got to good revenue numbers but actually when you look at the number of exits in coffee there's not been many and one of the big reasons for that is people are looking at that and saying, look, I think you've done a great job.
18:43But if I look at you against the likes of, you know, Nespresso, Illy, et cetera, I can't ever see how you're going to play against those guys because there's such strong brands in that category. But if you look at, you know, again, if I look at what we did in Vitacoco, right? Coconut water, the brand Vitacoco became synonymous with coconut water. We had PepsiCo come in, you know, with Naked and also with Harmless Harvest in the US came in through another corporate. we also had innocent coming in obviously through through the coke system and we got bludgeoned there but what the thing that won the reason that we won on that is because we spent absolutely obsessed every minute every second of every day how do we become the number one brand for the consumer on coconut water so that we became synonymous with coconut water and that's what won through and that's why when you look at the coconut water walls and they were walls it got really really personal it got very very challenging in both you know i looked after europe but also with mike running the us the number one thing that won us through alongside a very strong supply chain which we can always talk about separately but was the brand strength right the brand that we knew that everybody else innocent was a juice player you know naked also was in juice all we obsessed about was coconut we made sure that we you know consumers knew that we were just always dedicated to bringing in the best possible coconut products and that gave us such a strong resilient position so it's fascinating so i um i've i've been writing this thing recently about like the one percent of the one percent and how how you know i've interviewed julian metcalf recently james watt yourself today adam ballon from innocent yeah and i i'm thinking like what makes these guys operate at a different fucking level like the one percent one percent and they have this thing called the called a barbell strategy which is by nascent taleb and it's if you want to be anti-fragile super strong you have to basically it in investment is doing a few high risk things with lots of sort of low-risk things.
20:33Yeah, yeah. You can apply it to life, right? And Julian's thing is simplicity and complexity. His whole thing is like, if I've, he can hold complex things and simplicity. Adam's was, he talked about, you know, he loves race car driving. He was like, that's actually a lot like building a brand. It's the gutsiness and the balls and the gun code to go around the track. But if you don't balance that and barber that with some data, you're completely fucked because you're going the wrong way around. Yeah. James Watt, speed versus direction. He was like, I would rather move so fast and fuck up 30 % and then we can course correct by listening to the consumer.
21:09And what I'm getting from you, mate, is it's this balance between these financials on the left-hand side naturally. And the whole point of this is it's a tension. So you've got financials and brand. And I think what so many things do is they're like, right, we'll build a fucking amazing brand and then kind of let them, not neglect their financials, but not think about that EBITDA thing. And then you end up with an amazing brand, but you can't get an exit. The other way around, you've got an amazing business, but you have no brand. And I think, and I'd love to go into the Vitacoco Wars to kind of, sorry, the Coconut Wars to really get into this.
21:43What you've got to do is you've got to balance the business. And just to finish a bit on the brand bit, right? I'm just going to check these lights, but yeah. Yeah, yeah, please. Yeah. On the brand piece, right? If you think about it, is that you need to be a hero in your category. And that's the big thing. when we looked at you know when we sold the bear business we were the leading brand we were the biggest and the most and the leading brand for kids fruit snacking right and that's what made a big difference in vitacoco you know at one point in time we had a 92 percent market share of coconut water that got down to as low as 51 percent um but all the way through that time regardless of market share we were always the number one coconut water right yeah and that was that was the big thing right that's what buyers want to see they want to bring in you know if you look for successful exit they need to make sure that you're hero category and that's why if you're actually got a big turnover but you're littered across five or six categories and you're a jack of all but master none of those categories difficult to get a very exciting exit because you're just not powerful enough in either of those categories that's not just for who wants to buy you it's more important it's for the for the buyer yeah so if you're in a so when you say buyers and the if you're on it if you're in a test sold supermarket buyer right so if you're tesco saings or whatever right my advice is always build really deep before you go wide right which basically means you know so if you look at let's look at take one of my current ones buyer me for example right we are we are just we are focused on two categories we've got cereal and then we've got basically dairy and we're not going any further than that at this stage right because we just want in cereal we've got um muesli porridge and granola and we've also got some cereal bars which sit sit as part of that portfolio and then we also have kefir yogurts and kefir drinks yeah they are billion dollar opportunities in themselves right we are now just working with the buyers and just focus on those two categories and just to make sure that we're absolute heroes in those categories we're getting loads of things or you could go and do this category this and this and actually for us it's no no we're going to build really deep because then we know if we become a hero in those categories it really does help us then if at some point in time we want to exit that business we're in the strongest possible place because we're very strong in that relative category but the bit I also just wanted to mention to you Dan was well what I don't think people realize is is that when you come to sell your business you are going to be sat in a due diligence meetings with not just the commercial director the marketing director the md the ceo the whoever it is from these big entities who are obviously kicking the tires on your business there'll be these days now there is a guy like you sat there with a laptop who is a data guy right when you go into an exit process whoever's buying you will i guarantee you unless you are very lucky and you have very deep pockets as a startup or challenger brand, they will know more about your brand, your consumer and your business from the data perspective than you will because they have access to all of the consumer, shopper and category data.
24:30So honestly, I've seen it. And funny enough, I was speaking with some of the M &A advisors in the last few weeks and they were laughing. They said, I've been in some meetings recently and some of the founders' jaws are just dropping because they're suddenly sat there going, oh my God. They're sat there going, oh my God, these guys know more about my brand and my consumer than I do. so don't bluff don't bullshit but also you've got to make sure you know your your consumer really really well because you know the stakes are very high in an exit and you've got it you've got to realize you've got to be on top of your game if you want to get a successful exit the the the be a hero of of your category pieces is fascinating and it goes back to that tension if you can be able to build a massive business across multiple categories i did um tim reese from viticoco invited me to do that sales training thing for them okay yeah yeah which was great because basically and they've got on their wall in their office like a um a panoply of different categories they tried to go into they had like vitacoco cbd vitacoco all sorts and they and the lesson from that was we tried to go and go for these sort of land grab opportunities and they realized by actually just doubling down on the core they've grown a massive business yeah but then the reason they brought wheeled me in is is for the because they've got this oh this will go live once it's launched so I can talk about it.
25:44They've got this new Treats skew, which is absolutely boosting off in the States. And so they're like, well, we've, and it's just, again, it's another barbell. It's like focus on core versus innovating new, focus on core versus innovating new. And you're trying to, and I think Aristotle's got a quote, which is trying to find the golden mean, which is that middle point. And that's where like, that's where the gold is. And, you know, they swung too far with all this MPD. And then now they focus, now they're going back. And the Treats, I think is this new product that's doing really well in the States.
26:12and they're trying to unleash it here. So that's why it's sort of like how we do the sort of set, sell it into the retailers and make it fun and like convivial and all that sort of stuff. But how do brands find that golden mean in between those two polar things? Because it's like, how the fuck, do you know what I mean? Yeah, but you've hit the nail on the head, which is people think that innovation has got to be as weird, as wacky and as different and out there as possible, right? Innovating close to the core is the number one advice I can give everybody about innovation, right? Because if you innovate, if you've got something in your, if your core business or your core category, your core skew is really strong, doing different derivatives or very similar products of that is going to create more value for you, for the shareholder and for the consumer, whichever way you want to look at it.
26:59And there's so many examples of that. So the Vita Cocoa one you've given, I remember across, I was in that business 12 years, we did every single flavor like passion fruit, pomegranate, blah, blah, blah. we did sparkling we did everything we tried everything and then we sat there and we obviously had Vita Cokie Pure and then somebody said well look everybody's the number thing we've always known is people said look God I wish it tasted more like a pina colada so we were like that's the white skew isn't it yeah so that's the pressed right so all we did was we took the great cool Pure offering and we basically blended in another 20-30 % of your puree to create a much more richer and sweeter coconutty tasting flavor which would be called pressed which was for those people who are real diehard loves coconut taste that was for those consumer and it tasted obviously clearly no alcohol at all but it tasted almost like a you know like what you expect the pina colada within the first 12 months that press launch delivered more revenue to the group than the last seven years of innovation in total in 12 months and again let me give you one example as well of just in market i just think so smart at at the moment is that again look at the red bull juggernaut right red bull at the end of the day 99.8 percent of their turnover or night let's just say 90 whatever it's 95 99 whatever you want to say is their regular red bull and then their sugar-free red bull and then different pack sizes around that right so actually don't forget pack size packaging is big innovation as well as obviously looking at different variants right they've tried tonics they've tried red bull cola they've tried additions all of them do hard anything but what's really smart i think that they've done um in the last few weeks has been announced so they've now launched red bull zero so they've looked at the coke model and said well actually let's look they've got coke diet coke coke zero so what they've done now is they said well do you know what let's do the same on energy drinks so we've already got sugar free and we've already got the regular but actually sugar free doesn't taste the same as the regular but let's do a coke zero equivalent and call it red bull zero and they've launched that.
29:04And I guarantee that is going to absolutely fly. And, you know, again, another example is look at Oatly, right? They have their oat drink. They then have the organic one. They then have the barista edition and stuff. Again, very similar product, but a slight twist or nuance on it. And these are all hugely incremental and bringing in new consumers. The format thing is fascinating. And I think it's actually, I think, as you say, people can get, think because I'm an entrepreneur or a founder or even the team, it's like, we've got to do something fucking, a bit like that Jaguar thing. it's like do something so fucking bonkers that's trending at the moment isn't it maybe that's what it's all behind it they know it's really bad but they've got to do something so wacky and crazy to really push the boundaries and you see brands just kind of moving as you say away from their core category and then you i'm walking down another line i'm like shit these guys are playing in here and i won't say the brands but like that's crazy but the format thing is really interesting it's actually quite easy to do and there's the sales director advisor coca was talking about um consumption expansion yeah so he was saying that you know if you get a pack of eight of those vitacoco things in your in in store right say it's a pack of i don't know the actual sizes if that's in your fridge you were going to bosh through that and i know this for a fact from diet coke if i've got diet coke in the fridge and i've got eight of them i will just blitz through them yeah versus i've got one it's like all you've got to do is make the sorry make the pack bigger get that in it's not that it's still but then it's going to drive your sales and it's this consumption expansion thing and you know i think it's what dash do very well by doing those big those big things on d2c it's like if i've got one dash at home but oh sorry versus say 10 i will get through for a day so i'll just be you'll drink more in between the same yeah because let's just say again it varies by person but let's say your average main shopping trip is every seven days yeah guarantee you if you get that strategy right you can double trouble quadruple double treble or even quadruple your consumption yeah over that same period by just getting the pack size and you're right you've got d2c you also got you know vehicle like costco as well you see people buy massive packs in costco but they're buying as frequently because they get the consumption though they're not running out during you know during during the period between when they're making you know the second but the first and the second purchase right it's no brainer so that that's another way to innovate it's just it's just it's just literally the format um what about but there's also one other big thing on there as well right and this is where some of the brands are smart in the d2c world is the more you can get the consumer into the subscription model the better because that because you know consumers let's say you've got consumers buying on d2c right um they will basically buy when they remember whatever it is right if you get a subscription model set up and typically you'll see a 10 15 discounts it works for the consumer as well they will then get a repeat order going through to them on a set period every single month and just you will just see straight away that once you get you know again surreal have done a great job on this by the way which is one of mine is that you know once you get somebody on the subscription model they stay in the brand they're loyal to the brand but you also generate the right frequency of purchase but actually if you're smart during when somebody's subscribed you can then also get them to buy more and stuff like that so particularly when you're bringing out you know new varieties or whatever like that they suddenly add that onto their subscription and again the volume goes up and stuff but subscription means that you haven't got to rely on the consumer remembering to buy because actually the automated subscription comes out again i hadn't thought about that and it just is again it's kind of like it's like the online version of the bigger pack isn't it really it's just how do you get become yeah yeah i um get your brand to seep into people's habits um i want to talk about this and i think it's really interesting frame to look through things is there's a guy called charlie munger who's warren buffett's business partner yeah wrote a fascinating book um and he uh called paul charlie's almanac and he and he basically he has this rule called inversion so you learn more by what's going wrong versus what's going right so just avoid bad things wisdom is prevention wisdom is prevention and he does this talk at um at i think it's at harvard this commencement speech and he's asked to give a talk about how to be happy or how to live a great life so what he does is he says how to live a miserable life and he says basically everything i've written down just avoid that and you'll be happy so you learn more by avoiding bad things i think he says you know if you want to be really miserable uh take take drugs and booze um be unreliable be envious be resentful like that's his list he's like you avoid those things you'll be happy yeah i want to apply this to food and drink i mean you can use any brand probably i'd say a brand that's in maybe five or six um maybe even viticoga that's probably a bit too big but around that ilk say you were to try and commit brandicide and kill off a brand in grocery um what are some of the things you do and I think this will really help listeners to avoid them.
33:45So I think the first one would obviously be to like, let's drop the gross margin to say 10%. So how would we succeed as a brand by obviously being more successful than others, right? Yeah, yeah. How would you kind of kill off a brand? A competitor brand you're on about? No, no, your brand. Ah, sorry, yeah. Because that... I thought we were going to dangerous territory. Yeah, yeah, no, no, no, no, no. It's a really good reframe because it basically says, if you just avoid these things, then you'll be successful. Also, say with this podcast, if I wanted to kill off this podcast, it'd be like, right, don't post every week.
34:16One, don't invest in the cameras and stuff. Two, don't prepare for the interviews. Yeah, yeah, no, really. So, again, this is my view, right? And not everybody will share it because people have got different models. And, you know, my model is because, you know, some people invest an insane amount of money because they want to be the next listed business or the next unicorn billion dollar business, right? I'm a middle road sort of person. I want to invest and grow businesses from 5, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50 million, but I'm always going to, I want to do it where there's a business, there's a validation each time.
34:49So we will always check before we put big sums of money down, we'll always test something or check something's right. So just bear in mind, I'm that middle level of risk in terms of building a business, right? But within that way of thinking, the things that I will say, look, if you want to kill a brand off, here are the things to do. So launch or else agree a listing with a customer at a ridiculously low gross margin. If you're below 20 % gross margin, because sometimes people will justify it and say, well, look, oh, actually, look, there's a marketing angle for this. It's amazing visibility.
35:17Let's do it. Now there may always be the odd exception of that. But generally I would say, look, have your pricing parameters, give your sales team the pricing corridors that they can work within, but don't drop below that. Because once you drop below that, you just end up burning through too much cash and you're not making enough money. And it becomes unfortunately a little bit bit of a kind of downward spiral from there. So I think that's the first thing I'd say. I think the second thing I'd say as well is don't buy the listings either because quite often you'll see that people not just having to invest in a case price to buy it, but they also have to put big lump sums down, particularly like saying, oh, you need a, you know, there's a listing fee of 10 ,000 or 20 ,000 pounds.
35:56That's quite common in the travel environment, by the way. So if you go into those customers, you know, like the WH Smith's Travel of This World and stuff like that, you have to kind of pay for space in those sort of places because it's a bid who wants the space in there. And some of those are great brand-building sites, but you've got to make sure that you've got the commercial parameters right. Because if you haven't, suddenly you start hemorrhaging cash because if the rate of sale is not strong enough, you go down pretty quickly because you suddenly invested too much in there, right? So I think be very careful about the support package and investment you put against certain customers.
36:28I always do it on what I call a percentage basis rather than the cash basis to say, look, actually, we'll give you 3 % or 5 % of uh of revenue back in marketing that's fine because you're only exposed to three or five percent whatever revenue generate but if you said i'm going to put 10 20 30 50 000 pounds down yeah the revenue's next to nothing you're knackered because suddenly that 10 15 20 million as a percentage of the revenue becomes a huge amount right i love that that's very delicious piece of nuance that yeah yeah so it's just details like that what are there only a lot of details that could really kill off a brand because again it's that's literally that's literally just putting a different thing on the form is like we'll do percentage versus cash but it could there's a few which people will say well i'm being controversial here or not i don't know i think overtly criticizing competitors and going on a marketing campaign what all you do is just diss your competitive set i think is a very dangerous thing to do seen a number of challenger brands kind of take long established brands in the category and do consumer campaigns that talks about how crap they are how rubbish they are and sometimes taking a swipe at them and you've seen We've all seen some backlash in the media about that as well in terms of inappropriate and also people being asked to take ads down.
37:36Talk about your own brand and its own merits rather than dissing direct customers. I don't have an issue if you talk about in the category in general. So if you're doing something differently that's healthier or better than everybody else. So let's just take soft drinks. Let me, for example, let me take Dolson's, for example, which is one of mine. We absolutely are right to talk about the fact that we are sparkling water and we are fruit and nothing else. versus the fact that all those other soft drinks have got stuff like aspartame and stuff like them, which is a time bomb waiting. I mean, that's the next, your ultra processed foods we've seen already, but that soft drinks world is going to change in the next three to five years because it's going to be regulation because those ingredients are all going to get found out.
38:14And I think you can absolutely at category level talk about that. But what I don't want the guys at Dolson's to do is start calling out that orange brand or that lemonade brand or that brand and start dissing them because I think it's a really dangerous thing because you lose a lot of credibility as a brand, both with consumer and with people in the industry if you do that. Yeah, back to that sort of financial brand tension. It's, yeah, it's, it just, I've been spoken to loads of buyers and heard on panels, it's like the worst thing you can do is go in and diss a brand, diss a competitor. It just looks like you've got no confidence in your own self and your own brand and that will seep through to the consumer.
38:51What else, like what other ways to potentially kill off a brand? Yeah, I think probably overspending on general marketing before you've got the brand established. And I've seen this the whole time. It's like ATL campaigns. Yeah, I've seen it. I've seen people running like tube campaigns when they're in less than 300 stores. And you're like, why are you investing in consumer awareness when people can't even know where to, or can't, can hardly buy you anywhere? Your best thing there is just, you know, take a fraction of that spend, even if you want to take the same spend, invest in proximity to purchase, right?
39:20Go and invest in the store. So if you're in Whole Foods or in the Sainsbury's, go and speak to those guys and say, right, how do we bring the brand to life and store and market there? Because you've got a much better chance about educating a consumer who can then convert to purchase and then importantly knows where to buy it as well. I just see too many people spending too early on generic consumer marketing before they've even built out the distribution. That's a glorious kind of linking this to Julian's barbell of simplicity and complexity. is as you say a brand and I've seen there's loads around London it's like a brand's gone into 200 waitress stores and they've got a fucking ATL campaign I'm thinking this is crazy it's like that is so easy to get complex on that so easy to go and spend loads on influencer campaigns so easy to go and spend loads on doing an event and a launch party so easy to go and spend loads on as you say ATL campaigns it's like proximity of purchase that's the golden mean a la Aristotle I don't know why it's getting philosophical but it is really interesting that what would you say are some other sort of barbell tensions.
40:22And you know, I sent you that, I don't know if you've read it, that thing between the founder mode essay. And I thought that was by Paul Graham. I thought that was really interesting is what he basically says is there's this, I think you called it rightly so on our last podcast, founderitis, which I thought was a fucking brilliant, just a beautiful way of saying it. And he basically, what he's talking about is this tension between operators. You know, someone says, you get called a very good operator, mark palmer very good operator then you've got sort of the founder is sort of the more kind of yeah you know that yeah yeah the whole time yeah the whole time and i suppose what i think happens and i've seen this firsthand i've heard it i've heard it happen this this the airbnb guy who who in this essay basically talks about it he says founders start at the beginning you need this founders magic as brands scale you need to become more operational and what basically happens is you get these guys who've come in from big blue chip companies who sort of say oh we need to get the founder out of here because this isn't the way we're used to running it you know they amount of times you hear someone say god the founder's a fucking nightmare to work with he's he or she's a lunatic and that happened this basically happens in all these businesses and this this talk this founder mode essays with all the some of the biggest startups in silicon valley and basically the founder kind of gets pushed out of the business and then actually what happens you go down the line like shit we need that magic because that magic's like and that's a bargain itself those guys know the fairy dust right they've got the fairy dust how would you what's your prescription to that for everything you've gone through i mean look right it's again this is my view yeah um i think people have to respect founders right and sometimes i do see particularly institutional come in as a private equity and venture capitalist and sometimes it's like the grim repo they'll just side through the business or run it how they want right but i think from my perspective you've got to remember founders typically put everything they've got on the line and sacrifice everything they've got to get a business or brand off the ground and i've always had ultimate respect for founders to say look you've got to remember this is their baby they've done all this but at the same time you have scenarios whereby founders are absolutely exceptional at what they do but equally could be a blind spot about why the brand isn't reaching potential because actually all the ingredients could be there to have an incredible business but the founder doesn't have the capability all the experience all the skill set to unlock it so where you've got you know a founder who understands that obviously if you know so i'll speak to some founders sometimes and you bring either a management team or even somebody alongside them who's got that those missing ingredients together those dynamics become unbelievable right um and you know i've got so many of my businesses where i've got really good founders but also we've now put in people alongside that have just transform the business and it's nothing against the founder at all the founder still like 24 7 absolutely you know full full tilt running in the business but you know there's a number of things you look at which is the founders know what they're brilliant at but also know where their shortcomings are and this when you talk to me about why invest and want to invest that's one of the big things i have to i have to make sure that when i first met a founder that i know that they are somebody can listen because if that's if you look at there've been some really exciting brands and businesses which should have been really successful but actually they had a founder in them that was didn't listen for whatever reason whether too pig-headed or else just actually know my way is the only way and i think this is how it should be i think having a founder to listen who listens is really really important and equally as an investor i've got to listen equally but you put in a complementary skill set senior leadership team or else an md alongside a um a founder at whatever stage you think it's required typically that will only do one thing which is you know make the business successful and can i give you one of the best examples right where we are sitting where we are sitting now yeah lucky saint right luke absolutely outstanding founder right i can't talk highly enough of him you know it's one that i should have invested in but you know it didn't just because we're covered and stuff and it didn't quite happen but you know luke's an incredible job but also he realized that you know he was from without the end from outside of the industry but also there are people in the industry that could actually complement him really well brought in emma heel right emma heel absolute machine like honestly i cannot talk highly about her skill set and her ability to scale businesses you know i saw as innocent where we used to work together you know she went and did the same at graze and now she's in here at lucky saint you know doing a doing a doing a great job and this is a great example about how suddenly you can take a great a good business and a good brand to actually becoming a really exciting great an outstanding business.
44:55As a founder, and the same with me as an investor, there's one principle here. Just surround yourself with outstanding people. Never be too proud. Never be too much of a, you know, I'm a control freak. Put good people around you, and the business will always be stronger. What are the different types of operator? Because I think you've worked, there's almost like different shades and textures. I think you talked about John at Innocent being like, I think on our first, when we did at Bread and Jam, he'd put any FTSE 100 business CEO to shame. You've got Emma. like describe with the operators across all your businesses that you've worked with like what are the different types because i think um the founder the founder stereotype is very founder it's like you can kind of i've spoken to so many of them i kind of get that but what would you say are some of these different the different operators and what are some of the lessons from each one you're right on the founder stereotype but actually there are examples where they're not always stereotypical right so for example i'll give you an example take bio me which is one of mind, right?
45:49You've obviously got Megan, but you've also got John. Now, John particularly is first time founder, right? But because John is, I'm saying the twilight is career, because it's probably unfair, but John, John and I are a similar age, right? John has a huge amount of experience. Therefore, actually, if you look at him running the business, I think he'll actually have a lot of longevity because he's run, you know, he's been in big companies before that. He's been at Nestle, he's been at PNG. He's got great experience. He's also got quite an entrepreneurial flair so actually i think he will you know he will be able to take the business to a significant scale whereas other founders i think will you know potentially run out of kind of runway and that's where you've got to look at yeah bringing somebody in if you're a challenger brand that's absolutely killing it in d2c but you're struggling to crack retail then you've got to listen to this maybe you've got an ocado listing maybe you've got a whole foods listing maybe you're absolutely killing it in selfridges maybe you're absolutely killing it in your farm shop and your indies but my friends making the leap crossing el chasum crossing el rubicon to grocery retail is not easy it's the champions league of fmcg it's super hard it means playing at a higher level and that's where some of you amazing brands sadly stumble look retailers want stories backed by data not dreams and a pretty pitch deck and let's be real supermarkets are not just going to magically make a space for you and your little brand they need data something's got to go for you to get in for you to get on shelf and that is why i've got to tell you about north star they are the team that's helping purpose-led fmcg brands go from gut instinct dreams to unstoppable pitch decks that actually unlock retailers north star i'm not like another data company that force feed you data like foie gras that act like a nasa space mission it's super super simple to use their team are amazing and they actually get the challenger mindset north star are your shortcut to smarter decisions stronger pitches and investor confidence all built specifically for challenger brands like yours you don't need a massive sales team you need north star link in the show notes click that link and you'll be able to book a free demo with north star highly highly recommend that and thank me later yeah so i would actually so yeah that and this is very reductionist these two sort of buckets of stereotypes so like yeah we need to be careful here but he's someone who i would say is a an operator with a founder's flair like and i think i love john right yeah yeah he's an operator with a founder's flair but then say people are looking for operators to come in to their business and yeah maybe we can talk about the different textures or styles like what would you say they should be looking for because again i've seen it combust and it the amount of times it's happened so james what um at brew dog so i'm never going to hire a blue chip but all of this is nuanced right everyone's got their own way of doing that's why i love this fucking podcast because there's a gazillion ways to skin the cat ben branson i'll never hire a blue chip person again you know that they're more founders but then there are other businesses uh but if you get that sweet spot right and you get almost it's not like product market fit it's like founder operator fit which is what lucky saint yeah yeah then it can fly and like some of my friends have got so many businesses and they they lack that operator so what should they be looking for in that operations so i think i think it's very much business and founder dependent right so yeah um you know i have to say i do concur that in 90 of times it's very difficult for blue blue chip people or corporates to come into a challenger world and thrive somebody will give me loads of exceptions but where i've seen it in the main it's been challenging to do that and it's also similarly it's difficult to get people to come in from the retailer side so if you've been the other side of the fence and you've been a buyer to get them to come over and actually on the sell side that's difficult because it's bloody difficult on the sell side but also i know that if i put some sellers you know from on the supply chain side sorry on the supplier side onto the buyer side they struggle as well you know some people are phenomenal at what they they do but sometimes you can't you haven't got the transfer transferable skill set that you'd always like to go into a different business or environment or a different different role i mean look it's a very difficult question for me to answer because it depends on the business and the founder in question um but my my answer to you is to say you have to look at the dynamics in each business and say look you know so if you look at for example okay when i was running vitacoco for example the number one most important hire for me was to get somebody strong operationally in why because supply chain operation bores me and also is not my bag at all so i knew that i had to surround myself with somebody exceptional there it was that person And we had, bless him, not around anymore, unfortunately, because unfortunately he lost his battle to cancer.
50:26But a guy called Ben Wright. So I had Ben Wright who came in. So he actually used to work with Julian back in the Metcalfe days and the Yitsu days. Ben was just phenomenal for the business and did an amazing job for us. Still in touch with, you know, his wife and his kids today, actually. What was so good about, what was the 1 % of the 1 % about Ben? Ben was just an absolute, he was ex-Cambridge, smart as you come, right? had the ability to you know we had we had not just problems but we had challenges the whole time when you're setting up about oh my god how do we set that we need the co-packing christ we've got to source this we've got to do this we had very complex supply chain with you know bringing stuff in from brazil as well as asia and it's actually a very complicated supply chain and we were also trying to basically build the whole supply chain ourselves that gave us competitive advantage and yes we had an american team who we always work with but ben just would just eat through this work but also just have the ability to make stuff happen that's the biggest thing i would say and you talked about this earlier which is there are a lot of people who on paper and also what they say strategically are absolutely outstanding but there is a big this you know again i can think of so many founders and businesses who i thought could have been successful but unfortunately the founder or the people in the business didn't have the ability to be operators and to be actually deliver the strategy and that's a big thing Ben knew strategically was the right thing to do but then he could execute that plan as well and go and deliver it and deliver it incredibly well and that's the biggest thing I'd say is that whenever you're looking to, it's like dare I say it you could build a business full of ex-Harvard business school, MBA all really smart guys that doesn't mean that that business is going to succeed just because they've got the intellectual powerhouse where's the guy who rolls up his sleeve where's the hustler, where's the person who's a really good operator, you've got to have a real blend and dynamics and i was i was probably that innocent if i'm honest with you you've got strategic powerhouses like adam richard and john yeah you've got jamie mitchell who lectures at london business school right you've got people like that jamie mitchell jamie was md at innocent for a while he went then went for work for the bamford group and then also gaucho he was chairman for their so again i understood about half of what these guys said because they were talking and a different intellectual, but I'm not academically smart, but I'm streetwise and I'm smart and I'm commercially smart.
52:48And therefore I think and I believe I complimented them really well because when it came to actually, you know, we scale that business from 17 to 120 million in four years. Having people like me and other people in the business, I think played a massive role because actually making it then happen with the customers and scaling it up. And sometimes that was strategic, but more importantly, just being able to understand what you need to do practically to then make the things happen in store that meant that we were then successful, that is an important ingredient. That is the barbell. It's that sort of that strategic, as you say, you can be super, super bright, but they need that, need someone who's a hustler.
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53:25Yeah, hustler. I think hustle gets a bad name. Hustle, go-getter, relentlessly resourceful. And then that golden mean, which I'll keep going back to, is make it happen. Yeah. And I think you can get people who are either too hustly and too go-getter and they're just like, i'm i'm more like this just like running like a fucking headless chicken around um but i've but you do get people who've got a sweet some people have very have got can do both right yeah plucking out examples like you talked about tim reese at vitacoco my god he's one of the best examples of strategic but also being able to deliver and operate right yeah i'd say james mcmaster at hugh another good example will bowler um you know so will will's done a great job did big did pop chips and then gone to do other stuff um such as charles farm etc and then and post that he's another example of guys actually very strategic but can also can deliver as well um and i think this is what i came back to earlier which is you've got to look at the dynamics within whichever business you're looking at and be able to do it but i think the one thing i'd say on here which is probably the most difficult thing for me is and we you've mentioned the word before is that i have had in my portfolio but also i can see in other businesses where investors must be kicking themselves because you've got founders who are suffering from that founderitis they always know best they won't let go of the baby because it's theirs and stuff like that and you can just see potential just draining out that business every day and you just want to go look actually look just try it just go with me for a bit because you're going to see this business absolutely thrive but you've got to let you know you've got to got to let it through you know let other people help you understand what that needs to happen to make that change let's go into sort of the the trenches in the coconut wars yeah i think this is a great landscape to kind of explore this this founder operator mode so yeah you're in the trenches and um as you say you've kind of got missiles coming in from vibe from from pepsico innocent did their own thing i remember this because this one it's like 2016 sort of time yeah that's where i started at manning life so i remember this vividly um and yeah like like what was say say you're kind of in in the war bunker or the or the war room and you're trying to plot out this this this strategy to win to win the coconut wars like yeah just describe what was going on with the competitive landscape and describe like your decision making process to say right ben we're gonna fucking do this we're not gonna do this we're gonna do this and this is gonna help us win i'd love to really get deep into that yeah yeah no totally so that's probably the most exciting challenging uh scary time my career that that that kind of about a four-year period when we'd literally grown coconut water we'd start the whole category in europe um the guy's done a similar job in the u.s and i'll talk more about the european piece because actually the u.s did exactly the same but against a different competitive set yeah and did he came through equally well but let me talk about the european bit because i think i'm better placed just to talk specifically about that that's probably the most rewarding time of my whole career if everybody says what you're most proud of it's building the coconut water and then again i want to be careful i say this because it's not in an arrogant way but wrong to say seeing off but but you can say that yeah temporary temporarily or for the time being seeing off coke and pepsico and denone brands to the extent we did is probably my kind of my most proud moment and testimony to the kind of people in the team that were built at vitacoco there were a number of things when i look back how did how did we help what made it so resilient one is we knew understand how we were going to market coconut water to the consumer so it's always about why coconut water and then why vitacoco is a brand of choice and we basically there's too many businesses will go right first start any sort of meeting strategic meeting going right okay how do we grow a household penetration how do we get that next set of consumer how do we do that our number one thing at vitacoco was that right let's talk about our existing consumers how do we make sure that they stay with us they are spending a large part of the exposed income on our drink we should never ever fatigue from being grateful for that and understanding what else we can do to thank that consumer that's what obsessed about and the scary thing is what people don't so a lot of businesses don't realize this, but I'd always say this is virtually the same in all consumer good businesses, is that 20 % of our consumers was 70 % of our business.
57:51So if you can get that 20 % right and you can give them a thousand reasons to stay with you and why VitaCoker cares about you as a consumer, you've got a good chance of winning a battle, right? So that's one of the first things I'd say. Just on that, just quickly tease that out. One of the questions I asked Julian was, he goes, the only time on this, with Pret, Itzu, and Metcalf's, the only time I've ever gone wrong and things have gone, it started with this and it's just this whole sort of cascading effect of things going beat-tongue is when I took my eyes off of the product and the consumer, product-consumer.
58:24And that's why I love linking all these different conversations together because you have this sort of interweb of different knowledge. And so, yeah, so when you were trying to do more for that consumer, and this is almost like the first play in this Coconut Wars, it's like, what were you doing specifically? So we were looking, so we basically got to, So we knew what we, obviously we had a lot of, we had like the coconut newsletter that went out. So we had a load of consumers we spoke to directly. We got in touch with them the whole time. We gave them extra discounts, do that. New products coming in.
58:50They got like our top X, I can't remember how it was now, but let's say our top 250 or top 500 customers. When we launched Pressed, they got a gift box with that. Didn't have to pay for it. Just got to say, look, you've been a really, you know, important consumer as part of our journey. Thank you. We wanted to give you our new product before it comes in market. So just all those touches, we, you know, we, you know, we could find them. We had different events going on. they got invited to the VIP area, some of those consumers, because look, you've been with us, you know, for this long period of time, you've always engaged with us, come along and, you know, come and see us at this festival or this event.
59:20So we did that, we went through that. And we did that through both our direct data, but also our retailers, obviously, a lot of the retailers have their loyalty cards and stuff. And you can see who's your highest spenders. Again, we target them through our retailers. And then it's called shopper marketing. So, you know, so, you know, we did that um the second thing we did was that and that's slightly associated that was we said and this is where actually this is where we got it wrong by the way so and you laugh about this but people will say well jars jars seems to know what he's doing but i always laugh because whenever i'm speaking with you know to people in the industry you have to remember probably somewhere between half to 70 percent of the advice i give is based on mistakes i've made not what i've got right right so this is one thing that and we made this decision as a board right and we got our metric wrong you know you talked we talked earlier about key metrics in a business so our number one thing when innocent naked and you know other brands all came into market and there were a lot of them was because the number one thing was protect our number one market share that was the most important thing for us we will always no matter what we will stay number one market share so one One of the issues we had.
1:00:33And that was your goal. And that's right. Yeah. It was a mistake using that one. But let me explain the backdrop, right? Sure, yeah. So Innocent, seven years before coming into Coconut Water, had launched an orange juice, which they started off in a Tetra, failed dismally. Everybody in the business was going to kill it. But John Wright was like, no, we're sticking with this. It's going to work. We're sticking with it. We're going to, it's going to work. We just got to work out what we need to do because we have to go after orange juice because we can make, you know, we don't need to just be a smoothie brand.
1:01:02we can be a juice and smoothie brand and i can remember some pretty heated conversations in the business about it you know john with his co-founders etc um coke deal came in yeah innocent then relaunched the orange juice into what used to be the minute made plastic craft i don't remember the pt craft that great this identity all of a sudden you could see this beautiful orange juice sat in this packaging whereas you know tropicana was hidden in this tetra within three years if not four years innocent toppled tropicana in europe as i understand it virtually all the tropicana pepsico team lost their jobs on the back of it because they got absolutely decimated it's links back to that you can just in in format is innovation exactly so the reason i mentioned that story is yeah given what innocent had just done with to kind of pepsico and tropicana they're then launching to coconut water so as a board so there was me there It was Mike Kerbin, my founders and also Eric Milieu, who was from Verlinvest, one of our main investors.
1:02:00We sat there and we're going, look, they've just killed Tropicana. We have to really think very carefully what we're doing here. So what we did was we said, look, whatever they do, we're going to go toe for toe with them. When you say they, that's PepsiCo. That's innocent and naked. Okay. So the problem we had, and this is where... Yeah, yeah, yeah. This is the problem we had was that we didn't realise... And again, if I had the same information today, I'm not sure I'd do it any differently. And maybe I'd probably back the brand a bit more. But the bit we got wrong was, is that the Coke and Innocent strategy and the PepsiCo strategy was come into a market.
1:02:36We've got really deep pockets. We're just going to literally discount, discount, discount. So at one time, I think there was something like nine of 12 weeks of buy on, get on free or half price in a row, right? So just literally bludgeon the market, drive as much trial and penetration as you can and then over time because obviously we'll then take all the market share away from the leaders then over time we can build that back up so we were getting absolutely smashed on what you call average price and so back then we sold one litre except the one litre was the real price fight on here we were selling one litre at 349 clearly the retailers decided the pricing not us but the recommended was 349 and that typically what was market our average price was about two pounds seventy two pounds well two i can tell you this is how sad i am it's two pounds 62 two pounds 62 was our the scars of war jars was our average right it went down as low as 192 and was hovering around the early two pounds while Innocent and Naked were just bludgeoning promos because we were going toe for toe.
1:03:45We were putting the same thing. And all we did was we just crashed the market. And actually, we kept that market shift. That was ruining your gross margin as well, right? It was killing our gross margin. Also, the retailers were going, hang on a minute. There's loads of volume growth. But actually, suddenly, what was my most successful category in juice and smoothies, because they all loved us because coconut water was leading every growth. so even today that one liter pure skew is the fourth biggest skew in the whole of that juice and smoothies fixture even today it's any private label orange juice or anything like that it's fourth biggest skew it's a power skew people don't realize but they were like guys whoa you know and of course retailers at one point do like obviously if they can give consumers more value or shoppers more value great but it was touched to such a point it was just devaluing the whole category so the bit we got wrong is that we actually realized we didn't need to go toe for toe so we then still gave the consumer amazing value but we put about 10 20 average price back on we just changed the mechanics on promotion stuff stopped doing half prices because they weren't creating any value for us or for that because the trouble is as well if you're at half price why is there anything in the bottom you know if you're at half price talk talk why are people going to pay the money at full price why should i i'd be the same as a you know yeah this is what makes me laugh sometimes i sit there in that meetings i sit there where i hit people getting on that pedestal and start being principled as a founder or business owner.
1:05:05But if you ask them the same question as a consumer, they give you a different answer. As a consumer, I wouldn't buy that because it's been on this. You're saying something very different as a founder or business owner here, right? That's such a delicious nuance there, Giles. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So anyway, so we got, so we, it took us about two years. I mean, our share went down as one of 50, low as 51%. I don't know exactly today, but I think Tim's done a great job at getting the business. I think market share's back up 70 75 percent in in in in in the uk and i think it's very similar in europe because we've got very big markets in france and germany now but we've slowly built the belly back into the category and actually coconut water is now still like i mean again juice has had a particularly turbulent time over the last you know decades particularly around quality prices and obviously consume you know consumers dropping in and out so looking for other functional drinks coconut water has been pretty resilient all the way through but you know the thing i got wrong and the bit i'm trying to say is that we didn't back our brand enough i still today we probably would have done the same thing because we were paranoid because we're always respectful right of competitors but we actually went going toe-to-toe was the wrong strategy we should have gone down to about 70 % of what they were doing because we just took too much value out the category and it was a it was a really tough tough time but what was amazing for me was that and don't get me wrong there's a lot of pressure on me and the senior team and the european team but at no point in time i think Mike is the founder or Eric, who was the other main board, because we're quite a small European board, because we're also a group board.
1:06:31At no point in time were any of the behaviours inappropriate or was there any pressure that was saying, you know, nor was the time where they were telling us, you're wrong, we're taking over here, you're the right thing to do. And, you know, surrounding yourself with people who, you know, take a collective and collaborative approach. And it was our decision. And we, you know, we came out of it really well, but it took a long while. So from that, going back to the war bunker, right? So you need the, you know, kind of sending Napoleon here a food and drink. But, you know, so it's like, right, let's go toe-to-toe with them.
1:07:04Actually, let's reverse back, focus on brand. What are the other things you did? Because as you say, I think, I don't know if those skews still exist now, but like in innocence, I don't know if they still do. They still are, much less distribution, but still are around. And I think coconut water is not, it's not a key strategy for them anymore. they've got other areas which are doing incredibly well as you say you said the highlight of your career is taking not yeah decimating i think it's good to be competitive i'm competitive but you know decimating some of those big boys what else were you doing what else were you talking about the other big the other big things we did in the wall bunker was that i don't know if you remember back then but literally the demand for coconut water was insane yeah um the biggest thing that we had the weapon we had in our armory was that we basically had built a supply chain that meant that around about 80 to 90 percent of global coconut water was basically owned by the vitacoco production network right so but you know you know at one point in time we had we had strategic calls to make it as a business because we could effectively sell liquid to coke or pepsi and make good money on it because they couldn't get a hold of any but we were like do we sell it or do it and actually we didn't we did we sold a bit but we matching then we we created more volume elsewhere we decided actually we would increase our demand plans elsewhere and we'd actually find more volume so you know in the u.s they do like run you know i don't know if you know but costco is massive in the u.s right and like an mvm i mean it's crazy like an mvm which is mvm mvm is it's the members value something yeah it's the costco promotion but like a three-week american costco promotion would do about a third to 40 percent of the total volume i did in europe in the whole year i mean that is just crazy you have like you know 80 trucks loads going into one costco thing so we've we decided to utilize all the liquor we had by giving the consumers more deals and across more customers and therefore we increased our revenue because we didn't obviously yeah we didn't want we didn't want obviously the water to go to waste we obviously obviously so i think i think um our supply chain was unrivaled that is that is the bottom line and i think the big thing is our supply chain when there was a period where demand exceeded supply that gave us a big competitive advantage that we meant that we we came through that that war war war really well i think the other things we did as well which again to be clear as well this was about you know doing things in the right way we also created value add categories which made complete sense for us so we did as well as vitacoco obviously as in the beverage and liquid we did vitacoco oil right which was was used for cooking oil and skins whether that was launched so that was launched into all the cooking aisles that was the whole in with the lucy b j wicks exactly that I remember that vividly.
1:09:45That was massive. And that was like, I mean, that was like seven to nine, well, actually seven to 12 % of European turnover, about five to 6 % of global turnover on coconut oil. And again, it was great for us because it was, it was synergistic because clearly, you know, what you drink and what you eat, obviously, you know, using coconut oil in, in, in, in cooking and health and beauty and stuff like that. And hydrating your skin, et cetera, work with obviously hydrating in terms of the liquid that you were taking in. So it strategically worked really, really, really well for us. but what it also enabled us to do was a load of consumers came into the brand through you know skincare and stuff in the boots or in the cooking aisle we then managed to get those consumers then to come across and start drinking it as well within within the beverage part back to your point earlier of like innovating close to the core is that is that is that innovating close to the core for me it is because this is all very nuanced isn't it yeah because because the reason being right you know back then we decided we weren't just a beverage company we're a coconut company we were going to use the natural incredible you know nature's best kept secret which is the coconut has so many different qualities we were going to bring that to the consumer in the best way now we could have done it in so many different ways you know loads of bits but actually we just where we focus on we stay predominantly in beverages but we saw coconut oil as a big opportunity for us and therefore we just work with those now we could have gone into other categories as well we could have done an ice cream and stuff like we didn't this is the whole point of it this this this yeah that innovation thing is nuanced the pendulum does swing yeah as you say like as well as um they showed me when i went to do the tour because it's like that that is in the coconut oil is close to the thing but um is close to the core but then i think there's a whole there's like a smorgasbord of like cbd coconut oil and it's like that's going out a little bit let me give you another example similar to that today it's like so i have a lovely business well i say lovely lovely founders um ed and jess on a brand called freya which is bone broth i don't know you've seen bone broth but bone broth's going absolutely mad it's this whole kind of collagen trend that's really gathering momentum honestly unbelievable i mean i can't if you see the um the predictions and the forecast of how big bone broth is going to become is amazing but if you look at that it's another great example where you're going to two categories which are slightly different which are completely different but actually it's hugely synergistic it makes sense so we have all the liquid bone broths where we either have the you know we've got the cartons where obviously people then add it into stock or whatever it is we also have the instant bone broths where it's like a sachet and you have it like a hot drink and stuff so if you go to america at the moment what's really trending you go into starbucks in the u.s people go have a um you know they'll have a can have a flat white or can have a latte i'm gonna have a bone broth to go please so all the coffee shops in new york are now doing bone broth to go because that's your that's your health kick right go inside it so but what we also have is we We also have powdered bone broth because it's absolutely crammed with amino acids.
1:12:33It's very high protein, and it's obviously got collagen with it. So, you know, a good slug, you know, like a third of the business is actually the powders alongside the liquids. And people are like, so if you think we've got the food division, which is the liquids, but then we've got the supplements division. And actually, if you look at something like Perfect Ted, it's not that different. They've got obviously the product and the energy drink in the can. They then got the matcha powder. and people are like using the powder to put it in a smoothie or you know or whatever you know taking it as a supplement and you're bringing in a completely different consumer set but you know very similar need states but providing the product or the natural ingredient in the you know in a format that works for the consumer and that's working incredibly well so you know there are times in a business where yes there are closer categories to go to because supplements versus food you might argue could be slightly further away than me going between um you know i'm going to go into like as gave me earlier we've got a cereal and then we're going to cereal bars because they're obviously closer yeah but still are exactly the right thing to do and that freya's a great example of that business is flying let's in terms of that that this war period i think it's just it's i just find it's such an it because retrospectively it makes so much so much sense what was the hardest part of that period like almost like where you're in pain sleepless nights and like would would you want your kids to go through that period um i mean look
1:13:59through what i did with bear and via coco i had 12 years when nobody saw me right i was six and a half days a week um i remember you know i remember going on holiday with penny and penny and the kids and penny'd be like every three in the afternoon you're going to come out the hotel room right and it was a necessary evil uh because that's what it took to be successful on those brands. What I did know though, is that there was a period of time where that was acceptable and not acceptable. So it was brutal, but I loved doing it. I know it needed doing, but I also knew that, you know, my kids were very young back in those days.
1:14:36But what it also enabled me to do is like, if you look now today, you know, Dan, is that I have a platform whereby, yeah, I still, I'm never going to retire, right? You probably see my sort of person and the energy I've got and stuff like that. I love what I do. But I, my life works in the following way which is the number one thing is family so the first thing to go in the diary is when all the kids have got sports pictures and stuff so i am the dad who's quietly sitting on the touchline every wednesday or every saturday watching my boys whether they're playing you know rugby cricket hockey whatever it is just love doing that because i want to see i want to see them um so that comes in secondly fitness as you know with me that's that comes that's the second thing in the diary so all my training and stuff so no ball meetings on a wednesday why because that's when i go biking with all the guys i train with can you not change it no because that's important and the third thing that work goes in and i now work about three three and a half days a week right so you go hard on those days yeah and i actually you know my boys are 10 and 13 and for the last three four years you know i'm very lucky that i probably spend more time with my kids than any other parent does but you want them to go through that that period of time sorry that's what you actually asked me wasn't it so i think because that's that's where the character building is it's like that's where the pain teaches the lessons right yeah i mean so if you ask me the number one thing that keeps me awake at night right is you know i've been very fortunate in in life um you do need a lot of luck along the way there's a lot of skill and hard graph right but all things unless penny and i go to vegas and lose the lot there's a chance there'll be a decent amount of money left for the boys the number one thing keeps me awake at night night is that how does that money get passed onto the boys where it doesn't ruin them but more importantly the boys have got to learn what graph is in life so yes I do want my boys to go through it I'm not one of the for example we've kept we had a house in Southfield we've kept that kids trying to get on the property ladder these days I'm not home at the minute it's a joke, it's an absolute joke and something has to be done about it by the way but that's for another time but you know we've kept a small place down in Wimbledon because I think that's what I want for the boys to have so they'll get help on that sort of stuff but that way you were living in yeah okay yeah but they'll have to pay a rent for it they'll have to pay the bills and importantly I want them to go on a career I think I think the big thing I you know and again it may sound funny but you know I even talked to them now as 10 and 13 year olds I talked to them today about what is your passion in life what do you enjoy doing right because the number one thing i'm going to say to them is like i want them to take a career path that they love doing and they're passionate about me getting to food and drink or really i should say consumer goods because it's more consumer goods rather than food and drink i'm very lucky because i've done something i absolutely love something that you know inspires me invigorates me every single day um i do expect my kids though to have to go through a really tough time because you just don't you don't learn your life lessons if not and i'm you know i think it sounds weird but you know we see it in what i do now with them and stuff like that we do we do a lot of stuff with them even at 10 and 13 and you know i definitely want you know there's times when i can see they're not comfortable but i'm happy with that because they've got to go through some of the pain on life experiences this is the you can tell me to fuck off on this question but like how much what was the biggest exit you you did like how much money did you make and how did that change you because i feel like it's it's something like people as you say it's this exit el dorado this gold that they think what happens and you actually get the fucking gold.
1:18:03Do you know what I mean? You don't have to give specifics. Yeah, so I think I've said this before on a number of podcasts, which is, and people are like, oh yeah, it's very easy if you say that, Giles, sat here. But, you know, the first exit I had was Bear, right? Yeah. And that was several million, right? That was a good exit. Seven million. Several, several. Yeah, I don't, do you know, I don't talk money. I don't talk money. And the reason being is that it's actually not that important to me. And also, I don't know, I just think, wrong to say vulgar, but I just think sometimes I just feel like money's great, but it's not everything, right?
1:18:41And it's more importantly, it's not what motivates me personally. But I got a big thud, right, in the bank account. And I genuinely didn't know what to do with myself. And I did the most stupid thing I've ever done, right? Vegas. No, we're not stupid, but this was the thing. So we spend a lot of time in Mallorca and I have a house in Mallorca. So again, don't get me wrong, what's happened has facilitated that. And that's as much home for us as the UK now. But I remember I went to Parma, the main city, and I've never had a nice watch. So I went and bought myself an Omega watch. You know, it's a dark side of the moon, lovely watch.
1:19:15It's not on, I've got a Garmin on by now. It's all I wear. This is a good example, right? Because I haven't worn this watch for three years. And I literally had a panic attack coming out of the shop. I was like, why am I buying a watch? I don't need a watch. How can I spend a few thousand on a watch? I don't need that. And that was a big thing for me. It suddenly got a big, like, thud in the bank account. And I didn't really, it was like, don't need it. That's not what motivates me. Kind of building brands, enjoying the journey, being a thorn in the corporate side, creating positive change, you know, particularly like positive change in the environment and sustainability side, obviously, you know, 65 % of my portfolio, sorry, 80 % of my portfolio of B Corp certified, you know, 6 % female founded now.
1:19:55They're the things that excite me and what I enjoy. and that's I get more out of life you know that side and I think so I've I mean I've had I mean that's that's the other thing as well for me Dan is that people do what I do so you again I hate terminology but people classify me like a angel investor or a high net worth or whatever and they'll say oh typically what you'll do is that you know you normally do 10 investments and if one come off it's all good I don't agree with that so of my 18 today I've had five successful exits I would hope I can get at least 10 if not 12 of those 18 to get to exit because I think if you're if you're prepared to put time in so I don't I get my hands dirty and I'm as a as a in a non-exec capacity I really jump in and do everything I can to help the businesses if you pick carefully and picking carefully is about first of all with the founder but then getting the right category in the right brand I think you can really change those percentages that people say like the one and 10 i think you can get you know a much higher probability and that's what motivates me and excites me it's not the cash that the cash is the cash is great but that's that's not the motivation it's will chase has got the best line for this and he's obviously exited a couple of times with tyrols and then chase is there he goes when you're in the winner's enclosure you realize that all the fun was in the race and it's like that's that's what throws him i want to talk about like kind of addiction and obsession because i mean i've got i've got a huge addictive personality right so like who hasn't is a founder right this is what i'm just what i'm trying to work out right so i remember i went like in my 20s i was fucking partying loads like staying up all weekend like just sending it and it was like obviously just loads of insecurities that i was basically blank blanketing with booze and drugs and partying and stuff and it was and you're one of many right yeah one of many and it was anyway so i went to go and see a therapist to see what was going up up in the box right and he was like mate within 17 seconds of meeting i knew you were an you're an addict i was like okay well like you've got to kind of work with what you've got right so then I stopped all the sort of the party I still do drink but like it's it's it's way less than what it was like I've probably done six months off this year total but my addiction has just gone straight into this yeah I'm like addicted to it and I channel it right it's how I channel it and it's but I love that's why I'm sort of you saying that you're in a hotel in New York and it's like the gorgeous vistas in the sunshine you're just grafting grafting yourself to the bone like how have you got better at dealing with that addiction I think you say I'm a triathlon an addict like i think and i also think in business it's great to say you're obsessed obsessed is great in business but if you say you're an addict in business you know obsession addiction are kind of two sides of the same coin if i was an addict in business i'd be doing another beer of vitacoco i'd just be going on to the next gig next gig next gig how did you ease off that i think there's a few bits to it yeah i think one is what's sustainable because you know i've you You know, Innocent, I burnt myself out.
1:22:49I had some panic attacks at Innocent. I was just, I was just, I was similar to you. What were the panic attacks? Just, I basically, Innocent was a great business, very high pressure to work in though. I was also in a nightclub at 3am, three nights a week. Yeah, yeah. I was also training six days a week. Can't do it. Somebody just gives you a tap on the shoulder and goes, nah, enough. So I burnt myself that bit. How did that manifest in your... Just suddenly had a panic attack. I was just like, what's going on here? And for a controlled freak like me, that was a big problem back then. But it's the best thing that can happen because, you know, going back to what you were saying earlier about, you know, you said you're an addictive person.
1:23:24I think there's no such thing as a normal person, right? We've all got a certain bit of control-ness or addictiveness or attention deficit bit. It's just where we sit on the spectrum. Everyone's on the specky on some of the gods. I think normal should be actually banned out in the English dictionary. I think it's the worst word in the world. There's no such thing as normal, right? um but you know as you get i guess i've mellowed as i've got older right um but probably one of the biggest level is for me as kids right so for example if you look at my triathlon racing yes i still train a lot but i don't race anywhere near as much as i used to because i enjoy racing abroad because i love going to see different places stuff like that i race about 30 what i used to why because i don't want to be away from my kids and actually i'm no longer the priority my boys are the priority and Penny my wife's the priority and that's and we always talk about my immediate family nucleus is the priority right and I think that's that's the big thing for me which is both in business and to get where I got to in triathlon which let's be honest wasn't an amazing standard but for me was quite a good standard I had to be really selfish because if I wasn't selfish the business wouldn't have succeeded or whatever but it's now not my time anymore it's actually more about the people around me and and that's not just my family it's also the founders and the other businesses i work with you know some of the founders i mentioned to you earlier you know i don't give a crap if i take any money out i just want to see those guys succeed because some of those guys just the the people and the characters they are or the monumental shift they're putting in i need and want them to be successful for themselves because they you know they deserve to be take me to that because i'm 31 now so take me to when you were 31 like I think it's great you've got this but you also put you've got to graft your fucking tits off as well like how what was your day like your brain like in that period when you were just at the cold face like slamming it every day like um yeah my challenge was I've always struggled to switch off right yeah same and that's the big thing and my biggest issue is quality of sleep and even today it's yeah it's quite an issue because I'm just I'm a thinker and I'm just you know I will always get more done in a day than most people get done in a week but that's just me right but I've just you know I've dialed it down I've found different ways to do it you know it's like you know I don't I don't hardly drink at all I the only time you'll get me to drink these days is like I've got a good friend's 50th coming up in a few weeks time in London and we're all back well he's put on a big effort of a party I'll probably come out of drink retirement for there and have one good night so I wouldn't call myself tea total but equally you know I don't drink much uh these days you know I don't have caffeine in my diet but be clear I'm not living a monk existence I'm happier the person than I am today and what I do today.
1:26:04Because I think I've got the, it's about balance, right? And all I've done is that - Barbells. Yeah, exactly. Exactly like, I've just shifted more towards the middle, right? Or else I've taken the really silly weights off the end and just put some smaller weights on the end, right? Whichever way you want to look at it, whichever analogy, whichever analogy, because sometimes it's actually, the reason I give that analogy is sometimes it's very difficult for people to shift away from the ends. But what you, you know, taking your barbell analogy, it might be easy for them to drop the weight on the ends So stay on the extremes but just drop the weight on the end, right?
1:26:35Because if you're not, you know. Yes, that's what I've said. For example, on Friday, so I've done these T total periods and then I'll go to Ibiza and it's just like I'm going to spend all my fucking money and it's stupid. Yeah, and I'm just like. You are 31. Yeah, yeah, yeah. And enjoy it, right? Yeah, I know. But then I was like, I was like, why, and it's back to taking the things off, the weights off ever so slightly. So it's like, went out Friday, got very drunk but then didn't drink Saturday and Sunday. Yeah. Whereas before it'd be like, start Wednesday. And then you just, if I start on Wednesday, I'm losing Wednesday to Sunday.
1:27:05If I start on Thursday, you know, and it's, and it's, what I'm trying to do is I've done the extreme. I've done the, you know, on, off, on, off. It's like, it's interesting, isn't it? Founders or endurance athletes, et cetera, they're all type A, right? They're all do everything to extremes, right? And that's the thing. The whole thing to say is, I don't think you can be successful unless you are that type of person or it's more difficult to be successful unless you're that type of person but you've got to understand about on a ratchet of naught to 10 at different periods of time what's the right level to be at different periods of time that's what it's about doing and you know i am i know in the last five seven years i've completely changed a lot of the dials on the different aspects of my life across personal time work time fitness and stuff not got the balance completely right yet but i'm pretty happy where everything is at the moment and also i'll be honest with you i much prefer the person i am today than i was 10 20 years ago when everything was high octane was just full tilt and stuff like that and i prefer i prefer the person you know there will be some people that will say oh giles isn't as much fun as he used to be or you know just you know god he just you know i think he just needs to chill out a bit and not do all these triathlon stuff but that's my passion that's what i love doing and actually i've got a huge friend network through through through all that we go racing you know we go abroad and like you know i have so many friends through that um and you know do that and or equally wherever possible now i'm going to take my family to wherever i'm racing and guess what my kids now do the triathlons as well their choice not me pushing i'm not i'm not i'm not pushy dad who's going get on that start line jump in some ocean and get swam over by another 20 you know 20 20 kids or whatever it is but i think i think what i'd say on this podcast is that everybody's got to do a bit soul searching forget what everybody else is telling you you know forget trying to be everything to everybody work out for whatever period of life you're at what's going to make you happiest right right happiness does not necessarily equal success or equal money or stuff like that and it might do for some people right and you know some of the megalomaniacs and we've seen them in these big massive corporate companies it's just it's all about the coin and about about the money for them right but you know whether it's talking about me or talking about you dan you know it's that kind of going on that journey to say right what do i want out my life and what what what you know what are my passions what do i want to do what i want to enjoy and just going after that and you know it's just i think it's where people get it so wrong because i spend all their time looking at everybody else and all the whole situations and it just it's just nuts yeah the coin the coin is such a such a um sort of vista and and um illusory thing in the distance i want to go back to kind of what we were that that when everything was hanging by a thread with one of those exits and kind of just we'll wrap up that yeah yeah because we've started as a start yeah i always go around like this is part of the the value of the yeah i like to go all over the place but i'd love to go back to that and then we can begin to wrap this up but yeah that moment when it's all hanging by a thread you say you don't sleep at night like what the thoughts going through why is it hanging by a thread like take us into that into your bedroom at night like what's going on in your soul you know yeah i mean i think first why was it hanging by a thread actually to give yeah i mean in the early days right so no yeah actually let me ask that slightly differently so what used to make what used to make me lose sleep at night was i was always worried about what other people were thinking about the job i was doing and what yep you know i was doing and And I quickly realized, screw everybody else.
1:30:47This is about me. And actually, it's about my immediate family. And then everything else. Once I got that rule sorted out, life was then great, right? Because I was always worried about trying to call it people, please, whatever, trying to do the best job for everybody else. But I'm like, no, actually, I'm going to start doing it for me and the family, right? So I think that was the first thing. I think hanging by a thread, I mean, look, the bear deal went through. We were quite lucky, actually. But even then, when you think you've got an incredible business, watching people drop out of process is pretty scary.
1:31:17And again, one of the biggest advice I say to founders is to say, look, everybody say, I'll give you a classic example here today. People will go, I'm not selling to private equity or venture capitalists. I'm definitely doing it. Again, three-year-old, back to three-year-old. What's the difference between private equity, venture capitalists, M &A? Because, you know, Tim from Rothschild threw this out for me the other day. It's not as, it is quite nebulous unless you're in that world. As I say, it's a different sort of universe. Yeah, so institutional capital, which is basically people who have funds, some are family offices, some they just raise money off different sources.
1:31:50Again, I don't know the exact definitions, but just call it private equity and venture capital. They are funds where they've got money that they invest into businesses. Well, typically, so private equity is more about three years, looking to return the money in three years and look to basically try and treble their money in three years. But the trouble is with cost of borrowing, they're even now talking about four times in their money in three years because that's the sort of return that they need for investors, right? So you've got... So if you think about private equity or venture capitalists, you'll sell a business to them, but typically you or the management team stay on as part of that journey, but they'll want to flip it for the next...
1:32:25That's venture capitalists. Yeah, and private equity. Typically, they'll come in, they'll buy the business or a significant minority or a majority stake, and then they'll flip it again in three years. Again, it's not 100 % that rule, but a lot of funds and actually some of the financial regulations mean that they have to operate in certain ways so again i'm no massive expert in that but but typically what that means though is that you are on the under the pump a lot because they have they have investors that they have got to return the money for they'll have somebody who sits on the board they normally have some really bright young kid who's normally sat there asking 100 questions a week the date with the laptop yeah and i understand why because the stakes are high for them so you know when you look for an exit there's various things so you've got obviously an institutional exit which is private equity or venture capital but that typically means that you are exiting or realizing some value but you're actually most the management team or you as founder are more likely to have to play a journey on the next part or next stage of the journey because it will then get flipped again and that's when they keep the founder on yeah not always but most of the time yeah more often it's interesting you know you talked earlier about sometimes you'll have a founder and md comes in yeah if an md is doing an outstanding job and actually the founders got to a stage where they can't take the business any further that's where you'll typically see a founder exit in that scenario yeah sometimes you know they'll keep them on just because they'll take a view that actually it's important they're still associated with the business but it's very magic isn't it yeah it's very much circumstantial so you've got an institutional exit which is probably to venture capital and again that can't doesn't have to be 100 that can be staged as well it could be like an earn out over x years and that's another thing to say is that these days virtually all exits on a stage basis so you'll typically sell the business or sell a part of the business for initial consideration or initial amounts but then you have targets to hit over one two three four five year period then unlocks the rest of your earn out or goes to 100 sales so again i could talk about it because it's been public domain is look at someone like sir tom mercer again lovely guy sold uh mama to uh ag bar first stage and then three years later it was then in the papers that he they fight and then they've bought the rest of the shares of mama and now is a complete exit so that would be example there right so you've got institutional money you've then got trade sale right so that's what like example i just gave you a mama there where you've got a big corporate or a big food and drink or a big consumer goods company um or consortium will buy you and then you've got an exit there but also there's the third exit which is one that we took on vitacoco where um we floated it we ipo the business on the nasdaq in the us that's quite rare right um it is but it's like it's rare but again if you talk about hanging by a thread it's very interesting because when you look at the vitacoco journey and again i want to be careful here because i don't i don't want to talk out of turn here because you know i headed up europe and played a big role but equally mike and era and others were the founders so they're probably better to talk to me about this but we came very close to selling that business on a number of occasions but what's really interesting is is that i'm a big believer in fate right and i also think good things happen to good people and you know mike and era you know and also a lot of i mean the one of the beautiful things about buy a cocoa it's just full of great people right and that's what the fun fun in business is important right that's the number one mantra you've got to have fun in business and i'm a big believer in fate and i i you know even though that they were at the time you know i can remember being with mike we had also another problem in london we came over and we always did another transaction and it there's a big fallout and it fell apart in there and i remember having to you know sat there having a beer with mike afterwards and just like head in the hands going what are we doing wrong are we just are we jinxed here i think that's another thing i've no no one really talks about enough is how many deals don't go through like we've just got our family friends who's just about we literally went for drinks to celebrate the exit then that's what one Piper Sander have done, Harvey and Brockless, the guys I used to do these for.
1:36:20We were like, clap the batsman, pass me the fucking oranges, let's have some tequila. And then the next thing gets to Monday and the deal's off. And it's just like, and then it's back to square one. It's like, how many deals do you think, what's the capacity to deal with deals? I would say 95 % of deals fall through. Wow. What happens? Is there anything brands can do to protect themselves of that? or is it kind of probably do a whole podcast on that right I mean it's so circumstantial yeah it can be different reasons it can be characters in the business suddenly it just doesn't click for them all the deal's done but then they're going to take it to the group board no we don't like that but this division the food and drink division want to buy it but they go to the group board no don't want it to happen or else they announce the city latest results they aren't quite good enough actually we're pulling we're pulling the acquisition because we need to we're going to redirect the funds elsewhere there's so many different nuances of what can happen.
1:37:16But just going back to that Vita Coco story is that the IPOs are rare, but a lot of people do it, right? It is very expensive to IPO a business, particularly in America. But the reason I believe in fate is if you now look at Vita Coco, so we floated at$16. Today, Vita Coco is the highest leading performing beverage stock on the whole of the American Stock Exchange, right? it's continually hitting results it's at a record high at the moment so it's more than so for shareholders and investors who've come in since the launch it was at 16 dollars it's nothing it closed last last night at 36 dollars 28 or something like that uh and its highs been 37 dollars on which was which was two weeks ago so it's it's done an incredible job you know so everybody says it's a good idea to float business yes it is but again again if i was to talk to like a fever tree or an oatly or a beyond meat all who floated but their share prices are all down you know fever tree not as much these days but if you look at like an oatly or a a beyond meat they're down i think people have lost like 97 percent of their value because they're down at like three percent of the original share price so it's not you know the bottom line is if you're going to float a business this is in my mind if you're going to float a business you have to know that every single quarter you can hit your numbers you have to hit your earnings right which is obviously that your bottom line your profit as soon as you have one wobbly quarter share price just plummets so you've got to have what i mean about that is you've got to have a stable going go on to an onto the stock market but know that you've got a stable enough business that you can pretty much know your numbers the whole time because if you're if you've got a really volatile business the market doesn't tolerate the ups and downs as much as a private a private owner would do when you get to that exit el dorado which i call it like where the gold lies what are some of the things founders can or not even founders just like operators or anyone in the business like what are the things that they probably you they don't think about but should be thinking about you know and because you've gone through many of these processes like what are the you know he talked about earlier about how to kill off a brand which would be like the gross margin the number one thing is one is be able to demonstrate how strong your brand is the number one thing yeah yeah two is make sure you've got both good growth which i call the compounded annual growth rate yep and ebitda so have the balance between between the two between now three make sure you're if you've got a portfolio you know make sure you've got absolute heroes in certain categories it's like if you're selling a business if you came to me and said right i've got a business that's worth that's turning over 30 million across six categories where I've got businesses turning over 20, 25 million in two categories, I almost guarantee you the business that's doing 20, 25 million in two categories is worth more than that one doing 30 million in six categories.
1:40:09Yeah. Or 35 million or 40 million. Yeah. So, you know, being a hero and being a lead brand, and when I say lead, by the way, it doesn't have to mean you're the biggest, right? If you are leading growth or winning on consumer surveys, and I'll give you a good example of this. Take Pippa Nut, for example. for me I think that's the leading brand in nut butters at the moment just overtaken meridian but not quite as big as whole earth and you may have seen whole earth got bought bought the other week but so you know it's about you're on that trajectory and actually you can get to being you know you're the fastest growing you've got the scale you might not be at number one but somebody's excited because they feel it's about whatever if you think about if anybody's going to buy you they have you know particularly the corporates right taking you from like again I'm just plucking numbers here take even 20 to 50 million is it enough for these guys most of these guys need to have 100 150 200 million brand in their portfolio so when they're buying you they have to have a view so when jan boone um jan and isabel from lotus bought bear or jan so we had this alphabites we had uh paul's and stuff and baby and we're really excited about alphabites and serials and yander said look don't be too rude can you just talk to me about yo-yos how do i make yo-yos which is you know you're telling me it's number one kid's snack and it's the number one lunchbox item in the uk how do i make you're doing 20 million on that at the moment how do i make that 100 million in the uk can that's can we just talk about that's nothing else and he's done this exactly the same because you know biscoff and speculu which is all that whole thing and again talk about how you innovate brilliantly with any i mean lotus is a great case study for people to use you know he has i don't know 30 brands in the lotus family but i can tell you how 90 of the focus goes on the biscoff brand right that's all they worry about is the biscoff brand because it's so powerful and strong and that's what i mean so you have to have a brand be able to demonstrate that your brand has the potential to go to that level other other things to look at is show the brand can travel so if you're only in one category and you've gone into a second category and it's doing really well so for example on bio me we've gone into so i went into those stuffed bars yeah exactly that yeah that's innovating close to the core but also in a different yeah or bio me has gone into bio me has gone into cereal but also gone into into into yogurts and drinks great example there and people are saying well aren't they quite different categories yes and no but but gut health obviously we've got in cereals but actually the heritage of gut health is in is in dairy right because if you go back to the years do you remember everybody every fridge originally no every fridge had a yakult or an actamil in it do you remember in the 80s 90s and 2000s yeah literally that's i remember as a kid boom i'd be giving them all days every morning and particularly when you go to continental europe like in france for every for every one meter of the uk we had a have a yogurt space they have three meters they have three times more space than the average supermarket so if you can get things like the dairy side right in those continental european markets huge upside but also there's a lot of players like you take a denone or something like that they'd be very excited in that in you know in that sort of business so so that's so that's the other thing is how important is it to think reverse engineer of who you're going to sell to totally yeah so who so say so can i give you the best example of that one right let me go back to my innocent days and i think i think i think the boys would be okay me saying this but which is so this is sometimes where i think i mentioned this with you before you and i sat down chat you might have at some point a conflict between what's right for the consumer and what's right to get your successful exit and let me explain that right so at innocent we depending on which day of the week you're looking at and which whether we're fighting it with with uh the government and and hmrc a smoothie gave you one or two or five a day right for the portions of fruit.
1:43:47So let's just say we were two of the five a day and we spent a lot of money fighting that. Somebody at Innocent came up genius because you remember, particularly the government backing, remember the fight, you know, get your five a day. We're going to create veg pots and we're going to create veg pots and we're going to do three portions of veg in there. So how good is this as a consumer
1:44:08that you get two of your five a day on your fruit through a smoothie and you get the veg pot three of your five a day, you got five of you five a day through innocent so you just buy a veg pot and a smoothie and there's your five a day high fives everybody's going genius absolute brilliant so we launched veg pots slight challenging short shelf life similar blah blah blah absolutely brilliant so i can't remember these exact numbers but let's just say back then we were turning over 120 million of which veg pots was i don't know eight ten million brilliant however when it came to looking to sell that business okay there were some exceptions but 90 of people are interested and innocent were going to be a beverage operator so when coke came in and did the deal they valued the business but they virtually put a line through veg pots and said that's our strategy for us we're a beverage company so actually the eight ten million didn't really get any value it might have got a one times revenue i don't even think it got that and what happened with that was veg pots got retired and paul brown got it for free and launched bowl yeah right so that's an example there i'm just using that example there to say look consumer well that's great happened with um well my actually i won't talk about it i'll cut this out but they basically exited for fuck all you've done all that work and actually when you've and this is why it's about being master of a category and doing exactly that um and this is a big thing for me which is you will sometimes come against that it doesn't mean actually because it depends on you know if you're actually thinking well actually i might still sell that business to vc or private equity or else actually my kids might take that business over or whatever but if you're looking for a clean trade exit you've got to think very carefully about those dynamics so you know i said i was speaking to amelia is this amelia at bulby yeah and you know they're they're fucking flying they're actually doing amazing job you've said that they're doing all of that and but i was like to her and it's good it sounds like the dumb three of us she was like you know who do i is it like it's like fucking selling a house for you calling an estate agent do you how do you do you do you have to court these people do they court you like when you say we're speaking with the end of mind we know where the ex-el dorado is it's like like how do like how do brands begin to know who to go for who's going to buy it you know that's so nebulous in the grand scheme of things so my my three bits of advice or four bits of advice i'd give on that would be so first of all you know if you're doing a great job and if you're powering on you should find that some people come to you and just introduce themselves and say okay i'm knocking right so i think that's the first thing build a great brand and build a great business alongside that brand and you should find that people start courting you anyway other thing i'd advise as well is that um there are a number of m &a and m &a obviously merged and acquisitions stroke corporate financiers who whether they represent on the buy or sell side are continually representing people to buy or sell consumer goods brands so you know you and i spoke about some of the names earlier you know you've got the banks um with you know rothschilds and you've got people like piper sandler then you've got others such as more like boutique corporates such as hula and loki or spain lindsey or atlantra for example you should go and engage with those guys and say look just want to put put us on the map just talk about where the business is at this is what we're doing a little bit about what we're trying to do because those guys day in day out are speaking to all of the ceos board non-execs mna um head of mnas in those sort of companies about okay what are you looking at in market are you looking at acquisitions because sometimes they're given a mandate to say look okay bad example right okay but let's say like we've got a mandate to spend up to a mandate is a they will put in a request to say it's like me going to an estate agent and saying right I go to an estate agent and say right can you find me a million pound three bed house in postcode SW18 needs to have these five things can you go away and find that for me so the estate agent will go away and try and find something and match that that it's not uncommon it's very very common that the big corporates will say look we've done a whole strategic review of our business we believe in our within our own brands we've got this capability but there's two or three key consumer macro trends coming up or else categories that are exploding we want to get into or we have exposure on can you find me you know a protein brand or can you find me whatever brand it is yeah and if you've if you've got to introduce yourself and have these conversations then you they can you can they can tee up those conversations for you and sometimes don't forget it's like you might not be ready to sell but you can also have a conversation but also you can bring somebody on a cap table as a minority investor because a lot of these businesses have incubators now yes there are some pros and cons some people say well yeah but if i bring them on does that mean that if i want to sell it eventually i won't get as good a multiple because maybe they've got something in the in the in the legals that says that they get the right to buy a certain price or actually if you know if i've got nestle coming in putting like a minority on she's staking does that mean someone like unilever will never ever buy me because they're never going to buy a business that's got somebody like nestle on as a minority thing so there's all those things to think about but surround yourself by the advisors and people who you know who've been through these sort of processes will help you make right decisions um but you know fundamentally if you know take that example you're saying with amelia keep doing what she's doing because she's building an incredible brand um everybody's talking about that business um it's also an area what I love about what she's doing.
1:49:44And this is why, this is what, this is what inspires this. What I love doing is that, you know, she's done it in a really unsexy area, right? Canned and packaged grocery. Like people say, well, you know, I have this mantra that every brand, every, actually every category needs a challenger brand, right? Yep. Okay. There was nobody's disrupting pulses and grains and stuff in there. She's gone in there and done an incredible job on a commodity, on a commoditized private label. When I talk about private label, me like retailer branded why do you need a challenger branding there look what she's done to that category she's like revolutionized it i wrote a newsletter that was all about this and i was basically saying like why usps unique selling points are kind of dead and and actually what is what is a better move is unique category play so instead of trying to be so say for example like um super busy category at the minute is those sort of gut health drinks everyone's fighting fighting fighting it's like the other way which you can do and there will be some winners the other way is to say pick a category that hasn't been innovated in for yonks and just go there and be the first so amelia's doing it with bold bean oatly did it with oat milk yeah you know jim khan is now doing with curry sauces like you know you know like curry sauces like that that was such a commoditized market for ages it's like oh and i completely agree like there's a challenge of brand in every category do you know what this all comes back to and i think i think adam said adam adam ballon who you've um had on the podcast before he said it as well and it's my number i I talked about number one things on the P &L and the building your brand, right?
1:51:10The number one thing that this comes down to, if you want to build a brand, but also if you want to successfully exit, the number one advice or the number one thing I look at in any investment I look at is the consumer, why is he strong enough? That's the big enough. And let me explain that, right? Yeah, go for it. For your brand or business or the category you're in, in terms of what you're doing and the brand you're doing, your product or service you're providing, why is that going to be so desirable for a consumer in terms of better needing an existing sorry for a better meeting an existing need state or meeting an untapped need state and let me give an example recently so obviously i'm in gut health already and a number of brands so obviously we talked about freya earlier obviously got biomee dolcens we've also got carb soda but if i look at gut health i reckon i've had 14 gut health sodas come to me in the last three months with i'm launching this gut health soda this gut health soda and i look at them all or most of them and i can't actually give you a reason why the consumer should pick it up because consumer why isn't strong enough and it's no different than when i was on coconut water and somebody said to me i'm launching birch water i'm launching melon water i'm launching um um okay rosemary water whatever they all came yeah but why oh it's great tasting why well it does this does this there wasn't a real you know it's like coconut water why coconut water it's got twice the potassium of a banana it's all about electrolytes it's electrolyte so when you look at a proposition or your brand, what is the why?
1:52:51Is the why strong enough for the consumer? How are you going to tell them about it? Why are you going to convert to purchase? And that's the number one Achilles heel I see the whole time, which is your why is not strong enough. That's the biggest thing. Yeah, this is fascinating because Seth Godin is the marketing sort of… You read a lot more than me, I can tell you that. Yeah, yeah. But anyway, he came on the podcast, which was like a fucking dream come true. because he's the most he's the most he's basically inspired me to everything really which was just like a full circle moment but i was talking about trends and he was saying and he you know this guy is like i think he's 60 65 so he's seen it and worked in marketing his whole life and he was saying with food and drink you see moments of inspiration followed by long tales of commodity which is exactly with the fight to cocoa as it's like race the bottom so it's like you have the moment with coconut water race the bottom yeah i think you know gut health with these sodas race race then eventually it's going to happen as you say you've seen 15 pitch decks it's going to eventually go to get to a thing where it's a race to the bottom how can brands and we'll wrap this up because i've just realized you've got to go soon but how can brands really um like make their why ironclad for the consumer like what's some of the things they can do and how do you do that vitacoco well it's also the why is what again when you talk about proudest thing and i think mike would say the same right i will again have careful because i'm never ever we're never complacent and you literally obsess every day to make sure you stay where you are but the amount of people that told us that coconut water wouldn't last it was a fad whereas we knew it's been drunk across the globe particularly in hot climates daily ritual everywhere and it was just about bringing that particularly to the western world and where that looked and coming up you know i you know obviously i stepped out after 12 13 years but i think mike's coming up to they'll become it's a 20 year anniversary they're based in new york yeah but the number one word i'm trying to explain there is longevity right everybody said it'd be a fad the number one thing you need to provide is why there is a longevity for the brand or category of what you're doing because it's been so resilient and it's kept going and it kept growing and growing and growing and growing and you know you know mike's mike's well over half a billion sales now the market cap of viticoco is over two billion today right on the socket shade and it's got this brilliant ability to show that more and more consumers are coming into the brand every day but importantly existing consumers are buying more and drinking more each day as well so i think in terms of do you think brands can drive can turn fat um can drive fads to trends to like if the if the why is strong enough brands can lead it and clear enough then yes there's a reason why i think you're about to see a big one of the things i think about to see a big danger on at the moment is that when you talk about future trends i think you're about to see a world where do you know at the moment if you're not careful i think everybody's sat there in the morning a lot of people are particularly people are into like you know kind of fitness putting good stuff in the body sat there there's i know i know people including myself i'm sat there and i've only got 20 supplements right i've take this do this do this madness and i actually think you know there's a brand like heights at the moment it's going look forget all the noise you just need one thing this is it and i think you're going to see there's a global trend around personalization but also i think there's a global trend around simplification as well in that people just want to know that if i drink or eat this it does this but importantly the wider that it does but importantly to the level you acquire I think that's what's going to happen because it's like it's like me at the moment I'm now rattle on what I take because I'm taking turmeric and all bits and pieces because I'm told you know bits and pieces for my training or just general lifestyle and stuff like that but I think you're going to see a lot of more simplification coming people who can just make consumers lives easier are going to do really really well but going back I suppose that's what Huell's basically done isn't it Huell's a great example like it's I mean and I like the Rory Southern talks about Complete meal solution there and then.
1:56:41Boom, that does it. But also, I think the fact that it doesn't taste as good as a Yazoo, that's genius. But what you have to think about there is Huel have marketed themselves in such a good way. So it's no different than saying, well, yeah, but surely then everybody's still just having a multivitamin. You just need your age is their multivitamin. Everything's okay. No, because that's not enough for a lot of people. They're now trying to take excess. Huel have done really well because they've communicated exactly what is in their product, why that's all they need, and the buck stops there. and everybody's and they've got the consumer saying yeah that's all i need to do i'm happy i've nailed that what do you think are some of the trends that will melt into fads and what do you think are some of the fads but potentially like will be will be the vitacoco will be the innocence so i think i think just generally speaking i think you know macro trends we talked we talked about personalization so i think it's not gonna be long between between you know whatever you've got on your watch or on your wrist or on your phone we'll just tell you straight away here's your recommended order or i've got all these things and you know we talked about on bio me that we think we can do something where people get answer 10 questions and we can personalize exactly what they need from us um so i think personalization is a big one i've talked about that simplification bit i think in terms of macro trends i think collagen and gut health is just going to be huge i think gut health probably will be the same size if not bigger than protein as a macro trend what you're now seeing though it's really interesting because people think proteins gone to its level and it's still going to be there but the protein is about to go again so you're now what makes you think that like as in have a look at the us it's absolutely juggernauting again um because beforehand it was just particularly the fitness and active lifestyle people getting into it but now people are realizing that a high protein diet can benefit so many more range of consumers particularly anything from kids females females with pregnant pregnancy menopause all that sort of stuff and protein is now being um integrated into so many different diet requirements that suddenly people are realizing that protein is incredibly hot as general lifestyle so the address for the audience has probably gone up 40 percent and when you look at globally the billion you know amount of people now being advised to take more protein it's quite frightening so i think protein you know and gut health are going to be absolutely huge and then obviously the other big area in consumer goods and food i mean i'm not going to we won't talk about the whole sustainability bit because anything that you know i think every single product or service unless people pick that up and know that they're doing something that is less detrimental and more importantly has a positive impact on on on on the planet unless i think that's going to become a prerequisite for products if you don't if you aren't having a positive impact as a brand as a brand whether you're a product or service on the environment people are going to stop stop shopping you so i think you've got to do that but i think going back to consumer goods and food and drink i think this whole new tropics adaptogens another big area there which is obviously a lot of this stuff is kind of positively influencing the mind and again putting stuff into your body that has functional benefits that are akin to that sort of product so i think again mushroom is going to be a massive growth area and you're seeing some good brands you know you've seen space goods you've seen dirty you know there's um days and co there's loads of nice brands doing that that's a big space in terms of like the consumer pieces of getting a massive addict to coffee as well but that space goes really does work what libby from piper investments says that there'll only ever be one winner in a category like what are your thoughts on that um All right.
2:00:14do i i don't agree with that um um, is she talking from a challenger brand perspective? Um, you know, you know, Piper investment as in, yeah. Yeah. I think it's, um, I think I do agree with that, but then there are always some categories that will challenge that. And that is, for example, let's take energy drinks. I think both Red Bull and Monster have been very successful alongside each other because I almost argue slightly differently. And I'm not, not by the way, I know Libby and she's she's an incredible operator right um and very very smart the only thing I would say is that quite often you need multiple good challenger brands to build the category to its potential so for example on coconut water I don't think we'd have got coconut water as a total category to the size we got it to unless we had the likes of innocent naked harmless harvest all spending money helping us drive awareness and then building the category to the level yes I would say we're the lead brand out there today but there are still some other brands out there and I'm sure somebody else will come again and you have to be a little bit careful on this because it's like take smoothies as an example today Innocent is the number one smoothie right but everybody would say don't go to Innocent smoothies again but then have a look at what something like Mockingbird's now doing so Mockingbird is actually a reincarnation of Savzi right so they bought the assets of Savzi and Mockingbird.
2:01:40Mockingbird is absolutely smashing it in there and actually, you know, is a good second player to Innocent. And I suspect Innocent are happy about that because I think Mockingbird are bringing new consumers or lapsed consumers back into the category. And then it's Innocent's job then to say, well, how do we then, you know, convert them back or bring them into Innocent as a brand? What are your thoughts on other brands? Because that category piece is interesting. It's actually, you can compete. I think people are by default competitive, founders are. So they look at their other challenger brand as a competitor set.
2:02:08And this is what Mark Parber told me. He goes, actually, you can do that, but fuck me. You're going to be quite paranoid, miserable, like all those things. Slightly different with Vice Coca, because you guys were much bigger then. But he was actually saying, you know, so say it was Peanut Butter, Manny Life versus Pippa Nuts. Like, we could compete with each other, or we could both just try and knock off Sun Pat, both try and knock off. And he was basically saying, go after the big incumbent. Like, how do you think on... Yeah, you basically, I think what you do is
2:02:40slight barriers because you can go after the big incumbent, but if your consumer demographic is completely different, it doesn't help, right? But if you've got a lot of... Consumer Y, right? Yeah, exactly that, right? And I think you can do that. And I think, you know, good examples. I've got, again, Ember, which is the meat. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Those guys are doing a really, really good job because, you know, we've looked at, you know, you've got brands such as kings and and other brands in the category who are well-established meat snacking brands but they said look how do we win and they've basically said look we can actually we think we can do we can win on product better than those guys deliver a much more tasty higher moisture so less dry you know built on etc but also in a more sustainable way through they talk very heavily about regenerative farming with a really nice strong brand that has a really nice premium edge to it and ember's just now absolutely flying because if the why is strong so strong in that category suddenly the retailer's gone actually we see the role you play actually because there's this premiumization happening in that category and people want the quality of meat and they want the high protein source and they've you know against the two or three competitors in that space ember have done a really good job on that so i think again i i'd answer that slightly different to to and again i'm not trying to become controversial here a huge a huge respect respect both i mean mark and i have worked together he's on ember as well isn't he exactly but i think what it comes down to is that i think you can have multiple challenger brands in a category if each brand's why is big enough if you have a positioning and you're strong enough and you can you know you can be you know if you can be successful you know i think multiple brands can operate but ultimately because the brand that has the strongest why to the consumer and continues to evolve and reinvent itself has when you grow with your consumer and doesn't fatigue that's the one that ultimately will come out on top that's the bottom line you can't stand still you've got to evolve and stuff like that you've got to you've got to do it differently and again one brand i think i know they're only two and a half three years old but you know people said to me originally with oh surreal you know i love them surreal marketing and stuff like that but you know it's going to fatigue a bit but you just watch how they've taken it on already what do you think unbelievable yeah what do you because jack's got a knee he's had a kid he's got a knee operation hasn't he or something so i'm trying to trying to pin them down kit kit's got two kids now yeah yeah so i've literally been emailing them and back and forth for like ages and we're like which we're going to make it happen hopefully in jan but yeah final thing like what what's going to make them successful do you think because as you say a lot of people write wrote wrote off rate wrote off write it off i don't know how to say it off written off that category that category saying oh you know like what how do you think they're gonna what's their that brand i can't i mean again they are the numbers of in two and a half years they're a scale most brands haven't got to in four or five years absolutely flying there's a number of things you've got there you've got two incredibly complementary founders who are both top of their game who's which is what jack Jack is more commercial supply chain.
2:05:45Kit, he's the brand and the marketeer. And he's doing both and complement each other really well. They've also got an ex-innocent guy who does a lot of the copy and stuff in there. Guy Goodjohn, who does an incredible job. So I think you've got a winning team there. I think you've also then got a product that is bang on trend with consumer needs states and will continue to be. High protein. You've then got obviously zero sugar and low carbs. That trend is a very big trend for consumers not going away. You've got a great tasting product. You bring in innovative, relevant flavors, exciting flavors.
2:06:21I mean, look at the partnership they did with Gymshark. So good. And you've got Gymshark logoed cereal pieces. People are going absolutely mad for it. I don't know if you saw a week ago, they just launched their limited edition honeycomb, which is unbelievably tasting. It's brilliant. And I'm just sat there absolutely wetting myself on the whole Winnie the Pooh versus Paddington Bear off for having. I lost some jokes. And do you know what I mean? It's just, people need this in their life every day, particularly with the rubbish we've got going on around us and all the austerity. I don't know what they're talking about not returning to austerity.
2:06:53The government, we are going back to austerity whether we like it or not. You need brands that bring a moment of sunshine to your day and that's what something like Surreal's doing. Outstanding. Mate, I know you've got a grunt, he's got another meeting I've absolutely fucking loved that it was it was banging and there's just yeah mind is bubbling with wisdom it was it was absolute gold thank you for having me again mate it's been great I'm always happy to do it it doesn't have to be annual it could be biannual and if there's anything you know you ever need or you want me to talk about I'm always happy to talk about it but mate thank you and mate it's great to see the podcast grow so much because you're doing really really well with it so it's great I appreciate that good people deserve to do well and you're one of them oh thank you so much mate um right that was sick
2:07:37thank you so so much for listening to the podcast i really really do appreciate it if you liked that episode only if you liked it please do give it five stars subscribe tell all your friends families foes next door but one cat dog whatever please tell everyone about this podcast it means the world to me and i really want to understand what your pain points are as the new wave of challenger food and drink brands please do hit me up on linkedin search Dan Pope and hopefully we can together create a more meaningful and powerful podcast for the next wave of challenger food and drink brands thank you so much
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ON THE MENU:
- Why Challenger Brands Must Understand The Way You Exit has COMPLETELY CHANGED: Giles’he Gold, Silver Bronze of True Gross Margin and EBITDA
- PLEASE STOP Manipulating TRUE Gross Margin: D2C brands don’t hide CAC in the P&L… it must come under true gross margin. 40% minimum.
- Why “Multiples of Revenue exit is completely DEAD”. EBITDA multiple = 12x vs. Revenue multiple =. 1.9x
- Why in 2025 Challenger Brands Must Become a Proper Business Earlier …”challenger brands must become a proper business much earlier” + Set up value chain EARLIER
- Bio & Me Innovation-to-Exit Strategy: Brands must INNOVATE Close to the Core
- Big Exit Rule No.1: BRAND BRAND BRAND.. “I’ve seen amazing businesses on paper, unable to exit as they have a crap brand… I’ve seen okay businesses, with an insane brand, have huge exit”
- RedBull Zero Law: Innovation Doesn’t Need to Be Whacky + “Format Innovation is The Best Kind of Innovation”
- Vita Coco’s CONSUMPTION EXPANSION Law to Piss Easily 6X Your Rate of Sale: Bigger format = more units in fridge = winder consumption opportunity = higher ROS = higher revenue
- How To Commit Brandiscide in Grocery: slag off competition, buy listings, invest in ATL campaigns when you’ve got 200 stores
- ATL Campaigns are pointless when you’re small, Invest in Purchase Proximity
- The Founderitis Symptom: Founders in board meetings never think like a CONSUMER but ABSOLUTELY MUST
- The Coconut Wars: How Vita Coco smashed Innocent and Pepsico to become the biggest Brand in Europe
- The Battle of Addiction in Founders + Why Brand Building Should Be Brutal.
- The Founder vs. Operator Tension: True Challenger Operators Need to Roll Their Sleeves Up
- Why 90% of Exit Deals Fall Through + How to Ensure Your Brand is Exit-Ready in 2025
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