In short
Dr. Roderick Wong (RTW) explains long-term biotech investing through a “will it work, will it sell, what is it worth” framework, how to manage binary clinical outcomes via disciplined position sizing and top-down diversification, and why biotech innovation is shifting from early science breakthroughs to maturing, commercially successful medicines. He also discusses RTW’s evolution from specialist underwriting to converging public/private investing, then to institutionalizing via subspecialized, collaboration-focused teams and scaling for AI/data-science changes. Notable examples/claims: GLP-1s reduce cardiovascular mortality ~20–30% and still face unmet needs (GI side effects, weekly injections); future improvements include less frequent dosing, oral GLP-1s at scale, and new mechanisms. He cites gene/cell therapy as life-changing but limited by safety and manufacturing; mRNA is challenged post-COVID for traditional targets (e.g., flu).
Guest backgrounds
Dr. Roderick Wong is an MD, MBA, founder and CIO of RTW, trained as a physician, previously an equity research biotech investor at Cowan.
Key claims
exceptional biotech leadership must manage scientists, complex execution, commercialization/sales, and fundraising across private-to-public capital markets.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOJourney from Medicine to Investing
1:15 to 2:52
Dr. Wong shares his transition from a medical career to biotech investing.
“Well, you have an MD and a deep grounding in science, yet you eventually chose to build your career on the investing side.”
Founding RTW and Its Evolution
2:52 to 4:19
Discussion on the founding of RTW and the evolution of the firm’s approach.
“So to put it in context a little bit, I've been doing this for a while now.”
Institutionalization and Scaling Up
4:19 to 6:28
Insight into the scaling and institutionalization of RTW in response to innovation.
“You know, we're able to add value as investors with that simple, basic kind of foundation.”
The Role of Innovation in Life Sciences
6:28 to 7:50
Dr. Wong elaborates on what it means to be an innovation firm in life sciences.
“And also it turned out that innovation broadened geographically as well.”
Active Involvement in Companies
7:50 to 12:38
Exploration of Dr. Wong's shift from passive investing to actively shaping companies.
“One is the one I've already mentioned, that we're in this world of accelerating, expanding innovation, which is super exciting.”
Mission Driven Investment Philosophy
12:38 to 14:00
Discussion on the mission to make a difference in patients' lives through investment.
“And for many people, and if you're to say, what are the top three or four reasons you work in this particular job or work for our firm, it's because they care about that mission.”
The Importance of a Unifying Mission in Biotech
14:00 to 17:36
Learn how a common purpose can drive success in biotech companies.
“for patients and then watching the impact that that has.”
Phases of Drug Development: Challenges and Leadership
17:36 to 20:25
Understand the three critical phases in drug development and the necessary leadership qualities.
“and leadership teams, but you try to contribute as an investor ecosystem as well.”
Current Wave of Innovation in Biotech
20:25 to 21:01
Discover the significant innovation wave currently transforming biotech.
“So I think that's going to be a big part of the story for the next decade, right?”
The Journey of a Drug from Lab to Patients
21:01 to 23:01
Explore the process of bringing a drug from initial concept to market, including key inflection points.
“So that to me in particular is really exciting.”
Show all 22 chapters
Evaluating New Developments in Therapeutics
23:01 to 25:53
Learn about the latest advancements in therapies like GLP-1 drugs and gene therapy, including unmet needs.
“Then it's really, is this a significant enough unmet need that it represents something that can really support a thriving and growing business, right?”
mRNA Technology: Opportunities and Challenges
25:53 to 28:00
Understand the current state of mRNA technology and its application in vaccine development.
“You're going to see ones that require less frequent injections.”
mRNA's Current Landscape and Future Challenges
28:00 to 28:30
Explore the current state of mRNA technology and its future in life sciences.
“They're very safe and they're very effective.”
Three Core Questions in Life Sciences Investing
28:30 to 29:50
Understand the critical questions investors must consider in life sciences.
“How do you weigh those three when they're potentially in tension with each other?”
Navigating Risk and Opportunity in Biotech
29:50 to 31:40
Learn how to balance risk and opportunity when investing in biotech.
“or attractive investment area, despite the fact that it can be binary.”
Identifying and Capturing Market Inefficiencies
31:40 to 33:50
Discover how to find and leverage inefficiencies in the biotech market.
“Not just to be whipped around by the volatility, but at a minimum, be positioned to have steady hands through that.”
The Evolving Nature of Alpha in Investing
33:50 to 36:15
Explore the changing landscape of alpha generation in life sciences.
“Now, that said, I think alpha evolves over time.”
Regulatory Landscape Impacting Life Sciences
36:15 to 41:20
Understand key regulatory factors affecting life sciences innovation.
“And our mission is to try to stay on the cutting edge and maximize the alpha that we can catch.”
Characteristics of Exceptional Life Sciences Leaders
41:20 to 42:00
Identify the traits that distinguish outstanding leaders in life sciences.
“It really does get back to the conversation we were having earlier, where it is a very broad range of talents and skills that leaders and managers need to have.”
The Cost of Biotech Development
42:00 to 44:31
Learn about the financial burdens and leadership challenges in biotech.
“Because the entire way costs an enormous amount of money.”
Looking Ahead: The Next Decade in Biotech
44:31 to 45:32
Explore potential advancements and opportunities in the biotech industry.
“What would that world look like for patients, innovators, and for investors?”
Closing Insights and Appreciation
45:32 to 45:48
Hear final thoughts and expressions of gratitude from the host and guest.
“I appreciate you sharing all your insights, explaining it in plain English that hopefully most people can understand.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:05Rod Wong:Welcome to the Insightful Investor Podcast, a weekly series that seeks to share industry, investment, and market insights. We define insights as concepts that are counterintuitive, widely misunderstood, or underappreciated. In other words, unique ideas that you probably won't hear elsewhere. I'm Alex Shahidi, the host of the podcast and co-CIO of Evoke Advisors, at leading investment advisory firm. Learn more about our show at insightfulinvestor.org.
0:38Rod Wong:Today, I'm joined by Dr. Roderick Wong, founder and CIO of RTW, a life sciences investment and innovation firm focused on building and investing in companies that aim to transform patients' lives. Dr. Wong trained as a physician and then built his career as an investor at the intersection of science, medicine, and capital. And today we're going to talk about how he thinks about long-term biotech investing, the collaboration between investors, entrepreneurs, and scientists, and where he sees the most meaningful innovation and value creation ahead. Welcome to the show, Rod. Thanks for having me, Alex.
1:16Rod Wong:Well, you have an MD and a deep grounding in science, yet you eventually chose to build your career on the investing side. When you look back, what were the key moments or realizations that push you toward becoming an investor rather than a practicing physician? So I really figured it out, I think, when I was going through school. So I did do medical school and have an MBA as well. And in med school, yeah, I really, I love science. I love learning about innovation. And then when I got to the part where you spend time in the clinic, I enjoyed it. But I could tell relative to my classmates who are really passionate about clinical medicine that that wasn't me.
1:59So I started exploring other ways to express the interest in science. Good thing was that business school was part of the plan. And I interviewed for, honestly, everything. And it was really when I met what became my first bosses. It was an equity research team at Cowan. They covered biotech. It was like going on incredible first date where it just felt like you're looking at and meeting people that just really understood you. And then from there, my path was relatively linear. I kind of found my place in the world and my career in investing was kind of straightforward after that.
2:43Rod Wong:Love at first sight. Yeah. So when you launched RTW, what was the core problem you were trying to solve in the ecosystem? And how different is a firm today from what you originally had in mind? Yeah, sure. So to put it in context a little bit, I've been doing this for a while now. I got that first job back in 2003, so a couple dozen years ago now. And to rewind back to that time, the way money was managed in healthcare was primarily by non-scientific or specialist background folks. Most portfolio managers were generalist portfolio managers. And so when I started RTW, and I started it relatively young, I was a portfolio manager when I was, I think, 27 was my first job.
3:28And then I started RTW a few years after that. That was the environment I kind of started the business in. And so I would say the thing that we were solving holistically was bringing kind of specialist knowledge, specialist background into money management of the sector. And then I would say beyond that, you know, I really aspired to kind of do it thoughtfully, right? So to think about managing money in a structured way, underwriting for odds of success for whether science would work or not, commercially forecasting in a robust and repeatable way. So in short, kind of, you know, really being deeply fundamental and structured in the approach to investing in the space.
4:18Now, I would characterize that as probably the first third of our journey. You know, we're able to add value as investors with that simple, basic kind of foundation. And then since then, the firm has gone through probably two other major evolutions. One was we made a decision about a third of the way into our existence to try to be part of this small group of investors that were trying to converge public and private investing. Today, that's, you know, kind of widely accepted as the crossover ecosystem for folks that know how investing in biotech is done. But back then, it was a new thing. Public markets investors and venture capitalists were very, very separate ecosystems.
5:00That was a very consequential decision to do that. Looking back on it, there are clearly a lot of value that you can get from being a private markets investor in terms of improving the quality of your decision-making. In those same companies when they progress and become public companies, that's both from a data access and analysis perspective, as well as getting comfortable with the leadership or management teams of those businesses. And in our sector, companies go public very, very young, right? Basically, when there's still science experiments, generally early in development. And so being one of the firms that kind of led that convergence was a very important and valuable decision that we made.
5:48That was kind of the middle third of our existence. And then I would characterize the last third, which has brought us to what we are today, is really kind of the scaling up and institutionalization of what we do. And the reason we decided to do that was really first, a direct consequence of what we're seeing with science. you know we're seeing science accelerate innovation increase quite significantly and we said to ourselves if we really want to stay aspiring to be the experts in the room right we're going to need to have a much larger team and that team is going to have to sub-specialize otherwise there's no way to be expert across all these diseases across these emerging number of new exciting technologies or modalities that you can create drugs from And so we said, okay, we have to do that.
6:43And also it turned out that innovation broadened geographically as well. I think most people know now China has hit the scene in the last handful of years and become the second most important source of innovation. So that decision positioned us well for that as well. When you do that, it's not just about having a bigger team and having subspecialize, we also had to find a way for that to work where you still make high quality, holistic investment decisions, right? So we said, okay, you also have to build a team that really values collaboration. Easy to say for a lot of businesses, but that's not really kind of how people think of classic investment businesses.
7:28There tends to be a lot of silos and kind of individual-based work. And so we had to restructure the firm to really value that. And so those were a couple of the biggest challenges that we faced. Looking back on it, it was the right thing to do for us. We think we've been successful at institutionalizing. And now, most importantly, I think it positions us well for the future in a couple key ways. One is the one I've already mentioned, that we're in this world of accelerating, expanding innovation, which is super exciting. We believe that we can tackle that challenge. But two, we're also in a world where there's now a dramatic change, for example, in data science, in technology, and then of course, ultimately with AI.
8:18And that's going to obviously have a major impact on the way we do our research as well. And so as a firm that's institutionalized with competent management and strong leadership, we can throw resources at those things and make sure we're staying on the cutting edge for the future as well.
8:36Rod Wong:I know RTW describes itself as a life sciences investment and innovation firm, which you just touched on, not just an investment firm. What does innovation firm mean to you? Yeah, I think it means a couple different things. To me personally, I mean, first and foremost is that we do have a mission, right? We're not just here to generate returns, but we have a mission that's beyond that, which is to support innovation and specifically innovation that has the potential to transform the lives of patients. And so even within the scope of being a healthcare investor, we are specifically focused on finding and supporting those kinds of businesses that fit with that mission.
9:19I think innovation also has a second meaning to us, which is that, of course, first and foremost, investors provide capital. And that's a huge part of the value that we're trying to offer to companies that we're partnering with. But that's not all. So we also complement that with other things that we can bring to companies. And that ranges from the relatively informal in terms of expressing our opinions and offering our advice, but all the way to the very formal where we're deeply involved in the operations and governance of a business. You see that especially on the private side of our investing, especially with the early stage venture capital that we do on the company creation side.
10:05But you also see it expressed in the creative dealmaking and transactions that we do to help companies solve whatever capital and operational problems that they have. Right.
10:16Rod Wong:Because I know you started your career more as a stock picker and you focused on asymmetric opportunities. And there you're in many ways a passive investor. And over time, you saw the value in helping companies build and helping shape their futures. Would you talk about that a little bit more? Absolutely. I personally have gotten gratification from that evolution exactly, as you said, to not just picking ideas and supporting them passively, but also getting involved operationally and from a governance perspective. In terms of how it's impacted how we approach investing, I think it's also been very enlightening.
10:59Number one, I mentioned a key point already, which is that when you really get under the hood and you're working side by side with companies and helping to build them, you get a depth of experience, whether it's in a disease or a technology area or in a functional expertise like manufacturing, right? A kind of depth that you cannot get as a public markets investor. And that's very valuable to doing a better job as a public markets investor. And then on specific investments, I mentioned already that you get to know management teams, their boards in a way that you wouldn't otherwise have the opportunity to do, and you get closer to the data.
11:42The reality is the way public markets are regulated is that there's a lot of information that doesn't have to be revealed once a company becomes public, which is available to private markets investors. And that information can be helpful far beyond the private part of the lifecycle of a company. And so that's been valuable. And then, you know, finally, I think just from a opportunity set perspective, you have this flexibility, right, as a full lifecycle investor and across the capital structure investor in that we can skate to where we see the greatest opportunity, right? Sometimes it will be in small cap public markets, sometimes slightly larger companies, and sometimes the best will obviously be in private earlier stage companies.
12:29And so we have the ability to kind of emphasize one or the other, depending on where the greatest opportunity at any point in the cycle happens to be.
12:37Rod Wong:You talked earlier about backing companies that will make a major difference in patients' lives and your goal of supporting them with both your capital and potentially your expertise. how did that become your core north star i think at the end of the day certainly for me but i think it's um also very true for many of the folks if not most all the folks that work at our firm which is that many of us come from scientific or medical backgrounds you know health care touching our lives beyond the jobs that we're doing. And for many people, and if you're to say, what are the top three or four reasons you work in this particular job or work for our firm, it's because they care about that mission.
13:26We all want to do well and have wonderful careers, but we also all want to have an impact and be doing meaningful work. And so that's a big part of our lives, I think, for the folks at the firm. is that, hey, why wouldn't you want to be able to spend your life identifying and then supporting things that you know are going to help other people, specifically patients, right? Often with very high unmet needs. That's really exciting. Some of the most memorable moments in my career are being there for part of the journey when, you know, a medicine ends up being transformational for patients and then watching the impact that that has.
14:08Rod Wong:In many ways, it becomes part of your culture. And you have this unifying mission that brings everybody together because it's hard work doing what you do. And when you're all rowing in that same direction, trying to achieve some of those objectives and the gratification that comes from getting there, it can keep people going and pushing them even beyond their limits. Yeah, I think you said that really well. That's exactly right. And every job has its hard times. Every industry has its ups and downs. And so when you care about something or you have some guiding principle that is beyond making money or having a good job, it just makes it that much better, especially for the hard times.
14:53Rod Wong:Are there any common traits you see in the companies that truly live up to that mission? That is a great question. And sometimes we get asked this question, what makes a great biotech executive or a great biotech executive team? And I would just say it's really remarkable what these companies, drug development companies have to do if you think about it. So at the beginning of the process, you have to have that brilliant scientific discovery. And so you have to have that phenotype of person that allows you to have some kind of breakthrough medicine be identified. Which by definition is low odds, right?
15:38Right, exactly right. And if you think about that kind of person, these are your classic creative, out-of-the-box thinkers, right? And that's a certain phenotype of talent that you need to be successful. But then once you have that, the development of a medicine, as you know, is a very long process. It can be on average, call it a decade long. And it is one of the human pursuits that truly takes a village and not just a village of any kind of folks, of super experts in many, many different disciplines, right? People describe successfully developing medicine like landing a spaceship on the moon.
16:24It's an incredibly difficult task. And so there, for that phase of a business, you need extraordinarily competent management and leadership that really has the ability then to guide all of these super experts in different disciplines, right? To execute on the goal of successfully developing a medicine. And then if you're lucky enough and talented enough to get through that, the final phase is of course, then building a true business in terms of if you get to the finish line, getting that medicine then in the hands of patients and that commercial execution. So if you think broadly about those three phases of any drug discovery, development, commercialization business, it is extraordinarily challenging.
17:17And finding that kind of managerial and leadership talent that can shepherd through the entire process is an extraordinarily difficult thing to do. So the way I kind of think of it is you really maximize your odds if not only do you work with, of course, talented management and leadership teams, but you try to contribute as an investor ecosystem as well. And then so you really are all working together to try to maximize the odds that you can navigate that really challenging process.
17:52Rod Wong:So if we just take a step back, do you feel we're currently in the largest innovation wave that biotech and life sciences has ever experienced? Yeah, that is a very, very important point because I've been doing this, as I mentioned, for a couple dozen years now. And it is the most exciting time in drug discovery in that time that I've had the job. I've been following the industry. The way I like to describe it is the following. In the early years of my career, there's actually not that much innovation. It was rare. It was tough to find. And honestly, some of the innovation that you did find was incremental, right?
18:39And then a couple key things happened that started improving that picture and increasing innovation. One is you started getting cheaper, impactful information. A big piece of that was the genome, right? It was first sequenced over a dozen years ago, but it really became cheap so that it enabled drug discovery in a major way, call it a decade ago. And then number two, about 10 years ago, there started to be a wave of new technologies or what we call modalities that you can develop drugs from. Many of these people are now quite familiar with. People have heard about mRNA, just as one example. Everyone's heard about gene therapy, cell therapy.
19:21There are many others that get a little bit less airtime, but things like antibody drug conjugates or bispecifics or protein degraders. The bottom line is that the toolkit that you have to develop drugs from has at least tripled in the last decade. And then the combination of those two things, right? Cheap information, the addition of these new modalities, has now unleashed this innovation boom. And for the folks that have followed the space closely, and you know what I just described very well, then you probably also know that that boom in the last, call it half dozen years, was very much an early stage science boom.
20:02A lot of these things emerged. And then, you know, there were some disappointments along the way that kind of explains the bear market that biotech went through in the last few years. But a very, very exciting point that I want to make about this particular moment in time is that now a lot of that exciting science is actually maturing, right? A good chunk is make it to the finish line. And you're seeing now an increasing number of transformational medicines that are actually getting in the hands of patients, right, are becoming commercially available and not just commercially available, but are becoming the foundation of a new wave or a new generation of commercially successful biotech companies.
20:44So I think that's going to be a big part of the story for the next decade, right? Which is that you're going to have this now wave of new commercially successful biotech companies really of the size that we haven't seen ever in the history of the industry. So that to me in particular is really exciting.
21:05Rod Wong:It may be helpful for people who are not scientists if you could describe the journey of a drug from an idea in a lab to something that's actually in patients' hands and where the biggest value inflection points really are? I kind of break it into actually the key buckets that we're kind of talking about a little bit when it comes to management and leadership or what it takes. So there's obviously the preclinical phase historically that's taken as long as six to seven years, right? To get that light bulb moment. And then an additional two to three years to run all the preclinical experiments that you need to be able to show to a regulator to say, hey, I think this is safe.
21:47Let me start exploring this in patients, right? Now, that part, the discovery and preclinical development phase is becoming faster and more efficient thanks to a lot of the progress innovation that I mentioned. And the odds are getting higher and the quality of the outputs or the drug candidates that you're seeing is also going up. That's all very exciting. Then there's the clinical development phase. historically, that's also an additional six to seven years. And that progresses from small to large clinical trials. First, just kind of testing things, trying to get to proof of concept, right? And then trying to really confirm efficacy, right?
22:30To see if you have something that has meaningful efficacy that's impactful to patients with an acceptable safety profile. When you have a robust data set, that then again, you then take to regulators and say, listen, And I think this is something that should be approved and available for patients and their physicians to consider, right, as an option for treatment. That's another key point, of course. And then it doesn't end there. For a lot of folks, getting to that point is so rare that they often don't think about the life after that. But as I mentioned, that's becoming increasingly important for biotech investors as more and more drugs are making it that far.
23:08Then it's really, is this a significant enough unmet need that it represents something that can really support a thriving and growing business, right? Which ultimately is critical if you're really serious about being an investor in this space. And that has become an increasingly important skill set that actually a lot of biotech investors don't have or fully developed in their toolkit. it. That is something we've focused a lot of energy on since our early days.
23:40Rod Wong:Where do you see the biggest gap between headline hype and what the data actually supports today across the big themes, such as gene therapy, cell therapy, mRNA, and GLP ones? Maybe starting with the last one with glyphs. So there's no hype in glyphs. They are the absolute real deal. You know, I think it goes without saying that everybody knows that people, right, patients are super excited about GLIPS because they make you feel better, they make you look better, right? And they love the health benefits that they can feel and experience. But in addition to that, if you think about the major unmet needs in Western society, the number one killer, Number one cause of mortality is still cardiovascular disease, right?
24:31And the glyphs are having the biggest impact on that of any medicine in a long time. So it reduces cardiovascular mortality by probably somewhere in the zip code of 20 % to 30 % for the average patient. So it's a huge step forward in terms of the health, the future health and longevity of Western society. So I think, you know, I don't need to tell really any audience about the fact that this is the largest commercial opportunity. You know, it's still in early innings of that process. But what I would point out is that the story of Glypse still has many chapters left to be written, right? If you kind of think about what we have right now, what is the state of the art is that you have weekly injectable drugs that are pretty potent, right?
25:20You lose a fair amount of weight on them, but they are injectables. They're relatively inconvenient, and they don't have perfect safety profiles in terms of a lot of people have to come off the medicines because they don't tolerate the GI side effects, things like nausea and vomiting, for example. So when you think about it that way, there's still a lot of unmet need and a lot of opportunity to come up with better products. And that's what people should expect over the next handful of years. You're going to see even more potent injectables. You're going to see ones that require less frequent injections.
25:56This is actually the year that you see the first oral drugs that really can be manufactured at scale and at lower cost, which will significantly improve accessibility of those medicines. And then also you're going to have brand new mechanisms that aren't even glit-based in the next handful of years as well. So I think if you fast forward a handful of years from now, it's going to be an even more exciting menu of options for patients and a better selection of products. Some of the other things you mentioned, I can give quick status updates of where those technologies are. I describe gene and cell therapy as they are nichier products right now because of the limitations, the current limitations of those technologies.
26:48So they can absolutely be life-changing in the case of gene therapy for severe genetic diseases, in the case of cell therapy for some refractory cancer types. But there are challenges, especially for gene therapy in terms of their safety profile. There's a lot to be optimized in terms of the safety of those products. And they both suffer from significant manufacturing challenges that make them expensive and make them pretty inconvenient as medicines for patients to take. So I think the challenge for both of those fields is to continue to incrementally innovate so that you can broaden the applicability of those technologies.
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27:32You know, specifically on mRNA, I think mRNA is one of those things that was really the perfect solution, right, for COVID when it hit to be able to rapidly develop a vaccine for COVID. But now that we are past that, the challenge is that for a lot of traditional targets, think, for example, flu as an example, traditional technologies, vaccine technologies have been around a long time. They're very mature. They're very safe and they're very effective. So it's actually very challenging. It sets a very high bar for kind of the second and third and fourth acts of the application of mRNA. So I think that's where mRNA is now.
28:18It's kind of trying to find its place in terms of the things that make the most sense in the future.
28:24Rod Wong:I've heard you talk about three core questions in life sciences investing. We transition to the investing side a little bit. So question one, will it work? Two, will it sell? And ultimately, what is it worth? How do you weigh those three when they're potentially in tension with each other? The short answer is for a great investment, you have to have all three, right? So I think the first, will it work? That really translates to the odds, right? And you want something that has a high probability of success, you know, from a scientific and regulatory perspective, that goes without saying. But the latter two things really refer to the risk reward around any potential investment.
29:09You have to have something that supports a meaningful product that can then translate into a business that can not only survive, but then hopefully be successful and thrive. And of course, there are different scenarios associated with different levels of success to tell you then what is it worth and how should something trade. So our job as investors is really to look for things that have the combination of those two things that are favorable. High probability of success combined with asymmetric risk return, because this is a probabilistic business and you're going to have your failures, right?
29:48But if you have things that offer asymmetric risk reward, then that helps make this a profitable or attractive investment area, despite the fact that it can be binary.
30:01Rod Wong:Yeah. And you just described some of the reasons why it could be binary. And we know biotech investing can be full of binary clinical readouts, but your investors obviously expect something smoother than binary outcomes. So how do you design a portfolio to absorb those issues? Yeah, that's a great question. So, you know, the way we think of binaries is they are, of course, risk, but they are also critical opportunity, right? Because there's inefficiency around those binaries that specialists and then in theory, if they've done their job well, can take advantage of. So how do you manage through that and balance the risk with the opportunity?
30:44I think the most important thing that you can do is really to appropriately size individual investments for the downside risk. So you really got to budget for the scenarios where it's unsuccessful and you have to be very disciplined in this regard, right? So there's a lot of people that work in our business because they, like me, they love science, right? And they love innovation. And it's very easy to fall in love with science and lose your discipline. So it's absolutely critical to do that well over time. You know, I think it's also important that outside of it, binaries, this is a space that has significant volatility, right?
31:30There can be no change in fundamentals of a business at all, but they can trade at a wide range of potential valuations. So I think successful investors have to know how to navigate that, right? Not just to be whipped around by the volatility, but at a minimum, be positioned to have steady hands through that. And of course, ideally, be able to play offense and use that to your advantage. And then, of course, finally, there's the top-down component as well, which is true for any successful portfolio manager, whatever it is that you do, You have to manage the portfolio well top-down, and you have to make sure that you're not overly exposed to any single theme or any kind of risk factor.
32:14Things like some of the variables that we've talked about, like stage, public, private, disease, technology, etc. So we have to be mindful of that as well.
32:23Rod Wong:So obviously, we live in a world of fast information, and there's been a growing number of specialized biotech funds. Where do you believe a real information or insight edge still exists? I like to kind of contextualize it first for people, which is that our sector is one of those rare sectors where talented managers have proven that they can generate what we call sustainable alpha, right? Or edge in the market for extended periods of time, right? So that is one thing not just we have experience and some of our peer firms have experience, but allocators also tell us all the time. And it makes sense intuitively.
33:08This is no matter the amount of talent that enters our space, this is an area that's difficult to understand. And that a significant proportion of market participants, people that are trading these stocks, remain non-specialist investors. It's an area that touches many people's lives personally. And so as a result, you have a lot of retail involvement, right? Because they're passionate about a particular area, so on and so forth, right? So I think it is proven to be an area where there continues to be significant inefficiency in the market. So that's kind of the base foundation that we're starting from.
33:50Now, that said, I think alpha evolves over time. And there's the constant chase of trying to identify new sources of alpha and then maximize your ability to take advantage or capture that alpha, recognizing that things that are always changing. I would say a couple of things about that. I kind of put things in two main buckets. There are core skill sets, scientific analysis or scientific underwriting, we call it, and then commercial underwriting as well, where if you're very good at those two things as specialist investors, you'll probably maintain some degree of alpha. And then there's this second bucket, right, that I call temporary alpha.
34:39And these are things that are constantly evolving. And as an example, I'll give you kind of one very minor temporary example, and then one bigger thematic example. Last year, for example, was a period of high policy uncertainty and change in the United States around healthcare. And so as a firm, we decided to stand up a government affairs function. As far as I'm aware, there are very few healthcare investment firms that have a dedicated government affairs function. And as you can imagine, that was extraordinarily useful last year. Now, we don't expect that to be repeated really in any other year.
35:19in the near-term horizon, but is very valuable last year. A likely more durable and very important theme that we highlight for people is this area, this idea of exploding data science, technology, and AI, right? It is actually the fastest growing team within our firm. Just to pick data science as the example, this is an area of rapid change, right? So just a few years ago, there was a couple of major data vendors available for investors in our space, especially around prescription data and how products are performing on the market. And now, just in the last two, three years, it is multiplied by many, many fold.
36:04So this is an area that's changing very, very rapidly. And anything that's changing rapidly offers the opportunity for potential alpha. right? So like anything, it's a constantly evolving kind of job that we have. And our mission is to try to stay on the cutting edge and maximize the alpha that we can catch.
36:27Rod Wong:And we also know that regulation inevitably shapes the space you operate in. From your perspective, is there one regulatory or policy question that may matter most for long-term life sciences innovation over the next decade? It gets into actually a little bit just what we're just touching on with policy uncertainty last year. We may be the most highly regulated industry or certainly one of the most. So the policies that impact incentives for innovation are really critical to how the industry is going to perform. Last year was a very big policy year. Those changes fall into a couple major buckets.
37:12One was it is very important to the Trump administration that we reshore manufacturing to the United States of drugs. Initially, when he announced that, he used tariffs as leverage for negotiation with the leading pharmaceutical companies. Now, I would say that was actually probably one of the very quick successes for the Trump administration, which was they're able to get the vast majority of big pharmas to commit to reshoring manufacturing to the tune of pretty close to$400 billion. So that was resolved relatively quickly last year. Then the Trump administration turned their focus to another issue that was important to Trump, which is that he hates that Americans pay higher prices than our European peers for drugs.
38:08That was largely resolved by early fall, where working with the major farmers, they're able to create a direct-to-consumer pathway so that people without insurance can buy drugs at heavily discounted prices that are much closer to the prices that are available in Europe than before. And so that uncertainty is now also largely behind this. Now, I'm sure you're aware, a lot of your listeners are aware that one of the big remaining uncertainties right now gets to probably the heart of your question is changes at FTA, right? There's been significant leadership instability at FDA. McCary has been the commissioner since last spring, but there's been a lot of turnover in the people that report directly into him.
39:02The head of CEDAR, the traditional drug division, as well as CBER, the biologic division, has had turnover in its leadership. There's also been, as your listeners, I'm sure have heard a lot of turnover in the staff. And so that is a big question right now. Some of the actions that prior leadership took is actually to raise the bar for rare disease approvals, requiring more traditional kind of clinical trial standards, randomized control trials, et cetera, for even rare diseases with high unmet need. And so a big question now is, as they replace those deputies, what is their position going to be, especially with incentives for the development of rare disease?
39:54Now, beyond that uncertainty, I'd back up a level and say that Commissioner McCary has laid out a lot of new ideas for ways to improve drug development and to speed it up, right? To get things from the lab to the clinic much faster, to make it more efficient. He's introduced exciting new concepts to do less animal testing, to make clinical development more efficient. if they can execute on some of those ideas, I think it would be great. I think it's also important because we touched on China a little bit. China's rapid emergence as the number two source of innovation, I think has been eye-opening, right?
40:40Not only that they're successful and that they're going to be a major player in the world stage, but that there are certain things that they are doing very, very well that then have led to ideas for how we can remain competitive, right? and also move faster here in the US as well. So I think all of those things are going to be important. I actually think having China as a competitor will make us better as long as we kind of really step up to the plate and execute.
41:11Rod Wong:Are there any characteristics that you feel distinguish truly exceptional life sciences founders and leadership teams from the merely good ones? It really does get back to the conversation we were having earlier, where it is a very broad range of talents and skills that leaders and managers need to have. They have to be able to manage scientists in that creative stage. Then they have to manage a very complex execution stage across many complex disciplines, commercial as well as another discipline, if they get that far. And then the part we didn't touch on, which is also critical, is that they have to have incredible salesmanship, right?
42:00Because the entire way costs an enormous amount of money. Everyone's heard the number that the average drug now takes north of a billion dollars to get through that journey. And that journey spans both private and public. So the best leaders and managers have to know how to raise money for private companies and deal with that governance. They have to know how to go public and then also satisfy and raise money from public markets investors. It really is a broad range of skills that people need to be successful.
42:35Rod Wong:If we take a step back and you look across your career, is there something meaningful, either scientifically, strategically, or philosophically that you've changed your mind about in the last five years? Well, specifically, there are a lot of things. specifically the last five years i think it's um kind of really tied to the journey that we as a firm have been on which is this last phase that i mentioned this institutionalization phase of rtw and in that it is really appreciating how much strong leadership and management i know we've talked about a lot today, but that was a journey for me, right?
43:20So like to really appreciate how powerful and how critical to success, strong leadership and management is, and everything that goes along with that, right? We've touched on other elements of it, right? Like the culture of your organization, the structures and the processes that you have so that people on your team can really deliver to their fullest potential and not just as individuals, but working together as a team towards a common goal. So I'd say that's been a huge part of my personal learning journey over the last five years.
43:57Rod Wong:I guess it's because you see what a long and difficult journey it is and you need that core to be as solid as possible. That's absolutely right. You know, I kind of think that increasingly over time that nothing really, really great and consequential is typically done by individuals. It's almost always done by teams and often very large teams. And I've really come to appreciate that more and more as I as I get older. So we just look backwards five years. If we look forward five years and we sit down and I ask you this question, the last decade of biotech went really well. What would that world look like for patients, innovators, and for investors?
44:43Yeah, I think the next five to 10 years could be the most exciting of my career and honestly could be the most exciting time for the industry. this maturation of science the hopefully we'll see i'm well i'm very confident we'll see record numbers of transformational medicines right that will be available to patients that will hopefully change lots of people's lives as an industry that'll also create a lot of value so as investors that's um that's a very significant opportunity uh you know some people ask yeah i've been doing this a while, how much longer am I going to do it? And I like to say, well, I think the last 20 years have really been practice and training for, I think, the most exciting phase, which hopefully is the next 10.
45:33Rod Wong:Well, Rod, this has been fascinating. I appreciate you sharing all your insights, explaining it in plain English that hopefully most people can understand. And I learned a lot and I hope our listeners did as well. Thank you. Thank you. Thanks for listening. We hope you enjoyed this episode. Please visit our website at insightfulinvestor.org to access past shows and learn more about our podcast. If you have questions, feel free to email us at info at insightfulinvestor.org. And if you enjoyed the discussion, please subscribe to this podcast to ensure you don't miss future episodes. And don't forget to forward today's conversation to others you think would enjoy listening.
46:14Rod Wong:Important information. This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered legal, tax, investment, or business advice. It is not a solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement. All opinions expressed by participants are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Evoque Advisors Division of MAI Capital Management, LLC, or Evoque, its affiliates, or any companies mentioned. Information shared has not been independently verified by MAI or its affiliates. MAI Capital Management LLC, or MAI, is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, which does not imply any particular level of skill or training.
46:53Rod Wong:Certain information contained herein has been obtained from third-party sources, and such information has not been independently verified. No representation, warranty, or undertaking expressed or implied is given to the accuracy or completeness of such information by any person. While such resources are believed to be reliable, Evoke does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Evoke does not undertake any obligation to update the information contained herein as of any feature date. The content is intended for a general audience and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell securities or adopt any investment strategy.
47:27Rod Wong:Any examples or scenarios discussed are illustrative only, involve risks and uncertainties, and do not guarantee future results. Non-traditional assets carry significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Decisions should be based on individual objectives, risk tolerance, and circumstances. Statements herein are general and may not reflect an individual's or entity's specific circumstances or applicable laws, which vary by jurisdiction. Further, speakers' views are personal and may differ from evoke and MAI recommendations and are not specific investment advice, and do not consider client objectives, risk tolerance, and diversification.
48:03Rod Wong:Guests may have current or past relationships with Evoke and MAI, its affiliates, or the host, including as clients, service providers, or business partners. Participation does not constitute an endorsement or testimonial. No compensation has been paid or received for guest participation unless disclosed. MAI and its affiliates may have business relationships with entities mentioned in this podcast, which could create potential conflicts of interest. These relationships may include advisory services, investment management, or other arrangements. MAI seeks to manage such conflicts consistent with its fiduciary obligations and policies.
From the publisher
Rod is Founder and CIO of RTW Investments, a life sciences investment and innovation firm focused on building and backing companies that aim to transform patients’ lives. We discuss his path from medicine to investing, how investors, entrepreneurs, and scientists collaborate to create durable biotech companies, how he thinks about long‑term innovation across public and private markets, and where real value is emerging beyond the hype.
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This podcast/webcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered legal, tax, investment, or business advice. It is not a solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement. All opinions expressed by participants are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Evoke Advisors Division of MAI Capital Management, LLC ("Evoke”), its affiliates, or any companies mentioned. Information shared has not been independently verified by MAI or its affiliates. MAI Capital Management, LLC (“MAI”) is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), which does not imply any particular level of skill or training.
Certain information contained herein has been obtained from third party sources and such information has not been independently verified. No representation, warranty, or undertaking, expressed or implied, is given to the accuracy or completeness of such information by any person.
While such sources are believed to be reliable, Evoke does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Evoke does not undertake any obligation to update the information contained herein as of any future date.
The content is intended for a general audience and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell securities or adopt any investment strategy. Any examples or scenarios discussed are illustrative only, involve risks and uncertainties, and do not guarantee future results. Non-traditional assets carry significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Decisions should be based on individual objectives, risk tolerance, and circumstances.
Statements herein are general and may not reflect an individual’s or entity’s specific circumstances or applicable laws, which vary by jurisdiction. Further, speakers’ views are personal and may differ from Evoke and MAI recommendations and are not specific investment advice; and do not consider client objectives, risk tolerance, and diversification. Guests may have current or past relationships with Evoke and MAI, its affiliates, or the host, including as clients, service providers, or business partners. Participation does not constitute an endorsement or testimonial. No compensation has been paid or received for guest participation unless disclosed. MAI and its affiliates may have business relationships with entities mentioned in this podcast, which could create potential conflicts of interest. These relationships may include advisory services, investment management, or other arrangements. MAI seeks to manage such conflicts consistent with its fiduciary obligations and policies.
(As of December 22, 2025)




