Unsupervised Learning x Latent Space Crossover Special

29 Mar 2025

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In short

Episode Notes: Unsupervised Learning x Latent Space Crossover Special

Podcast Overview Title: Latent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast Description: A podcast dedicated to AI Engineers, discussing news, papers, and interviews relevant to Software 3.0, covering innovative areas like Code Generation, Multimodality, and AI Agents.

Episode Title: Unsupervised Learning x Latent Space Crossover Special Episode Description: This episode features discussions on current AI trends, interviews with top minds in AI, and insights into future developments for businesses and the world.

Top Guests:

  • Noam Shazeer
  • Bob McGrew
  • Noam Brown
  • Dylan Patel
  • Percy Liang
  • David Luan

Full Show Notes: [Latent Space](https://www.latent.space/p/unsupervised-learning)

Timestamps and Key Discussions

00:00 - Introduction and Excitement for Collaboration

  • Emphasis on collaboration between the two podcasts.

00:27 - Reflecting on Surprises in AI Over the Past Year

  • Discussion on unexpected developments within AI, especially reasoning models and their timing.
  • Mention of OpenAI’s strategic moves aligning with the decline of pre-training methods.

01:44 - Open Source Models and Their Adoption

  • Surprising slow adoption of open-source models in enterprise environments.
  • Current usage of open-source models is estimated at around 5%, with companies still in "use case discovery mode."

06:01 - The Rise of GPT Wrappers

  • Growth in popularity of GPT wrappers as practical tools in AI applications.
  • Discussion on the importance of building useful products, rather than just focusing on differentiation pre-market fit.

06:55 - AI Builders and Low-Code Platforms

  • Low-code platforms failed to capture the AI builder market effectively.
  • Analysis of why existing platforms didn’t innovate significantly in the AI space.

09:35 - Overhyped and Underhyped AI Trends

  • Conversations about trends that are misrepresented in the market.
  • The need for a more stable framework for AI agents, beyond initial hype.

22:17 - Product Market Fit in AI

  • Exploration of what successful product-market fit looks like in AI today, with examples from coding agents and deep research applications.
  • Mention of generative AI applications that have shown significant traction.

28:23 - Google's Current Momentum

  • Review of Google's advancements in AI and their integration into products.

28:33 - Customer Support and AI

  • AI's role in transforming customer support structures within companies.

29:54 - AI's Impact on Cost and Growth

  • Discussion on AI driving efficiencies and cost reductions, facilitating organizational growth.

31:05 - Voice AI and Scheduling

  • The potential of voice AI in scheduling and customer interactions.

32:59 - Emerging AI Applications

  • Identifying new areas where AI is making inroads, particularly in industries that rely heavily on knowledge work.

34:12 - Education and AI

  • Opportunities for AI to reshape educational paradigms and improve learning outcomes.

36:34 - Defensibility in AI Applications

  • Conversations around building defensible AI products in a competitive landscape.

40:10 - Infrastructure and AI

  • Review of AI infrastructure needs and emerging opportunities within this space.

47:08 - Challenges and Future of AI

  • Discussing the obstacles ahead for AI, including ethical and regulatory considerations.

52:15 - Quick Fire Round and Closing Remarks

  • Quick thoughts and predictions on the future landscape of AI and applications.

Key Concepts and Takeaways

  • Reasoning Models: The transition from pre-training to reasoning models showcases the rapidly evolving nature of AI capabilities.
  • Open Source Adoption: Despite the hype, open-source models face significant barriers to wider enterprise adoption.
  • AI Wrappers: GPT wrappers have emerged as a practical solution, indicating that building user-centric products is paramount.
  • AI's Role in Growth: AI is increasingly recognized as a tool for driving growth rather than merely cutting costs.
  • Emerging Applications: Focus areas include customer support automation, voice AI, and educational tools powered by AI.
  • Defensibility and Product Market Fit: Building a defensible product in the AI landscape involves more than technical advancements; it requires understanding market needs and user experience.

Conclusion This episode of Latent Space provides deep insights into the current state of AI, discussing both the exciting opportunities and the challenges faced by AI engineers and businesses. It emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics, user needs, and the evolving technological landscape. The discussions pave the way for future explorations of AI's potential across various domains.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:28Well, thanks so much for doing this, guys. on the right here. Oh, who chose? Oh, that, well, I think there's like the, what surprised us in a good way and maybe in a bad way, I would say, in a good way, reasoning models. And I think the release of them right after the new reps, scaling is dead, talked by Ilya. I think there was maybe like a little, it's so over and then we're so back in like such a short period of time. It was really fortuitous timing that like right as pre-training died. I mean, obviously, I'm sure within the labs, they knew pre-training was dying and had to find something. But, you know, from the outside, it felt like one right into the other.

1:02Yeah, exactly. So that was a good surprise. I would say, if you want to make that comment about timing, I think it's suspiciously neat. Because we know that Strawberry was being worked on for like two years-ish. We know exactly when GNOME joined OpenAI, and that was obviously a big strategic bet by OpenAI. So for it to transition so nicely when pre-training is kind of tapped out into like, oh, now inference time is the new scaling law, is very convenient. If there were an Illuminati, this would be what they planned. Or if we're living in a simulation or something. Then you said open source as well?

1:40Yeah, well, no. I think open source, we're discussing this on the negative. I would say the relevance of open source. Specifically open models. Yeah, I was surprised by the lack of adoption. I mean, people use it, obviously, but I would say nobody's really a huge fanboy. I think the local llama community and some of the more obvious use cases really like it. But when we talk to enterprise folks, it's cool. And I think people love to argue about licenses and all of that. But the reality is that it doesn't really change the adoption path of AI. Yeah, the specific stat that I got from Ankur from BrainTrust in one of the episodes that we did was I think he estimated that open source model usage in work in enterprises is at like 5 % and going down.

2:26And it feels like you're basically, all these enterprises are in like use case discovery mode where it's like, let's just take what we think is the most powerful model and figure out if we can find anything that works. And so much of it feels like discovery of that. And then right as you've discovered something, a new generation of models are out. And so you have to go do discovery with those. And I think obviously we're probably optimistic that the open source models increase in uptake. It's funny, I was gonna say my biggest surprise in the last year was open source related, but it was just how fast open source caught up on the reasoning models.

2:52It was kind of unclear to me, like, over time, whether there would be, you know, a compounding advantage for some of the closed source models, where, okay, in the early days of scaling, you know, there was a tight time loop. But over time, you know, would the gap increase? And if anything, it feels like a trunk. You know, and I think DeepSeek specifically was just really surprising in how, you know, in many ways, if the value of these model companies is, like, you have a model for a period of time, and you're the only one that can build products on top of that model while you have it. like, God, that time period is a lot shorter than I thought it was going to be a year ago.

3:23Yeah. I mean, again, I don't like this label of how fast open source caught up because it's really how fast DeepSeek caught up, right? And now we have, like, I think some evidence that DeepSeek is basically going to stop open sourcing models. So, like, there's no team open source. There's just different companies and they choose to open source or not. And we got lucky with DeepSeek releasing something. And then everyone else is basically distilling from DeepSeek. and those are distillations catching up is such an easier lower bar than like actually catching up which is like you're like from scratch you're training something that like is competitive on that front i don't know if that's happening like basically the only player right now is we're waiting for llama 4 i mean it's always an order of magnitude cheaper to replicate what's already been done than to create something fundamentally new and so that's why i think deep seek overall was overhyped right i mean obviously it's a good open source new entrant but at the same time, there's nothing new fundamentally there other than sort of doing it, executing what's already been done really well.

4:20Yeah. Right. Well, but I think the traces is like maybe the biggest thing. I think most previous open models is like the same model, just a little worse and cheaper. Yeah. Like R1 is like the first model that had the full traces. So I think that's like a not unique thing in open source. But yeah, I think like we talked about DeepSeek in our end of year 2023 recap, and we're mostly focused on cheaper inference. Like we didn't really have DeepSeek. DeepSeek V3 was out then and we were like, that was already like talking about fine green, make sure of experts and all that. That's a great receipt to have to be like, yeah, end of year 23.

4:54Yeah, that's an impressive one. You follow the right whale believers on Twitter. It's like pretty obvious. I actually had like, so, you know, I used to be in finance and a lot of my hedge fund and PE friends called me up. They were like, why didn't you tip us off on DeepSeek? And I'm like, well, I mean, it's been there. It's actually like kind of surprising that like Nvidia fell 15 % in one day because of DeepSeek. I think it's just whatever the public market narrative decides as a story becomes the story, but really the technical movements are usually one to two years in the making before that.

5:28Basically, these people were telling on themselves that they didn't listen to your podcast. They've been on the end of year 2023. No, we weren't banging the drum. It's also on us to be like, no, this is an actual tipping point. I think as people or like our function as podcasters and industry analysts is to raise the bar or focus attention on things that you think matter. And sometimes we're too passive about it. And I think I was too passive there. I'd be happy to own up on that. No, I feel like over time, you guys have moved into this more interesting role of like taking stances of things that are or aren't important.

5:59And, you know, now we feel like you've done that with MCP of late and a bunch of things. Yeah. So like the general push is AI engineering, you know, like it's got to wrap the shirt. And MCP is part of that. But the general movement is what can engineers do above the model layer to augment model capabilities? And it turns out it's a lot. And it turns out we went from making fun of GPT wrappers to now I think the overwhelming consensus GPT wrappers is the only thing that's interesting. I remember Arvin from Perplexity came on our podcast and he was like, I'm proudly a wrapper. It's like anyone that's talking about differentiation, pre-product market fit is a ridiculous thing to say.

6:35Build something people want and then over time you can kind of worry about that. I interviewed him in 2023, and I think he may have been the first person on our podcast to probably be a GPT rapper. And obviously, he's built a huge business on that. Totally. Now we all can't get enough of it. I have another one. That was Alessio's one. We've wrapped individual answers just to be interesting. In the same Uber on the way up? Yeah. Oh, I was driving too. Oh, you were driving? So I wasn't actually... I mean, it was a Tesla, so I mostly drove myself. Mine was actually, it's interesting that low-code builders did not capture the AI builder market.

7:09AI builders being vault-lovable, local builders being Zapier, Airtable, Retool, Notion, any of those. When you're not technical, you can build software. Somehow, not all of them missed it. Why? It's bizarre. They should have the DNA. I don't know. They already have the reach. They already have the distribution. Why? I have no idea. The ability to fast-follow, too. I'm surprised. Yeah, there's just nothing. What do you make of that? it seems not to come back to the AI engineering it takes a certain kind of founder mindset or AI engineer mindset to be like we will build this from whole cloth and not be tied to existing paradigms I think because if I was you know Wade who's the Zapier person that you know Mike who has left Zapier the Zapier person Yeah, like, you know, Zapier, when they decided to do Zapier AI, they were like, oh, you can use natural language to make Zapier actions, right?

8:12When Notion decided to do Notion AI, they were like, oh, you can, like, you know, write documents or, you know, fill in tables with AI. Like, they didn't do the next step because they already had their base. And they were like, let's improve our baseline. and the other people who actually tried to create a fumble cloth where, like, we got no prior preconceptions. Like, let's see what kind of software people can build from scratch, basically. I don't know. That's my explanation. I don't know if you guys have any retros on the AI builders. Yeah, or did they kind of get lucky starting that product journey like right as the models were reaching the inflection point?

8:50There's the timing issue. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah, I don't know. To some extent, I think the only reason you and I are talking about it is that both of them have reported ridiculous numbers, like zero to 20 million in three months, basically, both of them. Jordan, did you have a big surprise? Yeah, I mean, some of what's already been discussed. I guess the only other thing would be on the Apple side in particular. I think, you know, for the last... Those text message summaries, like, whew. But they're funny. They're funny at how bad they are and how off they are. They're viral. Yeah, I mean, so like for the last couple of years, we've seen so many companies that are trying to do personal assistance, like all these various consumer things.

9:27And one of the things we've always asked is, well, Apple is in prime position to do all this. And then with Apple intelligence, they just totally messed up in so many different ways. And then the whole BBC thing saying that the guy shot himself when he didn't. And just like there's just so many things at this point that I would have thought that they would have ironed up their their AI products better, but just didn't really catch on. You know, second on this list of generally overly broad opening questions would be anything that you guys think is kind of like overhyped or underhyped in the AI world right now?

9:57Overhyped agents framework. Not naming any particular ones. I'm sorry. Yeah, exactly. I would say they're just overall a chase to try and be the framework when the workloads are like in such flux that I just think it's like so hard to reconcile the two. I think what Harrison and Langchain has done so amazingly is product velocity. The initial obstructions were maybe not the ending obstruction, but they were just releasing stuff every day, trying to be on top of it. But I think now we're past that. What people are looking for now is something that they can actually build on and stay on for the next couple of years.

10:37We talked about this with Brad Taylor on our episode, and it feels like it's like the jQuery era of agents and MLMs. It's kind of like single file big frameworks, kind of like a lot of developers, but maybe we need React. And I think people are just trying to build still jQuery. I don't really see a lot of people doing React-like. Yeah. Maybe the only modification I made about that is maybe it's too early even for frameworks at all. Yeah, and do you think there's enough stability in the underlying model layer and patterns to have this? The thing is the protocol and not the framework. Because frameworks inherently embed protocols.

11:13But if you just focus on a protocol, maybe that works. And obviously MCP is the current leading area. And I think the comparison there would be, instead of just jQuery, it is XML HTTP requests, which is the thing that enabled AJAX. And that was the inciting incident for JavaScript being popular as a language. I would largely agree with that. I mean, I think on the React side of things, I think we're starting to see more frameworks to sort of go after more of that. I guess like Mastra is sort of like on the TypeScript side and more of like a sort of... Mastra? Yeah, yeah, yeah. The traction is really impressive there.

11:47And so I think we're starting to see more surface there, but I think there's still a big opportunity. What do you have for an over or underhyped? On the underhyped side, you know, I actually, I know I mentioned Apple already, but I think the private cloud compute side with PCC, I actually think that could be really big. It's under the radar right now, but in terms of basically bringing the on-device sort of security to the cloud, they've done a lot of architecturally interesting things there. Who's they? Apple. Oh, okay. On the PCC side. And so I actually think of that. So you're negative on Apple Intelligence, but positive on Apple Cloud.

12:21On more of the local device, sort of, I think there will be a lot of workloads still on device, but when you need to speak to the cloud for larger LLMs, I think that Apple has done a really interesting thing on the privacy side. we did the seat of a company that does that especially as things become more consumerized did you just set them up on purpose so that felt like a perfect yeah no I was like let's go Jordan have you guys been colluding before this episode tell me about that company after we'll chat after but yes I think that's like the unique the thing about LLM workflows it's like you just cannot have everything be single tenant because you just cannot get enough GPUs like even large enterprises are used to having VPCs and like everything runs privately but now you just cannot get enough GPUs to run in a VPC.

13:05So I think you're going to need to be in a multi-tenant architecture and you need, like you said, like single-tenant guarantees in multi-tenant environments. So, yeah, it's an interesting space. Yeah, what about you, Swix? Under hyped, I want to say memory, just like stateful AI. As part of my keynote, every conference I do, I do a keynote. and I tried to do the task of define an agent. Evergreen content for a keynote. But I did it in a way that was like, I think, what a researcher would do. You survey what people say and then you sort of categorize and go like, okay, this is what everyone calls agents and here are the groups of definitions, pick and choose, right?

13:54And then it was very interesting that the week after that, OpenAI launched their agents SDK and kind of formalize what they think agents are. Cloudflare also did the same with us. And none of them have memory. It's very strange. Pretty much like the only big lab, obviously there's conversation memory, but there's not memory memory like in like a let's store a knowledge graph of facts about you and like, you know, exceed the context length. And if you look closely enough, there's a really good implementation of memory inside of MCP. When they launched with the initial set of servers, they had a memory server in there, which I would recommend as like that's where you start with memory.

14:37But I think like if there was a better memory abstraction, then a lot of our agents would be smarter and could learn on the job, which is something that we all want. And for some reason, we've all just like ignored that because it's just convenient to. Do you feel like it's being ignored or it's just a really hard problem? I feel like lots of people are working on it. It just feels like it's proven more challenging. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So Harrison has LangMem, which I think now he's relaunched again. And then we had Letta come speak at our conference. I don't know, Zep? I think there's a bunch of other memory guys.

15:16But something like this, I think, should be normal in the stack. And basically, I think anything stateful should be interesting to VCs because it's databases and, you know, we know how those things make money. I think on the overhype side, the only thing I'd add is, like, I'm still surprised how many net new companies there are trading models. I thought we were kind of, like, past that. I would say they died end of last year and now they've resurfaced. I mean, that's one of the questions that you had down there of, like, is there an opportunity for net new model players? I would have said no. I don't know what you guys think.

15:45I don't have a reason to say no, but I also don't have a reason to say this is what is missing and you should have a new model company do it. But again, I'm an AI engineer. All these guys want to pursue AGI. You know, they all want to be like, oh, we'll like hit, you know, soda on all the benchmarks. And like, they can't all do it. Yeah. I mean, look, I don't know if Ilya has this secret, secret approach up his sleeve of something beyond test time compute. But it was funny. We had Noam Chazir on the podcast last week. I was asking him like, you know, is there like some sort of other algorithmic breakthrough?

16:14What do you make of Ilya? And he's like, look, I think what he implicitly said was test time compute will get us to the point where these models are doing AI engineering for us. And so, you know, at that point, they'll figure out the next algorithm that breakthrough, which I thought was pretty interesting. I agree with you, Swix. I think that we're most interested, at least from our side, in, like, you know, foundation models for specific use cases and more specialized use cases. I guess the broader point is if there is something like that that these companies can latch on to and being there sort of known for being the best at, maybe there's a case for that.

16:44Largely, though, I do agree with you that I don't think there should be, at this point, more model companies. I think it's like these unique data sets, right? I mean, obviously robotics has been an area we've been really interested in. It's an entirely different set of data that's required, you know, on top of, like, a good BLM. And then, you know, biology, material sciences. More the specific use cases. Yeah, but also specific, like, you know, a lot of these models are super generalizable. But, like, you know, finding opportunities to, you know, where, you know, for a lot of these bio companies, they have wet labs.

17:09Like, they're, like, running a ton of experiments or, you know, same on the material sciences side. And so I still feel like there's some opportunities there. but the core kind of like LLM agent space is tough to compete with the big ones. Yeah, I agree. But they're moving more into product. So I think that's the question. It's like if they could do better vertical models, why not do that instead of trying to do deep research and operator and these different things? I think that's what I'm – in my mind, it's like – The sweet agent's coming out too. Well, yeah, in my mind, it's like financial pressure.

17:39Like they need to monetize in a much shorter timeframe because the costs are so high. but maybe it's like it's not that easy to do you think they would be that it would be a better business model to like do a bunch of virtual it's more like why wouldn't they you know like you make less enemies if you're like a model builder right like now with deep research and like search now perplexity is like anatomy and like you know Gemini deep research is like more of an enemy versus if they were doing a finance model you know or whatever like they would just enable so many more companies and they always have like they had to have yeah as one of the customer case studies for GPT search, but they're not building a finance-based model for them.

18:19So is it because it's super hard and somebody should do it? Or is it because the new models are going to be so much better that the vertical models are useless anyway? This is just a bitter lesson. Exactly. It still seems to be a somewhat outstanding question. I'd say all the signs of the last few years seem to be a general purpose model is the way to go. And training a hyper-specific model in a domain is like, maybe it's cheaper and faster, but it's not going to be like higher quality. But also like, I think it's still, I mean, we were talking to Noam and Jack Ray from Google last week and they were like, yeah, this is still an outstanding.

18:50Like we check this every time we have a new model, like whether there's, you know, that still seems to be holding. I remember like a few years ago, it felt like all the rage was like, it was like the Bloomberg GPT model came out and everyone was like, oh, you got to like, you know, take your massive data sets. Yeah, I had the VP of AI Bloomberg present on that. Yeah, that must be a really interesting episode to go back on because I feel like, like very shortly thereafter, the next opening eye model came out and just like beat it on all sorts of the. No, it was a talk. We haven't released it yet.

19:13But, yeah, basically they concluded that the closed models were better. Okay, so they stopped it. Interesting. Exactly. I feel like that's been the... But he's very insistent that the work that he did, the team he assembled, the data that he collected is actually useful for more than just the model. So, like, basically everything but the model survived. What are the other things? The data pipeline, the team that they assembled for, like, fine-tuning and implementing whatever models they ended up picking. Yeah, it seems like they are happy with that, and they're running with that. He runs, like, 12, 13 teams at Bloomberg, just with Jenny and I across the company.

19:51I mean, I guess we've all kind of been alluding to it right now, but I guess because it's a natural transition, you know, the other broad opening I have is just what we're paying most attention to right now. And I think back on this, like, you know, the model companies coming into the product area, I mean, I think that's going to be, like, I'm fascinated to see how that plays out over the next year and kind of these, like, frenemy dynamics. And it feels like it's going to first boil up on, like, Cursor Anthropic and the way that plays out over the next six months, I think we'll learn. What is Cursor Anthropic?

20:15You mean Cursor versus Anthropic? Yeah, I assume over time, Anthropic wants to get more into the application side of coding. And I assume over time, Cursor will want to diversify off of just using the Anthropic model. It's interesting that now Cursor is now worth$10 billion, $9,$10 billion. Yeah. And they've made themselves hard to acquire. I would have said you should just get yourself to$5 billion,$6 billion and join OpenAI. And all the training data goes to OpenAI, and that's how they train their coding model. Now it's complicated. Now they need to be an independent company. Increasingly, it seems that the model companies want to get into the product layer.

20:51And so seeing over the next 6-12 months, does having the best model let you start from a cold start on the product side and get something in market? Or are the companies with the best products, even if they eventually have to switch to a somewhat worse, tiny bit worse model, does it not, you know, where do the developers ultimately choose to go? I think that'll be super interesting. Don't you think that Devon is more in trouble than Cursor? I feel like Anthropic, if anything, wants to move more towards, I don't think they want to build the IDE. Like, if I think about coding, it's like kind of like, you know, you look at it like a cube, it's like the IDE is like one way to get the code and then the agent is like the other side.

21:25Yeah. I feel like Anthropic wants more to be on the agent side and then hand you off to Cursor when you want to go in depth versus like trying to build the cloud IDE. I think that's not... I would say the existence of cloud code doesn't show... doesn't support what you say. Maybe they would, but... I assume both just converge eventually where you want to have... So in order to be... So we're talking about coding agents whether it's sort of... What is it? Inner loop versus outer loop, right? Inner loop is inside cursor, inside your IDE between... inside of a git commit and outer loop is between git commits on the cloud.

22:04And I think to be an outer loop coding agent, you have to be more of a, like we will integrate with your code base, we'll sign your whatever security thing that you need to sign, that kind of schlep. I don't think the model labs want to do that schlep. They just want to provide models. So that would be my argument against why cognition should still have some moat against Anthropic just simply because cognition would do the schlep and the BizDev and the infra that Anthropic doesn't really care about. I don't know. The schlup is pretty sticky, though, once you do it. It's very sticky. Yeah, yeah.

22:38I mean, it's interesting. I think the natural winner of that should be Sourcegraph. I have another unprompted redpoint portfolio. I mean, they're big supporters. I'm very friendly with both Quinn and Biang, and they've done a lot of work with Cody, but not much work on the Outerloop stuff yet. But any company where they have already We've been around for 10 years. We have all the enterprise contracts. You already trust us to your code base. Why would you go trust Factory or Cognition as two-year-old startups who just came out of MIT? I don't know. I guess switching gears to the application side, I'm curious for both of you, how do you characterize what has genuine product market fit in AI today?

23:24And I guess Alessio Moore and your son on the investing side, more interesting to invest in that category of the stuff that works today or kind of where the capabilities are going long-term? I was asking you to do my job for it. Yeah, you were like, man, that's easy. Tell us all your investing pieces. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I would say, well, we only really do mostly seed investing, so it's hard to invest in things that already work. Yeah, that's fair. It means they're already late. So we try to, but we try to be at the cusp of, like, you know, usually the investments we like to make, there's, like, really not that much market risk.

23:57It's like, if this works, obviously people are going to use it. But it's unclear whether or not it's going to work. So that's kind of more what we skew towards. We try not to chase as many trends. And I don't know. I was a founder myself. And sometimes I feel like it's easy to just jump in and do the thing that is hot. But becoming a founder to do something that's underappreciated or doesn't yet work shows some level of grit and self. You actually really believe in the thing. So that alone for me kind of makes me skew more towards that. And you do a lot of angel investing too, so I'm curious how.

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24:31Yeah, but I don't put that in my mental framework of things. I come at this much more as a content creator or a market analyst. It really does matter to me what has product market fit because I have to answer the question of what is working now when people ask me. Do you feel like relative to the hype and discourse out there, do you feel like there's a lot of things that have product market fit or a few things? A few things. Yeah. So I have a list of like two years ago, I wrote the anatomy of autonomy post where it was like the first like what's going on in agents and what is actually making money.

25:13Because I think there's a lot of Gen EI skeptics out there that are like these things are toys. They're not unreliable. And, you know, why are you dedicating your life to these things? And I think for me, the party market fit bar at the time was one hundred million dollars. what use cases can reasonably fit$100 million. At the time, it was CoPilot. It was Jasper, no longer, but in that category of help you write, which I think was helpful. And then Cursor, I think, was on there as a coding agent, plus plus. I think that list will just grow over time of the form factors that we know to work and then we can just adapt the form factors to a bunch of other things.

25:54So like the one that's the most recently added to this is deep research. Yeah. Right. Where anything that looks like a deep research, whether it's a Grok version, Gemini version, perplexity version, whatever. He has an investment that that he likes called Bright Wave that is basically deep research for finance. Yeah. And anything where like it's like long term agentic reporting is starting to take more and more of the job away from you and just give you a much more reason to report. I think it's going to work. And that has some PMF, I think. Obviously it has PMF. Like I would say, I went through this exercise of trying to handicap how much money OpenAI made from launching OpenAI Deep Research.

26:35I think it's billions. Like the sheer upgrade from like$20 to$200, it has to be billions in ARR. Maybe not all of them will stick around, but like that is some amount of PMF that is... Didn't they have to immediately drop it down to the$20 tier? They expanded access. I wouldn't say... Which I thought was really telling of the market, right? It's like where you have a, you know, I think it's going to be so interesting to see what they're actually able to get in that$200 or$2 ,000 tier, which we all think is, you know, has a ton of potential. But I thought it was fascinating. I don't know whether it was just to get more people exposure to it or the fact that Google had a similar product, obviously, and other folks did too.

27:11But it was really interesting how quickly they dropped it down. I think that's just a more general policy of no matter what they have at the top tier, they always want to have smaller versions of that in the lower tier. Yeah, just get people exposure to it. Yeah, just get exposure. The brand of being first to market and the default choice is paramount to OpenAI. I thought that whole thing was fascinating because Google had the first product, right? Yeah. And, like, you know. We interviewed them. I straight up threw their faces. I was like, OpenAI mocked you. And they were like, yeah. Well, I actually am curious.

27:42This is totally off topic, but whatever. Like, what is it going to take for Google? Google just released some great models, like, a few weeks ago. I feel like the stuff they're shipping is really cool. It's happening. But I also feel like at least in the broader discourse, it's still like a drop in the bucket relative to... Yeah. I mean, I can riff on this. But I think it's happening. I think it takes some time. But my Gemini usage is up. I use it a lot more for anything from summarizing YouTube videos to the native image generation that they just launched to flash linking. Multimodal stuff is great.

28:18Yeah, and I run a daily news recap called AI News that is 99 % generated by models, and I do a bake-off between all the Frontier models every day. Every day? Does it switch? Yes, it does switch, and I manually do it. And Flash wins most days. So I think it's happening. I was thinking about tracking myself, like number of opens of Chagibity versus Gemini, and at some point it will cross. I think that Gemini will be my main.

28:53And that will slowly happen for a bunch of people, and then that will shift. I think that's really interesting. For developers, this is a different question. It's Google getting over itself of having Google Cloud versus Vertex versus AI Studio. All these five different brands slowly consolidating it. It'll happen just slowly, I guess. Yeah. I mean, another good example is you cannot use the thinking models in Cursor. and I know Logan and Kilpatrick said they're working on it, but I think there's all these small things where like if I cannot easily use it I'm really not going to go out of my way to do it, but I do agree that when you do use them, their models are great so yeah, they just need better better purchase.

29:35You had one of the questions in the prep what public company are you long and short and mine is Google versus Apple. That was also my combo. I feel like yeah it does feel like Google is really cooking right now Yeah. So, okay, coming back to what has product market fit. Now that we come back to my complete total sidetrack. There's also customer support. We were talking on the car about Dekugan and Sierra. Obviously, Brett Taylor is founder of Sierra. And yeah, it seems like there's just these layers of agents that'll, like, I think you just look at, like, the income statement or, like, the org chart of any large-scaled company, and you start picking them off one by one, what, like, is interesting knowledge work and they would just kind of eat things slowly from the outside in if that makes sense.

30:20I mean the episode with Brett he's so passionate about developer tools and yet he did not do a developer tool. We spent like two hours talking about developer tools and like all of that stuff and he's like I need a customer support company I'm like man that says something you know what I mean it's like when you have somebody like him who can like raise any amount of money from anybody to do anything to pick customer support as the market to go after while also being the chairman of open ai like that shows you that like these things have modes and have long-standing like they're gonna stick around you know otherwise he's smarter than that so um yeah that's a that's a space where maybe initially you know i would have said i don't know it's like the most exciting thing to to jump into but then if you really look at the shape of like how the workforce are structured and like how the cost centers of the business really end up, especially for more consumer-pacing businesses, a lot of it goes into customer support.

31:17All the AI story of the last two years has been cost-cutting. I think now we're going to switch more towards growth. Revenue. You know, like you've seen Jensen, like last year at GTC was saying, the more you buy, the more you save. This year he said, the more you buy, the more you make. So we're - Hot off the press. We were there. We were there. I do think that's one of the most interesting things about this first wave of apps, where it's like almost the easiest thing that you could get real traction with was stuff that, you know, for lack of a better way to frame it, like stuff that people had already been comfortable outsourcing the BPOs or something and kind of implicitly said like, hey, this is a cost center.

31:49Like we are willing to take some performance cut for cost in the past. You know, the irony of that or what I'm really curious to see how it plays out is, you know, you could imagine that is the area where price competition is going to be most fierce because it's already stuff that, you know, that people have said, hey, we don't need the like 100 % best version of that. And I wonder, you know, this next wave of apps may prove actually even more defensible as you get these capabilities that actually are, you know, increased top line or whatnot, where you're like, you know, take AI go to market, for example.

32:17Like, you pay, like, twice as much for something that brought, like, because there's just a kind of very clean ROI story to it. And so I wonder ultimately whether, like, this next set of apps actually ends up being more interesting than the first wave. Yeah. I think a lot of the voice AI ones are interesting, too, because you don't need 100 % precision recall to actually have a great product. And so, for example, we looked into a bunch of scheduling intake companies, for example, like home services for electricians and stuff like that. Today, they missed 50 % of their calls. So even if the AI is only effective, say, 75 % of the time, yeah, it's crazy, right?

32:53So if it's effective 75 % of the time, that's totally fine because that's still a ton of increased revenue for the customer. And so you don't need that 100 % accuracy. And so as the models and the reliability of these agents are getting better, is totally fine because you're still getting a ton of value in the meantime. Yeah. This is, I don't know how related this is, but one of my favorite meetings at, it is related. One of my favorite meetings at AI Engineer Summit, because I do these, this is our first one in New York, and I just met a different crew than you meet here. Everyone here loves developer tools, loves infra.

33:26Over there, they're actually more interested in applications. It's kind of cool. I met this bootstrap team that they're only doing appointment scheduling for vets. and like they're like this is a this is an anomaly we don't usually come to engineering summits because we usually go to vet summits and like talk to the they're like you know they're literally i'm sure it's a massive pain point they're going to pay a lot of money yeah but but this is like my point about saving versus making more it's like if an electrician takes two acts more calls do they have the bandwidth to actually do two acts more and they get hired Well, yeah, exactly.

34:00That's the thing. I don't think today most businesses are structured to just overnight two, three acts to demand. I think that's a startup thing. Most businesses. Then you make an electrician agent. Well, no, totally. How do you do a recruiting agent for electricians? Electricians are great. How do you do Lambda School for electricians? It's going to be a hilarious game of whack-a-mole for the bottlenecks in these businesses. Yeah, exactly. It's like, oh, now we have a ton of demand. Cool, where do we go? Yeah. Yeah. So just to round up the PMF thing, I think this is relevant in a sense of like, it's pretty obvious that the killer agents are coding agents, support agents, deep research, right?

34:38Roughly. We've covered all those three already. Then you have to sort of turn to offense and go like, okay, what's next? What about, I mean, I also just like summarization of voice and conversation. Yep. We actually had that on there. I just, I didn't put it as agent because it seems less agentic, you know, but yes. Still a good AI use case. That one I've seen, I would mention Granola. And what's the other one? Monterey? I think a bridge was the one you wanted to mention. I was going to say a bridge, yeah. So I'll call out what I had on my slides for the agent engineering thing. So it was screen sharing, which I think is actually kind of underrated.

35:14Like people watching you as you do your work and just offering assistance. Outbound sales. So instead of support just being more outbound. Hiring. You say outbound sales has brought a market fit? No, it's coming up. Oh, on the company. I totally agree with that. Hiring, like the recruiting side. Education, like the sort of personalized teaching, I think. I'm kind of shocked we haven't seen more there. Yeah. I don't know if that's like... It's like Duolingo is the thing, Comigo. Yeah, I mean, Speak and some of these like, you know, practice. Yeah, interesting. And then finance, there's a ton of finance cases that we can talk about that.

35:50And then personal AI, which we also had a little bit of that. But I think personal AI is harder to monetize. But I think those would be what I would say is up and coming in terms of that's what I'm currently focusing on. I feel like this question has been asked a few different ways. But I'm curious what you guys think. It's like, if we just froze model capabilities today, is there trillions of dollars of application value to be unlocked? Like AI education, if we just stopped today all model development with this current generation of models, we could probably build some pretty amazing education apps.

36:21Or how much of this how much of all this is like contingent upon just like okay people have had two years with gbt4 and like you know i don't know six months with the reasoning models like how much continuing upon it just being more time with these things versus like the models actually have to get better i don't know it's a hard question so i'm gonna just throw it to you yeah well i think the societal thing is maybe harder especially in education you know like can you basically like doge the education system probably you should but like can you i think it's more of a human but people pay for all sorts of get-ahead things outside of class.

36:54And certainly in other countries, there's a ton of consumer spend. It feels like the market opportunity is there. Yeah, and in private education, I think. Public is very different. One of my most interesting quests from last year was kind of reforming Singapore's education system to be more sort of AI native. Just what you were doing on the side while you were... Yes. That's a great side quest. My stated goal is for Singapore to be the first country that has Python as a first language. as a national language. Anyway, so, but the defense, the pushback I got from the Ministry of Education was that the teachers would be unprepared to do it.

37:31So it was like the, like the, it was really interesting, like immediate pushback was the de facto teachers union being like resistant to change. And I'm like, okay, that's par for the course. Anyway, so not to dwell too much on that, but like, yeah, I mean, like, I think like education is one of those things that everyone like has strong opinions on because we all have kids, all have been through the education system. But I think it's going to be the domain-specific speak. Such an amazing example of top-down, we will go through the idea maze and we'll go to Korea and teach them English. It's like, what the hell?

38:08And I would love to see more examples of that. Just really focus. No one tried to solve everything. Just do your thing really, really well. On this trend of difficult questions that come up, I'm going to just ask you the one that my partners like to ask me every single Monday, which is how do you think about defensibility at the app layer? Oh, yeah. That's great. Just give me an answer. I can copy, paste, and just like, you know, auto response. Honestly, like network effects. I think people don't prioritize those enough because they're trying to make the single player experience good, but then they neglect the multiplayer experience.

38:42I think one of the – I always think about like load-bearing episodes. Like, you know, as Poxet, you do one a week, and some of those you don't really talk about ever again and others you keep mentioning every single podcast. This is obviously going to be the last one. I think the recap episodes for us are pretty low-bearing. We refer to them every three months or so. One of them, I think, for us is Chai. For me, it's Chai Research, even though that wasn't a super popular one among the broader community outside of the Chai community. For those who don't know, Chai Research is basically a character AI competitor.

39:15They were bootstrapped. They were founded at the same time, and they have outlasted character de facto, right? It's funny. I would love to ask Milo Shazir a bit more about the whole character thing. Good luck getting past the Google conference. But so he doesn't have his own models, basically. He has his own network of people submitting models to be run. And I think that is short-term going to be hurting him because he doesn't have proprietary IP. But long term, he has the network effect to make him robust to any changes in the future. And I think I want to see more of that, where he's basically looking at himself as kind of a marketplace, and he's identified the choke point, which is both the app or the sort of protocol layer that interfaces between the users and the model providers, and then make sure that the money kind of flows through.

40:07And that works. I wish that more AI builders or AI founders emphasize network effects because that's the only thing that you're going to have at the end of the day. And like brand leads into network effects. Yeah, I guess harder in the enterprise context, right? But I mean, I feel we do this exercise and I feel like we talk a lot about like, you know, obviously there's, you know, kind of the velocity and the breadth you're able to kind of build a product surface area. There's just like the ability to become a brand in a space. Like I'm shocked even in like six, nine months, how an individual company can become synonymous with an entire category, and then they're in every room for customers, and all the other startups are clawing their way to try and get in one 20th of those rooms.

40:46There's a bunch of categories where we talk about an IC, and it's like, oh, pricing compression is going to happen, not as defensible, and so ACVs are going to go down over time. In actuality, some of these, the ACVs have doubled, we've seen. And the reason for that is just people go to them and pay for that premium of being that brand. Yeah. I mean, what I'm struck by is there was such a head fake in the early days of AI apps where people were like, we want this amazing defensibility story. And then what's the easiest defensibility story? It's like, oh, like totally unique data set or like train your own model or something.

41:14And I feel like that was just like a total head fake where I don't think that's actually useful at all. It's the much less, you sound much less articulate when you're like, well, the defensibility here is like the thousand small things that this company does to make like the user experience, design, everything just like delightful and just like the speed at which they move to kind of both create a really broad product, but then also every three, six months when a new model comes out, it's kind of an existential event for like any company. Because if you're not the first to like figure out how to use it, someone else will.

41:39And so velocity really matters there. And it's funny in kind of our internal discussions, we've been like, man, it sounds pretty similar to like how we thought about like application SaaS companies. That there isn't some like revolutionary reason. You don't sound like a genius when you're like, here's applications, like application SaaS company A is so much better than B. But it's like a lot of little things that compound over time. What about the infrastructure space, guys? I'm curious, how do you guys think about where the interesting categories are here today? And where do you want to see more startups or where do you think there are too many?

42:09Yeah, we call it kind of the LLMOS. But I would say... Not we, I mean, Andre calls it LLMOS. Well, but yeah. Everyone else just copies whatever. You two and Andre, the three of you call it the LLMOS. Well, we have this four words of AI framework that we use and LLMOS is one of them. But yeah, I mean, code execution is one we've been banging the drum. Everybody now knows we're investors in E2P. Memory, you know, is one that we kind of touched on before. Super interesting. Search we talked about. I think those are more not traditional infra, not like the bare metal infra. It's more like the infra around the model.

42:48Which I think is where a lot of the value is going to be. Security ones? Yeah, yeah. Yeah, and temporary security, I mean, there's so much to be done there. And it's more like basically any area where AI is being used by the offense. AI needs to be applied on the depend side, like email security, you know, identity, like all these different things. So we've been doing a lot there as well as, you know, how do you rethink things that used to be costly, like red teaming and maybe used to be a checkbox in the past. Today, they can be actually helpful to make you secure your app. And there's this whole idea of semantics that not the models can be good at.

43:26In the past, everything is about syntax. It's kind of like very basic constraint rules. I think now you can start to infer semantics from things that are beyond just simple recognition to understanding why certain things are happening a certain way. So in the security space, we're seeing that with binary inspection, for example. Like there's kind of like the syntax, but then there are like semantics of like understanding what is this code overall really trying to do, even though this individual syntax is like saying something specific. Not to get too technical, but yeah, I think infra overall is like a super interesting place if you're making use of the model.

44:06If you're just, I'm less bullish, not that it's not a great business, but I think it's a very capital intensive business, which is like serving the models. I think that infra is like, great people will make money, but yeah, I don't think there's as much of an interest from us. How do you guys think about what OpenAI and the big research labs will encompass as part of the developer and infra category? Yeah, that's why I would say search is the first example of one of the things we used to mention. We had X on the podcast and Perplexity, obviously, as an API. The basic idea is if you go into the ChatGPT custom GPT builder, what are the checkboxes?

44:47Each of them is a startup. Yeah. And now they're also APIs. So now Search is also an API. We'll see what the adoption is. In traditional inference, everybody wants to be multi-cloud. So maybe we'll see the same where ChatGPT Search or OpenAI Search API is great with the OpenAI models because you get it all bundled in. But their price is very high. But if you compare it to like, you know, Excel, I think it's like five times the price for the same amount of research, which makes sense if you have a big open AI contract. But maybe if you're just like picking best in breed, you want to compare different ones.

45:23Yeah. Yeah. They don't have a code execution one. I'm sure they'll release one soon. So they want to own that too. But yeah, same question we were talking about before, right? Do they want to be an API company or a product company? Do you make more money building tragedy research or selling search API? Yeah. The broader lesson, instead of going, we did applications just now, and then what do you think is interesting infrastructure? It's not 50-50. It's not equal weighted. It's just very clearly the application layer has been way more interesting. Yes, there's interesting infrastructure plays. And I even want to push back on the whole GPU serving thing, because Together AI is doing well, Fireworks.

46:02I was going to say, that's how it works. It's like data centers and inference providers. I think it's on the capital. I see, I see. For, again, you guys have much larger funds. So, again, I'm sure you have GPU class. Yeah, so that is one thing I have been learning in that, you know, I think I've historically had DevTools and Infra bias, and so has he. And we've had to learn that applications actually are very interesting and also maybe kind of the killer application of models in the sense that you can charge for utility and not for cost, right, where most infrastructure reduces to cost plus. Yeah.

46:40Right? And that's not where you want to be for AI. So that's interesting for me. I thought it would be interesting for me to be the only non-VC in the room to be saying what is not investable because then I won't be canceled for saying your whole category is not investable. We have a great thing where we're like, this thing is not investable. And then three months later, we're desperately chasing you. Exactly. So you don't want to be on the record. This space changes so fast. It's like every opinion you hold, you have to like hold it quite loosely. I'm happy to be wrong in public, you know. I think that's how you learn the most, right?

47:10So like fine-tuning companies is something I struggled with. And still like I don't see how this becomes a big thing. Like you kind of have to wrap it up in a broader enterprise AI company, like services company, like a writer AI, where like they will fine-tune as part of the overall offering, but like that's not where you spike. Yeah, it's kind of interesting. And then I'll just kind of, AI DevOps, there's a lot of AI SRE out there. Seems like there's a lot of data out there that should be able to be plugged into your code base or your app to self-heal or whatever. It's just, I don't know if that's been a thing yet, and you guys can correct me if I'm wrong.

47:50And then the last thing I'll mention is voice, real-time infra. Again, very interesting, very hot, but again, how big is it? Those are the main three that I'm thinking about for things I'm struggling with. Yeah, I guess a couple of comments. On the AISRE side, I actually disagree with that one. I think that the reason they haven't sort of taken off yet is because the tech is just not there quite yet. And so it goes back to the earlier question, do we think about investing towards where the companies will be when the models improve versus now? I think that's going to be in short term we'll get there, but it's just not there just yet.

48:24But I think it's an interesting opportunity overall. Yeah. My pushback to you is, well, it's monitoring a lot of logs, right? And it's basically anomaly detection rather than, like there's a whole bunch of stuff that can happen after you detect the anomaly, but it's really just anomaly detection. And we've always had that. This is not a Transformers LLM use case. This is just regular anomaly detection. It's more in terms of, it's not going to be an autonomous SRE for a while. And so the question is how much can the latest sort of AI advancements increase the efficacy of going, bringing your MTTR down?

48:58And even if it's 10 % improvement on beforehand, it's still potentially a lot of revenue. That's the way, at least, I think I would think about it now. And then a few years from now, if it's actually an autonomous SRE just replacing altogether, then that's a totally different thing. Cool. I'll look out for it. Yeah. You know, I guess switching back to overly broad questions, like what do you feel like is the biggest unanswered question in AI today that has large implications for the ecosystem. Yeah, I've been banging the drum on RL, and I think it's clear that you can do RL successfully on verifiable domains.

49:37I would say whether or not we can figure out how to do that in non-verifiable ones. So law is a great example. Totally. Can you do RL on contracts and documents? Marketing, sales, going back to outbound sales, can you do RL to simulate what an outbound, and kind of like the conversation leads to. Yeah, it's unclear. If not, then I think we'll be stuck with like, you're going to have agents in the more verifiable domains and then you'll just kind of have co-pilots in the non-verifiable ones because you'll still need a person to be the tastemaker. I have the exact same thing. I feel like it's like the, I'm trying to think of the implications where if it doesn't work, like the world could be weird where like you have like fully autonomous AI coders and like, you know, no one does any software or math or even like, you know, some areas of science, but then like to write the most basic sales email is still like like just it's always so hard to predict out the world like that is such a weird of all the sci-fi that was written you know 50 years ago i don't think anybody foresaw that future that is a really weird future yeah i've called it industrialized autism do either of you have a different one for that biggest unanswered question i guess um i don't know if this is a good answer but you know bob mcgrew we had on the podcast he was talking about like the rule of nines they have at opening ai where to go from 90 % reliability to 99.

50:52It's an order of magnitude increase in compute. And then 99 to 99.9, order of magnitude increase. And that happens every two to three years. And so I think how are we going to scale sort of accordingly this sort of next part? I think there's a lot of unanswered questions just like from a hardware perspective. And then I think as part of that, from the availability perspective, like is NVIDIA just going to continue to be dominant? Like, obviously, AWS is going hard into, what's their, Tranium chips? I'm blanking on it. Thank you. And so I think, like, there's a big ecosystem around CUDA that's obviously allowed NVIDIA to remain dominant.

51:30But just what's going to happen? And is there anyone that's going to come sort of combat that to increase the availability of GPUs? Or are we just going to be constrained going forward when we actually need way more compute going forward? Yeah. My quick thoughts, I'm the only individual named as an investor in MadEx, which is kind of really funny because everyone else was funds and then it was just me. And there's all these NVIDIA startups, sorry, dedicated silicon startups that are coming up and trying to challenge that. And the simple answer is these GPUs are the most general things possible by design.

52:12That's why they do gaming, crypto, and AI. And I think as long as the architecture seems stable, it seems like there's a case to be made for that. The only question is who will win that. And obviously, there's a whole bunch of competitors, including, I think, AMD is trying to make a play for it. But so will AWS, and so will every other. Like, Microsoft has a chip. Facebook has a chip. So who knows who will win that? It's very interesting that this seems to be such a valuable prize. It's freaking NVIDIA that you're competing with. And no one has really made a real dent there yet. So I kind of agree with you.

52:52But I think that basically it's all about stability of workload. It's a bet on the death of Transformers, basically. And if you're fine with that. And I think even a state-based model, people would agree that it wouldn't really change that much. And probably, I think the overall consensus is that you don't even use state-based models individually. You would use them in a mixture with transformers anyway. So then, yeah, just go bet on transformers, bake it into the chip, and you will have way more, basically ASICs for transformers, and that's fine. And so like prima facie, there should be a company that wins that.

53:32I don't know who will win. I wish we knew. I think that I think anyone you have to start basically after 2019 or 2020, because anyone started before that will still be too general. Yeah. Because Transformers hadn't won yet, won at the time. I have one more. I think that the most emergent one that came out of the New York conference that I did was agent authentication. I think literally the information just published, like this is something that they're worried about, which is when operator or whoever accesses your website on behalf of you, how does it indicate that it's not you, but it's an agent of you?

54:08And I think like my general philosophy on agent experience or any of the sort of like reinvention of every part of the stack for agents is they're all not necessary except for this agent offering. thing. We really need to be able to new SSO effectively for agents. Is it going to be crypto? Both crypto people are really amped about the... It's really frustrating when Sam Altman is right, but maybe you have to scan your eyeballs. You just have to. Maybe he saw this five years ago and he was like, you've got to scan your eyeballs, and the rest of us are just behind him, as usual. I love it. Now I'll move to the quickfire round where we'll go around the horn and get quick takes on things.

54:51So the first is going to be Dream Podcast guests. John Carmack. Yeah. He's six. John is like six steps away from solving AGI, apparently. So we just ask him how long he is. For us, it's Andre. For me, it's Andre. He's a listener and supporter of the pod. And basically, when I launched the whole AI engineer push that we have, he was basically the first one to legitimize it. he was like, you know, there will be more AI engineers than ML engineers, and I think that made everyone else pay attention. So, like, Latent Space only exists because, you know, he helps, he and other people help to promote it.

55:28I also had Andreas, though, because we were thinking the same thing there. I, basically, mine's a little bit cheating, but I think at some point there will, clearly, like, they're writing a book about OpenAI now, and at some point, like, somebody probably acquired, we'll get to do the acquired OpenAI episode, but if Unsupervised Learning could, like, there's clearly just, like, so many amazing stories of like the last five, six years. So do you know about Doomers? It's a play. I'm actually going to it this Saturday. Yeah, someone made a play about the board drama of last year. Really? Wow. That's cool.

56:00Let's know how it is. Let us know. Maybe we should have the director of that on the pod. I think it's a lot of fan fiction basically, but like someone will write the accounts and it will be interesting and fascinating and a lot of a lot of it will be fake because it's a complex beast, right? You're just getting an oral history of what happened. Yeah. Yeah. All right, for the next one, I figured you could shout out either like a new source you used to stay up to date or a startup that you're not invested in that you're excited about. Oh. Or you can do it again. My new source is Sean. That's what I was going to say.

56:32I literally wrote Swix's Twitter. In our Discord, we have a latest space Discord. Any link that ever matters on the internet, Sean is going to post it in the Discord so all I do I open Discord and we have like you know 40, 50 different channels bytes of it I open Discord and I'm like okay AI then I go developer tools then I go creator economy then I go stock and macro then I go and they're all there so thank you we actually met because of the Discord it was like a COVID thing because everyone's at home they just started the Discord and yeah that was the origin of Loading Space just chatting on the Discord it used to be called dev slash invest yeah it was all about developer tools investing um and then we were open ai in october of 2022 uh we're like maybe we should do a podcast and then open ai was the first history yeah uh i uh i was not prepared about the the new sources thing uh i think maybe it's hard it's really shitty to say but like just in-person conversations yeah um and i think the reason I have to be here in SF is because I make friends with people who know things and are smarter than me and we go for chats and they're nice enough to share some stuff.

57:48And so sometimes I wish, I worry that I am being used in order to put things out there that are maybe not true, but you know, so I have to exercise my own judgment as to what I think. One of the cool things about the podcast in general is just like the opportunity to take these conversations that happen in like closed rooms and try and bring them on to the airwaves. I'm curious, like, how much of what you, how much do you feel like the private discourse is similar to the public discourse? In many ways, it is surprisingly similar. Yeah. As in people at OpenAI learn about things about OpenAI from us, which is interesting.

58:27And then there are some ways which is drastically not, drastically dissimilar and those are the things I just cannot repeat until it's public. This has been super fun. I feel like we lived up to it. We were looking forward to this for a while. We want to make sure everyone around the Horn gets an opportunity to plug whatever they want to plug. So we'll leave the last word to all of us, I guess. Where can folks go to learn more about Latent Space and all the exciting things you do? We want to make sure our listeners have a good sense of everything. Yes. So we have a sub stack, Latent.Space is the website.

58:57And then please subscribe on YouTube. We're doing a lot on YouTube. We're trying to do better video and all that. He said our OKRs, and it's basically all YouTube. Come watch us on YouTube. It's very important for me personally. Even if you don't care, just OKRs. Well, we have to increase our production value. Look at this. I know. We only have three cameras. Yeah, and then Sean does a lot of the writing outside of the podcast on the newsletter. Yeah, so it's like trying to be newsletter and community and podcast and whatever else that we do. Yeah, so I guess for me, I guess there's Dayton Space, but then there's also the other big piece, which is the conference that I run.

59:42And the idea is that I think sometimes you just get the good stuff from people if you just put them in front of a lot of people. and that's really, like I'm mining people for content and sometimes you put a mic in front of them and they yap for an hour. Other times you have to put them in front of like a prestigious conference and then they drop some alpha. And so the next one for us is going to be June. It's the AI General World's Fair and it should be the largest technical conference for AI. And ours is simple. We just run a humble podcast. So subscribe to Unsupervised Learning on YouTube. Thanks so much.

1:00:18this was awesome thanks for having me it's good to see you guys thanks for coming on

From the publisher

Unsupervised Learning is a podcast that interviews the sharpest minds in AI about what’s real today, what will be real in the future and what it means for businesses and the world - helping builders, researchers and founders deconstruct and understand the biggest breakthroughs.

Top guests: Noam Shazeer, Bob McGrew, Noam Brown, Dylan Patel, Percy Liang, David Luan

https://www.latent.space/p/unsupervised-learning

Timestamps

00:00 Introduction and Excitement for Collaboration

00:27 Reflecting on Surprises in AI Over the Past Year

01:44 Open Source Models and Their Adoption

06:01 The Rise of GPT Wrappers

06:55 AI Builders and Low-Code Platforms

09:35 Overhyped and Underhyped AI Trends

22:17 Product Market Fit in AI

28:23 Google's Current Momentum

28:33 Customer Support and AI

29:54 AI's Impact on Cost and Growth

31:05 Voice AI and Scheduling

32:59 Emerging AI Applications

34:12 Education and AI

36:34 Defensibility in AI Applications

40:10 Infrastructure and AI

47:08 Challenges and Future of AI

52:15 Quick Fire Round and Closing Remarks

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