In short
Podcast Summary: Most People Don't Understand What Money Actually Is
Podcast Overview Title: Making Money Hosts: Damien Jordan & Timeyin Akerele Description: The podcast aims to educate listeners about building wealth through various financial strategies, including investing, pensions, and understanding the psychology of money.
Episode Highlights Episode Title: Most People Don't Understand What Money Actually Is Episode Description: The hosts discuss insights from Andrew Craig's updated book "How to Own the World," which is tailored for readers under 30. They explore various concepts regarding money, investing, and financial literacy.
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- MoneyWeek Magazine - Offers financial news summaries and analysis.
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Key Themes and Discussions
- Understanding Money and Wealth
- Misconceptions about Wealth: The hosts argue that many individuals lack a foundational understanding of what constitutes money and wealth.
- Importance of Compounding: Emphasis on the power of compounding in wealth accumulation, illustrating how early investments can yield significant returns over time.
- Insights from Andrew Craig
- Updating "How to Own the World": Craig's new edition targets a younger audience, addressing financial literacy for those under 30.
- Focus on Compounding: Craig highlights how even small initial investments can compound over time, leading to substantial wealth in the future.
- The Role of Capitalism
- Capitalism as a Technology: Capital markets are described as technological advancements that facilitate wealth creation and risk sharing among large populations.
- Critique of Wealth Inequality: Discussion on how modern capitalism can exacerbate wealth inequality, particularly through passive investing strategies.
- Investment Strategies
- Rule of 100 Minus Age: This rule helps determine the proportion of investments in riskier versus safer assets based on one's age.
- Encouragement of Index Funds: The hosts advocate for investing in index funds as a means to achieve diversified and stable returns.
- The Impact of Government Policies
- Discussion on Taxation: The hosts consider how different tax policies can affect wealth creation and distribution.
- Critique of Wealth Taxes: Arguments against wealth taxes, suggesting they discourage entrepreneurship and economic growth.
- The Systemic Issues in Financial Markets
- Challenges for Entrepreneurs: Discussion on the difficulties that new businesses face in raising capital due to focus on large-cap companies and index funds.
- Encouraging Government Action: Suggestions for government policies that could promote investment in smaller companies and stimulate economic growth.
Conclusion The episode concludes with a strong emphasis on the importance of financial literacy. Damien and Timeyin encourage their listeners to understand the principles of wealth accumulation and the dynamics of capitalism, suggesting that these insights can lead to substantial improvements in their financial lives.
Key Takeaways
- Start Early: The earlier you begin investing, the more you can benefit from compounding returns.
- Educate Yourself: Knowledge about finance and investing is crucial for making informed decisions.
- Critically Assess Capitalism: While capitalism has its flaws, understanding its mechanics can lead to better financial strategies.
- Advocate for Change: Listeners are encouraged to think critically about government policies related to investment and taxation.
Disclaimer: This podcast does not provide personalized financial advice, and listeners are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:28Right then, T, time to record the Money Week advert. it summarises the biggest news stories that you need to know about, from pensions to investing, tax to the budget, or even what to do with the£1 coins while you're sat on the toilet. Along with their own analysis, they pulled together pieces from the top publications, like the FT, Economist and Wall Street Journal, to give you a balanced look at what's going on. If you want to give Money Week a try, you can get six issues in print and on the app for free by visiting moneyweek.com forward slash money. After your trial, you'll save an extra£5 on a quarterly subscription, exclusive to Making Money listeners, so that's moneyweek.com forward slash m-o-n-e-y there's a link in the description very few people really understand what money and wealth are andrew craig is the author of personal finance books including how to own the world which he's now updated for the under 30s if you had 25 year old you sat next to you there what's the one thing that today you would say to them almost every great success story is a story of compounding look at when stock markets were invented and look at the trajectory of the human experience since then.
1:29Welcome back first of all. Great to be back. Third time now? Yeah. Yeah, yeah, good stuff. I've said it before, I'll say it again, your book was probably the biggest influence on me investing, getting started because it was the first book where I read it and I was like oh I get this. I was under 30 at the time, the latest version of the book is targeted specifically at people under 30. Why did you feel that you needed to release a new version. So basically, by the way, thank you very much again. It's all right. It doesn't get old. After 10, 12 years, whatever it's been. It's all for you. Thank you very much.
2:03No, I mean, it's hugely appreciated always because, you know, books are a pretty brutal labour of love. So when you go through all of that, I mean, you know, get the old violin out. But, you know, you're pleased when people get something out of it and if you sell a few. But the new one basically came about really organically and it's a kind of demand pull thing, which was basically, you know, within probably days of selling the first few copies of How to Own the World back in the day, I had emails from parents, grandparents, great aunts, great uncles, and then in the fullness of time, like secondary school teachers, university lecturers saying, you know, really loved your book.
2:37Have you thought about doing one for a younger audience? And specifically, actually, teenagers, an awful lot of people said, I wish my sort of 16, 17, 18 year old could get this information. And obviously, one of the key points is compounding. So, you know, if you do get, you know, I mean, I've always used that example about if a wealthy relative can put five grand away into a kid's account the day they're born, you know, at US equity rates of return for the last century, they'll have not far of a million quid on their 55th birthday with no further investment. You know, five grand when they're not at 55.
3:10Through the comments going, oh, but what about inflation? You don't want your million quid, don't you? I love the way people are like, you're an idiot. You haven't talked about it. I've just written like literally 50 ,000 words about inflation and shot loads of videos about it. Yeah, and they can add to it. You know, a million just for the 5K is not a bad deal in any world. It's just an illustration of what was possible. But anyway, you know, that was the insight from a lot of really kind people who got in touch and said, look, wouldn't it be a great idea to write a book for a younger audience?
3:38And then cards on the table, what then happened was I sort of – so I got a two-book deal, God, four years ago now when I quit my full-time job. One of them was the biotech book that you very kindly talked to me about a year or so ago. And the other one was this one, which was originally going to be called something like Owning the World for Teenagers or for Teens. And I was going to say, cards on the table, what happened there was, I can't write a book for teens. Like, I'm, you know, I just had, I was like... Skibbity, Riz. Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly. Even that shows me that you're like... That was like...
4:12Annie G in the house. Yeah, that was 20 years out of date. legy i can do that but there you go that's how i mean i don't even know what social media platform teenager on and it you know it was really it was actually pretty car crash also my early drafts was sort of it was trying to walk the line between being you know down with the kids which is absolutely not what you want to be you know as we've just laughed about um but try and you know get the right information across and actually write a book that that sort of had teeth and meant something and i was struggling and you know i was partly struggling because i had a lot of other work to do but what then happened was I just I also thought along the way not only do I struggle to write in the voice for a teenager and I probably don't if I was a secondary school teacher and I spoke to an award-winning secondary school teacher um and lots of other people along the way but but actually the probably the bigger point is that everything I do is is very sort of mission-driven about tangible outcomes for people you know we have our cheesy company motto which is like to improve the financial affairs of as many people as possible and you know you know that's a real thing I think part of the reason Britain's in so much trouble at the moment is is is hugely because of financial illiteracy and so if we want to get that tangible outcome realistically even if you wrote the best possible book for a 16 or 17 year old and even if you had the like you know swattiest keenest hardest working 16 or 17 year old who read it went this is amazing they're not earning any money yet nothing to deploy correct and like roll on deaf ears yeah roll on four or five years and you know they've gone to university or started in the workplace or whatever so i think the so what became clear was like to get a tangible outcome and write a book for a younger audience this we just the publisher and i just came with a side of just doing one for under 30s because actually you know to your point you read it at that a lot of people that's already kind of a natural overlap in my audience and then sort of more broadly as always happens with a you know 100 ,000 word whatever project I think it was 80 ,000 words in the final edit but 100 plus on the way to creating it you know you it takes on a life of its own and so what actually ended up happening which I'm really pleased about is because I've kind of been meaning to do an updated version of How to Own the World anyway because it's like 12 13 years old now and even the third edition was an update but it was a kind of it was a evolution not a revolution.
6:34And in the time, you know, in that time, I've shot 50 videos, I've done dozens and dozens of podcast interviews, I've thought about things, I've read loads of stuff. And it's not, I mean, you know, you guys know that my whole thing is kind of like the nuts and bolts of how finance has worked since financial markets were invented. I am absolutely not you should buy the S &P today, or you should short Bitcoin. That's absolutely not what I do. It's a really, really holistic, big picture, top down, learn about capital markets. And then these are sort of really evergreen approaches to succeeding in using capital markets.
7:06That having been said, there were various kind of, if you like, sort of greatest hits from How to Own the World from my second book, Live on Less, Invest the Rest. And actually, there's a bit in there from Our Futures Biotech from my third book. So it's all sort of sewn together. It's a very nicely updated version of How to Own the World. And actually, you know, I would say this, wouldn't I, to try and engender a bigger sort of sales audience. But, you know, it's not like a 45 year old will read it and go, oh, this is no use to me, right? I think if I can capture an under 30s audience, that has the biggest chance of really helping somebody's life financially.
7:42But, you know, I would hope that all the information in this book is just as relevant to people all the way up to maybe their 50s, right? So yeah, so that's how it came about. And probably the single most important theme that came from live unless invest the rest of if i'm sort of stitching all that content together is this idea of 100 minus your age which wasn't in how to own the world um and that was you know i kind of knew about 100 minus your age when i wrote how to own the world but i think that things just developed organically so that that sort of came to the fore as a really nice one-stop shop idea that people need to know like you know how do you think in a really elegant way of how to allocate to kind of riskier stuff against more defensive stuff which is super important you know how do you do asset allocation and 100 minus your age is just a way of figuring that out which was the basis of my second book really can you explain that for audience so i explain it explaining yeah yeah sorry i'm assuming too much knowledge you mean too much yeah so 100 minus your age is basically it's not my idea it's probably been around since the 40s or 50s and it was probably popularized by john or jack bogle the guy founded vanguard who's you know massive industry legend who basically was behind the creation of passive ETF index funds, which obviously your audience are very familiar with.
8:56And 100 minus your age is a very simple rule of thumb that just says you subtract your current age from 100. So let's say you're 30. 100 minus your age, 30 is 70. And that gives you the percentage of what you should, assuming you're investing something every month, 100 minus your age, so you're 30, 70 is the percentage of that investment that should go into higher risk, higher return assets with the rest in lower risk, lower return assets. So the original idea was the aggressive risky bit was equities. And, you know, this is, these are all American ideas. So that would have been like the Dow Jones 30 or nowadays the S &P 500.
9:34And the rest would have been in US treasuries, like 10 year US government bonds. The world's moved on. And so in my second book, Live On Less Invest, The Rest, what I did was rather than equities and bonds, which is the old school of way of doing it, I just switch that into aggressive stuff and defensive stuff and then go through what is aggressive and what is defensive but basically if you use under minus your age it's about because I'm regulated by the FCA the FCA hate one size fits all Panasonic like what's the answer for everyone it's this like that's you're not supposed to do that you're supposed to think about people's personal circumstances which is right 100 % because you know a 30 year old who's just sold their company for 50 million dollars to Google is a very different person to a 30 year old who's on minimum wage and how they should invest is different.
10:18But if there is a really nice, elegant rule of thumb way that probably gets that Pareto 80-20 thing, like gets you 80 % of the result with 20 % of the effort, 100 minus your age is a really elegant idea. Because when you're 30, you're 70 % shares, 30 % something defensive. And when you're 50, you're 50-50. And when you're 70, you're 70-30 the other way, right? 70 % defensive, 30 % aggressive. And the only thing which I, again, I cover all of this in the new book and I covered it in Never Less Invest, The Rest. This idea comes from a time when firstly, interest rates were much higher. So if the, let's say you're 50 and you're 50 % in shares and 50 % in cash or bonds or defensive stuff, and the interest rate's 6%, you get a very different outcome than when the interest rate's 1%.
11:07It's a better return than the zero that we've kind of been conditioned to over the last 20 years. Exactly, which is why I've sort of morphed it into talking about defensive rather than bonds. But we are kind of going back into that world. We've gone back into it, higher rate of real rates. Yeah, well, higher rates, if you are cynical about inflation numbers, as you know I am, real rates, i.e. the real rate of return once you've taken account for real inflation, by which I would mean monetary debasement, the rate at which the money supply is growing and therefore our money is falling in value. Yeah, it's really tough.
11:45And this is all treated in the new book. And so it's, you know, I'm pretty proud of it because I think it just stitches together all of the really key bits from the two original books, ostensibly for an under 30s audience, but workably for people who are a bit older. And just in terms of the sort of greatest hits bit that came out of the biotech book, I sort of start the whole thing off, you know, with my sort of tub thumping, table banging you know why investment's so important and it's life-changing and if millions more people did it their lives would be better and society were better and all that stuff and as part of that i do have a bit of a slightly pretentious word an apologia or what's the word i'm looking for like you know i basically lose the day yeah with loads of pretentious words can we cut that out of the edit no no no what does that mean i've basically I don't know.
12:35I have no idea. It's just a silly word. No, basically, it's a sort of, you know, I tackle head on how kind of critical we are as a society now in terms of the zeitgeist, the contemporary zeitgeist, and particularly younger folk of capitalism. And we've really, really have forgotten what stock markets, you know, what basically nowadays, very few people really understand what money and wealth are. And so the big point I make at the beginning of the book is to sort of refresh all the arguments around they're just technologies. And particularly capital markets are just a technology, whether you're talking about bonds or equities, that have been around for a few hundred years that enable human beings to share risk across large groups of people and do incredible things that one person or a very small group of people couldn't do.
13:27And without them, we wouldn't have smartphones, we wouldn't have the internet, we wouldn't have airplanes, we wouldn't have skyscrapers. All of the wonderful fruits of modernity or sports stadiums, right? All of the things that make our lives great and we take for granted, or a lot of them. You know, they say the best things in life are free, right? So I'm not talking about relationships or religion or whatever else might float your boat. I'm talking about the tangible material things that have lifted us out of a world of grinding poverty for almost all human beings that ever existed in history.
13:57What I ask people to do at the beginning of the book is look at when stock markets were invented. roughly 300 years ago, the Dutch and the British, you know, 16 something, right? And look at the trajectory of the human experience since then, right? And this is the broad point. And I really want to make this case with tons of evidence, because then the other bit is, and capitalism's eating the world, which is, you know, I don't want to go too off piece, but it's this stuff's really important to me. And it's like, my own personal experience working with the biotech sector for the last 10 years is, it's actually capitalistic entities that almost no people in the population are talking about because unless you read like new scientists or you know if you're reading the mainstream press or looking at everybody being angry with each other on social media you're not hearing about tens of thousands of businesses that are capitalistic entities that are doing amazing things for the world you know that are actually achieving really incredible things for like getting plastics out of our oceans or taking heavy metals out of our soils and i'm talking now about the biotech industry so i'm rambling away as usual do you have any examples of those because I mean never hear good news these days.
14:59So you know so take have you heard of have you heard of Greta Thunberg? Of course yeah. Have you heard of Boyan Slat? Right so this is my point this is my point about negative press bars right so Boyan Slat he's a young Dutch guy who said when he was really young you know Greta Thunberg age what was she 12 or I'm not going to go to school I'm going to protest and it becomes this big thing and meanwhile Boyan Slat has a similar feeling about plastics in our oceans, right? So what's he done? He's started a company called the ocean cleanup.org or whatever. He's got out there, he's raised millions and millions of dollars from a proper who's who of, you know, Hollywood folks and big VC funds in America.
15:37And he's making a phenomenal dent in the massive garbage patch of plastics in the middle of the Pacific. They've developed these things called river interceptors that are sitting on the mouths of most of the big rivers in the world, particularly in the developing world, that pump, you know, thousands of plastic bottles come out everybody just throws their trash in those rivers and and and it you know cynical people criticize what he's doing oh it's a drop in the ocean it's not going to make a difference but you know anything like that is laudable and then it compounds and so you know particularly when I wrote Our Futures Biotech you know I spent well I've spent 10 plus years looking at biotech and life sciences businesses and three years writing that book and research in that book um you know in the original manuscript without wanting to sound too pretentious again had 650 footnotes in it which were all academic papers or books or whatever and i found you know tons and tons and tons of companies doing amazing things and not you know when you say biotech people think therapeutics like curing cancer or whatever but it's it's it's about uh rolling back environmental degradation you know it's it's about improving processing power it's about all sorts of things.
16:45So I guess, but anyway, I was sort of getting back to the new book, the broad point was I just wanted to lay out in black and white with a lot of evidence that capital markets are great. Aspiring to be wealthy is really good because that's the other point is like, this has become really fashionable. Like, oh, I don't want to be rich. You know, rich people are, you know, like - Rich people are evil. Not in this room. We're called Making Money. Damien talks money. Yeah, exactly. Maybe not on a podcast called Making Money. Yeah, quite. Okay, T, talk to me about your attitudes towards risk? I mean, I like a bit of risk in my investments, but I definitely would say since the podcast, I've toned it down a little bit, not quite as gung-ho and like carefree as I was in risk.
17:24So yeah. Yeah, shooting from the hip all the time, weren't you? Yeah. I think personally that you should take risks, but it should always be in areas where you have a unique skill set, an edge, expertise, like your job, things like this. Definitely. One area that I wouldn't take any risks is compliance. Yeah, the risk changes you grow in business and you need to be on top of it, which is why we partner with Vanta. Vanta automates a lot of risk processes and helps you see your risks in a centralized platform so you know what really needs your attention. Besides risk, the main thing Vanta does is automate compliance with security protocols you need to scale, like GDPR, HIPAA, ISO 27001, and SOC 2.
18:03The beauty of Vanta is they make it easy to prove you're compliant with these standards, saving you up to 90 % of the time it takes, and on average, half a million dollars. If you know what these acronyms like SOC2 are, you probably need Vanta. You can book in a demo at vanta.com forward slash making money. There's a link in the description. But, you know, and I think this is really problematic because it's like, there's this really famous, I think it's Balzac who said, behind every fortune is a great crime. And I think like 500 years ago, that was absolutely true. It's a hard way to think about it, isn't it?
18:35Yeah, correct. But it's not true. It's actually, if anything, it's the reverse nowadays. Behind every great fortune, by definition, or not all of them, but a lot of them, you've created, you know, what is wealth? It's value. I see people criticise Amazon all the day, all the time, but they're getting these next day packages to the door. I'm like, you're using that service. You said Amazon. I was not going to go there because I've used this example quite a lot recently. But let's just unpack Amazon quickly. So Jeff Bezos owns 8.6 % of Amazon last time I checked. Let's call it 10 % to keep the maths easy.
19:06And I don't know where Amazon's trading now. after the eruptions the last few days. Call it$2 trillion value, right? So Bezos worth$200 billion. The rest of the world is worth$1.8 trillion in no insignificant part because of Bezos as a vector working his ass off, going through loads of risk. How much wealth he created for others. Correct. So he's created 1.8. Where is the 1.8 trillion? Amazon's worth$2 trillion. $200 billion is his. It's less than that, actually, but it's 10-ish percent. 1.8 trillion, where is that? It's in the pension accounts of hundreds of millions of people all over the world.
19:38Anybody who owns an S &P 500, you know, fund, and indeed tens of thousands of other funds. AWS has created billions of chillions of other values. So Exhibit A is... So the next thing to say is the$200 billion he has, is that just... Has he just bought huge amounts of champagne and thousands of Ferraris with that? And does he... Bought himself a wedding. Nice expensive wedding. Okay, he spent a lot of... That looked pretty baller. But is he lying around like Smaug the Dragon out of The Hobbit on a big pile of gold. No. What's he doing with it? Young entrepreneurs are going into his family office week in, week out going, I've got this idea for whatever amazing technology.
20:16Will you put$5 million into it? That's what rich people do, right? They are mission-driven to create more wealth and he is spending it on what's it called? Blue Origin rockets because he's a billionaire and wants to do rockets. We can agree or disagree on whether that's a good thing to do with lots of money. AWS, to your point, is the backbone of a huge part of the internet. and I think a lot of people who criticize Bezos and go, billionaire wanker, actually probably don't know that. They don't know that they're probably saying that on internet infrastructure that, right? And they're doing it, you know.
20:46So then the other, next thing is, to your point, how many people criticize Bezos but use Amazon to get what? To get products more cheaply. Oh, I guess I'm saying, take a step back and we're just talking about Amazon. You mentioned Amazon and I get my higher horse about it. You're trying to pin it on me. Yeah, it's your fault that I'm ranting on about Amazon. Maybe they should pay people a little bit more. But I think people need to think a lot more deeply about the fact that, okay, has Amazon big... I will concede that they underpay their factory workers. They underpay warehouse workers. And work them hard.
21:17And that, yeah, correct. But they're all going to get replaced by robots in the next 10 years anyway, right? That's a fact. So you can feel bad about that? Yeah. No, but what does that mean we should be doing as a society? It means we should make sure that people are educated enough not to have those jobs, right? And that is a much better way of... And by the way, I'll probably really put my head above the parapet here. I half wonder what sort of charitable contribution people like Bezos are making to educational initiatives in places like Seattle. I don't know for a fact, but I'd imagine they probably do.
21:48More like building universities, don't they? Yeah, correct. Because you name it for life. Vanderbilt and all this kind of stuff. Like Carnegie and Carnegie Mellon and all that. But anyway, but the broader point is, you know, as a vector for humanity, this is where it comes down to understanding what wealth is, right? Actually, because I think people have a really poor understanding about billionaires or assholes. You can only be a billionaire. Most billionaires are minority shareholders or many billionaires are minority shareholders in the business they built. Steve Jobs is, Bezos is, Musk is, although he's obviously a very highly, you know, he's right at the top of the tree in terms of what's that all worth.
22:22But then you get down to much more, you know, billionaires who are involved in a shipping company in Norway and then send to millionaires and millionaires. You can only be wealthy if your wealth is a fraction of the aggregate value you've created for mankind, like in the main, which is most people don't understand that stuff. And what does that mean? That you've created a hell of a lot of good for mankind and also in a capitalistic system, people have only bought that thing voluntarily. Momentarily. Nobody forces you to shop at Amazon. Nobody forces you to buy a Sony TV or, I was going to say, Nokia phone.
22:58Now, Apple phone, that's another example of gales of creative destruction. Like, oh, capitalism is so monopolistic. The big winners win and then you can't displace them. And that happens for a while. But look at Nokia. 30 years ago, 20 years ago, Nokia, Sony Ericsson and Siemens were the biggest three mobile phone companies. Where have they gone? So, you know, there's a constant changing of the guard. I think we're probably at a bit of a tense point at the moment where the biggest companies are too big. I would contend that's largely because of government. And we can, maybe we're going down proper rabbit holes now.
23:35They're anti-competition because, you know, they've got such resources that they can just, anyone who's coming up, they go, do you want a billion quid? And people find it really hard to turn down a billion quid. Do you know what I mean? A hundred percent. So they just like gobble them up. And then like sort of R &D and innovation gets quite sclerotic because there's a load of evidence from academia that says that basically big company, you know, look, IBM and General Electric 20 years ago were huge and created all the new products. And now where are they? They're actually relatively small companies.
24:04Like it's always the newcomers that did. like Apple's the classic example because it was like it made small tangential pink computers for grannies and artists like and then suddenly it became this behemoth that owns the smartphone market right and that's happened in 20 years but I would I mean yeah I'm not sure where I'm conscious I'm just rambling away so what I would like to ask then is I think you know what anyone can tell about you when you talk is that you're very you're optimistic about finance life human prosperity, the ability to get more. These are all good things in your mind. I follow you on LinkedIn as well.
24:40And I often see almost like a slight contradiction there. I see you in the comment section talking about index funds and saying, you know, critical of valuations sometimes where you're like, there's a load of investors buying stuff that they don't know what the value is. And they're just this wall of money. That's why valuations are getting stretched. And index funds are potentially distorting the market. So I try and balance these two Andrews that I see. And I would like to know which one, am I characterizing that correctly? And where do you sit with that? So you can balance them, I think. They're not contradictory.
25:16So one is ETFs are a really good thing and more people need to be investing. And it's great that somebody can buy 500 US stocks or 1 ,600 world stocks through an MSCI world or 3 ,000, whatever it is, through a footsie world like and you know that my books and the new one included are all about like okay the aggressive bit which that hundred minus your age the aggressive bit is covered off by a big index fund right and i have a whole laundry list of why people shouldn't go anywhere near single stocks you know most people investing in single stocks don't know three percent of what you need to know before you know what's an evie i think most people are picking it because their mates said they should well you know that because they use the oh i use amazon i buy amazon yeah but they don't know AWS is the biggest part of this.
25:59Well, they don't know what the net debt to EBITDA, you know, and their bank loan, or where their intangible assets are valued against their tangible, what the short interest is, or what their MACD has done, and then, right? And actually, there's a terrible, there's a horrible stat. I think I said last time that only 5 % of British adults have got stocks and shares ISA. I think it's a bit more than that now, thanks to people like you guys, and me, in a smaller way. But, you know, that's been growing, but it's still a relatively small, well a worryingly small percentage of the adult population. Or more cash ISAs which that's the problem.
26:30Well I'm actually yeah that's right but the other thing to say about stocks and shares ISAs is I had sight of a very big ISA provider's data not that long ago where they'd done an evaluation of what their clients own in their stocks and shares ISA and it's basically 2.3 tech stocks. So even though 9 million people now have a stocks and shares ISA the vast majority of them is true. Tasks are in Google and that's the lot. Exactly. So no funds just individual stocks. Yeah a load of them. and a lot of them do have. Yeah, but like a lot of majority are just individual stories. So then to come back to your point, it's okay, what is a schizophrenic?
27:01What's that? What's it about? Dark Knight Rises. Who's the character with the Heath? Ah, Two-Face. Two-Face. The coin flipper guy. Yeah, forgotten. Harry Two-Face or whatever. I don't know who you mean. It's Two-Face. He's in the Dark Knight, not the Dark Rises. It's called Two-Face. Two-Face. So I'm Two-Face because I'm like, ETFs are brilliant. Like, why are we all in ETFs? But what I'm trying to do is, So, you know, Occam's raise are like 80-20 rule. Anyone, it's much better that people who aren't invested and people haven't heard about investment and where they want to get started, they invest in a big ETF and equity.
27:34That for sure. But what I'm trying to do is fight what is being really disruptive and destructive to capitalism, without an incentive to hyperbolic, which is that, so last year, the London Stock Exchange raised less money from initial public offerings some new companies coming to the stock market and using it to raise money to do stuff, than the Omani and Malaysian stock markets. And we raised a 20th of what was raised on the Indian stock market. London fell to 22nd in the world, right? And a huge reason for that is because the next will rise is passive. Because all the money is from private clients, stockbrokers, from retail.
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28:13We were just talking about retail punters. None of that is going into what it would have gone into 30 or 40 years ago in my parents' or grandparents' generation, which is like, you know, if you had a few quid and you were in your 40s or 50s and you had a financial advisor and stuff, some of that money would have gone into a UK smaller companies fund. And that would have funded in my day, where I was involved, EasyJet or Games Workshop or, you know, any lastminute.com or whatever. That money's gone. I mean, it's not, this isn't like a slight problem. It's just, it's gone. All the small cap funds are gone.
28:41And what I'm saying is, each of these, and by the way, the other reason why Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk are so wealthy, because this is the other point, is that when all the money flows indiscriminately into S &P 500 funds from all over the world, there are all these self-reinforcing things that happen, right? So basically, if you run a Fortune 500 pension fund in the States now, you can't do anything other than put your pension, you know, your staff into an S &P 500 ETF because it's cheaper and 90 % of active fund managers underperform and all these sort of nuanced arguments. So now, and a load of congressmen and congress have effectively had the wool pulled over their eyes because they're not particularly financially astute by Vanguard and State Street and BlackRock, right?
29:27So all that money is going into a market-cat weighted ETF of the S &P 500, which means all that money or a huge amount of the money is going into Amazon and Apple and Microsoft and Tesla. And so it's these sorts of structural things that are making the rich so stratospherically richer than they ever would have been in the sort of the older system before this happened. And I think that is problematic, right? It's turbocharging winner takes all. Because US equities are performing so well, everybody else in the world, if they're in Zurich or Tokyo or London or Singapore, is getting into US equities because they want to be left behind.
30:01So that turbocharges it more. Then you've got all the hedge funds who use algorithmic strategies, which are largely momentum driven, turbocharging it still more. and so all of that all of that bun fight of capital just going into the 500 companies in the sb 500 is problematic because it means that you've got this winner takes all thing you've got vast income inequality which gary stevenson's right about he's right about the problem he's wrong about what caused it and what to do about it in my considered opinion i'd love to talk to him about that one day and what that has meant is that you know if you're an entrepreneur an entrepreneur who wants to you know a new software company or or launch a new hotel group or you know I was excited to be on the deal where we floated Caluchos and La Tasca, which was a tapas restaurant.
30:45And, you know, all these sorts of businesses. Nobody can do that in London anymore because all the oxygen, all the capital is stuck in the S &P 500. How many UK businesses listed on the American market? So rather than just looking at the UK market, if you zoom out globally, because I know that Monzo threatening to go to America. And all our big ones, I mean, Armhole is what we talked about before. It was like privately bought by SoftBank. So actually, relatively few, and I covered this in Our Futures Biotech in detail, specifically pertaining to the biotech industry, but it's true of all companies.
31:18There are a whole load of structural reasons where it's very hard for a British company to float in America, right? Obvious ones like it's really expensive. So, you know, in the old days, a small British company might be able to float in London for like a million quid, let's say, ballpark. It's like$5 million to get under the NASDAQ, right? There are hundreds more companies on there. So getting the attention of the institutional fund, like when London had like 150 small cap funds and all the stockbrokers knew who they were. And if you were the CEO of an entrepreneurial company and you wanted to do something, you could go around those 150 investors in Edinburgh and Manchester and Leeds and London and go and do a load of meetings.
31:53And they'd go, yeah, I'll give you two million quid for that. Or no, I don't like your business and I won't. And you'd be able to gather that money. If you now need to go to America, well, America's already got, you know, in 2019 or 2020, there were 78 biotech IPOs in America, right? It's all the same people stewarding the pots of money. So getting the attention, like it's just a prosaic logistical challenge. Like a British company, plus the British company is on a different time zone with different tax regimes. So there are all these reasons for American investors to say no. What's the scariest word in the English language to me?
32:26Tax. How does it make you feel, mate? Ah, stressed, sweaty palms, squeaky bum time. Don't like it. Mum is spaghetti, yeah, exactly. You got one shot, one opportunity to not go to jail for avoiding tax. Like, yeah, I don't like tax. It's scary. Tax can be really stressful, which is why we're excited about our partnership with TaxApp. They started in Ireland and now they're in the UK, and they make self-assessments way less scary. What I like is how quick it is. You just enter your info, connect your bank, and it helps you do your expenses to reduce your tax bill. You suddenly know exactly what you owe, no waiting around for an accountant to reply, and you can file in as little as 15 minutes.
33:03Yeah, and it's built for all kinds of people. Company directors, freelancers, the self-employed, side hustlers, or even people who work full-time who need to do a self-assessment. For example, anyone who needs to claim back high-rate tax relief on their pension at work. They're HMRC recognised, so they're safe to use. Plus, tax app flags reliefs and benefits you might miss, so you're not leaving any money on the table. We've left a link in the description. Prices start from£49. if you've got to do one this year check out tax app you can get 10 off as well using the code in the link in the description the code is money 10 so that's m-o-n-e-y-1-0 i mean how would they even know what monzo is it's crazy that you would go list in a foreign market notwithstanding everything i'm saying right now it's incredible the extent to which because we've destroyed british institutional capital's just being killed and almost all of it's either in american shares or in bonds, which is part of why the British economy is so challenged.
33:54Something that's incredibly poorly understood and you know I've written about. But, you know, even to your point, an awful lot of the companies that are succeeding in raising money in the UK are raising American money, tragically. But anyway... So what should I do as an investor about this? Because there's still that contradiction of, you should buy a global index, but it's actually a big problem. So when I'm remonstrating about the problem, I'm not talking to I'm basically trying to agitate to the powers that be and leading bankers and because we're all you know What would they do then? Well we're the mansion house accord the changes that Rachel Reeves is making right now are a direct result Mandation of pensions into the UK Yeah yeah You think that's a good idea?
34:38No I think I think it is a good idea I think the way it's been done is terrible Okay How would you do it? So I would have actually nuts and bolts I would so you had a whole bunch of smaller company funds in the UK that banged out 12, 13, 14 % annualized returns for years for years because of businesses like Games Workshop right I mean Games Workshop I don't know if you know Games Workshop was a tiny little ridiculous company never ridiculous Chaos Marines yeah same exactly I was a serious hobby Warhammer 20 ,000 40 ,000 40k 40 ,000 that's slightly embarrassing it is 20 years you were part of the 20k I was loving it and can't remember the name of it but it was a long time ago to be fair but yeah I used to paint Orcs and Eldar and stuff like that.
35:19Yeah, yeah. And it was like, you know. You redeemed yourself there with the Eldar. See, I was just making up for calling it one more 20 ,000 in error. But, you know, that was a little company that come out of Nottingham. And it's, what is it now? Five billion pound company. It's just awesome, right? And we could have far more of those if we had a much better stock market. But anyway, sorry, I've forgotten. How would you go about mandating people to invest in finished companies? I think the problem is in the listed world, like stock market listed companies. And if you had, you know, a few dozen funds in the UK that had two, three, 400 million quid like they used to, then you could float companies on the London Stock Exchange and there'd be an aftermarket to support the share price of the companies on the London Stock Exchange.
36:01and our world-leading biological science could get funding, which it can't right now, and everything else, our tech, our whatever, instead of a very few, very lucky few British companies managing to float on NASDAQ. It's not a lot of money to 200 to 300 million. Yeah, but... I know that's, you know what I mean, in the grand scheme of things, when we're talking trillions in the modern world... Yeah, but the way you get to... The problem is we've just, you know, almost every great success story is a story of compounding, right? and the compound effect. So to my point, Apple, what was Apple 25 years ago?
36:35I want to say it was a$5 billion market cap. It might even have been smaller at the bottom, right, after Next and all that stuff. And now it's a three and a half or whatever it is, trillion business. If it hadn't been able to get from five to 10, it wouldn't ever get to three, right? And that's just how stock markets and capitalism work. Like winners win and get bigger and consolidate. But if you don't have an ecosystem of creating any of them, then you'll never get any big future comments. Couldn't the government chuck this money into a fund? Because 200 million in the government sense is a rounding error, right?
37:06So like that... I'm not sorry, to be clear, I'm not talking about only 200, I'm talking about a number. Like if you had billions of pounds. So what they're doing at the moment is they're basically mandating loads of pension money from 19 of the biggest pension funds in the UK to go into private equity and VC at the totally wrong point of the private VC cycle. Aren't they all like going to blow up through private equity and VC? And so it's like, you know, I don't want to be... They're all exposed heavily to the AI side of things. But they're also just... Well, and by the way, part of the challenge that P and VC have right now is the IPO market stopped working for all the reasons we're discussing.
37:44And the way that these companies get their money back and get the money back from making an investment in a private company is by flooding on a stock market. Yeah, by dumping it on the retail. Yeah, so what you need is billions of pounds going into stock market investors because the stock markets worked for 200 years until about three or four years ago when actually death by 1 ,000 cuts since the 70s. But just a policy I wrote about not that long ago, a very tangible policy. So there are 600 ,000 births in the UK every year, right? If you gave every one of those kids five grand, that would cost 3 billion, right?
38:18So every year, 3 billion, 3 billion, 3 billion. That doesn't sound much in the context of AstraZeneca that's worth 200 billion or Shell that's worth 170, or whatever it is at the moment. but actually that if that money was mandated it's in a tax sheltered account for the individual who's got it like it's a personal account that you have in your life and the worst thing that you might do is just never touch it but it's and it was mandated into a like 10 or 12 uk small cap funds like used to exist until a few years ago and it was only allowed to be invested in uk smaller companies you'd have 3 billion in year one three billion year three i mean in 10 years you'd have put 30 billion quid to work in UK smaller companies.
38:55That's like half of aim. That's a lot of money, right? At 18, it could then roll into the DC auto-enrolment. And it could become a more globally diversified, but you've got that. My argument would be you should never be able to take the money out until you're 55 or 57 or whatever the retirement age is. And UK smaller companies, the Numis 1000, the bottom 1 ,000 smallest companies in the London stock market, from 1955 to 2021 returned an annualized return of more than 16 % per annum. So imagine if everybody had five grand in a tax-sheltered account that supported British business. Three billion doesn't sound like much, but it's 30£100 million IPOs.
39:33That's 30 new companies that have all raised £100 million, right? And the£100 million of capital that goes in might only be for 10 % of the equity capital because that's what happens when you IPO. You float a minority largely, right? Which means you've created a billion pound company with a£100 million IPO. So you could create 31 billion pound companies if there were that number and then you start to pull an investment from the rest of the world because the americans go oh i'll take some of that exposure that's the other point momentum success begets success and momentum is super key we've seen in america sadly we've seen the 180 degrees opposite of that in the uk because of the way we've behaved in in the last 30 years but that's exactly right rather than london smelling and everyone going oh let's short london people go oh there's this really cool new initiative which puts three billion quid a year into and then there'll be a whole ecosystem of other fund managers growing up going, hey, we're going to have a UK smaller company, you know, sitting on the side of this new initiative.
40:22And then you get American and Asian investors and European investors saying, hey, there's a really resurgent London equity scene in small caps. I honestly think the only reason this policy would never be implemented is because the politicians are implemented today. It'll be people 20 years ago who get the massive political result from it. And it's a cost on top of a cost. Yeah, it's only three billion quid though. I said the exact same thing, did those numbers, and I basically said, anyone born from today shouldn't get a state pension, and they should just stop there. Like cigarettes, and we drag up the age.
40:55Basically, if your kid's born today, they won't get a state pension, but they get this five grand. We show them the numbers. And also, I said, you could mandate a portion of that was in the UK market, so Rachel Reeves gets what she wants there. And I dare say that parents would watch the rate of return on those savings and go, holy crap, they're beating us. So you get adult participation in the market. But the other ancillary benefit of that, all of which we're doing 180 degrees the opposite of through terrible policy. And just to be clear, terrible policy going back to the 90s, all the way through Blair and Brown and Tories and now even worse, right?
41:26But the other thing is not only do you sort out this pension situation to your point, which is super exciting. I mean, in 25, 30 years, you'd have a complete revolution. And the cost is fixed at$3 billion a year if the birth rate goes. Well, it might go up a bit as we get wealth through, like a lot of things. but it means you'd have a much you'd have a thriving economy yeah you'd have loads of little you know you'll have like game like computer game developers in dundee that can raise 100 million quid to develop the next grand theft auto or you know you'd have like right now britain's biggest one of britain's biggest problems economically is we just can't nobody can raise any money i'm telling you from first-hand experience you know in a very very tiny few like you know biotech I know about biotech because I spent 10 years working and three years writing a book about it right British intellectual property and Nobel Prizes that were won by Cambridge University and other places absolutely categorically underpin the the economic value creation the equity value creation that has happened in the biotech industry right the UK's what has accrued to the UK of that is trillions less than what has accrued to the US because of all this stuff.
42:38So if we had a thriving, like there are companies that are a few years away from effective cures for certain cancers. There are companies doing absolutely incredible things. We're employing AI and machine learning to do drug discovery and loads else besides, right? We can't fund any of it. We literally can't fund any of it. There's no, like biotech companies in London, you know, 14 of the last 14 biotech companies to IPO on a stock market since 2018, 13 of them didn't do that in the UK. And it's much harder to do it in another country when you're based in Oxford or Cambridge or Edinburgh or Dundee or Bath or wherever.
43:12It's much harder. And then eventually these companies get acquired for 300 million quid by an American business or by Takeda in Japan or by whoever, and all of the staff and all of the tax revenues and all of the intellectual property moves to america which is impoverishing britain that means we have tens of thousands fewer high-paid jobs for scientists and we are not making hundreds of billions of tax revenue that could have been making sorry you guys i've really got to apologize i'm ranting away don't worry is it only the government that can solve that because i i sit here and go you know i got 20 quid i'll give you some money what can i do there no no there is i'm not being flippant now i mean seriously like i I think the problem is we've now...
43:53I'm still waiting for the government to do stuff. We've now... There are a number of things the government could do, like what we just said, like give every child, you know, five grand on the day they're born in a tax-sheltered account and they can't touch and invest it in UK smaller companies. I think that is an amazing policy that would... But it would take years to turn the ship around. But, you know, I mean, we need a much more enlightened tax policy, you know, in terms of capital gains, national insurance. We have 78 % of people in this country agree with Gary Stevenson, think that a wealth tax is a good idea.
44:21it's a disastrous idea it would make britain way poorer it would drive even more of these businesses away even more of our intellectual property and i say all this because i just think it's a statement of fact i think anybody who doesn't you know the only reason that nearly 80 percent of british people can believe that that's a good idea is because they don't understand wealth they don't understand equity markets they don't understand how businesses are built how tax revenues are paid what you know how taxes paid how how economies create wealth and and the trouble and it's all very easy go bloody billionaires they've got loads of money but it's like but a billionaire is just somebody who's created a load of wealth so if you drive you know nick scronson he's just decided to go to dubai right and well wanker he's gone to dubai it's like well you know i think a lot of billionaires believe that they they can deploy capital for the benefit of our species and if you are based in a country and you care about that country for the benefit of the country better than the government can and i would say based on my own reading of things and 30 years studying such things and working with companies in the main i tend to agree wouldn't an individual say that they can deploy capital better in their own lives than the billion can on their but billionaire can on their behalf yeah but then the compounding you're talking about recently works for the billionaires right we're far too focused on wealth inequality and we should be far more focused on wealth because like the reason that you know if you really want to get cynical about it a huge part of the reason that there is inequality is is merit times compounding and i've i've done this example before but like if somebody gets one if two mates leave university at 25 23 years old and they're basically they're both 100 empirically in terms of work ethic fit health and fitness money you know education right and one of them gets one percent better every month the other one stays the same the 30 years later the one who gets one percent better every month will be 35 times better off than the one who stays the same.
46:09Not twice or three times, 35 times better off. So if somebody gets 2 % better, and what might that mean? That might mean that they know about accounting, they understand investment banking, they do computer programming, they keep really fit, they eat really well, and their mate spends six hours a day on screens and goes to the pub every Saturday. And I know it sounds really harsh, but the bit that people miss is just the sheer power of compounding. Because if you get two or three better than somebody else every month for 30 years that's why you have billionaires but along the way a lot of billionaires have created enormous good for our species like as we you know as we said with bezos and i think the problem is if you the other thing that's poorly understood is if you interrupt that compound trajectory and go we're just going to take all your money as tax to spend on stealth bombers or i mean how you want to read a book called squandered by a guy called david craig no relations of mine which is about how Blair and Brown pissed away a trillion quid.
47:02And it's just all the details of all the 400 quid light bulbs in the NHS. I mean, it's just private sector companies don't do that, right? You know, Elon Musk can launch a rocket for about, conservatively, a 20th per kilogram payload into space of what it costs NASA to do it. And once Starship's fully up in lights, it'll be a 200th. Why would you have the government launch things into space for 200 times the cost of getting private sector to do it? government private sector is not always better than the public sector at all i have to push back but it often is not because i disagree with you but i could also say that elon musk has done a lot of other stuff that people might go that probably wasn't that good that that man has that much power he is an ego he's an individual with an ego he gets butthurt like he faked being a good gamer because he's that much of a child and he made that pedo comment about that oh yeah that was years ago as well i mean like should someone like that we have 400 billion should But he doesn't have 400 billion.
47:59Again, this is the point. This is the bit about people just don't understand what wealth is. He'll be able to borrow against that, man. He has notional 400 billion of equity. He's got 400 billion pounds worth of influence. He has. Because the trouble, well, okay, there was a time in the last couple of years, what did Tesla do in the last couple of years? At one point it halved, right? Yeah. So it's like the valuations accorded to billionaires by people who don't understand the difference between equity and cash, right? They just think about, like, James Dyson's a wanker, you know, because he's worth 15 billion quid.
48:30It's like the equity valuation that underpins that wealth is incredibly capricious. And it's based on a multiple of earnings or other expectations or assumptions about what that is worth. And it can very quickly disappear. Anybody like Nokia was worth 200 billion euros, and then it was worth 1 billion euro, right? All the wanker billionaires that own loads of Nokia stock, well, not that long after they weren't. So it's like, I hear you, but I think... Is it anti-democratic? Is it like, it's not one man, one vote. It's one billion pounds, one vote. I think it is anti-democratic when, yeah. When you do so much power.
49:10Look, Trump at the moment, how much did Trump just diddle the crypto market for a personal gain, right? I'm trying to stay zen about it. Right, right, right. I mean, so there's... I'm not saying it's perfect. I'm just saying that big picture when we zoom out and really interrogate what wealth is and what it means. You know, the government large, to a great extent, government does things incredibly badly, incredibly expensively and incredibly inefficiently. And a lot of billionaires and like Musk and Bezos are the headline ones, but at a much quieter level, you know, a Finnish family that developed an amazing diesel engine, right?
49:42a company like Vátsala or Kona, when you get into a lift in any building around here, K-O-N-E or a travelator at the airport, right, is a Finnish company called Kona, which means machine in Finnish. And it basically makes all these travelators. What I'm trying to say is there are so many wealthy families out there, wealthy entities that have delivered so much value to the world and done it way more efficiently and refashioned the periodic table for all of our benefit, way better, in my opinion, than another$400 million fighter or smart bomber or any of the other things that governments piss money away on.
50:21So I just think all I want to say is I just think it's this whole, like, it's the richest fault. I think we need to think a bit more deeply about who deploys capital better. Is it a good thing to just have more tax and give the government more money? Because the other thing I want to say about that is today, government, everything's shit, right? The economy's shit. Society's shit. You know, mental health is rubbish. All the stuff we're worried about. Wealth inequality is terrible. And government's the biggest percentage of the economy it's ever been. Is the answer more government? Surely not. A lot of that was borrowing, right?
50:5610 % of that bill is dead because we all chilled at home. That's right. And monetary debasement, right? And the cancel on effect. But it's been a trend for years. I don't want to sound like I'm defending wealth taxes. In my opinion, I don't know. I just don't think it's as simple as it's the immigrants' fault and it's the richest. I agree. I never think the populist, these extremes of like, oh, all those boats and Jeff Bezos, it's their fault. I don't think it's probably, there's probably a load of new ones. But I think it's worse than that. I think it's a classic example of Turkey's voting for Christmas, right?
51:23If you want to, because the point I was about to make a minute ago is on the journey and whatever we do or do think about Musk, let's just say on the journey where a billionaire builds a business that becomes worth$100 billion, right? if there are tipping points where if the zeitgeist in the country they're in is such that they just go you know i can't be fucked and not because i'm a greedy bastard who wants to spray myself in champagne every day because i want to have control of my of the economic value i've created for the benefit of mankind a lot of very wealthy people think like that truly they think i mean okay musk wants us musk thinks that there's a risk we'll all get killed by an asteroid right and he has a passionate desire to get us off and have an interplanetary civilization and be in Mars we can debate whether or not that's a good thing but that is his north star of everything he's doing right and I just think that I've now lost my thread you shouldn't call which people I sit here I don't sell courses I try and give everything away for free I can make loads more money if I just turn the screws on monetization more effectively but I don't because I just I have a purpose or mission that drives me beyond that that I think I want people from places like me to be able to access the information for free.
52:34And I can concede, or I can believe that there are lots of people out there that have similar missions in their core. And that some of them might become billionaires. And just because they've got nine zeros in the bank account doesn't make them a prick. But also you can't become a billionaire unless you've created a shitload of value for society. Truly, it's the opposite of that Balzac quote. Or you've extracted from the environment, potentially. I look at Ineos and I think like they've probably done loads of good stuff, but then I look at the business and I'm like, this is a pretty dirty business, Jim Radcliffe.
52:59But every time we buy Viacal or whatever, right? Yeah, but it's a pretty dirty industry. So maybe it's like you've created lots of value or you've extracted lots of value from you. But I think there are really pretty serious guardrails on all of that, right? Like, you know, Environmental Protection Agency in the States and blah, and we all know there are problems with those things. But, you know, we have built a system over two centuries where that's got better and better and better. And kids don't get churned up in, you know, in machines in factories at the age of nine anymore, at least not in most of the world.
53:27He trips his kid up just to toughen him up. I push him over, I don't trip him up. He's too resilient. To be fair, he's a unit now. He's like conditioning. He turned three last week. But what size clothes does he wear? Like five-year-olds clothes. Five to six. Well, you're not exactly small, right? No, definitely not. I was going to say on your point about billionaires are better at deploying money at capital than governments. They can be. They often are. Not always. And Damien pushed back with Elon, but I mean you use Starling don't you? Yeah but shit. How good's your internet in your area? It's all shit.
54:04Exactly but like he's going to put a satellite in space to give people internet and that's better than the internet that's been given to Damien in this local area by the government so it's like It's also£100 a month which is pretty pricey but he was like we're going to give cheap internet to the world £120 a month and by the way but the other thing I wanted to in terms of the turkeys phoning for Christmas have a wealth tax blah blah whatever is the government's the biggest it's ever been which is also a key cause of inequality because it's something called the Cantillon effect, right? And this is where it gets, this is like, you know, John Maynard Cain said, not one man in a million understands inflation, which is a bit punchy because that's like 8 ,000 people in the world.
54:41But there are plenty of people who don't understand it and they don't understand these mechanisms. But like when the government artificially suppresses interest rates with quantitative easing, money printing, when the government prints loads of money, right? That makes equities more valuable. You know, why is the S &P going up, up, up, up, because it's in depreciating money because it's monetary debasement. If you look at M2, the gross... The dollars it's priced in are worth less. Correct. Now, what does that do? It makes normal people's lives much harder because they don't own S &P 500. They don't own property in central London.
55:13They don't own gold and silver. It's called the Cantillon effect, and it basically means that the more government is involved, the more money printing there is, the more monetary debasement there is, which we've been doing in size since the 70s. Government's got bigger. Government's printing more money. governs the private sector, that creates income. That is front and centre why we have such bad income inequality, because that is what is driving Jeff Bezos' stock up and Elon Musk's stock up, right? And all the rich hedge fund people in London who have, you know, multi-million pound properties and why nobody can get on the property ladder, right?
55:45Now, the answer to that is not more of it. Like, self-evidently, right? Anybody in economic is like, no. If you have a bigger government and more tax and less real wealth creation, the Cantillon effect is stronger and the rich get even richer. I guess the people on the tax the rich side would say, and again, I'm just trying to have a debate here to mirror what the comments might say. People might say, it's not tax the rich to raise more revenue, it's tax the rich to redistribute so you tax work less. So you might reduce taxation on income tax and increase it on capital gains, increase it on inheritances, increase council tax, so you tax the wealth at a higher rate.
56:26But the very simple insight is whatever you tax, you get less of. The problem we have in this country right now is we're not creating enough... You want work, right? Well, yeah, but also you want wealth. Yeah, but should they not be taxed at parity? Should they not be taxed at the same rate? What's more important, wealth or work? There's a great stat. There was a study done of 3 ,500 of America's wealthiest families admittedly quite a long time ago, but it found that 70 % of very wealthy families lose their wealth within one generation, two generations, and 90 % within three generations, right?
57:01You lose 100 % of your labour within one life. So should you not tax that at a lesser rate than stored wealth and be like, if you've lost your money in one generation, I'm sorry, but that's it. I think what we've all, again, this goes back to the compound effect of how wealth is created. Through labour? If you nip, yeah, but increasingly intangible assets as well, goodwill, right? It's not, Labour's shrinking, Labour's not particularly well with their AI, but we're getting very easy to tell you. But like the flourishing of any economy that delivers real, you know, properties and computers and walk into any, you know, Boots or Superdrug or Aldi or Lidl or Waitrose and just stop for a moment and look around you at the miracle that you're looking at, right?
57:46compared to what anybody had 100 years ago or what my grandparents had right all of that is real wealth and the thing is all of the stories of the thousands and thousands of entrepreneurs and people who've delivered all those products in in the supermarket whether branston i mean it sounds ridiculous branston pickle or you know cathedral city cheese or stuff that's rather more complicated and more expensive or in um pc world on that journey i'm telling you from first time experience I've been working with hundreds of entrepreneurs in my life. If you have egregiously overbearing wealth taxes, people just give up.
58:22They just go, you know, I'm not going to be, I can't be, one of the really well identified problems in Britain is called the vicarage problem, which is that why does Britain not have any trillion dollar companies or really, really big companies? Because basically most people in Britain, when they become wealthy, just want to buy a vicarage and like retire to the country and, you know, not, and stop, right? most people in Britain, which I think is probably quite a good feature of our national zeitgeist, you know, if you're worth 20 million quid, you like stop. Whereas in the States, people want to go and go and go and create.
58:52And I don't think that's necessarily true, because I think there are a lot of it comes, it comes down to a lot more than money to your point you made earlier about being mission driven. You know, if you have a mission, the money's like, for most people like that, it's not about the money. The money is just giving you economic agency to go after your mission, whatever that mission may be. And, you know, and I think that we basically live in societies where a lot of those missions are really good for mankind. I mean, we could sit here, I want to ask you about public services and how they make poor people's lives better.
59:23And, you know, should we leave that to private individuals? But I think we'd get on a whole nother tangent if we did. Look, I think a lot of the things government does is really good and really important. Don't get me wrong. But it's just, you know, we've gone way way way beyond what it should be right coming back to the book if you if you had 25 year old you sat next to you there what's the one thing that today you would say to them that might surprise them about personal finance and the way your views on the world have changed i mean um it's taken me you know 30 years the best part of 30 years to distill out this kind of 80 20 like this is most of the result you need for as little effort as possible right like two or three funds, defensive, aggressive, you know, whatever, gold.
1:00:08And I wish my 25-year-old self had known that and hadn't put quite a lot of money into, like, Croatian land or, you know, some of the stupid shit that I bought. Actually, sorry, Montenegro. I bought a big plot of land in Montenegro with a city bonus, a little bit older than 25, but it was... And I've still got it. I was going to say, you've still got it. Yeah, I've still got it. And it's either worth$2 million or, you know, Marko Brinkovic or whatever his name is, has got my cash and bought a new jet ski or whatever, you know. and a jet ski, several jet skis. And so, you know, I wish I'd been able to say to my 25-year-old self, look, here is a really plain vanilla way of building wealth, like the way I now have written about for the last 10 years.
1:00:45Because, my God, if I could have just done that a bit sooner than, I mean, I did it pretty soon anyway, or a sort of a version of it, but if I'd been able to do it exactly as I would now do it when I was 25, I'd have a shitload more money than, you know, I wouldn't have land in Montenegro. You interrupted the compounding, basically, through buying your Montenegro. I did a fair number of fairly random things with my money back in the day, which I wish I hadn't have done. Have you got the lunch still? I have, yeah. Well, allegedly. Have you been to it ever? Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. It's pretty cool.
1:01:14It's one of those things where if I had the time and got a consortium together, we could build like an amazing boutique. It's one of the most beautiful places in Montenegro. And I could get a group of people together and raise a load of money and put a hotel there and it would be cool and we'd probably make loads of money, but I don't have the time. When you say allegedly, do you think every other day shows another person around? Yeah, correct. I wonder how many people own that plot of land. The eyes, the eye can see is yours. It's all yours. Whoever the light touches is yours, son. The whiskey, you know, the people who own the whiskey.
1:01:40Did you see that documentary about all the whiskey scams and like elderly people buying costs of whiskey from unregulated? The same as the Scottish Lord thing in America. Yeah, yeah. You know, the entitled you or whatever. I'm a thine of Scotland. Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly. And everyone in England's like, obviously you're not, but they took it really seriously that you could buy like a metre square patch and become a lord. Genius. Yeah. I mean, they made a lot of money. They were sponsoring YouTubers aggressively and their accounts come out and they were making like seven, eight million a month.
1:02:10It basically selling air, nothing. And they just bought one field and they just cut it up into little tiny blocks and just, yeah. Should definitely tax those people more. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. So you would tax that. That's a robber baron. Yeah, yeah, come on. Crooks. Well, thank you so much, mate.
From the publisher
How To Own The World’ was probably the biggest influence on me getting into investing. Its author, Andrew Craig, has now released a new edition tailored for readers under 30 (https://amzn.eu/d/4QqRHdJ).
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Chapters:
00:00 - The Power of Compounding
06:47 - The One Rule For Investing
10:59 - Wealth And Money
16:06 - Vanta ad
17:17 - Capitalism And Prosperity
23:21 - Index Funds
31:18 - TaxZap ad
32:34 - Saving the UK Economy
43:06 - Wealth Inequality
51:13 - Wealth And Value
54:57 - Tax Wealth or Work?
58:35 - What You Should Know at 25
