REKT Vision: Bybit Hacked for $1.4B | Are Meme Coins Dead?

21 Feb 2025 · 1 h 7 min

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Podcast Episode Summary

Podcast Title

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Episode Title

REKT Vision: Bybit Hacked for $1.4B | Are Meme Coins Dead?

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Episode Overview In this episode of the Real Vision Podcast, co-founders Ovie "OSF" Faruq and Michael "Mando" Anderson discuss recent major events in the cryptocurrency market, including the substantial hack of the Bybit exchange, the implications for meme coins, and the evolving narratives around cryptocurrencies and their utility.

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Key Topics Discussed

  1. Bybit Exchange Hack
  2. Incident Overview:
  3. Bybit was hacked for approximately $1.4 billion worth of ETH.
  4. The hack is noted as one of the largest in the history of cryptocurrency exchanges.
  • Mechanism of the Hack:
  • The intrusions allegedly occurred through a spoofed multi-signature transaction.
  • Users were tricked into signing transactions that they believed were legitimate.
  • Market Response:
  • The hack caused market dips of 3-5% in major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin.
  • Bybit’s CEO assured users that all withdrawals were secure and that the situation was under control.
  1. Market Dynamics
  2. Impact of the Hack:
  3. Concerns arose that Bybit may need to buy back the stolen ETH, which could further impact the market.
  4. Anticipation of users withdrawing funds from centralized exchanges due to security fears.
  • Shifts in Investment Trends:
  • Discussion on the potential pivot from meme coins to cryptocurrencies with actual utility.
  • Acknowledgment that the meme coin market may be facing challenges, particularly after the recent drama surrounding the Libra coin launched by Argentine president Milei.
  1. Meme Coins and Their Future
  2. Current Sentiment:
  3. Participants in the episode expressed skepticism about the long-term viability of meme coins.
  4. The trend of speculative trading and rapid coin launches was criticized as being unsustainable.
  • Libra Scandal:
  • The launch of the Libra coin was seen as emblematic of the issues in the meme coin space, with many insiders owning a majority of the token supply, leading to significant losses for retail investors.
  • Lessons Learned:
  • Retail investors are often left holding the bag as insiders benefit from pump-and-dump schemes.
  • The episode discussed the need for greater scrutiny and regulation in the crypto space to protect investors.
  1. Future Trends in Crypto
  2. Evolving Investment Strategies:
  3. There is a shift toward altcoins with utility and strong narratives, particularly those that do not rely on meme-driven speculation.
  4. Discussion of potential growth in AI-related cryptocurrencies, highlighting the importance of tangible applications of AI in crypto.
  • Decentralized Finance (DeFi):
  • The hosts indicated a growing interest in DeFi projects that offer significant yield opportunities.
  • Emerging platforms such as Sonic and Bearachain were mentioned as potential areas for investment.
  1. Audience Engagement
  2. Questions from Viewers:
  3. Listeners raised concerns about the safety of keeping assets on centralized exchanges.
  4. Discussions on the nature of trading strategies in light of recent hacks and market fluctuations.

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Key Takeaways

  • The cybersecurity landscape in crypto remains precarious, with significant hacks reinforcing the need for stringent security measures and due diligence by investors.
  • Investment narratives are shifting away from vulnerable meme coins towards projects that offer real utility and innovative technology.
  • The podcast emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics, staying informed about emerging trends, and adjusting investment strategies accordingly.

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Conclusion This episode of Real Vision highlights the complexities and risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies. The discussions around the Bybit hack and the shifting focus from meme coins to utility-driven projects underscore the evolving nature of the crypto market. Investors are encouraged to remain vigilant and adaptable in their strategies.

For more insights and in-depth discussions, listeners are encouraged to subscribe to Real Vision and participate in the community.

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Transcript

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1:56Hello again for another episode of Wrecked Vision. it was actually gearing up to be a pretty good show until about an hour before we went live it looks like Bybit's been hacked just a few days after FTX we pay everyone$800 million we have our latest crypto exchange calamity Bybit has been hacked for over$1.4 million dollars. This is slightly surprising. This is probably the second biggest exchange in the world, arguably, in terms of volume. We can go into how it happened, but this has definitely had a bit of an impact. We've seen stuff dip around 3-5 % across Bitcoin and some of the majors. Yeah, it's crazy.

2:50I mean, the magnitude of this hack is about 1.4 billion dollars worth of ETH so it's a crazy crazy number it sounds like it was through like a spoofed multi-sig um transaction for people to sign which is really crazy because I think if you're at that level where you're signing things for you know that much under management you should obviously like check and read everything that you're doing it's I didn't really quite understand the nature of the hack but it sounds like people didn't realize what they were signing um i can give you i can give a little bit of a detail so please do ben benza who is the founder of five it's gone on um gone online and said firstly that we're one for one um we will this isn't going to take down by a bit although this is a crazy amount of money like all withdrawals will be fine everyone's money is fine hi raul here listen i think we've got until 2030 before the economic singularity arrives.

3:54Now, it might not be the exact date, but it's around then. So we have about six years to figure out how to unfuck our future. I've put together a report to help you called Prepare for 2030. It's going to help you take the first steps in that journey to make sure you're secure past 2030. So just click on the link below and start your journey now. I mean, trust, but verify, you can always take your money off by it. Like if you've got a large amount of funds on there but um he is basically saying that this is not going to be um like an ftx style hole let's say he is saying that it was a musk attack he's saying and i look at what a musk attack is a musk attack refers to a phishing technique where attackers create a perfect visual replica or legitimate interface in this case safe's multi-sig multi-sig wallet interface but the actual transaction data being signed is different from what's displayed it's similar to a fake ATM interface.

4:50The screen shows you're withdrawing 100 bucks, but the machine is actually programmed to take your whole balance. So I think they create almost like a fake site, safe site and a fake transaction. I don't know how that's happened, but this is clearly a very, very sophisticated hack. They had pre-warned everyone that they were going to move some of these funds from their hot wallet to their cold wallet. and then clearly a hacker has been given the heads up to create a very very detailed scam here but it says this is a particularly dangerous attack vector because even experienced users with hardware wallets can fall for it if they don't verify the raw transaction data the safe wallet interface was specifically targeted here since it's widely used by major institutions for secure storage makes you think right like um we're going to see some very sophisticated like safe like websites you need to be checking on your um yeah you need to be checking everything even even on safe which is like used by everyone it's crazy because you know safe is deemed to be the the thing that is like this is the safest way to manage large amounts of money you're going through there's no single point of failure like multiple people have to sign you would think if there's an issue like this, it would get caught somewhere along the lines.

6:11I don't know how many people had a signatory on this particular safe, but I would imagine it's at least three or four, if not more than that. So, yeah, I don't really know. I mean, I don't even really know how you're to blame as a signatory if the UI you're looking at just looks normal or is completely replicated to be spoofed and the URL is normal and fine as well. So yeah, that's kind of insane. It must be something that's happened internally, right? Because someone must have received the... Like I presume when they have something to sign, they have some sort of internal communication beforehand, which says, oh, hey, by the way, sign this.

6:55I don't think they just logged into the safe and saw, oh, here's something to sign. Let me just sign it without verifying it first. So it must be something that's happened internally, I'd imagine. Yeah, I honestly don't know. I think we'll find out a lot more data about this. Obviously, a hack this big, 1.4 billion, you have to assume it's someone very sophisticated. North Koreans are generally behind a lot of these. Interestingly, they've recently hacked in all different sorts of ways, but the worst ones we've seen in the past have been when people have got hold of private keys, things like the Ronin bridge hack.

7:33For example, to get$1.4 billion off-chain might be a little bit difficult. This is obscene amounts of money. So to even get that through a centralized exchange into a bank, I don't know how they got to do that. How do you do that? Well, Tornado Cash is now almost allowed. So they will be able to do that. but I would imagine this is such a big figure this is such a big figure that it probably just makes sense to do some form of bartering to get the money back like I'll keep 10-20 % you get the rest of it back I'm sure over the next two days we will hear some sort of message being passed from the hacker back to back to Bybit because I just feel like that's just an obscene amount of money to be able to get away with hacking.

8:28I don't know. If they get away with it, it's kind of bearish for the whole space because I think that's that is yeah, it's just so like that, you can just steal$1.4 billion like everyone's going to be trying it, you know? Yeah, I don't yeah, there's just no I'm trying to think how you get it out. Even Tornado Cash presumably the Tornado Cash guys realize something like that is coming and maybe they have some way to block it i don't really know no i mean they'd have to do it to thousands upon thousands of addresses right um and then all of those would have to basically take it out through a centralized exchange because that's where the majority of the on and off ramps are or i don't know maybe there's some other ways that they can do it in some way he's gonna have to find some some black market otc buyer who does that some crazy discount i guess well yeah knowing it's that i guess you're right like it's it's such a large amount of money it's basically impossible to really get it all out yeah but even you can't really negotiate with can you you can't just say okay you guys take back one bill i'll take 500 mil then like how you're gonna get that out you can um i mean often they'll say we won't prosecute you know if if we get their funds back that sort of stuff um i've seen it happen oh for smaller amounts but like smaller amounts yeah you know you you keep 140 mil that's it's pretty nice uh yeah yeah uh so have you ever wanted to trade bitcoin but haven't dared try with plus 500 futures you can trade crypto without the hassle of opening a wallet with just a few clicks you can register and start practicing with their free and unlimited demo.

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10:51Visit us.plus500.com to learn more. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Not all applicants will qualify. Plus 500, it's trading with a plus. Yeah, I'm trying to think that like what the hacker must be thinking at this stage, like imagine getting hold of that and being like it works i've got 1.4 billion dollars um crazy and the other side of that is the is the the people who signed the transaction like can you just imagine the moment where it shows it's being moved out of the account and you're just like what has happened here uh not good to think about for sure so is this like good or bad for the market i mean obviously the knee jack reaction is things should sell off but i see a lot of people talking about the fact that by a bit may potentially have to buy back the 1.5 billion worth of e they're not able to recover it to replenish what they lost i guess um well this is they're selling the eath they've sold about 200 to 300 million dollars so the initial move was lower but i agree like the next move might have to be that by the have to buy it back um I think the obvious moves here would be people might take more money off centralized exchanges.

12:09I saw literally two minutes ago that Binance came out with an even higher yield on their stablecoin. So they're clearly scared that people might just move tons of funds off centralized exchanges off the back of this. That's the general knee-jerk reaction when one of these exchange things happens. similarly like some of the DEXs might gain market share so like a sort of a bunch of people who are because Bybit is known for spot but it's really known for perps right it's really known for perps so Hyperliquid for example is actually up on the back of this because people are expecting even more volume to kind of move to them which I think is which makes a lot of sense to be honest although I wouldn't say Hyperliquid is like squeaky clean in terms of its security process either.

12:57Lots of different vulnerabilities potentially there. So I don't know. I just think people will probably just take a pause. There's normally like a 24-hour is like, oh God, how is my own personal security doing here? Maybe I shouldn't be doing that. Yeah, it's kind of a crazy amount. I think with AI as well, this stuff is only going to become more and more sophisticated, isn't it? we're only starting to scratch the surface of how crazy AI is going to be at hacking the stuff that we do so and crypto is like fair game for just a crazy amount of this sort of hack but I don't know let me have a look total number amount hacked in 24 this has got to be hacked in crypto this has got to be Yeah, so$2.2 billion was stolen in 2024.

13:53So this is almost, this is about 75 % of what was stolen in all of 2024. It's been stolen just now. So pretty big figure. Yeah. I'm curious to see how this plays out. I mean, we've grown into it a little bit because the market was feeling pretty good until then, if I'm honest. And ETH was actually outperforming. On the week, we bring up the weekly moves. ETH had had one of its best weeks in a long, long time. And normally when ETH rallies, the rest of the market pukes. But ETH had been up about 4 % on the week. Bitcoin had been up about 2%, 3%. And Solana actually had been down about 10%. And post this, Bitcoin's again higher than ETH on the week.

14:46So I think people were calling for like altcoin season. You know, ETH is suddenly now breaking out versus Bitcoin after just being downtrodden for so long. And interestingly, it was starting to beat Solana by a decent amount. And I think this is probably short term. I don't think this is like, this really isn't going to take down ETH. But it is annoying to be an ETH holder and feel like, you know, stuff's starting to move. Things are starting to look good. And now you've got a guy who's selling, you know, at least a billion dollars, potentially, more to go. It's not that good. Remember, we kind of had that with FTX, the FTX hacker.

15:27Do you remember? Whenever, like, they used to swap ETH. ETH used to get smashed lower. That was just after the FTX collapsed. Do you remember that? Yeah. Yeah, and everyone was watching when they sold and all this sort of stuff, and it wasn't good. So maybe this is a little bit of an overhang for Ether, which I don't think people will be that happy about. But nevertheless, it did feel like that was the general trend. It did feel like the market was feeling pretty good. Bitcoin was heading back to 100K, and we were starting to see – it felt terrible middle of the week, but by the end of the week, you know, it felt a little bit better.

16:13What's your views? I know you're a Bitcoin maxi these days but you have been dancing around a little bit in some other stuff. What's your take on how the market dynamic is shifting a little bit here? I think you're starting to see, obviously I've been very Bitcoin maxi-ish for a while. I think you're starting to see pockets of altcoin performance, L1 performance out there, things that aren't just Bitcoin have been rallying this week and doing well interestingly it's not really memes and I think after the, I mean we haven't even spoke about the whole Libra stuff and I guess we'll cover it but it's crazy that was still like less than a week ago but I think after that and a lot of these extraction type meme coins it's funny because we on the show would talk about the whole narrative was like oh old coins are bad because VC's getting really low and they just dump on you as the resting schedules unlock and you're the one left holding the bag.

17:08And meme coins were like the fight against that. Whereas now with like the last 90 % of meme coins, it's just insiders who, you know, club together on the stuff and then end up dumping on you as a retail investor. So it feels like it's now as if it's once again switched back. And indeed, there are some altcoins that are doing pretty well in the last week or so. Story Protocol, which spoke about Sonic today, which is Phantom, Barachain, Aptos. There's been a few of them. So I just wonder now whether, I don't think it's like a carte blanche for all coins, but I just wonder now whether like some more serious, even AI coins are up a decent amount in the last few days.

17:54I just wonder if there's now more return to some of these coins and perhaps in situations where something like Hyperliquid, where it was, I think they didn't even raise capital, right? There's no real VC involvement. Yeah. But there's also no, they're not being extractive, if that makes sense, like many coins are these days. So I think a coin with a good story like that can do really well. Like actually a good use case, good utility. So back away to mid curving or ideally right curving some of this stuff, but also a good narrative where it's not just like, oh, here's all the VCs again, I think.

18:37So we maybe go into that a little bit because, you know, this time last week, Libra hadn't happened, right? Which has kind of been seen as a bit of the final nail in the coffin for, well, not nail in the coffin, but it's definitely put a break on the Solana Casino. So this was, we've been speaking before that about the hyper rotation, you know, new coin each week. And that Trump, after Trump, you'd have Melania and then you had a bunch of other celebrities come in and do kind of ump and dump style coins. And no one wanted to hold anything because there was just a new coin each day and you needed to buy the daily runner.

19:18This time last week, yeah, the Libra coin came out, which is from the Argentinian president, Mille. and he did it. One of the more crazy, crazy stories in crypto, right? He seems to have done it alongside a LA-based token launching group led by... Head Adams. No. Head Adams, right? A young guy who is just a bit gormless, right? Completely gormless. who seemingly was behind Milania and a few other coins. This coin initially went up to around$4.5 billion after it launched. Everyone was going crazy. Now, this is the new Trump. I can't believe Argentina launched a coin. And it quite quickly became apparent that 95 % of the tokens were owned by insiders, which wouldn't unlock completely.

20:16They could sell at any time. and that a bunch of people had been given kind of a heads up on this and that then it quickly started to fall. And then I think around a billion dollars, just under a billion dollars, Miele deleted his tweets and said he wasn't part of it. And it went all the way down to$300 million. Since then, there's been a bit of back and forth about whether he was involved or how much he was involved. But in the political side, he's definitely under pressure from this. But I think the main takeaway was that what you just said is that it suddenly just felt like there'd actually been this, the casino had been rigged for a little bit here.

20:57And it actually engulfed some of the major Solana protocols. The main one being Meteora that's been behind the Trump launch, the Melania launch, and this launch, and seemingly had been using this group to launch a few of these different coins and potentially profited from it as well. There's a lot of debate about whether these big protocols were involved in something like the insider trading around it. A bunch of influencers, KOLs, were revealed to kind of know about this and perhaps have gotten free allocation. Dave Portnoy said he was given free allocation, but like sent it back, but then was given$5 million because of his trading losses.

21:36It all kind of stunk on many different levels, and there was a bit of a witch hunt afterwards because it kind of felt like it had been revealed, the sort of scammingness of what had been going on. And since then, Solana DeFi volumes are down about 50 % to 60%. Solana dropped from trading at around 205 % all the way down to 160 % pretty soon after this happened. and a lot of the protocols on there also fell just because meme coin trading, this sort of casino spirit had been such a big part of Solana's activity. Maybe not 100 % its culture, but that was driving so much of its activity. What do you make of all that?

22:25Like, do you think, firstly, yeah, what are your thoughts about the coin? What happened? And then what do you think of the implications? it's just this is not the first time the same people have done this trick where you get someone who is really big or famous or important to sort of like bless the coin and i think what they tell javier mille maybe is something like hey you can make some money out of this this isn't your coin but as long as you tweet about it people will assume that it's your coin it's all about it all seems to be about like can we get them to tweet about it um so uh once you have that then you know the rest of the market is like oh wow this is going to be like crazy ifdv coin and everyone just firms into it so what these guys have done is they've just been using these meteoropols where they just put in like a bunch of the tokens that they have as um it effectively becomes one-sided liquidity because they put in two-sided liquidity.

23:28It all rallies because everyone firm is into it and they pull the bid-side liquidity to monetize basically and then they've just extracted money from everyone. So it's pretty bad because I think in this situation there was a stat that I read which was $286 million of realized losses on this coin and if you looked at the top 10 or even top 20 they were all like mid to low seven figure losses realized not just like paper losses but realized losses so um i just think it got the market got to a point where people were maybe high off the trump trade or feeling coped from the trump trade and the amount of posts i saw in the timeline where people were just full porting this thing like you know putting oh here's my whole$3 million portfolio, put it all into this relay coin.

24:27And then just subsequently losing 50, 60, 70, 80, 90%, depending on where you got out is crazy, but it's sort of like a perfect storm, right? Like all of every time, not just crypto, but every time any market sells off is because there's been too much risk taken within the system. And that happens because of greed. People get too greedy and want to make as much money as possible. And here you have two sides of the fence. you have a bad actor being greedy and trying to, you know, extract this money from the retail market. And then you have like the entire retail market itself diving headfirst into it being greedy.

25:06And it's not even like, like, I think people realize maybe it's a scam. I'm not really sure. I don't really believe it's going to have longevity, but everyone just gambles to try and make that quick, like two, three, four, five, 10 X, right? So it's kind of what happened. Everyone lost their money. I don't know how this guy is going to get out of the$100 million right now that they have in these wallets. $110 million, yeah. He's talked about putting it back into the chart. The levels of illegality of what's going on here is kind of insane. I just think he obviously hasn't spoken to a lawyer or has no idea what's going on.

25:40But it's a big liquidity suck out of what I would say is the trenches, which kind of is the pool of capital that invests in mean coins. And so a lot of people sold their meme coins to buy this, lost their money on this, and that capital hasn't really flowed back into those meme coins. And like I said, this is happening over and over again. I mean, the scale of the losses of this one was probably the largest, but the same thing has happened with people. Trump did well, but it's still off. It's still, what, like down 60 % or 70 % from the highs. Like people have lost money on that. People have lost money on Melania.

26:15People have lost money on Enron. Jelly Jelly. like all these random coins that came out it's just probably the same group of two or three people coming in extracting the capital away out of retail retail takes the hit tries to make it back on something else and you know slow it's like that meme where you have the big wheel and this slightly smaller one the slightly smaller one like retail is slowly being drained of its of its capital and i think it's going to take a while for the market to recover and um i don't know maybe that's why you're also seeing like some bigger pools of capital feeling more confident to invest in alts or other things that aren't memes because now it's like oh well these are actually dead so i don't have to make that decision and you buy some of this other stuff now um i think it's all related really i i agree with that analysis almost almost completely like i think um i think this one was interesting because i think a lot of people did a huge amounts because there was and often it was like influencers and kols right because i think they'd been given a tip off um that this was going to come and and they'd done the trump playbook and then often those are the people that lost the most like a lot of people um lost quite a lot who were like um kols or kind of semi-insiders let's say um which is kind of kind of interesting around this one um but i do think people just feel as though like you said it's come to light that this this was almost like it a tried and tested method of taking money away from from retail um i hadn't been making any money on on the left curve stuff since trump um i i'd like that's when i kind of reduced it um into into more defensive plays because i just felt like i wasn't going to make money but a lot of people were still trying to play that hyper rotation you know don't own anything like i'll buy the daily runner i'll sell it at the top and i'll try and move on to the next one i think that people were losing a lot of money and then to see then that this came out that that was actually a rigged game despite a lot of a lot of key voices in the space telling you to like you know you need to buy the daily runner um i think i think that was that was painful for a lot of people and that's caused this massive backlash like it felt worst or around the same as ftx on on monday or tuesday in like the core ct community i think you kind of agree with that just because it also felt like all el all the old sold off in the back of this everyone just felt like because solana's been such a huge huge trade from from um from many angles of alts as well that people got very very frustrated but you kind of look at the market stables gone up to still going higher we've got 250 billion nearly of stables on chain right now.

28:58That wasn't really changing. It didn't look like we're heading to a bear market. It just felt like people were just done. They were done with the casino. And well, they were done with that room of the casino, let's say. We've now moved on to the new room, which appears to be altcoins and DGEN DeFi, which is kind of what we said at the start of the show. But what I've been seeing is a lot more of the 2021 DeFi crew being a bit more emboldened. A lot of like older faces starting to pop up. A lot of the newer faces from this cycle being a lot quieter. And a trend towards L1s with active ecosystems.

29:42This kind of started with some of the newer launches. So around this time last year, I don't know if you remember, but everyone used to buy the new launch, the new Binance coin, right? And we had some big runners in gaming and a few other different things. But it's kind of gone back there a little bit. Things like Story Protocol is up 150 % this week. There was a new coin, Kaito, which was a social platform coin. Pretty interesting one, actually, there. That's up to like 1.5, 2 billion. Payne did well, which was that other new coin, at least in the meme coin space, it suddenly just felt like, okay, now people are looking at new launches.

30:20That's where we're going to degen. And then some of the more established degen DeFi chains is where I see a lot of money moving. And those two are really bearer chain, which again is also a new chain. And Sonic, which is the one that I guess I think me and you have been looking at it a little bit more over the last 24, 48 hours. And I think it makes sense. You know, on these chains, there's often crazy casino-like DeFi yields. Like you can put it into LPs where you get thousands of percents and there's a huge rewards program, for example, going on in Sonic right now. And you can see that people are, there's funds moving from things like Solana and activity moving things like Solana into these chains.

31:11And you can see that in DEX volume, PERP volume, and TVL changes. I think Sonic's TVL has gone from under a million dollars to$700 million in a month. And you're starting to see price increases in these L1 coins about 50 % to 60%. But it's really the activity on the chain, which is the DGEN stuff, which people are being drawn to. I'm not saying I think this is like the next meta yet, but I don't think, I think that this could be the thing that people now start to get more involved in. And I think it could be a slightly different crowd. I think people have had enough of some of the influences from the last six months.

31:57And I think some of the more crazy stuff from the DeFi influences might suddenly become more attractive. what do you think osaf do you think do you think this trend of altcoins and new coins and then dj and defies is might be the thing that lasts with us for a month two months yeah i think a month or two months it could definitely happen i don't feel like it's strong enough to be a main circle narrative like you know dj and defy is not that easy to understand for the average person um number one number two if you're based somewhere like the uk or the us the tax implications of it are quite complicated as well so i think um for me it's um uh it's not the it's not something that will be like a main cycle narrative but i do think um it can dominate the timeline and people for about a month or so yeah maybe we'll talk a little bit about sonic because that's the one i I think interests me the most.

33:00This was Sonic is Phantom. If anyone remembers Phantom from last cycle, they did an upgrade to the chain. They rebranded. It's now doing 10K TPS. So that's at Solana or faster levels, obviously pre-Fired Answer, but it's the fastest EVM chain. It's an L1, it's not an L2, and was created by André Cronier, who is a pretty well-known kind of DeFi OG. and phantom was like the home of dgen defy in 2021 and they i think they're giving 300 million dollars worth of rewards roughly um over the next six months to people who are doing stuff on the chain um so so it feels like a lot of money has moved and i don't know i quite like some of these stories like that that maybe there's going to be i love solana like i i think it's more a culture a thing that's been shaken out here but i do think that people want to move away from it like they they want to go and do something else and and it's just the right time right place for something like this like um like bear a chain or or like sonic the fdvs of these sort of these chains is much lower you know um the ones that we've mentioned today sonic's at three billion I think Bearer chains are around four and a half and Story Protocol, which is very, very different, to be clear, I think is around four.

34:32But you compare that to like Sui at 30, you compare that to Solana at, what is it, 80 or 90 now? 90 maybe? 85. There is some room to run there. you know like if if if the tvl of these chains continues to go up and you continue to see like a building out of a community there those aren't the worst altcoin longs and there was a lot of talk of like you know this could be another bitcoin dominance is still at 61 so to say it's an altcoin season i think is it's kind of crazy but but it could be this pocket of altcoins could have a bit of a run here, which is the alt L1s, not Solana. And that may include ETH2, you know, barring today's disaster.

35:22But it feels as though there could be a movement away from some of the L1s that have done well so far, maybe Sui and Solana, into some of these newer, lower-cap ones with relatively established communities. Yeah, I think it doesn't take much to you told me about sonic this morning and i kind of just decided that to get involved doesn't it's not a difficult pitch to understand and i think it's something people can get on board with quite quickly whether it's i'm a bit um skeptical as to how long it lasts for like i'm i'm definitely skeptical of metrics such as TVL even volumes I'm skeptical of I think fuse generated is probably the best metric and provided that it shows some consistency in staying high I think it's interesting but other than that I think um I think it's something that can do well for a few weeks or something like that but I don't know if it's enough to dethrone the likes of Solana etc I mean, even with like finance smart chain, right?

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36:36Like you had the whole CZ push a couple of weeks ago and then activity just dropped off again pretty quickly. I don't know. I don't think there's enough meat on the bone to say that, oh, this is going to be the next big thing for the rest of this year. It could be, but it's too early to, I think, to judge that. Yeah, it's definitely early. I think this is a show that maybe in two weeks will be like, okay, did that continue or did it not? But what I noticed today in these bounces is that meme coins haven't been the thing that really bounced. AI coins have actually done okay. So I think AI, as I've said before, I really like that narrative throughout the year.

37:15I think we know our favorite coins there really at this stage. They've been beaten up a lot, but I think they still could provide many multiple sort of returns. Maybe you talk about your AI thoughts as well, because I know you're getting increasingly bigger in AI-16Z and ARK, which I think are the two probably the strongest alongside. Well, I would have said Farcoin, but it still feels like it has that meme aspect to it right now, which I think could hold it back in this market. But yeah, what do you think about those two? I know they've got some developments coming up where they could be moving more towards like an L1 narrative as well.

37:55Yeah, exactly. Like I think, no, I don't have any Farcoin and I don't think I ever will. I think it's become mid-curve to left-curve, if that makes sense. And I think everyone is so trapped in like, oh, memes, left-curve, blah, blah, blah. But that's just not where any institutional capital can invest in any meaningful size. If you're a crypto fund and you have investors and you have to explain to them, oh, I bought this Fartcoin thing and now it's down 80%, you're going to lose that capital, right? Whereas with AI, everyone understands it because all your investors are probably invested in TradFi, AI, and AI private equity and everywhere else, basically.

38:38So they'll understand it as a concept, as an industry. And if you can demonstrate, hey, there are actual real products within crypto that use AI and this could be the next big thing, that's a really easy sale, in my opinion. So just from a top-down standpoint, I think AI and crypto can be really massive just because that is a big narrative that is spoken about every single day in all of our lives, even outside of trading and markets and all that kind of stuff as well. So AI agents, I think, is the first tangible use case of AI within crypto. You can actually see these agents operate. You can see what they're doing.

39:19You can explain what an agent does to a normal person who doesn't really understand crypto or AI. It all makes sense. So in the past, you had coins like FET and TAU, and I think they were just more difficult to grasp to a very simple person, whereas this stuff is really easy to understand and grasp. And then finally, and the reason why I like AI-16Z and ARK is I think there is potentially going to be this L1 narrative within the AI space at some point. Like, hey, this is the AI L1 where all the agents get launched and operate on and, you know, the more stuff that's yet to come. And then you think about, you know, where do most L1s trade?

39:57They trade in like the multiple billions of dollars of FTV. And you could maybe even assign like a premium to this because it's AI. so I just think you know something like AI 16Z app was at $400 million market cap ARK at$250 or whatever it is all this stuff could be very easily in the billions in my opinion and I like again AI 16Z is the one I have the most of just because it's they're going to rename it it's rebranded to Eliza and Eliza OS is like one of the most followed and and um highest rated githubs out there like there's tons of people working on this it's there's tons of um stuff that's been created on top of this like eliza is not just going away tomorrow it's not you really look at some of these coins and think oh wow this is don't know this will work maybe the dev team rugs it and they walk away tomorrow like for eliza that's not 100 % not the case like this has been ongoing for years and um you have a real real team behind it so um that's the one that I like the most and I sort of have arcs like a beta beta about really.

41:06Virtuals came out with something this week, which I thought was interesting. This autonomous businesses are here. They have their now create autonomous agents, basically they can talk to each other. So it's the idea that you could create a swarm of agents all talking to each other on chain, performing actions on chain. They continue to be kind of also at the forefront of, of pushing new tech in this space. and that's at like$1.3 billion FDV. But I agree with you 100 % that this is where we're going to see explosive growth in crypto users and I still have a very, very strong view that like you just said, like doing DGEN DeFi is difficult but giving it to an AI agent to do it might be much, much easier than what people are used to.

41:55So I think that it will reduce the complexities on onboarding, particularly in some of the more difficult things, difficult technical things. And I think they'll be used extensively by the end of this year for various different things in crypto. They'll be one of the major things that kind of come out of this next year. So that's why I agree with you. I think these launch pads or maybe even moving into chains can capture a huge amount of it. maybe we'll change gear just slightly and go back to majors here um if we talk about bitcoin eith solana xrp now you still bitcoin maxi or do you feel as though this could be a moment for eith to kind of take up the mantle a little bit um if bitcoin just continues to head lower.

42:50Where's the Dow? Why is it BTC now? 25, 27, so it's back down to capital. The recent lows or no, actually it got all the way, not far from the recent lows. After a period where it felt like it was starting to break out versus Bitcoin at least reverse, are you tempted at all to move some of that Bitcoin back into ETH?

43:21not not really you're not thinking about it at all like um i mean i still have a lot of eth and eth exposure just through various things like if eth rallies a lot i'll be very happy um just through various things like i can't really sell and whatnot so um if eth rallies i'll be very happy so i don't i don't feel like i need to get extra exposure to it if i had zero exposure to eth will i own some here yes i think so i think that's the way i feel the reason why i haven't just been like banging the drum or piling into it just because i'm i'm we're both like many people are in this industry that just naturally very exposed to eth anyway so i've even been questioning my jlp a little bit in this market which has been my for a whole year that's a big one for you questioning the jlp well it's performed relatively well you know like uh despite solana being down 40 percent it's down roughly 15 percent um from where i bought it maybe slightly higher no about about 15 percent um from that from that high obviously i bought it much much lower but the it's still been like that's kind of similar to bitcoin's move from its high you know bitcoin is down what 12 so it's not underperformed that much as being pure Bitcoin.

44:45But one thing that JLP is, is it's also a bet on Solana volumes, particularly their PERP volumes through Jupiter. And Jupiter is slightly caught up in the FUD from Libra, like directly. Like Meow has said there's going to be an internal investigation on who knew what, because he is also one of the co-founders of Meteora that was at the center of this. and all I keep on seeing is that like, is Dex volumes continue to fall and Perk volumes continue to fall on Solana, like if you bring up Perk volumes for the last week, I think G-Persis is down like over 50%, over 60%, so that does worry me slightly but I don't know what to move into I don't know if I should consider a different LP sort of token, if I should move into ETH, Bitcoin, maybe like a...

45:49I've been looking at lots of different angles, but I am starting to question if JLP should be as big a bit of my portfolio now, just because it has such a large Solana exposure. And the reason why it's been outperforming for so long is that Solana volumes have been so high, but they've definitely taken a dip over the last week. And I feel like at this level, It's basically been the same as owning Bitcoin. And I don't know if that will continue. But yes, that's my general thoughts on it. It just seems good. For me, JLP is always like a defensive trade. Like it outperforms the market when it trends lower.

46:27Or even sometimes when it's flat, because obviously you're making money on the perp side of things. So as the market sells off and many altcoins are sold off, it does make sense to reduce exposure to that and just long coins. It reminds me of like, I think we both had this JLP trade on in the summer of last year and at the end of the summer I swapped all my JLP into meme coins just to express like a bullish view as everything had dropped and that ended up working pretty well and I wonder if you're meant to do the same here except a set of meme coins that should be you know i say eth or some of this other l1 stuff yeah i think that's what i'm thinking maybe doing a basket of like different ones like doing a bit of bit of um sonic bit of eth bit of bitcoin and then and probably doing it in lps or or creating some form of a of a um of a basket there which which can only yield at the same time so basically kind of replicate jlp but yeah but in a slightly different way.

47:36Okay. Do we maybe want to go to questions? Yeah, let's do some questions. Before we do the questions, we're going to showcase some more pro-crypto content on Real Vision. Earlier this week, we had Sebastian Purcell holding a roundtable of institutional crypto fund managers and analysts. Um, one of the guests, well, interesting. One of the guests they had said they expect a shift from mean coins to utility coins in the short term, but that mean coins aren't truly dead. It's an interesting take. Um, definitely one worth checking out. If you guys go over to realvision.com and, uh, sign in with your pro crypto subscription, you'll be able to watch that in detail.

48:26Um, definitely one that I think I will check out given the discussion we've had today. Um, all right, questions. first one from JP on the Real Vision website. Why the hell are people, especially those that are more crypto native, keeping their spot coins on sex? I mean, at this point in time, if you've been crypto for at least one cycle, you should know to keep your coins in a cold storage wallet. Why is this an issue? It's a really good point. I think it's been going a little bit back and forth, to be honest. Like, I think there's obviously been some massive DeFi hacks. Sometimes people just don't feel comfortable like with self-custody like they feel as though they might lose their wallets they might they might um you know they might sign something on their phantom or their metamask and then it's all gone so they quite like the one layer of security which like a centralized exchange brings but then whenever there's a centralized exchange hack it's like catastrophic like this um i don't know i i would agree with you but because i you know i have the vast majority of all our funds in in like multi-six but then to be fair by bit got hacked via multi-six they didn't get hacked hacked on the advisory exchange so this is kind of one of those weird things where it was kind of one of the the cornerstones of your holding um holding your own assets has been hacked here, which has then taken down a centralized exchange.

49:55So I think don't just assume if you have your own keys that you're fine. I'm definitely checking everything that I do with safe from now on, Gnosis safe. Yeah, I think obviously from a safety standpoint, if you keep all your funds on a ledger or even on a hot wallet on a computer that you never use or something like that, you strip out the third party risk. I think if you're an active trader and you're trading a lot of perps or other things, it's obviously a lot easier to just keep all your money on an exchange, right? Like the act of, oh, hey, I just bought a soul, then I switched it to ETH and I bought Bitcoin and transferring it out to a wallet and back on every single time.

50:44For an active trader, it's very painful to do that. So I think that's one reason why people keep their funds on exchanges. You know, the guys that lost the most money on FTX were all very active traders. So I think that's one of the main reasons. I think also sometimes people feel, it's weird, but like psychologically people feel safer with funds on a sex. It's like, oh, I can't do anything to mess this up by boosting my C phrase or clicking something, you know, clicking a bad link or something like that. don't forget like people get hacked a lot from phishing links and signing malicious transactions and all that kind of stuff so there's a lot there's a lot of reasons why I think you probably just the main thing is just to not have all your money in one place like you should split it up across different wallets across some sexes some self custody so you don't have a single point of failure I think that's the biggest thing I mean I've never really been hacked, but I, a year, a couple of years ago, um, I can't remember what it's called, but, not BananaBot, one of the bots on, Unibot, I think it was, um, had money on Unibot, and Unibot got, um, got hacked basically, and I lost some money on that, which I actually got back in the end, but, um, I didn't have all my money on it, it was just like a, a small amount which I'd use for trading.

52:11So, the main thing, the main thing I think is just don't have all the money in one place. and be aware of the risks as well. Yep. The market is going to sell off on the back of this. It looks as though we might rebound and everyone was okay. The Bybit CEO is actually doing a live stream right now if you are affected, if he's doing a live stream on X, trying to quell worries. But after FTX, I think people are right to be a little bit worried. Bitcoin's holding up okay, still kind of 98-ish, just under right now. but yeah, it's back down to 2 ,700. Solana's kind of 170 area. It does feel like people are not letting him out.

52:57We don't feel like we're out of the woods just yet on this. Okay, cool. Next question.

53:06Have you guys heard of Opulus and Lyra, the AI agents in music helping other artists and AI agents produce and distribute music. Just curious if you have explored this as you're both in AI. I personally haven't heard of these of you. I've only heard about Lyra, but I have not been involved in them from looking at it past that. I think Lyra was spoken about when originally people were talking about AI agents a couple of months ago, but I just can't I think I might be wrong on this but is it like a it was one of the original virtuals things I think, Lyra? I don't know but yes, I haven't looked at it but I do think this is what's going to happen I think you're going to see a ton of different

54:01industry specific agents spun up with their own training data and useful for different things but I think the music stuff for me and music NFTs etc I just don't feel like there's a big enough time for me to invest in that kind of stuff I think if you're interested in music sure it makes sense but it's never really felt scalable to me now granted I don't know the details of Oculus and Lyra and I'll have a look but just as an industry it's not something that I felt like I've wanted to invest in from a return standpoint I feel like it's more like a for me at least it would be more like um hobby investment i guess um well zero bro had those two albums didn't it that kind of went semi semi-mainstream um we're gonna see this ai films ai um music ai in in various different creative forms we're gonna see ai versions of it and ai books all this sort of stuff but i i um and maybe they do interact with the blockchain you know maybe they do but my guess is they may also need to like so we'll kind of see if if blockchain is the best way to monetize that um all right cool this is from from vano on the real vision website hey vano um do you guys think hyper liquid spot volume has a chance to pick up it's clear they had they lack spot traders so the volume is low and most of it is just are but is it just lack of relevant integrations to move token in and out of Hyperliquid, or is there more to it?

55:38What are your thoughts on spot volumes on Hyperliquid? Hyperliquid volumes are high. The number of the traders is not. We're talking in the... Spot volumes are high, right? But are spot volumes actually that high? I'm actually talking about the number of users of Hyperliquid is actually not even that high. But we're talking in the thousands, not in the hundreds of thousands, which is like bursting together centralized exchanges. So there is this general thought that Hyperliquid has really just been a bunch of OG perp traders that made money on it and made a big deal, even though the platform is very, very good.

56:14It's not gone mainstream by any means, really, although the volumes are particularly high. It kind of reminds me of Blur, where Blur dominated the NFT trading, but it didn't necessarily have all the users. It just had the most active users. I think Hyperliquid as right now remember it launched its EVM this week which is like its actual chain and Hyperliquid up until now has been valued like a chain the perpdex would be the first thing and then they're going to expand to various different things build out a whole DeFi ecosystem with spot trading with the perpdex but then have lending have options maybe have a ton of different things and it did sell off when it launched the EVM because I think that's kind of like they're shipping it now it's got a, everyone was like the hype of it's going to be a chain and now the chain's here, let's see what it actually does interestingly it's held up okay this sort of thing today with Bybit I think is going to make it feel slightly better I think at$25 billion it's pretty fairly valued if I'm honest I don't think that's going to 50 to 100 but I do think it can go up to like 30 to 40 but there are some unlocks that start later this year so I think you have to be aware about that and a bunch of those core contributors I think are getting unlocks as well who are kind of people who have been talking about it a lot so I'll be more wary on Hyperliquid later in the year for now I think this is the sort of coin that can go to 30 plus i don't think it can go to like 50 to 100 that's my that's that's my gut yeah i think um it's just really a perp trading platform i mean it's as you said there's there's not that many users but some of the biggest perp traders are on it it hasn't really attracted like the on-chain crowd or yeah i view spot traders mostly the on-chain cracks anyone else trading spot if you're trading majors and spot you're really just holding it you're not really trading that that frequently so i think that's one of the reasons why the um perp volumes for the spot volumes but also just like unless you until unless you have like all these random on-chain meme coins where a lot of the spot volume happens now and i think they're obviously not on hyperliquid it's hard for anyone to like go in i mean if you do that i think you know you can actually buy spot Bitcoin now on hyperliquid.

58:56One of the easiest places to do it, actually. If you have an EVM and you find you don't want to buy on a centralized exchange, it's one of the easiest ways to do it. You can buy on hyperliquid. So I would agree. It's a great platform. There's nothing against that. If you're interested in hype versus the platform, though, I think you've got to be cognizant of the things I said. You know, Hyperliquid, I think, can still do quite well. I think Hyper, at this level, is fairly valued, or at least can go up, but I don't think it's like a 10x trade for me. Okay, last question. Which of the top 10 do you both think has the highest risk-reward ratio this year?

59:44That's a good question, actually. I like the top 10. I like framing it as the top 10. So top 10. Bitcoin, XRP, BNB, Solana, Doge, ADA, Tron, and we can kind of go down to Chainlink, Sui, Avalanche, Stella, Litecoin, Ton.

1:00:11Best risk reward out of these? That is difficult, isn't it? Solana's down a lot. So I do think Solana can go down to like one. I think Solana needs a change in, slight change in culture here. And this might just take a couple of months. You know, but Solana is the best UI UX experience that I've had in crypto. There's no way anything's beaten there. But it has the unlocks this month and it has, now it's had this whole, the casino is closed narrative and volumes moving out. I think it can maybe underperform, I'm guessing here, for a small bit. I don't know. But over the next year, it's tough to argue that Solana is not going to be a great trade, in my opinion.

1:00:59But if not, then in terms of risk-reward, Bitcoin? I agree with you. I would pick Solana after that list. It's down a lot. It's down a lot off its highs this year. does Sol go back down to 100? You know, Cetra's Paribus, I doubt it. Like, I don't think it, if it goes back down to 100, I don't think it significantly underperforms any other coins. Yeah, I think that stuff will really have gotten new. So I really, I think with this fall you've had in the last week, I think, and I think, yes, there's unlocks, but we've been talking about them for a while and I think they're now priced in. you tend to sort of rally after the unlocks happen.

1:01:48I would pick Sol here after this sermon. I can't believe Doge is still in the top 10. I mean, it's just crazy, isn't it? Well, Doge has lots of stuff going for it at the same time. It's still 37 billion. The other weird ones I've looked at, Tron. From a risk-reward standpoint, Tron I don't think is going lower. It makes too much money. and it traded 20 billion. I think that's a trade that's been a good one over the last year, for example, and no one really owns it. It is difficult to own it if you're in the US. And then I would maybe say, outside of that, there's a lot of ones that have already rallied.

1:02:28I quite like some of the ones we mentioned that year earlier. I like the Sonic story more than I like some of these other L1s that are kind of here. Makes sense. All right, well, we're at time now, so we can call it a day there. I think that was Rekt Vision. Before we go, we have a question for you guys. Are you planning to move your funds off centralized exchanges, given what happened with Bybit today? Please let us know in the comments. Next week, we'll have the exclusive AMA and drink session on the Real Vision website. So sign up to realvisioncrypto at realvision.com forward slash RVC to gain access to that.

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