In short
Why large organizations kill their best ideas—through applying “certainty” rules to high-uncertainty innovation, organizational immune responses to “mutations,” misaligned incentives, and proxy metrics that drive corporate isomorphism. The episode also argues that AI will weaken functional silos, and that metrics/rankings (in business, universities, hiring) create hedging and credentialism.
Guest backgrounds
Rita McGrath is a strategy and innovation scholar at the intersection of strategy and innovation and corporate entrepreneurship. She previously worked for a government agency for about 10 years on “computerization” (automating paper processes) and earned a PhD studying implementation and corporate venturing. Her dissertation focused on how established organizations build new capabilities.
Key claims
Mutations (ventures/innovations) trigger internal immune systems; core businesses can’t tolerate high failure rates; managers often lack experience with uncertainty; corporate processes (strategy, budgeting, governance, promotion) become unglued; rewards favor certainty and status quo; “worldly wisdom” prefers conventional failure over unconventional success; proxy metrics (rankings, degree requirements) distort behavior.
Notable examples
Xerox PARC, IBM’s PC division in Boca Raton, Amazon Web Services in Seattle, Nespresso as a separate division; bees’ explore/exploit waggle dance; Apple “sitting out” AI; capital market myopia (floppy-disk entry); university selectivity marketing; early decision arms race; hiring bachelor’s-degree credential inflation; CV “white text” gaming; Wix buying a solo coder’s software for $80M.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VORita's Journey and Corporate Venturing
2:20 to 4:26
Rita discusses her background and interest in corporate entrepreneurship.
“Because your original PhD was, in fact, on this topic, wasn't it?”
Challenges of Innovation in Corporations
4:26 to 6:22
Rita explains the obstacles in corporate innovation and why failures occur.
“on how established organizations create new capabilities.”
Exploration vs. Exploitation in Business
6:22 to 7:20
Discussion on balancing exploration and exploitation within organizations.
“You know, whether you bought it and somebody else did that work or you grew it yourself, but now it's a stable business and everybody's completely forgotten about what actually happened to bring this into the world.”
The Lifecycle of Competitive Advantage
7:20 to 10:22
Rita outlines the stages of competitive advantage and the need for constant innovation.
“going to learn is trying stuff, seeing what works, seeing what doesn't, trying the next bit of things.”
Bees and the Innovation Mindset
10:22 to 13:09
Rita draws parallels between bee behavior and corporate innovation processes.
“There are bees that obey the waggle dance.”
The Entrepreneurial Mindset
13:09 to 14:00
Exploration of the difference between managerial and entrepreneurial mindsets.
“And of course, it's necessary to adapt to changing conditions because some cows break into your favorite field and eat all the flowers.”
Understanding Human Factors in Innovation
14:00 to 14:14
Explore the impact of human factors, like technology disruptions, on innovation.
The Disconnect Between Strategy and Budgeting
14:14 to 18:02
Discuss how corporate processes can disconnect strategy from budgeting and execution.
“there are human factors to be considered, like Wi-Fi on the train.”
The Challenges of Corporate Entrepreneurship
18:02 to 20:55
Learn about the cyclical nature of corporate entrepreneurship and its challenges.
“even though it's a necessary part of, if you want disproportionate upside, you need to be content with some degree of experimentation.”
The Risks of Conventional Thinking in Innovation
20:55 to 23:15
Examine how conventional thinking can hinder innovation and the value of unconventional approaches.
“and something like 200 firms went in, each expecting a market share of 5%, which is a mathematical impossibility when you think about it.”
Show all 37 chapters
Corporate Metrics and Their Impact
23:15 to 26:00
Understand how corporate metrics can lead to isomorphism and reduce diversity in business strategies.
“I mean, one thing I notice is that family-owned companies, privately-owned companies, or founder-led companies, are simply inordinately better at this.”
The Effects of Layoffs and AI
28:29 to 29:06
Discusses how layoffs are influenced by AI perceptions and corporate behavior.
“So you can take it right now with what we're seeing with layoffs.”
AI and the Future of Business Structure
29:07 to 30:29
Explores how AI changes traditional business operations and structures.
“Because the CFO will automatically look at this as an efficiency and cost reduction technology.”
The Shifting Role of Specialization
30:30 to 32:24
Analyzes how AI can function across different roles, diminishing the need for strict specialization.
“And I would argue we're seeing something very similar with AI, which is that we don't even think of all our systems as being kind of linear.”
Silos and Decision-Making in Organizations
32:25 to 34:37
Discusses the issues caused by organizational silos and their impact on decision-making.
“advertising agencies, and are there actually advantages to scale anymore?”
The Burden of Administrative Costs
34:38 to 37:14
Critiques the increasing number of administrative roles in organizations and their impact on value creation.
“of employment in the core areas of a business's competence okay so you have advertising agencies which go, this is great.”
The Impact of University Rankings
37:15 to 39:45
Explores how university rankings affect budget allocation and educational quality.
“There's a really interesting book by my former professor, Peter Capelli and a colleague of his.”
The Changing Landscape of College Applications
39:46 to 42:01
Discusses the impact of the common application on college admissions and the resulting arms race.
“In other words the percentage of students that who applied, who were rejected.”
The Arms Race in Education and Employment
42:01 to 43:41
Discover how early decision applications and degree requirements are reshaping education.
“because the schools want to be sure of who they're going to get, and the students want to be more sure of who they're going to apply.”
The Arms Race in Education and Employment
44:11 to 44:38
Discover how early decision applications and degree requirements are reshaping education.
“When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs.”
The Flaws in Hiring Practices
44:38 to 47:06
Examine the biases and inefficiencies in hiring based on academic qualifications.
“This is a job for Indeed sponsored jobs.”
The Role of Diversity in Problem Solving
47:06 to 49:16
Understand how diversity impacts creativity and problem-solving in groups.
“And actually, you know, to be honest, I went to Cambridge.”
The Evolution of Business Education
49:16 to 51:08
Learn about the historical shifts in business education and their consequences.
“And also, there's some interesting examples of people that make real progress, not fitting that paradigm at all.”
The Gap Between Academia and Practice
51:08 to 56:00
Explore the disconnect between academic research and practical business applications.
“really scrambling to try to find people with the PhD degree to be teachers.”
The Gap in Business Knowledge
56:00 to 1:01:24
Explore the disconnect between academic research and practical management.
“different, oddly, it's not an advantage in some ways.”
The Gap in Business Knowledge
1:01:54 to 1:02:21
Explore the disconnect between academic research and practical management.
“When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs.”
The Importance of Communication in Business
1:02:21 to 1:06:31
Understand how effective communication shapes business success.
“This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs.”
Symbolism and Corporate Culture
1:06:31 to 1:10:01
Discover how symbolic acts can transform organizational culture.
“So if you think about what a symbol is, it's there's the substance of the thing.”
The Importance of Celebrating Non-Traditional Successes
1:10:01 to 1:12:06
Learn how celebrating unconventional achievements can drive innovation in organizations.
“that occasionally you have things that defy the usual economic logic, and you go out and celebrate something properly.”
Maximizing Innovation Through Management Focus
1:12:07 to 1:13:56
Discover strategies for prioritizing innovation on management agendas.
“Which is, by the way, probably is equally important in terms of innovation, as intentional innovation.”
The Ripple Effect of Leadership on Innovation
1:13:57 to 1:15:55
Understand how leaders can influence innovation through focused inquiry and communication.
“So board meetings themselves are becoming excessively financialized, haven't they?”
The Interplay Between Innovation and Marketing
1:15:56 to 1:18:31
Explore the crucial relationship between marketing strategies and successful innovation.
“Actually, they're two sides of the same coin, aren't they?”
The Interplay Between Innovation and Marketing
1:19:01 to 1:19:28
Explore the crucial relationship between marketing strategies and successful innovation.
“When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, Use Indeed Sponsored Jobs.”
Disruption in Business and the Role of AI
1:19:29 to 1:22:28
Learn how disruption occurs when costs decrease and processes simplify, especially with AI.
“Well, and I think the whole billable hour.”
The Changing Landscape of Photography and Business
1:22:29 to 1:24:08
Examine how technological advancements have transformed the accessibility of creative skills.
“It's very funny, by the way, because I grew up in an age when photography had a cost.”
The Future of Advertising and AI
1:24:08 to 1:26:38
Explore how AI might transform the advertising industry and its business model.
“You're never going to get the layers of beauty and the rich color.”
Closing Remarks with Rita McGrath
1:26:38 to 1:27:07
Rory and Rita share their final thoughts on the conversation.
“Rita, this has been absolutely fantastic.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00This episode is brought to you by Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales, using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business. The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and fandoms that matter most. Learn more at Accenture.com slash Spotify. When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications and more.
0:42Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs.
1:16I'm actually the lone interviewer. Elf's probably interviewed a pest mourning Arsenal's recent defeat by Paris Saint-Germain. And if he were here, he'd probably be in too great a state of emotional distress to host. But I'm delighted to be hosting Rita McGrath from Columbia, whose great area of expertise is something which is vastly less prevalent than it should be, which is corporate entrepreneurship, which is, in other words, the capacity for large organizations to genuinely innovate internally, rather than merely buying in what threatens them or doing more or less nothing. Right. And so, as we always do on the Bottleneck Podcast, and actually the Bottleneck Podcast is a perfect name for this very problem, what are the bottlenecks that prevent large organisations from being vastly more innovative, we'll always start by allowing the guests to introduce themselves and to explain how they got there and how they particularly...
2:22Because your original PhD was, in fact, on this topic, wasn't it? Yeah. So tell us more about yourself, for people who don't know Rita. Oh, sure. So what a pleasure to get to talk about yourself. How amazing. So my main work is at the intersection of strategy and innovation, where corporate entrepreneurship is very much in that vein. And I really got interested in the idea of large-scale organizational change in my previous role, where I worked for a government agency for about 10 years. And back then we were doing, you'll remember this phrase, computerization. So it was taking all these paper processes and basically automating them.
3:00And when I got into my Ph.D. program, I went and I said to my supervisor, a crusty old South African called Ian McMillan, and I said, Mac, I know what I want to do. I want to study the science of implementation. And he was running the entrepreneurship program at the Wharton School at the time, and he looked at me and said, I can't think of anything more boring than the science of implementation. and fortunately for the two of us we uh we had a an offer from city bank as it was called at the time to do a three-year study of their corporate venturing attempts and the sponsor of the study desperately wanted us to do the successes of course but he also wanted us to really get at when it went wrong why and and that's unusual yeah it's very unusual worst practice needs to And he studied much more, doesn't it?
3:46Yeah, absolutely. It sure does. And so it came with a grant, which helped support me. So I did that out of his center. And I discovered that a lot of what happens in both cases, large-scale implementation changes and corporate ventures are very similar. But I got really interested in this idea of corporate ventures. Now, it's important to remember at the time, all the cool kids in strategy were doing industry-level analysis and looking at, you know, does order of entry matter and does R &D intensity matter? And I couldn't think of anything more boring than that because I was interested in what goes on inside companies and what decisions managers make.
4:22And so studied that all through my PhD and then did my dissertation indeed on how established organizations create new capabilities. And you probably ended up focusing on the obstacles more. I mean, there were more failures, presumably, than there were successes. Well, if you think about it, you know, a corporate venture or an innovation is basically a mutation, you know, and even in nature, most mutations are fatal. And so it arouses the internal immune system, like many mutations do. Absolutely. Yeah, absolutely. And there are some wonderful stories, aren't there, which is, I mean, if you think about it, Xerox Park was deliberately created a long way from Rochester.
5:03IBM in Boca Raton, the PC division, was deliberately located a long way from IBM headquarters in Armand. Amazon Web Services, Seattle's here, Florida is there. That's where they put them. So there's a deliberate idea, which is that the, I mean, even Nespresso was a separate division, which was not that far along the lake as it happened, but it was in Lausanne, not in Vevey. And I mean, I know in the IBM case, and I think with the founder, the physicist who is a sort of co-founder of PARC. This was very, very, partly driven by Stanford at the time. But it was also deliberate that the further away you are from head office, the more likely you are to create some sort of culture of innovation.
5:49And that there's a natural tendency, if the body is literally a host, the main corporate body, that it will fundamentally eradicate what you do. So what is it? Is it sort of status-driven in part? Is it that you're a threat to status? Is it that you're a threat to existing business models? Is it that fundamentally they're so fixated by short-term financial reporting that the interesting stuff is the first to get killed? Is it all three of those? All of the above. All of the above. So here's the essence, I think the crux of the problem, which is that if you think of a dimension of uncertainty, we got low uncertainty on one hand and high uncertainty on another, your existing businesses are all places where the uncertainty has been winnowed away.
6:41You know, whether you bought it and somebody else did that work or you grew it yourself, but now it's a stable business and everybody's completely forgotten about what actually happened to bring this into the world. If you go into uncertain businesses, you need a really different way of valuing them. So, highly uncertain businesses, high failure rates. It's fine if you keep the cost of failure low, and if you can do it quickly. High failure rates in your core business, that's a disaster. Right? So, this is the explore exploits trade. Exactly. And so I think one of the things that we do in companies is we apply all the rules that make perfect sense when you know what you're doing to a place where you don't know what you're doing.
7:19And by definition, the only way you're going to learn is trying stuff, seeing what works, seeing what doesn't, trying the next bit of things. And, you know, that's the way scientists make breakthrough discoveries. They run experiments which have hypothesis and then they go forward. And it's just much harder to do that in business. So I think that's one clutch of problems. I think the second clutch of problems is if you think about the proportion of people in your organization who have actually worked in high uncertainty situations rather than just, you know, turning the crank and the money comes out, there's not that many of them.
7:50And so for most people, this is weird. It feels strange. It's not something they're comfortable with. They haven't been trained. And so I think there's also a human element to this, which is this thing feels really threatening. I mean, why this is particularly interesting to me is that for innovation, you can also read marketing. A large part of marketing, not all of it, but the most significant part is like innovation and R &D, it's fat-tailed. In that, you know, the disproportionate successes cover the costs of the small manageable failures. So it's much closer to, say, the film industry, the music industry, publishing, venture capital.
8:31Yeah, blockbuster industries. Effectively, though, where a few blockbusters justify the existence of the whole, and pharmaceutical research being an obviously extreme case. And yet most organizations cherish the people who are kind of very good at presenting the illusion of certainty and quantifiability and proportionality, I guess. Yeah. So, if you think about the life cycle of a competitive advantage, right, in the very, very beginning, it's a total mess. It's ideas and opportunities and technologies and it's just soup, right? And the entrepreneurial function is you select elements from that combination of things and you create something that, in an ideal world, eventually finds some kind of product market it fit.
9:14So you're finding a place where you can do something someone will pay you to do that solves a problem for them and generates income for you. Then you have this process of scaling where you get the thing to some kind of reasonable scale. And then you've got this process of exploitation, which is what all the business school study and all the management books talk about. And then what can you anticipate in a rapidly changing world? You can anticipate that that advantage is going to come under pressure. So competitors will copy you. Customers get bored. You know, you're an expert in marketing. I mean, that was terrific two years ago.
9:46What have you done for me lately, right? And so you can anticipate it'll come under pressure. And if the pressure is substantial enough, it'll go into erosion. So you no longer will have the advantage to fall back on. And the logical thing to do is exit. But the logical implication for that, and managers are fine when I tell them about this, right up to this moment. I say, well, what does that suggest you need to have going on in the background? Well, you need this continual mess. You know, you need this continual searching for a new combination of things so that when something goes away, you've got something to replace it with.
10:18So there's a very interesting analogy in nature here, which is apologies to people who are familiar with me telling the story, which is bees have effectively a calibration between explore and exploit. There are bees that obey the waggle dance. And much to the surprise of bee scientists, there is a proportion of bees which don't. They go off at random. And the argument is, it's the explore-exploit, as we call it, a trade-off. Of course, it's not a trade-off. They're two complementary activities. The exploit funds the exploration. The exploration directs what you exploit. So they're actually complementary.
10:55Someone with an Eastern mindset would probably see it as a kind of yin and yang thing. We tend to see it as a trade-off, because we assume that the right behavior is only to do one optimal thing. This episode is brought to you by Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales, using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business. The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and fandoms that matter most.
11:32Learn more at Accenture.com slash Spotify. When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed sponsored jobs. And what's interesting is there's a parallel here, which is that after I've been talking about this for quite a while, someone who is a bee expert got in touch with me and said, one of the theories about the decline in the bee population is that when you move bees around the country, which they do to pollinate fruit crops, for example, you can order a load of hives to be delivered to you.
12:32And when you move hives around, for some reason, it tires out the explore bees more than the exploit bees. So you end up with an imbalance between following the waggle dance, and if you like, over-harvesting nectar and pollen from known existing areas. But the explore bees become less energetic. And so the whole point of the explore process is it is random and fat-tailed, and 99 out of 100 journeys may be a bit of a waste of time, but the 100th journey effectively then reveals to the hive a source of nectar that it was previously unaware of. And of course, it's necessary to adapt to changing conditions because some cows break into your favorite field and eat all the flowers.
13:17You've got to quite rapidly find somewhere else to go. And so there's this interesting question about how you calibrate, explore versus exploit. And one of the things I always notice is that the two mindsets, the managerial mindset and what you might call the entrepreneurial mindset, one of the facets I notice that's very different is that obviously behavioral science is, to some extent, a study of anomalies. If you go to someone with a managerial neatness mindset and you point out an anomaly, they become angry or upset because it messes with their vision of the world. If you mention an anomaly to an entrepreneur, they always want to investigate it because there's a business opportunity there.
13:58Absolutely. And this fundamental mindset, I've literally had people who, if you suggest, for example, that train journeys and the efficacy of a train network shouldn't just be measured on speed and punctuality, but there are human factors to be considered, like Wi-Fi on the train. You literally will come across a certain kind of engineer who is angered by this because they have a neat paradigm within which they operate. and the introduction of some rogue variable is actually distressing to them. Now, to an entrepreneur, the rogue variable is usually an unexploited source of value. And they find it, and in fact, most innovation, I think, most really significant innovation doesn't happen when someone takes the existing paradigm and improves on it.
14:48It's where they find a paradigm all of their own. In other words, Steve Jobs was an innovator, not because he didn't ask what computers could do. he asked a completely orthogonal question, which is, what does it feel like while you're doing it? And do they look nice, for example? And he talks about bicycles for the mind. Bicycle for the mind. Absolutely perfect. And so that was a complete reframing of what the whole thing was. And so the obsession with kind of RAM and clock speed and goodness knows what else, when that's to some extent run its course, it's time to find a metric of your own. Absolutely.
15:23But quite often these metrics are pretty deeply baked in, aren't they, to organizations? You know, the bonus structure may be dependent on… Oh, absolutely. I mean, that's a huge issue, which is, you know, people will do what they're rewarded for doing. So what I always joke about with large corporations is you've got these four processes that come unglued from each other. So you've got your strategy process, which usually isn't done very well. But even when it is, it's pulling you into the future. then you've got your budget process. Incidentally, do you think that marketing is involved sufficiently in strategy development?
15:57Because it seems to me, as it would to Roger L. Martin, that what consumers will need in the future, that understanding the market and the necessity to make strategic choices in terms of where to play is a marketing question. Oh, yeah. And yet strategy usually falls to a bunch of people who've got data about the past. That's exactly right. And it's a problem. It's a problem. One of my favorite clients right now, strategy is in marketing. It's connected to the marketing function. And I think that's so critical. I think also that strategy has to be future-looking. Budgeting often is anchored in the past, and that's often where you find strategy.
16:40I know entire strategy groups that are really just M &A people. They're not thinking about the future of the company. Then you've got your project governance process. So this is what you're actually putting money into. And a lot of times the people making those decisions have nothing to do with either strategy or budgets. And then you've got the process by which people feel that they're going to get ahead either in life or in the company. And a lot of times that's – They've invested a lot in the status quo. Of course. Of course. And it's understandable. And I don't criticize anyone for it. But it's different if you're looking at the future.
17:13And I would also make the observation that corporate venturing or corporate entrepreneurship is very cyclical. And so we've just come through one of those complete cycles where a few years ago, all these companies open up accelerators and studios and spinoffs. Oh, we hired a bunch of ex-Google, ex-Apple people, and they're going to set up our venture thing. And then it all lasts for three or four years, and then it all gets quietly dismantled and nobody mentions it again. And I think that's problematic because one of the things we do know is that skill in corporate entrepreneurship is cumulative.
17:48You know, the first time you do anything, you're not going to be very good at it. So you need to have a group of people who try it, learn, get better, develop the skill, deepen their expertise. And if you're coming and going and coming and going all the time, you just don't give them that chance. So actually it suffers from a double problem in terms of in that the organizations can't cope with the idea of failure very well. even though it's a necessary part of, if you want disproportionate upside, you need to be content with some degree of experimentation. But they're also, when they do get lucky, they're structurally incapable of actually exploiting it.
18:28And that's because whatever the good fortune is, it's probably slightly oblique to what they regard as the core focus of the business as it stands. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. And therefore, it's almost that John Maynard Keynes quote, which is people would rather, I think he said, worldly wisdom. He was speaking about investment, but it applies to a lot of things. Worldly wisdom teaches it is often better for the reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally. Oh, that's a wonderful phrase. So, you know, he was very conscious in this particularly about investment, but it applies to lots of other decisions.
19:04Well, this goes all the way back to Machiavelli, who said, And the hardest and least rewarded and most difficult thing to do is to author the introduction of a new order of things. Because the people who will benefit don't know yet that they will. And the people who will suffer are deeply conscious of the threat. Exactly. Exactly. So this is a wonderful asymmetry. Effectively, it's a massive informational asymmetry, isn't it? which is that, you know, the future is nebulous, hard to quantify and uncertain. The past generates an awful lot of data with an inherent status quo bias. I mean, interestingly, one company which I would regard as being highly innovative in one space is actually because of this question of failing conventionally, is Apple's seeming refusal to engage heavily with AI, where everybody else is going all in right now.
20:04So there's also a kind of innovation, which is the balls to do nothing. I always wished in the mobile phone network, a business in the UK, there'd been one company which just said, we're just going to sit out 4G. Or, you know, in other words, one of these billion dollar, you know, licensing rounds, we're just going to sit it out. And we're going to, you know, maybe we'll keep our powder dry and invest disproportionately in 5G. but these kind of herd effects where essentially you create these very bizarre behaviors where one, individually the behavior may be rational, but the collective effect is grotesquely excessive.
20:45Exactly. And this has actually been studied. It's called capital market myopia. Got it. And it's like, I forget what the subject was, but it was entry into, I want to say, the floppy disk business. and something like 200 firms went in, each expecting a market share of 5%, which is a mathematical impossibility when you think about it. So you're right. Sometimes the best answer is to not do anything. And so the ball's to actually sit something out. And I have to credit Apple with that because I suspect they're betting on the fact that there may not be a winner-takes-all player. therefore the whole thing's commoditized and they can simply do what to some extent they've done which is uh well they may end up actually getting an ai provider to pay them money to put their ai on the apple device i wouldn't be surprised well it could actually end up backwards it could well yeah apple's interesting on a number of dimensions in that they're fundamentally a a product hardware company.
21:51Now, obviously, any company today has a big software surround, and that, in Apple's world, has to be right. But their motors, the motors in the hardware, I guess. Yeah. And so it's a different, it sets up a different kind of calculation, you know, if you've got that, versus if you're a pure play software company. Of course. You know, you have to bet on something else. But Apple, historically, has never been on the bleeding edge of technology. You know, they are often among the first to, at scale, commercialize things like Gorilla Glass. But it was invented before they went and decided to use it.
22:23I'm just trying to think. The tablet they did create, I think, if I'm right. But I suppose you're absolutely right. I mean, everything from the iPod onwards has been simply, you know, a sort of apotheosis of an existing technology, if you like. And the folding phone. They claim, I think there's one in the cards, which ironically doesn't have a visible fold or crease, is their claim. The irony is I've got a folding phone. There is a crease, but only if you consciously look for it, because your brain does a brilliant job of ignoring it. Oh, interesting. And actually, when you're looking at it face on, it's pretty much invisible anyway.
23:06So they might have solved a problem that, to be honest, didn't really exist. But that wouldn't be the first time that that's happened in tech. I mean, there is something to... I mean, if we look at... Let's look at... I mean, one thing I notice is that family-owned companies, privately-owned companies, or founder-led companies, are simply inordinately better at this. than the conventional plc and is because i'm i'm complaining at the moment i just wrote a piece in the spectator about what is if you look at financial metrics they're not designed for wealth maximization over time they're designed for financial institutions ease of comparison and self-justification in other words we need some very regular metrics to come in that we can compare company A with company B to serve our own purposes, which is to explain what it is, to justify what we're doing, to measure what we're doing.
24:05They're not actually designed around the maximization of wealth creation. And the problem that strikes me is that if you apply exactly those same metrics to lots and lots of companies, you create corporate isomorphism. They become more and more similar. And there's this extraordinary example from Nature, which I wrote about, which is the old world vulture, such as you get in Africa and parts of Southern Europe, and the new world vulture look pretty similar. They've got no feathers around their heads so that you can burrow your neck into decaying carcasses. They've got incredibly acidic stomachs, very high acidity, so that you can effectively eat decaying meat without the risk of getting ill.
24:51there are differences but looked at they both look like vultures they're actually completely unrelated i mean they're both birds but the new world vulture is descended from the crane and the old world vulture is descended from the hawk so in terms of their dna they come from completely different places but they've been incentivized for exactly the same thing so they become more and more alike and it strikes me that if you have these corporate metrics which dominate you know, quarterly reporting cycles, etc., EBITDA, and you apply exactly the same metrics to every player in a particular marketplace, what you're going to end up with is something that actually benefits nobody.
25:34So you as a financial institution are creating business categories which are less valuable because there's less diversity and therefore less harvesting of different sources of revenue. The companies are going to get engaged in head-to-head red ocean competition, so they can make less money and it becomes an efficiency battle to the bottom. And arguably, the consumer suffers because they get less choice. Absolutely. And so it strikes me that the extent to which everybody happily, for purposes of effectively measurement and self-justification, is happy to pursue metrics which aren't to the benefit of ultimate investors, aren't to the benefit of the business category, and aren't to the benefit of the consumer, is a kind of what I call Soviet-style capitalism.
26:24That, you know, it's Goss' plan for, as one brilliant writer online says, it's Goss' plan for the 2020s. You know, it's the Soviet five-year plan of, you know, we have a production volume target, and we all pursue this simple aim. And people are then hugely bonused on the achievement of a target which shouldn't have been a target in the first place. The glorious thing with a family-owned business or a founder-led business is they are focused on the customer and the customer lives in the real world. It's not an artificial proxy metric, but also customers are deeply varied. And so any decent customer-focused strategy will actually create differentiation.
27:06Whereas a financially focused strategy, where you're focused on your creditors, not really on your actual customers, that will actually create a kind of isomorphism, kind of homogenousness. And that's actually been studied. Oh, thank goodness for that. I thought it was only me who noticed it and I was getting worried about it. Thank you. Okay, that's good. This episode is brought to you by Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales, using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business.
27:48The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and fandoms that matter most. Learn more at Accenture.com slash Spotify. When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast.
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28:23Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs. Well, no, there's a lot of work that's been done on these kinds of pressures on firms that cause them to do the similar things. So you can take it right now with what we're seeing with layoffs. Yeah. And there's been talk of these are contagion effects. So once one firm says, oh, we're going to do massive layoffs because of AI and their stock goes up, then all the other firms go, hang on. You know, we need to do massive layoffs because of AI. Mr. Sebus has just been writing this morning saying that any business that looks at AI as principally a job destruction technology is completely missing the point.
29:05I would agree. So the two framings, I mean, my little joke was there are two people I really don't want to get control of AI, one of which is terrorists and the second one is the CFO. Because the CFO will automatically look at this as an efficiency and cost reduction technology. Which is to misunderstand the nature of the technology. Completely misunderstand it. Yeah, I agree. There's an analogy, isn't there, in business, which is electrification of factories. Tell the happy viewers about that. Happy viewers about that. I'll probably misrepresent it, but it's a very, very interesting case. Well, if you think about factories before electricity existed, the whole design of the factory had to be built in a linear fashion because you had one power source.
29:49So you had a steam engine or a river or a windmill or something. And the people that were at the top of their game, you know, technologically, were perfect at sort of maximizing the flow of power through that system and absolutely making sure everything worked. Generally, you had one huge source of motive power and everything was linked to it. Exactly. Is that right? Yeah. So linear. So introduce electricity. And now all the machines can operate independently from one another. Now. They don't even have to be co-located. No. No, not at all. But you have the headspace of somebody that for their entire career has said everything's dependent on everything else.
30:26And now all of a sudden you've got independent action. So it took about 40 to 50 years before separate independently powered machines became the norm. And I would argue we're seeing something very similar with AI, which is that we don't even think of all our systems as being kind of linear. And, you know, if you just take a typical corporate function model, right, you've got marketing and you've got accounting and you've got finance and you've got engineering and everybody's in these functions. Well, with the advent of AI, especially agentic AI, the rationale for that really begins to fade. Because what you can do is you can say, okay, agents, you know, here's the thing I'd like to solve.
31:06What's the best way to X? And now these agents who are blissfully unaware of functional boundaries go off and explore all these different possible answers that you could get. Now, the reason this is going to be… Of course, who asked the question will have a massive bearing on what they… Of course. Well, and then you get to the fascinating question of once the machines can provide good answers to just about any question, the importance of being able to define the good question rises. insignificance. Ah. Because one of the analogy I always use for this business of the silo effect, so de-siloing a business, and actually, I would argue, an awful lot of scale in a business was designed to produce gains to specialism, which actually we don't need anymore because the AI is a generalist, or can be at least encouraged to become multi-talented.
32:10Oh, yeah. And it can dig out their specialties when you need them. When you need them. So, effectively, it's a shapeshifter. It's an HR person when you want an HR person, but it's also a financially astute HR person. Is there, I mean, I'm thinking of advertising agencies, and are there actually advantages to scale anymore? In other words, Would the ideal advertising agency of the future be 15 people, perhaps? Well, I think that we are, and this is not just advertising, this is across the board. What we're seeing now is the unit of value creation in more and more sectors is small teams or even individuals.
32:49So there was a guy, an Israeli guy, Shlomo Mayer, I think his name was, who in six months by himself coded a piece of software that was so valuable that Wix bought it from him for$80 million. Six months, one person, powerful coding tools, and something so irresistible that an established player felt they couldn't live without it. And that's just the beginning. Interesting. So the interesting question is, first of all, one of the problems is that these silos are very territorial and very protective. I would argue that some of them, and I've been arguing this for a while, that in many cases, they are guilty of massively biased decision making because they're optimizing for the part, not optimizing for the whole.
33:40I regard procurement as an essentially, it can be done extremely well. There are brilliant procurement people who are strategic and broad thinking. The majority of people in that field, I would argue, it's fundamentally dishonest because you claim the credit for reduction in cost without being held responsible for the opportunity cost or the destruction in value. Exactly. So it's effectively, it's giving a remarkable license to someone with a distorted mindset. Compliance would be similar, which is effectively, you know, it's institutionalizing paranoia to an extent, because, again, you know, it's blame avoidance kind of amplified, I would argue.
34:22and so these silos are deeply unhealthy but they also seem to be incredibly hard to eradicate weirdly quite a lot of the people in these silos seem to have responsibility for making decisions over who gets employed and they are looking to justify their own existence by reducing the level of employment in the core areas of a business's competence okay so you have advertising agencies which go, this is great. We can get rid of a few copywriters. And I'm kind of going, no, no, no, surely we should be getting rid of the people in finance, procurement, and everybody else first, okay? And because, you know, this multi-talented, working 24 hours a day, administrative function should be able to take care of that with far fewer people.
35:09Whereas investing in the people who do what people pay us to do wouldn't seem to be completely ridiculous. What I see is a very weird backwards view where people go, effectively, they regard these businesses like finance as sacrosanct. Someone put it very beautifully. They said, in the 40 years I've been at work, the number of people employed to tell me to work harder seems to just keep on growing. Not people actually doing the work. But in other words, we're employing all these people who are effectively optimizing for billable utilization by bullying the people who are actually valuable. And I actually regard many of these functions as, broadly speaking, thievery.
35:54I almost become Marxist. The workers by hand and by brain aren't actually receiving due returns on the value they create because so much of the money gets hived off towards administrative costs. We see this in universities as well. Oh, my God, yes. Yeah. There was a professor of history at the university. Actually, I would not name the university, had I? Very eminent professor of history at a very eminent university who said to me, he said, when I first joined the history faculty, the administrative function was a woman in her late 50s who knew everything. Now, we seem to have these serried ranks of desks where the administrators in the history faculty outnumber historians.
36:42Oh, yeah. That's common across a lot of faculties. And I actually blame for that. By the way, the woman in her 50s who knows everything was probably underpaid. I'll make that point. Oh, I'm sure. That actually they were probably... And he said, you literally went in, you went, where's Professor Johnson? He's in Lithuania at the moment, but he'll be back on Wednesday. Yeah, that kind of thing. Exactly. All of that stuff was taken care of by those people who I think should have been paid. And I knew quite a few of them at Ogilvy who should have been properly paid twice what they were. If you really factored in the value they created, but also the unnecessary jobs they eliminated effectively.
37:19There's a really interesting book by my former professor, Peter Capelli and a colleague of his. And it's called In Praise of the Office. And what he argues is that when it comes to designing work, we don't actually understand how work gets done. He says, so imagine you've got a problem with your expense reimbursement and you're all in the office and you're all there. And you go down to accounting and you talk to Joe and you explain the problem. And Joe rolls his eyes and says, you're the fourth person this week that's had this problem. Our tech vendor has had a glitch. I'll get back to you on it.
37:53And within 15 minutes, you're done. Versus if you're all spread out all over the place, you send an email and then Joe gets a little defensive because with an email, it can sound sort of accusatory. and then Joe's like hiding the problem that the vendor caused because and and and and it just it just creates this mountain of work that wouldn't even have existed if you had a personal relationship I think that's one big issue I see exactly what you mean right and so and I've experienced this so dealing with the system or the paperwork or the process actually imposes enormous costs which in the absence of what you might call codified practices that person that knows everything yes yes got it got it right um the other thing about universities that i think people don't talk about enough is the really insidious uh effects of the rankings the school rankings uh and this began years and years ago at the undergraduate level at least in in america with um i think it was u.s news i can tell you a story about this oh do yeah Keep going.
38:56But what happened was, and it's back to these, what do you measure? And so what did they measure? They measured things like student satisfaction with their job placement. Rejection rates, they measured. Rejection rates, yes. How selective are you? You measure what salary did you make? And a whole bunch of other things that had nothing to do with the quality of the instruction, or did you learn anything, or were you a different person when you came up? And so what started to happen over the years was in this quest for ranking, budgets started to shift from the stuff that didn't get ranked to the stuff that did.
39:29Of course. So this is literally having worked in marketing for about 35 years. One of the most immoral pieces of marketing I've ever encountered was a university. It was an Ivy League university which knew that it was ranked on its selectivity. In other words the percentage of students that who applied, who were rejected. Right. It therefore wrote to students... To get them to apply. ...who had no chance of getting admitted to encourage them to apply. Yep. So you're there, you're thinking, you know, maybe I'll go to X state university. You get a letter from... I won't... Actually, I won't name them partly because I can't remember which one it is.
40:11Ivy League University saying, we're very eager to see your application. Get your hopes up. Put in the effort. Put in the application. They had no intention of admitting you in the first place. So now that... That is actually... I mean, I'm trying to think of an example from the private sector of equivalent nastiness, and you'd have to go to Purdue Farber to come across something that was quite that nasty in terms of marketing malice, you know. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Well, the fascinating thing about this whole shtick is this worm has turned a couple of times. So now we've got the common application.
40:46So it used to be, back in the day, if you wanted to apply to college, you had to type out your application. Put it in an envelope, take it to the post office. And these were thick things, so you didn't know how much postage. And it required effort. So students would apply to six, seven schools, maybe, maybe eight, if you're really ambitious. Then they digitized the whole thing and made it the common app. And so now students are applying to, I know kids that are applying to 50 schools. It's insane. And so now what that does on the other end, at the receiving end on the college's part, They get all these applications.
41:18So they have to adopt a formula. Presumably, there has to be an AI. I would imagine. But here's what's really dangerous. Back in the day, right, you could kind of tell who was likely, who was unlikely, who was whatever. And of the ones that were likely, you could kind of get a feel for what your statistics were around. If you offered them a place, would they come? Well, once you've got these huge numbers on both sides now. So the students have no idea of the 50, which are going to be likely, and the schools have no idea. So what you're starting to see now is this incredible explosion of hedging behavior on both sides.
41:54So the students are now applying early decision. The schools are now saying, well, if you apply early decision, we want to have you go. So what's starting to happen now is more and more and more of the school's pool of applicants are actually applying with this special category of early decision because the schools want to be sure of who they're going to get, and the students want to be more sure of who they're going to apply. And so it's changing the whole dynamic. The whole thing has turned into an arms race. Basically. And then on the employment side, so we've also got a bachelor's degree arms race going on, which is there was a Harvard professor who did this study.
42:26And he found that 62 % of the people that currently held the job, and I think it was a manufacturing supervisor, did not have bachelor's. But something like 85 % of all the jobs posted for those same roles required a bachelor's degree. so what you've got now is a bachelor's is becoming bottleneck literally so yeah so and and of course what we're seeing is growing academic credentialism where people say you know a phd is the new masters that you're forced to take more and more degrees simply to actually reach a level of scarcity in the employment market exactly and even though there's very little correlation between your academic performance at university and your performance in a business very little yeah very little i was very intrigued to see that the harvard dean of admissions of the mba program and i can say it because it's all completely public uh she one of there was a reporter following up on a couple of her students who just hadn't found places after something like six months on the job market which is not good you know if you're an mb you paid all this money for an mba you gave up two years of your life um and the admissions director i I couldn't believe she said this.
43:38Well, you're going to get hired based on what skills you have. This episode is brought to you by Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales, using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business. The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and fandoms that matter most. Learn more at Accenture.com slash Spotify. When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs.
44:17It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications, and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed sponsored jobs.
44:44Didn't they come to Harvard to get an MBA? Can you imagine? So I'm thinking to myself, it's all in public. I mean, this is totally public. So I thought to myself, she must have had it. Because this is very Nassim Taleb. In other words, proxy measures are extremely dangerous. And they're wonderful for bureaucrats because they justify a decision. They do. All of the people we've interviewed have a BA. The opportunity cost and the wastage, but also it leads to, I think, what was the wonderful business of gaming the system. I don't know if you know about this, which is that CVs submitted digitally.
45:23okay um machine read cvs will obviously read white text on a white background a human won't so it was a very old trick that alongside your completely honest cv in white text on a white background you typed olympic gold medalist nobel prize winner etc oh my goodness your cv was completely honest when looked at through human eyes but was a complete lie when being machine rad. That's clever. All credit, in fairness, the person who first spotted that deserves an automatic PhD for ingenuity. I mean, it's... If you're not going to read it as a human, why should I tell the truth? You know, there's also a concern I have, which is, I think, humans...
46:07I have this very interesting argument, and actually, all credit, some economists sort of agree with me, which is, you'll get a completely different result if you hire people in groups versus hiring people individually. So if you choose a group, you'll choose for complementarity. You'll be happy with a wild card. I only got hired in advertising because there were four jobs. It was literally, we'll take a punt on the weirdo. And actually, by the way, there's three other people who are extraordinarily good, better than me, maybe, but they at least took a punt on me because they thought, okay, we've got four, we're recruiting for four jobs.
46:41We can afford to have a different risk profile on the four people and we'll go a bit wider. on one person will go a bit narrow on another person. It's a very sensible form of decision making. If you have to optimise for fairness, you have to apply the same criteria to everybody, which means you end up with this same isomorphism. You end up with a group of people who are all ostensibly very good, but they're good in a completely similar way. And actually, you know, to be honest, I went to Cambridge. Of the people who, you know, the really worthwhile while people you met there, half of them were there entirely on academic merit, you know, and particularly mathematicians who tend to be pretty, you know, I think the great thing with maths is you can either do it or you can't.
47:31I think it's a genuinely meritocratic thing. You know, it's not one of those things where you can nerd your way to a first, you know, fundamental. My husband, out of personal interest, is an actuary. He's an actuary. No. And you, This is, yeah, essentially you can, you know, you can do it or you can't. And the mathematicians were disproportionately interesting, I always remember. But it was the plurality of people who are there that made the university experience worthwhile. You know, if you end up with an incredibly merit, and this is the Joseph Fishkin book, Bottleneck, which is all about this business that he effectively rejects the idea of equality of opportunity because he argues that we should optimize for plurality of opportunity.
48:14And capitalism, to some extent, does that quite well, because there are quite a lot of ways in a free market you can obtain both status and or wealth to an extent where, for example, in a business setting, the chief executive of Goldman Sachs is probably immeasurably richer than you, but you'd converse as equals, I hope. Okay? Because you have expertise that he or she doesn't, and they're perfectly aware of that. And so people are naturally, you know, it creates, whereas if you have what you might call a complete pyramid hierarchy, which academia on its own does to some extent, doesn't it? I mean, and particularly if you get these daft publication ratings.
48:57So, I mean, the subjection of academia to these rankings of individual academics, according to where and how often you publish, seems to me completely nonsensical. I mean, it seems to be the most perverse incentive imaginable. Well, it is. And I can explain where it came from. And also, there's some interesting examples of people that make real progress, not fitting that paradigm at all. So where it came from was business schools were originally set up to do a couple of things. The first was to help the military, which was where a lot of young men in particular got their training, which was to help them make the transition to civilian life.
49:44So especially after the Second World War, a lot of the MBA programs really had that in mind as their goal. and then the idea was that you wanted to be raising the practice of management to be you know a profession like like law like medicine but the idea was you wanted it to have that sort of professionalism to it interestingly it was management not entrepreneurialism no no no business administration sir got it got it of course master of business administration this is that doesn't sound like entrepreneurship to me anyway um so then they opened up these business schools. They hired a lot of things.
50:20But because it was a relatively new field, there weren't a lot of people with PhDs in business. So what you ended up with was this sort of grab bag of people with PhDs in related fields like sociology or economics, and then a whole bunch of executives who would come in and tell war stories about how they built the tire company. And then in the 50s, all this came to a head with a publication of a report. I believe it was founded by the Ford Foundation that said, see here, if we're going to have this thing in a university that's called a business degree. We need to have more people with PhDs teaching in the course.
50:53And therefore, we're going to look askance at schools that don't have PhD trained students, you know, teaching their students. I know. Weird, huh? So anyway, then, oh, so that had a lot of the top schools really scrambling to try to find people with the PhD degree to be teachers. Then the next thing that started to happen was as the economy became more and more financialized, I would pin that to the sort of 80s and 90s, the MBA just took off. And so if you had a PhD and could hold a piece of chalk, you were kind of guaranteed a job. But once you put that PhD thing as the barrier to what you're going to do to get successful in your career, now that brings with it all the weird stuff about what gets you ahead in your academic world, which is publication in very, you know, journals that executives wouldn't really lead.
51:48And that to me has led to two really almost tragic things. One is that we've already discovered in academic research solutions that could be quite valuable to managers if they only knew about them. So here's an example. One of my colleagues, Kathy, the late Kathy Phillips, did this study on exactly what you've just been talking about, which is diversity. And how does diversity in the population that's trying to solve a creative problem affect the solutions that they get. Now, the problem with real life is you have no way of knowing whether a group did well or badly on a creative problem-solving task, because obviously there's lots of things.
52:23In a lab, you can actually quantify how well they did, how long it took them, what number of - It was pretty decisive, wasn't it, the findings? The findings were incredibly decisive. So here's the two things that were really fun. So the diverse groups, as you might expect, did a lot better on these creative problem-solving tasks than the homogenous groups. And she did diversity, homogeny on all kinds of dimensions. So not just like race and gender, but she did like, did we all belong to the same sororities? Had we been selected by the same social structure? Did we all have the same core classroom?
52:56So she looked for lots of different ways. The bonding is faster if you get a less diverse group, isn't it? But the output is less. Well, this is the kicker to me of this. The diverse groups felt terrible. It was so effortful. I didn't know what they were trying to say. We really had to struggle to make ourselves understood. And it turns out, when you have to grapple with that kind of diversity, it lights up a part of your brain that normally is just basically sleeping. The homogenous groups felt awesome about what they did. It was like, oh, we got right down to it. We all understood each other.
53:28We said about the task. We ended early. We defined the task probably in an incredibly, very quickly, but in an incredibly boring way. Yeah, I can just imagine. Well, so now extrapolate that conclusion to the composition of most senior leadership teams of large publicly traded companies. And chances are they feel great about what they're doing because they're all carbon copies of each other. This research is hugely important. And yet the extent to which it permeates business thinking. There was a fantastic bit of research, which I cite in my book, which shows that if you have, let's say you have five candidates for position.
54:04and one of them is an ex. Okay? Doesn't matter whether male, female, black, white, doesn't matter. One of them is an outlier. That person is much less likely to be chosen. If you have two, the entire bias disappears. So, you know, theoretically, okay, if you decided to wear a top hat to your interview, the only chance you'd have of getting hired is to persuade one of the other candidates to wear a top hat and hope they kept their word, at which point, you know, the weirdo factor would disappear. I mean, that's such an extraordinary factor of choice architecture that it needs to be really widely known.
54:42And yet it genuinely isn't. No, I know. No. I think I can explain that in terms of psychology, which is we make decisions through ease of comparison. We have a comparative judgment, not an absolutist judgment. And therefore, if you are incomparable, to use the word literally, you are at a disadvantage because no one knows where to place you. You know, it's right. You know, it's similar to product positioning, right? So if you get stuck into a product called CRMs, you're going to be compared to all these other CRMs, even if what you're trying to do is something completely different. Because I noticed I got nerdily interested in the watch business, the luxury watch business, because it's like the Galapagos Islands of kind of marketing in the sense that, you know, and you have these categories like the pilot's watch, the diver's watch, the field watch, the dress watch.
55:31And you kind of go, why is this? First of all, virtually nobody who has a diver's watch has even a paddy qualification. They're extremely unlikely to go down to 300 feet. You have a bezel on your watch, which means you've effectively spent$7 ,000 to advertise the fact that you're bad at maths, because if it's two o 'clock and I've got 40 minutes of oxygen left. I should be able to work this one out myself. And you suddenly realize that if you produce a watch which is in some way completely incomparably different, oddly, it's not an advantage in some ways. It's actually no one knows where to place you.
56:11Right, exactly. Yeah. Yeah. And I think similar, so many categories that that's similar. in. So, you know, we've just seen in America, we've just seen the closure of the Sloan Management Review, which was, you know, you sort of had this clump of academic journals which people wouldn't read. So, I mean, do you really want to sit down heart to heart with an article that has asset mass discontinuities and their effect on partnership structures? No, no, no. You know, it's Greek. Then you had this clump of journals in the middle, which would be Harvard Business Review, Sloan Management Review, California Management Review.
56:42And then you had what I would call the management publication. So Fortune, Forbes, you know, Wired, Fast Company, those kinds of magazines. And there's a gap between the two to an extent, isn't there? There's a gap between three to an enormous extent. And so a lot of the knowledge that sort of gets published in the academic journals never makes it over to the practicing manager. I think there's a weird thing, which is academics are somehow remarkably bad at realizing the implications of the most important work they do. in some cases, or they're remarkably bad at proselytizing them where they're important.
57:17Yeah. Well, let me come back to your concept of bottlenecks, because I think this is really interesting. If you look at the people who have really made a practical impact in the areas of management, my argument is that they tend to be interstitial, meaning the universities kind of don't know where they belong. So Michael Porter, the most famous strategist of all kinds, nobody could figure out where he belonged. They actually, eventually, he came from economics, but eventually they had to create a department at Harvard for him because he had such a massive impact and he didn't fit neatly into economics and he didn't fit neatly into business.
57:51They didn't know what to do with him. Clayton Christensen spent decades, literally decades, as a leader, as a practicing manager, first as a BCG consultant, and then he ran his own companies. And then eventually he went back for his PhD, but he had a whole other career before he started that. Amy Edmondson, one of the world's most famous people on the concept of psychological safety and a good friend of mine. But she's sort of in a department that doesn't really reflect any of those things. And so what I think is interesting is if you... Economics is very similar in that the most interesting economists generally emerge at the fringes and find it very difficult to find themselves a home.
58:33Right. Yeah. Right. But if you go back to our conversation about diversity, what I think these people who are at these intersections are able to do is take, you know, concepts and ideas from one place, but then make them relevant in another rather than just speaking to the converted that are all in their same little silo. So I think there's something very interesting about that. And I don't think we take it into account enough. Now, I do think with the advent of AI and with the way jobs are changing so dramatically, I think what I'm seeing is a lot of business schools are taking a good hard look at their curricula and now trying to figure out, well, you know, how do we need to adjust?
59:09Because the human resources we've got are not necessarily the ones that are best prepared to train. And there's an argument that in an age of AI, the humanities degree has a newfound value. Yeah, become an English major. Who knew? I'll tell you without naming him because I don't want anybody to poach him, But in Ogilvy Consulting, the person who is one of the three people who I think is probably one of the best both adopters and proselytizers for the ingenious use of AI, but is also a brilliant practitioner in all kinds of ways. And I met him because he couldn't get a job at any of the he had.
59:45He had a first from Oxford in theology and philosophy. not one you know not one of the major consulting firms would touch him because they wanted people with an engineering degree and that bothers me on two dimensions first of all i want engineers fixing stuff i don't want them preparing powerpoint decks for god's sake you know if you've got an engineering talent for god's sake do engineering not some corporate wank okay but Secondly, it bothers me because it suddenly occurred to me that I mean, the people in the people in cybernetics who are interesting, Stafford Beer, people like that, always believed there was this discipline called what they called business philosophy, which was effectively asking questions that no particular that didn't sit within a particular department, which is what are we for?
1:00:36Or, you know, does this really create what is value would be a fantastic sort of philosophical question. What is it people really care about? And given the importance of those kind of areas of inquiry and those, I think those are areas which do actually play well to someone with a background in philosophy, a background in some form of humanities discipline. And yet, I can't remember that there's some extraordinary statistics on sort of almost the death of humanities degrees within the American education system, where the number of people studying history, languages, etc., has been just continued English, have been continually shrinking.
1:01:15But actually, the what you might call the breadth of thinking that derives from that is absolutely fascinating. This episode is brought to you by Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales, using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business. The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and fandoms that matter most. Learn more at Accenture.com slash Spotify. When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs.
1:02:01It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications, and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs. So I have a funny story about our daughter who went to Barnard College, which is a women's liberal arts school. You did as well. I did. Is that right? Yes, yeah. By the way, for British listeners, these liberal arts colleges, Swarthmore, Barnard, Bryn Mawr, etc., we never understand them.
1:02:42I had a friend who came from Swarthmore, and he was made to take the third year of biochemistry again when he got to the UK, because nobody in the UK fundamentally understood what Swarthmore was. and I think he got the top first because basically he'd already done all the work. But no, they're absolutely extraordinary places and I think brilliant because of the size of the place. So you're - They tend to be smaller. Imagine it like an Oxford college or a Cambridge college, but in the middle of nowhere is sort of the way to look at it. Well, Barnard's in the middle of New York City. That's an exception.
1:03:14But quite a few of them are in, yeah. Yeah, they are. Well, the emphasis is smaller classes. Donna Tartt novels. One of those was set there. Yeah. Yeah, so smaller classes, but a huge emphasis, and she was a history major, a huge emphasis on clarity of writing. Yes. And so many years later, she ended up going to Columbia for her MBA and didn't like it very much in the beginning. It was all just, you know, all this finance stuff and all these people just want to get rich. And that was sort of where we were the first month or two in. And then she discovered her superpower, which is all these people had no idea how to put a coherent paragraph together.
1:03:53She was like the superstar at this. And so she formed this really interesting little partnership where this guy who was just a genius at finance, but also really good at teaching it, helped her with that stuff. And then she, you know, helped craft the written portions. Division of labor, pure Adam Smith. Absolutely fabulous. It was great. And, of course, now it's, oh, my friend from business school does this, does that. We're going to a wedding. It all worked out very well. This is so interesting because I work with a company called Gaping Void, which is a culture design company. And one of the assertions he makes, which is fascinating, Jason Corman, who runs it, is that if you think about it, Elon Musk, whether you like them or not, doesn't matter.
1:04:39Henry Ford, okay, Jobs. Obnoxious. Oh, obnoxious. Quite often obnoxious. They're also eminently quotable. And he said, we often get this wrong, he said, that we think that we remember these quotes because they were successful businessmen. They were actually successful business people because they were brilliant wordsmiths. If you think about it, Jeff Bezos, you know, Bezos-isms, I mean, Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett are, you know, I mean, they're masterpieces of writing. Not, you know, alongside, obviously, the economic consequences of what they do. And the value of that, of being able to communicate, and David Ogilvie would be a perfect example.
1:05:20I mean, his greatest contribution wasn't the ads. It was the corporate culture he fostered, largely through these incredibly pithy kind of quotations, and being able to express something in a way that was both motivating and different and memorable. And actually, the contribution of that, you know, Jeff Bezos' thing, in baseball you can only hit four, in business you can hit a thousand, or his idea of the two-way door and the one-way door. They're actually incredibly useful thinking tools, which when you think of the value of those, once they spread and become part of the common verbal currency within an organization of 100 ,000 people, the value of that is actually immense.
1:06:02But we tend to think of it backwards. We are only quoting Henry Ford because he started a car company, but maybe he started a car company because he was eminently quotable. That's a very interesting thought. Yeah. And this is my view as well. When he said it, I said that never occurred to me before. I always assumed it was the other way around. Obviously, like everything, it's both directions to a degree. Had he failed at his car company, we probably wouldn't remember. But it probably is actually both direct causation works in both directions. Well, one of the things that I think we don't talk about enough is what I'll call executive symbolism.
1:06:36So if you think about what a symbol is, it's there's the substance of the thing. That's the thing that it is. And then there's the story that we make up about it. And what I always try to remind senior leaders is you can't opt out. Everything you do, you raise an eyebrow one way in a meeting. And, you know, if you don't provide a story, everybody's going to make one up. You sit, you know, Joni over there in the corner because she's working with Jill and Judy and maybe they should all sit together. And within two hours, the entire organization's in an uproar because I was supposed to be the next one to get an office with a window.
1:07:08And that didn't, I mean, all this stuff. And I find a lot of executives are quite clueless about what the symbolism is of what they're doing. And I would support your thesis that really great symbolism can just transform countries. It can transform companies. An old boss of mine, Mike Walsh, said management is a series of symbolic acts. There you go. That actually the things you do that signal are actually more important in some ways than the decisions you make. There was an extraordinary case I knew, which was someone who took over quite a junior managerial position in a distribution company.
1:07:43And all he did, which changed the entire tenor of the place, was that the van drivers had a kind of restroom and the door had fallen off three years ago and no one had replaced the door. His first action on being appointed was basically, you know, what is it that really annoys you? Someone mentioned the door. He gets the door replaced day one. The entire tenor of the organization changed because there was somebody who listened who might make something happen in that case. That's a great story. And actually, by the way, I mean, great corporate cultures are also, they generally have eccentric symbols.
1:08:21They have a few peculiarities. And actually, they're sort of ideologies. that there are, I mean, there's a wonderful book called Why We Think the Way We Do, which has only just come out, which is absolutely fantastic, which makes the point that religions require you to believe things that are slightly absurd, because you create an in-group through this shared, and the belief, in a sense, what you have to do if you want to be an ideology is, obviously, you know, you can't demand so high a price of admission to the in-group that no one's interested. You need some sort of scale. But equally, the price of admission needs to be sufficient so that you're invested in the group.
1:09:01Absolutely. Absolutely. And so, I mean, I think the symbolic role of management has been what typically happens is these are the first things to get cut. This drives me insane because they'd always do this in advertising. They go, we're having a bit of a tough quarter. So the first thing to go be staff entertainment or client entertainment. And to be honest, this is a rounding error in terms of the scheme of things. It's irrelevant. OK, the finance people think this sends a wonderful symbol in terms of our need for austerity. In other words, how can we possibly, you know, lay claim to, you know, the need for cost cutting unless we first cut those things which might incidentally be enjoyable or meaningful.
1:09:48And you end up with this fun... I mean, if you think about it, all religions have festivals. Roger L. Martin, are you a fan of Roger's? Oh, I know Roger very much. He's fantastic. He wrote a piece on the importance of celebration. It's really, really important in an organization that occasionally you have things that defy the usual economic logic, and you go out and celebrate something properly. Because fundamentally, the anthropological effects of that, you know, the value of that anthropologically totally outweighs the relatively trivial cost. If you think about Mary Kay Cosmetics, just to name a completely off-the-wall example, you get to stride across the stage because you were the number one, and you're going to get a pink Cadillac.
1:10:31I mean, people remember that for decades. And the tragic thing is it works because it doesn't make sense. But because it doesn't make sense, it's the first thing to get stripped out of the budget. Very interesting. If we end on a simple thing, the single thing that a large organization hoping to either innovate intentionally or at least take advantage of lucky accidents. Because one of the most bizarre things I noticed about large organizations is that even when things land in their lap, they find it remarkably painful to take advantage of it. Because, you know, it doesn't really fit with our existing.
1:11:15I mean, Martin Sorrell, old boss of mine, had two very good quotes. One of them was, an awful lot of value is destroyed in the pursuit of organizational neatness. Which I think is undoubtedly true. And the other phrase was, we don't let our strategy interfere with our tactics, which is every now and then, you know, human life is exactly the same. I mean, if you think about it, most of the most important things in your life weren't planned. They were because you had the good sense to be opportunistic when the moment presented itself. But if you wanted advice for a large company either to intentionally produce meaningful, valuable innovation, or at the very least to be capable of taking advantage of lucky accidents when they fall in their lap.
1:12:05Serendipity. Serendipity. Which is, by the way, probably is equally important in terms of innovation, as intentional innovation. Oh, absolutely. What would the single change be or the single first change that you'd make in order for that to happen? Well, my starting point is always management's agenda. And I mean that incredibly literally. So I'll often get called by companies or, oh, you know, our innovation program is stuck or whatever. We really want to figure out what to do with it. So I'll have them send me in advance the agendas for the last few times. Important people got to talk about important stuff.
1:12:40And then I just go through it and highlight where innovation might fall. And if it's number 18 right next to material safety data sheet update. Got it. Nobody's paying attention. So if you really mean it, and I'll speak to your executive audience here, I would like to see it item one, two, or three on every meeting. When people run into you in the hall, you'll ask questions about, so how's that project going? You make physical time on your calendar, some, you know, one to two hours a week. And so what that does is it signals to the organization you're interested. It's meaningful. I mean, if it's going to be item one, two, or three, that means something else can't be, right?
1:13:21Yes, of course. So you've got to make that very conscious choice. And then it creates that ability for people to know that you're actually interested. Because I think a lot of times what happens is you've got these innovators and they just almost don't know where to go with it. They feel like the awkward squad, effectively. But, for example, at the SAS Institute, Goodnight, who's their CEO, regularly, every Tuesday, top team gets together for two or three hours every week, talks about what's going on, what's new, who's discovered something interesting. So that time is sacrosanct on the calendar.
1:13:55And it just creates this incredible ability for the organization to know what it knows. So board meetings themselves are becoming excessively financialized, haven't they? Yeah, I agree. So, I mean, there's a very clever marketing director at Aviva in the UK who has a board customer day every year, which is entirely about customers. Oh, nice. You would argue that creating both space and verbally and visually making prominent the importance that you attach to this. Absolutely. Absolutely. And what's fascinating to me is this is back to symbolism, right? Because all of your symbolism has enormous fallout.
1:14:35Yes. And it could be used for good. It could also be a terrible thing. But if, for example, a large client of mine is a big multinational firm. And when a new leader came in, they identified that there was a problem with – there was a thing that just wasn't being done right across a particular one of their geographies. And all this leader did was started asking about it. And the first couple of teams he met with, he asked about it. And then all of a sudden began to notice teams he hadn't even been interacting with were starting to get their act together on this particular thing. Now, why is that?
1:15:12It's because all the people at that level were talking to each other. You know what the boss was asking about? Before he gets to you guys, you might want to look into that. So it's like this ripple effect that you have as a senior leader. And when it comes to innovation, I think it's more important than anything because it's very easy to just go back and do the same thing and report on the same thing. But to really say, okay, that thing you tried didn't work. Let's understand why. I think it's great you tried it. Let's learn from it. And I'd like you to see if there's a different approach that might work.
1:15:44Whereas the natural tendency to brush it under the carpet and pretend it never happened. Exactly. Got it. Exactly. So it is really, it is, and this would also apply, I would regard marketing and innovation as being very close bedfellows because they're fat-tailed, they're to some extent experimental. Actually, they're two sides of the same coin, aren't they? You either work out what you can make and find a clever way to make people buy it, or you work out what people want to buy and find a clever way to make it. Fundamentally, and sometimes, of course, I think there's also an interesting thing, which is if marketing isn't involved in innovation, you can fail where you otherwise would have succeeded.
1:16:21And the example I always give there is if you take new formats in hotels, let's say Citizen M or Moxie, talking to them, very interesting thing. If people, there's a trade-off, okay, which is your room's very small, there's no room service, there's no laundry. You wouldn't want to stay there for five days, but if you're staying there for one night, it's pretty much perfect. Your room's small, very good Wi-Fi, very good television. The ground floor is kind of like a wee work. You know, there's a 24-hour barista. There's a cocktail bar. And you can hang out there for hours without feeling weird.
1:16:53And they're in a pretty good location. What happened there is that the people who've either stayed there before and understand the trade-off love it. The people who have been made aware in advance of the trade-off go, funnily enough, I'm only there for two nights. That's perfect for me. That's what I want. And they go and they're really happy. Then there is 10 % of people who turn up expecting the Marriott who are absolutely livid. And of course, with innovation, preparing expectation is as important a part in many ways as what the innovation itself is. I think innovations like the Segway probably failed because they were oversold at first.
1:17:32In other words, you can overpromise. If you're, on the other hand, explicit about where you're strong, where the compromise is people will willingly choose something which, unless you give them the opportunity to actually understand the trade-off in advance, they'll fundamentally reject. So again, it's a question of attention, I suppose, isn't it? In other words, that works because you've been taught to pay attention to the thing that's better and understand to downweight the thing that's worse. Right, right. And the same thing is interestingly true because one of the lessons that comes from this company, gaping void in terms of culture, one of the most common things they say, stop talking about the money so much.
1:18:14So the extent to which financial conversations now permeate every minute of every day, where in an advertising agency, you get copywriters who are worried about what their billable utilization rate is. That's fundamentally inimical to an innovation culture. This episode is brought to you by Accenture. When your advertising operations fall out of sync, Everything else follows. Spotify and Accenture are working together to reinvent the rhythm of ad sales, using automation, analytics, and smarter workflows to simplify campaign delivery and access better data across the business. The result? Less time spent on operations, more time connecting brands with the moments and fandoms that matter most.
1:18:57Learn more at Accenture.com slash Spotify. When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, Use Indeed Sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications, and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs. Well, and I think the whole billable hour.
1:19:35It's an appalling metric to begin with. Well, and I think it's going away. I wrote about it with respect to lawyers and it got, of course, the expected. This came out in the Wall Street Journal and, you know, all the way from finally somebody's had the truth to call this out. It's terrible. You're barking mad. You have no idea what you're talking about. You've never represented a difficult case, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. And I said, I never did. All I pointed out was that in a world where AI can do things that are remarkable in very, very short periods of time, what does the billable hour even mean?
1:20:03It's a perverse incentive anyway, isn't it? Yeah, rewards you for inefficiency. It's also probably necessary purely for social reasons, which is, in many cases, the company is paying for the partner predominantly and their expertise. But you can't pay someone$20 ,000 a day or$30 ,000 a day. So you have to create this kind of bizarre leverage of junior staff performing unnecessary functions in order to create that level of remuneration. Well, and that's where I think AI is going to genuinely be disruptive. Because quite. Right. So here's maybe an opportunity for your listeners. There's a lot of talk about disruption.
1:20:46And unfortunately, the term has come to mean any big change. Yeah, absolutely. And I think what's more useful is to identify specific cases in which things are going to get disrupted. And so I would argue the two signals to look for are when something that used to be expensive or inaccessible becomes affordable. And that's not just 5 % cheaper. It's when something becomes 10x cheaper. Or even more. And secondly is when something that used to require painfully gained expertise and it's very difficult and complicated to do now becomes child's play. And one of the things disruption does is it so totally changes the value equation because of those two factors.
1:21:30So what was once hard becomes easy. What was once expensive becomes cheap. And just to take an example from history, take portrait painting. 200 years ago, if you wanted to have a likeness created of yourself. Monumentally expensive. Monumentally expensive. The painters themselves, they had to go through a whole apprenticeship program and worship at the Masters and belong to a studio and get rated and get, you know, sponsors and all that. I mean, just incredibly complex and difficult and very expensive. So in 1888, along comes George Eastman with his brownie camera. And all of a sudden, any doofus that can afford a basic price of a camera gets met with this slogan, you know, push the button, we do the rest.
1:22:08And all of a sudden, it changes. Now, for the portrait painters, that's not necessarily good news, although we still have portrait painters. But it's a small population of people that produce visuals. But if you think about the explosion of picture taking, I mean, we probably take more pictures per hour right now than we've taken in all of human history before. And so what disruption does is it... It's very funny, by the way, because I grew up in an age when photography had a cost. Oh, yeah. I was at Heathrow Airport and there was a woman with a child. And to keep the child occupied, she just handed the child her mobile phone and the child went around taking pictures of the floor, you know, just totally, you know, anything, hundreds of photos.
1:22:49I had to move away because it pained me. Now, I knew rationally that each photograph cost nothing and could be deleted afterwards. But the idea of just gratuitously, because I grew up in the 70s where it was a pound or 50 pence to actually, and I still can't get into that habit that my kids have of just gratuitously snapping away or filming things. And taking pictures of your food. I've never understood this. No, no, no, no, thank God, no, no, nor me, no, no, absolutely. Yeah, but no, so the skill required is inordinately less, the cost is inordinately less, the time is inordinately less. So if you take that now to a business context, a current business context, when I'm a copywriter, right?
1:23:33And it used to require some skill to write good copy. I think it still does. Interesting copy. I think humans still have an edge there. I do, too. Yeah. Yeah, I do, too. And yet, you know, for writing the press release. But to write pretty well, as opposed to distinctively well, I agree with you. Yeah. So I think what we need to think about as we're thinking about where AI is going to show up is look for the places where it makes what once was really hard good enough. Now, it's never going to replace a portrait painter. You're never going to get the layers of beauty and the rich color. But for a lot of applications, that's not actually necessary.
1:24:17No, no, no. And I think that's where we can see AI having big effects. Now, if it's positive, maybe there's a lot of back office grunt work that doesn't need to get done. But on the negative, there are things that are just no longer necessary that people aren't going to be willing to pay for. And I think people need to be very clear headed in understanding where those shifts might happen. Now, the advertising industry has always worked like Carl Fabergé, which is now Carl Fabergé couldn't just make eggs on a whim because the gold was very expensive and the craftsmanship was very time consuming.
1:24:49So you wait for a member of the Russian royal family to come in and commission an egg. Now, the advertising industry currently works like that. It works in response to a client's demand. And then ridiculously charges by the billable hour, not by the degree of talent or the value of the end product, but never mind. If you look at Wedgwood, China wasn't expensive. He didn't wait for plates to be commissioned. He got a designer and produced plates to an attractive design and went out and found people to sell them. Now, I don't see why the advertising industry wouldn't become more like Wedgwood and less like Fabergé, where you produce ideas spontaneously and then go and find a customer.
1:25:32I don't see why you wouldn't reverse the polarity of the business, because clay is a lot cheaper than gold. And designing a plate which can be mass produced is a one-off activity rather than something that needs to be commissioned. So that would be, I suppose, a Clay Christensen prediction, which is the production companies actually start moving upwards into the advertising agency territory. Could be. Is that a plausible future? Absolutely. Okay. Well, and if you think about the way advertising has changed in terms of the channels, what even is advertising, you know, a lot of people get all their advertising as it will or were from, you know, TikTok and Instagram and unconventional places.
1:26:14producing a fantastic bit of TikTok content and then selling it to KFC. Well, the whole influencer model is like that, right? So I'm the world's leading expert on liquid bleach. Therefore, anybody who sells liquid bleach wants to be on my program. Bleach wants to talk to me. And in the same way, I always make this point. This seems weird to people in advertising, but no one asked the Beatles to write a song about a submarine. No. No. Rita, this has been absolutely fantastic. Thank you very much. Anytime you're in the UK. Are you based in New York? You're Columbia. New York and between New York and Princeton.
1:26:46Fantastic. Absolutely brilliant. Good. It's been an absolute joy. That's been absolutely fantastic. Thank you very much indeed. Thank you.
1:27:06I'm not giving up. I am selling the building. The final season of FX is the bear. The restaurant is flooded. Everything's either going to be okay. No. Or not. We are outgunned and we are outmanned. We have each other. FX is the bear. The final season. All episodes now streaming on Disney+.
From the publisher
Rita McGrath has spent her career on a question most companies would rather not answer: can a large organisation genuinely innovate from the inside, or does it only ever buy in what threatens it?In this episode she joins Rory to explain why big companies are so bad at handling uncertainty. Rita's argument is that firms run new ventures by the same rules they use for the business they already understand, and it kills them. No advantage lasts, so the replacement has to be in development long before you need it.This is a conversation about the gap between what companies say they want from innovation and what they actually reward, and about where the fixes are to be found.Follow RoryInstagram: @rorysutherland_clipsTikTok: @RorysutherlandclipsX: @rorysutherlandLinkedIn: in/rorysutherland/Follow ElfriedInstagram: @elfriedsambaLinkedIn: in/elfriedsamba/https://www.butterflyeffect.xyz/A @Sassy+ original podcast series




