In short
A special 201st episode of The Infinite Monkey Cage where hosts Brian Cox and Robin Ince answer “burning questions” from celebrity guests using scientists. The episode moves from engineering (London’s Elizabeth line tunnelling and operations), to animal emotion and grief, to climate-change urgency and solutions.
Guests (celebrity questioners)
- Mel Giedroyc (comedian/TV presenter; “cake commissar” persona; asks about tunnelling/engineering via her obsession with trains and tunnels).
- Nish Kumar (stand-up comedian; co-host of Pod Save the UK; asks “what is science?” and later about buried treasure).
- Deborah Meaden (TV “dragon” investor; asks about time travel).
Key claims & notable examples
- Elizabeth line tunnelling used earth-pressure-balance tunnel boring machines; 90%+ excavated material moved by rail/barge to Wallasey Island for a bird sanctuary; buried archaeology at Liverpool Street required exhuming 3,000+ bodies.
- Dr Liz Paul: animals may show grief-like behavioural/physiological changes; mammals are most studied; examples include elephants, orcas, and dogs changing behaviour after a companion dies.
- Ed Hawkins: “not screwed yet”; tipping points are uncertain; impacts are already happening; solutions include electrification, net zero, and direct air capture (not yet proven at scale); oceans absorb 90% of excess heat; coral bleaching and sea-level rise are major consequences.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOCelebrating the 201st Episode with Guests
2:21 to 4:04
The hosts introduce their celebrity guests and their burning questions about science.
“I'm Robin Ince, and this is the 201st Infinite Monkey Cage.”
Mel Giedroyc's Physics Question
4:04 to 5:31
Mel shares a humorous anecdote about being kicked out of physics class and her question for her teacher.
“the burning questions we have on this birthday episode, a discerning dragon, a cake commissar and a mash master.”
Nish Kumar's Science Struggles
5:31 to 7:17
Nish reflects on his difficulties with science and his curiosity about its definition.
“but physics was on a Tuesday afternoon and showing on Tuesday evenings on ITV was Bride's Head Revisited and I used to sing the theme tune in the physics class quite loudly Would you like to do it now?”
Deborah Meaden's Time Travel Inquiry
7:17 to 7:42
Deborah discusses her interest in time travel and her question for her science teacher.
“I am very unkindly sometimes referred to as a dragon, TV dragon, but an investor.”
Doctor Who Theme Tune Debate
7:42 to 8:23
The hosts humorously debate singing the Doctor Who theme tune and discuss its relevance.
“That might be the question Deborah's going to ask.”
Mel's Fascination with Engineering
8:23 to 10:44
Mel expresses her obsession with trains and the engineering behind the Elizabeth Line.
“I'm obsessed with trains, with tunnels, with tunnelling.”
Isabel Coman on Tunnel Engineering
10:44 to 14:00
Isabel, an engineering expert, explains the complexities of building tunnels in London.
“So you need to make sure you're not going to hit something first.”
The Elizabeth Line and Voiceover Aspirations
14:00 to 18:31
The hosts discuss the Elizabeth line and a humorous aspiration to voice its announcements.
“So it's absolutely perfect for building a bird sanctuary.”
Do Animals Grieve? Exploring Emotions
20:39 to 21:20
Deborah and the guests explore the question of whether animals experience grief.
“Looking for an electric vehicle with a third row and leather seats for easy cleanup?”
Scientific Insights on Animal Emotions
21:20 to 24:11
Dr. Liz Paul shares insights on animal emotions and the complexities of grief.
“So I wonder whether or not that is grief or what that would be.”
Show all 21 chapters
Interspecies Grief and Animal Behavior
24:11 to 28:00
Discussion on how dogs and other animals respond to the loss of their companions.
“doing these sorts of perhaps a bit more sadness-like responses.”
Animal Grief and Empathy
28:00 to 30:00
Exploring whether animals understand death and empathize with loss.
“Maybe they're just inspecting it and they may hang around for a while but they leave.”
Human and Animal Connections
30:00 to 31:30
Discussion on the emotional connections between humans and animals during loss.
“Juno, absolutely, she sensed something in the air.”
Climate Change: Are We Screwed?
31:30 to 34:50
Addressing the current state of climate change and its future implications.
“I think you tried very hard and will be used in media training programmes in the future.”
The Role of Emissions and Solutions
34:50 to 38:20
Discussing the sources of emissions and potential solutions to reduce them.
“Those are things that we know are going to happen.”
History of Climate Science
38:20 to 40:40
A brief history of climate science and its foundational theories.
“But by the sounds of things, the trains are going to have to be able to turn into boats.”
Collective Action Against Climate Change
40:40 to 42:00
The necessity of individual and governmental actions to combat climate change.
“This is the 201st episode of The Infinite Monkey Cage.”
Understanding Net Zero and Carbon Drawdown
42:00 to 42:40
Explore the concept of net zero emissions and the potential for net negative emissions through technology.
“because the infrastructure is not in place to do it.”
Reflections on Optimism and Collective Action
42:40 to 43:14
Discuss the hopeful message of collective action in combatting climate change despite ongoing challenges.
“That was an interesting spiral downwards, wasn't it?”
Audience Interaction and Learning from the Show
43:14 to 43:54
Engage with the audience's insights on the most useful learnings from past episodes.
“I know, but we've been saying that for years, Brian.”
Humorous Audience Contributions and Science Reflections
43:54 to 46:11
Share humorous audience contributions while reflecting on scientific discussions from the show.
“big twist in January 2023 you are not expecting.”
Transcript
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2:05BBC Sounds. Music, radio, podcasts. You're about to listen to The Infinite Monkey Cage. Episodes will be released on Wednesdays. Wherever you get your podcasts. But if you're in the UK, the full series is available right now. First on BBC Sounds. Hello, I'm Brian Cox. I'm Robin Ince, and this is the 201st Infinite Monkey Cage. 16 years of searching for answers to some of the most important questions in science. What is death? Are we living in a simulation? How did life on Earth begin? What is the point of pandas? Is there any whatsoever? And is quantum theory just woo? I'll just stop you there.
2:43Why are you going to stop me? Pandas, pointless, they get in the way. Though, actually, I should say, later on in this series, you will hear a discussion about whether pandas would have more sex if they were on the International Space Station of that particular episode. Now, when we began, of course, Brian was just plain old Professor Brian Cox. Then he became Brian Cox OBE. Then he became OBE FRS. And now he is CBE FRS. And also, of course, won Rear of the Year in 2017 in the science communication category. I, of course, when this began, I was just plain old Robin Ince, whereas now I am Robin Ince, winner of Richard Osman's House of Games and owner of a bee hotel.
3:32I've got a bee hotel, Richard Osman luggage and a selection of things I can keep eggs in. Time will come. Yeah. Oh, no, I think that's it. That's all I want. Now, for our 201st birthday show, we've decided to do something special, and it should admittedly have been the 200th, but we missed it. We've invited three celebrity guests who have burning questions about science and engineering, and perhaps unfashionably in today's intellectual and political climate, we've also invited a panel of experts to answer them. So, to explore what they've always wanted to know, the burning questions we have on this birthday episode, a discerning dragon, a cake commissar and a mash master.
4:13And they are. Hi, I'm Mel Gedroych. I'm the cake commissar. And the first question that I ever wanted to ask my science teacher, Mrs Stone, I have not changed her name for legal reasons. That was her actual name. Brian, she was my physics teacher. The question I want to ask her, as I was then, age 14, why did you kick me out of my physics class? And have you got no inkling of why she kicked you out? I do have a bit of an inkling. You probably don't know about Mel, right? Mel created a little plot against Mrs Stone with the art teacher, Miss Paper. And Mr Rock. No, it's fair to say that I did...
5:03I don't know if this is Radio 4 friendly. I did tit about quite a lot in Mrs Stone's classes. But I thought, come on, man. Why did they do that to me, Brian? Because you titted about in the class. OK, fair deal. What level of titting are we talking about here? It's really lame. But the thing that was the sort of last straw on the camel's back, a.k.a. Mrs Stone, she did spit a bit as well, actually. She did spit a bit like a camel. but physics was on a Tuesday afternoon and showing on Tuesday evenings on ITV was Bride's Head Revisited and I used to sing the theme tune in the physics class quite loudly Would you like to do it now?
5:54Two things Firstly I would have kicked you out for that Secondly this is Radio 4 we can't afford the publishing You can use the first eight seconds, that's copyright free. What in the name of God is going on here? I don't know. It's like being the Manchurian candidate for people over 45. People in the audience just started going... Anyway, I wonder who our next guest is.
6:24Our next guest is scared and confused. My name is Nish Kumar. I am a stand-up comedian and the co-host of Pod Save the UK. And the question I would like to have asked my science teacher was on the first day of science, what is science? Because I was really bad at it. I was such a bad student. And so I'm here. I'm excited to be here. But I'm also, I should not be here. Can I say, at least you got to blooming do science till you were 16. Some of us, 14. At least that's because I wasn't there going, BAM BAM BAM We could do the Doctor Who theme tune together if you'd like. Oh, yes. Shall I go top or bottom?
7:08I don't think you can ask that on Radio 4 now. I think the third guest's still here. Hi, I'm Deborah Meaden. I am very unkindly sometimes referred to as a dragon, TV dragon, but an investor. And my question that I wanted... well, I did ask, actually, my first science teacher, because I was a big fan of Doctor Who, hence the Doctor Who theme tune, was, will we ever be able to time travel? Nice. Into the past, no. Don't spoil it. That might be the question Deborah's going to ask. This is our panel.
7:50Let's start with our first question. So each one of our panel has, as we mentioned, that has got a question, and we have a selection of scientists, and hopefully within the audience we have one that's suitable for each question. Of course we do, there's three people over there and we know exactly what's going to happen. Anyway, so, Mel, let's start with your question. Can we not do the Doctor Who theme tune really quickly? Ten seconds. I'll go low, someone else go high. Oh,
8:18my God. The tuning on that. There we are. Now, what would you most like to know about the universe and what lies within it? Right. I'm obsessed with trains, with tunnels, with tunnelling. The Elizabeth Line, which if you live outside of London and may not have used, is the incredible new east-west service from Reading on the one side to Abbey Wood slash Shenfield on the other side that basically goes underneath London and it's incredible. So it's my spiritual home and I just sit on the Lizzie line and marvel at the incredible engineering and the beauty of it and the air con and just the everythingness of it.
9:04With the Elizabeth line, the Lizzie as I call it, sometimes the Lizzo just for lols but every time I'm on it I just think how is this marvellous contraption getting me from A to B without bumping into any other things underground, how was it built, how did they make the tunnels, why does London not fall down, I'm obsessed. Well hopefully we've got a scientist who could answer that so let's find out with scientist number one.
9:35Hi, my name's Isabel Coman and I'm the Director of Engineering at Transport for London. And I spent seven years of my life working on the building of the Elizabeth Line. So let's have your first question then. To put this into perspective, Isabel, I moved my entire family to what we knew would be an Elizabeth Line station. And I remember saying to my two then small girls, I think there were sort of three and five at the time. I said, girls, you're going to be seven and nine, and then you're going to be riding this line. This is going to be incredible. Anyway, cut to, they were 23 and 21. And had very much left home, but it doesn't matter.
10:20It was late, but it was so worth the wait. What you're saying is you haven't got a question. I was going to say, can I just butt in and maybe just ask a science question? Yes. Which is, what's the first thing you do when someone says, right, we need a line, needs to go from here to here under a city like London? I was just about to ask that process. So you need to know what's underground. So you need to make sure you're not going to hit something first. And there's all sorts of things underground, especially in a city like London. So whether that's the piles for tall buildings, underground rivers, sewers, obviously other underground lines.
10:58So you need to make sure you don't hit anything. But you also want to connect into other key points. so it's important when people are travelling they can connect into other stations and other transport modes so that becomes really important and you try and balance all of those things together. And then the other thing you need to know is what's the ground condition? So what's the soil that you're going to be building in? So there's lots and lots of things you have to think about. Wasn't there a really tense moment where the Elizabeth Line Tunnel at Tottenham Court Road had to go between the northern and the central line and there was something like millimetres.
11:32It was about a metre between the tunnelling. To be fair, but it's millimetres. A thousand millimetres. It was non-specific about how many millimetres. A thousand of them. You're digging a seven-metre hole underneath a tube line with the trains running up and down. And is it true also, Isabel, that Mark Brunel, Isambard Brunel's dad, had didn't he start building a tunnel he wanted to build to france i think didn't he and isn't part of that tunnel that he originally started now one of the tunnels i can sense from your face isabel that maybe that's not correct isn't it the wrong tunnel i'll i'll look into that again but how has it changed over the years because i suspect the well the accuracy with which we know the underground has improved somewhat yeah so the main tunnel routes that were built for crossrail and the elizabeth line were built with earth pressure balanced tunnel boring machines so they're a big machine that gets launched and drives underground or it's dropped into a hole and it bores underground and the the technology that's on those machines nowadays is absolutely incredible so there are lots of monitors and sensors and they have a basically have a big cutting wheel at the front of them that that spins around and excavates the material ahead and the whole time that you're digging them the the teams that aboard those are like are watching for all the information that's coming to them because of course you can't see ahead of yourself so you're just trying to interpret the ground that and the material that comes through and balance the pressure of the earth in front of you as you cut a hole they have a shield that presses behind it that creates pressure to hold it all up so you don't get the ground ahead of it falling in and obviously the buildings and the railways and everything else that's going on in London falling into the hole as you dig it.
13:25Being very practical, what happens to all the dig out? Oh, that's amazing. They shake it out of their trousers.
13:34There's millions of tonnes of material excavated and actually for the Elizabeth line, I think over 90 % of it got transported by railway and barge down the River Thames and it built a bird sanctuary actually there called Wallasey Island. And it was clean enough to do that? Yes, because you're digging through ancient, ancient ground. So the London clay, which is where most of the excavation came from, is completely inert material. So it's absolutely perfect for building a bird sanctuary. That's so cool. I've got a bit of beef with the Elizabeth line. Just a little bit, if that's allowed. So in my career, I have done quite a few voiceovers, Isabel.
14:14Are you doing your voiceover voice? I am slightly doing your voice. Anyway, I said to my voiceover agent, Susan, I said, God, you know what? I would retire if I could be the voice of the Elizabeth line. You know, the voice that goes, and the next train to Shenfield will be two minutes from platform four. You see how good that would have been? Thank you. Anyway, so I said to Susan, look, any chance you get me in, can I do an audition? Never heard a word, Isabel. Not a word. I think it should be me, because I've got quite an aggravating nasal voice. And I think they should use my voice to be like, your train is so late.
14:59Oh, my God. It is so late. And I'd love to tell you why, but full disclosure, someone's taken a dump in the carriage. So once you've built the line, so what are the challenges in running the trains? you mentioned that they're not on time it's difficult how many trains are going through there per hour how close do they get to each other how do you manage that so elizabeth line runs 24 trains an hour they have to travel through three signaling systems so the signaling is the thing that controls and protects the train from crashing into each other but also it makes sure that you they run to to time so the technology and software inside has to be able to tell the train has to know where it is so it has to know which kind of signaling is being is telling it what to do and that has to it has to change between the systems and they have to speak to each other they have to sort of talk to each other the beautiful when you get all three is going out of Ealing Broadway which is mainline into I'm going to say suburban Paddington which is kind of the midway signaling system and then into the tunnel which is the fully underground one if I happen to be on that part of the line I do a little Tim Henman when he scores a point like a yes to myself.
16:12How do you know that? I like to look on websites, Brian. It's quite funny to hear the studio audience for this show laugh at something as if to go, that's too geeky for me. But I presume that when the digging actually begins, there will still be moments of surprise. What cannot be detected from above ground surveying? So you could have faults in the soil where it changes condition and basically what you you end up having is you have geologists who are experts who who watch the material coming that gets excavated coming back out through through the front of the face of the tunnel and the senses around you are sensing pressure they're sensing changes the the machines are designed to cope with a lot of different situations yes nish do you have a question you wanted to ask yes i'm now embarrassed because my question was going to be and what is the situation vis-a-vis buried treasure?
17:12But it's a good question. Very good question. Well done, Mish. And if you find buried treasure, who gets to keep it? Is it the individual who finds it, or does it get pumped back into the TFL system? So where the tunnels go, you're not going to find much buried treasure, but where the stations were built, so particularly at Liverpool Street, they actually excavated through the Bethlehem Hospital graveyard, which was between the mid-16th century and the mid-18th century. And they had to exhum over 3 ,000 bodies from that graveyard. So they're national artefacts, they get re-buried. And any treasure, archaeological treasure, is kept and preserved.
17:54And actually, many, many things have been found out about the population of London in that time through the various things that were excavated out. There was a really good exhibition, I don't know if it's still on, of all the artefacts. That was so great. and there was like a water bison or something found in the Acton area. Horns from like a pre-Jurassic water bison. I've been to Acton. That's one of the least scary things. Well, thank you so much. Thank you very much, Isabel Conner. Thank you. Wow. Love her. It's so many questions. September's always busy. Whole Foods Market can help. Their September Stock Up event makes it easy to load your pantry and freezer with flavorful, nourishing food.
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21:09Now, Debra, you have the next question. Yeah, so this is one that my vet and I disagree over. And the question is, do animals grieve? So what does your vet think then? Well, he thinks it's unlikely that they grieve, but I've got a lot of animals, I've had a lot of animals, they don't all respond the same way, but when we've had to put one down, definitely the animals have changed their behaviour. So I wonder whether or not that is grief or what that would be. And, you know, there are emotions around all of that, really. Well, let's find out. Now, meet our next scientist.
21:51Hello, my name is Dr Liz Paul. I'm from the University of Bristol and I'm a comparative psychologist. That means I study humans, but I study all sorts of animals as well. And I'm interested in emotion and how it evolved and how we can define it in animals and how we can study it in animals. So what's your initial reaction then to Deborah's question? I think there's a little cluster of thoughts. One of them would be that maybe your vet is being careful not to over-anthropomorphise, you know, to sort of not slip into the trap of assuming that all animals are sort of just like mini-usses, you're furry people.
22:28I have the thought that actually, as scientists, we're interested in answering that question experimentally, but also understanding theoretically what emotion is, what grieving might be, what kind of factors are involved with that. Then finally, the main thought that I have is that we have to sort of point out or say that emotion is a multifaceted phenomenon, so that feeling emotion is only one part of it and that we also do emotion in terms of our behaviour and we do emotion in terms of our physiology and we also change our cognition or our information processing when we're doing emotion. So maybe we can't always answer the question of do they feel but we can perhaps answer the question of is their physiology or their behaviour changing?
23:12And I guess also not all animals are the same. So is there a difference in groups of animals? Yes, definitely, yes. So I guess what you're thinking about tends to be, you know, most of us are experiencing... Horses, cats, dogs, sheep and geese. Companion. And ducks. So most companion animals are mammals. And so we're going to get a lot closer to grief in the mammals or human-like grief because we're mammals as well. Geese, yeah, going to be a bit more tricky. So in the wild, there are a lot of anecdotal stories that are reported about chimpanzees. There was a very widely reported story about an orca carrying its dead baby.
23:54There's also been observations of elephants, not just the mother, but other members of the group coming and having a look at a young elephant that's died and spending a lot of time hanging around, kind of, you know, touching it and walking around and things. So there's a lot of these kind of, on the whole, larger, bigger-brained mammals doing these sorts of perhaps a bit more sadness-like responses. And that's also been observed by owners in more systematic studies where sort of owners are asked to report how their dog or their cat has responded to the death of another dog or cat in the household.
24:31And again, there seem to be more, not always sadness responses, but some kind of behavioural change and potentially some sort of physiological change, so like a stress response. But I guess the question is, yeah, are they really feeling a sadness? And I think the answer is, well, I think mammals, at least, we have evidence that they can experience what they can do, let's say, behaviourally, physiologically do loss in some way. They recognise that they had a good thing and it's now gone. Specifically grief, you have to be a social animal to recognise that loss. But whether grief is somehow special and different from any other loss, like your family going on holiday for a fortnight, And you not knowing whether they're coming back or not, I doubt.
25:13Because I suspect that that conception of death as a complete end and they're never coming back is something even us humans find it difficult to grasp. And I guess that the question would be, I mean, evolutionary terms, everything we feel has a benefit to us, doesn't it? We feel fear, it keeps us alive, we run away. What would be the purpose of grief? So if I come back to sort of maybe focusing on the purpose of loss in general, if that's where grief comes from, then the thing that I find interesting as a scientist studying that whole extension, that evolution of all of the amazing complexity that we have as humans in our emotions, but all the seeds of that, the roots of that in our evolutionary history, then I think we can say that loss might have an important adaptive function, particularly in detecting not just the value of things, whether something's good or bad, but detecting the relative value of things.
26:09So if you give them a very nice food, they know that that's high value. If something bad happens to you, they know that's low value or it's a negative value. But a lot of particularly, again, mammals, some birds probably as well, and we haven't studied all animals, can recognise and respond apparently emotionally to when they had a good thing going for them and then it kind of cut back and it wasn't as good anymore. So they're learning. that gives them the capacity to learn about the world changing. And that's a very important piece of information. What about kind of what you might call interspecies grief, I suppose, which is you think, and I'm sure you may have seen this, Deborah and Nish and everyone else, which is I remember when my dad died and his dog, it was very much out of sorts and a level of confusion and it didn't have the same kind of vim and verve.
27:00So what do we know about that? Well, that has been studied, yeah. And it's mostly been studied at the moment, as I say, with owner reports, rather than somebody sitting in your house when somebody's just died, you know, observing what your dog did, because that would be a little bit ethically problematic. What a weird job, isn't it? It would be a weird job, like, knock on the door. Did he have a dog? Yeah, yeah. Can I come and sit in your house and watch your dog while you're organising the funeral? So I think, yeah, dogs are very, very social animals. They've been domesticated for over 40 ,000 years.
27:29They have learned to live with humans. they've changed genetically to live with humans so they're just as attached I would say to their humans as they would be to another dog in the same way that you know wolves would have been attached to other wolf pack members so I think it's not surprising that if you've got an animal like a dog that's a highly social animal that you know when it understands that somebody who has always been there in its life is no longer there of course as I say they may not understand the finality of death necessarily but they are definitely going to change their behavior having said that it's not all dogs and this is what deborah said as well you know it does depend on the nature of the relationship so more arrogant dogs or narcissistic dogs you mean it depends on like the like hitler's dog was like thank god do you think they recognized death i'm just thinking of one of my horses put down the other two horses went over poured sniffed you know poked around a bit and then just wandered off and carried on eating grass um what was that yeah so i think it's something really surprising it's a and it's this is called expectancy violation i suppose in in animal behavior so that would be they would normally expect it to get up again it tallies very closely with the reports that people have done as i say of wild animals and elephants and giraffe and things like that you know responding going over to the body interestingly the primates do something as i say the orca and dolphins do this infant carrying and particularly with infants as though they're trying to revive it in some way which i think the elephants and the and the giraffes and these larger animals who can't pick them up.
29:03Maybe they're just inspecting it and they may hang around for a while but they leave. Whereas quite shockingly in a way, some of the chimpanzees have been videoed carrying really quite rotten babies around with them for weeks and if not months. When Her Majesty the Queen died, I swear, no I swear. Oh my God, if it was so Prince Charles went over and he sniffed her a little bit and then he just walked away.
Read the full transcript
29:35Welcome to the final episode. If there's anyone in from the Daily Mail, I did not think that was funny at all. If there's anyone in from the Daily Mail, say he said it. No, seriously, our dog, Juno, from Bulgaria, inconsolable. She was really sad. I mean, there was a sadness that hung over the house. Juno, absolutely, she sensed something in the air. So people have looked at empathy in animals and whether they can empathise with their human owners, but also whether they empathise with other animals. And again, they don't necessarily do a fully-fledged, you know, kind of highly cognitive human-type empathising, but they do seem to resonate, you know, get some kind of...
30:25They pick something up. They pick something up. Smell it? They smell it? Does grief smell? Nobody's ever shown that, but you never know, you never know. But they could well be picking up on emotional cues from the owners. I have unbounded admiration for the way you saved that. That was just magnificent. Deborah, having heard that, where does that leave you now? I'm not sure it's settled yet, is it? But from my observations, I come back to something actually you talked about. I do see behavioural change, but some of them and I try not to anthropomorphize um I try thank you I try not to but I do I do sense loss I spend a lot of time with my animals and I do sense actually from the horses you know not all of them but very close companions when one is lost The other is lost for a while.
31:24So I feel it's unsettled. So I think that's not sorted anything, but thank you very much. I think you tried very hard and will be used in media training programmes in the future. Thank you to Dr Liz Paul there. Right, so we've gone from the Elizabeth line to death. Nish, where will you take us now? Was Hitler's dog evil? LAUGHTER No, my question is... Now, I will say, I did submit this question in advance, as requested, and of my original wording, one of the words has been changed. See if you can see which word it was. In regards to climate change, are we screwed? LAUGHTER
32:21Now we have our final scientist. Please take the stage.
32:30Good evening. I'm Ed Hawkins. I'm a professor of climate science at the University of Reading. And what's your initial reaction there to an issue is, are we screwed? We're not screwed yet. It's often talked about as being a problem for our children or our grandchildren. But what we're increasingly realising is that we're feeling the consequences now, today, and the consequences are only going to get worse as our planet continues to warm. Do scientists really think, oh, there is a point of no return here? I think one of the problems is there are people now that are increasingly thinking, well, if we've gone beyond the point of no return, then there's almost a kind of despair and a sort of nihilism setting in, especially with, I think, younger people.
33:05Is that something that is a scientific term, tipping points, points of no return? We often hear about the term tipping points, you're right. And they exist, we believe, in the system. We might imagine, we often talk about the change in the circulation in the Atlantic Ocean and how we might have less heat transported northwards by the ocean currents, which might actually cool our climate. And that might be caused by the continuing warming of our planet, you know, slightly paradoxically. So we think these events have happened in the past. We don't know when they might occur in the future. They're plausible, but we think they're unlikely in the very near future.
33:41And that would be cool, our climate. You mean in the UK? It would. So locally? It would. So we warm the planet. What happens is that we are melting Greenland. For example, we're melting Greenland at a rate of three Olympic-sized swimming pools every second. And that water is entering the ocean. It's causing sea levels to rise. But it's also changing the properties of the water in the North Atlantic. And that might disrupt the ocean circulation. The reason we have in the UK a relatively warm climate is because of that circulation. and if it was disrupted, that, yes, could cool our climate in the UK and north-west Europe.
34:17Oh, man. Just trying to work out, in terms of the pooping my pants-ometer... That won't help. That'll actually contribute even more to the warming. We don't want that. Are we at... I don't know how to properly say this. Are we at skid mark or full turn? I think what we need to focus on is that we... First of all, we have the solutions, right? So we have enough to worry about, about changing heat waves, becoming hotter and more intense, about our rainfall becoming more intense and causing more floods, and our droughts becoming more severe. Those are things that we know are going to happen. We should worry about those and do something about it.
34:56The tipping points are there. They're a possibility, but they're very uncertain. But they don't really affect what we need to do about it. We need to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions if we are to stop the warming continuing further. and that's what we need to focus on as our target to do to stabilise global temperatures by reaching net zero emissions. Because you know the Paris Climate Summit a few years ago now there's a one and a half degree global average temperature target right over pre-industrial levels. Wasn't last year exceeded that globally on the average? So yes last year was above 1.5 degrees.
35:34That doesn't mean that the Paris Agreement has been breached yet. It's a strong indication that we're going to, and I think we will breach that limit in the near future. But I think we also need to emphasise that the impacts of climate change, they're not a cliff edge where we go over a level and suddenly everything becomes disastrous. We are gradually feeling the consequences, and they're getting worse and worse, and every bit of warming matters. And so we need to ensure that if we miss 1.5 as the target, our next target is 1.6, and if we miss that, 1.7. The thing that I'm concerned about is, Is there a point at which that damage becomes irreversible, that we can no longer claw back habitable life on this planet?
36:16I think that's a very long way off if that were to happen. I mean, I think we will probably find certain parts of the planet which will become extremely difficult to live in. Like, there's Pacific islands that are just underwater now. So, you know, sea level rise is a long-term problem, for example. You know, we are going to see more than a metre of sea level rise, whatever we do with our emissions, over the next couple of hundred years. And so that is a long-term problem we're going to have to deal with. We're going to have to adapt to that. The worst-case scenario is that we might see several metres, you know, and how do we plan for London with several metres of sea level rise?
36:46Of course, we are lucky in that we have money to tackle that problem and those in more vulnerable parts of the world do not. I sometimes think that one of the problems with the way that it's phrased, every time we hear 1.5 degrees, I think in most people's minds they go, yeah, but, you know, there was that summer in 1976. So it feels to people like, it still feels to me as if the message about the fragility of life and the rarity of life and the fact that you do need very specific measurements to go and thus life. But I think when people hear 1.5 degrees, they go, whatever, you know, it's no different.
37:22I agree that the one degree, two degrees isn't necessarily always very helpful for telling those stories, for getting across the severity of the consequences. You know, seeing several metres of sea level rise or seeing these much worse heat waves or seeing much more rain come in these downpours that we've seen across Europe and across the world. We are really feeling that one or one and a half degrees. And we've only had one or one and a half degrees. We might have three or four degrees. And if we get to that level, things are going to feel really difficult. Sometimes when I try and conceptualise it, it just becomes overwhelming.
37:54You go, I've got no idea how to wrap my mind around this. But there are solutions out there. And what are ways that we can get our emissions down? So the vast majority of our emissions come from burning fossil fuels and deforesting large areas of the planet. And so if we are to tackle this, we need to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels, which means we need to electrify most things that we would normally use fossil fuels for and generate that electricity through renewable means. The Elizabeth line is electrified.
38:28But by the sounds of things, the trains are going to have to be able to turn into boats. But, you know, at the same time, there are certain things that we do as a global society which is going to be extremely difficult or impossible to remove our emissions from. And so, actually, we will also need ways of extracting CO2 from the atmosphere and burying it back underground from where it came. Is that carbon capture? Is that what that means? So it's often called direct air capture or direct ocean capture. There's various different methods that we might think about to do that. But we will need some of that technology to counteract the emissions that we can't avoid.
39:01That sounds positive. But it does. I didn't even know about that. That sounds bloody great. It hasn't been demonstrated to work at scale yet. But it's in the works. It's in the works. But that's the issue, because carbon capture is now a big political buzzword. but there is an issue in that the scale that politicians are suggesting it can achieve is not scientifically possible right now. Plan A, we need to reduce our emissions as much as possible. There will be some left over that we can't reduce and so we need other ways of tackling those. What about the oceans? Don't they have a massive part to play?
39:38The oceans play a massive part. The oceans take up 90 % of the excess heat that our greenhouse gas emissions are causing and it warms up the ocean and as water gets warmer, it expands, which is one of the big reasons we have sea level rise. So the oceans are playing a role in that, but they are soaking up a lot of the heat that we are creating through our emissions. But that means that the life in the ocean also faces consequences. We're already seeing coral reefs around the world suffer from the hotter temperatures. They bleach and then they die. And these are the nurseries for fish. And there are billions of people around the world who rely on marine sources for their protein source.
40:18And so, yes, what we're doing to the ocean is a huge consequence. How much of the problem is purely scientific in a sense of understanding the climate system and understanding what the solutions might be? And how much of it is behavioural and or political? We know enough about the science to know what we need to do. You know, we've known the basics of the science for a very long time indeed. Indeed. This is the 201st episode of The Infinite Monkey Cage. It happens to be 201 years since the famous French mathematician, Joseph Fourier, first suggested the atmosphere must behave as if it was a greenhouse.
40:56And that's why we say greenhouse gas? Yep. Oh, wow. He wanted to know, what is the temperature of the planet? And he did some calculations. He knew roughly how much energy was coming from the sun and how much got reflected to try and estimate the planet's temperature. And he realised that if he did that, the planet should be a ball of ice. because he had neglected the fact that the atmosphere absorbs infrared radiation emitted from the surface and that is absorbed by the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere as a blanket. He didn't know what it was in the atmosphere that was doing that, but he recognised that it must be like that.
41:29And it wasn't until later that we understood that, you know, carbon dioxide was the main gas that was doing that. But yes, we've known that basics for 201 years. Wow. Can it be reversed by individuals changing their behaviour or is it about industrial response or is it all of those things? It's all of those things. We need to take individual action. We need companies and industry to take actions as well and we need governments to set the direction to ensure that we're going in the right direction to enable people to make the right choices because often it's very difficult for people to make the right choices because the infrastructure is not in place to do it.
42:04Can it be reversed or are we aiming at stopping it? So the target we hear about is net zero, right? where we are achieving a balance between the emissions that we produce and what we can manage to draw down from the atmosphere. But that's probably not the end of the journey. If we have the technology that allows us to draw down carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, then in theory we might be able to go net negative and actually draw down more than we emit and store that excess underground and so potentially cool the planet again if we go too far. But that relies on a lot of technology we don't yet have.
42:40Ed, thank you very much. Amazing. Thank you. Wow. Really. Yeah, really good question.
42:52That was an interesting spiral downwards, wasn't it? It started off, isn't the Jubilee line great? Oh, I wonder how sad my dog is when things die. Oh, well, the world's coming to an end. I thought that the ultimate message was optimistic optimistic in that the message was that we know what to do and we can do it if we take collective action. I know, but we've been saying that for years, Brian. Yeah. Let's have the upbeat audience jokes they've written. You better have worked well now. They're relying on you. I will say, my turd has returned back to home base. That's the level of optimism I'm operating on.
43:30You could eat your dinner off my underpants right now. Whoever does the best joke, that's your prize tonight, my friends. So, we asked the audience a question, and the question was, what is the most useful thing you've learnt from the monkey cage over the previous 200 episodes? What have you got, Brian? No spoilers, please. I'm only up to podcast episode August 2022. There is a big twist in January 2023 you are not expecting. There's an endless supply of things can only get better jokes and puns to torment Brian with. And that is true, Natasha, that is true. Right, the answer to what is the most useful thing you've learnt is the name of an 11-sided shape.
44:15What was that, Brian? I don't remember. Does anyone in here know what the name of an 11-sided shape? Undecagant. Undecagant, and we had one down there from someone as well. Congratulations, you're going to be eating a fine meal with... LAUGHTER Bon appétit. I've got one here from Barthi that says, I've learnt that Brian Cox is the same age as me in astronomical terms, but light years apart in intelligence. And I'll say this to Barthi, you have the small and precise handwriting of someone who has killed and will again. LAUGHTER I've got one here from Dave Bulbrook, who says, interesting, yes. But Professor Brian Cox's moisturising regime remains a secret to science.
45:06Is there anything about any of the science we've covered over 16 years? I've got to say, Brian, I'm obsessed with your skin. Wow, you know that serial killer thing he was saying? This is a sensible... Look at this. Peter has saved the day. Knowledge is valuable even when it is not useful.
45:32that's all we have time for so thank to our panel deborah meaden mel gedroich and nish kumar and of course our three wonderful scientists who were liz paul ed hawkins and isabel coman
45:50now next week we'll be discussing whether we should all just move to mars or to be more specific, we ask the question, should we settle in space? So that's going to be very exciting. We're going to be talking about canal holidays in Mars. We're going to be seeing some of the sites, the different faces that you can visit on Mars and hopefully finding the archaeological kind of remains of the people who came down to Earth to build the pyramids. He's learnt nothing. It's very important I learnt nothing. It's what keeps the show fresh. Anyway, thank you so much to everyone. We'll be back for episode 202.
46:20Bye-bye.
46:27Donkey Cage. Till now, Nish again. Why do we do certain things like blush, lie or laugh? Things we do every day that don't always make a whole lot of sense. You're 30, 3-0 times more likely to laugh if there's somebody else with you than if you're on your own. I'm a paleoanthropologist and with some expert guests, I'll be revealing why we've evolved to do the things we do. like hanging out with dogs and gossiping. Nothing is a better bonder of a group of people than one collective enemy. From BBC Radio 4, the new series of Why Do We Do That? with me, Ella Al-Shamahi, available now on BBC Sounds.
From the publisher
Get ready for a landmark episode of The Infinite Monkey Cage as we celebrate our 201st show! Brian Cox and Robin Ince invite a lively panel of celebrity guests to pose their burning scientific questions to a top-tier team of scientists. Mel Giedroyc is tunnelling into the world of engineering, asking how we build and operate trains under some of the world’s busiest cities? Mel has found a new best friend in, Isabel Coman, Director of Engineering at Transport for London, who is here to guide her through the particulars of subterranean transport systems. Deborah Meaden, entrepreneur and investor, is delving into the emotional lives of animals - do our furry, feathered, and scaly companions have feelings like grief in the way we do? Helping her to sniff out the science of animal emotions is Dr Liz Paul, a comparative psychologist from the University of Bristol. Comedian Nish Kumar wants to know - are we totally screwed when it comes to climate change, or is there still hope? Helping him unpack tipping points, rising temperatures, and how we might turn the tide is climate scientist Ed Hawkins from the University of Reading.
Series Producer: Melanie Brown Assistant Producer: Olivia Jani Executive Producer: Alexandra Feachem
BBC Studios Audio Production


