In short
Andrew Sather and Dave Ahern explain the “secret business model” behind Visa and Mastercard: they’re a duopoly with strong network effects (two-sided flywheel between cardholders and merchants) and are “rails,” not the cards or the money. Visa is more US-centric; Mastercard more international-centric; both are steady long-term growers. Key history: Visa traces to Bank of America’s 1958 “Bank of AmeriCard” credit-card rollout in Fresno, then spun out in the 1990s; Mastercard followed a similar standalone path. When you swipe, four parties interact: cardholder, issuer (often a bank), merchant/acquirer processor, and the Visa/Mastercard network that authorizes/clears/routes. Visa earns pennies per transaction (e.g., $100 yields about $0.02–$0.03), plus more on cross-border. Revenue segments: service, data processing, cross-border, and value-added services (tokenization, fraud/identity, disputes, open banking, remittances). Value-added services are fastest-growing (~14.2% over 10 years).
Notable examples
Visa Direct as Zelle-like push payments; remittances vs Wise/Remitly; cross-border travel/e-commerce fees. Risks: regulation/litigation fee caps; real-time account-to-account rails (UPI India, PIX Brazil) bypassing Visa/Mastercard; wallet/platform power.
Guests
Andrew Sather and Dave Ahern (hosts).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOStarting a Business: The First Steps
0:00 to 1:07
Learn about the initial challenges and motivation to start a business.
“I just knew I had an idea and I didn't want to be that guy who talked about it forever but never actually did anything about it.”
Podcast Introduction
1:32 to 2:05
Get acquainted with the hosts and today's topic on Visa and MasterCard.
“See our seven-day return policy at Carvana.com.”
Understanding Visa and MasterCard
2:05 to 2:55
Explore the basics of Visa and MasterCard as major players in finance.
“Welcome to the Investing for Beginners podcast.”
The History and Evolution of Payment Systems
2:55 to 4:50
Learn the history and evolution of Visa from airdrops to public company.
“So Visa and MasterCard, they're kind of a duopoly.”
The Importance of Competitive Moats
4:50 to 6:00
Understand why having a competitive moat is crucial for long-term success.
“It was actually spun out of Bank of America in 1990-something and became a public company and MasterCard kind of followed suit from a different business.”
Why Visa and MasterCard are Hard to Replicate
6:00 to 7:55
Discover the two-sided network effect that strengthens Visa and MasterCard.
“And that's what we want in these stocks that we buy for the long term is longevity.”
How Visa and MasterCard Make Money
7:55 to 13:20
Learn about the transaction process and revenue generation for Visa and MasterCard.
“In other words, you can only use American Express cards where American Express cards are accepted.”
Transaction Example: The Ice Cream Shop
13:20 to 14:01
A practical example explaining how a transaction occurs using Visa.
“Yeah, amazing how big Visa and MasterCard are as businesses.”
Understanding Payment Processing
14:01 to 15:40
Learn how money flows through the payment processing system when purchasing goods.
“and let's say it's$5 it's premium ice cream So you pay$5 for the ice cream.”
Revenue Segments of Visa
15:41 to 19:42
Discover the different revenue categories Visa uses to generate income.
“So each part of the process along the way will take a little bit of a chip of it.”
Show all 19 chapters
Future Opportunities for Visa
22:22 to 28:13
Explore the growth potential of Visa's value-added services and cross-border transactions.
“Download my ebook for free at stockmarketpdf.com.”
Visa's Business Model Overview
28:13 to 29:12
Learn how Visa provides short-term loans based on expected cash flows.
“And so what Visa and other companies are trying to do is they're trying to, you can look at it two ways.”
MasterCard's Similar Revenue Streams
29:12 to 30:28
Explore how MasterCard's revenue growth mirrors that of Visa.
“Is MasterCard's revenue streams similar to Visa's business model pretty much the same or is it different?”
American Express vs. Visa and MasterCard
30:28 to 31:50
Understand the key differences between American Express and the other two.
“American Express to me is kind of a standalone beast of its own, mostly because they are actually a bank.”
Investing in Different Business Models
31:50 to 35:15
Discuss the pros and cons of investing in Visa/MasterCard versus American Express.
“And so that is a big difference between their business model and Visa and MasterCard.”
Risks for Visa and MasterCard Investors
36:59 to 41:35
Identify the main risks Visa and MasterCard face in the market.
“So as much as I'm bullish on all three of these companies that we've talked about today, there's always risk, right?”
Real-Time Payments and Market Impact
41:35 to 42:00
Examine potential disruptions from real-time payments on Visa and MasterCard.
Exploring the Future of Payment Systems
42:00 to 46:03
Learn about the evolution of payment systems and the potential of companies like Visa and Mastercard.
“Real quick on the real time payments, what would happen that would make you have alarm bells sound in that?”
Research and Resources on Payments
46:03 to 46:28
Find out how to access in-depth research on payments and related sectors.
“If people want to get more of your research on payments, how can they do so?”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00I remember starting my first business. I had no clue what I was doing. I just knew I had an idea and I didn't want to be that guy who talked about it forever but never actually did anything about it. So I went for it. And honestly, that one decision taught me more than I could have ever learned sitting on the sidelines. If you've got something like that sitting in the back of your head, my best advice, start. The timing is never going to be perfect. Summer's packed, fall gets busy, winter's coming soon, and before you know it, another year has gone by and that idea is still just an idea. Shopify makes it a whole lot easier to take the leap.
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1:03That's Shopify.com slash beginners. Evening. Buyer's remorse. Buy a new car? I'll be moving in. Let's get started. Sorry, I think there's been a mistake. I bought it from Carvana. You what? Yeah, great price. I even have seven days to love it or return it. So there's no... No, no buyer's remorse. More like buyers rejoice? I guess I'll let myself out. Congratulations. I mean it. Buyers rejoice. Buy your car today on Carvana. Limitations and exclusions may apply. See our seven-day return policy at Carvana.com. Love this podcast because it crushes your dreams of getting rich quick. They actually got me into reading stats for anything.
1:43You're tuned in to the Investing for Beginners podcast. Led by Andrew Sather and Dave Ahern. Step-by-step premium investing guidance for beginners. Your path to financial freedom starts now. Starts now.
2:05All right, folks. Welcome to the Investing for Beginners podcast. Today, we're going to do something fun. Andrew is going to talk to me a little bit about payments. So we thought we would talk about the secret business model behind Visa and MasterCard. Some of you may be very familiar with those names, but you may not know exactly what it is they do and how they do what they do. And this is a little more in my wheelhouse. So Andrew and I thought we could chat a little bit about that. So Andrew, ask away. Yeah, happy to. Maybe for a beginner who doesn't know why should you even care about Visa and MasterCard, what has their performance been like?
2:44Give us the context on how these companies as stocks and businesses have performed. Give us a little history lesson in a short snapshot. Yeah, sure. So Visa and MasterCard, they're kind of a duopoly. They do similar things. I guess you could say they have two different focuses, if you want to just generalize, would be that Visa is more American-centric, where MasterCard is more international-centric. Visa also spends a little more time working on debit cards than MasterCard does, but MasterCard also has a very big place in the whole debit card arena as well. Both of the companies have done fairly well.
3:26MasterCard, frankly, has done a little bit better over the last 10 years than Visa has. They've been fairly good performers. They are steady, steady growers. And every earnings call is a little bit like being a weather person in Arizona. Today, it's going to be sunny and hot. Tomorrow, it's going to be sunny and hot. And the next week, it's going to be sunny and hot. Visa is going to grow revenues at 11 % or 12 % this quarter, next quarter, the following quarter, and just keeps kind of chugging along. And MasterCard has a very similar performance as well. So that's kind of like a basic overview of the company's history-wise.
4:00Visa actually was born out of what is now known as Bank of America. It was started in 1958 as a part of an airdrop. That's kind of a famous thing that happened in Fresno. Basically what Bank of AmeriCard, which is what it was called back then, they, in essence, sent out, I don't remember the exact amount now, But I want to say 100 ,000, 200 ,000 free credit cards to all the residents of Fresno, California and said, hey, have fun. And so people started using them. It was a lot of chaos. They lost a lot of money, but it proved the concept that it could work, that basically credit using a credit card was a way that people could start making payments and merchants could start accepting payments.
4:46and that's kind of how Visa kind of has evolved from there. It was actually spun out of Bank of America in 1990-something and became a public company and MasterCard kind of followed suit from a different business. And they have both become standalone powerhouses and are probably two of the widest moat businesses in the world. If you think of network effects, which we'll touch on here in a little bit, But network effects is a classic example of what Visa and MasterCard exhibit in the marketplace. So that's kind of, I guess, a rough overview of the businesses and without giving too much detail. Love it.
5:29Yeah. Thanks for keeping that digestible for us. You're welcome. So if you're a beginner, a moat is important because in the stock market and in business, competition is just crazy. And just because you have a good business today doesn't mean you'll have a good one tomorrow. So there's just countless instances in history of businesses that used to grow a lot and no longer do because a lot of times you can look back and they did not have a moat that did not have this structural advantage that created this longevity. And that's what we want in these stocks that we buy for the long term is longevity.
6:06We will get into the nitty gritty of the business model because I think that's important too. but like a broad overview of why the moat is so strong how come you and i couldn't just start our own airdrop and uh create you know the dave andrew card like tomorrow yeah right well we technically we could but to get people to use it would be a bit of a bit of a challenge the the easiest way to explain it is it's super popular visa and mastercard are super popular with customers and with merchants because the merchants all accept Visa and MasterCard cards. And we as users want to go to places that we can use our money to spend.
6:53Who has ever been to a place with IO? You go to someplace out in the middle of nowhere, for example, and they only accept a Discover card and you don't have a Discover card and you have no cash, then you You can't buy gas at that gas station. And so that makes it really, really hard. And what makes Visa and MasterCard so powerful is not only do you and I have Visa and MasterCard in our wallets, but the places that we go to spend them also accept those. So it's a two-sided network. And the more people are on the network, the stronger the network becomes. And the more people that are on the network, the more merchants are going to want to accept those cards.
7:35And it just becomes this kind of self-reinforcing flywheel of the more people on the network, the more merchants accept it, and kind of the round and round it goes. And that's why having these cards in your wallet is so important. And it's really, really, really, really hard to replicate. And American Express is another card that's very popular out there, but they have what's called a closed-loop network. In other words, you can only use American Express cards where American Express cards are accepted. And if they don't accept a Visa card, you can't use the Visa card at that merchant. And you can't transact as a Visa card on American Express network.
8:17And so it's its own separate closed loop network. And it's very powerful and the cards are very, very popular. But that is kind of a separate business. Now, along the way, there have been companies that have tried to do this. Discover, which I mentioned. Diner's Card, which was one of the first ones. Square slash Block slash XYZ has been attempting to do this all along, but they actually use Visa as their scheme as well. And others along the way have tried and failed. And so this is what makes Visa and MasterCard such a powerful network. As much as people want to unseat it, it's really, really hard to do.
8:55yeah would be hard to i don't know how many merchants that are in that network but hundreds of thousands i convince maybe like even a hundred merchants to start accepting my card and then yeah to be able to match a mastercard or a visa pretty hard uh for me one of my light bulb moments for kind of understanding visa's business model was the whole rail like thinking of it as rails can you explain the rails and also how visa makes money what exactly is going on when i swipe a visa card yeah that's a that's a great question so how the rails work is try to think of it as kind of a four-party model i think is the easiest way to think about it so you have the card holder which is us you have an issuer who gives you the card which is most cases is your bank so if you bank with JP Morgan or Bank of America, or in my case, Ally.
9:55When I go to Ally and get a card from Ally Bank, a debit card, for example, they give me a card that I can use to make payments. We also have the merchant. So that's the person you're going to buy from. So if you go to a grocery store and want to buy some food, that is the merchant. And then you have the acquirer processor, and those are the people that actually process the payment. When it can get confusing, and this is where people will sometimes get confused is acquire a processor can also be the issuer of your bank. So JP Morgan has JP Morgan Chase. They have a processor as part of the bank.
10:32So not only will they give you the card or the credit card, they also will make the processing payment. But the easiest way to think about it is Visa and MasterCard is the network that allows all of this to happen. So what happens is you as the cardholder go to make a purchase. You make the purchase, The money goes over the rail from the merchant through Visa and MasterCard as the air quote toll road that authorizes the payment, make sure that the credentials are accurate. And then it goes to the bank. The bank says, okay, yes, Andrew has the money to buy this Coke Zero. And then the money gets routed back to the merchant and they accept the money into their account.
11:17And Visa enables all of that to happen. Now, the amazing thing about all this is two things. Number one is Visa is, this is where a lot of people get confused about Visa or MasterCard. So I'll just kind of put this out there right now. They are not a card. They are only the processing network that allows all this to happen. When you have a Visa or MasterCard, they don't transact any of the money. They just allow the money to move over the rails or the electronic system from point A to point B and back. And so what happens is when you process your card, all that happens in microns of a second. And we all get irritated when it takes more than two seconds for this to happen.
11:59But it happens pretty much instantaneously. And it all happens behind the scenes. And that is what Visa and MasterCard do. Now, where Visa and MasterCard make their money is they make pennies on each transaction. So the more dollars that transact over the network, they make a very, very small amount of that. So, for example, if you transact$100, Visa and MasterCard will take maybe two to three cents of that that they will keep. The vast majority of money actually goes to the merchant bank because they're the ones actually accepting the vast majority of the risk for this transaction. Visa and MasterCard have little to no risk involved in this because they're not actually holding the money the bank is or the merchant is.
12:48And so those are the people and the merchant acquirer also gets a small cut of this. But out of$100 transaction, maybe$2.5 to$3 may come out off the top of that, that the merchant gets the$97 and the rest of it gets split up between the other parts of the players of the network. But Visa and MasterCard only get a very, very small portion of that. But because they're transacting trillions of transactions a year, it adds up to$30,$35 billion in revenue in a year. So it adds up quick. Yeah, amazing how big Visa and MasterCard are as businesses. Yeah, massive. So just to recap then, I'm going to use my favorite, the ice cream shop.
13:33Ice cream shop with a Bank of America account. Dave comes in with his Ally Bank account or Ally Bank your Visa card from your Ally Bank account can you walk through that example one more time we have the ice cream owner with Bank of America account and then you come in with your Ally Visa card yeah so I walk in with my Ally Visa card and I want to buy an ice cream cone from the ice cream shop and let's say it's$5 it's premium ice cream So you pay$5 for the ice cream. The merchant is charging us, Dave,$5. The$5 is going to come out of our bank account at some point in the network. Along the way, it's going to go through what's called a merchant acquirer or a processor.
14:22And if that is the card bank, that's Ally Bank, who could be processing the payment, then they're going to take, let's say, maybe just for ease, a dollar. They will take out of the transaction. Then the money will go to Visa and MasterCard who are going to authorize the payment. They're going to route it. They're going to clear it. And they're going to make sure that everything is copacetic on a security level, so a fraud level. Then it goes to Ally Bank. And then Ally Bank will say, yes, Andrew has$5 to buy this premium ice cream. Then the money goes back to Visa and MasterCard. and then it gets routed back to the merchant.
15:07As it's getting routed back to the merchant, then Visa and MasterCard will take their pennies, let's say five cents off of the transaction. So now when we pay for the ice cream, Andrew, as the purchaser of the ice cream, is paying$5. The ice cream shop is going to receive$5 less a dollar less five cents. So in their bank statement, They will see a$3.95 charge that they will receive as payment for the$5 of ice cream. Now, that's a lot bigger markup than really happens, but I was just trying to use that as ease of convenience for explaining how all that works. So each part of the process along the way will take a little bit of a chip of it.
15:54And that's how these people will all make their money along the way. There's got to be different revenue strings for Visa, right? not just this one that we're talking about. Yes, for sure. Yeah, for sure. So Visa basically breaks down, Visa and MasterCard have similar breakdowns, but I'm going to focus on Visa. So Visa has four segments that they classify for the revenues. They have service revenues, they have data processing, they have international transactions or cross-border, and then they have what they call value-added services. So service revenues is the money that they make on exactly how this whole transaction we just talked about.
16:34So the ice cream shop example that we used, the five cents that Visa would get for that transaction, that would fall under the service revenues. So this is basis points on purchase volume. So they get very small amount of money for all the money that's transacted on the Visa network. Not just the individual, but it's like a batch. So$100 million gets transacted yesterday. And so Visa would make a small proportion of that. So that's one surface level of their revenue. The next level is data processing. So this is where Visa will actually transact the payment. So they will run it through their transaction processor and they will earn per transaction fees on the authorization, clearing, and the settling of the payment.
17:24So one thing I forgot to mention, when we go through the ice cream example, the$5 that we are paying for that ice cream, the$3.95 that the ice cream shop receives, in a lot of cases, they won't actually receive it. We're on Thursday now. They wouldn't receive it until Friday or Saturday at the earliest. So there's usually a lag time between the time that the transaction is processed and the money actually comes out of the merchant bank or the acquirer bank and goes to the merchant. And so depending on the scheme and who's processing and how much transaction they have, it could be a day or two or it could be the next day.
18:04Some processors will charge you a little bit more to get them faster. But all that to say, this is also a part of Visa's revenue model is they get a percentage on the purchase volume. They also get a percentage on transaction fees. So all the money that goes into transacting. The third level is what's called the international transactions or cross-border. So this is the highest margin one. And this is the one that is tied to travel. It's also tied to e-commerce. So travel is easy to think about. If Andrew and I take a trip to Italy, for example, who wouldn't want to go to Italy? If we go to Italy and we buy a bottle of wine while we're in Italy using our Ally Visa card, then we will be charged a higher fee.
18:54We won't. The bank will be charged or the processor will be charged. Sorry, the merchant will have a higher fee that they will see because it's a cross-border transaction. Visa will get a higher percentage of that transaction. So instead of maybe pennies on the dollar, maybe they get 10 cents on the dollar. So they get a higher margin for that transaction and they make more money on these transactions. The same rule applies for e-commerce. So if I was to go online and buy a Real Madrid jersey for my daughter from Spain, there would be an e-commerce or a cross-border fee that would be charged. And that's a higher fee.
19:33And that, again, gives Visa a higher percentage or a higher margin. And then the last one is what's called value-added services. And this includes things like tokenization, fraud and identity, dispute, consulting, risk, open banking, remittances. It's a hodgepodge of a whole bunch of different stuff that Visa adds as a way to encourage more usage of their rails. And so they offer different add-ons that people can pay for to get a higher level of fraud or identity, for example, or get higher levels of risk to make sure their transactions go through. What if you could get a 25 % match on every dividend you earn?
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22:00Just use code CashApp10 when you sign up. And don't forget this part. Send at least$5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Cash App is a financial services platform, not a bank. Banking services provided by Cash App's bank partners. Bitcoin services provided by Block Inc. brand. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app.legal.podcast. What's the best way to get started in the market? Download my ebook for free at stockmarketpdf.com. Yeah. Okay. That's cool. Is there a segment of those? You mentioned before. Is there one that makes you most excited? One that has been growing better?
22:38So the cross-border is the one that probably gets the most notice because it's the highest margin. And a lot of people get really excited about that idea. Visa and MasterCard have both talked a lot about that through the years, about really trying to encourage that. But I think the thing that I get the most excited about is actually the value-added services. And this is the segment that's actually growing the fastest for Visa. If I look at Fiscal's financials and you look at those four segments, over the last 10 years, the value-added services has grown around 14.2 % for the company, whereas services and data processing have grown at 10.3 % and 13.1%.
23:20And cross-border has grown at 12.6%. So the value-added services is the one that's actually growing the fastest, and it's actually the one that Visa has been talking about the most. and a lot of it is because they see the writing on the law. They see that there is still a lot of room to grow for the other two parts of the business, but the value-added services and the cross-border probably have the biggest opportunities for the company. And I'll touch on the international for just a second. The cross-border, one of the reasons why the company thinks cross-border still has a really long ways to grow is the usage of cash globally is still really high.
24:00I was kind of doing some research looking into this and places like Latin America, other parts of the world, you're seeing anywhere from 50 % or more higher usage of cash still in this day and age. And MasterCard released something, I think a day or two ago, talking about the usage globally of cash is still over 50 % globally. And so that tells me that there's still a really long runway to go before we not eliminate cash. I don't think we'll ever eliminate it, but certainly reduce the importance of it. Places like Asia Pacific, for example, they actually have a much lower usage of cash than other parts of the world.
24:40And that makes them maybe less attractive to a Visa and MasterCard in this particular realm, just because there's not as much growth opportunity there. But when you think about the value-added services, that's really where the rubber meets the road. And so one of the aspects of the value-added services is something like remittances. Brett and I talked about on our show a while ago, we talked about Wise and Remitly. And those are two companies that are very, very prominent in the whole remittance area. Well, Visa Direct is another player in that field. And if you're not familiar with Visa Direct, you don't feel bad.
25:19It's not a global name yet. But it's very similar to like here in the United States, something like Zelle. It's very similar to Zelle where it's a push service where you have to go into your account and send money to people as opposed to people requesting money from you. And so that's what's happening with a lot of these remittance companies. Visa Direct is working to try to compete with those people. And to me, that is one of the things that I think is a really huge opportunity, not only for Visa and other remittance companies, but there's a really big push right now to make cross-border money or sending money to each other a lot easier than it has been.
26:03And if you've ever used Zelle, you understand how clunky it can be. And so I think there's a huge opportunity for that. So Valley Added Services, to me, is probably the thing I'm most excited about when it comes to Visa. Not only for, it goes to one of the global things that Visa really wants to push. And I'll get off my soapbox here in just a second. They really want to be a player in all kinds of moving money, not just transacting money from merchant to consumer and back. So those are called C2B, so a customer to business. they also want to be B2B and they also want to be account to account.
26:44So they're working hard to try to generate more payment flows is I guess the best way of putting it and trying to branch out so they have other opportunities for revenue. Yeah, B2B just seems, I don't know. I mean, I have a limited perspective on it, but just from what I've seen in my limited perspective, it's not impressive. C2B really has, it's a very efficient thing and B2B is a little different. Yeah. Yeah, for sure. Yeah, for sure. You know, the thing that Visa is trying to do and other businesses are trying to do is this kind of idea of helping businesses, helping them with cash flow. So one of the biggest struggles, I'll use a restaurant, for example, because I'm familiar with that and it's easy to imagine.
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27:29And when you're a restaurant, you have to pay for your food before you receive your, just like any business, right? You have to pay for your product before you sell it. And so sometimes the way you get your cash flow from the restaurant, you do the vast majority of your business on the weekends, but you also do your ordering earlier in the week. So you spend a big portion of your money on, let's say, Wednesday, but you don't actually receive the vast majority of your revenues until Sunday or Monday. And when you have that lag that we were talking about with processing that we were discussing earlier, if you don't get your money until Tuesday, now you've got to turn around and pay for food on Wednesday again for the next Friday and Saturday.
28:13And so what Visa and other companies are trying to do is they're trying to, you can look at it two ways. They're either trying to give you money up front based on what you expect to get from your cash flows, or they're giving you very short-term loans, one - or two-day loans, to help you cover the bills. And then when you get your cash, you pay that off, and it just becomes this kind of revolving cycle. And that's one of the things that Visa is trying to do is work with companies to basically take out a loan against their payables, expecting that they'll do$15 ,000 in revenue on Saturday so they can afford to give people a loan, short -term loan, in return for that payment when they get it in.
28:56Yeah, it sounds so obvious. It's amazing that that's such a huge green field for them. It's like, why wasn't that done a long time ago? Yeah, for sure. So you mentioned MasterCard and we probably should have mentioned them before, but hey, we love Visa. What can we say? Is MasterCard's revenue streams similar to Visa's business model pretty much the same or is it different? MasterCard is very, very similar to Visa. So if you look at their overall revenue growth, it's chugging along around 10 % or 11%, just like Visa's is. And if you look at their domestic assessments, as they call it, which is their normal transactions, 10.1%.
29:39Their cross-border international stuff is 11.2%, so a little bit less than Visa, but in the ballpark. The transaction processing is a little higher than Visa's was, and they're around 15%. and the added services is growing at 20%, so faster than Visa and MasterCards. I'm sorry, Visas. So they're roughly in the same ballpark, but it looks like they're growing faster in transaction processing and added services. But it is very similar. So now can we compare to some of the other competitors? Visa and MasterCard make money very similar ways. I know American Express and Discover don't. Can we cover the differences there and how you think about the competitive dynamics, Visa MasterCard versus Amex, Discover, and whoever else?
30:28Right. American Express to me is kind of a standalone beast of its own, mostly because they are actually a bank. And that's one of the things that differentiates them from the get-go between Visa and MasterCard. These are MasterCard are simply little schemes or icons that you see on your cards that offer these abilities to make transactions. Whereas American Express offers that same idea. They allow you to make transactions on their network with people that accept their cards as well as you as a cardholder. You don't have a choice of, well, you kind of have a choice, but most people American Express card is from the American Express bank.
31:12And so American Express makes money in two different ways. So the first way that they make it is on the transactions on their network, just like a processor would, whether it's JPMorgan Chase, whether it's Fiserv, Agen. So they're making their money that way. The second way they're making money is on the bank part of it. So they make money from the loans that they give either on personal loans, which is a smaller part of their business, or the balances that revolve on their credit cards. They make interest on those loans. The interest that we pay on the balance is part of the money that American Express makes.
31:50And so that is a big difference between their business model and Visa and MasterCard. I'm going to be honest with you, and I don't know Discover as well. I believe it's very similar that they have their own network and it is a bank. Now, they're merging with Capital One, and that hasn't happened yet. So that is going to change. And that, I think, is going to be something that's going to be interesting to see how Capital One handles the Discover network and the Discover cards and how they use their ability to grow the business. because Capital One is a very big name in the credit card industry, whereas Discover is not as big a name.
32:32But they'll have the ability to do a lot of the same things that American Express is going to do and Visa and MasterCard. So I'm not quite sure how that's all going to play out yet, but I will be keeping an eye on that. And we could be talking about that company sometime in the near future as well. Yeah, totally. Do you like the bank model better or the Visa MasterCard model better? Are there pros and cons to both either? That's a little bit like trying to compare which brother do you like better. They're different in that one is super capital light. Visa MasterCard is very capital light and it's also very risk off.
33:17There's not a lot of risk involved in the transactions that they do. So their business itself doesn't carry a lot of risk. Whereas American Express, because the nature of giving out loans to people, they carry a higher level of risk because they're financially responsible for the money that they lend out. And so that automatically gives them a higher level of risk. But the flip side of that is that American Express has a very, very strong moat, a hugely strong brand, very recognizable brand, a lot of buying power, a lot of brand power. And people love their American Express cards. And they live for the rewards that they get.
34:03But a good example, my sister just traveled to Spain and they used their American Express card to purchase the tickets to go to Spain. Because they use their American Express card, they get a lot of reward points that they were able to use to make the plane tickets cheaper. So they save money on the plane tickets with that part of it. And then when they're at the airports, they were able to go to the Delta lounges because they're Delta customers and they're American Express customers. And so they get access to these great lounges, free food, free beverages, and it just makes the journey for them that much easier.
34:41Now, even though they pay$700 a year for the annual fee, to them, it's a no-brainer. And that's the power of a company like American Express is that people will willingly fork over a lot of money for those rewards. And they think it's hugely valuable to them. And they wouldn't even consider giving that up. They would cancel another card before they'd cancel their American Express card. So to me, they're two different business models and they would be two different types of investments, even though they're in similar industries. I've been paying a lot more attention to what's actually happening inside my body when I train lately, especially when I hit a wall with my performance and nothing I do seems to move the needle.
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37:04Yeah. So as much as I'm bullish on all three of these companies that we've talked about today, there's always risk, right? There's just no such thing as a free lunch, as like Andrew likes to say. On Wall Street. Yeah, on Wall Street. Maybe at home there's a free lunch, but not on Wall Street. I guess I would probably say there's maybe two main risks and maybe a minor one. The biggest one that gets probably the most attention, rightfully so, is regulation. Regulation slash litigation. The governments are always coming at Visa and MasterCard about how they do what they do. And they're always looking for ways to lower the fees.
37:50Anytime the government sees a monopoly, which you could argue Visa and MasterCard, they may not be technically a monopoly, but they're pretty much a monopoly. And governments don't like that because understandably, they feel like it stifles competition and it can cause prices to get out of whack. And so the biggest probably concern is that, and you see this going on in Europe, you see it going on in Australia, you see it in different places in the world here, even in the United States, where they put different caps on how much Visa MasterCard can charge for certain things. That is probably going to be one of the biggest ongoing continuing risks is how governments will handle Visa and MasterCard and how much limit they try to put on those companies of what they can charge and how they do their business.
38:45And so far, both companies have been able to pretty well navigate everything. And that's why I think they've been putting a big emphasis on the added services because that could help offset some of the litigation. that's going on. The second big risk is real-time account-to-account. So I mentioned the Visa Direct and Zelle, but a bigger, not necessarily disruption, but a cap on growth would be the account-to-account that are happening in big unbanked populations like India and Brazil. So UPI in India and PIX in Brazil. These are two rails that they offer there in those countries that are done by the governments that basically avoid Visa and MasterCard.
39:31So you can make payments to businesses, businesses can make payments to businesses, and people can transfer money account to account over those rails without including Visa and MasterCard. And if that grows, or other governments like the United States would ever adopt that and becomes a regular thing, that could definitely put a dent, a big dent in Visa and MasterCard in the businesses. And so that's probably a really big risk to consider and keep an eye on as this goes forward. And then the last one, which is maybe a smaller risk, but it's certainly something to keep in mind, is platform power.
40:06As wallets become bigger and bigger part of how we make payments. And when I'm talking about wallets, I'm talking about our iPhone. When we go to the store and make a payment on our iPhone, that's a wallet. And we don't necessarily always have to use a Visa or a MasterCard. Now, right now, most of the wallets are governed by Visa and MasterCard, but there are some out there that will not be. And especially with these account-to-account type payments with UPI, PIX, Visa, Direct, and so on, you could probably work around those. And that could be a limiter to their growth in the future as well. So those are the three that I think about the most.
40:46How do you rank them and think about versus not? I think about the real-time payments a lot. The regulation, I think about less so. I would probably say if I had to put odds on them, I'd say I think about real-time payments about 50 % of the time, regulation maybe 40 % of the time, and platform power maybe 10 % of the time. For me, the first two are kind of like 1A and 1B, and then two for the last one. yeah i guess the benefit if you want to call it a benefit is whenever there's regulation risk it's usually it gets attention yes yeah so it's yeah it doesn't want there easily yeah right it's not one of those things that just you know all of a sudden happens there's you know there's usually lots of discussion about it coming and then lots of discussion about what's its past and then even more discussion about it being implemented so yeah there's lots of warning that it's coming yeah and it's funny when you start talking about the durbin and all that stuff you've written about like how deep that rabbit hole goes yeah right yeah so so so deep and i you know when i've written about it i've only just kind of scratched at the surface of it and if you try to read the bill it's really long and really confusing uh but there is so much that still hasn't even been implemented by that and it was passed i don't know five ten years ago so there's still there's still a lot to be worked through, worked thrown through with, with those.
42:19Nice. Real quick on the real time payments, what would happen that would make you have alarm bells sound in that? Or is that too hard to quantify? The thing that would make it, I guess, an alarm bell would be if it got accepted here in such a way that it enabled those normal payments that are done over Visa and MasterCard to now be done on FedNow or some sort of return payment here in the United States if it got accepted. And when I say accepted, I mean by the general population, not like technologically we could do it, but whether or not you and I start using it. If I see my grandma start using a real-time payment to buy a coffee, then I know Visa and MasterCard are in trouble.
43:09Yeah, I love that. I mean, that's a great way to look at a lot of businesses is take the average consumer or average customer and not what somebody on social media or CNBC thinks about. Right. Yeah, the early adopters, right? Right. Where do you see the future now? We mentioned on a previous episode you're bullish on Visa still. What do you see for the industry? Just what are your thoughts around that? What I'm most excited about is the industry just in general and Visa and MasterCard are certainly playing a part in this. They all seem to have the focus and the intent to make paying for things as easy as they possibly can.
43:58And we aren't there yet. And I think we got a long, long ways to go before we get there. As much as I love using my wallet on my iPhone, and I think that's a really easy way to make payments, it's still not seamless. There's a perfect example is a lot of websites that you go to don't accept something like Apple Pay. And so having the ability to use your wallet online is still, there's a huge opportunity for that. And so I think, and as more people become bank, there's still, even in the United States, there's still a good portion of people that are unbanked, that don't use a bank on a day-to-day basis.
44:37And I think until we get to that point here in the U.S. and globally, and they make payments even more and more frictionless, I think there's still a long, long ways to go. And there's so many different ways that they can use this to make our society better. Because I think the more income equality we have, I think the better our society will be. And the more payments can enable that to happen, I think the better it's going to be. One of the things that I read about today, which kind of blew my mind, I just never even considered it. But there are some companies that are working on the ability to give you so you get paid every day.
45:15So if you work at Dairy Queen, most Dairy Queen workers have to wait every two weeks or a month to get paid. But what would happen if you got paid every day? How much would that help your cash flow? How much would that help managing your money? All those things, how different would that be? and so I still think there's a long long runway to go with all of this and I think Beast or MasterCard are going to be at the forefront of all of it. Love it. If you go back in history the way that railroads really enabled so much in this country this is another rail rails that could do a lot of cool things.
45:55I appreciate the time and the expertise. This is a ton of research that you've put into this and continue to put into it. So we really appreciate it. If people want to get more of your research on payments, how can they do so? They're going to have to check out Value Spotlight. Yeah, that's the place to go. Monthly stock pick, research in there about payments, semiconductors, and energy. And it's all current, top of mind, what Dave's thinking about what he's finding. einvestingforbeginners.com slash spotlight would be the place to access that. All right. Well, with that, we will go ahead and sign us off.
46:30You guys go out there and invest with a margin of safety. If it's on the safety, have a great week and we'll talk to you all next week. We hope you enjoyed this content. Seven Steps to Understanding the Stock Market shows you precisely how to break down the numbers in an engaging and readable way with real-life examples. Get access today at stockmarketpdf.com. Until next time, have a prosperous day. The information contained is for general information and educational purposes only. It is not intended for a substitute for legal, commercial, and or financial advice from a licensed professional. Review our full disclaimer at einvestingforbeginners.com
From the publisher
In this episode, Andrew and Dave delve into the intricate business models of Visa and MasterCard. They discuss the performance and history of these companies, emphasizing Visa's American-centric focus compared to MasterCard's international reach. The conversation covers the concept of a duopoly and how both companies have become dominant players through strong network effects.
They analyze the revenue streams of Visa, including service revenues, data processing, international transactions, and value-added services, and discuss the growth potential of these segments. The episode also compares Visa and MasterCard with competitors like American Express and Discover, highlighting the differences in their business models. Key risks such as regulation, real-time payments, and platform power are examined. The episode concludes by exploring the future of the industry and the potential for further innovation in payment systems.
00:00 Introduction to the Podcast
00:30 Why Care About Visa and MasterCard?
00:50 History and Overview of Visa and MasterCard
04:00 Understanding the Business Model
13:53 Revenue Streams of Visa
24:50 Comparing Visa and MasterCard
25:52 Competitors: American Express and Discover
30:59 Risks and Future Outlook
39:58 Conclusion and Additional Resources
Timestamps are generated by artificial intelligence, and are not 100% accurate depending on the platform used for listening.
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