Josh Pate Gets Drafted

10 Aug 2025 · 44 min · 10 chapters

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In short

Josh Pate announces his college football show’s new distribution partnership with Yahoo Sports and On3, and discusses college football’s media/business landscape amid conference realignment and player-pay era changes.

Guests

Josh Pate, host/owner of “Josh Pate’s College Football Show” (started under CBS, gained ownership ~2 years ago; claims it’s among the most trafficked college football digital shows). John Aranda hosts; he’s a sports correspondent for Puck.

Key claims

ESPN/NFL ownership stakes raise concerns about investigative journalism, but ESPN leaders say commitment won’t change. College football is “painfully underserved” in national studio/commentary coverage; digital lowers distribution barriers. Conference consolidation (SEC/Big Ten) is transitional; fans mainly want preserved tradition and postseason access. Buyouts and coach firings are down because schools must pay players now.

Notable examples

Florida keeping Billy Napier despite poor start; Dan Snyder and Roger Goodell reporting (via Don Van Nadeau); Belichick’s UNC hire as a major storyline; Pat McAfee/Dave Portnoy pregame competition; Josh’s “final four” includes Clemson, Penn State, Alabama, Texas (in pencil).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

ESPN's Deals and Journalism Concerns

0:45 to 3:49

Discussion on ESPN's recent deals and the implications for journalism.

“But before we get to Josh, today is Sunday, August 10th, and this is what I'm focused on.”

Josh Pate's Big News and Ownership

3:49 to 8:00

Josh Pate discusses his new partnership and the importance of owning rights.

“Josh Pate, thank you for joining the pod.”

Revenue Streams and Market Analysis

8:00 to 13:20

Exploration of revenue models and the market for college football content.

“Well, we've got several different buckets of revenue on this.”

Regional vs. National Appeal of College Football

13:20 to 14:00

Discussion on the regional nature of college football and its national appeal.

“even sure if I believe this, but college football is a regional sport.”

The Changing Landscape of College Football

14:00 to 17:40

Discusses how college football's popularity and media strategies are shifting.

“If it's presented the right way, everyone cares about everything.”

Current State and Future of College Football

18:57 to 28:00

Analyzes the current dynamics between major conferences and the implications for the sport.

“It's now kind of like a Power 4, I guess, but it's really two big conferences that are going national.”

The Future of College Football Media Rights

28:00 to 31:44

Explore the dynamics of college football media rights and their impact on visibility.

“Now, whether people agree with that or not, Greg Sankey looks in the mirror and says, I know what I'm talking about.”

Key Storylines for the Upcoming College Football Season

31:44 to 34:06

Discuss significant trends and narratives shaping the next college football season.

“Okay, Josh, knowing that this is a sports business podcast, what are some of the storylines that you're following most closely this season?”

Belichick's Impact on College Football

34:06 to 36:59

Analyze the implications of Bill Belichick's hiring at North Carolina.

“the way he was hired and the way they're trying to professionalize the University of North Carolina there.”

Pregame Show Dynamics and Fan Engagement

36:59 to 40:58

Examine the changing landscape of pregame shows and their relevance to fans.

“Does that enter, when you have fans call in or when you talk to fans, do they care about that?”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:04Josh Pate:Congratulations! You made the varsity, the podcast. My name is John Aranda and I am Puck's sports correspondent and the host of this pod. And today, we're going to go deep on the college football landscape with Josh Pate. Last week, Josh was in the news. He announced a deal where on three, rivals in Yahoo Sports are going to distribute his popular college football show. It's a unique deal, but it is one that you've heard many successful people talk about. You see, Josh bet on himself a couple of years ago, turning down a big salary offer from CBS Radio and venturing out on his own. And it seems like that bet is starting to pay off.

0:45Josh Pate:But before we get to Josh, today is Sunday, August 10th, and this is what I'm focused on. I spent all last week trying to make sense of all of ESPN's deals. ESPN is launching its direct-to-consumer app, what we used to call Flagship, in less than two weeks. It also cut deals with the NFL and the WWE. And because of all this activity, I ended up appearing on a bunch of radio shows and podcasts last week to try to explain what's going on. And what I noticed is that every single host eventually at one point would ask about ESPN's commitment to journalism. You see, if the NFL is going to take an ownership stake in ESPN, what does that mean for ESPN's investigative unit, a group that has unflinchingly uncovered, unflattering stories about ESPN's biggest business partners, including, yes, the NFL?

1:42Josh Pate:So anyone who regularly listens to this podcast knows how fond I am of Don Van Nadeau. He's been with ESPN for about 13 years. DVN, of course, has been a guest on this pod several times, and he really has become the face of ESPN's commitment to journalism. And this much I know. If the NFL tries to keep ESPN from doing tough stories on the league, actually, more to the point, if ESPN becomes more susceptible to holding off on these types of reports, DVN is not long for the company. And neither is any of the other great journalists at work there. Seth Workisham, Tisha Thompson, TJ Quinn. I hate to start naming names because I'm going to forget so many.

2:26Josh Pate:It's a legitimate topic. It's something people should be keeping an eye on. But right now, I'm taking what Bob Iger and Jimmy Pataro say at face value. They say that ESPN's commitment to these kinds of stories won't change, which I hope is right. In fact, I credit DVN's reporting for getting Dan Snyder out of the NFL. Here in DC, everybody's pretty much celebrating that. He's also had plenty of stories that put Roger Goodell in an unflattering light, including a behind-the-scenes expose on how the NFL commissioner initially wanted to continue playing the game after DeMar Hanlon almost died on the field.

3:02Josh Pate:So I called Don Van Nade last week after everything went down, and I asked him simply if he was concerned at all about the NFL taking an ownership stake in ESPN. Of course I'm concerned, he said, but I've had assurances from everyone who I work with that nothing will change. Again, I choose to believe Bob Iger and Jimmy Pataro here. Even before the NFL took an ownership stake, the league still was ESPN's biggest business partner. You'd think that ESPN would have tried to stop some of these stories about a league it was paying two and a half billion dollars to each year. But ESPN's investigative team kept plugging away.

3:40Josh Pate:And I suspect, actually, no, I hope that will continue to be the case. Now, let's get to Josh Pate. Josh Pate, thank you for joining the pod. Big news coming out this week involving you and your show and on three and Shannon Terry. I think the world of Shannon Terry, I think what he does is, you know, following Shannon and generally is a pretty good idea. Walk us through the actual news though right now. Well, I appreciate you having me first off, John. What's happening right now is sort of a hurricane of media movement in the space, if you will. I do my show, Josh Pate's College Football Show.

4:22I've owned it for a couple of years now. Started it under the CBS umbrella, gained ownership of the assets and whatnot about two years ago. And And so I knew, you know, we kind of had a next stage coming. I worked with Shannon first in 2020. He's one of the first people who gave me an opportunity and brought me to Nashville, Tennessee. At the time, I partnered with CBS and 24-7 Sports. He had moved on to start other ventures, as you just mentioned. And I knew our paths would probably cross again. So the news is we are entering into a partnership with them. And Yahoo Sports and On3 have entered into their own partnership.

4:58And, you know, the show for the viewer doesn't change a whole lot. Same channels, same feeds, same cost of zero dollars and zero cents. But as you know, from a behind the scenes perspective, when you find the right sales apparatus, when you find the right marketing engine, or in this case, when you find the right social media engines, and on top of that, in the college football space, when you find the people who are doing the best work in covering the portal, in data and distribution of NIS, figures and recruiting rankings, it does not help or does not hurt rather to be in business with them above and beyond that.

5:35They're just good friends of mine. So that part has become public and I'm really, really excited about that.

5:41Josh Pate:I want to take you back to your decision to sort of take ownership over your own rights, which is something a lot of journalists, reporters are doing now, like with Substack. It sounds like you came to this decision though, years before that. It sounds almost like more of a risk when you did it. What went into your thought process about like, you know what, I need to own my own rights? Maximum risk, well worth it, but maximum risk. This was three or four years ago now. I'd come to Nashville, I'd come to CBS. I was doing my show on YouTube or on podcast feeds and we had really started to scale the audience.

6:22And I was in a contract negotiation with CBS and there was a big salary number on the table. And it's just not where my mind was at. My mind was in ownership, the lane of ownership, IP assets. I wanted to own it. I wanted it to be Josh Pate's college. It's exactly what we call it now. Josh Pate's college football show. And the folks at CBS were wonderful about it. Open lines of dialogue, open communication. They listened and I appreciated that. But at the outset, John, it was just, well, let's just give you a bigger salary number. Stop worrying about the ownership. And it's just, I wasn't willing to do it.

7:02And so it took a whole lot less in terms of downside guarantee, as I would call a salary, downside guarantee. But in exchange, we got the assets, we got the ownership, we got the channel, we got the feeds. And that was where I wanted to be. Because at that point, everyone can talk about betting on themselves, but that's how you really bet on yourself. You leave money on the table up front in hopes that what you're doing means something, what you're doing is meaningful, and ultimately the audience will be the dictator of that. But that was three or four years ago. Obviously, I'm very happy that it went the way it did.

7:34And now, I mean, we've continued to scale the numbers. I think we're probably the most trafficked college football show in the entire digital space. And I still view it as a wide open frontier. I mean, I still think about it as a wide open portion of the industry.

7:48Josh Pate:All right. So this is where I always have a question of like, and if I was advising you, I would have told you, take the, take the bigger salary because you now own the Josh Pate college football show. How do you profit off that? Are you going to sell the Josh Payton? You're it, pretty much. Spin this forward five years or so. Where do you hope to be? Well, we've got several different buckets of revenue on this. I mean, you've got just your AdSense revenue from what you do anytime you do business. So by the way, just by the way you intro'd that is you're not looking to sell out. You're looking to build a business out of it and have these buckets going all the way through.

8:27I'm glad you mentioned it like that because I do think it needs to be presented that way. There is not a scintilla of my mind that thinks, let's build this thing so we can sell it to someone one day. The last sale I'll ever do has already been executed. So everything from this point is going to flow this way. And if it dies here, it dies here, but it's going to flow that way. So, I mean, you've got your AdSense that you just get from doing the show on YouTube, and that's really, really good money. But we've got incredible partnerships with different brands out there. I mean, we do business with Quick Trip.

9:00We do business with Academy Sports and Outdoors. We've got several others that we'll probably announce in the near future. And we're, John, we're able to secure an extremely high CPM rate because our retention rates through the roof. And I got to thank our audience for that because they hang around. I mean, we're like 25, 26 minute average viewer retention per show in an era where everyone tells you attention spans are garbage. So we've got that. I mean, we've got a merchandising branch off of that. Public speaking has been a venture that I haven't really delved into a whole lot, but there's a huge market for.

9:39So we do several, several, several times better the way that we run it now than I ever could have done in raw salary numbers. Talk to me a little bit about the market that's out there

9:54Josh Pate:for your type of show. I'm looking at the networks, the TV networks that are deep into college and ESPN, you know, they have the college pre-game show, college game day, you know, but it seems like they can't wait to get like to NFL programming. Same thing with Fox. What's the market like for college football? Would you describe yourself as college football or all college sports? 100 % college football. Okay. So what's the market out there for that? Is there still a hole in that market? The listener can't see this, but I have a huge grin on my face as you're asking the question. The answer is it's totally untapped.

10:32It's almost inexplicably untapped. I cannot believe it's a reality. But to back you up about 10 or so years, I'm down in Columbus, Georgia, working in construction. I'm working in a fabric warehouse down in Columbus, Georgia. And all I'm doing is I'm consuming sports talk radio every day. I'm living the same life that my buddies are living.

10:54Josh Pate:Josh, a fabric warehouse in Columbus, Georgia, that's got to be just denim, right? Is that the fabric? What's a fabric that we're talking about there? You got denim, yes. You got upholstery. You're doing business with a lot of the big furniture manufacturers. Trust me, I know all the freight companies, all the furniture distributors. Yes, absolutely. But what do you do? You've got a non-air-conditioned warehouse. You've got nine, ten hours a day to fill. You just listen to talk radio. And I remember thinking, even then, John, why are there 37 different NBA shows being fed to me? Why does the NFL have a show on every street corner?

11:28And I mean, college football has grown into what it is now, which is the number two sport in America. and it's so painfully underserved. Now, here was my viewpoint on that. You can either complain about that or you can do something about it. If you really think you understand the market, and in this case, I'm part of the market. I am a diehard college football fan. So if you understand the market and you understand that there's a huge unquenched thirst out there, not just for games, we're not talking about live programming, but we're talking about anything from commentary, studio-based programming, ancillary programming, then go do something about it, was my thought.

12:05And this is just kind of a blessing that the timeline worked this way, but I'm sitting down there thinking this about the time that you have YouTube live streaming coming to be. You have Facebook live streaming coming to be. Podcasting is well on its way to becoming what it's become. And that removes the barriers of overhead and distribution, which in a previous life would have been a barrier to entry for people like me, but no longer. And so we kind of started to toy around with what became the show and took a little while, but people at CBS, Shannon Terry, noticed it when he was still there and calls me up just cold one day.

12:43I sent him to voicemail. I didn't even know who the number was. And he said, hey, we don't even have something like this. I mean, we're over at CBS and 24-7 Sports at the time. We don't even have something like this. Will you move to Nashville and do this for us? And John, I knew if we got the opportunity, it would work. It's not like it was a big mystery that you got millions upon millions of, of like P one college football fans, not folks who kind of watch college football, but they love the NFL first and foremost, diehard P one level college football fans that are just begging. I know because I was one of them and I was begging for it.

13:17And it's still underserved.

13:19Josh Pate:Well, I guess if I'm a TV executive, my only, here's my pushback on you, and I'm not even sure if I believe this, but college football is a regional sport. So like you're in Nashville, that's SEC country, you know, and if you're in, you know, Columbus, Ohio, you know, that's Big 10 country. And then out West, you have what used to be the Pac-12, I suppose. And it's hard to, With the NBA, I care about what Ant-Man's doing in Minnesota or LeBron's doing in LA, and the NFL is the NFL. That's sort of another league. Have you found it difficult to join up those different regions, or have you found that it's not regional at all, that SEC fans do care what happens in Ann Arbor or do care what happens over in LA?

14:07If it's presented the right way, everyone cares about everything. That's what our research indicates. That's what our data indicates. Now, you are right that your hot markets are going to be Dallas. It's going to be Atlanta. It's going to be Charlotte. Those will be very hot markets. But I'm telling you right now, Detroit, Michigan is a hot market for us. Seattle, Washington is a hot market for us. And I know they're not just watching when I talk, you know, University of Washington Husky football either. I think what that's been used for in a lot of cases, candidly, has been a cop-out mechanism to not go down the road.

14:40Because I can confidently tell you the product that is on the field on Saturday, the entire aura that surrounds it, the tradition and pageantry, when it is bottled and leveraged and presented properly, when the fundamental layering of what makes it great is understood properly and packaged up in terms of content, it scales and it presents itself viably coast to coast. That does not necessarily need to mean someone in Los Angeles, California once visited Tuscaloosa or has a cousin in Columbus, Ohio, and he went to a game with him one time. That helps. But when this stuff's presented properly, it is digestible coast to coast.

15:19And I also will say that there is such an old school way, sort of an old school media market-esque way of thinking about this stuff. And you don't have to think that way anymore. In the digital media world, you don't have to think that way anymore. Certainly when I talk to an advertiser, when I talk to a potential partner of ours and they want to do business and their heat maps really, really pop across the South, well, that's a layup for us. Whereas a business that's based in Canada, we may be a little tougher pulling across the finish line, but that's our business from a broad strokes purpose.

15:54We see it like in indisputably we see in our data, there's a passion for it coast to coast.

16:01Josh Pate:So what you're saying essentially is the TV networks, they will take a look at Tuscaloosa or Alabama and say like, yeah, the population, I know it's a good team and it's a huge brand, but we'd rather have, you know, Michigan or Ohio state or something sort sort of with a bigger population center around it than, than, than a, you know, Bama or Auburn. And you know what? Yes, yes, I am saying that. And you know what? If they think that way, great. All that did was it created not a pool or a lake, but an ocean of untapped potential for people like me. I'm not the only one, but people like me looked at that.

16:37That's kind of going back to what I was talking about a second ago. There's almost like an arrogance or a hubris about that attitude. So you could get mad at that in 1994, but not do anything about it. But in 2024 or five or whatever, you just go do something about it. Pull out a microphone, pull out your cell phone. And in our case, you scale and you scale and you scale, then you make a lot of money on it. You reinvest, you go hire the right people, and then you build a product that's comparable from a quality standpoint to anything that's being presented in the broadcast world anyway, but you don't have any of the limitations.

17:13and you are innately in tune with your audience because you're on the ground with them every day. I'm not guessing from Bristol, Connecticut. I'm not guessing from Los Angeles or New York. I know because I'm one of these people and I came from there. And so there's really no guesswork. I just, when I hear that attitude and you're dead on the money with how you described it, when I hear that attitude, I look at it, I shake my head and I just say, all right, you do you, we'll do us. That's fine.

17:41Josh Pate:Josh, let me take a quick break. I want to come back and I want to talk about the current state of college football.

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18:55Josh Pate:Okay, so, you know, we used to have a Power 5. It's now kind of like a Power 4, I guess, but it's really two big conferences that are going national. You know, the Big Ten has California schools and Maryland and New Jersey involved with it. The SEC has stayed somewhat regional, but those are the two power schools. This is a two-part question. Is that good for college football? Is that good for your business? If it's bad for college football, it's bad for my business. And it's bad for both long-term. I've got, I mean, as we're speaking, I've just come from a multi-day symposium meeting about this very thing.

19:34I am very hopeful that the environment you're describing is a temporary environment. And I'm really hopeful that when you and I are watching the documentary 20 years from now, that we're talking about the early to mid portion of the 2020s as a headache, but it was very transitional, getting us to what would end up being. Now, I've always had a theory on this, and my theory is worth as much as the next guy. But my theory on this has always been that those big two, the SEC, the Big Ten, were always eventually heading for sort of a parallel AFC, NFC type of world. And I think it'd be foolish to assume that that doesn't include more acquisition of brands in the future.

20:20And what that means for people in our world is different than what that means for the fan. But what it means for the fan directly impacts our world. Because if interest wanes, then our world fundamentally shifts. So what I hope it means, John, is we get to a place where the SEC makes the moves they need to make. The Big Ten makes the moves they need to make. They acquire what they need to acquire. And it may be that one gobbles up the remaining valuable assets in the ACC. And the other one gobbles up the remaining valuable assets on the West Coast and in the Big 12. But as long as there's a button that we can press at the end, and once you get to your 24 or 32 teams, and I get to my 24 or 32 teams, we reasonably divide ourselves up where college football has maps drawn on it.

21:05We used to call those conferences and they used to be very, very regional based. As long as we can get back to that, I don't think the casual fan really cares that the new Big 12 is a subsidiary of the Big 10. I really don't think the average fan in Sarasota, Florida cares that I'm watching a Florida State game and they're in the ACC, but it's property of the SEC. I don't think they care about that. I think they care that college football is moving the needle coast to coast. They feel like they have access to whatever the post-season model is. And the other hope that I have that we'll get here is because I think you and I both know you don't spend billions of dollars on the rights to these broadcast deals, playoff contracts, et cetera, only to watch the audience walk away.

21:54And so you got to do whatever it is in your power. And that power is pretty immense from the companies we're talking about to make sure not only that interest is maintained, but interest increases. You got to grow that game. And I'm hopeful that that's where we're headed, but it is very, very foggy right now. I got to be honest with you. It is very hard to see through the fog right now.

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22:14Josh Pate:Yeah, that's a good hope. But what you're talking about is the Big Ten East, which would involve like Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Rutgers, and whoever else is sort of part of it. I don't even, it doesn't even have to be that. Look, just think about this logically. If you're a major corporation, if you're a conglomerate and you're acquiring Nestle, Well, it still says Nestle on my crunch bar when I go get it tomorrow. It just may be owned by a different corporation. I don't even know. The Big Ten could go acquire the Big 12 and keep the thing named the Big 12. They could go buy the IP to the Southwest Conference and bring it back for all I care.

22:49But just create a world of college football that makes sense within the context of college football. Because that's good for the game. That's good for people like me. That's good for everyone.

22:59Josh Pate:When you interact with your fans through your show or however else, is that what they're calling for? What's the general tenor right now for the college football fan? They feel ignored by people making decisions and they feel like people who are making decisions are not of that world. The feeling is a lot of people who are of other worlds have come into this world because it is so lucrative now and it's a tale as old as time. Those are just the concerns of college football fans right now. There is a very, very loud cry for a central voice, a commissioner, if you will. I don't know that we'll ever get there because of the authority that would have to be relinquished in order for that role to exist.

23:44But I think a lot of the uncertainty is, I mean, if you live in Killeen, Texas, and your granddad played for A &M, and your dad and mom went to A &M, and you go to Texas A &M games on Saturday, You just want that experience to feel the same for your kid as it did for you and as it did for your parents and grandparents. That is the beauty of college football. There are things that happen in Ann Arbor on Saturday that look the exact same and sound the exact same as they did in 1963. And that does not exist in a lot of other facets of life. And so that means something in college football. The hope or the fear, rather, amongst a lot of fans is with all this transition, with all this change, with all these strange hands on the wheel all of a sudden, is that going to change?

24:32There's a lot of debate about the size of the playoff and all this stuff. Really what they care about is the experience. Because what makes the college football game great is not that the raw product on the field is better than what you see on Sundays. You've got pro athletes on the field on Sunday. You've got college kids on the field on Saturday. So what makes college football great has always extended well beyond just the play between the lines. And if you start to screw with that, you start to screw with the bedrock of what made it great. And I think the foolishness is to look at the size of the audience, the size of the overall market, and just think that's a constant.

25:12That's never a constant. That's a variable. I think people are foolish to take it for granted as a constant. They'll always be there. We'll just do whatever we want to with it. They'll always be there. Well, you've covered this stuff for a long time. You could probably tell story after story of once very profitable industry and once very, very scalable brands that took an audience for granted and then suffered the consequences. I just hope college football is not another chapter in that book. All right.

25:39Josh Pate:So you have Greg Sankey and Tony Petiti, the commissioners of the SEC and the Big Ten, obvious power brokers in this space. Who else would you put in there? Some of your hopes and some of the plans, who are the ones that are going to be orchestrating this beyond those two? I think you've got leadership at ESPN that's going to play a fundamental role in that. I think leadership at Fox will play a fundamental role in that. I think you've got some big names that have emerged on the national sort of intersection of politics and college football radar like Cody Campbell at Texas Tech. I think that's a name that will play a large role in it.

26:21I think it's just fascinating when you watch the White House or Congress start to even talk about college athletics. Because if you're someone like me, up until five minutes ago, I mean, you've just recoiled at the mere mention of Congress trying to get involved in anything. And we're getting in the weeds a little bit here, but just I don't know if a non-college sports fan really understands how tangled the knot is right now. And even folks like me who always viewed congressional intervention as a last resort have begrudgingly looked and said, man, we may need that, man. Like the knot is really, really tangled.

26:59Josh Pate:I've never seen this before. The NCAA turning to politicians and saying like, we need help, you know, save us from ourselves and appears to be where we are right now. And we'll see if Congress again, they can barely agree on whether the sky is blue. We'll see if they can sort of get together with any sort of consensus to get anything done. It's really amazing. I mean, all people really want who love the game are a set of guidelines, just a structure, just knowing what the sport is year to year, the stuff you take for granted. If you're a pro sports fan, you kind of take that for granted. We can't take that for granted in the Saturday game.

27:37But that's kind of going back to what I just said. You mentioned some power brokers there. Those voices were not always huge. Make no mistake, Greg Sankey has always been one of the most powerful voices in this sport. He has not always been as direct and blunt with his opinions as he has been of late. And I don't think that's by accident. I think people like him realize I'm the right leadership. Now, whether people agree with that or not, Greg Sankey looks in the mirror and says, I know what I'm talking about. So it's either going to be me speaking up and me taking some of the oxygen out of the room, put my hands on the wheel or people who have no business in those lanes are going to be the ones with their hands on the wheel.

28:16And we went down that road for a long time. And in a lot of ways, we're still on that road. But you mentioned some of those names. I really, really hope that there's also a setting aside of egos, which has to happen there because no one's going to get 100 % of what they want here. But for the greater good of college football, college athletics, not just the 20 or 30 programs you and I may talk about most readily, but a kid playing D2 at defensive tackle right now that has always had an opportunity and a scholarship that may not be there in five years. There's no reason why that should ever have to happen except for horrifically poor decision making.

28:57Yeah.

28:58Josh Pate:And what's also going to be interesting is that, you know, what's good for the SEC and what's good for the Big Ten is not necessarily going to be good for ESPN or Fox. And so, you know, it's not as though that they're going lockstep. I see these studies all the time that if you take away the regionalization that we've already talked about and you pool all the rights together, college football is leaving like a billion dollars on the floor if you go because the networks don't want to have to pay that much more for the rights that they already have. And so seeing how that goes out, because you're right, when you identified Fox Sports and ESPN, those are other power brokers in the sports.

29:44Josh Pate:So how they reach detente with the SEC and Big Ten is going to be a really good story. I want you to also just think about this. This is second nature to you, but for someone listening who hasn't thought about it past the surface layer, in the NFL, every network's in business with the NFL, but they're in business with the NFL. They're not in business with the NFC North. You have got a system right now in college athletics, college football, where ESPN's obviously got to deal with a lot of people, but the SEC, Fox with the Big Ten, Fox doesn't cover an SEC game. And I just want to imagine this world for a second, which I think we'll eventually get to, by the way, where you have a college football media rights deal as a whole, and every network is doing every conference.

30:32Think about in the aggregate how scalable the visibility of the game becomes. When I'm talking about Oregon on CBS, ESPN has a fundamental reason to talk about Arizona State a lot more than they currently do. And you just rinse and repeat that. Fox talking about Miami just across the board. It's the same as the playoff deal, John. The same as the playoff contract. Right now, you've got it in the hands of one entity and there may be some sub-licensing of a couple of games, but season's over for a lot of these networks in December, as opposed to knowing they got playoff inventory down the road and therefore promoting that concept from August through November, through December, just above and beyond the dollar figures that it would mean.

31:18I think about the difference in scalability and visibility and across the board relevance for everyone to be discussed everywhere that you take for granted in the NFL. And again, you can't take that for granted in college football.

31:32Josh Pate:Josh, one more quick break, and then I want to talk about the season coming up.

31:44Josh Pate:Okay, Josh, knowing that this is a sports business podcast, what are some of the storylines that you're following most closely this season? I got to tell you, for a long time, buyouts have been a huge story in college football. No one is firing people anymore. You look in the SEC, I think 14, they may have returned every single head coach. Coordinators aren't being fired, and the reason is because they got to pay the players now. And so money's real. Money is not monopoly money. That's a great point. Yeah. It's amazing because now what you're seeing is, for example, at the University of Florida, a year ago, Billy Napier, they start out poorly out of the gate.

32:26In a previous era, he would have lost his job. In the new era, they held their nose and they just stayed steady with him and they pulled the nose up and they finished the season strong. John, they may be a top 10 team this year. and it never would have happened. Napier never would have even been given that length of rope in a previous generation. So that's one huge story just across the board. The other story is college football has gone a long time without USC mattering. And I just wonder, sitting here in Nashville, Tennessee, I look over there and I just wonder, is this the moment where the University of Southern California is a player in the national championship picture again?

33:09Because you want to talk about the business of college football. I mean, college football's done fine. I've always believed college football doesn't need any one team to be great in order to be great. But it'd sure be nice because Notre Dame's right there now. Texas with Arch Manning will be a central theme across college football this year. Bama's still good. Georgia's still good. Ohio State, still really good. There's this weird NCAA cloud hanging over Michigan right now, and none of us knows how that's really going to work out. But you got to go down the list a little ways before you start talking about USC.

33:46And if that changes this year, the fundamentals of the business change as well.

33:51Josh Pate:Yeah, the whole West Coast almost, it seems. But when SC is good, that gets casual fans involved from the fight song and everything. You didn't mention my number one story, Belichick. So in my world, Belichick is like, I can't write enough about him and just the way he was hired and the way they're trying to professionalize the University of North Carolina there. How big is North Carolina in terms of what you talk about? It's a big story. I mean, I probably underestimated how big it was when he came there. We did a couple of segments on it. I mean, looking at the retention numbers in post-production, it was incredible.

34:32The spike was incredible. So it's very obvious for obvious reasons that name transcends normal college football. I think one of the biggest lies that's being told in our sport right now is college football is just like the NFL. College football is not like the NFL. Of broad strokes purposes, like, yeah, they pay the players legally now. Yeah, that's like the NFL. But in the NFL, you know where you're drafted. In college football, you got to convince people to come play for you. And Belichick is, at last check, older than any three of his players combined, which doesn't mean the end of the world.

35:07Nick Saban was winning at a very high level into his 70s, but Nick Saban had spent a life in college athletics. This is someone trying it for the first time in their 70s. Now, John, if you could convince me that you're paying him$10 million just to do what North Carolina's always done, I'd say he'll have no problem doing that. Win six or seven games a year, occasionally eight or nine, but float in that range. I don't think that's what the expectations are. I think the expectations are he's going to go there and he's got the magic key, magic formula. They're going to be a playoff contender. And I'm telling you, I'd be surprised if that were the case.

35:43Josh Pate:The whole storyline around him feels like Deion of a couple of years ago at Colorado. Does it feel similar to you at all? I think it feels, it's similar in that it's brought a lot of what I call drive-by audience, audience that normally wouldn't be talking about college football, talk about Deion. There are people who would not normally look at our sport that look at it because of Bill Belichick. Yes. But I think that there was a layer of the crowd that looked at Deion and thought, that's all gimmicks. That's all flash. That's no substance. I think even some of them look at Belichick. I mean, Belichick's got two fistfuls full of Superbowl rings and he's done it coaching, not playing.

36:22So this guy knows what he's doing. He knows organizational modeling. He understands who to hire. He understands cap structure, like all the stuff that you're told matters in college football. Now he understands. So I think people look at him and have a higher expectation than they ever even did for Dion.

36:40Josh Pate:One other storyline that, that I'm interested in. I don't know. You're so good at like on the field play. I don't know if you care at all about these pregame shows, but Fox is hiring of Dave Portnoy, Pat McAfee getting an increased role at ESPN. Does that enter, when you have fans call in or when you talk to fans, do they care about that? Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. They really care about their Saturday morning viewing experience. Now, it's weird because I'm on the road every Saturday, so I hardly ever get to consume those shows. And I used to be a hardcore consumer of college game day. To me, my attitude about it's been good.

37:21The same way as my attitude when I pull up to a buffet has been, I like 60 % of what's on this buffet. You're never going to like 100 % of what's on the buffet. That is not the nature of any buffet that I've ever been to. But the funny thing is in media consumption, you'll find that no one compliments the 60 % of the buffet they like. There's no reason to affirm the 60 % of the buffet, the only feedback you ever get is what people hate. So you got to understand audience dynamics and you got to understand you're never going to hear from the folks who are happy. You only hear from the folks who are pissed off.

37:54And so Dave Portnoy is not for everyone. Pat McAfee is not for everyone. I can assure you, and I don't know about the Portnoy experiment yet, but I can assure you there are folks flat out watching on Saturday morning for Pat McAfee. I think there's no debate about that. Does that barstool audience, at least a sizable enough portion of it, make it appointment viewing to watch big noon kickoff because of Dave Portnoy's involvement. I'm just like you. I'm fascinated to see how that plays out.

38:24Josh Pate:Yeah. I'm going to get, I'm going to guess yes on that. I think they will, but, but, uh, it is going to be a storyline to follow going forward. Before I get you go, I need to get your predictions. Who's, who's, uh, give me, give me your final four in football. I cannot divorce myself from Clemson right now. It's got to be the year for them. I feel the same way about Penn State. It's got to be the year for them. I'm leaning Alabama right now in the SEC, and I'm leaning probably Texas in the SEC. I think those are my final four, but I do want to stress to the listeners that I just said that in pencil, not Penn, because I want to be able to erase that on a moment's notice once we get some random injury news in mid to late August.

39:05Josh Pate:Subject to change. Josh, where did you grow up? Who was your team growing up? I'm a really, really weird kid. I grew up in Harris County, Georgia, which is just north of Columbus, Georgia. And there was a period of my childhood where I would have told you I aligned with Georgia. There was some, there's some Auburn period. There was some Alabama period. There was a really weird FSU portion of my early childhood, but you know, I didn't have family that went to those schools. I didn't really have friends that went to those schools. So I was just, I just kind kind of wandered, John. I just, it was, it was one of those great existences where, you know, I'm a fan of the Lakers and the Yankees and whatnot.

39:43Well, that was me in college football. I didn't have to go through the bad years. I just floated around to whoever was good.

39:48Josh Pate:I could tell you never said Georgia Tech. You never, Josh, this has been a joy. Congrats on, on a great deal for you and all the, all the great headlines that I saw last week about your move and your news. I'll be listening this fall, and I appreciate you taking the time. I appreciate you having me on. It's been an honor.

40:14Josh Pate:Well, that was fun. Josh is a great communicator. I think my favorite part of this interview was when I asked him to identify the biggest storylines to follow this season. I mean, I knew he wasn't going to talk about the play on the field. This is a sports business podcast after all, but I was expecting to hear him talk about maybe Belichick or maybe even the Portnoy versus McAfee pregame battle that's coming up. But he brought up buyouts. That was the first thing he brought up, or rather the lack of buyouts. Because athletic departments are paying players now, they can't afford to get rid of coaches before those contracts run out.

40:51Josh Pate:So in the SEC, for example, all 14 coaches are returning. Coordinators, they're not being fired. Money is not monopoly money anymore. And I thought that was a really smart answer. So I want to thank Josh Pate for taking the time to join the pod today. I really did enjoy that conversation. More importantly, though, I want to thank you for listening to The Varsity, an Odyssey podcast in partnership with Puck. I also want to thank the executive editors from Puck, Gobby Grossman, Ben Landy, John Kelly, and the great team from Odyssey, Bob Tabador and Patrick Antonetti. If you like this podcast, make sure to sign up for my newsletter, also called The Varsity.

41:30Josh Pate:Head over to puck.news and use the code word The Varsity, all one word, for a 20 % discount. And I will see you on Wednesday.

From the publisher

Josh Pate, college football’s favorite late-night philosopher, joins the pod to break down his new distribution deal with On3/Rivals and Yahoo. Josh also retraces his winding path through the sports media ecosystem, and addresses a host of other topics affecting the college sports business.

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