Thoughts on the Market cover art
Podcast · 319 episodes

Thoughts on the Market, page 12

by Morgan Stanley · English

Short, thoughtful and regular takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of perspectives and voices within Morgan Stanley.

All episodes, page 12

Special Encore: AI Takes the WheelAI-driven transformation of the global auto industry from “horsepower to brainpower,” including Level 2+ smart driving adoption in China, prospects for Level 4+ robo-taxis, and spillover to aviation…17 Sep 2025 · 12 min · 7 chapters
How U.S. Industry Is Reinventing ItselfTakeaways from Morgan Stanley’s Annual Industrials Conference on how U.S. industry is reinventing itself via AI, reshoring, power expansion, and robotics/humanoids amid macro uncertainty and tariffs.16 Sep 2025 · 14 min · 5 chapters
Can Fed Cuts Bring Mortgage Rates Down?Whether expected Fed rate cuts can lower U.S. mortgage rates and improve housing affordability/sales.15 Sep 2025 · 7 min · 5 chapters
How Cybersecurity Is Reshaping PortfoliosHow cybersecurity is reshaping investment portfolios, arguing it’s a fast-growing, resilient IT category as cybercrime risk accelerates and AI expands attack methods.12 Sep 2025 · 4 min · 1 chapter
What’s Next for the India-China Trade?Future of India-China trade and how it may reshape global supply chains and investment flows. Guest backgrounds: No guests mentioned; host is Chetan Ahya, Mogunstendi’s Chief Asia Economist.11 Sep 2025 · 4 min · 2 chapters
Why Gold Still Holds Glitter in MarketsGold’s evolving role in 2025 as a macro barometer—tracking central bank policy, inflation, geopolitics, and rate expectations—plus catalysts and risks for gold and silver.10 Sep 2025 · 4 min · 3 chapters
Can AI Make Healthcare Less Expensive?Whether AI can make U.S. healthcare less expensive, discussed at Morgan Stanley’s Global Healthcare Conference (Sept. 9, 8 a.m. New York).9 Sep 2025 · 8 min · 7 chapters
A New Bull Market Begins?Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson argues that a “rolling recession” that began in 2022 likely troughed in April, and that the economy is transitioning to a rolling recovery—setting up the start of a new…8 Sep 2025 · 5 min · 3 chapters
Why the U.S. Dollar Still SmilesMorgan Stanley G10FX strategist Andrew Watrous explains the “Dollar Smile” framework for how the U.S. dollar responds to global growth conditions, arguing it still works even amid claims it’s broken.5 Sep 2025 · 6 min · 5 chapters
Walking a Narrow Economic Path“Walking a Narrow Economic Path” discusses September market risks tied to the Fed’s planned interest-rate cuts despite U.S. inflation above target and historically large government borrowing.4 Sep 2025 · 4 min · 1 chapter
Why a Fed Pivot Could Trigger VolatilityA potential “Fed pivot” after Jackson Hole—Powell signaling more tolerance for inflation and greater focus on downside growth risks—could change the timing and market impact of rate cuts into…3 Sep 2025 · 3 min · 1 chapter
Are Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities Making a Comeback?The episode argues that agency mortgage-backed securities (government-guaranteed) may be “making a comeback” after the Fed’s Jackson Hole signal of steady, programmatic rate cuts.2 Sep 2025 · 5 min · 4 chapters
Market Outcomes of Fed’s New CourseMarket reaction to Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks and implications for the Fed’s easing path, Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar.29 Aug 2025 · 10 min · 4 chapters
Breaking Down the Fed’s New CourseReaction to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks and what they imply for the Fed’s monetary-policy path (rate cuts, timing, and risks).28 Aug 2025 · 9 min · 3 chapters
Could a Fed Rate Cut Affect Credit Quality?Whether an expected Fed rate cut could worsen corporate credit quality by encouraging more corporate risk-taking amid already accommodative financial conditions.27 Aug 2025 · 4 min · 1 chapter
Gen Z Trends That Could Disrupt MarketsMorgan Stanley’s annual summer intern survey on Gen Z views of fashion/athletic footwear/handbags and AI-driven mobility, including humanoid robots and generative AI.26 Aug 2025 · 13 min · 6 chapters
How Stocks Could React to a Fed PivotHow stocks may react to a Fed “pivot” toward rate cuts, following Jackson Hole signaling and changes to inflation targeting.25 Aug 2025 · 4 min · 5 chapters
What to Watch When Credit Spreads NarrowCredit spreads are at the lowest levels in 20+ years (U.S. investment-grade: ~0.75% yield premium vs Treasuries; Europe vs German debt: similarly tight).22 Aug 2025 · 5 min · 4 chapters
AI Takes the WheelHow AI is transforming autos from “horsepower” to “brainpower,” with forecasts for Level 2+ smart driving, Level 4+ robotaxis, and longer-term shifts to shared autonomous electric mobility, plus…21 Aug 2025 · 12 min · 5 chapters
The Fed’s Next Moves After Mixed DataMorgan Stanley’s Arunima Sinha discusses the Fed’s likely next policy moves after the July CPI, arguing the Fed should stay on hold in 2024.20 Aug 2025 · 5 min · 3 chapters
Why Credit Is Core to AI ExpansionFeedback on Morgan Stanley’s note about “bridging the data center financing gap,” arguing credit markets—especially securitized and private credit—are central to AI expansion.19 Aug 2025 · 7 min · 5 chapters
What’s Fueling the Future of Energy in Asia?Asia’s energy future—nuclear power’s resurgence for decarbonisation and energy security, how it intersects with natural gas adoption, and how finance/sustainability frameworks are changing.18 Aug 2025 · 11 min · 5 chapters
Special Encore: Bracing for Sticker ShockHow large U.S. tariffs may affect consumer/retail prices, margins, and earnings—despite limited near-term inflation data—focusing on timing, mitigation, and when “sticker shock” hits (3Q–4Q).15 Aug 2025 · 9 min · 3 chapters
A Divergence of Thought on the Fed’s PathDivergence between Morgan Stanley’s view and market pricing on the Fed’s next move, and implications for corporate credit.14 Aug 2025 · 4 min · 3 chapters