The bet that's ruining sports

0:00So, I love sports. But I would only call myself a low-level sports bettor. I've wagered small amounts. $20 here,$30 there, maybe$50 if I'm feeling crazy. Increasingly, though, more and more sports fans are wagering a lot more than$50 and betting on every play within a game. And that's led us to the age of the betting scandal. Rozier is accused of purposely leaving a game with a phantom injury so that he and his co-conspirators, including his childhood friend, could make tens of thousands of dollars. The NCAA has banned six men's basketball players at three different Division I schools for allegedly rigging games.

0:44These two baseball players are in trouble for rigging pitches for bettors. Has sports betting gone too far? I'm Ested Herndon, and that's coming up on Today Explained from Vox.

1:06I love today's plane. Danny Font is the author of Everybody Loses, the tumultuous rise of American sports gambling. So, Danny, we've seen an uptick in sports betting scandals recently. But what's happened this week? So this past season, two relief pitchers on the Cleveland Guardians were flagged for what the industry calls suspicious betting activity. Emmanuel Classé, one of the top relief pitchers in baseball, and his teammate Luis Ortiz. Federal prosecutors in New York indicted both of them for a host of charges. Charged with fraud, conspiracy, and rigging pitches. Feds are coming in hot. They're facing up to 65 years in federal prison, if convicted on all charges.

1:54Prosecutors said in the indictment that Class A and Ortiz threw specific pitches for balls so bettors could place prop bets. To arrange prop bets. So that certain prop bets on those pitches would pay off. Class A, this all-star closing pitcher, is accused of texting, saying, heads up. You know, in his case, it was betting on whether a certain pitch he threw would be a ball or a strike. Indictment, United States District Court, Eastern District of New York. After receiving advance information from the defendant Emmanuel Classé de la Cruz about a specific pitch that Classé intended to throw, So, better one and several of the betters won approximately$58 ,000 on betting platform two by placing multiple bets that a pitch thrown by Class A would both be a ball and be slower than 94.95 miles per hour.

2:47Won approximately$27 ,000 on betting platform two. Won approximately$38 ,000. $10 ,000. $15 ,000. Overall, between 2023 and 2025, the bettors won at least$400 ,000 from the betting platforms on pitches thrown by the defendant, Emmanuel Class A de la Cruz.

3:12And an important part of at least this Major League Baseball betting scandal seems to be that they were betting on individual pitches, individual balls and strikes, and they were communicating about it in real time. Yeah, which is interesting because it's one of the defining traits of this legal online sports betting era. One player can very easily influence the outcome of one of these prop bets. It's literally about the play of a specific person, sometimes on a specific play. With the speed of the next pitch, will the runner on first try to steal second? Will this inning generate a run? The idea is just every second you're watching and inevitably watching while on your phone, let's give you something to bet on.

3:56How unique is this to this moment? We've had sports betting scandals before, but it seems as if you're saying this is unique to this time and this legalized sports betting industry. Yeah, particularly legal online sports betting. So in the past, even if betting has always existed in Nevada or through your neighborhood bookie or whatever, typically that was done in person often before games started. Now more than 90 % of bets are placed online legally. A lot of these are smartphone apps, which enables betting during games on these kind of real-time bets. It creates so much opportunity for manipulation.

4:36and this volume of betting where there are literally thousands of prop bets available for many major sports every game absolutely did not exist just several years ago. You could not bet tens of thousands of dollars on a fringe bench player to get a certain number of rebounds. That's something new. How much of betting is happening on these prop bets during an individual game? So Americans wager about$150 billion legally every year, and about 30 % of the money wagered, 30 % of that$150 billion is on props or combinations of props that form parlays that generate 60 % of the revenue. More than half of the money generated is coming from this type of betting.

5:26So when we think about, okay, this opens the door for all sorts of corruption, will the sportsbooks be inclined to rein it in? To put it succinctly, I doubt it, because it's their biggest moneymaker these days. The thing that's so enticing to these companies about offering thousands and thousands of live micro bets during the game is you might bet$30 pregame, but you might bet$10 five or 10 times on these micro bets. Suddenly you've bet way more than you would have if you were just doing it beforehand. So that's why it's a phenomenal business for them. It's also, people say, especially addictive because the more frenzied and relentless the betting, the easier it is to feed that kind of compulsive instinct.

6:11Because if I'm betting every 10 seconds versus every two hours, it's a very different experience. You know, this might be an obvious question, but why exactly are these athletes, particularly active athletes, getting involved in these bets? We're talking about multimillionaires. It seems a little ridiculous. It does. And that was literally one of the arguments that the leagues and their gambling operator partners assured the public when they were pushing for legalization was, don't worry, today's athletes are too wealthy to be corrupted. They wouldn't throw it all away to gamble. Too wealthy to be corrupted.

6:51What a phrase. I know. Now, obviously, you could look in sports. You could look on Wall Street, whatever. Being rich doesn't immunize you from being greedy or being foolish. This idea that, like, oh, you make, you know, however many millions of dollars, you're not going to make a bad decision is really falling apart as we see these scandals unfold. You know, for me as a sports lover, as someone who enjoys the community of sports, it definitely feels as if betting, and particularly live betting, has changed the fan experience. You can be places, and it will often seem as if folks' rooting interests are more closely aligned with, will there be a turnover?

7:30Will the next pitch be more or less than 90 miles an hour? Then whether a team is even winning or losing, is there any concern that the leagues have had about the ways that their close marriage to the sports betting industry has changed the viewing experience or changed the fan experience? No doubt. So much of the fallout of legalization, you could act as though this is a surprise, like who could have seen this coming? The commissioners of major sports warned decade after decade that all this stuff would happen, and then the people in power currently saw the dollar signs and changed their stance.

8:04But one of the things they really banged the drum on was that a fixation on betting cheapens or degrades your relationship with sports. You know, it's one thing if you're a diehard Chicago Bulls fan. Hey! Yeah. Playing to the audience. It's another thing if you go to a game and you're just waiting for, you know, someone to get two steals. And sometimes nowadays, like you were saying, you can feel this in an arena or a stadium. you'll hear like a groan or a cheer go out when someone grabs a rebound and it's like, what's the big deal? What was that all about? It's because they covered their, you know, their prop betting line.

8:43So that stuff is interesting and how it's changing the nature of fandom. It also has a really ugly side where, of course, sports fans can be overly intense and get crazed about the teams they're rooting for. But we're seeing a level of harassment and threats sent toward athletes that crosses a line. That's why you see so many players fucking getting death threats, right? Like in their inboxes, because people are mad because they didn't hit their profits and shit like that, or smoke the layup. And I get people telling me to kill myself every week. And, you know, because I'll hit a kick that loses them money.

9:20I'll miss a kick and it loses them money. It was the other day, somebody told me to get cancer and die. There have been stories of people being stalked at their team hotel or at their home. So this is something that I think is going to reach a boiling point. Considering all this, what are people trying to do about prop betting? Are there any pushes to change the law or to roll back any of this? So one of the leading forces on that is the NCAA. They really dragged their feet to come around on legalization. They were often the most adamant that this would be bad for sports. And for a while now, they've been saying that states should ban bets on individual player props.

10:01When you hone in on specific players, not only does it open the door for all sorts of manipulation and the temptation for them to gamble, but it heightens that microscope that they're under and leads to a lot of really ugly harassment that we were just talking about. So some states have gone ahead and banned individual player props on college sports. The NCAA is pushing for all states to do that. Major League Baseball, in response to these arrests, reached an agreement with a bunch of sportsbooks that they won't take bets exceeding$200 on individual pitches. Now we were talking about how addictive that sort of betting can be.

10:42So definitely if you're betting 200 bucks a pitch, that can get out of hand pretty quickly. But at least from a fixing standpoint, it doesn't make it as easy to make a boatload of money if you're fixing certain pitches.

11:01Coming up, how everything came undone.

11:15Support for the show comes from Grow Therapy. Everyone thinks they're a therapist, especially in the new year, when you might be getting advice from every corner of your life, your feed, your group chat, even your barista. But here's the thing. Advice isn't therapy. Therapy is therapy. And if you're looking to start therapy with licensed professionals, Grow Therapy is there to help. Grow can connect you with thousands of independent licensed therapists across the country. offering both virtual and in-person sessions. You can search therapists by what matters most to you, like insurance, specialty, identity, or availability, and get started in as little as two days.

11:54And if something comes up, you can cancel up to 24 hours in advance at no cost. Grow says there are no subscriptions and no long-term commitments. You just pay per session. Whatever challenges you're facing, Grow Therapy is here to help. Sessions average about$21 with insurance, and some pay as little as$0, depending on their plan. Visit growththerapy.com slash explained to get started. That's growththerapy.com slash explained. growththerapy.com slash explained. Availability and coverage vary by state and insurance plan.

12:35Support for this show comes from American Giant. What's your favorite item of clothing? A lot of people may say it's something formal, like the perfect suit or cocktail dress. But in our heart of hearts, most people know that their favorite item of clothing is their hoodie. And American Giant says that their classic full-zip hoodie is made to last a lifetime. Slate magazine even called it the greatest hoodie ever made. And from cotton to zipper, it's made right here in the USA. Our colleague Andrew Malnazik tried out American Giant. I was super lucky enough to have American Giant send me some of their clothing from their site.

13:11People used to say to me all the time, invest in quality materials and goods. And American Giant's clothing has reminded me that, hey, they were probably right. This season, you can snag the hoodie that will bring you comfort for life. The American Giant Classic Full Zip. And save 20 % off your first order at American-Giant.com when use code EXPLAINED at checkout. That's American-Giant.com and use code EXPLAINED at checkout. That's 20 % off your first order at American-Giant.com. Code EXPLAINED.

13:49Support for today's show comes from Rubrik. Many companies are deploying AI agents at this time. They automate tasks, they handle workflows, they make decisions. And here is the thing. Sometimes, according to Rubric, they mess up. They might delete the wrong file. They might make changes you didn't authorize. They might go off script. When that happens, you can get stuck trying to figure out what went wrong and how to fix it. Enter Rubric Agent Cloud. Rubric Agent Cloud is a platform that they say lets you monitor, govern, and rewind AI agent actions. It's one platform. They say it helps you use more agents faster and without the risk.

14:32They say it runs in the background. They say it watches what's happening. They say it makes sure things stay on track. They say you can get full visibility. They say you can set guardrails so the agents don't go rogue. If your business relies on AI agents, you need the ability to monitor, govern, and rewind their actions, says Rubrik. Right now, our listeners get exclusive early access to Rubrik Agent Cloud. You can go to rubrik.com. That's R-U-B-R-I-K dot com, rubric dot com.

15:07There he is. Now a spot announcement. Thank you, spot. Here we go. Explained. Okay, Danny, I wanted to talk about where the story of sports betting begins for you. Because you lay out the issues that it has caused now, particularly these prop bets that have challenged the leagues. and have really shown the potential dangers of legalized sports betting. But as you mentioned, this is an industry that's super ingrained in the country. So where should we start this story to even understand if there's a possibility that these laws change? Literally since the very first organized baseball games in like the 1850s in New York, there were people in the stands or I guess in the field, you know, beyond where they were playing, exchanging money on different betting outcomes.

15:55So this is deeply rooted in American sports culture. But really after the 1919 World Series, when the Chicago White Sox colluded with gamblers to rig the outcome of baseball's championship and became the Black Sox, of course, in history, the leagues have been emphatic that this was, in the most stern terms possible, that this was an existential threat to sports. They called it an evil again and again. And it was only until barely a decade ago that they changed their tune on that in the most dramatic way possible. When the pushes for sports betting legalization started, did it begin at a national or a state level?

16:37What was the process to them getting this done? So in 1992, at the behest of the professional sports leagues, Congress banned states from legalizing sports betting, accepting Nevada, which had been offering sports betting since the 1950s. They had two senators in Congress who weren't going to stand for a ban. So Nevada was exempted, but the rest of the country wasn't allowed to authorize bookmaking. If sports betting spreads, more and more fans will question every coaching decision and every official's call. All of this puts undue pressure on players and coaches and officials. And state-sponsored sports betting could change forever the relationship between the players and the game and between the game and the fans.

17:25New Jersey had a lot of problems happening with Atlantic City casinos going out of business. Racetracks were suffering. They thought bringing in sports betting would jumpstart that gambling economy. So they pushed to overturn this ban in federal court. They went 0 for 6 in lower appellate courts, but got an audience before the Supreme Court in 2018. Oh, yay. Oh, yay. We'll hear argument first this morning in case 16476, Christie versus NCAA, and the consolidated case 16477, the New Jersey Thoroughbred Horseman's Association versus NCAA. At that point, remember, all of the leagues were still fiercely fighting it in court.

18:10And yet New Jersey prevailed and the floodgates opened and several dozen states very quickly passed laws legalizing this. Currently, eight states have legal wagering, but expect more to come in 2019, with over 20 states working towards legalization. Sports betting could soon become a reality here in Massachusetts. It'll be the topic of discussion among state lawmakers today. Sports betting is now legal in Michigan, and it is expected to bring in millions of dollars in new revenue to the state. I do think it's worth pointing out that people remember that as the court saying the federal government cannot ban sports betting.

18:49They actually went out of their way to say Congress could ban or regulate sports betting at a national level. Just that 1992 bill had gone about it the wrong way. You said that the floodgates opened. How did the industry make that happen? And what was the lobbying effort like to actually go about changing the laws? The way it was presented was this decision came down and the court said, OK, legalization is now a fact of life. I guess we should get on board. For the federal government, for casinos and people who take bets and for sports leagues, while the future is uncertain, I think there's a fair amount of opportunity if it's done right.

19:27We did not make the decision. Ultimately, the decision was a decision by the Supreme Court. They legalized sports betting. We have to adapt. In reality, while the leagues were fighting New Jersey in federal court, they were meeting secretly with representatives of the gambling industry. Sometimes they actually met at like cafes in Manhattan because they didn't want to welcome those people into their league office buildings. It was that taboo to meet with a gambling company. but they were being presented how dramatically gambling could benefit their business both in a direct way with all the partnerships that they could form and then indirectly with how expansively it would grow their tv audience so publicly they're fighting gambling privately they're coming around on it and then very quickly once that decision came down they partnered with the gambling company's main lobbying firm.

20:22A lot of these companies, like FanDuel and DraftKings, had been running into issues at the state level because they had the same lobbying firm. They said, NBA, MLB, lawmakers love meeting with you guys. Who doesn't like, you know, seeing a representative from their home team or getting to tour a stadium or an arena? Let's have you be the face of the push for legalization. Meanwhile, what you're pushing is model legislation drafted by these gambling companies. So in a lot of ways, they got everything they wanted. Every item on their wish list checked off. How did the legalized sports betting market affect the black market of gambling?

21:03I mean, you mentioned previously about how there were the bookies and the kind of way betting worked historically. What's happened to that since legalization? That's a great question because that was, again, one of the top arguments for legalization. It was literally presented to the Supreme Court was billions and billions of dollars. Sometimes I think their estimates were drastically inflated to help make their point. But a ton of money is being wagered under the table through these illegal operators. Let's bring it above board so we can tax it and generate revenue from it that way and also install consumer protections.

21:39The idea was that legalization would largely drive the black market out of business. in reality the black market is robust and vibrant despite legalization part of that is that gambling is everywhere you can't turn on a game and not see relentless appeals to gamble check in on tonight's draft kings king of the court draft king's number one sports book for live betting to get in on the action the nba playoffs are here and i'm betting rebound props on fan duel this episode of the dan lebitard show is presented by draft kings draft kings the crown is yours. This is the Ring of Gambling Show presented by FanDuel.

22:17So if you're in a state like California or Texas that hasn't legalized sports betting, you might search how can I bet and be directed to one of these illegal offshore sites and start betting that way. So the argument was it's going to drive out their business. In a respect, I think a lot of people who wouldn't have been gambling anyway have now been inspired to want to find a way to gamble and they've gone through those illegal operators. There's also some inherent advantages they have, like if you want to bet anonymously, if you want to bet with crypto, if you want to bet a ton more than certain regulated sportsbooks will take, you might want to bet through an illegal bookie.

22:57So they're always going to have a leg up in some respects. And this idea that legalization would run them out of town just hasn't happened at all. I think things have changed rather quickly. If you would have told me a couple years ago that active MLB players will be getting arrested for coordinating prop bets, I would think that that amounts to a full-blown scandal for these leagues. If you would have told me about the kind of federal interest that we're seeing right here, I would have thought that this would kind of, like, lead to a kind of hair-on-fire moment. It doesn't really seem like it, though.

23:30And in some ways, it seems like the leagues are continuing on, considering, to your point, just how ingrained these sports betting communities are. Is there a tipping point here? Or like, what would it take for you think there to be a genuine conversation about maybe this has gone too far? Yeah, I spoke with one of the heads of security for the NFL and then does some consulting for some NFL teams. And as part of that job, he was responsible for monitoring gambling. He laid out three possibilities that could be that sort of wake up moment for the country. And they're all pretty disturbing. One was an explosion of gambling addictions and maybe even the suicide that often comes with that form of addiction causing just a crisis on a public health level.

24:19The other was a colossal corruption scandal, even beyond what we're talking about, where a superstar or a championship game is fixed. And that just really undermines the integrity of sports. And the third was I mentioned how there's this rash of harassment and violent threats directed at players. If someone was ever assassinated because of that, that could make people say enough is enough. So those are all pretty horrifying to contemplate. But this person said those are all possible. And that might be what it takes to get people to wake up to this. One of the things you mentioned there is the honesty of competition.

25:00You know, that is something that I think people bring up when it comes to this sports betting conversation, saying, you know, maybe they'll get to a point where the information's such that you kind of don't believe your eyes when it comes to the competition, that, you know, it seems a little more WWE scripted than genuine uncertainty. Is there any risk that the leagues here are kind of blind to a reputational loss that affects how people view the sport? Absolutely. And that's one of the main things that the commissioners of sports used to say was part of this existential threat of gambling is it would undermine the integrity of games.

25:39And if you just search rigged on social media during basically any game, you'll see post after post saying, aha, you know, this game is rigged. Can you believe that call? Can you believe that play? But that's kind of anecdotal. And then just in the past couple of weeks, YouGov released survey results that found that 65 % of Americans believe professional athletes alter how they play to help gamblers win money. A majority of Americans, that is a massive change. People were saying, like, this is maybe one of the worst outcomes of making gambling so pervasive. And we're seeing the effects already.