E16: Lessons From Co-Founding First Round, Idea Lab, and B Capital with Howard Morgan

6 Dec 2023 · 54 min

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Podcast Summary: Turpentine VC - Episode 16 with Howard Morgan

Episode Overview In this episode of Turpentine VC, host Erik Torenberg speaks with Howard Morgan, a prominent figure in venture capital known for co-founding several influential firms, including Renaissance Technologies, Idealab, First Round Capital, and currently, B Capital. Morgan shares insights from his extensive career, discusses the evolving landscape of venture capital, and offers valuable advice for emerging managers.

Key Themes and Discussions

  1. Howard Morgan's Career Journey
  2. Founding Firms:
  3. Renaissance Technologies: Co-founded with Jim Simons in 1982, initially focusing on both quant investing and venture capital.
  4. Idealab: Helped in founding this incubator which produced various successful companies.
  5. First Round Capital: Established as a seed-stage fund to capitalize on the lower costs of starting companies in the early 2000s.
  6. B Capital: Focused on global and B2B investments with an emphasis on leveraging partnerships with firms like Boston Consulting Group.
  1. Global Investing and Its Challenges
  2. Emphasized the importance of understanding geopolitical dynamics in global investments.
  3. Discussed the firm's cautious approach to markets such as China and the necessity of being aware of regulatory environments.
  4. Highlighted opportunities in emerging markets like India and Indonesia, driven by advances in technology and less corruption.
  1. Sector Focus and Emerging Trends
  2. Frontier Technologies:
  3. Areas of interest include genomics, bioinformatics, longevity, and space technology.
  4. Morgan noted the potential for growth in these sectors due to technological advancements and increased funding opportunities.
  5. AI and Its Integration:
  6. Morgan views AI as a foundational element across various sectors rather than a standalone investment focus.
  7. Highlighted investments in companies using AI for drug discovery and related fields.
  1. Lessons Learned and Advice for Emerging Managers
  2. Mistakes and Reflections:
  3. Morgan shared candid reflections on past missteps and the evolution of his investment strategies over the years.
  4. Stressed the importance of maintaining ownership stakes in companies to ensure substantial returns despite dilution in later funding rounds.
  5. Cultural Insights:
  6. Advocated for fostering a collaborative culture within investment teams to encourage open dialogue and diverse opinions during decision-making.
  1. Current Venture Capital Landscape
  2. Market Conditions:
  3. Morgan believes the current downturn presents significant opportunities for early-stage investments.
  4. Suggested that many funds may struggle to raise capital in the current environment, presenting a chance for well-prepared new managers.
  5. Multi-Stage Firms:
  6. Discussed the trend of firms moving towards multi-stage investments and how this impacts capital allocation across various venture strategies.
  1. Personal Insights and Motivation
  2. Morgan's continual desire to learn and engage with younger innovators keeps him motivated in the venture space.
  3. Highlighted the personal benefits of remaining active in an ever-evolving field and the joy of mentorship.

Key Takeaways

  • Investing in a Changing Landscape:
  • The venture capital landscape is dynamic, and adapting to macroeconomic changes can yield substantial returns, particularly in early-stage investments.
  • Importance of Global Perspective:
  • A global mindset and sensitivity to geopolitical factors are essential for successful investments in diverse markets.
  • Collaboration Over Competition:
  • Building successful partnerships and fostering a collaborative environment leads to better outcomes in venture capital.
  • Focus on Emerging Technologies:
  • Interest in sectors such as space exploration, longevity, and AI indicates a shift towards more innovative investment strategies.

Conclusion Howard Morgan's seasoned perspective on venture capital reflects the importance of adaptability, the benefits of collaboration, and the need for a forward-thinking approach to investing in an evolving landscape. His experiences and insights provide a roadmap for emerging managers and seasoned investors alike.

Next Steps For further learning and insights, consider checking out Erik Torenberg's new show, Request for Startups, which focuses on innovative startup ideas and entrepreneurial journeys.

--- For more information, visit the [Turpentine VC official page](https://www.turpentinevc.com/).

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Transcript

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0:01Welcome back to Turpentine VC, a podcast where we discuss the art and science of building successful venture firms, VC to VC. For today's episode, we sit down with Howard Morgan, the chair and general partner of BeCapital. Howard is a pioneer in venture, having co-founded firms like Renaissance Technologies with Jim Simons and First Round Capital with Josh Kopelman. In this interview, we discuss how Howard picks the right people to work with, how he thinks about trade-offs at the different firms he's built, and how his experience in the last six venture cycles informs his predictions about the next 10 years of venture.

0:35Howard shares his earned wisdom with remarkable candor and offers advice to anyone who wants to build a lifelong investing career. Howard, thank you so much for joining Turpentine VC. Welcome to the podcast. Thanks, Eric. Glad to be here. So Howard, you have an illustrious venture capital and investing career at four different institutions that you've been at over the past four decades. Why don't you give a quick tour of the four institutions that you helped start or were investing at? And what was the story that inspired you to start each successive one? Sure. The first was a Renaissance Technologies Corp, which I started with Jim Simons back in 1982.

1:15It's known mostly as a quant shop because he is the premier quant investing group. But from 1982 to 1989, when we started, half the money was in venture. And Jim and I had done two private companies in the late 70s, beginning of 1980. And he was still a professor. I was still a professor. And in early 82, he said, well, why don't you take a legal absence and we'll start Renaissance Technologies? I've got $70 million. I can only invest 35 in quant and we'll put 35 into venture. And so we did that between 1982 and 1989, we had top decile return, 25 % IRR. Fortunately, but also unfortunately, the quant was returning 38%.

2:01So we took the venture out of Renaissance. And for the next decade, I invested my own money, his money, same physical location, and helped start Idealab with Bill Gross. And from 1996 and even through today, perhaps still on the board, helped create a huge number of companies at Ideal. Bill Gross's ideas, investment dollars of mine and other people's, and, you know, paid search, for example, became Overture. Google ended up paying$600 million for the patent rights. We did it at the time when everyone thought paid search was evil. uh walt mossberg wall street journal at one point called the eagle why would you allow people to alter your search results by paying for them but we and and larry and sergey all figured out that actually you get better results not worse results because people wouldn't pay unless they were getting value back so uh we did all of that and then um in 1992 one of our investments was a company called Infonautix.

3:08And it was started by two people, Marvin Weinberger and Josh Koppelman. And Josh, and I was the sort of lead investor. I also did some technical design for them and so on, having been a database expert. And we took Infonautix public in 96. It created what's called ProQuest. Today in 97, 98, Josh said, gee, I want to start something else. I see how Amazon is doing and we could sell used books for half when Amazon's charging. So I'll start half off Amazon.com. And we bought a whole number of different URLs, half off Amazon, half off eBay, et cetera. But eventually it just rolled into half.com. And half.com was quite a phenomenon.

3:52Josh is an amazing entrepreneur. And one of the things, at one of the marketing meetings at Half.com. Somebody said, how do we get Half on the map? And somebody said, oh, let's get it on the map. So we went to a town in Oregon called Halfway Oregon, paid them some money and computers for all their schools to get them to change their name to Half.com Oregon for a year, which they did. And because we got them on the map and it's such a clever start, we got on the Today Show, we got all sorts of media and Half did really well and was bought by eBay during the height of the bubble. And they paid a lot of money for it, but because it's the basis for buy it now, they actually made money with it.

4:37So even though they paid a lot, the only thing they didn't get was Josh full-time. Josh was there for a year, a couple of years, two years. He just didn't want to move west. And so he came and said to me one day in 2002, 2003, gee, I want to do some more angel invested. So he and I did some angel investing together. And in 04, he said, I think there's time to be able to start a seed stage fund because it cost us$5 million to get Infonautics to his first product shipped. We had to buy servers, big gigantic sun machines, big Oracle licenses. We had to build our own data center. We had to hire people to run it 24-7.

5:16By the time he was building Half.com, it only cost$2 million to ship the product because you had open source software. We had much cheaper computers and you had rack spaces and people who were willing to host those machine stream and hire the people from Monitor. We realized that you could start companies cheaper. And I think you could start a company for$250 ,000 in 2004 or 2005. So we figured out a way to get some deal flow and we started to see whether we would like it a one-year fund called First Round Capital 2005. And over the next two and a half years, as we sort of felt we liked it, we ended up hiring some partners, Chris Freilich, Rob Hayes in San Francisco, Chris in Philadelphia, New York, ended up raising about$50 million in total for that first set of funds.

6:03And in 2007, we went to the big guys, namely Dave Schwentz at Yale and people at Princeton said, we're going to do$125 million fund. It ended up slightly higher,$130 something, to invest in seed stage. And they said the same thing to us, which was, that sounds great. We like you guys. You've got experience. Howard, I was at the time 60 years old. Josh, exciting entrepreneur. But if we can only put in$20 million, I can't move our needle because we got 15,$20 billion endowments, but we'll do it anyway. And let's see what happens. and that was first round capital. And I told Josh when we started, I'll give you 10 years because I'll be 70 in 10 years and who knows what I'll want to do and what you'll want to do.

6:48And I know that funds will have had traditionally typically a difficult time with generational transition. So that's what we did. Now, first round capital two ended up with 70 companies roughly in it. roughly 68 of them returned kind of 5x the fund. We had companies like Square, now Block, Inmere. Uber. Square was an interesting story because in 2005, we did Odeo, which was a podcasting company, and the founders, Ed Williams and Viv Stone and Jack Dorsey came and said, we're giving you your money back. Apple's about to announce our product, and so we won't have any, but we'll come to you with our next deal.

7:27And the next deal six months or less than that later was Twitter. But they wanted 20 million free money. And we said, no, we don't do anything over 10 million free money. Sorry. So we didn't do it. I mean, fortunately, I was an investor in Union Square Ventures, which didn't do it. But then when Jack came to us with Square a couple of years later at a higher price than 10 million, we said, you know, we learned our lesson. I think we'll do this one. Yeah, we did. So those 68 companies did quite well, but the 69th company was started by Garrett Camp, who was in our blank check club. Garrett had started StumbleUpon in Calgary.

8:04It was a web discovery company. eBay bought it. We'd made a lot of money and we said to Garrett, whenever you're finished with eBay, we'll give you a desk and some money, whatever you want to start next. And so he came to us, we gave him some money and we said, now what is this thing you're going to do? He said, well, I'm going to call black cars in San Francisco. I'm calling it Uber Cab. And we said, well, how big is the market for that in San Francisco? He said, it's maybe a hundred million dollar total market. He said, that's not so big, but you're a good product guy. Get it started. He and Ryan Graves got it started in built and the taxi commission made us change the name to Uber.

8:39They wouldn't let us use the word cab. And three or four months later, he brought in his friend, Travis Kalanick, and the rest is history. So Uber returned in the order of 20x the fund by itself.

8:55But Uber grew very quickly. I mean, from 2010, 9, 10, at 4 million pre-money where we invested, at three years, it was at 3 billion. And then it did routes even higher. And of course, when it exited, it exited higher than 4 million by a fair amount. But we invested at the same time in another company, which we turned down first. We turned it down. Chris Freilich had brought it in. Chris came back to us a few months later, a few weeks later, and said, you know, you made a mistake. I'm going to bring in my son to pitch you on this. And he brought his eight-year-old son, Max, in to pitch us on Roblox.

9:30And we did roblox and roblox took from 2009 10 to 2018 to get to a 100 million valuation but when roblox went public in 22 it was even bigger than uber and so in the end e princeton and yalee got a billion dollars back which in a 20 billion dollar endowment moves you need uh yales is bigger now but but still that we got we got awards from them and so on but i did stick to my a promise to stay, to do 10 years. And so in year eight, nine, we started figuring out how to do the transition. And I stepped back and I got a lot of emails of, would you join my seed fund? And the answer to that was, no, been there, done that.

10:13I'm still an advisor at first round. I'm still a good friend, big LP, et cetera. But I got a call from another friend, Raj Ganguly. Raj had been at Penn. He was an M &T student. He was an entrepreneur, built a company, sold it to Keyback, then went to McKinsey, then went to the Harvard Business School, where in the same building he lived in, there was this two young kids, Mark Zuckerberg and Eduardo Savarin, and he became friends with Eduardo. And after Harvard Business School, Raj White then helped start Bain Capital Asia and was based in Singapore. And Eduardo had moved to Singapore in 2000, about 9, 10, and something like that because he's pretty white and started investing with him.

10:58And so they came to me in 2016 and said, we're starting a fund and I want to tell you about it. And I said, Stuart, come on in. I'll give you a half hour. And three hours later, I said, great. I want to be a big LP in this fund. And they said, that's not what we want. We want you to share the fund. We want you to basically help us make new mistakes and not repeat the mistakes you made building Renaissance, Ideal Lab, and First Round Capital. So we'll get a head start. And the three things that excited me about B Capital and the opportunity was, first of all, it was East Age and later. So I wasn't competing with First Round.

11:35I didn't really want to compete with First Round for at least for a while. Eventually, we started an early stage fund. Secondly, it was B2B focused. First Round had done a lot of B2C. And for me, I just like learning new things every day. And so spending more time on B2B, I had worked as a consultant for the big giant Fortune 500s when I was a professor for 15 years. I had been in the 2010 period for about 13 years on John Deere's Global Advisory Board. So I understood big companies in B2B and they were getting digitized and there was huge opportunity. Third, it was global. It was going to be headquartered in LA and Singapore with offices in Delhi.

12:16We now have offices in Delhi and Bangalore and Jakarta and Beijing and Hong Kong and LA and San Francisco and New York. So pretty global. Although two thirds of the fund goes into the US, the rest goes overseas and there's great opportunity there. And finally, the icing on the cake was it was a partnership with the Boston Consulting Group, VCG. And I spent a lot of time with Rich Lesser, who was then the CEO of VCG. He's now the chairman, understanding why they would do a venture fund because they had gotten burned in the bubble in 2000. They did a venture fund with IBM and JP Morgan. It was a complete disaster.

12:52And he said, no, no, we need to have companies that we can show our clients new technologies that are actionable. So we want companies, if you're in a later stage where you're going to be, that we can say to a client, here's an interesting company, here's a new technology, and we want you to try it. And they could try it. And so the relationship is a very strong one. That's grown to a third of my time, which if you ask my wife, she said that means eight hours a day. But that's what we've been doing. And in 2021, we decided we could start an early stage fund. So I gave up my first round affiliations in 21, but we've done a number of deals which we've co-led with first round.

13:35So the relationship is still very, very positive. So that's kind of the background of how I got here to B Capital, which now by the way has about six and a half billion under management. That's a great overview. And talk about B Capital when you think about global investing. How do you get comfortable sort of understanding not just sort of the macroeconomic, but also the geopolitical situation in this kind of crazy geopolitical environment, it feels like you have to know so much more to be able to invest there and things fluctuate so much. How do you think about building a global firm in that way?

14:11Sure. I mean, the geopolitics are very critical. Obviously, China, we didn't start with China. We went into China in 21. We hired a CEO partner there. We've been with SoftBank China. And we still felt and still feel there's huge opportunities in China, even staying far away from any of the geopolitically sensitive areas. We don't do hardware, so we're not doing chips. We don't do military technologies. We don't do dual-use technologies. But we do a lot of things like the biggest auto parts distributor in China, which just went public on Hong Kong too, and textile marketplace and something called Geek Plus to give users advice.

14:55So it's very tricky. So India, Indonesia, Singapore is a lot simpler in the sense that there's great technology. There are giant leaks, explosive markets. India's now population rise bigger than China. And in India, there's a billion people now with cell phones and bank accounts on their cell phones. And government has finally created an environment in India which has much less corruption than it did 20 years ago. And so we've been taking advantage of that. But you do have to be careful of the geopolitics all the time. For example, we did a fair amount of stuff in three crypto areas. And we were very careful in the particular where the government was not pro-crypto, to be careful of what kind of things we would do there.

15:47Most in China, for example, we stayed out of education completely, because we knew that the government was concerned about education for several reasons. One was the parents were spending too much money on it. Two was it had 400 million people learning English, but they were learning English with American materials and American value systems. And President Xi decided at one point, oh, he didn't like that. So he basically shut down online education in China, created the stock market for all those companies. We were fortunately, you know, had stayed away from things like that that can get sensitive.

16:23So we're mostly B2B, you know, real industrial kind of stuff over there. And we have to be cognizant at all times that there are geopolitical risks. And you have to be cognizant of how can you get your money out. Most of these countries, you can always put it in. Can you get it back out again if you have a big win? And right now that's possible. So we're pretty comfortable with that. But I would say that this, in 2012, essentially all the unicorns in the world were in Silicon Valley. In 2023, they have about 20 % of the unicorns and the rest are widely spread. New York and LA and Austin and Chicago and Delhi and Bangalore and obviously all over China and a couple in Europe, not that many.

17:11But technology has democratized. It's all over the place. You can build companies anywhere. So the theme that you chose was global. I'm curious if you had to pick a different theme, maybe once you do 10 years at B Capital in your 80s, or when you think about emerging managers, what are other themes or angles of building a venture firm that you're particularly excited about or you think are still ripe or have opportunity? Remember, one third B Capital, one third is family office. And my family office has seeded or funded almost 30 underrepresented minority managers, women then underrepresented minorities.

17:52So I feel that that's a great place to build a venture fund because just as there are unicorns built now in cities that never had them, you know, and most of the unicorns were built in the Valley in 2012. Most of the big venture companies are built by white guys. but now that you have people all over the world building things, women, African-Americans, indigenous people, Latinos, everyone can build and there's brilliant talent in all of those places and some of these firms are seeing deals that I would never have seen, my networks would never have seen. So that's one important place. Second thing to say is this, when I was in college in 1965, I was about to go to MIT for physics graduate school.

18:39And I was advised by a very wise fellow, Dick Hamming from Bell Labs. And he basically whispered in my ear, computers, the way the graduating says plastics. And I listened to him and I went for computer science. And when people ask me that today, the places I talk about are genomics or bioinformatics or something in that space and longevity. Because we have more and more people living longer, we want to make them live healthier. And the space is monstrous. And the final place there is space. Obviously, SpaceX has done amazing stuff, but there's a huge opportunity to invest in technologies related to space and space exploration and space utilization, not just exploration.

19:28Whether it's asteroid mining, whether it's communication satellite technologies, whether it's going to Mars, I'm not going. I don't expect to anyway, but I don't doubt that we will in fact do that. Hey, we'll continue our interview in a moment after a word from our sponsors.

19:49Are you not as bullish on AI or crypto for venture opportunities? AI, usually, AI is in everything. AI is table stakes. So it's not a question of being AI. It's just that you've got to build a company to doing something. Fundamental foundational AI technology, large language model stuff, that's for the giant players. But using that technology in a vertical area for a company that has a proprietary data source to train on, that we're doing a lot of. And we have three investments in AI for drug discovery, one called Atterwise in the Bay Area, one called InSilico, which is based in Shanghai and London and New York, and another called HiFiBio.

20:31We think they're using AI with huge libraries of data about molecules. They have drugs going into clinical trials and so on. So, yeah, I'm very bullish on AI, but I don't want to invest in the fundamental technologies of AI. I want to invest in the companies using AI higher up in the stack, if you will. So I'm not buying the operating system company. Although in my private portfolio, I certainly continue to accumulate Microsoft stock. I think they're going to be a big win here. But that's one area. And the other area is the longevity space. And in crypto, Josh and I bought our first Bitcoin in 2012 at$90.

21:12dollars. A year later, I don't know what he did, but I sold 10 % of it for 900, so I was in for free. And I still have those Bitcoins. I've watched them go to 65 ,000 and 5 ,000 and 20, whatever it's today, 28 ,000 and so on. I'm a believer in crypto, but it's a long haul. So I've done some recent investments with Sunnigold Ordinals, which puts sort of like NFTs on the Bitcoin blockchain, not using Ethereum. So I'm an investor in Lightning, which is able to speed up the Bitcoin blockchain so that you can actually use it for transaction purposes. But on the venture side, we're not doing a lot of...

21:54We are in B Capital, we're in Falcon X, which is a Vibro Prime broker. We're in some fixing shovels in that space, but we have not been playing the token game. Yeah. That makes sense. You mentioned earlier that when B Capital invited you to join, one of the things they said is you'll learn from the things you would have done differently. Obviously, with First Round and the others, you've had immense success, but there's always things we would have done differently or mistakes we made. What's something that you can share that maybe you would have done a bit differently that might be helpful to emerging managers out there?

22:29No, I get the question. I mean, I think, look, One of the things that worked well was first round was a multi-location fund that tried to operate as a single fund. So we were in video conferencing very early, 2008. We went to every video conferencing system possible and ended up on Zoom by 2015, 14 billion, which was the best of it. At Beach Capital, we operate as a global fund. And so our investment committee meetings are typically 5 p.m. Pacific on Monday, 8 p.m. Eastern, 8 a.m. Singapore and China, which means that everybody who was on the call, all the partners, are probably on at home because at those times of day, they're probably at home.

23:14So COVID is no difference to us. Everybody was still working from home, still on Zoom. And we built a Zoom culture. And I had seen some of the mistakes in building those cultures. And so we had some rules about, you know, you have to have your camera turned on because if your camera's not turned on, you're probably doing something else, at least partially. You know, you'd make everybody speak and rotate and so on. So a lot of things about that kind of culture, I think, were lessons I had learned that we would have taken too long to learn. A lot of lessons about how to make sure that you're getting the unvarnished opinions of the people on your investment teams.

23:55When we started First Found, when we first brought in additional partners to Josh and I, we realized that they were starting to hang back and try to wait to see which way we thought. And we said, we hired you. So we went to a system, which a lot of firms have ended up going to, what Big Capital certainly does, where you have to put a written vote in before this discussion, and you'd have to put your questions in and you'd have to rate. And that way, everybody sees sort of open as to how they really feel about the particular deal. And then you have a lot of discussion about those issues, but you're not able to hide and say, I wonder if Eduardo wants to do this deal.

24:34Maybe I'll wait to see what he says. No, you can't do that. You have to commit early. And I think that's an important lesson that a lot of firms learn late. There are things about portfolio construction I wish we had done differently at first round that we're doing differently at Pete Capital, and also the things that we learned about focusing and having enough ownership in companies. Because the reason that first round two did so well is we had enough ownership in Uber and in Roblox, so that even getting diluted in later rounds, which we did because that fund was too small to continue to keep pro ratas all the way through, we still owned enough at exit so that they were really pretty gigantic.

25:19And I've tried to enforce it be capital at different stage funds, our early stage fund, our opportunity fund, our growth funds that we maintain and focus on ownership. And focus on the other thing here is focus on putting the dollars out for investment sort of weightably over the fund life. If it's a 10 quarter fund for investment period and invest 10 % each quarter. Don't, because 2021 is so exciting, invest 60 % in two quarters in 2021, which some funds did. Some funds invested 100 % in 12 months, one invested 100 % in nine months. The performance of those funds is not very good. You really do need to know that dollar averaging over time in a venture fund is really important to do.

26:08So I think a first round is the best seed firm of all time. I do too. My guess is that things like Y Combinator or Andreessen Horowitz, just because of their sheer AUM, have returned more capital. Maybe not the same multiples. but I guess I'm curious why you didn't start an accelerator to compete with Y Combinator or why you didn't you guys go multi-stage and and sort of collect more more AUM when you guys had the opportunity given your brand is so great we we had we had that the up at first round we had the opportunity but Josh and I both felt that we were doing something really well we saw Andreessen, they built a platform team copying from us and trying to help how you help entrepreneurs grow things.

26:58If you have a smaller fund and you have a big winner, you get carry much faster. So from a personal economics point of view to the partners, we were not in it for management fees. We were in it for carry. We were both big LPs in our funds. And if you're a big LP in the fund, what you want to get to is return and carry, and you don't worry about the management fee. When you get as big as A.H.U.s now and others, where you look at the Giants, the Black Rocks, the New Carol Atlantics, the management fees are much more important to them. And that takes your eye off the ball of trying to find great investments, investments they're going to have.

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27:35So we were not focusing on AUM. In fact, the first fund that they did is over$220 million was their latest fund, which I think is around$500 million. and that's only because entry prices were going up, and they just felt they had to be able to compete a little bit better. But it's never been an AUM gain at first round. And we had the brand, but we didn't have the desire. We were doing quite well, and we figured if we did really well, as we did with Fund 2, obviously, where I was a significant LP, and so was Josh. You're a significant LP in a fund that returns 25, 30, 35, 40X. that's enough to make you happy and enough to have the rest of the people in the firm get good bonuses and so on.

28:22But I will admit, a lot of people went the AUM route. And now at B Capital, because we're doing later stage investing, we do need much more capital. But even there, we don't expect to go for Blackstone's trillion dollars. I mean, we're at six and a half, 7 billion now, maybe we'll be 10 billion. But we have a lot of people. We've always, and this is something that I really credit Josh for. When we started FirstRoute, he was willing to put out money to build a company sort of a year, two year, one or two funds rather, ahead of management fees. And same thing at B Capital with Eduardo, we're able to put out and higher way ahead of what management needs to be.

29:08And that lets us do a much better job for the LPs. But, of course, we're big LPs, so we're doing a better job for ourselves. You know, there is a group of funds that are basically, they don't really worry about the investment performance because their costs are covered. The management fees cover them. If you realize that you really need to have some wins, then you act maybe a little differently. Maybe you take different kind of risk. Yeah. And so when you look at how the asset class has changed, you've been in it for 40 years, there have been times that were better to invest, times that were worse to invest.

29:52Talk about where we are now as it relates to that and what have the fluctuations, what have made the asset class a better opportunity versus not a great opportunity and how do you think about that now? Well, a couple of things. I've been through a number of cycles, probably five or six cycles in the economy and in venture capital. And it was a much smaller industry in the 80s and 90s, obviously, than it is today. There were fewer startups being created. So the opportunity right now, because we hit the recession and because there's less money going out, is tremendous at the early stage. Amazing early stage opportunities.

30:31Early stage does really well in bad times because it takes five to eight years for those companies to mature and they then mature in the good times. So they get paid even more in the good time. In the bubbles, early stage gets crazy valuations. And I remember in 2007, we put out a note to the first round LPs and said, our average entry price has tripled from when we started. We used to go in at 250, and now it's 750. And the exit prices, if you look at the way most companies exit, which suddenly have not tripled. They've gone up 25%. So the simple math says your returns are going to go down by half or a third.

31:15That's because unless you pick exactly the right companies on the averages, things are much worse. So this is a good time to get it, We're getting in at decent prices now. I think funds today are pretty good. What we had was an unusual period of zero interest rates. And when you have zero interest rates, people who want return go for riskier asset classes, which venture capital is traditionally considered. So way too much money came into venture capital. And that too much money was used by people who had very little experience. And they did two stupid things. One was that they bid up the prices to crazy prices.

31:56And we're seeing that happen now with companies having to do new rounds, gigantic down rounds, or huge amounts of structure or whatever. And that's very, very bad. So you see... And the second thing they did was they tried to do the whole thing themselves. They said, we're going to muscle out everyone else. We have so much money to invest, we want to be the only investor. And I remember in 2002 being around a number of board meetings where we were at Idealoud, we were very careful to have multiple investors. So we had other people to call on when times got bad. Now times get bad and you've got one investor and that investors advert and you say, but I need something.

32:38Who else can I go to? Because there's no one else there. There's no other players. So venture capital, if you play it, I think correctly, you do want good partners. over time. You could want people that you're going to co-invest with. So you don't own 30 % of the company. You own 15 and let 10 % go to somebody else and a couple of percent go to some really influential and helpful angels and strategics and so on. And we lost that lesson. Too many players lost that lesson during the bubble. And companies are suffering as a result. And so when you look out at the next five to 10 years, do you expect the landscape to shift back to what it was in the previous decade?

33:18Do you expect a lot of capital to come out? We go back to basics a bit, or are these massive AUM firms here to stay and only going to continue to get bigger and bigger until they compete with BlackRock, Blackstone, etc.? What do you think? Look, I don't think we'll go back to the old days. I don't think that's not the way finance works. Right? I do think we'll have ShakeAb. Look, in 2000 bubble, we went from 1 ,400 venture firms to 800. I think a lot of the solo GP funds that have been created in the last four or five years are not going to be able to raise the next funds. I think the advantage on the fund accumulation side is to the bigger players, as long as they can figure out how to perform.

34:01So I think that's here to stay, that there'll be bigger players. I don't know that we'll get BlackRock or Blackstone sized players. I don't think there's enough investable company creation, certainly not just in the US alone. We're global for that. That's one of the reasons is we think there's a lot of creation outside of the US to absorb that much capital. And we don't want to get into another 2021 where it's bubble. The prices are so high that you can't really make money. You can't make the kind of significant returns. And you always do better at early stage. And early stage, companies don't need that much money.

34:39One of the other things that happened in 21 was companies got too much money, which they didn't need just because it was being forced on them. We had one company, we had put in a term sheet at$450 million pre-money, and they called us back and they said, X giant fund has just offered us$600 million. And we said, no, that's crazy, but okay, maybe we'll match it. And they called us back. Well, they came in at$620 million plus $200 million credit line, so we're taking it. We said, go with God. Then there was a down route, of course. They had way too much money.

35:26That lessee keeps getting learned. But I don't think that we're going to see all these funds go away. I think the big funds have figured out how to operate in this environment. They have scout funds. They have small, they're investing further across the spectrum. Look, you take a great fund, Sequoia, one of the best performing funds ever, and also a terrific fund. And even they have figured out that for them, global, which was a very different kind of global, which was basically having a China operation and an India operation, an Israel operation at one point, that was creating too many conflicts.

36:02Because the India team would want to invest in a company and the US team would say, oh no, we've got one like that here in the States. So for them, it didn't make sense. Whereas what we do at B Capital is we look for companies that can globalize. We look for an India company we can take to the US or US company we can bring to India and elsewhere. And so operating a little differently in that mode. And I do think that the global space is a place where there's huge and continuing huge opportunity because it's been underserved by venture capital. Some people say that the way that YC has continued its sort of reign is global actually, because they had an arbitrage originally around technical founders and helping them get or young technical founders, helping them get connected.

36:45But then it became much easier to get a network to learn. And now the opportunity has been getting global founders connected. You mentioned why you guys didn't go the route of multi-stage, but say more about the accelerator. I mean, after all, YC is the first round as well, meaning they invest first and first round invests early, but they just do higher volume and via this sort of three-month cohort model. Why didn't you guys consider doing something similar? How do you think about that? We were obviously looking at and investing in YC companies from the very beginning. At the beginning, they really were a strong positive signal about an entrepreneur.

37:30They were tiny cohorts with some great companies in them. And even there, you make mistakes, right? I mean, Josh and I each asked our wives whether they would be willing or interested in us making another couple hundred dollars a night by putting somebody on our couch. And they said, NFW, we're not going to let anyone in our house. And so we had to tell Brian and Nate that we weren't going to do Airbnb. binge. But I had done, obviously, with Idealab, one of the first intubators. And so I understood what it took to help companies. And YC's approach was a good approach that worked at that time in Silicon Valley pretty well.

38:12We were innovating in different ways at First Round. We were innovating with our First Round networks and we did a lot of training of people. So First Round ran a number of courses to train angels, train people in angel investing so that those angels would get us to deal with low. We do train entrepreneurs. First Round, I was saying we guys still feel very close, but First Round does train entrepreneurs. They ran a number of classes for female entrepreneurs over the last eight or nine years and have developed a lot of things that would get them some of the benefits of what YC gets without building an accelerator and all that that entails.

38:52Now, YC then went from small classes to hundreds to thousands, and we think the colony has suffered somewhat. We've done YC deals in Indonesia, in India, the places we see them. It's not nearly as strong a signal as it used to be because there are other accelerators. There are other sources of seed capital for people. But we didn't do it because we were doing other things and we didn't feel we needed to do it. And we could get access to the best YC companies because the first round brand and the first round support was there. And so, yeah, we missed this pre-seed. And remember, we went into it, it was seed stage and then seed A, B.

39:35And you got pre-seed and you've got pre-pre-seed, you know, that people going in. And we, at first round, stuck to pretty much where it was supposed to be, which was seed, or like, they've gotten to a little more A's nowadays. That makes sense. Is the insight of multi-stage firms, or the reason why, you know, firms like Thrive, which start out small, have gone multi-stage, basically this idea that there's kind of a new set of LPs that needs to plow a ton of capital and isn't as multiples, sensitive as there were previously? Or talk a little bit about that. There are, yeah, there's a couple of kinds of LPs.

40:14There are LPs for whom, you know, who are IRR focused, right? And IRR implies, assumes that you can reinvest money at the same rate, but they're focused on IRR. So if you invest late, but you get a 2X multiple in a year, that's an amazing IRR. You get a 2X multiple, in two years, it's a 40 % IRR. So the multi-stage fund do have LPs who are looking for 20%, 20 % to 30 % IRR, which you can get if you're investing late enough so that your exits are likely to come in two to three years. And then at your MOIC, your multiple invested capital, two to three is fine for those kinds of funds. At first round and in our early stage fund at the capital, I'm hoping that we get closer in the four to six range and occasional outliers like first round two, which is obviously maybe once in a lifetime.

41:12But you can get that kind of multiple, but most of the big capital, the big pension funds, the giant endowments, they're perfectly content getting a 3X over five years. And if you have large amounts of capital to deploy, that's kind of what they have to do because you can't deploy that much capital at the super early stage. It's just not feasible. And when you think about you as an LP, given your family office, how do you think about what you're optimizing for and what you care most about as you think about your allocation? So most of what I've done is very early stage. As I say, 30 of the funds are focused on doing some good.

41:56So I'm hoping those funds return 2X or 3X. I'm not really worried about the timeframe, but I'm bringing more people into the business and getting deal flow that I would not have otherwise seen that can then be leveraged in the later stage at B Capital. That's one piece of it. The other is I'm able to invest in areas that we don't do at B Capital, people doing hardware, people doing space technology, which we haven't been doing yet, things of that sort. And that's That's what I get is to learn about those things. And then a lot of stuff that I do in that fund is I see quant players. I see crypto quants.

42:33They're doing trading. And that has allowed me to work in the crypto area without being impacted in terms of what P.Galbo would do. And so imagine if you were in your 30s again in 2024 starting a new venture firm. Or if you were with Josh again, where you were 20 years ago, but it was 2024, and it wasn't like there was a dearth of seed funds. First round has spawned tons of fellow seed funds. How would you think about your approach if you were starting over and starting Merging Fund today, where you didn't have maybe tons of experience? would you do one of the verticals that you mentioned earlier with space or bioinformatics?

43:22Or is there another, would you go earlier? No, two things I would do. One is vertical and the other is global. So I would do it in a vertical. For example, there's a huge amount of space technology now coming out of India. The Indian government has landed on the moon. They've caught the technology. There's obviously always great technologies coming out of Israel in various, not just in the security area, but in the biotech area. A lot of medical device stuff coming out there. I've been doing a lot of investing in brain-computer interface technologies. That's an area that there's only one other focused fund I know that's focused on those kind of things.

44:02I've got a couple of investments, one in B Capital, that I'm very, very excited about pursuing neuroscience. To be fair, every venture capitalist I know makes exceptions. So whatever their focus is, if they see a real great opportunity, they're going to figure out a way to squeeze it in and chew on it. Totally. I think there's a lot of people listening to this podcast who are investors and some of them may be kind of in between things and wondering, hey, is now even a good time to be in the asset class? And I think what I'm hearing from you is, hey, it might be harder to raise money, but if you're doing seed, it's still a good time to make money.

44:40So if you're passionate about it, you're not born in the wrong time. as an investor, so to speak. You heard me exactly right, which is it's really tough to raise money right now. So if you're starting a new fund and you don't have a big track record, it's going to be really tough, but it is really a great time to be investing money. And so what I advise people in that case is figure out how to do a couple of angel investments that will show the people you want to raise money from what your investment taste is. and then you go out and try to race on that as a mini track record, if you will. And what about studios or incubators, right?

45:22You had that experience, of course, with Idealab and those Bill Gross' ideas. What are your thoughts on that space in general? Do you expect it to advance a lot? Do you find it challenged? How do you think about it? I haven't seen it change much. I mean, I've been helping out the guys at the ERA in New York. They're in their 26th cohort. We've done a couple of investments over the years in companies that come out of there. Techstar is obviously still going strong all over the place. YHC, with its various expansions, although they pulled back their continuity fund, so they've made changes as their leadership has changed over the years.

46:02I think there's so much happening at the university level, at the university campuses, where students can get things started. I don't think we need more accelerators or more incubators. I think we have probably too many right now because it means that people who otherwise wouldn't get funded can hang on for one or two years bouncing between different incubators for an idea that really doesn't make it. So I'm relatively skeptical, I would say, on how many. I don't think we need more for sure. We probably need somewhat fewer. When you think about the, just as a sort of capital allocator, allocating to venture versus other asset classes, in terms of the macro, how do you think about that in terms of what should be your allocation to venture and whether you should dial that up or dial that down?

46:56I know that some of your efforts is focused on it being philanthropic, but let's say you were solely focused on financial maximization. How do you think about the trade-offs between venture and other asset classes, investing in them as it relates to the macro? Well, first of all, it depends on your time horizon, right? I'm 77. Venture funds pay out in 13 years. I'll be 90. Will I see those results? I don't know. My kids will, my grandkids will. So one of the things you have to think about in any investment is the time horizon for that investment. And I think that you have to have a ladder of investments with different time horizons.

47:39So I have public stock investments and bond investments. I have very actively traded quant funds that are very liquid, basically monthly liquidity, some of them daily liquidity if you really want it. And I think at least half of my portfolio needs to be in relatively liquid stuff just to be able to meet the capital calls from the illiquid stuff. Now, in 2023, I had$20 of capital call for every dollar distribution in the venture fund, right? Normally, it's three to one, four to one, two to one. It's a very illiquid environment right now, and you have to be able to meet that. So to do that, if you're sort of looking at your overall capital allocation, you've got to make sure you have enough liquidity.

48:22You outlive too. You got to have money coming in to live on, but enough liquidity to meet capital calls, to meet short-term problems that can arise, whether it's medical expenses or whoever. So you shouldn't go too overboard with an asset class like venture. I'm on the investment committees at Cornell University and New York Public Library. And we have allocations to venture in this sort of adventure and fiber equity in the 10 to 25 % range. And that I think is about right. And I think some individuals could go a little higher, but I wouldn't go above 30 % because it just takes too long to pay out.

48:58You mentioned you're a 77. What inspires you to keep going, to keep starting new venture firms, to keep investing, to keep working so much? I'm a lifelong learner. I mean, I like meeting new people. You stay young. You know, when I was a professor at the university, I used to joke that I stayed roughly 21 because I had to know the music. I had to know the pop culture from the 19 to 21-year-olds around me. When you get into venture, you turn 27 or 28 because the people are a little bit older and it's a little different cultures and so on. When you're in the venture capital firms, you maybe get into your 30s because the partners continue to get older as things happen.

49:40So that's fine. I mean, 30s or 50s, I just don't want to get to my 60s in that sense. I want to stay as young as I can by being around people who are younger, who are excited about what they're doing. And venture capital, my idol is Alan Patrikov right now, Blue J9, still doing venture with my top partners. Pierre Lamond, who's 94, 95 with Eclipse, still coming in a couple of days a week working at Eclipse. This is a field where if you love what you're doing, you can keep doing it for a long time. You have to stay healthy, hence longevity. Let's say we're having a conversation a decade from now, which I hope to be talking about venture.

50:20You've been in it for 40 years. Do you expect the asset class to be kind of similar and maybe there's some new names, but it's not like software fundamentally changes or AI fundamentally changes or how venture is done. But people say venture hasn't changed that much in 30 years. Do you expect that to continue to be the case? I do think AI will change venture. I think it will change a lot of the analysis that we do on companies. It will help us with that. It will help us with sourcing. You know, we've always, the great venture capitalists have always been great intelligence operatives. I remember we used to, at one point, we monitored Bill Gurley's Twitter feed to see who had just followed him, what new people following Bill and what new people Bill followed, to try to see if they're entrepreneurs who had met with him that day that we could then say, oh, wait a second, they must be starting a company.

51:08You should talk to them, right? With AI now, you can pick up a huge number of signals as to who's starting companies to try to get at people early enough in their funding. And that's going to make a difference. I think it'll make a difference in later stage venture in doing the analyses of companies and so on. But will it fundamentally change? And it's not going to be machine-based investing venture. It's still going to have people in it who will be part-managed tremendously by Gen AI. At least Gen AI will write very nice past letters because the key job in Venture Chapel is I told my daughter, I said, what do you do?

51:45I said, well, I talk to people about their companies. 99 % of the time I say no. But you have to say no politely and maybe helpfully so they'll come back to you with their next idea, which might be the right one. Lastly, it feels like you have a knack for picking the right partners over four institutions, both Rentech, Idealab, First Round, B Capital. you've worked with exceptional people kind of as they were developing or sort of in their prime or entering their prime. What is your superpower there around why you've been able to consistently pick amazing people at the right time to work with them?

52:22Well, that's interesting because I always have said if I were to write an autobiography, it would be pick great partners. My wife of 56 years is my first one of those. My superpower in that is a sign that was on Harry Truman's desk, which said, basically, you can accomplish anything if you don't care who gets the credit or the blank. And as long as you don't need to take the credit for everything you do, but you're willing to have partners, you're willing to let them take the credit, even though you know you influenced them or nudged them in the right direction, you can accomplish a lot. and they do the hard work and you just push them in the right direction.

53:01So I think it's been a little bit of humility in some sense. It's allowed me to find great people, work with them and they know that I'm not going to try to steal their limelight. I want to help them shine in fact and I'll just take the money to the bank. Yeah, that's a great note to close on. You can do a ton if you don't care who gets the credit or the blame. Howard, thank you so much for coming to the podcast and sharing your hard-earned wisdom with us. Thank you, Eric. It's been very enjoyable. Take care. Turpentine VC is a podcast from Turpentine, the network behind Moment of Zen and Econ 102.

53:36If you liked the episode, please leave a review in the Apple Store or rate us on Spotify.

From the publisher

Today we're joined by Howard Morgan to dive into his illustrious career in venture. He discusses the firms he helped start, Renaissance Technologies, Idealab, First Round Capital, and now at B Capital. Morgan also highlights the importance of global investing and the challenges it presents. They also discuss frontier areas including genomics, bioinformatics, longevity, and space technology. Morgan reflects on lessons learned and mistakes made throughout his career and offers advice for emerging managers. If you’re looking for an ERP platform, check out our sponsor, NetSuite: http://netsuite.com/turpentine

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Check out Erik's new show Request for Startups featuring a rotating cast of founders and investors (including Dan) sharing their requests for startups they want to exist in the world, and also their stories of navigating the idea maze in different sectors so founders don’t have to reinvent the wheel anymore. The first episode is out now - we over better dating apps, references as a service, and WeWork for productivity


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We're hiring across the board at Turpentine and for Erik's personal team on other projects he's incubating. He's hiring a Chief of Staff, EA, Head of Special Projects, Investment Associate, and more. For a list of JDs, check out: eriktorenberg.com.

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X / TWITTER:

@HLMorgan (Howard)

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TIMESTAMPS:

(00:00) Intro

(00:50) How Howard started his venture capital and investing career

(13:45) On building a global firm

(17:16) Angles of building a venture firm that Howard is excited about

(19:43) Sponsor - Turpentine

(20:46) AI is in everything

(22:57) What Howard would have done differently

(27:02) On not going multistage route

(30:35) Asset class: Is now a good time to invest or not?

(34:05) Venture capital in the next 5-10 years

(37:26) On not going accelerator route

(40:43) Starting small then going multistage

(43:38) Howard's approach if he were to start over an emerging fund - would he go for the same verticals or no?

(45:14) It's really tough to raise money right now

(46:12) Howard's thoughts on accelerators and incubators

(47:32) Trade offs between venture as it relates to the macro

(49:55) What inspires Howard to keep investing and working?

(51:08) Will venture change much in the next 30-40 years?

(52:52) On picking the right partners - what's Howard's superpower there?

(54:10) Wrap

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E16: Lessons From Co-Founding First Round, Idea Lab, and B Capital with Howard Morgan"Turpentine VC" | Venture Capital and Investing · 54 min
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