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Podcast Notes: Uncapped #7 | Garry Tan from Y Combinator
Episode Overview In this episode of *Uncapped*, Jack Altman interviews Garry Tan, President & CEO of Y Combinator (YC). Garry discusses his experience and insights regarding startup funding, the evolving landscape due to AI, and the significant role of YC in supporting early-stage companies.
Key Guests
- Garry Tan: President & CEO of Y Combinator, designer, engineer, and investor in early-stage startups.
Episode Highlights
- Running YC Like a Founder
- Garry emphasizes the importance of operating YC with a founder's mentality, including:
- Implementing zero-based accounting for decision-making.
- Focusing on maintaining a core mission while pruning unnecessary elements.
- Advice for Founders
- Growth Mindset: He stresses the necessity for founders to focus on growth and prosperity.
- Picking Winners: The importance of selecting the right startups and founders to invest in.
- Listening: He highlights that great founders are often exceptional listeners who can extract needs from customers.
- The Impact of AI
- Garry talks about the transformative impact of AI, including:
- New potential for efficiency in various industries (e.g., healthcare, legal).
- Challenges regarding increased competition in the startup landscape.
- Rule Changes: How AI alters traditional business models and operational strategies.
- YC's Approach to Hard Tech
- Garry mentions that YC is evolving to become "the YC of hard tech," indicating a growing focus on hardware and deep technology ventures.
- He describes the fundraising success of hard tech companies at YC, which often exceed typical funding amounts due to their innovative potential.
- Community and Political Engagement
- Garry discusses his involvement in local politics and community initiatives aimed at improving the environment and governance in San Francisco.
- He reflects on the challenges facing the city and his commitment to public service as an extension of his work with YC.
Detailed Discussions
Founder Mentality
- Zero-Based Accounting: Garry explains how starting with a clean slate allows for strategic decision-making without the burden of existing biases or legacy issues.
- Culture: The foundational role of culture in building a successful organization is a recurrent theme in Garry's approach.
Archetypes of Founders
- Garry identifies specific characteristics that successful founders share:
- Ability to listen and derive insights from customer interactions.
- A systems-thinking approach to understanding market dynamics.
Lean vs. Fat Startups
- Garry discusses the dichotomy between lean startups (minimizing initial costs and team size) and fat startups (building larger teams and capitalizing on substantial funding).
- He posits that both approaches can be valid depending on the context and the resources available to the founders.
Community Engagement
- Garry shares his motivation for being active in local governance, emphasizing the need for effective leadership and a commitment to positive change in urban environments.
- He points out the role of media and public perception in shaping political narratives and the importance of advocating for pragmatic policies.
Key Takeaways
- Founders Should Focus on Listening: The ability to engage with customers and understand their needs is crucial.
- AI is Reshaping Industries: Startups must adapt to the new dynamics introduced by AI technologies.
- YC's Evolving Role: YC aims to support not only software startups but also hard tech ventures, recognizing the growing importance of innovative hardware solutions.
- Engagement in Politics: Garry's involvement in public service reflects a broader commitment to community and societal improvement.
Conclusion In this episode, Garry Tan provides a wealth of insights into the startup ecosystem, emphasizing the importance of founder mentality, adaptability to new technologies, and active engagement in community and political issues to foster a thriving entrepreneurial environment.
For more information and links to the episode, visit [Uncapped Pod](https://linktr.ee/uncappedpod).
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00And if you can get Keith Roboi to invest in your startup, you should do a FET startup. Yeah, exactly. You know, and a few other of our friends, obviously, like if a lot will do it, like if a lot, you know, there, we sort of know all the people who can and will do it. And like if they want you to do a FET startup, you should do a FET startup with them. All right, Gary, thank you so much for doing this. It's great to be here. I appreciate you making time for it. Jack, thanks a lot for having me. Yeah, I know you're super busy, and I'm really excited to have this conversation. You're now, I think, two years in the running, my C, that's about right.
0:28And you've really been running it like a founder from my perspective. And I kind of want to start by getting inside your own mentality. And what's the headspace that lets you do that? Because you've made a lot of changes that I think have been really good, that have broadly been received is really good. But that were not easy to do. I think you've done a lot of stuff that has required the confidence of a founder and you've acted like that. So can you talk a little bit about what headspace you came into when you started running YC? Definitely. I mean, the great thing about YC is that we need to go zero based accounting.
0:59So literally if we were starting YC from scratch again, all the things that we would add, we would add in that moment, like we're keeping those things. And that's like a very freeing thing to actually have the people who support you and like are your board. For them to say that is just, you just have not totally carte blanche, but you have like as close to it as you could while not being like directly the owner of the thing. When you had that conversation and you're thinking zero based accounting for YC, like what is order of business number one? Like what must be true? First order of business for YC to thrive and do what you want it to be.
1:40I mean, I guess from an abstract standpoint, because there are lots of specifics that I want to get into. But from the most abstract standpoint, I view YC as this tree of prosperity. And then like it or not, every organization in the world, no matter how dominant could use a little bit of pruning. Like this is a garden and in order for, if you have fruit trees in your backyard, you know that in order to actually have a good bloom, you know, sort of a good crop coming out of your fruit trees, you've got to do all this pruning months or sometimes in the years in advance of that. Totally. And so, and all of that is basically really, really hard.
2:25It's really hard to say no to things and to people. And I think basically culture is everything. And when you really get into the weeds on that, it's like, well, who do you fire? And who do you hire? And who do you promote? And these are things that as a young founder, people tell you this. And then, you ran, I mean, you created, one of the defining SaaS companies in HR software. So, you know, you probably like totally immersed yourself in that and like spend a lot of time trying to help people figure this out. Totally. How do you add, what is culture? And how do you actually implement that into strategy?
3:04And, you know, how do you walk like sort of without a net? You're like, I'm just gonna do this thing. And, you know, it might be a total disaster or it might be the best thing we did. Yeah, I mean, one of the things is I'm looking back, I guess YC's been around for 20 years. And, you know, when Paul and Jessica and, you know, the early group started, it was this very small, very pure core focus on just funding early stage startups in this model that we all know is YC. And then looking back through like the 2010s, there was all this like expansionary stuff that happened. Totally. And I guess looking back, a lot of that was a big part of what, you know, has helped YC maybe blossom into what it is.
3:44But then, you know, there became this moment then kind of like you're saying of recentering to the core. And it's now much bigger and more impactful than it ever was in the past. As you're thinking about that sort of evolution and that breathing, could you imagine a moment where you go back to some of those expansionary bets over time, you know, and fixing that? Yeah, when there's another pruning cycle that happens? I don't know, that's life, right? Like you try a bunch of stuff, some things work, sometimes things go kind of awry. I will really, you know, it's actually not a surprise to me at all that like subsequent to me coming back and seeing, you know, what Brian told me, which is, you know, zero -based accounting.
4:23Like he came to our board meetings with founder mode energy before we even knew that it was called founder mode energy because he had gone through that moment in Airbnb's time where a lot of young founders go through that. I mean, pretty much all of them, actually, you know, if you're so lucky to get product market fit, then you surround yourself with some of the smartest people in the investing world and they go on your board and then they say, hey, you need to hire the person who was the expert at this other company to do this and they come with this role of decks in this way of doing things.
4:54And then sooner or later, you know, a few years into it, you look down and you realize like, well, is this my company or is it my board's company or is it the shareholders company? Like what is it? And, you know, Brian's experience was that he, you know, not everyone gets that moment. Like COVID was that moment for him to sort of reclaim and sort of reset the culture of Airbnb. And I think we're just sort of coming right off of that. And so he immediately sort of infused that into me and YC. So we're deeply thankful for that. Yeah, yeah. Yeah. But, you know, I mean, never say never. And I guess the weirdest thing that I hope for YC is that if we do it right, we can sort of regrow the tree of prosperity in a way that like, it doesn't have to be pruned quite so much.
5:46Right. Like, yeah, it's much better to prune as you go to shape it into the tree that you want instead of let it grow completely wild and then have to cut back. Yeah. And then it's already, you know, they're like entire branches that are grown in a way that, you know, might not be ideal, might not fruit. Yeah. I mean, one of the other amazing things, though, as I'm looking back, it's, you know, the early batches of YC were eight companies, 12 companies, 15 companies, twice a year. Now you have, you know, 150 or so four times a year. So, you know, the double company is still amazing. So, you know, like clearly the whole market has not been captured.
6:23So maybe that brings me to another question in mind, is as you think about growing YC, do you think about capturing more of sort of the market, making, maybe that's the wrong sort of language, but making YC a product that even more founders want to have, like, is that one of the drivers, as you think about what's next? Oh, definitely. I mean, I think both, right? Like, there's sort of the zero sum and there's also the abundance mindset, right? And the fun thing about it is like, actually, both are at play, right? There is a zero sum aspect of this. And then there are going to be people from central casting who are, you know, super cracked and have the right resume and they were like sort of shot out of a cannon.
7:08And, you know, I think that YC actually makes sense for those people and, you know, we're gonna get some of that. And, you know, on that side, we're, you know, competing with some of the top VCE names in the world. The top seed investors, like, you know, and that's okay. I don't know, it's not the end of the world. Like, you know, Jack, when you get a great super cracked founder, I'm just like, you should all get a VCE, yeah, exactly. Which would be great. Yeah, I mean, so there's that. And then the really fun part, the part that I think is the most generative sort of the thing that I think, if you talk to the YC partners, like, we're very excited about is that, you know, we're gonna do that, but also like, you know, we want to create prosperity where, you know, in the past there wasn't.
7:52And that's like sort of classically, that's what PG did. He said, very technical founders. Like, this is sort of the mispriced asset. Like, you know, lots of, there are lots of things that are mispriced, but highly technical the young founders are sort of the most mispriced. Yes. But when you think like that, in terms of maybe founder archetypes or parts of the market that you're like, okay, we know YC, YC has always been for this young founder. It's always been for outsider founders breaking in. There've been like a, I could name a set of archetypes that it's for. Do you think about any archetype founders that you think YC, you want to grow, you know, you're sort of footprint with?
8:31Like, do you think in those terms or do you just think about better product growing brand? Will you better or do you think, okay, how do we improve our product for second time founders? You know, like, it was great that Parker Rippling came through YC again, but how do you think, do you ever think, well, let's make sure we always get that to happen? Or what's inside the mind? Did you think about expanding the aperture of who YC appeals to? Man, I mean, I think it's a hard question. I mean, the hardest question is like, what do you focus on? And if you focus on all of them, like, are you, you know, really focusing on any of them?
9:02Actually, I think it's pretty clear that we're really focused on technical founders, but one of the things we need to work a lot harder to dispel is like, there's this concept now that, oh, it's for people who worked at certain companies or went to Harvard or Stanford or MIT. And it's like, some of it is like, yes, it's like for them, but it's also for people who went to Cornell, went to UIC, went to like, you know, I don't know. I, the weirdest thing, I mean, in the political landscape today is realizing, and you can open up your X -Feed and see it every single day. Like there are people who are absolutely brilliant, 150 IQ great engineers who get rejected from 15 school straight.
9:43And yeah, that's not fair. I actually spent time talking to the guy who went viral with that tweet. Oh, yeah. Today. Yeah, yeah. And I got to hang out with him last week. Oh, yeah. And he's like this brilliant guy who's like super hardworking and it just like tells you that they're not hitting all of it. And actually, to my mind, YC actually is really valuable to people who don't already have the brand in the network built in because you come in, you just like get, like, you know, shot out of a rocket in the totally. You know, just like in ballet culture. So it's definitely good for that. Yeah.
10:10But I think, I mean, universities have this problem and universities themselves sort of treat it in a similar way. I mean, maybe that's what has been broken, right? Like, historical, like I got to go to Stanford and Stanford was an awesome place to go. But, you know, I maybe, you know, child of immigrants, like not, you know, to come from a poor family, like we didn't necessarily belong. But like the reason why Stanford was awesome was you had all the people who were going to be successful in one place. And then that, you know, by sort of transference or by me being in that place, like, being a fraternity brother with Joe Lonsdale and Stefan Cohen, like brought me in touch with Peter Teal.
10:51And it's like, okay, there is something to be said for having places that have both diversity and merit in one place. Right? Like, yeah. And that's, you know, where society's having the worst debate ever about this right now. Somehow it's like, pick one or the other. Totally. I don't know. I, the ideal is like, you know, you have both in the same place. And so that's embedded in your questions. Like, where should YC go? It's like, we want to go where really great builders are. And they are like not a monolith. Like some of them do go to the top school. Some of them do study computer science. Some of them don't.
11:32And then if we're that community and we can select well, then we will actually help make a lot more of them successful. And then that will be get, you know, more people of all sorts. Like, I think the key idea that Paul, I don't think this is what he set out to do per se, but like intuitively, this is what he figured out. The world needs shelling points for, um, for just telling to the builders, for talented people. Totally. And then their capital exists, their customers exist. Yeah. They're like knowledge and support. And, you know, the best friends of your life, yeah, can you come together? I just had a lot go on the podcast the other day.
12:12And this is one of the things he was talking about is that early in your career, you will meet hopefully you're going to meet a lot of people who over the next 20 years will do really impressive things and finding those cohorts early on. It's like one of the best things about working in a company. And that's like, you know, for me, a bunch of my founder friends are YC founders. And it's like not random. Um, that that's kind of how you end up going through it. And so some of it's just bringing those networks together. This maybe I actually want to come back to the politics thing in a bit. Because I'm super interested on that.
12:40But the one last point here that I wanted to get to was, um, somebody recently made the point that, um, YC's, um, correct decision rate is very good. And obviously there have been companies that have applied, not gotten in, that have gone on to do well. I can't remember the examples. I'm sure there's like a handful and that's great. But compared to, um, catch them all, but compared to a, like a regular, compared to even like a, I would guess compared to even like us, the Koya or like a really good investor. It seems like a, like a hilariously good pick rate. And I was wondering, um, do you think that that is something to do with, um, the process you have of selection?
13:19Or do you think that's something to do with what YC does to companies after they've gotten in? Like do you have any explanation in your mind for why the pick rate seems as good as it is? I think it's not more complicated than game -recognized game, right? I think that, um, if we have partners here who are great builders themselves, you just end up getting way more reps than anyone else, right? Like think about being, uh, you know, a lot of, we both probably run across a lot of 22 -year -olds who are like desperate to become associates at VC and it's like, bro, don't do that. Please just like that idea generally speaking.
13:52Just like go start a company, like great founders want to be around other people who have actually been there. It's like that Jay -Z line. Everybody want to tell you how to do it. They never did it. And so it's just so obvious. Like don't, you know, rather than seek the trappings of this or like play the, you know, ego status money game, it's like go create things of great value. And then that that's really just all what I want YC to be. It's like someone's gonna, who has built stuff, will sit down with you and you'll have like personal one -on -one experience with them. And they're not going to say like necessarily things that you want.
14:26Like they're not going to like validate your bad decisions. They're going to say like this is what I think you should do. But it's like a soft advisor thing, right? Yeah. What is the nature of that relation that made when you think about the YC partner, YC founder relationship. And I think back on mine, I was very lucky. I had Dalton called well and Aaron Harris both were great. And I experienced them as like pretty direct, pretty honest. Like it wasn't like kid gloves or anything like. Like in a positive way is that like the, like when you think about as a partnership talking about how you're showing up with the founders during the batch, are you like, you know, we're going to be it.
15:01What are the words you use when you think about, you know, talking to your team that have her own should show up? I mean, we should sort of be like benevolent like Bodhisattvas in a way. It's like, okay, here you're on this path. And like the hard part is like, you know, Bodhisattva is probably overstating it. Because it's like, we don't know the path. Like we just know how not to die. Actually, that's the part that we can really help with. Whereas, you know, and I think that makes a really big difference. Like, you know, losing your co -founder over dumb arguments, you know, picking the wrong investor, like messing things up in terms of your first hires, like having, you know, picking too many different things to focus on and not focusing on anyone.
15:43Like there's like a billion ways to die. Yeah. And if, you know, as investors, the best thing we can do is say like, oh, yeah, we saw like 50 people die that way. In fact, you want to talk to one of them. Yep. But one of the things I loved is I feel like why is he just drilled the fundamentals? It was like, don't get distracted. Just build product. Just talk to customers. Don't die. Don't break up with your co -founder. Don't run out of money. It was like very simple, but it was constant. Yeah. And it's hard to do because, you know, what happens is it's like that meme. You know, no one who's ever tried to do it has, you know, made it.
16:14But it might work for us. Yeah. It's like that, that whole meme is basically the thing that first time founders in particular really get hung up on, right? Well, it's hard because they're so maybe I'll channel a couple of the schools of thought that maybe are not exactly counter, but are different to why C &M. I'd actually love to hear what you think about some of these. But one of them would be on this point would be like great companies are very unconventional. And, you know, they look different. And when special things happen, they start in special ways. And you can't follow the rules and blah, blah, blah.
16:45That's just people who haven't seen that thing. So yeah. So you, but you probably have a lot of founders who heard that somewhere. Right. And then they come into their partner meeting and they're saying something like that. So what's the, what is the way that that common back and forth gets navigated? Would you say? I mean, some of it is like it's not our, we're not the boss. And so, you know, there's this famous quote, even from PG, I think he was advising Jason Tan from Siff Science. It's in that book by Randall Stross about YC as one of the batches I worked. And he said, you know what, you guys do whatever you want.
17:19You're the reason why we fund 100 companies. Like if you want to drive off the cliff, go right ahead. Uh, which is like this hilarious quote in that like they didn't. It's like they ended up making a unicorn company. I don't even remember what the specific thing was. But some of the point was like, we're not the boss. Like we're here to just tell you what we think and try to be benevolent and help you. And, you know, that's, that's what the soft advisor thing means, I think. And at least my experience working with a great many companies. Like if I come in and just say like, do this, do that. Like that was the whole reason why I started a company to not have people come and order me around and tell me, you know, what to do.
18:01So, uh, you know, I don't think founders who are truly great even respond to that. So I don't know. I guess that's how I square the circles. The people who just come in, I mean, we would see this all the time. Like I remember even during my YC batch in 2008, we were some of the people who PG would either give you like the best advice in the world or sometimes like really, really bad advice. Uh, and then if you talk to any alum, all, you know, all the alums like sort of have some story usually around naming. Or it's like, oh, we're not going to do that. But like this other advice, absolutely brilliant.
18:35What I realized was like most people in startup land you run across, they will give you like very median advice. Like it's not going to change your trajectory very much because it's like, you know, I read that on the internet. There are five podcasts that already say that. So, you know, did you need to have the conversation? Like probably not. What's really valuable is to have people around who have seen enough and are intuitive enough about like ideas and technology and teams that they can give you even spiky advice or sometimes like the worst advice. But good founders are like, oh, that's bad advice.
19:08I'm just not going to do that. And I actually remember YC there was also a meta narrative was don't take anybody's advice, like carte blanche, including ours. And I'd rather get that. And then a lot of advice that contained extremes rather than just a bunch of nothing. Yeah. Another one that I'm curious is the sort of lean startup versus fat startup sort of dichotomy. I don't know if this is exactly a fair characterization, especially as YC has gone into more hard tech companies. But they're, they're, you know, there would there could be a characterization that there's the lean, iterate sort of like raises little capitals possible.
19:40Keep your team as small as possible. And like fine product market fit through your customers. And roughly speaking, that's why I see. And then over on the far end of the spectrum, you have the fat startup where it's like you plan the whole movie, you hire up the whole team and you like come, you, you push something into the world. Totally. How do you think about that dichotomy? Is that an accurate representation? Do you disagree? Do you think it is based on some startups should be one? Some startups should be one. I mean, if you can get Keith Reboy to invest in your startup, you should do a fat startup.
20:05Yeah, exactly. You know, and a few other of our friends, obviously, like if a lot will do it, like if a lot, you know, we sort of know all the people who can and will do it. And like if they want you to do a fat startup, you should do a fat startup with them because they're, you know, I mean, I think that's like network and investor dependent. Like if you have access directly to Vinod. Yeah. Yeah, you should do a fat startup. Like if he wants you to do one, like you've been blessed. And then for the great many, you know, millions or billions of the rest of us on the planet, like not totally clear.
20:37Like you can believe that you will. And maybe you could do it. But how would you even get to the point where you could be a fat startup? Well, you got to do it, lean. Yes. I love that. Couple more because I've got a couple more on founders and startups. These are good questions. Because you probably at the moment, you know, you go in and out, but you're right, you know, the last couple years, you're probably seeing as many companies as possible. You know, and so I want to hear your current view of if you had to name the couple archetypes of a special founder. And the couple things where, you know, you, you have most frequently recently been like that is, you know, a source of greatness for a founder.
21:18What are the things on your mind right now that you think create those archetypes? If you had to boil it down to a couple. I mean, the founders that I've been able, I've been lucky to run across, especially the last couple years, they can just sit down with people who have a particular need. And it's like, they're just like yanking out like the requirements right out of the customers. And then the interesting thing about like being able to do that in the first few meetings is that after a while, when you're coming back with product and, you know, you're in market with them or you're like deployed with their customers with real customers, like, you know, basically that yanking turns into like, they're pushing.
21:59And that's product market fit. So yeah, I think of that as like commerciality. Like there's some people who just know this is where the problem is and I can just find it somehow. So yeah, I mean, it's kind of counterintuitive in that I think a lot of people think of founders as like forceful, but like this is actually a very like sort of opposite of forceful. It's like, it's like, it's like, it's like, how a great seller is like the best listener of all time. It's like that kind of totally. I think that's exactly how that works. Yeah. And then so it's it's odd because like the cargo cult around great founders is like, oh, let me listen less.
22:33Yeah. And it's like, oh, no, no, no, actually, you have to listen 10 times more than the other people who don't listen. How do you know that when you see it so early? Because I think this is one of the things that I think a lot of people struggle with. I certainly struggle with it is it's hard to see it like because you're, you know, you're see you're trying to call that about a founder before you've seen them do it. Yeah. So how do you do that? I mean, sometimes you just hear there other stories. And, you know, spiky people are just spiky in all sorts of weird ways. Like Serena, gay from Data Curve is like one of my favorite recent founders from the last year.
23:09You know, they dropped out of Waterloo at I think age 19 or 20. And then she had already built like one of the number one rock climbing apps in the app store. But at like 16 or something. So you're like, oh, yeah. These people have varied like they're like, and you know, sort of a mile, like they're an inch wide and like a mile deep on very specific things. Like unusual people do unusual stuff. Oh, yeah, starting early. Yeah, yeah. I like that's one of the YC app questions. Isn't it like something that you've done? That's like a core question I feel. Yeah. Well, the big one is, you know, what are some human non like some hacks?
23:44You know, there's sort of the strain of like our people a little bit naughty. Yeah. Yeah. Which is interesting. Yes. And it's kind of related, I think, maybe, but a little different. Yeah. What else? If that's, I agree with that bucket completely. Obviously, is there any other thread that's equivalent to that that you're looking for? They're trying to smell out in somebody. I mean, the world is like really, really full of systems. So, you know, it might just be like the same side of like that other coin. Like, basically, if you're very, very much a systems thinker and you think, you know, basically all the world is like somewhat rational.
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24:19It is not perfectly rational. But like, when you think about all the people in your life or all the people you'll ever meet, like, they're, you know, there's some sort of core thing going on. And then can you understand it? And I mean, maybe, yeah, that is actually me. I'm cheating by saying the same thing, but like, I feel like that's really, really important. Like, you know, can you sit down with a person from any walk of life and then understand what are their motivations? How do they get promoted? Like, you know, what's their ideology? Yeah. Like, there's just sort of this whole thing. It's a good answer because this is also what predicts are they going to be able to recruit or they're going to sell customers, they're going to fundraise.
24:56All these things kind of come from a version of this, which is not quite the ability to sell even though it looks like it. It's like ability to like see genuine, like, you know, a genuine interaction that'll be valuable to everybody or something. Yeah. I mean, basically, if you're going to program the world, you sort of have to, you know, reverse engineer the world first. Yes. Yeah. That's well said. The recent sort of like AI boom has led to, I think, you know, amazing things for our industry, obviously. And most YC companies now, I would say, are using AI to some extent. Can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing for them and their experience?
25:36And so like, you know, a couple of things that are coming to mind for me lately are I'm seeing like buyers and old industries that never would have wanted even bought that were like struggling to even adopt cloud or all of a sudden, like, super hungry for AI. Like, you know, you see this in education and healthcare and legal. And so you see, like, that's an interesting dynamic. There's more competition than probably ever before. So anytime there's like a good idea, there's like 19 people going after the same good idea. There's new considerations around margin. Like, I think like most of building a startup is probably the same, but like some of the rules have clearly changed.
26:08So like, as you're navigating this and now as most of your companies are using AI to some extent, like, what are the big rule changes that you're experiencing or observing? I guess the wild thing is, people seem to really need a good claim. Like, there's a great medical billing company. I mean, there are many really great medical billing companies. There's one recently that I met who they now make the claim that if you are running one of these like 10 or 15 person clinics, it might be in, you know, all kinds of places during mythology or wherever. I mean, it doesn't even have to be human. It could be a veterinary.
26:46You just with their software, you can have one back office person. Like, so you can have mainly clinicians and like one back office person per clinic. And so, I mean, the type of claims that you can make and make good on with large language models today is just kind of astonishing. Yeah. And I don't think it was true. I mean, I think, and people believe you, which is what's crazy. I will show them the demo. Yeah. It's like, and then you have five other customers who are doing it. So I think that we're going to see, you know, 10 ,000 flowers bloom in vertical AI software. And then I guess we'll see like the difficulty will be, you know, will there be roll ups?
27:31Like, what will happen? Will there be a thousand for the next year or two? And then from a thousand, will it like get whittled down to a hundred? You know, as the models get smarter and smarter, what's going to happen? Do you think it will change anything? Like, you know, historically, it's like a market has like a one, two, three, and the ones left bigger than two, who's left bigger than three. Is there any reason why you think it might be different? And the cycle or do you think that's the natural destination here? I mean, I think short of believing that AGI will happen and or ASI will happen and, you know, none of us ever will exist again.
28:07Yeah. I think all the standard rules still apply. Like, you know, it's same, that's what I would say to a regulator too. It's like, you know, what, this is just really, really good software. That's very, very accessible right now. And so all the rules that we already came up with to govern day -to -day life already apply. And so that, you know, and then on the business side, the modes are all the same, right? Switching costs, data that, you know, you have access to that nobody else has, brand network effects. I mean, there's just what, like, five. Yeah, there's not that many. So if we're in this moment where, like, software just became incredibly sick and these markets are in some ways wide open, flowers are blooming everywhere.
28:54Does that mean that once you've got, like, a hook, you should actually go, like, complete blitzkale mode right now? Like, is that a natural conclusion from the setup? I think those are, that basically every founder has to make up their mind for themselves right now. We're starting to see some evidence that you don't have to. There's an alternative that's sort of brewing where maybe you can get to $50, $100 million ARR or and sustain it with less than 20 people. Yeah. When you're like a good example of that type of company, I mean, that's brand and I mean, I mean, that might be brand. Actually, I mean, you're like, in theory, there could be network effects.
29:37I mean, yeah, certainly some within a company. Yeah. But in general, when I'm thinking about these vertical AI companies, and you know, you look at legal or accounting or finance or healthcare, pick your vertical, if there's a really good new idea happening and nine people, you know, got a clutch in the wall at the same time. I guess I wonder, you know, does it lead to, in your working with a bunch of these, do you then say, scramble up the wall as fast as possible? Oh, yeah, definitely. I mean, to the extent you can. And then the difference now is, do you hire a giant team of people or do you just automate internal to yourself?
30:16And like, increasingly, like, pretty much everyone we're seeing, they're making, they're choosing automate using their own agents internally. Yeah. Do you think that there's like a, there's definitely a rise in the number of companies I think that could choose not to raise? And, you know, you'll see that kind of perspective a lot of times, you know, people saying there's going to be all these companies that don't need cash because AI and blah, blah, blah. And then Parker put out a thoughtful tweet about how actually that is not how it's going to work because competition means that the team that hires two teams, everything's the same, but one team hires 100 sales reps, who's going to win?
30:52Yeah. Well, I think it's going to be a race. Basically, like, the people who are blitz galing will have the benefit of lots of, you know, some of it is like, at that point, it has to be blitz galing with, you know, 150 IQ people. And so the question is, like, how many Silicon Valley companies really are able to draw that level of talent, hiring at 50 people, 100 people, 200 people, 500 people at 1000 people. Parker Conrad is almost certainly with Matt McGinnis. And like, he has like the all -star team and he's able to, you know, sort of acquire 150 IQ people into him and then integrate it and go from like zero to 10 million ARR for like all these other lines, lines of businesses.
31:37It's like, you know, I actually think that the compound startup is possible if you can do that. If you can get that talent, but that's an if and like very few people are really, really capable of doing that. Actually, that's another good, sorry, there's so many things here. The compound startup is another one where I'm seeing more frequently, I'm hearing the advice or even founders just wanting to organically say, so far as easy as never to build, I'm going compound mega early, which is sort of the opposite of focus and be great and pure at one thing, which was always the advice, you know, I got in 2016.
32:09I think it's the barrels versus bullets thing. Something like that. Yeah, so we need barrels. Yeah. That person can do it if they can show that they can consistently hire and build that. I mean, you could say that the ramp guys did a great job, right? Yeah, it's actually a good reframe of the whole problem, which is of course, it's better to be as multi -product as early as possible as you can. If you can, right? But it's kind of the same, it's kind of the same ethos as what you said around the fat startup. That's right. Yeah, great. If you can raise 100 and have Keith on your board, do it. Dude, man, dude, yeah.
32:38Why wouldn't you? But otherwise, here's a way to do it the other way. Yeah. Yeah. So yeah, I mean, I think basically, rather than have dogma, the better thing for any smart founder, who's a system sinker is, I mean, a system sinker coming in here is not going to watch you and me on a podcast being like, oh, they said this. A true systems. Thank you. You're right. Just make up a podcast. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. Outside of voice, outside of AI, there's a lot of interest going into hard tech, broadly speaking right now. And I think, which is amazing. Obviously, we've got like SpaceX and Anderoll, but like there's also another new crop of companies coming up that are leaving it.
33:13And so then you have a lot of the big VC firms putting a lot into it. And I've seen, you know, you've said, you know, people about 10 % now. This is the YC of hard tech. And you're like, we're the YC of hard tech. Yeah. So yeah, it talks me about like hard tech. And I know it's grown for you. I've seen a bunch of really cool companies in recent batches doing it, but like what's what's on your mind there? Yeah. I, you know, the great thing about YC is like, I think ultimately, you know, every startup founder should be thinking about how can I build a shelling point and then having a shelling point is awesome because that's what YC has.
33:42And it's like if we can get really smart people, you know, whether it's hardware or software to come do this thing, like, demo day, we have more than a billion dollars. I think it's going on 1 .2 billion dollars a year in like, you know, relatively, like it's not totally captive. I don't have like contracts over it, but like, you know, but consistently every single year, this number goes up the amount of money that comes into YC demo days. And so, and I don't know, I want that number to be two billion. I want that billion number to be two and a half billion over the next five, 10 years. Like we're going to keep growing that.
34:16And then in particular hard tech is such an interesting, like sort of purple cow, especially demo day. So, you know, the average or started the median YC startup will end up raising, you know, a million to a million and a half bucks on demo day. But, you know, hard, the harder tech companies that can show a lot of real commercial validation or technological breakthrough during those three or four months. I mean, they're raising three, five, 10, like 20, you know, it's like entirely possible to raise the amount of money you need to have a truly successful hard tech company just by coming to do YC for three months.
34:55Because be caught in why it's because we have this captive set of, you know, more than a billion dollars a year, just focused on YC companies. And the hard tech stuff is very compelling. And we're, you know, we're seeing real success like Solu -Jan early, astronomers, boom, there are so many examples. When you think about the hard tech segment, do you think of it as the same whole process for YC, you recruit the companies the same way you interview them the same way you give them advice that the same you fund them the same. And it's just a different type of company. Or is there a bit or two that flips in a different way where you're like, actually, we take a slightly different set of advice or slight different mindset with, you know, a satellite company versus with AI for a law company.
35:40Well, the great thing is all, you know, every single partner at YC does do hard tech. And, we're starting to do more specialized programming around it. I mean, Andy Lapsa from Stoke Space came back and did a hard tech mini conference for this last batch. And we're going to keep doing that. I mean, the great thing about YC is like it's less about, you know, sort of the specific services. It's a lot more about like the mindset and, you know, being alongside a cross section of all the other sort of good, you know, really good builders. And, you know, you're just never alone in that respect. I mean, even look at any investor, it's like once you make it to GP at a firm or something, like you're what, like eight years into your career, like, you know, the last time you wrote real code or like designed a real mechanical thing might be eight years ago.
36:34And, you know, what is that partner really going to do? You know, the YC is not too different in that respect.
36:46But I'm going to put my company's who can be basically right there by your side. Like my favorite thing is when I did YC, I So needed help fundraising like, you know, James Lyndon bomb from Haroku came and helped me and like you know, Serenade de Berger act our seed round. And then about nine months later, after we raised the seed, he was running a Ruby on Rails hosting platform. And they were worried about not being able to support like some of the biggest rail sites on the web. And I happened to run one of the biggest rail sites on the web. So you said, Gary, can you give us your source code?
37:25I said, for you, yes. That's like the kind of stuff that you would do for a fellow YC batch mate. Yeah, it's awesome. There's just no way you would do it for anyone else. Totally. Yeah, the trust in there is just so valuable. Yeah. There may be in our last little segment, I want to talk about sort of your involvement in politics and local government in the community outside YC. There is like a current as of right now, there's a bit going about you saving the city and there's these Batman calls at your name, which I think is very good. And I've been a couple of myself. Hopefully by the time this is posted, it's either died down or it's gone hyperbolic in the other direction.
38:03But a lot of that I think is a result of you taking on a lot of causes that it's like, I really want that solve that I don't have the energy. And like I'm glad that Gary's doing that. And like I saw you doing this with education, you've done it with sort of like having the city be clean and safe, you've done it with keeping tech companies in San Francisco. And now you're spending time in DC and you're probably operating on a bunch of stuff at the national level that you know, can't even talk about yet. But what is driving you to invest your time, which you don't have a lot of into all this stuff around you outside YC?
38:41I guess what I realize is like because of my childhood, which was relatively difficult, I actually am just wired differently. And I need like conflict in my life. I didn't really realize this until I actually need my limbic system really needs stimulation. Like you grew up with conflict and so you need it to feel. Yeah, yeah, I just need a baseline radiation level of being on edge in order to like feel normal. So I did not realize this, but that's not the answer I thought you were going to say. Oh my God. I don't know. I mean, I think I started getting involved in it, mostly right after, right during COVID and after.
39:18Some of it was actually there was this famous clubhouse that maybe you were on with Mike Salana and then we had Chesa Boudin sitting gay at the time. And just hearing him lie through his teeth through clubhouse, you know, and maybe it was just like COVID, like just isolation plus like hearing someone who's supposed to be a civil servant, someone who is supposed to be protecting people in our society, just come out and just lie to people like just very brazenly. I ended up meeting with Nancy Tongue, who was a candidate who lost against him in the prior election, went for a walk around in Noi Valley.
40:02And then I guess for me, like my systems thinking started going and trying to understand, well, you know, why is it like this? How did it get here? What's the story? There's no bench. There's no, there's Gavin Newsom went off to state, Ed Lee died. And then there was no sort of vacuum. There was a vacuum of really strong leadership that was sort of holding up the city. Yes. And so once I understood that, it's like, you know, well, what do we do? Like we have tech, we have tech money, everyone's afraid to say anything. Like do you remember what they would do to like, you know, even the local press, like literally the Chronicle would, you know, borderline libel, Ron Conway, close friend of ours.
40:47And it's like unbelievable that they would do that. And so, you know, Nancy came to me and said, you know what, here's how it works. And then after that, you know, she got me involved and some people who were putting together the recall of Chase of Boudin. This might be another here or there, but did you ever come up with a diagnosis for like, aside from the vacuum of power, like why there was this sort of posturing that was going on where people were sort of seeming so self -righteous, well sort of like, you know, annihilating what, in my opinion, you know, destroying schools in the city and all this stuff.
41:22Like do you ever get to what you thought was like the root of what was there that needed to sort of be gutted? I mean, I hate to say it, but like the media angle was a big part of it. And we still have that problem. There, you know, there is a little bit of a lack of truly independent and, you know, honest media in local San Francisco and in the Bay Area. You know, voice of San Francisco was Susan Reynolds. It's like, you know, one of the few people who were there like really willing to say something about, you know, actually do the real investigative journalism about really what is a moderate view, right?
41:59Like there was no voice. And when it became unsafe to say even moderate, reasonable things like I want to be able to walk down the street and not be worried about being assaulted. Yeah. And it's like you would be called a racist. Yeah. Or like you want your kids to like learn regular stuff at school. I want them to learn algebra and middle school. And I don't have to, you know, send them to private school for them to get a good education. Like these are like very anywhere in the country, you could say that. And it's, you know what, like you just got to down for a while. It's very upside down. Do you feel like we're now through that?
42:34Do you think there's still a lot more work to do at the San Francisco level on this sentiment? Or do you think we're through what we needed there? And now we can rebuild. I mean, my hope is that San Francisco, you know, I think I feel really good about Leure, I feel really good about the current board of supervisors. And the interesting thing is even the unions, the public sector unions that supported this sort of, what they enforced was like perfect uniformity of ideology as a purity test. Because then they knew, then they felt safe. They knew that like if someone said these things that were really out of whack with the public, they knew that they would not be defunded for instance, their interests would not be, it all comes back to money and power.
43:17That's sort of the classic system. So I think it's changing. Even the unions themselves are sort of realizing like, oh yeah, we're not going to push watering down the curriculums in schools quite as hard in SFUSD anymore. And I think all nature's healing a bit. I mean, my hope is that San Francisco in the next 10 years, you know, the coolest thing would be if someone says San Francisco Democrat and people don't think like, right, you know, sort of downtown is for drug users and we don't want to teach kids math. They think, oh, like that's a very reasonable thing to want, you know, San Francisco's beautiful town.
44:00It could be like a model for the Democrats like reclaiming like a good moderate left position. And it seems like sometimes intractable, especially at this moment, but on the other hand, like in startups and in politics, we weigh overestimate what we can do on one year and we weigh underestimate what we can do in 10. So I am fairly certain this is going to come together. It'll come together in San Francisco. It's going to come together in California. And if we can fix both our city and our state, then we got the country man. Yep. So I guess are there any other fights right now that are, you know, you talked about your limbic system?
44:36Like what are the fights you care about the most right now? Like when you think about this at the local state national level, like what's what do you think your eyes on right now is like the thing that you really hope to see get improved over the next year, 3D, 5, whatever. Oh, well, I mean, locally, I think everything's going really well. I think at the state level, I'm just like learning a lot more about it now. Mm -hmm. There's a guy named David Crane, govern for California, who I'm learning a lot about Sacramento from him. And I think that we could potentially turn California. Like I think that there's a big opportunity for someone at the governor level and at the AG level in the next five to 10 years.
45:16Turn it the way San Francisco's going. Yeah, I think we can have, we can demand, because there's stuff in LA and there's like a lot of other stuff. Yeah, I think Rick Caruso coming out of LA could be a really, really great leader, either for LA or in Sacramento. I think Matt Mayhan out of San Jose, incredible, our own very own Brook Jenkins is a distrature now. And I think that she would make incredible strides in Sacramento. And if you look at the past 20 years, as California goes, those people end up becoming the leaders at a national level. But I can tell you, if Brook Jenkins or Matt Mayhan or Tinho, the DA out in Sacramento or Rick Caruso or any of these people make it all the way up there, I think that we're looking at our resurgence and abundance in the Democratic Party.
46:06And so it is possible. Yeah. And then I guess the last is national, but I guess that's probably, that's a big picture for us. That's the final boss. Yeah, the final boss. Yeah, maybe that comes over time. Ask me in 20, 30 years, that's awesome. Well, Carrie, thanks a ton for doing this. This is really fun. I enjoyed this as always, so appreciate me in time. We'll do it again. Great. Thanks, man.
From the publisher
This week I sat down with Garry Tan, President & CEO of Y Combinator. YC has funded 5,000+ startups including Airbnb, Stripe, DoorDash, Rippling, and Reddit, among others that have totaled $600B in combined valuation.
Garry is a designer, engineer, and investor in early stage startups. Previously Founder & Managing Partner of Initialized Capital, an early stage venture capital fund that was earliest in Coinbase and Instacart. Before that, Garry was a partner at Y Combinator where he invested in and directly worked with over 700 companies at the earliest stage. He previously co-founded Posterous and helped build it to a world-class website used by millions (acquired by Twitter).
Garry is a builder at heart.
We covered:
Running YC like a founder
Advice for founders
Picking winners
What changes because of AI
YC being the “YC of hard tech”
Public service
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Timestamps:
(0:00) Intro
(0:25) Running YC like a founder
(6:25) Focusing on growth and prosperity
(12:40) Incredible pick rate
(14:34) Role of the Group Partner
(19:21) Lean vs fat startups
(20:53) Archetypes of special founders
(25:18) Rule changes because of AI
(33:00) YC being the “YC of hard tech”
(37:40) Community and political involvement
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Linktree: https://linktr.ee/uncappedpod
Twitter: https://x.com/jaltma
Email: friends@uncappedpod.com




