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When Shift Happens Podcast: Episode 140 Summary
Episode Overview In this episode of the "When Shift Happens" podcast, host Kevin Follonier interviews David Bailey, CEO of Bitcoin Magazine and KindlyMD. The discussion centers on Bailey's experiences in the cryptocurrency industry and the successful campaign that led to Donald Trump embracing Bitcoin as a part of his "America First" policy.
Key Themes and Discussions
Introduction to David Bailey
- Background: David Bailey is a veteran in the Bitcoin space, having been involved for over 13 years. He is known for his roles in Bitcoin Magazine and as CEO of KindlyMD.
- Mission: Bailey aims to see Bitcoin fully adopted as the reserve currency for humanity, advocating for its potential to liberate individuals from financial control systems.
The Campaign to Onboard Donald Trump
- Initial Idea: Bailey and his Bitcoin colleagues brainstormed how to pitch Bitcoin to Donald Trump, believing that he could be convinced of its merits.
- Networking: Through connections, they were able to secure a meeting with Trump and his inner circle. Bailey highlighted the importance of this networking in achieving their goals.
- The Pitch: The team presented a comprehensive policy outline to Trump, emphasizing Bitcoin’s benefits and aligning it with his political agenda.
The Value Proposition of Bitcoin
- Comparative Value: Bailey argues that Bitcoin should be valued similarly to gold, suggesting that its market capitalization could justify a price of $1 million or more per Bitcoin.
- Scarcity and Utility: Bitcoin is presented as a superior asset to gold due to its scarcity, ease of transfer, and lack of storage costs.
- Binary Outcome: Bailey concludes that Bitcoin has a binary future—either it will succeed and disrupt the financial system or it will fail completely.
Institutional Adoption and Future Prospects
- Market Dynamics: Bailey discusses how institutional adoption is changing the landscape, with institutions increasingly holding Bitcoin as part of their portfolios.
- Predictions: He believes that the next bull market could inflate Bitcoin prices significantly, potentially reaching $1 million within five years and even higher in the longer term.
- Four-Year Cycle: Bailey references the common four-year market cycle in Bitcoin but acknowledges that current trends may alter this pattern due to increased institutional involvement.
Bitcoin Treasury Companies
- Investment Strategy: Bailey elaborates on his company's involvement in Bitcoin treasury companies, which he believes are the future of Bitcoin investment.
- Regulatory Framework: He contrasts Bitcoin treasury companies with traditional cryptocurrencies, asserting that the regulatory environment provides them with better investor protections and legitimacy.
The Broader Impact of Bitcoin
- Political Implications: The conversation emphasizes Bitcoin's potential to disrupt traditional financial and political systems, positioning it as a pivotal asset in future economies.
- Creative Vision: Bailey encourages listeners to think bigger about Bitcoin's future, envisioning its integration into various societal structures and applications.
Key Takeaways
- Importance of Networking: Building relationships in the industry can lead to significant opportunities.
- Understanding Bitcoin's Value: A nuanced understanding of Bitcoin's comparison to gold enhances its perceived value.
- Vision for the Future: The necessity for creative thinking in shaping Bitcoin's adoption and integration into society is crucial.
- Institutional Pressure: As more institutions invest in Bitcoin, the pressure on others to do the same will increase, potentially leading to unprecedented market growth.
Conclusion The episode concludes with Bailey reflecting on the transformative journey of Bitcoin and its potential to reshape the future of finance and society. He encourages listeners to engage actively in the Bitcoin narrative rather than observing passively.
For more insights, listeners are encouraged to subscribe to the podcast and stay tuned for future episodes.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00There's an old saying in Bitcoin that your Bitcoin OGness is not determined by how many Bitcoins you have, but how many Bitcoins you've lost. and I've lost a lot of Bitcoins. And so I feel like I've learned a lot of lessons that guide me well today. I can teach people listening to this a good way to lose some Bitcoin. Any one good way to lose some Bitcoin? Use a... David Bailey, CEO of Bitcoin Magazine and KindlyMD. Helping bring Bitcoin to global markets while shaping its cultural and political future. Why does a Bitcoin-true company make sense? Because there are people who want to own Bitcoin that want the least friction possible to be able to own it.
0:32They want to buy it in their 401k or their retirement account. What we're doing is we're just simplifying and removing the friction and to be able to one click buy exposure to Bitcoin. You arranged build a bunch of people from Wall Street. I'm watching it happen in real time. It's interesting. You also arranged build US President Donald Trump. We were part of the effort, arranged build. You've got Donald Trump and the entire Trump family into Bitcoin. How the hell did that happen? I was with some Bitcoin friends and we were like, what would be great is if we could figure out how to get in the room with Donald Trump and pitch him on Bitcoin.
1:00Because I bet you we could get him to like it. And one of our friends, she was like, I know someone who can actually get us in front of him. So we went to Trump Tower, pitched him. He was just like, OK, I'm in. You also say that one million per Bitcoin is the floor. Why? Bitcoin is gold, but better. And if you made the market cap of gold equal to the market cap of Bitcoin, one Bitcoin is worth right now$1.2 million. My argument is that there's no justifiable reason why Bitcoin should be worth less than gold. If$1 million per Bitcoin in five years is the floor, what's the ceiling? Yeah, I mean, well, the ceiling is...
1:32Hi, everyone. This is the little bit that I know none of you like that can help us make a huge difference for this show, and we want to take it next. 71 % of the people who regularly watch When Shift Happens have not subscribed. And so all I'd ask you, if you want to make a huge difference, is the following. If you've seen this show before and you like it, help me, help my team, hit the subscribe button, and we'll continue to build this show for you. Thank you. podcasting is a good business in media but it's a competitive business you have a lot of other shows out there media is just so hard the digital media is very very hard if it wasn't for our conference business the media business wouldn't work so that's kind of like our core product is the conference but yeah man media tough it's a good way to build a network and learn really quickly the way i saw that was i was uh in bali four years ago with steven bartlett from the diary of a ceo and i was trying to understand like what he's doing we spent a couple of days together and he was building his uh his podcast uh very focused on the uk and he told me oh i had liam paine from one direction the other day or harry styles on the podcast i barely knew them and then three days later they invite me to their birthday in their house and then i understood i was like if i want to elevate myself and be seen as a peer in crypto the only thing i can do is this because I'm not technical enough right I'm not smart enough so I can do that and then I can build I do some private events with Eddie Travia I think you know him yeah yeah so we do these private events with my podcast guests in Singapore and we're just like the hub that connects everyone Eddie lives in Singapore yeah oh wow yeah yeah cool anyway how are you doing good good I see your big banana smile yeah I'm very tired right now but you don't seem so you know I'm good good faking it.
3:23Who are you? So I'm David Bailey. I'm a father of three little girls from a farm town in Tennessee. Married my college sweetheart. Got into Bitcoin when I was 22 years old. Have spent the last 13 years building a Bitcoin business. And if you fast forward all the way to the end of the timeline. I'm now the CEO of KindlyMD, a publicly traded Bitcoin treasury company. Why should anyone listen to you? Well, there's an old saying in Bitcoin that your Bitcoin OG-ness is not determined by how many Bitcoins you have, but how many Bitcoins you've lost. And I've lost a lot of Bitcoins over the decade plus.
4:10And so I feel like I've learned a lot of lessons that, you know, guide me well today, but it's difficult to learn without having lived the experience. And so, I don't know, I feel like I can teach people listening to this a good way to lose some Bitcoin. Give me one, one good way to lose some Bitcoin. Use a third party custodian, you know, who is sketch. That's one. I actually asked them on the podcast, I said, how do you custodiate the Bitcoin, right? All that that i believe i trust in it etc because i also had ben from bybit just after the hack two days after and i said we actually saw that almost everyone can be hacked right by it can be hacked and so they're like yeah it's true they said we love people who self-custody but uh we also believe massively in our security yeah was that before they got hacked or after they got hacked uh so basically this is bybit after i got attacked but i got bitwise guys and then they said basically we love people people who self-custody but yeah but we're we're pretty decent yeah i mean you know there's there's a lot of ways to lose bitcoin you know you can you can self-custody and you can lose the keys that's you know i've seen that happen uh yeah has that ever happened to you uh yeah yeah no i and and i mean not in a big way but in a small way and then you know i feel like one of the one of the characteristics of bitcoiners that you'll find is like if you go into their homes, they have like all their phones for when they got into Bitcoin, because there's so many wallets they download that they put a little bit of Bitcoin on and you don't want to delete it just in case.
5:46And so you just like accumulate like a huge pile of like phones. So yeah, no, I mean, I feel like, yeah, all the different lessons out there, I've kind of stepped on the landmines, sometimes multiple times. But you know, as you survive longer and longer, you get better at surviving. So that's the whole game. Yeah. What is your mission? My mission is to see Bitcoin become to reach its full potential, which in my mind is to become the reserve asset and reserve currency of humanity. And I want to live to see the day of hyper Bitcoinization where every transaction and all value happens on top of the Bitcoin protocol.
6:25Is this so important to you? You know, at this point, it's important to me because I'm 13 years deep, like just on a personal level. I'm 13 years deep of being part of this. And I feel like I couldn't imagine not seeing it through, you know, it's like, it's been such an insane ride up and down and up and down and up and down the sense of needing to know how it all ends. It's like, it's like this, I'm a moth attracted to a, to a light, but I mean, why did I first get into it? Why does it matter to me? because I think I'm a free market Austrian economics libertarian. And I believe that the money enslaves the people and Bitcoin sets them free.
7:11And if you want humanity to prosper, it's absolutely necessary that Bitcoin be available to everyone and ultimately used by everyone. Did you believe that at 22 years old? I believe that at 22 years old in terms of free market economics and capitalism. But, you know, when I first discovered Bitcoin, my first reaction to it was that it's a scam. There's no way that Bitcoin can be what it says it is. It's such a fantastical idea. But, you know, after the first couple months of doing diligence on it, I got to a point where I couldn't tell you why it wouldn't work. And that's when I bought my first Bitcoins.
7:46And as I've seen it play out, I would say probably like two or three years into the journey. I mean, I always saw the potential, like this is where this could go. But I'd say about two or three years into the journey, I got to the point where I was like, this is happening. Like, this is going to happen. What's the thing that told you, OK, this is happening after three years, which is still a long time ago? That would be nine years ago? I would say the thing that probably instilled the most confidence is I saw everything blow up multiple times. And then I saw Bitcoin build back. and the the lesson imparted to me through that was that bitcoin is anti-fragile and it literally cannot be killed and every everything that that attacks it it will it will respond to and uh build around and after you see that happen a couple times and you know there was also like back in the day there used to be like a list of things that if one of these things happened Bitcoin was over.
8:44And, you know, I watched as like multiple of the things on the list happened and Bitcoin was fine. And then it's just at a certain point, like, wow, there's like, I can't tell you why this is ever going to be killed. The growth trajectory is unbelievable. So, you know, this is going to happen. So, uh, uh, it is probably like after the second bubble or so that like, so this would have been like 2015, 2016 is probably when I felt like, I'm not going to say Bitcoin's an inevitability. The world needs something like it. It has to have something like it. And the forces of that are going to draw it into being.
9:24So yeah, I don't know. I've been pretty hardcore Bitcoin and all in on it for a while. Quick shout out to our sponsors who make this show possible. I'd like to thank our friends at Jupiter, the most used decentralized trading platform on Solana and the largest DAO in the world. We've teamed up with Money Badgers, the lifestyle brand launched by Paradex, to give you a shot at winning an exclusive Money Badger NFT from their upcoming Genesis collection. Being in the trenches is more than a full-time job. It's a way of life. The Money Badgers was born to tell that story. Their flagship NFT collection drops in Q4 this year and we're giving you a chance to get one.
10:00Remember, supply is limited. Use the link below to get on the waitlist. Cast Card. My go-to card to spend my stablecoins directly with my Apple Pay to buy anything, food, coffee, hotel nights, or plane tickets, without having to use a bank ever again. Thank you. Holding on the financial cockroach, Bitcoin. There's a common pattern amongst my guests. They have something that happened in their life that gave them a chip on the shoulder. what happened in your life that can explain your fire in the belly? You know, I don't know. I, uh, uh, you know what I, I actually, I do know. I like, first off, when I was a kid, I was, um, always into money, not like the idea of having money, but the idea of like, what is money, how you create it.
10:47I used to, uh, go and make counterfeit money when I was a kid and try to like spend it with my family. Um, and I had a piggy bank that was a bank, a truck that was like a bank vault, what do you call them? Armored car. And I would just like play with it all the time and try to see how many pennies I could get into it. So I've always had an interest and I, my family ran a small business. So I grew up around entrepreneurs and just seeing my, my mom and dad run their small, their small business. But I think the thing that radicalized me was I got into investing in high school and, And, you know, I got very lucky when I first started investing and was buying stocks I knew.
11:27So I bought Apple stock and Google stock. And of course, these stocks went on like generational runs while I'm in high school. So I'm feeling very full of myself. I turned like$7 ,000 from my freshman year of high school into$150 ,000,$200 ,000 before I graduated from high school. Wow. But again, just, you know, being lucky, basically. and um when did you understand it was just look well when i lost it so uh and uh that was my my boy to man moment of you know i when the bank stock started going down um like during the 08 crisis so i guess this was maybe 07 or you know i would watch financial media and you go on cnbc and the ceo of the bank would be like you know everything is totally fine our stock is a steal you know, this is totally overblown.
12:17Steady lads. Yeah. Yeah. Steady lads. Yeah. Deploy more capital. And, you know, you know, I'm an NPC at this point in time. I'm a, I'm of the view that when you watch financial media, it's telling you the truth. And when you talk to the CEO of the company, they're going to tell you the, the, the, what's actually, you know, real and is really the opposite. And so I proceeded to like one of my biggest investments was Regions Bank. And I was buying it at like 30 bucks, which is like a, like, you know, I don't know, 20 % discount or something from where it was. And I thought I was getting a good price.
12:52And then it proceeded to fall like 95 % over the next, uh, over the next year. And I realized just that, you know, uh, uh, you can't trust, uh, anyone to tell you how the system works. And like, um, you know, if you're, if you're watching it on CNBC, you're probably the exit liquidity. So, um, but anyway, it took me down a path of saying, how did none of these people know that the 08 crisis was going to come? Like, how did they not know how bad it was going to get? And the reality is, is that many of them didn't know how bad it was going to get. And there's lots of people who called out that this was going to happen.
13:29And that's how I discovered Ron Paul and Peter Schiff and Austrian economics and radical free market economics. And then I started to understand like, this is the, you know, this is how the game is played. And, um, so you go from, I don't trust from, from I trust, I'm a genius to I lose money. I don't trust to gold Austrian economics. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I, I didn't, you know, I guess I did buy some gold, but it was really just trying to understand like, uh, where, what was the cause of this? And like, if you're an Austrian economist, you can describe exactly what the cause of it was. So yeah, that was, that was kind of my um my orange pilling before i knew what bitcoin was and then uh i'm kind of going through this this transformation of of philosophy on the world and worldview and somebody sends me an article about bitcoin yeah and the rest is you know i've been all in ever since i mean you said in the beginning you said the in the beginning i thought it was a scam yeah yeah so my senior year my senior year so i i was going to go into investment banking um and i interned with this guy at a firm that I had worked at over the summer.
14:38And he sent me this article and it was about the Silk Road. And, you know, my first reaction was just like, what is Bitcoin? Why would someone trade a commodity for fake money, like Ponzi money? And so, you know, that's kind of what I zeroed in on from the article. And I tried to show my buddy why it was BS. And that started my intellectual journey to understand Bitcoin better. It probably took me two months before I thought maybe I should buy some Bitcoin. And that was just after the halving and the price of Bitcoin was 10 bucks, 12 bucks. I think a seller said something like a couple of years ago, actually in 2020, when he was like going deep into it and evangelizing it, he was saying, I don't know a single person who spent at least more than 30 hours studying Bitcoin.
15:28I don't think it's amazing. So you do the time and once you do the work, right, then you start to understand and be like, holy shit. Yeah, it's actually a great filtering mechanism. If somebody really has strongly held views that Bitcoin's BS, you can tell right away that this person does not do their homework. So it really is. What's cool about Bitcoin, one of the things that's cool about it is, you know, so many things in life are the most beautiful on the surface. And as you dive deeper, you find all the warts and all the hidden components that are ugly. Bitcoin's like the inverse. It's like ugliest on the surface.
16:03And then as you dive deeper and deeper, you see the beauty in the design. And yeah, so Bitcoin's like the ultimate inner beauty, I guess, of a financial instrument. Why Bitcoin only? Well, where that came from, you know, first off, I've always had conviction in Bitcoin, but I also considered myself like someone who, you know, is fairly open-minded and I believe in the free market. And so when crypto came about and you started, you know, it wasn't just Ethereum, but the first ICOs and even before the first ICOs, there was MasterCoin and all these different projects. You know, I was genuinely open to their potential.
16:44And I wanted them to be successful. You know, in 2016, 2017, we were investing in almost every ICO that happened. You know, we made an absolute fortune on paper. Who's we? Myself, my business partner, our company, we made hundreds of millions of dollars in paper. And, you know, in 2018 comes and we proceed to lose all the money we made. and then some. We ended up actually losing more. We would have been better off if we had just skipped the whole thing. That's a classic, actually. That's a classic, actually. If you think about just a bull market, if you look at how much does a crypto asset class go from a bear market to a bull market back down to the next bear market and you calculate.
17:34Let's take the example now. Let's say we started at$1 trillion and let's say it goes to 10 trillion and let's say then it goes back to 3 trillion that's basically 10x and then down 70 70 so you you're supposed to do a 3x but most people manage not only to not do a 3x but not only to lose everything and some more yeah it happens all the time well that's how casinos work you know but um yeah so i i uh proceeded to lose everything we made and you know know, I was 28 or something like that at the time. And so you made and lost hundreds of millions at 28. Yeah. And so it's a cycle, it has a major psychological impact on you.
18:15It's like, you know, oh wow. Like, why did I do that? You know, like I could have just retired. Why did I just lose all this money? And it's like, lose money on something that I wasn't even, I didn't even have conviction was going to like, like I, if you had just asked me point blank, would you bet your life on this thing working and would never would have bet my life. And so I had so much regret. And so it was like, okay, well, if I'm going to go bankrupt here, like I should go bankrupt on something that at least for the rest of my life, I can look in the mirror and say, like, if I had to do it all over again, I'd do the same thing versus, you know, go bankrupt on something that I don't even believe in.
18:53And so in, in like Q3 of 2018, we decided to get out of all crypto and we divested everything that was crypto related or blockchain related. And we just went all in on the thing that we had absolute conviction in, which was Bitcoin. And everyone thought it was going to be a disaster of a decision to do. And no one else out there had done it, honestly. It was very unlikely to be successful, but we were just like, fuck it, let's just do it. And it really is like the defining moment that our company took off. It's the best decision we ever made. What company exactly are you talking about? BTC Inc.
19:31Okay. Which is the company I've been operating for the past 12 years. Hmm. You mentioned we're going bankrupt. So I think it's a good moment to ask. You're the co-founder of a company called UTXO Management. Yeah. Yeah. And I heard you on some podcasts called UTXO, the best performing hedge fund. It is. Of the year. I don't know, this year, last year. In the world, over the past five years, four years, three years, two years, and one year. About 11 months ago, I had a gentleman on his podcast called Joe McCann, the founder and CIO of Asymmetric, which he was calling the best performing hedge fund globally in 23 and 24, according to him.
20:07Sure. We had a lot of you on the episode, I think about 100 ,000 on YouTube. He was early in Bonk and Solana. And that's how he had done that. And I asked him, I mean, if you basically look at investing books, right? I read one 10 years ago called A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton Marquille. And one of the things that his book teach, which is amazing because it's both data, so academic and he's actually an investor, right? So there's like this mix. One of the things he talks about is he looks at the data and he says, the huge outperformers often blow up and it's the one that consistently are doing okay but not amazing that end up outperforming over the long run.
20:49So he was saying I think he looks at the top 10 and he says you should never be one or two you should be five, six, seven all the time or often and then you outperform like crazy over the long run. I remember asking our friend Joe from Asymmetric that question if you are the best performing hedge fund globally for two years in a row historical data shows that you're more likely to blow up how will you defy data and history and fast word 11 months he didn't beat it 11 months later asymmetric liquid fund was down 79 in 2025 and had shut down how do you at utxo defy history and data yeah well you know hard to sit here and tell you that we're going to be able to i mean we have a thesis on the world we're investing around that thesis and if the thesis is right we're going to have asymmetric returns that are going to sustain, but not forever.
21:44And if the thesis is wrong, then at some point in time, the market is going to show us it's wrong. But what's powered our returns, first off, has been a total focus on Bitcoin and trying to outperform Bitcoin with very measured risks that we're taking, not by investing in other all coins or cryptos, but, you know, what sort of structured products or bankruptcy claims or where are things that we can, where we can turn one Bitcoin into 1.1 Bitcoin. So that's like been the foundation of, of, um, the fund and then where the returns really then took off. Um, we've had a couple, uh, over the years, several things that we've done well.
22:28Yeah. I don't know if you remember redeem G or GBTC, Barry Silberts. Uh, yeah. So we led an activist campaign to redeem that. And we were buying it at like a 50 cents on the dollar, the GBTC shares. We also made money shorting some of the banks that blew up and the last bear cycle, et cetera. So we're very opportunistic looking for things where it's like, okay, we think this is going to happen and we can deploy 5 % of our capital towards it and generate some outperformance there. But then where the fund really took off is when we started doing Bitcoin treasury companies. We're the first person kind of implement that model outside of micro strategy.
23:08And the return profile on some of these investments has been really insane. And so it is what's made our total aggregate returns from inception very lopsided. What's the moment you realize, oh, this micro strategy, it's amazing. It's only in the US. weekends out everywhere else? So I actually didn't realize it till like when we first did MetaPlanet, that was our first investment. Um, it was kind of like, maybe this would work and it'll be fun. And let's just, let's just see what happens. You know, let's just roll the dice. And so it was, uh, uh, us and a handful of friends. Um, you know, we all put in$1 million each.
23:53And I think the market cap of MetaPlanet at the time was like 15 million and they raised like 6 million bucks. And so we didn't have any expectations of how it was going to work out. And then I would say after about three months and seeing how quickly it accelerated, it was then that's when the light bulb went off of, wow, this is not a Michael Saylor thing. This is a, this is a capital markets phenomenon and we need to do more of these. And And so we've done 15 of them since the first. You said you invested 1 million each in MetaPlanet kind of for fun to see what happens. But then you learn a lot of things along the way.
24:32I think it's now. Or you went to like$5 billion, right? So that's crazy. I think it went to like almost$10 billion. $8 billion. I think right now it's sitting at, it's come down a lot. I think right now it's sitting at like a$3 or$4 billion market cap right now. So that's 400x. Yeah, but with a lot of dilution along the way. Of course, but the question is basically, you understood how shit, like this is crazy and this has massive opportunity in the other places. Why does a big country company make sense? Because there are people who want to own Bitcoin, who want to own it, that want the least friction possible to be able to own it.
25:08They want to buy it in their brokerage account. They want to buy it in their 401k or their retirement account. They want to buy it through an exchange that they know and they trust. They want to buy it through a broker that they can call up on the phone. They don't want to deal with, you know, borrowing money from accounts or moving money or trying to figure out how to go from, I'm a Japanese investor. You know, how do I get capital into the U.S. market? Like there's just a lot of structural barriers that add friction. And some of the friction is like insurmountable friction. Like, for example, if I'm a fund manager and I can only buy a certain type of financial instrument, like bonds, for example, like structurally, I can't buy Bitcoin unless you put it in the form of a bond.
25:52So and then there's just like laziness, which is like, you know, I can only buy I bid if I pick up the phone and call my broker and I'm not going to do that. So it's easier to just buy this stock that owns Bitcoin instead. So, you know, there's a whole there's a whole range. and then you know there's a there's a lot of capital internationally that has a lot of restrictions on it just where it can flow capital controls what markets it has to participate in if it's in a retirement account like what constitutes the investable world for that retirement account so anyway at the end of the day like what what we're doing is we're just simplifying and removing the friction from someone being able to use their existing brokerage account where their money already sits and to be able to one click by exposure to Bitcoin.
26:37And we're trying to wrap Bitcoin into every different form and fashion and function that allows people to bypass these structural barriers. I'll give an example to that. Because obviously there is a different tax clause between stocks and Bitcoin and all that stuff, fine. But a stupid example, when I built my first company, we talked about before my data company in the UK from 2015, 2018, I built this SIPP, self-investment pension plan, and I wanted to buy some MicroStrategy because they had MicroStrategy in there, right? But it's in pounds, right? Just to be able to buy this MicroStrategy stock, you have to fill in some papers that are, okay, you're allowed to invest in the US, but it's not filled in by you.
27:21It's done by the company, which is Best Invest. took them two fucking months and me calling them seven times to do the this one form right whereas if i had a uk company i could have just done that yeah i mean provided i trust the uk thing the uk company etc right and so just a stupid thing like that huge two months it was insane i was like man this is crazy yeah so how many imagine if you were like a car salesman and you were going to sell a car to someone and the sales process is like a two month sales process. They have to call you eight times to remind you to send over the contract. Like, you know, it's all, you're not going to buy the car.
28:01And so, you know, it's like that simple. Like what Saylor pioneered is like, Hey, if you want to sell someone Bitcoin, you got to put it into a form that they can actually buy. You know, if you want to sell someone a car and they have yen and you need dollars or you're, you're demanding dollars, they're not going to buy the car. So, um, That's such a simple thing. So practical. So practical. So practical. And then it's just like, dang, like if that's, if investors want to buy equities that own Bitcoin, let's just give them an equity in every market. Let's just do that. Let's just do it. Yeah. You know, and it's funny, you brought up the UK example.
28:40So one of our later investments that we did was a company in the UK called SmarterWeb that actually has even performed better than MetaPlanet. and uh the reason it was so explosive is exactly what you're describing i've heard that from tons of people like hey microstrategy is a huge pain in the ass to buy there's all you know there's all of these restrictions i you can't buy ibit either i don't believe i don't think so either there's no etf this and so when smarter web came i mean no one expected it to become what it did and it just exploded and uh you know there's there's uh the program's called sip is that right SIPB, yeah.
29:15Self-investment pension plan. So there's SIP-like programs in most countries. For sure. Like Korea has a crazy one. There's a lot of them. So it's just like, okay, well, there's all that stranded capital. We need to let that capital free. Let it run. Yeah. Quick one. I want to thank our partners who help us make this show possible. Thank you, Trezor. My favorite cold wallet to store my crypto and make sure I sleep well at night. If you too want to sleep well at night and want to order a treasure wallet, you can use my promo code WSH10 to get a 10 % discount. Big thanks to Bitwise Asset Management for backing today's conversation.
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29:55Bitwise is a crypto specialist asset manager with more than $15 billion in client assets across 30 plus crypto solutions, including ETFs, index funds, alpha strategies, staking, and more. However, you like to invest in crypto, Bitwise has something for you. And SWI, a scalable layer one blockchain that's fast, secure, and affordable, built by Facebook developers, and that delivers the benefits of Web3 with the ease of Web2. Thank you. You said before we made some gigantic returns on some of these Bitcoin treasury companies' plays just over the last few months. How much of this return is tied to the Bitcoin price?
30:33And how much is pure speculation? Well, we measure... So first off, just to be clear, you know i didn't know what you're gonna ask about but like for utxo i'm not like to talk about it i'm not soliciting anyone to hit us up about it or whatever this is not a solicitation this is just us talking factually about the business um i don't know if that disclaimer actually legally you know is uh we don't do any financial advice yeah actually here it's written nfa yeah financial advice you know i love saying not financial advice but i've been told when you say that actually people listen to it like oh this guy is giving financial advice and it doesn't protect you.
31:09So there's really no reason to even say it. But yeah, so we measure performance at the fund. So going back to your former question about like, what's going to protect us against blowing up? The fact that we aren't in other cryptos, like the fact that we've picked an asset like Bitcoin that has been able to consistently grow over time, like, you know, has done wonders. It's very hard to pick a crypto that's going to like survive cycle to cycle. In fact, I know almost no one that can do it successfully. And I've seen a lot of people try a lot of people. So, you know, with Bitcoin, it's like, okay, we're picking the right foundation to build our investment strategy on top of.
31:48And so if you pick the right foundation, that carries a lot of water for the overall strategy. So to the question of the outperformance, so like we're looking at this purely from Bitcoin perspective. Like if we're not generating outperformance in Bitcoin terms, it doesn't make, I can't just hold the Bitcoin. I'd rather hold to Bitcoin and not have to deal with all the diligence and all the governance and there's a lot of work that goes into it. So, yeah, I mean, I think the funds return since inception over like seven years, eight year track record is 35 % a year against Bitcoin. Which is insane because already performing Bitcoin is extremely hard.
32:30It's so hard. People think it's easy, but it's so hard. So hard. And yeah, we're so 35 % a year for seven years in a row. So that's not exactly accurate. It's like, that's where the fund is. And so it's lopsided, the returns, etc. But if you if you measure it over time, but so you have these these treasury companies, like we look at them from a perspective of we're putting Bitcoin in. And we're investing in a certain premium to that that Bitcoin value, we try to keep it as low as possible. And then, you know, we're trying to back the best teams. And then ideally, we're not selling our position when we invest because the team is a big deal.
33:03is going to run an accretive dilution strategy that ultimately is equivalent to them selling for us. Like, we don't need to sell, let them go and sell. And so even though you get diluted, ultimately the book value of the company grows dramatically over time. And so, you know, with Metal Planet, you know, just from the market cap we invested to where it is now, we should be up 400X. I think in reality, we're up a little over 100X from where we invested because of the dilution, you know, and we didn't have to do anything. We just sat there and let Simon execute. And we're only two years into this trade in general.
33:38But it's like, we don't have any interest in selling for the next five years. Why would we sell? Like, they're selling for us. So, yeah, so, you know, we think this is where you're going to see outsized Bitcoin returns over a long period of time. And so we want to dominate that market. What's something that naysayers calling Bitcoin treasury company stocks, shitcoin stocks, are failing to understand? What are, like, the shitcoin treasury companies failing to understand? People say, basically, there's the shitcoins in crypto, and then now these shitcoin stocks are the, forget about all these treasury coins, these DATs.
34:18Let's talk about just Bitcoin treasury companies. These are shitcoin, shit stocks. Well, they're not. What do they not understand? in? Well, at the end of the day, these companies are buying Bitcoin. So, you know, they're there. If you take the most skeptical view of Bitcoin treasury companies, they're worth the value of their assets on their balance sheet. As long as they don't have toxic financing or some really massive drag of, you know, negative earnings, they're worth the balance sheet. And so, again, you're these Bitcoin treasury companies, there's at least a solid foundation from where they're being built versus investing into a shit coin or crypto where there is no foundation.
34:55Like the, the, the, the price will decline 99.99%. I mean, it can go basically to zero, you know, whereas I don't think that that's something that that's not a realistic risk for Bitcoin. So like that's one differentiator of them. I also think like, you know, at the end of the day, most shit coins or crypto are unregistered securities where we pretend they're not securities, but they are securities. And because we define our way out of them being, or the industry does out of them being considered securities, they're able to avoid all the governance controls, transparency, disclosures that securities laws are built upon.
35:33You know, they've really designed the system in order to circumvent the things that are supposed to give investors protection. When you launch a treasury company or public company in general, you're issuing a regulated registered security. You have to abide by the laws. And there's lots of ways to exploit the laws. I'm not saying that that's a foolproof protection for an investor, but there's a lot of good securities law that's been built as a consequence of scams that have been run in the past. And you can't just run and gun like it is done in crypto. And so, and if you do, you're going to go to jail.
36:08So it's like, you know there's actually consequences it's not like and actually it's pretty funny to watch some of these people because they're like i'll see people on twitter like it's crime season and it's like bro it's not crime season like you're just that's you know you're gonna go to jail you know and i and i see people trying to port some of the crypto ideas straight over into securities it's like yeah it's not gonna work so um i think where the skepticism comes from is like at the end of the day users should control their own private keys to the bitcoin and with the bitcoin treasury company, you're offloading that responsibility to the treasury company.
36:38And then they're trading at a premium to the Bitcoin that they're holding. And so people are like, okay, well, why am I paying a premium? But the answer to that's actually pretty simple. You're paying a premium because these companies are growing. And anytime there's growth, anytime you buy an instrument and that instrument's going to have more Bitcoin or more value in the future, you're going to pay a premium to whatever the spot value is. Now, how much of a premium is appropriate to pay? Well, that's in the eye of the investor. Like you have to determine your own methodology and model how you value these things.
37:09And some people are just pure momentum FOMO traders and other people have a pretty sophisticated approach to like where they think is good value. So, but that's just, that's, that's the marketplace. And then those, those people go out in the marketplace. We'll see who performs the best. Sometimes it's the DGENs that perform the best. Sometimes it's the conservative investor that performs the best. But yeah, so I don't buy, you know, these are just shit coins. They're higher risk than holding your own Bitcoin, but they're orders of magnitude better than buying a crypto token that has no value or use or, you know, protections.
37:49You said we invested in 15 companies so far. Obviously with Metaplanet and then SmarterWeb company you had like these crazy successes is tied to you, right? And your company. So you must have crazy, crazy deal flow and demand. And at some point, and you raised a lot of money that you have to invest also. How do you manage that? Or how do you deal with that to not make too many mistakes? Because when you have all this deal flow, then you're going to have, you said we bet on the best teams, et cetera. But how can you know this is the best team? How do you keep the quality? Yeah, it's a challenge.
38:25No, I mean, and we've already had some missteps or mistakes. The strategy is an evolving strategy as well. So for example, our initial focus was just fund as many of these as we can, as long as the team quality is good. And then it became like, okay, are we doing multiple per market or just one? And what's the investment thesis? Why would we pick one versus two? And some of these things we hadn't even thought about until like a situation arises and then we're having to deal with the situation in real time. So there's definitely going to be missteps and there'll be more missteps in the future, but that is kind of how you learn, you know, in terms of, of like the portfolio overall, I mean we try to keep our strategy simple and then we try to just focus on doing and any mistake you make is recoverable as long as you're executing a plan and executing it well enough that for the missteps, there's also the correct steps.
39:29Our goal is to underwrite 80 of these in 80 different markets. So that's a lot of teams. Each deal we learn something new from, but it's also, you know, the more of the opportunity that people see, you also have the grifters, you also have like the sharks. A lot probably. Yeah. Probably the majority are just people who don't even care about Bitcoin. Yeah, the quality degrades as people see fast money. And then the Wall Street Sharks, you know, it's been pretty interesting to actually watch this. Like adding, you know, creating this kind of equity market for Bitcoin securities. It has pulled in a totally different type of investor that did not play in Bitcoin because it's just alien to what they do.
40:13But like stocks are not. That's their bread and butter. And so they're pulling, you know, all the Wall Street tricks on these deals. And if you don't know what you're doing or looking for, they will eat your lunch. They'll screw you. But also at the same time, like you do, like there's new economic actors at the table that you can do business with that have immense resources. And they're very quickly kind of becoming infatuated with Bitcoin. Like they don't like it for ideological reasons. you know like it's not like it's the the ideology is what brought them to the table what brought them to the table was the juicy fees or the you know the the trading volume that's happening but then it's like you come for the the profits and then you kind of uh are enticed by the system as a whole and you stick around so it's like it's interesting to watch when these people get orange billed so you're orange billed a bunch of people from wall street it's happening i'm just saying i'm watching it happen in real time it's interesting you also orange billed the u.s president donald trump i don't i wouldn't say i orange billed him but we were part of the effort orange bill you you when i say you i mean we right you we got donald trump and the entire trump family into bitcoin how the hell did that happen it's a long story um long story short you know it happened, the way it happened is we were in, I live in Puerto Rico.
41:40So I was with some, some Bitcoin friends sitting outside and we're like, you know, what would be great is if we could figure out how to get in the room of Donald Trump and pitch him on Bitcoin. Cause I bet you, we could get them to like it. And one of our friends who lives in Puerto Rico as well was there. And she, she was like, you know, I know someone who can actually get us in front of them. my stepsister's godfather is a stepsister's godfather is paul manafort trump's old campaign manager and so she was able to get a phone call between us and paul and then we were able to pitch paul and then paul went and pitched people other people in the inner circle uh and then you know they kept coming back to us so it was this back and forth process that took months and months and months and then eventually then that got into it we kept getting deeper and deeper into the inner circle until we get to the guy himself.
42:35And probably took us four months of like, you know, a couple of times a week going back and forth on their questions about it. And, you know, having to sketch out what a Bitcoin policy platform would look like and why it's like, what's an America first platform look like? So a lot of work kind of go in. And then we, after we kind of made it through all of the, what's the word, hurdles, uh they're like okay the president wants to meet um uh and so we went to trump tower and met with them and pitched them and then he was just like okay i'm in now you gotta deliver he's like if i'm gonna deliver you have to deliver so and then uh we proceeded to rally the industry and raise money and um ultimately have him speak at the conference and um what you say ultimately how How long before the conference was this Trump Tower meeting?
43:30How long does it take to be like, okay, I'm going to go out there and talk about Bitcoin and say, we're going to be the capital for Bitcoin and crypto and so on and so forth? Well, so we started the process in probably like February. The meeting with the president, I think, was in April or May. And then the conference happened in July. but you know the the actual like courting process is kind of funny like once the trump tower meeting happened he went out and he made some statements in general on the topic and he started accepting bitcoin and crypto for donations and then that induced a response when he did that and so trump's the type of guy who he like he feeds off of the reaction and so you know he says something about bitcoin he notices people really like it then he doubled out doubles down and says it more and so there was kind of like this feedback loop where the more he talked about it, the more good things like happened.
44:25And so he wanted to talk about it even more. And, uh, you know, I think kind of the conference was like the defining moment where, you know, he came into the conference. He was very, he had, he had spoken to the libertarian conference like a month before and he had been booed. And so he was like a little bit worried about coming to the Bitcoin conference and how is it going to be, you know, responded to and how's the crowd going to react. And like the crowd went crazy i mean it was a very electric environment and he walked away from that event being like these are my people i love bitcoin bitcoin loves me just like you know uh just uh um totally in how much do you think he understands bitcoin at the fundamental level versus what can bitcoin can bring him as a i mean was kind of new president i mean re-elected president yep Yep.
45:14So I would say that he understands it at a high level. He doesn't understand how the technology works. He doesn't, but he has smart people around him that he trusts that know how it works and are credible people. And, you know, he trusts them that if they say, okay, this is, this is how it works and it works fine. Like he, he believes them, but he does understand it at a, at a very high level. And, you know, the president is someone who is, he's an entrepreneur. He's a real estate developer. To be that, you have to be able to see something in a, you know, something raw that other people can't see.
45:54And so he saw the potential of what Bitcoin could do. And he saw the opportunity. And so he, and then he executed on it. And he delivered for our industry in a way that I've really never seen a politician deliver before for a cause. So, but yeah, it's definitely opportunistic. I think, you know, and I don't mean that in a slight. I mean opportunistic and he's a man who's built his career off of seeing opportunities where others don't. Let's get back to the MetaPlanet investment because it all ties together with this son, right? Who is now on the, I think he's on the board, right? Eric. So basically, I'm trying to understand is when was the in your kind of 1 million for fun investment in MetaPlanet and then see the whole story where you kind of red pill the Trumps and then you get the sun in MetaPlanet.
46:47Yeah. The whole thing. Yeah. I don't remember when I when Eric joined the advisory board. It was this year, I think. So and so my question is, you said before we started the whole process with the president last year in February. Right. When did we invest in MetaPlanet? It's kind of around the same time. we invested in um yeah about the march or something like that of last year but these were completely independent tracks so like there was no overlap but yeah then then they came together it's funny how that works crazy crazy and you know what's also interesting is like you know just to extend this a little bit further like bitcoin is going through this moment right now where it's becoming truly mainstream dream.
47:28And our political system, the power structure that exists in the world is based off of control of the money. It's based off of control of the flow of funds. It's based off of like the financial system itself is one of the main mechanisms of just control and power. And so, So, you know, as like Bitcoin reaches the stature, it inherently becomes a very political thing, even though it's apolitical in its own right. And what happened in the United States with the president, like this becoming a political topic and it kind of tapping the zeitgeist, it's happening all over the world. And, you know, the UK is a great example of this as well.
48:17And so when I look at these Bitcoin treasury companies, I think the long-term destination of where these are going is to become Bitcoin banks. And we actually have a corollary in history of when this happened. There were gold banks. And so it's like, and this is how these bullion banks ultimately became the people who underwrote government debt, government securities. They funded government bonds. This is how the first central banks came to be. And so what we're doing is we're really creating the next generation monetary system and the financial institutions that will comprise it. And every country is going to have at least one, probably multiple.
49:01And so it's this interesting fusion that's happening between the business of Bitcoin and the politics of governing the world. and like as we disrupt the money there's like this weird relationship that's having to form between the business side and the political side because we're kind of cutting out the other participants who were there previously as you said there's basically the floodgates are open politically business wise Wall Street is in institutions are in partly with this ETS partly with what you're doing and so the future is bright i read the the other day a tweet from brian armstrong who said i think we'll see a million dollar per bitcoin by 2030 you said i agree with brian armstrong let's fucking go yeah you also said that one million per bitcoin is the floor yeah why it's the floor because you know the only way that i can look at bitcoin to assess a uh evaluation of it because from my perspective, Bitcoin is a binary outcome.
50:10Either it works or it doesn't work. If it works, it's going to disrupt the entire value system. If it doesn't work, it's going to zero. Those are the two outcomes. And so it's like, okay, well, those are the two binary outcomes. Then how do I do a fair market value of Bitcoin today? So I look at comps. What can I comp it against to make a relative assessment of its value? And for all extents and purposes, gold, in my opinion, is the best corollary right now. Bitcoin is gold, but better. Bitcoin is gold, but it's actually scarce. It doesn't inflate at 2 % per year like gold does. Bitcoin is gold, but it's instantly transportable around the world.
50:51It can be teleported. Bitcoin is gold, but there's no security cost to store it. And I can keep a billion dollars of it on a piece of paper. you know it's gold with real-time auditability it's gold with infinite divisibility and so you know it's just better than gold in basically every way and if you made the market cap of gold equal to the market cap of bitcoin one bitcoin's worth right now like 1.2 million dollars and so you know it's been a moving target so that's my my twitter handle's a little bit out of date but so my my argument is that there's no justifiable reason why bitcoin should be worth less than gold it's better than gold if it works if it works i had a dantapero on the podcast and he said the one thing after his 30 or 35 years in uh investing he said every time i'm too sure about something that's when i lose money what's the probability that bitcoin doesn't work because you said before it's a binary outcome so it means that there's still in your mind the probability that it doesn't work yeah i try not to be absolute in anything you know it's like uh there's there's very few things that are absolute.
51:59I literally could not tell you why Bitcoin won't work.
52:06So if you just asked me to describe to you the failure state, I couldn't, I couldn't describe it. So, so from that perspective, I'm, I'm, I'm pretty confident in it, but there's a lot of things I don't know about. And I mean, like, you know, people talk about quantum risk. It's really hard to assess what's real and what's not real. But even if there was quantum computing, there's solution for how to solve it. It's like the system itself is emergent and responsive. And like I said, like, I don't think anything can kill it. I think actually anything you throw out, it's going to might cause a lot of volatility, but it'll just come back stronger.
52:42So yeah. And I, and I think if, you know, did your Brian Armstrong tweet that you called out, you know, if you, if you kind of run the math on a million dollars per Bitcoin, the numbers are just unbelievable. Like at a million dollars of Bitcoin, that means that Bitcoin's market cap's over$20 trillion. US GDP is$25 trillion. So you're talking about manifesting out of thin air, the US GDP. I mean, the US economy is the biggest economy in the world. Think about how much attention is given to if the US economy is growing at 3 % or 4%. So much attention is given to that. Okay, well, we just invented out of thin air an asset that's worth 100 % of the GDP, and it might fluctuate in the course of one day, 5%, which is the entire global GDP growth that we look for for an entire year.
53:36So you just have this asset that's going to start distorting the real world as it gains scale and size. Like at a million dollars, it's one of the biggest asset categories in the world. And so it's going to start having real world implications where the price of Bitcoin is what's going to drive inflation. Or, you know, if Bitcoin goes into a bear market, like there's going to be a financial crisis that extends beyond Bitcoin into the real world. And so we're just watching this process by which the world's financial heartbeat is synchronized to what happens to Bitcoin because so many people own it and it's so widely distributed throughout society and the value of it has gotten so large.
54:17if one million dollar per bitcoin in five years is the floor what's possible in 10 years what's the ceiling yeah i mean well the ceiling is is um one 21 millionth of infinity i mean that's the ceiling you know uh uh i think the the purchasing power of bitcoin caps out at the rate of growth of economic output technology and human population growth or like maybe with AI, maybe that doesn't even, uh, isn't even a limiting factor. So the market size is huge. It can, it can keep growing way bigger than anyone expects or even thinks is plausible. It's not like dollars. It's not like, um, uh, you know, securities that are issued by a company.
55:03It has a much bigger TAM, much bigger market. Um, and so, yeah, I mean, I think$50 million of Bitcoin is, is plausible. I think a hundred million dollars of Bitcoin is plausible. I do think the process to getting to that price point would be so fundamentally destabilizing to the social structure that you're going to have a lot of outlier events that happen in that process. And who knows, you know, exactly how that unfolds. But I mean, we were just talking about a million dollars of Bitcoin. Imagine if we went to$10 million of Bitcoin. Now we're 10 times the US GDP. The whole world, that's all we care about is Bitcoin's purchasing powers up or down per day.
55:44You wrote there's not going to be another Bitcoin market, bear market for the next several years. Every sovereign bank, insurer, corporate pension, and more will own Bitcoin. The process has already begun in earnest, yet we haven't even captured 0.01 % of the total addressable market we're going so much higher yeah some solid bull posting the um you know i think uh first off i've been a big believer of the four-year cycle for a long time um and you know uh every time people say this time is different for the four-year cycle and i've always been very cynical of that and every time it actually has played out as a four-year cycle.
56:28What I see that's different right now is like, you know, this is like real institutional adoption. I mean, this is like big hedge funds that you don't know are in Bitcoin or big financial institutions you don't know do Bitcoin that are taking on multi hundred million billion dollar, you know, positions like they're significant sums of capital. And, you know, that's never happened before. Like maybe you have like one outlier, but I'm talking about there's a lot of funds doing this, a lot of financial institutions doing it. And so, you know, I think it's kind of crossed the chasm of like credibility in the institutional investor community.
57:04And I think it's going to be faux pas not to have some exposure to Bitcoin over the next several years. And, you know, financial, the incentives of how fund managers even get paid incentivize that if enough people start doing something that generates outsized returns for those parties, to make sure you fall in the top quartile or at least middle of the pack, as you pointed out earlier. If you want to be safe, you got to make sure you're not in the last quartile. And so there is a forcing function that happens where it's like, if your peers are making more money than you buying Bitcoin, it's very hard to beat Bitcoin's performance.
57:42You're eventually forced to just get some exposure yourself. So I think we're going to see over the next several years, at least a solid percentage of institutional investors get some exposure. And there's a ton of institutional investors. And even those that are coming in in big size right now, they're coming in in like less than 1 % or 2 % of their assets. So, and these investors, they don't buy like individuals buy where, you know, individuals connect their bank account and they send over all their money in their bank account and they buy and it's a one and done and they've moved on. Like they're much more sophisticated how they enter positions and exit positions.
58:22And so they spread their buying over time. And then you also have index funds and ETFs and vehicles that are rebalancing their positions as well. So if it performs too well, they're cutting the position size. If it draws back, they're adding to the position size. And so this will just take a while to kind of metastasize and play out. And so I don't see how we can have a bear market when there's such a mismatch between capital coming in and how much capital there is to leave. So that's, that's, that's like, I think the four-year cycle, not that the idea itself is broken, but I think like this cycle is going to be unlike any other cycle we've seen before.
59:08When the second part of 2025, when do you think this ends? Well, that's what I'm saying is like, I think, you know, it's going to take several years for these participants to, you know, for us to capture a meaningful amount of the TAM for this. And, you know, I think the price has to get high enough where the amount of capital coming in, you know, matches what's coming out of the system. Like, you know, there's only a couple ways to skin the cat. If you want to, if a hundred billion wants to come in, you know, the price of Bitcoin rises enough so that there's enough available Bitcoin inventory to sell them for the hundred billion dollars.
59:42So at some point in time, the price gets high enough where it will become unsustainable there has to be a prolonged bear market but what's that price in your mind a range you know again it's back to like what's the value of bitcoin i mean i i could it could be 500 000 it could be a million they could so i i it's really hard to answer that question um i think it's more like uh uh the price of bitcoin growing significantly in a one-year period. Like if we see a couple hundred percent return or 300 % return in a year, like that's very difficult to sustain. But if you look at this bull run in general, it's been pretty steady.
1:00:24Steady lads. Last one on dreaming bigger. You tweeted some time ago, ever since getting into Bitcoin, I've always had this dream of smash buying$1 billion of Bitcoin in a single bid. tomorrow that dream comes true gotta start dreaming bigger how can someone learn to dream bigger you know uh first off you know also great bull posting for me uh uh you know we we we smash bought we smash bought over 12 hours so it really wasn't as climatic as everyone was hoping uh but uh yeah what does dream bigger mean what dream bigger means is like
1:01:05Bitcoin is the biggest idea to happen in a very long time. It's going to touch and affect all parts of life and society. We think of Bitcoin in a very small way right now. And what people need to do is unleash their creativity to imagine what Bitcoin could be in this future state where it has saturated the world and they need to build towards that. And so, you know, a year ago, it was crazy to say, hey, let's pitch the next president of the United States. I'm going in on Bitcoin. But if Bitcoin is really going to be the reserve asset of the world, that's not just that's not crazy. That's that's necessary.
1:01:47Like that has to happen. And so and it worked, you know, it worked. So it's like you have to dream big enough to be able to imagine the possible world that exists that doesn't exist today. And then you need to go about effectuating and manifesting that actually happening. What's bigger than pitching the US president about Bitcoin? Pitching God about Bitcoin? What do you do next? Well, I mean, first off, there's a lot you can do next, but there's a lot of different religions on the planet. I mean, what's the perception of Bitcoin from the Catholic Church? You know, I would make the case Bitcoin, it's halal.
1:02:34Like, what's the Islamic view on Bitcoin, you know? So, there's definitely societal institutions left to deeply penetrate. And then even the U.S., like, okay, strategic Bitcoin reserve, which hasn't even happened yet, but I think will happen soon. Um, next is like, okay, well, once we have the SBR, we need to issue government debt. That's backed by Bitcoin. We need bit bonds. We need the U S government issue bit bonds. Um, you know, I, I, one example that I think is, was a recent creative thing that I was very impressed by. I don't know if you saw this development where Fannie and Freddie Mac, the, the, uh, real estate, uh, I don't know what to call them.
1:03:13Agencies. Agencies. Yeah. Um, Um, there, they, uh, the head of that program, uh, passed a new rule that, that mortgage lenders have to factor in your Bitcoin when assessing your credit rating. That is a very good idea. That is, that is exactly what I'm talking about of the integration of Bitcoin to the real world, where if you can't imagine where Bitcoin's going, it's, it's hard to even think of that idea. But if you can't imagine it, it's like, okay, well, this is an asset every American owns. if we want them to buy real estate their assets need to be calculated and so like there's a million there's a million things like that and not just in the united states but in every country on the planet and then even beyond that it's like how do we get you know machines to use bitcoin how do we make bitcoin money of space how do we make bitcoin the money of ai how do we make bitcoin i mean i could just go on and on it's like there's unlimited design space so you know people rally around ideas and if you can paint a vision of what you're trying to achieve even if it's very ambitious, people can rally behind that cause and you can make it happen.
1:04:16And one of the lessons I learned from the election, and you mentioned earlier a random walk down Wall Street. And one of the reasons I don't believe in the efficient market hypothesis is like we built this partnership and relationship with Trump on behalf of the industry. if you looked at the polling data or any of the prediction markets, it was always basically 50-50. It was always basically a coin flip. When the president won, it unlocked how many trillions of dollars of value. And so there was always this coin flip potential outcome that the entire market world saw. Yet it wasn't actually, uh, uh, the value that it was, would create was not understood or appreciated until after the election happened.
1:05:09And so this was just like a asymmetric opportunity sitting in front of everyone where it's like, okay, if we raised a hundred million dollars for the president and we made this thing happen and he's going to go unlock a trillion dollars of value when he's elected. I mean, how, how many orders of magnitude is that? It's just sitting in plain sight for everyone to see. And so, um, yeah, I think, I think the world suffers from a lack of creativity and, uh, uh, to be able to articulate a vision, um, is powerful. Dream bigger, dream bigger, dream as big as you possibly can. Thank you, David, for doing this.
1:05:45That was awesome. Thank you for bringing Bitcoin into another dimension with the incredible work you're doing with the Bitcoin conference with your company, KindlyMD. No, we didn't even get a chance to talk about Nakamoto, KindlyMD. We'll save it for the next time. And last but not least with the red pilling of the president of the US that unlocked trillions of dollars for the industry. Thank you so much. Hey, man. We didn't do it. 15 years of Bitcoin. Bitcoin did it. All of us did it. So, but it's cool to watch history unfold from the front lines. And I recommend other people try it. It's a lot more fun to be a part of it than to watch it passively as it goes by.
1:06:30Amazing. Thank you so much. Thank you. As you probably know by now, I host some of the biggest names in Bitcoin and crypto on my podcast. But a lot of the best stuff never makes it on air. The Shift newsletter is where I share that raw behind the scene alpha. The insights, stories, and lessons straight from my guests that you won't hear anywhere else. If you want the real inside take on Bitcoin and crypto, join my newsletter, The Shift, in the description down below.
From the publisher
David Bailey, CEO of Bitcoin Magazine and Kindly MD, reveals the inside story of the 4-month campaign that got Donald Trump to embrace Bitcoin as an "America First" policy.
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The info contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speakers who are not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speakers do not guarantee any particular outcome.
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0:00 - Introduction
1:33 - Please Subscribe
1:58 - Podcasting Talk
3:13 - Who Are You
3:56 - Why Listen To David
4:27 - One Way To Lose Bitcoin
6:03 - What’s Your Mission
8:03 - Bitcoin Is The Future
9:29 - Our Valued Sponsors
14:23 - Bitcoin A Scam Journey
16:13 - Why Bitcoin Only
19:36 - How Will You Defy History
29:35 - Our Trusted Partners
30:24 - Gigantic Returns From Treasury Plays
33:58 - What Naysayers Don’t Understand
37:50 - Crazy Deal Flow, How To Manage
41:06 - How Trump Got Into Bitcoin
45:01 - How Much Trump Understands Bitcoin
46:26 - The Whole Timeline Explained
47:18 - Bitcoin & Politics
49:27 - $1 Million Per Bitcoin Floor
51:33 - Probability Of Bitcoin Not Working
54:18 - The Ceiling Of Bitcoin
55:45 - Four Year Cycle Belief
59:09 - When Does This Bull Market End?
1:00:29 - How Someone Can Dream Bigger
1:02:11 - Bigger Than Pitching The President




