THE BREAKDOWN: Norway’s Talent Machine Unpacked, Silverstone’s Record Weekend, & NBA Europe’s Billion Dollar Bids (E27)

10 Jul 2026 · 1 h 6 min · 26 chapters

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In short

A sports breakdown covering (1) Norway’s talent pipeline ahead of an England World Cup quarterfinal, (2) Silverstone’s record F1 weekend and hosting economics, (3) NBA Europe’s billion-dollar franchise bids, and (4) a World Cup controversy: a red card appeal effectively influenced by Donald Trump’s call to FIFA chief Gianni Infantino. They also discuss Wimbledon’s atmosphere, prize money allocation, and a tennis media time-strike.

Guests

Charlie Stebbings (host) and Charlie Methven (sports executive; described as “legendary”).

Key claims

Norway’s system keeps sport fun until age 12, then centralizes elite development (Landslagskollen) and delays specialization; by 25, 93% of Norwegians play organized sport. NBA Europe franchise bids topped $1B for major cities; EuroLeague exit costs are disputed (reported €10m vs claimed €100m). In the World Cup, there’s no red-card appeal process, yet a red card outcome was suspended after Trump’s call—damaging perceived integrity.

Notable examples

Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard development path; Bodo Glimt’s standout midfield; Norway’s Olympic medalists (Johannes Thingnes Bø, Karsten Warholm, etc.); Balogun’s red card vs the US; England vs Brazil; Real Madrid/Barcelona basketball links to EuroLeague.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Norway's Sports Success

1:12 to 1:26

An exploration of Norway's sports landscape and its talent development.

Silverstone's Record Weekend

1:26 to 2:24

Discussion about the massive turnout at Silverstone and its financial turnaround.

“No one does a better job or has a better success rate of providing the tools to access the opportunities to work in sports than the Global Institute of Sport.”

Announcement of Substack Launch

2:49 to 3:30

Details about the podcast's new Substack and upcoming exclusive content.

“Now we want to do more with you, get to know you better, and bring you another layer of content and conversations.”

Wimbledon Buzz and Player Insights

3:30 to 5:11

Discussion on Wimbledon, player impressions, and the atmosphere of the tournament.

“You had a few jibes the other day about me not wearing linen, which I didn't really sort of get.”

Prize Money Debate and Player Impact

5:11 to 8:00

The hosts debate prize money distribution in tennis and its implications for access.

“Jessica Bagula, who's the fourth seed, again, quite similar.”

Controversial Sending Off in World Cup

8:00 to 10:00

Discussion surrounding a controversial red card incident in the World Cup.

“we're only going to do 15 minutes of time with the media.”

Impacts of Trump's Involvement in FIFA

10:00 to 14:00

Exploring the implications of Donald Trump's influence on FIFA and sports integrity.

“I don't want us to go all talk sporty as we occasionally get accused of if we show our real views on England.”

World Cup Red Card Controversy

14:00 to 17:48

Discusses the implications of red card decisions in the World Cup and the reactions of football authorities.

“And then about a minute and a half later said, I didn't know what a red card is.”

NBA Europe: Launching a New League

17:48 to 24:54

Explores the NBA's plans for establishing a European basketball league and the challenges it faces.

Norway's Talent Development in Sports

24:54 to 28:00

Analyzes Norway's success in developing sports talent compared to Scotland's football history.

“the next few months because it's meant to start next year yeah i mean at the moment it looks like there is going to end up being two leagues.”
Show all 26 chapters

Comparing Norway and Scotland in Sports Development

28:00 to 29:22

Explore the similarities and differences in sports development between Norway and Scotland.

“And we've seen it across various sports over the last 10 to 15 years.”

Norwegian Youth Sports Philosophy

29:22 to 30:48

Understand Norway’s youth sports philosophy focused on enjoyment and participation.

“So what have Norway been doing that Scotland have not been doing?”

Investment in Sports Infrastructure

30:48 to 32:32

Learn how Norway's investment in sports infrastructure supports youth development.

“Not, I'm just, I'm feeling forced into doing this and I want to push back.”

Elite Academy System in Norway

32:32 to 34:19

Discover how Norway’s elite academy system nurtures young talent at the right age.

“But they are not entering a professional football club environment until they're much closer to the point of their professional career.”

Impact of Late Specialization in Sports

34:19 to 36:15

Examine the benefits of late specialization in sports for youth athletes in Norway.

Sports Success Stories from Norway

36:15 to 37:54

Highlight notable Norwegian athletes and their diverse sports backgrounds leading to success.

“Carsten Warholm, the 400-meter hurdle, gold medal in Tokyo.”

Comparative Performance of Norway and Scotland

37:54 to 39:58

Analyze the contrasting performances of Norway and Scotland in football.

“whether it's Odegaard, whether it's the team, I mean Berg in midfield, again, without getting too tactical, but he plays for Bodo Glimt.”

Challenges for Scottish Football

39:58 to 42:00

Discuss the systemic challenges faced by Scottish football compared to Norway's success.

“So if you look, first of all, on the club side, you've got Celtic and Rangers massively underperforming in Europe.”

Norway's Sporting Success Model

42:00 to 43:49

Explore Norway's unique approach to developing sports talent and how smaller nations can compete.

“If we're looking at spend, the spend here for Norway was creating a system, well, an infrastructure system that facilitated all year round football, if they could on pitches that didn't freeze over.”

The British Grand Prix Overview

43:50 to 44:44

Discussion on the recent British Grand Prix and its significance amidst other major sports events.

“So, well, I hope you get an absolute pasting.”

Event Attendance and Impact

44:45 to 45:59

Analysis of the record attendance at Silverstone and its implications for the F1 industry.

“Are you calling for a rerun of the Lewis Hamilton Max Verstappen disaster?”

Economic Challenges of F1 Hosting

46:00 to 46:58

Examine the economic pressures on circuits hosting F1 events, particularly Silverstone.

“because they include the Thursday as well.”

BRDC and the Evolution of Silverstone

46:59 to 49:43

Delve into the history and responsibilities of the British Racing Drivers Club regarding Silverstone.

“is to really look at who actually is responsible for putting on Silverstone itself.”

The Rise of Hosting Fees in F1

49:44 to 51:43

Discuss how hosting fees have escalated in F1 and their impact on traditional circuits.

“We need to do this whole thing in a much more structured way.”

Liberty Media and the F1 Restructure

51:44 to 56:00

Explore the changes brought by Liberty Media and how they aimed to revitalize the British Grand Prix.

“because they can't afford to pay these hosting fees okay and eventually the hosting fees started to get so big that silverson started to struggle to pay them as well so this is around about 10 to 15 years ago.”

The Financial Turnaround of Silverstone

56:00 to 1:04:05

Learn how Silverstone transformed from near bankruptcy to financial success.

“This is like the core of fandom and we're trying to build fandom.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00He started off by going, you know, I know sports. about a minute and a half later said, I didn't know what a red card is. Whatever happens after that, independent panels or not, whether this is the right call or not, it doesn't really matter. When Donald Trump admits he's made that call, the integrity of any decision made disappears. This is the first time that one of the major American sports has made a serious effort to establish a European league. And it makes sense, right? Because basketball's got much stronger roots in Europe than American football and baseball have. Do you know how many people turned up at Silverstone over the weekend.

0:33564 ,000 people. By 2015, they're on the verge of bankruptcy. I mean, it's the most astonishing sports business turnaround. A 95 % rate of Norwegians playing a team sport by the time they're 25. That gives Norway a really broad pool of athletes. There's a very high chance that in a different ecosystem, Erling Haaland would have fallen through the cracks where physically a coach will assess them and say, you're not quite up to it. Hello and welcome to The Breakdown. I'm Charlie Stebbings and joining me as always is the legendary sports executive Mr Charlie Methven. It's all eyes on Norway ahead of a massive World Cup quarterfinal against England.

1:07But how has a country of 5.5 million people built a team capable of beating the football world's biggest nations? I'd look away now, Scotland. And guess what? It's not just in football. Add to that a look at what it costs to host the biggest F1 races on the back of Silverstone's record-breaking weekend and a check-in on the billion-dollar franchise bids of the NBA Europe and we have ourselves a breakdown. This show has a number of ambitions. Education sits at the heart of it. No one does a better job or has a better success rate of providing the tools to access the opportunities to work in sports than the Global Institute of Sport.

1:39GIS's goal is to democratise access into the sports industry, a sector that has historically been a closed shop. Laying out a few stats, they have industry-leading graduate success. 79 % of GIS graduates are working in sport within six months. 99 % secure employment within six months. GIS is about outcomes. It's all about a global immersive learning experience. You can study online with flexibility to fit your busy lifestyle or on campus at world-class stadium venues including London's Wembley Stadium, Miami, Toronto, Sydney, Brussels. Learning in the very locations where elite sport happens. Flexible work placements and projects with clubs and organisations around the world integrated into your studies.

2:18It's the World's number one sports education network, ranked number one university for getting a job in sport by Sport Business Magazine. There's a real industry access, a powerhouse network of 50 plus sports industry partners, including the Premier League, the FA and other global giants. An unrivaled global community of mentors, executives and guest speakers offering real world insight and opportunity. If you want to take your sports career to the next level, visit www.gis.sport. We'll have some exciting plans to share on our work with them in the coming weeks. So please stay tuned. But first, big announcement alert.

2:50We are launching on Substack. The first few months have been awesome. Now we want to do more with you, get to know you better, and bring you another layer of content and conversations. We're talking bonus segments, Q &As, written pieces, events, votes, all launching officially next Friday. We'll be posting exclusives from tomorrow to give you a sneak peek. So click on the link in the description and come join us for real. Good morning, Charlie. Very early morning, Charlie, this morning. So I'm sorry to drag you out of bed into the London studio. I wouldn't say very early morning, Charlie. Both of us have young daughters.

3:23Nine o 'clock is absolutely, absolutely fine. And also on a day which is going to be as hot as today means that we can get in here before the tube becomes too sweaty. You had a few jibes the other day about me not wearing linen, which I didn't really sort of get. But today I'm wearing more linen than a bride's head revisited rehash. I am muck linen today. So I am off. I'm very lucky to be off to Wimbledon after this. Yeah. Breakdown morning linen for Wimbledon at lunch. However, I obviously have to be wearing a shirt, right, for the lovely part of Wimbledon. Have you been advised in? I have literally that shirt.

4:02So we could have been sitting here identical. Matchy-matchy. Yeah, I've been invited. I've been very, by a business of sport alumni and an absolute legend who I used to watch at Stamford Bridge when I was about six or seven years old. He won't thank me for that. It's not John Terry. It's not John Terry. It's Mr. Graham Lassau. Graham Lassau. He's a great guy. The sophisticated footballer. Sophisticated footballer. Huge tennis fan. Famously reads The Guardian, which we won't hold against him. Well, look, he reads. He reads. Anyhow, off to Wimbledon. What have you made of Wimbledon so far? So we said last week that we thought that it needed a bit of a spicing up, a bit of a kick.

4:38People came back going, oh, but no, look at the women's game. It's been stocked with talent. I think maybe we were misunderstood. I don't think it was really a question of talent. I think some of the games and matches and players are exceptional. What we were really talking about is the feeling and the atmosphere that comes with the biggest profile players and the personalities that we've had in the past that add to that excitement. And if you look at those top women's players, Sabalenka, I think, has done a very good job on building a kind of brand and a personality beyond her game. But without being too harsh, you have number two seed was Elena Rabakina.

5:07Don't know a huge amount about. Very, very, very quiet. Igor Sviontek, exactly the same. Jessica Bagula, who's the fourth seed, again, quite similar. So, you know, your kind of top players, while being excellent, exceptional tennis players, don't have that kind of personality factor. And we've already discussed, you know, the Yannick Sinner challenge, which is, you know, the most incredible player, but also suffers from a little bit of the... Yeah, he wouldn't have charisma as his top trump. Yes. You know, sort of 10 rating, but is nonetheless an outstanding tennis player. But long and short of it.

5:42I think firstly from Britain as well, England, we said that we were short a player or two to follow in this tournament and Arthur Ferry seems to have picked up. I don't think that anyone, I mean, I'm not a tennis cognoscente, I just like watching it. So perhaps there is somebody somewhere out there in the ether who is going, I'll tell you what, you need to keep an eye on this Arthur Ferry bloke. But I certainly didn't hear it. He was a long, long way down even the British pecking order and the British tennis pecking order was a long, long way down the international pecking order so arthur ferry who i assume was given a wild card yeah he was he was given a wild card and he's now into the quarter finals yeah the quarter finals was an astonishing achievement we do have to enter a little asterisk charlie um which is he's french arthur ferry it's a wonderful name it sounds it sounds like the kind of bloke who had been playing cricket for yorkshire in the 1930s arthur ferry came out the mine and bowled quick he bowled quick I tell you um but actually as it turns out he's not only French but he's the son of a hedge fund boss which is brilliant um so anyway I'm grateful I'm grateful to have him here yeah we're grateful to have him here well I am yes absolutely go Arthur absolutely it's brilliant go the Arthur let's be quite clear I know to be fair he's grown up in England so you know he is English naturalized English but he is basically French um but yes I think this this is goes back onto the conversations we've been having about Wimbledon and prize money, etc.

7:04Because, of course, whatever the top tennis players want in terms of how much money they want Wimbledon to give them, at the moment that money, the vast majority of it, does go to enabling people throughout Britain to play tennis. That's where that money goes. That 40, 50 million quid a year goes to the LTA, who then spreads it throughout the country. And leaving aside young Arthur, most of the other British players actually come from reasonably humble backgrounds and have been enabled through LTA schemes. So that's effectively what, if we give all that money to the top players in prize money as they would all like, then there's not as much money to open up access to everybody else.

7:43Now, the criticism that would legitimately be made is, okay, well, that's really nice for Britain because you happen to have a grand slam in your country. But is that really opening up access to the rest of the world? And why should I, a Belarusian tennis player, care about access in Britain? So there are arguments to be had around it. Incidentally, I did check in. I don't know, I sent you a couple of notes over the weekend over this tennis player strike, i.e. we're only going to do 15 minutes of time with the media. That'll show you. But even that is not being broadly observed. I mean, it's about 50 % of the players who have agreed to only spend 15 minutes of their time with the media.

8:21And I wouldn't particularly say that it, I mean, do we want more than 15 minutes? Oh, really? 15 minutes is fine. In fact, I would almost pay a bit more money. I'd pay a bit more money to get it cut back to 10. Most of these interviews they do with the media are so astonishingly banal. You only see one-minute clips on the BBC really anyway. So, I mean, that's what it's all boiled down to. Yeah, again, if you're going to strike, strike. I've got the points to make a strike. On that final piece you made there was really interesting. The show that we did with Craig Tiley, which will come out today, that was a key point that we were talking about for the broadening of participation.

8:54And it was a key point he made of tennis being a top three viewership sport in the world. and not in the top 10 commercial sports in the world. So they are not making enough money to be able to facilitate the broader participation ecosystem. Very focused on grand slam places, very focused on the areas that already have established tennis backgrounds, but they need to spread far more money. And that just comes from the sport really not managing itself well enough and therefore not making enough money. That was a point actually that Stan Wawrinkin made a comment on the weekend. He said this whole thing over squeezing the grand sands more money is absolute rubbish.

9:27he said what the focus has to be on the ATP tour yeah the WTA tour that's where the problem is not the grandsons the grandsons are paying vast amounts of prize money the issue is in the all the other events that's where the real challenge comes yeah so yeah it's good um but yeah I always love Wimbledon regardless even if it seems flat at the beginning everyone you know if you enjoy your tennis everyone generally gets into it um there's been some some big news in the World Cup Charlie not not on the football pitch that um well there has been big news on the football pitch but We may come to that a little bit subsequently, but I think what you're going to refer to, Charlie, is big news off the pitch.

10:00Big news off the pitch. I don't want us to go all talk sporty as we occasionally get accused of if we show our real views on England. What a game, though. Wow. Okay, so yes, we'll get that out. That was a fantastic watch. I'm very excited because, obviously, Charlie, this is my derby. This is the Stebbings derby. The quarterfinal. England versus the ski jumpers. Sorry, not even the ski jumpers, the people who were not deemed suitable for ski jumpers, probably for physiological reasons and who therefore converted into being footballers. Exactly. So the Stebbings derby. Any conflicted loyalties?

10:34No, you're England all in. I'm England. England all in. I said, and as we'll cover shortly, I'm Norway when it suits me, and increasingly so in sport, it suits me to be Norwegian quite a lot because they're increasingly good across various elements of the sporting world. But they were exceptional against Brazil. Brazil had been pretty average throughout the whole tournament. Again, I don't think that takes a genius to figure that out. but the way they kind of closed out that last quarter. And it is interesting, isn't it? Because I do feel strategically with these hydration breaks, it does feel like quarters.

11:02That last quarter, they were awesome. So it'll be an interesting one to see how England approach it. But what's been happening off the pitch? Because there's just been a small incident that seems to have captured the imagination of many people. I mean, really, it shocked me. Out of nowhere, behaviors I would never have associated with these two individuals. So in America's last 32 game, Balogun, their star young attacking player, got sent off. And if we're being honest, it was a bit of a soft sending off. It wouldn't have been a total shock if he hadn't been sent off. It was accident. Yeah. But he was sent off.

11:43Exactly. The bottom line is he was sent off. Now, there is a procedure to appeal a sending off and to say that wasn't a correct sending off. Incorrect. There is not. There is not. This World Cup, there is not. There is not. That is where this is all. So there is no appeal system in this World Cup to appeal red cards. I didn't know that. So now, just being in football, automatically you assume there is an appeals process in place. And I think Gary Neville said it actually. Look, there should be. Because in a major tournament like this, if a player gets unfairly sent off, you want them to participate.

12:14You've already suffered for the first one. Exactly. You've played with 10 men. But there is no official appeals process. And so when an independent panel, this was the strange thing, I think, FIFA's justification, jumping ahead, but just on this, FIFA's justification for this incident, we'll explain if you haven't, if you have been under a rock, is that the independent panel is always independent and will come to its conclusions based on the facts. but the independent panel in the first place shouldn't really be hearing this. And so why was it hearing it? Well, it was hearing it because after this sending off, it came out that Donald Trump put a call into Gianni saying, I don't think that was a red card.

12:56Now, whatever happens after that, right, independent panels or not, whether this is the right call or not, it doesn't really matter. This is a game of perception. Sports is really a game of the top perceptions. And so when Donald Trump admits he's made that call, the integrity of any decision made, the legitimacy of the sport disappears if the decision sides with Trump. Yes. All he had to do in that moment at Infantino is say, look, unfortunately, now that you have made that call, I can now not allow this to happen whatsoever. Because if it's perceived, Mr. President, that you yourself have changed something to do with the competition, that would actually be worse for all of us.

13:38It just won't work. Like it was a quite extraordinary. I mean, again, I'm not surprised at all by this because this is just the Trump playbook. This is exactly what you would expect from Donald Trump. So I don't look at it and go, oh, this is out of character and unusual on that front. It's on FIFA for entertaining this in the first place, considering there is no process in place to appeal. So that is the biggest question. But I mean, obviously, with his statements, I did see he started off by going, you know, I know sports. And then about a minute and a half later said, I didn't know what a red card is.

14:10so let's sorry let's just I think we got ahead of ourselves here so what has happened is that the this is the technical decision is that the one match ban has been suspended for a year so they officially haven't got rid of the ban they've done they've sort of pushed it off into the future at some point pending good behaviour or something like that I don't really know now as long as he doesn't re-offend as long as he doesn't re-offend I mean as if right so I think you're right let's not get too involved in the technicality of this rule and this committee and this rule and that committee. The bottom line is straightforward, which is every single red card in this World Cup has resulted in a one-match ban.

14:48Correct. Right? End of. Right? Jarrell Kwanzaa got sent off for England against Mexico. He will be banned for the quarterfinal. Yep. And there have been 12, I think, 12 or 13 red cards. Everyone has been treated the same up until this point. And then who is that that gets the exemption? oh it's the host it's the person that has called up the president has called up the president of fifa and gianni obviously acting like a kind of head of a nation state himself which always seems to be his yeah his strategy he generally you know i think he he looks he feels like he's a politician right and he loves it and even in his justifications i feel calls from world leaders every day you know this there was nothing unusual about this so well again kind of irrelevant do you think charlie do you think okay we can all agree and i think the entire of the football world agrees that this was crass yet again.

15:38Yeah. Okay, so let's not labor the point. I see in a lot of the media things like, you know, Infantino under pressure, Infantino, blah, blah. Is he? Really? No. He isn't. That's the bottom line. So however much everybody else is foaming at the mouth and jumping up and down saying this is absolutely outrageous, Infantino is still traveling around in his private jet going to matches. And at the end of the World Cup, he'll say that was an amazing World Cup. I did a great job. You know, nothing to see here. So there are three ways. there are three ways that he could be deposed if you want. He can resign.

16:07It's not going to happen. Not going to happen. People in power enjoy the power. He certainly does. Not going to happen. Two, the council or like the FIFA council can get together and basically remove him if there is enough support in there or there can be an election. Now, we've talked about this at length previously as well. What has Gianni done amazingly well for a lot of the voting members of FIFA? Cape Verde, are they better off from Gianni's expanded World Cup? Absolutely. you've talked about the blocks of voting that have happened in the caribbean every single asian country i think correct me if i'm wrong anyone on this but i think every single asian country came out a few days ago literally saying they are supporting infantino as a block so he needs there's 207 members of fifa he needs about 104 let's say to win the vote and i think basically before he'd even go to a vote he's got about 110 of those votes in the bag already most of them not from major footballing nations but from the one vote all equal yeah therefore all of this conversation he should resign well he's not going to resign and fifa aren't going to remove him yeah so really what are we you know what are we asking what are we crying about uh we of course cry about the problems that this creates and where does it stop thomas tucall's you know very fair point was where does it end now you know literally that was just all he said and i think a lot of other countries have said it belgium's response was actually you know we're not fighting for us we're fighting for the integrity of the whole sport yeah um of course they are but unfortunately as I said kind of I've joked but are we surprised this is the behavior that both of these organizations and people have acted out for a long time let's not labor the point I think to complete the discussion Belgium thrashed the United States last night and the US played appallingly badly and I think it's actually quite an interesting reflection on the law of unintended consequences which is you know Trump's assumption was as somebody who doesn't necessarily really understand the way in which sport works well if i make a huge hullabaloo and that particular player gets reinstated then that makes it more likely that we will win but it's funny when these types of sort of massive amounts of hoopla surround a particular sporting team or it or an individual player quite rare you get a very high level of performance at the back end of that because effectively you're losing focus and focus is the important thing so you instead of everybody instead of poch and his boys being okay we're without balagun for one game but that's okay it's fine we've got a strong squad it's fine this is how we're going to play this is what we're going to do first of all not knowing whether baligan is going to play or not going to play for a bit and therefore not quite understanding what your game plan might be but secondly just physically during those training sessions there would have been people coming in and out of meeting rooms going uh the latest i'm hearing is this the latest i'm hearing is that and everyone's mind space being taken up with this issue which otherwise would have been a total non-issue so anyway I think everyone can be thankful that that the Belgians won probably Infantino also should be thankful the Belgians run because if this had run if the Americans had kept on going in this competition then that might have started to look you know a bit more ugly maybe there'd been some sort of appeal by the Belgians maybe even some sort of like Cass appeal or something like that the whole thing could have got quite quite ugly so it's probably for the best that belgium won and probably for the best going on from forward from here that the less we see of donald trump the better for the rest of the tournament yeah anyhow until the trophy presentation obviously that would be that would be quite something won't it so so so moving on to another thing that we need to catch up on which is um nba europe charlie um so just to remind um listeners and viewers this is quite early in our in our podding journey we discussed this this issue which is the NBA, that's the American Franchise Basketball League, having an aspiration to create something called NBA Europe, equivalent basketball competition in Europe under their auspices, so using their brand.

19:56And this causing a few ructions with the pre-existing and quite significant EuroLeague basketball, which is where professional European basketball has been at forever in a day, including with some really big franchises. So what's the latest? The latest is that the NBA has been running a bidding process for the franchises. There are going to be 12 franchises to kick off the league. And that bidding process closed on June the 30th. And they fielded, I think they said, over 20 serious bids, some of which topped a billion, a billion dollars for the biggest cities. And those were assumed to be Paris and London, the most valuable.

20:35Some others would go down to about 500 million. There was suggestions from those trying to spin negatively that a few of the smaller ones hadn't met the minimum 500 that they were hoping for. But either way, I think you could safely say that the NBA is pretty delighted with the numbers that have been put on the table for the franchises so far. The interesting story, of course, with this has always been the relationship of the NBA and the EuroLeague, as you suggested, and how this would actually ever come into fruition. Because you've got the EuroLeague on one side basically threatening all kinds of challenges to this.

21:05you've got the NBA basically going, we don't care and we'll find our way through this. Regardless, the NBA have been suggesting that for teams to get out of the EuroLeague and into the NBA system, there's break clauses in contracts of about 10 million euros. I think reportedly the EuroLeague can be saying it's more like 100 million euros. You've got football clubs in EuroLeague who have been a huge part of this. So for example, Barcelona, Real Madrid, you've got Turkish clubs that are Fenerbahce, I think, and Besiktas, Olympiakos, and Greece, huge. There's a real kind of thread between those. So just to make that absolutely clear, that there are some major European football clubs who also have basketball teams, who have been playing in EuroLeague, who are very significant size.

21:48And effectively, the NBA has been trying to tempt across various of those clubs, not all, but various of those clubs into NBA Europe, so that they sort of have some pre-existing fan bases effectively coming across to start the whole league. But of course, if you've got a billion valuation for, let's just say, a Madrid franchise and you're Real Madrid, how are you running the economics of that as the NBA? Because Real Madrid are not in a position, nor are it socios of sanctioning a one billion entry into a league. And Real Madrid, Barcelona, a few of the others, there's been a pretty strong suggestion that they believe that the NBA needs them far more than they need it.

22:23They're pretty happy with some of their...

22:31The NBA and Adam Silver, the commissioner of the NBA, have had to make some significant concessions to make these franchises attractive, chief of which has been the amount of money which the NBA subsidizes NBA Europe with. The original concept was, you know, if they could have pulled it off, this would have been great, was first of all, we're going to charge entities huge amounts of money to have a franchise. And then effectively, they are then going to have to also bear the cost of the league as a whole and all this stuff. And it became clear that wasn't really going to fly. So what happened was is the NBA said, right, of the franchise fees that get paid, we are going to reinvest a significant chunk of that in effectively front-loading the costs of the league for a substantial period of time until it gets itself fully up and running.

23:15Which part of this pitch was that the franchises will break even in three years. So coming back to why people always want to invest in sport, the importance of that is investable environments, is you're not going to lose bucket loads of money if you invest in it. Now, if you're already spending a billion and you're having to pump in a billion over the next three years, let's all five years, you're very happy to hear that there's a period in the near future that won't require you to do that. However, the EuroLeague, it's kicking hard. It's fighting hard. It's trying to sign its current teams to 10-year deals.

23:45Real Madrid actually committed the day before the close of the bids to the EuroLeague. So they've actually gone and put their colors on the mast of the EuroLeague. You're back in the situation of very high franchise fees being paid for assets that don't exist yet, right? Off the back of the success of something that works incredibly well in, as we know, a very difficult environment to replicate in Europe, i.e. the American sports ecosystem. Now, are we saying that it wouldn't work? Absolutely not. You know, basketball is a huge sport in Europe. But what we have discussed previously at length is the difference between establishing brand new IP and assuming that audience and fandom and passion that is associated with European sport follows versus could we look at the EuroLeague and build something out of that in a similar way that we suggested Live Golf and the PIF should have done with the European Tour.

24:39complexities in that and by the by the state of the euro leagues comms i'm sure they would have told the nba exactly where to stick it if that would be in the uh the communications anyway but this may be great there's a long way to go i think in making it a reality in in in the ways the nba would perfectly like they'll probably have to be a few more movements and concessions over the next few months because it's meant to start next year yeah i mean at the moment it looks like there is going to end up being two leagues. And that's really not beneficial because in terms of narrative, that then becomes quite a difficult thing to explain to the broader sporting public, which is really the point of this.

25:16Okay. So if you think about basketball in Europe, professional basketball in Europe, the Euroleague is already having an established audience in certain places that has been built up over decades and decades and decades. Okay. And that's great. And these are what might be called the basketball fanatics. These are the people who really really care about basketball now the question is for the to make these new franchises work it's not going to be enough simply to transfer across some of the professional basketball fanatics they're going to need to penetrate the broader audience if you think about that london franchise or the paris franchise whatever it might be they're going to need to pay in a big arena and they're going to need to be able to draw in a broad a much broader sort of cross-section of the sports watching community than those people who are already established passionate basketball watchers.

26:05Otherwise, why bother, frankly, overall? So I think it's really interesting to watch. This is the first time that one of the major American sports has made a serious effort to establish a European league, a serious one, a really serious effort, massively heavily backed, very ambitious, right, we're going to really, really go for it. And it makes sense right because basketball's got much stronger roots in europe than american football and baseball have right so of the three this is the right one to be giving it a real go and i don't this i don't want this to be us being critical i think this is having a look at it and trying to pull out where it is right now and where some of those challenges will be but as you say at the heart of it basketball is a big sport in europe it is a big sport in europe some of the biggest attendances in indoor arenas great viewership as we do i mean it's like 500 million wasn't it on across Europe on broadcast.

26:55So that is absolutely there. But just as a lot of other audiences have been there for sports that have also spun off new leagues, again, it just comes back to the point of a break-even in three years will also have assumptions of X amount of attendances and participations from a fan base that may not have actually been converted to a London franchise or a Paris franchise. So if you don't break even in three years at the NBA, they're going to have to subsidize some of that to ensure that those franchise owners don't come back and go, well, that was a key part of our investment thesis. Yeah, let's keep watching this.

27:26Let's keep watching this. So, what are we going to move on to now, Charlie? Charlie, we are going to go back to my second homeland because while Norway have been tearing it up, shall we say, at the World Cup, I think there's a more interesting story to really pull out that we've actually touched on a tiny bit in the past when we were going through Winter Olympic sports, but we didn't really develop. and now you've seen the development of Norway in a global sport. There's a real story here around how Norway are managing to produce talent that is competing on a global stage. And we've seen it across various sports over the last 10 to 15 years.

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28:06And now we're starting to really see it in football. So what we're seeing here, I tell you what, I want to take this story and use it as a comparison point against Scotland, right? Scotland is, you know, the land across the water from Viking land. and there have been all sorts of, you know, treaties in the past to do the Shetlands and all this type of stuff. So you've got two countries which are both geographically quite contiguous and also they're about the same size of country as well in terms of population, in terms of category of countries. So we're not talking about one country that's 50 million and another one that's 5 million.

28:38We're talking about, what's the population in Norway, Charlie? Five and a half. Five and a half. Both pretty much five and a half million. It's 5.4, 5.5. They're both same size of country, similar kind of climate for the most part. Probably you'd say Scotland has got the advantage in some ways of having some very large established football clubs who therefore do would have the finances to finance proper youth development systems and all that kind of stuff and they've got more footballing history as well and they've also got extreme proximity to England which means that their players players who are growing up in the Scottish system can translate into the English system very very easily both literally physically but also from a visa passport visa point of view so there's a whole lot of reasons why Scotland should be advantaged compared to Norway, and yet they're not.

29:22So what have Norway been doing that Scotland have not been doing? So let me lay out the Norway case and give you the explanation for how they've actually done this, and you can then tie that into how we could look at Scotland. So I just want to read this out at the beginning because this is going to build the fundamental structure of really how Norway have done it. So by the age of 25, 93 % of Norway's population has been involved in some kind of organised sports. Conversely, the American Academy of Pediatrics reported in 2024 that 70 % of youth athletes drop out of organized sports by the age of 13.

29:51Injury and burnout are the principal reasons why. Discontinuation of sports during childhood plays a role in more than 75 % of adolescents in the US who fail to meet physical activity recommendations. So the reason I read that out is because it plays the heart of Norway's thesis on sport, which is sport should be fun and it should be built around enjoyment. So Norway basically have this philosophy. when up to 12 years old, you will only play in a kind of local club environment. You will try lots of different sports. It will not be boring in its tactical sessions if you're playing football. It will be far more about how you enjoy and engage in the sport.

30:30So by the time you get to 12, when you're ready and starting to physically develop, you will hopefully be coming to that age going, I love this. I love it. I haven't been overexposed. I've got the exposure that I needed, but I haven't been overexposed. By the time I'm 12, I'm ready to push on. Not, I'm just, I'm feeling forced into doing this and I want to push back. That system has basically allowed them to go, right, you enjoy yourself, have a great time. Then at the right time, we'll start looking at how to develop you. They've done that in a number of ways. Firstly, they provided facilities, right?

31:08So tie this into Scotland as well. This would be a key point they've got a real challenge with the weather of course you know norway is incredibly cold and all the pitches freeze over for a huge part of the year so what they do they invested heavily in the infrastructure over 60 percent of pitches were artificial um by 20 to 15 most of them are free to play on so there is no barrier for entry they basically said you know sport and it's a very egalitarian country norway you know it's very much there's equal belief of access and rights so why would we change that with our sporting philosophy so we're not going to keep sports access for those that can afford it it's going to be for everyone what they then have done on top of that is created something called the landslag skollen is the elite academy post 12 that players will then get picked out of their football clubs to then go and play so 10 the top 10 will be nominated and they will then go and start playing in training camps together which is then centralized really to develop the future norwegian football team but it comes out of the clubs that have been rearing these players in a very specific way from whatever young age they've started this is the track that erling harland has taken this is the track that martin odegaard so i'm quite important to ask here so up until the age of 12 they play in local clubs local clubs not in professional clubs they play in local clubs and then at 12 the national system picks them up okay so at this point they're still not in professional football clubs no right so But they are not entering a professional football club environment until they're much closer to the point of their professional career.

32:40So if you look at, again, if we go back to that statement at the beginning about age, Erling Haaland, of course, is a great example, right? Erling Haaland physically is an absolute specimen, and that is a huge part of his game. He was actually quite small when he was younger. So until he... Do you think that's how he escaped being a ski jumper? I think it could be. You're the late developer. I'm delighted that he did escape. He's a late developer. Because he's found, yeah, he was. Or maybe not. I don't know. I was wondering that because I was looking at him the other day going, surely a ski jumper.

33:09Charlie, you can't make any assumptions. You can't make any assumptions. But he, you know, there's a very high chance that in a different ecosystem, Erling Haaland would have fallen through the cracks. He would have suffered from the fate that a lot of footballers do, particularly at a young age, where physically a coach will assess them and say, you're not quite up to it. You're not a striker. You don't have the physique, you know, whatever. However, in Norway's system, it's perfect because by the time he actually started to show his promise, he had had the physical chance to start developing into the player that he's now become.

33:40At 16, he then goes to Molde. See, now this is the revolutionary bit, right? This is the bit where they are different from everywhere else in Europe and indeed in Latin America, which is that the elite clubs are not being entrusted with developing these players. okay the very local system and then the national system is doing it up until the age of 15 at which point the boy is starting to become properly physically developed and more mentally developed and has decided i really enjoy this i love this this is something i want to do so effectively they are then put into professional clubs at the age at which a professional career is right in their eyeline right i'm two years away from making my first team debut so i'm going to probably play for the under 18 team this is probably what they have in the in the norwegian professional clubs and then i can see the pathway to the first team straight away now if you contrast that to the system that we have before we even go scotland has the same system as the rest of um europe effectively where youth development is entrusted to the professional elite clubs so in other words what happens is kid starts playing at five six seven shows some promises the best kid in the local schoolyard somebody somewhere says to the a scout who works on behalf of a local professional football club this kid's got some ability at nine years old they're brought into that professional football club and the professional football club will have a look at 80 of them at the same time so you've already sorry just on there a key point of difference there is you've already identified the sport that they're going to be playing absolutely now so so this this is a key weakness of this system, right, which is effectively then from the age of nine, they then only play football.

35:22Yeah, pretty much. Now that there's a lot of research that's been done that suggests that that is a leading contributor towards injuries in the medium to long term, because effectively you're repeating, you are repeating movement patterns, the same movement patterns as your body is developing. And there's quite a lot of sort of interest now at the better academies in right we actually need to get our kids in the academies doing other types of sport and moving in other types of ways first of all to keep them mentally fresh so they are you know not just football football football but also frankly so their bodies are moving in different ways otherwise we could end up with a lot of injury problems down the track what gives you a better chance of success right you if you're a small country you're five and a half million people again versus let's just say the us because it's 350 million you want to keep as many of those players in the system for as long as possible you've got a much higher likelihood of doing that that's true if they enjoy it yeah so again like a 95 percent rate of norwegians playing a team sport by the time they're 25 yeah that gives norway a far yes they're a small population but it gives them a really broad pool of athletes yes to then be able to go and build elite professionals across various different areas johannes clibo the record um winter olympian who won 11 gold medals uh smashing the record of eight previously in this winter olympics um let's just be clear he won six this winter olympics but 11 in total he was always going to be a footballer that was always what he thought but then as he develops and gets to the certain age where because he hasn't necessarily specialized or been pressured into one one or another hey cross-country skiing is actually not too bad and he's bloody good at it and so there was then a choice that was made purely off his own free will.

37:03Carsten Warholm, the 400-meter hurdle, gold medal in Tokyo. Jakob Ingebretson, we were talking about Josh Kerr the other week, the great rival of Josh Kerr in the 1500, and he's a 5 ,000-meter champion as well. Marcus Ruth, decathlon. They won the decathlon gold in Paris. So you're getting Olympic medal winners. You're getting Kaspar Ud, the tennis player, been top of tennis for a very long time. Victor Hovland, won eight PGA titles, really should be winning a major. Ryder Cups. Ada Hegerberg won the Ballon d 'Or Feminin just a few years ago. They've had players at the top of that game for a long time.

37:41We're just now starting to see the fruits of the work that they've been putting in place behind the scenes really start to show the value in the biggest sport of all. And whether it's Haaland, whether it's Odegaard, whether it's the team, I mean Berg in midfield, again, without getting too tactical, but he plays for Bodo Glimt. I was just watching the game and he just stood out a mile in the middle of the pitch. He was unbelievable. And you suddenly look at it, oh, part of the Bodo group. They've got this culture around the team, which also underpins it. I don't want to get too washy, but it's a really important point because it comes back to the, if you succeed in encouraging that enjoyment, you'll build better people, you'll build better team environments.

38:21And a huge part of what they have been able to achieve or are achieving as a team clearly comes from that collective approach and mentality. There are just a few things I want to pick up here on the football side, right? let's just summarize it thus first of all keep as many promising footballers playing football and enjoying playing football for as long as possible because you don't quite know at what stage a lot of them are going to develop and if you leave it to the elite clubs the elite clubs will start eliminating them at a much too early stage because basically it's costing them money and they have to start making choices they have to focus on certain players and all this type of stuff so that that's the first observation i'd make on that the second observation i make is cross-training, which is they're getting them to do other sports as well at a crucial physical developmental stage.

39:03Now, those two things are what I think is underpinning this. And they are two things that other small nations can copy. I think it's harder in a very big nation because that national piece, when you bring them all in at, you know, at whenever it is 15, right? what is it 12 you said actually between effectively that's 12 but harlan for example signed for molder when he was 16 16 so he didn't he didn't make it into yeah the professional like the top end professional environment until he was at the stage where wayne rooney was making his debut exactly right so max downman's at 15 running around an arsenal right so so my point here we get tying it back to scotland right and the reason we're discussing scotland and norway is because scotland had a terrible performance at the world cup and norway have had an outstanding performance of the world.

39:52And both hadn't participated for 28 years. You literally had exactly the same situations coming in. Same size populations, all that type of stuff. So if you look, first of all, on the club side, you've got Celtic and Rangers massively underperforming in Europe. And you've got relatively modest Norwegian clubs like Bodo Glimt massively outperforming in Europe. And then you go on the international stage and you've got the same thing. Right? So this is something which is quite consistent. And you can't just rise off saying they've got Haaland. Well, Bodo Glimt don't have Haaland. Bodo Glimt are doing...

40:23They don't have Odegaard. They've got Norwegian players. They've won five games in a row against Atletico, Man City and Inter Milan home and away. I mean... Yeah, so I think it's just something which might be interesting for Scotland to have a look at. Now, why won't that happen, Charlie? The reason that won't happen is because if we think that the FA in this country are stuffy blazers who never... who aren't particularly progressive, which is an unfair characterization, actually, I think. the Scottish FA and Scottish football as a whole is the most hidebound conservative backwards looking sports in terms of it being the national sport which it is it's it's quite extraordinary when I speak to people in Scottish football the amount of time that they reference the 1960s the 1970s as being that's what we need to get back to as opposed to looking forward they always look backwards and then you've got the politics that surrounds celtic and rangers being the dominant forces within scottish football and then basically being obviously constant loggerheads with each other and therefore the scottish fa not being in a strong position when you've got these two mega clubs who basically can easily the wealthiest parts of the whole ecosystem so this would need to be something that was being decided as happened in norway at a political level yeah this would have to be being decided up here and you look at the scottish government and bless them you know You can't see them having this kind of strategic over view or interest in excellence in any way.

41:47If they were listening to this, I know the response that would be given. But Norway, one of the richest countries in the world. Yes, but actually really what we're talking about here, a lot of this is societal. It's an approach. It's not the spend. If we're looking at spend, the spend here for Norway was creating a system, well, an infrastructure system that facilitated all year round football, if they could on pitches that didn't freeze over. That's an expensive product. The other side of it is coaching. So they have 17 ,000 coaches that come through a grassroots system. It's basically a coach every 320 players.

42:24Sorry, a coach every 320 people in the population. That's totally astonishing, especially coaching as a national sport. So coach, they also had 2 ,000 people, 2 ,000 that completed their UA for B licenses in the last decade. It's a really incredible model. It is, and you're bang on, I think. It is completely possible in the smaller countries that have much more control around this type of thing. And it would be very hard to do this in England, even at 60 million, let alone, as I said, it's a bit unfair. But the reason I brought the US into it is because a lot of the US sporting analysts have been looking at Norway, and they did during the Winter Olympics.

43:01That was their moment, to just try and understand how Norway would top the medals table for a third year in a row, for the third Olympics in a row. but anyway I think to conclude it's a really interesting sporting success story as you say it stretches across many different sports it's being brought to the fore particularly in football which is the world's global game and therefore you know having advantages such as loads of snow helping being good at ski jumping is not so relevant when it comes to football and then just casting a light on how countries can think differently to be able to enable themselves to compete in what otherwise simply becomes a numbers game.

43:39So in other words, if Scotland do the same as England, then England has 10 times as many people and therefore will do 10 times as well, right? So therefore, if Scotland really wants competing against England, it has to do it differently. And this is what Norway have done. Completely. Absolutely. So, well, I hope you get an absolute pasting. Sorry, by you, I mean Norway. I'm not, yeah, don't I? I hope Norway gets an absolute pasting. But if we were to have to lose, then we couldn't lose to better Vikings. Exactly. And just to be clear, I am firmly England shirt on the weekend. But it's fun. It's fun to give them the credit they deserve as and when.

44:13Indeed. So moving on. So another massive sporting event that happened last weekend, Charlie. And almost like just for once outside of petrol headland, a little bit under the radar because you had the World Cup going at full pelt right here, including the build up to the Big England game. You had Wimbledon building towards its finale here. and then the little master of the British Grand Prix comes along. Now, the race itself, did you watch it? No. Okay. I was at a one-year-old's birthday party, which is the social events now that really keep you going. Indeed. I did watch it, or at least I watched parts of it and it ended very unsatisfactorily and that would be a whole conversation for a different day and probably not on this podcast about why a major sporting event like that can finish behind a safety car meaning that you don't get any excitement or any sort of, you know, fulfilment even towards the end of the race, right?

45:11Basically, it was a sport. Are you calling for a rerun of the Lewis Hamilton Max Verstappen disaster? No, as I said, it's a very complex topic. I don't want to go into it right now. It was an unsatisfactory race. Let's just put it that way. Charles Leclerc won, didn't he? Charles Leclerc won. But then it was just a run of British drivers. Loads of them, loads of them. Anyway, look, we've got a lot to talk about here, so let's not talk about the race, right? The race was the race, and it was unsatisfactory, and it was what it was. But the event, the event was absolutely massive. Do you know how many people turned up at Silverstone over the weekend?

45:50564 ,000 people. 564 ,000 people over three days. The biggest F1 event in history. So you're talking about almost 200 ,000 a day, Charles? Four days. Oh, it was four days? Four days, yeah. because they include the Thursday as well. So it's 150 ,000 on average a day, right? 150 ,000 people on average a day over a four-day period. It was an absolute beast of an event. And I thought it'd be quite a useful moment to examine both the British Grand Prix itself, but also to have a think about this area of the Formula 1 industry, which is those countries and tracks that host events and the economics of that.

46:30We've been very focused since Liberty Media took over Formula One. We've been very focused on the top end, i.e. what Liberty are doing, and increasingly focused on the teams, of course. And we've discussed usefully over the last few months how the economics and the valuations of the teams have been moving dramatically. And meanwhile, the economics of the hosting side have dropped down the agenda, where 20 years ago, this was at the top of the Formula One sporting agenda. So where to start? Do you want to really start? I think the first thing, just based on how we're going to develop this, is to really look at who actually is responsible for putting on Silverstone itself.

47:06Indeed. That's right. So Silverstone is owned and operated by something called the British Racing Drivers Club, the BRDC. Were you aware of this body until I brought it up with you? I was. You were? Yes. Okay. But I was only relatively recently. Right. Because I've been spammed by Jake Humphrey's social media accounts as he has just recently been made a member of the BRDC, which he was absolutely ecstatic about. Because it's very meaningful within Petrolhead world. There are 850 members. And to become a member, you have to have achieved something of excellence within motorsport. This isn't something which is, okay, well, you know, I'm rich.

47:50I can just pay to get in. This is an invitation thing. You're proposed and seconded and accepted. But, you know, your proposal in a second, I have to explain, this is why this person has achieved something significant in motorsport. And you have to be either British or from the Commonwealth. Right? Now, they made a little exception to let Eddie Jordan in, the late Eddie Jordan, where they said, okay, well, if you were born in Ireland before the whole thing officially became a fully separated, if you were in the Irish free state or something like that, basically, it was, we want Eddie in. And we'll create a sort of exemption there for him because we like him.

48:25But it's 850 members. So it was founded in 1928. So we're coming up to the centenary of the BRDC. And it was founded by a man called Dr. Dudley Benserfield. And he was one of what was called the Bentley boys. And these were the early motor racing drivers. These are the ones who, back when just cars themselves were a relatively recent innovation, were racing some of the early, faster types of cars, including, obviously, Bentleys, hence what they're known as the Bentley Boys. And the BRDC was based at Brooklands, which was a track in Surrey. And it was an up-and-coming sport. And during the Second World War, actually, a lot of BRDC members died.

49:10A lot of them were involved in flying. So you have Battle of Britain, you know, sort of people who died in the Battle of Britain, etc. So it was still a relatively young organization as we come out the back of the Second World War. And this is when we start the sort of the move towards Silverstone. So they took over the lease of Silverstone in 1952, the BRDC did, as a motor racing track. and then in 1966 right so this is within some people's not mine before you uh mention it you cheeky sod um this is within living memory for some people who might be listening to this show um so the brdc um opened a subsidiary um which is called silverstone circuit limited which was specifically for the development of the british grand prix right so that's where we're going back to so over the following 20 years the british grand prix develops and grows as do other grand Grand Prix's around the world, but in slightly chaotic fashion.

50:09The whole thing wasn't sort of properly put together until, of course, famously Bernie Eccleston, who had been both a driver himself and then a team boss, came along and said to the other team owners, we need to organize this properly. We need to sell the rights properly. We need to do this whole thing in a much more structured way. And of course, by this point, the British Grand Prix is one of the established Grand Prix's, one of the legacy, the historic Grand Prix's, which Bernie's new F1 circuit, effectively circus inherits the british grand prix at silverstone as already being a major event this is the early 19 the late 1970s early 1980s so it's already a major sporting event um and uh bernie's business model then um starts to develop during the 1980s and one of the ways in which bernie starts to make money where previously they would say oh well you know the british racing drivers club is having a grand prix and that's that's great let's all go and race there and happy days bernie then starts saying to circuits if you want your grand prix to be in my circus if i'm going to bring all of these teams to race at your circuit you need to pay me money you need to pay formula one management from money it's what's called a hosting fee right so that starts off quite small but as bernie then starts to access grand prix's in different parts of the world where they're very happy to pay very large sums of money particularly the push into the middle east that started to happen 20 25 years ago um some of the historic circuits start to drop out because they can't afford to pay these hosting fees okay and eventually the hosting fees started to get so big that silverson started to struggle to pay them as well so this is around about 10 to 15 years ago.

52:00They've gone from 5 million to 10 million to 15 million a year, right? And by this point, what Bernie's done within Formula One is he's basically said, right, I keep pretty much all the commercial revenues for Formula One management. Obviously, we've taken the TV rights revenue. So as a host of the race, you don't get any TV rights revenue. You don't get any commercial revenue um the one thing you do get is ticketing congratulations right so you're starting to be confronted with quite a stark thing which is we pay formula one management 15 million pounds a year we then need to get 15 million pounds worth of ticketing just to cover our costs and there's chairman john grant i was i was just reading this i mean he very he effortlessly put it is the costs are more than the revenues.

52:45Yeah. Yes. Great. I mean, that's the kind of... So what happened was, by 2015, they're on the verge of bankruptcy. They were being bankrupted by Bernie Eccleston. And Bernie Eccleston's view was, well, guys, if you don't want to have a Grand Prix, don't have a Grand Prix, right? Oh, really? Interesting. Yeah. He used to... It's a terrible circuit anyway, terrible facilities. He was always slagging it off. He was always slagging off the BRDC, right? I think was there an element of sort of chip on shoulder about the whole thing that there was this rather sort of, you know, grand, you know, club, which include lots of dukes and earls.

53:21And there was Bernie, the Southeast London car salesman who wasn't really part of that whole set. Was there a bit of that going on, paying off old scores from what he saw as maybe he felt slighted in the 1970s by not being invited to be a member back then? Maybe there was a bit of all that going on. But the bottom line is that by 2015, which is just before when Liberty took over, they're tied into this contract with Bernie by which basically the amount they have to pay to host the race increases by a – like, it's the crimson of the pension triple lock – increases ahead of inflation every single year.

53:54Well, it was on 5 % escalators, weren't they? Exactly right. So each year it went up 5%. Yeah. And this is during a period when inflation was very, very low. But it's also interesting here because it's during a period where Formula One itself is struggling more than it has done in a very long time. And that was important. That's very important on both sides, right? So on Bernie's side, the fact that Formula One was struggling in general meant that the hosting fees had become an absolutely critical part of the entire financial ecosystem. Extracting money from Trax was becoming the main revenue line, right?

54:29Because they were going to Trax in the Middle East. Bernie was going, right, do you want to have a Grand Prix? Well, it's 40 million, right? Do you want to have a Grand Prix? It's 45 million. And then to Silverson saying, well, look, if you're not even willing to pay me 15, 20 million, then I'll just go and take another one somewhere else. You know, I'm not particularly interested in you, which of course was disastrous for the sport. And you lost some historic Grand Prix's, like the one in South Africa and the one in Argentina during this 20, 25 year period, because Bernie knew that they wouldn't pay the hosting fees and that he'd rather take it somewhere else.

54:59But of course, those were the places where you get massive crowds in big countries like South Africa and Argentina, whereas some of the places where Bernie then took Formula 1 too was a little bit more marginal. So John Grant, in effect, he activated the break clause, didn't he, for the BRDC? Correct. So he basically said, Exactly right. Exactly right. We're out. Fine, we're out. We're out. So just before Bernie sold, or CVC and Bernie sold to Liberty Media, which is 2017, I think, 2017, 2018, just before then Silverstone the British Racing Drivers Club had activated the brake clause in the contract and they basically said we can't afford this right so we were looking at the end of the British Grand Prix at that point and that was much discussed in the media at the time and then Liberty come along and Liberty take a totally different view of the industry and the sport and say no the British Grand Prix is a crucial bit of IP which lends into the value of the entire thing having a race where there are 200 ,000 people there and everyone's going absolutely mad.

56:00This is like the core of fandom and we're trying to build fandom. So they then went and cut a better deal with the BRDC, which meant the BRDC could then see, right, we are now going to carry on hosting this Grand Prix for a significant period of time, but we have much greater certainty over it being potentially affordable. But at the same time, the BRDC just said, okay, well, we also do need to get our own house in order, right? We need to become a more diversified business so that we can, you know, be, well, a proper business. Rather than a club that holds a Grand Prix, we actually need to be a motor racing business as a whole.

56:35And there's been a guy there, sort of an unsung hero of sports business, a guy there called Stuart Pringle, who's been the CEO, or I think originally was the secretary of the British Racing Drivers Club, but since then the title's been changed to CEO, since 2006. So we're talking about a 20-year regime stability there. the first 10 of which was extremely difficult when they were having to spend money on repairing facilities and when the hosting fees were going up and up and when Formula One as a whole was going down and down, leading to the verge of bankruptcy in 2015. Lo and behold, 10 years later, through both the efforts of Silverstone themselves, but also, of course, the efforts of Liberty Media in terms of the way in which they run Formula One, Silverstone now has an annual turnover of 110 million pounds, 50 % of which is from the British Grand Prix.

57:25So you can work it out, okay? It's about 50 to 60 million they get from the British Grand Prix, and 50 % from the rest of the year, from the stuff that they do during the rest of the year. And during that period, they have invested heavily in a heritage centre, conference centre, hotel, increased capacity, hospitality, all of this type of stuff. And Liberty have got a much more progressive model in terms of working with tracks, where these days the tracks do get to keep past the hospitality, right? So it's not the old days of the paddock club where that was all kept in-house. These days, tracks are incentivized to drive hospitality and to actually sort of become sort of part of the whole mix.

58:04The bottom line is they're now making pre-tax profit of 14 million quid and they've got cash reserves of almost 50 million quid. I mean, it's the most astonishing sports business turnaround, Johnny. In less than 10 years, yeah. In less than 10 years, you've gone from basically going, we can't afford this to now just this week gone by, hence why we're talking about it, the biggest event in Formula One history. Yes. That is actually most importantly, financially valuable. Profitable and massively valuable. So if you think, so let's just have a think about this, right? Just as a business, as a sports industry business, annual turnover of 110 million quid with a profit margin of getting on for 10%.

58:41No, but more than 10%, getting on for 15%, right? So you're looking at probably a business which the BRDC, if it were a private company, and was now to set itself, crikey, I don't know, what would it be worth? You're probably talking about certainly the thick end of 500 million, right? So you've gone from something on the verge of bankruptcy to something that's worth 500 odd million in the space of 10 years. So it's been a great – just quickly to give people a bit of a flavor of how idiosyncratic this organization is. So the president is David Coulthard, the former Formula One driver. And the vice presidents are Martin Brundle, former Formula One driver, media pundit.

59:22Ron Dennis, the former McLaren boss. Damon Hill, the former Formula One world champion. Nigel Mansell. Nigel Mansell, the Formula One world champion. Jackie Stewart. Derek Warwick, the former Formula One. So their diversity is very strong. The Lancashire cricket board test, they're not passing that. They're not, but they're actually doing a great job. They're actually doing a great job. They might not be ticking too many DEI boxes here, but the BRDC are doing a great job. And for all that sometimes on this show, we do pick apart things that aren't working. I think sometimes we have to take a step back and say that it wasn't Silverson's fault that this race was a mess.

1:00:04That was Formula One's problem. In terms of the event as a whole, obviously stonking weather as well, which helped. This was an absolutely epic sports business event. Yeah, and most interestingly, as I was going through it as well, it was looking at this compared to the other hosting organizations around. And this is the only private members club hosting. I think actually I'm going to say now because I think the Dutch Grand Prix was also similar, but they're losing their race. That's right. So it will now be the only independent. The rest of the models generally are funded by state. Yeah. So then there you're looking at countries like Azerbaijan, Qatar, Abu Dhabi.

1:00:39Bahrain. Bahrain, actually Australia part do it as well for the Melbourne Grand Prix. And really for those fees. I'm not quite sure how it works in Miami. So I do. You do? Yeah. But the fees attached on the state, naturally, Azerbaijan reportedly are paying$57 million a year, Qatar and Saudi 55, 10-year agreements locked in with Qatar, so that's$550 million, Abu Dhabi 42, Australia, Singapore 35, 40. You then have kind of a mixture of promoter and states, which is the Monaco and Monza Thai models. And they pay about 15 to$20 million. And that's, interestingly, they both recently doubled in the new extensions.

1:01:18So price is going up. Then you have Silverstone, a private members club. Then you have Miami and Vegas. F1 itself pays the hosting fee. And it's not hard to understand why. The value for Formula One. Of breaking the US market. Of breaking the US market and having Vegas. So those are generally the different ways in which Formula One makes its hosting fees. And it totals, you mentioned it was a big part. I mean, it's$700 million a year. In hosting fees. In hosting fees for F1's revenue. So that's the amount of money that the holding company of Formula One rakes in from places paying them for the privilege of having a Grand Prix.

1:01:58It's a huge business. It's about 20 % to 25 % of Formula One's revenue, which is extraordinarily high. It is. a key part of the pie. And you can sort of understand it. I advised the Bahrain Grand Prix for many, many years. Crikey, eight, nine years. And I would often ask, you know, is this worth it? Right? Absolutely, it's worth it. Right? This is one week of the year when the attention of a good chunk of the world is on our little island kingdom. You know, we struggle for attention. We struggle to drive a tourist ministry, even though we've got beautiful places for people to come to, how do we drive attention on that?

1:02:35How do we, you know, other countries might spend vast amounts of money on marketing tourism, but we find that by hosting a Grand Prix with all of the imagery that goes around that and the eyeballs that go onto that imagery is actually what helps drive our entire economy. It also means that they can then have a motor sports economy in Bahrain because they've got a Formula One trap there. So you can test cars, test products. It enables them to be a center for motorsports in the Middle East. So as an investment over a 20-year period, it's been extremely successful. So this has actually been, for most of these deals, it's been a happy thing.

1:03:11For the BRDC, it was a little bit different. They were there first, and they were a club. They're not trying to pay dividends and make big profits and all this type of stuff. But they've effectively been forced into the modern age, into the 21st century by the economics of hosting and growing. And they've done it. The F1 also have the flexibility to make the calls as and where they want to, on which countries and which host cities will pay more for it. So that's a balance of heritage versus these. And under Liberty, they've been much more cognizant of that, where under Bernie, it was getting very mercantile.

1:03:43It was whoever pays the most. It's the luxury of success. When you're successful, you can work out how to make those numbers work for you. When you're struggling for cash, you'll be making decisions. Liberty did this right from the start, didn't they? So they did it before they made a big success out of F1. They made decisions like, we need to keep the British Grand Prix. So it's a bit of chicken and egg involved here. But I think you have to give Liberty a lot of credit for saying, we're not losing the British Grand Prix. Brilliant. Right. Brilliant. Good stuff, Charlie. Now, if you want to stay with us, we're going to go and do a very nice segment on the absolutely crazy transfer of Elliot Anderson to Manchester City from Nottingham Forest because there's a little bit more than meets the eye to some of this, as there is with the broader footballing ecosystem when you start getting into the details of some of these transfers.

1:04:23Come and join us on Substack if you want to keep going. but otherwise thank you I really enjoyed that this week it was good fun yeah thanks Chas thank you so much for joining on another big week the Norway story is a fascinating one and questions what playing sport is really all about as we get lost in the obsession of results and elite performance from an age where it does more harm than good there will be a lot of views on the effectiveness of this and whether it's unique to Norway based on a number of variables that sit in their favour so please do get in touch and let us know your thoughts I'd love to hear them come and join us now for a big session on football transfers on Substack but if not, we'll see you next week.

1:05:25within six months. GIS is about outcomes. It's all about a global immersive learning experience. You can study online with flexibility to fit your busy lifestyle or on campus at world-class stadium venues, including London's Wembley Stadium, Miami, Toronto, Sydney, Brussels, learning in the very locations where elite sport happens. Flexible work placements and projects with clubs and organisations around the world integrated into your studies. It's the world's number one sports education network, ranked number one university for getting a job in sport by sport business magazine there's a real industry access a powerhouse network of 50 plus sports industry partners including the premier league the fa and other global giants an unrivaled global community of mentors executives and guest speakers offering real world insight and opportunity if you want to take your sports career to the next level visit www.gis.sport we'll have some exciting plans to share on our work with them in the coming weeks so please stay tuned

From the publisher

It’s all eyes on Norway ahead of a massive World Cup Quarter final against England, but how has a country of 5.5m people built a team capable of beating football’s biggest nations (look away Scotland). And guess what, it’s not just in football. Add to that a look at what it costs to host the biggest F1 races on the back of Silverstone’s record weekend and a check on the billion dollar franchise bids for NBA Europe, and we have ourselves a breakdown!


Disclaimer:

The content of this podcast is intended as commentary and opinion on matters of public interest in the sports industry. While we make every effort to ensure accuracy, figures, statistics, and financial data referenced may be based on publicly available estimates and could be subject to error or change. Nothing in this podcast should be taken as a statement of fact. If you believe any information is inaccurate, please contact us at charlie@20vc.com and we will endeavour to correct the record promptly.


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