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Podcast Episode Notes
Business of Sport - Episode 05: THE BREAKDOWN
Episode Overview
- Title: THE BREAKDOWN: Super Bowl & The Power of The NFL, Baller League Warning Signs, Winter Olympics Fights for Superstars
- Hosts: Charlie Stebbings and Charlie Methan
- Content Summary: The episode discusses the NFL's power during Super Bowl week, reviews the Baller League which recently paused operations in Germany, and anticipates the upcoming Winter Olympics.
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Segment 1
The Power of the NFL
Key Concepts
- Scarcity Value: The NFL's limited number of games (17 regular season games) enhances viewer engagement, similar to Formula One.
- Revenue Generation: NFL generates approximately $20 billion annually from TV and sponsorships, distributing revenue evenly among franchises.
Points Discussed
- The Super Bowl has an enormous viewership (127.7 million in the US last year).
- Comparison to global events: The Champions League averages 400 million viewers, while the World Cup final can reach 1 billion.
- The NFL's strategy involves creating a highly competitive environment within a limited season, which drives audience interest.
Insights
- Charlie Methan critiques the practice of adding more matches in other sports, arguing it diminishes value and interest.
- There's a discussion on the NFL's approach to international expansion versus its strong domestic base.
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Segment 2
Baller League Warning Signs
Background
- Baller League is a six-a-side football league that recently paused operations in Germany after facing sustainability issues.
Key Discussions
- The league, founded by Felix Stark, had high-profile players but struggled to maintain viewership and attendance.
- The declaration that Germany lacks the sufficient market size for this venture raises concerns about the viability of similar leagues in other markets.
Observations
- The hosts reflect on the failure of Baller League in Germany, questioning what markets can sustain new football leagues.
- A historical reference to similar past events, like the Daily Express five-a-sides, highlights the challenges new formats face against established sports.
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Segment 3
The Winter Olympics
Overview
- Anticipation for the Winter Olympics, focusing on lesser-known athletes such as Eileen Gu, who earns primarily through sponsorships rather than competition winnings.
Highlights
- Comparison of earnings: Eileen Gu makes $23 million a year, mere $100,000 from skiing; Lindsay Vonn earned $40-50 million over her career largely through endorsements.
- Discussion on the decline in viewership of the Winter Olympics in the US, with a significant drop from Sochi to Beijing.
Concerns
- The addition of lifestyle sports has not brought the projected viewership increase.
- The need for recognizable stars in winter sports to draw in audiences, akin to past figures like Alberto Tomba.
Infrastructure and Cost
- Costs associated with hosting the Winter Olympics, including the economic impact of utilizing existing infrastructure in future games, show a trend toward cost management.
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Key Takeaways
- The NFL's business model, centered around scarcity and revenue distribution, serves as a successful case study for other sports.
- The challenges faced by Baller League highlight the difficulty of disrupting football's established market.
- Shifts in the Olympic landscape indicate a need for strategic focus on core sports and star athletes to maintain viewer interest.
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Closing Thoughts
- The episode wraps up with reflections on the importance of understanding the economic models of sports leagues and the implications for fan engagement.
- The hosts express excitement for upcoming events and encourage listener interaction for future topics.
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Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOLearning from the NFL: Super Bowl Insights
0:45 to 3:10
Discussion on what the Premier League can learn from the NFL's approach, particularly regarding match creation and value destruction.
“Do you think football needs to be disrupted?”
Baller League’s Challenges and Future
3:10 to 5:50
Analysis of the challenges faced by the Baller League following its pause in Germany and implications for six-a-side football.
“And therefore, in the medium, medium to long term, also is it good for Indian cricket?”
Winter Olympics and Sports Evolution
5:50 to 9:10
Exploration of the inclusion of lifestyle winter sports in the Olympics and the debate over the effectiveness of these changes.
“Because obviously there's been an official statement, as you would all expect.”
Cricket Governance and Competitive Balance
9:10 to 14:03
Discussion on the complexities of cricket governance, with an emphasis on India's dominance and its implications for competition in the sport.
“There's another big name going, isn't there?”
Evaluating Investment in Sports Franchises
14:03 to 15:37
Discusses the value and appeal of investing in sports franchises, particularly in light of recent developments.
“But with this, even if you're applying that model to it, you would want that to be a master's type experience and they don't have any of that on live.”
Understanding the NFL Business Model
15:38 to 16:53
Explores the structure and appeal of the NFL, focusing on its short season and singular competition.
“Let's crack on with this week's stuff because we have some big events coming up.”
Comparative Analysis of NFL and Other Sports
16:54 to 21:12
Compares the NFL's operational structure and viewer engagement with other major sports, highlighting key differences.
“So the first thing, you know, when we were talking about doing this, we went straight to scarcity value.”
The Draft System and Competitive Balance
21:13 to 23:14
Explains the NFL draft system and its impact on maintaining competitive balance within the league.
“For those listeners who don't know what the draft system is, basically the top young players coming out of university, which is the underpinning support system for the NFL, is the clubs don't have academies.”
Applying NFL Principles to Soccer
23:15 to 26:16
Discusses how principles from the NFL could inform improvements in soccer leagues, focusing on competition and financial structures.
“then actually we should indulge in a bit of closed-circuit socialism to make sure that we all make dump loads of money rather than trying to get this person or that person to make more money than the next person.”
TV Revenue and Market Dynamics
26:17 to 28:00
Analyzes TV revenue across different sports leagues and its implications for their market positions and viewer engagement.
“to double down in the areas that the NFL has and to really cement their position as being the best league.”
Show all 32 chapters
Comparing NFL and Premier League Revenues
28:00 to 28:40
Learn how the NFL and Premier League generate revenue and their market differences.
“So it's still very, very, very substantial.”
Global Reach of the Premier League vs NFL
28:40 to 29:50
Discover how the Premier League is increasing its international viewership compared to the NFL.
“The interesting thing is for me is that the Premier League, the Premier League's global revenues, i.e.”
NFL's Strategy for International Growth
29:50 to 30:50
Understand the NFL's strategy to expand its global footprint through international games.
“And indeed, everything we know about the viewing patterns of Gen Zers, etc., is that probably it is going to start tailing off over time, a very steady decline.”
NFL Revenue Insights and Apparel Deals
30:50 to 33:00
Gain insights into the NFL's revenue targets and the details of its apparel deals.
“So they are much more au fait with kind of that generation, not all of them, but a significant chunk of the sports loving segment of Gen Z is more au fait with what's happening in NFL than we were 30 years ago.”
Super Bowl and NFL's Seasonal Strategy
33:00 to 33:40
Explore the significance of the Super Bowl and the NFL's seasonal planning.
“Like there's an upfront payment, but there's also sometimes revenue sharing.”
Halftime Show Insights and Personal Opinions
33:40 to 35:10
Get personal opinions on the Super Bowl's halftime show and its entertainment value.
“From then until August, September, there is no NFL, right?”
Introduction to Baller League
35:10 to 35:40
Learn about the Baller League and its innovative approach to football.
“And obviously, I mean, the easy comparison is to something like rugby.”
Baller League's Challenges in Germany
35:40 to 37:10
Discover the challenges faced by Baller League in the German market.
“How do you even begin to disrupt the biggest and most successful sport in the world, Charlie?”
Financial Viability and Audience Engagement
37:10 to 39:40
Discuss the financial viability of Baller League and how they engage audiences.
“That's the reason why we're talking about it this week, because they recently announced that they will be pausing the operation in Germany.”
Historical Context of Indoor Football Tournaments
39:40 to 42:00
Examine the historical context of indoor football tournaments and their relevance today.
“what we talk about in professional football terms, you're really not looking at anything which is particularly significant.”
The Concept of New Sports Leagues
42:00 to 43:58
Exploring the challenges and longevity of new sports leagues like Baller League.
“this tournament right and it was televised on the bbc it was played at wembley arena in front of 20 ,000 people.”
The Success of T20 Cricket as a Model
43:58 to 46:18
Discussing how T20 cricket became popular and its implications for other sports.
“I've noticed that the Kings League, which is the version that was founded in Spain by Gerard Pique, has been a bit more reserved in its public pronouncements.”
Sustainability of New Sports Models
46:18 to 48:26
Evaluating the sustainability of new sports models in light of traditional sports.
“I think there are elements we've discussed earlier on in terms of the cost control structures, in terms of multiplicity of match occasions, in terms of how often the players are asked to perform.”
Transition to the Winter Olympics
48:26 to 49:08
A segue into discussing the upcoming Winter Olympics and its athletes.
“But if they really have generated$99.7 million in revenue in the last year, then that's a pretty huge achievement for any sporting organization that's, well, pretty young in the context.”
Eileen Gu and the Business of Skiing
49:08 to 51:46
Analyzing Eileen Gu's earnings and the dynamics of sponsorship in skiing.
“Talking about things that rely entirely on sponsorship, I want to move on to the Winter Olympics.”
Lindsey Vonn's Career and Earnings
51:46 to 54:34
Looking at Lindsey Vonn's career, earnings, and the role of sponsorship in sports.
“The only sports person I can think of that's pulled off this kind of trick is her ex-boyfriend, Tiger Woods.”
Declining Viewership of Winter Olympics
54:34 to 56:00
Discussing the decline in viewership for the Winter Olympics and popular sports.
“And when I say they're on their way down, they are on their way down quite significant.”
Examining the Evolution of Winter Olympics Sports
56:00 to 56:48
Discussion on the inclusion of lifestyle winter sports and their impact on viewer engagement.
The Importance of Star Athletes in Winter Sports
56:48 to 58:38
A conversation about the need for recognizable athletes to promote winter sports.
“And I just wonder whether the winter sports needs to take a bit of a step back, a bit of a look at things and say, right, we've only got people's attention so much of the year and so much of the Olympic cycle.”
Cost Analysis of Hosting the Winter Olympics
58:38 to 1:00:42
An exploration of the significant costs associated with hosting the Winter Olympics.
“I just want to talk very briefly, Charlie, about the cost of staging, of hosting the Winter Olympics.”
Trends in Olympic Hosting and Infrastructure
1:00:42 to 1:02:32
Discussion on how cities are adapting their infrastructure for Olympic events to reduce costs.
“Now, again, rumours, you know, put numbers at different areas.”
Nostalgia and Future of Winter Sports Events
1:02:32 to 1:04:38
Reflecting on past Olympic experiences while looking forward to upcoming events.
“The Commonwealth Games have had big problems.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00You asked earlier on what the Premier League take out from what the NFL are doing. Well, the big lesson here to people like Infantino is stop creating more matches. You destroy value. I've got a question for you. Do you know who's headlining the halftime show? Do you know Bad Bunny? Do you know who that is? Are you familiar? Escape my attention. We've just had the second season of Aller League. They recently announced that they will be pausing the operation in Germany. Sustainability is a key problem with this. Does anyone really believe that six-a-side football is more entertaining than 11-a-side football?
0:30At the risk of sounding like a stick in the mud and somebody who just doesn't like new things and disruption. Over the last two or three Winter Olympics, they started including an awful lot of lifestyle winter sports. A bit like skateboarding being in the Olympics. Absolutely. And just looking at these numbers here, prima facie, I would say it hasn't worked. Do you think football needs to be disrupted? No. Hello and welcome to our brand new show, The Breakdown. I'm Charlie Stebbings and joining me on this ride is legendary sports executive Charlie Methan. We break new ground this week, a couple of English guys taking a look at what makes the NFL so powerful on Super Bowl week.
1:06Add that to a review of Challenger Football Leagues after Baller League paused their tournament in Germany and a look ahead to the Winter Olympics and we have ourselves a breakdown. Charlie, welcome back. Another show, another week. Another show and I feel a little bit guilty dragging you in today Charlie, knowing that you're complaining about feeling a bit under the weather. I'm very sympathetic to these things, but my wife, for some reason, seems to think that we overstate them. I know. Yeah. So an early admission, there is a bit of the man fluent. But I guess it gives you the chance maybe to really anchor the show and chat a little bit more than you normally do.
1:40Very dangerous. Where's this going to go? Oh, who knows? Who knows? What a week. I mean we had should we say a topic last week that ruffled a few feathers by pinning our colours to the mast relatively firmly with the old cricket world and the balance between ICC and BCCI integrities you warned me when you selected that topic when we decided to really lift the lid properly on what happens in cricket governance you warned me you said by the way just so you know and you said this afterwards you didn't warn me before you did this once I'd already put my head in the box albeit that you did as well so I'm not saying that you sort of hum me out to dry here, but you did warn me that there is a large chunk of Indian cricket fans who do not take kindly to any one single particular thing about Indian cricket being questioned at all.
2:30Yeah. And there are also then an awful lot of people out there who disagree with that. So it provoked quite a lively debate online. There was a lot of engagement, which we like to see, a lot of different points of view and etc. But nothing I saw which really changed the underlying premise of the thing, which is that all we're saying, we're not saying that there are not strong commercial grounds for India to dominate world cricket. If you judge it purely commercially, there are, just as there would be strong grounds to say that Man United could just screw over all the EPL teams. What we're questioning is, is it actually good for the game?
3:08Is it good for the sport? And therefore, in the medium, medium to long term, also is it good for Indian cricket? because ultimately sports, elite sports thrive off competition. And if you are doing things which prevent competition, push down competition, bully potential opponents into not being competition, in the end, you're doing a disservice to yourself. That's our belief, right? So it is what it is. It was a great debate. And, you know, in fact, it wasn't the only topic that we've covered recently that then has kept on developing, which is quite pleasing. I think at the time of recording last week, we said Pakistan hadn't made a decision.
3:49And now at the time of recording this week, they have made a decision, which is... A clever decision. A clever decision. Instead of withdrawing wholly from the World Cup, what they have decided to do is they've said, we will play our group games, but we will not play against India as we're meant to in Colombo. So they were already due to play India in the group games. And so this one that was scheduled, unsurprisingly, wasn't going to be scheduled in India. Hence the dual hosting benefits of this tournament. Colombo was due to host it. But yes, they have now turned around and they've said, we will not be playing that game.
4:23Which I think it's put the ICC in a strange position. Pakistan will effectively forfeit the match. Pakistan's run rate will be impacted. India's run rate won't be impacted. So it's in India's interest. It's in their benefit on the table or from the kind of tournament format. But it does throw up some interesting questions around this whole rather embarrassing situation that the ICC is really having to deal with now. Yeah, well, it is. And these aren't situations that are easy to solve, right? Because effectively, the ICC has allowed politics to infiltrate cricket. And once you let that genie out of the bottle, you can't have it all just in one way.
5:09So they let the genie out of the bottle by saying to India, oh, if you don't fancy playing in Pakistan, that's fine. You don't have to play in Pakistan. Once you've accepted that, don't be surprised when other people come along saying, oh, well, you know, if that's the case, then I don't fancy playing here or I don't fancy playing there. And likewise, when an IPL team was ordered by the BCCI to get rid of a Bangladeshi player for political reasons. Again, you're letting that genie out of the bottle. You're letting the whole thing develop into being something. I mean, you know, we always like to keep politics out of sport.
5:41Keep it out of sport. You know, it's really, really important because otherwise you end up in very, very strange positions. Should we have a check-in on the statement? Because obviously there's been an official statement, as you would all expect. I can see from your face that you like the statement. I mean, I love the statement. Statement of the week is... So the ICC's official response to this in a kind of, I guess, a rest-is-history style here. We'll read this out. While the ICC awaits official communication from the Pakistan Cricket Board, This position of selective participation is difficult to reconcile with the fundamental premise of a global sporting event, where all qualified teams are expected to compete on equal terms per the event schedule.
6:18ICC tournaments are built on sporting integrity, competitiveness, consistency and fairness. And selective participation undermines the spirit and sanctity of the competitions. Now we're back in, Charlie, we're back in. Sorry, sporting integrity, competitiveness, consistency and fairness are doubling down. Except when India says that we don't fancy playing in this pit. if you want to go and play in Dubai. Except then. Except then when it's a totally different matter altogether. So anyway, look, I think it's a really interesting situation. It's put a bit of spice into the tournament, you know, which I think it was in danger of being, I wouldn't, you know, a little bit low-key, I still think.
6:52So this put the tournament on the map from a general media perspective. People have now got reasons to engage with it. It'd be great fun. Looking at that group, it's still highly likely that Pakistan will qualify. Yeah. It'd be really interesting to see what happens if Pakistan and India get drawn in the knockout stages. Well, interestingly, if they play each other in that semi or a final, that would be played also in Sri Lanka. So no games that those two play would be in India. But I reckon the fact that their other games are against Netherlands, USA and Namibia probably makes that decision a slightly easier one for the Pakistan cricket board to look at.
7:27You can imagine that the Pakistan cricket board quite enjoyed this one. Yeah, you can. other developments on other topics we've covered in recent times there's stuff going on at Live Golf or you know stuff not going on I mean when we picked this out in the first show that we did at the beginning of January it was looking at what would happen if some of those top players left in the window that was opened up by the PGA Tour which allowed the big major winners or the players championship winners i.e. it was John Rahm Bryson DeChambeau Cameron Smith Cam Smith and Brooks Koepka who left already. So it was those four players that were opened up.
8:04Then the PGA Tour has effectively opened it up to a broader pool of the players, but they will have to serve a ban if they come back to the PGA Tour of a year from their last entry in a live event. So Patrick Reid has since decided to go back to the PGA Tour. And he actually won on the DP World Tour. He did. The other day. He did. It was absolutely outstanding. He was also, I think you sent me something, wasn't it? looking at him accepting the fines, similar to what you were talking about with Hatton and being willing to basically pay a million pounds or dollars worth of fines. That has been the case, which was what he was doing in order to maintain the ability to play on the European Tour, the DP World Tour as it's known.
8:48But of course, now that he's left Liv, that will no longer apply. He'll be able to play on the DP World Tour whilst he waits out his suspension from the US PGA Tour. So he will effectively be back on the PGA Tour, I think, in August. Exactly right. Yeah, August, September, something like that. And, of course, all the majors take place before then. The golf majors are front-loaded in the calendar now, more so than they used to be, actually. They're really heavily front-loaded. There's another big name going, isn't there? Well, it is a big name. I mean, an interesting name in that he's always been a sort of, you know, sort of villainous figure, Patrick Reid.
9:24he's always called caused controversy obviously a very very fine player you know absolutely one of the top 20 players in the world if you look at it over the last 10 years or so and probably I'd say was in the top five or six of the live stable if you know what I mean now he'd actually won his major just before the window that the US PGA Tour opened up I think he won the Masters yeah he won the Masters in 2018 I think it was and the window was for players who won majors from 2020 onwards or something like that. So he slipped just outside of that. But nonetheless, he made the decision to go forward.
10:00But I tell you what was interesting to me, Charlie, in the last week or two, was seeing that in amidst all of this, you know, frankly, strategic carnage from Liv's perspective, you then see the news come out that they're looking to sell franchises, the franchises, i.e. the ownership of their teams, right? So just to remind listeners who don't know the detail on this one of the innovations and i put it in adverted commas of live was that the players would not just play in these tournaments individually but they would also be part of a team and that the team would have a joint competitive sort of score effectively which would then be ranked over the course of the year and the players had equity stakes in those teams which was another big pull for them some did not all no the captains so the main guys yeah So the idea was, is that one of the ways you tempt the big players to come over to live is you say, not only are you going to get a massive signing on fee, not only are you going to get paid a lot of prize money for playing fewer events with no cuts and shorter tournaments, but you're also going to potentially make like multi-generational wealth because we're going to give you equity stakes in these teams.
11:06and then we're going to try and, not going to try to, we are then going to sell them for large amounts of money, which means that you will then own a significant percentage of something which is worth a vast sum of money. Now, this all went quiet for a while, but just recently, interestingly, in the last few weeks, they're firing the starting gun on trying to sell these franchises for$300 million each. Now, just to give listeners an idea of the scale we're talking about here, So for$300 million, you could probably buy one of the smaller clubs in the Premier League, English Premier League. So you're talking about a football club which breaks even, which has revenues of£160 million a year, so$220 million,$230 million, which has multi-generational support, which has large chunks of infrastructure, which produces players who then go on to be worth 50 100 million on the transfer market clubs like Brentford and Bournemouth and these types of things are in that they're in that place right these are the kinds of numbers we're talking about what is it about a live golf franchise that would attract you to pay 300 million US dollars this is a sport that loses money this is a sport that currently looks as if it's an open question as to whether it has a future going forward Now, I guess the truth is, is that there are certain companies, businesses, investment vehicles, etc.
12:33around the world who have reasons to be on the right side of the Saudi sovereign. Investment reasons that go well beyond$300 million. So the question is, is rather like with the Club World Cup, where there was a sort of behind the scenes deal done with DAZN and PIF putting money into DAZN and then that money getting funneled back into FIFA for the Club World Cup and then FIFA awarding Saudi the World Cup tournament without a proper auction process, bidding process. So I guess the question here is, is there going to be some sort of behind-the-scenes manoeuvre to sort of encourage some friends of the kingdom to try to put some money into these teams, to try and give the sense of sort of momentum?
13:14Because don't forget that if they're looking down the barrel of trying to keep people like Bryson DeChambeau and John Ram and all these guys on side, if it becomes apparent that those franchises aren't worth anything, And if they've already mopped up their signing on fee for their first four or five years, whatever it might be, and if in the meantime the USPGA has both massively increased its prize money but has also enabled an equitization vehicle as well, which the players were able to get into, those big stars on Liv might start looking at Liv thinking, this feels like a dying duck. So it is an important moment.
13:48I can see why they're doing it, which is it's kind of now or never. They need to show that there's some value here. Well, exactly. It's a response. and the players to recognize that value need to have an investor willing to come in and put a value on those businesses yeah that that's the key for them i'm a big believer as you know in the value in the eye of the beholder in sport i don't believe it does all come down to our us being able to say well that financially will return this and therefore that's why someone's bought into it yeah i've used a sale gp example before as a good um indicator of why people may be spending 50 to 100 million on sailing franchises when on paper it may look like a lot of money but individuals ability to do transactions in the port of Monaco or Barcelona or Melbourne over a weekend that are eight or nine figures is hugely valuable to those people owning the teams.
14:31But with this, even if you're applying that model to it, you would want that to be a master's type experience and they don't have any of that on live. There isn't an event there where you're going, do you know what? Me having this team is going to be so appealing to someone that I could do some great business alongside it. Therefore, my 300 million in here is worth me putting it into because of the impact it's going to have on the rest of my business. I don't see that. Let's see what happens. You know, there are wheels within wheels when it comes to doing business with the Saudis, except for this, you know, a bigger picture, as you quite rightly say.
15:05You know, so let's see what happens. But it's just interesting that in the midst of what has been a catastrophic month or two for Liv, that they're now pushing out these franchises at English Premier League club valuations. I mean, they bought, what, Newcastle for$400 million,£300 million. That's right. So it's very similar. 75 % of the cost of Newcastle. So yeah, I mean, hey, look, it's a really interesting time to do it because normally you want to go and sell something when you're riding a wave, when you've got a real up curve to show. And this is, if anything, looking at a time of negativity.
15:36So yeah. Right, so let's crack on. Let's crack on with this week's stuff because we have some big events coming up. Super Bowl week. Amazing. I mean, I know you and I are American football experts. So I think we just got it. We've got to get this out on the table, right? Because otherwise we're in danger of certainly being hung out to dry publicly for trading under forced pretenses. Yes. I love watching American football. I probably watch American football 10 to 15 times a year, normally on a Sunday evening. My wife grew up in the US and she likes watching it as well. And certainly if we're in the US or in that part of the world, then we would.
16:11And sometimes we'll go and watch a college game as well. So I am basically, by European standards, pretty pro-American football. but I think we have to recognize that our level of expertise is perhaps some way behind those of the people who live and breathe it in the U.S. So I think what we're trying to do here Charlie is we're trying to sort of provide an entry point for understanding the business model of NFL which kind of assumes that our listeners are you know somewhere around our level of understanding or a bit behind our level of understanding sort of bring them up to the point at which some of the stuff that then gets spoken about by the real experts in America might make some sense.
16:47Completely. And let's give credit where credit's due. Thank you so much, listeners, and one listener in particular, Mr. Tom Harris, who wrote an incredibly detailed document to encourage us to have a look at this this week with the Super Bowl coming. So the first thing, you know, when we were talking about doing this, we went straight to scarcity value. There are 17 regular season games. 17 games per team. So it's brought the sport which it reminds me most of in structure is Formula One. Yeah. Right. So it's a very clearly delineated season. Formula One runs a bit longer than the NFL, but NFL is a very, very short season.
17:24It sort of runs effectively from September until February. Six months, Formula One is more like eight or nine months, but it's a very clear season. And the other thing which really strikes me about these two sports is that there's only one competition, right? So in other words, in the NFL, they don't play an international cross-continental competition. They don't have a side competition, which is, you know, the same sport in the same format, but a different, you know, a different competition. What do I mean by that? Well, what I mean by that is in football, European football or South American football, soccer as the Americans would call it, typically you'll have the main season, the Premier League season.
18:06Then you'll have the FA Cup. Then you'll have the League Cup. And then you'll have the continental competition of the UEFA Champions League or the Europa Cup or whatever it might be. Then you'll also have internationals. So you'll have international breaks leading up to international tournaments and all that type of stuff. So you're talking about many, many different narrative strands, right? And indeed, a lot of games in total, right? So probably about 60 a season for a typical elite player. We'll be playing 60 to 65 matches a season. In Formula One and the NFL, which are, in my mind, the most successful sports in the world in terms of both revenue generation, but also profit generation, right?
18:44So this is not just, well, we make a lot of revenue, but we lose a lot of money. No, the NFL and F1 now make money. and the way they do it is by having cost controls, a limited season, one competition, and absolute clarity about who the participants are always going to be. 127.7 million is the average viewership of the Super Bowl last year. In the US. That's the domestic audience. So, you know, you talk about that. It's not far off half the country. Not far off half the country. And I guess it would be a bit like having the FA Cup as it used to be. where it's built so much into the heritage, into the habit of someone's sporting year that you sit down and watch it regardless of your situation.
19:28You could be out with your friends. It could be home with the family. It's just something that you do. And sport doesn't really have that anymore. Sport doesn't have that because we have so many options. There are so many choices, things fall by the way. So we talk about emerging leagues. We talk about existing leagues. You talk about different competitions. Most interestingly, I thought when looking at it, it was, okay, that's an amazing number of people in the US. What about globally? and that's where I wouldn't say it falls down but that's where the shift really comes because overall they said it's a domestic product 200 million I think it was roughly globally for the Super Bowl while 127 million was from the US the Champions League to put it into context averages around 400 million globally viewers a year the World Cup final then goes into a billion similar with the Olympics those thrive on their international reach and so it brings into question it's like where does value lie with things is it focus or is it breadth the annual league revenue is 18 billion conservatively $20 billion at a push, supposedly.
20:21And they distribute, Charlie. The NFL as a league distributes the TV revenue, the league sponsorships, so they have partnerships. The NFL itself keeps hold of large chunks of the assets, which it sells for the league as a whole. And they also distribute 34 % of all the gate receipts. So if you are a franchise holder in the NFL, the vast majority of your revenues are being distributed to you by the league. Yeah. Now, what does this mean? What this means is, of course, and this goes back to the whole Premier League argument versus La Liga and versus Serie A and co. What this means is that most teams get roughly about the same amount of money, give or take.
21:00I mean, obviously, if you are the Dallas Cowboys, you'll have a bigger merch operation and all this type of stuff. But fundamentally, all of the teams get a very significant chunk. So that makes it a very competitive system. Obviously, you've then got the draft system. For those listeners who don't know what the draft system is, basically the top young players coming out of university, which is the underpinning support system for the NFL, is the clubs don't have academies. The players go through university, play for colleges, and then they are put into a group as they leave college. And they're numbered from supposedly number one being the most attractive player down to several hundreds, whatever it might be.
21:37and effectively the clubs, the franchises that did worse the previous season get first pick on the best players coming out of college, right? So that would be the equivalent if you think about all of the best players being developed within the English football ecosystem. Rather than being developed at individual clubs, they're all being developed together at, let's say, St. George's Park, right, which is the FA's headquarters in Burton. and then effectively the team that's just come up from the championship into the Premier League gets to choose the best youngster to come out of that and actually the team that's won gets the last pick in terms of the players coming out of it so everything is engendered the point I'm making here is that everything is being engendered to create the closest possible competition which then means that even within those limited match days at the start of the season it's very hard to say well, this team's going to struggle, that team's going to blow it away this season.
22:35There's much more jeopardy involved. There's much more suspense involved. And even if you're having a terrible season, whereas in European football, having one terrible season makes you fear for next season might be even worse. But in American football, it means that you know you're going to get some great draft picks and that next season probably could be an awful lot better, right? So there are all sorts of things that have developed over time to make this kind of like the perfect professional sporting product. It's so funny, isn't it, with the US in sport? It's the most socialist system and the most capitalist market.
23:06Well, it's socialism with a capitalist purpose, right? It's like, right, if we're all going to make the maximum amount out of the capital that we've deployed to buy these teams, to build the stadiums, to do all this type of stuff, then actually we should indulge in a bit of closed-circuit socialism to make sure that we all make dump loads of money rather than trying to get this person or that person to make more money than the next person. Do you think this is replicable? Yes, of course. Okay, but do you apply it to football? In which sport? Okay, so apply it to football where we're just critiquing or we've used it as a reference point.
23:38You know, it's a global game. This is a singular game geographically. I guess what I'm thinking is every time we talk about it, the scarcity value piece does come up regularly. The centralized governance piece is really important to the success they have. If we're going to try and apply some of the learnings and the successes that the NFL has to other sports, What are the most applicable things that we could take? Okay, so within soccer, the only organization that could go down this route would be the Premier League, right? It's the only one that's big enough to be able to guarantee doing what needs to be done while still retaining most of the best players, right?
24:18So the first thing that they would do, if I was advising the Premier League, taking lessons from this, I'd say, right, you need to start getting rid of some fixtures here, right? You've got to get rid of the League Cup. Now, the League Cup's owned by the Football League, and under the current agreements between the leagues, Premier League teams have to take part in the League Cup because that's what generates money for the Football League to give money to their clubs. There's about to be a redistribution of TV revenues between the Premier League and the Football League. I'd be saying to the Premier League, give more money than is required to the Football League.
24:44But one of the conditions is that the League Cup goes back to being a competition just for the league teams, for the EFL teams, and the Premier League teams don't participate. That clears one narrative strand and a whole bunch of matches out of the way, right? I would then be saying that we've now got two competitions domestically, right? We've got the Premier League and we've got the FA Cup. And I would be saying that you would double down on the NFL's sequence or saying, we need to make the TV distribution even more equal than it currently is. We want to make sure that instead of it being the big six, it needs to become the big seven, the big eight, the big nine, the big ten, right, to enable the Villas and the Newcastles and these types of clubs to climb into that group, to create that sense of jeopardy every single season so that not just people in this country, because to some degree looking at your domestic market is that when you've got people who are devoted fans of a club, even if they know in their heart of hearts that their club is not going to win that competition this season, they'll still go and they'll still watch, they'll still be passionately involved.
25:46but if you're looking at growing your global audience for a sport the more jeopardy you have the better because these potential viewers don't have the same historic links to these clubs so in other words if you say to them at the start of the season we want you to become really interested in the Premier League but in reality only two or three teams can win it you're just reducing the attractiveness of the competition to them and therefore the broadcast rights and therefore all the other commercials that come off having those broadcast rights etc so I'd be If I was the Premier League, I'd be looking at using their current position of financial dominance to double down in the areas that the NFL has and to really cement their position as being the best league.
26:25Because that's the lesson. There are a few stats here I want to read out. So the NFL has a 17-game season, 17-match day season. Baseball is 162, right? And the NBA is 82. So you've got extremes here. You've got absolute extremes. and it's very noticeable to see that as NFL gets stronger and stronger, baseball gets weaker and weaker because in today's attention economy, when people are really stretched, they've got so much optionality. When I was out in America recently and speaking to friends who are by origin baseball guys, they're like, I just don't have the time to follow it. It's just until it gets to the World Series, on a week-to-week basis, it's not even I can't, don't have the time to go and watch it.
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27:09I don't even have the attention span to be able to follow it. Like there's just so much of it going on that the moment I check back in again, I find that a whole bunch of stuff's happened that I haven't even noticed. Did you have any of the numbers just in similar ways from those sports compared to the NFL? I'm not sure what. Yes. How they're. Well, I can tell you the TV. Yeah. The TV revenue is quite interesting. OK, so let's look at the TV revenue because that's a good marker for how the sport's doing as a whole. Because obviously the TV revenues relates to eyeballs. Eyeballs is what relates to everything else.
27:37Right. OK, so in the case of the NFL, they're raking in about$10 billion a year in TV revenues, 95 % of which is coming from their domestic market, right? They are not getting much of their international rights. They're pretty much giving their international rights away to try and create a global audience, but they're getting vast amounts in from their domestic audience. The NBA is at$7 billion, right? So it's still very, very, very substantial. Now, it's worth noting that the NFL has 32 teams and the NBA has 30 teams. To put this in some context, the EPL, the Premier League, the English Premier League, does 5 billion.
28:19That's for 20 teams, not for 30 or 32 teams. So the comparable roughly, if you just do some very basic mathematics, the NFL is generating about 300 million per team. and the Premier League is generating around about 250 million per team. So these are comparable leagues and the NBA a little bit less than that, right? The interesting thing is for me is that the Premier League, the Premier League's global revenues, i.e. the TV revenues that are generated from outside of England, have now surpassed the TV revenues generated from the English market. It's now moving towards about 60-40. Right. So if you think about that five billion, 2.2 billion or so are generated domestically and then 2.7 or 8 billion are generated internationally.
29:09Whereas, as we were saying earlier on, the NFL's case, almost all of that 10 billion is being generated from within the US. Probably I would guess that this is means strategically you'd probably rather be broader based like that, Because the dirty truth is, is in very mature markets, the domestic TV audience is slightly reducing, just as younger generations don't watch as much TV because they have so much optionality. And I noticed that the viewership of the NFL in 2024 declined by, I think, two and a half percent, right? Not a lot. It's still huge, as you said earlier on. It's still absolutely vast.
29:48But it's a trend line that says that they have reached absolute saturation. And indeed, everything we know about the viewing patterns of Gen Zers, etc., is that probably it is going to start tailing off over time, a very steady decline. Now, what the Premier League is doing, it's filling up those gradually lost eyeballs in England very fast with eyeballs around the world, right? So actually, the Premier League's total number of eyeballs is increasing. But we're seeing a push now from the NFL to recognize that, aren't we? For the first time this year, I think there's going to be nine games that are played outside of the US.
30:28So there are 272 regular season games. Nine of them will be played, three in London, one in Paris, one in Munich, one in Madrid, one in Mexico City, one in Rio, one in Melbourne. That's a clear indicator that they recognize that their reliance on the domestic audience needs to shift a little bit. they want to build value in a broader geography to to keep that league growing yeah and i think they're doing a really good job by the way i mean i do think that if you if you were to take and this is very much finger in the air but if i compare the level of exposure that my generation had growing up to nfl in this country to my son who's 19 his generation have had much more exposure to both nfl on tv but also nfl live and indeed online because when when i was growing up we didn't have YouTube, etc.
31:13So they are much more au fait with kind of that generation, not all of them, but a significant chunk of the sports loving segment of Gen Z is more au fait with what's happening in NFL than we were 30 years ago. So that gives some hope to the idea that over the next 5, 10, 15, 20 years, the NFL will become more prevalent. And that's because they haven't just come over and just had a match. They've put on a big weekend around it, right? They've really throwing the kitchen sink at it. So it does feel like the NFL is getting a grip on this core strategic, I wouldn't even say problem, like they're so dominant domestically that they could just sit on their ass and just say, do you know what?
31:52Doesn't matter. We're huge. We make vast amounts of money. We don't need to go and push the envelope in other geographies, but they are. Now, the commissioner of the NFL, Roger Goodall, who is, I think he earns something like 60 million himself, right? I mean, he must be the best paid sports exec in the whole world. You said earlier on that revenues were at sort of 18 billion to 20 billion. He's declared that he wants them to be 25 billion, right? And realistically, you've got to think, given the moves they're making, that they're reckoning that that increase in revenue is largely going to come from international markets.
32:25Yeah. The Nike deal they have is interesting. So they centralize the manufacturing deal for all of the apparel. That includes training, wear, includes matchday kits. and I had a look at some of the numbers around that and interestingly it was about, again, relatively hidden but between$150 to$200 million a year for Nike to kit out all 32 teams. I was quite surprised about that. I was expecting it to be bigger. Yes, I would expect it to be bigger. Adidas pay I think$90 million to Man United right now. Real Madrid are about$100 million. Charlie, I'd love to see the detail of that deal because my experience of kit deals, which is reasonably extensive, is that the devil is in the detail.
33:05Like there's an upfront payment, but there's also sometimes revenue sharing. There's all sorts of other stuff that goes on. So without, I wouldn't want to comment in too much detail on that deal without knowing more about it. But yes, prima facie, it seems like a relatively low number. So I hope that listeners sort of, you know, feel that we've given them a sort of, a bit of an insight into where the NFL is from a business perspective. There will be, you know, huge eyeballs on that event this coming weekend. But the interesting thing is, when you think about it, strategically compared to where people like Infantino are trying to take football, Super Bowl finishes.
33:42From then until August, September, there is no NFL, right? So you asked earlier on, what would the Premier League take out from what the NFL are doing? Well, I mentioned a few things I thought the Premier League could do. But the big lesson here to people like Infantino is stop creating more matches. You destroy value by creating more matches. And however much you might think you're winning your silly little ego games with UEFA, you're destroying the long-term attractiveness of the sport that you are in charge of. Football needs fewer matches, as does baseball, as does basketball. That is what Formula One and NFL are proving.
34:17I've got a question for you. Do you know who's headlining the halftime show? Oh, I think I did see this. Was it Kid Rock? No. Do you know Bad Bunny? Do you know who that is? Are you familiar? It escaped my attention. You're familiar with the music of Bad Bunny? No, no, I'm not familiar with the music of Bad Bunny. Well, it sounds quite intriguing though. What does Bad Bunny do? He's a very successful artist. One of the most successful artists in the world at the moment. I'm sure you'll be tuning in on Sunday. What do you think of it as a sport, just finally? Because it's very different to watch, isn't it?
34:47I quite like it. Does it entrance me in the same way that a really good football match does? Or a top, top test cricket can entrance me more than anything else? or even a tournament going down the stretch of the big golf tournament? Probably not, but I do like it. What about you? Yeah, I struggle with it a little bit. I find it very stop-start, quite slow. It's certainly very stop-start. That's the entire nature of it. And obviously, I mean, the easy comparison is to something like rugby. The frustrating thing about rugby is that there are things that they could do to rugby to make rugby an amazing viewing prospect, but for one reason or another, they won't do it.
35:26Anyhow, that's a discussion for another day. Should we move on? Let's go. It's been a big time for topic number two, which is a look at Baller League and more broadly, challenger competitions and formats in football. How do you even begin to disrupt the biggest and most successful sport in the world, Charlie? So, Baller League is a challenger football product. It's a short-form football tournament alongside something called the Kings League. Kings League is seven-a-side, founded by Gerard Piquet. Baller League, founded by a guy called Felix Stark. Six-a-side league, both indoor football, both really digital-driven.
36:03They were distributed in the early days on platforms rather than going central media contracts. They were heavily created to engage the fans. Really social-first football tournaments. Now, they have big stars behind both of them, Baller League in particular. They started in Germany. Felix is German, so that was the home market. And they had people like Lukasz Podolski, Mats Hummels, Alicia Lehman, fronting a lot of these teams. And it did amazingly well. It was one of the most watched, if not the most watched sports product on Twitch. And they built an audience pretty much straight away off the bat.
36:37That brought in great sponsorships. And therefore, a year after setting up in Germany, They laid out the expansion plans to go and build a product in the UK and the US. The UK has indeed started. It has. We've just had the second season. We've just had the second season. And the US has not yet started. It's slated, in theory, to start in the next month or two. March, yeah. In theory. I haven't seen enough detail there to really convince me that that is happening. But nonetheless, that's the theory. But I think where you were about to go then is go back to its home market of Germany. That's the reason why we're talking about it this week, because they recently announced that they will be pausing the operation in Germany.
37:17I just want to put a quote here about which the Borla League says about Germany. The home market, this is where the founders come from. Germany will always remain an important part of the Borla League, but the market currently lacks the size and conditions to succeed. Right. This statement really worried me because, why did it worry me? I think Germany is probably the biggest football market in the world, I would say. Yeah. Right. Give or take. Right. Brazil might have a dog in that fight. But Brazil and Germany. One of the biggest. Massive populations where football is the only show in town. Right.
37:58England is, football's huge, but so is cricket, so is rugby, so is golf, etc. Really in Germany, it's football, football, football, football. And we've discussed before what it's like going to a big Bundesliga match in Germany. It's the whole state's behind it and the whole thing is really... So when you say that Germany lacks the size of market, of football market, to carry this off, it leaves me thinking, well, who has a big enough market if Germany doesn't? Germany is vast. I mean, it's got a population quite a bit larger than the UK's. And it's a significantly more football-focused population than is the case in the UK.
38:36and then you look at America big population but how many of them really into football much much much less so I just want to have a quick look at some of the numbers right let's look at I don't have the German numbers but let's suffice it to say they clearly weren't good enough otherwise they wouldn't have suspended operations in Germany in season one there was a very very significant number of match days hitting one million and that's not necessarily been the case all the way since so you get this big splash of interest this big sort of push of sort of like wow, this is new. I want to have a look at this.
39:08This is something, could be something very different. And the issue is not really whether people like it or don't like it. The problem is the bar is very high. They've got to really like it. They've got to buy into it so much. They want to keep on coming back for more and more and more and more because the in-stadium or the in-arena attendances are never going to be enough to make a significant difference here. You're playing in the copper box in the case of London, which fits four or 5 ,000 people. And actually weren't charging for a lot of tickets. And even the tickets they were charging for, it's 15 quid, right?
39:39So if you think about your, quote, match day revenues, right, what we talk about in professional football terms, you're really not looking at anything which is particularly significant. You're looking at about 50 ,000 maybe per match day. But, of course, the rent of the copper box is going to be significant as well, the stewarding and the staffing and all this type of stuff. And then in the final, which gets played in a bigger place, You're looking at maybe 10 ,000 to 15 ,000 people and you might have 200 ,000 quid. Anyway, it's a long way around of saying that the ticketing revenue clearly is not intended to be a big part of this.
40:13So then it becomes a question of how many people can be watching on social media and how can that be monetized through sponsorship, which is then played off against the expense of staging the whole thing. Right. Because we've got to bear in mind that when you talk about the celebs that are involved in this as managers or, you know, sort of attached celebrities, these guys don't come cheap. And I think they had the same ambition as we talked about with Live, where the franchises these celebrities were associated with would be equity plays for them and they get real value through ownership. Yeah, that's right.
40:44You know, I do think that with all these things, like there's got to be some sort of visibility on the idea that you might eventually end up making some money. right I think you're right in saying that okay that on a one-off basis there might be a particular reason why an entity might buy into a sell GP team because it wants to do it but that's not gonna be the case with this kind of stuff right this is really isn't gonna care at some point this has to make financial sense being very specific you know when I'm talking about that as I said I think it has to be something that's built around an absolutely incredible offering that is an experience to someone.
41:16Lifestyle. Lifestyle piece. For a while, F1 was like part of the reason you got involved was to be in the paddock and all that type of stuff. Going to the Copper Box to watch my Sixerside football team managed by John Terry. Yeah. I'm not here. I'm not here for the lifestyle piece. That's not a lifestyle thing, right? I just want to just think about this in terms of disruption, right? In terms of doing innovation, doing something new. before your time um sometimes great way i love it when you start things like this sometime before your time um there was a very prominent five-a-side indoor football tournament called the daily express five-a-sides which the top football teams football clubs in england would put teams into this tournament right and it was televised on the bbc it was played at wembley arena in front of 20 ,000 people.
42:10In fact, my home team, Oxford United, won it in 1985. John Aldridge scoring the winner after Kenny Samson had put Arsenal in front. So it was a big deal. This isn't you. This has all happened before. And they had razzmatazz around us and all this type of stuff. There was much more of that than there would have been in traditional football at that time. I used to love Masters football. Did you watch Masters football? It was a sort of spin-off of that, effectively. So watching ex-footballers playing five-a-side football, etc. So this is not a new concept right i just want to know where are you actually taking this because at the offset it looks so cool the names you bring into it i you can sell me on that disrupting something creating an experience different formats that are cool i've been to i've been to baller league and i've been yeah and i really enjoyed it and it was different and it was a novelty but am i going back and tuning in every week like i do with my traditional football i'm not i may not be their target market but when it comes back to but it comes back to longevity right and and and this with all of this when whether it's we're talking about live or these emerging r360 or baller league you're going up against traditional sport which is so powerful in its ability to be habitual i'm programmed to go to my 11 aside football team my premier league football team championship football team I'm programmed on the experience of stadia and going to watch this stuff and to to create that consistency to create that habit these new leagues have to find a way to to draw me in beyond just a novelty concept just falls down a bit on what the level of ambition is I mean because the the founder of the baller league has been very ballsy um he's gone out and said some big things.
43:58I've noticed that the Kings League, which is the version that was founded in Spain by Gerard Pique, has been a bit more reserved in its public pronouncements. Their CEO said this, we are tapping into the market of the young generation who are changing the way they consume sports. Traditional football is far from dead. That would be ridiculous. We simply think that this is also an alternative that can be successful in its own way. So once you sort of chop it back to if we keep a control on costs, if we try and make sure that we're doing things that generate enough eyeballs, can we have a circus here that gradually over time becomes part of the landscape that the new generation becomes accustomed to and they start to form a degree of interest and loyalty to some of the teams, even if it's nowhere near what they might be towards a traditional level side team.
44:49Once you start accepting that it's not going to be like a multi-billion dollar enterprise, but actually it can gradually develop value in its own way, then I think you can make more sense out of it. I think it's when you go balls in and say, right, no, we are going to fundamentally disrupt the football market and we're going to spend a lot of money doing that and we're going to need, therefore, to have big early success to do that and all this type of stuff. I think that it becomes a lot more challenging to make the sums that up and then you need more and more investment, which is just sort of very painful when you're doing new funding rounds.
45:22all the time so look the bottom line is as we said to start with when people try new stuff you know we are interested we're interested we're fascinated and there are new things trying to think of a good example that's off my head there are new things that do work um the IPL which actually was born out of an English cricket invention called T20 cricket right T20 cricket has massively worked yeah there is a core point here right i think which is the creators of t20 believed that t20 cricket would be more exciting than 50 over cricket genuinely more exciting yeah for everybody for a normal audience that this is going to be more exciting this is going to be genuinely better and whatever i might think about as a traditionalist who loves test cricket that has proven to be the case more people like watching t20 cricket than ever liked watching 50 over cricket do we actually believe does anyone really believe that six a side football is more entertaining than 11 side football has anyone said that because i've just said what the king's league guy said which is basically no it's not isn't that it's not that at all because basically otherwise you're in the business of trying to fix something that's not broken i was going to say my final question to you on it was going to be, do you think football needs to be disrupted?
46:41No. I think there are elements we've discussed earlier on in terms of the cost control structures, in terms of multiplicity of match occasions, in terms of how often the players are asked to perform. All these things, I think, are things that need to be tightened up, right? But in terms of the core product, every available metric tells you that more and more and more people want to watch it live in stadium and on TV. So you're trying to disrupt something that is in any modern sporting media metric term that you choose to use is exploding with success. As opposed to, I think, in cricket, where the 50-over game was already on its way down.
47:16So 2020 was coming along, disrupting something that wasn't working. These things seem to me, if they are genuinely trying to be disruptive, they're trying to disrupt something that, to me, doesn't really look like it needs disrupting. And that then creates a problem. That said, it should be said that this season, The baller league did happen in the UK. It did happen successfully. The finals seem to be, I watched the final back, and it went off well, etc. Now, I can't tell you what the economics are behind the entire thing and why if the English league is doing better than Germany. I can't speak to any of that because I don't know what the numbers are behind the scenes.
47:54But it is only fair to recognise that we've just completed season two. It looks to have been passed off. The whole thing was run well. there were celebrities there, there were significant senior football figures like John Terry and Alan Shearer involved. It's not us sitting here saying it is a failure. It's us sitting here saying the fact that they have abandoned ship in Germany is a little red flashing light on the dashboard saying, is this really going to work medium to long term? And I think I wouldn't want to put it more strongly than that. No, I agree. And also on the Kingsley side, I mean, it's an industry estimate.
48:29But if they really have generated$99.7 million in revenue in the last year, then that's a pretty huge achievement for any sporting organization that's, well, pretty young in the context. Let's watch this space. But I watch it and I'm always aware, I'm self-critical of to know I'm a late adopter. I'm not the guy who jumps on every new thing in technology and sport or whatever it might be. So perhaps I'm always going to be the one who is a bit more skeptical, whereas I think you will be more open to something new and all this type of stuff. There's just something in the back of my mind that just questions a model which depends entirely on sponsorship.
49:07You nailed it. Talking about things that rely entirely on sponsorship, I want to move on to the Winter Olympics. Wow. When I was looking at the Winter Olympics, what a segue, right? Wow. Is that good? Yeah, I love that. So the Winter Olympics is about to start in its core Milano Cortina, but of course the majority of the events will be happening in the mountains at Cortina above Milan. And it's just time, I think, to have a little look at the Winter Olympics as an event, but also at winter sports in general. Because I came across in researching this item, I came across an athlete which I'd actually never heard of before.
49:40Her name is Eileen Gu, and I'm sure plenty of listeners will have heard of Eileen Gu. She's a freestyle skier and arguably the best freestyle skier in the world. and last year she earned 23 million dollars which by any standards is a loss of money for a sports person to earn i mean i think we said the other day that the top women's tennis players were at sort of 17 18 million in terms of on court and then obviously maybe an extra 10 million off court so eileen gu um is has you know she's really i mean i'm sure she's worked very hard and she must have done um but she's also fortunate to be both american and chinese which is two quite big markets for brands to hit.
50:20So she has Red Bull, Porsche, TCL, all sponsoring her. Of her 23 million euros, 100 ,000 was earnings from her skiing. What a business model. We were saying earlier on, be careful of business models that rely on sponsorship. But I'm guessing if you're Eileen Yu, you're not turning it down, right? You're not saying, well, actually, do you know what? I think I should really depend more. My model would be more sustainable if it was all about my earnings from being a freestyle skier. Anyhow. But she's one of the best freestyle skis. So is that just, there's just no money in. I think the best. Yeah.
50:53I mean, I was looking at the best female downhill skier of the last 20 to 30 years, Lindsay Vaughn. Astonishing story. We don't know if she's fit yet, do we? She hasn't said if she's going to make it. Depends on your definition of fitness, Charlie. Careering down a mountain. So she retired in 2019 saying, my body is broken beyond repair and it isn't letting me having that it isn't letting me have the final season i dreamed of right that was in 2019 right when she was in her mid-30s which is the end of you know for most professional athletes if you make it to your mid-30s you've done great she then had a titanium knee put in and returned in 2024 aged 40 is now 41 and one of the favorites for the women's downhill.
51:46And I was looking forward to this. What an amazing narrative, right? What an amazing narrative. The only sports person I can think of that's pulled off this kind of trick is her ex-boyfriend, Tiger Woods. Yes. Similar kinds of ages, right? It's such a good point. Right? So, Lindsay Vaughn, it's difficult to decipher exactly what Lindsay Vaughn has earned over the last 20 years. There are differing accounts of it. But broadly speaking, She's been the highest profile downhill skier of that era, men or women, right? And during that time, she has earned in total something like$40 million,$40 to$50 million.
52:27It's difficult to decipher exactly how much. But of that, not much more than$5 or$6 million has been through her skiing earnings. The rest of it has been commercial partnerships. Red Bull, again, Under Armour, Rolex, Head, Land Rover Jaguar, Oakley. These are all long-term sponsors of Lindsey Vonn. Premium brands. Really premium brands. And it's interesting something that she said that was basically even to sustain yourself financially as a top skier, really, without help from your governing body, from your home country's governing body, which you get in some countries but don't in others and don't really in the US, you need to be in the top 10.
53:06if you're not in the top 10 then you are going to be driving around in a camper van you know bumming lifts and hoping to someone will have you to stay and all this type of stuff so it's extraordinary isn't it's this sport which is quite hard to categorize how big is skiing right so it's a mass participation sport right lots of people ski and in its heyday and we're talking in the uk here ski sunday ski sunday which is i was gonna say was still is the bbc's flagship sort of program covering the competitive skiing season. In its heyday in the 1980s, this was watched by 5.5 million English or British people, I should say, a Sunday, a weekend.
53:50Unbelievable. I mean, huge viewing numbers. It happened at a brilliant time of the day. It was about 5 p.m. on a Sunday. So if you think about a time during the winter, of course, we're talking about from November, December through until March, right? So it's a time of the day and a time of the year when a lot of the family are huddled inside, etc. So you have a choice between Songs of Praise or Ski Sunday. Go for Ski Sunday. And it was hosted by a man called David Vine, who was a lovely man, who also did the snooker as well. He was a national sports figure. Anyway, it's still going. And it still gets more than a million viewers a weekend.
54:23But that is nonetheless quite a severe diminution. And I was looking at the TV audiences for the Winter Olympics over the last few iterations, right? And they are on their way down, right? And when I say they're on their way down, they are on their way down quite significant. Really? Yeah, they are. I love it. I love it as well. So if I just give you an idea, within the US market, Sochi was 21 million, Beijing 19 million, expecting 11.5 million, these types of things. So you're seeing an audience which is getting close to halving over the course of a sort of 10, 15 year period, that type of thing.
55:03I think it was Pyongyang was the one in between. So I would just be a little bit concerned about that. You just said you loved it. Out of interest, which bits of it do you like? Skiing is absolutely one. Look, we've had obviously a brilliant time in the last few Olympics on the curling. That's been fantastic for people. I mean curling has been because we've actually been quite good at it and so naturally it's been something that people have talked and focused on a little bit more but I love watching curling so the four most popular sports in the Winter Olympics to watch in the UK and the US are bobsleigh including the various different iterations there are which we've also done well at in the UK and the Americans do well at as well figure skating yeah brilliant right skiing and ski jumping these are the four dominant sports in what people want to watch in the Winter Olympics.
55:54At the risk of sounding like a stick in the mud and somebody who just doesn't like new things and disruption, I wonder that over the last two or three Winter Olympics, they started including an awful lot of more like lifestyle winter sports, things that are judged in points terms rather than in who's quicker or who jumps further or whatever it might be. So you're talking, obviously we've mentioned freestyle skiing being one, but you're talking about various other all sorts of different iterations of jumping and acrobatics and all these types of things a bit like skateboarding being in the olympics absolutely yeah and just looking at these numbers here knowing that it's the last three olympics when those sports have come in prima facie i would say it hasn't worked but how are those numbers being measured are they just total across the olympics because i i agree i may not watch i may not watch the freestyle just like i may not watch skateboarding in the olympics but i'm still tuning in for the athletics and I'm still tuning in for the skiing.
56:50So I'm just being more selective. But I'm still watching this. I know. But the point I'm making is that remember what we said earlier on about focus and scarcity value and being very clear about what your core product is and only asking people to watch the stuff that really matters and so on and so forth. I just wonder whether the Winter Olympics in terms of the proliferation of number of disciplines and events has ended up becoming a bit of a sprawling beast and the numbers which as i said have been significantly heading down reflect that we also probably need more lindsey vons we need more people to carry that torch i was about to say with exception with lindsey von it's quite hard to say a skier over the last 10 or 15 years michael schifrin maybe who's also become like really famous i actually looked up who the current men's world champion downhill skier was and to my shame i didn't know i had never heard of him before it wasn't just that it didn't spring to mind i i saw the name and i was like i have no idea who you are absolutely no idea which of course is no but if you're prior reflection on me than it is on him clearly he's an outstanding athlete right but but at the same time you know if i'm running world skiing or winter sports i think you know for sports nuts like us we need to know who the leading proponents are like if i go back to my youth um there were globally famous skiers like Alberto Tomba, Tomba La Bomba, who was the slalom champion, etc.
58:14There was a really famous skier. And I just wonder whether the winter sports needs to take a bit of a step back, a bit of a look at things and say, right, we've only got people's attention so much of the year and so much of the Olympic cycle. We really do need to focus on these core sports, skiing, ski jumping, bobsleigh, figure skating, these core sports, which really captures people's attention. We need the attention on those things. I just want to talk very briefly, Charlie, about the cost of staging, of hosting the Winter Olympics. Do you want to kick off on that? I loved this because when I was taking a look at it, it's something we've talked about in Olympic Games for a while.
58:52There's been a shift recently in the summer games between host cities, trying to reduce the overall cost of hosting because it is extreme. And we saw in Paris the use of a lot of existing infrastructure to host events. So I think they used, you know, for like the fencing and stuff, they did it in... Was it Versailles? I think it was Versailles. Was it Versailles? I'm sure someone was. But it's similar. Instead of building these brand new stadiums, you try and create value by using the heritage sites that are synonymous to the city. And that's been very effective. And looking at Winter Olympics costs, they're still pretty hefty when you're looking at the total cost.
59:29So Milan Cortina, they say about 7.7 billion euros for total. But they actually said that 1.6 billion was strictly for the Olympic competition venues and for the organization. So a huge amount of that work was going into the surrounding infrastructure in the area, whether that's roads and transport links. Which has benefits which go on. Exactly. So almost like the Olympics are being used as a good excuse to level up national infrastructure. But the actual operating budget for the Games was 1.6 billion euros. So, okay, I was like, interesting. Then I had a look at some of the costs that previous games.
1:00:06Sochi? Now, this one was excellent. I did. So multiple analysis estimate a total cost of Sochi at about$50 billion. That's$5-0 billion. I'm glad you saw that as well. And that's the most expensive ever games across all summer and winter Olympics. Yeah. Around$10-16 billion was directly on sports-related venues. Yeah. And of course, subjected to considerable democratic oversight because it's such a strong democracy. Well, exactly. Yeah. And, you know, it's been hugely successful in maintaining its use of those venues ever since the Olympics was over. But Beijing also was up to 38 billion. Beijing was big as well.
1:00:44Now, again, rumours, you know, put numbers at different areas. But I think there was a realistic estimate that 38 billion accounted for the infrastructure, the transport, the venues and the snow making. Of course. Snow is not reliable. But the IOC contributes, interestingly,$845 million, about$900 million said to help with these costs. So Salt Lake, which is an upcoming Olympics. Now, interestingly, it was at Salt Lake not all that long ago, right? But it's an upcoming Winter Olympics at Salt Lake. And one of the reasons for this is precisely because you don't have to go and build all the infrastructure again.
1:01:22So that says to me that it's becoming, and I think we saw this a bit with the bidding for the FIFA World Cup, obviously which was given to Saudi Arabia unopposed. With all their existing infrastructure. Part of that is obviously because the dealings between Infantino and Saudi Arabia. I think also part of it is most countries who could potentially host these things now starting to think much more carefully about is it really worth it, right? The cost versus the reward is starting to look potentially a little bit lopsided. So that Salt Lake Games is estimated to cost$3 billion, right? Now, if you go down from Sochi at$50 billion to Beijing at$35 billion to Salt Lake costing$3 billion, you're then starting to arrive at the types of numbers where you really can make sense out of it, right?
1:02:13Where you can actually say, do you know what? That's absolutely fine. That's a realistic amount of money for an area which is, you know, obviously derives a great benefit from people who then say, hey, that looks nice. I might take my next ski holiday there, et cetera. You start to get into those types of more direct trade-off numbers where you can make the numbers add up better. Was it Brisbane that pulled out of the Commonwealth Games recently? The Commonwealth Games have had big problems. Because the problem is that you're... It doesn't have the prestige of some of the others. So you're incurring lots of infrastructure costs without necessarily getting the outturn of the big prestigious events like the Olympics.
1:02:48I'm sort of nostalgic about Cortina, both having been there and loved it, but also... You got some downhill experience there? Well, I skied downhill. I wouldn't quite say that I... Does that mean you went down a ski slope? I definitely went down a ski slope. Did I go down the ski slope that's used? Probably not. I probably wimped out of that knowing me. Are you a big skier? Yeah, very keen skier. Yeah, very keen skier. I go every year. Actually, last year we were in Colorado where my wife grew up. Skiing in America, apparently. Vale and Aspen, and it was absolutely terrific. Anyway, back on to Cortina.
1:03:25listeners of my generation may remember that Cortina figured heavily in a James Bond film For Your Eyes Only oh is that it's For Your Eyes Only Cortina yeah so where the biathlon that's where the biathlon happens and where Luigi Ferrara gets killed that is Bond's agent out there so that is a great and remember the ski jump scene yeah when the thugs are coming down with him and he's elbowing them and this time so Cortina will always hold that Roger Moore blue sort of puffy jacket. It's very blue, isn't it? It's very blue. It's bright blue. So yeah, Cortina, let's hope they have a terrific few weeks.
1:04:01If you haven't seen that, that's a great film. That's a great movie. And with some great ski scenes. But it's absolutely prompting in my mind and perhaps this is why hosting the Olympics does work to conclude on this point. Is it prompting in my mind the thought that I need to get out to Cortina soon? Yeah. Well, I'm actually going. You're going for the Olympics? Yeah. Freebies, junkets. All these junkets get sent in here and you basically just stick them in your top drawer and yeah I'm sorry I take it Harry's not even coming either so men's ice hockey final we'll probably revisit this next week at some stage just to see how it's all kicked off it's very exciting Friday I think it all starts so the day this is released so we'll be at the Olympics as well the Six Nations will be underway and the T20 World Cup so lots to look forward to so much to look forward to as always Charlie an absolute pleasure Thank you as ever for tuning into another breakdown.
1:04:55Finding our stride and bringing the best stories of the week continues to be thoroughly enjoyable and your involvement in guiding us to talk through the things you want to hear about is becoming far more prominent. So thank you and keep it coming. We'll see you next week.
From the publisher
We break new ground this week. A couple of English guys taking a look at what makes the NFL so powerful on Super Bowl week. Add that to a review of challenger football leagues after Baller League paused their tournament in Germany and a look ahead to the Winter Olympics, and we have ourselves a breakdown!




