In short
Fast Money covers a tech-led market rally led by Dell’s earnings surge, what it implies for the durability of the AI trade, and upcoming catalysts: ASCO (5/29/26) for oncology deals/data, plus next week’s earnings and options setups (notably Broadcom). It also discusses Robinhood’s AI trading push, the Target vs. Walmart retail battle, and pharma/biotech expectations for M&A and pipelines.
Guests (on-desk + interview)
Melissa Lee hosts. On desk: Tim Seymour, Karen Feynman, Steve Grasso, Julie Beal. Interview guest: Michael Farr, chairman of Farcrest Capital (longtime money manager). ASCO guest: John Flavin, CEO of Portal Innovation.
Key claims
Dell’s results suggest enterprise/server refresh is “real, durable, accelerating” beyond GPU-driven AI. Market breadth is improving, but AI concentration risk remains. Investors should “get grounded” via discipline/rebalancing as complacency grows. Robinhood’s agentic AI tools could drive new and existing user activity.
Notable examples
Dell shares +33% after earnings; May gains >100%; enterprise server up 92%. Robinhood +11% on agentic AI trading; Mizuho PT raised to $1.15. Target up 30% YTD vs Walmart +4% YTD; Target multiple/expectations questioned. ASCO focus: melanoma vaccines (Moderna/Merck) and KRAS pancreatic cancer (Revolution Medicines). Broadcom options imply ~8% swing; calls outweigh puts.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VODell's Massive Move
1:38 to 2:35
Analysis of Dell's significant stock surge and its implications.
“And we start off with a tech-led rally sparked today, of course, by Dell.”
Market Reactions to Tech Gains
2:35 to 4:00
Discussion on the overall market impact and tech stock performances.
“And I'm not saying that what's going on to the upside is an overshoot.”
Dell's Impact on Tech Sector
4:00 to 5:28
Insights into Dell's business and its broader implications for the tech industry.
“I think, you know, the call was very, very, very optimistic as the stock reflects.”
Market Outlook and Concerns
5:28 to 8:19
Exploration of market dynamics and potential vulnerabilities.
“Long the stock, it's our biggest position.”
Tech Sector Developments and Future Trends
8:19 to 13:20
Analysis of tech stocks and future expectations from major companies.
“So I'm surprised at how surprised I would think Dell would have a great look.”
Apple's Position in the Market
13:20 to 14:01
Discussion on Apple's current strategy and market presence.
“was when they announced bigger CapEx budgets.”
AI and Market Expectations
14:01 to 15:23
Discussion on AI's impact on market expectations and stock performance.
“Which is unable, strikingly, shockingly unable.”
Navigating Investor Strategies
15:24 to 17:18
Michael Farr provides insights on adapting investment strategies amidst market highs.
“I mean, how how should how should an investor sort of navigate these sorts of astronomical moves?”
Healthcare and Portfolio Diversification
17:19 to 19:19
Exploration of healthcare investments and the importance of diversification.
“And if this is not in your risk tolerance, get back to the point where you can sleep at night and make sure you're on target for your long-term goals without excessive risk.”
Market Dynamics and Economic Indicators
19:20 to 20:24
Analyzing how economic indicators affect market dynamics and investor sentiment.
“Well, you know, we talked about Dell selling some calls.”
Show all 24 chapters
Target vs Walmart: Stock Performance Insights
20:45 to 22:03
Comparative analysis of Target and Walmart's stock performances and market strategies.
“Never bet against American grit or American energy.”
Target vs Walmart: Stock Performance Insights
22:07 to 23:28
Comparative analysis of Target and Walmart's stock performances and market strategies.
“A recent reversal in the battle between Target and Walmart, though both stocks were down today.”
Market Trends and Consumer Behavior
23:29 to 25:30
Discussion on market trends influenced by consumer behavior and company performance.
“And they're not necessarily growing in a materially different way.”
Market Trends and Consumer Behavior
25:31 to 27:37
Discussion on market trends influenced by consumer behavior and company performance.
“Robinhood, rocketing to its best level since February as the trading platform goes all in on AI.”
Robinhood's AI Trading Developments
27:43 to 28:00
Overview of Robinhood's new AI trading features and their market implications.
“Robinhood soaring another 11 % today, bringing its gains for the week to 28%.”
Robinhood's Impact on Trading
28:00 to 31:01
Explore how Robinhood's trading platform affects its user base and stock performance.
“This week also saw the launch of the Trump accounts for which Robinhood was tapped to build out the infrastructure.”
The Oncology Conference and Pharma Developments
31:01 to 33:37
Discuss the ASCO conference and its implications for biotech and pharmaceutical M&A.
“Major averages posting record closes today.”
Major Players in Oncology
33:37 to 37:24
Understand the competitive landscape in oncology and the key players driving innovation.
“I know we're talking we're focusing on cancer because this is ASCO.”
Analyzing Healthcare Investments
37:24 to 39:11
Evaluate investment strategies in healthcare amidst patent cliffs and market challenges.
“So if you look at the patent cliff and you look at Merck in particular losing Keytruda, look at XBI.”
Broadcom's Earnings and Market Position
39:11 to 42:00
Assess Broadcom's performance and market positioning ahead of its earnings report.
“how options traders are setting up for the print, and whether it's make or break for the semi-trade.”
Investing in Semiconductors: A Strategic Discussion
42:00 to 42:54
Explore the nuances of investing in semiconductor companies and their market dynamics.
“exposed from a customer concentration standpoint.”
Expanded Uses for 529 Savings Plans
43:12 to 44:29
Discover how new features of 529 plans benefit parents and working adults.
“new laws for 529 education savings plans allow funds to be used for more than just college tuition.”
Expanded Uses for 529 Savings Plans
44:34 to 45:24
Discover how new features of 529 plans benefit parents and working adults.
“the child who has the 529 plan to use in their adulthood, correct?”
Final Trades and Show Wrap-Up
45:24 to 46:24
Catch the final trading tips and the hosts' closing remarks.
“Sharon, thank you so much for bringing that story to us.”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00At Edward Jones, we believe rich isn't about having life all figured out. It's opening yourself to all the possibilities. That's why your dedicated financial advisor provides long-term planning built around you, meeting you where you are, and helping you get closer to where you want to be. So no matter where you're starting from, you can move forward with confidence. The key to being rich is knowing what counts. Let's find your rich.
0:27Karen Finerman:Edward Jones, member SIPC. This NBA playoffs with FanDuel. You're not just watching the playoffs. You're a part of them. Steve's got the phone, opens FanDuel, and he's going for threes. Be a part of the action on FanDuel. All customers get a profit boost every NBA playoff game day. 21 plus and present in select states. Opt-in required. Bonus issued is non-withdrawable profit boost tokens. Restrictions apply, including any token expiration and max wager amount. See full terms at FanDuel.com slash sportsbook. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Live from the Nasdaq MarketSite in the heart of New York City's Times Square, this is Fast Money.
1:05Here's what's on tap tonight. Dell doubles up. We dive into the massive move in this legacy tech name this month and what it says about the sustainability of the AI trade. And we are counting down to the kickoff of the year's largest conference for cancer research, the deals and data we can expect from ASCO this year, and the stocks that could see big moves as a result. Plus, Robinhood rallies another 11 percent, Walmart loses ground in the battle versus Target, and Broadcom gains ahead of earnings. But what should we expect from next week's results? We'll dig into the options action to find some answers.
1:35I'm Melissa Lee. Come to you live from Studio B at the NASDAQ. On the desk tonight, Tim Seymour, Karen Feynman, Steve Grasso, and Julie Beal. And we start off with a tech-led rally sparked today, of course, by Dell. Shares of the computer and server maker soaring 33 % after earnings last night, adding nearly$70 billion to its market cap in just one day. The move brought the stock's gains for May to more than 100%. its best month since coming back to the market in 2018. But it wasn't just about Dell this month. Check out these moves in the other big tech stocks, CrowdStrike and Datadog seeing their best months dating back to their respective 2019 IPOs.
2:10And Micron up nearly 90%, having its best in more than four decades. Those gains helping lead major markets to another set of records. Tech's 2 % gain leading the S &P 500, even as nine of the 11 sectors were down today. And check this out, all but one member of the MAG7 was down today. Microsoft the only winner, up more than 5%. So what does this kind of action tell you about the market overall right now? Tim, what do you say?
2:35Karen Finerman:Well, we see overshoots. And I'm not saying that what's going on to the upside is an overshoot. But certainly I think there's a sense on we've had a reaffirmation of software. We've had delineation of what's working, what's not in software. If you look at Microsoft as the leader of that group, and obviously a week where we had reaffirmation, whether it was Snowflake, There's a number of other names that actually really told you that this is a story where agentic plus what they were doing, plus enterprise build out, plus demand is actually we overestimated to the downside. So when you look at the stories that we're working today, and I'll let the expert to my left, to your right on TV, Karen Feynman, talk about Dell.
3:13Karen Finerman:I'll just say what I liked about Dell is I think it reaffirmed what I love about Cisco, which is that I think you've got a case here where enterprise is really just going. And this is, I mean, enterprise server up 92 % for Dell, et cetera. But I just think that this is the story, the rotation within tech. It continues. It continues onward. And it doesn't mean that those names that are not rallying, like this doesn't bother me that NVIDIA had a flat to sideways week. I mean, I don't, that doesn't bother me at all. And we get tales of what NVIDIA might be investing in also that's also maybe kind of the next leading edge.
3:45Karen Finerman:But I liked this week and I like this week then just to drop it into a market, which is obviously dealing with lower oil, which equals lower yields, which equals possibly lower inflation, which equals lower volatility. It's a great time for investing in growth. What do you do with Dell now, Karen? What do you do with Dell? I thank Dell. I thank Dell profusely. So what do I do with it? I think, you know, the call was very, very, very optimistic as the stock reflects. I think the guidance was lower than where they will end up, probably by a meaningful amount. One of the things that they talked about was someone asked them a question about, well, you gave us numbers in October.
4:23What do you think now? And they said that we are in a whole new world. Just from October. Since October. And he's saying, you know, we're very keen on the back of Q1 momentum that what we see where the growth is, it's real, it's durable, it's accelerating, it's broad based, and it's expanding beyond the GPU. and so many parts of their business, the PC parts of the business, you know, the ISG, CSG, all of it. Extraordinary. The margins are even with their expenses going up. They managed to also be able to maintain margin. So it was an extraordinary quarter, no question. And it makes me think it was light guidance.
5:02And they talk about it. They give you the sense we are so in the early innings. So the whole trick of this whole game of AI and everything related is what is the thing that's finally going to cool it down, right? And I think it's where the second derivative of growth is negative. But this is positive, right? It's growing and it's growing at a faster rate. And I think that is going to continue for a little while. So what am I going to do? Long the stock, it's our biggest position. I have some calls against it. They are going to cover those and roll up and out, but still keep a very substantial position.
5:39I mean, if you believe in the fundamentals behind these vertical moves in tech that we've seen this month, then these are not overshoots, Steve. These are re-ratings. Yeah, I do think, though, that markets do overshoot, both to the downside and to the upside. But they've overshot so extreme to the upside in a stock like this or Micron. I'm probably more concerned with Micron than this. But I always go back to what Karen says. If I own it today, it's like buying it today. And you're doing a lot of optionality around it to hedge yourself. But there's only a couple of reasons why you wouldn't own Dell here, and it's just the valuation and the price increase.
6:18Everything else seems to check every box. Julie, how do you feel about the market rally that we've seen over the past? Do you feel better? I mean, we've gotten the earnings reports to back up these moves. So do you actually feel better about where we are right now versus, you know, three weeks ago or two weeks ago? I mean, I think I feel similarly. I think that the earnings reports of surprise to the upside and we're seeing so much breadth across companies that were pretty left for dead for a lot of us. And I think it's interesting to see this level of broadening. It's encouraging. And on the one hand, it's really encouraging because a broader market we know is a more stable, more robust, stronger and resilient market.
6:59My one concern is that as AI continues to proliferate, it becomes and touches more and more parts of our economy. That's great if it really can deliver on the promise. That's a problem if it can't, though. If we have more and more companies that are really dependent on this theme, it's totally changed the valuation for a lot of them. And so there is just that little bit of vulnerability to it. But I think broadly speaking, when we're talking about the next 12 months, they certainly look very robust from here. It's hard to see where the fly in the ointment is. And I guess, you know, should we question projecting out what we saw this quarter, that the level of demand, like let's say in Dell's case, that the revenue growth that they saw in sales of PCs to corporate customers, Will that continue?
7:49I mean, it was up 18 percent this quarter. Well, there's a little bit of a – well, there's a refresh. There's a Microsoft refresh. So that's a little bit of a – that tends to be a bump, right, an extra bump. But I do think about – no, the questions are you getting at sort of pulling forward? Yeah. And I think that we're – it's not pulling forward. I think – we talk about hyperscales and the giant spend, but we haven't seen enterprise spend really – we don't know how big it is, and it's going to get a lot bigger. It's small relative to hyperscalers right now, but I think it's going to get a lot bigger.
8:19So I'm surprised at how surprised I would think Dell would have a great look. But they're shocked by the amount of growth. So I think there's more to go.
8:33Karen Finerman:The two things about Dell that Karen's hitting on, and we've kind of danced around, but just to cut right to the chase, they've never had to beat this good. Okay, this is as good as it's ever been for Dell. And as Karen said, they just told you recently, not that far recently, at least, that their business was X and now it's X plus extraordinary. The other side of this is the server refresh has just begun. And this is not hyperscalers. This is everybody. And this is why, again, I get back to other kind of hardware names, old school tech, a Cisco. You know, there are other people in this space, even IBM, that are well positioned for this.
9:06Karen Finerman:And so we know that demand is there. We know there is a little bit of a FOMO and a fervor and a risk of actually being left behind. Unless this is also a week where I think we've had a chance to evaluate Qualcomm and Texan and like the second kind of wave of the CPU, whether it's industrial or Internet of Things. And I think from listening to a lot of analysts over the last couple of weeks, the one thing that I don't think is happening is I don't think you're going to have a shortage in CPU. I don't think you're going to have this like mad dash. I think they're getting pricing power, but I think, again, that gets back to some cyclicality.
9:40Karen Finerman:And whatever that ratio, remember, we've been doing this CPU to GPU. I don't think anybody really knows, but I think you can over this is where I think you can overshoot it a little bit, that CPUs suddenly are going to be scarce and you're not going to be able to find those core chips. Yeah, we have seen a little bit of the sort of, I guess, broadening out or going to the areas that haven't participated. I mean, you're making that point. Julia is making that point, too. But you see that in the IGV very clearly with Microsoft up finally and up 5 % today. We saw CRM off the back of its earnings managed to go higher finally.
10:10And this after we got Snowflake, which had good earnings and ServiceNow, which I mean, so we're seeing better stories spreading out. But it does make me feel like that's the extended story and that we're maturing in the story, because then where do you go after? Do you go back to where you were trying to avoid? Do you go back to the semis? Like, where does it start? Where does it stop? Is it cyclical? But I think the backdrop is important to look at, the macro backdrop. When you look at the two-year back to around 4%, you look at the 10-year below 4.5%, and the 30-year is below 5%. So I don't think you could have had these runs if you didn't have that backdrop and if there's not going to be a deal with Iran.
10:52So I think there's a lot of stuff in the geopolitical scope and a lot of stuff in the treasury market that has made it possible for all these to really overshoot and extend their runs already. So this tech move was dependent on rates? No, no, no. They have specifics. But if we had things that were going, if we had the 30-year way above 5 % or the 10-year way above 4.5%, I think it would have muted the price action. These companies have record earnings. EPS at 20 percent growth and depends on where you are on the spectrum is the reason why the stock market continues to grind higher, even with geopolitical fighting against you.
11:36But I think the fact that we're coming to an end, quote unquote, is it benefits. I also want to bring up Apple, which is slightly down today, but it's still notching a 10th straight week against its longest run. hit a record intraday high during yesterday's session. The stock is up 15 % in May, and that's its best month in almost four years. We're coming up upon WWDC, of course. It is one of these other plays just outside of the AI core trade where if investors are looking for another stock not yet participating, we saw Apple with this 10-week winning streak as that next stock.
12:06Karen Finerman:Yeah, and I think Microsoft is rallying because Apple's rallying. And what I mean by that is nothing's really changed in Microsoft's story. Nothing's really changed in Apple's story. But we know with Microsoft, there's probably going to be less AI capbacks with Apple. There's been very little. And we see the ASP acceleration. We see, you know, by the way, at some point they're going to have to pay the piper on more memory pricing. And if anyone, though, can pass it on, it's probably Apple. WWDC feels like this might be the one where we get something. And once again, I think, you know, back to the future or, you know, meet this new boss, same as the old boss.
12:41Karen Finerman:I love quoting the Who, Mel, because you love the Who so much. But it's a case of where I think Google, Apple, Microsoft, you can't tell me that their installed base, their user base, their legacy business, which is dominant, not just, you know, it's going to be the same thing with Apple. So I'm bullish Apple. I'm bullish Microsoft. You like Apple, Julie? I, you know, I'm surprised quite by the level of activity. It is interesting to me that we have moved a little bit away from this idea that, you know, CapEx at all costs is worth doing. You remember last year, the thing that got those stocks to really move and to really go up higher was when they announced bigger CapEx budgets.
13:23And now that's changed a little bit. And I think it's really interesting because many people were very critical of Apple for not participating more actively in the CapEx cycle. And it really feels like a recognition that their best place in this is to really monetize the user base that they already have and pick and choose from the models as they see fit. It still remains to be seen because we still haven't seen a good integration of AI into their products. And there's only so much time they can really delay that before people start to say, you know what, like maybe this is a company of the past.
13:55At a premium multiple to the S &P 500. Yes, at a premium. I mean, there's a lot resting on Siri's shoulders. Yeah. Which is unable, strikingly, shockingly unable. I don't know. At this point, You just stick figure with really a voice that doesn't understand. But, I mean, I can see when Apple comes out with something great. It's surprising to me, though, how long this has taken. It's worked in your favor, though. It has. Not spending the money, you mean, or just that the stock has gone up? Not spending the money. So, I mean, I don't know. Expectations are high. They're not crazy, super crazy high.
14:33But so, you know, good for you, Tim. Good for you hanging on. Thank you. I don't own it, but I would like it a lot better. I would like the product a lot better if there were actually something that was really useful. And can understand you. Or anyone could understand anything at all. That's asking a lot. Services, though, are 70 % margins, better than hardware. And if you believe that China sales have troughed, then I think that there's an upside. And then to Julie's point, everyone on the desk point, if you have AI as an optionality to the stock, it's only a tail. It's only a possible tailwind.
15:09For sure. Yes. Well, one longtime money manager says AI stocks are defying traditional economic gravity. CNBC contributor Michael Farr is chairman of Farcrest Capital. Michael, it's great to see you. Nice to see you, Melissa. Thanks. So defying gravity implies that maybe there's a crash on the other side of things. I mean, how how should how should an investor sort of navigate these sorts of astronomical moves? Well, I wouldn't I wouldn't get to the crash that quickly when things are going up, you know, when the sun's shining and everything's great. You got to enjoy the sunshine. Things are going up and they're being driven by fundamentals.
15:44And they're really defying the gravity of some economic headwinds in the economic news and the oil prices and everything else that's going on in the world, including at the Fed and with the PCE number, sort of suggests that you should see stocks blinking. But they're not, because they've been driven by these hugely powerful earnings. And I think we're getting more complacency setting in. People are seeing their portfolio values go up. They're looking at the retirement values and plans going higher. And they're like, hey, for all of the doom and gloom I've been listening to for the past couple of years, it's not happening.
16:18Maybe I should take on some more risk. Maybe I should add to some of these positions that are on fire and maybe I should get in on this. Those are danger signs. So it's time to get grounded, I think, even though the prices are becoming lofty. So what does getting grounded mean then, Michael? For me, it means getting disciplined because these things happen to money managers, too. Right. I mean, you look at you buy a stock, you expect it to do well, and then it does fabulously well. and you think, you want to say, geez, I'm really smart. You're not that smart. You did get lucky with a bull market.
16:53Don't confuse brains with a bull market. So what you have to do, though, when you're starting to say this isn't that hard and this feels really great, is to go back to your discipline. And it's been only six months, of course, here in the year, five months into the year. It might be time to rebalance. I normally only say you do it at year end, but we've almost had a year of returns in many of these stocks in just five months. So take the risk out of your portfolio, stick with your discipline. And if this is not in your risk tolerance, get back to the point where you can sleep at night and make sure you're on target for your long-term goals without excessive risk.
17:30Karen Finerman:Hey, Michael, it's Tim. It's great having you. You've been doing this a long time. And that kind of advice, which is really just matching, as a fiduciary, matching up goals with objectives and thinking that way and letting your winners run is really tough. What part of the market here, though, do you think offers your clients this opportunity where things have been either overlooked? I mean, health care at times should have been really defensive in a time when it was when it was it was time to be defensive. Staples have actually had a run and don't trade very well. I'm just curious outside of tech you're allocating across the board.
18:04Karen Finerman:What do you like? You know, Tim, It feels so weird, to your point, when you're managing risk and you're doing this for clients, and you look at a position in Google and a client's accounts at 10%, and you have to tell them that they're underweight, the benchmark. I mean, that's wild that these things, I mean, really. And then when you think about the capital gains that you're going to incur if you have to sell it in a taxable account, it really gives you pause. Certainly, certain areas of healthcare, I still own some of the staples. I still own Procter & Gamble in certain positions. They've kind of been laggards.
18:43But boy, it's hard to sell some of these companies that seem to be driven on earnings. What I'm worried about is the dismissal of risk that AI is going to save us from everything. If your portfolio is on track for meeting your retirement goals, it's no time to take on more risk. But yes, diversify and don't give up on those other names. You need a balanced portfolio because every tide turns. Michael, great advice. Always good to see you. Thank you. Thanks for having me. Great to see you too, Melissa. Michael Farr, you have discipline in your portfolio as well. So what are you doing now? I do. Well, you know, we talked about Dell selling some calls.
19:23I do have some other things for sure. I have banks. I've talked a lot about energy, which has not worked for the month or the last few weeks. But I really do believe that is a place where money will flow. And I do think things are changing there.
19:35Karen Finerman:The first time I was ever on financial TV, I was on with Michael Farr, probably in 2001 or 2002. And he was a gentleman and a wise guy then, and he is today. So good to see him. There is some thought that once the war is resolved, that there will be a broadening of the market and that these other parts of the market, which Michael, you know, provide the a diversifying element to your portfolio will actually do better, equal weight S &P 500 over S &P? Well, if the economy does better, then cyclicals are going to do better, and then small caps are going to do better. So I think if you look down the food chain, I'm just nervous that it's all factored in.
20:12So if we get an end to it, the market is always six to eight months ahead. And if the market is already priced in a smooth outcome, then it's the hiccups that actually because they've caused the problem. Coming up, Robinhood goes all in on AI trading, and the stock is already reaping rewards. But the leadership for the trading platform means for its future. But first, Walmart is feeling the heat as Target mounts a comeback attempt. What is next in the clash of the consumer titans? Next, do not go anywhere fast when he's back in two.
20:44This is Fast Money with Melissa Lee right here on CNBC.
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22:09Welcome back to Fast Money. A recent reversal in the battle between Target and Walmart, though both stocks were down today. Target is up 30 percent this year. Walmart, meantime, only 4 percent in the green. Things look much different longer term. Walmart is up almost 150 percent in five years. Well, Target is down more than 40 percent. You know, since its earnings, it really has had a hard time, Karen. Yes. And I didn't think the earnings were bad at all. The guidance was a little muted. And I always say, why not? Why not have muted guidance when we're in the middle of the brand situation? We don't know where oil is going to be.
22:40We don't know how the consumer is going to do. So there was nothing wrong with that earnings. And if you take the idea that I believe the guidance was modest. However, what was wrong was the 45 plus multiple. And so that's at 39 and change now. That might be wrong as well. I'm still long. I'm staying long because I'm a long term investor. But I do think at the moment it's it's here. What would you say? Yeah. Yeah. I have some math. I'm diversifying out of great into math. Right. Yeah. Good. Julie, your take. Yeah, I agree. I think that its biggest hindrance is just its multiple and expectations around that.
23:25And that's the really, really tricky thing when you own these businesses and they are, you know, four or five, 10 turns off of their long term averages, which it has started to get to. And they're not necessarily growing in a materially different way. So I think that's its vulnerability. But I think it's a core holding in any portfolio. It's really it has demonstrated an ability to capture that trade down customer, not just in its stores, but online. And while that's not as profitable for them necessarily, I do think that it broadens their addressable market of consumers. So I think they're really well positioned fundamentally.
24:01It's one of those kind of great companies, tricky stock sometimes. You think it's overvalued? I think it's a reference point. You have a new CEO. It seems that they did everything wrong with the old management team. And now this one's getting an extended honeymoon period. I don't think so. Earnings, I don't think we're great. I don't think that they were good enough to forget about all the bad missteps that Target had. And I think the most the most the most. Oh, what are we talking about? I thought you're talking. I was should I be talking about Target? I apologize. I was talking about Target.
24:34Target. Okay, that's what I think. Yeah, so I think. Now it all makes it. Okay, yeah. That's not the Walmart. Because I actually looked up and I thought Julie was talking about Target when Walmart was showing on the screen. So that's why I went back. I'm sorry. I know it's Friday, but. Yeah, so would you rather, because I made it this way, I would still pick Walmart, even though it's underperformed Target. I think Target's in a honeymoon grace period right now. Is it the T in Timbo? Come on. Why do you ask that question? Well, I mean, it's almost rhetorical.
25:02Karen Finerman:Yeah, Timote. say. Yeah, it's it's it's a relative value story. And when when the whole sector is under a little bit of pressure for reasons that are related to maybe the positives, possibly of, again, maybe the economy for for really breaking out of war, that was another one of the big themes this week. Lower yields, less inflation, less pressure on the consumer. I still think that some of those that should be good for Target and Walmart. But I think Staples and some of those defensive trades had a tough week. And I agree, I wouldn't run too far away from Walmart, but I think I'd rather be longer Target.
25:35Karen Finerman:All right. There's a lot more Fast Money to come. Here's what's coming up next. Robinhood, rocketing to its best level since February as the trading platform goes all in on AI. But can the big gains last? Plus, all eyes on Big Pharma as the world's largest oncology conference kicks off. What we could learn about drug pipelines, M &A, and more. You're watching Fast Money, live from the NASDAQ market side in Times Square. We're back right after this.
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26:44Karen Finerman:So how was practice, kiddo? My mom inspired me to dream big and ask myself, what would you like the power to do? My answers helped me become the soccer player I am today, trusting my instincts and stepping onto the pitch without fear. Bank of America champions U.S. men's national team member Tyler Adams and everyone who dares to ask, what would you like the power to do? Bank of America, proud to be the official bank of U.S. soccer and FIFA World Cup 2026. Bank of America N.A., member FDSC. Parents, have you heard your kids say, I'm not a math kid? Well, with Mathnasium, every kid can be a math kid.
27:18They customize their math instructions so kids who are struggling are able to catch up and get ahead, and advanced kids are challenged to reach higher. Mathnasium makes math fun, so kids learn to love it. Parents say that Mathnasium has not only improved their kids' grades, it's given them a new level of confidence in math and in school overall. Visit mathnasium.com to find a location near you. Welcome back to Fast Money. Robinhood soaring another 11 % today, bringing its gains for the week to 28%. Mizuho raising its price target on the stock to$1.15 from$1.10. I'm citing excitement over the trading platform's new agentic AI tools announced earlier this week.
27:56The company's AI agent can now trade for you and even make purchases with your credit card. This week also saw the launch of the Trump accounts for which Robinhood was tapped to build out the infrastructure. So basically have to have a Robinhood account in order to have one of these things. It's interesting because in the earnings, you know, they outline how much money they're going to spend to build that out for the Trump account. The stock fell like, I think, 13 percent or something like that on the back of that. And now it's it's up to where it was.
28:24Karen Finerman:Well, it's interesting because, again, it is somewhat decoupled from Bitcoin. It was one of these, you know, one to one correlation plays. But but I think what's clear is is that their user base, their target base and their target acquisition base, which is I think is relevant to this story, which is that, you know, you have a gent to AI trading. that's something that the current customers of Robinhood want to do more of, and they've indicated that. But it also is a great way to go out and win new customers. I also just think, who are some of the folks that have done best in these markets? And if I had to kind of categorize the trading platforms, it doesn't matter what size they are, which client base has done.
29:01Karen Finerman:The Robinhood clients have made a lot of money in this market because they're exposed to a lot of these high-growth, high-tech trades. And they just have more money. In other words, their asset base has grown. So I'm a long Robin Hood. I haven't been long for years. I've been long over the last few months. And I think this is a really exciting time. I mean, to that point, Mike, in the in the four o 'clock hours, pointing out, you know, the discrepancy between Hood trading and Schwab trading. I mean, it's a completely different story for Schwab. So you can really see how, you know, right. Exactly how that client base is really done.
29:34I mean, they've done an extraordinary job, I have to say. I mean, you know, we all first became familiar with Robin Hood when they were on the verge of collapsing, maybe, during the whole GameStop thing. And yet they've built a huge business. I mean, they seem to really understand what the clients want and have captured them. It's impressive. I've always found it expensive. What? Good hair? Speaking of somebody with good hair.
29:58Karen Finerman:I wasn't fishing for compliments. But you'll accept them. So, I mean, it's impressive. But I've always found it too expensive, which has been the wrong thing. The growth has been extraordinary. Good for them, but I'm not longing. It's just about volume on their on their platform. And if you can get stable coins on your platform, real world assets on your on your platform, private companies on your platform, that's why it's decoupled from a Bitcoin. And there's plenty of other markets they can play in. Yeah, I just had one other thing. Interactive broker. Petr free is a very different guy than Vlad Tenet.
30:33And yet he also has been really aggressive. They've grown tremendously. Quietly. No one ever talks about it. They don't get as much play. But still, the stock's done extraordinarily well. Yeah. A lot of the same sort of clientele. I mean, very active traders on Interactive. Coming up, the world's largest oncology conference kicks off today. And it might kickstart some major M &A in the biotech and pharma spaces. What to expect right after this. Missed a moment of fast? Catch us anytime on the go. Follow the Fast Money Podcast. We're back right after this.
31:14Welcome back to Fast Money. Major averages posting record closes today. The Dow up a percent for the week, closing above 51 ,000 for the first time. The S &P gaining a percent and a half in the Nasdaq, almost two and a half percent higher. And rates taking a big breather. The 10-year treasury yield down 2.5 % on the week. The TLT Treasury bond ETF locking in its best week since early April. Shares of Yum! brands are up in the after-hour session by about 2 % after Bloomberg reported the company is in talks to sell Pizza Hut to private equity company Long Range Capital. Bye-bye, Pizza Hut.
31:48Karen Finerman:That's too bad. I mean, although maybe it's great, but it's probably great for Yum! shareholders. It's just so interesting to me because Yum! is the name we used to talk about all the time. Well, because of the China business. And KFC going wild and Taco Bell. So not so great on the hunt. Yeah. In the meantime, the world's largest oncology conference kicking off today. Pharma giants like Merck, Moderna, Eli Lilly sharing results from their vaccine and therapy treatments for more on the key developments in the state of pharma. M &A Portal Innovation CEO John Flavin joins us now. John, it's always good to see you.
32:20Likewise. Great to see you, Melissa. When we start seeing those abstracts dump, the data dump, which ones are you going for first? Well, you know, I think vaccines are becoming more important again. This is a field that's been studied for many years. But some of the science is enabling more a possibility in this regard. Moderna and Merck reported some good results with regards to their melanoma vaccine. They're particularly useful potentially in really high risk, genetically predisposed patients in melanoma. So I think that's an important field to watch. New modalities are really the hit at ASCO and even beforehand if we think about what happened with Revolution Medicine and their breakthrough therapy, going after a key protein called KRAS, which is really transforming pancreatic cancer therapy, doubling their survival time at a medium level in patients and with a fairly benign safety profile.
33:16So it's an improved quality of life. So that's a really important story to watch. And that's, you know, just a few years ago, came out of Greg Verdine's lab at Harvard, spun into a company called Warp Drive Bio Revolution Medicines, bought it. And lo and behold, you know, that's a great story, you know, both from a stock performance perspective and for patients as well. You said vaccines are more important. I know we're talking we're focusing on cancer because this is ASCO. But with the purchase of vaccine makers by Eli Lilly, overall, are they more important or specifically only when it comes to cancer?
33:51Well, I think certainly a big application will be cancer. And a lot of the reason for this is scientifically a lot more of the antigens involved in some of these key cancer targets are known and characterized. And so the vaccines can put those in play using now what are much more de-risked delivery methods like mRNA, as we're well aware of. So I'd say the key driver that's moving toward the vaccine field is definitely in the cancer space. And I think we'll see a lot more activity in this regard. And again, I think primarily in areas where there's a high unmet need and particularly in areas where patients are predisposed genetically to these kinds of mutations.
34:33M &A, we've seen a lot in sort of the, you know,$2 to$7 billion range. And I'm wondering, John, if you think ASCO will yield probably some more deals in the pipeline. I think so. I mean, we saw, you know, the news around Pfizer. It's a business development deal. But, you know, it's up to$10 billion focused on 12 potential therapeutic programs in the ADC space. So that's been a big story for biotech as well. China. 30 % of licensing this year is attributed to Chinese assets. Predominance almost as a whole has been in the oncology space. ADCs, antibody drug conjugates, are really a hot space because they go very focused around key tumor types without the deleterious side effects of chemotherapy.
35:22And if you look at, you know, some of the things that are happening in that space, We had a company, Crossbridge Bio, that just exited to Eli Lilly. So large pharma is on a buying spree. Some of this is driven by filling pipelines, not just for the patent cliff, but ironically, the Inflation Reduction Act has driven a lot of pharma into making deals as well, because that window for being able to monetize the huge investment is shortening. And so you're seeing just a lot more activity in M &A,$75 billion up to this particular date in 2026.
35:54Karen Finerman:Hey, John, it's Tim. Thanks for joining us. I mean, that China stat is shocking. It's amazing. And I guess, help us, though, like, boil down to the major players. You just, you know, we've talked about Pfizer. Some of the major players, J &J, I mean, who on a Delta year over year do you think has made the biggest advance? And whether it's, you know, drugs that are coming through pipeline, who do you think is the most misunderstood of the majors in terms of their core oncology business? Well, I think, you know, you look at Lilly and clearly they're, you know, really doubling down. A few years ago, they acquired Loxo Oncology.
36:31That's been a key platform for them to acquire many more assets and programs. You know, I look for them. I know they're, you know, a very large market cap company, the biggest in life sciences. But, you know, I like their vision and I think they're still upside in that story, particularly as they integrate AI with their innovation and AI factory collaboration with NVIDIA, for example. You know, some of the companies that we focus on a lot are the mid-tier pharma that are growing very quickly. Estellus Pharma has a key franchise in oncology, particularly around prostate. They did a deal with Veer earlier this year, a biotech company.
37:10So I see them as being an up-and-comer in the space. Certainly, they've been active in the field for a number of years. I think a nice pipeline. John, great to speak with you. Thanks. Thank you. Take care. You too. John Flavin, Portal. How are you feeling about health care? So if you look at the patent cliff and you look at Merck in particular losing Keytruda, look at XBI. That's a small cap biotech ETF and IBB. That's a larger cap biotech. And XBI is outperforming by six to one because all of these companies are going to have to be buying every little company. You said$2 billion to$6 billion acquisitions.
37:49Probably within that space. But I would look for a host of M &A to ripple through. XBI is going to be more effective than IBB. Yeah. Aside from Novo. Just looking at Novo. Well, yeah. Perennial disappointment at this point. I mean, I just can't believe how cheap it is relative to. Hang in there. Hang in. Well, they, I think, should do an acquisition. They've tried. Yeah. But I think they should do an acquisition.
38:12Karen Finerman:I'm hanging. I'm hanging tough on Novo. I'm hanging tough on Pfizer, who, again, has an interesting flag planted in the oncology space. But I do think it is about having a vision for why you're owning some of these names. It's not just because of the valuation. It's not just because the patent cliff looks like it's tapped out. Yeah. I mean, it goes to what we're talking about at the start of the show, and that is diversification, Julie, right? I mean, this is a place to be. I agree. I think you find a lot of really good values in healthcare right now. And I think if you're just a little bit thoughtful about the types of names that you want to own, I'm wary with this FDA.
38:50It really feels like it's still pretty turbulent in terms of how drugs are getting approved. So I'm not that as interested in pharma as I am in companies that are adjacent, that are in devices or that have already well-approved pipelines that are clear and that are really competitively differentiated. That's a better place for me to be. Coming up, Big Bad Broadcom, the AI heavyweight on deck to report earnings next week, how options traders are setting up for the print, and whether it's make or break for the semi-trade. That's next.
39:24Welcome back to Fast Money. Broadcom may have been up today, but it heads into Wednesday's earnings report, wildly underperforming the broader chip space. The SMH up nearly 20 % this month. Broadcom just 7 % higher, but options traders are feeling far more bullish on this laggard into the print. Oliver Rennick is on the training floor at Stebo in Chicago with more. Hey, Oliver. Hey, Melissa. Broadcom is indeed in a really unique position as a big tech hardware play that's been lagging, which might sound funny considering the stock is up 25 % this year and 80 % the past 52 weeks. But keep in mind, the semiconductor sector is up 145 % the past year.
40:02Now, Broadcom also stands out right now because the options flows look much more bullish here than in the broader group. To rewind for just a moment, we started this week reporting on the heavy put trading activity in the sector fund SMH, and that actually continued throughout the week despite another 4 % gain in the ETF. In fact, today, almost 10 times more puts traded than calls in SMH. But in Broadcom, it's the opposite. Calls outpaced puts two to one and 80 percent of the half a billion dollars worth of premium was tied to calls. Implied volatility is pricing in a sizable near eight percent swing for the stock.
40:40But one million dollar bet we spotted in the four hundred and eighty strike calls today is looking for twice that move between now and mid-July. Melissa. All right. Oliver, thanks. Oliver Rennick. It's not just Broadcom underperforming SMH. I mean, NVIDIA is also, I mean, basically flat for the past, up a percent for the past month. Well, NVIDIA, you know, that's old school. It's GPUs, not CPUs. But, you know, NVIDIA also has CPUs. But it's just out of favor right now. I like the valuation. I don't own Broadcom. I like the valuation of NVIDIA hanging on to NVIDIA.
41:17Karen Finerman:Yeah, I think Broadcom is interesting going into the numbers because of the trends that we've seen. other people. They just haven't been able to impute them upon Broadcom. And I tell you, the valuation isn't terrible here relative to the group. You worry about customer concentration. They're guilty of it as well. I think their five clients are probably responsible for 40 % of revenues. But that's nothing in the customer concentration bucket that we've seen. I think you're just looking at something that might be priced to perfection. And if the market continues to roll higher. This will too. But as soon as the market turns around, the chunks are going to be taken out of companies like this.
41:53Julie? Yeah, I'm with Steve. I think that when you're looking at any of these names that have rallied, you're exposed from a valuation standpoint and you're exposed from a customer concentration standpoint. You want to own the absolute highest quality. This is actually, I think, not the time to be super valuation sensitive. If you're going to be invested in these semiconductors, I think you want to be with the ones that have the strongest and most durable themes and the least cyclicality. All right, here's a question, Tim. Okay, I'm listening. NVIDIA and Broadcom or memory?
42:24Karen Finerman:Wow, it's interesting. It's almost like a, it's like a kind of a barbell trade. I mean, it's kind of, you've stacked a couple things on one side. So, boy. Want to answer on Monday? Yeah. I mean, it's like the laggard of the chip sector for the past. I wish you hadn't strapped Broadcom to NVIDIA because I would say NVIDIA. I feel a lot better in terms of the core business and, again, the places that they're investing. So I'm going to just answer it that way. Yeah. OK. Coming up way more than just a cap and a gown, how new 529 savings plans are helping parents with much more than college savings.
43:03We have that story right after this.
43:11Welcome back to Fast Money. new laws for 529 education savings plans allow funds to be used for more than just college tuition. Sharon Epperson is here to give us some of the details. Sharon. Melissa, 529 savings plans can now help people save not only for a child's education, but also for their own career training or professional credentials. Under new rules, you can now withdraw funds from a 529 account tax-free for tuition, books, and fees for credential programs, testing fees to earn or maintain a certification or license, and continuing education costs needed to renew a credential. Certified financial planner Nathan Sebesta used funds from a 529 plan to help pay for his master's degree in financial planning, and now advises clients to consider using a 529 account to pay for classes and programs to help them switch careers or grow in their field.
44:04More workers may need to tap these resources as they face layoffs and job transitions, but you can't just withdraw the money for any AI boot camp or online credential program. The new law requires that 529 plan money be used for credentials, licenses, and programs from authorized agencies and organizations. You can find a lot more on education saving strategies by checking out my Money 101 newsletter. Use the QR code right there on the screen or go to CNBC.com slash money 101. And to be clear, Sharon, it is for the person, the child who has the 529 plan to use in their adulthood, correct? I mean, when we're talking about credentials and licensing, no, no.
44:46Okay. This is for the parents. We're talking about you change. You can change the beneficiary of a 529 plan to anyone you want, including yourself. So you can open one up for yourself and then start using it. You can have one in your child's name and change the beneficiary to yourself because they don't need it right now, but you really do. So it depends on who the beneficiary is. So adults certainly can have a 529 plan in their own name with themselves as the beneficiary. And that's the new part that has really opened the door for all of those people that are now facing job transitions, career changes, or they just want to increase their skills to keep the job they have.
45:23So it's a really, really great perk. Sharon, thank you so much for bringing that story to us. Sharon Epperson, up next, Final Trades.
45:41Final Trade time, Julie Beal. You know, speak to those nice little small cap health care companies, Radamed is worth a look.
45:49Karen Finerman:Tim Boat. Lower oil prices, lower yields, lower dollar, higher gold, higher GDX. Oh, I thought they were all trades. Okay. Yes. Del, first of all, thank you very much. Very appreciative. Second, though, I've got to roll up and out. That's what I'm going to be doing. All right. Steven. I feel like the show went quick. That means it was a good show, right? It was a good show. Good weather. Enjoy the weekend. I have a trophy asset read. Do you know it? S.L. Green. Well, see, you should have looked. S.L. Green. Thank you for watching Fast Money. Have a great weekend. Mad Money with Jim Cramer starts right now.
46:54and it should not be relied upon as such. To view the full Fast Money Disclaimer, please visit cnbc.com forward slash Fast Money Disclaimer. Thursday, July 16th, CNBC Sport and Boardroom join Fanatics Fest for Game Plan. Groundbreaking ideas shaping the future of sports and entertainment. Request your invite at cnbcevents.com slash Game Plan.
From the publisher
Dell surged after earnings last night, bringing its gains for the month to more than 100% and leading the S&P and Nasdaq to records. But can the gains last? Plus the world’s biggest oncology conference kicks off this weekend. What to expect in pharma deals and data.
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