Intel Earnings Beat…And Yields Spike Ahead of Fed Meeting 7/23/26

23 Jul 2026 · 44 min · 26 chapters

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In short

Fast Money discusses market moves driven by Intel’s earnings beat and guidance, rising oil and bond yields, new U.S. Section 301 tariffs, and sector rotations. It also covers Alphabet and Tesla selloffs tied to higher CapEx and negative free cash flow, grocery weakness at Albertsons, strength in railroads and Cleveland-Cliffs, Oracle’s Pentagon contract, and stock-specific technical/trade calls for pharma (Eli Lilly) and defense (Lockheed, RTX).

Guests (backgrounds)

Dan Nathan (City head of equity trading strategy); Guy Adami (equity trading strategist); Stuart Kaiser (Fairleaf Strategies); Katie Stockton (founder/managing partner at Fairleaf Strategies); Greg Daco (EY Parthenon chief economist); Gene Munster (managing partner, Deepwater Asset Management).

Key claims

Intel’s long-term price/volume agreements and advanced packaging roadmap support the stock; yields are rising structurally due to deficits, AI investment demand, inflation volatility, and Fed uncertainty; tariffs likely keep rates/costs elevated; Alphabet/Tesla are punished for CapEx and negative free cash flow; pharma is a “non-AI” rotation; defense rallies on strong Pentagon spending.

Notable examples

Intel: 14A ramp by 2028; CapEx up to $20B next year. Tariffs: 10–12.5% on 60 economies under Section 301. Oracle: up to $7B Pentagon 10-year on-premise software contract. Albertsons: cuts full-year guidance. Cleveland-Cliffs: forecast to double Q3 earnings before taxes. Eli Lilly: Reditrutide late-stage success; FDA timeline pushed to Q1. Lockheed/RTX: earnings beats and raised forecasts.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

Tap a time to open that second in VO

Intel's Earnings Beat

0:00 to 0:22

Discussion on Intel's impressive earnings report and future outlook.

“Mazda has been named Consumer Reports' safest new car brand.”

Intel's Earnings Beat

1:45 to 4:00

Discussion on Intel's impressive earnings report and future outlook.

“after the Bell shares of the chip giant surging after its top and bottom lines crushed Wall Street estimates.”

Market Reactions and Tariffs Update

4:00 to 5:59

Analyzing market reactions to tariffs and their implications on the economy.

“And the CapEx that is going to increase.”

Impact of Rising Yields on the Market

5:59 to 7:50

Exploration of how rising yields affect market dynamics and consumer behavior.

“The announcement marks the administration's latest tariff action after suffering a major legal setback earlier this year when the Supreme Court largely struck down President Trump's so-called reciprocal tariffs.”

Inflation and Economic Growth Constraints

7:50 to 14:01

Insights on core inflation and factors constraining economic growth.

“I mean, when you think about where these tariffs are being levied and, you know, we just saw that 50 percent tariffs on hockey sticks, which Guy was really disappointed about, you know, from Canada.”

Impact of Fed Rate Hikes on Economic Growth

14:01 to 15:10

Explore how potential Fed rate hikes may affect GDP growth and inflation.

“we see a rate hike from the Fed and potentially more than one over the course of the next few meetings.”

Market Reactions to Economic Constraints

15:10 to 16:20

Discussion on the market's ability to cope with economic constraints and tariffs.

“He's in the Parthenon, or he's on the Parthenon.”

Oracle's Pentagon Contract and Market Response

16:20 to 16:49

Analysis of Oracle's new contract with the Pentagon and its stock implications.

“Hey, Melissa, Oracle up about 3 % here after the company signed a 10-year software contract with the Pentagon worth up to about$7 billion.”

Oracle's Market Dynamics and Future Outlook

16:49 to 18:52

Key insights into Oracle's stock performance and market dynamics affecting it.

“But you see here now the stock up some three percent.”

Transition to Upcoming Content

18:52 to 19:41

Transition segment leading to discussions about earnings overhangs and trading.

“Coming up, the earnings overhangs thinking Tesla and Alphabet today while the sell-offs are so severe.”
Show all 26 chapters

Tech Giants' Earnings and Market Reactions

21:10 to 22:30

Analysis of Alphabet and Tesla's earnings and their impact on market trends.

“It felt like just a little bit of an overreaction just because what did we learn that was new?”

Concerns Over Market Sentiment and Future Risks

22:30 to 24:40

Discussion on market sentiment and potential risks facing tech stocks.

“And I say to myself, OK, if that doesn't materialize, the demand for that, if there is overcapacity, and let's be clear, at some point there will be an overbuild.”

Railroad Stocks Performance Analysis

24:40 to 25:45

Examine the performance of railroad stocks in response to market conditions.

“I think what maybe that was more disappointing today was less about Google.”

Cleveland Cliffs' Strong Earnings Report

25:45 to 28:01

A look at Cleveland Cliffs’ earnings and their implications for investors.

“With just a few taps, you can set your proxy voting preference for your index funds.”

Market Pressures and Consumer Choices

28:01 to 29:38

Discusses current market pressures and shifts in consumer spending habits.

“I mean, it's a tough environment right now to be doing that.”

Intel Earnings Report Overview

29:38 to 30:09

Analyzes Intel's latest earnings report and market performance post-announcement.

“The chipmaker still up in extended trading, though well off its after hours highs.”

Insights on Intel's Strategic Decisions

30:09 to 34:19

Gene Munster shares insights on Intel's CapEx and competitive positioning in AI.

“I think the first takeaway, Boy, if you're an Intel investor, you've got to be counting your blessings, even with the stock up 5 % here.”

Concerns Over Intel's Market Strategy

34:19 to 35:30

Discussion on Intel's historical performance and competitive landscape in tech.

“But again, Gene says there are better places to invest in the AI trade.”

Paramount and Warner Brothers Merger Update

35:30 to 36:54

Julia Borson provides updates on Paramount's acquisition of Warner Brothers.

“We've got a news alert here we want to get to on the Paramount Warner Brothers merger.”

Eli Lilly's Drug Approval Process

36:54 to 38:32

Explores Eli Lilly's recent drug trials and implications for the pharma industry.

“Now, we're not bouncing off it in a meaningful way, but I think that's sort of your line in the sand, Mel.”

Pharma Sector Trends and Insights

38:32 to 41:24

Analyzes current trends in the pharmaceutical sector and stock performance.

“If you look at today, price momentum was actually up today.”

Defense Stocks Performance Overview

41:24 to 42:02

Examines the recent performance of defense stocks, particularly Lockheed Martin.

“A little bit, yeah, because of that heavyweight exposure to the big pharma names.”

Defense Stocks Rally Amid Strong Earnings

42:02 to 42:55

Learn about the recent rally in defense stocks, particularly Lockheed Martin and RTX, and their strong earnings performance.

“Lockheed Martin having its best day since 2020, flying 10 percent higher, while RTX jumped 7 percent.”

Comparing Lockheed Martin and Boeing

42:56 to 44:16

Explore the differences between Lockheed Martin and Boeing in terms of performance and challenges faced in the defense sector.

“You know, you just had Hezgut testifying.”

Intel's Earnings and Stock Predictions

44:17 to 45:09

Discussion on Intel's earnings report, stock performance, and predictions for the future.

“So I think it's just been a really hard trade to have on because of this instability of the headlines coming out of that space.”

Final Trades and Predictions

45:10 to 45:56

Hosts share their final trade recommendations and predictions for stocks like Intel and others.

“I'm going to go with our favorite non-AI trade, which is large cap banks, KBE.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:02Mazda has been named Consumer Reports' safest new car brand. It starts with our approach. Every Mazda comes standard with proactive safety features. So you're more aware of what's around you, more focused on the road ahead, and ready before problems ever start. Mazda. More of what matters most to you. Go to mazdausa.com to learn more. Consumer Reports does not endorse or promote any product. The board recommends approving...

0:31Melissa Lee:Regarding that seat on the committee, we're promoting... To boost quarterly earnings... Every day, shareholders meet to discuss important matters about the companies you invest in. Now you can easily make your voice heard. Vanguard Investor Choice gives you a say in the companies you invest in. With just a few taps, you can set your proxy voting preference for your index funds. Visit vanguard.com slash investorchoice to learn more. Vanguard Investors own shares of our index funds, which own shares of the companies they invest in. Available for Vanguard Index funds that participate in Investor Choice, Vanguard Marketing Corporation Distributor.

1:01Live from the Nasdaq MarketSite in the heart of New York City's Times Square, this is Fast Money. Here's what's on tap tonight. Inside Intel's big earnings beat, profit coming in, double expectations, all the details from the chip giant's latest report on how to trade the stock right now. And oil and rates on the rise. We'll dive into the big moves higher in these asset classes and how the action could impact your money. Plus, Alphabet erases$300 billion in market cap, large cap pharma catches a bid, and Lockheed Martin shares soar after earnings. Is it time to get even more defensive in your portfolio.

1:31We'll debate that. I'm Melissa Lee. Come to you live from Studio B at the NASDAQ. On the desk tonight, Dan Nathan, Guy Adami, city's head of equity trading strategy, Stuart Kaiser, and Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner at Fairleaf Strategies. Welcome to you both. We start off with Intel's monster move after the Bell shares of the chip giant surging after its top and bottom lines crushed Wall Street estimates. The company posting its fastest sales growth in nearly 15 years. The conference call kicked off at the top of the hour. One minute in now. CNBC's Christina Parks-Nevels has got the details here.

2:00Don't worry, I spoke to the CFO, so I have stuff that's going on the call. But Intel, like you said, nearly doubled earnings and raised its forward guidance. I spoke to Dave Zisner, who's a CFO, who tells me they locked in 10-plus customers on long-term agreements on both price and volume. So these range anywhere between three and five years. They're also raising their capital spending meaningfully next year. They're going to actually provide a number in just 15 minutes. They're also committing to ramping 14A. That is their most advanced process into high volume production by 2028. So that's new news.

2:32On the foundry side, the CFO says no new customers named tonight. So I know some analysts are waiting for that, although they did name Fortinet earlier this week on Monday, specifically for security chips. But the foundry isn't just about building chips. It's also about advanced packaging. And it seems to be delivering. Liputan has a line of sight to quote billions of dollars in business there. CFO saying they're already starting to get backlogged there. The stock is trading higher after hours, and that matters because TSMC posted its best quarter in history and fell. ASML, TXN, or Texas Instruments, raised outlooks, and yet their stocks fell.

3:06Samsung printed record profit and yet fell. But Intel locked in these long-term agreements and said, quote, they're under-shipping for quite a bit well into Q3, and they expect that same scenario for Q4. So just like the memory makers like Micron and SK Hynix, Intel now has visibility into demand. They know it's coming, and that's why they're raising CapEx. In terms of advanced packaging, you've said in the past that this is sort of the bottleneck, usually, in terms of supply. So when Lip Boutin says he has a line of sight into billions of this business, how long is that line? It's the CFO that said that Lip Boutin is going to say that on the call.

3:43Remember, I promised you that I would say that he would say that, so I don't know about the exact timing. But he's going to announce that advanced packaging. I think the messaging is to offset maybe the lack of comments about foundry customers. Do you have a question, Sue? No, I mean, I think you kind of answered it, right? You know, why is Intel responding so positively relative to how all the other listed companies that you mentioned haven't? It's the long-term agreements. I really do believe that. And the CapEx that is going to increase. And I think that you needed another catalyst for these stocks to re-rate.

4:13And so for Intel now, you're at least getting a line of sight into hopefully the next, you know, at least almost year. Whereas when Texas Instruments says that the cycle's improving and they're increasing or you're seeing auto improve, it's not telling us that demand is going to start climbing at least for the next eight quarters or eight months. It's another catalyst for a stock that is trading at 100 times forward when you factor in this pop in the after-hour session. So that's sort of an interesting way of thinking. It's a catalyst for something beyond a valuation of 100. Average 10-year forward P.E.

4:43is 25 times. And it's 94. It's crazy. It's crazy unless you believe the growth. Christina's doing a great job in this space. I'll say this. This is what's shocking to me. Operating margins came in north of 17 percent. So they're doing something right because the street was looking for about 11 and a half percent. So good for Intel. But it's a valuation problem. I know Gene Munster is going to come on. He's going to talk about it. He says this quarter suggests we're still in the early innings of AI. And he's probably right. But you've got to wrap your head around the valuation you just talked about, Mel.

5:12Christina, thanks. We've got to get some breaking news on tariffs. Eamon Javers is the details. Eamon.

5:17Melissa Lee:Melissa, that's right. Just a few hours before those 10 percent global tariffs are set to expire, the White House is announcing a new round of tariffs that will effectively replace those worldwide duties. These new tariffs are being imposed under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, one of several trade authorities that the president has used. The tariffs take effect at 12.01 a.m. this morning and impose duties of 10 to 12.5 percent on 60 economies around the world. Now, over what the U.S. describes as forced labor practices, a senior administration official telling CNBC these Section 301 tariffs will not stack on top of existing Section 232 tariffs.

5:59Melissa Lee:The announcement marks the administration's latest tariff action after suffering a major legal setback earlier this year when the Supreme Court largely struck down President Trump's so-called reciprocal tariffs. So, Melissa, this is an effort to replace this expiring authority with this new authority. It all happens at the same time tonight a.m., and it's going to generate a lot of revenue for the U.S. Treasury. I mean, more than it did before, because these tariffs are arguably, you know, in some cases, they're going to be higher than what they're replacing. Is there any thought that that these tariffs are more sort of bulletproof in terms of being challenged?

6:36Melissa Lee:Yeah, I think that the administration feels it's a much stronger legal ground here. They've done all the process stuff on the front end of it, and they feel like with this new authority, they'll be able to do this. Now, that's not to say that it won't be challenged in court. I think we're expecting some court challenges here. And the question is whether the administration's theory of the case is correct. But I think their argument is we've looked at this. We have a new analysis and we think this one is going to stand the test of legal scrutiny. We'll see where that goes. All right. Amen. Thank you.

7:06Amen. Jabbers in Washington. So tariffs are sticking around. They're not just expiring. They're being replaced at this point.

7:13Melissa Lee:It's just a really curious way to raise revenue right now at a time where you have a lot of consumers having a difficult time. I think all the analysis or most of the analysis that we've seen based on, you know, who is actually eating these tariffs going back to, you know, April of 2025 when they roll these things out. It's a consumer. It's, you know, a regressive tax. And so at the end of the day, this is politically, I think the Supreme Court did him the biggest favor by striking those down. You know, as you think about affordability is such a big issue. But, you know, we have nearly a two trillion dollar deficit.

7:43Melissa Lee:If you think about the tens of billions of dollars that might come in from these tariffs, it really is a bit of a rounding error. And it's also something that's very antagonistic to predominantly our allies. I mean, when you think about where these tariffs are being levied and, you know, we just saw that 50 percent tariffs on hockey sticks, which Guy was really disappointed about, you know, from Canada. It's just like very odd to me at a time where a consumer or at least a part of the consumer is having a very difficult time. And then we also have, you know,$100 oil as far as Brent and what that means.

8:11I look at this through the lens of the bond market. And we had a conversation last night about this or two nights ago. And I said the first thing that comes to my mind, it's bond market bearish. This is bond market bearish, in my opinion. We were going to talk about it anyway. I'll bring it up now. Ten-year yields above 4.7 percent. 30-year yields at levels we haven't seen probably in, what, 20 years or maybe longer than that, 21 years. And they're not going up for the right reasons. They're going up because I think inflation is a problem, clearly. More importantly, debt is a problem. And as Dan just said, you know, you look at it now,$40 trillion debt sitting on top of maybe a$30 trillion economy.

8:50And debt to GDP levels suggest that rates are probably going higher from here. Yeah, you definitely see it in the yield. It's approaching long-term resistance for the 10-year, right around four and three quarters. A breakout above that level would be a big deal on the chart. We already have seen a pretty long-term momentum shift to suggest it will resolve to the upside. And yet I think this is a secular uptrend that yields are in the midst of. Also, it comes at a time when the market's a bit vulnerable. The S &P 500 has really finally seen a loss of momentum that's meaningful for the first time since bottoming in March to April.

9:28How do you throw this into the mix? Look, it's a little bit of we're doing this again. You know, I did tell you frustration. I would say on the rate side, though, different parts of the curve, you know, probably have different messages for the market. I'd be a little more concerned with the 30-year yield just because of the inflation dynamics there and the global spillover risk. If you look at what's happening at, you know, Japanese long-end bonds or U.K. as well, that worries me a little bit more from a risk perspective. The 10-year point, you could argue U.S. economic growth is printing really strong.

9:55Maybe that's gotten the yield a touch higher. There is a supply of AI paper coming around that part of the curve as well. That's sort of a less dangerous reason for yields to be rising to me than maybe what's going on at the 30-year point. Hopefully what we have is equities focus on earnings for a bit, and we can put this off until August at least. For more on what this all means for the economy, let's bring in EY Parthenon's Greg Daco. He is a chief economist at the firm. Greg, great to have you with us. What do you make of the recent spike that we've seen in yields? Because it does seem to be inflation concerns.

10:25I mean, it was precipitated by the spike in oil. Yeah, certainly I think the Middle East conflict is a key catalyst in terms of this upward pressure on yields. But when you look at the broad set of factors that is driving upward pressure on yields, it's largely structural. We are seeing deficits that are structurally higher than they've been over the past few years. And it's not just a U.S. story. It's a global story. We are seeing a lot of appetite for capital that is also pressuring investors when it comes to the AI-led investment boom. We're also seeing a lot of inflation volatility because this environment is guided by subsequent layered supply shocks that are affecting inflation dynamics.

10:59And then you have a lot of Fed uncertainty. We don't know what the Fed chair is thinking right now in terms of the direction of Fed policy. And that's another layer of uncertainty pressuring up long term yields. Greg, it feels like the market's starting to care about yields at these levels. Where does it really start to care? Is it is if everybody says five percent, I think we're a lot closer. I think it's closer than four and three quarters and five. But where do you get concerned in terms of the broader market? I get concerned with the persistence of high yields because the cost of capital is likely to remain higher for a persistently long period of time.

11:28And any time we get a shock to the system, whether it's a geopolitical shock or a shock in terms of policy, Fed policy, for instance, that is going to pressure rates from a higher level. And so that's where you start to see the concerns in terms of investment, in terms of the deal market, and in terms of consumer spending. That's where it starts to bite.

11:45Melissa Lee:Greg, where do you see growth at 2 %-ish, right? That's really what I think is expectations for 2026. And you have inflation expectations that aren't going lower. Right. And this is something the Fed is particularly worried about. We're going to get a read on that next week. Where do you see growth and how is that shaking out? Because when you see inflation, you see, you know, gas at the pump at four bucks, that sort of thing. You have to think that at some point that's a big headwind to growth. It is a big headwind to growth. And what we are seeing is essentially erosion of growth momentum. The cost of growth is continuously increasing.

12:14We were just talking about the new tariffs that are coming online as the old tariffs are expiring. What that tells you is the cost of trade remains higher. The cost of growth in terms of geopolitical conflicts is also rising. And that's a hindrance in terms of consumer spending activity. One thing that we tend to omit is that when you look at income, disposable income, relative to last year, it's actually lower. The money we have in our pockets after taxes and after inflation is lower this year than it was last year. That's biting into consumers' ability to spend and desire to spend. So you're seeing consumers being more frugal and more careful as to where they put their money.

12:50And that's a key constraint in terms of growth potential. The key issue today is what the economy could have been. We could have been in a much, much stronger economy had we not had a layer of supply shocks constraining growth and lifting inflation. Greg, you mentioned gasoline. You mentioned wash. You know, what kind of inflation do you care about? There's a lot of ways to define it. It feels like kind of a moving target right now. Is there a particular part of the inflation stack that you're most focused on? Well, what really matters for the Fed is core inflation, right? We know there's going to be volatility in terms of energy prices, in terms of food prices.

13:23But when you look at core inflation, what you're hearing from a lot of Fed policymakers is that they are losing patience in the face of what has been a continuous environment of inflation, core inflation being above the 2 % target. And that's really the key concern, because you can tolerate some supply shocks passing through and leading to a temporary spike in headline inflation. But what you can't tolerate is persistently elevated core inflation that is eroding spending capacity and deterring Americans from spending. That's really what the Fed is concerned about. And that's why I think there is an increasing risk that maybe not at the next at next week's meeting, we see a rate hike from the Fed and potentially more than one over the course of the next few meetings.

14:06You mentioned that you thought that we're in a structurally higher rate environment. So what does that mean and what does that mean for your forecast for GDP growth? I think it constrains the upside in terms of growth. We could be in an environment where we could have growth closer to three, three and a half percent with this AI led tech boom that we're seeing with a lot of investment that could support stronger growth. Unfortunately, because of the tariffs that are weighing on growth momentum, that are increasing the cost of growth via higher inflation, because of the Middle East conflict that is raising the cost of goods, the cost of transportation, the cost of fuel, we're essentially capping growth.

14:44And so when you ask me what are the key constraints on growth, the key constraints on growth is essentially this higher cost of growth. And this higher cost of growth is visible in two areas. One, higher inflation that is persistently above the Fed's 2 % target, and two, a higher cost of capital. Both of these are constraints on the private sector and constraints on potential growth rates for the foreseeable future. Great to have you with us, Greg Dack of EY Parthenon. First of all, he works at Parthenon, which is amazing. I mean, that's fantastic. He's on the Parthenon. He's an strategist. He's in the Parthenon, or he's on the Parthenon.

15:19We have Greg back for sure. I don't think the Fed is in a position. The administration is going to lose their collective minds if the Fed raises rates, although that probably is the right thing to do. So I think that's off the table a little bit, maybe until at least the spring. With that said, the market's doing it for them, and that's something we've been talking about for a while. And this is not an economy, and it's certainly not a market that is equipped to handle rates that go higher from here. If GDP growth is capped, are asset prices capped?

15:46Melissa Lee:I mean, they could be. I mean, going back to tariffs, I mean, it depends who's going to eat those tariffs, right? If we start to see pressure on S &P 500 earnings and growth starts to decelerate in a meaningful fashion, I mean, I think you have to go back to pre-COVID. I mean, we had about 2 percent GDP growth on average per year, I think the prior 10 years. But we had inflation below the Fed's 2 percent target. And it doesn't seem like we're getting back there anytime soon. So, you know, do asset prices kind of like, you know, stall out here? I think it is a function of expected growth. We've got a news alert on Oracle.

16:18Shares are rising in the after hours on this. Pippa Stevens got the details here. Pippa. Hey, Melissa, Oracle up about 3 % here after the company signed a 10-year software contract with the Pentagon worth up to about$7 billion. So under this agreement, Oracle will supply on-premise software for branches of the military, the U.S. intelligence community, and the Coast Guard.

16:38Melissa Lee:This, of course, comes as Oracle has shifted to focus on building out AI infrastructure with the stock down some 40 percent this year amid concerns about racking up debt in relation to those AI data center build out. But you see here now the stock up some three percent. Melissa. All right. Pippa, thanks. Pippa Stevens, of course, this also comes on the heels of Oracle stock slump. It's CDS spiking. Katie, what do you see for the stock? It's been pretty rough. A major retracement for Oracle. And yet it does show some signs of downside exhaustion. And a move like this will help confirm those signals.

17:11They're Counter trend signals, short term in nature. Support is being tested by Oracle. So it's really essential that it bounces now or it will break down. What do you make of this news? Look, it's good news for Oracle. That credit spread had gotten above 200 basis points. We're seeing credit spreads rise across the entire MAG7 complex. I think Oracle has always been an interesting test because you might argue it's kind of in that tier two. It's not one of the MAG7 guys who at least previously had a lot of free cash flow. So it's positive to see the stock reacting like this. So but Katie's point, I mean, you're you're coming off of a low level.

17:43Remember the show? There was, I think, a Broadway show years ago, Prelude to a Kiss. Remember this or no? Vaguely. That's no. Just say no. I don't remember it, guy. This is now I'm just telling you flat out. First of all, I never thought the stock would get this low. But one thing we've been saying for a while is there's going to come a point in time where you hear something out of administration about Oracle. This is the prelude to that, I believe. This is the first time, at least since we've been doing the show, that remember Oracle getting anything remotely close to a Pentagon contract. And now they're getting it.

18:15I don't think it's coincidental. Stay tuned for more. All right.

18:19Melissa Lee:This is a 10 year contract worth seven billion dollars. OK. And you know what it's for? SAS. It's for SAS applications and professional services. Oh, it's dead. I mean, like, so think about it. I mean, like and in the first five years, it's going to be a three point three billion dollar revenue. this is a company expected to have$78 billion this year,$110 billion next year. This is a rounding error. I agree with that. Well, I'm not coming at you. It's not about the numbers. It's about what it signals, I think. You know I'm in your case. In terms of government support. Like an Intel-esque sort of thing.

18:50I get you guys. And look what happened to Intel. And look what happened to Intel. Look what happened to Intel. All right. Coming up, the earnings overhangs thinking Tesla and Alphabet today while the sell-offs are so severe. And the next move for the mega cap straight ahead. Plus, from a grocery gut punch to a steel surge. We're breaking down the other big moves today and where the traders are putting their money to work right now. Don't go anywhere. Fast Money is back in two.

19:13Melissa Lee:This is Fast Money with Melissa Lee right here on CNBC.

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19:21The board recommends approving.

19:23Melissa Lee:Regarding that seat on the committee, we're promoting quarterly earnings. Every day, shareholders meet to discuss important matters about the companies you invest in. Now you can easily make your voice heard. Vanguard Investor Choice gives you a say in the companies you invest in. With just a few taps, you can set your proxy voting preference for your index funds. Visit vanguard.com slash investorchoice to learn more. Vanguard Investors own shares of our index funds, which own shares of the companies they invest in. Available for Vanguard Index funds that participate in Investor Choice, Vanguard Marketing Corporation Distributor.

19:53Soccer teaches us lessons we can take with us long after we leave the field. That's why Bank of America and U.S. Soccer are committed to helping bring soccer to every school. Raise your hand to help at bofa.com slash soccer at schools. It's smart to always have a few financial goals. And a really smart one you can set? Earning cash back on what you buy every day. And with Discover, you can. Get this. Discover automatically matches all the cash back you've earned at the end of your first year. Seriously, all of it. And we trust you to make smart decisions. After all, you listen to this show. See terms at discover.com slash credit card.

20:34Welcome back to Fast Money. Rising CapEx forecast taking a big bite out of shares of Alphabet as well as Tesla today. The Google parent dropping over 7 % after raising spending plans to$205 billion from$190 billion. It was the stock's biggest drop since last May. Tesla, which reported a more than 140 % increase in CapEx, fell over 14 % its worst day in 16 months. Together, the two names lost nearly half a trillion in market cap just today. Obviously, Tesla was challenged also by margins falling short of expectations. There's a whole other brew of things for Tesla. But for Alphabet, what did you mean?

21:08It's overreaction or measured reaction? It felt like just a little bit of an overreaction just because what did we learn that was new? You know, they're going to spend a ton. Their free cash flow is going negative. The bottlenecks are still tight. I mean, these all just seem like things we kind of already knew. We knew about concerns about return on investment. And if anything, you know, maybe the fact that how much the curve is flattening out is kind of worrying people a little bit that, you know, these data centers can't get built, not because there's no money behind them, but because you can't find, you know, concrete and cement and construction workers and power, et cetera.

21:39But I don't know that we learned that much new today, you know, from Google, other than maybe positioning was really long. And the negative free cash flow, I think, obviously really got people's attention. Does it look good? I wouldn't say good. Usually this breakdown, these kind of breakdowns take some time to recover from. But we do watch those gaps. So if it rises quickly into the gap from today, that would be a short term positive. At least it did penetrate the rising 200 day moving average. Feels like a short term issue, not a long term one, but a little work to go.

22:09Melissa Lee:You know, I just think the assumption that we won't have an economic slowdown, that we won't have pressures on margins, you know, across the S &P 500, which would be the buyers of this compute for this, you know, negative free cash flow for a company that has been a darling for 25 years. I guess they went public in 04 or something like that. And they haven't had any of free cash flow since then. And I say to myself, OK, if that doesn't materialize, the demand for that, if there is overcapacity, and let's be clear, at some point there will be an overbuild. It may be next year. It may be five years.

22:41Melissa Lee:I mean, these stocks are going to get killed. I mean, like literally killed. And I just think it's really funny that people have such short memories. Go back to the highs in 21 to the lows in 22. Some of your favorite stocks, it was NVIDIA or Netflix or Tesla. You know, these stocks went down meta 70 percent, you know, and you can say, well, it's different. I don't know what's different. I know that this is a crowded trade and I know I like it. It was my favorite hyperscaler, that sort of thing. But now it's down 22 percent from its all time highs. And people were loading into these stocks, all of them, whether it was six months ago, whether it was yesterday and some of these things.

23:15Melissa Lee:And that sort of pain is something that is going to be felt. And you can say, well,$300, it's overdone. You might be saying the same thing at$275, at$250. And that's kind of the lesson that we've learned about these sorts of sentiment bubbles. And make no mistake about it, it is a sentiment bubble. At some point, it's going to be an economic bubble that has existed in these stocks. But, you know, nobody knows when. But I just wouldn't poo-poo this sort of price action when we have these sorts of metrics coming in the way they are. And we haven't seen in decades. And we didn't get guidance from Alphabet on the next quarter.

23:45So when we get guidance from the other hyperscalers next week, plus potentially CapEx raises, it'll be interesting to see if this stock, Alphabet, trades down again on basically the same news. It's a bit of a mystery what the market's rewarding and what it's punishing these days. Because if you look at the quarter, the quarter I thought was actually very good. All the metrics were very good. And then you hear the word dramatically. I think that's the word that was used. Significantly. Significantly. Thank you. In terms of the spend. And, you know, you hear a word like that, there's no way to quantify what significantly means.

24:15So it's sell first, ask questions later. I think to Stu's point, when you start talking, as Dan said, negative free cash flow, spending more, earning less, the market's punishing that right now, which is not particularly healthy. And I think Katie will tell you, I mean, this was in a bit of a pennant formation. I thought it was going to break out to the upside. That was wrong. Now it's broken to the downside through that pennant. Yeah, look, I would just add this to the list that Christina had before, whether it's ASML, TSMC, et cetera. The bar is extremely, extremely high for these companies.

24:42I think what maybe that was more disappointing today was less about Google. It was why didn't the bottleneck stocks and the recipients of that spend actually perform a little bit better? So if there was anything that kind of shot across the bow today, I think would be those bottleneck stocks kind of not benefiting at their expense. I'm glad you brought that up because you did see like a Lumentum and a Coherent and a Celestica. They did have small gains early in the session, but basically gave them up. So they weren't trading well on this capex raise either. Coming up on the right track, the railroad stocks chugging higher on the back of strong results.

25:13Inside those moves and more of today's fast movers next. Plus, we're diving through the details from the Intel call. Gene Munster is breaking down all the key headlines straight ahead. You're watching Fast Money Live from the Nasdaq Market Site in Times Square. Back right after this.

25:32The board recommends approving...

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26:00Melissa Lee:Vanguard Marketing Corporation distributor. Soccer teaches us lessons we can take with us long after we leave the field. That's why Bank of America and U.S. Soccer are committed to helping bring soccer to every school. Raise your hand to help at bofa.com slash soccer at schools. It's smart to always have a few financial goals. And a really smart one you can set? Earning cash back on what you buy every day. And with Discover, you can. Get this. Discover automatically matches all the cash back you've earned at the end of your first year. Seriously, all of it. And we trust you to make smart decisions.

26:37After all, you listen to this show. See terms at discover.com slash credit card. Welcome back to Fast Money. Stocks sharply lower as big tech dragged on major indices. The Dow shedding 500 points. The S &P losing more than a percent, while the Nasdaq dropping more than 2%. Albertson sinking 22 % for its worst day in almost four years. the company cutting full-year guidance as cautious consumers pull back on grocery spending. And with higher fuel costs driving up prices, the company said it is willing to absorb margin compression rather than pass costs on to shoppers. Cleveland Cliffs, meantime, soaring 16 percent after giving a strong forecast, now expecting third quarter earnings before taxes to double from Q2 and that the second half of the year would be its strongest in five years.

27:19And major railroad operators CSX, Norfolk Southern and Union Pacific all rising to records today, All three posting a strong second quarter as companies shift cargo from trucks to rail. Katie, which do you want to tackle? Well, you know, these railroads are really quite interesting. When you pull up the long-term charts, the monthly charts, you can see that they've all cleared their resistance from 2022. So if they can hold on to these gains here in the near term, the breakouts will confirm. And that acts as a nice long-term catalyst for them. And there's nothing wrong with new all-time highs.

27:52Which universe caught your eye, Stu? Yeah, I think operations probably just, you know, pressure on the consumer. Gas prices now, you know, kind of rising again. Affordability from tariffs. I mean, it's a tough environment right now to be doing that. It's just very interesting that they clearly see the pressure as so strong that they're willing to kind of, you know, keep price where it is and eat the margin for a little bit of time. So, you know, kind of a troubling, troubling message from them, I thought. I mean, they're seeing the market share leave. I mean, the market share is going to Walmart.

28:19They're going to dollar stores because they can't afford a regular grocery store. They're also going to say what the administration wants to hear in terms of eating it. But I'll play the game and I'll take Cleveland Cliffs for 500. You're a hockey fan? You are. Oh, yeah. We talk about hockey sticks. Well, when you score a goal in hockey, they say you're lighting the lamp. Well, if you look at this quarter from Cleveland Cliffs, they lit the lamp with this sucker. And it was an extraordinary quarter. And Katie can look at this. This is about to break, I think, about a three-year downtrend it's been in.

28:48And valuation, to the extent that it even matters, I think is pretty compelling. You agree with that assessment? I love these breakaway gaps. And it took it right up to the 50-day moving average. So that acts as a positive short-term catalyst. You don't see it quite yet in the indicators on a long-term basis, but there's hope.

29:05Melissa Lee:I don't even know what I want to talk about here. The railroads, Cleveland Cliffs, or Albert. It's all not your jam. None of my jam. Although Walmart remains the worst-looking stock in almost the entire S &P 500. I mean, that's it really is. Look at how it trades. It was actually the best stock about two and a half months ago. And now it's the worst. Yeah. Coming up, the very latest on Intel with the call now more than 30 minutes underway. Deepwater's Gene Munster has been dialed in, joined us straight ahead with his top takeaways as the stock gives up. A lot of it's after hours pop, but it is still up five percent.

29:37Fast Money's back in two.

29:40Melissa Lee:Missed a moment of fast? Catch us anytime on the go. Follow the Fast Money podcast. We're back right after this.

29:57Welcome back to Fast Money. Another look at shares of Intel. The chipmaker still up in extended trading, though well off its after hours highs. Gene Munster has been dialed into the conference call. He's managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management. Gene, good to see you. They talked about 14A. They've talked about CapEx. What are your takeaways here? I think the first takeaway, Boy, if you're an Intel investor, you've got to be counting your blessings, even with the stock up 5 % here. Understand that they guided revenue up 11 % for the September quarter, and there's a lot of good news around 14A, which is a driver in 2028.

30:29But objectively, they just raised CapEx from$15 billion, where the street was at for this year, to$20 billion. They said next year will be significantly higher. That has been the tagline for stocks going down. You saw the stocks start to trade down in the after hours in anticipation of those comments, and it's kind of hanging steady at that. So largely, I think that this company still is moving in the right direction, but there's just so many better companies to invest in that infrastructure. The other big takeaway here outside of the call is just the big picture here, is this is yet another statement about how early we are in AI.

31:07I just want to kind of frame that in, is what Intel basically does is they sell accessories to the AI infrastructure build. These are CPUs. This is old technology. They've been updating it, but it's still old when it compares to GPUs. And the hottest segment, their best performing segment, that data center and AI segment, is 1 13th the size of NVIDIA's GPU business. It grew at 56%. Nvidia is going to grow their GPU business at 96 % in the July quarter. So, Melissa, when I just put all this together, I'm surprised that the stock's up, call it 12 % over the past week. Google's down 8 % and the Nasdaq's down 1%.

31:49It just feels like a gift. And throw in the fact that Nvidia trades at a fraction of the Ford PE that Intel is trading at right now to add insult to injury. I mean, but, Gene, when you think about why Intel is not going down on significantly higher CapEx, I mean, the takeaway here is that investors believe that the dollar spent by Intel is going to have a bigger or faster return than the dollar spent by Alphabet. Do you think that's the correct takeaway? I think it's the right takeaway that a dollar spent in CapEx is going to be a beneficiary. I've been applauding the rise in CapEx over the past couple of years.

32:24I've been puzzled by the market's reaction to what we saw last night from Tesla and Google and just broadly. So I think it is I don't think these companies should be penalized for this CapEx spend. And part of the reason is if you believe like I do that we are still so early in the third inning, infrastructure is going to be a competitive advantage. And so I don't have a good answer of why investors are believing that they're going to be a better fiduciary of CapEx versus Google, for example. But I think the whole concept of more CapEx for these companies that are leaders and Intel still is at the little kids table, by the way.

33:01They haven't really graduated to the big boys table, big table, the adult table. But nevertheless, I think that this is still the right move for them to invest in that CapEx. Mel brought it up, Gene. Why is NVIDIA, given all the metrics you decided, why is it traded? I mean, it trades at less than a market multiple and obviously a lot cheaper than to the extent that it even has peers, its peers. So to just frame that in, on the 2027 numbers, Intel trades at 61 times and you have NVIDIA trading at 17 times. A &D as a point of reference, trades at 31 times. And Guy, the reason is that's that 13x number that I gave, that business that's 13 times bigger, even though it is growing faster.

33:43When you have numbers that are just that staggering, it is almost impossible for investors to get over that we're going to see a big slowdown. At Deepwater, we sold NVIDIA a couple months ago, big believers in all they're doing, but we just felt like this was going to be continued beats, but the stock would not be rewarded. And I think you're seeing that in NVIDIA shares. And maybe that's what's going on with Intel here is it's still a relatively small business and directionally has probably more room for upside. That's why you pay that higher multiple. 1480 is going to be a big deal. That's a 2028 driver.

34:15And you can sleep well at night as an Intel investor, knowing there's a big catalyst coming a couple of years down the road. Yeah. Gene, thank you. Great to see you. Thank you. Gene Munster. But again, Gene says there are better places to invest in the AI trade.

34:30Melissa Lee:Well, I just think, you know, the jury's still out on this one, right? And there's a lot of things that this company has to do that they haven't been doing well over the last 10 years. And, you know, I go back to 10 years ago. This is a company that had 63 % gross margins. This year, expected to be 40%. And we're talking about growing off a very low base. And Gene just said they're at the little kids' table here. And, you know, the technology that they're selling into the server market are CPUs. That is a very commoditized sort of business. They're using clusters of those. So maybe it's a lot of them.

34:56Melissa Lee:But, again, this is a much lower margin business. You look at NVIDIA. You know, you'd still want, given their growth, given the durability, you'd probably want to be there well before you buy it. But the chart, I mean, still? I'm not a tech. She's the type. OK, well, OK, well, let's turn it to you then. Well, you know, looking at Intel, I think what we're not talking about is that it was down 37 percent over the course of 12 trading sessions ahead of this news. So just a rebound. It's not even back above the 50 days. So I wouldn't say that it's an overwhelmingly positive reaction. It was more like, you know, the investors were anticipating something worse.

35:30We've got a news alert here we want to get to on the Paramount Warner Brothers merger. Julia Borson's got these details. Julia. That's right. More news on the state AG lawsuit attempting to block Paramount's acquisition of Warner Brothers Discovery. The judge is extending the temporary restraining order on the deal by two weeks. So now the earliest the deal could close is August 17th. Now that is getting closer to the September 30th date, after which Paramount would have to pay a ticking fee to Warner Brothers shareholders, effectively increasing the cost of the deal. The judge saying the delay is due to the need to resolve multiple issues, including the party's disputes regarding the schedule.

36:07This does come after yesterday the European Union allowed the deal to move forward, clearing that hurdle. Now now they're really just looking at this key issue of the state AG's lawsuits. Take a look at those stocks. Certainly a lot to watch coming up here, Melissa. All right, Julia, thank you, Julia Boorstin. And you think about the delay to this deal and you think about Netflix. being left out, I guess, walked away from it, maybe for the better. But the stock is no better. No better because the market is concerned. And we talked about this. I've been wrong, by the way. The organic growth is where they're concerned, and maybe rightfully so.

36:45But I think going back to Katie again, we flagged$68. I mean, that was the prior all-time high, I think, in 2021 that we traded down to and seemingly have held. Now, we're not bouncing off it in a meaningful way, but I think that's sort of your line in the sand, Mel. Yeah. You think it holds here, Netflix? TBD, I would say, with a lot of this stuff, to be honest with you, especially in this environment. I don't think there's a whole lot of tolerance for any risk at the moment. Coming up, the next shot for Eli Lilly as his next-gen weight loss drug clears another key turtle. How to play the pharma strength in the chart levels Katie Stockton is watching with Fast Money Returns.

37:24I'd do that. Welcome back to Fast Money. Eli Lilly up nearly 2 % after its experimental GLP-1 drug, Reditrutide succeeded in two late-stage trials, the drug delivering significant weight loss and improvements in blood sugar. The company, though, slightly pushed back its timeline for applying for FDA approval from the end of this year to Q1 of next year, mainly because it's applying as a biologic. So that takes a little bit longer in terms of process, but it would give them more patent protection longer term. The chart was good today. So what do you make of it? Lillie's world. I mean, everybody's living it.

37:55But it was just not Lillie today. It was Big Cap Pharma as well. I think Merck traded above 130 today for the first time in a while. Bristol-Myers getting off the mat and some of these other biotech stocks, even Structure, which is round turn that entire move from December from 50 to 100, back to 50 now. The space is in play. And if you ever see a rotation out of semis and storage, it's going to find its way into big cap from it. Well, oftentimes we do see a market hiccup in technology. You do see that flow into health care. Yeah, I think you're placing the idea. Everybody wants any trade idea that's not correlated to AI, even if it's your second tier idea.

38:28And I would you know, we would put large cap banks in there. But I would also put kind of rotation within health care in that in that category as well. GLP one and the large cap pharma. If you look at today, price momentum was actually up today. It all came from capital goods and pharma and biosciences to drive that. So I do think if people are a little worried about some wobbles on the AI side, this is a non AI trade that I think people will embrace. Right. Well, the broader pharma sector, as you mentioned, continue to climb. iShares, IHE ETF up 20 % this year, trading your record. So, Katie, what are you seeing in the technicals here?

38:57You know, the momentum is obviously there short-term and long-term. And now we're seeing the relative performance breakouts. When we look at IHE versus the S &P 500 index, not only is a 200-day moving average pointing higher for that ratio, but we have a breakout that acts as a positive catalyst for more outperformance. The likes of Lilly, Merck, they have very good long-term momentum, no sell signals. They don't appear overstretched. We can even find some turnaround plays. Look at Bristol-Myers from a long-term perspective. It starts to look like a big cup-and-handle formation. So if it can break out above resistance, that would be a major long-term catalyst for that stock.

39:37Johnson & Johnson, very good momentum as well. So the momentum is there. The relative performance has been on the mend, not just recently, since the sentiment shifted behind the AI trade, but longer term.

39:49Melissa Lee:Stu, you just said, you know, clients, customers, institutional, they're looking for trades that are not correlated to AI. Is there going to be a trade, maybe the back half of this year, which we're into next year, where, you know, folks are looking for trade ideas or sectors that are going to benefit from the spend? And especially if compute comes down. And I would think maybe XLV, I've never heard of this one, but it looks pretty good, too. What is it, IH? IAG, U.S. IAG. I mean, is that going to work its way into some of these other sectors? I think those sectors are, you know, can you implement this?

40:18And then what does it do to your profitability outlook? So, you know, people would love that, right? You know, anything that demonstrates a return on investment related to AI is going to be very, very well received. I'd say right now it's more it's banks. It's affordability. People really want to have an affordability trade on into the election. The tariffs, as you mentioned earlier, probably don't play into that well. And then I think health care would be the other one. And biotech is considered a big beneficiary of AI. So I think within health care, the biotech is the AI trade and the pharma is kind of the GLP-1 and the not AI category of stuff right now.

40:49Even within health care more broadly, we've seen sort of a rotation. I mean, from earnings season, insurers, hospital stocks have been troubled. Medtech has been very troubled and overcrowded trade there. But this pharma looks stronger. I mean, to the extent that anybody cares. I mean, Katie brings up IHE, the two top names, Johnson & Johnson and Lilly, are 40 % of this ETF, which you typically don't see. But, I mean, those are great stocks to own, obviously. But, yeah, I think your point is well taken. It's not pharma across the board or health care across the board. It's very specifically, I think, the names we talk about.

41:23Yeah, so XLV chart looks different from IHE? A little bit, yeah, because of that heavyweight exposure to the big pharma names. But you can find other great charts. It's Amgen for one. That's a very steady, longer-term uptrend with a positive intermediate-term setup as well. So we can dig a little bit deeper. Even the med device names, dare I say, seem to be stabilizing. Coming up, playing offense with defense with Lockheed. And RTX told investors that sent the group higher today and whether there's still time to get in on the rally. That is next. More Fast Money in two.

42:01Welcome back to Fast Money. Defense stocks in rally mode today. Lockheed Martin having its best day since 2020, flying 10 percent higher, while RTX jumped 7 percent. Both companies beating earnings estimates this morning and raising forecasts on strong Pentagon spending. Guy, you've been tracking this sector for a while. Theon's the name we talked about. I guess it's called RTX now, and that's actually been lower left, upper right for a while. Well, Lockheed Martin obviously ran into some difficulties around the doge time, but it's gotten himself off the mat. So this was a great quarter, and it's a valuation that I think you can get your arms around.

42:31So I like Lockheed here. Yeah. What do the charts look like? I like it, too. I love gaps, as you know. So Lockheed does look like a good turnaround, and it had come right into some longer-term support. If you look at the broader sector, SHLD is a good way to do that, and ETF also had come right into support. And to your point about correlation and people maybe seeking non-correlation to the S &P 500, it's a great space for that. Yeah. They reported at the right time, too. I mean, Iran's heating back up. Oil price is higher. You know, you just had Hezgut testifying. You had the bill passed. So I think it's all coming together for them.

43:07The timing was perfect. Yeah. But Lockheed versus a Boeing. Boeing is half defense. Yeah. But. Yeah. And I think it's half defense. I mean, they can't get out of their own way. A lot of Boeing's problems are self-inflicted wound Boeing problems, and it's a cash flow problem that they seemingly have figured out. But if you're asking me to play the game of would you rather, which I think you sort of were. Yeah, sure. Let's do it. We play this game from time to time. Once in a while. If the two stocks, Boeing and Lockheed Martin at these levels, given the fact that we held valuation-wise, I like LMT.

43:40How does Boeing look to you? You know, I like it. It's a little bit of an out-of-consensus view. But if you reference it versus our monthly cloud model, it actually looks like it's broken out from this long term range. So it might be a sleeper. Are your clients clamoring for defense in this environment? I mean, we mentioned these two, but there's a wide range, particularly like drones and sort of the higher tech defense names. Yeah, you know, I would say it comes and goes. You know, with Iran in particular right now, I think people have their hands up in the air and they just don't know how to deal with it.

44:12Is this something that's going to be going on for the next 18 months? Is it going to be over in four days? Because we get a memorandum of understanding. So I think it's just been a really hard trade to have on because of this instability of the headlines coming out of that space. SpaceX also, in a lot of cases, is covered by our aerospace and defense folks. So that's probably absorbing not only a lot of time, but also a lot of investment capital, which either could be good or bad for the space. That would be a longer debate, I think. Right. Up next, final trades.

44:49Let's take another check on shares of Intel now higher by just about 6 percent in the after hours. It was as high as a plus 10 percent in the conference call. They're talking about 14 customers lining up, even though that is not going to ramp production, not going to ramp until 2028. And also CapEx going up significantly, but still the stock managing to hold on to gains, at least for now. Your predictions for tomorrow for Intel unchanged on the day. if not slightly lower. Okay. Time now for the final trade. Let us go around the horn. Stuart Kaiser of Citi. I'm going to go with our favorite non-AI trade, which is large cap banks, KBE.

45:25Katie Sockton, a fair lead. I'll go with Bristol Myers, BMY. Looks poised to break out. Dan?

45:31Melissa Lee:You didn't ask me on Intel. What is your prediction for Intel tomorrow? I think it's going to be down at some point, Mel, probably by noon. And I think the SMH, I think you sell rallies for the rest of earnings season. Oh, that goes hand in hand with your intel call. Nice guy. You know, Natalie's worked here for how long? A long time. Long time. Yes. What did we learn tonight? Integral member of our team. Integral member of the team. We learned that her father's a fan. Yes. And we just instantly cried. We've been watching for 20 years. By the way, the interns, this intern season, Trillium Trading are here.

46:01Look at this group. It's a good-looking group. Now, do you notice they're all wearing the same shirts? You would have thought they would have brought us shirts. I think. You would have thought. Did they? No. No shirts. on behalf of part of them, but that's okay. I like Lockheed Martin here, Melms. All right. Stu, Katie, thanks for joining us. Thanks for watching Fast Mad Money at Jim Kramer starts right now.

46:23All opinions expressed by the Fast Money participants are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of CNBC or its parent company or affiliates and may have been previously disseminated by them on television, radio, internet, or another medium. You should not treat any opinion expressed on this podcast as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of an opinion. Such opinions are based upon information the Fast Money participants consider reliable, but neither CNBC nor its affiliates and or subsidiaries warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such.

46:50To view the full Fast Money disclaimer, please visit cnbc.com forward slash Fast Money disclaimer. I'm honored to make history and to make my community proud.

46:59Melissa Lee:Oh, what a brilliant tackle from Naomi Kerma. What would you like the power to do? Bank of America, proud to be the official bank of U.S. soccer. Bank of America N.A. Member FDSE.

From the publisher

The traders talking all things Intel after the company’s second quarter earnings, and what the results mean for the broader tech trade. Then, what a yield spike means for the economy ahead of the July Fed meeting next week. Chief economist at Ernst & Young Greg Daco lays out why investors should not expect a rate hike at the Fed meeting, and what Fed policy could look like in the second half. Plus, Brent topping $100 a barrel on the back of Iran tensions, data on Eli Lilly’s newest GLP-1, and Google and Tesla plummeting on the back of earnings.

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