Jake Knapp: The Founder’s Guide to Product-Market Fit

5 May 2025 · 41 min

Ask about this episode

Ask anything about it. ChatGPT or Claude reads this page and answers with the times it was said.

Connect VO and ask about every podcast you hear, including the moments you saved. Add to ChatGPT · Add to Claude

In short

Pattern Breakers Podcast: Episode Summary

Episode Title

Jake Knapp: The Founder’s Guide to Product-Market Fit

Episode Description In this episode, host Mike Maples Jr. interviews Jake Knapp, a prominent figure in startup product strategy. Knapp discusses his new book "Click," which focuses on guiding startup founders through the critical process of finding product-market fit. He shares his insights on identifying customers, solving their problems, and rapidly testing ideas to build products that meet real needs.

---

Key Concepts and Insights

Importance of Product-Market Fit

  • Definition: Product-market fit is crucial for startups, especially during the zero to one phase.
  • Key Insight: It's not just important; it's the only thing that matters in early-stage startups.

Introduction to Jake Knapp

  • Background: Knapp has significant experience in product development, having worked on projects like Microsoft Encarta and Gmail.
  • Previous Work: Authored "Sprint," which outlines a five-day process for testing product ideas.

Overview of "Click"

  • Purpose: Aims to help founders identify their customers, understand their problems, differentiate their product, and test ideas efficiently.
  • Structure: Contains 12 lessons, a step-by-step playbook, and stories from notable companies like Nike and Slack.

The Design Sprint Method

  • Process: A structured week where teams map problems, sketch solutions, build prototypes, and conduct customer interviews.
  • Goal: Helps teams experiment rapidly and gain insights for product development.

---

Detailed Discussion Points

Foundation of "Click"

  • Knapp discusses how previous works laid the groundwork for "Click." He emphasizes the need for clarity in understanding target customers and their problems.

Differentiation in Products

  • Key Strategies: Successful companies provide a new perspective to customers that encourages them to switch from their existing solutions.
  • Two-by-Two Chart: A visual tool used to identify differentiators and strategize positioning against competitors.

Tiny Loops and Rapid Learning

  • Concept: Tiny loops involve cycles of hypothesis testing and feedback to refine products quickly.
  • Phaedra Case Study: Highlights the importance of iterating based on customer feedback and trust-building in product designs.

The Role of Founder Hypotheses

  • Founders must articulate clear hypotheses about their target market and product differentiation before committing to development.
  • Magic Lenses Activity: Encourages teams to evaluate approaches from multiple perspectives, ensuring they consider all options before making decisions.

The Pivot vs. Persist Dilemma

  • Knapp highlights the importance of recognizing when to pivot or persist based on customer feedback and data.
  • Cautionary Tale: Discusses the story of astronomer Laverier, who became overly committed to his hypothesis about a non-existent planet, illustrating the dangers of stubbornness in entrepreneurship.

---

Practical Takeaways

Actionable Steps for Founders

  1. Identify Basics: Clearly define your customer, the problem you're solving, and how your product differs from competitors.
  2. Develop a Founding Hypothesis: Create a concise statement that encapsulates your strategy and vision for the product.
  3. Run Tiny Loops: Implement rapid testing cycles to gather feedback and adjust your approach based on real-world customer responses.

Recommended Activity

  • Spend time reflecting on the fundamental aspects of your current project, ensuring you have clarity on your customer, their needs, and your product’s unique value proposition.

---

Conclusion The episode concludes with Mike Maples Jr. encouraging listeners to embrace innovative thinking in their entrepreneurial journeys. The insights shared by Jake Knapp provide a valuable framework for navigating the early challenges of product development and finding lasting success.

---

For further learning, listeners are encouraged to check out the accompanying materials and episodes on the Pattern Breakers Blog at [patternbreakers.substack.com](http://patternbreakers.substack.com).

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Hear the part that matters, and keep it.Open this episode in VO. Double tap your headphones to save a moment as you listen.
Get VO free

Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Before you start to invest a lot in this thing, make sure you're seeing it click with customers. Make sure you're seeing on the one-to-one atomic level there's product market fit. It's five days to run a design sprint. You might have to run two or three design sprints before you hit that click. That's the voice of Jake Knapp, creator of the design sprint, co-founder of Character VC, and now the author of Click. Jake's work has shaped how some of the most ambitious startups test their ideas fast and build products that matter. This is Mike Maples Jr. of Floodgate, and it's go time with Jake Knapp.

0:38This is Mike Maples Jr. and welcome to the Pattern Breakers podcast, where we explore why some founders radically change the future and how they stand apart. Together, we'll learn about the counterintuitive mindsets and actions behind their remarkable success. Brace yourself for a world where chaos is welcome, naysayers are often a positive signal, and movements galvanize misfits who transform the impossible to the inevitable.

1:14Vince Lombardi used to say, winning isn't everything, it's the only thing. And for startups, I'm fond of saying something similar. Finding product market fit isn't everything, it's the only thing. especially in the zero to one phase. And the new book Click by Jake Knapp is a guide for startup founders who buy into this way of thinking. The key idea is that your product and customer need to click together like Lego pieces. This book helps you figure out who your customer is, what problem they have and how your idea stands out. And then it shows you how to test your idea quickly to see if it really works.

1:53It's all about moving fast, learning what clicks, and fixing what doesn't, so you stop guessing and start building something people truly need. Jake's done a lot of meaningful work throughout his career, from shaping products like Gmail and Google Meet to helping hundreds of startups find their footing. His earlier book, Sprint, was also a must-read, but Click might be his most impactful contribution yet. It's a book that's inspiring in its simple effectiveness. Let's talk to him.

2:29Jake, welcome to the podcast. Well, thanks for having me on, Mike. So you've got this new book, Click, but I think it'd be interesting to just talk a little bit about the books that you've written before and how they led you to this point. What was the foundation that those books laid? And then what question does Click answer that they don't potentially answer. The most important one to talk about is Sprint. And that was my first book with my co-authors, John and Braden. And we were working at Google Ventures at the time and we had taken the design sprint. So I created this method called the design sprint.

3:05I was at Google running this process with teams. It became my full-time job at Google. And then I left Google and went to go work at Google Ventures where we were, you know, had a portfolio of startups. And the idea was, hey, we'll run design sprints with the founders, with the teams and use it to help them move faster and figure out if they can find product market fit, give them more shots on goal. Because if you can run an experiment in a week, that's going to give you, you know, a big leg up on anybody else who's waiting until they've gotten MVP. We finally felt like, gosh, this method is working so well with so many different domains.

3:45We'd worked with startups who were building consumer apps, but we'd worked with startups who were in healthcare, who were in robotics, who were doing all manner of things. And this same format of, it's a very structured week where Monday, you make a map of the problem. Tuesday, you're sketching solutions to a target moment. Wednesday, you're deciding which of those solutions are the strongest and turning them into a blueprint. Thursday, you're building a prototype based off of that blueprint Friday, you're doing one-on-one customer interviews, showing them the prototype up against the competition, watching what happens, seeing how they react, seeing if it clicks with them.

4:24And that recipe worked so well for us that we started to share it, write it, blog posts about it, talk about it. People started to pick it up and do it. And so eventually we said, Hey, we, we got to write a book about this. So sprint was that book. And it's got some stories about some of these startups, Flatiron Health, Slack, Blue Bottle Coffee, or some of the ones who are featured in there, all of whom had pretty good exits afterward. That book got a lot of people doing design spreads. And it's kind of a cookbook for how to run your own. And to this day, so nowadays, I left Google Ventures a few years ago.

5:02My co-author, actually, John Zeratsky and I, along with our third co-founder, Eli Bleed Goldman, started a venture fund of our own, sort of a baby version of what you've been doing for a long time, Mike. And we make investments at pre-seed and seed stage. And our differentiator is that we run design sprints with the companies in whom we invest. And it still works great. But when we were now in this role of general partner, not design partner as we were at Google Ventures, but general partner and running the design sprints with founders, and particularly being there at that pre-seed and seed stage, where especially at pre-seed, the shape of the business, the shape of the company is still forming.

5:45We realized there was a gap. And as effective as the design sprint was, if a company didn't come in with clarity about their hypothesis, about what they wanted to test in the design sprint, it didn't go as well. And we realized that even founders who are very bright, have a very tight relationship with one another, you'll ask them, who's your target customer? And if you've got three co-founders, we often get three slightly different answers about who the target customer was. What problem are you solving? Three slightly different answers. Everybody's generally on the same page, but the specifics really matter when you're trying to build a prototype, figure out how you'd explain it and market it and show something hyper-realistic to people in a week.

6:29And reflecting back on those companies like Slack and Flatiron Health, who'd been so successful, we thought the common thread is those companies have this clarity going in about what their differentiation is. And sometimes they end up having to adjust it. But when the founders can get really clear about the hypothesis, it helps them get to that click moment faster. So click is a playbook for the earliest moments of any big project, but in particular, it's tuned for the earliest moments of a startup when you've got that idea, that insight, but you haven't yet turned it into a solution. So in Click, we want to help you go from essentially zero to here's our hypothesis.

7:12And from that moment on, you're ready to start experimenting. The book itself is, I think, I hope a pretty quick read. It's 10 chapters. They're short. Each chapter is a lesson, one kind of key idea. There are a lot of illustrations in it. And the 10 chapters also fit into three parts. So there's a part on the basics, the basics of what makes a good project, the basics of what makes a product successful that people love. There are some chapters about differentiation. And then finally, some chapters around the approach and experimentation on the approach. And so it's really meant to be a book that you can read on its own, get through, hopefully feel the lessons.

8:01Hopefully they'll stick with you on your own, but then you can also turn around and use the appendix and have a play-by-play, step-by-step guide to running this foundation sprint with your co-founders or with your team of whatever stripes that might be to establish that founding hypothesis and really build the core kernel of your strategy. So it's a one-sentence strategy that you'll have by the time you're done. So then how does the foundation sprint start then? You know, and like, how do you set the table and click to enable that? The foundation sprint really begins with wherever the founder is at or wherever, you know, if you happen to be at a team in a larger company, whatever, but wherever the leaders are at with their understanding of the customer, their understanding of the problem, their special insight.

8:50We don't ask people to do anything special before they begin. We want people to do this at the very outset of starting to think about a big endeavor that they're going to take on. So there's no real pre-work. I think if somebody is ready to start a big project, they've kind of done the pre-work. They're there. They're on the threshold. And we're like, great, let's use these 10 hours or so together. you know, split across two days to just get super crisp about what you believe to be true. And once you've made that really crisp, it's going to help you so much with everything that comes after because you can constantly be referring to that hypothesis and saying, well, is it true?

9:29Can we experiment? Is there any way we can learn more about this before we make a big commitment? And if it needs adjusting, we adjust it. And once we get it right, it becomes the guidepost for what we build. We're building something that delivers on this differentiation. How do you think about differentiation as a way to break industry norms? And how do you apply that sort of thinking to the foundation sprint process in Click? Yeah, well, man, Mike, I got to tell you, I heard you being interviewed talking about pattern breakers and talking about differentiation. And it was right after we'd sent the manuscript off for Click.

10:05And I was like, so excited to hear the way you spoke about it. And I also thought, oh, man, I wish I had talked to Mike before I could have gotten even more articulate on the topic. So we'll see what I could do here. But I think the companies that succeed, they're offering their customers a new way to look at the world. They're saying the framework that you used to use to evaluate whether you had a good solution here is not the right framework. Here's another way of seeing the world. Here's how we see the world. And if you agree with us, if you're willing to give us a try, this is going to blow away the previous solution you had.

10:42So what I want to happen in the foundation sprint is that we get to the situation where the founders know precisely what that new way of looking at the world is. They can describe it. The best way that we've found to do that is to create a two by two chart, a business school 101 diagram, and to label those two axes and get really realistic and honest about your competitors, and especially the sort of 800 pound gorilla competitor that you're up against. and try out a lot of differentiators on that chart and be really honest with where you place the competitors until you get to the point where, if you think of the four quadrants, you obviously wanna be in the top right of the top right quadrant with your product.

11:26And those other three quadrants on the left, they form an L shape and I call that Loserville. So we're gonna keep going until all of the competition is in Loserville. And then we're gonna run experiments to prove that that's true because it's not enough for us to say that that's true and assert that that's true. We've got to then put our product in front of customers, watch how they react and see if it's, if they're convinced in our new framework. Why, why do you think the two by two is so effective? Why have you converged on the two by two over and over again? I think there's a couple of primary factors that make it work well.

12:00One of them is that it is visual in two dimensions. And I think the way our brains work, It's like so quickly and easily parsable that we can understand it as the builders of the thing. But I think that the essential thing that makes it work is we have limited working memory and two items is something that we really can stick with us. And if I imagine products that I love, products that I'm telling my friends about, I'm going to have one or two compelling reasons to tell them. It's kind of the limit of what I can expect them to pay attention to. It's kind of the limit of what I can remember. It's kind of the limit of the punchline or the moral of the sort of anecdote I might tell them about how great it works.

12:48I just think you get beyond one or two things, and it's just more than we care about. It's more than we can pay attention to. It's more than sticks in our head. And part of the reason why it's two and not one is you will get into situations where there's an alternative that's competitive with you on one axis, but you can blow them away on the other. And then you've got another competitor, they're competitive on the other axis, but you can blow them away on the first. And that benefit of clarity and a focus on one or two things, it benefits not only the customer, but also the team as they define and build what they're going to deliver to the customer.

13:30Yeah. So can you kind of walk us through how you use the two by twos, not just as a static endpoint document, but also as a as a kind of almost like an ongoing process of resolving the differentiation? So we set up differentiation by defining the basics. That's who's your customer? What problem are you solving? Who are the competitors? Which of those is the 800 pound gorilla? And what's your advantage? And your advantage is composed of three elements, motivation, insight, which is the same as an earned secret, and your capability. What special capability do you have? And so we want to start with those basics because I want people, when they get into that conversation and that mode of figuring out differentiation, I want them totally on the same page, totally primed with the battlefield they're on and the assets they have in this battle.

14:20And then when we start talking about differentiation, I want to start off with a standard set of differentiators that lots of products have used that are familiar to people. For example, if you picture a scale, a line with the two poles labeled, and one pole is labeled expensive and one pole is labeled free, we all understand the difference between free and expensive. So you can plot relative to your competitors, where do you think your product could be on the scale of free to expensive? And we've got a list of about 10 of these in the book. And they're the 10 that we use. You know, is it free to expensive, smart to not so smart, easy to use to hard to use, integrated versus siloed?

15:02There's about 10 of these obvious ones to me to start with. So we start by scoring. Where do we think we could be on those scales? And then the next activity is, OK, now let's write our own. Where do we think the real special advantages are? and we get people to write, you know, 10 or 20 different ideas for what might be our differentiators. And then we vote on them and we have the decider. We always have a decision maker. You know, typically it's a CEO who's going to pick. All right, let's try these two. So one at a time, now we're going to go in and score every competitor on that scale and score where we think we can be on that scale and say, if we're honest with ourselves, do we think we can beat them?

15:41If we're realistically optimistic about where we can get to, do we think we can beat them? And boy, this really helps founders dial in, what is it about what we're offering that's going to be so special? And of course, it's just a theory. We don't know if we can deliver on it. We don't know if customers will find it compelling, but we've at least captured that hypothesis. So now we can test it. One of the things that you talk about is Slack in the book, I think. I think you have to illustrate sort of this notion. Let's talk about how Slack applied this thought process. By the time I worked with them, what was clear to me thinking back on that was, gosh, they had identified that Slack was going to be fun.

16:26It was fun for people to use, and it encouraged teamwork. An email is not fun. An email, because it's so siloed by every individual, is a teamwork inhibitor. And that differentiation was radical. But if you step back and you think I'm a person who's hearing of Slack for the first time, oh, you know, hey, Jake, here's this new messaging software to really get this to work with your team. You need to completely stop using email and learn this whole new framework. Use this, learn this new software, figure out how it works, convince your teammates to use it. It's a huge hill to climb. And the default way that we're going to look at everything is, well, you know, the old way, I already know it works for me and I don't have to do anything to change it.

17:16So you've got to have a compelling new lens to offer people if you're going to get them out of that inertia and fun and teamwork booster for Slack. That was this fantastic lens that got people motivated and energized. eyes of like, okay, I'm going to do it. I'm going to try it. And for them, I remember they said the key was we've got to get one person on the team super psyched about Slack. So they're going to go to their teammates and say, will you guys not use email for an entire day? Use Slack instead, and you're going to see the benefit. But they did it. And I think that lens was the key. So that lens was kind of the key with Slack.

17:57But then you also have beyond the two by two, you sort of have other ways of converting an insight into something that you can form a hypothesis around. How do we go from having an insight about where we're different to converting that into a founding hypothesis that we want to test? So over the course of the foundation sprint, and that's what Click is all about, is sort of this three-step process. The first step is the basics, which I talked about already, kind of who's your customer, what's the problem, who are the competition? The second part is differentiation. And then the third part is what's our strategy for building something that will deliver on that differentiation?

18:40That's the second half of it. You know, we actually spend the first day doing basics and differentiation. And the second day is all around, let's consider which approach we take before we invest more effort in it. And so in that process, we list off all of the possible approaches. Some teams, when they're starting off, they have thought of one approach and they're pretty locked in on it. They're like, this is the right approach for us. And in that situation, we say, great. But if you ran into a dead end with this one, if you had to pivot, what might your pivots be? But regardless of whether we're just sort of double checking the team's intuition about what the right approach is, or, you know, the CEO's intuition, founder's intuition, or whether we're really like trying to figure out from a state of confusion, we do an activity called magic lenses.

19:30We're trying to visually capture different perspectives on the question of what's the best approach. So I think about this as like, if you had advisors, if you had the perfect set of advisors, you'd have one advisor, who's a customer visionary, and they say, look, we've got to do best by the customer. So you make a two by two chart that represents what would their advice be? And then you plot your options on that chart. And then you say, okay, what would somebody who's totally pragmatic about building something in the cheapest, most efficient, most effective way, what would they say? You plot your options on that chart and so on.

20:06So we've got a set of a few standard views that we think are really important to consider. We also plot the different approaches is on that differentiation chart that we've already created. And then teams will create their own lenses. As they talk about it, they'll realize, gosh, you know, there's another criteria that's important to us to consider. What's cool about this activity, this magic lenses activity, is it gives you a moment to pause before you go into a tunnel of even experimenting on a particular approach. It's going to burn a lot of energy and time. So we want to pause and make sure we're well considered before we go into the tunnel.

20:43The other thing that's cool about it is you zoom out at the end and sometimes there's a pattern and it's just obvious. The same approach wins again and again, no matter which perspective you look at it through. And then you can feel a lot of confidence that, yeah, based on what we know now, this is the best thing for us to go forward on. And I think the more conviction you can give people in the beginnings of a big project, like starting a company, the better. No matter which way you go, this magic lenses activity allows the founders to take what I think is, to me, an overwhelming cognitive task of considering an argument from multiple perspectives, considering multiple options across multiple viewpoints.

21:25And it makes it tractable because as we were discussing earlier with that two by two thing, you're simplifying everything down and you're making it something you can look at instead of just think about. So we've talked about the two by two for differentiation and then the notion of turning insights into something compelling with the founding hypothesis. The next part that the book talks about in some depth is this idea of tiny loops and fast learning. How does that work and how does it flow from the things we've talked about so far? Well, the founding hypothesis sets the stage for this need to experiment.

22:03In the book, I tell the story of this company called Phaedra. Phaedra is founded by some folks from Google, an engineer from DeepMind who worked on the AlphaGo project, and a mechanical engineer and computer engineer from Google who had been designing data centers. And the two of them teamed up while at Google to run this project where they used deep reinforcement learning, which was the same method that AlphaGo used to develop an AI that they could run in the data centers to optimize the cooling. And they were actually able to save 40 % of the electricity usage in Google data centers. Remarkable.

22:44So these two left Google and with their third co-founder, the premise was we're going to take this idea of AI and these learning systems that can do a better job of running the controls. inside industrial plants. And instead of just doing this inside Google data centers, we can bring this to anybody's data center, to anybody's industrial plant and save electricity, save on the machine, wear and tear. Their target customer turns out to be the engineers who are in charge of making the plants run. The problem that they want to solve for those engineers is that actually monitoring all the controls all the time is tedious and something that they know is not maximally efficient and it's not the way they'd most like to be spending their time.

23:32So then they've got to figure out like, what's the, what's the best approach. And they believed it was to build a dashboard that would show how the AI was working that the engineers could refer to. And they believed that they were going to differentiate from the old way of doing things by being more efficient, but also being really trustworthy. The rubber hits the road when you hand a product to the customer. And so in this case, they interviewed engineers and they showed them a prototype and there's not enough detail. The engineers are like, no, I would not sign off on this. I don't trust it.

24:04I'm not seeing enough of the detail. And so they go back to the drawing board, you know, next week. Okay. We know a little bit more about the map. We're going to adjust that. We have some new ideas about what might build trust. We're going to prototype that. And the second time they went back, it started to click. You know, they had figured out the level of detail it required and the key questions that the engineers had. Now, for every product, there's a different landscape for what it is that it takes for the differentiation to come through, what you have to deliver to make it not just a marketing message, not just a two by two, but the nitty gritty of the product actually delivers on that promise.

24:40And sometimes what founders discover is, OK, after two or three takes of this running a design sprint, it clicks with customers and now we can predict this will have product market fit at some scale. But some of the time they find out we just can't get that differentiation to come through. We need a new lens. We need a new hypothesis. So you're doing the loops. How did that change in terms of what you're doing in Qlik from what you did in the sprint book, right? And maybe it's a good idea to even zoom out slightly to talk about how you've made Qlik an even tighter bound set of processes and ways of answering the questions than even the original sprint book, which was already pretty vast, right?

25:24It was a kind of a five-day version, and now you've even condensed it further. At the time that I wrote sprint, we were most interested in helping people go from, we've got an idea, we need a specific solution, and we want to test that solution. So we've got an idea about a problem to solve. We don't know what the solution is and we don't know if the solution will work. So with a sprint, you can do that in one week, come up with ideas for specific solutions, prototype them, test them. It's a play-by-play script for how you do that in five days. I think the challenge is that there's a moment before that and a moment after that that are really important.

26:02And the moment before that is, do you know the right problem? Have you really clearly identified the problem? And have you identified, have you really clearly identified your opinion and prediction about what's going to change in the world once you've delivered a solution, what makes for a good solution. So the foundation sprint with that founding hypothesis, it defines for you, a good solution delivers this differentiation and it delivers it so well that for this customer, it dislodges them from their previous solution. They are going to adopt yours. We're predicting this differentiation will do it.

26:37And now when I go into a design sprint, I know I need a solution that delivers that differentiation. The thing in click is saying, spend a couple days before you run a design sprint. And the other thing it's saying is, think of the design sprint as the first of many tiny loops that you should run. And you should run a tiny loop. And by a tiny loop, I just mean a loop that goes from your hypothesis to an experiment to potentially adjusting your hypothesis. Before you start to invest a lot in this thing, make sure you're seeing it click with customers. Make sure you're seeing on the one-to-one atomic level, there's product market fit.

Read the full transcript

27:13They're asking when they can have the product. They're, you know, shoving their credit card into your hands. We want to see that happen before we make a commitment. And what's less condensed about the new book is we're saying, yeah, it's two days to define the hypothesis. It's five days to run a design sprint. You might have to run two or three design sprints before you hit that click. And so, you know, you've got some examples of getting too stubborn about one's commitment. Could you just tell me the story about, you know, how I can serve as a cautionary tale about commitment turning into blindness?

27:47Yeah, this is, it's the story of an astronomer, a mathematician and astronomer from the 1800s named, yeah, Laveriere, Laveriere. So he plotted the course of Uranus, plotted the entire orbit and figured, hey, there's something influencing it. There's got to be another planet out there. and he ended up predicting where Neptune would be. First, he tried to convince French astronomers who had big telescopes to test it for him. And they actually wouldn't hear it. They're like, ah, you know, this guy's a crackpot. And so he asked the observatory in Berlin if they would look. And so they looked and sure enough, it was there where he, right exactly where he predicted it.

28:32And so he discovered Neptune. So it's a really big deal. I mean, and the guy becomes a huge celebrity, I'm sure. He's discovered a new planet. That's got to be big news in the 1800s. And then he sets about, now I'm going to plot the orbits of all the planets in the solar system. So he meticulously plots all the orbits. Using Newtonian physics, he says, hey, there's another orbital variation that implies that there's another planet that we haven't discovered yet. But he's not talking about Pluto. He's talking about a planet inside the orbit of Mercury, and he names this planet Vulcan. So people start trying to find it, and now they can't find it.

29:15And then an amateur astronomer says, hey, I think I saw something. And so this guy, LeVarier, who's now a celebrity scientist, he goes and visits this amateur, and he looks at the records they have, and he's like, we've done it, we've found it. Vulcan exists, and it's a big news story. but no reputable astronomer, no professionals can find it. They're like, no, it's still, we still can't get it. And for the rest of his life, he's trying to find proof of this planet. And every time it's disproved, every time the data is not there. Unfortunately, what I think must've been very frustrating, you know, decades for him at the end of his life, chasing after this planet that didn't exist.

29:56And it's because he was so locked in to this one theory. It's got to be the way I believe it to be. I feel bad for the guy because he was so obsessed. He didn't really do anything else. And over all these years, he was just trying to prove that Vulcan existed. And I think that can happen to any of us, that we get locked into an idea, we get locked into a hypothesis, and we're blind to the fact that the evidence just doesn't support it. The evidence just isn't there. Even though everything we know in our hearts and minds should prove that it's true. The actual thing is not happening. And you can see that happen, unfortunately, with founders a lot of times.

30:33They get really dead set on an idea. They'll build the thing. People just aren't loving it. It's just not clicking. There's not product market fit. And they're so attached to the idea that they keep going. And so part of this exercise of identifying the founding hypothesis, running these tiny loops, is to try to make the whole thing feel looser and easier. So you can have conviction, but you can have conviction in a shorter burst and you can identify the parts of your conviction, the problem you want to solve, the motivation you have. Those things can remain true no matter what. But the form that it takes, the approach that you're taking, the specifics of your hypothesis, that can flex, the solution can flex.

31:15And I think that mindset is really powerful for building something that matters to your customers. Yeah. So which is kind of related, you know, when do you pivot? You know, when do you pivot? When do you persist? I think about that a lot in my own field. And so when I was working on the pattern breaker stuff, but like what's your take on spotting that line? How do tiny loops help make that line clear when you're approaching it, when you're not approaching it? I think that having clarity about when to persist and when to pivot is a key skill. It's a key intuition that founders have. What's important about this mode of identifying the hypothesis and then experimenting as rapidly as you can, where you're seeing the customer directly react to a realistic prototype versus the competition.

32:04What's key about that is you're giving the founders exposure therapy to the real world. Most founders know that they should talk to their customer a lot. Most of those conversations are sales conversations and they're, you know, they're, they're pitching the customer or they're purely interviewing the customer. And in these experiments that we run, you know, look, we run a one-on-one conversation with three to five customers, but it's a simulation. It's not like the real world. And in the real world, sometimes you need to find those maniacs who love your product when nobody else does. And if you just find a handful of those and they start to use it, maybe they become your evangelist.

32:46I mean, we all know how this theory we know about crossing the chasm, right? But the thing about that is that in those early experiments that you run, whether they're structured in a design sprint or not, there is always a tendency when we're creating something new to seek approval. We want validation that we're on the right path. Whether we do that consciously or not, it's hard to avoid it. And so in these experiments, we try to set the prototype up so that it can fail, so that it's actually the deck is stacked, if anything, maybe a little against it. We want to see people looking at it up against the competition.

33:31We'll also often have teams build two prototypes, use fake brand names for both of them. And so the person you're talking to doesn't even necessarily know which one is yours, that you have a horse in the race. we'll ask founders to say, now I didn't create this prototype. I'm just showing you some things to try to learn about this, the space or this domain or this problem, which might be a little bit of a white lie, but just trying to separate, you know, whether someone's trying to flatter you with their response. It's a tough, it's a tough thing, right? That, that, that question of, am I on the right track with this?

34:06Can I trust what people are telling me? Is this the thing to build? Is this the thing to stick with? The best thing I know is just to frame it as clearly as we can and give people as many shots on goal as possible by showing them how to prototype fast, get in front of customers fast, and then they can interpret what they want from it. In the book, you talked about Phaedra, which seems like a pretty cool example. The idea of testing these prototypes before going big, if you will. Could you walk us through that? because I think that's another potential solution to part of what we're talking about here, right?

34:39Is like you make a small version of the big thing that you might make to test things when it doesn't cost you that much to be wrong or to change it very much. Right, so if you're going to engineer the entire system and the entire dashboard and run this sales process at some kind of scale in the beginning of the project, you've got to get those early customers excited. you've got to have it work for them. Running these week-long cycles where, in this case, they were testing Figma prototypes that looked completely realistic, but were not connected to the actual AI. The earliest prototypes were just mock-ups of what they knew the AI would be able to deliver, what they knew were the kinds of signals that would come out of these cooling and heating systems inside these plants.

35:31So it was a very realistic approximation, but it's just a bunch of screens, you know, with hotspots that you could click on to link to other screens, but it looked like software. And the interesting shift here is you're, you're saying we're going to do some work that we can do really fast. And we're going to probably throw everything about it away at the end of the week. Like there's a really good chance that the design is not quite right. And we're going to have to do it again. And then, you know, we might throw it away again next week. We're not writing code that we can build on, you know, again, in most cases, sometimes you hit it right.

36:03Sometimes part of it's written with code and you can reuse it, but most of the time it's just throwaway work, but you're just doing it to run these experiments. And that shift in mindset and the way we're going to experiment is hard to do. I think when you're facing a big technical challenge, like building this AI for industrial plants, it's hard to say, Hey, we're going to call time out from the hard work we have to do to build this amazing technology, to build it so it can scale, to build it so it's robust and reliable. We've got a zillion things on our to-do list. We're going to call timeout and the founders are going to spend a week, two weeks, maybe three weeks, just getting the product right and making sure that we're delivering something that absolutely solves the problem.

36:46And if you do that, then all of a sudden you're now the prototype is the spec. The prototype is the thing we've got to bring life to. And I think it changes the way you write code. It changes the way you plan your development. It certainly changes the way you eventually market and sell the product. It's also a great setup for the founders can watch the interviews. They're watching how customers react and somewhere inside their head in that black box, they're deciding, do I trust that or not? Is that something I want to take to heart and say, yeah, we're going to execute on that. We're going to believe at face value what that person said?

37:26Or are they going to say, I don't believe what they said, but I believe the look on their face there. And inside the founder's head, inside the decision maker's head, they've got to discern what does that mean face-to-face when you see the person react to the prototype. And you might take it at face value or you might not. That's something founders have got to get good at. They've got to figure out how to make interpretations of the world and trust their own gut. And I'm a broken record, but this just gives them a lot of reps at it. For listeners, right, who are interested in click, you know, let's say they read the book, which is just coming out.

37:59Like what's the one practical next step they can take tomorrow? I think a really interesting activity that anybody can do on their own with whatever project you're underway with at the moment. It's really interesting to fill out for yourself, by yourself, what are the basics of this project? Who's my customer? What problem am I solving for them? And what do I have to displace with this thing? What are the competition and what's different about it? You know, you can go through the differentiation activity and do that by yourself. You don't have to do the approaches activity. If you do those first two things, you kind of start to get the sense of, are we already clear on what really matters about this?

38:41Do we have a strategy that can be boiled down to a sentence? And do I have reason to believe? Do I have some kind of evidence that this hypothesis is true? And if you do that activity, if you fill out the basics and you fill out your founding hypothesis and you look at it and you think, I don't know if that's true, or you find it difficult to fill all of it out, you say, gosh, I don't know if we've clearly defined this part. then you might say, Hey, maybe it's worth spending a few hours with your team to, to nail it down. And it's that threshold from the idea phase, the insight phase to the product phase, the product breakthrough, the insight breakthrough to the product breakthrough.

39:22That's, that's where I want to give people if possible, a playbook for how do you, how do you get from, from that first phase to that second phase, you know, and it'll be the, it'll be the, the ending of that first phase and making sure that that's right, that there's something there. And if you're lucky, it's the beginning of that product breakthrough. And it might be that what it tells you is you need to go back to the first phase. You haven't gotten that yet. That insight isn't quite right. Or it might be the insights, right, but the product isn't there yet, but hopefully you run these tiny loops until you get to the point where you're, you're on your way to what will eventually be the product breakthrough.

40:02and then will hopefully lead to the growth breakthrough. And certainly as a fellow investor, that's what we hope will happen. We hope that this predicts more companies making it through those first difficult phases.

40:19Hey, well, thanks for doing this. I'm glad we made the time and got her done. Oh, thanks so much for having me on, Mike. Really appreciate it. Great talking to you as always. Thanks for listening to the Pattern Breakers podcast. You can follow me on X at M2JR, and I encourage you to check out our newsletter at patternbreakers.substack.com. I'd love to have you subscribe wherever you get your podcasts so you don't miss an episode. And if you like the show, I'd be grateful if you could leave us a review. Until our paths cross again, I hope you embrace the power of thinking and acting beyond the conventional boundaries.

40:58It's the people who dare to be different who truly make a difference.

From the publisher

For startups in the zero to one phase, finding product-market fit isn't everything. It’s the only thing. And there are few people in the entrepreneurial world better at solving the product-market fit puzzle than Jake Knapp, who helped build Microsoft Encarta and Gmail, co-founded Google Meet, and has advised teams at Miro, Slack, LEGO and NASA on product strategy and time management. Knapp also wrote the New York Times bestseller Sprint, and he’s a guest instructor at Harvard Business School.

In this episode, Mike Maples, Jr. of Floodgate dives into the details of Knapp’s new book Click, which  helps founders figure out who your customer is, what problem they have, how your idea stands out, and how to test your idea quickly to see if it really works. The book offers 12 important lessons, a step-by-step playbook, and memorable stories from Nike, Microsoft, Google, and Slack, and helps founders to stop guessing and start building something people truly need.  

Check out the Pattern Breakers Blog at patternbreakers.substack.com for
even more Pattern Breaking content from Mike.  

Mike's book Pattern Breakers is available now wherever you buy books.

Follow Mike on X!

More from Pattern Breakers

All 15 episodes
Jake Knapp: The Founder’s Guide to Product-Market FitPattern Breakers · 41 min
Listen in VO