Midterm Countdown, Haley Stevens November Surprise, & Florida Plane Crash Near Mar-A-Lago | PBD #883

0:0030 seconds. Did you ever think you would make it? I feel I'm so excited. Sweetly bit furry. I know this life meant for me. Adam, what's your point? The future looks bright. My handshake is better than anything I ever signed. Right here. You are a one-on-one? My son's right there. I don't think I've ever said this before. All right. Okay. So a couple things. Number one, congratulations to Kimi Antonelli for being the youngest Formula One champion and potentially Abdul Syed for being the first Muslim senator if we end up winning in Michigan. You know that, right? That would be a record for them.

0:42For Muslims, it's a massive thing to be celebrating about if that does end up becoming a reality. That's where we are right now, folks. You're in the heat. Everything's going crazy. They typically talk about October surprises. Right now we have November surprises. I had one yesterday. This lady, Stevens, from Michigan, I'm sure you saw this clip here, comes out and says, not only am I taking back my, what do you call it, endorsement, but on top of that, I am endorsing Mike Rogers. The left loses their mind. I don't know how much of it's going to flip. Kalshi's not moved that much. There's been a little bit of movement, nothing crazy.

1:17Even as of right now, it looks like Abdul is going to win, and it's going to be a massive celebration for Muslims around the country who want to see somebody become the first Muslim senator. or in America, if that's you, you know, I'm sure you guys are going to be celebrating in Michigan. If it's not you, their campaign is so funny what they're doing. And if you watch them closely, the campaign is all about anti-Israel. Have you seen this? It's a purely anti-Israel campaign where it actually works if you think about it. It gets people that are like, oh, my God, it's all Bibi's fault. I'm willing to support Abdul because I don't want them to win.

1:49So there's a little bit of credit you've got to give to them for the way they're campaigning. but I hope America's ready. If this thing goes the way it is, Abdul's going to be your first Muslim senator. And you know what's the one thing? When I had Raymond Ibrahim on, who wrote the book about the Crusades and all the stuff that happened, he says they come, Jack Hibbs, the pastor, said they come in three different ways. First, they come and tell you we're a peaceful religion, let us in, which is what Henry Ford did in Michigan when he let the first Muslims in because labor was cheaper when he hired people from Syria, Lebanon, all those places.

2:22Then he accidentally, he brought a imam in. They built the first mosque, thanks to Henry Ford, who started Ford. And I love Ford, but thanks to Henry Ford, he created Michigan into what it is today. And then they move up with P, R-P. P is political power. They go in and get some political power, and then they use the military against you. It's a strategy they've used. Not sure if it's going to happen in America or not, but some people are paranoid about it. Tucker puts out a tweet yesterday that gets around 50 million views. Everybody's talking about, is there going to be a nuclear war? This has been a topic of discussion, so he put it at a time, which is perfect timing tweet.

2:57We'll address that. Some people are worried that there may be a nuclear bomb being dropped. Why are we teaching military personnel on how to dig graves, six-foot graves? We haven't done this since Korean War. Why are people around the country going around and other countries around the world, hey, be careful in case something were to happen? We'll definitely talk about that as well. And then you have this jet. What is it, a Learjet 60? Is that what a leader 60? Yeah, leader 60 holds 8 to 10. Yeah, 8 to 10. Nine died in this free-for-all coming down 90 minutes after the president left Palm Beach.

3:34It hit right outside of Mar-a-Lago that it took place, and a lot of people are saying that's what it was. Vinny, the audio, I don't know if you've listened to the audio recording. Very, very difficult to listen to, but that's what happened there. We'll address that. AI wipes out, say that again? Female pilot. Female pilot is what it was. It was a female pay. It's a fact. He's sharing the facts with, if you don't know who he is, Andrew Wilson, you may recognize the name. AI wipes out$1 trillion in tech valuation. Goldman Sachs says there's something going on there. We'll talk about that. The Red Baron worker gets$400 ,000 after a cruel prank.

4:08You've got to see this video. We've been trying to show this video for a week. We will today. Iran exposes vulnerabilities at 26 military locations. Poland may have a constitutional crisis in Poland that's taking place to the point where Dominic had to come out and say a few words. And it looks like the globalists are trying to take control of Poland. They're failing. I think the people are going to stand up. We'll see what will happen there. By the way, Dominic's going to be there tomorrow night with us as well, live in the flesh at 5990 when we do the election night. Another story came out saying, do young Americans need rich parents to buy a house?

4:44Interesting story. Paul Pierce, basketball player, career earnings,$200 million. He's allegedly broke and doesn't have any money to pay for anything. Can you imagine you make$200 million and you got nothing left for yourself and you're trying to figure out how to pay your bills? Baby mama, you got to pay the baby mama. After$200 million. People called me and they said, hey, Pat, you got your facts right about the Mickey Mantle card trading for$50 million. Really? I got my facts right? I'll give you a little bit of thought on that. Not too long, but I'll give you a minute for you to think about what happened with the Mickey Mantle$50 million sale that people are saying the facts were wrong.

5:20I'll let you know in a minute here what happened there. Toronto home invasion. I don't know if you guys saw this or not. A house down the street from Drake. Guy comes in with a hammer, starts hitting the kids, hitting the parents. You guys see this or no? Down the street from Drake's home in a very exclusive community. But guess what you don't have in Toronto? Guns. Guns. No guns. Or even the right has no defense. You can't shoot them. And some good news for some people, a lot of people always track when Leonardo DiCaprio is single. And Leo's not single today, but Bill Belichick officially is.

5:51Oh, no. So if some of you guys wanted to slide into his DM, Bill is officially single and available. And he's a very good coach, a lot of people would say. So you may want to do that. World Series viewership dropped to very low. I mean, apparently people didn't want to watch Milwaukee play Tampa. They wanted to watch Dodgers-Yankees. But you got to win to go there. So Milwaukee, congratulations. We'll talk about those stats. That's Bukele. You got to love Bukele, by the way. Do you see what Bukele just said? Bukele came up and said, hey, you want to come and take out our four humanitarian people that came to your country?

6:26That's what you want to do? Yes. Well, guess what? What? I'm going to send 2 ,000 soldiers to Haiti. How many? 2 ,000. For how many people you're trying to save? Four. You're going to send 2 ,000 people to Haiti? Yes. What types of soldiers? The best of the best. You don't mess with our people. Now, some people, like Conor this morning, are saying, why don't we just leave those 2 ,000 people there and let Bukele clean up Haiti? Not a bad idea. If you think about it, not a bad idea. A lot of people have tried. Maybe that's one way of doing it. Another story came out that Tom and I, we were talking about yesterday.

7:04Oil giants, big, big profit came through. Oil giants, massive profits. But wait a minute. Aren't gas prices high where their profits need to be lower because they're also buying gas prices at a higher level? Not fully. Not fully. We'll talk about what's going on with oil giants having record-breaking quarters, Exxon and Chevron, others bringing a bunch of cash, and they could potentially lower the gas prices, but they're also taking advantage of the crisis, saying, hey, if people think gas prices are automatically going to be high because a war is going on, keep selling it higher. No one's complaining about it.

7:40Let's keep taking the profits. And last but not least, Angel Studios has a story of moving forward, the movies they fund, no sex, no F-words, no cursing, any of that stuff, which it's a very different business model, but there's a market for that as well. So with that being said, let's get right into it. The first story I want to get into is the story of Michigan. Abdul against Rodgers. Abdul has had a lead. They've debated now a couple times. We've seen plenty. but all of a sudden Abdul's primary contender that he barely beat by maybe 15 ,000, 20 ,000 votes. I think her name is Haley Stevens.

8:19If you go and pull up the primary victory, how close it was when Abdul beat her, it was very, very close. I want to say 750 something to 730 something. It wasn't like it was a landslide victory that took place. Tom, you can correct me there. Yeah, she ran a very solid but average campaign. I don't think they took him seriously. They thought he'd be seen as this, you know. She was supposed to win. He was the major underdog. They thought, oh, my gosh, we're never going to vote for a Muslim. Don't worry about it. We're going to do it like this. Yeah, if you look at that right there. And then, boom.

8:48Look at the numbers right there. 7.43 to 7.20. Look at third place. That's tight. So he barely beat her by 16 ,000 votes. So she's a Democrat. She has the accent of being from Michigan. And then yesterday, she drops this video that goes full on viral saying this. Go for it. She's a Democrat. Watch this. As you may have seen, our Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, Abdul, said that I was no longer welcome in his campaign and that I should stay away. And he's right. And that's why I am endorsing Mike Rogers for the United States Senate today. I don't belong in Abdul's campaign. I do not stand with Hassan Piker who gets trafficked on our college campuses.

9:38A dear friend of mine earlier today was saying that education is on the ballot. And she's absolutely right. and what our students see, what our children see, and who we are as Michiganders is not hate and is not what we are getting out from our Democratic nominee right now. So I am just one person. I love this state. As some of you know, I've, you know, run a campaign saying that it was a love letter to Michigan, and I'm here to declare who we are as Michiganders. This is Phil Hart's seat for the U.S. Senate. You can say at this point, we get it. So she says this. She goes on Anderson Cooper. She goes everywhere.

10:24If you want to pull up one of the Anderson Cooper clips, and even her going out there with Mike Rogers, now campaigning for Mike Rogers, and people asking questions saying, wait a minute. You just said a bunch of things about Mike Rogers. Now you want to go endorse him? This is it if you want to play this clip. Kenny, we don't have audio, guys. Jake, we need audio, guys. Because we have to stand. Yeah, the audio, their audio. Okay, no, I have better audio than this one. Same message, essentially. Yeah, so anyway, so Mike Rogers is there. And if you go on the Cal sheet to see what the plus minus is, on how much movement this creates.

11:01Now, keep in mind, Cal sheet is not, you know, is going to tell you the entire story, but this is what it looks like. There was a, go back to a day ago, if you could, go back to a day ago, go to November 1st. Slight movement. None at all. Abdul even went higher after this. So do you think this was an effective ad at all? I'll come to you first. What she did? I don't necessarily think it's effective. I do think it's an act of conviction. I do respect it tremendously. I think that she's been seeing a trend. And what's her biggest thing? When she explains why, she says, well, it's that trend toward...

11:36Policy doesn't matter. Your connections to the Muslim Brotherhood don't matter. As long as you make a video, like you had discussed earlier touching on uh on israel or anything to just distract to israel then you can get away with virtually anything so and at the expense of what this video is completely insane and detached from reality by the way this is abdul's commercial yeah this is one of the commercials detached from all fact completely go ahead and play this clip we get all the sandwich stuff for the kids lunch they don't like turkey anymore yeah i know what about the bananas yeah i got them too But, honey.

12:09What? You're gonna have to put those eggs back. They don't like eggs anymore? No, they like eggs. But we have to set that$7 aside. For killing Palestinians. What? I mean, don't we give Israel $4 billion a year anyways? Yeah. And now we're giving them another $26 billion. Do you know how much that is per American taxpayer? No. It's like$161 per person. Apparently it's costing us a lot of money to drop bombs on Gaza. It's terrible. Yeah. You can pause it right there. It just gets crazier, then he goes, oh, wait a minute. This is the question, though. This is the question. This is the only question I'm asking you.

12:48Forget about the ad. The question is, is it working? It's clearly working. There's a trend in the United States to off-shift everything to a scapegoat. You can have legitimate criticism of Israel, but when it gets to the point of, I can't afford bananas because of Israel when it's literally 0.013 % roughly of our GDP that goes to Israel. Our entire foreign aid budget is a small percentage of our GDP. It's roughly 6%, I believe, of our GDP. So this entire logic that all our problems are Israel, everything has to be diverted to Israel, all terrorism, all evil in the world is Israel, it's effective.

13:22It's getting people to have a singular thing to hate so that we can just distract from anything. Yeah, I think this ad won't work in every state, but it will work in Michigan. If they did a national ad like this, I don't know if it's going to work in every single market. But, of course, in Michigan it would. This is Hasan Piker reacting to what she had to say. And then, Andrew, I'm going to come to you right after this. Go for it. But imagine if Haley Stevens came out and made that demand. Imagine if Haley Stevens came out for months and said, sorry, Abdul, you really have to be in favor of a full-blown abortion ban.

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16:43you can pause but imagine andrew your thoughts so a couple things first the the thing to look at is a lot of people in this election cycle already think that there's a uniparty they think it's the same party it's the uh the same serpent body which is two heads so her coming out actually and speaking for Mike Rogers, what does that affirm? It affirms it's a uniparty. So El-Sayed can take this ground of, hey, I'm the ultimate outsider. You know, look, these people are all in cahoots together. And what are they all trying to do? They're all trying to support Israel. And that's all they care about is supporting Israel.

17:26That's all both parties care about is supporting Israel. This was not actually a good move. If she was trying to take this guy down, This probably has the opposite effect, actually, because he can then point and say, see, uniparty, uniparty, uniparty. APEC, APEC, APEC. And then the second thing is that I kind of reject a little bit about what you're saying. The DSA, right now Democrats are pushing towards their own form of populism. And socialists are pushing towards their own form of populism and is very popular to be anti-Israel. Very popular. The idea here that they're pointing out is hypocrisy.

18:03They're saying, hey, the fact that both these parties care more about sending your tax dollars to what they perceive as a genocide, that points out the hypocrisy of both of these parties, that they don't actually care about you at all. They only care about funding this other nation, doing these other wars. And so he's got a really good leg to stand on when he goes to the constituency now. So he can say, I'm the ultimate outsider. I'm going to stop this. These people are all in cahoots. Just look at what happened, right? I'm going ahead in the polls. My own party comes out to sabotage me. Why? Because they want Israel to do well.

18:43Yeah, but do you not think that that's an, like, objectively become a tactic that you can just use? You're accused of being part of having family connections to the Muslim Brotherhood. Don't look at me. Look at Israel. Of course. Every problem can now be just diverted to that. But politics isn't about what's true. It's about what people think is true. You're making a very good note. And when you're talking about optics here, optics are what matters more than anything else. And his optics are real good here, and theirs are not real good. Mike Rogers being endorsed by a Democrat over the issue of Israel, he now has leverage to say, look at that uniparty.

19:19Look at that uniparty. I'm the outsider. So it actually helps him out, in your opinion. Massively helps him out. Tom, do you agree with him? It looks like the poll showed that, too. I'll tell you, words talk, numbers scream. I'm going to give you some numbers. What did El-Sayed raise in the 24 hours after that endorsement on ActBlue? $2.4 million was raised in 24 hours. He raised$1.2 million in four and a half hours. So when Andrew talks about having the opposite effect, look what they did. They stepped on the gas to use this, and it was hypocrisy and betrayal. That's what you talked about. All of those text messages and everything, because, you know, all this is done by text.

20:02Has anybody been text swarmed in the last two weeks? I just got one from the Byron Donalds team. Well, text swarms are everywhere right now, and they're pushing out these heartstring ads for emails. They're everywhere. And I think all of us have probably got all kinds of things on our phones because our numbers get put in there whenever you're – By the way, if you're communicating with a politician, they're probably going to slide your number to blue or red, you know, and you're going to get all this stuff. But, Pat, that's what happened. This gave him a huge lift. And there's the Forbes story right there because I was tracking it yesterday at four hours, 1.2 million.

20:43Isn't that incredible? It gave him a lift, but he was going to win anyway. I don't think that it's the deciding factor that she went in. Well, I would be cautious on that. Really? Yeah, I'd be cautious on being too quick to the draw that say it's just going to take it or even that he was up to a week ago. This was brutal for Republicans. They just don't know it yet. Giving the opposition the optics that they now have an outsider candidate and both of the other parties are in unification on something is really bad in political elections now. It's terrible. The idea is political populism all the way.

21:20You have to be an outsider for populism to work. That looked like it was all insider trading, right? And by the way, if we look at numbers right now, you've got a billion dollars midterm machine. It's the most we've ever seen. 680 from all the, 637 from all these different packs. Cryptos in it, apparently, for how much money? I think I saw$200 million of what they're doing. You see in the ads, you see in what's going on. when it comes down to it. If you look at this specific race, we'll go into a couple other ones right now in a minute. If you had to guess right now, who do you think is going to win between Abdul and Rodgers?

21:53Where do you stand? It's very clear, Abdul, I think. But are you at a point that you're saying it's over? Like Abdul's going to pick it up? In my view, it's pretty bad. Where are you at, Vinny? What I think and what I'm hoping, because I'm kind of with Andrew, Pat, it's like, it's, again, you never know. if we learned anything from polls and Hillary and markets, it doesn't always, that's why I'm so happy. Like, well, let's just, let's just wait. Because mind you, she only lost, by the way, he was supposed to win the primary by 10, 10. He won by one, one. Okay, so that means there's a couple of groups, like the black, by the way, he's going on this, I'm cool with black people pandering tour because he's trying.

22:33And I've seen a lot of interviews on the streets where these people are like, no, to hell with him. I'm going with Mike Rogers. He's like, just decency in America. And by the way, say what you want about what she's doing. At least, it's like an RFK and Tulsi Gabbard moment where she's shifting. At least she's not doing, like, by the way, totally legal. She's not doing Alaska Dan Sullivan changing the name, which, Conor, at some point, if you could find that freaking, it's still on the ballot. And Trump posted how confusing it is because they have to write in parentheses, the incumbent is this one.

22:59So it's obviously, and they can't find him, by the way. But what stood out to me, Pat, just really, really quickly with this was the Hassan Piker angle. She's like, you know what? With everything that he said, mind you, even in that clip still, because I argue with Chank with his freaking uncle, he still has the world trade towers on fire behind him, even though he was arguing for him, saying, no, he's not that guy. El Sayyid is that guy, bro. Abolishing ICE, making all these people citizens that are here, the transgenders in school, which is that's all that, that Takiyah all sliding into the thing.

23:30I think, Pat, I'm hopeful that people, that her little shift might help because it's pretty close. It's pretty close. Michiganders are pretty left now, though. You have to point out they have Whitmer there, and she's been a terrible, horrible, terrible governor. But the truth is, is that the Democrats tend to take it. Tom. So right here, if they'll scroll down a little bit right here and hit 60 days right there, this is all the polls are out there. Some of these polls are BS, and we try to pull them out. But on point politics, put this together. Take a look at just the trend of the polls. You've got stuff that's in there that's good, bad, and different in terms of the quality of the polls.

24:09But if you look at all the polls in the trend, this has been trending, you know, two points, El-Sayed. And if you take the absolute trend line, right now it's seven. I don't think it's that big. And I think it's going to take a hell of a turnout, Andrew. But I think that Rodgers is in big trouble. He's not an exciting candidate. He's a nice man. But he's not a driver of the populace. And I don't want this output. I hate these numbers. I hate them as an American and what it means is going to happen there. But I think the reality is El Syed in my book is looking at at least a three-point victory unless turnout is so huge that it shifts.

24:49Yeah. Now, in the polls that you're currently showing, a lot of these polls, they can't actually confirm whether these are Republicans or Democrats. They just assume it based on previous voting patterns. Is that what's going on now with these? Well, what you're talking about has been out there a lot, and there's a lot of people talking about it. Rich Barris talks about it. I think you're referencing. Mark Mitchell talks about it. I think these are the people you might be referencing. And a couple of those guys are seen as more radioactive than others in certain camps. So what's interesting is you're talking about what's right now, Pat, there's this whole concept going on in polling circles, and we're all going to find out tomorrow night about the defectors.

25:30And what they're saying is the – you're nodding. It's the independent voters that went for Trump. What was Trump's margin of victory? And then it's the edge Republicans that had registered Republican on the surge, you know, legitimacy of 2020, whatever it is. You don't have to believe in the reasons. You don't agree with the reasons. But voters, Pat, registered Republican, but they were always edge voters. And they're being referred to now as defectors. And there's a lot, a lot of defectors here. And, no, you don't know everything at all. But when you take out the clear fallacy polls, Andrew, and you look at everything else and you kind of handicap them a bit, there's a trend.

26:09And the trend is right in front of us. I think the part that, you know, is also very risky to flirt with is the following. Here's the part. where automatically, if the opposition is showing, like remember that morning, hey, 2016, 95 % chance Hillary Clinton's going to win. Oh, my God, what's the purpose of me voting? And, you know, there's four different types of voters. The one that flips and goes to the other side, the one that sits it out, the one that votes but is like, ah, I'm not really that excited, and the one that's excited, like, oh, my God, this person's going to change my life. The true believers.

26:46Yeah, the true believers. So right now, how many true believers in the republic? are people going out there door knocking for Paxton? Man, I want to go tell the world about Mike Rogers. I want to tell the world about Byron Donalds. I don't know. The enthusiasm's not there. So if you don't have that, but this is the part that you cannot lose. Half the battle on the way the enemy beats you is to convince you you've lost to not even show up. That is the best strategy out there where if there's anything, like you go to a game, sometimes you've got a kid that plays a sport, and before they go to a game and the coach says something like, oh my God, these guys are 10 times better than us, and let me tell you, everybody in the market says they're going to beat us and it's going to be 8-0, that's the worst message to also give versus to say, no, we're going to go fight.

27:32Yeah, they're ranked number one, we're ranked number 28, but we're still going to go fight and see what happens. I think the idea of putting that doubt in you right now to see what's going to happen, the Republicans have to identify what's happening on the other side. What does a first Muslim senator mean in the history of America? What does it mean? Does that do anything to you? Do you want that mindset? From a guy whose sister tweeted 14 years ago about Muslim Brotherhood, MB, and the support for it, casually, relatives being a part of it, are you okay with that? And you think if they get the first one, you don't think they're going to get the second or the third or the fourth or the fifth or the sixth?

28:10You don't think in the next 10, 20, 30, 40 years that mindset's going to be here? Then what happens with that, right? We had a guy this morning who for the last two years, I won't mention his name, but he was here this morning. And he said, man, I can't believe it. You know, where is AIPAC when you need him? Where is AIPAC? We're going to get a first Muslim senator. And I looked at him. I said, for two and a half, three years, you said AIPAC was the enemy. And you hated him. Now you're saying, where is AIPAC? I said, I thought Israel's the enemy. I get being angry at Bibi. I get being angry at all this stuff.

28:42And then when you look at the number of amount of money they're putting compared to others, they're not even what number did they rank APAC on how much money they're putting? They're not even in the top 30, 40. Like, yeah, they're not. But but I got to give credit to the opposite side. They created such massive fear porn that a bunch of intelligent, smart people who emotionally fell for it. And now what are you going to get? You're going to get your first Muslim senator. So if this guy comes through anecdotally, I've seen it in my own circle of friends, how it's become like a primary issue for them, this whole AIPAC thing, this whole trend toward everything going in that direction.

29:18You touched on a really interesting point that it's become kind of like a Trump idea of establishment versus anti-establishment. And once you frame things that way, the right doesn't have good framing anymore. They don't have good narratives. And it's not so – the argument shouldn't be that he's going to be the first Muslim. The argument should be that he's an extremist. His positions are extreme by nature for what we represent as a country beyond that. You know what I mean? So that's the bigger problem here is what does he represent? Who is he connected to? Who is his family connected to? And why are we accepting that just because of this single issue?

29:47But that rhetoric didn't work for Trump. That was the same rhetoric that Democrats tried to use against Trump, that he was an extremist. He's way out of control. This guy is way too far to the right. He's going to do X bad thing to LGBTQ, take away abortion rights. None of that worked because it's establishment, anti-establishment. And so long as that's the framing. And that's the framing. And right now, that framing's on his side. And that's real bad. That trend's real bad. Because this exposes the Republican Party because Trump came in as just Trump. And it was like he MAGA'd this base and everything.

30:23And now he's on his way out. The dust is settling. And now you're like, wait a minute. Who the hell is it? Ken Pat? Never even heard of Mike Raja. I don't know who any of these people are. And there's no, like you said, there's no excitement. There's no like. But keep this in mind as well. We also didn't know who Abdul was. Absolutely. When he came out of nowhere. But he's exciting, and he's talented, and he's capable, and he can sell the dream, and he can talk shit and fight and go back and do. Even the other day, yesterday, when I watched the Stevens thing came out, and it's like, what do you think about Stevens?

30:52What she had to say. Honestly, I'm not really paying attention. Do you know who I'm thinking about? I'm thinking about the family of two kids this way, 15 miles, 15 miles, 15 miles. What are they going to do to pay for everything that they got? That's why I'm concerned. He has it to be able to go through it. So we'll see what happens. I want to go through a couple different stories as well. But before we do, the story I want to get into is with Tucker's tweet, as well as the military around the world, you know, getting ready. We were at – where were we at yesterday? We were at Bass Pro Shop yesterday.

31:21Shout out to Kevin and Scott with one T. Kevin was so helpful. For now, one of the guys comes up. I asked him five different times, can you help? No, man, I got a break. I don't know. Just go to the front. I'm like, do you work here? Yeah, but I got a break. I'm like, dude, we get a guy named Kevin who stays with us for 30 minutes. Maybe even longer. Maybe even longer. Helps us out and scot classy people. But you could tell people are kind of sitting there saying, hey, do I need to get prepped? I got a text this morning from one of my friends in L.A. at 7 a.m. California's 4 a.m. So he's asking a question saying, hey, is something really going on?

31:55Should I really go prep? Should I really go through it? We're going to talk about that. But before we do, I want you to turn your attentions to the FLB chocolate shoes that just came out. Go for it. Five stocks to sell.

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35:17We believe the future looks bright. Nothing's changed. I think the part that most of us don't think about enough is, as a leader, our job is to be prepared. That's your job as a man, to provide protection for your wife, your kids, your peers, relatives, people who rely on you to be prepared for what's going on. But at the same time, you also have to make sure you don't go so—I have relatives that go so deep into it that they almost can't move, they can't shake. Everything around them is so much anxiety and fear and worry about what's going to be taking place. that's also not a healthy place to be.

35:51But Tucker posted this yesterday, and it went viral under pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration, maybe within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickaxe Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. Bibi calls Trump about every day, says an informant observer.

36:25Netanyahu is concerned and desperate after last week's election results. He can't form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israel politics and brokers a deal in other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out of prime minister. Anyway, so this guy goes all the way through. It's a long tweet. I'm not going to read it to you if you want to keep going through it. Maybe do me a favor and just get a summary bullet point so I can read the summary to the audience for them to get. Just do a summary on it. So that comes out. And then you hear stories of what the government's getting ready to do, potentially after midterms.

36:59They're waiting for it. And, you know, hey, is something going to happen? Some are whispering, saying the grid could be down three days. So be ready for the grid to be down three days. You and I talked about that yesterday. So they may bring the grid down themselves is the rumor that's spreading because they don't want the enemy to be able to tap into our system. So this is why go out there and buy yourself water, food, prep, 60 days, 30 days. That's what the conversation is sounding like today, okay? I'll come to you first, Ilan. When you see this tweet, I had you read it early this morning because we were going to talk about it on the podcast.

37:32When you see this tweet, and by the way, Washington divided, Carlson claims Hexed, Cooper, Rubio, Radcliffe, and even Obama opposed the emerging Iran peace agreement while J.D., Steve Whitcoff are urging Trump to pursue a diplomacy, catastrophic economic, environmental consequence. He warns that a nuclear strike would contaminate Persian Gulf water supplies affecting 100 million people, devastate already strained global energy markets, and trigger a worldwide economic depression. Risk of World War III, he argues that American nuclear first use would establish a dangerous precedent, potentially encouraging Russia, India, Pakistan, and North Korea to deploy nuclear weapons in their own conflicts.

38:08Trump faces a critical decision. He alleges the administration has quietly relaxed its nuclear doctrine since February, making tactical nuclear weapon easier to deploy. He claims Trump is hesitating but could decide whether to authorize a strike within days. Your thoughts on him? I think he's arguing something that, number one, hasn't happened. He's created an argument, and then he's saying if this happens. I mean, we were supposed to be in World War III, according to Tucker Carlson, maybe 40 times now, and it hasn't happened. And Tucker Carlson has gone down a very weird trend. What has he gotten right?

38:39What prediction has he made that he's gotten right? He was right about the fact that we were going to attack Iran. He did predict that. Okay. And he's made a few other generalized predictions, but this is a very hyper-specific prediction, and this is one that has major consequences, and there's no real evidence to support it. And again, Tucker Carlson has an odd trend in the past four years or so of going down this. He defended the Taliban, saying that they treat their drug addicts better than us. He did propaganda, talking about how great McDonald's in Russia tastes. He's gone down this weird trend, talked about how amazing Sharia law is and how we shouldn't be talking bad about Sharia law.

39:15So there's a weird trend with Tucker where I don't take him as seriously as I used to. I think you were talking about fear mongering and kind of this sentiment in the country. He has used this as a tactic consistently either for engagement. I can't assert what his intentions are, but I see a trend with him to push fear for whatever reason. and he never has consequence or accountability when it doesn't happen the way he said. So he gets a free pass. By the way, is the timing intentional? Meaning, the timing of posting this a day before midterms, two days before midterms, does this tweet help Republicans or hurt Republicans?

39:53Hurts some tremendous, no one's going to be pro a nuclear, tactical nuclear user. Okay, but what I'm saying is if you read into the tweet, does this tweet help the Republican Party or hurt the Republican Party? Or it's indifferent, it's got no impact on it for midterms at all? To my view, it hurts. It comes back to... Nobody wants more war. And what Tucker is doing here, first of all, he used to be a journalist. Where's the independently verifiable information? Where's one quote, one person, one source, where he doesn't have that? And wasn't it... Check me on this. I think 30 days ago, Trump publicly said he ruled out nuclear as an option.

40:29I think he said that 30 days ago, Yeah, very clearly. And right now what you're saying is it's interesting, Pat, two reactions. This is a hoax. Trucker, will you please knock it off? And then, oh, my gosh, I'm so alarmed. Both sides gets massive engagement. Forty eight million. That's how I read it. Yeah. Well, there's a lot going on here. So when I went through and investigated this, here's what I found. I found that the way that this was driven forward was they were saying there's multitudes of countries who are telling their citizenry that you need to be prepared. Actually, that's not true.

41:06So a lot of these supposed warnings came last year, middle of last year, beginning of this year, right? And they come every year. So almost every nation on planet Earth tells their citizenry, you should have three days of food and water just in case of emergency. This is nothing new. The United States does this all the time. Hexeth has already told us that he was going to move towards some sort of national preparedness because of how many hurricanes, things like this, we end up with where people are just woefully unprepared. So the whole thing is a hoax. From the ground up, it's a hoax. None of it's true.

41:47These warnings are coming out. They're putting together warnings that came out from a year ago in some cases. Well, let me ask you this question. Let me play the devil's advocate and go to the other side and say, what's the likelihood that either a grid going down for three days or a nuclear strike taking place within the next two weeks? What's the likelihood of that happening? It's very low. Give me a percentage of where you think. I have mine. Where are you at? Abysmal, maybe 1%. Okay, I'm at 5%. Yeah, I'm at 2 % to 3 % of a grid attack. I'm at 5%. Vidi. 5.75. Okay, so you're above all of us.

42:20But that's really high. Yeah, I think that's really high. I agree with you. It's one out of 1 in 20, in my opinion. Right now, here's the thing. Okay, what's the likelihood that Democrats are going to win House? According to Cal, she is 96%. Pretty sure. According to Cal, she, I don't know if you have that report up or not. Pull it up. Okay, what's the likelihood that Democrats are going to take control of Senate? According to Cal, she said. 74 % according to Cal, she said. Okay, look at this. House is 94%. and by the way, if you think - Those stats are looking bad. That's absolutely bad, and Senate is 74%.

42:54So now here's a question. Let's go to it, Andrew. If we know Trump's going to lose Senate, he's going to lose House, how long does he have to attack Iran without needing the accountability and approval from House and Senate? How many days does he have? January? 9 a.m., January 4th, Monday. Beautiful. So you got two months, right? That's what you got. That's when they swear in. Perfect. So you've got two months that he can go through it. Do you think? Well, wait a second. I don't think that's accurate because he already has an appropriation budget that he can still use, I think, up through the next year to continue the attacks.

43:31It's true that they could pass new legislation to try to rein him in, but they can't do that day one. And he still has a budget. He's the commander-in-chief. He has unilateral, broad unilateral control over the armed forces. How much more pain in the butt will they be for him to have the free-for-all ability to do what he wants? Oh, yeah. Well, they'll impeach him day one. I agree with that. A thousand percent, they'll put in impeachment proceedings right away, whether they actually go anywhere or not. They'll still— I think they were talking about they want to go after Hexit or somebody like that.

43:58They'll go after everybody. This is the argument. Let me give you the argument. Give me your rebuttal. The argument is the following. The argument is, Andrew, he's got 60 days to do it after the midterms. He's not doing it pre-midterms because pre-midterms could hurt the midterms for Republicans. He's been on the campaign. I don't know if you guys have seen it. He's done 30 campaign stops in the last two and a half weeks. Okay. At 80 years old, he's done 30 stops. One by one by one, he's gone. He said, I wasn't going to go to Michigan, but I decided to come because I think Mike Rogers is this.

44:27What's the likelihood that this tweet, because you know, you think Tucker's speaking to some people in the CIA that are friends of Tucker who are anti-Trump people? Of course. You think he's got some people that work in the White House that secretly are pro? You don't think him and J.D. have spoken? Of course they have. You don't think he's spoken to some people that are within the, you know, department of war, department of, you know, where they side with him? Of course he has. He has these related to be naive and say some of these sources are not real, you're also being naive and you're not thinking he's talking to those guys.

44:58But what about some of the people that say he's going to attack Iran because if he doesn't and Iran stays, they're going to come out and save face. and look what we did, the big, bad, evil guy that everybody's afraid of Trump. We stood up and we beat him. And that will hurt the Republicans' 2028 chances, and that hands off the election to somebody like an AOC in 2028. Do you think there's some credibility in that specific argument? I doubt it because of just pure pragmatism. So even from the pragmatic approach, if you're Trump, it's still way better for you to try to extricate yourself peacefully from the Iranian conflict rather than attack him.

45:35If he does attack him and then you have Democrats in control of both chambers and they move in impeachment proceedings, the entire public could easily turn against Trump. Even a lot of his hangers-on may turn against him if he does a full-on ground invasion of Iran. Or tactical nuke. A tactical nuke is way— It's so extreme. The whole world would then be going after Trump. You think he's capable of it? No, I think Trump is very unlikely. big. Very unlikely. He's an intelligent guy. Well, let me ask you. I think that, though, from a pragmatic view, it's hard for me to envision that he wouldn't want to pull away peacefully now.

46:14Okay, question for you. Who's Truman to you? He was never president while we were alive, but you read the history books. Who's Truman to you? Top 23 president or bottom 23 president? I would put him at the bottom 23. Tom, where do you put Truman? I put him at top 23. He basically stopped World War II. It was messy It was ugly. It was terrible. He stopped it, and he tried to start the economic recovery afterwards. Okay, where do you put him? Any opinion on Truman or no? No, not as strong, but I am with Tom on that. Okay, so then if that's the case, what did Truman do? What button did he press? That's true.

46:50He dropped the atomic bombs. The atomic bombs, plural. Which, by the way, but history now looking back on it says that that might have been one of the best decisions. But this is where I'm going with you. What I'm trying to get the conversation, and guys, push back. I don't want you to agree. I want you to push back. Do you think somebody in his ear is sharing the history and saying, hey, I just want you to know, history books favor Truman because he was able to do what even FDR didn't have the audacity to do. Do you think anybody in his ear? Fundamentally very different. Yeah, there's no way.

47:20Maybe a guy like Lindsey Graham because he was one that kept saying, let's go, let's go, let's go. Yeah, be like Roosevelt. Do you think a person like the late Lindsey Graham is here whispering that in his ear? I do think that he has tons of people, his own administration, Joe Kent. When I talked to Joe Kent, he told me directly. He's like, look, he has a lot of people around who fluff his ego. And through that ego fluffing, they give him terrible advice when it comes to Israel. And he does follow a lot of it. I've heard it enough times from people who are former members of the administration that I agree that that's true.

47:49The distinction between Truman, though, and what's going on right now is that we were in this bloody war where we had tens of thousands of body bags coming home for years. So the idea of selling to the American people that is justified to drop an atomic bomb or this new weapon they've never seen was totally justified. The Americans wanted that war done. Their daughters and sons were coming home in body bags overwhelmingly. That's not what's happening here. You're also looking at the tax on America. What have we had as a total death count in the Iranian conflict? I mean, you're talking about more people dying yearly in training exercises in the U.S.

48:26military than are dying in this conflict. So there's no justification for Trump to do any sort of ground invasion. There's no good justification for him to do any sort of tactical nuke. That's going to be a really hard sell without body bags. Let me ask a different question. Have you prepped? Do you have anything that you prepped? What do you have as a prepper yourself? Give me five basic things that you have that maybe if somebody's listened to this, they haven't, maybe they want to consider. Three, beans, rice, bullets. It's the big one. Is that literally what it is for you? Yeah, and access to water.

48:59What you want is, like you said, water, right? You can have storage issues with water long-term, but it's easy enough to get your hands on water purification as to. Long-term food storage is not difficult. You can do it with a half a percent of your paycheck over time. And really, you're only looking to get through an initial crisis. That's it. You're not going to be bunkering down in the middle of the suburbs in your house for 60 days after the grid goes down. That's just not what's going to happen. You want enough, though, to get through an initial crisis. Any other ones specifically? Anything else that you want to add to it?

49:40I think for grid-wise, crank radio is always going to be good because you want to hear what's on the way. Solid flashlight. Solid flashlight. Tourniquets are important. Food, first aid kit. I love, obviously, the bullets and the guns. I like the first day kids. Because if you don't have the gun, guess what? You're just getting supplies for the biggest guy on the block. Penicillin is actually an odd thing to like if you can get. Petrocycline, you know, antibiotics. Just to have extras. How much ammo do we buy yesterday? Like it was to the point where people that were buying guns were like in their moment.

50:09And they were just like, one guy was like, oh, my God. We literally went and I said, how much more do you have of this? This is the only thing we have. I want all of it. How much more do you have of this? I want all of it. We picked up everything. I already have 50 ,000 ammo in the house. It's not like you don't have it. This is what I will tell you. But what about the, I would say this, the one thing I would add more than anything else, I would actually spend three times the amount against goods on training. So first aid kits are worthless if you don't have first aid training and most people don't.

50:38Guns are worthless if you don't know how to use them. Phenomenal feedback. If it's the case that you have water purification tablets, but you don't know how to purify anything. And that's most people. So I see tons of people who have tons of stuff in their house and they have no idea how to use it. I would spend, if you have any budget set aside for survival or for long-term prepping, three times more on the training than the items. You'd be surprised at how much you have in your household that can double up for use if you just have basic training. So let's do this. Let's go to the other thing here to talk about.

51:11Tom, you know, a lot of billionaires, folks who have money, the wealthy, they're building nuclear bunkers. Okay? They're making that investment. They're not making it because they want to celebrate their 50th birthday party in the nuclear bunker. They're not doing it because it's like, hey, Andrew, you're invited. Come on down. Let's go four stories below and let's have a good time together. Right? Let's have a good time. They're doing it because their concern of shit would have hit the fan. Yeah. We got to be ready for it. Right? Where are you at with this? Are you at a place that something could happen the next 60 days, Tom?

51:42Yeah, I am. I look at it on two simple axes, trigger points and response points. Trigger points. If Trump against the wall does something. Now, do I think he's going to use actual nuke? No. And I see people out there saying, ah, they were using DU rounds in Iraq. And I'm like, screw you. That's depleted uranium. That's on the tip of the bullets so that they penetrate tanks. you know, so they penetrate. That's not a nuclear device designed with radiation and heat to take out personnel. So I look at, is Trump going to exhaust a lot of options to go after Iran and kind of wrap this up? Yes. Do I think there's already sleeper cells in the United States and other places?

52:31Yes. Do I think there's going to be, I'm going to use a word here, a nuisance act that kills a lot of people. And what I mean by that, it's a one-time act. It's a huge, tragic nuisance. It's not a demonstrated military force that, like football, takes land, has a new beachhead, now they can move forward. So I think in the next 60 days, we are probably going to see reactions, and we're going to see sleeper cells try to do things. I think there's unfortunately going to be a loss, number one. Number two, I think Trump's really trying to drop that ace of spades, the Trump card down, and get this thing wrapped up.

53:10And I think he may have people talking to him about nuke. So I think that's going to happen in the next 60 days. So here's the thing. Here's the thing with, you know, future looks bright. Only the paranoid survive, right? I'm being paranoid, but I believe in that. Both can be true. Oh, by the way, I'm 51-49. I'm always in a 51-49 camp of future looks bright. 60-40 is also good to be there. But let's just say we're in that camp. But here's what I want you to think about. Before 9-11 happened, did anybody think 9-11 was going to happen? No. Nobody was sitting around saying 9-11 was going to happen, except if your name is Alex Jones, you know, who made the prediction, what, a few months prior to that, and he said something's about to happen?

53:44And whoever shorted the airlines, those guys were pretty good. But Alex Jones always makes the prediction something's about to happen. Therefore, when something does happen, he can always retroactively point it in. So that's the broken clock theory, right? But I'm going to tell you, that was a little bit, you've got to give the guy credit when it comes down to that one. That was a little bit too strange to get that right. However, let's go through this. Let's say we attack Iran, Tom. Let's say midterm's done, and within three days, five days, seven days, nine days, boom. We go in. In our own way.

54:14Turn it up. Yeah, turn it up. You go out there and do it your own way. You said sleeper cells. Story comes out saying Iran exposes vulnerabilities at 26 military bases. I don't know if you guys saw that story or not of what they're talking about. And then Khamenei coming out saying we're fully ready. If you do anything, we're ready to go to war. We're ready to represent ourselves and defend ourselves. What page is that on, by the way, on the sleeper cells? The 20, is that addendum or is that the main story? Let me see which one that is. Can you guys find that one? Connor and text it to me. I thought I had it here.

54:45What page is that on?

54:50Yeah, what page is it? I just had it right in front of me. I can't hear it. I can't hear something. Let me see what page I got. I'm going to go to this because this tells us exactly where Iran's at. Because Iran's not sitting there not taking this thing seriously, right? They're looking at the military bases. Tom, I'll come to you before I find this. So let's just say we do attack. Let's just say we do go after them. What are some different ways that Iran could do something outside of the sleeper cells? Well, I think Iran has been quietly rebuilding, and they've got missiles, and they've got help from China, and they've got help from Russia.

55:25Let's remember what we did. We intercepted a whole tanker full of chemicals that has one use to make rocket propellant, to make fuel for rockets. So we intercepted that. We've seen that Russia was giving coordinates and saying, no, no, one block over, three feet to the left. Russia was giving those coordinates about our base locations in the Middle East and in Qatar and Oman. And so it's like, oh, gee, thanks. So we know they've been getting help, and we know they've been rebuilding their rockets, and we know that they launched one off. Was it May? They launched it all the way out past the Gulf, and they landed it near Diego Garcia.

56:08Yep. They got all the way out there. So what do I think? I think they're in the back, and I think they're building stuff, and I think they're getting ready for it. Here, let me read this to you. That's what I think. Iran strikes on more than two dozen U.S. bases in the Middle East, focused on early warning systems before hitting aircraft, and buildings causing billions of dollars in equipment damage. According to an associate press analysis, the AP independently verified damage using satellite imagery from multiple providers. Through August, more than 115 drones or missile strikes claimed by Iran or Iranian-backed militias damaged or destroyed structures on 26 military bases and other sites with U.S.

56:44equipment. The damage has significantly reshaped the American foothold in the Middle East, with two regional officials saying the U.S. has moved many of its assets out of Persian Gulf. It raises questions about American defenses as Trump considers new strikes after Tuesday's midterm election. And Tehran has vowed major retaliation. Most of the attacks have been in Kuwait where six soldiers were killed. In a drone strike at Port Shaulibah on March 1st, a radar hit Jordan was set to be destroyed. It was one of only 13 possessed by the army globally. Manufacturer Raytheon said and each cost about a half a billion dollars.

57:18Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell asserted that U.S. forces and bases are well protected. Andrew. Yeah, I mean, the only thing that I would add is, do any of you guys remember the Stukesnet virus? That was a big deal where the Israelis sent a virus over to Iran, which attacked their centrifuges. What it did is it increased their speed over time until they ripped themselves to pieces. the Iranians developed the best counter-cyber group on planet Earth, even better than the Israelis. So chances are actually good if there's mass retaliation from the Iranians. It'll be some sort of cyber attack, a massive cyber attack.

57:59That would be the way that I would do it to strike at the heart of the beast. What this is, what Patrick's outlining, is how they could strike domestically with missiles, things like that. that actually wouldn't be nearly as effective as attacking the heart of the beast as far as a political victory would go. Yeah. And by the way, I want to throw a curveball out there with a super chat that we just got right now. And here's what it says. Let me pull it up for you and read it to you. It's from Galileo Lopez 5081. Iran will go nuclear on Iran and blame Israel. That would gain the support of all Islam and the United States turning its back on Israel.

58:36Book of Revelations unfolds. Now that you can call it extremely going deep, but your thoughts on what could happen with Iran? I think Iran is very much just trying to play this game of asymmetrical warfare, cheap for them, expensive for us. They're trying to make the war as unpalatable as possible. Their goal isn't victory. Their goal is survival at the expense of as much chaos as possible. That's how they essentially win this. They are rebuilding behind the scenes. Their long-term goal is obviously longer-range ballistic missiles. And I agree 100 % that the worst attack we could experience would be some kind of cyber attack on our infrastructure that causes major, major.

59:10I would argue we've already been experiencing it. So on X and other places like this where none of that information is censored anymore. So it used to be censored on Twitter. You get access to Iranian state military direct messages. I would actually argue that their cyber campaign for pro-Iranian propaganda has been excellent, beyond excellent. And Israel, on the other hand, has had the worst PR campaign that I've ever seen. It's always had the worst PR campaign. But it's worse now than I've ever seen it. Yeah, they've completely lost touch with the message. Yeah, and the Iranians are doing quite well, and they flood the entire zone with information and misinformation.

59:50information. And before you know it, that goes from being lore to being something that people believe. We're talking about, you know, how all the schoolgirls who die. Is that true? We still don't know if that's true. So but in the mind cemented of many people, it is even if it's not. So I would argue that they've already been doing these attacks very successfully. I would argue Israel has already been doing those counterattacks very unsuccessfully, all using propaganda state media. I want to get to this next story. And this next story to me is where when you think about Europe, what is the one country in the EU that's been dominating and been left out of all the crisis that UK is experiencing, Germany is experiencing, Poland, right?

1:00:31Dominic Tarzinski was here last week, Be Like Poland. And story comes out about what's going on in Poland with the constitutional crisis. If you want to pull up the video that you have of Dominic responding, I'll read the story to you and I will go to the video and we'll react to it. Now, keep in mind, This is a country that has had the lowest unemployment rate, the lowest rape percentage out of all the EU countries. Their borders are tight. There's a video last week showing Muslims across the border saying, hey, let us in, let us in, let us in. My wife's about to die. My wife's about to die. No, you can't come here.

1:01:03Then one guy says, shoot me. And the Polish soldier says, oh, you want me to shoot you? Boom, he shoots him. With the pellet gun, but he shoots him and drops him. Ah, ah, ah. You hear him crying like that. And then a story comes out with Poland. Polish president turns plane around after Kuat Nation's top court. While en route to Senegal, Poland president Karol Nawrocki turned his plane around and returned home after police entered Poland's top court, the constitutional tribunal. And the tribunal's president was suspended at such a moment the president must be in Poland. Now, we're ski posted on X.

1:01:38I'm interrupting my flight to Senegal. I'm returning police security tribunal after dozens of protesters gathered to demonstrate against what they call the wrongful suspension of the top courts. President, restoring the rule of law is our duty, said Tusk, who returned to power in 2023 after a promise to restore the judiciary independence after years of PIS-led lawlessness. This is a difficult process, sometimes painful, and it requires decision, decisive action. It's true. Coup d 'etat is underway, said the PIS Justice Minister Zoboro. This is a blatant criminal attack, unconstitutional order.

1:02:15This is why I call for resistance that will be loud, firm, solidary, and fearless, said the former prime minister. Justice cannot be achieved through violence, adding that Tusk will stop at nothing to cling to power. U.S. Ambassador to Poland Tom Rose called the events very serious indeed. Can you pull up the clip by Dominic Tarzinski and then I'll come to you guys. Let's go for it. Buy stocks to sell before the end of the week. You might be missing the opportunity. You're not repositioning right now. My next is now is the time to go all in. Real traders still hear the noise. They just know when to stop listening to it.

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1:04:59See mintmobile.com. Okay, guys, let me explain you what is happening now in Poland. In Poland, we have liberal left government Tusk his name is Tusk he's a prime minister and what is happening now with tribunal court constitutional tribunal they want to take over they want to shove it with their own people why because they want to get rid of polish currency they want to get us into the eurozone because they are pushed by Germans. Also, they want to get rid of our secure borders because Germans want to spread illegals and they want to send them to Poland. So what they want to do, first of all, Polish currency, Zloty, by the Constitution, is our currency.

1:05:50They have to change the Constitution. Without Tribunal Court, without Constitutional Court, they cannot do it. So number one, they want to get rid of Polish currency. They want us to get Euro and get into the Eurozone and then take our gold, the biggest reserve in European Union, to Frankfurt, to European Central Bank, German Bank. They want to open the borders and they want to make sure that when they're going to lose, because we've got elections next year, Tribunal Court, Constitutional Court will do nothing against what is going to happen. So there's much more reasons, but I want you to understand.

1:06:32Tom, your thoughts on this. What's going on here with Poland? So there's two things going on with Poland. One of them is EU and the other is liberalism. On the EU side, guess what? Poland is a thriving manufacturing economy. And so EU needs additional tax dollars. EU has got a huge problem right now with tax dollars. So they need more taxpayers from a stable economy. Hey, why don't we bring Poland into the club or force them into the club? Number one. Number two, the Germans right now have 11 ,000, 11 ,000 illegals that they've identified as criminal and they want to move them someplace. So Dominic is correct.

1:07:17The Germans want anywhere but here. Why? Because conservatives have been winning German elections. So now the people in Germany have even gone, now wait, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. We went a little too far here. All of a sudden the election goes a little bit more conservative, a little bit more right, AFD. Wait a minute, wait a minute. And so, hey, if we bring Poland into EU, we get tax dollars. And by the way, you see gold reserves, if they declare them, that they declare against their currency and it's Eurozone, they say, okay, we'll do the reserves. We'll move all your gold reserves to Frankfurt.

1:07:49So it's EU economic, but then it's also, you know, it's more land and more area. And even Germany quietly navel-gazing in the corner saying, man, we really screwed up this immigrant thing. We got 11 ,000 that we're trying to move. Andrew. Yeah, I'm going to be totally honest with you. I've been trying to figure this out since it happened, and I'm not actually any closer to figuring it out. So this is actually really complex. The Polish parliamentary system and what's been going on has been very complex. So I've been trying to decode it. But my understanding essentially is that the Supreme Court, that's what they consider their Supreme Court, their tribunal, that the left and the EU wants control of that.

1:08:37But why they want control of that, that seems to be a massive issue here. So the right-leaning party is saying, like he just did, hey, they want it because they want to remove the currency. They want the immigration. They want to harmonize the currency with the EU. Yeah, they want to pull it into the EU. But the left view is what I'm looking at, right? The left view is actually we need it because the right are a bunch of traitors and it's all treason and we had to seize control of it. And I don't understand exactly how they're going to get by with this, though. I don't understand how – what was the idea to get away – Save democracy by taking over the tribunal.

1:09:20By taking over the tribunal, yeah. That's their whole thing. Because, Andrew, they couldn't do it at the voting booth. They were unable to do it at the voting booth. Sounds familiar. Now you're seeing – Yes, we're seeing it in the United States. Now you're seeing a minority of the left freaking out. And, Pat, what they're trying to do, they're trying to push the levers that they can push. And they're getting coverage by the media. They're getting coverage from EU. They're getting coverage from Ursa Wanderler. You know, oh, good. Now I get to rule over Poland's economy, too. Fantastic. Christina Lagarde.

1:09:49Oh, you have gold. We'll bring it over here and we'll do this with central bank. Yeah. Yeah, that's what they want. They want to bring it in. They need strength. Poland makes the EU stronger. Well, it'll destroy Poland in the process. Exactly. It's a parasitic ideology. Isn't that crazy in pointing out that, like, I didn't care about Polish politics even a little bit? No, you're absolutely right. I couldn't name a single Polish politician because I didn't care about it. But there is a parallel to what we could see happen in our own country. We do see calls to pack the courts. We do see calls to, you know.

1:10:22If you can't do it one way, you do it another. 13 Supreme Court justices. Well, think about it. The president leaves on an airplane, and you have, like, their Supreme Court just basically trying to do a coup and take over. and I understand what you're talking about because we're like Poland. The only thing that I know about Poland is, I mean, I grew up around a lot of Polish people and Dominic, who I absolutely love. But if you notice, bro, what they're trying to do here is not that bold and that brash. You saw last week they reported all these videos came out from Dead and Republican about the freaking coup that they're trying to do here with ex-USAID members and ex-military people that are trying to do it.

1:10:55In fact, I'm noticing you guys see this trend. Look what's happening in Brazil, the riots in France, all the stuff in Albania, Italy, Spain, Portugal. but there's something happening. You know what I'm saying? Yes. It's a movement, and it's trying to undermine what people are voting for and what the establishment is. Those globalists. Yeah, those have a lot to do with the public feeling betrayed by the mass migration that's been going on. Absolutely, but who's paying for all these people? Let me show this, though. Let me show this. To me, a part of this is always go to concerns, motives, assumptions, fears, asks.

1:11:31Okay? Who is hating Poland getting the amount of recognition that it's getting in the EU? Who's hating that? All the left and the globalists. All the EU members who are sitting there saying we can't have Poland win and have all these solid numbers. Why are you not letting immigration in? Don't make us look bad. Don't make us look like morons because we took immigration and you're the only one that's actually revealing the statistic that your rape is the lowest out of all the EU nations. Your crime is the lowest. Your unemployment is. Don't reveal that you don't let one Muslim in. Don't reveal that to anybody.

1:12:03You make us look bad, right? So they don't like that. It helps the right candidates in the EU. So to me, when you say, watch this, watch what happened here. Smart guy, Andrew, right? He says, why would I care about Poland? Most people are like, why would they care about Poland? You know who cares about Poland a lot? A guy named Barack Obama. Why does Barack Obama care about Poland? He's the face of the globalists, right, in America. He was just five months ago when we had Pete Buttigieg on here last week. I said, Pete, what were you guys doing at that closed-door event in Canada with you, Slotkin, Obama, Mark Carney?

1:12:36What conversations were you guys having? What was going on over there? Watch what Obama had to say about Poland. Go for it. Here's a clip from Obama. I think you guys got it prepped. If you want to just go to it, you texted it to me. Anybody got a pack of Salem's? I've become increasingly concerned about the rising wave of authoritarianism sweeping the globe. Here we go. We're seeing politicians target civil society, undermine freedom of the press, weaponize the justice system. And no one is being spared. Even countries that thought they were immune from wholesale assaults on democracy now understand we're all part of this struggle.

1:13:15That's an enormous challenge. But it also means we can learn from each other. I recently sat down with three leaders who are part of the Obama Foundation's alumni network to discuss their work in Hungary and Poland, two countries on the leading edge of confronting autocracy. People like Stefania, Sandor, and Susanna, they give me hope. That's why a big part of our mission here at the Foundation is to connect, inspire, and empower leaders like them. You know, it's crazy. All three of you have been. So why would Obama be interested in Poland? Why would he be interested in Hungary? Are they in the way?

1:13:56Are they in the way of what you're trying to do? Why are you so worried about them? I mean, who wakes up in the morning thinking about Poland? Obama does. Well, I know why Hungary. I mean, because they're very ethnocentric. Yes. And so the idea of ethnocentrism inside of these European nations is a big problem for the European Union. Hungary actually was so right-wing that they were instituting all sorts of tax policy for the women there to continue to have children because they wanted them to be uh hungarian right that was the whole point so i understand i understand the argument for why it is that globalists would be interested in this and uh and be focusing on it's just for me i focus on domestic u.s policy and so when you when you bring up poland not a lot of commentators are focusing on european politics unless it's in western europe so it's uh this kind of hit everybody lots of people are scattering to figure out exactly what's going on.

1:14:53Yeah, it's always, always pay attention to why is Obama so interested? Why are they so interested in Carney? Why are they so interested in Poland? Why are you so interested in Hungary? Because the idea is a threat. Of course it is. And so long as the idea exists, it's very Orwellian. Yeah. You have to control thought. And if there's free thought out there that contradicts your worldview, you have to attack it and destroy it. And by the way, you know who they're going to target next? Watch who Obama and then we're going to target next. Bukele, El Salvador, does what? He's got four of his people that go on a humanitarian trip in El Salvador.

1:15:28And while they're there, he says, listen, I'm going to send my people. We're going to get them back. There's nothing you can do about it. I don't know what page this one's on. But when they say that, if you can just text me whatever page it's on, he says, okay, no problem. Page 20, by the way. He says, no problem. You know what I'm going to do? I'm going to send 2 ,000 people to Haiti. Soldiers. To rescue soldiers kidnapped by gangs. You're going to send how many? 40? No, no. 400? No. 2 ,000? The most elite. Yeah, the most elite. 2 ,000. El Salvador has flooded Haiti with more than 2 ,000 soldiers after a gang seized four of its troops.

1:16:03Bukele ordered to surge to recover the missing men, support local forces, battling armed groups. According to BDC, the four kidnapped soldiers worked as aviation technicians with the United Nations. Back gang suppression force. gang struck their armored vehicle on October 18th in Cro-de-Bouquet as they drove past the base from a market. According to the associate press, Bukele has called the men hostages and pledges to return them home unarmed. A non-governmental organization later handed over four burned bodies, it said, where the missing men. Bukele rejected the claim, saying that the remains included a child and a body in another country's uniform.

1:16:42Bukele started to build up without a status of forces agreement with Haiti. According to the Miami Herald, Jean, a former Asian defense minister, questioned the legal footings of the troops. They need to have a legal framework or else they are mercenaries. Okay, this guy's defending Haiti, by the way. Yes. He said gang violence has killed more than 5 ,700 people in Haiti this year, according to UN figures. The crisis has deepened since 2021 assassination of President Jovenel Moisey. By the way, this is another person that the globalists are going to hate and they're going to go after. Tom, your thoughts on this story.

1:17:15Well, first of all, here's the four burned bodies. These are there. Did you put them in the right uniform? Yeah, I'm pretty sure. What one was a kid? It's a Swiss soldier uniform. Doggone it. You just ruined a perfectly good lie. So the whole thing that's going on here is that it's all about justice and might. And what the left does not like is when the other side has the ability to get justice with might. Because they use less soldiers. Now, Mao did, but I'm talking about right now. Right now, it's all about the protest at BLM, the protest around Michigan and around El Syed. It's all about that.

1:18:00Protest you can create economically in New York with our good friend. So you've got all of that going on. And for a guy that's got strength that says, do not make me come over there and bring my own guys because you have no working government. You have basically a puppet dictatorship. You're a mess. You have no working civil defense. You know what? I'm going to fly over there and get my guys back. Don't make me do that. The left hates that. They hate that. It ballooned up to 2 ,500. And guys, that's four people. Like that. This is them. That's not a message. How do you feel about that? I feel, okay, there's such a thing as overkill and all that type of stuff.

1:18:43But you know what that says to me? if I'm an El Salvadorian citizen, you know how good I feel knowing that the freaking leader of my... Obama hates this. I know, and guess what? And I hate Obama. Because this, to me, they hated what he did with the prisons. They literally, all those prisons, they had all those people down like this, all those gangsters that are all murderers. They're not treating them fairly. That's the left's attitude, is he's treating them inhumane, making them go with their heads down and stuff. But as a freaking, as a citizen, you know how good I feel that my leader's not only protecting us there, that if, God forbid, you go to another freaking crap hole country with no government, and you're trying to do humanitarian stuff, and the people there capture them and they try to kill them, guess what?

1:19:22We're coming to get you. And guys, think the number 2 ,500 people. Do you understand how many people that is? Soldiers that are elite? Four people. I freaking love it. Come get me. Let me ask you a question. Say he finds that definitely those four have been killed. What does he do? It's not good. And then, by the way, the guy that criticized him saying you cannot just send mercenaries to another country, I want you to think about this for a second. Because remember how the left is going to use this. Remember how the globalists are going to use this. Say he goes there, finds out the four are killed, and they're dead.

1:19:54His people that are killed. What does Bukele do? One, number two, what does the UN, what does the world, what do people come out and say, you can't just send people over there. This is an act of war. What happens next? An act of war against two. Yeah, when you kidnap citizens of another country, that's already an act of war. That's an act of war. And additionally, the gaslighting's crazy. It's always the person who's trying to defend their people who's the mercenary, not the people who literally kidnapped four people from that country. I think what he does is he makes sure to track down and take out every person who was involved in it.

1:20:28And that's what he'll do if they're, God forbid, dead. I think he'll just make a statement and make sure that whoever was involved will be... You think you're sending 2 ,500 people just to find the people that killed the war? I don't think it's going to start a ground invasion and start an entire boots on the ground. I just don't see the benefit at that point. There's a precedent here. You know what this precedent is? This is how Bibi Netanyahu came to power. The raid on Entebbe, they went down to get 106 hostages on an airplane that were taken by seven hijackers. And then when they got to Uganda, the Uganda military surrounded the plane celebrating the hijackers.

1:21:01And Israel said, give them back. Release them. No. No cooperation from Uganda. He says, you need to release that plane back here. No. He says, okay, mother, here we come. And Israel came down there, killed all seven hijackers. Three of the hostages were killed. Isn't that how his brother got killed? And there was one soldier lost, Yoni Netanyahu. And this is what brought, they say this is what put the fire in Bibi's heart and also lifted him up because he was seen as a hero leader of the group there. But they brought him down there. Dozens of Ugandan soldiers were killed. The number I can find is 23, so almost two dozen.

1:21:39Number one, three hostages killed in a crossfire and all seven hijackers. And then they left out of there without any diplomatic discussions with Uganda. In, out. I'm not sure either that you can say that 2 ,500 is overkill. I'm not sure that they have intelligence for where their people are. and they may need to search a large area to try to figure out where their actual people are. So they may need the manpower. It doesn't seem like it's overkill to drop 2 ,500 people in if you're trying to find four if you don't know where they are. It's a little overkill. I'm not sure. It's a little overkill.

1:22:15I'm not sure. I get what you're saying. Listen, as a sovereign nation, where you're like, hey, your job is to protect the country, if you're a Salvadorian and that's what they did for you, you know what you're thinking about? Honey, go play outside as long as you want. He's going to send 1 ,000 people to come find you. Well, right, and the idea is for military morale. You know, hey, if you take our guys, we're not only going to get them back, but we're probably going to kill a bunch of you. Watch how they target Bukele next. Of course. Just brace for impact. Of course. Watch how they target Bukele next with everything that's going on here.

1:22:49It'll be interesting to see what happens next with these guys. Let me get to the next story. Next, what I want to get to is the plane crash that took place 90 minutes after Trump left Mar-a-Lago. A plane flying. It was going, I think, from Austin to Bahamas, if I'm not mistaken. To the Bahamas. And they climb a little too high where the temperatures are extremely low. And I'm not going to play the entire clip, but a video comes out where a female pilot is speaking about what's going on. and I want you to listen to her tone, her voice, because when you first showed this to me yesterday, I said it's AI.

1:23:25And who showed it first? Mickey was showing it. Mickey showed it to her, and it was kind of blurry. It looked fake. And I want you to watch this, and we're not going to play the entire audio. Just listen to her tone for, again, viewer discretion. It's a little bit tough to listen to. So if you're not, you know, you may want to pause if you don't want to be disturbed. But I want to play the first 30 seconds. Go for it. We're descending 8 ,000. Mayday, mayday. We're descending 10 ,000 feet per minute. November 722 Bravo Delta, Roger. Decorate emergency, 722 Bravo Delta. We are in an overseas condition.

1:23:55Descending 20 ,000 super minutes. November 722 Bravo Delta, Roger. I'll see if you're discussing. Let me know what you need. Something just fell down. We're going to crash into the ground, 722 Bravo Delta. Pause. Okay. We're going to crash to the ground. she's reporting this and a bunch of different theories came out of what happened if you show the uh the plane because some people said where there is no plane i didn't see any of the plane any of that that's the image of when you see where the plane's at there's no plane there and people don't people like the wings and the do you understand when you're going 700 miles an hour down some of the tails flying off some of the wings are ripping apart and it just it did And mind you, I don't know if she was the co-pilot or she was actually piloting.

1:24:45Because I think that there was a gentleman on there. And by the way, there is a little bit of audio. Pat, if I'm not mistaken, he was saying like our father. Like he's praying. From what I think I heard of there. He does. And God rest all their souls. Nine people. And by the way, do you see that vehicle right there, Pat? That person is gone as well. Because that thing hits right there. There's a white vehicle underneath there. Wait, a car got hit? Well, look right. Right near a trailer park or something. Yeah, near a trailer park. You see that vehicle right underneath the pad? I didn't see reports of ground casualties.

1:25:13All I saw was nine from the plane. I didn't see any ground casualties. But it just drives me crazy of all the clickbaiting vultures. I'm not even joking. It just happened. And people, I saw a connection of Epstein, like a whole report. Epstein and somebody made a payment on a credit card that once flew on this thing. And I was like, for the love of God, It was a plane that should not have been trying to fly over. Yesterday on the freeway, people were stopped. People pulled over and stopped with their hazards on. It was so bad. It was blind. We couldn't see anything, bro. So now you're trying to fly over there.

1:25:50Oh, yeah, yeah. From 10 to 1, it was torrential rain in Fort Lauderdale. Horrible, horrible. Now, this pilot, they're trying to go above it. And people are like, oh, it's ice. They're in Florida, and it's hot outside. I'm like, you have no idea what the hell you're talking about. They were trying to climb to go over it. There was a bunch of mistakes made it couldn't have been avoided and then they got ice on the wings and then they were coming down like a freaking Like a missile they're coming out. They said that's how fast they're coming down and everybody's like I need to see this I want to see that people are picking up plane parts in their yard in those backyards over there and for all the people that don't Yeah, people don't understand people have to jump to ask to be it has to be a conspiracy How about a plane crash and you have no idea what the hell you're talking about?

1:26:34Okay? Aviation. It was on radio. Everybody was saying to FAA that this thing came down. But you can't live in reality. Everything has to be something. And I'm shocked that it had to go to Epstein. Like, how the hell does Epstein get involved with something like this, bro? It drives me crazy, Andrew. 600 residents were evacuated, just so you know, from the surrounding neighborhood. Zero reported fatalities or injuries on the ground. Nine fatalities. It was a Learjet 60,$2 million plane that they were talking about. It happened approximately at$12.50. And like we said, it was going from Austin to Bahamas.

1:27:05Tom, your thoughts on this? So my thoughts, I immediately knew that within seconds there's going to be all these conspiracies. And what I started looking at was other pilots. Commercial airlines were diverted out of the area. That cell, you saw the National Weather Service. There was this huge cell that was there. and you can see the flight of the plane went right through or over the cell. You have other pilots saying, hey, up at that level with that aircraft going through that cell, that's not smart. You can see right there, National Weather Service. And there's things that went right through the cell.

1:27:42And so experts in this saying if the wings iced up and the weight was wrong and the plane turned, it ends up in what they're trying, an overspeed, and they have to do certain things. They said once the plane's pointed down and was turning, that the instinct to pull up doesn't pull up the nose. It causes the nose to turn further. And they say that was evidence that an inexperienced pilot trying to get out of that, pulling the nose up, is what you instinctively do. But if you're down and sideways, when you pull the nose up, it makes you turn because you're flying sideways. And so I was reading all this.

1:28:21I'm like, wow. and had other pilots saying, you should not have flown through that. Why were they? And he was asking, hey, why didn't they pick up on Tampa ATC or Orlando ATC? Did they tell them to maintain that headache? Well, that's the thing that confuses me. Now we're going to wait. Now we're going to wait and hear about that. But I was reading a lot of things that said this was pilot error. Tom, you and I have been on flights where the pilot wants to be a cowboy, you know, a little bit of a, hey, I've got it. Yeah, but if air traffic control doesn't clear you, you can't fly over that airspace.

1:28:52And I just saw a video from a pilot from United who was in a commercial airliner who went against air traffic control and said, I'm not flying through that. And they found him a new route. So there's some kind of disconnect happening lately. But that's what I'm saying, though. That validates my point, that there are pilots that are like, no, we got this. Like, we landed one time in Aspen. Oh, my God. Let me tell you, when we landed, do you know what the traffic controller tells Vinny? They're like, you know, you're playing. Your pilot must be a cowboy because why? He's the only one that decided to land here.

1:29:28It's so bad. Everybody else went to the next airport. I go, wait, wait, wait. The way we hovered around a mountain, we were sitting there saying, what are you doing? Praying. Is this normal? Praying. I was on one flight coming back from Daytona, probably the worst flight of my life. And I land with the pilot. I said, why did we go through? if you knew there's lightning. We're in the middle of a lightning storm, landing in Fort Lauderdale. I said, why did you go? No, this is not normal. I fly private all the time. This has never happened before. So sometimes pilots also go to a mode of, I got this, I know what I'm doing, I'm going to take care of this, and then stuff like this happens.

1:30:05It's tragic what happened, because nine people are not going to see their family. Yeah, and can I just show, there's a video of an F-4 Phantom, just, you know, like the Air Force does all these exercises, where it hits into a brick wall. I just slacked you, Connor. I slacked you a video of an F4 Phantom. That's not it. Did the pilot eject it? Huh? Pilot ejected or no? No, no, no. These are just total destroyed. Yeah, play this real quick, Connor. Look at this. This is just a Phantom. This isn't going 700 miles an hour. It's gone. It's going to play again. Watch this. Watch this. See those little pieces?

1:30:40What wing? What are you guys talking about? You have no idea what the hell you're talking about. This thing is coming at just a concrete wall. We're not talking about a freaking nosedive into a freaking street. Look at that. What's coming out the back? You're done. You're finished. Epstein. Epstein did that. This was all because of Epstein. Shut the hell up. Yeah, Ryan Mata and all these guys are ready to, like, you don't know what you're talking about. You're on the PBD podcast crew. Shut the hell up, bro. I saw a video the other day claiming that this ancient Japanese demon called Timu is actually secretly Jews and Israelis.

1:31:18It's literally a 1 ,600-year-old demon, and it had millions of views. It's just we're in a weird, bonkers world. That was a demon. There he is. That's right. Tengu. Tengu. Not that one. Please get it right. Timu is a— Tengu is a website. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Tengu. All right. So let's go to the next. Next story I want to get to is, can we do a positive story yet funny story? Kind of goes together. this Red Baron worker, gets$400 ,000 after kids try to pull a prank on him for like$10, you know, the wallet sound. And he's like, what are you doing? And it ends up being a very good story. We've got a bunch of other stories to go through, but I want you to watch us.

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1:34:31I'm gonna go report you right now. Alright, bye boss. Thank you for the$20, man. I appreciate it. Let's go outside, buddy. No, no. Are you for real, bro? It is not that deep. Oh, dude, I will destroy you. It is not that deep. I mean, if you really wanna go outside. I don't know if you're recording me or not, I don't know what's going on. But I don't need this to stop. It's not that deep, man. It was just a joke. You're just a little punk ass little bitch. It was just a joke, bro. It was just a joke. It was just a joke. No, it's not a joke to me, okay? I don't have time for this crap in my life.

1:34:57My life is hard enough as it is. Okay, I don't need this crap. I got kids at home that went to bed without me right now. And I was supposed to be at home an hour ago. And I'm still out here working. And I got to get up at 5 in the morning and do 10 more stores. So this is not a joke to me. Okay. And now I'm probably going to get kicked out of the store because of you. Not funny. Okay, I'm sorry. No, you're not funny. No, no, I can't. You got a smoked look on your face. I'm sorry, bro. Okay. I'm sorry. I'm just like. I don't need this in my life. No, I get you. No, you don't. You're probably making money off this.

1:35:31I can't even pay my goddamn mortgage. And I got four kids at home. Wow. Okay. So not funny. Come on. I got you. I'm going to leave. I'm going to leave. Yes, leave. You better not be out there when I do leave. Leave. Go. Now. Okay. So that happens. They're like, uh. Was that security? Someone else saying leave. No, no. That's probably friends of theirs that are with them, right? That are standing right. that's like, we were not expecting something like this. Well, what does this turn into? This turns into them raising$400 ,000 after this took place. So Michigan Red Baron workers anguished plea over viral prank turns into$400 ,000 windfall.

1:36:11Go a little bit lower if you can. The man goes in there trying to get$10 ,000. Many of you are sided with the worker instead of the person filming and social media users began donating. In just two days, thousands of people gave amounts ranging from$10 to$30 ,000 to the father of four, go a little bit lower in the story. And that fundraiser had passed$400 ,000 that last check. And the goal has since been raised to$700 ,000. The account of the person who filmed the encounter has been deactivated. The account of the person that filmed the encounter has been deactivated. Tom, your thoughts on this?

1:36:45Well, the guy that was filming it is lucky that somebody didn't deactivate him. This is not funny. You know, I think that we've entered a realm of social. It's up to$680 ,000 right now. You know what that shows? That shows that there's enough people out there that said, wow, this is messed up. That poor guy, that guy's working hard, stocking frozen pizzas, working for a food company, doing all this. And then these guys come in there and all they want to do is get their clip. And all they want to do is go make money as a so-called influencer with their clip. And sometimes you go and you put pranks on people you know.

1:37:25And you know what? I think some of those are funny. I've seen them. But if you go to people you don't know, you don't know what they're up against. You don't know what they've been going through. And I disagree when you're pranking people that you don't know what their situation is. You also don't know what their mental situation is. That you trigger somebody to do something terrible. So pranking friends and pranking things, their fails, we all think they're funny. We see them. I don't like this when you prank the anonymous. Oh, Tom, there's a big business model here. You would be a man. They throw sand up.

1:37:55They throw rice seeds up and then put a bucket on top of the guy's head. I'm going to jail. They go in there with, you know, the farting thing that they do. They go in there with guys at Home Depot that have this big thing. I know there's a big thing. There's a guy who was shot. Guys who walk up to a guy, say, Oh, my God. Hey, Lamar Odom, what's up, man? He gives the guy a hug. Oh, my God, my high school math teacher. Come here, Ms. Jones. It's not me. It's not me. But let me tell you, the credit here. At some point in time, someone's going to get a 9mm lobotomy, you know? Yeah, it happened. They already have.

1:38:27They already have gotten 9mm. And they got off. Red Baron Pizza ends up winning here. They tweeted out saying the employee of the month nominations are closed. You know why. He's still here. He's got a fan club, including us. Look how many views this thing gets. 8.2 million views. Smart move by Red Baron. Can we read the comment section? I actually want to know how people reacted to it. Go a little bit lower if you can on the tweet. I want to know how Red Baron turned this around. The guy was worried. $680 ,000. If this thing continues by next week, he's going to buy Red Baron. He's going to be the CEO of the company.

1:38:58Go a little bit lower. Watch this here. So not retarded. Well done. Well done. Well-deserved kings. Well done. One more step, please. That's amazing. That's proper use of AI. All right. Pepperoni pizza. Go a little bit lower. America's back. America's favorite employee. All of us. Remember that movie, Fallen Down? That's very much what it reminded me of. How much is that? Great movie, by the way. That's a very good movie. Listen, I'm going to be on the opposite side of this. This is probably the greatest thing that's ever happened to a meeting. It took one idiot with his friends to record you, and you won the lottery.

1:39:34Think about it. I know people that go back by scratchers at Publix, and they're playing lottery. you were in the right place at the right time for some idiot to try to make you look stupid and you took that moment and like just like bro the the emotion and everything behind it i mean that guy bro it's probably gonna get to a million dollars because of somebody's idiot prank he's buying a lamborghini he's gonna buy a pizza my ass he's done well if it's the reason that this i know exactly why this went so viral and why he did so well because that initial approach how nice he was. Yeah, he was genuine.

1:40:07How nice he was. So the initial approach, they come over and they're like, hey, man, what does he do? He turns over with a smile. What? What can I help you with? Yeah, very innocent. What can I do for you? Yes, being helpful. Kevin yesterday, Scott yesterday from Bass. Yeah, to see him do that switch where he then gets angry and upset. He's like, he just stole money from me. Yeah, what are you doing? What are you doing, you crazy? By the way, Vivek Ramaswamy gave$38 ,000. Are you serious? Is that true? Vivek and Apoorva Ramaswamy gave$38 ,000. $760 ,000 now raised. Wow. FYI, so the other day. But only on the vegan pizza products.

1:40:50By the way, so I go to this Publix, and at this Publix down the street, they have somebody who is Down Syndrome who works there, which, by the way, is actually very good. But one time I go there, the person snapped at me. I'm like, what was it? I was so confused. Okay? Then Vinny tells me a story. And I'm like, there is no way this Publix is the same one. Go ahead, Vinny. What happens with you? Great story. One of my best friends, his name is Arthur. My cousin Mike's listening to this right now in Cali. His name is Arthur. He has Down syndrome. Like the purest, loving, awesome person I've ever met.

1:41:23So when I moved here and I was going to Publix, and by the way, I miss my freaking friend. So I see a girl at the end and she has like one of those stations. She works at public. She has like one of those granola sample nature Valley. And I see her and I'm like, oh, I'm like, I have to go talk to her. I have to go see what's going on. So I come up to her really, really like, hi. I go, hi, whatever her name was. I'm like, what do you got there? You got some granola, bro? She came at me and she goes like this. I'm going to stop you right there. I have a boyfriend. I go, what the hell? I go, wait, wait, wait.

1:41:53I go, no, it's not like that. She's like, okay, whatever. And I'm like, wait. And as I'm like trying to explain myself, I'm like, no, my friend has Down syndrome. Her boyfriend shows up that works there. He has Down syndrome. He's like, is there a problem? I'm like, what the hell is going on here? They were trying to attack me. It was hilarious. The funny part of that story is that you got shot down by a chick with Down syndrome. I got shot down. That's the fun part. Or even deeper, how many people are trying to holler at her every day? You know what I mean? So anyway, it's a good story. But respect to this guy for getting 760 and Vivek putting 38.

1:42:25Let's see if that's going to help him out on the backlash he got for that Amy Acton video, which we'll see. All right, next story I want to get into. After you just highlighted it, he'll probably get another$100 ,000, right? Probably. He's about to get some more money as well, which is great. Love hearing stories like this. Next story I want to get into is these oil giants, which, by the way, you know, you keep hearing the oil gas prices being blamed on the president, which, by the way, that's the easiest thing to do. However, a report comes out which is like, wait a minute, what? Oil giants post billions in profits, record-breaking profits, as Americans feel the pain at the pump.

1:43:04You mean to tell me you don't have to charge the gas prices as high as you are and you're just taking in the profits? Well, let me read this to you on what's going on here. U.S. oil giants rake them billions of dollars in profits in the third quarter as oil prices surge amid supply constraints caused by conflicts around the world, contributing to higher prices at the pump for consumers. ExxonMobil, the largest oil producer, reported having more revenue from refining operations than from its exploration and drilling operations in the first six years. Chevron's third quarter downstream earnings also reached their highest point over the same time frame.

1:43:37The surge in revenue for oil giants comes as Americans are faced with higher prices at the gasoline. War in U.S. of oil flows. Middle East AAA showed that the national average price of gallon of regular gas was 420 gallon on Friday, well above the average of 303. Diesel prices have also reached the highest recorded from last Monday, reached 652 gallon on September 22nd. The September Consumer Price Index found that the gas prices surged 9.1 % on a monthly basis and were up 34.2 % from a year ago. So, Tom, could they have the possibility of selling it less, but they're not because they're capitalizing off the crisis to take in the profits?

1:44:18Yes and no. There are two parts to this. The first part to this is we have to understand what's going on. It's the – Shell reported that the refining margin, what they make on refining,$42 a barrel, was the big, big one. Their product segment, so making oil into product, earned, ready for this,$3.86 billion versus$550 million a year before. That's 6x. Let me tell you why. There are two supporting legs. One is, yes, they pay more for the oil, and then they have the crack spread. Three, two, one crack, which is three barrels of oil, two barrels of gas come out of it, one barrel of diesel, roughly 33%.

1:45:02The majority that came out of that, yeah, and this is a bad scale here. Go back one year. Go back one year. Now you can see the scale where it was. It was$27 before the war started, to be exact. And now look where it is. It's double that. Yep. $26.93. I was right. So now it's refinery. Remember when I said 5 % of the U.S. refinery were offline because of Phillips 66 and Valero in California because of regulation? and that Gavin Newsom's fingerprints are at least on the Benicia refinery. And then there was a U.S. refinery in Houston that was just too expensive to rebuild, and so they eventually shut it down.

1:45:44So that had nothing to do with Gavin Newsom. That was 5%. Do you know with what we've seen today with all this that's been going on and with Ukraine, it's not just the war with Iran. It's also Ukraine hitting Russian refineries. since February 28th, 10 % of the refinery capacity in the world has gone offline. 10%. And guess what? The refineries that are still open, the going rate, the market rate has gone up, Pat, and they're paying overtime and they're doing what's called running hot. They're running the refineries at maximum capacity and they're paying overtime on labor. There are real costs in there.

1:46:30But the refineries are charging it. So it's not the barrel of oil as much as it is the refinery cost. And the refiners are charging it. And you see what happened with Shell. $5.50 a year ago and$3.86 billion now. So we need to understand we have refinery costs here more than the barrel of oil, although the barrel of oil is not helping. And if you have refinery capacity going, guess what? The market price around the world, not just Shell, has gone up. But I would have hoped that the U.S. providers would have found a way to, A, profit, but also kind of help the consumer a little bit. To Shell's credit, and there's only thing I'll say to Shell's credit, they threw a ton of money back at the shareholder in form of dividends and stock repurchases.

1:47:22So a lot of it got to the shareholders of Shell, but that's the shareholders. Meanwhile, the consumers are feeling the pain at the pump as a result of the global— I call it a global refinery crisis more than I call it a global oil crisis right now. Yeah, I mean, that's what happened with Russia and diesel, right? That was all the refinement process the Ukrainians had. What was Trump asking? Don't hit the diesel. Yeah, don't hit the diesel. But that's why the prices skyrocketed. It's really interesting because Rockefeller Standard Oil made all of its money through refinement. And a lot of these Warhawks, yeah, a lot of the Warhawks actually made a lot of their money not in selling the crude, but in refining it.

1:48:02So it actually doesn't surprise me. The very first question I was going to ask you when this came up is, is this from the sell per barrel or from refinement? But you answered it for me immediately. So it doesn't surprise me at all. I got a question, though. If they're posting billions in profits, I mean, regardless of how much the price increases, they're still taking advantage of the situation to some extent, no? Well, it's. It's the timing. It's the timing of the way it flows. Like when you, you know the whole dollar cost averaging concept? You know what dollar cost averaging is? So dollar cost averaging is, you know, you sit down with a financial advisor.

1:48:34They'll tell you, well, these are the basic three things you need to do. One of the things they'll talk about is dollar cost averaging. So put$500 a month into mutual fund or the stock market every month. Markets down, you'll get it at a discount. Markets up, you'll pay a little bit more. But eventually you're going to dollar cost average of the stocks you're buying, right? So what the oil industry is going through, and correct me on this one if I'm wrong, Tom, is when they buy it low and goes up, that makes their profits be very good. But when the work for it is high and all of a sudden there's a massive drop, they're losing money there as well.

1:49:07So that season makes up for this season and it kind of eventually ends up breaking. Makes sense. You know, breaking even. And that may be a three-year season that this could happen with. Tom, would you add anything to that? Absolutely. And Shell even said, they said, caution for the future. Once the conflicts are resolved, our profits are going to be turned to a different level. And to sustain their stock price, they bought$5 billion of stock off the market, fewer shares on the market. It's going to hold a higher price when the profits go back to a different place. But what do you do about offsetting refineries that get destroyed?

1:49:41I mean, how long does it take to really get new refineries up and running? I mean, that could take several years. The last super refinery in the United States. Help me on this, Connor. The last super refinery in the United States was built 47 years ago. How long ago? 47 years. 47 years ago. Wow. There it is. Came online in 1976. Marathon's facility in Garyville, Louisiana. There you go. That tells you the story. Okay. All right. So next thing I want to get to is kind of tied to what you guys just talked about. and it's a story that's not getting a lot of attention right now because of what's going on with midterms, but I do believe there's some sequencing that's going on with this, and that's Putin warning Russia is ready for a war with Europe and could turn Baltic Sea into second straight of Hormuz.

1:50:29Russia does not want a war with Europe, but if Western nations keep attempting to inflict a strategic defeat on Moscow, they may get one. Vladimir Putin has threatened Putin made remarks about relations with Europe states during the Russia-Africa summit and Moscow on Thursday, claiming to be a dove of peace while threatening a world war-like conflict. If he isn't left to pursue his own strategic interest, this is a Breitbart story, many people are talking about preparing for war by 2030. Is this right or wrong? First of all, we prepare. We are prepared, but we do not want any war with Europe. As for them, if someone wants it, let them prepare.

1:51:11However, they failed to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia this time, and it is unlikely to become possible by 2030. Putin pointed to Iran war as he threatened the second Gulf crisis in Europe's Norton Sea, the Baltic. He said there will be a situation similar to the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Does anyone want the same situation to develop in the Baltic Sea as the Persian Gulf or the Strait of Hormuz? I don't know. We don't want that, but we will respond to any challenge. and U.S. tells NATO allies to put them on notice on tone down the anti-Russia rhetoric. So, Tom, where are you at with this?

1:51:44Is there something going on here that – because, you know, just a few weeks back, they brokered that oil deal with Russia, and then Trump is like, well, leave them alone. And then he went to Zelensky and said, Zelensky, I think we need to find somebody else to take over Paris. Like, what are you talking about? There was a moment of like 72 hours where U.S. was more supportive of Russia than they were at Ukraine. Tom, is there something going on here? Yeah, so it's basically two things. Putin is yelling down the hall at the noisy kids. I told you to go to bed. Don't make me walk down there. Right?

1:52:15Number one, he's kind of got the dad voice going on here. But you have to remember this. The Baltic cuts both ways. Who sells 62 % of the LNG, which is the primary energy for heating in Europe? Who sells them that? We do. The United States sells EU 62 % of LNG. So guess what? So if EU gets out of line, be like, guys, if I raise the price or I sell less of it to you, you guys are in trouble. Number one. Number two, what do you think Russia is financing the war with? Energy exports. So they're going to sit there and say, well, if this war goes up, you won't get your energy. And they're like, well, don't worry about it.

1:53:01We're getting 62 % of the LNG from the United States. They have additional capacity, as does Canada, number one. Number two, so you're saying that if you start the war with us or you start a conflict or a blockade with us, you're not going to get the dollars you need to keep fighting the Ukraine? I'll tell you what, winter's coming, but go block the Baltic. It's a two-sided sword there. I think it's brinksmanship on the part of Putin because it's a two-sided sword. What's he going to do when he cuts off the dollars for the export of energy to Northern Europe? Yeah, but he makes threats like this weekly.

1:53:38I mean, weekly. Kind of my point, like dad yelling down the hall. Don't make me walk down the hall, kids. You're supposed to be in bed. He's been doing this. Lights out. Yeah, he's been doing this weekly, especially the last year and a half as it's emerged that Russia's a paper tiger. That's why I call it dad mode. Yeah, I mean, it's total paper tiger. It doesn't have the resources to even do anything like that anyway. it's it's it's running everything into a meat grinder just over and over and over it's all this resources into a meat grinder i'm just always stuck on that we need to find an off-ramp for the russia ukraine situation it's just so prolonged and ongoing it's not benefiting anyone but why though so why do we need it yeah well hang on let me let me give an argument here and this i i heard this argument i thought was pretty good if all the united states has to do is send over a few billion dollars to Ukraine in order to keep Russia continuously bogged down in a conflict there where they're sending their people into a meat grinder shouldn't we well that's the Ben Shapiro argument like don't we not don't we not want to stop it Ben Shapiro from the start was the the benefit for us in supporting Ukraine is tremendous in terms of cost very little no boots on the ground we don't have any type of like real involvement and we're able to weaken Russia tremendously I understand that but to what extent at what point does that stop being a cause to be what would the argument be against it it seems from a like from a geopolitical standpoint that we would just want that perpetually well i just think fundamentally it leads to more destabilization in the world when there's active conflict i mean even just on an ethical level if you can off-ramp a war into some state of kind of stability weakening russia over years of having them run all their young men their military age men into a meat grinder destabilize yeah of course they're just Well, no, it doesn't.

1:55:17You're right. So on that level, that's that's literally the that was the convincing argument that I heard from Ben Shapiro very early on in this that really resonated with me. But again, in my head, for some reason, just the idea of active conflict, whether it's logical or not, doesn't resonate. Geopolitically, I agree. That's a great freaking angle. But what you're saying is, and from what I'm seeing, because I messed up and I was on X and I just saw one in the trench, Russia, Ukraine war video. And it was one of the most brutal things that I saw of how they're just kill everybody on both sides, killing each other.

1:55:54And then I saw a guy with that, like speaking of Down syndrome, a Down syndrome guy just in there. And then I saw, you know, the conscription that they're doing is just grabbing men that don't want to join, putting them in a van and they're going into the front lines. And I saw another one where, Pat, they're training 65 to like 70-year-old men. They're putting them with a gun. And they're going, okay, in Russian, go run over there. Okay, now get down on the gun. Okay, he's good. He's trained. And they're going in. And I get it from a geopolitical standpoint. But just from a humanitarian, like people are, and you nailed it, it's literally a meat grinder and people are dying.

1:56:26And it's not like a couple hundred, it's a million people. But who are the good guys here? Like there's no good guys here. Ukraine's one of the most corrupt governments. Absolutely. It is a very corrupt government. And in what, the last 80 years? The good guys are the civilians who suffer, unfortunately. Yeah, and Russia is a massive adversary. I get it. Oh, I get it. You know, it's like, how do we lose by having these countries perpetually killing each other? Well, again, it seems like a geopolitical winner. Geopolitically, yes. Ethically, or civilian costs, or just the concept itself of... Logically, yes.

1:56:59Emotionally, remember, the emotional, hey, that's not fair, what are you guys doing? But war is nasty. I mean, if they're going to do it, they're going to do it. You know, it's a similar position to a lot of people that are saying right now this morning. It was like, hey, if anyone's going to drop the nuclear bomb on Iran, let it be Israel, not U.S. Let us not have that blood on our hands because if somebody wants to have that attack, let them do it. Let them fight it out. They're the ones that are neighbors. That's what some positions some people are taking. But one of the things that... And we talked about a few weeks ago and I said, be careful if they go all of a sudden after the power grid and you have supermarkets that lose power.

1:57:35I think we talked about this like six weeks ago, four weeks ago. Well, guess what story just came out, Vinny? Look at this. Supermarket freezers across Europe hit by second suspected cyber attack. Tom, I don't know if you saw this one or not. Chains of at least seven countries say fridge temperatures rose mitten overnight in incidents similar to hack of French stores. go a little bit lower. Supermarket chains in at least seven European countries have said that the temperatures of refrigerators and freezers in dozens of their stores soared overnight, prompting fears of cyber attacks similar to one that caused millions of euros of losses in France.

1:58:11Retailers in Belgium, Estonia, Ireland, Finland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and Sweden reported problems with the refrigeration system on Monday, and several companies confirmed they had been victims of cyber attack. The incidents followed an attack in France last month in which hackers seize the control of the cooling units, Vinny, in as many as 700 supermarkets, raising their temperatures of as high as 50 Celsius, 122 Fahrenheit, which you know what happens when it goes to that point, and causing fires and food losses estimated in the tens of millions of euros. A growing range of devices, including refrigeration, can now be monitored and controlled remotely, remotely leading authorities to particularly fear government-sponsored hybrid attacks in the wake of Russia's 2020 to invasion of Ukraine.

1:58:57So, Tom, when you see a story like this, somebody's living in Chicago. They're living in Palmdale, California. They're living in Meza, Arizona. Should they be worried that something like this could happen in the States? Yes, and I'll tell you why. The supermarkets weren't attacked. This had nothing to do with the supermarkets. This had everything to do with compromising the energy company because large commercial organizations and companies make deals with the energy companies to install smart thermostats. And if there is an extreme load, like if you go to Texas, there are office buildings where there's an extreme load.

1:59:34They will move the temperature from 72 to 74 to 76 degrees during the day when it's extremely hot outside to help take the load off the grid. Likewise, when your helpful representative at FPL says you can have this Nest thermostat for free and you put it in your house, you're actually consenting to, because remember, it's got motion detection on it. If it detects that no one is home and no one has moved, it will gently move the temperature of your house up if you've consented to that. And so what you have here is you have companies have given the power company in exchange for a rate. It's like a green energy plan that you allow it to turn up.

2:00:17They hacked the power company. I'm 99 percent certain they hacked the power company so they could get into the control software that controlled the thermostats around there. Because imagine if it was there was an extreme energy event and they move the freezers from 28 to 32 degrees. What does that do to the frozen pizza? Nothing. But if they move that up just a little bit, it takes load off the power. So I think these are control systems. I think this was a power company. And I think the fact that the news media calls it grocery stores misses the fact that when you've got water systems and power systems that get attacked, that's what I get concerned about.

2:00:55So this is where the hacks I get concerned in the U.S. is the ability to— So let me ask you this. What do you do as a business owner? So go to—my concern is I'm a—like, you know, we're in the insurance space. We've been in insurance space for a couple of decades. I've been in it for a couple of decades. And you buy homeowners and you buy flood insurance. You buy earthquake insurance. You buy cyber. Sure over liability. All the liabilities that you're dealing with, you buy that, right? So in this case, in this case, what do you do if you are not the city, the municipality that controls the power that you're borrowing from or you're buying from?

2:01:28What do you do to make sure they're protected and you're protected? I checked my cyber insurance policy that says, look, if my power company or the thermostats they gave me to use or the systems that I agreed to let them tap into or compromise, and I lose$300 ,000 of perishable meats because the meat and fish goes up too high of a temperature and now I have to dispose of it, it says, make sure that the fine print on your cyber insurance policy covers that. Well, they have spoilage insurance, too. That's bigger than that. I know the spoilage insurance, but forget about the spoilage insurance. Like, for instance, last week we had a power outage here in Fort Lauderdale.

2:02:06It was an arm mistake. Something blew up down the street. Transformer blew up. Transformer blew up. Well, guess what happened to our AC units? Our AC units, there was smoke, fire. We had like seven fire trucks. I think I'm saying maybe eight fire trucks that were here. The generator. Yeah, the generator, all of that. We had an overheating caused by the outage. But we didn't do anything. We have everything that you need to have properly here. but the city made the mistake. So now if the enemy, and this is the part of the story that people are talking about right now where it's like, hey, if the power grid, if the enemy Iran, they're threatening with grid, if the grid was attacked and say they were able to get into different cities and they shut down the markets, temperature goes up, food supply for a week, what happens there?

2:02:53These are the concerns that people have, right? Are you talking about what happens with supply? or are you talking about what happens to the actual owners of the businesses in terms of compensation? Well, no, it leads to the individual. The average human being, the average person that's going to the market by$800, he's panicking, saying, how are they protected from the city? And if I can cyberattack the city and that gets affected a supermarket, how are the cities protected? You know, typically when you think about cities, you think about the old system that they've been working on, not new system.

2:03:21How often do you go to the city and you're like, oh, wow, they have the latest, greatest stuff over here. You never say that at GMV. You never say that. So what does the average individual that's sitting here thinking, saying, is my city fully responsible? Is my city fully ready for this? What do you say to those people who reassured them? Well, you can't reassure them because it's unprecedented. So some things aren't. For instance, an entire section of the power grid in the United States going down, that's going to happen. That's just a matter of time. We don't know what will make it happen, if it's load or if it's environmental causes.

2:03:55You have no idea. that's something that we're still woefully unprepared for. By every metric, we're still woefully unprepared for that. But when you're talking about cyber attacks, you don't actually know how you're going to be hit, so it's really hard to compensate for it. Like this whole idea that we'll just adjust thermostats up on freezer food. It's quite brilliant, actually. Yeah, that's not a thing that most people think about. They're not like, oh, what if they did this until they actually do it? And so it's actually very, very difficult to compensate for that. So he says, check your cybersecurity insurance.

2:04:29It's like, I'm not sure many people are checking cybersecurity insurance. But I do think that other forms of insurance over liability will cover a lot of the damage of this. And the nice thing about the United States is it's on separate grids. And we have one of the biggest infrastructures for food shipments on planet Earth. So it's not like we couldn't divert food from one area to another. But it would bog the system down badly. And if you have a mass scale attack, then it really would cause tremendous destabilization. Well, dropping the entire power grid seems very unlikely. You know, but I do worry about how AI is changing hacking in general.

2:05:04And I do think that we're going to see more innovative and different kind of attacks that we've never been able to compensate for. Like you're talking about unprecedented. We don't know until it happens. With the advent of how AI is advancing so quickly, I mean, it takes a couple more iterations before things we can't even imagine are starting to be used. And so it's just I don't see how you could plan in advance for it. You don't see how you could build a defense against it. Well, you would use AI the same exact way. You would have AI predict what AI would do. No, but AI is far better. So you look at encryption.

2:05:41AI would be far better at decrypting something than at coming up with an encryption method that AI couldn't decrypt. In other words, like the lag behind, especially with like there's all these breakthroughs happening in AI now with algorithms and like the exponential time hypothesis being proven false. And like they're looking into that. There's a bunch of changes happening in terms of how we may look at things that are encrypted and how quickly computers and AI will be able to make those things pretty much obsolete. And that's very, very scary. So I just asked a question right now. I said, which cities and states are most prepared for cyber attacks against supermarkets or the grid?

2:06:19Okay, number one highest grade they gave is Texas number one, A, Georgia, then Connecticut, Michigan, Utah, Ohio, Nevada, Iowa, Missouri, Hawaii, and Mississippi. Then if it's cities, DFW, Atlanta, Salt Lake City, D.C., Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and then Houston. Then the questions ask, if something were to happen, they did a survey on the chief information security of states. only 26 % of state chief information security officer, this is their CIO, surveyed in 2026 that they were very or extremely confident their state's information assets were protected against their cyber threats. That's down from 48 % in 2022.

2:06:59Let me say this one more time, Tom. I don't know if you heard that or not. So in 2022, the CIOs of states, you know what their job is, what a CIO does, right? The CIOs of states were 48 % confident were good with cybersecurity attacks and hitting our grid. We went from 48 % four years ago to 22 % today, 26 % today. Where are we going to be in four years from now? Even worse. Yes. So then the level of urgency for them to want to do something about this and fix it, they better get on top of it because if the enemy hears something like that, guess what they're going to be saying? They're worse today than they were four years ago.

2:07:32Even their executives of their states are saying this. Yeah, but again, the problem is that the fix isn't something that you could just come up with. There's technology advancing at exponential rates that are capable of doing things. It's also hard to guard against threats that you don't really understand how they're going to hit you. So everything is guesswork. So let's say, Patrick, for instance, I come to you and I go, okay, I'm going to give you a$1 billion cyber defense budget. It's a lot of money. You go, okay, great. Well, what do you throw it at? So some things like maybe guarding from freezers, getting hotter, right?

2:08:10You're able to fix that problem. So you throw half the budget at it or a quarter of the budget at it. But then you get hit in a way that you couldn't have foreseen. You spent all of that money on these other protections. You have no idea how you're going to get hit. So it's very hard to disperse it correctly. Yeah, and it's like a post. It's like a redundancy after the fact. After the attack happens, you can create the redundancy. Yeah, but let me tell you where I go with this. Where I go with this is, if you think about a Musk, he moved from where? From California to Austin, Texas, right? Okay.

2:08:41Why is he putting$260 million into some of these elections that are taking place? The$250 million, whatever the number was. I think it was$200 million-ish. Because of breakup acts. Okay. Yeah, that could be one of them. But it's also you have to sit there and think about the power, the protection. Is the city, is the state doing the best job to protect me against any of these things? long term. These are real things that you've got to be involved in. So I wonder if he's even involved in Tesla's power walls and decentralized electricity. Tesla's working with Austin Energy on a virtual power plant, VPP.

2:09:19This concept is connected with thousands of homes equipped with Tesla power walls so their batteries can provide electricity. So I think I knew you have to go independent to be away from the city. I think some companies are going to be like, I'm not going to deal with the city. That's where I'm going with this. I don't think the answer is, Andrew, well, you know, let's just have shit hit the fan first, and then we'll figure out a defense for it. I disagree. I actually think we got to get off. Like, I would want us to be off so I'm not affected if you really screw up. The strategy isn't just wait and see what happens.

2:09:49It's just, I'm just pointing out that it's very difficult to guard against those kinds of unknowns. I agree that it's difficult, but I think, you know, I think to sit there as an operator, day-to-day operator. When an event like that happens and I had to move my couple hundred employees from one place to another place, we lost three hours. That's hard cost to the business. You've got to sit there and be thinking about how do you play defense against it and being proactive. Tom, you look like you want to say something. I'm with you. Quiz time. Which state has got more renewable energy? You're going to know the answer when I give you the two choices.

2:10:23California or Texas? Texas. Why wouldn't it be green California? Oh my gosh. Because wind turbines suck. Guess what? When all the states were ranked, Texas received the only state to receive the excellent, excellent rating. But they got a poor rating on one area. Emergency power sharing. Because Texas has isolated itself mostly. Because it didn't want the federal regulation that you get from sharing things across state lines. But in speed of adding power, Texas was rated excellent. And renewable supply buffer, Texas was rated excellent. This year, 2026, you didn't hear about ERCOT, which is the power organization in Texas, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, that had such issues before that dealt with the Enron outage.

2:11:14So guess what? Texas took a couple of hips. Texas had had some big summers. They're not out of the woods yet, but they're better off than most states. You know why, Pat? Because they took it in the chops over the last six years. And so they have been reacting first with the Texas CIO. So it's not just taxes in Texas. They're reacting better. But to your point, I kind of think it's good that we see these things like the refrigerators and things happen now because you know who's going to be talking? You and I both know the insurance companies. The insurance companies are going to be marching into power companies, marching into states and saying, look, I just paid for$2 billion of spoiled frozen turkeys.

2:11:56because you guys and your grid and all of this happened. And so I see things, this is a terrible thing that happened, but I kind of like when the little lessons happen because it gets you out in front of the bigger lessons. This is not even for us. This is in Europe. So I hope Americans are, you know, again, issues change, right? Issues change. Today, one issue that's very popular could mean nothing in five years, 10 years, and it couldn't go. So I think one of the things I would be asking my politicians of my city, my state, my country that are running for office, say, how are you protected? You know, what is your plan long-term to make sure business owners are not tied to the energy in case something were to happen?

2:12:36They need to come up with an idea and a strategy on how you're going to address that. Let's go to the next story. Next story I want to get into is a story about – let me see which one I want to go to. I'll go to the story here. Paul Pierce, basketball player, made in his career roughly$200 million. This guy made a lot of money in his career in playing basketball. I'm trying to see what page this story is at if you want to pull it up. He reveals troubling financial situation after losing his latest gig. Paul Pierce reveals troubling. So this guy,$200 million in career earnings. You see him doing live streams with girls coming in, all this other stuff coming into his place.

2:13:15Hall of Fame over 19 season, championship, finals MVP. This guy's a legit player. He claims he is tapped out financially while trying to keep up with his court order support payments, largely because he is no longer receiving income from Fox Sports, according to court documents obtained by TMZ. Pierce said his last check from the network came in August. His average monthly income was$119 ,000, he said, and it has since dropped to zero. He reported earning around$23 ,000 last month from his partnership interests and other business ventures. Pierce pays roughly$28 ,000 in child support and another$20 ,000 in spousal support each month, but claims he has only$300 ,000 left in a bank and$3 million in property.

2:14:00His attorney said in the filing that Pierce was drowning financially and would have great difficulty keeping up with his obligations. Pierce earned an estimated$200 million in his MBA career. Tom, are you surprised? Buy stocks to sell. You might be missing the opportunity. If you're not repositioning. Now might be a good time. My guy says now is the time to go all in. Real traders still hear the noise. They just know when to stop listening to it. Find and research opportunities to fit your strategy with thinkorswim trading platforms from Schwab. Discover features like robust charting, nearly unlimited customization, and built-in risk management technology.

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2:16:40And you know how I feel about this. And I'm going to do a plug here. You may get upset with me, but I'm going to do a plug. Pat and I have been talking for a long time about doing a, you know, how do we educate kids? And we talk about parents. But I think also when there's an opportunity to educate athletes about certain agents, about finances, about things like this. He talks about the first million he made, and he said his first million, he ended up with only$10 ,000 in his pocket, right? Because his mom, his brothers and sisters, and cousins he didn't know he had came to him when he had that million-dollar check as a rookie, and he's done the math on the air where he talked about he ended up with only$10 ,000 left.

2:17:20Well, part of it is who you support and what you do with it. Is it a bad thing to do something for your mom who took you to practice and did all that? No. But when you live large and then you decide you're just going to support every family member, you're becoming the welfare system for your family. You're not just taking care of your mom. I could see taking care of your mom. How many athletes have we seen do that? The best example I saw was Warwick Dunn, who manages money so carefully and took care of his mom. But everybody else, who are you? You're my cousin. Go get a job. And so this is what happens to players.

2:17:58they live like a Billy when they're making like a Millie and they're sitting there spending on the rest of the family oh Tom's in there with bars I'm not trying to be funny you are it's awesome can we go back to that graph really quick by the way I don't care who you $28 ,000 for one child a month well total child support do we know how many kids does he have One. Okay. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Let's just say it's one. Trojan Commons. $20 ,000 a month for his wife because, well, he got her used to that lifestyle. Okay. I don't know what$8 ,000 childcare. Seven. But he needs a financial advisor. If you're spending$7 ,000 to eat out a month and another$5 ,000 on groceries for your house,$3 ,500 for entertainment.

2:18:49Does that, what, strippers? Well, that's because he's feeding a lot of people. That's what that's seven. He's taking a bunch of people out to eat. Yeah, oh, absolutely. And then, bro, ready for this$1 ,000 on clothes. I'm sorry. I'm sorry. You need to freaking have a budget. The top two drive me crazy. There's no child. There's no child that needs$30 ,000 a month to survive. Give me a break. How's that eight-year-old going to drive a Ferrari? Yeah, to me, that's the system. But, I mean, just three with his ex-wife, two outside the relationship. So, yeah. I mean, he has a bunch of kids. I don't know if they're all, if he's not on child support for them because in their life.

2:19:25He had a place in Calabasas, Pat, three streets over from the Kardashians,$8.7 million. He sold it in April of this year and bought a$2.5 million house in poor, impoverished Woodland Hills down the street. We know exactly what— Poor, impoverished Woodland Hills. I lived in Woodland Hills for a while. They lived down in the— Thank God. Yeah, exactly right. And he had to do that. And he also had to settle this year$180 ,000 poker debt. Why are you paying poker with people and you're losing to? Why do you have so many hangers on? You know, and this is just bad decision after bad decision. And now here it is.

2:20:03You're at the end of it. Yeah, but you'll see this with anyone who comes into big money who doesn't have a financial education. And you see it with athletes all the time. And then, by the way, if you make it big, that's when every leech and parasite in the world is suddenly at your door, in your ear, and they just try and get as much from you as you can. It's very, very hard if you don't have the background to be able to. And people go like, how do you lose$200 million? You see people win the lottery. They win$600 million, and within three years it's gone. Or they're gone because lottery suicides is a very interesting case study.

2:20:35But Tom made a great point. He's acting silly. You only have a couple of Millie, but you're acting like you have a Billy. You need to get with the BizDoc patent, potentially make a Billy. Well, let me tell you. I don't know if you remember what this guy did one time, Paul Pierce. Oh. He's working at Fox Sports, and he goes Instagram Live, and while he's live, he's inviting dancers over to his place. How much? How much? He's DMing, hey, come over. Come over to the house. Come over to the house. And then Fox, can you tell him Paul Pierce, Fox Sports fired him? Why did Fox Sports fire him? If you just ask why he got fired from Fox, it's because, you know, revealed legal document, revealed that he's in a financial hardship.

2:21:15Yeah, but there was a reason why they fired him. in terms of, no, there was a reason why they fired him. If you ask ChachiBT why they fired him, he made a dumb decision, acted like a fool, and while live streaming. You can't behave that way. No institution can choose to fire if they want. So when you know you have financial issues, what are you doing acting like you're 19 years old again? You're not. So I think he made a mistake with, you know, fired by ESPN 2021 after broadcasting Instagram Live, showing himself smoking, drinking, playing poker, and partying with exotic dancers. Pierce said ESPN considered the incident in violation of his contract.

2:21:51Moral clause, bottom clause. 2020 with ESPN firing a document. Yeah, so you can't behave this way. By the way, I don't know if you have that clip with Zlatan. Zlatan talked about it in an interview. He did all of that. Can you press play? He talks about what happens to money when you make money with friends and family. Go for it. As much as possible, but maybe not to survive or to have it, just for the challenge, because you create something and then you get a big jackpot by selling a tie. and I agree with you money creates problems even in families money brings stress the more you have the more stress and and where is the stop you could live a good life with normal money but what is normal money now I've been on the both sides I've been without money grew up with a family where my father made thousand euro in pound I don't know how much it is and still we had a good at thousand euro over what period monthly monthly monthly thousand then you pay bills and that i don't know how much is left and uh and we have to share it not share it it was his he gave me whenever i needed and uh you can probably have a good life i remember my dad was making 1500 bucks a month working as a cashier at a 99 store in inglewood for 15 20 years what he did mom ran out of money, living on welfare, went back to Iran, and we're kind of left there saying, what do we do?

2:23:13So I joined the military. I get out. When I get out, I don't have any money. But when you're going out, when all of a sudden I started making money, it was automatic within a lot of the kids in school that, hey, because you got money, you got to pay for everything when we're going out. You got to pay for this government. And a part of that for me was, and by the way, all I care about is the offer, right? But if you're not too careful and you set that precedent yourself with everybody, like Michael would go out with Charles and Charles would say, Michael is so cheap. And LeBron has a reputation.

2:23:47LeBron is so cheap. But it's kind of like you're also making your own money as well. So then family gets in tour and says, well, you have money. Well, you have money. Yeah, but all the days while you were partying and hanging out and having a good time, I was busting my ass. Why do you think I have money? You think I got lucky having money? So there's an element of that. But I think these younger guys like Paul Pierce, I went and met with Antonio Walker. Antoine Walker. Remember Antoine Walker on the Boston Celtics? Chicago guy. He started gambling with Michael, and he's like, Michael's playing million-dollar hands.

2:24:15I couldn't play million-dollar hands. And what happens all of a sudden? He loses it all. He goes and works with Morgan Stanley to educate the next players of what to do with their finances. None of this stuff is normal, but I'm also not surprised that you did. Don't plea and say, my God, poor me. Look how rough of a life I'm living. all those years you made the money, you were acting like this money is going to be there for the rest of your life, and it's not. Last thing I want to do before we wrap up is the following. No, they don't. They don't buy assets. Do you, if you have a windfall like that, is expect it's going to run out and set up passive forms of income with your money.

2:24:46That's the whole point. Bad friends, man, that get a hold of it. Have you guys watched the Mike Tyson documentary that just came out on Netflix? Have you seen it? No one, I haven't. How sick is that documentary? My God, it's a phenomenal documentary. But it's not shocking. No, it's not shocking. But you've got to watch it. The three people he trusted, all three died, and then from there he had no clue where to go. Yeah, I knew Mike Tyson's story in terms of custom auto. But it's content you've never seen before. It's content you've never seen before. Anyways, last but not least, a story comes out.

2:25:14If you want to pull up the Mickey Mantle story, Patrick David faces pushback for confirming$50 million record sale for the 1952 Mickey Mantle collectible. What is that? Yahoo Finance Messenger. journal. Well, to the people in the space, I got a lot of weird calls. Here's all I will tell you. My sources are right. And you just have to wait for three to four months. But you're going to come back and say, wow, Pat was right. So just hang tight before you go out there and saying, you know, Pat made this claim of$50 million. You're going to find out how I was involved in this, but we have to wait a few months.

2:25:52Somebody made a mistake there. And that's somebody who made the mistake, we're going to reveal in four months who caused this mistake. This should have never been released to the public, but one person made a mistake. And unfortunately, that's their mistake that came to me. I never gave names. I just said that this has happened. I'm going to protect the names for the sake of the business being done. But once it's finalized, you guys are going to come back and say, Pat's sources were right. You have to wait three to six months for it. Anyways, with that being said, great to have you on. Elon, great to have you on.

2:26:19Tomorrow we're going to be together at 5990 with doing live. I think we're going live what time? 6 or 7 p.m.? The boardroom. Please be, if you're a member, you know, be there early, but we'll be live at 7.01. 7.01 until midnight. And we're going to give a top 40 list of people that should consider running for office. We're going to give that PDF tomorrow night. We're going to have a lot of good time. A lot of shit talking, lots of fun. And we'll be on C-SPAN. We'll see you guys there. Take care, everybody. God bless. Bye-bye, bye-bye.

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