264 - Lee Cronin: The Chemistry of Life

23 Nov 2025 · 2 h 1 min · 39 chapters

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In short

Lee Cronin argues that the key to life is not a one-time “origin” event but a general chemical process that repeatedly produces persistent, self-propagating networks wherever selection pressures exist. He frames life as “persistence from existence,” driven by continual creation/destruction cycles where surviving molecular structures replicate or enable further survival. He connects this to broader ideas: selection as a universal phenomenon, the limits of Earth-only assumptions, and how chemistry could yield biology across the universe. He also discusses how technology and “memes” depend on long causal lineages, and he proposes experimental programs to detect selection in chemical systems.

Guest backgrounds

Lee Cronin is a chemistry professor focused on the chemistry underpinning life and selection. He collaborates with researchers including Sarah Walker (cross-disciplinary work involving physics/semantics) and mentions work with Sarah Walker at Arizona State University. He also references physicist David Deutsch and origin-of-life/selection discussions with Richard Dawkins.

Key claims

  1. Origin-of-life on Earth is “boring” compared to understanding the universal process that turns matter into biology.
  2. Life requires heterogeneity, energy, survival under harsh environments, and reproduction/propagation.
  3. Selection is ubiquitous: with matter and energy, evolution should arise.
  4. The selfish gene idea is late-stage and oversimplified; earlier chemical steps matter.
  5. Experiments should reveal selection directly by running chemical “reactors” and tracking which networks persist.

Notable examples

  • Stars forming via gravity/nuclear fusion as an analogy for life-forming mechanisms.
  • Cronin’s “chemical brain” grid and microfluidic “OpenDrop” device as artifacts dependent on long technological lineage.
  • A “sandbox for life” thought experiment: aggregates form, environment destroys most, survivors persist and enable more complexity.

Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.

Chapters

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The Hardest Question: Why Do We Exist?

1:00 to 1:30

Exploring the fundamental question of existence and persistence.

“I want to discover what selection is in the same way that Newton discovered what gravity is.”

Life's Complexity and Curiosity

1:30 to 2:40

Discussing the complexities of life and the curiosity behind it.

“I don't really care about the origin of life.”

Confusion Between Physics and Biology

2:40 to 4:05

Delving into the relationship between physics and the concept of free will.

The Search for Life's Processes

4:05 to 6:00

Seeking understanding of the processes that lead to the emergence of life.

Beyond the Origin of Life

6:00 to 8:00

Examining the broader implications of life's existence rather than its origin.

The Role of Chemistry in Life

8:00 to 9:50

Discussing the importance of chemistry in understanding life.

“And I am remarkably confused about why we are here.”

Theories of Life's Existence

9:50 to 11:40

Exploring various theories on how life may exist across the universe.

The Concept of Self in Chemistry

11:40 to 14:03

Introducing the idea of 'self' in the context of chemistry and life.

The Origins of Life and Chemistry

14:03 to 17:05

Explore how life begins through chemical networks and their interaction with the environment.

“I think I get it, but I don't understand the words, but I kind of get it.”

Artifacts of Life vs. Living Systems

17:05 to 19:10

Delve into the distinction between living artifacts and products of living systems.

“So I just want to understand why you chose to describe it that way.”
Show all 39 chapters

Contingency of Technology and Life

19:10 to 24:16

Understand how technologies are contingent upon prior developments and life forms.

The Selfish Gene Hypothesis Revisited

24:16 to 28:00

Examine the limitations of the selfish gene hypothesis in explaining life's complexity.

“But you're allowed to come up with a new process to make chips whilst these chips are alive.”

The Emergence of Life and Complexity

28:00 to 29:40

Explore the chemistry leading from primordial soup to the emergence of life.

“And you're wondering what facets of chemistry lead from soup to replicators.”

The Search for Extraterrestrial Life

29:40 to 31:20

Discuss the likelihood of life beyond Earth and the questions surrounding its definition.

“But I'm with you that it seems much more likely than not that there is going to be lots of life out there.”

Challenges in Origin of Life Research

31:20 to 34:00

Examine the complexities of defining life and the challenges in origin of life experiments.

“And I want to ask, so in the lab, you have access to this primordial ooze.”

From Sand to Cells: The Process of Life

34:00 to 38:20

Investigate how matter transitions to life through processes of creation and destruction.

“What is the process that turns dead stuff into living stuff?”

Characterizing Chemical Processes in Life

39:22 to 41:40

Discover ongoing lab experiments focused on the chemical processes that may lead to life.

“As you've said a few times throughout our conversation, this chemical combinatorial space is absolutely huge.”

The Future of Life Research

41:40 to 42:00

Consider the long-term goals of life research and the quest to understand selection.

Exploring Selection and Complexity in Chemistry

42:00 to 45:40

Learn about the quest to understand selection in chemistry and the complexities of life emergence.

“but I think I have to make a better fist of it than that.”

Assembly Theory and Its Implications

45:40 to 47:20

Discover the concept of assembly theory and its significance in understanding causation and complexity.

“But I want to ask where two things fit into what we've been discussing.”

Challenges in Understanding Complexity

47:20 to 49:20

Understand the ongoing debates surrounding complexity in the scientific community and the perspectives of notable scientists.

Fundamentals of Assembly Theory

49:20 to 55:00

Delve into the fundamentals of assembly theory and its axioms regarding object composition and creation.

“If it was infinite in spatial extent and mass and time, sure.”

Causation and Selection in Assembly Theory

55:00 to 56:00

Examine the fundamental principles of causation and selection as they relate to assembly theory.

Understanding Assembly Theory

56:00 to 57:01

Learn about the foundational concepts of assembly theory and its components.

“Number two, copy number of the object, the number of objects you can make, indicates the selections occurred.”

Defining Objects in Assembly Theory

57:31 to 59:49

Explore the criteria for defining objects within assembly theory, using examples like a chess set.

“Not exactly what we'd expect from an Oscar-winning director.”

Causation and Object Definition

59:49 to 1:02:40

Discuss the relationship between causation and how we define objects in assembly theory.

“I mean, there are just a lot of fascinating questions here to me.”

Chemical Bonds and Assembly Theory

1:02:40 to 1:06:58

Understand the significance of chemical bonds in the context of assembly theory and object formation.

“It's just like I invent lots of theories all the time.”

Exploring ATP and Assembly Steps

1:06:58 to 1:10:01

Learn about the assembly index of ATP and the steps involved in its formation.

“Do you happen to know off the top of your head its assembly index?”

Understanding Assembly Theory and Complex Structures

1:10:01 to 1:19:32

Learn about assembly theory and how it distinguishes random occurrences from designed structures in nature.

“So, for instance, I think of a massive crystal in a geode as it's just very large.”

The Role of Computation in Chemistry

1:20:11 to 1:24:00

Explore the relationship between computation and chemistry in molecule creation and experimentation.

“What is the Assembly Index, or what are some Assembly Indices for very complicated, but still natural, non-alive substances?”

Understanding Chemical Computation

1:24:00 to 1:26:14

Learn about the concept of chemical computation and its deterministic nature.

“And so it's not really necessarily just a simulation.”

Connecting Computation and Assembly Theory

1:26:14 to 1:27:44

Discover how assembly theory relates to molecular design and computation.

“And how does that connect with assembly theory?”

Exploring AI and Alien Life

1:27:44 to 1:29:31

Discuss the potential links between AI, assembly theory, and the search for alien life.

“Well, we come to another fork in the road, because this is a place where I might be interested in talking about AI and how it functions in this sort of work.”

AI's Role in Scientific Research

1:29:31 to 1:30:59

Examine how AI assists in laboratory work and experiment design.

“And for me, I mean, I've been doing AI for like, I don't know, 40 years.”

The Duality of AI Perspectives

1:30:59 to 1:35:39

Analyze the conflicting views on AI: both alarmist and utopian.

“And there's people just making stuff up.”

Ethics and Concerns in AI and Bioweapons

1:35:39 to 1:38:07

Address ethical concerns regarding AI's potential to create biological weapons.

The Responsibility of Scientific Inquiry

1:38:07 to 1:42:51

Explore the balance between scientific innovation and potential risks.

“And it doesn't mean I go, oh, hello, everyone.”

Navigating Regulation and Technology

1:43:40 to 1:52:00

Discuss the balance between technological advancement and regulatory frameworks.

“My quick thought on that is, so as you know, I'm in law school right now.”

Exploring the Ethics of Chemical Technology

1:52:00 to 2:05:55

Discussion on the responsibilities and risks associated with developing chemical technologies.

“and allow society to look at the relative merits and demerits.”
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Transcript

Automatic transcript. May contain errors.

0:00Lee Cronin:When you need to build up your team to handle the growing chaos at work, use Indeed Sponsored Jobs. It gives your job post the boost it needs to be seen and helps reach people with the right skills, certifications and more. Spend less time searching and more time actually interviewing candidates who check all your boxes. Listeners of this show will get a$75 sponsored job credit at Indeed.com slash podcast. That's Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need a hiring hero? This is a job for Indeed Sponsored Jobs. The right window treatments change everything. Your sleep, your privacy, the way every room looks and feels.

0:35Lee Cronin:At Blinds.com, we've spent 30 years making it surprisingly simple to get exactly what your home needs. We've covered over 25 million windows and have 50 ,000 five-star reviews to prove we deliver. Whether you DIY it or want a pro to handle everything from measure to install, we have you covered. Real design professionals. Free samples. Zero pressure. Right now, get up to 50 % off with minimum purchase. Plus, get a free professional measure at Blinds.com. Rules and restrictions apply. and it's the hardest question that a being can ask themselves right why do i exist it's easy for me to pick up an object and say why does that exist but why do i exist life is about persistence from existence so you produce a thing that exists great well done but then it has to persist long enough to be effective to do something else we have been totally misunderstanding how reality works.

1:27I want to discover what selection is in the same way that Newton discovered what gravity is. I don't really care about the origin of life. I think the origin of life is a boring problem, but not inconsequential. I think the problem is what is the process that gives rise to life in the universe full stop?

1:54Lee Cronin:your thinking covers a lot of subjects from artificial intelligence to to chemistry to aliens and i'm wondering what ties all of these things together for you and how it all got started yeah i the problem is i keep remaking the question right i um um but i think that the the the most faithful answer i can give is i'm really confused about why we're here if i think about myself as an entity in the world i remember when i was a kid looking at the shoots coming out of the ground and i was growing vegetables or the sun coming through the trees it was like what on earth is going on i didn't know i was allowed to ask questions about science and so when i realized that everyone else is in that delusion as well i i felt a little bit better but i mean life is kind of wacky right so i i i guess um so i started up like that and i'm obviously um i wanted to code stuff the computers were coming i would grew up in a time where all my colleagues my friends had computers and so i started to kind of play around with these and i had a kind of some kind of idea of how i could manipulate i suppose a calculator in a more than a boring way um and and i was just fascinated by biology it's like why do things grow why am i here why do i think what is what is the how is it that I have options because physics I got given this book um that told me about physics and physics told me I didn't have options but suddenly I realized I had options and that was seemed to be completely counter to physics and that was very confusing to me that I had options and physics said no when you say that you're confused about why we're here I just want to clarify what you mean by that is it more a question like uh what is the purpose of life like what is your purpose in existing here or more a question about what is it about how the universe is put together that has allowed for us to exist or made it if you want to put it this way inevitable that we've come to exist oh oh that's so um no i mean i think i'm kind of like um i'm a simpleton when it comes to that and i'm just like why do i exist like i'm an egotistical simpleton i mean i exist look at me i can go around and just create mayhem and then i create mayhem i was like well how did i create mayhem um i i mean i've been a longer i've been around long enough now to discuss with people about their views of the universe and their ideas and i i mean that's so far beyond my paycheck i just prefer to say what's going on here but what i found in the last i guess the last 10 years or so is that my simple approach basically met the people with the large paychecks in the middle because my questions their questions seem to be the same thing which i found very exciting and also a little bit depressing because i thought you know i'm i have no um you know if you take the kind of like the idea of what gravity is or electromagnetism and the thing about the history of it i mean what i'm asking right now is why am i here not in a oh you know in a kind of um a kind of metaphorical sense i'm asking why does biology exists i'm a chemist i'm a chemistry professor and i'm trying to understand why does biology with all its chemistry exist from the chemistry i know and the gap is so big i found very interesting and that's one of the reasons why i've kind of dedicated my life i guess to some degree because i'm so confused to ask that very simple question is what turns sand into cells I really like the way that you put that and it sounds like the question and that most interest you is what is the origin of life from a chemistry standpoint is that accurate but not just the origin because I think the origin is quite boring because it's quite you know um circumstantial I view it if you if you imagine that we have gone few a few billion years we look come in the sky and we see no stars just black and we see the sun and we say oh what was the origin of the sun but then we imagine we say oh what we see the sun but you see all the stars and so when people ask about the origin of life i don't really care about the origin of life i think the origin of life is a boring problem but not inconsequential inconsequential i think the problem is what is the process that gives rise to life in the universe full stop and if you look up in this and i'm just imagining if you look up in the in this night sky while i'm having here we're in my workshop just now this out there is a big little kind of dip where it gets really good light and i did a lot of astrophotography during the pandemic and it was really fascinating because you could look up in the sky and go okay these stars if i look up in any one night if i get lucky well we i never saw this but i can imagine a star dying and a star igniting because right now we're just asking where did how what gave rise to the sun to life but we're not recognizing the fact that light that stars are born and die every day in the universe and what i want to know is not just the original life i want to understand the actual process that gives rise to biology every single day in the universe and that's kind of a radical statement because i'm like assuming that biology is everywhere and i think that's uh i mean probably that's not correct but but that's kind of my starting point if you like okay no interesting so just again for my own understanding you find the the question of the origin of life on earth to be boring because it's just something that maybe happened once but what's more interesting is what is the general principle that or what are the general principles of chemistry that allow for life to come into existence across the universe yeah absolutely that's it i mean that's for me you know for as long as i can remember i was like complete confused i mean um i times i dissect this a lot when I'm talking to people about why am I doing what I'm doing.

8:49And I am remarkably confused about why we are here. And I have been that confused since as long as I can remember. And I think that's the question. What is the physical process? The physical process gives rise to life. In the same way, what is the physical process that gives rise to the sun? The process I know that gives rise to the sun is nuclear fusion and gravity. so hydrogen falls together gravity increases energy the temperature increases there'll be a point where the the temperature is such that you can break this the strong nuclear force a fusion occurs the thing explodes there's so much gravity it doesn't fall apart you've got this kind of like this two things working together you have a sun so i want to know life is about seemingly doing lots of chemistry lots of possibilities and not like running out of material so why how do these things balance together and i'm very inspired by that because i think it's uh the answer or at least a plausible mechanism where right now we're not asking mechanisms we're almost being and i hesitate to say this because i hate that the notion that chemists and original life people being pseudo-religious in their oh it was this thing worked backwards i'm like no no no that doesn't make sense as a scientist i have to ask myself and it's the hardest question that a being can ask themselves right why do i exist it's easy for me to pick up an object and say why does that exist but why do i exist and i think that that's something that I'm maybe a bit of a kind of just want to get beaten up over because that you know I get so many arguments over this well I'm glad that we've taken the time to sort of had this

10:45Lee Cronin:introductory discussion because it helps me think of a roadmap for this conversation because there are two things that I really want to get to which are artificial intelligence and aliens and they're not at least obviously connected to chemistry. But I think an interesting way to go about getting to those topics is discussing, one, what were the maybe dominant theories, if there were any, about these general origin of life processes before you started working, what the problems were with them, and then how your work in chemistry sort of intervened. and the path you're on now but so let's start with that that first one what were or are the the dominant theories on how life can come into existence across the origin across the universe yeah so i think most people i think there's a number of different approaches the first is that people say that life is absolutely unique to earth there is no life elsewhere um which is like i can i can accept that that's a um a a reasonable suggestion because we don't know of any life elsewhere and then but let's let's just park that for a second say well why why is life here well there's evolution and there's chemical evolution and there's a need for certain um processes to occur for evolution to break the barrier but from kind of sand to kind of genetics and so i think what predominantly people would think about say like you know the the the the the genetic world or the the the um the peptide world or the kind of and then the the metabolic world so you've got these kind of different worlds going on and maybe the i would induce another world which i think is not used enough because i think it's interesting which is the self world now never used that before in any i don't think exists so you have kind of like um metabolism genetics proteins and self now the self people will be about cells but i think it goes more than that because self the the when matter has a self matter can become alive so yes i think this self is very interesting and i'm not really sure um that anyone else has thought about in chemistry and i feel a bit lonely because chemists seem to have been put in a box where you just need to do chemistry and you have the philosophers that can think and you have the physicists that can compute and the computer scientists that can tell you're all basically not going to be alive and and the poor chemists have to make drugs so you don't die which is kind of depressing actually so bottom my role is to be a rat is to be a radical and just say actually the origin of life is because of chemistry everything you have is because of chemistry and am i a chemical egotist oh yeah so then how do you formulate or go about considering how chemistry or the principles of chemistry should function in this theory for how life begins across the universe yeah so i think it's very simple actually um i think if you imagine the universe at the beginning where everything was very simple and you had some energy and then energy and matter would combine and i and i i'm be told about this when i collaborate a lot particularly um um sarah walker i've been working with in arizona arizona state university because we kind of came at this at the same time where when i met sarah she kind of she blew my mind because she said stuff and i didn't understand any words he said semantically but it's like i was like hearing a melody which i understood instinctively right it's kind of weird when you meet someone who's like because that's what happens when you have the cross disciplines i spend a lot of my time being clueless and oh oh, that sounds really cool.

14:57I think I get it, but I don't understand the words, but I kind of get it. And the origin of life is a bit like that because what is life is a really important question because, you know, I can pick some. I'm in my workshop just now, so my favorite things I've just 3D printed, like this grid. I'm making a chemical brain on this grid. You can see all the holes in it. This is like a 3D object. I just printed it. It's kind of cool, but it's not alive. It's dead. But it's a living artifact. This artifact doesn't exist anywhere else in the universe that required a you know a stereographic 3d printer required me to actually write the code so when you're coming what to life is chemically i think it's about molecules that can survive or networks of molecules that survive over a period of time that can actually affect their past if you like or affect the ecosystem that produced them so that they then create more um um possibilities survive in the environment because the environment is the enemy the environment is the leveler the environment will kill you unless you understand how the environment is going to change you will die and human beings good examples right a friend of mine i was talking to about it it's like it's actually it's not it's become a friend over many years he's a physicist he's like if i leave oxford and i'm not you know i don't have not equipped i'll just get dissolved by the atmosphere you know run out of fuel and stuff and i was like david that's kind of like that's a bit ridiculous because you go to the hospitals but there were no hospitals and then you know so so i think molecules that can assemble and form networks that replicate themselves or do something to propagate themselves in the future that resist death in the environment is what life is and there's two words i'll say there life is about persistence from existence so you bridge you produce a thing that exists great well done but then it has to persist long enough to be effective to do something else and i think that's really actually the answer to

17:12Lee Cronin:what life is in a way so first just a terminological question you said that this grid that you displayed a moment ago was a living artifact and i don't think that you're i think your use of words is probably careful so i want to ask about it you think of this thing as it's not alive but it to me I would want to say it's an artifact of life rather than a living artifact. So I just want to understand why you chose to describe it that way. No, I would actually say that your terminology is correct. This is an artifact of life. It's not living because I created it. And so you're absolutely right. But if you think about it, if I was to freeze every molecule, sorry, if I was to say, okay, Robinson, freeze.

18:06and i and i was looking at you and i rotate you around and be like this yeah there's like right so so you're absolutely right and this artifact is a product of living technology is not alive in itself but it's a part of a living system and one of the biggest mysteries we're facing is what is the difference between molecules that are taking part in living systems and the products of living systems and are they related and i guess my what i was doing as a shortcut saying yeah this is as live as my you know my hair is right and but but this is not autonomous my hair is autonomous because my body has hair follicles and hair grows this requires me to go to my 3d printer put in the stl file and print it and so i think you're quite right to point that out and there's a continuum of um you know a biogenesis life and then technology which this is and this is not um standalone technology is intrinsically connected to life by this process

19:10Lee Cronin:so i think that's a very nice way of putting it so thanks well another question then maybe this is a good way to help me understand a bit more what you mean by matter comes alive when it has a self and what's the difference or where do you locate the self in the hair follicle that's not there in the grid oh my gosh i think the self in the hair follicle is 4.3 billion years old and i think actually the grid here this is also 4.3 billion years old you just can't tell by looking at it right if you were to say oh this doesn't look like this 4.3 billion years old it's a grid few bits it's not that complicated whereas we looked at the hair follicle and the genetics and what was going on you would require this lineage going backwards and this is the biggest mystery of life in a way that we are still grappling with this understanding of you know if you look around you i mean if i'm in my workshop just now there's there's crazy things everywhere these things are the most um improbable things in the universe in a way and so these improbable things are created by humans or living systems um as a technology and so in a way the way i look at it is you have this kind of inorganic dead matter biology or the origin of life then single cellularity and then going all the way up to memes and technology and none the meme cannot exist without the biology which is kind of wild because people are there's this meme but it's all layers this grid although it looks simple could not exist without 4.3 billion years of evolution that's radical like that really can't exist people say always an argument it can but it can't i mean it requires me to make it in my 3d printer i i think sarah and i disagreed a bit about this and it sounds like you might too that i mean i think it can exist without life at least if our theories of physics are correct in the form of like a a boltzman grid something to that effect um no i i mean i i think your discussion with sarah was really inspiring because i think you got to a lot of the the the nuances of what this what physics can do what chemistry can do what biology can do i really thought it was fascinating um and so i don't i think that we have a blind spot right now is that we do not we have all this stuff around us like i have so many interesting objects i can pick up around me like oh yes my favorite thing here i've got now i found this is this cartridge called open drop i it's a microfluidic programmable device i can just put droplets around sure a boltzman brain could come up with that but it really required a human being to design it and the back has got a see-through back look at the technology in the back all those microprocessors in the back there that they don't appear from nowhere and so whilst i i'm really sympathetic to your view that things can spring in what i realized in my work with sarah is like that's impossible and i think the that we have been totally misunderstanding how reality works probably since the renaissance or maybe actually no back to aristotle um which is kind of a wild claim and given i'm a chemistry professor who doesn't have any philosophy um and is arguably quite poorly trained in all things i i'm i i'm kind of hesitant but what i would say is that um what controls that so if you go back to the grid this is super simple it looks like a simple grid you can do an xyz here right it's a grid it can make a cube great fine who wrote the grid where did the material come from how is it fabricated and what time and energy to have available and then when she did that what technology gave rise to that and what technology gave rise to that and what technology gave rise to that and you end up back at the stone age And so my argument is that these technologies are contingent upon prior technologies, and we are totally, or the vast majority of people looking at them, are unaware that technologies we use today are the product of not just evolution biologically, but technological development over time.

24:03If you woke up tomorrow and every lithographic, every fabrication facility that gave rise to silicon chips was erased, and someone's just taking them away, say, sorry, Lee, sorry, Robinson, no more chips. Cope with the chips you have. But you're allowed to come up with a new process to make chips whilst these chips are alive. that would be amazing because humans would go oh my god we've got to basically redo all this technology you know it's like and so we do not understand or correctly quantify the lineage of technology that goes from one stage to another and that for me is totally wild as a chemist it blew my mind when i realized the dependence of one chemistry set on another was this thing about how time and contingency work together, if that makes any sense to you.

24:59Lee Cronin:Well, I don't want this conversation to depend too much on Sarah's, but one other thing that comes to mind, since you brought up memes, we've been talking about the self, and then your story of sort of replication and persistence, it reminds me of the selfish gene hypothesis, hypothesis uh which sarah thought was a good narrative but didn't have too much experimentation really to back it up if i recall correctly i don't want to put words into her mouth but it does sound somewhat like it resonates with your own theory of what life is so i'm i'm wondering if you think that's fair or if you think it's wrong in some significant way um is the selfish drone gene wrong in some significant way no i don't think it's wrong but i think it's very much a collapse of a high dimensional problem into a low one um and i think there is so much more going on um so what i mean is that matter has to make this transition from this maelstrom of gray goo if you like or just atoms and energy i mean if you think about it go back to the origin of the universe there's hydrogen where the air would go both matters plasma gluons suddenly you have hydrogen and if you adopt that that approach you have the the hydrogen produced after the big bang the hydrogen collapses produces stars the stars burn through their fuel and explode and produce higher elements those higher elements do something something something that is the biggest transformation in the universe ever they bring in combinatorial diversity because you can make lots of different bonds that transition when the first stars exploded and dumped combinatorial stuff into the universe the universe suddenly became big we all thought the universe is small it's big in space but actually we don't understand space correctly no one i know does i understand space i think probably not as wild as some crazy professors out there but i think the universe in terms of causal space is small it's only when it made chemical bonds and matter and elements that we suddenly were able to make stuff happen and so the selfish gene is really very late in that process the selfish gene does not correctly capture the um uh the other things that had to happen to get there but it does correctly capture this nuance that matter wants to persist in time so i don't think it's wrong i just think it's super well defined for a particular part in its timeline i remember talking to risha dawkins about this and i was like that's really great like you nailed it but what happened before and he's like i don't know so so it's very it's very fuzzy it's toward as you put it toward the end of the timeline and it kind of jumps over this step from primordial soup to replicators and you're interested in the chemistry that that arises when you have this big combinatorial space, but you don't have the replicators yet.

28:24Lee Cronin:And you're wondering what facets of chemistry lead from soup to replicators. Yeah, I mean, if I was to put money on it, I would say that the emergence of life or the emergence of complexity associated with life or selection, whichever word you want to give, because life is extreme um actually because biologists say aliens everywhere i don't think necessarily but the fact is that stars are all over the universe and i think the selection wherever there's energy and matter there's selection and so what i'm beginning to realize is selection is everywhere and you just need an you just need matter and energy and you're going to get evolution in the end for me that's radical but obvious um and it allows us to remove this afro-morphization that we have on earth and our local solar system and we need to start looking in our universe for evidence of selection beyond what we expect for the you know the m class star and with james webb and other things we're going to do that and i think it's fascinating but i do think we are the precipice of i mean we understand the chemistry sorry we are the precipice of understanding that gravity operates in the entire universe i don't think a single physicist using this will go no i think we're going to be not that far away from understanding chemistry and biology or the chemistry gives rise to biology is present everywhere in the universe there's biology everywhere and this idea that aliens exist great yes or no it's like it's kind of a bizarre question i argue with people about this a lot it's like we accept that black holes exist and we've never seen one we are life and we basically go as life exists and now you're looking at it wrong does heterogeneity and matter exist does selection exist if those two things exist together you will have life whether it's complex whether it produces tiktok or whatever meme you want or youtube i don't know it'll be different but the fact is with these features you will have life in the universe it is not optional it just is what the universe does i'm i'm with you i mean it i think it will it depends i mean it's an empirical question that will depend on how big the universe is.

31:00Lee Cronin:But I'm with you that it seems much more likely than not that there is going to be lots of life out there. A lot of it might depend on if we're going to be really parochial with regard to what we define life as. Does it have to be carbon-based or something else? But before we talk about those questions about aliens, I want to go back to this fuzzy part of the selfish gene theory. And I want to ask, so in the lab, you have access to this primordial ooze. You have a bunch of chemicals that you can synthesize or collect. But we haven't, as far as I'm aware, created something that everybody would agree is artificial life in a lab.

31:46Lee Cronin:So what I'm wondering is what the current status of experimentation and theorization is in this field and where your work is fitting into it and bridging this gap. Yeah, I mean, I never wanted to work in Origin of Life, actually. It's kind of weird, right? I wanted to solve life. I think it's one of the reasons I started collaborating with Sarah, actually. is like i found the origin of life extremely hard work because you had all these practitioners who had these requirements and i was like i didn't know anything i was like why don't i just basically put a load of chemistry in a pot heat it up and see what happens so i think the major issue of the origin of life is that people have preconceived ideas in and if you say to someone say well well what look for the origin of life they're great okay what is life and if they can't adequately give you an answer it's like if you can't give me an answer to what life is how can you look at the origin of it so they might say okay well look i'm gonna just take what i know on earth for i just take dna rna proteins whatever cells i want to look at those i'm like how would you know that it's like it's a bit like me saying i want to look at the origin of music but look at sony minidisc i'm not sure if your your listeners viewers will ever know what i mean just is right or a or a vinyl record or spotify but everyone knows music when they hear it and so i found that really quite them founding and as a chemist you know it's like what are you what what are you what what what is i guess it comes down to this can we just find what life is rather than obsessing about what we think life is because we see it now um and and i think that's um something we're starting to crack so i i that's one of the reasons i'm not an origin of life researcher i'm characterized origin of life researcher i've debated with um you know religious creationists calls me an origin of life research research researcher i beg your pardon i i'm just a chemist who wants to know how sand turns into cells and i want and i believe and it and it's becoming beyond the belief because for me belief is something i do not have proof for i'm not you know as i i have a lot of religious friends i talk to and they're like and people i talk to are not religious they say how dare you debate religious people i'm like no no no science is here religion is here they do this they never touch but they're very close together and that getting close together is actually quite useful um so i think that people do not understand what life is they are too amper they amper for more too much they put too much weight on what they know and they don't think generally enough and i think that is very frustrating and ever since i was like as long as i can remember i didn't care about any of the the fluff i just want to know what is the mechanism by which sand becomes cells You can discuss the other stuff, Byron, you know, whatever, Halloween, Christmas, whatever, cultural manifestations.

35:03What is the process that turns dead stuff into living stuff?

35:09Lee Cronin:But what have you come up with in investigating this process or asking this question, how does sand turn into matter to cells? it's obviously matter already how does it turn into yeah yeah so i think sand turns into cells via process of continual um uh death if you like of the material and rebirth so you have this finite amount of stuff the way i think about it is let's make a sandbox for life so we know we got this box we've got this sand in there we're going to put an energy in a selection pressure so the material aggregates and it creates objects but then the environment is harsh and it destroys most of the objects the most objects are gone and they're returned back to the norm sad right but the entropy has increased universe has increased but some objects survive and those objects that survive are lucky or whatever happens but if those objects that survive can actually act in the environment to cause more of them survive then you get more complexity and then just imagine it happens again and again and again you have this hierarchy of complexity on complexity on complexity and you know what the cell the biological cell which is one of the meat the most complicated things we know in the universe that people say is impossible to have formed without intervention is merely or fantastically for me i'm in awe of it the process of matter randomly forming aggregates being killed by the environment and the the stuff that isn't killed gets propagated to the next day and it can somehow act in the environment to create more of itself by replication or whatever a network and that basically process of creation destruction survival propagation is the core of turning sand into cells and happens everywhere in the universe and it's completely obvious if matter wants to become more complicated and we see on earth i mean look at us we're so complicated we have you know elon coming up with memes we have the people in china coming up with memes we we have humans creating stuff language culture technology you know competing you know whose electric car is the best whose chemical is the best it's fascinating to watch and so i i think that we are actually discovering the physical processes that give rise to biology and our own technology competing with our resources on earth because although earth is big and there's lots of resources is we have to somehow cooperate together you know whether it's like china saying well you're not going to let rare earths go to us and us goes okay we will invent new materials that have rare earth-like properties using carbon they might do right so there's this kind of interplay between this supply and demand this action and inaction which means that life is not special it's just a a very general phenomena of selection.

38:26Lee Cronin:When you finally find your thing, you want the whole world to know about that thing. So you use a thing called Canva to make it an even bigger and better thing. Whether you want to create flyers for that thing, make presentations for that thing, or design merch for that thing, you can do anything. So people can see your thing, feel your thing, love your thing. The next thing you know, It's a thing. Canva, the thing that makes anything a thing. You thought this was your run club era. Turns out, it was more of a thinking about run club era. The good news? Someone's marathon training is about to start.

39:07Sell your workout gear on Depop. Just snap a few photos and we'll take care of the rest. They get their race day fit and you get a payout for trying. Someone on Depop wants what you've got. Start selling now. Deepop, where taste recognizes taste.

39:28Lee Cronin:As you've said a few times throughout our conversation, this chemical combinatorial space is absolutely huge. So what is it that in your lab you're trying to characterize about this process? process is it the the types of bonds or structures that facilitate this process of making matter more suitable to persistence and replication because i'm sure you're not coming up with a a list of chemicals um that that are more like well maybe i'm wrong that are that we're more likely to find on on earth that will reproduce in in this early stage yeah so i mean what we're trying to do is literally come up with like chemical reactors that will mix and match chemicals change the environment and then see how things survive over time to capture selection for me the the the process gives rise to life is very similar to the process gives rise to a star not because well certainly in terms of analogy because you think about it if someone says to you are there stars in the universe wow how do they form you can say well hydrogen gravity detonation no explosion you know equilibrium so i'll say how's life exist well matter heterogeneity energy survival and reproduction and those are the only things you really need so what i'm trying to create in the lab is those processes working together now to be clear we are on a path where i think it's working but i'm do not think i have the answer i think i'm observing in the lab thanks to the collaborations i have and the team i'm working with evidence that this is that indeed the process that gives rise to biology but i mean you know i've been wrong more than i'm right but if i well oh i was going to say let's just say that you you live for 10 000 years a million years and you can continue running and iterating upon this series of experiments you've been doing in your research program, would the ultimate goal be sort of refining until you have this recipe for creating an existence proof that you've figured out the sort of process?

41:53Yeah, I don't know. Actually, that's a really good point. I mean, so sadly, I think I want to live for a long time, but I think I have to make a better fist of it than that. But yeah, right now in my lab, we're designing experiments that will reveal selection. And the evidence of selection, how it works, almost like evidence that... I think what I'm trying to do is invent gravity, right? It seems a bit weird. In the same way as Newton did. and it goes sounds really weird oh god i'm getting people tell me off but anyway i i mean just for god i want to discover what selection is in the same way that newton discover what gravity is and although newton did not see a star form i don't think anyone's going to argue with him then or now that the way that gravity that the stars are formed by gravity collapsing material causing nucleation so he can do something like that would be good um i don't think we need 10 ,000 years or a million years i think we need a bit longer one of my interesting questions is how long do we need to show chemistry becoming complicated before everyone we talk to even the strongest skeptic will go oh yeah that is correct that is the right way it would work and for me that's more of a dialogue with society and other skeptics right because one of the things i love about being a scientist is that i'm constantly arguing with colleagues about what are we looking for what is the experiment what do they care about and so i have an idea but it's almost certainly wrong but i i'm going to try as long as i can so i mean i actually if i was going to be really brave i think we are right now today as in what's the date we're talking about october uh 2025 i think we're doing experiments right now that have proven that life can emerge from sand now i don't think anyone's gonna understand that for maybe 10 or 20 years and indeed that process is required right because who am i i'm just some random chemist shoveling like sand into a well look at that but i think i think that the processes the physical processes are we can understand on our time scale we don't need we don't need 10 000 years or 100 ,000 years but but in the same way um it took a bit of time when Einstein came up with oh did it again right Einstein came up with relativity everyone would have gone so what but when we started throwing satellites into orbit they started frame dragging and losing their time just imagine if we started throwing satellites into space with no idea relativity and everyone's like why is the time drifting and everyone went I had to go oh phenomenologically there's something wrong with gravity and it required relativity so in a way we've got this similar problem in life and and i think that we just haven't been looking at it correctly i could be wrong but that's my view so ask your question very long i don't think we need 10 000 years i think we just need people to be willing to um um kind of get behind the question but right now there's really weird reasons why chemists aren't getting right in the question sociological reasons right i never saw physicists arguing about whether it was an interesting question to ask how stars form in chemistry we seem to have chemists go arguing about whether the origin of life is a reasonable question or not which is wild to me of course it's reasonable there are two sort of directions

45:42Lee Cronin:in which I'd like to head right now. I'm not sure. Maybe they're the same direction. But I want to ask where two things fit into what we've been discussing. One is assembly theory, which I discussed a bit with, well, more than a bit, but with Sarah in the last episode. But another thing is you started the conversation by talking a bit about an interest in programming. And that brings to mind computation, Camputation, which is a word I've never said out loud, perhaps a word you coined. I'm not sure. But where do these two things figure into what we've been discussing? Oh, yeah, that's so I mean, that's pretty deep.

46:25Yeah. So computation is a word I coined. And actually, it's kind of embarrassing where I coined it, because you like I coined this word. And then I realized it was a thing. and i got talking to david deutsch who was like yeah yeah of course exists i was like okay you now have to write the theory i was like thanks david the david deutsch is a physicist who believes in um is building a language of physics called constructor theories about transformations exist that can make stuff happen and if there's a transformation something happen happens and you know i've been talking for date to david a lot about this and david doesn't want to talk about assembly theory but sociological reasons will about computation is so funny um so let's go back so yeah because i mean dave is a super he's a brilliant scientist and a brilliant philosopher and a brilliant thinker but like everybody he's human right so you know he does he will not he will accept a challenge but some things doesn't recharge them not because he doesn't agree like that's 100 wrong it's just like he only wants to put his effort into a thing that he thinks is important which is which is fine i'm the same right we all have egos our egos push ourselves in certain ways but coming to assembly theory um assembly theory is a very simple theory that makes lots of people kind of like happy because it's so obvious and lots of other people angry because it's so obvious that it can't possibly write and all assembly theory says at this core is to say hey causation is fundamental that's it it doesn't say anything else and what it says is like when you see a complex object on its own you don't know anything about its history like you just say let's say you get beamed into alpha centauri let's just say you're in star trek robinson and you're like there and captain kirk says just go down to the surface of the planet you're like okay and some you go down and someone gives you a complex object you're like oh that's cool and there's a thousand of them you're like oh was this made by a life form or was it randomly created by the laws of physics and if the number of different parts in the object is high enough such that random chance can put them together and the number is large enough then you know for sure that it was created by evolution or technology and that's all assembly theory does and when sarah and i kind of propagated invented this theory we put it out there the entire universe kind of fell out with us as it were all the humans and they're like you know complexity exists i was like really what complexity and people have been misunderstanding complexity evolution and assembly for the last hundred years before freeman dyson died i wrote to freeman actually and told him about some stuff i was working on with metal oxides and self-replication he loved it and i then oh i start off with conversation freeman that's cool he's a hero so i wrote back to him i've got this new idea for complexity and he wrote back dr conan do not try and work on complexity it is not worth working on for the last 50 years people be working on complexity and all they've found out is that there is no complexity it's just people being silly or something to that extent and i was like a bit sad because actually i don't think freeman is indeed correct what assembly just says is like look if i give you an object can you somehow interrogate that object to work out how long it took to make it in a in a kind of like in a in a in a kind of no technology environment just randomly and number two how many of those objects can you find your surroundings because even though if let's take this if you take this object we've got this microprocessor here i can take the part out i'll do it i'll take the bias this is the cartridge i've taken out of this thing right to plug in it's really quite intricate there's lots of things that clearly been manufactured um that didn't randomly form right but the average physicist would say hey there's a probability this could form randomly and i was told the average physicist the probability of this forming randomly is precisely zero not small zero and assembly theory just basically explains that and we really are then able to build a new understanding of what is going on in our physical universe rather than being deluded by

51:07Lee Cronin:probability in physics which is not correct so just to understand this this number zero Even if the universe were infinite in spatial extent and in mass, you would still think the probability is zero? If it was infinite in spatial extent and mass and time, sure. You'd have loads of them. Great. But that's not true, right? And we know the universe, and infinite is a big number. um so the problem is the human mind has the ability to think of infinite where it doesn't have the ability to deliver infinite and so um and i've i've mentioned this right some physicists like there's some great physicists out there like sean carroll and you know frank wilczek and um carlo revelli that think about these things and timelessness but i think they're wrong because time is a finite resource because if the infinite universe is all that required we would have far more interesting things existing than we have now and i think that the fact that we have interesting things exist at all is a testament to physical reality and selection um so i think infinite is a very very hard word and it never exists the only thing that's infinite in the universe is our ability to take a given environment interrogate it in an infinite different ways because of the commentorial complexity but no there is not infinite mass there's not infinite energy which means we don't have infinite opportunities and getting that in our heads and kind of conveying that to people is i think it's quite sobering because there is a big universe and sarah and i have calculated the the possibility of of developing things in a in the universe we have now.

53:11And it's really small, quite humbling, actually. We could be wrong because there could be an infinite universe hiding behind the finite universe. But it means that we've seen no evidence of an infinite universe and infinite time. We've seen evidence of a finite universe and finite time.

53:30Lee Cronin:Well, getting into the very basic nuts and bolts of assembly theory, what constitutes a step in assembly yeah that's great um the assembly in assembly theory an assembly theory is something that i invented um i mean i invented it in a many years ago um running up some steps in japan running back because long before i would talk to people about it thinking about what is a step and i thought i was maybe wrong but a step is like what is the minimum amount of information you can specify to connect two objects together in a way and even then i'm not sure that's an adequate explanation but i have a series of letters or numbers or things i labels a step would be me deciding to take two of those things and combine them together in a binary fashion so let me take the letter l and the letter e to make my name lee i'm going to make le so step would be the combination of l and e and then a second step would be the combination of e and le to make lee and so that would be a that would be a kind of a way we we look at it in terms of a step a step would be a thing where you actually create some constraint to create an object from a uh from the background but even then if you ask me some days i mean i wake up some days i go i have no clue what assembly theory is who invented it it's a silly idea and i'm confused and i would talk to sarah about she's like relax it's okay it's just hard i've got this view you have this view it's we bring it together but it is a non-intuitive um idea at the at the core but suddenly becomes really intuitive that everyone seems to be understanding so the axioms of assembly theory are objects can be broken down into parts that they are composed of number one number two we can take the objects of the base and combine them together in binary steps and only binary steps and number three the object has the shortest path for being produced by the shortest number of those steps together a great way of looking at is the word abracadabra because you say i can take the letters of the base i'm going to combine them together on a graph there's 11 letters in abracadabra but actually if i combine them from the graph with reuse i can do it in seven steps because you have abracadabra and the bra was already made earlier when you put them together so you get a reuse for free or just one unit and so it's a bit like about that information that exists by in the universe the memory it creates so assembly theory says hey you So causation is fundamental, number one.

56:33Number two, copy number of the object, the number of objects you can make, indicates the selections occurred. And number three, there is a causal process at a higher level that allows it to exist in time and exists in the environment, which happens to be the selection process that goes there. and that's kind of where the assembly theory came from at the beginning.

57:01Lee Cronin:No one goes to Hank's for his spreadsheets. They go for a darn good pizza. Lately though, the shop's been quiet so Hank decides to bring back the$1 slice. He asks Copilot in Microsoft Excel to look at his sales and costs to help him see if he can afford it. Copilot shows Hank where the money's going and which little extras make the dollar slice work. Now Hank's has a line out the door. Hank makes the pizza. Copilot handles the spreadsheets. Learn more at m365copilot.com slash work. Marvel Television's Wonder Man. An eight-episode series. Now streaming on Disney+. A superhero remake. Not exactly what we'd expect from an Oscar-winning director.

57:40Lee Cronin:Action! Simon Williams audition for Wonder Man. I'm gonna need you to sign this. Assuming you don't have superpowers. I'll never work again if anyone found out. My lips are sealed.

58:02Lee Cronin:What constitutes an object in assembly theory? I think the example that comes to mind is, would you consider a chess set, so the board and all the pieces, an object above and beyond just the individual pieces and the board? yeah so i think this is the critical question i i think we're going to keep refining over time but if you were to push me on it now an object is a thing that i can measure with a technique number one chessboard would work and equally if i can also imagine how to dissect that object into the parts that would be um very important number two because a molecule is an object and the thing is like you know this is why i said to you at the beginning i wish i was a philosopher because i came up with the idea molecules as objects i'm like it's like what's an object i don't know i just made it up but it seems right but what i'm doing now is like trying to understand where it's like it is a fundamental problem like like um and and actually sarah is writing the philosophy of this right now she's nailed it she's great um but an object needs to be distinguishable and it needs to be kind of uh it can be broken into parts into atoms um and it needs to be finite and there and that that was just what i saw and the more we applied it more it works the chest set is a good example a chest set is an object is correct is composed of a board of all the parts on the board i can take them off and i can put them together and understand they're constructed and i have a path to do that same way say a molecule of dna or a computer chip so so an object is a thing that can be interrogated by observation at the correct level to understand how that thing was assembled and i think that and that and that's what my definition of object is right now but but it needs to be much tighter than that philosophically right i mean you know my way better than me that getting these definitions correct is critical for the next set?

1:00:16Lee Cronin:I mean, there are just a lot of fascinating questions here to me. And on the one hand, I want to say, sure, in our everyday speech, I want to say that a chess set is an object. But in the sense that chemistry or physics wants to get at the world in a mind independent sort of way if you take all of the pieces of a chessboard and scatter them across the the world sure i might still think of it as a connect as an object not a necessarily a connected object but it wouldn't really make that much sense to think of it as an object independent of the human mind since these things are also spatially disparate i don't know yeah so that yeah yeah no that's perfect right because objects are things that can be selected on and so if you took the chess set and scattered it over the world it'd no longer be an object unless you have a super intelligent alien in light chess they'll pick up the board and pick up the piece and say no we're going to play right and so i think that if if the ensemble of atoms can be a selected upon and then it's an object.

1:01:36So I think selection really saves us in that regard. And so for me, I'm completely happy. You know, the invention of assembly theory was an invention that came from, initially from me. It's not very good. Spoke to one of my students, got a bit better. Spoke to Sarah. She's like, no, let's do it again. Made it better as well. and so the the the the conception was to understand the amount of causation required to make things over time that could also cause things themselves so if you took your object and spread it out so it couldn't do much the causal power would go down and so i think there is an argument which you were just invented because you asked me the question i haven't thought about this way is that objects have to have causal power in a new way as well.

1:02:29And that may figure in the definition, which is kind of exciting. But, you know, I mean, I must admit that this week, I wouldn't say I'm depressed on assembly theory. I would just say I don't understand it this week. And that's not for you. It's just like I invent lots of theories all the time. And at times I zoom in and out and I wake up and go, what on earth was I talking about? And then you have the entire internet telling you, yes, Lee, this is complete nonsense. What are you talking about? And what I did, I actually, yesterday, as I was talking to one of my team members and said, well, what do I mean?

1:03:07And I'm like, no, no, relax. You're like, assembly theory is about causation. It's about the number of different parts in your object. I'm like, yeah, I remember that. It's about the number of objects you encounter. I was like, yeah, cool. I can remember that. And then it's about the causal, about how you observe it in the environment, how selection builds them. and they can then create networks of things that act on themselves to create bigger combatorial spaces where you have selection. I was like, ah, that's kind of cool. But for me, you know, the, I would say for me, I'm so not equipped to be doing theory because I am so out of my comfort zone.

1:03:49It's not that I don't feel confident in it. It's just like, I just don't know what I'm talking about some days.

1:03:58Lee Cronin:Yeah, okay. Well, I'm finding this very interesting, even if you feel like you don't know what you're talking about on some days or in some area. I mean, the reason that I asked, I mean, there are many reasons why I asked what a step is in assembly is that I just also had some similar sort of philosophical questions. For instance, I don't know how I told you my last chemistry class was in high school and I don't know if if water is formed when two hydrogen atoms bond to an oxygen atom or how exactly it works but um if a step is just some sort of chemical connection that seems very clear cut something is or isn't a step but if it's mere like spatial like things move closer to each other then it's kind of going to be vague like how close do the l and the le and the e have to be together before they become an object uh so that was just another question i was wondering no no that's perfect i think you'll really hit the nail on the head because i don't understand it and you do what i mean is that the chemical bond is a chemical attraction between two things there is a you have to put energy in to break that bond so yes the bond is the most important thing in molecular assembly because it does create an association between two things it's not it's not discretionary it happens it's defined by quantum mechanics so in the in the water it was quite good because if you have o2 and h2 and yes it is h2 it's not h dot so you have hydrogen molecules h2 and you have o2 so you have to bring in one o2 together and two h2s and then you make h2o because each one you have one oxygen molecule one and so two hydrogens and so the chemical bond and this is why i'm i need to learn philosophy because I'm a chemist who's realized that the origin of life, consciousness, and technology is defined by the bond coming from atoms, producing these ensembles, producing matter.

1:06:20And there's no body doing philosophy and chemistry. We're doing philosophy and physics and computer science till the cows come home. And I'm stuck here literally holding the bonds, like holding the baby going, but but what do i do with this an assembly theory is merely an effort to say ah these things become connected there's an entity that associates in the chemical bond they're not going to fall apart so they're not kind of like you know a happenstance they really exist in space and we can build objects on them build really elaborate things complex molecules ultimately computers human beings animals whatever stars and and it's based on the chemical bond and it's fascinating so an object if you want to go dig dig deeper would be a made of atoms connected by bonds with a finite lifetime that wouldn't break but i could break them into atoms so if i'm being a chemical chauvinist i would say an object from my view it's a collection of atoms atoms bonded together by the chemical bond and i could basically measure and determine really existed it wasn't ethereal i could hold it i could literally give it to you in a glass vial you know if it was you know i don't know caffeine or you know sugar or something right it's like here you go robinson here's my object there's a molecule in a vial and there's a number of copies and i think your clarification there is really important because the object isn't a weak association of objects there has to be an energy that's put them together and you can't just break them apart arbitrarily you need energy to break them apart and that's exactly the definition of a molecule okay very good very interesting one

1:08:09Lee Cronin:one last question that i've been wondering with regard wondering about assembly so just as a i I mean, a prototypical biological molecule, ATP. Do you happen to know off the top of your head its assembly index? It is 21. Okay, perfect. And just also helpful, what are some of the steps in the assembly of an ATP molecule? So ATP contains carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, and phosphorus. and so if you were to take the entire molecule and break it apart um there's lots of ways you could break it apart but there's just a there is a shortest way to get there so you go to the base the base of the tree you would have phosphorus nitrogen um oxygen carbon right and you combine them together and so you could do it in lots of different ways uh you get to the actual object But if you think about it, oxygen, phosphorus atom, another oxygen, dimer making the diphosphate, carbon make the ring, make the other ring, add the nitrogen and then have the sugar in there.

1:09:26And so that would be the way you look at it. You could make a graph taking all those atoms and combine them together. Now, that graph is somewhat arbitrary because you don't know the actual process that built it. all you know is that there was a process that built it because it has 21 steps and so that

1:09:46Lee Cronin:does that make some sense it does make some sense it does make sense and the reason that i was asking is i i think of there are plenty of naturally occurring molecules that have many many steps So, for instance, I think of a massive crystal in a geode as it's just very large. There are many steps. And what I'm wondering is, is there a rule in assembly theory that it only constitutes a new step if it's not repetition? Or a snowflake, for instance, might have many, many steps. It's a large molecule. So what is it that distinguishes the two in terms of assembly theory? yeah so i this allows me to uniquely bring in the assembly equation so in assembly theory we define two parameters we define the assembly index which is a number of steps to make the molecule and its copy number and then we then quantify those together to be a big a so a is about assembly and to this day i'm yet to really adequately explain what a is and again it's going to sound rather hubristic because i'm like a is like a is like it's like gravity right it's like this is the amount of selection per unit object per unit time and so um what i the way i look at that is to say look um when we talk about the the crystal or the snowflake you can get really high assembly index but actually unless you have a more than one copy identical it doesn't count so the assembly equation says is basically a is equal to the sum of yeah um e to the ai times ni minus one over nt so ni is a copy number minus one so it means say oh so ni minus one so if you don't have more than one together at zero over nt the collapse the equation collapses so what that means is if you have an object that has an assembly index of a thousand say you've got this very interesting diamond you've written all this stuff into but you only have one object then that doesn't count to causation that's just a random happenstance and so when i built the equation i actually built the equation looking at this and then inferred the equation from trying to understand physical reality and for me this is hard because i'm not a physicist i don't build a question physicists don't build equation well so chemists don't build equations i was like shit i think there's this new feature reality i need to build it looks like this and looks like this this is how reality is i'm gonna make i'm gonna make some math that fits my reality because i think a lot of people think that math creates reality and i'm like no and this is why i love listening to your podcast actually because you listen to lots of people out there like like tim maudlin is like no no no the actual reality is what you observe then you then capture that into mathematics and go back and there's it's not just tim but lots of people i think that gave me some heart because i'm like okay right way to look at it so when you're looking your geode and whatever if you don't if you unless you have identical objects they do not count and so the assembly equation just collapses so it's not about now the number of parts on the graph it's about the copy number because there is this um you know the thing um if you know you can have a lightning strike that strikes some gluttons and sand and makes a shape my favorite cup here is a very nice intricate cup you know let's just say a lightning strike produced something that looked like this is that an object from design though a lightning strike happened to basically you know produce an object well if i if lightning strikes could produce 100 of these those lightning strikes are no longer random they are some alien fabricating my cup right and so then you are oh the copy number is high the assembly index is high then we go up the assembly equation the assembly equation is the thing that measures selection in reality in the same way that the group the equation of gravity measures the force between objects in space-time that realization may be super happy is there a principled reason so so we haven't on earth like found a mine of coffee cups like yours but is there a principled reason why some other planet elsewhere in the universe with different chemical composition can't naturally have some sort of process that produces a very complicated structure abundantly?

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1:14:40Yes. So this is the thing. If I can convey it correctly, it will be Eureka. And if I do it badly, you'll be like, no. so the way you think about it is like the principled reason so let's just take this cup this cup has a number of different parts lots of different parts let's say it has a hundred different parts you would say hey really quickly what do you mean by what are the different parts when you refer to a part like i mean so if it pixels like and things painting on here and someone's did this bit and that bit so basically like why i said what objects so i would come together an object join them together and then put it in to the thing so i would actually say a

1:15:23Lee Cronin:number of different molecules like different types of molecules like the molecule the black molecules that whatever goes into ceramic yeah yeah and they're bonded together okay almost or you can think about like a screen where i have pixels and i put in the pixels and color them as a color whatever you want right it's just a series of controls and so the number one resistance i felt like assembly theory at the beginning was people said i don't believe there isn't a process that could produce a magic molecule with a high assembly great i understand that but let's go all the way down let's start with a mess of atoms at the base there's just a mess of atoms and they're all simple and so how do you get from simple atoms to a single object in abundance unless there's some design and that is the confounder that's what like i have argued with some of the most famous chemists on planet earth over the last five years on this and they all say oh but what about this magic and i'm like but all the atoms it's a bit like me saying to you hey robinson i would take you a whole load of atoms marbles bull bearings whatever i'm gonna glue them together randomly and make an object that's complicated but if i glue them together i physically have to have information to glue them together unless i glue them together and i happen to make a cup what is the probability that can happen and so i think that this is the number one bias that everybody is confounded by in assembly theory and i think that this is the reason why um i'm excited because i think it's interesting not right i was gonna say not wrong but let's just say interesting that's more humble so yeah so what you're saying oh i've got this object it plays on the panel it's complicated but i'm like but if it's complicated it needs to have had intention if you've got more than one copy if it's complicated and there's just only one copy it's a lightning strike in a in some sand and it gives you a beer glass that's fine i'm very happy to have a random beer glass well done you're lucky but no if you have copy number and they are identical then you know it's the product of evolution or technology and i have been pushing this out there now for about four or five years trying to get chemists to push back and give me examples where because they would say oh you know let's imagine planet a and the planet a has got all this different crust and chemicals and lightning and stuff and basically and we can make this molecule but i'm like well where from from these building blocks from carbon from atoms how does it make all the molecule a it will make molecule a but molecule A to a trillion.

1:18:23It has to make molecule A in abundance. And what do you do to the process to bias that process to make A in abundance rather than everything else? And that's where everyone falls down.

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1:20:10Lee Cronin:ATP, you said, has Assembly Index 21. What is the Assembly Index, or what are some Assembly Indices for very complicated, but still natural, non-alive substances? So I think some of the amino acids have an Assembly Index between 3 and 11. and they're found in meteorites all the time it's really interesting you have 20 amino acids 11 of them are really quite simple i think it's i forget the number but i think let's just say 11 between 9 and 11 and they basically are found in meteorites everywhere they're just simple but some of the amino acids have an assembly index of 14 15 and they are not found in the meteorites because the commentatorial space is just too large and um yeah and that's you know one of my colleagues a really good colleague is a lovely man is like i can make atp in my lab without any you know any information i'm like i mean sure show me the evidence where you can do it and that'd be great but you can't it's all confounding and i think so it's going to take some time but um yeah is there is a fair the the cutoff seems to be fairly strong when we did the experiment i mean i had the feeling because it's a bit like you know if you if we played we should think about what card game we could play where it's completely random needed some bluffing or was fairly deterministic and the the random ones are just going to be boring the deterministic ones are going to be frustrating the ones where we don't have complete information and we can cause things to happen via selection are the ones where we get we get non-trivial things to happen and i think that um that's what life does

1:22:13Lee Cronin:where now does computation come in and what is computation yeah computation is such a funny thing i mean i i kind of have a dual reality because i was arguing with david with david deutch actually the physicist um who's a kind of the originator of quantum computing well not the originator i think you're built on richard feyman and a few others but you really formalize it like a turing machine and um a few years ago i was like i want to build a computer to do chemistry and i realized oh it's a chemputer because it's physical and then i thought the act of actually doing chemistry um similar to compute will be called computation and um and the nice thing about computation is i could then write down the mathematical the calculus of computation because right now chemists i kind of will put this together like what is the temperature pressure blah blah blah it's not completely quantified and so i i invented this um formalism if you like to say well can we come up with a programming language for chemistry because i was frustrated that chemists can't reproduce each other's work and they're kind of i was having a parallel life if you like like assembly theory evolution everything is kind of you know anarchism and anarchism and the other life was like i program everything uh because i'm because david is taking making fun of me on this quite you know radically so computation is merely the process of taking some chemical inputs some information and turning them into molecules and doing it such a way that it is um true and complete um and because if it's true and complete i can then build on it and make it abstract and i can make machines at a high level a bit like um uh you know uh well it's a cybernetic computer but with chemistry and so computation the act of doing that and i want to be able to make molecules reliably without any ambiguity so that's computation it sounds very sexy but it's really simple it's like calculation so it's sort of

1:24:26Lee Cronin:simulating chemical processes in the abstract is that at all close to what's going on no i think it's more than simulating it's a bit like well let's think about it if you you think in your head i'm going to add you're going to add two plus three is that a simulation or are you actually adding two plus three what computation is is literally saying i'm going to take this molecule and add this molecule with this amount of energy i know this happens so the the the certainty that you have to two plus three is five is the same thing is if I take carbonic acid and add it to amine, I make an amide if the temperature is high enough.

1:25:06And so it's not really necessarily just a simulation. It is an algebra that connects two numbers or two molecules and makes a new molecule. It's as deterministic as that.

1:25:24Lee Cronin:Okay, I'm sorry for being so obtuse. But so it's actually a physical device that takes chemicals as inputs and gives you an output? Yeah, you're not being obtuse. I mean, because we're talking about two different things. We're talking about the idea of a Turing machine, which is virtual. So a chemical Turing machine is virtual. A physical Turing machine is a computer that does it. And so, no, I, in my lab right now, have a physical device that does exactly that. It takes two molecules as in the air and makes them. So I made the virtual machine to say, look, let's just imagine the language we would need to create a computer and then go ahead and do it.

1:26:05And we went and did it. So, no, you're not being obtuse. Okay, that's what I mean by simulation. Yeah, yeah, yeah, great.

1:26:12Lee Cronin:Yeah, correct. That's what we do. Okay, that is so cool. And how does that connect with assembly theory? How are you using it? Is it a way of kind of not having to perform very complicated experiments? so it originally had nothing to do assembly theory i i just i i it was kind of weird and i built computation as a way of coming up with a play a way of programming chemistry because i wanted to make a search engine for the origin of life i wanted to make a google for chemistry so i was like i just want to just do stuff in algebra i'll just go through but then when and that came first actually the the search engine but then when i realized that assembly theory told me that not only do molecules have a a measurable complexity their assembly index that assembly index is the minimum number of operations as needed to put them together in principle right without any other information i was like oh in a computer you really want to work out what's the shortest program to make the molecule and i realized that computation assembly theory we're going to converge so that's kind of like you know assembly theory is really like if you say hey lee can you make this molecule and i'd be like okay what's the assembly index oh it's this okay the number of unit operations fine here's my computer i can feed the computer the information to make the molecule with this number of steps let's see if it works with a high fidelity or some error correction and so i realized there was a really deep connection between assembly theory and computation in the same way this might blow your mind or you might just go i'm making stuff up there's a connection between quantum computation and error correction on the qubits because when you do a quantum computation you have to error correct on the qubits which is not clear that it's going to work by the way quantum computing does not work today quantum computation does in my lab and i can error correct and make molecules it's a bit cumbersome it looks a bit daft but i can make really complicated molecules with error correction because of what i know from computation which for me was like oh cool i can now do information theory on chemistry the same way that physicists have been doing information theory on on photons and atoms for the last 30 years, but not actually doing it.

1:28:39They're just doing it in their heads.

1:28:43Lee Cronin:Well, we come to another fork in the road, because this is a place where I might be interested in talking about AI and how it functions in this sort of work. Or we could talk a bit about aliens and how assembly theory fits into the search for alien life. And I think either way, there's going to be plenty of room for a part two to delve into those topics in greater depth. But what do you think is more approximate to what we've been discussing, aliens or AI? I think they both work, but I think it might be worth going into AI and we can see if we get into aliens or we can do it another day because I think the alien thing comes naturally out.

1:29:26But AI is something that's super interesting with the way that our current cultures or certainly mathematical cultures developing.

1:29:36Lee Cronin:thing so i mean sorry go on well before we get into big picture ai stuff more in connection to what we were just discussing with computation how does ai help or not help at all with what you're doing in the lab so ai broadly understood is really important because we can basically that you connect the design of experiments, the data we're collecting to predict the next experiment. And for me, I mean, I've been doing AI for like, I don't know, 40 years. And for me, AI is not magic. It's just basically, if I don't understand my ground truth and I can't compress the equation, right, I just make a rather elongated equation that fits most of my data.

1:30:30and whenever some data falls out i try and change the equation to count for it we're a bit like a neural net the neural nets are like that the neural nets of this and so that but people in the last five years and the way that ai has worked and particularly last 18 months is ai has become a cult and i'm and i'm just like and it's become a cult not because of anything dramatic it's become a commercial cult in the same way that i don't know tamagotch tamagotchis became a cult i love tamagotchis i love them i would like to hatch them and keep them alive and so on and i know it's like a little digital device and it's not real but what's happened is the ai gurus have basically said no tamagotchis are real and so i feel like i'm living in some kind of ai delusion adjacent to the fact i'm using ai in my science right which is great ai is very important for science there's nothing wrong with it um and so we could probably discuss that because i'm really feeling very confused by the propagation of bullshit in the ai sphere and i don't know i mean i've listened to some of your stuff where you talk you had really great conversations with reed hoffman and tyler cohen both of which i love a lot they're great humans firstly so they're not wanting to bullshit the world and they have interesting questions and a few others out there where we're just like, what is AI?

1:31:58And there's people just making stuff up.

1:32:01Lee Cronin:Well, when you describe it as a cult, I'm wondering then if you're saying both sides of this very public debate, either very pro-AI or very terrified about AI, you think they're both kind of spouting steam and reality is much more deflationary and less exciting than this. i mean reality is exciting i love reality it's like the most the best place to be but absolutely you're saying so there's there's two exciting there's two extremes right and i kind of fell out with eliza on this yudikowski and i listened to his your part your podcast you were super good it was a great podcast he was great i mean i do i i mean as a thinker i respect him deeply um as a but he's not willing to debate which i kind of found a bit sad so i would take the following stance is a bit boring so i would say hey robinson um i'm going to tell you i'm going to invent this technology called ag you'd be like and i'm really worried it's going to kill us you're like what's ag lee i'm like there's any gravity and i i might invent it what's going to happen is that everything's going to float away we're going to have no atmosphere we're flying and you know we're going to die you're like oh my gosh that sounds bad and that but then if you were then you would say well okay we're worried but how worried should we be about ag what is the mechanism of ag given i know that basically there's an inverse square law connecting the mass on earth to the mass in space and there is co-space time what everyone looked newtonian einstein what eliza yudikowsky says he says and then you're all gonna die and i'm like if i fly above the earth in an airplane look down most of the earth is not covered by the internet or humans it is basically empty and sure we could get people to nuke the planet and change the climate and we might die a bit but that's really you'd have to do quite a lot to do that so my argument would be in the same way that ag scares me i don't want to float away what does the mechanism of ai do and it turns out it's bullshit at the same way the nick brostrum is spouting bullshit and i you know and i'm calling these guys out because they are not merely raising the alarm they are literally creating alarmist bullshit and i don't like that because as thinkers we have to be held accountable by what we say so you know nick rost on one hand and say they're super intelligent so like okay define super intelligence is it can it think in a different dimension to me oh no it's faster well that's not super intelligence that's just a fast intelligence right it's not on a different level same way to eliza say okay why are we going to die oh the ai will do this blah blah blah but there's no mechanism and so what i want to do to these guys in particular these two and we'll go to the the opposite side so we need to be fair so the doomers are making stuff up and it's frankly unforgivable because they are creating a um a false enemy when there's a real enemy because ai is dangerous then you got the oh ai is going to create infinite abundance you have sam altman all these guys going we're all going to live forever and there's infinite energy and i'm like okay that's cool where is this infinite energy and living forever what is the mechanism so you've got these two random kind of dichotomies because like i only realized this last month right because until then i was like everyone was really you know dancing off and say and i realized you've got this ridiculous we're all gonna die and we're all gonna live forever create wormholes and fusion i'm like this is the most ludicrous outcome because fusion is hard energy is hard abundance is hard so you've got the ai pros saying you're going to get infinite abundance and live forever and the ai doom is saying you're going to die i mean both those things can't be simultaneously possible so that's sorry i'm ranting but i mean but for me i find it fascinating because i know you're i'm concerned i love humanity i love our culture i love what we've well i'm i love the mystery the mystery is not done and for me to say oh no just invented the printing press i'm sorry it's all over just like well there's no evidence for that i love the rant especially about ai because i'm very open to hearing whatever any smart person and educated person on the matter has to say about it But even if we don't take the Eliezer Yudkowsky view as entirely warranted, even the people who are very pro-AI, like Tyler and Reed, make very clear that they are nonetheless worried about humans using AI to facilitate our destruction.

1:37:08Lee Cronin:and the reason that I thought that this might be particularly connected to your work and creating like computation a google for for chemistry they're worried about AI being used to create biological weapons and it seems like your work could possibly be used toward that end if people want to use AI to do this and I'm wondering how you feel about this concern in particular yeah i think that's a super important concern to articulate um but i wouldn't just say ai i would say i would say so let's draw a line under ai for a second come back to it so i think you've got the nail on the head ai is just a new technology it's not going to kill us it's not going to save us but it's going to do something else and what we need to do is interact with it in a way that is um allows people to we want to treat people with integrity because you know i came from a retard class at school right so i'm like when people say you're stupid i'm like i know one of the things i i think i find really funny is that we assume people are stupid and then general humans aren't stupid they're quite smart they are desperate for meaning as we all are and they want to know more and they're hungry and so we have a responsibility to each other to have a responsible conversation say oh what do you think of this what do you think of that so the ai i think is a good one so that's great when it comes to computation you're absolutely right biological weapons and baking chemical weapons is super dangerous right um there's also the discussion about the origin of covid right whether you believe in whatever covid came from somewhere it probably came from our farming practices not genetic engineering but who knows um and i do feel very concerned about the fact that i'm developing a technology that could be dangerous but here's a really interesting thing um the chemical technologies we're developing could save so many lives in the future that so many lives like the fact that the risk of developing them versus the future benefits It's just easy.

1:39:22And it doesn't mean I go, oh, hello, everyone. Have my computer. Please go and try and make yourself a Novichok or a bomb. What I do is I say, hi, everyone. Here's my computer. Here's how it works in academia. Here's the information. How do we regulate it? And how does industry, how does science work? How does our regulatory environment work? Because the thing is, my job is not the job of the regulator. my job you pay me or the not you but the taxpayer pays me in the universe to just do new stuff and i want to be a good human being but how do i know what i'm inventing is going to be good i don't right i could just do i could make all sorts of mistakes so my job is to be open about what i invent publish it and so when people talk about the chemical weapons and the um the dangerous part i merely say well i can do all the stuff i'm doing right now i'm sorry i could do as i could already do so biological weapons are actually quite hard to make i mean ai is not going to accelerate biological weapons it's really greasy and falls down and human beings evolve right biology evolves so i would say that um we have time to make mistakes and correct them and i'll give you an example I love a lot.

1:40:43There was one poor chemist that worked for DuPont who invented CFCs, which did kill the ozone layer, which was bad enough. And then he invented tetraethyl lead, i.e. leaded petrol, which gave everyone a low IQ. One company did this and they corrected both of it. And what happens when we make mistakes, we correct them. Is there a danger that I will create a computer that could destroy humanity no i think that's not possible um for good evolutionary reasons is it possible that even we could create a biological weapon that could kill all life on earth using ai no for very good reasons i'll talk about so that's not an excuse so not to for me to ignore it but actually this idea again goes back to eliza saying oh don't do this thing because you could die because everyone said oh no don't create new chemicals to look at chemical space because you might die oh you just invented antiseptic thanks for that oh no don't develop new chemicals to look for kind of you know killing bacteria oh you discovered penicillin and if you look at how human beings have created new technologies if you look at the code of things that could have gone and wrong versus what we've done as humans in for the last thousand years our experimentation has made us live longer generate more technology have social media be conspiracy theorists the fact we can even conceive of this is a win so i would say that we have to do three important things we have to invent we have to be debate about the merit of those inventions and we have to allow our societies to ask, how do we want to allow those inventions to be used?

1:42:37And I would say, this is where I say, and you might be interested in your thoughts. I say, my job is not to invent regulation. My job is to invent things to be regulated on. And if people want to regulate my inventions, I have won. Starting a business can seem like a daunting task, unless you have a partner like Shopify. They have the tools you need to start and grow your business. From designing a website, to marketing, to selling, and beyond,

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1:43:40Lee Cronin:My quick thought on that is, so as you know, I'm in law school right now. And so a lot of times the judiciary won't make a decision about something because they'll say, well, this is kind of out of our domain. We should let the legislation do it. But we see what's going on in the legislative system right now in the United States and in Congress, for instance. You can't really count on them to get things done. and so I don't think it's really I'm not saying that you shouldn't be inventing things but I don't think that the excuse and I don't mean that in a pejorative way that I'll let the legislature deal with it is really an acceptable excuse just because for instance I mean if you develop a computer and let's just for argument's sake assume that it is capable of helping somebody produce a biological weapon just for argument's sake you can't fall back on well legislation is going to stop terrorists from from using it or legislation is going to stop china or russia from using it best case scenario is legislators in the UK or the United States attempt to get companies in the UK or the United States not to use it.

1:45:19So, okay, no, I don't agree. I really think that's not correct. So I think, I mean, you're doing law, and the US legislator right now, actually when it comes to things it decides on, the things you're worried about or political um but if and when the people's lives were being terminated early because of the thing they would they just say against it i'm not talking about edge cases like should we coronate chicken or not or what our food supply looks like so i think that's one thing to bear in mind but there's another thing i think is really important what you said is like um my job is not to i if you said to every scientist or philosopher be careful what you think and be careful what you make um and i and i and um you have to censor yourself um basically what would happen if you wouldn't do anything new if you had to legislate what you think what you make you would do nothing new you'd be constantly worried and the loss of future from humanity would be devastating.

1:46:30And the fact that we have some edge cases in the UK, US, China, wherever, I don't think it's been any different from before, right? I don't think, I mean, what has the US prevented that's killed massive numbers of people? It hasn't. Okay, you have guns, you have arguments about the EPA and some pollution, but broadly speaking people are healthier and living longer and actually we don't let people bring chemical weapons into the precinct i mean i'm i'm riffing with you here i'm trying to work out because i think what you're saying is i want to take 100 seriously because i'm building a technology that misuse is going to kill people and i don't want that to happen i mean a good way actually that's a good one um there was this airplane that went across the alps and the pilot decided to commit suicide you know it was like i think euro wings or something and the guy the pilot waited till his co sorry the co-pilot waited till the pilot left the the cabin and went to the toilet and he barricaded he basically changed the block and he set the out meter to zero and basically because he was sad presumably he committed suicide and he killed all the people on the plane and there was you've thought about that it's like shit if only boeing or airbus depending on whoever it was had built in a facility to not let that happen no one would die but you know if i build a technology that is broadly good for the unit the universe should i be responsible and legislatively responsible for preventing all the edge cases and and i and i i don't i don't know how to get that balance right yet all i know is to be bold be ambitious and be clear and let the legislators and because society pays them right and and you're saying oh well i don't really trust society to get legislators i think that's a micro problem same in the uk that will solve that because people aren't dying because of technology people are dying because of phenomenology in society right the people are not dying because of technologies that people have developed used badly people are dying in society because of people refusing to to solve social problems being gun violence no one is like you so i guess i guess that's what i'm saying but i mean let me yeah i don't know joe what do you think huh here we are let me throw around to you should i stop developing technology because I'm scared it'll be misused.

1:49:10Lee Cronin:This is an area where I know so little that I hesitate to make a judgment. And you're much better. So you understand this technology much better than I do? Yeah, yeah. And if I were you and I was very, very certain that the technology could not be used to create a biological weapon that could wipe out humanity, then I wouldn't be worried about it. But if I thought that some very smart terrorist could possibly use the program to develop a weapon that could harm many, many people, then I would certainly be hesitant about continuing doing it. Or I would just be as careful as I could about keeping the proprietary information safe.

1:50:16you're yes you're you're assuming that i know what my technology can do and i think that's in the first order that's right second order that's not right and secondly um you're assuming that if i keep it secret people aren't going to catch up and the more i keep it secret the more they're going to chase it so i'll flip it around so i like it number one my my approach is to be as open as possible so everyone knows what the problems are so we can immediately go there i'm not saying we give nukes for everyone but that's bad number one uh number two one of the things i am doing actually with the computer is i've built a thing called do you ever heard of digital rights management for like ebooks and what you do you know you protect encrypting stuff i've actually made for the computation a chemical digital rights management so actually if we make certain molecules that are quite dangerous just to stop students of other people we produce a digitally um coded certificate so people can't do it with our code it's just encrypted they'd actually have to you know work with us and demonstrate they have safety protocols and when people argue and say i'm being you know restricted i'll say well do you want your bank account to not be encrypted and we're like oh yeah i don't want no one steal my money it's like it's just all i'm doing is taking encryption protocols you use in online banking and using them to computation.

1:51:36So the good answer to your question is like, hey, actually, we could debate it. Like I say, I want to be an anarchist. But the real answer is we've just developed an encryption protocol where in principle, you cannot hack the system because it has 256 encryption and it's as secure as your bank. So the same people that could break into your bank and steal all your money could break into our computer and try and do bad things. But at least it's a barrier and allows people to think about it and allow society to look at the relative merits and demerits. So, yeah, you're spot on there because at the end of the day, we don't know.

1:52:12I do not know what people use my technology for. So it's my job to basically be as responsible as I can in the now, but also give people opportunity to explore. How do I do that? Have some controls where we have trust. trust and controls to people works in our society we've shown that over the years biological weapons have been known for like more than 50 years no one has knowingly their signal coverage for a second deployed biological weapons in theater that we know of so we've been pretty good humans to one another chemical weapons have been deployed and we are not allowing that anymore so i i'm i'm very optimistic about humans being nice to humans because we all want to survive i'm very pessimistic

1:53:03Lee Cronin:about that um i just i just imagine that as i think that there are a lot of very bad humans and as technology becomes more accessible whether because just in general we're more capable of producing biological weapons or because AI enables people who otherwise wouldn't have the ability to do it to do it I worry that it is quite plausible and maybe not in the next two years but 50 years from now I mean I don't think we can really imagine what the world is going to be like 50 years from now at at the rate that things are changing I mean I'm not sure your pessimism is right i don't think it's that i don't i think your pessimism is more i don't think i would rephrase it for you say it's not pessimism it's hesitancy and maybe respond you feel responsible i don't think your pessimism has any evidence um from the past i think humans have been really look at how we could have messed up our planet we are so independent where it's wheat rare earths milk air we're really good humans are getting better at being nice to one another because our technologies become more and more interdependent and so i would i would say sure i don't think you're pessimistic i'm gonna suggest you're cautious and i think your caution is well placed and i would argue that i am also cautious but optimistic and and i'm not saying oh just trust me you know i'm a chemist i would say i i i'm i i'm aware that there is an issue here and our my job if if you like is to let's do the following thought experiment the thought experiment where i don't do any new technologies and prevent others on the future of humanity versus the one where i just do lots of stuff and make people understand it and do my best to kind of be responsible there's two futures there one where i basically i don't do anything and i'm i i'm scared and i think We should bring whom we should restrain what people can do.

1:55:17And the second one is where I basically say, well, actually, I will do everything I can to create new things, but just let people know what's going on so they can they can intervene. I think humans always create things. Suppression never works. There are no conspiracies. And I think my view is that I'm very optimistic about an open society, you know, with China and the US competing on AI. I don't think there's a danger to the future of humanity. Right.

1:55:53Lee Cronin:I think that this is a highly complex moral question. and what is interesting here is okay if you think the development of this technology is inevitable and it could be used to harm people but you believe that if you development if you develop it it would certainly be used to help people and it could be used to thwart the people who intend to harm us, then again, it would be a question of risk as well. I mean, what is the risk that people will develop it to harm us? What is the risk that people would use your technology to harm us? And what is the risk that your technology, if developed, could help us against people who would harm us?

1:56:47Lee Cronin:But again, these are all probabilities that I'm certainly not qualified to judge yeah i mean you're right so i mean what i'm the technology i'm developing with computation is chemical right it's not a biological it's not basically based upon producing living organisms that basically i can spray in the atmosphere viruses and so on right so that's one thing and so actually doing damage with chemicals is quite hard you have to have a high concentration of stuff you know there was this ridiculous scenario in the uk a few years ago where some Russian sorry alleged Russian spies were building Novichoks which are basically a kind of nerve agent to kill people and they mixed them together the wrong quantities and injured themselves because it's really quite hard to kill people chemicals right you have to get them if you think about the process the same like where Eliza Yudekowski is saying we're going to die how are we going to die I mean ways we can die we can die through old age we can die through disease we We can die through asphyxiation.

1:57:47We can die through lack of food or water. They're the only ways we can die through poisoning. So there's six ways we can die. It's quite hard to poison someone, right? It's really hard. You have to really give them some stuff and make them ingest it. So that's one thing. It's really hard to give them biological weaponry. Like I said, the planet's quite big. because what happens is when you start to release a pathogen it kills things but that doesn't kill everything and those are people that are lucky and have a the correct genes will evolve beyond it and i'm not you know it's not great for humans and but instantaneous life right evolution has been going on for a very long time but the fact now we are way beyond this kind of mechanical death we are in this situation where we have technology and interconnectivity where we have culture technology and and biology and and move all mesh together that we have a super dependence on one another now again i'm not saying that your your your fears are ill-placed i'm saying it's really quite hard to disrupt other humans using this because you have to do so many things simultaneously that i don't think we are able to manipulate it the only thing i would say um um agreeing with you is on the chemical side we're not making biologics we're encrypting stuff we're working in any jurisdiction we're working we're working with local governments and whether you trust them or not you know like you know we talked about earlier um that's a really interesting stance and then we have to weigh up the versus discovering penicillin versus not and i'm on the let's discover penicillin because here's the killer um um here's the philosophical outcome if me would you rather i discover something quite nasty being open so other people can look at it and go oh we will get the antidote to that versus someone discovering it and keeping it secret and and i think what you see in science is the reason why open science has progressed and helps humanity survive is you literally are building a immune system in technology the more edge cases you create is counterintuitive the more ways you create a killing yourself the more ways you create surviving where most people think the other way is like oh my god i don't want to do that i'll die but actually it's the other way around um and that's why i'm excited about the future

2:00:26Lee Cronin:well one aspect or one place where i think your thoughts it'll be interesting to hear where they connect with some of eliezer's thoughts is you you're skeptical of agency of ai as we know it having agency and yeah eliezer when i spoke with him one of his main fears is that ai will have something like agency it will sequester itself in a place it cannot be observed and then develop biological weapons and use them against humanity and let's table for the moment the question of super intelligence and what it means and how it's distinct from fast intelligence but just what is wrong with the idea of ai developing its own agency oh yeah such a good question that really infuriates me there are some really great people i mean don't get me wrong i respect eliza a lot and also max tech mark and all these people but they are making a fundamental mistake absolutely fundamental which is provably wrong and is philosophically provably wrong and it's this idea of agency um and this idea about um suddenly an ai is going to do a thing the way i look at it let me explain what i my view of an ai is a large language model is a little bit like um you go to a library you open up all the books on a random page you can access all the books and read them right and you can read them in a probabilistic fashion you can read something from them the the meaning comes from the human the data set is produced by humans with agency and right now both Eliezer, Max, all these people are looking for agency and they do not understand what agency is and this idea that AIs are going to become sentient is nonsense.

2:02:36It is like, it is beyond ridiculous. And I frankly don't understand why they are deluding themselves. It for me is a very frustrating distraction from the real problem in AI, which is authenticated data and authenticated users and bad humans using it to do harm. The AIs are not going to be sentient. and the reason being the AIs are fixed objects built in silicon they have not been evolved they have not gone through 4.3 billion years of the prospect of life or death they are merely frozen accidents in autonomy where you and I are complete continuously updated autonomy making decisions every second do I feed the cat do I feed the dog do I go out do I do this what goes up what goes down and everything else is nonsense

2:03:32It doesn't seem like Eliezer's argument hinges on AI having any sort of human-like sentience.

2:03:44Lee Cronin:It just needs to have a goal. It has to be, as he puts it, it has to be indifferent to humans and then have a goal that is in conflict with humans. um i don't think he i think he is playing a magician's game the ai doesn't have a goal the guy goals all come from the humans if i if i built a home defense system with a goal of keeping out an intruder and i and i basically had a gun and it would shoot things that was me as doing it not the ai the ais do not invent anything new no ai has invented anything new in the history of ai and the problem and and and eliazer doesn't know what agency is and so the thing is the goals come from the humans and and that is a fundamental misunderstanding he's projecting that out there to generate the worst case because he doesn't know what he's talking about and the best case just generate fear and control right the ais are excel sheets with weightings in them they don't have an agency.

2:04:54They don't exist in the material world. They don't have a fear of death. They don't have a love of life. They are just numbers in a spreadsheet.

2:05:06Lee Cronin:Well, Lee, I have really, really enjoyed this conversation. There are so many things that I wanted to discuss that we haven't gotten to. So if you'll come back, I mean, there will certainly be room for a part two, maybe with Sarah or someone else but thank you so much for joining me from across the pond for this yeah thank you so it's been great to talk to and I'm very happy to continue the conversation merely because I'm sure a lot of things I explained were probably wrong or we could explore and go deeper but I really think you're doing a great job in your podcast I really love listening to them myself so thank you for having me

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From the publisher

Lee Cronin is Regius Chair of Chemistry at the University of Glasgow. Among his many pursuits are the digitization of chemistry, the discovery of alien life, and the creation of artificial life. In this episode, Robinson and Lee focus on astrobiology, the chemistry of life as we know it, and the controversies surrounding artificial intelligence.


Lee’s Website: https://www.chem.gla.ac.uk/cronin/


Lee’s Twitter: https://x.com/leecronin


OUTLINE

00:00 Introduction

00:55 Lee’s Interests in the Origin of Life

10:29 Is Life Unique to Earth?

18:16 What Is the Self?

24:05 Is the Selfish Gene Hypothesis Wrong?

30:46  How Does Sand Turn into Cells?

44:02 What Is Chemputation?

45:41 What Is Assembly Theory?

01:11:33 Why Won’t We Find a Mine of Coffee Mugs on an Asteroid?

01:25:09 Has AI Become a Cult?

01:32:16 Will AI Use Biological Weapons to Wipe Out Humanity?

01:55:24 Why AI Can’t Be Agents


Robinson’s Website: http://robinsonerhardt.com


Robinson Erhardt researches symbolic logic and the foundations of mathematics at Stanford University, where he is also a JD candidate in the Law School.

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