In short
How Once Upon a Farm grew its retail business using DTC-style performance thinking, and how to measure the “halo” (upper-funnel and cross-channel effects that don’t show up as immediate ROAS).
Guests
Jennifer Berglund, VP of Digital Marketing and E-commerce at Once Upon a Farm (oversees media: brand, retail media, performance marketing, email; and DTC + Amazon e-commerce). Previously worked at Nestlé, General Mills, and 3M. Bradley Kiefer, Chief Revenue Officer at Keen (measurement/marketing analytics).
Key claims
Retail media and even lower-funnel tactics can drive awareness and household penetration; shoppers aren’t omnichannel/linear, so impressions matter across time and accounts. ROAS alone is misleading; balance upper- and lower-funnel KPIs (site traffic, branded search, conversion, awareness/household penetration, repeat).
Notable examples
Early DTC tests where lower-funnel “shop now” media led to retail takeoff; TV test in 2021 (then TV + social + out-of-home with geo holdouts); paid search on Kroger/Target affecting other accounts; streaming TV and YouTube/connected TV as high-impact upper-funnel.
Written by AI. May contain mistakes. Listen to the episode to check what was said.
Chapters
Tap a time to open that second in VOEmerging D2C Challenges
0:00 to 0:47
Learn how emerging D2C brands navigate marketing complexities and opportunities.
“When brands are D2C and they're emerging, a lot of the marketing efforts, like you can see them pretty short term.”
Understanding Demand Creation at Once Upon a Farm
2:29 to 4:13
Jennifer Berglund discusses her role and the balance between demand creation and capture.
“Jennifer, can you kind of give us the lay of the land?”
Retail Strategies and Cooler Initiative
4:13 to 5:48
Exploration of how digital efforts impact retail presence and product placement.
“So I know retail has become a huge piece of what happens at Once Upon a Farm.”
Data and Organizational Challenges in D2C Growth
5:48 to 7:42
Bradley Kiefer explains the complexities of data and organizational alignment in growing brands.
“We have a healthy digital e-commerce business.”
Navigating the Halo Effect
7:42 to 11:12
Jennifer shares insights on cross-channel marketing and the halo effect on sales.
“And I think Jennifer could talk about this too.”
Internal Communication and Collaboration
11:12 to 14:00
Jennifer discusses how Once Upon a Farm fosters communication across teams to enhance performance.
“So first and foremost, I would say that we look at proxies, signals.”
Organizational Insights on Media Strategy
14:00 to 16:56
Learn how a unified media strategy can enhance marketing effectiveness.
“That has helped facilitate insights, conversations.”
The Evolution of Marketing Channels
16:56 to 20:53
Explore the shift in marketing dynamics and the importance of an integrated approach.
“I just thought of that in the moment, but it feels very real.”
Maximizing Budget Efficiency in Advertising
20:53 to 23:10
Discover strategies for optimizing ad spend and understanding customer acquisition.
“Are there any of these channels that are sort of like your pet favorites?”
Measuring Brand Awareness Effectively
23:10 to 26:29
Understand how to quantify brand awareness and the challenges involved.
“So it's not just like CTV as a channel is effective.”
Show all 18 chapters
Exploring TikTok for Brand Growth
26:29 to 28:01
Learn about the challenges and opportunities of using TikTok for marketing.
“whole digital spend, YouTube has this potential, like you say, because it's on everyone's screen.”
Exploring TikTok Shop and Its Challenges
28:01 to 29:18
Learn how Once Upon a Farm is leveraging TikTok Shop and its unique challenges.
“because it might involve a thousand affiliates or a thousand people that you're managing and gamifying.”
Understanding Halo Effects in Marketing
29:19 to 33:38
Discover the concept of the halo effect and how it impacts retail sales.
“Can you walk me through how you think about Halo?”
Key Performance Indicators in DTC Marketing
33:39 to 38:55
Dive into essential KPIs for measuring success in a direct-to-consumer business.
“And that's where we see a lot of brands get in trouble.”
Balancing Brand Presence and Innovation
38:56 to 41:34
Understand the importance of balancing brand presence with product innovation.
“But the reality is, as we know, that new to brand person at Target could have bought elsewhere before.”
Partnerships and Measurement in Marketing
41:35 to 42:00
Learn about the role of partnerships and sophisticated measurement in marketing success.
“That's the exciting opportunity, I think, for this team.”
Measuring Marketing Effectiveness
42:00 to 43:12
Learn how to balance media spending with effective measurement strategies.
“with any job that I've had, and especially at like a startup in the early days, you want as much dollars as possible in working media.”
Final Thoughts on CPG Marketing
43:12 to 43:46
Discover the importance of remaining data-led in complex marketing environments.
“If people want to follow your journey, Jennifer, do you recommend they follow you on LinkedIn?”
Transcript
Automatic transcript. May contain errors.0:00When brands are D2C and they're emerging, a lot of the marketing efforts, like you can see them pretty short term. Well, a lot of that becomes masked when I now have 10 products in 10 aisles, all these retailers.
0:12Jennifer Berglund:Now at Akeen, we're seeing things like paid search at Kroger or Target might be actually having an effect on another account. There's a huge opportunity in connected streaming TV. You just have to get over the sticker shock of the CPM, like the price is high. But the effectiveness is there. It's a balance. It's not either or. It's that balance of the upper funnel and lower funnel and making sure everything is working synergistically.
0:47Hello and welcome to a special episode of the D2C podcast. This is Harness the Halo, a six-part series from D2C and Keen. The quick version, if you're just tuning in, growth used to have a cheat code. You'd put a dollar into Meta and you'd get a customer back the same day. This has gotten harder and building a brand that lasts now means spending money in places where you can't draw a straight line from the dollar to the sale. The bet of this series is that better measurement is what gives you room to make these moves because once you can see the payoff you couldn't trace before, you can spend into it.
1:18The halo is that payoff. It's the lift you get from the money you can't tie directly to a click. In the last episode, the first episode of the series, Keen's Justin Jefferson gave us a wide view of what's working across hundreds of brands at once. Today, we're going to go the other way, a deep dive into one business. And now here's the thing I want to get into. At a lot of companies, the money that builds the brand and the sale that the money eventually creates sit in two different places. One team spends to create the demand. The results often show up somewhere else entirely on a shelf in a marketplace in someone else's numbers.
1:48And every platform in between lines up to take the credit. Figuring out what actually drove the sale is the hard part. My guest today lives close to that problem. Jennifer Berglund runs digital and e-commerce at Once Upon a Farm, the organic kids' food brand you've probably seen in the cooler at the baby aisle. Her world is the D2C site, Amazon, and the marketplaces, the shopper marketing. Before, she also worked at Nestle, General Mills, and 3M, so she's seen how this works at big companies and at a growing one. We've also got returning podcast alumni, Keen's Bradley Kiefer. Brad is the chief revenue officer at Keen, and he can tell us how this tends to play out at the brands they model.
2:25Jennifer, Brad, welcome to Harness the Halo episode two. How are you doing?
2:30Jennifer Berglund:Good. Appreciate the opportunity. Jennifer, can you kind of give us the lay of the land? I'm super, I've been trying to actually get Once Upon a Farm on the podcast probably since I started here because you guys are such an incredible success story. Can you give me the lay of the land of what actually sits under you at Once Upon a Farm and what doesn't? Yeah. Yeah, so I am the VP of digital marketing and e-commerce at Once Upon a Farm. And on that desk, I oversee all of our media. So that's brand media, obviously heavy in digital, but also inclusive of TV, all of the retail media, and then performance marketing, digital comms, email lifecycle, etc.
3:06Jennifer Berglund:I also run our end-to-end e-commerce business, which is inclusive of direct-to-consumer and Amazon. So that's a bit more of that general management role, P &L, accountability, etc. How much of the budget is sort of dedicated to creating demand versus capturing it? That is an ever-evolving mix as our business grows and changes, right? And candidly, we're actually using Keen now, which is helping to inform that a bit. But overall, we're looking to have a healthy balance because you need that upper funnel. You need that awareness driving, but you also have to convert at the end of the day. And so those things obviously go hand in hand.
3:52Jennifer Berglund:I do oversee all of that media except for trade, which sits within our sales team. And that plays a very important role from a conversion perspective. But we're really continuing to balance against our business objectives and measure constantly, holistically along the way. So I know retail has become a huge piece of what happens at Once Upon a Farm. And I was reading about the Cooler Initiative. How do you think about your job on the digital side as it relates to driving people to retail? And how do you account for the impact that you have through all of your digital efforts on the retail side?
4:31Yeah.
4:32Jennifer Berglund:And you mentioned coolers. That's an interesting one because we have broad distribution across the country, across retail, and obviously a growing e-commerce presence as well. The coolers are growing. They're growing across accounts, but also across regions. So it's one where you have to deploy a little bit different objectives in terms of you might need to be more targeted with those coolers, more focused on retail media, paid search, etc. But we also use a lot of our organic channels as well, because one important thing as you look at retail is simply telling consumers where to find us in store.
5:18Jennifer Berglund:it varies by account and it varies also too you're talking about baby pouches versus our kid pouches so you go into Whole Foods and Kroger you'll find us in the dairy section but we also now have baby coolers in those accounts as well which sit in the baby aisle you go into Target you'll find us in produce and so it really varies by account we've also grown across the retail space so playing now within center of the store in shelf-stable products, both in the baby aisle as well as the bar aisle. We offer kids bars. So education actually with our brand and with our consumers is a really important thing, not just at the high level, what is the brand about, what does it stand for, but also down to the most tactical level of where are you actually going to go in retail to find us.
6:15Jennifer Berglund:We have a healthy digital e-commerce business. So thinking about online grocery. And so it becomes a little bit different dynamic online. But again, that's where our retail media efforts serve us well. Bradley, from your side, working with Once Upon a Farm, how are you seeing Keen interact with these challenges of kind of unraveling the halo effect of digital on retail. And when you have got such a cool form factor of something like these coolers where you're creating a new space in the retail store, it's also going to have a great impact, I assume, on what you're doing on the digital side. Just because it stands out so much, you're more likely to maybe react to an ad you see once you've seen one of these coolers.
6:56From your side, Brad, how do you see these kind of worlds interacting? I think there's kind of two different worlds that I would even highlight in that. One is There's the organizational world and two, there's the math and data world. So part of the evolution that we see with brands like Once Upon a Farm or just anybody who's like a fast growing, fast evolving company is the company who we were a year ago is not the company we're trying to be a year from now. And as we get bigger, we now have bigger data. And it's like, there's not a shortage of data. There's oftentimes a shortage of resources or a shortage of alignment or an understanding of how like this lever interacts with that lever.
7:35So there's just like organizational evolution or maturity that has to happen alongside of the model in and of itself. because a lot of times when brands are D to C and they're emerging and that's all they're doing. And I think Jennifer could talk about this too. A lot of the marketing efforts, like you can see them pretty short term. Like there's a lot, there's enough correlations that you can see early on that are like not as right as they could be, but they're not wrong. Well, a lot of that becomes masked now when all of a sudden it's like, well, I now have 10 products in 10 aisles and I've got all these retailers and I've got all this challenge that I have, it just adds organizational complexity.
8:13So both in how you measure, which is a native part of our solution when we think about portfolio and how we think about there's a P &L for a bar versus a P &L for a refrigerated product. They're very different P &Ls. There's different margins, but also there's different objectives for each of the teams because sitting now within it is not just the complexity of the organization between finance, sales, and marketing, there is also inside of that, it's like, yeah, but Target wants something different than Walmart wants, that wants something different from Amazon, that wants something different from Whole Foods, right?
8:46And now all of a sudden, you have just so many layers of competing priorities that it's like, every now and again, you just got to pause long enough to say, like, what is the data telling us? Do we even have the data to tell us a story? And do we have the organization lined up to actually make action and make improvement off of this, right? And that's part of the evolution that I think Once Upon a Farm has done a phenomenal job at it. And everybody goes through this growing pain of how do we get to where we're going, right? And that becomes one big challenge beside the data that I think organizations really need to think about as they grow.
9:22Jennifer, when you hear me kind of read that intro there about the halo and harnessing the halo, how do you think, again, there's so many different. halos present in the way you guys are operating the business. What stands out to you as the halo that's most maybe cognizant to you that you're creating on the digital side?
9:40Jennifer Berglund:Well, the fact is, is that it's very real. Consumers are not omni-channel. We've known that for a while. And the thing that has become increasingly noticeable for me and the business over time is that our marketing is not omni-channel as well. And we saw this early on. And Brad actually summed it up very nicely. And he's not even on the brand side. So kudos, Brad. But we really saw this early on. And it's sometimes easier to see those signals in the earlier days. Your budgets are smaller. Your programs are more tight. But we were doing a lot of retail media, shopper marketing, and then performance marketing.
10:19Jennifer Berglund:We saw it early and most tactically on our DTC business. So we would be running very lower funnel media, driving to the site, a very clear shop now call to action. And we saw our retail business take off. Or we saw other efforts, Instacart or other programs with accounts start working more efficiently and gain more momentum. So it was kind of clear in the signals that something more is happening here and that there really is this cross-channel, cross-account, but also cross-tactic effect. We're starting to look at that more deeply now having Keenon as a formal partner. So it's been really interesting to start to dig into more of the details of that.
11:11So when the upper funnel brand marketing works, awareness, PR, streaming, TV, things like that, where does it tend to show up in the numbers first that you watch?
11:22Jennifer Berglund:So first and foremost, I would say that we look at proxies, signals. So we're looking at site traffic, organic site traffic, as well as paid, branded search demand, all of those things. We look at conversion on our site because that's an immediate opportunity for sale. But then also more holistically where we're seeing it is in awareness, household penetration, because that's really at the end of the day what that upper funnel media is intended to serve. And we do see the effect there. Can you articulate a little bit about the effect? Like awareness is, I guess I don't talk to as many brands that are at the scale you guys are at where you're really looking at those household penetration and awareness numbers.
12:06Tell me the story, maybe a little bit of how awareness and household penetration has increased at Once Upon a Farm.
12:11Jennifer Berglund:So first and foremost, we are a very data-driven company. So understand that maybe these aren't things that smaller brands look at, but it's something that we have been looking at over time. And as we turn media on or as we increase that media, particularly the upper funnel, we have started to see those numbers accelerate month over month. So it's been an interesting effect. But I guess even beyond that, we see, like I mentioned, these other signals in terms of some of our other efforts working harder for us, working more efficiently, more effectively. That might be a trade program or even within our retail media efforts.
12:56Jennifer Berglund:So we're really, and I would say more formally now with Keen, teasing out the deeper elements of this effect, the effect that Amazon performance media might have on our retail business is starting to become very clear. How does it work internally at the business where you've got all these different teams working on different things and each team is in some sense, you know, they're focused on what they're focused on, but their impacts resonate across the whole business. I'm sure this is something you're kind of, as you say, unraveling right now, but give me maybe a sense of how it works internally at Once Upon a Farm with how you communicate about the halo across the company.
13:34Yeah.
13:35Jennifer Berglund:So this is one thing and not to discredit or disavow my prior jobs or life, but this is one thing that I really appreciate about working at a smaller company. There just naturally are less silos. So we've made a big effort. I actually lead a bi-weekly meeting. It's an omni-channel marketing team. It's across key members of my team, key members of sales, sales leadership. That has helped facilitate insights, conversations. They might say, hey, I see this happening here. And I can say, well, we were doing media during that time or things like that. So that was kind of our initial step. The other thing is just organizationally within the marketing department, all of media sits on my team.
14:26Jennifer Berglund:So it's brand media, it's retail media, it's performance marketing. And of course, they have distinct budgets. And they plan and execute against those budgets. But at the end of the day, it's one team and not a lot of silos. So they do plan collaboratively. They do optimize. They do share data. And I think that also helps facilitate against these bigger business objectives. And then I guess, like I've kind of said before, we are starting to formalize this more, having the Keen platform on board. And there's been some interesting things from that. So like the DTC example I gave, like that's very real.
15:10Jennifer Berglund:And it was very obvious back in the early days. But now at Akeen, we're seeing things like paid search at Kroger or Target might be actually having an effect on another account. And that's such lower funnel, you wouldn't necessarily think that. But it's been an interesting insight and unlock for us and something that we plan to lean into further as we continue to optimize our media mix and our budget allocations. And I think it's because of something we mentioned earlier, right? That's usually a shocking learning for a lot of folks is the halo that comes from like bottom of funnel activations.
15:49But yet, like you kind of said earlier why that's true and why it makes sense, which is like, there is no linear path or a very singular minded shopper anymore. they're shopping all over the place when there's convenience factor, when there's, you know what I mean? It's like, you don't know if those impressions that you're gaining on target search are driving them to go buy somewhere when they're on vacation, when they're going to go buy. And now all of a sudden it's like that, that impression mattered and it mattered differently than they came here to buy. And therefore the conversion was, it was going to be there.
16:20And that's where like, I think we under credit sometimes it's like the impact of an impression and how it could lead to awareness and how awareness leads to a conversion later on, right? It's being able to understand all those signals because it's not as every two weeks, I go to the same grocery store and I buy the same cart full. Like that shopper, that's not real anymore, right? Like that's what we all built for was this very linear path or this very linear funnel. And now marketing is more like an amoeba, right? It's just like, it's stuff everywhere because the customer is everywhere. So it's amoeba marketing now at this point.
16:54I don't know. I should probably trademark that. I like that. I just thought of that in the moment, but it feels very real. Amoeba marketing. It's just a blob of chaos, right? But it's structured chaos, I guess. Yeah. It reminds me of Shireen O 'Bears. She came on the podcast and talked about that. The funnel is dead and now it's a tornado because you've got all these different. But I like Amoeba even more. Does that resonate with you, Jennifer?
17:15Jennifer Berglund:I love it. I add into my LinkedIn right now. Nice. All right. Right. In episode one, Justin Jefferson argued that when you own the top of the Amazon results page, another dollar of search spend is most likely buying customers you'd have gotten anyway. So I'm curious, is this is something that's on your mind as you spend into marketplaces? So the halo works for growth, but it also works for efficiency and understanding where you have to spend and where you don't. I'm curious, is that sort of kind of efficiency something that's really on your mind as well, making sure that you're not spending money to acquire customers who would have bought you anyway?
17:51Jennifer Berglund:Most certainly. I mean, obviously, there's always a little bit of protection and defense you need to do, especially against a brand like ours, because we have a lot of branded search share. so you know competitors will come after you but yes we've actually it's interesting that you say that because if i had my amazon business manager on this call he's done a lot of optimizations within that media plan specifically one to really maximize the budget that he has and put it reasonably against driving new customers awareness where he can while still defending our brand defending our space. So I do think it is a bit of a balance, but that has been much of our mindset as well.
18:44Take me to a time on the digital side where you've maybe taken a bigger, you guys are operating at such a high level, but are there times where you've sort of taken a big swing top of funnel that you had to either have a lot of data to back up or the faith of your executives in order to back up that ended up really paying off? Is there an aspect to what you're doing top of funnel that has really worked better than you thought? And was it hard to justify it when you let into it, I guess?
19:13Jennifer Berglund:Yeah, so from the very early days, we kind of instilled this test and learn mindset. And I think that it served us very well. So our first TV test was back in 2021. and it was small. It was very small, isolated. Maybe it was like a month long test, but we built from there. So then we started layering in more of an integrated campaign. We did TV plus social plus out of home. We did a lot of geo testing before we went national. So we were looking at, and this was also before we had Keen. So we were trying to measure as best as possible, but we were looking at like market mix and what we did in a particular market relative to a comparable holdout market, measuring lift that way.
20:05Jennifer Berglund:We were, of course, continuing to look at all these digital proxy metrics like the branded search demand, site visits, et cetera. So there wasn't necessarily a single point per se, but it was a build upon build. And all of that testing and learning and just that entrepreneurial mindset gave us the confidence, the data and the confidence to go forward with a larger always on TV campaign and upper funnel media campaign. It was broader than TV, but to start doing that more rigorously and consistently probably two or three years ago now. So it was iterative, but we built into it and it has served us well.
20:54Are there any of these channels that are sort of like your pet favorites? I know you're not supposed to choose your favorite children, but are there like looking at the Keen reports, are there any of these channels that you see punch above their weight, maybe more than others?
21:07Jennifer Berglund:Streaming TV. We have an opportunity to continue there and we are leaning in. Also, personally, this isn't necessarily out of Keen or even out of our business, but I'm very bullish about YouTube. I think there's a lot of opportunity on YouTube from a consumer demand perspective, usage relative to available ad inventory. And then also, too, it's the one platform that truly transcends screens. It's on the TV in your pocket. It's on your iPad. It's on all your devices. It's on your TV in your home. And I just think that that's a really interesting and smart play by them, but powerful opportunity for marketers.
22:00Does that hold up with you, Brad, across the brands that you work with? Yeah, for sure. I mean, there's a huge opportunity in connected streaming TV. Oftentimes, the question is like, for the large legacy enterprise brands, it's like, do I make the switch from linear to streaming? Is that the choice that I'm making? Or oftentimes, it's emerging challenger brands who are asking the question of like, well, how do I gain top of funnel? And it's like, I think I need to be on TV. but there's still a lot of this like legacy, like linear TV bias of like old marketers who are like, my TV play equals linear.
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22:36It's like, that's just not true anymore. Right. Uh, I think to Jennifer's point is like the same video assets that you can create, you can now spread them on social, you can put them on TV. Like that used to not be a thing, right? Like you can take larger campaigns and now slice them out. So like, even from a cost of being able to serve, like a cost of creative, If you do it correctly, knowing that you're going to be putting on multiple platforms, you can reduce the cost, but also the impact is quite large and a big opportunity, especially within the retail media networks. As the retail media networks become DSPs, full funnel DSPs, there's huge opportunity there because their first party data is actually very, very valuable now that the targeting capability is there in streaming TV.
23:20So it's not just like CTV as a channel is effective. You can also spend more within these like, you know, retailer DSPs now at the top of funnel, which kind of has two benefits. One, if you're an emerging growing brand, the retailer always wants you to spend more and there's always kickbacks, right? Well, if I need top of funnel, I need effective top of funnel, I could spend it with Walmart or with Amazon, get the kickbacks on the retailer relationship side because the money is still funneling to them. And you just have to get over the sticker shock of the CPM. Like the price is high, but the effectiveness is there.
23:57So just be very mindful of how you spend it. Like that's what we would see in our data at this point. Jennifer, when every marketplace and retail media network reports its own conversions, what happens when you try to add them up? I know platforms that are maybe earlier in their genesis are maybe more hungry for conversions. If you go on the retail media network's own reporting, is there a lot of duplication of the results they report?
24:20Jennifer Berglund:I don't know that there's necessarily duplication, although there probably certainly would be if you were trying to add them up. I think the thing that is challenging for marketers is every methodology across the retail media networks is different. So it does present a challenge also when you're trying to kind of look across the landscape. So we use the data and the signals from those platforms more in real time to optimize. But when we're looking more holistically and measuring across a larger period of time, we're stepping back a bit from those specific metrics and looking more broadly. And that's where things like our awareness tracker, household pen come in, as well as other things in terms of looking at sales trends overall and whatnot.
25:18Jennifer Berglund:And bringing Keen into the mix, too, has helped, I think, kind of level set the playing field from a measurement standpoint. Can you just talk a little bit about how you measure awareness about your brand with customers? Is this as simple as holdout tests or those ads I see on Google about have you seen an ad for this brand in the past little while? How do you actually quantify your awareness? We do those smaller ad ones simply as proxy. We actually have a formal measurement partner who we do track awareness with. And so you mentioned YouTube. I was on a call. I'm on a call with a bunch of D2C operators that we do on a monthly basis.
26:00It's a Slack channel. There's been a lot of talk over the past couple of years about meta ads. And, you know, a lot of people have treated it like a one-stop shop for top of funnel all the way through conversion. And it still is able to behave like that. But I feel like more and more brands, once they reach certain scales, are looking into other ways to generate top of funnel awareness. And YouTube comes up again and again. And they were actually, there was a lot of people in agreement. They were starting to see YouTube not only as the top of funnel for, you know, the Google suite where you generate awareness and then you capture it on the bottom, but also like for the whole digital spend, YouTube has this potential, like you say, because it's on everyone's screen.
26:37Does that hold up with kind of what you're seeing about YouTube's potential?
26:40Jennifer Berglund:Yeah, I mean, I think it certainly does. I don't know that I would ever fully replace. I think you need a healthy mix of channels to reach your consumers and to make sure that you have the balance of reach and frequency. So I am not necessarily all in on one channel. I think you need a mix. I think a lot of this also too has to constantly be going back to your business objectives. So what are we trying to do? What are we trying to deliver with a particular campaign? Meta certainly plays a role still. It has its challenges though, as you've kind of identified, TikTok is important to us. So we look at our mix more holistically.
27:25Jennifer Berglund:And then there are other things that we may pulse in that you wouldn't necessarily think of. They're not necessarily digital, but we do do out of home. We do do direct mail. So I think those also play a role in that total mix. TikTok is a good show. And that was another thing we actually discussed on that call was sort of the potential to scale TikTok, but how it's like a whole different, like that potential exists now where you can get TikTok to as big or bigger than your Meta spend, but the infrastructure and architecture it takes in order to achieve that is very different than the campaign structure you might have on Meta because it might involve a thousand affiliates or a thousand people that you're managing and gamifying.
28:06Can you talk a little bit about TikTok Shop and how you guys have approached scale on that platform?
28:11Jennifer Berglund:Yeah. So we are there. We are dabbling. The affiliate content, the creator content is a very real reality. It's essentially necessary to scale on that platform. So yeah, I would say we are in our very early journey on TikTok shop. There's also some challenges there when you're looking at like a baby food brand, baby in general, they have some restrictions around categories that we've been working through. But that's a really interesting one. And what we've seen so far is that it seems to be helping us to reach net new consumers. So I'm excited about that. We also know from industry data, there's a very real effect of TikTok on retail accounts like Target or even Amazon.
29:08Jennifer Berglund:So going back to your Halo discussion, there's definitely interaction there that can be very, I think, interesting and beneficial for brands and growing brands. Can you walk me through how you think about Halo? Pick a channel, maybe it's CTV. I think that was the one you said that you're maybe the most excited about or streaming. Can you walk me through how you look at the halo for a channel like that? How and how many teams it kind of goes into because I imagine a lot of those numbers end up showing up on the retail side. How do you how do you look at the numbers for a platform where you're not going to see the sale?
29:44You're not going to see ROAS usually the next day. Is that accurate?
29:48Jennifer Berglund:Yeah, I mean, for the most part, I think there are instances where you can capture somebody right away after a big campaign. I mean, we started dabbling in the NFL placements a few years ago now, and that's become a part of our mix. So a big reach moment like that, you do see maybe some near-term sales on the DTC site. But yes, there is a very real effect on the retail business, that may be a little bit more lagged. And again, it kind of depends on the consumer and their journey because these consumers may have been hit prior to seeing a big tentpole spot. But we do, before we brought on Keen, we were again looking at those proxy signals, those data points that I mentioned earlier, you know, site visits, branded search, lift.
30:43Jennifer Berglund:But then we were also looking at sales, looking at it relative to when we ran a big moment and you could see correlation there, or you could kind of see that lag. Now that was a triangulation of data, but also one of the reasons why we brought Keenon, because you can start to see that but in a more sophisticated manner. And I'm sure Brad can speak to that better than I. Yeah, for sure. I mean, the whole point of a solution like ours is really to look for the causal relationship between all the dollars you spend, the impressions you gain, and the revenue that you return across time. And that's where the importance of the across time part really gets lost in a lot of the ROAS signal because a lot of the platforms that are reporting impressions and things like that are looking for correlations between like, you know, the last click and stuff like that.
31:44So that's what ends up happening is like you lose the signal, but that's not how marketing actually works. Right. The reason you look at awareness is because you assume that like, just because I'm aware, it doesn't mean I'm going to go buy your product tomorrow, but it doesn't mean I'm not going to buy your product next time I go to the grocery store. Right. And like, you kind of lose all of that through this process and you're trying to look for enough of these signals. So one, it's, it's not only looking for the causal relationships, but it's understanding the concept of ad stock or decay and know that some of these things have a ramp period and a fall off period.
32:13It's the reason that you have the well-balanced KPIs that Jennifer is talking about, which is like, I need to know awareness because awareness is my leading indicator to what? Household penetration. Great. What is the lagging indicator of household penetration? It's also revenue, right? So like, I need to make sure that I have all three of those things going because you could over obsess over awareness and not actually drive conversion. You could over obsess over growing household penetration, but it doesn't actually lead to a growing revenue at the rate at which you want. Right? Like just because you have more households doesn't mean, especially for a portfolio of products like once upon a farm, it's one thing to say, I'm growing the number of households, but if they're buying one product, that's not as successful as if they're buying four products.
32:56Right? And again, it's like, it makes sense when you say it that way, but at the end of the day, it's like we become so singularly focused in the measurement world. We obsess over the click in the measurement world. We obsess over the awareness. And it's like they they're all working together and having that well-balanced funnel, understanding how all the things relate together and giving yourself enough time for all of those things to be measured correctly is what makes it so tricky. And that's where I think, you know, we often set up the wrong KPIs that are too short-sighted, that are too binary.
33:28And it's not that simple. Like if it was, we'd all be doing it really successfully, right? So I think that's where I would really focus a lot of that attention from a modeling capability like ours. And that's where we see a lot of brands get in trouble. And especially like for your audience in the D2C world, everybody's so focused on those signals that Jennifer talked about early in the Once Upon a Farm story, which is like, I'm finding the right correlation signals, but it's like, that's great. It's good to build your business, but it's also not as profitable as you could be, right? Because you're so focused on acquisition.
34:01If you forever focus on acquisition, you never actually break through on brand. Breaking through on brand is where EBITDA starts to show up, right? And it doesn't mean that you don't focus on acquisition. It means you focus on casting a wider net rather than just like shooting the fish in the barrel, right? At some point, you have to cast a wider net into the ocean, right? And at what point do you make that decision to be able to support it? Because then you see the opposite problem too, which is people start casting a wide net and wasting a bunch of money measuring the wrong thing. But also they can't keep up on the supply chain side, right?
34:33So there's all kinds of other problems that happen if you're not looking at all things together at all moments. I'm thinking of the amoeba and I'm thinking of a pond and I'm thinking of the amoeba lives in the pond and you're throwing pebbles in the pond. And each of those pebbles is a marketing effort and there's interaction behavior between each of the ripples that's created. It seems like quite a fun challenge to be operating at scale. Are you having a good time, Jennifer?
34:57Jennifer Berglund:100%. I mean, I'm a marketer, a CPG marketer. This is what I love to do. But kind of echoing Brad's sentiment, it's a balance. It's not either or. You can't just have all awareness. They're not all going to buy. So it's that balance of the upper funnel and lower funnel and making sure that everything is working synergistically against your total business goals. And then how do you look at repeat? Because that's the other big piece here. You've got, you're moving in the right direction in awareness and looking at your public disclosures, household penetration and repeat are both moving in the right direction.
35:35I guess it's just another thing to add to it. How do you, you know, buying a product once is great, you know, generating awareness enough to buy the product, but getting people to buy it again and again. And how do you think, how do you model out, I guess, repeat in this amoeba pond environment?
35:50Jennifer Berglund:I mean, so this is where DTC and the rest of the business maybe become a little bit more separate or more separate than I would like. DTC, we're distinctly measuring customer lifetime value. And we are looking at repeat rate closely over time. On the rest of the business side, that is also something, repeat, that we are measuring and buy rate in our brand tracker. So it is tied under those awareness metrics, something that we track month over month. As an omni-channel business and brand, I'd like to bring those things closer together because we know from survey data that some of our most loyal consumers on DTC are, in fact, often buying at retail as well.
36:40Jennifer Berglund:they're in store picking something up, they grab it, it's on sale, or they ran out before their next box. So we definitely know that there's a strong interaction happening between those channels. At the highest level, what are the most, I don't know, one or two, what are the most important KPI that you're looking at on a daily basis? And then alternately, what's a number maybe you've stopped trusting or you don't look at or don't care about as much that other people might be focusing on too much. Roas. That's the one. Yeah. It is. It's a very, it's an easy thing for people to talk about. It's an easy thing for non-marketers to understand, but we've also done a lot of education internally over the years to our non-marketer stakeholders around Roas and what it actually means.
37:34As you know, I can go out and buy a bunch of Once Upon a Farm branded search terms and I can show sales for it.
37:42Jennifer Berglund:That doesn't necessarily mean it's a win. Again, it goes back to your business objectives. So was my objective to grow households, drive new consumers? That type of search campaign probably isn't going to do that maybe a little bit. If my objective is simply to drive as much sales as possible at all costs, maybe that's the right thing to do. But again, I think for a successful business, it goes back to that balance and that mix. And then KPIs that you do focus on, would it be household penetration for you as your top one? That's an important one for us from a total brand perspective. We do look at share in accounts.
38:25Jennifer Berglund:And then on the DTC side, there are some very core metrics in terms of AOV, purchase frequency, retention, CAC, customer acquisition, and then, of course, all of that feeding into customer lifetime value. Another one I was going to mention, actually, that is one that we look at on the retail media side, but it's also one that I like, but I caution against. So we do look at new to brand in those accounts. But the reality is, as we know, that new to brand person at Target could have bought elsewhere before. And we know that interaction happens a lot with retail and online. So it's another one of those proxy metrics that we kind of evaluate, but also take with a grain of salt.
39:17Last question, maybe starting with you, Brad, Looking at the Once Upon a Farm account and what they're doing with Keen, what are you most excited for the growth over the next year or a couple years for a brand like Once Upon a Farm? Yeah, I think the benefit is that they build a solid foundation and the upside is huge. Right. And I think Jennifer is excited about that as well, where you could see that one, when you have a brand presence that is focused on building a brand and that brand presence is also been focused on innovating into new categories. both of those things combined become a launch pad for something that really could become very disruptive in the category and i still think we're like early days in the disruption of what they're doing for a lot of their products because they're new right like they've been innovating like crazy and expanding across the store like crazy so you got to think i mean they're they're at the level of sophistication that they are and this is not like actual but like half of their portfolio is still so new to the point where it's like we haven't even hit the point of diminishing return from most of their marketing on some of these product lines.
40:26So it's a tremendous opportunity for them to continue to grow. And I think, again, the benefit is we have other portfolio companies who haven't focused on building the brand presence. They've been so focused on innovation. Then you have others who are so focused on building brand presence that they've forgotten innovation. So the balance and the focus on both of those things gives you bigger opportunity to scale versus if you're just focused on one, then it's like, yeah, but you're the greatest product innovation company that never actually supports any of your innovation, right? From a marketing perspective.
41:00And we see that so often with portfolio companies and they're the ones who end up then buying, you know, they've ended up buying other brands and then they kill those brands or then they up selling off part of their portfolio, right? It's in a cycle over and over again. So I'd say kudos to the Once Upon a Farm team for kind of keeping that balanced focus, which creates huge upside. The big challenge for them is can they continue to lean into marketing and capitalize on that, right? That's going to be the big challenge because as you grow across the portfolio, you now have to spend even more money at the top of funnel because the return could be huge as well.
41:34So that's going to be the big challenge is making sure that you can continuously show that business case and continue to capitalize on it. That's the exciting opportunity, I think, for this team. Jennifer, from your side, what's your exciting takeaway?
41:45Jennifer Berglund:Well, first of all, I love the sentiment that Brad has on our brand. Thank you. Yeah, I mean, I'm excited about our partnership with Keen and really having an unbiased data driven lens on our spend and on our spend potential. with any job that I've had, and especially at like a startup in the early days, you want as much dollars as possible in working media. And there is always that question of, okay, is it working? And am I measuring enough? You know, all the things. And there does come a point where you have to ask yourself, okay, is it time to actually invest some of these dollars in measurement or keep putting it in working media.
42:31Jennifer Berglund:And again, in the early days, it's media hands down because you can get the signals, but there comes a point where you need to shift to that more sophisticated formal measurement. And I'm excited that we've done that. I also am excited too, and that it's not just about marketing or sales metrics. We're able to look at our spend, at our campaigns, at our marketing dollars through a financial lens and against financial KPIs. And I think that's really powerful, especially when you're talking internally across different stakeholders. Beautiful. Well, I want to thank you both for coming on the D2C Harness the Halo series.
43:14It's been super interesting. If people want to follow your journey, Jennifer, do you recommend they follow you on LinkedIn?
43:20Jennifer Berglund:Yeah, that would be great. Nice. And then otherwise, go check out keends.com if you want to get measuring at this level. Any final words for us, Brad? No, I'd say just keep going, right? It's the world's biggest, most complicated puzzle. That is CPG marketing in 2026 against all the crazy headwinds. So you remain unbiased and remain data-led. And I think at the end of the day, the data will lead us where the data leads us. And sometimes we have to put our emotions to the side and keep doing the right thing. and think about the amoeba. Oh yeah, for sure.
44:02Thanks so much for listening to today's episode. If you're not a subscriber to our newsletter, you can do that right now at directtoconsumer, all one word, dot co. I'm Eric Dick, and this has been the D2C Podcast. We'll see you next time.
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Once Upon a Farm did $85.4 million in Q2, up 42% year over year, and reached 6.2% of US households against 5.0% a year earlier. Some of that growth traces back to a campaign that was never supposed to produce it. They were running lower-funnel media to their own site, a clean shop-now call to action, the kind of campaign you judge by tomorrow's site revenue. What moved was the retail business. Instacart got more efficient. Programs with accounts picked up momentum. Jennifer Berglund has spent the years since trying to see that effect properly instead of guessing at it, and now she is watching paid search at one retailer lift sales at another, and that's where Keen is worth its weight in premium baby food.
If you run growth at a brand moving into retail: this is the episode about what happens to your job when the sale stops closing anywhere you can see it, and what you measure instead.
If you own the media budget: Jennifer walks through how a one month TV test in 2021 turned into always-on upper funnel, including the matched-market holdout testing she used to defend it before she had a model.
What they get into:
- The early signal: lower-funnel DTC media running, and the retail business taking off instead
- The finding out of Keen that surprised her most, paid search at Kroger or Target showing an effect on a different account entirely
- Why she treats ROAS as an education problem inside the company rather than a KPI
- The trap in "new to brand" at a retailer, and why she takes it with a grain of salt
- How she built the case for TV: 2021 test, then TV plus social plus out of home, then geo tests against comparable holdout markets, then always-on
- Streaming TV and YouTube, and Brad on buying top of funnel through retail media DSPs so the money still funnels to the retailer
- Why every retail media network's conversion methodology is different, and what she uses those platform numbers for instead
- The moment a brand should stop putting every dollar into working media and start paying for measurement
- Brad on awareness as the leading indicator of household penetration, and household penetration as the leading indicator of revenue
- Amoeba marketing, which Brad coined live on the recording and Jennifer immediately claimed for her LinkedIn
Who this is for: operators whose business has outgrown the channel their reporting was built for. DTC brands going into retail, retail brands building ecommerce, anyone whose media now shows up in someone else's numbers.
What to steal: the biweekly omnichannel meeting. Jennifer runs one across her media team and sales leadership. Sales says "I see this happening here," she says "we were running media during that time." That meeting found the halo before any model did.
Harness the Halo is a six-part series from DTC and Keen about the spend that doesn't pay you back the same day, and the measurement that gives you room to make it. Episode 1 was the market read. This is the first brand.
Timestamps:
00:00 The Halo Effect of Digital Marketing
07:00 Measuring Growth Across DTC and Retail
15:00 How Marketing Channels Influence Each Other
21:00 Streaming TV and YouTube Opportunities
37:00 Why ROAS Can Be Misleading
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