GOP women are over it

0:01Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene is resigning from Congress in January and on her way out she's been burning some bridges. With President Trump, of course, but also with Speaker Mike Johnson. You're seeing Republican women lash out directly at the Speaker because he sidelines us and doesn't take us seriously. MTG is reportedly plotting a long-shot effort to remove Johnson from the speakership. She accuses him of, among other things, not having a plan to deal with the coming health care crisis. Millions of Americans are going to see their insurance premiums rise in the next few weeks as a result of the big, beautiful bill.

0:38Johnson says he does have a plan. She's just not privy. Marjorie is not here in Washington. She's not on the committees of jurisdiction. And she's not involved in those specific discussions. But she will be soon. But the health care subsidies will almost certainly expire this year. Coming up on today explained why some GOP women are turning on the speaker. Weihnachtsschmaus und Silvesterer-Kletz sind gerade vorbei. Da kommt auch schon die nächste Tradition um die Ecke.

1:30This is Today Explained. I'm Noelle King, and the most comprehensive reporting that we've seen on Mike Johnson versus the ladies of the GOP came from Melanie Zanona. Melanie is a congressional correspondent at NBC. So this was something that I noticed over the past few weeks. Now, to be fair, there has been broad frustrations in the entire Republican conference, which we can certainly talk about. But it was particularly notable that we were seeing some high-profile Republican women really speaking up and standing up against Speaker Mike Johnson, which we don't normally see. So starting with Marjorie Taylor Greene, her complaints with Johnson are similar to what she's complaining about when it comes to Donald Trump.

2:15I do believe at this time that Republicans will lose the midterms, and I think that's unfortunate. And I think economic populism is the way forward. And unfortunately, I don't see the Republican Party embracing that. She's extremely frustrated that they haven't been putting more bills on the floor that are actually related to some of the things that they campaigned on, particularly that affordability issue. I don't think the president's team nor the speaker have told the president about the legislation that I've introduced that actually much of it directly literally aligns with the agenda that he campaigned on.

2:53I campaigned on in 2024. Then there's Elise Stefanik. She really raised some eyebrows when she went on the record with some of her criticisms in a Wall Street Journal interview. And her criticisms with Johnson was about his political acumen. And she says he's not a good strategist. She said that if a vote were held today, she doesn't think he would be elected speaker again, which is a pretty bold statement coming from someone on Johnson's own leadership team. For Anna Polina Luna, she's she's a little bit of a different case. She has been advocating for specific pieces of bills or legislation that she wants to get to the floor.

3:30And she believes that Mike Johnson has made promises behind closed doors and then not kept those promises when it comes to actually putting those bills on the floor. And the prime example of this is a stock trading ban. That is something that she's been advocating for. She does not want members of Congress to be able to trade stocks. There is huge bipartisan support for that bill. Johnson initially suggested that he would be willing to put a bill like that on the floor. But in Anna Polina Luna's view, she believes that it's being slow walked. I can tell you that I got a lot of pushback from leadership and not just leadership in itself, but I actually received calls from other members of Congress saying that, you know, what we were doing was going to hurt people.

4:09I was also told that I was putting the republic in jeopardy because I was going to cost us the midterms if I brought this to the floor. Now, Johnson and his allies would say they've been busy, you know, trying to avoid a shutdown. But Anna Polina was—Luda was so frustrated that she decided to start this discharge petition, which is this kind of procedural wonky term. But really what it means is it's a way to go over leadership's head and force bills to the floor without leadership's blessing. And so I described it in my piece for NBC News as a revolt of the Republican women. They're actually rebelling.

4:42It's not just, you know, frustrations being aired in TV interviews or print newspaper magazine interviews. It's also something that's being taken directly to Johnson and is having a real effect on the legislative floor and the legislative process. It seems possible that some of Mike Johnson's comments in the past have opened him up to some of the criticism from his Republican women colleagues. What are Mike Johnson's views on women? And are they mainstream? How did we end up here? Well, you know, one thing that did come up in my conversations with some of these Republican women is that he recently did a podcast with Katie Miller.

5:24That is Stephen Miller's wife. Stephen Miller, of course, is a White House aide. It was a much more casual setting. He was with his wife, Kelly, during the interview. And, you know, men and women are different in this way is that men can compartmentalize things. Yeah, men's brains are like waffles. Yes. They have little compartments and they can. So in this arena, like I'm compartmentalizing all these, you know, a myriad number of high level, high stress issues. And I can just turn them off and sleep. And he made an offhanded comment about how he would want Lisa McLean. That's the conference chair, the one woman in leadership to be the one to cook his Thanksgiving dinner.

6:00Now, in his defense, Lisa McLean does talk a lot about cooking and she likes to, you know, host a lot. And she kind of presents that sort of persona herself. But for some Republican women, that really rubbed them the wrong way. And so they took that as an example of perhaps Speaker Mike Johnson looking at women in a different way. And you combine that with the fact that women feel frustrated about, you know, not being elevated and having this bottleneck in terms of the leadership. And I think that is why you're seeing this explosion of frustration right now. How did Lisa McClain respond? Lisa McClain is very supportive of Speaker Mike Johnson.

6:39She put out a statement actually defending him. I've talked to her as well in the hallways. She says, I don't know where these rumors are coming from or who's the one pushing all of these stories that are coming out. But I have seen nothing but respect for Mike Johnson. He listens to me. You know, he treats me well. And so she actually was not rubbed the wrong way by those comments, which I do think is important to point out. But that being said, you are the speaker. And if other Republican women are coming to you and saying they don't feel comfortable with rhetoric like that, that can be a problem for you as the speaker.

7:13One of the less sympathetic responses I've seen to the Republican women who have been complaining is the Republican Party is very sexist. How did you guys not know that? You know, you're just you're just realizing what everybody else already knew. What has gone on in the past? Like, is there a measure of truth to the idea that the Republican Party traditionally sidelines women? And nobody should be surprised by this. Well, traditionally, the Republican Party did not put an emphasis on trying to elect women. And they always said, listen, we don't want to play identity politics. We just want the best candidate to win.

7:46But at some point, Republicans realized, hey, sometimes the best candidate is the woman. I went to a number of women's groups and said, can you help us find folks? and they brought us whole binders full of women. And they're not getting the same opportunities as the men, particularly in primaries. This is where it's a huge issue because women do have young kids and families and they have bigger challenges to be able to run. It's very difficult to run a campaign. They need resources. They need the fundraising. They need the sort of party structural tools and resources behind them in order to succeed in a primary, to get over that finish line.

8:20And Republicans for a long, long time just were not placing an emphasis on that. But in recent years, in recent cycles, there was a recognition, and Elise Stefanik actually played a huge part in this. I think we need to have a tone that reaches out to women, and that's something that I've been very focused on. That they need to elect more Republican women, and that women can actually flip key vulnerable seats, which they did. After 2018, we saw historic lows in terms of the numbers of Republican women represented here in Congress, and they made a huge effort to recruit more women, to get them over the finish line in primaries.

8:58And guess what? A lot of them ended up winning. A lot of them were responsible for flipping key seats in the following cycles. And so they did use that as a playbook going forward. But I think traditionally, Republicans have just been so scared of saying, you know, we're purposely trying to elect women. We don't play identity politics. That's what the Democrats do, that that has really held them back for a long time. And that's why still, even though there are more Republican women than there have been in the past, they are still way behind where Democratic women are. How is Speaker Mike Johnson responding to all of this?

9:34He's pretty frustrated. I've heard behind the scenes that he's been complaining about some of the reports. He's gone on to defend himself. He's been asked directly by reporters, including by some of my colleagues after I wrote the story, about his posture towards women. And he's vehemently denying that he is marginalizing women, that he looks or treats them any differently. I'm doing everything I can every day to empower all members of the conference. There's no gender division here at all in our conference. It's a meritocracy, and we've got great women doing great things. I'm their biggest champion.

10:07But we have not seen him take any actual steps to try to alleviate some of their concerns. Johnson has a really narrow majority on Capitol Hill. It would seem to me that he can't afford to make enemies. Is he being a little cavalier about this? That is a great question. He absolutely can't afford any enemies in this conference. And he already has one in Marjorie Taylor Greene that votes against everything, and two in another Republican member, Thomas Massey. He pretty much votes no on almost everything that comes to the floor, including voting against Mike Johnson's speakership. And so when you do the math, you can't really afford any other Republicans to be voting no or saying no.

10:50That being said, though, Johnson has a degree of confidence because no one expected him to get the job in the first place. And he did. He defied expectations there. he has been able to usher some really big bills through the house including as trump calls it the one big beautiful bill or that's the big tax law that they passed that also included medicaid cuts and then primarily the reason why he feels like he has some confidence here is because he still has donald trump's backing and donald trump was asked by a reporter whether or not he still had confidence in johnson given all these recent sort of critiques and rebellions that we've been seeing spark up.

11:27And Trump gave his full-throated support for Speaker Mike Johnson. And so because of that, I do believe that Johnson feels like he's okay for now, but he knows better than anyone that every single vote counts. And so getting that majority next year is going to be critical, and not only just winning the majority, but making sure they have a bigger margin than what they have now.

11:56NBC's Melanie Zenona. Coming up, Mike Johnson's health problems.

12:30you're listening to today explained we're back with burgess everett burgess is the congressional bureau chief at semaphore all right so burgess remind us where things stand on health care as we approach the end of the year there's just been a ton of drama about the enhanced premium tax credits these are these subsidies that the democrats put into law when they had majorities in Congress. They are expiring at the end of the year. Premiums on the Affordable Care Act exchanges are going to shoot up because of the expiration of these subsidies. Tens of millions of Americans are now about to experience dramatically increased health insurance premiums.

13:09That's totally unacceptable. It's the reason that Democrats shut the government down because they wanted to extend these tax credits. The reason that the government is shut down is because the Republicans have insisted on taking down the subsidies, also Medicare, Medicaid, all of that. And it's part of the year-end fight on Capitol Hill right now. So it's been this long-running roll-up to them expiring at the end of the year, frankly, because there is not currently a plan to revive them that can pass both chambers of Congress. When they do expire, which Americans will be affected? It's a small percentage, but a large number, millions of people that use the Affordable Care Act exchanges to buy their insurance.

13:51So people that don't get employer-based insurance or people that don't get, you know, Medicaid, Medicare, etc. For the millions of Americans who are using these subsidies right now to help buy their health insurance on the Affordable Care Act exchanges, you could probably expect your premiums to go up at least temporarily next year in January until Congress figures out a solution to this. So Speaker Mike Johnson has been dealing with many revolutions, divides in his caucus, and this week is going to be a big week for him as it pertains to health care, to the ACA. What's going on? Well, Republicans have been very sensitive to the generally accurate criticism that they do not have a health care plan.

14:31We have the tool in the toolbox to make another unilateral Republican can run at reforms that we believe will bring the cost of care down. And so what we're seeing in the House, and we saw recently in the Senate, is an effort to put something up so they don't look completely empty handed. I would be willing to do a short term extension of the premium tax credits for those people with higher premiums if they will concede that we've got to do something for the$6 ,000 out of pocket. I think there's a deal to be had here. Now, Mike Johnson has a very thin majority. So he has a bunch of moderate members who want to revive those subsidies that we were just talking about.

15:11And so they are going to get a vote on an amendment this week to this larger package that has no chance of becoming law. We'll see where it goes from there. It'll be an important vote because it'll kind of tell us what is the level of support for an extension of these tax credits and perhaps offer a blueprint for maybe extending them sometime in January. On the other hand, this vote goes poorly for the GOP. If conservatives get really mad at Mike Johnson for even allowing this vote. It may tell us that these tax credits are pieced and Republicans are just going to have to live with it. All right.

15:43So some small number of Republicans say, let's just extend the credits. This is what the Democrats want. The other Republicans, the ones who say, no, no, no, we are not going to do an extension. What are they proposing? What is their idea? It's really a political, larger theoretical argument about the Affordable Care Act and whether you should just let it collapse on its own or prop it up with these subsidies to make health insurance less expensive. So Republicans have not changed their opinion about the Affordable Care Act. They still don't like it. Democrats voted for the ACA in 2010. It went into effect in 2014.

16:20That was the year that we saw our health insurance policy for a family of five go from$800 a month to$2 ,400 a month. The division is between those who think, let it collapse, design a completely new health program, or those who say, well, people need help now. We shouldn't punish our constituents because we don't have a better plan that can get into law. And so we're going to see this, I think, tilt well into next year because of this larger philosophical argument. Republicans want to do a larger revisioning of health care. Some of them do. people like Rick Scott who want to take all these other Obamacare subsidies, not these expiring ones, these are just the heart of the program, and redirect this money to consumers directly to let them buy their insurance, which is a totally different idea about how to run a health insurance market.

17:12So we're going to see that play out. And Republicans have majorities in the House and the Senate, and they have the White House so they can pass some health care laws with no Democratic support if they want to. So that's another dynamic we're going to be watching. Have the Republicans that don't want the subsidies extended, have they offered any specific ideas? Yeah, I mean, there's this Rick Scott plan. There's this more conceptual idea of taking the money that would fund the subsidies and put them in health savings accounts. The Senate voted on that last week. It failed. It was really just an attempt to unite Republicans around something because otherwise Democrats were going to have a proposal and Republicans would have nothing.

17:53So there's a little bit of a political management to that more than, hey, Republicans are really dead set on making this happen. I'm not sure there's consensus in the party to do anything without Democrats. And so that's kind of where we are. It's a little bit of a fork in the road, which is do you try to cut a deal with Democrats, which means they get some of these subsidies extended because that's their top priority? Or do you say, screw that. We don't want to do anything with them. We'll try to do this all on our own. We saw how that went in 2017, failed on the Senate floor spectacularly. Haven't really come back to it since then.

18:24But all old things become new again in politics. Where's Johnson on extending the subsidies? Johnson does not like the subsidies. Most of his leadership team does not like the subsidies. The people that are pushing for it are people who represent districts that are competitive, generally speaking, or that could be competitive if this is a so-called blue wave year next year. So it's a little bit of a tension between those who have these safe seats where you could lose a primary. That's your biggest political threat. And those who are in battlegrounds where you could lose a general election to a Democrat because you haven't done enough to keep health care premiums from going up.

19:01Earlier in the show, we were talking about how there are Republican women on Capitol Hill who are deeply frustrated with Mike Johnson. And I wonder, does that extend to the health care fight? Is this a larger problem for him? And how is he trying to lead through it? I certainly think when we heard all of this new Marjorie Taylor Greene positioning, it was over this issue, right? It started with her saying, yes, I do not like the Affordable Care Act, but why are we not here working on this? I think it is a crisis. I don't think it's something to wear political party team jerseys on. I think it's something that we have to address and fix.

19:40This was during the shutdown, kind of when, I don't know if this is when she got the idea, but this is when she implemented this new strategy, which was criticize the Speaker, say that we should be in town working on this and helping Americans by extending these premium tax credits. There's definitely a bit of a groundswell on that. I feel like it's just a handful of very outspoken Republican women in the House that we're hearing from on this. But, you know, the reality is they don't have the same number of Republican women chairmen that they used to. And so there is a little bit of a gender divide in the conference and a feeling among some of the women that they're not getting hurt as much as they should be.

20:18If we take into account what's going on with some of the Republican women and we combine that with what is a mess, frankly, over health care, is there any risk that Johnson loses the speakership? You know, they still have this motion to vacate, which is a fancy way to say you can launch a referendum on Mike Johnson's speakership. This is the way Kevin McCarthy lost his job. The big difference is they've changed the threshold to nine members. And so there was some reporting last week from MSNBC about potentially forcing another vote on this from Marjorie Taylor Greene as she leaves. I don't know.

20:55You need you need nine people to go there. And that would also be enough people to deny him the speakership potentially. I think it's a long shot, but it is always a possibility and it is always something that's sitting over his head. I think there's an equal threat to his speakership, frankly, from doing a deal that ticks off fiscal conservatives so much that they say he's not a conservative speaker and we need a new one. So he can face tension from either direction when it comes to his leadership. All right. We are 16 days out from the end of the year. What happens next with this health care fight?

21:30Right. Well, if you go back to the shutdown, the government was partially funded for the rest of the year into September of next year, and it was partially funded till the end of January. And so now some folks that I've been talking to, including Roger Marshall, senator from Kansas, who's trying to find a solution on this healthcare issue, he says the new deadline's really January 30th, which is the government shutdown deadline. If that sounds familiar, it should, because that's It's the exact same fight that we just had in September, October and November. Now, the result of the shutdown would not be as catastrophic.

22:04SNAP is funded, for example, but nobody wants another shutdown. But Democrats, again, have some leverage here on this issue. So we're going to be watching this well into January now.

22:17On January 15th, that's the end of the open enrollment program for the Affordable Care Act exchanges. So there's still a driving force, even though Congress isn't going to get this done by the end of the year. I can't tell you exactly how it's going to go. It feels pretty hard to get a deal on this at this point. It feels like the sides are pretty dug in. And I think Democrats, some of them are going to be happy to see Republicans get blamed for these premium increases. So there's starting to be some midterm politics to this as well. So I can't tell you how this is going to go, but it's an uphill battle to get these tax credits extended.

22:57That was Semaphore's Burgess Everett. Kelly Wessinger produced today's show. Amina El-Sadi edited. Patrick Boyd and David Tattashore engineered. And Laura Bullard checked the facts. I'm Noelle King. It's Today Explained.

23:22Thank you.